Service Plays Sunday 9/14/08

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Power Sweep

4* Carolina 31-17
3* Houston 28-13
2* Tampa 27-6
2* New Orleans 24-17

3* Titians U39
3* Bills U37
3* Giants 042
2* Falcons U38
2* Patriots U38<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

WILD BILL

Saints pk (5 units)
Lions +3 (5 units)
Over 45 Lions-Packers (5 units)
Jacksonville -6 (5 units)
Indy -1 (5 units)
Tampa -8 (5 units)
Miami +7 (5 units)
Pittsburgh -5 1/2 (5 units)
San Diego -1 (5 units)
Eagles +7 (5 units)
Under 47 Eagles-Cowboys (5 units)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Armvin Sports Nfl

9/14/2008 Indianapolis -2

[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

KEY RELEASES
KANSAS CITY by 14 over Oakland
TAMPA BAY by 20 over Atlanta
OVER THE TOTAL in the Chicago-Carolina game



SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
KANSAS CITY 24 - Oakland 10—Third start overall and first on the
road for JaMarcus Russell, who will experience the unique “pleasure” of trying to direct his team amid the cacophany of arguably the NFL’s noisiest stadium. Brodie Croyle (0-7 as a starter; check status) finally beginning to face opposing QBs with even less experience than his own. Raider RBs (Fargas, McFadden, Bush) imposing, but Oakland OL and WRs not. Will count on improving young Chiefs’ defense and K.C.’s crowd to fluster Russell into mistakes. (07-K. City 12-OAK. 10...K.14-10 K.32/126 O.24/55 O.18/29/1/213 K.16/32/1/164 K.0 O.1) (07-Oak. 20-K. CITY 17...O.19-18 K.37/164 O.29/153 O.15/22/0/159 K.12/23/1/128 O.1 K.0)
(07-Kansas City +2' 12-10, Oakland +4' 20-17...SR: Kansas City 52-44-2)


TAMPA BAY 26 - Atlanta 6—A rookie QB (Matt Ryan) on a rebuilding
team (Atlanta) with a rookie head coach (Mike Smith) is NOT a good
combination for facing the most-developed of the usually-confusing, two-deep, zone-blitz defenses now simply dubbed the “Tampa Two” scheme throughout football. Especially with that combination on the road, and especially when the Bucs dominated the Falcs LY (before Michael Turner, however), winning twice by a total score of 68-10! T.B. offense perfectly average (worse than average if Jeff Garcia & Joey Galloway not in tune), but stop unit expert at producing opponent mistakes.
(07-T. Bay 31-ATL. 7...15-15 T.31/149 A.19/49 A.31/48/2/226 T.11/21/0/156 T.2 A.2) (07-T. BAY 37-Atl. 3...T.21-5 T.48/190 A.20/106 T.15/25/1/95 A.4/15/2/27 T.0 A.2) (07-Tampa Bay -3 31-7, TAMPA BAY -12' 37-3...SR: Tampa Bay 17-12)



OVER THE TOTAL Chicago 27 - CAROLINA 26—Kudos to Steve
Smith-less Carolina and to Jake Delhomme (and his surgeons) for their lastplay victory at San Diego. However, the running of rookie Matt Forté (123 yards) and the nearly-mistake-free play of Kyle Orton (13 of 21, no ints.) was a big boost not only to the Bear offense, but to the Chicago defense, which was both injured and overworked LY. Must be impressed with Lovie’s depth on the DL especially with DTs Harris and Dvoracek both healthy, plus impressive thirdround pick Marcus Harrison of Arkansas. With Jake back for Panthers, however, will look “over” again in Charlotte.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

SCOTT FERRALL

Washington PK over Saints<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P>
<O:P> </O:P>
Detroit +3 from Packers at Ford Field<O:P></O:P>
<O:P> </O:P>
Carolina -3 to Chicago<O:P></O:P>
<O:P> </O:P>
RAMS +9 from Giants in St.Louis--upset with the number<O:P></O:P>
<O:P> </O:P><O:P> </O:P>
Tampa -8 to Atlanta--don't be suckered by the Falcons--they still are going to blow<O:P></O:P>

[Can'tPickaWinner]

CKO Confidential Kick-Off

CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team
RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average


10 MIAMI at *Arizona

Late Score Forecast:

MIAMI 20 - *Arizona 17

(Sunday, September 14)

Expect Miami to improve substantially now that unusual Pennington-vs.-Favre, Dolphins-Jets first game is out of the way. CKO insiders say no-nonsense Dolphin HC Tony Sparano, an OL guru as an assistant, is quite pleased with the potential of the Miami OL, especially rugged rookie top-pick LT Jake Long, second-year C Samson Satele, and powerful former LT-turned-RT Vernon Carey. Thus, expect Dolphins to begin running with more authority as that unit jells in front of hard-running Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown. Chad Pennington (2 TDP in opener vs. his former team) figures to be a good ball-control caretaker of the offense. So Arizona best not be full of itself after its Game One victory over still-marginal S.F. and QB J.T. O'Sullivan in his first start. Cards 0-5 last 10 years laying more than 7 points!

[Can'tPickaWinner]

*** EZWINNERS NFL ***

5 STAR: (219) PITTSBURGH (-6) over Cleveland
(Risking $550 to win $500)
7:15PM Central Time

3 STAR: (202) CAROLINA (-3) over Chicago
(Risking $330 to win $300)
12PM Central Time

2 STAR: (197) NEW ORLEANS (PICK) over Washington
(Risking $220 to win $200)
12PM Central Time
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Phenom

NY Giants
Tampa Bay
Tennessee
Green Bay
Seattle
Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Miami at Arizona (Sunday 9/14 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Miami +7 (-110)


Last Sunday the Cardinals had ample opportunity to blow out the Niners as they had a five-turnover advantage. But they ended up in a close game at home vs a team they were supposed to beat. Arizona could not move the ball in the red-zone and cash in on five extra chances. Their defense was only on the field for 22 minutes vs an average offense, and still gave up plenty of yards. Not likely they will be +5 in turnovers here again. Miami was within one play of beating the Brett Favre hyped Jets, as Pennington drove them down to the Jets 18 late, but was picked off to end their hopes. Pennington still finished with 26 completions for 251 yds and 2 TDs, so the Dolphins immediately have a huge upgrade at QB as compared to the one-win team from 2007. Statistically the Fins played the Jets to a dead heat, and overall they looked like a better team than the Cardinals. This line is based on a 1-15 Dolphin team from a year ago (that happened to lose in week one). But the Cards don't deserve to be this chalky after last week's performance. Last year they were favored at home by 6 over Carolina and lost, 10 over San Francisco and lost, and 11 over Atlanta and had to go to OT to get the win. Miami is much better, and I'll back them with the points here.
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[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 09/14/08 - 4:05 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Side
triple-dime bet210 SEA -6.5 (-110) BetUS vs 209 SFX
Analysis:
The Seattle Seahawks will turn things around against division-opponent San Francisco on Sunday - thanks to an active defense and the 12th man. After all - Seattle blitzed the 49ers to death last season, outscoring them 47-3 in the two meetings.



Seattle also is a dominant 8-1 ATS win winning at home within the division the past three years - covering the spread by an average of 12 points.



San Francisco is being led by QB J.T. O'Sullivan, as the offense fell to one of the worst NFL road teams (Arizona) mainly due to five turnovers. Definitely not an easy task to now travel to the NFL's loudest stadium and correct things on offense.



The 49ers managed to average just 11 points per game in 12 of their last 14 games and that will continue in facing BY FAR - the best defense in their division.



Seattle still has a solid enough running game to display with new running back Julius Jones making his debut and Hasselbeck has the ability to bounce back from a rusty performance better than anyone in the National Football League.



The Seahawks make it a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games - marking head coach Mike Holmgren's 100th home victory of his distinguished career.

[B.S.S.]

Looking For The Late Steam From Sportswire
Thanks

[ymmit2nd]

Jimmy is stepping out with his first five-star play of the season in the NFL.
Ungraded
Handicapper: Jimmy Sirody
League: NFL
Event: Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals on 09/14/2008 at 1:15PM
Condition: Miami Dolphins
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: Miami showed a lot of grit in its season opener, hanging around for much of the game against Brett Favre and his New York Jets. See no reason why the Dolphins should be this big a dog against Arizona. Miami lost six games last year by a field goal or less. The Dolphins are 15-3-1 as non-division dogs of five points or more and they are 8-4-1 as pups against NFC opponents. The Cardinals are 4-9 ATS after beating a division foe by double digits and 4-12 ATS at home off a SU&ATS win. They have also come up short in their last seven at home versus the AFC-East ATS. I'm grabbing the points with Miami

[ymmit2nd]

Double Black Diamond Selection! Tommy Dutch's NFL Play of the Month!
Ungraded
Handicapper: Tommy Dutch
League: NFL
Event: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns on 09/14/2008 at 5:15PM
Condition: Cleveland Browns
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: Take the Browns! We're catching a bunch of points at home in a game between two teams I have rated essentially even. This is a Browns team which went 7-1 at home last season and improved in the offseason. Pittsburgh went 3-5 on the road last season including a big win at Cleveland in the first game when the Charlie Frye experiment was still in effect. The results from Week 1 help give us tremendous line value in this matchup between divisional rivals. These two teams know each other inside out. The statistical concern is that Pittsburgh was so successful running the football, while Cleveland could not stop Dallas on the ground. That's true but familiarity and a fired up Cleveland team at home are more than enough to compensate. Cleveland is expected to be a contender in the North and the Browns' season is measured on how they play against the Steelers. In the last meeting between the two teams Cleveland blew a 21-9 halftime lead and missed a field goal as time expired in a 31-28 loss. The Steelers were successful running the ball against the Browns last year and will try to establish themselves on the ground again. The Browns improved defensive front failed to impress in Week 1 but it was a tired unit. After the Browns fell behind against Dallas they were playing catch-up, throwing the ball ineffectively and putting the defense on the field for the majority of the game. The Browns rushing game was effective when used and will be the immediate focus in this contest. If established the passing game will open up and the Browns will be the right side. Cleveland will bring an A effort which the Steelers did not see against the Texans. Don't put too much stock in one game. Look for these divisional rivals to bang heads all night in a close contest. Take the Browns plus the points!

[Urlacher]

Doug Williams NFL Picks Sept. 12

Cleveland +7, -- Take the Browns at home vs. the Steelers. Don't get off of the Cleveland bandwagon just yet. I expect a monster game with more of their offensive weapons back in action.


Pats +1.5, -- Do you really think Bill Belichick will lose to Mangini? I don't. Is this the Cassell generation? Probably not. Still, take the Patriots (as dogs?!). Bet on the system, not the QB.


Arizona +7, -- Sometimes it just seems too obvious. Take Warner and the cards to stomp the fish at home.

Buffalo +5 -- The Bills might not beat the Jags on the road, but I do see them keeping it within a field goal.
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[Urlacher]

Sports MarketWatchNFL Week 2 - Early Moves9/12/2008 11:01 AM ESTby Daniel FabrizioSportsInsights.com Welcome to this week's edition of the Sports MarketWatch, where Daniel Fabrizio, founder of SportsInsights.com, gives sports fans unprecedented insight into the NFL point-spread market. If you ever wanted to know what was really happening on the sportsbook side, you now have an all-access pass with Sports MarketWatch! Every week he speaks directly with the line managers at some of the sports betting industry’s largest sportsbooks about which games the public is chasing and the Sharps are pounding. Dan takes a look at what’s in store for this week in the NFL.Sports MarketWatch – NFL Week 2 Recapping Last Week It was a solid opening NFL weekend for the sports betting industry. All sportsbooks reporting a healthy first week handle. JC, head lineman at Skybook, put it best, “It was good to finally have the buzz back of an NFL Sunday in comparison to the grind-it-out feeling of MLB.” Most sportsbooks retained a little less than 1% of their handle. The Public was up big after the 1pm games, and then began to give it all back after the 4pm. The Sunday night Chicago at Indy game was huge for the books. Chicago , a +10 point underdog, winning outright on the road, broke up a lot of parlays and saved the books from a long day of payouts on Monday. Our Games to Watch started the season off in the hole, going 1-2. Always remember that one weekend doesn’t make or break a season. Consistent winning means winning over an entire season. Anyone can go 5-0, but very few professional sports bettors can achieve a winning percentage above 55% for an entire season. Readers from last year will note that we started the season off slow, going 0-3 in week 1 and week 2. We ended the NFL Regular Season with a (26-19-2 = 57.8%) record. It’s about patience and believing in your research. SportsInsights.com analysis shows that in games with over 65% of the action on one side, the Public won 50% of their games, going 6-6. SportsInsights.com Games to Watch analysis stumbled out of the gate, going 1-2. View Last Week’s Column:Sports Marketwatch - Sports Betting News Info from Sportsbooks Betting Industry Free 7 Day Trial!*If you enjoy reading the Sports Marketwatch, try SportsInsights.com Premium Pro membership for 7 Days Free.NFL WEEK 2 We anticipate Indy, New Orleans , Green Bay , and Pittsburgh to be the most “lopsided-bet” games of the week. Visit SportsInsights.com to view LIVE wagering statistics from multiple online sportsbooks.NFL Week 2 Sports MarketWatch – Games to Watch 207 Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers This game caught the attention of our oddsmaker contacts immediately. Public money on Atlanta has dropped the line all the way from Tampa Bay -9 to the key number of -7. SportsInsights.com's exclusive betting percentages capture the imbalance of bets, and show that a surprising 3 out of every 4 bets are landing on the visiting dog Falcons. It's rare that the public piles onto a visiting dog -- and rare for the NFL MarketWatch to select a favorite. However, sometimes the sports marketplace presents value on favorites.This match-up is a good example of selling on good news. Atlanta had a surprise opening weekend win over Detroit . At the same time, this is a good example of buying on bad news. Note that the Tampa Bay Bucs suffered a tough loss to New Orleans in Week 1. We'll use this combination of "selling good news" and "buying bad news" to grab a good NFL contrarian value. We'll "bet against the public" and grab the 2 points of line value. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 -105 (Skybook) 199 Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions This is our Pepto Bismol play of the week. MarketWatch readers know that we often need bad teams to "not stink." In this game, we are cashing in on Green Bay ’s strong Monday Night Football (MNF) performance in the previous week. This means several things:A huge audience watched a convincing GB win. QB Aaron Rodgers, who took the reins over from Brett Favre, had one of the highest completion percentages in history -- in their game as a starter. The MNF spotlight and sparkling results add fuel to the Green Bay-Favre-Rodgers story. The MNF appearance also means one less day of preparation for this week's game against Detroit . Detroit, in their opening Sunday, was less stellar. The Lions lost 34-21 to non-powerhouse Atlanta team -- and the game wasn't even as close as the score. Before you could blink, Atlanta ran the score up to 21-0 by scoring 3TDs in the first quarter! The public is taking notice of Green Bay's strong performance and Detroit's poor performance by piling back onto the Pack's back. A huge 85% of bets are landing on the visiting Packers. We'll take a shot to Pepto and get down on Detroit +3.Detroit Lions +3.5 (Sports Interaction) 191 Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs SportsInsights' proprietary sports marketplace tools flagged this game for "smart money." Early sharp action on Oakland pushed this line from Oak +4 to Oak +3.5. Notable in this line movement is the fact that almost 70% of the bets are taking KC. With two-thirds of the bets landing on KC, the line actually moved in the direction of Oakland. This means that some big money came in early and moved the line down from Oak +4 to Oak +3.5. Big money is also typically "smart money." We'll bet against the public and join the "early sharps" in this match-up. Note that Oakland got "beat up" by Denver late Monday night -- so we'll be buying the Raiders after "bad news." We like getting as much value as we can! Oakland Raiders +3.5 So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights.com analysis for this week’s Games to Watch: Games to Watch (1-2-0) Tampa Bay Bucs -7 Detroit Lions +3.5 Oakland Raiders +3.5 It should be another exciting NFL Weekend. Keep Sports MarketWatch picks handy and your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for the latest real-time updates, using our exclusive Sports Investing tools. I’ll be back next Friday with the new edition of the Sports MarketWatch. Enjoy the games! Daniel Fabrizio President SportsInsights.com

[Urlacher]

Does anyone have the Pointwise Phone plays? Thanks

[ymmit2nd]

2008-09-12 RON RAYMOND'S NFL O/U GAME OF THE MONTH!
Pick # 1 Tennessee Titans /Cincinnati Bengals Over 37 -110

[ymmit2nd]

Joyce Sterling
NFL Sunday 9/14

Washington +1
10 STAR Game of the Week
They improved on both sides of the ball last season.
They have had 9 days of rest. They can take advantage Saints vulnerable secondary.
The return of defensive backs Fred Smoot and Shawn Springs for the team's home opener will also help. Smoot left Thursday's game with a hip pointer and Springs missed it with a bruised shin, but both are expected to face the Saints' strong air attack.
New Orleans will be lacking one of its biggest playmakers for at least the next month. Receiver Marques Colston had surgery on his left thumb this week and will miss four to six weeks after sustaining ligament damage during his team's 24-20 win over Tampa Bay on Sunday.

This is Zorn's home debut and his team will be ready

St. Louis +9
Defending Super Bowl Champs are just 35-55 ATS as non-division road favorites the next year. When favored in road openers, 1-7 ATS off 1 win.
The Rams turn things around
Rams are 7-1 ATS as September road dogs.
Take the big points at home.

Atlanta +7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have to play without their signal-caller Jeff Garcia.

Atlanta QB Ryan, only attempted 13 passes in his debut, but completed nine of them for 161 yards without an interception..
NFL road dogs that rush for 150 or more yards are 312-67-9 ATS.
Atlanta rushed for over 300 yards vs Lions last week.
Take the points

[ymmit2nd]

TheProSource NFL FB


Colts -1 **Top Play **
Colts OVER 43 **Top Play**
Chargers - 1 **Top Play **
Houston -4.5
GL !


Indianapolis - 1 **Top Play InterConf GOM**
at Minnesota 1 pm et
NFL teams which lost to a non-division opponent by 7 pts
or more, when they were favored by 7 pts or more rebound
strongly the following week.
These teams are 15-7 the L6Ys, almost 70%, and 63-35
ATS since 1980.
Extremely strong Wk 2 specific situation to:
PLAY AGAINST any NFL Gm 2 NON DIV team AT HOME
that is OFF A LOSS in Gm 1. Our Play ON team must also
be off a loss in their Gm 1...14-37 S1980, 73% for 27 years
when the posted line is in this range.
If our Play Against host lost Gm 1 to a DIVISION opponent,
when playing a winless NON-DIVISION foe in Gm 2, & the
line on the game is in this spread range, they are just 4-17
ATS, 81%..including 1-15 ATS if they were an UNDERDOG
in Gm1 and scored what the Vikes did in the loss.
..the tighteners get us an almost perfect 94% for 27 years.
Another GM 2 specific spot to:
Play AGAINST a Wk 2 HOME team that Played in the
Monday FB gameWk1...17-9 S1987.
extra info
The Vikes have been tough as a home underdog but they
are on a short week and off a HUGE media circus marquee
Monday nite game vs their hated post Favre-GB rivals.
The Colts, and especially Manning, looked uncomfortable
in their new stadium in Gm1. Mannings knee survived the
post-op test. Peyton and Co will be more comfortable in
Gm2, especially since they will benefit from playing in a
dome again. Would rather bank on Manning to bounce
back then young Vike QB Tavaris Jackson. Indianapolis
caught a few tough breaks in the opener. The key players
should be less rusty and more relaxed with the hype of
the opening game in a new stadium out of the way... and
Mannings knee surviving the test. The Colts have been
a strong road team and the Vikes are still a risky play on
team right now.
Minny has covered just 3 of their last 10 Gm 2's, is 2-8
last 10 home off an away.
Colts have won and covered 5 in a row and 8 of the last 9
against NFC opposition.


Minnesota OVER 43 **Top Play Inter-Conf TOM **
vs Indianapolis 1 pm et
One of our top Over systems. The 6 yr run of 14 overs in
16 chances brings the 13 yr record to 34-5 OVER, 87%.
Thi system will come up maybe 2 or 3 teams a season.
At one point, it had rattled off 12 Overs in a row.
The Vikes are "over" 7 of their last 9 at home, OV 5 of the
last 6 after playing GB
Colts were 6-1 OV lst season off an ATS loss, are 10-5 OV lst
15 off a SU loss.


San Diego - 2 ** Top Play AFC West GOM **
at Denver 4:15 et
Game 2 specific system to :
Play AGAINST a Wk 2 HOME team that Played in the
Monday FB gameWk1...17-9 S1987.
We have a rare and almost perfect set up here to:
Play ON any AWAY favorite in a DIVISION game that is
off a straight up HOME loss by 3 or less...19-6-1
IF the team is a favorite in this spread range, and is also
playing a team with Denvers WL mark from LY, 13-2-1.
thats close to 90%.
extra info
Success has been a spoiler for Denver who is 27-47 ATS
off a SU win S2000. Denver is just 4-10 L14 at home.
Defeat has been an adrenaline shot for the Bolts. SD is
12-3-2 ATS off a SU loss. SD is 22-10 as rd fav since ’92
We think Denvers dream of padding the top rung of the
AFC West with SD's home loss and the Bronco's road win,
will turn into a nightmare here. Denver faces a short week,
and we expect a much better effort from the Bolts on both
sides of the ball. Denver is no longer the dominant home
team of past years which gives us a great line here.


Houston - 4.5 regular play
vs Baltimore 4:15 et
Not a big system game. When we see a team that lost
badly last week laying over a FG to a team off an upset
home win, we have to follow the Vegas tip and explore why.
The Texans were overwhelmed early in the game last week
at Pittsburgh and never recovered. Baltimore won at home
last week vs a marginal Bengals team. here we go...
The Ravens hit the road here with a new HC and Joe Flaco
at QB. The Texans play in a retractable Domed stadium
(that should be closed for this one due to the weather), and
this is the first time the Ravens will be playing under a roof
in 28 games. These are BIG disadvantages for the Ravens
vs a Houston team that is starting to protect it's home field
with tenacity, going 6-2 SU / ATS last season and 10-4 their
last 14 at reliant Stadium. The Texans fend off some tough
teams here..keep in mind that they play the Colts, Jags and
Titans each season...very tough competition.
The solid debuts for the new Ravens, Coach John Harbaugh
and QB Joe Flacco came at home against a bad team.
The Ravens defense must be respected, but the Texans have
the pass rushers that will force mistakes vs a green offense.
Houston can score points here....they averaged 28 ppg last
year at home, and never scored under 20. We don't see the
Ravens having the horses to keep up.
Houston has 3 division games next, but Baltimore is in a
Cinci - Cle Divison sandwich with the Steelers up next.
A bit of a line to clear, but the SU winner in Houston games
in Sept is 18-2 ATS. HC Kubiak is 7-1 here vs a team entering
off a win.
Not the greatest systems we have but :
Play AGAINST road teams off a SU home dog win andthey
rushed for 150 plus yds ...65%

[THE CHICAGO CONNECTION]

CHICAGO SPORTS CONNECTION

NFC NORTH Play Of The Week (2)
Both games 1:00 EDT
*********************************************************
DETROIT +3 vs Packers
The Packers come off a big win for Rodgers...they are on a short week ...also a sandwich game (Dallas next week on Sunday night).
And Detroit is a hungry team ...off and embarrassing loss against ATL.
*********************************************************
CAROLINA -3 vs Bears
It will be tough for the Bears to win two straight on the road.
This line would be 6 or 7 if they didn't beat the Colts on Sunday night.

The Bears went from a team predicted to win 6 games...to a team that will start the season 2-0 on the road ?
I doubt it.
*********************************************************
I will text you the WiseGuy plays @ 11:30 EDT on Sunday.

GL2us

[ymmit2nd]

Champion Sports

NFL Sunday, September 14:

Buffalo vs. Jacksonville 1:00 EST
Take Buffalo +4.5

Buffalo has solid coaching, strong effort, outstanding special teams plays. Jacksonville can't run. Somewhat of a "revenge" game. Buffalo has offensive improvement. The Bills are off a big home win - will have strong frame of mind. Jacksonville looked horrible in preseason.



Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta
4:05 EST Take Tampa Bay -7
Tampa Bay defense ranked in top 10. The Buccaneers swept the Falcons last season winning 31-7 on the road and 37-3 at home.



Seattle vs. San Francisco UNDER 38 4:05 EST
The last four in this series have gone under. The Seahawks best receivers are hurt. The Seahawks swept San Fran last year, winning 23-3 on the road and 24-0 at home. The past four in the series have gone "under".

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMBen Burns | NFL Total
triple-dime bet200 DET / 199 GBP Under 45.5 Bodog

Look for the 'new era' of this rivalry to begin with a relatively low-scoring contest. *NFC TOY

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Fast Eddie Sports NFL

10* $100 Regular Plays -

#220 - Cleveland Browns

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMKing Creole | NFL Total
double-dime bet194 CIN / 193 TEN Over 37.0 Bodog
Analysis: 1:05pm ET / TENNESSEE TITANS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
2** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL
*optimum OU line would be 36.5 or less

1:05pm ET / NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*optimum OU line would be 42 or less

1:05pm ET / Chicago Bears @ Carolina Panthers
1* Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*optimum OU line would be 37.5 or less

1:05pm ET / NEW YORK GIANTS @ ST LOUIS RAMS
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
*optimum OU line would be 41.5 or less

4:05pm ET / Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1* Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
*optimum OU line would be 37.5 or higher

Let's lay out all applicable OU Systems that we queried in regards to the week two NFL schedule. We'll start first with a handful of solid OU RUSHING Systems.

ALL four of the teams involved in King?s 2 UNDERS are off gaudy Game One RUSHING totals. Chic:183 yds... Caro:142 yds... Atl: 318 yds... TB: 146 yds. And all four teams are therefore active this week in some variation of a solid ?UNDER? rushing System.
GAME TWO road teams are 0-5 O/U since 1999 off a SU win w/ 140+ rushing yds against an opponent ALSO off a game w/140+ rushing yds. Both CHICAGO and ATLANTA qualify.

What really jumps out at you from last week is Atlanta?s 42 rushes for 318 frickin yards in the win over the Lions. Only 11 NFL teams have rushed for 300+ yards in this decade. And in their very next game, UNDERDOGS (or ?pick em) have gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U.

In a hot OVER run over the last 2 seasons, one of today's teams applies in an OU Rushing 'futility' System.
In ALL games, Underdogs of 7 > points playing off a SU loss in which they rushed for < 50 yards (RAMS) are 12-1 O/U in the last 2 years.

Speaking of the Rams, their woeful week one loss of 35-3 to the Eagles has them active in multiple OU Systems.
Since 2000 in ALL games, NFL teams off a SU road loss of 35 > points are 24-9 O/U... and a PERFECT 9-0 O/U in the last 3 years. If the OU line is 40 > points, the results are 12-1 O/U since 2000 (RAMS).
In the last 12 months, NFL home teams playing off a SU loss in which they allowed 300+ passing yards are 17-3 O/U (RAMS).
In the last 2 years ALL home dogs are 19-4 O/U off a SU loss in which they allowed 4 > sacks (RAMS).

Week Two teams playing off a week one SU DIVISION win are prime "play ON" candidates for OVER players. The results are particularly good when taking on non-division competition in week two. That would have us looking at HIGH-scoring results for the GIANTS, SAINTS, and TITANS.
This System is based on the fact that the two teams that are playing each other are actually BOTH off a division game:
11-1 O/U since 2003 in ALL games: Non-division teams playing off a SU home DIVISION WIN versus an opponent off a SU road DIVISION loss... with an OU line of 44 < points. NEW ORLEANS is a qualifier, based on their home win vs the Bucs last week and Washington's road loss to the Giants last week. Your other qualifier this week is TENNESSEE. They beat the Jags last week at home while Cincy lost on the road against the Ravens.

GAME TWO road teams who are off a BIG division win of 8 > points are 8-2 O/U since 1996... and a PERFECT 6-0 O/U in the last 10 years (GIANTS).

"Tight" lines for teams off a dog win have resulted in high-scoring games.
In the last 4 years, NFL favs or dogs of 3 < points are 11-1 O/U when playing off a SU win as a dog of 4 < points (TITANS).
In the last 10 years, NFL Underdogs playing off a DOUBLE DIGIT ATS division win (TITANS) aew 12-2 O/U.
In the last 2 years, NFL favorites of 8 < points are 12-1 O/U after a road game in which they had 26 < minutes in offensive time of possession (BENGALS).

Let's examine what happens when teams come into Game Two off a REALLY big game one DOG win (like Carolina and Chicago).
GAME TWO teams off a DD SU win as a dog of +4 > pts (PANTHERS) have gone a PERFECT 0-6 O/U in the last 10 years.

SEPTEMBER home favs playing off a SU win as a dog of 7+ pts (BEARS) are a PERFECT 0-5 O/U since 2000.

Last week?s final score in the Carolina / San Diego game was 26-24. It was one of only TWO games in which both teams scored 20 or more points. The only other qualifier was the Saints vs Bucs (24-20 final score). Here?s what the database spit out:
GAME TWO home teams who scored AND allowed 20+ are 1-11 O/U since 2002... and 0-4 O/U off a SU win (PANTHERS + BUCS).

What's the best (or most profitable) OU Line range for week two?
If you're looking for the Best OVER results, check this out:
NFL WEEK TWO games in which the OU line is 40 to 43 points have gone 16-5 O/U since the 2001 season... and 10-2 O/U in NON-division games. Your ONLY two qualifiers in this OU line range on Sunday are: RAMS vs GIANTS... and SAINTS vs REDSKINS. Another reason that we must play BOTH of them.

GAME TWO home favs of < 7 pts with an OU line if < 38 pts (BEARS / BUCS/ CHIEFS) are 0-6-1 O/U in the last 3 years.

The defending Super Bowl champs looked pretty sharp in their opening game on Thursday night against the Redskins. Based on that game, BOTH teams qualify in solid OVER Systems.
In the last 10 years, NFL teams off a SU DIVISION win on a THURSDAY are 12-4-1 O/U.... and 7-1-1 O/U on the road (GIANTS).
In the last 10 years, NFL non-division teams off a SU THURSDAY road loss are 8-2 O/U... including a PERFECT 6-0 O/U at home (REDSKINS).

[Heel_Yes]

Anyone have Dr. Bob's NFL picks?

[Nickels And Dimes]

any chance for Bobby Esposito from gametimewinners..if not some guys wanna split ? hes got an offer like i havent seen before 2 huge guarantees or you get the VIP services free for a month...this is all we need !!

[Spencer]

Teddy Covers? Thanks!

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ace-ace / allan eastman -6,600 ytd nfl

$300 -106 Take #197 New Orleans (+1) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)

$2500 -102 Take #212 Arizona (-6.5) over Miami (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)

$800 -108 Take #216 Houston (-4.5) over Baltimore (8:30 p.m., Mon, Sept. 15)

$200 -105 Take #217 San Diego (-1.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)

$300 -105 First Half: Take #210 Seattle (-3.5) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)

$2500 -105 Take ‘Under’ 36 Oakland at Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)

$800 -104 Take ‘Over’ 37.5 Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
I

[Can'tPickaWinner]

kodiak

10units:
Indi -1.5
Cinci pick
Miami +6.5
New England +1.5
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dave Malinsky

GAME: San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos Sep 14, 2008 4:15PM
PICK: San Diego Chargers +1

4* SAN DIEGO over DENVER

Some of the biggest over-reactions in any calendar sports year come after the first week of NFL play. It is the only sport left where the betting “public” is still a significant factor in the setting of the lines, and that puts some outstanding situations into our laps. This is one of them, now that we can take the Chargers at +1.

San Diego buried Denver over eight quarters LY. The two games were won by a combined 64-6, with the scoreboard a pretty accurate reflection of what was happening on the field – the Chargers won the total offense by 297 yards. And with San Diego only scoring seven fourth quarter points, we can see that both games could have been even worse. And 2007 was not really anything new – the previous season brought a pair of wins by a total of 36 points, so the Chargers own a 4-0 advantage with Philip Rivers as the starting QB in this series, winning by an average of 23.5 per game. But now here come the Week #1 results in which these two teams fell a combined 35.5 off of the oddsmakers projections, and that leads to the usual leaping to the wrong conclusions.

The Bronco problem in this matchup LY, and in general, was a soft defensive front that could be controlled at the point of attack. So what did we see in Monday’s 41-14 rout of Oakland? A soft defensive front that could be controlled at the point of attack. Raider RB’s Justin Fargas and Darren McFadden rambled for 143 yards at 5.3 per carry, but they could not run the ball more because their own defense took them out of the game. We rarely find teams in a favorite’s role that have such a negative matchup in that key area of the game.

Meanwhile there was nothing to be particularly alarmed about in that San Diego loss to Carolina. LaDanian Tomlinson ran for 97 yards at 4.6 per carry and Philip Rivers threw three touchdown passes without an interception. The defense was a disappointment, but that helps from a mental standpoint here. It creates a “backs to the wall” setting from a talented unit, and now that they know that Shawne Merriman is gone for the campaign they can bring the proper focus to make the adjustments. The DL of Jamal Williams, Igor Olshansky and Luis Castillo has dominated the Bronco OL in those recent routs, and with the latter still trying to build chemistry with Casey Wiegmann at center (Tom Nalen will miss at least another week) and rookie Ryan Clady at RT, we can confidently back the Chargers to control the trenches on both sides of the ball.

We don’t find this price range often when one side controls the line of scrimmage the way that we can project this flow to be.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Alabama Capper

NFL 3-11


Sunday San Fran +7
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Norm Hitzges

Double Plays

Tampa -7 vs Atlanta
NY Giants -8.5 vs St. Louis
Houston -4.5 vs Baltimore
Jacksonville/Buffalo Under 37

Single Plays

Kansas City -3.5 vs Oakland
San Francisco +7 vs Seattle
Tennessee +1 vs Cincinnati
Pittsburgh -6 vs Cleveland
Indianapolis/Minnesota Under 43.5
Kansas City/Oakland Under 36
Denver/San Diego Over 45.5
Tennessee/Cincinnati Under 37.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Greg Roberts


Titans +1Over Bengals

Saints Pick 'Em Over Redskins

Dolphins +6.5 Over Cardinals

Jets -1.5 Over Patriots
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with Connecticut (-10-1/2) last night. Today it's the Saints. The surplus is 135 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Armvin Sports Nfl
9/14/2008 Indianapolis -2

Armvin Sports Mlb
9/14/2008 Colorado Rockies -112

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Marc Lawrence Playbook

NFL


5* BEST BET
Now that we’ve paid the bills with Buffalo, it’s time to charge things up
with the Jags. Jax boss Jack Del Rio warms up when facing non-division
opposition, going 34-19 SU and ATS in his NFL career, including 17-7-1
ATS as a host. Better yet, he’s 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS at home in Games
One thru Thirteen against a foe off one-win exact. Buffi e enters off last
week’s wire-to-wire home win over Seattle, to which they were quoted
as saying, “Hopefully we made a statement today.” The problem is this
is GAME TWO of the season, a bit early on for a 7-win team last year
to be vouching about its self -proclaimed status. When last we checked
the Bills were averaging 9 PPG in their last nine road games! That won’t
cut it here today. Buffalo falls to 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in games against
opponents off a SU favorite loss here today. Purchase approved.
JACKSONVILLE over Buffalo by 20


4* BEST BET
Yet another Game Two matchup involving teams off disparate results
last Sunday. The Joe Flacco era got off to a resounding start when he
combined with Atlanta’s Matt Ryan to become the 2nd NFL quarterback
tandem since 1971 to win debut games on Week One (FYI: Archie
Manning and Jim Plunkett were the others). It should be noted that
NFL teams taking to the non-division road in Game Two off a SU home
dog win are a meager 0-8 SU and 1-7 ATS if they were a losing team
the prior year. The Texans will look to their 7-1 ATS mark at home under
Gary Kubiak against opponents off a win to get back on track quickly.
It’s never hard fading rookie QB’s in their fi rst road outing, especially
those with a 63.7 QB rating. We’re deep in the heart of…
HOUSTON over Baltimore by 13


3* BEST BET
Last week’s two biggest upset makers collide in Carolinas. The Bears
avenged their Super Bowl loss to the Colts with a shocking win at
Indianapolis while the Panthers pounced on the Chargers in a stirring
last-play-of-the-game win at San Diego. What to do for an encore?
If you’re Carolina head coach John Fox the plan would be avoid the
dreaded FAVORITE moniker as his team is 1-11 SU and 0-12 ATS in its
franchise history when laying points against a .500 or better opponent
in Games 1 thru 6. Bears’ boss Lovie Smith counters at 5-1 ATS as an NFL
head coach when facing a foe off a SU underdog win, including 5-0 SU
and ATS away Now, where else can you fi nd info like that other than
the PLAYBOOK? No deliberating here, It’s Da Bears.
Chicago over CAROLINA by 7

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Pointwise Newsletter


NFL Key Plays

2--JACKSONVILLE over Buffalo 30-16
3--TAMPA BAY over Atlanta 26-13
4--San Diego over DENVER 27-17
4--Miami (+) over ARIZONA 19-20
5--SEATTLE over San Francisco 31-13

Last week "1" rated plays were 1-1, now 2-2 on the year
All rated plays last week--College 5-3 (now 8-8 on year)
NFL--3-2


JACKSONVILLE 30 - Buffalo 16 - (1:00) -- Division sandwich for the Jags, who
can't afford any letdown, following LW's embarrassment at Tennessee, when
they allowed 7 sacks, with Garrard throwing a pair of INTs, after just 3 picks all of LY. Throw in a 137-33 RY deficit (Taylor: 18 yds). A far cry from LY, when they wound up with a 29.6 ppg average in their final 12 games. Bills came in as our top NFL Red Sheet play, with 34-10 rout of the Seahawks, & are on a 16-8 spread run, but remember, they averaged just 9.5 ppg on the road LY. Jags are 15-7 ATS at home, 28-11 ATS vs non-division, & 9-2 ATS in ROs lately.

TAMPA BAY 26 - Atlanta 13 - (4:05) -- Improvement of the Falcons is apparent, with Ryan doing very nicely in his debut (9-of-13), including a 62-yd TD pass on his 3rd play. And check Turner with a team record 220 RYs, in romp of the Lions. Far cry from LY's team which allowed 33.1 ppg in its final 7 contests. The Bucs came up lacking on the scoreboard at NewOrleans, but did run for 146 yds, with Graham chugging for 91 yds on just 10 carries, & check Garcia with a decent 24-of-41. Bucs won 37-3 here LY, & are 9-2 ATS off a division
loss. Falcons 4-10 ATS off scoring 28+ pts, & 1-6 in Sept off a SU/ATS win.


San Diego 27 - DENVER 17 - (4:15) -- A year ago, the Chargers travelled to
Denver, & strolled away with a 41-3 win. As a matter of fact, SanDiego has
scored 35, 48, 41, & 23 pts in its last 4 games with the Broncs: covers of 10½, 20½, 40, & 11 pts. Now that's impressive. And since Diego is in a bounceback setup, & on a 9-1 spread run, while catching Denver off its Monday Nighter vs the Raiders, this definitely looks like an extension of that domination. Denver is only 6-18 ATS of late, while SD is 12-3 off a SU loss. Remember, even in LW's loss, Rivers was 3/0, while Tomlinson ran for 97 yds, so still among the elites.


SEATTLE 31 - San Francisco 13 - (4:05) -- Only one way to go when the 'Hawks take the field, & that's with the host squad, which has covered 29-12 of late. Just 85 RYs at Buffalo, with Hasselbeck a terrible 17-of-41. Not to say that 2 key TOs, & a punt return TD didn't help matters. The Niners just continue to flounder, averaging 11 ppg in 12 of their last 14 contests. Gore a decent 96 RYs vs the Cards (6.9 ypr), but just 13 FDs & a 5-0 TO deficit. Would you believe that both teams are 10-1 ATS in Sept off a DD SU loss? But Seattle is 12-2 ATS off a non-division loss, regardless the time or place. Bouncebacker.

ARIZONA 20- Miami 19 - (4:15) -- Have to love the way that Warner keeps on doing it. A solid 19-of-30, with a TD & no INTs in 'Zona's win over the Niners. Check a 37:05-22:55 time edge in that one, as well as 100 RYs for Edgerrin, & 5 takeaways. Cards now at 32.2 ppg in their last 9 games. Dolphins kicked it up a notch, behind Pennington's 26-of-43 showing (251 yds, 2 TDs), but it was just their latest loss (1-19 SU). 'Zona 17-8 ATS lately, but 4-12 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, while Dolphs 15-3 as non-division RDs of 5+ pts. Miami call.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

NorthCoast Power Sweep


NFL:

4* Carolina 31-17
3*Houston 28-13
2*Tampa 27-6
2*New Orleans 24-17

3* Titians U39
3*Bills U37
3* Giants 042
2* Falcons U38
2* Patriots U38



4★ Excellent
3★ Very Good
2★ Good

4* CAROLINA over Chicago - This is the 1st meeting since the 2005 Div playoff game which CAR won 29-21 as a 3 pt AD. The Bears are off LW’s SNF game vs IND & its not known how Orton or the CHI defense fared. CAR is 6-12-1 as a non-div HF & 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in it’s 1st HG. The CAR defense looks to be in mid-season form as they held SD to 17 FD & 316 yds. The DL put above avg pressure on Rivers (did only get 1 sack) but look for a mismatch against the Bears aging OL. The Bears also lack speed at the wideouts, will have rookie Forte picking up blitzes & are still adjusting with Orton at the helm. The Panthers & QB Delhomme showed their character driving 68 yds for the GW TD after allowing two 4Q TD’s. The addition of RB Stewart (53, 5.3) gives them a pair of RB’s to keep opposing defenses guessing. CAR’s 388 yds shows the strides OC Davidson has made in his 2nd season even without WR Smith who will miss this one as well. CAR is still 9-20-1 ATS as a HF but teams that start with B2B road games against a team off a SU win are 4-9 ATS. We won a 4H Key Selection with CAR LW & they picked up a huge confidence building win vs an elite AFC team & we’ll side with them again. FORECAST: CAROLINA 31 Chicago 17



3* HOUSTON over Baltimore - This is the 3rd meeting & the visitor is 2-0 ATS in the series. This is the Ravens 1st dome game in 28 games & BAL is 1-6 ATS in its 1st road game. HOU is 8-1 ATS at home with a 26.7-18.5 avg margin. BAL started QB Flacco LW & he had a decent debut with 129 yds passing (52%) with a 38 yd TD run. The story of the game was how the BAL defense dominated the CIN OL. The Ravens had 21-8 FD & 358-154 yd edges as CIN simply couldn’t execute its offense. Flacco now makes his 1st road start in a dome vs a borderline playoff contender. HOU was thrashed by PIT LW & was down 35-3 with 2:10 left in the 3Q as PIT had a 303-79 yd edge. HOU racked up 14 pts, 14 FD’s & 155 yds in garbage time. Kubiak is 6-1-1 ATS at home vs a foe off a SU win & LW’s results give some line value here. The lack of a run game is a concern (75 yds, 3.8) but HOU is a healthier team with a better QB, #1 WR, with a formidable pass rush at home & are the play. FORECAST: HOUSTON 28 Baltimore 13
OTHER SELECTIONS


2* TAMPA BAY over Atlanta - TB dominated ATL LY sweeping the series by a combined 68-10 with an avg of 295-199 yd edge. TB is 10-4-1 ATS in the series. LW the Falcons stunned the Lions by going up 21-0 at the end of the 1Q with 9-3 FD & 216-64 yd edges. RB Turner gashed the Lions for 220 yds (10.0) rushing & takes on another small, speed oriented defense. ATL had 12 plays of 13 or more yds. They only allowed 1 sack & 2 QBH with a run game that took the pressure off Ryan who only had 13 pass att’s (161 yds, 69% 1-0). TB was in a tough spot LW vs a NO team motivated by Hurricane Gustav but was only outgained by 86 yds & was forced to settle for 2 FG’s on drives into the NO 19 & 15. TB went 5-2-1 ATS at home LY winning by an avg of 23-14. Ryan now has to play in his 1st road game vs a solid TB D in the heat & look for better red-zone performance out of the TB offense as LW’s results give some line value here. FORECAST: TAMPA BAY 27 Atlanta 6


2* New Orleans over WASHINGTON - WAS beat NO 16-10 as a 9.5 pt AD in the last meeting in 2006 with a Joe Gibbs-led team. WAS’s roster is loaded with a Gibbs built NFC East smashmouth offense that is trying to move to a NFC West finesse West Coast offense. QB Campbell looked lost in LW’s game & he was worse than his 133 yds passing (56%) 1-0 ratio shows. He only spread the ball to 5 receivers. TE Cooley, WAS best passing weapon, had 2 passes thrown to him & Campbell didn’t complete a pass until 1:19 was left in the 1H. WAS was outFD 14-4 & outgained 241-51 in the 1H. NO is confident in its power rushing/vertical offense with Brees who has passed for 295 ypg (69%) with a 30-10 ratio in his L13 games. NO’s defense tallied 2 sacks, 6 QBH & 2 tfl while holding TB to just 2 of 12 on 3rd Dns (17%) as the improved DL did its job. While the NO OL is a concern with the amount of pressure Brees was under vs TB they got a big confidence restoring win & look for WAS to struggle again with basic game management. FORECAST: New Orleans 24 WASHINGTON 17

[jordan17]

its 3:30 over there! Cpaw u ever sleep? :think2:

[Heel_Yes]

Thanks CPAW....any Dr. Bob?

[mrpotter1]

Does anyone have the Pointwise Phone Plays? Thanks

[Sporting]

Just bought Victorious Play Soccer plays. Is anyone going to get their NFL plays???

Hannover vs. Borussia M'gladbach (German League)
Recommendation: 2* Over 2.5, 3 @ -110

Gr. Furth vs. Koblenz (German League II)
Recommendation: 2* Under 2.5 @ +100

Gaziantepspor vs. Ankaragucu (Turkish League)
Recommendation: 1* Gaziantepspor -1 @ +117

Paris St. Germain vs. Nantes (French League)
Recommendation: 1* Paris St. Germain -1 @ +100

Botafogo vs. Internacional (Brazilian Serie A)
Recommendation: 1* Botafogo -0.5 @ -115

:toast:

[thedegen]

Thanks CPAW....any Dr. Bob?
Paid and confirmed

NFL Best Bet Sides

3 Star Selection
Oakland (+3.5) 17 KANSAS CITY 13

3 Star Selection
San Francisco (+7) 21 SEATTLE 19




NFL Strong Opinions

Green Bay (-3.0) 26 DETROIT 19


Buffalo (+5.5) 20 JACKSONVILLE 21

Philadelphia (+7) 21 DALLAS 23

Indianapolis 19 at MINNESOTA 20 UNDER 43.5

[thedegen]

cappers access


Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick
Sun (NFL) Colts Vikings 1- Vikings
Sun (NFL) Packers Lions 3 Lions
Sun (NFL) Broncos Chargers 1 Broncos
Sun (NFL) Steelers Browns 6- Browns

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMTommy Rider | NFL Side
triple-dime bet203 NYG -8.5 (-110) BetUS vs 204 STL
Analysis: INSIDE THE HUDDLE PLAY - I've talked to a lot of NFL people Saturday night and the team they tell me is in the biggest trouble right now is the Rams. Scott Linehan has lost total control of the team and their offensive and defensive lines are the worst units in the NFL. Actually, I grade each position of every team and the Rams offensive line has the lowest rating of any positional unit in the NFL. That's not good when facing the Giants blitzing defense. This may look like a trap or a sucker bet but the thing is: The Rams are the worst team in football right now. They made the Eagles look like world beaters last week and the Philly offense simply isn't that good. Marc Bulger will be lucky to make it out of this game alive, as the Giants win big. ***3 UNIT PLAY***



Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMTommy Rider | NFL Total
double-dime bet196 MIN / 195 IND Over 43.0 BetUS
Analysis: This is my classic "Play an over when one team runs the ball well and their opponent can't stop the run, while the other team passes the ball well and their opponent can't stop the pass." This is a rather simple theory and it's been a strong moneymaker for me over the years but so far in CFB it hasn't been cashing. So now I'll give it a shot in the pros. I'm playing the odds here and saying Peyton Manning won't have two terrible games in a row. I'm not saying the Colts will win but I do expect Manning to be much sharper than he was against the Bears. On the other side, I expect Adrian Peterson to eat up the Colts defense. I actually thought the Vikings ditched the run a little too soon last week. I don't think that will happen here. This should be a fun game to watch and I do see some points being scored by the offenses. **2 UNIT PLAY**

[thedegen]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HSW early: 5*NO; 3tm parlay: NO, NE AND denv.

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMStan Sharp | NFL Side
triple-dime bet198 WAS 1.0 (-110) Bodog vs 197 NOS

TAKE WAHINGTON as STAN'S EARLY SEASON SHOCKER OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMMatty O'Shea | NFL Total
double-dime bet204 STL / 203 NYG Over 41.5 BetUS
Bet the OVER as my Double Dime NFL Total Play O' the Week.


Sun, 09/14/08 - 1:00 PMMatty O'Shea | NFL Side
dime bet202 CAR -3.0 (-120) BetUS vs 201 CHI
That's why I'm betting Carolina as my Single Dime NFL Favorite Play O' the Day.


Sun, 09/14/08 - 3:35 PMMatty O'Shea | MLB Money Line
dime bet929 SEA (+150)Bodog vs 930 ANA
I expect the Mariners to be extra motivated in this spot as they also look to avoid a four-game sweep, so bet them as my Single Dime AL Underdog Play O' the Day.

[thedegen]

Erin Rynning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

20* stlouis +9
reg. cleveland +6

[ymmit2nd]

Gina


Sunday, September 14, 4:15 p.m. est.

New England Patriots (1-0) at New York Jets (1-0)

The Patriots are a talented team and backup quarterback Matt Cassel look good last week, but New England is presently destabilized without their emperor Tom Brady at the helm. Look for the Jets with Favre to attack the Patriots secondary and seize a rare win over the Patriots at home.

New York Jets -3


Sunday, September 14, 8:15 p.m. est.

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0) at Cleveland (0-1)

The Steelers’ strong defense will give Anderson and his crew a tough undertaking, while Pittsburgh’s offense with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will find his targets against a Browns' defense that played pitiable last week against the Cowboys. Go with the Steelers to grab their tenth straight victory over the Browns.

Pittsburgh Steelers - 6½

[thedegen]

Two Minute Warning

Week 2 Best Bets

Cleveland +6 1/2
Oakland +4
Buffalo +5
Miami +7
Washington +1
New England +1 1/2

[thedegen]

Cajun Sports




2♦ NEW YORK GIANTS -8

We used the Eagles last week as a FOUR-Star selection against this Rams team and won easily. We see no reason to back-off this “Play Against” team even though they will be at home for their opener in this contest. The Rams only managed 8 first downs on offense and allowed 28 first downs to the Eagles on the defensive side of the ball. The Rams defense gave up 522 yards to the Eagles offense last Sunday while their own offense could only manage 166 yards with just over 50 of those coming on their final drive of the game. Just as we expected the Rams RB Steven Jackson’s holdout and hamstring issues caused him to be a non-factor in Sunday’s game with only 40 yards rushing with a 2.9 yards per carry average. Rams QB Bulger didn’t help matters with 14 of 26 for 130 yards passing on the day. The Rams are not very good upfront and we expect a similar type performance as they face a good Giants defense on Sunday. The Giants had little trouble with their Week One opponent the Washington Redskins. The New York defense only allowed 11 first downs and a total of 209 yards of offense. In fact they held the Skins scoreless until the final seconds of the game. New York’s offense had 32 rushes for 154 yards while Eli was 19 of 35 for 200 yards passing against the Skins. Not huge numbers but they were efficient and should have no trouble with a Rams defense that is over worked because of their offensive shortcomings. On the technical front we see that ST LOUIS is 4-15 ATS in home games after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992. ST LOUIS is 8-20 ATS in home games after allowing 6 or more yards per play in their previous game since 1992. ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 15-6 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. NY GIANTS are 10-2 ATS in road games after playing a game at home over the last 3 seasons. NY GIANTS are 9-1 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. The NEW YORK GIANTS are 20-2 ATS on the road the week after a win in which they had at least 150+ yards rushing. Our Team Performance Ratings show the New York Giants with a 13.2 advantage over the St. Louis Rams in Sunday’s matchup. Even with the line movement from the 6 where it opened to the current line of 8 we still have decent line value based upon our TPR Index and our PPR Index. Finally we have an NFL System that tells us: In Week 2, play AGAINST a non-division team (not a favorite of more than 3 points) with a TOTAL over 37 points off a road underdog SU loss in its last game and before a road contest in its next game. 10-0 ATS and averages covering the spread by 17.1 points per game.
__________________

[ymmit2nd]

Mr A


Sunday, September 14th
1:00 p.m. est. NY Giants (1-0) at St. Louis (0-1)

New York Giants -8½

The Giants' defense will stifle the Rams' powerless offense in St. Louis. New York is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games and is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings versus the Rams.


1:00 p.m. est. New Orleans (1-0) at Washington (0-1)

New Orleans Saints -1

Besides playing sound away from home, Drew Brees and his crew will be on top early against a Washington offense that was disappointing last week. The Redskins' defense will have a difficult time containing the Saints, even without key wide receiver Marques Colston. The Saints have won the last two games versus Washington at FedExField.


8:15 p.m. est. Pittsburgh (1-0) at Cleveland (0-1)

Pittsburgh Steelers -6½

Look for Pittsburgh to continue their dominance over Cleveland. The Steelers have won 10 straight over the Browns and their strong defense won’t show any mercy, especially against the Browns' poor run defense.

[ymmit2nd]

boxersports..........



SUNDAY'S PLAYS


Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals

194 Bengals -1 -110 ( 3* )

[thedegen]

Ben Burns



Game: Tennessee Titans vs. Cincinnati Bengals Game Time: 9/14/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Cincinnati Bengals Reason: I'm playing on CINCINNATI.

Game: Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Game Time: 9/14/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Detroit Lions Reason: I'm taking the points with DETROIT. .




Game: New York Giants vs. St. Louis Rams Game Time: 9/14/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: St. Louis Rams Reason: I'm taking the points with ST LOUIS.

[ymmit2nd]

Goodfellas Sports

How Would You Like To Be Sitting On Your Couch Sunday At 1pm, Knowing That You Have One Play That Is Going To Win... Last Week We Nailed Our Total Of The Month On The Nose, Called The Exact Score.. Lets Take Advanatge Of Another Sweet Line..

This Game Is Easier Than Last Weeks...

One Play = One Winner = Big $$$$$$$$

Tennessee / Cinn Over 37

[ymmit2nd]

Greg Daraban's ** GIGANTIC TOTAL WINNER for Sunday **
Ungraded
Handicapper: Greg Daraban
League: NFL
Event: Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars on 09/14/2008 at 10:00AM
Condition: Over
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: 205 Buffalo at 206 Jacksonville These two AFC teams have met the last 2 seasons. Last year Jacksonville won 36-14. In 2007 Buffalo won 27-24. What I am going with is a HIGH SCORING Game. Take Buf/Jac Over

[Can'tPickaWinner]

JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: New York Giants at St. Louis Rams Sep 14 2008 1:00PM
Prediction: New York Giants

Reason: The Giants opened the 2008 regular season with a methodical victory over the Redskins. This afternoon the Giants will play a Rams team that beatup on by the Eagles. The road warrior Giants are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. The Giants are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games. In their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record the Giants are 7-3 ATS. The Rams are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. St. Louis is 7-19-3 ATS in their last 29 games played in September. In their last 5 home games they are 1-4 at the window. Play on the New York Giants -.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Insider Sports Report

Oakland/Kansas City (NFL) UNDER 36

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ARTHUR RALPH Comp

PATRIOTS

[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

Take New England/NY Jets OVER the total of 37

[Can'tPickaWinner]

DCI

Sunday, September 14, 2008
CAROLINA 27, Chicago 24
Tennessee 12, CINCINNATI 7
Green Bay 36, DETROIT 21
JACKSONVILLE 20, Buffalo 9
KANSAS CITY 22, Oakland 19
Indianapolis 23, MINNESOTA 20
N.Y. Giants 27, ST. LOUIS 0
WASHINGTON 20, New Orleans 6
SEATTLE 25, San Francisco 14
TAMPA BAY 31, Atlanta 27
ARIZONA 22, Miami 6
San Diego 35, DENVER 29
New England 17, N.Y. JETS 3

Monday, September 15, 2008
Pittsburgh 29, CLEVELAND 23

[No Partials]

thank you SPORTING for the soccer. It is appreciated.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

TOKAY SPORTS PICKS

NFL
9/14/2008 NY GIANTS at ST LOUIS Under 42
NFL
9/14/2008 MINNESOTA 1
NFL
9/14/2008 WASHINGTON 0
NFL
9/14/2008 ST LOUIS 8.5
NFL
9/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO 6.5
NFL
9/14/2008 CLEVELAND 6



MLB
9/14/2008
Best Bet! SAN DIEGO PADRES -125

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Doug Williams NFL Picks Sept. 12

Cleveland +7, -- Take the Browns at home vs. the Steelers. Don't get off of the Cleveland bandwagon just yet. I expect a monster game with more of their offensive weapons back in action.


Pats +1.5, -- Do you really think Bill Belichick will lose to Mangini? I don't. Is this the Cassell generation? Probably not. Still, take the Patriots (as dogs?!). Bet on the system, not the QB.


Arizona +7, -- Sometimes it just seems too obvious. Take Warner and the cards to stomp the fish at home.

Buffalo +5 -- The Bills might not beat the Jags on the road, but I do see them keeping it within a field goal.
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext id=modified_229939 vAlign=bottom></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Can'tPickaWinner]

RED SHEET

Pittsburgh 31 - CLEVELAND 20 - (8:15 - NBC) -- Line opened at Pittsburgh minus 4, & is now minus 5. We originally gave the Browns the benefit of the doubt in this one, figuring that they just couldn't
be "one-year wonders", as they lit it up with regularity a year ago. Sure, they did absolutely nothing right in their hometown 28-10 wipeout loss to the Cowboys, with a FD deficit of 30- 11, along with a 488-205 yd disadvantage. But the Steelers provided the perfect opponent in which to erase the sudden doubts, with this NBC Sunday Nighter. But respected sources tell us that the Browns are simply not in the class of this Pitt team which opened impressively:
Ben 13-of-14, & 138 RYs from Parker. Spread reasonable.
RATING: PITTSBURGH STEELERS 88

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">ROCKETMAN Sports

#11 Denny Hamlin vs #07 Clint Bowyer 1:45 PM EST

Play On: 3* #11 Denny Hamlin -115

My 3rd favorite driver today, I have to go with Denny Hamlin. Hamlin has 1 win, 2 Top 5 finishes and 4 Top 10 finishes in his 5 starts in New Hampshire. Hamlin has an average finish of 6.8 here in New Hampshire which is best among all drivers. Past 2 years, Denny Hamlin's average finish at track type - FLAT TRACK is 7.7. In 6 races, he has 1 win and 4 top 10 finishes. Denny Hamlin's average finish over the past 3 races is 3.0. In 3 races, he has 0 wins and 3 top 10 finishes. We'll play Denny Hamlin to finish ahead of Clint Bowyer for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">TOM FREESE

New England at Ny Jets (4:15pm)

The Jets are 4-9 ATS in Week 2 and they are 2-5-1 ATS their last 8 games at home New York is 1-5 ATS off a straight up win and they are 1-7 ATS at home off a straight up and ATS win. New England is 9-0 ATS their last 9 games at the Jets. The Patriots are 35-16 ATS after allowing 15 or less points in their last game. The Pats are 9-4-2 ATS their last 13 September games.

PLAY ON #213 NEW ENGLAND +
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[ymmit2nd]

Red Zone Sports


Carolina -3 GAME @ 1PM WE'RE ON THE PANTHERS
We note that Chicago is not going to have nearly as easy a time this week, as they hit Indy in a really bad spot with their injuries. We find Carolina's preference is to pound away at its opponent on the ground behind a rebuilt line that possesses plenty of size & strength. The two-back tandem of DeAngelo Williams (86 rushing yards, 1 reception) and Jonathan Stewart (53 rushing yards worked well last week). We also note that Chicago is not nearly as good as they looked. Forte's was just average vs the Colts. Carolina at home this week is solid value. & we will lay the 3
(*(((((((((((((((())))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))*)
49'ers vs Seahawks Over 38 Game @ 4pm....

The Red Zone will look for the Offenses to get back on track this week We 're banking on 49er's QB O'Sullivan to rack up yards this week, off a 15- of-20 pass attempts.
O'Sullivan played with Martz in Detroit last year. Expect the offense to still go through running back Frank Gore, who rushed for 96 yards last week -- including a 41-yard TD run -- while also catching four passes for 55 yards.
Former Cowboys running back Julius Jones made his Seahawk debut versus Buffalo and rushed for 45 yards on 13 carries. This baby fly's over the Total of 38

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MJP sports MLB

9/14/2008 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -130

9/14/2008 HOUSTON ASTROS -110

9/14/2008 LOS ANGELES DODGERS 102

9/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 115

9/14/2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS 128

9/14/2008 BOSTON RED SOX -118

[frankey]

looking for web site for hilton football contest. thanks

[Sporting]

No Partials!!! No worries!!! That is why we are here for!! The first game went down the drain which can only means that the next ones will be winners!!! NFL these guys have been amazing!! Yesterday they swept the board on NCAAF, according to their site...

:toast:


thank you SPORTING for the soccer. It is appreciated.

[Peterex]

Any wizard of odds or Wiseguy insider ??

[Can'tPickaWinner]

HONDO

Hondo, whose investment was washed out Friday night, treaded water yesterday, splitting with his Jay plays to leave the earnings at 690 kneppers.

Today, he's counting on Wolf to give HondoNation something to howl about - 10 units on the 'Stros.

[ymmit2nd]

aston wins

Today's 5 unit NFL play is broken out into two bets. 3 units New England +1.5 and 2 units New England +105 on the money line.

Best of luck.

Anto

[ymmit2nd]

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: There's a soft total on one of Sunday's early football games, strong enough to be a Rare 6-Star Blockbuster! Get all the details on this soft total winner oddsmakers completely misjudged, with full analysis, and pay ONLY when it sails "over"! 9/13/2008

6* Packers/Lions over the total: Boy, is this the perfect mixture for a high scoring game: Indoors, two decent QBs, great WRs everywhere, and one team with a truly awful defense. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers was very good in limited action a year ago, then played well again (18-of-22 for 178 yards) in topping the Vikings, 24-19. This Green Bay passing game is sensational behind WRs Donald Driver and Greg Jennings, plus TE Donald Lee. They will have little trouble finding the end zone against this Detroit defense, that looks even worse under new defensive coordinator Joe Barry. The Lions won every game in preseason, then went to Atlanta and as a road favorite got destroyed 34-21. The new-look defense was shredded for 474 yards, including 318 rushing to a team with a rookie QB playing in his first NFL game! On the third play from scrimmage, rookie quarterback Matt Ryan completed the first pass of his NFL career for 62 yards and a touchdown, as Michael Jenkins split a pair of Lions defenders and raced untouched to the end zone. This happened a lot last year, too....and the year before that. At least the offense still has QB Jon Kitna and a slew of speedy WRs. Both meetings last year sailed over the total as the Packers won 37-26 and 34-13. This will be a shootout, as well. Play the Packers/Lions over the total

[DukeSnider]

[quote=Can'tPickaWinner;5750915]Marc Lawrence Playbook

NFL


5* BEST BET
Now that we’ve paid the bills with Buffalo, it’s time to charge things up
with the Jags. Jax boss Jack Del Rio warms up when facing non-division
opposition, going 34-19 SU and ATS in his NFL career, including 17-7-1
ATS as a host. Better yet, he’s 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS at home in Games
One thru Thirteen against a foe off one-win exact. Buffi e enters off last
week’s wire-to-wire home win over Seattle, to which they were quoted
as saying, “Hopefully we made a statement today.” The problem is this
is GAME TWO of the season, a bit early on for a 7-win team last year
to be vouching about its self -proclaimed status. When last we checked
the Bills were averaging 9 PPG in their last nine road games! That won’t
cut it here today. Buffalo falls to 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in games against
opponents off a SU favorite loss here today. Purchase approved.
JACKSONVILLE over Buffalo by 20




my .02 how can a credible handicapper not even refer to the decimated O line of JX ?? Instead he gives us some meaningless stats...
sorry for the clutter.....:ohno:

[ymmit2nd]

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: These are last years football numbers 25-12 College Football - 23-15 NFL, add that up and we were 48-27 overall in Football last year! This afternoon we have a 5000* LATE STEAM NFC TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR that you can get for just $35 and you will pay only after you win! We are now 9-2 in College Football this year!! 9/14/2008

5000* LATE STEAM NFC TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
UNDER 46 Green Bay and Detroit 1:00 EST

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Brian Hansen GOY

Oakland Raiders

[ymmit2nd]

Wise Guy Insider Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: Last year in the NFL WE CRUSHED THE BOOKS going 18-7 on the year and we are already 2-1 this year in the NFL! Today we have isolated another very STRONG WINNER that can only be rated as our QUADRUPLE NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR! You can get this Guaranteed winner today for just $35 and you will win this game or you will not be charged! 9/14/2008

QUADRUPLE NON CONFERENCE TOTALS PLAY OF THE YEAR
UNDER 43.5 Indianapolis and Minnesota 1:00 EST

[ymmit2nd]

Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$49.00 Guaranteed: Today we are releasing our 5000* LATE STEAM NFL TOTALS PLAY OF THE MONTH! Today all FIVE of our handicappers have reached agreement on one NFL TOTALS PLAY game and this game can only be rated as our 5000* NFL LATE STEAM TOTALS PLAY OF THE MONTH! You can get this Guaranteed Winner today for just $49 and you must win this game or you will not be charged! 9/14/2008

5000* NFL LATE STEAM TOTALS PLAY OF THE MONTH
OVER 37 Tennessee and Cincinnati 1:00 EST

[bigbill]

looking for web site for hilton football contest. thanks


Las Vegas Hilton web site has top 20

[ymmit2nd]

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are currently on a 58-24 run with all selections including 29-13 our last FORTY-TWO plays! Are you looking for a "Sure Thing" today in NFL? Well today is your LUCKY Day as the Wizard of Odds has just what you are looking for and it is the SURE THING NFC GAME OF THE YEAR! You cab get this GUARANTEED WINNER right now for only $35 and you will pay ONLY AFTER YOU WIN! Don't you LOVE A SURE THING! 9/14/2008

SURE THING NFC GAME OF THE YEAR
199 Green Bay -3 1:00 EST

[ymmit2nd]

Triple Threat Sports Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$23.00 Guaranteed: We are on an 8-2 run (dating back to last season) on our NFL Totals Play of the Week and are 23-10 (70%) on this play the last two(+) seasons! If you are looking for an Over/Under winner this is only place you need to look, as we have this one "totally" covered for you right here, and as always you pay only after you win! Do not miss our red hot NFL Totals Play of the Week...JOIN US!!! 9/14/2008

3* Seattle/San Francisco Under [4:05pm]

Seattle was missing their top three WR's going into last week's game and lost Nate Burleson (by default the top guy last week) to injury during the game. This week they signed former Chief Sammie Parker, and he will be asked to play a rather significant role in this game despite having only three practices with the team. Expect a lot of running the ball from Seattle. Niners' starting QB JT O'Sullivan will be making the first road start of his career, and doing so at Qwest Field - one of the loudest in the league - is going to be no picnic. He managed to lead the Niners to just 13 points last week at home, and no reason to expect a big breakout here. Series history points to the Under as well, with the series being 2-7-1 to the Under the last five years and the Niners scoring just 27 total points (0, 24, 3, 0) in Seattle the last four trips there.

Thanks, and Good Luck!

[Hap]

Sporting,

I just bought Victorious Play NFL. Website says email will be sent @ 11:30 EST. Will post then.

[moneyboy]

Hey 50cent. How often does Wizard of Odds issue a conference Game of Year?

[ymmit2nd]

Jorge Gonzalez's 26-1 96% AFC Total of the Month
Ungraded
Handicapper: Jorge Gonzalez
League: NFL
Event: Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals on 09/14/2008 at 10:00AM
Condition: Under
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: The Bengals will have their hands full with the Titans defense in this match-up! The Bengals were unable to protect Palmer last week and produced just 189 yards of offense. The Titan offense will have the immobile Todd Collins under center. Expect the Titans to try to run the ball against a Bengal defense that allowed 229 yards of rushing last week. Both teams combined for 27 points in their first week of action. The weather will be a factor in this game. There is a 70% chance of rain and the wind will be blowing 27 to 30 miles an hour with of guts of up to 46 miles per hour. The Titans have seen their last five games in September go under. They are 10-1 under after a straight up win. The Bengals are 5-0 under when they face a team with a winning record and when they are coming off an ATS loss. Take the under here

[ymmit2nd]

Hey 50cent. How often does Wizard of Odds issue a conference Game of Year?


i have no clue maybe b.s.s. can answer that one for you..

[Can'tPickaWinner]

JR MILLER

Professional Gambler Newsletter
Sunday, September 14, 2008


We have these plays today:
National Football League:
CHIEFS -3.5 +104 over Raiders
Raiders at Chiefs OVER 35.5 +101 (from Friday's newsletter)
TITANS +1.0 -112 at Bengals (from yesterday's newsletter)
VIKINGS +1.0 +104 over Colts
SAINTS +1.0 -112 at Redskins (from yesterday's newsletter)
PACKERS -3.0 -109 at Lions
BEARS +3.0 +113 at Panthers
Bears at Panthers OVER 37.0 -103 (from Friday's newsletter)
GIANTS -9.0 +109 at Rams
BILLS +4.5 -109 at Jaguars
Bills at Jaguars OVER 37.0 -105 (from Friday's newsletter)
FALCONS +7.0 -109 at Buccaneers (OR +255)
Falcons at Buccaneers OVER 37.5 -105 (from Friday's newsletter)
SEAHAWKS -6.5 -101 over 49ers
49ers at Seahawks OVER 38.0 +102 (from Friday's newsletter)
CARDINALS -6.5 -104 over Dolphins
PATRIOTS -1.0 -101 at Jets
BRONCOS -1.0 -107 over Chargers
Chargers at Broncos UNDER 45.5 -102 (from Friday's newsletter)

Major League Baseball:
PHILLIES -124 over Brewers (Blanton-Bush) (Game 1)
PHILLIES -174 over Brewers (Myers-Suppan) (Game 2)
DODGERS +109 at Rockies (Maddux-Cook)
INDIANS -164 over Royals (Sowers-Bannister)
TWINS -151 at Orioles (Blackburn-Liz)

Comments:
It's been a long time since we've had so many plays going off at once. If you're with us on a lot of these plays, you might want to consider using so 2- or 3-bet parlays - SO LONG AS YOU UNDERSTAND HOW TO "USE" PARLAYS. Parlays can be a great way to protect your downside risk, but you MUST understand correct money management. Be sure to check our article, Parlays & Profit, on our web site. You might also consider splitting the day in two, holding off betting on the late games until the early games have been decided.

TITANS +1.0 -110 at Bengals
We don't think the loss of Titans' quarterback, Vince Young, is going to hurt our play on this game. In fact, all things considered, we're more comfortable with veteran quarterback Kerry Collins on the field. The biggest difference between the Titans and Bengals appears to be in the defenses, but we really like the Titans' new rookie running back, Johnson. We'd take the Titans and lay as many as 3 points.

SAINTS +1.0 -107 at Redskins
We'd take the Saints and lay as many as 4.0 points against the Redskins...May 6.0 points. This is a strong play for us.

From yesterday's newsletter:
Raiders at Chiefs OVER 36.0 -105
Bears at Panthers OVER 37.0 -106
Bills at Jaguars OVER 37.0 -106
Falcons at Buccaneers OVER 37.5 -104
49ers at Seahawks OVER 38.0 +102
We're releasing these plays early for a reason..."37.0" is a prime number concerning over-under betting. More NFL games end in a total of exactly 37 points than in any other number; - roughly 5 percent. If you like the Over in any of these games, pay close attention to any slippage in the posted line against you. Pull the trigger if you're afraid the line might slip in any of these cases. We'd take any of these games 'Over' against a posted line as high as 38.0, but 37.0 is a lot better. Note that of those lines that move in the days or hours before an NFL game, a lot more lines move higher than lower.

Chargers at Broncos UNDER 45.5 -102 (Sunday)
"45.5" is our limit on this game. We'd pass the 'Under' at 45.0...We just don't see a lot of value here.

Good luck. - J. R. Miller

[donlauer]

CHASE: Any jefferson baseball or football yet?? TY as always.

[ymmit2nd]

Golden Contender Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: On Sunday afternoon its the release the NFC Game of the Month.This guaranteed winner is supported by a trendous system that dates to 1980 and has cashed 91% of the time.Jump on now and end your weekend in style.We were 40-31 in the Nfl last year for +18 units.This year will be even better. 9/13/2008

On Sunday afternoon the NFC game of the month is on the Detroit Lions game 200 at 1pm eastern.The lions fit one of the better home dog systems in the database,due to theri road fav loss last week in Atlanta.This week they will be waiting in the wings ready to pounce on a Gbay team that is a little over confident following their close win vs the Viknigs on Monday night football.The Lions went 4-0 in the preseason before the loss last week, and will get back to playing better football, and perhaps pull an upset of their own here on Sunday. bol gc-

[ymmit2nd]

Brian Graves Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We were the idiotic coaching of Kirk Ferenz away from a perfect day, instead we settled for 2-1 with wins on Georgia Tech and Vanderbilt. The NFL has what we believe is a pretty tough slate this week and we have only one play on Sunday. This matchup is the one that we researched fully and KNOW IT WILL WIN!!! 9/14/2008

Arizona -6.5 over Miami 4:15

Miami played well last week but not well enough and now they have to fly across the country to play an Arizona team that was very good in the second half of the opening week. The Cardinals have very athletic and aggressive corners and that is where this game will be won. Rolle and Green will make Pennington pay for his lack of arm strength and the Cardinals will turn their interceptions into points in what will be one of the bigger routs of the weekend!

[jblonghorn]

Dr. Bob?

[Peterex]

50cent thx for your post,

Do you have wizard of odds second nfl play ?

[B.S.S.]

i have no clue maybe b.s.s. can answer that one for you..
i would not put more stock into it then any other play they have. i find betting them all the same is a sure way to avoid kicking yourself in the ass when you go to bed at night.

[ymmit2nd]

Jimmy Thompson Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Saturday was FLAWLESS for us as we CRUSHED in both our plays. Included were our CFB Game of the Year on USC which was finished early in the third quarter and the Duke/Navy Obscure Total over which was a winner by the start of the 4th quarter. Today there is ONE MATCHUP that just SMACKS OF A MUST PLAY and this is the one!!! 9/14/2008

Washington -1 at 1:00 est

The Skins were horrible in New York on offense but we like the fact they have had extra practice time since that Thursday opener in New York and generally teams improve the most from week 1 to week 2. The one unit that will come in with alot of confidence is the Redskin defense which was great after the first quarter. On the other side the Saints have a below average defense to begin with and now they are missing several key guys including Fujita, Gay and Harper. We like the Redskins to make some big plays in the passing game with the Saints depleted secondary and the loss of Marques Colston will definitely put more pressure on Brees and Bush today. Remember neither played very well early last year and we see the same thing against a quality Redskin defense. Skins win 31-17!

[ymmit2nd]

Investment Playmakers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, September 14, 2008
$45.00 Guaranteed: After dropping our big game in NFL last week we manage to rebound with an even stronger game for Sunday. Get on board of this major play and have a winning NFL Sunday. We are hitting 60% in all sports and we are on absolutely on fire! 9/11/2008

Washington Redskins +1

[ymmit2nd]

50cent thx for your post,

Do you have wizard of odds second nfl play ?


no i dont..

[Hap]

NFL Victorious Plays:

Oakland @ Kansas City

Both teams started this season with a defeat. Oakland got trashed by Denver while Kansas lost against New England in a low scoring game. Huard and Russel have pretty much the same average in completed passes but Huard have better yard gain in each attempt. Kansas showed last weekend that their defensive pack is really there to make life harder to opponent offensive players and New England is not exactly the same as Oakland. As for the defensive pack of Oakland we can say totally the opposite: very easy to get pass them. Including pre-season, Oakland never got more than 25 points against, which means that they would have to score at least 12 points to get the Over. With our system we get that we won't see too much points on this game and the line shows perfectly well that this will be a tight game. Go for the Under on this one.
Recommendation: 3* Under 36 @ -110


Buffalo @ Jacksonville

Mixed starts for both teams. Jacksonville lost at Tennessee while Buffalo won against Seattle. Garrard and Edwards couldn't be closer in terms of individual stats after their first game. The only main difference is the number of interceptions where Edwards have none and Garrard have two. If we include pre-season, Jacksonville never managed to cover the line in a home game. Buffalo on the other hand, in their two away games, managed to cover the spread in all those games. So, isn't this the information that would make you go with Buffalo? Well, not for us. Jacksonville playing at home is not exactly the same and the line shows us that. If Buffalo were to be so less of an underdog and Jacksonville not so favorite, why was the line set so high? Well, because Jacksonville will win and cover the spread. The line is already reaching 4.5 in some places but we think it won't drop more than that. Jacksonville is the play.
Recommendation: 1* Jacksonville -4.5 @ -110


Miami @ Arizona

Pretty much similar to the previous game where the home team is coming after a victory and the away team after a defeat. Miami, a typical passing run team against Arizona, a more balanced team between passing and rushing. Defensively speaking, Miami will struggle against the rushing way of play from Arizona and that would be a great reason for our play. We expect Arizona to make it hard for Miami to advance through pass and run and that would be a huge advantage for them. Besides this, Miami, on grass, is not the best team.
Recommendation: 1* Arizona -6.5 @ -110


San Diego @ Denver

These two teams played a high scoring game last weekend and everyone seems to expect the same this Week. According to our system that might be a mistake as neither of the teams will have the same amount of yards earned, in average. Both defensives will have a tougher game to earn yards. Completion percentage for both quarterbacks is not amazing but none of them have Interceptions against. Last games between these two where the line was higher than 44, the game ended, always, as an Under one. Today we expect the same.
Recommendation: 1* Under 45.5 @-110