View Full Version : Service Plays Friday 9/19/08
Can'tPickaWinner
09-18-2008, 08:42 PM
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-18-2008, 08:43 PM
SCOTT FERRALL
BEST IN BOLD
TORONTO -135 over Boston--AJ Burnett is too tough right now for Paul Byrd
Pavano -200 and the Yankees over Baltimore in the Boogie Down Bronx
Dodgers -185 over Giants--Zito isn't beating LA in the Revine--take Maddux and the BLUE bats
Arizona +105 at Colorado--D'Backs need it more--can't afford to lose right now with so few games left
Mets -145 at Turner Field over the Braves and Mike Hampton--Oly Perez is the choice
Milwaukee -125 at Cincy--Brewers have to win-simple as that
Can'tPickaWinner
09-18-2008, 08:45 PM
WILD BILL
Over 50 Baylor-Conn (5 units)
Webby
09-19-2008, 12:13 AM
Anyone got stats on how Ferrall has been doing... I havent heard much from him since he left the wfan a few years, I had heard he got into the service business, but havent seen any stats
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:53 AM
MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty missed with the White Sox last night.
Today it's Connecticut. The deficit is 160 sirignanos.
JimmieJ
09-19-2008, 06:33 AM
Anyone else having trouble accessing the Forum ?
I get this ----technical difficulties....:think2:
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 07:32 AM
HONDO
September 19, 2008
Hondo and the Phillies joined forces and formed a successful combo last night, marching through At lanta in civil fashion to increase his total of dead presidents to 640 lollars.
Today, he'll test the Letdown After A No-Hitter Theory on Zambrano - 10 units on the Cards.
Merlot Shiraz
09-19-2008, 07:36 AM
Did anyone happen to get Doc's CFB GOY for this weekend? It was released yesterday.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 08:42 AM
Armvin Sports Mlb
9/19/2008 Cleveland Indians -105
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 09:28 AM
CAPPERS ACCESS
Baylor +12
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 09:47 AM
VEGAS STEAM LINE
LA ANGELS w/ Garland Pick'em over Texas
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 09:49 AM
JIM FEIST
(969) BOS Red Sox
(970) TOR Blue Jays
Take "(970) TOR Blue Jays"
When Paul Byrd joined the Red Sox last month, he met with pitching coach John Farrell and admitted to a little problem: He has a habit of tipping his pitches. "I told him to be conscious of it," said Byrd, confirming that he tipped some of his pitches in his last start against the Blue Jays in the first game of last Saturday.5?s doubleheader at Fenway Park. Byrd lasted only five-plus innings, allowing five runs in an 8-1 loss. He will face the Blue Jays again here, making it five of his last eight starts against the Jays, so they know him well. Byrd's ERA is 4.94 against the Jays this season. Toronto is motivated, as they are playing hard to bring back likeable manager Cito Gaston. The Jays showed more fight, trailing the Orioles 6-0 after 4 1/2 innings before rallying for another win. Toronto ace A.J. Burnett is 18-10 with 214 Ks in 206 innings. He's owned teh Red Sox, at 5-0 with a 2.37 ERA against them. Play the Blue Jays.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 09:50 AM
NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER
Diamondbacks +105 over Rockies
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 09:57 AM
arthur Ralph
fri Chi White Sox
BetToWin33
09-19-2008, 10:04 AM
Lovell has Blank Check- if he loses rest of baseball is free
2DIMES
09-19-2008, 10:16 AM
Eddie Roman Is ReleasING A So-caLled Executive Play I Think I'm Going To Buy It Tomorrow
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 10:33 AM
JIMMY THE MOOSE
Game: Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Sep 19 2008 10:05PM
Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: The Mariners players and organization are counting down the days until this horrible season ends. Seattle is 20-44 in their last 64 road games. In their last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter they are 4-9. Seattle comes into this one having lst 8 straight. The Mariners have dropped Hernandez's last 3 starts. Oakland has won 4 of their last 5 games. The A's are 9-3 in their last 12 games opening up a series. The A's have won 7 of their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The A's have won 4 of Eveland's last 5 starts. They are 5-1 in his last 6 home starts. Play on the Oakland A's -.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 10:34 AM
Insider Sports Report
Chicago White Sox -145 over Kansas City (MLB)
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 10:38 AM
Mr A's
Friday, September 19, 2008
8:30 p.m. est. Baylor (2-1) at Connecticut (3-0) The Huskies have won and covered the spread in their last 5 games at home, while the Bears have dropped seven of its last 9 on the road, 2-7 ATS. Look for Connecticut tough defense to stifle
Connecticut Huskies -12?
Peterex
09-19-2008, 11:20 AM
Jeff Alexander
BOSTON RED SOX +131
Baseballer19
09-19-2008, 11:20 AM
any trace adams? lang? charlies sports? balfe? jefferson?
Peterex
09-19-2008, 11:21 AM
Dave Price
WASHINGTON NATIONALS +132
Peterex
09-19-2008, 11:22 AM
Info Plays
MINNESOTA TWINS +120
PayMeMyMoney7
09-19-2008, 11:31 AM
Lang released his big play early again as he did last week with St/USC
His Play this week is in the V-Tech/UNC game if anyone can get that, that would be great
PayMeMyMoney7
09-19-2008, 11:36 AM
Colorado +3 (1 of his 5 preseason upsets of the year)
Auburn +2
Michigan St. -8.5
Arizona State +7
Tennessee +7.5
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 11:40 AM
WILD BILL
Over 50 Baylor-Conn (5 units)
MLB:
St Louis Cardinals +165 vs Zambrano (5 units)
Pirates +105 (5 units)
Orioles vs Pavano +185 (5 units)
Red Sox +130 (5 units)
Tigers +105 (5 units)
Florida Marlins +125 (5 units)
Brewers +115 (5 units)
Twins +115 (5 units)
Padres -140 (5 units)
Mets -135 (5 units)
D-backs +105 (5 units)
Angels +105 (5 units)
Royals +120 (5 units)
Mariners +115 (5 units)
Giants +170 (5 units)
2DIMES
09-19-2008, 11:42 AM
Colorado +3 (1 of his 5 preseason upsets of the year)
Auburn +2
Michigan St. -8.5
Arizona State +7
Tennessee +7.5HE IS GOOD WITH THESE
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:21 PM
Scott Spreitzer MLB TOP HAMMER BEATDOWN! *3-0 MLB Sweep Last Night! Get Scott's Friday night football winner FREE, along with Saturday's CONF GOY, WIPEOUT GOY, and Scott's NFL Sunday Night GOM. It's all on the house at 1-800-447-8517! (953) HOU Astros
(954) PIT Pirates
Take " (954) PIT Pirates "
I'm playing Pittsburgh on Friday, my 5* Hammer.
My 5* Hammer is a play on Pittsburgh. Thanks! GL! Scott.
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:23 PM
SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Baylor (2-1, 1-1 ATS) at Connecticut (3-0, 1-1 ATS)
Baylor looks to build off a blowout home win over Washington State when it travels to the Northeast to battle unbeaten Connecticut in a nationally televised non-conference affair.
With Hurricane Ike bearing down on Texas, Baylor was forced to move last week’s home game against Washington State from Saturday to Friday, but the home team was hardly affected, rolling to a 45-17 win as a three-point chalk. The Bears rushed for a staggering 426 yards, while the defense held the Cougars to just 77 yards on the ground and forced five turnovers. For the season, Baylor is averaging 36.3 points, 242.3 rushing yards and 205 passing yards per contest.
The Huskies are also coming off an impressive rushing performance, outgaining Virginia 382-31 on the ground en route to Saturday’s 45-10 rout, easily cashing as a 10½-point home favorite. Through three games, UConn is averaging 30.7 points and 445 yards per game (297.7 rushing ypg), while holding the opposition to 7.3 points and 229 total ypg (66.3 rushing ypg).
Baylor has followed a nine-game losing skid with consecutive victories, including a 51-6 rout of Division I-AA Northwestern State 51-6 two weeks ago. Despite last week’s easy spread-cover against Washington State, though, the Bears are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 contests overall, 2-7 ATS in their last nine on the road, 3-14 ATS in their last 17 against winning teams and 9-24 ATS in their last 33 following a spread-cover.
Additionally, Baylor has lost six straight road games to BCS conference schools (2-4 ATS), and new coach Art Briles’ team is 1-6 (2-5 ATS) in its last seven road openers.
UConn carries a nine-game home winning streak into this contest, going 6-0 ATS in the last six. Additionally, the Huskies are on pointspread tears of 14-7 as a home favorite, 18-7-1 as a favorite regardless of venue since 2003 and 28-12-1 in non-conference action. On the downside, UConn has failed to cover in four straight games against winning teams.
For Baylor, the over is on streaks of 4-0 in non-conference games (2-0 this year) and 8-2 on the road. On the flip side, UConn sports under streaks of 7-3 overall, 13-5 in non-conference play, 5-2 on grass and 6-2 against winning squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Philadelphia (86-67) at Florida (80-72)
The two hottest teams in the National League kick off a three-game series at Dolphin Stadium, with the Phillies’ Brett Myers (10-11, 4.06 ERA) set to take the mound opposite the Marlins’ Josh Johnson (4-1, 3.30).
Philadelphia arrives in South Beach riding a seven-game winning streak after completing a three-game sweep in Atlanta with Thursday’s 4-3 victory. The Phillies, who lead the N.L. East by a half-game over the Mets and 5½ games over the Marlins, are on additional positive runs of 4-1 on the road, 18-8 on Fridays, 48-22 in series openers, 5-1 behind Myers overall and 4-1 with Myers working on the road.
Florida ran its major-league-best winning streak to eight in a row with an 8-1 home rout of the Astros on Thursday, yet the Fish still trail the Mets by five games in the wild-card race. During their eight-game winning streak, the Marlins are 6-0 at home, 5-0 against the N.L. East and 7-0 against right-handed starters.
Florida leads the season series against Philadelphia 9-6, winning six of the last eight meetings overall and six of the last eight at home.
Myers pitched a complete-game, two-hitter on Sunday at home, beating the Brewers 6-1. The veteran righthander has produced 10 quality starts in 11 outings since the All-Star break, with the Phillies going 8-3 during this stretch. However, Myers is just 3-7 with a 5.46 ERA in 15 road starts in 2007.
Johnson is coming off his eighth straight quality start, a 4-2 home victory over Washington as he gave up just two runs on six hits with nine strikeouts in six innings. The Marlins are 9-3 in the right-hander’s 12 starts this season and 7-0 in his last seven versus divisional rivals. At home this year, Johnson is 2-0 with a 4.02 ERA in five starts, four of which Florida has won.
Myers has enjoyed very little success against the Marlins in his career, going 6-9 with a 5.04 ERA. In fact, going back to 2006, the Phillies are 1-6 when Myers faces Florida, including 0-4 in Miami. Meanwhile, Johnson is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA in six games (four starts) against Philadelphia, including 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two starts this year (both Florida victories).
The under is 8-1-1 in Myers’ last 10 starts overall, 4-0-1 in his last five on the road, 6-3 in his last nine against Florida and 5-0 in Johnson’s last five trips to the hill. The under is also on runs of 15-8-2 for the Marlins overall, 14-7-1 for the Marlins at home, 7-1-2 for the Marlins on Fridays, 2-0 for Philly overall and 5-0 for the Phillies on Fridays. Finally, the under is 5-1 in the six meetings between these teams in Florida this year.
ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA and UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Minnesota (83-70) at Tampa Bay (90-61)
The Twins, who are fighting for their playoff lives, go for back-to-back upset wins at Tropicana Field when they send rookie Nick Blackburn (10-9, 3.89) to the mound, while the Rays counter with Edwin Jackson (11-11, 4.33).
Minnesota snapped an untimely four-game slide with an 11-8 victory at Tampa Bay in last night’s series opener to move within 1½ games of the first-place White Sox in the A.L. Central. The Twins, who play their home games in a dome, are 31-13 in their last 44 games on artificial turf and 18-5 in their last 23 on Friday. However, they’re still mired in slumps of 5-12 against the A.L. East and 5-9 versus right-handed starters.
Despite Thursday’s setback, the Rays still lead the Red Sox by 1½ games in the A.L. East. They’re also on runs of 51-16 at home, 18-5 on Fridays and 22-10 against righty starters.
Minnesota has owned the Rays in recent years, winning 32 of the last 43 meetings overall (2-1 this year), including 12 of the last 17 in Tampa Bay.
Blackburn is coming off his worst outing since the end of June, allowing six runs on nine hits in four innings in Sunday’s 7-3 loss at Baltimore. The Twins are 1-6 in the right-hander’s last seven starts overall, including four straight losses on the road. In fact, Minnesota is just 5-12 when Blackburn toils on foreign turf this year, with the pitcher going 3-6 with a 4.72 ERA in those 17 outings.
Jackson is 0-3 with a 10.95 ERA in his last three trips the bump, and like Blackburn, he gave up six runs in his most recent start, lasting just two innings in Sunday’s 8-4 loss at the Yankees. At home this year, the right-hander is just 5-6 with a 4.83 ERA.
Blackburn has never faced the Rays in his young career, while Jackson is 0-2 with a horrid 18.90 ERA in five career appearances (two starts) against the Twins, allowing 17 runs (14 earned) in 6 2/3 innings.
For the Twins, the over is on runs of 12-4-1 overall, 9-2 on the road, 6-1 against the A.L. East, 4-0 on Friday, 5-0 when Blackburn faces a winning club and 4-1 when Blackburn faces the A.L. East. For Tampa Bay, the over is on runs of 5-1 overall, 9-1 at home, 10-2 on artificial turf, 5-1 versus the A.L. Central and 4-1 when Jackson pitches at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:27 PM
Yankee Capper
2 Units - Padres -140
2 Units - Pirates +105
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:28 PM
VEGAS EXPERTS
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Friday, September 19th, 7:10 PM ET
Brett Myers has been terrible in the road favorite role all season long, winning just once in eight tries and his TSR is 0-6 in this price range of $1.25 to $1.50. The Phillies have a losing record against both right-handers and the Marlins this season, so seeing Josh Johnson (7-0 team start record in division play) will be an unwelcome sight. Florida beat Philly three of four on the road earlier this month and have beaten their division rivals 9 of 15 times this season.
Play on: Florida
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:30 PM
Computer Plays
Chicago Cubs -175
New York Yankees -200
Florida Marlins +120
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:30 PM
JIMMY BOYD
Tampa Bay Rays -111 (action)
Tampa Bay is a solid bet in this bounce back spot at home considering that it has only lost 23 games at home all season against 55 wins. The Rays are 51-16 in their last 67 home games, 18-5 in their last 23 Friday games, and 12-4 in their last 16 during game 2 of a series. The Twins are just 5-12 in their last 17 vs. the American League East, 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win, and 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Rays to bounce back at home tonight.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:31 PM
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">TOM FREESE
Game: Seattle Mariners at Oakland Athletics Sep 19 2008 10:05PM
Prediction: Oakland Athletics
Reason: Oakland is 9-3 vs. an opponent who allowed 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 11-5 after allowing 5 runs in their last game. The A's are 7-1 with Dana Eveland on the mound vs. losing teams. Seattle is 20-45 their last 65 road games and they are 9-23 their last 32 games vs. AL West teams. The Mariners are 0-6 their last 6 road games vs. losing teams and they are 0-7 off a loss. PLAY ON OAKLAND w/Eveland
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext id=modified_231344 vAlign=bottom></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Risk44
09-19-2008, 12:31 PM
anyone have Tom Freese 20* total of the Year? Thanks
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:32 PM
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Gold Medal Club
#973 Minnesota vs #974 Tampa Bay 7:10 pm
Blackburn vs Jackson (LP)
PLAY ON 973 MINNESOTA + and OVER 9
You give out the knockout punch to Minnesota's starter in the first inning last night, take a 2 run lead into the ninth and lose, not good. This is the kind of game that reveals the youth, and inexperience of being in a pennant race. You can bet that loss was hard to swallow, and tonight will not be any easier, as Edwin Jackson takes the mound. He is 5-6 at home this season, but we note 0-3 in his last 3 starts with an era of 10.95.Ouch!
Twins manager Ron Gardenhire remarked after the game how the Twins are having trouble keeping the ball in the ball park, well expect both teams to have that trouble tonight. We will take the value here,in both the side and total!
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:44 PM
This is Spreitzer right?
yes
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 12:50 PM
Frank Rosenthal
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 19, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB
954 PIRATES+105 SB
956 FISH+115 SB
966 DODGERS-185 SB
970 JAYS-135 SB
978 KC+120 SB
979 SEATTLE+110 SB+
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
305 BAYLOR+12.5 SB
UNDER 51.5 SB+
Rivergold
09-19-2008, 12:54 PM
seabastian:
10* hst
20*mets
20* tor
20*yanks over
20* Uconn
he's got his 300* saturday college game up and available early. it didn't come with these games
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 01:11 PM
*** EZWINNERS MLB ***
1 STAR: (951) ST. LOUIS (+$166) over Chicago
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $166)
1:20PM Central Time
1 STAR: (965) SAN FRANCISCO (+$210) over LA Dodgers
(Action)
(Risking $100 to win $210)
9:40PM Central Time<!-- / message -->
th7rose
09-19-2008, 01:13 PM
any northcoast for tonight or late phones for tomorrow?
jordan17
09-19-2008, 01:18 PM
seabastian:
10* hst
20*mets
20* tor
20*yanks over
20* Uconn
he's got his 300* saturday college game up and available early. it didn't come with these games
River~where's the insider play? he usally has 1 100* play? :think2: thx
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 01:42 PM
THE GOLD SHEET NEWSLETTER
*CONNECTICUT 33 - Baylor 13?Sure, moribund Baylor program getting jolt of excitement from electric new QB Robert Griffin (school-record 217 YR on just 11 carries last week). But this is the precocious true frosh?s first road start.UConn?s veteran defense hasn?t allowed a meaningful TD in first 3 games, jr.RB Donald Brown has 566 YR (2nd in nation) & 8 TDs, and Huskies 15-4 vs.spread last 19 at Hartford. (FIRST MEETING)
Risk44
09-19-2008, 01:43 PM
My guess is Freese is Yankees Over
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 01:44 PM
The Sports Reporter
*CONNECTICUT over BAYLOR by 17
CONNECTICUT, 34-17
WINNING POINTS
Connecticut* over Baylor by 15 (Friday)
CONNECTICUT 31-16
POINTWISE
FRIDAY
CONNECTICUT 41 - Baylor 14
skinsfan07
09-19-2008, 01:50 PM
anyone follow keith glantz? i heard someone say this guy is on fire and he has a 100% lock. i just didn't know if anyone new if this guy was decent or not
Sporting
09-19-2008, 01:52 PM
VictoriousPlay (Soccer only)
Utrecht – Willem II (Holland Eredivisie)
recommendation: 1* Utrecht 0,-0.5
FC Metz vs. Stade de Reims (French League 2)
recommendation: 1* Metz -0.5,-1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hannover 96 (German Bundesliga)
recommendation: 1* Hannover 96 +1
BOL guys!!!
:toast:
Dr. T
09-19-2008, 01:58 PM
anyone follow keith glantz? i heard someone say this guy is on fire and he has a 100% lock. i just didn't know if anyone new if this guy was decent or not
Never heard of him. Besides, there is no such thing as a lock in sports.
If you are looking to tail a play I would go with Doc Sports College GOY as he won 19 of 20 at one time.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 02:02 PM
Triple Crown
5* Toronto
3* Hst
3* Detroit
3* Seattle
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ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 02:15 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:05 PMAndre Gomes | MLB Total
double-dime bet976 TEX / 975 ANA Under 11 Bookmaker
Analysis: Divisional game between the Angels and the Rangers, but this doesn't mean much right now, as the Angels are miles in front of the Rangers right now. This game has a line of 11 runs, being the highest line of the day! However I think we are in presence of a game which will have few runs scored, with the under being a good option in here. The Angels have their fate solved: postseason! That's something what gives some tranquility to the team. However there is an important aspect, which can't be forgotten. The team has 5 good starting pitchers, with great records, but the rotation will just have 4 pitchers in the postseason. This means someone will be out of the rotation and neither of their pitchers will take it easy in the next 10 days.
Today it will be Jon Garland who will start and he is coming from a slump of 4 games, where he allowed 5 runs in each game. However he bounced back in the following two games, which can be explained what I've mentioned previously. After those four non-quality starts in a row, he allowed just 2 and 1 run in those two outings against the Mariners and the Yankees, showing that he is once again at a good level. He has faced the Rangers twice this season and he had poor outings by allowing 5 and 7 runs, however he was on his worst part of the season when he had those two non-quality outings and today I expect him to be much better.
On the other side, the Rangers will send the southpaw rookie Matt Harrison, who is coming from a tremendous quality start on his last outing against the A's, where he had a shutout in a complete game, allowing just 5 hits in the process! In normal conditions, I wouldn't like this spot, after all it's not everyday we see a rookie pitching a complete game and then having to face the best team of the AL in his following start. In this simple scenario, a letdown was likely to happen. Harrison had a natural very high count pitches with 118, however he had 6 days off to rest, which is much different than having just 4 days for example. He has already faced the Angels this season and he had a stellar performance, allowing just 2 runs in 7 IP.
The Angels hasn't been capable of being powerful on the offense and the truth is that they are 16-5-1 in their last 22 road games vs LHP. Today the spot for them doesn't seem to be great. The line is pointing for a game where necessarily the pitchers would need to have terrible performances and I think the opposite will happen, so the under is a great option, as don't forget the Angels are 4-1 Under in their last 5 games following a win. Take the under in here. Double Dime Pick.
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:05 PMAndre Gomes | MLB Total
dime bet964 COL / 963 ARI Over 9 Bookmaker
Analysis: The D-Backs chose the worst time of the season to struggle, as with the end of the regular season, the team is behind the Dodgers in the fight for the NL West. However the team is now coming from four wins in a row, in a sweep against the Giants and so, not everything is bad news for the team. That's where I'm going to start this play: the momentum the D-Backs are bringing to this game. I expect an high scoring affair in here and I'm counting with the D-Backs offense for that, as the team has lost their last 10 road games and so, today this game will be extremely important for them. In this type of conditions, the momentum helps the teams in overcoming their struggles and the D-Backs, besides having won their last four games, also defeated yesterday one of the best pitchers in the league (Lincecum), in a game where they rallied back to get a 3-2 win. So, the team will be motivated for today.
The Rockies will send the southpaw De La Rosa, who is once again in a slump. He managed to get three quality starts in a row, but he had another letdown in the last two starts, allowing 4 runs in each game and having as much walks as strikeouts and that's not a good sign. So, I expect him to struggle today. However I also expect problems for the pitchers of the D-Backs today. First of all, this is what a player of the Rockies said about how the team feels about this series:
"We want to beat up on Arizona," outfielder Ryan Spilborghs told the Rockies' official Web site. "They've been beating up on us all year. It's a chance to get them back. If that means knocking them out of a chance to go to the playoffs, that's great."
Max Scherzer will start for the D-Backs today, who has an ERA of 2.08 on his five starts for the team, but has just started twice for Arizona this month, where he allowed 1 and 3 runs against the Dodgers and the Reds. He showed that he is a good pitcher, but he will have a tough spot for today. On his last game against the Reds, he had a quality outing, but he also had a maximum pitch count of 102 pitches and after that game he had just 4 days off to rest, while he had 6 days between his starts against the Dodgers and the Reds, which is a big difference for a pitcher, which still lacks the necessary endurance for this type of spot.
So, I expect both pitchers to struggle and with the game having some runs. The Over is 4-1 in the D-Backs last 5 road games vs a team with a losing record and the line is even at an accessible valor (9 runs), having in account what I'm expecting for this game. Take the over in here
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 02:17 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:05 PMKing Creole | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet963 ARI (+105)Bodog vs 964 COL
Analysis: 2** Best Bet on: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS with Scherzer vs colorado rockies with de la rosa / 8:05pm ET
A 4**** Best Bet on a pitcher that has yet to WIN a game this year? You BET (pun intended!)..... As is our case, we'll gladly ride an Underdog pitcher in obviously BETTER current form that his favored counterpart. And our icing on the cake is that we get to ride a HOT team that has a very clear SERIES HISTORY advantage as well.
As Arizona continues to chase the Dodgers for the NFL West title, they are coming off a 4-0 SWEEP over the San Francisco Giants. They also get a huge statistical advantage in this game based on the Righty vs Lefty pitching matchup. Colorado is hitting only .216 vs righties in their last 10 games while the D'Backs are hitting 66 points higher vs southpaws (at .282). ARIZONA comes in with a 'last 10 games' STARTING PITCHER advantage ERA of only 1.89.... while the favored Rockies have seen starting pitchers come in with an ERA of 5.03 in the same time span.
This is an NL West series in which the Diamondbacks have DOMINATED so far in the 2008 season. Arizona is 10-2 vs Colorado so far this year... and that includes 5-1 in all games played "In THIS park". Average score in this series so far this season is: Arizona 6.5 / Colorado 3.7.
As mentioned, pitching phenom Max Scherzer has YET To win a game so far in 2008. But he comes in to tonight's game in outstanding current form. ERA in his last 4 starts is only 1.63. He's allowed 1 or less earned run in THREE of those 4 starts.... and ZERO earned runs in half of 'em (2 starts). Hi K/BB ratio is in prime "play on" form at 31-9 in those 4 starts. As today's game will be at 6:05pm local time in Colorado, Scherzer will get most of his work done while the sun's still out. And he is a much better pitcher in DAYTIME starts (1.55 ERA) than his is at night (5.06 ERA). He'll be taking on a favored opponent in De La Rosa that has almost as many walks (7) than strikeouts (8) in his last 2 starts. He's off a couple of poor performances in a row, with an ERA of 6.96 and a record of 0-2. His ERA for the entire year is 5.38 and has pitched quality starts only 30% of the time in 2008. Opponents are hitting .359 vs him for the entire season. Also, De La Rosa is a PERFECT 0-2 in his career vs the D'Backs. That includes 0-1 already this season as he lost back in May. In that start, he lasted less than 5 innings and allowed 4 earned runs (ERA of 7.71 / WHIP of 2.14).
Ameribest77
09-19-2008, 02:22 PM
:think2::think2:seabastian:
10* hst
20*mets
20* tor
20*yanks over
20* Uconn
he's got his 300* saturday college game up and available early. it didn't come with these games
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 02:26 PM
Boston Blackie
5* Game Of The Week
Pittsburgh +100
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 02:29 PM
Lance's Lock
Todays play: Phillies -115
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 02:31 PM
Handicapper: Mr East
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers - Friday September 19, 2008 8:05 pm
Pick: 3 units MONEYLINE: Los Angeles Angels +101
The oddsmakers are treating the Angels like they are just playing out the string. The fact is they are in a race for homefield advantage, and these games have some bearing on the post-season, so they are currently under-valued. Natt Harriosn is a lefty with a 5+ ERA going for the Rangers, and the Angels are 31-15 against lefthanders on the season. The Rangers haven't been able to get it done vs victorious teams where they have gone just 3-12 in their last 15. I'm backing the Angels on the runline here.
Peterex
09-19-2008, 02:35 PM
Drew Gordon
2♦ COLORADO ROCKIES -115
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 02:42 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:10 PMStan Sharp | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet978 KAN (+115)Bodog vs 977 CWS
Analysis: Stan has Bet KANSAS CITY. Stan notes that Buehrle has had trouble on the road all year for the White Sox and couple that with the Hot Streak of Kansas City who has won 7 in a row spells UPSET for the Royals. TAKE KANSAS CITY as STAN'S BASEBALL UNDERDOG BIG BET OF THE MONTH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.
Peterex
09-19-2008, 02:49 PM
Jb's Computer Plays
Friday, September 19, 2008
Time Game Selections
2:20 p.m. St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
(R) Adam Wainwright (9-3) vs. (R) Carlos Zambrano (14-5) Chicago Cubs -175
7:05 p.m. Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
(R) Radhames Liz (6-5) vs. (R) Carl Pavano (3-1) New York Yankees -200
7:10 p.m. Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
(R) Brett Myers (10-11) vs. (R) Josh Johnson (5-1) Florida Marlins +120
Peterex
09-19-2008, 02:53 PM
DCI
CONNECTICUT 35, Baylor 14
Peterex
09-19-2008, 02:54 PM
Doug Bartlett
September 19, 2008
Sport: Major League Baseball
Game: ChiSox at Kansas City
Prediction: ChiSox -123 (5 Star)
Peterex
09-19-2008, 02:56 PM
ATS Lock Club
4 UConn
4 Blue Jays
3 Padres
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 03:07 PM
WUNDERDOG
Game: Los Angeles Angels at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Los Angeles Angels -101 (moneyline)
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The Angels have added value here as the oddsmakers are treating them as a team that has clinched a playoff spot and are just playing out the string. This team has an 18.5 game lead, but has still gone out and won six of their last eight. They are in a race with the Rays who trail the Angels by just two games in the loss column for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. This one is chock full of value especially against a mediocre lefthander in Harrison, who enters with a 5+ ERA for the Rangers. The Angels have been a gold mine all season against lefthanders where they have posted a 31-15 mark. The Rangers have really tanked against .500+ teams as they have put up a 3-12 mark in their last 15. I'll back the Angels in this one.
Nickels And Dimes
09-19-2008, 03:08 PM
hey 2DIMES if your out there Bobby Esposito can rot in hell :lol:
I see Romans play for tomorrow...its 1 of the executive plays he charges 2500$ for for 3 at a time lol...80 bucks tomorrow...should be the stone cold winner we need...from now on trace adams and karl garrett will be all we need on thursday's as they are they thursday night kings bobby espo can stick himself
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 03:09 PM
offshore elite (thesharpmoves)
baylor +12
Budha Kane
09-19-2008, 03:12 PM
mike rose
3* BAL/NYY OVER 10’ –120
5* MIL –103
2* WSH +130
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 03:19 PM
Gina
Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians have won seven of the last 10 meetings versus the Detroit Tigers in Cleveland and have won seven of Fausto Carmona last 8 starts against the Tigers, 4-0 in his last four at home.
Go with the Indians to grab their fifth straight victory over the Tigers in a high scoring contest at Progressive Field. Detroit’s' Armando Galarraga is currently struggling. The right-hander allowed five runs and eight hits in his last start against Oakland on September 10 and is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last four starts. The total has gone over in five of the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
Cleveland Indians - 105 & Over 9½
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 03:21 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 7:05 PMMarco D'Angelo | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet970 TOR (-150)BetUS vs 969 BOS
Analysis: PLAY: TORONTO
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
Tonight I am Betting TORONTO as they look to derail the Red Sox. The Red Sox have struggled this year when playing on artificial surfaces. In fact they are just 4-15 when on turf which means playing against them makes you 15-4. This is my TEAM MISMATCH GAME OF THE MONTH.
Marco Rated this Play a 2 Unit Play on his Executive Late Phone Service
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 03:29 PM
King Maker:
Uconn -12
nikeairx
09-19-2008, 03:32 PM
anyone picking up lovell??
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 03:32 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
triple-dime bet306 Connecticut -12.0 (-110) SportBet vs 305 Baylor
Analysis: This game is a total mismatch. Not much of a write-up here. Everyone is excited about Baylor because they beat up on Washington State at home. The Cougars could be the worst BCS Conference team in America right now. Freshman QB Griffin can run but he's far from a polished player. Plus, the Huskies view him similar to Pat White, so they are looking at this matchup as an opportunity to prepare for White later in the year. Art Briles will get this Baylor program headed in the right direction but it won't be tonight. They get blown out on the road at UConn. Huskies run for 250 yards here and their defense shuts down the Bears offense. Easy winner. ***3 UNIT PLAY***
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 03:34 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:00 PMMatty O'Shea | CFB Side
double-dime bet306 Connecticut -12.0 (-110) BetUS vs 305 Baylor
so bet the Huskies as my Double Dime NCAA TV Play O' the Week.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 03:35 PM
Allen Eastman
#306 Take Connecticut (-12) over Baylor
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 03:41 PM
Wunderdog
We finished 1-2 yesterday, giving back a few units. On the week, our MLB picks are hitting 64% (7-4) for +6.3 units. Today we go with three plays.
We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay -1.5 runs +161 (runline) (risk 3 to win 4.8)
The Tampa Bay Rays are still disregarded by the oddsmakers despite putting together one of the best teams in baseball. The Rays are 55-23 at home, and consider the price of this game if it were the Yankees in a similar position. Another overlooked value-added stat is the Rays have pounded right-handed pitching this season to the tune of a 66-40 mark. The Twins have been 0-4 in Nick Blackburn's last four road starts. His last time out on the road he allowed six runs while lasting just four innings against the Orioles. I like the value on the Rays here on the runline.
Game: Los Angeles Angels at Texas (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Angels -101 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3)
The Angels have added value here as the oddsmakers are treating them as a team that has clinched a playoff spot and are just playing out the string. This team has an 18.5 game lead, but has still gone out and won six of their last eight. They are in a race with the Rays who trail the Angels by just two games in the loss column for home field advantage throughout the playoffs. This one is chock full of value especially against a mediocre lefthander in Harrison, who enters with a 5+ ERA for the Rangers. The Angels have been a gold mine all season against lefthanders where they have posted a 31-15 mark. The Rangers have really tanked against .500+ teams as they have put up a 3-12 mark in their last 15. I'll back the Angels in this one.
Game: San Francisco at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 runs +113 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.4)
When the Dodgers went on an eight-game skid it appeared they would fade out of the NL West race and pack it up at the end of September. Things have dramatically changed as this team has caught fire. The Dodgers have since gone 15-3 and have the offense in high gear, and the pitching has been masterful. The 18-game stretch has shown the Dodgers doubling up their opponents on the scoreboard, outscoring them 103-52. Barry Zito sure has been a free agent bust for the Giants. The $18 million a year investment crashed last season and this season Zito has again disappointed with a 5.49 ERA. The Dodgers’ hot offense should have no trouble plating runs here as they have been a solid investment all season against lefthanders with a 29-19 record. I'll back the Dodgers here on the runline.
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Peterex
09-19-2008, 03:45 PM
Any Steam On-line anyone ??
Thanks and GL
Marlin68
09-19-2008, 03:46 PM
Allen Eastman
#306 Take Connecticut (-12) over Baylor
Who Allen Eastamn is? He be good 2nite?
DeltaU46
09-19-2008, 03:55 PM
anyone have Dr. Bob's two - 2 star plays?
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:12 PM
WINNERS EDGE-9/19/08
CFB:
UCONN - 12.5 , 2 units
MLB:
LA Angels even , 2 units
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:13 PM
San Francisco/LA Dodgers Over 8 -1.03 (3 Unit Play)
Oscarxena Sports<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:13 PM
PLATINUM PLAYS
CFB: the BAYLOR BEARS + 12 Over the Connecticut Huskies
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:14 PM
Football Jesus
UCONN-12
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:15 PM
DR. BOB
CONNECTICUT (-12.0) 33 Baylor 23
05:00 PM Pacific Time Friday, Sep-19
Overall it appears as if Baylor is underrated, as my ratings favor U Conn by just 5 points and using this year?s games only would make this game a pick. Connecticut, however, applies to a very strong 42-10-1 ATS subset of a 106-39-4 ATS home momentum situation, so I?ll only lean with the Bears this week.
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:16 PM
Beat Your Bookie
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->100 white sox
50 san diego
NCAA 100 uconn
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ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 04:18 PM
SILVER KEY PLAY for Friday NCAA Football
Under 51.5 Total Points, Baylor at UCONN (8 et)
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 04:19 PM
Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"
For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Blue Jays -$140/R Sox
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 04:20 PM
Service: Bettingresource
This week: sep 15 - spe 21
Mon & tues: No plays
Wednesday: 0-2
Thursday: 3-0
For Today (Friday 19th)
Sep 19: MLB: San Diego - Cincinnati
Pitchers: List Peavy & Ramirez
Pick: San Diego win Odd: 1.74
Risk: 8 units Return:
Sep 19: MLB: Chicago - Kansas City
Pitchers: Bannister & Buehrle
Pick: Under 9.5 Odd: 1.97
Risk: 7 units Return:
Sep 19: MLB: Baltimore - NY Yankees
Pitchers: Liz & Pavano
Pick: NY Yankees -1.5 Odd: 2.05
Risk: 7 units Return:
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:24 PM
NSA
20* ucon
10* bay/ucon under
10* Rays
10* White socks
10* Jays
10* hou/pit under
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:33 PM
SportsKingz
White Sox -130
U CONN -12
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2DIMES
09-19-2008, 04:36 PM
hey 2DIMES if your out there Bobby Esposito can rot in hell :lol:
I see Romans play for tomorrow...its 1 of the executive plays he charges 2500$ for for 3 at a time lol...80 bucks tomorrow...should be the stone cold winner we need...from now on trace adams and karl garrett will be all we need on thursday's as they are they thursday night kings bobby espo can stick himselfI CAN'T BLAME ESPOSITO OR ANYONE ELSE FOR THAT IDIOTIC COACHING JOB BY THIS STAFF THE TALENT WAS THERE THE CALLS WERE EXTREMELY POOR THANK GOD FOR ARIZONA D-BACK FOR ANOTHER COMEBACK TO COMPLETE THE SWEEP ACTUALLY PUT ME UP FOR THE EVENING.
prnstr
09-19-2008, 04:41 PM
Looks like this guy went 4-0 yesterday at Youwinnow. I've been buying picks at this site for the past few months and I noticed that they're cappers are very "streaky". They will usually have 1 capper at a time that goes on this amazing run and when the run ends, he's ice cold. Since Powers went 4-0, he might be the next capper? Anyhow, he has 4 plays tonight. I'm willing to get one if others can get the other 3.
Thanks
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 04:44 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 7:05 PMRocky Atkinson | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet953 HOU (-110)Bodog vs 954 PIT
Analysis:
Houston @ Pittsburgh 7:05 PM EST
Play On: 4* Houston -110 (Wolf/Snell) Listed
Randy Wolf is 2-1 with a 3.37 ERA his last 3 starts. Ian Snell is 6-11 with a 5.69 ERA overall this year. Wolf is 6-1 with a 3.64 ERA overall vs Pittsburgh since 1997 and his team is 8-1 in those starts. Snell is 2-4 overall vs Houston since 1997. Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a left-handed starter. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Pirates are 2-8 in Snells last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Pirates are 0-6 in Snells last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. We'll play Houston for 4 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
2DIMES
09-19-2008, 04:45 PM
Looks like this guy went 4-0 yesterday at Youwinnow. I've been buying picks at this site for the past few months and I noticed that they're cappers are very "streaky". They will usually have 1 capper at a time that goes on this amazing run and when the run ends, he's ice cold. Since Powers went 4-0, he might be the next capper? Anyhow, he has 4 plays tonight. I'm willing to get one if others can get the other 3.
ThanksI'M DEFINITELY BUYING THE EXECUTIVE REPORT TOMMORROW FROM ROMAN
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:45 PM
Bob Balfe
College Football
Baylor/UConn Over 51
Baylor has a very talented running QB in freshman Robert Griffin. One thing UConn will not get used to is the speed and athleticism on this Baylor team. Not only is Griffin good on his feet, but he has a great arm. Baylor is still a young team and I expect them to give up big plays to the UConn offense. It would not shock me to see multiple special teams touchdowns tonight since both teams have never played each other and really have no feel for the speed and coverages in this game. Baylor has been tough against the run, but this was against a poor quality of opponents. UConn has a great running back in Donald Brown and I do not think Baylor will be able to stop him. Look for both teams to score a bunch. If UConn is not careful this could be closer than Vegas thinks. Take the Over.
Major League Baseball
Padres/Nationals Over 7.5 runs
Peavy/Balester
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ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 04:45 PM
Ted Sevransky/ Covers
4* Best U Connecticut (-12.0) vs Baylor
2DIMES
09-19-2008, 04:46 PM
Right Now All We Need Is Lovell"s Blank Check
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:53 PM
Ben Burns
6* Top Baylor vs U Connecticut UNDER 51.5
5* Best Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:55 PM
Thanks for Dr.Bob's play tonight...any chance you have his bets bets for tomorrow?
check saturdays thread.
ymmit2nd
09-19-2008, 04:56 PM
Fri, 09/19/08 - 8:00 PMBob Majors | CFB Side
dime bet306 Connecticut -12.0 (-110) BetUS vs 305 Baylor
Analysis:
The Baylor Bears travel to the Connecticut Huskies for a Friday evening tilt. The Huskies are looking to go 4-0 and should show some good offense against the Bears as displayed last week in their rout of Virgina 45-10. Runnng back Donald Brown carried the ball 20 time for 208 yards with 3 touchdowns.
The Bears came off of an impressive 45-17 win over a weary traveled and tired Washington State team. Bears QB Robert Griffin ran for 220 yards and completed 7-15 passes attempts for an additional 130 yards.
Connecicut has won its last five night games at Rentschler Field and seven of its last eight non conference games overall. They are 26-8 at home over last four years and won 8 of last 9 . They are a very strong opponent at home.
The trends favor the Huskies are 18-6 ATS last 24 games on grass. The Bears are 2-7 last 9 road games and 5-14 ATS in the last 19 games overall. Also, they are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games on grass.
Normally the points would be high for the Huskies and have a formable opponent with the Bears. However, with the strong home field advantage and their record at home, take Connecticut and give the points
B.S.S.
09-19-2008, 04:56 PM
Right Now All We Need Is Lovell"s Blank Check
THE PLAY IS FOR SATURDAY
Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:57 PM
Cajun-Sports CFB Executive Report- Friday
CFB: 2-0 this week (Louisville, Colorado)
8:00 PM EDT
3 STAR SELECTION
CONNECTICUT -12 over Baylor
The Huskies look to continue their super start to the 2008 season when they host the Bears this Friday night. Baylor opened their season with three straight home matchups, beginning with a 41-13 loss to Wake Forest. They’ve been able to rebound since then with back-to-back wins over Northwestern State and Washington State. The Bears have not beat a non-conference BCS team on the road since 1996, going 0-6 SU during that span, and it certainly won’t be easy here.
Connecticut has won each of their three straight games with wins over Hofstra (35-3), a hard-fought, 12-9 overtime victory over Temple on the road, a 45-10 drumming of Virginia this past weekend.
The Bears' offensive unit relies heavily on QB Robert Griffin, who has been a consistent thrower and is also leading the team on the ground. The Bears' defensive front was much too aggressive for the Cougars this past weekend, as Baylor collected an impressive seven sacks in the win.
Once again the Huskies road the coat tails of Donald Brown last week, as the running back pounded Virginia for 206 yards and three scores. Overall, the Huskies finished with an impressive 382 yards on the ground, while averaging an equally strong 7.2 ypc. Brown has been one of the top backs in the nation to start the year, as the junior has racked up 588 yards and eight touchdowns in just three games. Their has been tremendous play of the team's defensive unit as well, which has limited opponents to a mere 7.3 ppg.
While Baylor is coming on under new head coach Art Briles, they figure to get exposed here on national television.
First, we note that the Huskies are 5-0 ATS (+21.4 ppg) & 5-0 ATS (+8.6 ppg) all-time as a favorite in a non-Saturday game, while Baylor is 0-4 SU (-18.5 ppg) & 0-4 ATS (-13.2 ppg) in non-Saturday games when not favored by more than 5 points.
Next, we find Baylor a horrid 0-10 SU (-27.3 ppg) & 0-10 ATS (-12 ppg) as an underdog of 25 points or less, while Connecticut is 6-0 SU (+32.2 ppg) & 6-0 ATS (+15.3 ppg) as a favorite of 7½-29½ points since 2004.
Despite a blowout win by the Bears in their last game, database research shows they are not in a strong spot here. Recent non-Saturday underdogs and small favorites have not been able to continue their strong play on the road in recent seasons. Specifically, non-Saturday road teams (not a favorite of more than 4 points) with 6+ days rest off a SU win of 22+ points are 0-8 SU & ATS since 2005, failing to cover the spread by more than 2 TDs per game on average.
On the other hand, after a convincing victory and spread win, non-Saturday home favorites have been very tough against opponents not off a conference favorite SU win. This is documented by an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM that states:
Play ON a non-Saturday home favorite of 24 points or less off a SU win of 34+ points & ATS win vs. an opponent not off a conference favorite SU win & ATS win/push.
Going all the way back to at least 1980, these teams are a tremendous 16-0 SU & ATS. UConn qualified as the PLAY ON team in 2004 and 2005 and they qualify once again here against Baylor.
We’ll stick with the Huskies before their hometown faithful to maul the visiting Bears.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: CONNECTICUT 37 BAYLOR 17
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Can'tPickaWinner
09-19-2008, 04:58 PM
John Fina
4.5 Units Baylor
2.5 Units Toronto
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