Service Plays Friday 10/10/08

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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[Can'tPickaWinner]

CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and PREFERENCES
CKO Vol. 47 Oct. 9 - 13, 2008 No. 7

RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average
CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team



10 *MEMPHIS over Louisville
Late Score Forecast:
*MEMPHIS 27 - Louisville 23
(NOTE: game is scheduled for
Friday, October 10)

Louisville is taking to the road for the first time this season! And, while former Michigan defensive coordinator Ron English deserves lots of credit for solidifying the shaky Cardinal defense, it is a fact that Louisville is an
unproven commodity on the road, where they were only 2-4 LY, with only one victory by more than four points. Thus, the percentages appear to be against the Cards, who must show they’re capable of dealing with the
emerging Memphis offense featuring 6-3 juco QB Arkelon Hall (4 TDP last week at UAB), juco RB Curtis Steele (578 YR, 6.4 ypc), and a tall and experienced cast of WRs. CKO scouts report the Tigers’ confidence is growing following three straight victories (albeit vs. marginal competition), and proud Memphis is 16-8 when a home dog
the last 10+Ys.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Pointwise

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
FRIDAY
Louisville 30 - MEMPHIS 20 - (8:00 - ESPN) -- Tiger "D" back to usual form vs Uab, winning in final 0:02, but being outstatted, despite 4 Hall TD passes, & Steele at 304 RYs last 2 wks. Cards have 564-187 RY edge last 2 outings, behind Powell & Anderson, & remember their 508-279 yd edge over UConn.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

GOLDSHEET EXTRA - NCAA

TECHNICIAN'S CORNER...featuring the tech edge.

LOUISVILLE at MEMPHIS (Friday, October 10)...Cards now 2-8
as chalk (0-2 TY) since Kragthorpe arrived LY. Dog team is 11-3 vs.
line in Card games since LY. Tech edge-slight to Memphis,
based on recent Card chalk woes.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10
*Louisville 31 - MEMPHIS 30—Tigers have won 3 straight behind rapidlymaturing juco QB Arkelon Hall (4 TDP last week). Louisville defense improved under new coordinator Ron English, while vulnerable Memphis stop unit (allowing 5 ypc last 1+ seasons) will have to stack box against juking Card RS frosh RB Victor Anderson (390 YR on 8 ypc, 5 TDs in last 3 games). But major edge to host’s deep, experienced cast of WRs (five already have at least 1 TDC). TV—ESPN (DNP...SR: Louisville 22-18)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

WILD BILL

AL Championship

Red Sox -155 (1 unit)

[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 yest (WF)

21-9 last 30 Football plays--70%

DODGERS-106 game 2 NLCS (Billingsley) EARLY START 1:35 pac---play small--


been smokin

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Erin Rynning

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Louisville / playmaker
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE SPORTS REPORTER

LOUISVILLE over *MEMPHIS by 10
LOUISVILLE, 37-27.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with Clemson ( 2-1/2) last night.

Today it's the Red Sox (Game 1 and series). The deficit is 70 sirignanos. <!-- ARTICLE CONTENT END -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

WILD BILL

Game 1 ALCS

Boston +105 w/Matsusaka (5 units)
Under 8 Tampa-Boston (5 units)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ARMVIN SPORTS NHL

10/10/2008 COLUMBUS at
DALLAS Over 5

[davepan927]

Matt Fargo's **5 Playoff Total of the Year Goes Today?

I think this is his highest rated play, but not 100% for sure?

[EagleFan]

Brandon Lang

FRIDAY

10 Dime Memphis

FREE - Rays

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Potsys Picks

NHL
10/10/2008 NY ISLANDERS 195

10/10/2008 NY ISLANDERS at
NEW JERSEY Under 5

10/10/2008 NY RANGERS -140

10/10/2008 CHICAGO at
NY RANGERS Under 5.5

10/10/2008 MONTREAL 101

10/10/2008 ATLANTA 112

10/10/2008
Best Bet! DALLAS -170

10/10/2008 COLUMBUS at
DALLAS Over 5

MLB
10/10/2008 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -108

10/10/2008 LOS ANGELES DODGERS -1.5 (151)

10/10/2008 LOS ANGELES DODGERS (C.Billingsley - Game 2) at
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (B.Myers - Game 2) Over 8.5

10/10/2008
Best Bet! TAMPA BAY RAYS -106

10/10/2008 TAMPA BAY RAYS -1.5 (190)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

*** EZWINNERS MLB ***

1 STAR: (905) LA DODGERS (-$109) over Philadelphia
(Listing Billingsley only)
(Risking $109 to win $100)
7:35PM Central Time

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cappers Access

Louisville
Dodgers

[Can'tPickaWinner]

DCI

NHL

NEW JERSEY 3, N.Y. Islanders 2
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Chicago 2
Florida vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Montreal vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Washington vs. ATLANTA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Nashville vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
DALLAS 3, Columbus 2

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MARC LAWRENCE

GAME: Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Oct 10, 2008 4:30PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Philadelphia Phillies
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Philadelphia w/Myers

Note: The Phillies take on the Dodgers in Game Two of this NLCS series in Philadelphia this afternoon looking to go up 2-0 when Bret Myers take the mound against Los Angeles. Hurling in October has been profitable for Myers as evidenced by his 4-1 career mark, including 2-0 at home. He also enjoys taking on the Dodgers against whom he is 8-3 in his career team starts, including 8-1 in his last nine efforts. And finally, pitching at home has been much to his delight this season where his 2.98 ERA is more than tree full runs better than his 6.21 road ERA. Stay at home with Myers and Philadelphia here today.

We recommend a 1-unit play on Philadelphia with Myers.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ARTHUR RALPH

Boston Red Sox w/ Dice K

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes Oct 10 2008 7:00PM
Prediction: over

Reason: Both teams not expected to be good on defence especially the Panthers who will have a young inexperienced team on the ice. The over is a profitable 6-2-2 last 10 meetings overall between the clubs. The team's have played the over in 4 of the last 5 meetings in Carolina. Canes do have some fire power up front and should put up most of the goals tonight. Look for a high scoring affair. Play the Over.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

JIM FEIST

The way to beat Daisuke Matsuzaka is to be patient and draw walks. Tampa Bay has already done this, with 11 walks in 15 innings against Daisuke Matsuzaka this season. Dice-K has pitched once this postseason and has a 5.40, as his game against the Angels sailed over the total in a 7-5 Boston win. Matsuzaka went just 5 innings allowing 8 hits and 3 walks. The OVER is 4-2 in the last 6 starts by Tampa Bay righty James Shields. This is a game indoors in a fine offensive park. Shields has thrown 20 innings against Boston this season, and has a 5.85 ERA against them. Paul Byrd will continue to be the emergency starter-long man out of the bullpen for Boston, which is a factor with someone like Matsuzaka throwing 100 pitches in 5 innings. "My arm doesn.5?t take long to warm up - I only throw 85 mph," said Byrd this week. Last month these teams played 3 games in this park and 2 went over the total, with scores of 13-5 and 10-3. In fact, the OVER is 4-2 the last 6 meetings between these teams in this park.

Play the Red Sox/Rays over the total.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

The Vegas Steam Line

Friday: Take BOSTON/TAMPA BAY UNDER the total of 8 runs

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Logical Approach

MEMPHIS

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Tom Freese

Nashville at St. Louis (8:35pm)

St. Louis finished last year by going 17-39 and they were 15-37 their last 52 conference games. Nashville has dominated the Blues going 21-5 the last 26 meetings. The Predators are 9-3 their last 12 games at St. Louis and they have won the last 5 meetings overall. We look for more of the same tonight.

PLAY ON NASHVILLE

[Can'tPickaWinner]

DCI

Friday, October 10, 2008
FBS Non-Conference
Louisville 31, MEMPHIS 19

[brady1983]

Larry Ness

15* Friday Night Game of the Month

Memphis Tigers

[Can'tPickaWinner]

charlies sports

friday oct 10, 2008

louisville/memphis over 56 500*
memphis+6' 30*
boston @ tampa bay over 8 runs 20*
dodgers-105 20*
dodgers/phillies over 8' runs 10*
boston+105 10* free play

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Rewyan expert's 10/10

NCAAF ATS
Memphis +7

NCAAF Totals
Louisville/Memphis Over 55

[EagleFan]

Football Jesus

Texas +7.5

[hook'em25]

Burns Main Event- Memphis

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Louisville (-6) over Memphis (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST

Memphis
• 0-9 SU as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points the last 3 years
• 4-10 SU coming off an OVER the total the last 3 seasons
• 1-4 SU when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 runs
• 2-10 SU vs. Louisville the last 12 games
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Frank Rosenthal

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MLB
NATIONAL LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP
905 DODGERS-110 SB
UNDER 8.5 SB
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
108 MEMPHIS+6.5 SB
OVER 55 SB

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Bob Balfe

Rays -115 over Redsox
Shields/Matsuzaka

[Can'tPickaWinner]

SPORTS ADVISORS

NLCS

L.A. Dodgers (3-1) at Philadelphia (4-1)

The Phillies, who played long ball to rally past the Dodgers in Game 1 of the National League Championship Series last night, send veteran Brett Myers (11-13, 4.48) to the hill this afternoon at Citizens Bank Park. Meanwhile, Los Angeles will look to rebound from its first postseason defeat of 2008 behind Chad Billingsley (17-10, 3.08 ERA).

Philadelphia quickly erased a 2-0 deficit in the sixth inning Thursday, getting a two-run, no-out homer from Chase Utley, followed two batters later by Pat Burrell’s solo shot, which proved to be the game-winner. The home team has now won all nine meetings between these teams this year, with the Phillies outscoring the Dodgers 30-8 in their five victories at Citizens Bank. Going back several years, the Dodgers are 8-21 in their last 29 visits to Philly.

The Dodgers are still on runs of 22-9 overall, 10-5 on the road, 10-1 in the second game of a series and 4-1 versus right-handed starters. However, Joe Torre’s troops have dropped eight straight games to N.L. East foes, including the five losses in Philadelphia. Meanwhile, the Phillies are on hot streaks of 20-7 overall, 21-6 at Citizens Bank Park, 22-8 versus right-handed starters, 6-0 against the N.L. West and 5-1 in Game 2 of a series.

Billingsley delivered a gem in his first career postseason start eight days ago at Wrigley Field, giving up just one run on five hits and a walk while striking out five over 6 2/3 innings en route to a 10-3 victory in Game 2 of the NLDS. Going back to the regular season, the hard-throwing right-hander is 5-0 with a 2.72 ERA in his last seven starts, and L.A. is 6-1 during this stretch.

Including the victory at Chicago, Billingsley is 7-6 with a 3.21 ERA in 17 road starts, but L.A. lost all four of his no-decisions on the highway. Also, he faced the Phillies at Citizens Bank on Aug. 25 and pitched well, giving up three runs on seven hits in six innings, but he got no offensive support in a 5-0 defeat. Including two starts in 2007, Billingsley is 1-1 with a 4.00 ERA against Philadelphia.

Myers was sensational in the Phillies’ 5-2 victory over the Brewers in Game 2 back on Oct. 2, allowing two runs on two hits and three walks over seven strong innings. The right-hander has allowed two earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 13 trips to the hill.

Myers is 8-5 with a sensational 2.98 ERA in 15 home starts this year, including that 5-0 victory over Billingsley and the Dodgers on Aug. 25 when he scattered nine hits and three walks over seven shutout innings. Myers also faced the Dodgers in Los Angeles on Aug. 14 and allowed three runs in seven innings, losing 3-1. For his career, he’s 4-2 with a 2.61 ERA in 12 games (11 starts) versus the Dodgers.

The over is 5-0-1 in Billingsley’s last six outings overall, 5-1-1 in his last seven on the road and 6-2-1 in his last nine Friday outings, but the under is 2-0-1 in his three starts against the Phillies (2-0 in Philadelphia). For Myers, the under is on streaks of 9-3-1 overall, 7-2 at home, 6-2-1 when he faces the Dodgers overall, 4-0-1 when he pitches against L.A. at home and 15-7-2 when he battles the N.L. West.

The under is 5-1 in the last six clashes between these teams and 10-2 in the last 12 battles in Philadelphia, with Game 1 easily staying below the posted price. Also, the under for the Phillies is on runs of 6-0 in the playoffs, 7-0 against winning teams, 7-1 versus right-handed starters and 5-2 on Fridays. However, the Dodgers continue to sport over streaks of 5-2 in road playoff games, 8-3-1 in the second game of a series and 6-3-1 versus winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILDELPHIA and UNDER


ALCS

Boston (3-1) at Tampa Bay (3-1)

Having survived their first-ever playoff series, the Rays continue their quest for their first American League pennant when they host the defending World Series champs in Game 1 of the best-of-7 American League Championship Series. James Shields (14-8, 3.56) is scheduled to start for Tampa Bay opposite Boston’s Daisuke Matsuzaka (18-3, 2.90) at Tropicana Field.

The Rays took out the White Sox in four games in the best-of-5 American League Divisional Series, clinching it with Monday’s 6-2 victory in Chicago. Tampa Bay swept both home games in the series by scores of 6-4 and 6-2, and Joe Maddon’s club has now won 55 of its last 72 contests at Tropicana Field. The Rays are on additional runs of 4-1 overall, 6-0 against A.L. East rivals, 40-18 versus right-handed starters, 20-6 on Fridays and 9-4 following a day off.

The Red Sox advanced to their second consecutive ALCS with Monday’s 3-2 victory over the Angels in Game 4, with the winning run scoring with two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning. Although Boston won two playoff games in Los Angeles, they’re still just 41-42 on the highway this season, including 1-8 at Tropicana Field. On the bright side, the BoSox carry hot streaks of 22-7 in the playoffs, 8-3 in ALCS contests, 5-0 in road playoff games, 11-2 in series-openers, 6-1 on Fridays and 39-17 following a day off.

These rivals squared off 18 times this year, with Tampa Bay holding a slight 10-8 edge, which proved to be the difference in the A.L. East race, with the Rays winning the division by two games. The home team won the first 13 meetings this year and finished 15-3.

Matsuzaka, who went 2-1 with a 5.03 ERA in four playoff starts last year, got a no-decision in Boston’s 7-5 victory at the Angels in Game 2, as he gave up three runs on eight hits and three walks in five innings. Including that outing, the Japanese native is 9-0 with a 2.56 ERA in 14 road starts, 12 of which Boston won. In fact, the Red Sox are 24-6 with Dice-K on the bump in 2008, and they’re 43-20 in his last 63 starts.

Matsuzaka has surrendered three earned runs or fewer in 26 of 30 starts this season, including the last seven in a row and all three 2008 starts versus the Rays. In those three contests against Tampa Bay, Matsuzaka went 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA (1-0, 1.80 ERA in two outings at the Trop). In his two-year career, Matsuzaka has faced the Rays eight times, going 2-3 with a 3.75 ERA.

Shields picked up a victory in his – and his team’s – first postseason contest, but it wasn’t easy as he yielded three runs on six hits and a walk in 6 1/3 innings, topping the White Sox 6-4 in Game 1 at home. Not counting a one-inning tune-up start against the Tigers in the regular-season finale, Shields has pitched at least six innings in eight consecutive trips to the mound.

Shields was Tampa’s most dominant pitcher at home, where he is 10-2 with a 2.67 ERA in 18 starts, with the Rays going 15-3. Against Boston this year, he went 2-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four starts, but both victories came at home where he allowed a combined two earned runs and seven hits in 15 1/3 innings (1.17 ERA).

The over is 4-0 in Matsuzaka’s last four starts against Tampa Bay (3-0 this season), 6-2 in Shields’ last eight outings overall and 4-0 in Shields’ last four starts at the Trop.

For the Red Sox, the under is on steaks of 4-1-1 overall, 8-2 in series-openers and 7-3 on Fridays, but the over is 5-1-2 in the team’s last eight ALCS games. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay sports over runs of 19-7 at home, 13-6 following a victory, 15-7 against division foes and 5-1 on Friday. As for this rivalry, the total has alternated in each of the last 10 meetings, with the most recent contest topping the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY


COLLEGE FOOTBALL


Louisville (2-2, 1-2 ATS) at Memphis (3-3, 2-2-1 ATS)

Memphis will try to make it four straight wins as the Tigers host Louisville inside the Liberty Bowl in a non-conference showdown between former conference rivals.

After three straight losses to open the season (1-2 ATS) Memphis has won three in a row (1-0-1 ATS), including a 33-30 road win at UAB last week, pushing as a three-point road chalk. The Tigers are third in Conference USA in total offense (462.7 yards per game) and rushing (190.5 yards per contest) and fifth in passing (272.2 ypg). RB Curtis Steele has ignited the offense during this three-game winning streak, running for 413 yards.

Louisville has had two weeks to stew over blowing a fourth-quarter lead at home to Connecticut, falling 26-21 as a 3½-point favorite. This will be the Cardinals’ first venture on the highway this season, and they come in healthy as QB Hunter Cantwell has recovered from an injured ankle and is slated to start tonight. Cantwell has been up and down this season, throwing for 876 yards with five TDs, but five INTs.

These rivals haven’t met since 2004, when Louisville went to Memphis and scored a thrilling 56-49 win, but failed to cover as a 13½-point favorite. The Cardinals have won five of the last six meetings between these schools since 1998, but they are just 1-5 ATS. In fact, the Cards are 8-2 SU in the last 10 series clashes but just 3-7 ATS. The underdog has cashed in nine of those 10 games, and the straight-up winner is just 3-7 ATS.

Louisville is on ATS streaks of 22-9 in non-conference games, 8-3 following a straight-up loss and 4-0 against Conference USA squads, but the Cardinals are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven October games and 0-4 ATS in their last four Friday kickoffs.

Memphis is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven in the Liberty Bowl and 2-5-3 ATS in its last 10 October outings.

The under is 5-1 in Louisville’s last six October games, but the over is 4-1 in its last five against a Conference USA team. For the Tigers, the over is 5-2 in their last seven overall and 15-7 in their last 22 following a straight-up win. Finally, the over has been the play in each of the last three Memphis-Louisville battles at the Liberty Bowl.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Nostradamus

Fla/Car Over 6 +125
Chi/Rang Under 5.5 -130
Montreal +100
Nashville +100

CFL-Winnipeg -7
CFL-British Columbia -5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Mike Rose

Red Sox/Rays
o8.0 / 3 units<!-- / message -->

[CT19]

SEABASS

30* Sox series, 50 sox tongiht, 50* over bos/tampa, 20* LAD.

He has big steem total in Lad game, does anyone have it or his CFB plays for tonight??

[Can'tPickaWinner]

NSA

20* lou
10* mem/lou over

10* lad
10* lad/phi under
10* bos
10* bos/tb over

[Can'tPickaWinner]

BIG AL

At 4:35pm our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies 'over' the total.

At 8:35pm our selection is on the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays 'over' the total.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cajun-Sports CFB Executive Report- Friday

14-4 L18 (Lost last night w/5* Clemson)


FRIDAY 10/10/2008

8:00 PM EDT

3 STAR SELECTION (Rated 1 to 6 Units)

MEMPHIS +6½ over Louisville

The Cardinals and Tigers renew their football rivalry on Friday as the 2 teams meet on the field for the first time since 2004 when the schools scored a combined 105 points and racked up over 1,200 yards in a game the Cards won 56-49.

Louisville is looking to rebound from a tough home loss in their Big East opener to Connecticut last Friday, in which the Cards’ offense amassed more than 500 yards of total offense and held the Huskies under 300 total yards.

Meanwhile, Memphis will enter the game with an offense that ranks among the best in the nation. The Tigers rank in the top 20 in the nation in passing yards and total offense.

The Cards secondary will be in for a difficult task when matching up with the Tiger’s physically intimidating crop of veteran receivers, which have an average height of six-foot six-inches. They are led by junior Carlos Singleton, who is listed at six-foot-eight. Singleton is joined by senior Maurice Jones and junior Duke Calhoun at the wideout position.

While the Tigers have been most effective in the passing game, they have maintained a balanced threat on offense with a running attack that is averaging 190 yards per game. Curtis Steele leads the team in rushing and is had his best performance of the season running for 203 yards and a touchdown against Arkansas State 2 games back.

Louisville comes in with quite a bit of baggage that is full of negative numbers. The Cardinals are 0-8 ATS (-18.1 ppg) as a favorite of 3+ points vs. opponents not off a SU loss of 22+ points since the start of last season and 0-7 ATS (-9.6 ppg) as a non-Saturday road favorite of 3+ points since 1999, including 0-2 ATS at Memphis.

Some may think that Louisville comes in well rested, as this will be their first road game of the season; however, after 3 straight home games, teams have gotten stale and have been unprepared for the role of solid favorite in non-Saturday games against foes not coming in on a long losing streak. Specifically, from Game on, non-Saturday favorites of 4+ points with less than 19 days rest off 3 home games are 0-9 ATS vs. opponents not off 3 SU losses, failing to cover the spread by more than 2 TDs per game on average..

Memphis looked horrible early in the season, but are now on a 3-game win streak. This fits in nicely with a handicapping strategy of ours that says to play ON a rebuilding team that started the season losing at least its first few games. Off to such a poor start, the team will be butt of jokes in all local sports media and nobody will want to bet on the sorry bunch; however, this will generate line value on the team as they will be very determined to win, while upcoming opponents may take them lightly. These teams should be ones in which there wasn’t much expected anyway, as they’re in a rebuilding mode. Teams whose coaches have a long-term commitment from the athletic department will receive better efforts from the players, while coaches whose job is as good as gone after the season may find players more likely to quit on them. The Tigers have rebounded nicely in their rebuilding mode and should only get stronger as the season progresses now that they have found their identity and play makers.

After 3 victories to erase a 3-game losing skid to start the season, teams with new life have been quite strong as confirmed by an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM that states: In Game 7, play ON a .500% team off 3 SU wins (not 3 home games) and not seeking revenge for a conference road underdog SU & ATS loss in the previous matchup last season. Since 1993, these teams are 9-0 ATS, beating the spread by 2 TDs per game on average.

Of course, Memphis qualifies as the PLAY ON team for that system as it does the following POWER SYSTEM showing that home underdogs and small favorites on a winning streak and coming off a road win, have done extremely well. It states:

In Games 5-10, play ON a home team (not a favorite of more than 5 points) off a road SU win (not as a favorite of 8+ points) in its last game and a home underdog SU win before that. Since 1992, these teams are an amazing 17-0-1 ATS, beating the spread by nearly 2 TDs per game on average.

Finally, we also note that non-Saturday home underdogs have been very strong off 3 consecutive victories. This POWER SYSTEM that also qualifies the Tigers declares:

Play ON a non-Saturday home underdog of more than 2 points off a SU win of less than 30 points in its last game and 2 SU wins before that.

These teams are a perfect 10-0 ATS all time, beating the spread by a dozen points per game on average.

Memphis has always played well in this neighborhood rivalry, as they are 9-0 ATS (+8.6 ppg) as an underdog vs. Louisville and not seeking revenge for a 1-point SU loss since at least 1980. We expect a hot Tigers team to again give the Cardinals all they can handle and take this game down to the wire and at least cover the spread.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: MEMPHIS 24 LOUISVILLE 23
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[Hap]

Seabass

Steam: 100 LAD over
CFB: 30 Lou; 100 over

[ymmit2nd]

Fri, 10/10/08 - 8:35 PMRocky Atkinson | NHL Money Line
triple-dime bet61 NAS (+100)Bodog vs 62 STL
Analysis:
Nashville @ St Louis 8:35 PM EST
Play On: 5* Nashville +100




Nashville is 12-4 SU and ATS overall vs St Louis the past 3 years. Blues are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. Central. Blues are 17-39 in their last 56 overall. Blues are 15-37 in their last 52 vs. Western Conference. Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 home games. Predators are 21-5-1 in the last 27 meetings. Predators are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in St. Louis. Nashville goalie Ellis is 2-0 in his career against St Louis and is 24-10 overall in all his career games. We'll play Nashville for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[EagleFan]

LENNY STEVENS
pass football
10 phillies
10 red sox

[EagleFan]

BEN BURNS
FRIDAY NIGHT MAIN EVENT

I'm taking the points with MEMPHIS.
Look for them to have their hands full with a scrappy Memphis team. *Main Event

[EagleFan]

GOLD PHONE
opinion memphis

[ymmit2nd]

Fri, 10/10/08 - 7:05 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NHL Money Line
double-dime bet54 CAR (-150)Bodog vs 53 FLA

[ymmit2nd]

Fri, 10/10/08 - 8:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Total
dime bet108 Memphis / 107 Louisville Over 55.5 BetUS
Analysis:
Louisville heads out on the road for the first time this season, but it will not catch the Cardinals coaching staff by surprise - traveling to face off against a Conference-USA opponent. Louisville head coach Steve Kragthorpe spent two years in the conference and will undoubtedly want to bounce back in a big way after suffering a home loss against UConn.



The OVER is 4-1 in the Cardinals last five matchups against Conference USA and that bodes well for a Louisville team that has a balanced attack - but loves to establish the run early. The OVER is also 4-1 in Memphis' last five games following a game that the defense allowed over 200 yards rushing.



The Cardinals missed a golden opportunity to put up some MAJOR POINTS against UConn in its previous game - but that shouldn't happen tonight with QB Hunter Cantwell at the controls.



Memphis has scored at least 24 points in each of its three home games this season and should be pumped to be on the national stage against a former rival in Louisville. They are coming off a SU win that surely improves confidence offensively and has led to the OVER to go on a nice 15-7 run following a win.



The Cardinals run defense was certainly tested against UConn - now the entire unit will be tested against a very capable mid-major offense.

[EagleFan]

Benjamin lee Eckstein "Mr Chalk"

Ben lee had Np on Thursday.

For Friday "Mr Chalk" likes the Fightin Phills -$120/Dodgers.

"Mr Chalk" is 91-56 for the year.

Good luck
222
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[EagleFan]

ballinpicks - memphis

[EagleFan]

SEABASS

30* Sox series, 50 sox tongiht, 50* over bos/tampa, 20* LAD.

He has big steem total in Lad game, does anyone have it or his CFB plays for tonight??


Steam: 100 LAD over
CFB: 30 Lou; 100 over

[EagleFan]

Greg Roberts
Memphis
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[EagleFan]

Teddy Covers

Tampa Bay -115

[EagleFan]

Kanesline
(POD)

10/10/08

NCAAF (College Football)
ESPN Friday Night Football

Louisville Cardinals at
Memphis Tigers

Louisville Cardinals by 5

Projected Score:

Louisville Cardinals 33

Memphis Tigers 28

Pick: Take Memphis Tigers +6
Comments: We are betting again against the betting public.
The betting public is betting about 63% on the Louisville
Cardinals. Kanesline will grab points with the home dog.
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[EagleFan]

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: College Football
Game: Louisville Cardinals @ Memphis Tigers - Friday October 10, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Memphis Tigers +6.5 (-110)



We like Memphis in this match-up, which is LVille's first roadie of the season, after Cards went 1-2 ATS LY as road faves, in HC Steve kragthorpe's first year at The Ville. On the other hand, Memphis Tigers are 15-8 ATS L10 Y as home dogs and 8-4 as home dogs under present HC Tommy West.When these two schools hook up with each other, you usually expect a close, hard fought basketball game, not a FB game. But the fact is that until they stopped their annual rivalry in 2005 (largely because LVille had fewer openings for non-conf games after it left the C-USA to joiin the Big East), their rivalry on the gridiron was also quite competitive, wiith Memphis going 7-1 ATS as the series dog, including 3-0 L3 as a series home dog (despite losing all 3 of those close home games SU).

While Memphis started slowly TY, with a home loss to lowly Rice sandwiched between road losses to Ole Miss and Marshall, Tigers have played much better in L2 games, beating Arkie State at home and UAB in a high scoring thriller, on the road. And in those games, Tigers' offense was well balanced, with 192 YR (at 5.3 YPR) and 244 YP at UAB, and 243 YR (5.9 YPC) with 210 YP vs Arkie state. After those two good showings, Memphis QB Hall already has 1500 YP (nearly twice that of LVille QB Cantwell) to a cast of tall and experienced WRs, against defenses now being kept off balance by emerging JUCO RB Curtis Steele, who now has 578 YR on 6.4 YPC. And LVille is coming off of a disheartening come from ahead home loss in their LG (on nat TV), in which they blew a 21-10 lead to UConn and lost by basically choking in 4Q, including QB Cantwell, who threw a key INT that turned the ball over to UConn for their game victorious drive.
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[EagleFan]

John Ryan

Game: Louisville at Memphis
Prediction: Memphis

Ai Simulator shows a 74% probability that Memphis will lose this game by 6 or fewer points and also has a 48% probability of winning the game. This 3* graded play also looks good on money line play as well. I suggest making a 3* amount with the points and no more than a 1.5 star amount on the money line. Reinforcing this graded play is a very strong winning system hitting 85% since 1992 for a 29-5 ATS mark. Play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a favorite facing an opponent off a road win. Louisville is certainly in a rebuilding phase noting they have returned just 4 starters on offense and 5 on defense. Louisville is doing fine defending the ground game, but Memphis HC West has a strong tendency to offset that strength. Note that he is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good rushing defenses allowing <=120 rushing yards/game. Memphis is also off a nice road win at UAB while Louisville lost at home to UCONN and were installed as a 3.5 points favorites. Many times it is difficult for a college team, especially one with new nuclei on offense and defense to have the resiliency necessary to play at a top level after suffering a loss to a team they knew they should have defeated. Conversely, Memphis started off miserably losing their first three games and are now on a 3 game winning streak. Simplistically, you have a road team that is lacking in confidence while the home dog is feeling quite good about themselves. That general recipe can easily spell upset. Louisville is just 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival since 1992. Take Memphis.

[EagleFan]

DR BOB

Louisville (-6.0) 32 MEMPHIS 24

My math model favors Louisville by 7 ½ points, so I’ll lean with the Cardinals.
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[B.S.S.]

SMOKING HOT. WE SHOULD HAVE EVERY DAY!

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Andrew Powers
</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Friday, October 10, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Andrew is by far the NUMBER ONE HANDICAPPER ON THIS WEB SITE as his 201-92 overall record proves it! Currently Andrew is on a 36-11 RUN for 77%! Andrew proved it again last week going 5-1 in College Football and he will prove it again tonight with his College Football ***MISMATCH BLOWOUT BOMBER OF THE MONTH*** Grab this Guaranteed Winner for just $25 and GRAB THE CA$H from your man!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/10/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>College Football ***MISMATCH BLOWOUT BOMBER OF THE MONTH***
107 Louisville -6.5 8:00 EST</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[ForSquirrels14]

Here is the NLCS DR Baseball, can someone pick up the ALCS DR Baseball???

Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, October 10, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are 105-61 this year for +$3410 playing $100 per game. Last year we were 116-44 in Baseball and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 320-144 the past THREE YEARS COMBINED! Today we are featuring the GRAND SLAM WINNER of the NATIONAL LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERRIES between the Dodgers and the Phillies! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! 10/10/2008

GRAND SLAM NLCS WINNER
LA DODGERS W/Billingsley -110 4:35 EST

[pure]

Steven Budin-CEO
FRIDAY'S PICK
25 DIME PLAY

TAMPA BAY RAYS

[th7rose]

northcoast??

[ymmit2nd]

Bad Boy Enterprises

First release of the Season! New BettinG Group out of North Philly

1* 100*

25* Tampa Bay

$$$

[catwithnoname]

any indian cowboy yet,, thanks ,, and gl

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Double-Dime Bet

Memphis +6.0 vs Louisville

The Tigers host the Cardinals in a Conference USA clash Friday night with revenge on their minds from a 56-49 loss the last time these two teams met in 2004. For Memphis they have played much better than its 3-3 record would indicate as they've outgained five of their six opponents on the playing field. Meanwhile Louisville checks in off a revenge loss at home against Connecticut. With Memphis head coach Tommy West 6-0 ATS in his college head coaching career as a home dog in games after his team scored 30 or more points in its last game, look for the Tigers to improve to 10-1 ATS as a dog in this series here tonight. Grab the points with Memphis.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Matty O'Shea

PHI (-102) vs LOS

Dime Bet

Bet Philadelphia to go up 2-0 in this series with another win as my Single Dime NLCS Side Play O' the Day.


TAM (-115) vs BOS

Double-Dime Bet

Boston is also just 1-9 in the last 10 meetings at Tampa, so back the Rays as my Double Dime ALCS Side Play O' the Week.
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[Sportsaholic]

Oscarxena Sports

NHL:

Florida/Carolina Over 6 +1.37 (3 Unit Play)

Chicago +1.33 (3 Unit Play)

St. Louis -1.04 (3 Unit Play)
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[Jake Gittes]

WSp Smooth 44

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Mlb
Philly +100
Philly Over 8.5
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[Jake Gittes]

Beat Your Bookie

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->100-tampa bay rays
100-louisville
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Kelso

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->5 units Louisville -6.5

[Jake Gittes]

LT Profits

Fl Panthers

[Jake Gittes]

JB Sports

Memphis

[Jake Gittes]

Mike Lineback

TB Rays

[TimmyS99]

Steven Budin
FRIDAY'S PICK
25 DIME PLAY

TAMPA BAY RAYS

[RaginCardinal]

vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
904 TAM (-120) Bodog vs 903 BOS
Analysis:
*** MLB ALCS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***

(Shields vs Matsuzaka)



This should be an excellent series, and Tonight we have the all important Game 1 of the ALCS...and I just can't see any Value in going against the Home Team in this one...

For starters, the Rays have WON "71%" of their Home Games in 2008, and that tells us that we could have laid -240 on them at home and still turned a Profit...More importantly, Boston was average at best on the road, and in the "18" game played between these 2 clubs in the season...ONLY "3" have been won by the road team...and 2 of those wins came from the Rays at Fenway...

As we saw in the Phillies selection last night, many times edge in price alone is enough to make a wager...but Tonight we have much more going for us by backing the Rays...

Dice K has been incredible on the road this year, and to have success against him, you need patience...Well if you remember when he faced the Angels and we backed him and won...my reasoning was that Scoscia was asking an aggressive team to change what's led to their success, and we got rewarded for it...Tonight, we will need that same approach from the Rays batters, but the huge difference is that this team's philosophy all season has been "Patience at the Plate"...which is the main reason Dice hasn't lasted 6 inn against them...

I also really like the fact that we get Shields at home, whose splits really show that in this dome is where you want to back him...And speaking of domes, the Red Sox have never played well in them, including this year where they come in "2-11"...and "6-16" on the carpet...

When I broke this series down, the only reason I didn't go ahead and make a play on the Rays to advance is their lack of experience and nothing else...because I believe even without a big name closer, they really have an edge over the Red Sox in starting pitching and in the pen...especially at home...and you would give the nod to Boston offensively...but not by the type of margin many believe and Lowell being out will be huge, you can mark my word because the replacement value backing him up isn't even close, and then when you toss in defense, it becomes even more apparent that this is a very winnable series for Tampa...

When looking at how the market is reacting both to sharp and public money, I really like the way the Rays have gradually gone up in price, rather than one big shot...meaning, even though the books could expect much more public money to come in late on the Sox tonight...they are doing what they can to stop more sharp money from coming in on Tampa...and willing to book the Sox at "plus money"...Mainly because as I was informed by many of the books in town...there is a liability if the Rays win this series, and since they believe that is very likely...it's become evident they will attempt to offset what they can by having Boston be bet during the series...to avoid getting hit from both ends...

Finally, the atmosphere in Tampa tonight should be electric...and I really like how this club has shown that although they may be young, they are having fun and playing extremely loose...and if my vote for Coach of the Year is able to keep that attitude in the club house througout...even when facing adversity...we just may see this team in the World Series...

But first, they have a Game 1 to play...so let's go ahead and back the Rays as our 3* BEST BET of the DAY...and see if we can improve on our 65% MLB Playoff record...VR

[blood sweat and beers]

vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Triple-Dime Bet
904 TAM (-120) Bodog vs 903 BOS
Analysis:
*** MLB ALCS 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***

(Shields vs Matsuzaka)






thanks ragin!!!!

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ATS Lock College

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->3 units Memphis +6.5
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[Jake Gittes]

Alex Smart

Louisville / Memphis Over
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[CandC98]

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the Chicago Blackhawks

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Tjune

10* bos/tb over
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

KBHOOPS

MLB
5 units Philly/LAD OVER 8.5

NCAAF
4* Memphis +6.5
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[TimmyS99]

most the cappers on memphis nd tb rays today, does any body else think so ?

[agentjmw]

Hey 2 dimes. Is that *200 pick a Sat or a Sun play?
Thanks

[Carolina J.E.D]

:money8:any EZ winners

[ironman9595]

Any gametimeinfo?

[Trickum]

Northcoast?????????????

[sportsman362008]

Root

Chairman - Boston
Mill - La Dodgers

Passing In Foots

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Indiancowboy

Pod - Memphis
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE VEGAS BEARD

3***
Red Sox game 1 (4**** game 2 if they lose---the regular season W/L between two clubs means nothing in the playoffs.)

Louisville -6 or -6 1/2
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[Jake Gittes]

STADIUM CLUB SPORTS

Tampa Bay Rays (Matsuzaka v Shields) -120 4 units ALDS GOY

[kac44012]

Anyone have any NHL action form rocco vincintore, or Burns??

[Sportsaholic]

Bestsportspicks

Memphis +6.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Will do. Sorry CPAW!:103631605

No problem RAAJR, no need to apologize.

[Hap]

kac

I did not see an NHL play on Rocco or Burns site. Was surprised cause there are several games.

[brady1983]

Northcoast Fri Marquee

Lou/Mem OVER 56

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Bob Balfe


College Football
Memphis +6.5 over Louisville
The Tigers started out 0-3 and have bounced back winning three straight. Memphis has been in every game this year and really are a team on the rise. Memphis has a good scrambling QB and the tallest receivers in the nation. Louisville has a good run defense, but I don't think they will be able to bring the heat because of Arkelon Hall's ability to scramble. Louisville just does not have the offense they once did. In the 4th quarter this year they have been outscored 48-12. This tells me this is not a complete football team and that they cannot finish. The Cardinals also have kicking problems with both freshman kickers. This line is set so low for a reason. Memphis has a real shot to win this game outright.

Major League Baseball
Rays -115 over Redsox
Shields/Matsuzaka
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[Jake Gittes]

Powerplaywins

Power Play of the Day

Louisville -6.5

[blood sweat and beers]

Northcoast Fri Marquee

Lou/Mem OVER 56


thank you

[Carolina J.E.D]

:money8:any EZ winners
or Jefferson sports THANKS :aktion033

[Sportsaholic]

swami group

TD Powercall (9-1 on top plays)

Louisville top play
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[joe361]

Anybody getting Sean Michaels?