Service Plays Saturday 10/11/08

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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[ymmit2nd]

Big Al

Saturday
5* Texas+7
4* Northwestern+3
Opinion Kentucky Even (pick)

[ymmit2nd]

North Coast Sports
Early Bird Pow
Texas Tech -20'

[ymmit2nd]

Sat, 10/11/08 - 8:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Total
double-dime bet180 Florida / 179 LSU Under 47.0 SportBet
Analysis:
LSU/Florida UNDER 47 at Bookmaker.com



The LSU Tigers have had quite a long time to prepare for this battle and I anticipate that Les Miles will have a very conservative approach offensively for his freshman QB, as they travel to the Swamp for a night game.



On the other end - questions abound on the health of Percey Harvin and even when he was a 100% against Tennessee - Florida had trouble moving the ball at times.



Both enter a very favorable total trend, as the UNDER is 15-4 in Florida's last 19 games when revenging a loss of seven or fewer points and the UNDER is 12-3 in LSU's last 15 road games against top flight offenses.



Can't see more than 40 points scored in this MONSTER MATCHUP of the previous two national champions.




Sat, 10/11/08 - 12:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Total
double-dime bet120 Oklahoma / 119 Texas Over 57.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Oklahoma/Texas OVER 57 at Bookmaker.com



Analysis to be completed tonight - Let's just say that both teams have excelled in the redzone this season and have two very good quarterbacks to make this a TRUE "Red River Shootout

[ymmit2nd]

Sat, 10/11/08 - 3:45 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
double-dime bet178 Miami -17.0 (-110) Bodog vs 177 UCF
Analysis:
Miami Hurricanes -17

Analysis: Miami is very young, but there is a class difference here. The Hurricanes are going to have motivation here after losing close ACC games to North Carolina and Florida State in their last two games.

The Hurricanes want to bury their in-state rival. They don't want Central Florida to cut into their fertile recruiting base.

Miami has the athletes to bury Central Florida, which is seriously deficient at the skill positions. The Knights have only scored three touchdowns in three road games.

The Knights also have morale issues.

[ymmit2nd]

Sat, 10/11/08 - 4:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Total
double-dime bet156 Nevada / 155 New Mexico St. Over 67.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Every single thing points to this game going way over. I actually have a projected score of 88 here, which is three entire touchdowns over the total. This should probably be a 3 Unit play but I've been burned on some totals this season and I have a bigger play for this week. This is one of my classic "One teams runs the ball well against a team that can't stop the run vs. a team that passes the ball well against a team that can't stop the pass.



Nevada ranks fourth in the nation in rushing offense, averaging 308.0 yards per game on the ground. The Wolf Pack has two of the top three rushers in the WAC, quarterback Colin Kaepernick is second at 102.2 yards per game and running back Vai Taua is third at 85.2 yards per game. Nevada is seventh nationally in total offense, averaging 521.2 yards per game. Defensively, Nevada ranks 118th against the pass, allowing a whopping 332 yards per game.



Meanwhile, the Aggies are allowing teams to run over them for 221 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback Chase Holbrook will have a big day throwing the football but New Mexico State will have no answers for Nevada's rushing attack.



Nevada is averaging 36.6 points per game, while the Aggies are scoring 27.5 points per game. The two are allowing tons of points, too, with Nevada surrendering 31.6 per contest and New Mexico State allowing 29.0. There is no way around it, this will be a shootout and an easy OVER.



**2 UNIT PLAY**




Sat, 10/11/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
triple-dime bet180 Florida 6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 179 LSU
Analysis: ***3 UNIT SEC GAME OF THE YEAR*** Analysis to follow.



tommy rider double -dime
illinois -11

[ymmit2nd]

Right Angle



2*Akron Over



2*Boise Over

[Can'tPickaWinner]

DR BOB

2 Star Selection
South Carolina (-1.0) 20 KENTUCKY 10


3 Star Selection
Kansas St. (-2.5) 34 TEXAS A&M 21

3 Star Selection
NORTH CAROLINA (-8.0) 35 Notre Dame 18


2 Star Selection
ARKANSAS ST. (-13.0) 42 UL Monroe 20

3 Star Selection
OREGON (-18.0) 44 UCLA 16



College Strong Opinions

SMU (+25.0) 30 Tulsa 49

Boise St. (-10.5) 38 SOUTHERN MISS 21

[GrumpyBear]

Big Al 5* Ncaa Rivalry GOY - Texas

Larry Ness Legend Play - Georgia

Ben Burns Big 10 GOY - Wisconsin

[Can'tPickaWinner]

CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and PREFERENCES
CKO Vol. 47 Oct. 9 - 13, 2008 No. 7

RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average
CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team



11 *ARMY over Eastern Michigan
Late Score Forecast:
*ARMY 31 - Eastern Michigan 19

The Army’s new triple option running game is showing remarkable results, and the Cadets figure to present serious matchup challenges for Eastern Michigan. The Eagle defense ranks 99th against the run and is yielding
almost 5 ypc, and it’s surrendered 17 rush TDs & 38 ppg in the last 5 games. EMU is just 5-12 vs. the number in last 17 games under HC Jeff Genyk, and QB Andy Schmitt and Kyle McMahon have combined to throw just 4 TD passes but 6 ints. this season (last year Schmitt had a 14 TD/6 int. ratio). After rushing for 230 yds. in first two games, sr. Eagle RB Terrence Blevins has averaged just 33 ypg on the ground. Army is a tiny favorite, and EMU is 0-38-1 SU visiting non-conference foes since winning at Youngstown State on Sept. 10, 1988.



10 *INDIANA over Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
*INDIANA 23 - Iowa 19

Really don’t see enough difference between these two to warrant Iowa being made an early 5½-point road favorite over Indiana. Hoosiers have a dynamic, veteran QB in Kellen Lewis who’s completed 61% of his passes
this season and has rushed for 1552 yds. & 17 TDs in his career. Indiana’s 2ndary got a bit healthier last week vs. Minnesota with the return of safeties Austin Thomas and Nick Polk (combined for 17 tackles vs. Gophers). Hoosiers have gotten consistent big plays from track star RB Marcus Thigpen, who has 309 yards rushing & receiving and 4 TDs in the last 2 games, scoring 3 times on plays of more than 70 yards. Respect Iowa RB Shonn Greene’s credentials (6th in the nation in rushing), but he’s a bit of a “grinder” who scored just once in Big Ten games against Northwestern & Michigan State. Hoosier rush defense is more than respectable (3.1 ypc), and vet defenders LB Geno Johnson and DE Jammie Kirlew are having strong seasons.


10 UTAH over *Wyoming
Late Score Forecast:
UTAH 41 - *Wyoming 6

Undefeated Utah has a mean streak where Wyoming is concerned, as bad blood between these two goes way back. Last season the Utes recorded a 50-0 victory and certainly are not opposed to kicking an opponent when
it’s down. Just ask Utah State, as a 44-10 lead over the Aggies after 3 Qs on Sept. 13 just wasn’t good enough for Ute HC Kyle Whittingham, who watched his team punch across two more scores in 4th period. Wyoming HC Glenn’s “You’re Number One” signal during LY’s shellacking caught Whittingham’s attention, and the Cowboys are on an 0-13-1 pointspread run, rank last in the nation in scoring, and next to last in TO margin. Can’t be overly concerned about laying this many points on the road, as road favorites of 14 points or more are 11-5 this season, especially considering Wyo is coming off losses of 24, 29 and 44 pts. in last three games.

HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games):

NORTHWESTERN (+3) vs. Michigan State—NW QB Bacher threw for 520 yards and 5 TDs with no ints. in last season’s OT win at Michigan State, and the Wildcat run defense (112 ypg rushing; 3.4 ypc) is good enough to slow Spartan RB Javon Ringer a step or two...

MICHIGAN (-17) vs. Toledo—Michigan has bounced back from SU losses twice this season, and Toledo’s defense (36 ppg) will make Rich Rod’s Wolverine spread look good...

FLORIDA (-4) vs. Lsu—Tim Tebow has Florida offense on track, and this is a major revenge game for Gator side that is back in the thick of the national title race with a win over the Tigers...

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (-21½) vs. North Texas—North Texas is on our “go-against” list, vs. Cincinnati—Bengals have scored just 6 offensive TDs in 5 games. Brett Favre threw for 6 scores in Jets last game...you do the math.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

SCOTT FERRALL

Scott's free College Football Plays

KENTUCKY PK over S. Carolina--I like what I saw from the Wildcats against Alabama. They covered for me. S. Carolina allows to many points

GEORGIA -12.5 to Tennessee--The Vols really do BLOW

MIAMI -15 to Central Florida--Canes finally light somebody up

LSU +4 from Florida--it's a field goal game brothers ! Can the Tigers dance in Gainesville is the only question--I say yes !

BALL ST -16.5 to Western Kentucky--Cardinals prove they belong in the Top 25

WESTERN MICHIGAN +1 from Buffalo--WMU is 5-1 and 3-0 in the the Mid-American

NORTHWESTERN +3 from Michigan St

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -10.5 to Miami (Ohio)--Miami has zero defense and will get lit up

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Power Sweep

4* Miami 37-10
3* West Va. 45-10
3* N.D. 24-20
2* Bowling Green 30-20
2* Florida 30-17
2* Western Michigan 27-21
Underdog Northwestern +3 27-23

[hook'em25]

Spreitzer *25- Texas

Hook'em Baby!

[Pokerfanatic]

Spreitzer *25- Texas

Hook'em Baby!

Is this his Mismatch GOY?

[rocky2]

Spylock:
1* Cincinnati, Utah, Vanderbilt, Arkansas State, Oklahoma State

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Allan Eastman

CFB RECORD 19-8 +$5,710.00

SMALL CARD THIS WEEK

$500.00 Western Michigan (+1.5) over Buffalo (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

$400.00 Take #121 Eastern Michigan (-1) over Army (1 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

$400.00 Take #123 Iowa State (+5) over Baylor (7 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

$300.00#179 LSU (+6) over Florida (8 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 11)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Nathan Armstrong
Highprofitsports

10* Underdog Game Of The Year
Colorado +14
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[davepan927]

Is this his Mismatch GOY?

NO IT'S
"Scott Spreitzer's 25* CFB MORNING MASSACRE! *Early Sat. Kick":103631605

[PayMeMyMoney7]

LSU +6
Oklahoma -6.5
ND +8.5
Arizona St. +28.5
Penn St. -5.5

Soumi

[Anastasius4]

Football Jesus

Texas +7.5

[brady1983]

Larry Ness

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider:7-3 in FB '08

Larry and his "unmatched" contacts are again proving "it pays to be on the inside." They have been combining to produce winning selections for years on the net and FB '08 has been no exception. Larry's exclusive FB Insiders are 7-3 (70%) Y-T-D and his latest CFB Insider goes Saturday. Don't miss this chance to "get on the inside and win!"

UTEP


Larry Ness' LEGEND Play-CFB: 10-2 since '05

Larry's LEGEND plays were previously available to only his personal clients. However, since making them available on the net, these exclusive plays have lived up to their moniker. His lone LEGEND play of CFB '08 (Penn St 45-14 ov Ore St), ups Larry's record to 10-2 (83.3%) in the CFB regular season since '05. Can you afford to miss this one?

Georgia

[B.S.S.]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Computer Crushers</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, October 11, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: The STRONGEST PLAY in all of College Football is now 72-33 run since 2006! These are the STRONGEST PLAYS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL and they have a history of hitting over 68% the past 19 years! Today you can get our 500K BIG EAST CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR for only $30 and you MUST WIN this Game or you will not be charged!!! We are currently on an 22-6 run with all of our guranteed selections!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/8/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>500K BIG EAST CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
112 WEst Virginia -24 12 NOON EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[B.S.S.]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Computer Crushers</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, October 11, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: The STRONGEST PLAY in all of College Football is now 72-33 run since 2006! These are the STRONGEST PLAYS IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL and they have a history of hitting over 68% the past 19 years! Today you can get our 500K CONFERENCE USA CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR for only $30 and you MUST WIN THIS Game or you will not be charged!!! We are currently on an 22-6 run with all of our guranteed selections!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/8/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>500K CONFERENCE USA CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
183 Tulsa -24.5 8:00 EST

one more if someone could get it thanks
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[ymmit2nd]

Sports Wise Guys

5 Star Picks (Week 7):



Arizona State +27 over USC
Michigan State -2 over Northwestern
Tennessee +12 over Georgia
Arizona -6 over Stanford
Cincinnati -7.5 over Rutgers

[frankey]

from radio show ---BEST BETS**wayne root **flordia** big al**detroit (pros)** ron meyer**penn st ** KELSO** "Boise St" **

[The Unit]

The information you paid for is below:

Youngstown Connection Guaranteed Selection
Date: Saturday, October 11, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed:

Red River Shoot Out Winner
#119 Texas +6 12:00PM EST

Can someone pick up the other 2 from them?

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ASA

College Football Picks
10/11/2008
1:00:00 PM TEXAS A&M AGGIES (+3.5)
over Kansas State Wildcats
ASA 3-Star #134 @ Texas A&M +3.5 over Kansas State, Saturday, October 11th - 1:00 pm CST

We’ll fade them here and take A&M to win this game at home.


10/11/2008
1:30:00 PM MISSISSIPPI STATE BULLDOGS (+2.5)
over Vanderbilt Commodores
ASA 3-Star #130 @ Mississippi State (+2.5) vs. Vanderbilt, Saturday, October 11th - 1:30 pm CST

Those are not the ingredients for success. We’ll call for the out right upset as Mississippi State wins this one at home.


10/11/2008
2:30:00 PM GEORGIA BULLDOGS (-12.5)
over Tennessee Volunteers
ASA 4-Star #144 @ Georgia (-12.5) over Tennessee - October 11th 2:30 pm CST


10/11/2008
6:00:00 PM BAYLOR BEARS (-4.5)
over Iowa State Cyclones
ASA 5-Star #124 @Baylor (-4) vs. Iowa State, Saturday, October 11th 6:00 pm CST.

This is a young team that will have a tough time bouncing back in this spot. Baylor will be ready to atone for last week’s big home loss.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

WUNDERDOG

Game: Minnesota at Illinois (Saturday 10/11 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +12.5 (-110)
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The Gophers are perhaps one of the most improved teams in the country. Last year their lone win came early against Miami Ohio, but this year they are 5-1 and Bowl worthy with a win here. Adam Weber has been big, having thrown for 1,428 yards with eight TDs and just two INTs. The running game has accounted for 14 TDs already as well - a far cry from last year. Illinois is nowhere near where they were last year, but they are still a pretty good team. The offense has been generating points, but for this team to be giving double-digits to a competent offense makes no sense. The Illini are surrendering just about 30 ppg, so Minnesota is going to get its points here. Don't forget they put up 21 on the road vs Ohio State. The Gophers defense is vastly better as well. After giving up 30+ last year in all but one game, they have allowed 30 just once this season. Too many points here, and I'll take the Gophers to hang tough.

[pjoyce5893]

EZ Saturday

5* Miss. St. +3 (buy the .5 point)

3* Georgia -12.5

2* S. Carolina -3

EZ Sunday

5* Houston -3

5* Seattle -1.5

3* Atlanta +3

2* St. Louis +14

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Norm Hitzges
NCAA Football Record: 62-45

NCAA
Double Plays

North Carolina -8.5 vs Notre Dame
Texas Tech -20 vs Nebraska
Miami, FL -16.5 vs UCF
Florida -5.5 vs LSU
Oklahoma St +14.5 vs Missouri
Colorado +14 vs Kansas

Single Plays

West Virginia -24 vs Syracuse
Oklahoma -6.5 vs Texas
Baylor -5 vs Iowa St
South Carolina -2.5 vs Kentucky
Mississippi St -2.5 vs Vanderbilt
Utah -23.5 vs Wyoming
Ohio St. -19.5 vs Purdue
Miami, OH +10.5 vs No. Illinois
Oregon St -30 vs Washington St
Florida International -2 vs Middle Tennessee
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Lee Sterling NCAA FB Picks

Wisconsin 24 Penn St. 20
Florida 31 LSU 20
Missouri 54 Oklahoma St. 34
Texas 27 Oklahoma 24
Texas Tech 51 Nebraska 26

4-1 last week
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Teddy Covers

Big Ticket - Arkansas
3* Northwestern
2* Central Michigan
4* Ohio State
3* Okie State
3* Georgia
3* LA Tech
3* FLA International
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

BEN BURNS
BIG 10 GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with WISCONSIN. The Badgers are a terrific 18-7 ATS (16-9 SU) the past 25 times that they were coming off back to back SU losses and I look for them to bounce back in a big way again here. *Big 10 GOY


BEN BURNS

I'm taking the points with MIAMI OHIO. Look for this afternoon's game to prove closer than most are expecting once again. *GOW



BEN BURNS
FALSE FAVORITE GAME OF MONTH

I'm taking the points with MISSISSIPPI STATE. I'll take the points but I look for Croom to have his Bulldogs ready and for them to play the best game of their season and hand the Commodores their first loss. *False Favorite GOM



BEN BURNS
BLUE CHIP TOTAL

I'm playing on Iowa and Indiana to finish UNDER the total. Look for the defenses to play well again this week and for a heavy dose of the run from both teams to help keep the clock moving and the final score beneath the total. *Blue Chip
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

WILD BILL

South Carolina +1 (5 units)
San Diego State +11 (5 units)
Smu +24 1/2 (5 units)
Cincinnati U -7 1/2 (5 units)
Stanford +6 1/2 (5 units)
Vanderbilt -2 1/2 (5 units)
East Carolina -5 1/2 (5 units)
Tulane +4 1/2 (5 units)
Notre Dame +7 1/2 (5 units)
Nebraska +21 (5 units)
Akron +1 (5 units)
Arizona State +27 (5 units)
N Mex State +20 (5 units)
Over 47 1/2 WVU-Syracuse (5 units)
Over 56 1/2 Minn-Illini (5 units)
Under 47 N'western-Mich St (5 units)
Over 38 S. Carolina-Ky (5 units)
Over 47 Temple-CMU (5 units)
Under 78 Ok State-Mizzou (5 units)
Over 59 1/2 Tulane-UTEP (5 units)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jim Feist

Tv Gom Wisconsin
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[Jake Gittes]

Glen Mcgrew

Blowout Gom Texas Tech

Big 10 Goy Northwestern
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[Sportsaholic]

Northcoast Big 12 Gow

Baylor
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[Jake Gittes]

Dave Cokin

Cfb Gom Texas Tech
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Armvin Sports Cfb

10/11/2008 Kentucky 0

[Karol58]

Kelso's 200 unit game is Air Force -10 1/2. His record is correct at 16-0-1 for the year on big plays.

[bigdaveyt]

200 Unit College Football Game of the Year

Kelso Sturgeon Football

Saturday, October 11

Home Team In CAPS

All Starting Times Eastern

* * *







College Football Game Of The Year



200 Units

Air Force (-10 ½) over SAN DIEGO STATE

Prediction: Air Force by 35

Starting Time: 9:30

TV: MTN

Weather in San Diego: Clear with game-time temperature of 60 degrees, relative humidity of 54% and wind out of the west at 15 PMPH.

Comments: First of all, when I find a game that can be released at the 200-unit level, the team I am using must have the ability to absolutely dominate the other team on both sides of the ball. Air Force (3-2) is in that position against a poorly coached San Diego State (1-4) team that has been decimated by injuries, losing 15 players for the entire season, seven of them starters. Things went from bad to worst this week when it was announced San Diego State’s starting quarterback Ryan Lindley had not recovered from a shoulder injury incurred at TCU last week and would miss this game.His replacement is adequate but adequate does not get it done against Air Force,

The team I am using also has to be so dominating that it can play its worse game of the season and still win and cover. Air Force fills that bill too.

These two things are just the beginning of the process, which has 47 different points of analysis. A team must grade out on top in at least 40 of those categories to even be considered. This is no shot in the dark.

As I have pointed previously I completed a five-year study in February that really opened my eyes to why college and National Football League teams win or lose. There was a silver bullet that came out of the NFL study (passing and pass defense) but the college game came out of the process in a bit more complicated fashion.

Results of the college study said that version of the game rested on one thing—talent and lots of it—and that the talent factor could be revealed with the combined facts contained in five different elements--quarterback vs. quarterback, running game vs. running game, did a team have a game-breaker, the experience of the offensive line and the quality of each team’s defense.

Here is the grade card for Air Force and San Diego State this week.



GRADE CARD FOR 200-UNIT GAME OF YEAR




( Each Team Is Rated On A Scale Of From 0 to 10, with 10 Being The Best Figure)



ANALYSIS CATEGORY AIR FORCE SAN DIEGO STATE



Quarterback 7.0 3.0

Running Game 10.0 0.0

Game Breaker None None

Offensive Line 7.0 3.0

Quality Of Defense 8.0 2.0



In addition to this it has not been lost on me San Diego State has beaten only Idaho, a 1-5 team that is simply non-competitive and which gives up 47.3 points and 502.8 yards per game The Aztecs even lost to I-AA Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo, 29-27.

It also is comforting to know Air Force always comes to play and brings the heat from the get-go. It also is a major plus Air Force, which opened the season 3-0, comes into this off back-to-back losses—to unbeaten Utah, 30-23, and to Navy last week, 33-27.

This game has blow-out written all over it and I do look for at least a 35-point win.

[rocky2]

IndianCowboy



Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Ball State Cardinals @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Saturday October 11, 2008 7:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +15.5 (-110)



Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Western Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo Bulls - Saturday October 11, 2008 3:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Western Michigan Broncos +1.5 (-110)




Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Boise State Broncos @ So Mississippi - Saturday October 11, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: So Mississippi +11 (-110)



Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Bulldogs - Saturday October 11, 2008 3:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Tennessee Volunteers +12 (-110)



Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Temple Owls @ Central Michigan Chippewas - Saturday October 11, 2008 4:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Temple Owls +7.5 (-110)
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[chase88]

Jeffersonsports 21-9 last 30 football plays (70%)
Early Release
Texas Tech-20.5

rest of card tomorrow

[stuckforever]

Al DeMarco

Saturday's Pick
15 Dime - Oklahoma

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Nathan Armstrong
Highprofitsports

3* Purdue
3* Texas
3* Michigan State
3* Stanford
3* Kansas State
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10* Underdog Game Of The Year

Colorado +14

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Pointwise Phone Plays

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->2*
Army
Fla Int
Tulane
Oregon
Notre Dame
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Brandon Lang

SATURDAY
30 Dime Oklahoma

5 Dime Army

5 Dime Notre Dame



FREE - Missouri
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

HQ REPORT 5* (4-1-1)
HQ REPORT ATS (4-2)
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (4-2)
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-4)

HQ Report Newsletter 10/11
5* Penn St (-4) over Wisconsin by 13
3* Michigan (-17) over Toledo by 27
3* San Jose St (-15) over Utah State by 27
3* Middle Tennessee St (P) over Florida International by 7

*HQ Underdog Play of the Week
TOP PLAY -- Louisiana Tech (+7) over Hawaii (5-1)

*HQ Total Recall Over/Under
SINGLE PLAY -- Nebraska vs Texas Tech Play Over

A.T.S. (Angles, Trends & Systems)
TOP PLAY -- South Carolina (P) over Kentucky

[Can'tPickaWinner]

E. Law

4% -- Western Kentucky +16.5
4% -- Ketucky +3
2% -- Georgia -13
2% -- AF -11
2% -- Idaho +34.5
2% -- Army -1
2% -- ARKANSAS/AUBURN OVER 41
2% -- Rutgers +7.5
2% -- NM State +20

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Erin Rynning

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->20* Georgia (sec goy)
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Right Angle Sports (RAS)
1 Unit Kent St

Take the live dog.
Play: #168 Kent State +2 for 1 UNIT (Line has since moved to +1, I recommend the play down to pick'em.)


Two side plays for Week 7:

South Carolina (-1) at Kentucky - 9:30am Pacific - Game #125-126
Give the small number.

Play: #125 South Carolina -1 for 1 UNIT

Ohio at Kent State (+2) - 11:30am Pacific - Game #167-168
Take the live dog.

Play: #168 Kent State +2 for 1 UNIT

[Jake Gittes]

From Wayne Root's "Winning Edge" web based shows:

Ron Meyer: OK
Ron Meyer: FL
Ron Meyer: Penn St (Best Bet)

Big @l: TX
Big @l: FL

Chip Chirimbes: OK over the total
Chip Chirimbes: FL
Chip Chirimbes: Miss State (Best Bet)

Root: TX
Root: FL (Best Bet) (thinks by at least 14)

Kelso Sturgeon: TX
Kelso Sturgeon: LSU
Kelso Sturgeon: Boise St (Best Bet)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Brian Hansen

BLOWOUT GOY Fla. Gators

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Red Sox last night.

Today it's Oklahoma and Mississippi State. The deficit is 20 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

HONDO

October 11, 2008
The Maddoning Rays clearly weren't up to the mo ment last night, which proved costly to Hondo, as his earnings tumbled to 465 blairs.

Tonight, he'll stick with 'em - 10 units on Kazmir to snuff the Sawx.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cappers Access

Illinois
Notre Dame
LSU
Hawaii

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cajun-Sports "Gator Report" Newsletter for Saturday

NCAA “Tech” Game of the Week:

2 STAR SELECTION

Utah State +14 over SAN JOSE STATE

The Spartans will host the Aggies on Saturday, as the WAC combatants battle to pecking order in the league standings. It appears San Jose State will be in the mix this year for a second bowl invitation in the last three years under head coach Dick Tomey. Before going on break for a weekend, they went on the road to beat Hawaii, and have been resilient in losses to Nebraska and Stanford; however, don’t be fooled by Utah States’ 1-4 SU record. They’re actually showing signs of improvement under Brent Guy. Two weeks, they throttled Idaho, 42-17, to move a step further from the league basement, and have now won their last 3 WAC games going back to last season. Last week, in a non-league game, they played respectably well against #8 BYYU before falling 34-14.

The Aggies offense has shown more punch and production than at any point in the Guy era. First-year starting QB Diondre Borel is a dangerous dual-threat, who has thrown for six touchdown passes and rushed for 257 yards. Behind him is freshman Robert Turbin, a big-play runner with 197 yards and two touchdowns in his last 23 carries. Factor in veteran WR Otis Nelson, and the Aggies have the ingredients of a potent offensive attack.

Our Power Ratings indicate that the Spartans should be no better than a 1 TD favorite here, so we see some great line value available. We look to play ON an underdog getting between a FG & TD of points in line value when comparing the pointspread to Power Ratings if the team is not in a “let-down” situation and the favorite not in a “get-up” situation. If the underdog has been fairly consistent with respect to its performances as compared to the Power Ratings, this will be a case of a team not getting the respect it deserves and being under-rated by the wagering public.

The Aggies qualify for a couple of other handicapping situations we look for, as we like to play ON a team that is being overlooked after a bad start, but has accrued its poor record by playing stellar teams with winning records and we like to play ON a team with a poor SU record but a great ATS record. Such teams are the most undervalued on the board. Due to their bad SU mark, they won't get a lot of attention from the public, preserving their line value.

We have some great numbers to back us up here, as Utah State is:

5-0-1 ATS on the road after playing BYU since at least 1980;
4-0 ATS between last 2 years with 7+ days rest;
11-0 ATS (+8.3 ppg) as an underdog of 2+ points off a home ATS win of 5+ points;
3-0 ATS (+11.3 ppg) as an underdog of more than 4 points vs. San Jose State since at least 1980;
7-0 (+12 ppg) the last 2 seasons on the road vs. non-BCS schools.

Meanwhile, the Spartans are a 2-TD favorite here, which allows us to play AGAINST a homecoming team that is either a large favorite or large underdog. Homecoming can mean a lot of distractions for players, and if they don't have a "big" game to concentrate on, they can easily lose focus. Teams that assume they are going to win or know they don't have a chance are most likely to be flat on gameday.

We also note that San Jose State is 0-6 ATS (-15.2 ppg) as a favorite of 9+ points with 7-20 days rest from Game 5 on and an ugly 0-10 ATS (-17.6 ppg) with 7+ days rest off scoring more than 7 points since 1999!

The Aggies will be brimming with confidence off their strong finish against BYU and should make this game very close, easily covering the 14-point spread.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: SAN JOSE STATE 24 UTAH STATE 21


NCAA 70% Super Situations:

NCAA Saturday: Play Over CFB teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 in a game involving teams who are outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG, after a loss by 6 or less points, 33-13 Over since 1992 (71.7%)
PLAY: Penn State / Wisconsin Over 46.5


Gator Report NCAA Games of the Week:

SEC GOW (3-2 +80 ): MISSISSIPPI STATE +2½ over Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt is due for a fall after their 14-13 win last over Auburn. The Commodores are 0-7 ATS (-8.8 ppg) in conference road games when not an underdog of 6+ points

Despite riding a win streak of at least 5 games like Vandy is, small road favorites have stumbled against teams on a losing streak. An NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM states:

Play AGAINST a road favorite of less than 6 points off 5 SU wins vs. an opponent off 2 SU losses.

Since 1998, these small road faves are 0-9-1 ATS (-11.2 ppg).

Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS (+17.8 ppg) vs. Vanderbilt with a line between -13 & +13;
3-0 SU (+11 ppg) & 3-0 ATS (+11 ppg) with a line between -7 & +7 since last year;
3-0 SU (+16 ppg) & 3-0 ATS (+17.8 ppg) off 3 SU losses since the end of the 2005 season.


Big 10 GOW (0-0-1 0.0): NORTHWESTERN +1½ over Michigan State

Michigan State is:

0-8 ATS (-17.2 ppg) as a favorite vs. an opponent off a SU win as an underdog of more than 2 points;
0-6 SU (-12.8 ppg) & 0-6 ATS (-13.3 ppg) with a line between -3 & +2.

Favorites of less than 27 points are 0-7 ATS (-7.1 ppg) before a conference home game against Ohio State (The Spartans host the Buckeyes next week).

Unbeaten Northwestern is:

8-0-1 ATS with 9+ days rest in regular season games and 13-1-1 ATS the last 15 regular season games with 9+ days rest;
8-0 ATS (+11.4 ppg) as a home underdog and not off a SU loss of 32+ points vs. an opponent seeking revenge for a SU loss last season.


“BIG EASY” GOW (5-1 +390): NORTHERN ILLINOIS -11 over Miami, Ohio

The Redhawks have been a HUGE disappointment this season and have shown no life. We look to play AGAINST or at least not on a weak team that is on a spread-losing streak.

A bad team that apparently is not even capable of a decent performance once in a while should be faded whenever possible. This looks like another good spot to fade Miami, as they are 0-6 SU (-15.5 ppg) & 0-6 ATS (-10) as a road underdog of less than 12 points off a home SU loss.

Northern Illinois is a team on the rise under new leadership and we look to play ON a team that is responding positively to a new coach, as well as play ON a team with a poor SU record but a great ATS record.


Underdog GOW (3-2 +90): Texas 6½ over Oklahoma

The Longhorns qualify for some strong handicapping situations, as we like to:

Play ON an underdog that is allowing less than 3 yards per rush on the season from October on.

Play ON a power team in the unfamiliar role of underdog.

Teams that aren’t used to being an underdog and rarely lose, will certainly be aware of the oddsmakers picking them to lose and use it as motivation. Expect this team’s best effort they are capable of. Texas has been an underdog only 4 times since 2004, and they are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in those games. Oklahoma is 0-4 ATS as a favorite of less than 13 points vs. an opponent not seeking revenge for a same-season SU loss

We have also found that undefeated neutral site underdogs have done well in the regular season under the circumstances described by this NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM:

Play ON an undefeated neutral site underdog not off 3 ATS losses vs. an opponent not off a road SU loss & ATS win.

Since at least 1980, these teams are 9-0 ATS (+14.1 ppg) and have only lost 2 of the 9 qualifying games outright, still covering the spread each time.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">SPORTS ADVISORS CFB

(5) Texas (5-0 SU and ATS) vs. (1) Oklahoma (5-0, 4-0 ATS), in Dallas

The marquee game of the week comes from the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, where the Longhorns and Sooners enter their annual Red River Shootout ranked in the Top 5 for the first time since 2004.
Texas hasn’t been challenged this season, including last week when it went to Colorado and rolled to a 38-14 win, cashing as a 12-point road chalk. It was the lowest point total of the season for the Longhorns, who are averaging 47.2 points and 471.8 total yards per game. The ‘Horns defense isn’t too shabby either, ranking fourth in Division I-A in points allowed (11.4 per game).
Oklahoma went to Baylor last week and opened Big 12 play by routing the Bears 49-17 as a 25-point road chalk. The Sooners are racking up 49.6 points and 540 total yards per game, and their lowest point total this season came in a 35-10 win over TCU two weeks ago, but they still covered as 18½-point favorites in that contest.
Longhorns QB Colt McCoy is 25-6 in his career, and this season the junior has completed 79.2 percent of his throws for 1,280 yards, 16 TDs and just three INTs. His opposition is Oklahoma sophomore Sam Bradford, who has hit on 72.6 percent of his passes for 1,665 yards, 18 TDs and also just three INTs.
Oklahoma beat Texas 28-21 last season behind three TD passes from Bradford, but the Longhorns covered as 12-point ‘dogs. Texas leads this rivalry 57-40-5 SU and has gotten the cash in the last three after Oklahoma had covered in the previous five meetings. The last time both teams came in ranked in the Top 5 was in 2004, and the Sooners prevailed 12-0 as 7½-point favorites. The straight-up winner is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 years in this rivalry.
Texas is on ATS runs of 6-0 overall, 5-1 in neutral-site games, 11-5 in October and 4-0 against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Bob Stoops’ Sooners are on ATS runs of 4-0 overall, 4-1 after a spread-cover and 4-1 against teams with a winning record.
For Texas, the over is on runs of 10-4 following a straight-up win, 6-1 against teams with a winning record and 4-0 in Big 12 action. Oklahoma is 4-1 “over” in its last five overall, but the under is 14-4-1 in the Sooners’ last 19 conference games and 6-2 in its last eight October contests. Lastly, the under has been the play in the Red River Shootout the last two seasons after the over went 5-2 the previous seven years.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


(4) LSU (4-0, 1-2 ATS) at (11) Florida (4-1 SU and ATS)

The SEC’s game of the week comes from the Swamp in Gainesville, Fla., where the Gators look to knock LSU from the ranks of the unbeaten and avenge a bitter loss from last season.
Florida rebounded from a stunning 31-30 home loss to Ole Miss by routing Arkansas 38-7 last week, barely covering as a 26-point road favorite thanks to a 48-yard touchdown run with just over a minute to play. The Gators rolled up 514 total yards, including 278 on the ground, while the defense held Arkansas to 361 yards and forced two turnovers.
LSU, which is coming off a bye, opened SEC play with consecutive wins over Auburn (26-21 on the road) and Mississippi State (34-24 at home), though the Tigers failed to cover in the latter contest as a hefty 24-point chalk. LSU has won six straight games and is 23-2 SU in its last 25 going back to 2006.
Florida blew a trio of 10-point leads at LSU last year, falling 28-24 as an eight-point road underdog. LSU, which trailed the entire game, converted a pair of fourth-down plays on its final drive, scoring on a 2-yard run with just over a minute to play to steal the victory. The Tigers had a 36-24 edge in time of possession and finished with 391 total yards (247 rushing), while the defense gave up 314 yards (156 rushing) and forced two critical fourth-quarter turnovers to aid in the rally.
The home team has won each of the last three meetings, but the Gators are 3-0 ATS during this run and 7-2 ATS in the past nine against LSU. Going back to 2002, the underdog is on a 5-1 ATS roll in this rivalry, and the visitor is 12-4 ATS in the past 16. Finally, three of the last four clashes were decided by four points or less, all LSU victories.
Both of these teams have very similar stats on both sides of the ball. Florida is averaging 35.5 points, 427.2 total yards and 206.5 rushing yards per game, while LSU is putting up 36 points, 390.2 total yards and 178.6 rushing yards per outing. Defensively, the Gators are yielding 11.4 points and 265 total yards per game (99.6 rushing ypg), while the Tigers are giving up 15.2 points and 260.8 total yards per game (69 rushing ypg). Florida QB Tim Tebow has completed 61.7 percent of his throws for 1,025 passing yards, with an 8-1 TD-to-INT ratio. Meanwhile, Tigers QBs Andrew Hatch and Jarrett Lee have combined for 861 passing yards, with six TDs and four INTs. LSU is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games overall, 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 on the highway and 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 SEC contests. Meanwhile, Florida is on ATS streaks of 7-3 overall, 12-5 on grass, 8-3 versus winning teams and 4-1 in league play.
The under is 10-2 in the last 12 Florida-LSU battles, including 5-0 in the last five in Gainesville. However, last year’s contest topped the total, and the over is on runs of 9-4 for Florida overall, 9-3 for Florida at home, 6-2 for Florida in SEC play, 10-2 for LSU overall, 4-0 for LSU on the road and 8-1 for LSU against conference foes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA


(23) Michigan State (5-1, 3-2 ATS) at Northwestern (5-0, 2-2 ATS)

Two teams riding five-game winning streaks square off in a Big Ten showdown when the Spartans come calling at Ryan Field in Evanston, Ill., to take on Northwestern.Michigan State has rattled off five straight victories (3-2 ATS) since a season-opening 38-31 loss at Cal as a 6½-point road ‘dog. The Spartans’ defense stepped up with a key fourth-down stop in last week’s 16-13 home win over Iowa, but they failed to cash as six-point favorites. QB Brian Hoyer has thrown for 1,146 yards, but his four touchdown throws have been offset by three INTs.
Northwestern hasn’t been on the field since Sept. 27, when it upset Iowa 22-17 as a 9½-point road underdog. Last time they were at home, the Wildcats beat Ohio 16-8, but they failed to cash as a 10½-point chalk.The Wildcats scored a wild 48-41 overtime win last season at Michigan State, pulling off the upset as 15½-point ‘dogs. Northwestern has cashed in the last four series clashes and six of the last nine, all as an underdog. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings between these two, and the straight-up winner is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 clashes.
The Spartans are on ATS slides of 8-17 in Big Ten contests, 2-7 in October and 1-5 following a bye week, but they are on positive pointspread streaks of 7-2 on the road, 6-1 against teams with a winning record and 5-1 when coming off a non-cover. Northwestern is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after an off week, but just 6-21 ATS in its last 27 after a straight-up win and 0-4 ATS in its last four after an ATS win.
For Michigan State, the over is on runs of 35-16-1 on the highway, 5-1 after a bye week, 5-1 in October and 5-1 in Big Ten clashes. Meanwhile, for the Wildcats, the under is on runs of 7-2 overall, 4-1 in conference action and 4-0 at home. Also, the last two meetings in this rivalry have topped the total following a three-game under streak.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTHWESTERN


South Carolina (4-2, 3-2 ATS) at Kentucky (4-1, 3-1 ATS)

Steve Spurrier takes his Gamecocks into Commonwealth Stadium in Lexington, Ky., looking for an eighth straight victory over Kentucky in this SEC matchup.South Carolina is riding a three-game winning streak (1-1 ATS) after upsetting Mississippi 31-24 as a two-point road underdog a week ago. QB Chris Smelley threw for a career-high 327 yards and three TD passes in the victory, and the ‘Cocks defense held the Rebels to only three second-half points. South Carolina’s defense allows just 14.7 points and 245 yards per game, the latter figure ranking second in the SEC. Kentucky’s defense has been even stingier this season, allowing just 7.8 points and 114.4 rushing yards per game. However, the Wildcats had their four-game winning streak snapped in last week’s 17-14 loss at Alabama, though they easily got the cash as 15½-point underdogs. They allowed 282 rushing yards to the Crimson Tide, but 78 of those came on a first-quarter touchdown run by Alabama RB Glen Coffee. South Carolina has won eight in a row against Kentucky dating to 2000 (6-2 ATS), including last year’s 38-23 home win as a 4½-point favorite. The ‘Cocks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the straight-up winner is 7-3 ATS during that stretch. Spurrier’s boys are on ATS streaks of 10-4-1 against teams with a winning record and 8-3 following a spread-cover, but they are on pointspread slides of 3-7-1 overall, 1-5-1 in SEC action and 1-4 on the highway. Kentucky is just 1-4-1 ATS in its last six at home but 9-4-1 ATS in its last 14 against teams with a winning record. For the Gamecocks, the under is on runs of 4-1-1 overall, 25-10-1 on the road and 20-9 on the highway against teams with a winning home mark. It’s also been all unders for the Wildcats lately, including 4-0 overall, 4-1 in SEC games and 4-0 on grass. Finally, the under has been the play in the last four meetings between these two in Kentucky.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SOUTH CAROLINA and UNDER


(13) Vanderbilt (5-0 SU and ATS) at Mississippi State (1-4, 2-2 ATS)

The Commodores will try to keep their perfect record intact when they travel to Starkville for an SEC showdown with Mississippi State.
Vanderbilt has been winning the close ones this season, with three of their five victories coming by seven points or less, including last week’s 14-13 home win over Auburn as a 4½-point ‘dog. In their last roadie, the Commodores scored a 23-17 win in Mississippi as seven-point pups despite getting outgained by 183 yards. Vandy is unbeaten despite averaging just 278.8 total yards of offense per game, including just 96 passing ypg. Mississippi State has dropped three straight (2-1 ATS) and four of five this season. In their most recent contest two weeks ago, the Bulldogs hung tough at LSU, losing 34-24 and easily cashing as 24-point underdogs. Freshman QB Tyson Lee threw for 175 yards and one TD in his first start at LSU, as the Bulldogs continued to struggle on offense, averaging just 16.2 ppg. These schools haven’t met since 2004, when Vandy rolled to a 31-13 home win as 11½-point favorites. However, Mississippi State is 4-1 SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1989, including 3-0 SU and ATS at home, and the favorite cashed in all five. Also, the straight-up winner is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
The Commodores are on ATS runs of 5-0 overall, 4-1 on the road, 4-0 in SEC contests and 4-0 following a spread-cover. The Bulldogs are on ATS slides of 5-12 at home, 3-7-1 in October contests and 17-35-2 following a straight-up loss. It’s been all about the under for both these squads lately, with Vandy on under runs of 12-4-1 overall, 5-0 in October, 10-1-1 in SEC contests and 6-2-1 following a spread-cover. Meanwhile Mississippi State’s under streaks include 7-3 overall, 4-0 at home, 5-2 after a spread-cover and 4-1 coming off a bye week. Finally, the under was the play in the last two clashes between these squads.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSISSIPPI STATE and UNDER


Purdue (2-3, 1-3 ATS) at (12) Ohio State (5-1, 1-4 ATS)

Freshman QB Terrelle Pryor will try to remain perfect as the Buckeyes’ starter as Ohio State goes for its fourth straight victory when it hosts Purdue at Ohio Stadium in Columbus. Pryor is a perfect 3-0 (1-2 ATS) since taking the reins of the offense back on Sept. 20, including last week’s come-from-behind 20-17 victory at Wisconsin, with the Buckeyes getting their first spread-cover of the season as a one-point road chalk. The youngster scored on an 11-yard TD run with 1:08 remaining to cap a 12-play, 80-yard drive. Pryor has thrown for 440 yards, five TDs and one INT while rushing for 312 yards and four TDs. Purdue has dropped its last two games, including a 20-6 decision at home to Penn State last Saturday, pushing as a 14-point home ‘dog. In their only road game this season, the Boilermakers got pounded at Notre Dame 38-21 as a two-point underdog. QB Curtis Painter is off to a slow start this year, completing just 57.6 percent of his throws for five TDs and five INTs. The senior was benched in the loss to Penn State, and he is 0-9 SU against ranked teams in his career. The Buckeyes have won eight of the last 10 overall against Purdue (6-4 ATS), and the Boilermakers haven’t won in Ohio Stadium since 1988. Last season, Ohio State cruised to a 23-7 victory as a seven-point road chalk, ending a streak of three straight spread-covers by Purdue. The straight-up winner is 8-2 ATS in this Big Ten rivalry dating back to 1994. Purdue is mired in ATS funks of 1-5-1 overall, 3-14-1 in October games, 8-20-1 against teams with a winning record and 5-17-1 following a straight-up loss. Meanwhile Ohio State is in the midst of ATS slumps of 1-5 overall, 0-4 at home and 1-5 after a straight-up win, but the Buckeyes are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last eight October outings.
For the Boilermakers, the under is on runs of 35-16 in Big Ten play, 19-7 in October and 20-8-1 against teams with a winning record. For Ohio State, the under runs include 4-1 overall, 8-1 against teams with a losing record and 7-2 in October. Finally, the under has been the play in the last four meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO STATE and UNDER


(17) Oklahoma State (5-0, 4-0 ATS) at (3) Missouri (5-0, 3-1 ATS)

Two of the nation’s most high-powered offenses square off in Columbia, Mo., when Oklahoma State arrives to face Missouri in what figures to be a fast-paced Big 12 shootout. The Tigers hammered Nebraska 52-17 as a 10½-point road favorite last week, scoring all 52 points in the first three quarters and getting six TDs and a field goal in eight possessions. Missouri ranks third nationally in total offense (568.8 ypg) and second in scoring (53.4 ppg), and the Tigers have had 17 touchdown drives that have taken less than two minutes. Heisman Trophy candidate Chase Daniel has completed 77.3 percent of his passes for 1,665 yards, with 15 TDs and just one INT. The Cowboys got a 56-28 home win over Texas A&M a week ago, cashing as a 26-point favorite. Oklahoma State’s offense has been just as sharp as Missouri’s, ranking third in the nation in scoring (52.6 ppg), sixth in total offense (530.2 ypg) and third in rushing offense (315.2 ypg). The Cowboys have had 13 TD drives that lasted two minutes or less, and sophomore RB Kendall Hunter is averaging 147.6 ypg, while QB Zac Robinson has thrown for 1,038 yards, 10 TDs and three INTs. Missouri has won five of the last six meetings with the Cowboys, including a 38-31 victory in their last meeting in 2005, cashing as a 5½-point favorite. The Tigers are on a 7-2 SU and ATS roll against OSU, but the Cowboys scored a 20-17 upset as a three-point underdog the last time they went to Columbia. Lastly, the straight-up winner has cashed in each of the last 10 meetings in the rivalry, dating back to 1992. The Cowboys are on ATS runs of 5-0 overall, 4-1 on the road and 4-1 in October. Meanwhile, Missouri is on a plethora of positive ATS trends, including 4-1 overall, 13-5 at home, 8-3 in Big 12 games, 4-1 in October and 10-4 following a SU victory. For Oklahoma State, the over is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 31-14 in conference games, 23-9 following an ATS win, 10-2 in October and 5-1 when facing a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, for the Tigers, the over is on runs of 13-6 overall, 5-2 in Big 12 affairs and 10-4 following a straight-up win.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSOURI and OVER


Tennessee (2-3 SU and ATS) at (10) Georgia (4-1, 2-2 ATS)

Tennessee figures to have a tough time getting its struggling offense on track when it heads south for an SEC showdown against defensive-minded Georgia between the hedges. The Volunteers barely escaped lowly Northern Illinois 13-9 last week, never threatening to cover as a 16½-point home favorite. Tennessee, which is 0-2 SU and ATS in SEC play, has scored a total of 31 points in its last three games and is averaging just 18 points and 317.6 total yards per game for the season.
Georgia has had two weeks to lick its wounds following an ugly 41-30 home loss to Alabama as a 6½-point home favorite back on Sept. 27. The Bulldogs, who had surrendered a total of 55 points in winning their first four games of the season, fell behind the Tide 31-0 at halftime and were never in the contest. Despite the sorry performance against ‘Bama, Georgia’s defense is allowing just 19.2 points and 286.8 total yards per game, including 62.4 rushing ypg. Tennessee has thumped the Bulldogs the last two years, including a 35-14 home rout as a one-point home underdog in 2007. Prior to that contest, the visitor had won and covered four straight meetings in this rivalry. Finally, the straight-up winner has covered the spread in each of the last 10 clashes dating to 1998, and four of the last five meetings have been double-digit blowouts.
Prior to the loss to Alabama, Georgia had been on a 6-0-1 ATS run dating to last November, including four straight covers at home. The ‘Dogs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 coming off a bye week, but 2-7 ATS in their last nine in October. Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, but 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven against a winning team and 14-8-1 ATS as an underdog since 2003. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these schools in Georgia. Also, the under is on streaks for Tennessee of 4-0 overall, 6-1 in SEC play and 11-5-1 in October. However, the over is 6-2 in the Vols’ last eight on the road and 5-2 in Georgia’s last seven at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Notre Dame (4-1, 3-2 ATS) at (22) North Carolina (4-1, 3-1 ATS)

Two of the most surprising teams in college football hook up for a non-conference meeting in Chapel Hill, N.C., where the Tar Heels host Notre Dame. The Irish jumped out to a 28-7 lead last Saturday against Stanford, then held on for a 28-21 victory, barely cashing as a 6½-point home chalk. Notre Dame, which is on a 6-1 roll (5-2 ATS) going back to last year, had a 430-343 edge in total offense against the Cardinal and has scored 28 points or more in three of its last four games.
North Carolina pummeled Connecticut 38-12 as a 7½-point home favorite last week, despite getting outgained 378-263 and possessing the ball for less than 24 minutes. The Tar Heels had three interceptions, one of which was returned for a score, and also returned a blocked punt for a touchdown. These teams met in South Bend, Ind., in 2006, and Notre Dame rolled 45-26, but came up short as a 26-point home favorite.
North Carolina is on pointspread streaks 7-3 at home, 9-3 against winning teams, 5-1 in non-conference action and 4-1 in October. Meanwhile, the Irish are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 October contests, but otherwise are mired in pointspread funks of 12-21-1 overall, 5-9 as a ‘dog and 2-5 against the ACC. For Notre Dame, the under is on runs of 12-5 overall, 7-0 on the road, 6-0 against the ACC and 5-2 in October. Also, the under is 4-1 in UNC’s last five at Chapel Hill, but the Heels have topped the total in five of their last seven games overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTH CAROLINA


</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%">Nebraska (3-2, 2-3 ATS) at (7) Texas Tech (5-0, 2-1 ATS)

Nebraska’s defense, which has surrendered 87 points the last two weeks at home, now hits the road for the first time this season to face another explosive offense in this Big 12 battle against Texas Tech. The Cornhuskers became the latest team to get torched by Chase Daniel and Missouri, yielding 462 total yards (201 on the ground) in last week’s 52-17 home defeat as a 10½-point home underdog. Nebraska, which lost 35-30 to Virginia Tech at home prior to the Missouri contest, gave up all 52 points last week in the first three quarters. Texas Tech opened Big 12 play in dominating fashion, crushing Kansas State 58-28 and easily covering as a seven-point road favorite. The Red Raiders are among six Big 12 teams ranked in the Top 7 in the nation in scoring offense, putting up 48.2 points per game and tallying at least 35 in all five contests. Texas Tech is also second nationally in total offense (583.4 ypg) and tops in the country in passing yards (2,195), thanks to the play of QB Graham Harrell (66.7 completion percentage, 2,027 yards, 18 TDs, 3 INTs). The last time Nebraska visited Lubbock, Texas, it gave up 523 yards and got trashed 70-10 as a 7½-point road underdog in 2004. The teams had a rematch a year later – the most recent meeting – in Lincoln, Neb., and the Red Raiders won 34-31, but the Huskers got the cash as a five-point underdog. Tech is 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings dating to 1996. Nebraska is in ATS ruts of 4-12 overall, 1-7-1 on the highway, 2-8 against Big 12 foes, 2-10 versus winning teams, 1-4 as a road underdog and 1-5 in October. Conversely, the Red Raiders are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 home contests, 5-1-1 ATS in their past seven on artificial turf and 36-17 ATS in their last 53 October contests. The under is on streaks of 5-2 for the Huskers on the road, 4-1 for the Huskers in October, 8-3 for Texas Tech overall, 5-0 for Texas Tech at home, 6-2 for Texas Tech in conference and 4-1 for Texas Tech in October.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS TECH and UNDER


(6) Penn State (6-0, 3-1-1 ATS) at Wisconsin (3-2, 2-3 ATS)

For the second straight week, the Big Ten’s marquee game comes from Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wis., with the Badgers hoping for a better outcome when they host sixth-ranked Penn State. Wisconsin followed up a crushing 27-25 loss at Michigan two weeks ago – the Badgers blew a 19-0 halftime lead – with another heartbreaking defeat last Saturday, falling 20-17 to Oho State as a one-point home underdog. Wisconsin got a touchdown with 6½ minutes to play to take a 17-13 lead, but Ohio State marched down the field and punched in the winning score with just over a minute to play. Penn State had its most sloppy game offensively last week at Purdue, but the defense stepped up and carried the team to a 20-6 victory, pushing as a 14-point favorite. The Nittany Lions, who averaged 49.8 points in their first five contests, produced just two touchdowns despite a 422-241 advantage in total offense. Joe Paterno’s troops have won seven straight games going back to last December’s bowl victory over Texas A&M, and Penn State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 contests. This series has belonged to the home team, which has won four straight meetings both SU and ATS and is 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven. The favorite has cashed in each of the last five head-to-head tussles, and the SU winner has covered in each of the last nine battles since 1997. During that nine-game stretch, Penn State is 1-3 SU and ATS in Madison. Last week’s loss to Ohio State aside, the Badgers are still 17-8 ATS in their last 25 home games. However, they’re only 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall and 2-8 in their last 10 against Big Ten foes. Meanwhile, Penn State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games against winning teams and 0-5-1 ATS in its last six in league play.
The last four meetings between these rivals have stayed under the total. The under is also on runs of 15-6 for Penn State in conference action, 6-2 for Penn State in October and 14-6 for Wisconsin when facing opponents with a winning record.

ATS ADVANTAGE: WISCONSIN and UNDER</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Can'tPickaWinner]

SPORTS ADVISORS ALCS

Boston (4-1) at Tampa Bay (3-2)

After stealing Game 1 of the American League Championship Series in Tampa Bay on Friday night, the Red Sox will hand the ball to playoff stud Josh Beckett (12-10, 4.12 ERA) as this best-of-7 set continues at Tropicana Field. The Rays will counter with Scott Kazmir (13-8, 3.48).
Boston, which went 1-8 at Tropicana Field in the regular season, got an outstanding pitching performance by Daisuke Matsuzaka and three relievers in last night’s 2-0 victory. Although they finished three games under .500 on the road in the regular season, the Red Sox are unbeaten in three postseason road games so far. Also, Terry Francona’s club is riding hot streaks of 23-7 in the playoffs, 9-3 in ALCS contests, 6-0 in road playoff games, 29-14 against southpaw starters and 21-9 when Beckett hurls on the highway. Despite Friday’s defeat, Tampa Bay is still 55-18 in its last 73 home games. The Rays are also on runs of 4-2 overall, 6-1 against A.L. East rivals, 40-19 versus right-handed starters and 14-6 on Saturdays. Additionally, with Kazmir on the hill, Tampa is on streaks of 20-7 overall, 20-7 at home and 13-3 on Saturday. These rivals have now squared off 19 times this year, with Tampa Bay holding a slight 10-9 edge. The home team won the first 13 meetings this year, but the visitor is 4-2 in the last six. Beckett was rock-solid for the Red Sox in last year’s World Series run, going 4-0 with a 1.20 ERA, and he’s 6-2 with a 1.73 ERA in 11 career postseason outings (10 starts). However, he struggled in his first playoff start this year, giving up four runs on nine hits in five innings at home Sunday, getting a no-decision in his team’s 5-4, 12-inning loss to the Angels. Boston has lost four straight games that Beckett has started, with the right-hander yielding eight runs on 16 hits in his last two outings covering 11 innings. On the bright side, he was solid away from Fenway Park this year, going 7-5 with 2.85 ERA. In two regular-season starts at Tropicana Field, Beckett allowed just thee runs (two earned) in 15 innings (1.20 ERA), but Boston lost both games by scores of 4-2 and 2-1. For his career, Beckett is 5-3 with a 3.11 ERA in 10 starts against the Rays (1-2, 1.93 ERA in four starts at the Trop). Kazmir pitched in and out of trouble throughout his first career playoff start against the White Sox eight days ago, scattering eight hits and two walks in 5 1/3 innings, but he gave up only two runs in earning a 6-2 home victory. The veteran southpaw is 9-2, 2.93 in 15 home starts this season, 13 of which the Rays have won.
Kazmir really struggled in four starts against Boston this year, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA. That includes a 13-5 home loss on Sept. 15, when Kazmir lasted just three innings after surrendering nine runs (all earned) on six hits – including four home runs. Kazmir gave up six home runs in 18 innings against Boston this year, and he’s 6-7 with a 3.62 ERA in 21 career outings against the Sox. With Kazmir pitching, the over is on streaks of 6-1 overall, 5-1 at home, 4-0 against the A.L. East and 5-0 against Boston. Conversely, with Beckett on the hill, the under is on runs of 4-0-1 overall, 4-1 on the highway, 5-2 on Saturdays and 4-1 versus Tampa Bay.
The under is 5-1-1 in Boston’s last seven overall, but the over is 5-2-2 in the team’s last nine ALCS games, 10-5 in its last 15 on artificial turf, 4-0 in the last four against lefty starters and 5-0-1 in the last six on Saturday. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay sports over runs of 19-8 at home, 20-7 against righty starters and 15-8 versus division foes.As for this rivalry, the total has alternated in each of the last 11 meetings, with Game 1 of this series easily staying under the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

[Jake Gittes]

Ron Meyer - (5-1) on COACH'S CONSENSUS plays
GOY GEORGIA

Big AL - (6-1) on 10 DIMES CLUB plays
Underdog System GOY Sou Miss.

Wayne Root - GAME OF THE DECADE
Wisconsin

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Wayne Root

Chairman Texas
Millionaire Game of Decade Wisconsin
Insiders Circle Ok. St
Money Maker Miss St
No Limit Florida
Perfect Stanford

Show best bet Florida
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

VEGAS EXPERTS

East Carolina at Virginia
Saturday, October 11th, 12:00 ET

East Carolina (3-2) opened the season with consecutive underdog wins over Virginia Tech and West Virginia, but since then it has been all downhill as they struggled to beat Tulane and then lost outright to both NC State and Houston. Off a bye, look for the Pirates to respond against Virginia, as we find ECU at 7-0 against the spread when coming off a SU loss by 14 or more as a favorite. Virginia was outscored 128-20 in its first three games vs. lined opponents.

Play on: East Carolina

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Jack Clayton</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, October 11, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Oddsmakers goofed on one of Saturday's games, a spot ripe for pickin' if you like to play underdogs. Find out all the details on this overvalued favorite, with full analysis, and pay ONLY when this live dog covers! </TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/9/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>4* Nebraska (171) at Texas Tech: Nebraska still has a work in progress defense, but this offense is very strong. And as good as Texas Tech is, they're not 20 points better than the Huskers. Nebraska has a strong offense with mobile senior QB Joe Ganz (9 TDs, 5 picks) and RB Marlon Lucky, averaging 33.4 points. Nebraska ranks No. 20 nationally in passing offense (270.4 yards per game) and No. 30 in scoring offense (33.4 points per game). Nebraska put up 333 total yards and 30 points in a 35-30 loss to Virginia Tech....and that was a season low in yards. QB Ganz said the Huskers need to be able to put up yards and points through the air. "I think we do need to run the ball, but we're capable of putting up big yards in the passing game," Ganz said. "We should be able to put up big numbers and kind of use the short passing game as the controlled running game. I know we need to be able to run the ball and I want to run the ball, but if we can't the passing game needs to pick it up." This game is even on too many levels and this line is out of whack. I'm looking at a game decided by single digits either way. Play Nebraska! </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Can'tPickaWinner]

2 clayton's are from a good friend:

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Jack Clayton</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, October 11, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: Jack Clayton is on a 33-20 (62% run) run on all plays, which includes his Sunday Night GOY Winner on the Steelers/Jaguars over! Saturday he steps out with his top play, his College Football TV Game of the Year! Get all the details on this one-sided rout, with full analysis, and pay ONLY when it covers! </TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>10/9/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>5* Texas/Oklahoma: Texas has new skill position players around QB Colt McCoy this season, and they also haven't been tested. In last year's meeting, Oklahoma rolled up 411 yards, and had the edge in rushing yards 170-61. McCoy has been turnover prone in his career and with a better offense coughed it up twice in last year's meeting, while Oklahoma had no TOs. Even in last week's rout of Colorado, McCoy threw 2 picks. This Oklahoma offense is even better than a year ago, with sophomore QB Sam Bradford (18 TDs, 3 picks), one that averages 50 points, 180 yards rushing and 320 passing. The ground game is loaded with sophomore RB DeMarco Murray and junior RB Chris Brown. The Sooners are also healthy, getting back injured defensive linemen Demarcus Granger and Frank Alexander back for this game. Oklahoma is 25-4 SU, 18-10-1 its last 29 as chalk. For the Red River Shootout, the Sooners have won the last three games when both teams were ranked in the top 5, most recently a 12-0 victory in 2004. They will win by double digits here. Play Oklahoma. </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Jake Gittes]

Gus Marone College Underdog GOY

Miami Ohio +10.5

[ymmit2nd]

Sat, 10/11/08 - 12:00 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
double-dime bet113 Iowa -5.5 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 114 Indiana
Analysis:
Iowa -5.5

Analysis: The Hawkeyes are superior in the trenches. I expect them to control both lines of scrimmage and get a spread cover.

Iowa has lost three straight games, falling to Pittsburgh, Northwestern and Michigan State by a combined nine points. The Hawkeyes out-gained each of those three teams, while averaging four more first downs than each foe.

Bad luck and turnovers have dogged the Hawkeyes. Iowa's defense can handle Indiana's spread offense. The Hawkeyes are giving up just 13 points per game.

The Hawkeyes will pound away with good-looking running back Shonn Greene, who is averaging 158 yards rushing in his last two games.

The Hoosiers are 11-23-1 against the spread the past 35 times they've been an underdog.

[ymmit2nd]

Sat, 10/11/08 - 3:30 PMKing Creole | CFB Side
triple-dime bet144 Georgia -12.5 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 143 Tennessee
Analysis: 3:30pm ET / Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Bulldogs / #144
3*** BEST BET on: GEORGIA BULLDOGS minus the points

This game has EVERYTHING that we look for in a 4* or 5* Best Bet. We have an ANGRY yet focused home team... playing with REST... in a DOUBLE-Revenge situation... that looks to get back into the TOP 5 in the Country. Two weeks ago, Georgia's hopes for an unbeaten National Championship went up in smoke as they lost OUTRIGHT at home to Alabama (41-30) as favorite of -6.5 points. That was after starting off the season by reeling off 4 straight wins. They need a whipping boy on Saturday, and there's a tailor-made one in Tennessee... who's on a down year thus far. With the added incentive of double REVENGE, we have no problems laying the double-digit points on Saturday.

In the last 2 years, ALL Conference home favorites that are playing off a DOUBLE-DIGIT loss as a fav of -6 > points are a PERFECT 6-0 ATS (GEORGIA). Larger favs of -7 or more are 14-3 ATS in the last 5 seasons, including 3-0 ATS when playing with rest.

Now let's look at teams that just lost their first game of the year after reeling off multiple wins in a row.
11-0 ATS in the last 20 years: ALL Conference favs of -3 > points in Game Six or greater off their FIRST loss of the year... if that loss was by 10 or more points at HOME (GEORGIA).... and they are taking on an opponent off a SU win (like Tennessee).

The Volunteers BARELY escaped with a win last week in which they should have DESTROYED Northern Illinois (won 13-9 as home favs of -16.5 points).
In the last 10 years, ALL conference road underdogs of < 14 points are a PERFECT 0-5 ATS off a SU non-conference home win of 4 < points in which they were a B-I-G fav of -14 or more points (Tennessee).

Tennessee's offense is definitely in the doldrums lately. Untested sophomore QB Jonathan Crompton has been stinking up the joint with a TD/INT ratio of only 2-4 on the year. He had only 1 TD last week against the Huskies... and was backed up by ONLY 69 rushing yards by his offense. The Volunteers come in with three straight games in which they have scored only 13 or less points.
SEC road dogs of +28 or less points are a PERFECT 0-6 ATS after scoring 13 or less points in EACH of their last 3 games (Tennessee).

An angry BUT focused home favorite playing with rest AND revenge is always a great 'play ON' situation.
6-1 ATS in the last 3 years for all Conference home favs of greater than 3 points playing with REST and REVENGE.
9-2 ATS since 2004 for ALL Conference home favs of -12 > points playing with REST off a SU loss in Game Six or greater, Bring in an opponent off a SU win (like Tennessee), and the numbers improve to a PERFECT 4-0 ATS

[Can'tPickaWinner]

teddy covers 20* arkansas

tim trushel 20* buffalo
<!-- / message -->

[Lionman]

Wayne Root

Chairman Texas
Millionaire Game of Decade Wisconsin
Insiders Circle Ok. St
Money Maker Miss St
No Limit Florida
Perfect Stanford

Show best bet Florida
<!-- / message -->


WOW - not only does Wayne have his Millionaire game - but it is now his game of the decade !!!!! Another reason I love my Nittany Lions to stomp Wisky tonight.....:aktion033

[threeputt]

WOW - not only does Wayne have his Millionaire game - but it is now his game of the decade !!!!! Another reason I love my Nittany Lions to stomp Wisky tonight.....:aktion033


Is Root really that bad?

[hockey2424]

Anyone got his 25 Dime pick for today?? The Cali Cartel is on fire right now!

[Jake Gittes]

Sports Insights

Sports Marketwatch - College Football Edition

Games to Watch (8-7)
East Carolina -6.5
Georgia -12 (SIA)
Florida International -2

[Jake Gittes]

** NCAA NEWSLETTERS **

HOT

CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (4-1-1)...ARMY
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (4-1)...Baylor
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (4-1)...Arkansas
HQ REPORT 5* (4-1-1)...Penn State
HQ REPORT ATS (4-2)...South Carolina
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (4-2)...Louisiana Tech
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (5-1)...Florida
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP DOG (3-1)...Northwestern
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP EARLY (3-1)...


COLD

LOGICAL APPROACH MONEYLINE (2-6)...Memphis, MissState, Notre Dame, TxAM
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET (0-4)...Miami(ohio)
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (1-5)...Miami(florida)
POINTWISE 2* (1-6)...Illinois


THE REST

BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (1-3)...Mississippi State
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT 2* (1-1)...Utah State
CAJUN SPORTS GATOR REPORT 3* (0-1)...
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (10-8-1)...Memphis, Indiana, Utah
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (2-2)...Arizona State
ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (3-2)...South Carolina
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (2-0)...Illinois
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (2-1)...
HQ REPORT 4* (0-0)...
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-4)...Nebraska/Texas Tech Over
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (2-1)...Minnesota
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (8-6-1)...SouthMiss, Oregon, Northwestern
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (3-4)...Notre Dame, Nevada-Reno, Arkansas State
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (3-2)...Colorado
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (3-3)...Mississippi State
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (0-2)...Buffalo (ncaa)
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (4-5)...Wisconsin, Mississippi State
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (2-0)...Oregon
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (1-0)...Central Michigan
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 6* (1-0)...
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (47-32)...West Virginia, Ohio State, TCU, Georgia, Oregon, Auburn, NIllinois, Oregon State, Texas Tech, Miami(florida), Florida, UTEP, Fresno State, FIU, Hawaii
POINTWISE 1* (6-6)...Tulsa, Texas Tech
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (1-2)...Oklahoma
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (8-10)... E.Carolina, Georgia, FIU
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (10-13-1)...Rutgers, Mississippi State, Texas Tech
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (9-7-1)...Ohio State, Florida, Ball State
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (2-2)...Air Force
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (12-12-1)...Texas, Tennessee, Florida, Wisconsin, Clemson
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (1-2)...
THE GOLD SHEET (10-14)...Minnesota, WMichigan, Vandy, OregonSt
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (16-10)...SCarolina, UCLA, Nevada, TTech
THE RED SHEET 88* (7-10-1)...Texas Tech, Army, Oregon State
THE RED SHEET 89* (7-4-1)...Air Force, Mississippi State
THE RED SHEET 90* (1-0)...
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (1-2)...Mississippi State
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (1-2)...
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (8-4)...Mississippi State, Iowa
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (10-16)...Oklahoma, NIllinois, Penn State, Georgia

[Can'tPickaWinner]

PPP/GAVAZZI

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->4% Army
4% No. Illinois
4% Illinois
4% Under Fl Int/Mid Tenn
3% Over Nevada/New Mex St
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ATS Lock Club Underdog Lock Of The Year

Stanford+7 20 unit play

[Can'tPickaWinner]

PSYCHIC

2 units Illinois -12
2 units Rutgers +7.5
2 units Temple +7.5
3 units Arizona -7
3 units Oklahoma State +14.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

DA STICK

5 units Mississippi State +3
5 units Florida International -2
10 units Oklahoma -6.5
10 units underdog game of the week Notre Dame +8.5
15 units Penn State -6
15 units Northwestern +1.5
20 units Game of the Year Florida -6

10 units teaser of the week Texas Tech -11, USC -18, Florida +4

MLB

10 units Philadelphia Phillies +141<!-- / message -->

[2DIMES]

ATS Lock Club Underdog Lock Of The Year

Stanford+7 20 unit playmy boy always come through and i love this one!!!!!!!

[EagleFan]

200 Unit College Football Game of the Year

Kelso Sturgeon Football

Saturday, October 11

Home Team In CAPS

All Starting Times Eastern

* * *
Starting Time: 9:30

TV: MTN

Weather in San Diego: Clear with game-time temperature of 60 degrees, relative humidity of 54% and wind out of the west at 15 PMPH.

Comments: First of all, when I find a game that can be released at the 200-unit level, the team I am using must have the ability to absolutely dominate the other team on both sides of the ball. Air Force (3-2) is in that position against a poorly coached San Diego State (1-4) team that has been decimated by injuries, losing 15 players for the entire season, seven of them starters. Things went from bad to worst this week when it was announced San Diego State’s starting quarterback Ryan Lindley had not recovered from a shoulder injury incurred at TCU last week and would miss this game.His replacement is adequate but adequate does not get it done against Air Force,

The team I am using also has to be so dominating that it can play its worse game of the season and still win and cover. Air Force fills that bill too.

These two things are just the beginning of the process, which has 47 different points of analysis. A team must grade out on top in at least 40 of those categories to even be considered. This is no shot in the dark.

As I have pointed previously I completed a five-year study in February that really opened my eyes to why college and National Football League teams win or lose. There was a silver bullet that came out of the NFL study (passing and pass defense) but the college game came out of the process in a bit more complicated fashion.

Results of the college study said that version of the game rested on one thing—talent and lots of it—and that the talent factor could be revealed with the combined facts contained in five different elements--quarterback vs. quarterback, running game vs. running game, did a team have a game-breaker, the experience of the offensive line and the quality of each team’s defense.

Here is the grade card for Air Force and San Diego State this week.



GRADE CARD FOR 200-UNIT GAME OF YEAR




( Each Team Is Rated On A Scale Of From 0 to 10, with 10 Being The Best Figure)



ANALYSIS CATEGORY AIR FORCE SAN DIEGO STATE



Quarterback 7.0 3.0

Running Game 10.0 0.0

Game Breaker None None

Offensive Line 7.0 3.0

Quality Of Defense 8.0 2.0



In addition to this it has not been lost on me San Diego State has beaten only Idaho, a 1-5 team that is simply non-competitive and which gives up 47.3 points and 502.8 yards per game The Aztecs even lost to I-AA Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo, 29-27.

It also is comforting to know Air Force always comes to play and brings the heat from the get-go. It also is a major plus Air Force, which opened the season 3-0, comes into this off back-to-back losses—to unbeaten Utah, 30-23, and to Navy last week, 33-27.

This game has blow-out written all over it and I do look for at least a 35-point win.
__________________







College Football Game Of The Year



200 Units

Air Force (-10 ½) over SAN DIEGO STATE

Prediction: Air Force by 35

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Insider Sports Report

W. Virginia -24 over Syracuse (NCAAF)

[TheSucker]

Anyone have TeddyJune Game of the Week? Also his Underdog of the week? Thanks much in advance

:toast:

[Sportsaholic]

Bettersworld

3* Wisconsin +6 over Penn State - One word comes to mind when we think of Wisconsin. Desperate. It's safe to say the season hangs in the balance this week as JoePa and the Nittany Lions come to town as Wisconsin is in danger of starting 0-3 in the Big 10. The Big 10 title already looks like a lost cause but a loss here would seal that deal. A big time bowl game is also slipping away. All this for a team that was 9-4 a year ago and returned many key pieces to the puzzle from a year ago. This was a decent team a year ago that was only outclassed twice and figured to be improved this year.

What makes it all the more difficult to swallow is that Wisconsin could have won both games they lost this year. They controlled the clock against Michigan and moved the ball on the ground and thru the air for 384 total yards. Ahead 19-0 at the half and 19-7 after 3, they couldn't hold on turning the ball over and allowing 3 Michigan scores in the 4th quarter. Despite their poor performance in the 2nd half they still had chances to win it but failed.

Wisky regrouped to host one of the two teams to outclass them a year ago, Ohio State, last week. Last year saw Ohio State won 38-17. But last week, the game was dead even right across the board. Just about every major category, dead even. It came down to who could make the big plays at the end of the game, and that was Ohio State, scoring on their final drive and then intercepting Allan Evridge on Wisky's final drive to end the game.

Clearly Wisconsin has closed the gap between them and Ohio State. Ohio State, Wisky and Penn State all have similar make ups this year as far as who returned from a year ago. All lost QB's and returned just about everyone else. Both beat Wisky decisively a year ago. Wisky closed the gap one, why not the other.

The 8pm est. start time and the National TV audience only add to the already significant Wisconsin home field advantage. Wisconsin is 41-15 at home this decade. Penn State is 13-25 on the road in that time span. Sure, Penn State had a few down years, but you get the picture. Wisconsin is 5-2 all time at home against Penn State with both losses by 3 points.

The beautiful thing about college football is that with all the close heartbreaking losses and the disappointments that come with them, one win can make everything better. One win can turn an entire season around. A win here and 1-2 in the Big 10 puts them right back into the thick of things and gets them a whole lot of National publicity to boot (always helps the recruiting).

Certainly Penn State looked great their first 4 games this year but the margins tightened a bit once they got into Big 10 play. Illinois played them tough at Penn State with the score 24-17 and the game up for grabs heading into the 4th quarter and they led Purdue just 10-0 at the half last week.

Look for a huge effort from the Badgers this week. Remember, things aren't always what they seem. Already this year we have seen USC, Florida and Georgia go down. Why not upset the apple cart a little more this week. 3* Wisconsin +6 (note - if 6.5 becomes available we'd recommend buying it up to +7)





3* Texas +7 over Oklahoma - Looking at the early season schedules of some of the better teams in the country reminds me of the way heavyweight boxers are brought along with the padded records in order to gain a title shot. You know, they fight a bunch of tomato cans, get a record of 20-0, with some hype to go along with it and then 9 times out of 10 they are exposed in the big fight.

Both of these teams schedules get much tougher starting this week. Oklahoma State, Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas Tech, all await. The combined record of their opponents to date is 23-31. Approaching the game you'll here the ESPN chatterboxes talking about how great these teams are, how they are undefeated, blah, blah, blah. They may be great, but they'll need to prove it. Don't get to carried away with the results to date. Both are still untested.

Both squads delivered when they had to step it up a notch, with Texas over Colorado and Oklahoma over TCU. But clearly this is a huge test for both teams. In such a long standing rivalry between two teams you'd expect to look at past results and see a ton of games decided by a touchdown or less. No the case here. Not in recent history anyway. As a matter of fact last year was the first year in over a decade that the game wasn't decided by double digits. There was some flat out routes within the last 5 years. How about 65-13 Oklahoma in 2003. Or 45-12 Texas in 2005. Huge margins considering neither team has had a losing record in that time with both routinely winning 11 and 12 games a year.

You can break this game down and make both squads look great by highlighting some fantastic numbers. Such as Texas having yet to allow a rushing touchdown or either teams great offensive averages. But remember, these are two very good football teams that have played very soft schedules. Of course the stats are going to look good. Many are also quick to point out that the Texas pass defense is suspect. But that is also misleading as they haven't played a close game yet. When a team is way out in front in it's games it forces opponents to throw the ball frequently. The same can be said about both teams. Both have stifled opponents on the ground while both have given up more through the air as both built big early leads forcing their opponents to throw. While Texas has given up a few more yards through the air, you simply can't use that as a comparison of the two teams pass defenses.

Both teams have great QB's. McCoy had a great year in 2006 for Texas and was down a notch last year, but appears to be back in form this year. Likewise Bradford had a great first year for Oklahoma and continues to look good this year. McCoy has played well in this game two years in a row, winning it in 2006 and losing it last year. He's become a threat on the ground as well as he leads the Longhorns in rushing. (Last year he was -24 yards rushing in this game. Expect that to change this week.) He's not throwing into double coverage the way he did a year ago where Texas losses can be traced to McCoys picks. Given the choice right now at this stage of their careers we'd choose McCoy over Bradford. But the margin is slim.

This is a huge game for many reasons. The number one ranking Oklahoma holds is on the line. The Big 12 title picture is on the line. The National Title is on the line. The Heisman trophy is on the line. Yeah, it's a big game. Given the talent level of these two teams not only this year but historically, as well as all that's on the line here, we'll gladly take the touchdown with the Longhorns here in a game they can win straight up. 27 years or so of betting college football tells us we'd be ahead long term taking the touchdown in this spot. Every year the "situations" stay the same in college ball. Only the team names change. We've seen similar situations countless times. As recently as Alabama at Georgia this year. Can anyone point to an obvious mismatch anywhere in this game? Most folks are torn on who the straight up winner will be. Both returned just about an equal number of starters on offense and defense this year including both QB's and both lost a couple of key contributors from a year ago, but only 7 points separated these two last year and there's no evidence to suggest more than that will separate them this year. 3* Texas +7
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[sdf]

<table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#dddddd"><td valign="top">Computer Crushers</td><td valign="top" align="right">Guaranteed Selections</td></tr></tbody></table><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"></td><td valign="top" align="right" nowrap="nowrap">10/8/2008</td></tr><tr><td colspan="2"> </td></tr><tr><td colspan="2">500K BIG EAST CONFERENCE CRUSHER PLAY OF THE YEAR
112 WEst Virginia -24 12 NOON EST</td></tr></tbody></table>


FYI, Pat White is not starting for WVa

[Jake Gittes]

Northcoast week 6 Comp Line Plays: Button #9 plays last week a perfect 7-0

Monday Early Bird POW Button #9 Texas Tech -19.5 I played it Monday at -20 Now at -21
Tuesday Pow. Plays 4* POW Button #9 is Ohio St.-19
Tuesday UderDog POW Button #3 is on Mississippi St +2.5 (Lots of Cappers on this play this week)
Wednesday Economy #2 play Button #9 is on So. Carolina Pickem
Wednesday Big Dog POW is on Rutgers +9/ML +265 Now down to +8 and mostly +7.5 (will be at 7 by Saturday, possibly 6.5 by gametime)
Thursday PAC10/ #9 is on Oregon State Univ.-30
Thursday NFL Total POW bUTTON #3 is on OVER 44.5 Jets/Bengals
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[Sportsaholic]

NCAA Sports MarketWatch Week 7 – Games to Watch

East Carolina vs Virginia (10/11 12P)

East Carolina came out of the gate in the 2008 season with two huge upsets over Virginia Tech and West Virginia. These wins moved the Pirates into the top 15, but after that they escaped Tulane with a close win before losing two straight to North Carolina State and Houston. That made three straight disappointing efforts heading into their bye week. Their defense has become much more porous since losing linebacker Quentin Cotton during the Tulane game. They allowed 30 points to the Wolfpack and 41 to the Cougars. The Pirates' offense is led by QB Patrick Pickney, who has completed almost 70% of his passes and compiled over 1,000 yards.

Virginia was looking awful heading into last week's ACC match up with Maryland, but the Cavaliers pulled out a stunning 31-0 upset over the Terrapins. Virginia QB Marc Verica made his third start since Peter Lalich was kicked off the team, and he displayed the ability to run the Cavs offense by completing 25 of 34 passes for 226 yards with two touchdowns through the air. The Cavalier defense pitched their second shutout of the season, but they still allowed over 300 yards to the Terrapins.

East Carolina is coming off two losses and a bye week as they travel to Charlottesville. Skip Holtz should have his team prepared to bounce back from those disappointments. The Pirates opened as -4.5 favorites at Pinnacle, but the line has moved to East Carolina -6.5 as they are receiving around 70% of spread bets from the books tracked by Sports Insights. The line movement triggered multiple Steam Moves from books with positive results. We'll take a hungry Pirates team looking to prove itself against a Cavalier team coming off a huge blowout win.

East Carolina -6.5

Tennessee vs Georgia (10/11 3:30P)

Tennessee is struggling this season as they sit at 2-3 overall and 0-2 in SEC play. The Volunteers are coming off a sloppy 13-9 win over Northern Illinois. Sophomore Nick Stephens made his first collegiate start in that game and was effective enough to earn the win. He completed 10 of 17 passes for 156 yards and one touchdown. The Volunteers also plan to utilize WR Gerald Jones' athleticism with a direct snap formation. The defense was effective against Northern Illinois as they held the Huskies to three field goals.

Georgia's bye week gave the Bulldogs an extra week to prepare for this SEC matchup after being blown out by Alabama at home two weeks ago. Head Coach Mark Richt was tougher on his team over the last two weeks due to a habit of committing costly penalties. They are averaging 87.4 penalty yards per game on the season. Tailback and Heisman Trophy candidate Knowshon Moreno is expected to play through an elbow injury. He is hoping to fare better against the Volunteers than he did last season when he produced a career-low 30 yards on 13 carries.

Georgia opened as -13 favorites at Pinnacle as Tennessee travels to play between the hedges. The line moved to Georgia -12 shortly after opening, and it has remained there across the marketplace. We like the line moving down in Georgia's favor as they're coming off that huge loss to Alabama. We'll take the Dawgs when there are still some books, such as SIA, offering Georgia -12.

Georgia -12 (SIA)


Middle Tennessee State vs Florida International (10/4 9PM)

Middle Tennessee shocked many people with a win against Maryland earlier in the season. Since then they have scored exactly 14 points in each of their three games, only winning against lowly Florida Atlantic 14-13. The Blue Raiders needed a late touchdown to pull out that win at home. The MTSU defense has forced 12 turnovers on the season, while the offense has committed 8. The Blue Raiders are currently 0-2 on the road.

Florida International plays their second home game in their new FIU stadium. In their home opener the Golden Panthers hung with then-No. 12 South Florida before falling 17-9. Since that close loss, FIU has won two roads games by convincing scores over Toledo and North Texas. Freshman T.Y. Hilton is a big play WR. He has 284 yards and 3 touchdowns on only 8 receptions for the season. He also gets the occasional carry, but he has yet to break a long run.

The game opened as a Pick at Pinnacle and other books tracked by Sports Insights, but it has since moved to Florida International -2 at most books. There isn't a huge discrepancy in the public betting percentages, but the Golden Panthers are receiving 54% of spread bets. Florida International has received multiple Steam Move triggers from books with winning records. We're going to follow the Steam and take the Golden Panthers at home only giving up a few points.

Florida International -2

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights analysis for this week’s Games to Watch for NCAA Football Week 4.

Games to Watch (8-7)
East Carolina -6.5
Georgia -12 (SIA)
Florida International -2
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[Tiger "ABA ref" Denoy]

Great Job CPW & Jake. I especially love to hear how the newsletters are doing.:modemman:

[shiz]

Any Trace Adams?

[bigdaveyt]

ATS Lock Club underdog is stanford? I haven't watched them play much, but i have seen arizona.

Does everyone else like this pick?

[Gene]

Lenny Stevens

20 Big 12 GOY MIZZ
10 Baylor...So. Car...NWestern

any purelock or underdog??

[catwithnoname]

thanks for indian cowboy,, appreciate it,, gl and thx again

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Rocketman 4* Miss St

[B.S.S.]

someone wants to go halves on the corportations 2 plays pm me

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dominic Brando:

Saturday October 18th NCAA College Football Executive Report:

NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #125 SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS -2/-115 over Kentucky
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #142 MISSOURI TIGERS -13/-125 over Oklahoma State Cowboys
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #144 GEORGIA BULLDOGS -12/-115 over Tennessee Volunteers
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #152 NORTH CAROLINA TARHEELS -7/-130 over Notre Dame Irish
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #172 TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS -20/-115 over Nebraska
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #176 WISCONSIN BADGERS +7/-120 over Penn State Nittany Lions
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #128 BUFFALO BULLS PICK/-120 over Western Michigan Broncos

[brady1983]

Larry Ness (ALL PLAYS SATURDAY)

Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider:7-3 in FB '08

Larry and his "unmatched" contacts are again proving "it pays to be on the inside." They have been combining to produce winning selections for years on the net and FB '08 has been no exception. Larry's exclusive FB Insiders are 7-3 (70%) Y-T-D and his latest CFB Insider goes Saturday. Don't miss this chance to "get on the inside and win!"

UTEP


Larry Ness' LEGEND Play-CFB: 10-2 since '05

Larry's LEGEND plays were previously available to only his personal clients. However, since making them available on the net, these exclusive plays have lived up to their moniker. His lone LEGEND play of CFB '08 (Penn St 45-14 ov Ore St), ups Larry's record to 10-2 (83.3%) in the CFB regular season since '05. Can you afford to miss this one?


Georgia



Larry Ness' Rivalry 9*

Larry features one of his classic LEGEND plays on Saturday (10-2 in CFB's reg season s/'05) but that doesn't mean it's his "ONLY play!" Traditionally, Rivalry Weekend comes in Nov but why wait til then, when a truly great "betting opportunity" is available this Saturday? Need the perfect compliment to Larry's LEGEND play? THIS IS IT!"

Oklahoma



Larry Ness' CFB Bailout Blowout (TV game)
Larry's CFB 'card' features his latest Las Vegas Insider (7-3 TY), his 20* Rivalry GOY, a rare LEGEND play (10-2 since '05!) plus his Bailout Game of the Month. Need that "one late game" to either MAKE or SAVE your CFB Saturday? Then look no further than Larry's Bailout Game of the Month.


Florida Gators

[Jake Gittes]

SPORTSRESEARCHERS
$25 GAME OF THE MONTH

Air Force -10.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Rewyan expert's

Vanderbilt -1.5
Utah -22
Illinois -11
Toledo +16
East Carolina -6
Iowa -5
Totals:
Syracuse/West Virginia Over 48
Minnesota U/Illinois Under 57.5
Michigan State/NorthWestern Over 47.5
Texas/Oklahoma Over 56
Kansas State/Texas A&M Over 58.5
Notre Dame/North Carolina Over 46.5
Arizona State/USC Over 47

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Kelso Club Picks

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Chairman
10 units Mich -16.5
10 units ECU -6.5
5 units Parlay above

Best Bets
5 units Illinois -12.5
4 units Iowa State +5
3 units UTEP -4
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Advance Analysis
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
3*North Carolina
3*New Mexico
2*Toledo
2*Nebraska
2*Central Florida
1*Minn
1*Texas
1*Vanderbilt
1*Purdue
1*Colorado
1*LSU
1*Utah St.
1*Idaho
1*North Texas
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

ARTHUR RALPH

Saturday : UTAH -23

[Baseballer19]

Has IC's POD been posted yet? I saw his other plays but did I overlook is POD? Thanks.