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Can'tPickaWinner
10-09-2008, 06:21 PM
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-10-2008, 10:21 AM
HONDO

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Hondo, riding high and feeling mighty after ringing up an 11-2 record in Week 4, crashed and burned in Week 5 with a 4-8-2 mark that left him tied for third. Luckily for Mr. Aitch, he didn't lose much ground because of the general ineptitude of those ahead of him.

Jets New York Jets over Bengals: A quick check of this week's Bengwads' blotter shows that a backup LB was suspended for using a banned substance, but no one was arrested. There must be some mistake. Regardless, the 0 and cinco Bengwads have no chance now that Favre and Coles have found symbiosis.

Saints over Raiders: This matchup normally would call for a Raider play because of the New Coach Theory. However, Hondo's Handicapping Bible, which is adhered to religiously by HondoNation, calls for an override when that theory is up against the Avoid The Raiders Because Al Davis Is A Doddering Washed-Up Lunatic Theory.

Ravens over Colts: Congratulations are in order for Mike "L'il Him" Lupica and MSNBC's Keith Olbermann (aka Uberdork), who were named Obama-Biden Co-Lap Dogs Of The Week, barely nosing out the always formidable Anchors for Obama.

Panthers over Bucs: Make the Tom V SuperSystem (visiting 'dog getting less than three) work for you.

Lions over Vikings: Apparently, Millen did not have pictures of Lions' owner William Clay Ford in compromising positions as suspected. So now the big mystery is why it took so long to fire the most incompetent GM in NFL history.

Falcons over Bears: Peter "Petey Perv" Cook, Christie-Brinkley's ex, tells 20/20 tonight he hopes "the world will see that I'm not the pervert that I have been painted to be." Unfortunately, by repeatedly taking "matters" into his own hands in front of a webcam, he pretty much has locked up pervert-for-life status.

Dolphins over Texans: The wrong side's favored, which makes this the Market's Down 40 Percent And Retirement's Approaching Bailout Pick Of The Week.

Rams over Redskins: Speaking of on-line porn freaks, David Duchovny is out of sexual addiction rehab, apparently having been cured of his devotion to the smutty side of the Internet. From now he'll stick to magazines.

Broncos over Jaguars: The Pilgrim Congregational Church in Weymouth, Mass., now has a weekly "Woof 'n' Worship" service that dogs can attend. It's a wonderful program because it gives the hounds a chance to take a break from licking themselves so they can focus on getting in touch with their spiritual side.

49ers over Eagles: Additionally, the pious pups can pray for forgiveness for such sins as: passing gas in the car, urinating on the rug, passing gas in the house, coughing up tinfoil, excessive shedding, senseless barking, and grinding on the neighbor's leg.

Cardinals over Cowboys: The Cowboys are a reflection of their fat and soft coach.

Packers over Seahawks: Take the points, but give to the Joey Doyle Memorial Scholarship Fund (Joey Doyle (http://www.joeydoyle.com/)). Friends and family of Joey - Packer fan and Wagner College record-holding pitcher before becoming a Cantor Fitzgerald 9/11 victim - will be holding their sixth annual benefit Sunday at Level One on Staten Island (across the street from the Annandale Train Station). The doors open at noon and will close when all the fun and giving are done.

Chargers over Patriots: Dominatrixes in the city want to form a union to help them collect money from clients who are in arrears. Why don't they just beat it out of them? That way everybody's happy.

Browns over Giants: Careful, Big Blue boosters, Laxico's iffy for the Monday nighter. His 21-month-old son is taking some night classes and doesn't have a ride this week.

BEST BETS: Jets, Dolphins, Chargers.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-10-2008, 07:34 PM
WUNDERDOG

Game: Green Bay at Seattle (Sunday 10/12 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle +1 (-110)
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The Seahawks are coming off a truly gut-wrenching embarrassing loss. The Giants poured it on, winning 44-6. That dropped Seattle to 1-3 on the season. You can bet they are circling the wagons this week. There's nothing like that kind of embarrassment to motivate a set of professionals to perform better the following week. Is Seattle that bad? They beat St. Louis 37-13. Sure, that's the lowly Rams. But, you expect a good team to blow out the bad ones. Their losses have come against what can now be seen to be pretty good teams. The Giants are one of the top teams in the league. They also lost to San Francisco and Buffalo - two teams that were bad last season but have shown they are quite good this year. In Green Bay we have a bit more of a concern. They looked sharp out of the gate beating Minnesota and Detroit. But they have since dropped three straight including a really bad loss to Atlanta at home last week. Both of these teams have issues, but this game is in Seattle which will spell the difference. The Packers haven't won here since 1996 and Seattle is a good home team. And, they have about as strong a motivation as is available in the NFL after last week's stinker. We'll back them here to get the win.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-10-2008, 10:20 PM
Dominic Brando, 13-5 nfl run with mostly all underdogs

Sunday October 19th NFL Week Six Executive Report:

Standard Against the Spread Releases:
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #203 OAKLAND RAIDERS +8/-120 over New Orleans Saints
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #205 BALTIMORE RAVENS +5/-120 over Indianapolis Colts
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #219 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +4/-115 over Denver Broncos
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #224 ARIZONA CARDINALS +6/-125 over Dallas Cowboys
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #226 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS PICK/-120 over Green Bay Packers

NFL Week Six Money Line Releases:
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #203 OAKLAND RAIDERS +275 over New Orleans Saints
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #205 BALTIMORE RAVENS +185 over Indianapolis Colts
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #219 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +165 over Denver Broncos
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #224 ARIZONA CARDINALS +190 over Dallas Cowboys
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #226 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -125 over Green Bay Packers

Dominic Brando Sports
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-10-2008, 10:21 PM
Sports Wise Guys

5 Star Picks (Week 6):

Seattle -2 over Green Bay
Chicago -2.5 over Atlanta
New England +6 over San Diego
Philadelphia/San Francisco Over 43
New Orleans/Oakland Under 47.5
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-10-2008, 10:21 PM
VEGAS VIC

Chargers due for payback, and that should pay off nicely
by Vegas Vic

HOME TEAM in CAPITAL LETTERS

CHARGERS (-5) over Patriots (NBC10)

Triple revenge is on the table and it's the main course. Over the last two seasons, New England and Tom Brady have been comparable to arsenic in San Diego's Gatorade. In 2006, the Lightning Bolts lost at home to Tom Brady, 24-21. In 2007, San Diego was squashed by Tom Brady at New England, in the second game of the season, 38-14. And in the AFC Championship, Tom Brady and the Pats posted a 21-12 victory at San Diego before losing to the Giants in the Super Bowl. Did I mention Tom Brady? Oh, yeah. The last time we saw a Tom Brady reference, it was about his knee surgery. So, no Tom Brady. Enter Matt Cassel. He has New England off to a 3-1 start, but they've played Kansas City, the Jets, Miami and San Francisco, teams that have a combined 7-11 record. Not that the Bolts have a great mark at 2-3, but at home, they are spectacular, posting a 17-3 mark the last 2 years.

Rams (+14) over REDSKINS

Seriously? Yup, seriously. Double V is taking the 0-4 team from St. Louis against the second-best team in the best division in the NFL? Yup. The same team that has been outscored, 147-43? Yup. Reasons please? Let's tap into the Redskins thought process. They are 4-1 with the toughest part of the schedule out of the way. They come off two huge road wins (26-24 at Dallas, 23-17 at the Eagles). Next up, it's St. Louis, Cleveland and Detroit. Naturally, everyone in the locker room is looking at taking a 7-1 record into the Monday-night game against Pittsburgh on Nov. 3. Looking ahead has been the downfall of many teams. We're not suggesting upset, but since the 'Skins' largest margin of victory so far this season has been seven points, how about a final margin of a dozen. More than comfortable for the home team, and a cover for Vic.

Eagles (-5) over 49ERS

First two games, the Birds are flying into the end zone, scoring 75 points. The last three games, they've scratched out only 52. Time for Donovan to get angry, and he has. And here's a little piece of history that says, buy Philly. In 2006, the Eagles lost to the Giants, and NFC East foe, then flew out West the following week and crushed San Francisco, 38-24. History does repeat itself, and the Birds rarely lose three in a row.

TEXANS (-3) over Dolphins

Two wins for Miami and people are starting to talk playoffs. Are you kidding me?! Gotta like the direction that the Fish are swimming, but the water is gonna get a little muddy in Texas. Houston, Sage Rosenfels in particular, gave away the game last week with two late fumbles, but Matt Schaub will be under center this week, and they hope, turnover-free. And don't forget that the Texans are 3-0 lifetime against the Dolphins.

Jaguars (+3) over BRONCOS

Last week, we spoke about Denver's glorious record at home over the last decade (62-24), but against the spread the last 2 years, it's been a rough go. The Broncos have covered only five of the last 19, and in their three wins at Mile High this season, the Broncs have won 39-38, 34-32 and 16-13. That's an average of two points per game, and with Jacksonville's solid road record vs. the spread (covering eight of the last 12), the Jags are worth a tumble.

SEAHAWKS (-2) over Packers

There have not been too many 30-plus-point losses in Mike Holmgren's 10 years at the helm in Seattle. Actually, it happened once, in 2006, a 37-6 loss at Chicago, and the 'Hawks bounced back the following week with a win.

BROWNS (+8) over Giants (ESPN)

Defending Super Bowl champs at 4-0 against a bunch of misfits from Cleveland. Why buy the Brownies? They have covered an astounding eight of the last 10 at home.

SAINTS (-7) over Raiders

This week, when Reggie Bush collects a few hundred all-purpose yards, it'll be a double-digit win for New Orleans.

Ravens (+4) over COLTS

Baltimore has won and or been competitive in every game, a trend that will continue.

Bengals (+6) over JETS

Cincy ain't as bad as everyone thinks, and Favre always gives away a few gifts.

BUCCANEERS (-1) over Panthers

Can't buck Tampa's current 4-1 spread record.

Lions (+13) over VIKINGS

Would recommend putting this game in the no-fly zone.

FALCONS (+3) over Bears

In Year 2 AV (After Vick), Atlanta is 3-2 overall and 2-0 at home.

Cowboys (-4) over CARDINALS

How 'bout them Cowboys? And how 'bout the fact that they have won 12 of the last 13 on the road?
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-10-2008, 10:24 PM
Allen Eastman

$2500.00#214 Atlanta (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12) UNDER DOG GOY

$2000.00 #209 Carolina (+1.5) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)

$600.00 ‘Under’ 45.5 Detroit at Minnesota (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)

$400.00 ‘Over’ 36.5 Carolina at Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)

$2000.00 #224 Arizona (+5) over Dallas (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)

$300.00 #205 Baltimore (+4.5) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 12)

TEASER
10 POINT MOVE
ATL +13
TB OVER 26.5
CAR+2....................................$200.00
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 11:10 AM
MADDUX SPORTS NFL Football

#203 - NFL - 3 units on Oakland +7
#210 - NFL - 3 units on Tampa Bay -1.5
#214 - NFL - 3 units on Atlanta +3
#219 - NFL - 5 units on Jacksonville & Denver Over 48
#224 - NFL - 3 units on Arizona +5

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 03:21 PM
Vernon Croy's **25 Unit NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR**
Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals (Oct 12 4:15 PM)
Over 50.0 (-110.0)
25 Units, Take the Over, I look for s shoot-out Sunday afternoon so take the Over as my NFL Total of the Year.

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 03:31 PM
2008-10-08 RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Chicago Bears /Atlanta Falcons Over 43.5 110




2008-10-11 RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL UPSET SPECIAL BEST BET
Pick # 1 Jacksonville Jaguars (3.5)

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 03:57 PM
Sunday October 19th NFL Week Six Executive Report:

Standard Against the Spread Releases:
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #203 OAKLAND RAIDERS +8/-120 over New Orleans Saints
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #205 BALTIMORE RAVENS +5/-120 over Indianapolis Colts
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #219 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +4/-115 over Denver Broncos
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #224 ARIZONA CARDINALS +6/-125 over Dallas Cowboys
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #226 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS PICK/-120 over Green Bay Packers

NFL Week Six Money Line Releases:
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #203 OAKLAND RAIDERS +275 over New Orleans Saints
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #205 BALTIMORE RAVENS +185 over Indianapolis Colts
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #219 JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +165 over Denver Broncos
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #224 ARIZONA CARDINALS +190 over Dallas Cowboys
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #226 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -125 over Green Bay Packers

Dominic Brando Sports<!-- / message -->

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 04:55 PM
EZ Sunday

5* Houston -3

5* Seattle -1.5

3* Atlanta +3

2* St. Louis +14

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 05:02 PM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 4:05 PMStephen Nover | NFL Total
double-dime bet220 DEN / 219 JAC Over 48.0 Bodog
Analysis:
Jaguars-Broncos Over 48

Analysis: The Broncos pass well and the Jaguars have the potential to run well. That goes hand-in-hand with each team's major defensive weakness.

The Broncos surrendered 198 yards rushing to Larry Johnson two weeks ago in a shocking loss to the Chiefs. Denver ranks 29th in defense and 25th in points allowed. The Broncos' undersized defense can't stop good running backs.

The Jagaurs have two good ones, Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor. The key for Jacksonville is a banged-up offensive line that is getting more healthy. The Jaguars have scored 51 points in their last two games as their offense heats up.

Denver should put up plenty of points against a banged-up Jacksonville secondary. Behind strong-armed Jay Cutler, the Broncos are averaging nearly 30 points a game and rank second in yards and in passing yards per game.

Trend-wise there are strong indications to an 'over,' too. The Jaguars have gone 'over' in 11 of their last 13 road games. The Broncos are 20-6 to the 'over' in their last 26 games, including 4-1 this season.

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 05:04 PM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMKing Creole | NFL Side
triple-dime bet216 HOU -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 215 MIA
Analysis: 1:00pm ET / Miami Dolphins @ Houston Texans
3*** BEST BET on: HOUSTON TEXANS
*If needed, the sharp player would make sure (buy?) his line is -2.5 or less.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 05:36 PM
Kevin Kavitch Overall 17-11-1 headed into Week 6. Tops are now 4-0-0. ATS picks are 15-7-1 68% while the totals are only 2-4-0.


Denver is fortunate to be sitting pretty at 4-1 with a comfy 2-game lead in their division. That helps us here and I feels the 2-3 Jags are the better team and there's no question they'll also be the better motivated team off a tough loss to the Steelers. Jacksonville won't be intimidated going into Denver. Last season they came into Denver and won 23-14 as 3 point dogs while running for almost 200 yards. The Broncos are again listed as home favorites here, a role they've surprisingly been poor at in recent seasons. The Jags other 2 losses came against Buffalo & Tennessee in tight games to open the season so quality of opponent has played a big role in their 2-3 start. The Denver defense has struggled and Jacksonville has an excellent chance to win the line of scrimmage and the game. This one is getting added early due to the extra line value of +3.5 but don't shy away if the line does eventually settle at +3. Take Jacksonville +3.5 for a 5* Top Play


The Bengals appear to be an ugly team to back but I expect this is one of those games where the public will get killed backing the obvious favorite. Winless NFL teams that have things going for them make for long-term pointspread success. The Bengals fit the bill. They've given the Giants and Cowboys everything they can handle the past 3 weeks and along with a loss to the Browns where they were -3 in turnovers and playing without Palmer. Palmer is back the Bengals are showing signs of life. I expect him to have even more confidence after testing his arm out under live fire last week. There is no question that Cincy will be the better motivated team and while the Jets are off to a decent start, they are not a special team that would cause us to back off here. They have some deficiencies in their pass defense and their running game has underachieved. The Bengal pass defense has been better than expected this year and are getting healthier which can make an immediate impact. They can hang with New York in this situation. A quick look at the line shows a ton of public action on the Jets but suspiciously the books have been forced to move the line in the opposite direction from -6.5 to -6. Like I've been saying all year, seen this movie before and no doubt the early smart money is on the Bengals. Don't be surprised if the Bengals pull a shocker here and I like this one enough to make a 2nd Top Play which is rare. Take Cincinnati +6 for a 5* Top Play.<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 05:37 PM
FYI

Palmer & Westbrook are out.

brady1983
10-11-2008, 07:33 PM
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider: 4-0 in NFL

Larry's exclusive NFL Insiders are a PERFECT 4-0 this year (Hurricane Ike postponed Larry's NFL Insider on Hou in Wk 2), after an easy Week 5 win on the Cards (41-17 ov the Bills). As always, Larry's 1st posted NFL play of the new week is his latest Las Vegas Insider. "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in on Week 6?



Seattle Seahawks

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 08:40 PM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMAndre Gomes | NFL Side
double-dime bet216 HOU -3.0 (+100) Bodog vs 215 MIA
Analysis: If we look to the standings, there are 4 teams with 0-4 or worse records: Texans, Bengals, Lions and Rams. Well, I just don't want to be disrespectful for the other three teams, but the Texans are on a superior level. This team suffered with the Hurricane Ike earlier in the season, and I'm talking about the lack of concentration that the team should have on the football.

After the unexpected bye week, the Texans lost against the Jaguars and the Colts in two games that the Texans actually outplayed those teams. Against the Jags, they had +11 total yards than the Jags and last week they had +77 total yards than the Colts! The defeat against Indianapolis was a miracle, in a game where the Texans leaded 27-10, and in a couple of minutes they blew up the lead in a dismal loss. The good news for a bettor perspective is that they play again at home, which is a strong spot for them.

Matt Schaubb, unfortunately for the Texans, missed last game (QB Rosenfels screw up against the Colts with 2 awful turnovers) and he's back for this game. Schaubb after bad performances bounced back against the Jags and performed nicely with 3 TD's and 119.5 QB rating, and with Andre Johnson playing well, the Texans have a balance offense.


Steve Slaton has breathed new life into a dying running game, with 285 yards and a 5-yard average per carry. If Ahman Green stays healthy and runs like he did against the Colts, he'll be a nice complement to Slaton. Both are good receivers out of the backfield and the Texans have the right tool to make much damage.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins suddenly are one of the biggest surprises on the league. They slaughtered the Patriots on their own field with a huge upset win and last week they had repeated the same, beating the Chargers at home 17-10.

The key was the Wildcat formation, with which Miami took advantage of the lack of preparation of the opponents to counter this system. But the surprise factor won't last forever and the Texans should be for sure more prepared that the Chargers and Patriots.:

"They're causing a lot of problems because basically you're preparing for two offensive football teams," Texans coach Gary Kubiak said of the Dolphins. "It's not only that they're doing something different. They're running their other offense pretty darn well, too. So, all of a sudden, your preparation is doubled."


The Dolphins average 126 yards a game and a 4.3-yard average per carry. Ronnie Brown has 286 yards, a 4.9-yard average per carry and six touchdowns. He and Ricky Williams (189) are the backs in the wildcat formation and both were the key players on the 2 wins by the Dolphins.

Although the Texans are ranked in 26th rush defense with 138.8 yards allowed, they've improved against the run in the last two games, in which they excelled at, containing Jacksonville's Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew, and Indianapolis' Joseph Addai, so I'm expecting a well prepared team to contain the Dolphins' running football.

Miami is overlooked in this game, the surprise factor will not be the same for this game, and we must not forget that in the last game the Chargers were in a bad spot for them: first trip to the East in a earlier game for them, here the evidences: QB Rivers completed only 46.4% of the Passes and the Chargers went 1-3 on the Red Zone Efficiency, and 0-1 on Goal To Go Efficiency.

I expect a huge effort of the Texans for this game, they need badly to win a ballgame which they already deserved, and they will face a team which comes from two upset wins, therefore a letdown is the most likely scenario. I will take the Texans in here for my first double dime pick of the season!



Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMAndre Gomes | NFL Side
dime bet206 IND -3.0 (-125) BetUS vs 205 BAL



Sun, 10/12/08 - 4:05 PMAndre Gomes | NFL Total
dime bet220 DEN / 219 JAC Over 48.0 Bodog


Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMAndre Gomes | NFL Side
dime bet210 TAM -1.5 (-110) Bodog vs 209 CAR

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 08:45 PM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMStephen Nover | NFL Side
double-dime bet217 STL 14.0 (-110) Bodog vs 218 WAS
Analysis:
Rams +14

Analysis: St. Louis doesn't have much going, offensively or defensively, but this is an outstanding situation for the Rams. St. Louis was idle last week. Fiery Jim Haslett replaces the ineffectual Scott Linehan. His first move was to restore Marc Bulger back to the starting quarterback spot, thus greatly improving team morale.

The Redskins are in a flat spot following tremendous upset division road victories against Dallas and Philadelphia. Those games obviously took a toll on the Redskins, physically and mentally. It will be hard for them to take the winless Rams seriously.

Leonard Little is healthy for the Rams. That's huge because he's a premier pass rusher. He elevates the Rams' entire defense. Washington hasn't committed a turnover in five games. What are the odds of going a sixth straight game without an interception or fumble?

The Redskins also have key defensive injuries. Their best pass rusher, Jason Taylor, and best cornerback, Shawn Springs, missed last week's game. The Rams can keep the chains moving with stud running back Steven Jackson.

Keep in mind, too, that in the parity-filled NFL road underdogs of 10 or more points are 7-0 against the spread this season.

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 08:52 PM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMKing Creole | NFL Total
double-dime bet218 WAS / 217 STL Over 44.0 BetUS
Analysis: 1:00pm ET / ST LOUIS RAMS @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

4:15pm ET / GREEN BAY PACKERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

4:15pm ET / DALLAS COWBOYS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 08:52 PM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMStephen Nover | NFL Side
double-dime bet213 CHI -3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 214 ATL
Analysis:
Bears -3

Analysis: The Falcons are a surprising 3-2, but the Bears have too much defense and savvy for Atlanta.

Falcons rookie quarterback Matt Ryan has shown a lot of poise and, at times, flashes of greatness. But he's going to have problems with the Bears' well-coached veteran defense that is at full force now with the return of defensive tackle Tommie Harris, who is a difference-maker.

Ryan has received a lot of attention, but very quietly Bears quarterback Kyle Orton is playing extremely well. He's thrown for 801 yards and seven touchdowns during his last three games. The Bears are 14-5 during the last 19 times Orton has started.

The Bears have played stiff competion - Indianapolis, Carolina, Tampa Bay and Philadelphia. The Falcons own home wins versus Detroit and Kansas City - two of the three worst teams in the NFL - and a crippled Green Bay squad.

The Falcons have failed to produce during the two times they've stepped up and faced tough defenses. They were beaten by identical 24-9 scores against Tampa Bay and Carolina. The Bears' defense is just as tough as those two teams.

The Bears shouldn't be bothered playing in a dome setting either. They just beat the Lions in Detroit last Sunday, 34-7.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 09:07 PM
Teddy Cover
20* Chargers

Reg
Bucs -1
Falcons +3
Jags Over 48
Cardinals +5
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ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 09:56 PM
Bill Gallo

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

44-27-3 for the year
6-6-2 last week
5~0 Best Bets

Jets -6
Raiders +7
Colts - 4 1/2
Panthers + 1 1/2
Vikes - 13 1/2
Falcons +3
Miami +3
Rams + 13 1/2
Denver - 3 1/2
Philly -5
Boys - 4 1/2
Packers +2
Pats +5
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Giants - 8 Best Bet (monday) 5~0 on these plays

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 09:57 PM
KILLER MOVE: JACKSONVILLE (GOM) in NFL

ymmit2nd
10-11-2008, 09:57 PM
Leroy's Money Talks Invitational

Lee Sterling vs. KrackMan

Sterling had all college plays while KrackMan had all NFL plays.

KrackMan

Broncos -3
Eagles under 42
Bengals uner 42
Falcons +3
Redskins -13.5
Dolphins +3
Ravens +4 **Best Bet**

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:15 PM
Power Sweep

4* Houston 28-13
3* Seattle 31-20
2* St. Louis + 27-31
2* Arizona + 28-27

3* Jets over 45
3* Colts U 39
3* Panthers U36
2* Packers over 47
2* Cowboys over 48<!-- / message -->
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:17 PM
CKO CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

PRIORITY PICKS and PREFERENCES
CKO Vol. 47 Oct. 9 - 13, 2008 No. 7

RATINGS: 11 - Exceptional, 10 - Strong, 9 - Above Average
CKO CHOICE IN CAPITALS
* - Denotes Home Team




10 N.Y. GIANTS over *Cleveland
Late Score Forecast:
N.Y. GIANTS 31 - *Cleveland 13
(Monday, October 13)

Giants’ strengths way too many in this matchup. Solid at QB. Aggressive and still underrated in the OL. Three deep at RB. Plaxico Burress due to return at WR after his suspension. Intimidating pass rush. Highly-ranked run defense. Improved young depth in the secondary. A demanding but more simpatico coach who generates a daily work ethic second to few. And, best yet for this game, a warrior mentality on the road that has produced a 12- game road unbeaten string and ten straight covers away from home. Meanwhile, Cleveland RB Jamal Lewis (3.4 ypc) has lost a step, QB Derek Anderson (49.6%, 3 TDs, 6 ints.) has failed to justify his new deal, and the injurythinned defense has produced only 6 sacks in 4 games. CKO scouts say Giants fully aware they can’t afford a misstep in the rugged NFC East.

TOTALS:

Baltimore-Indianapolis OVER (39)—Injury-depleted Indy defense giving up points, but Peyton has the targets to bail it out...
Cincinnati-N.Y. Jets UNDER (45)—Poorly-balanced Cincy offense producing only 15 ppg; Jets now have more ball control with Favre converting third downs.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:19 PM
Nelly

5-dallas
4chicago
3-sf
2-tb
1-balt

system:sf

minnesota-detroit over the total
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:23 PM
GOLDSHEET - NFL


ARIZONA by 6 over Dallas
SEATTLE by 14 over Green Bay
OVER THE TOTAL in the Miami-Houston game


ARIZONA 30 - Dallas 24—Dallas (2-0 vs. the spread away TY) has
historically had a strong following in Arizona. But Ken Whisenhunt has been
having considerable success “changing the culture” of the Cards, who are now 7-3 vs. spread at University of Phoenix Stadium under their steady HC, including 2-0 as a dog. Arizona demonstrated its depth at WR last week (Larry Fitzgerald 7 recs., Steve Breaston 7, Early Doucet 6) with Anquan Boldin out. And powerful short-yardage specialist Tim Hightower (2 more TDR) helping E. James in the backfield.
(06-Dallas -6' 27-10...SR: Dallas 55-28-1)




SEATTLE 34 - Green Bay 20—Neither of these two bear much
resemblance to LY’s playoff foes. But even with Aaron Rodgers (3 TDP last
week despite sore shoulder) back for the Pack, much prefer Seattle, which
offers good value at home (19-9-1 vs. line at extremely noisy Qwest Field since ‘05) and ought to be able to do some business vs. depleted Green Bay “D” that’s particularly strapped in the secondary after recent injuries. Clutch Seahawk WRs Bobby Engram & Deion Branch got the kinks out last week. And we know Mike Holmgren is still stinging from that lopsided loss vs. his former team last January at Lambeau. “Totals” alert—Pack “over” 18-5 last 23! (07-G. BAY 42-Sea. 20...G.25-15 G.35/235 S.18/28 G.18/23/0/173 S.19/33/0/172 G.2 S.1) (07-GREEN BAY -7' 42-20 (Playoffs)...SR: Green Bay 8-5



OVER THE TOTAL HOUSTON 27 - Miami 26—Second of four straight
home games for Houston, which has played well enough to win last two weeks at Jacksonville and last week vs. Indy, losing one game in OT and the other in the waning minutes after a couple of “not-so-sage” Rosenfels fumbles. Rosenfels was 4-1 as a starter LY, and is getting plenty of help from WR A. Johnson & quick rookie RB Slaton. But Miami is brimming with confidence after another Ronnie Brown TD from the Wildcat formation, giving Dolphins back-toback victories over LY’s AFC title game participants! Houston “over” 4-0 TY; 17-7-1 overall. (07-HOU. 22-Miami 19...H.20-17 M.25/137 H.28/74 H.20/34/1/278 M.16/29/1/148 H.1 M.0)
(07-HOUSTON -5 22-19...SR: Houston 3-0)




NEW ORLEANS 27 - Oakland 24—First game for Oakland under elevated
OL coach Tom Cable, who was 11-35 in his only other head coaching job at Idaho 2000-2003, making him fit right in with the likes of Bill Callahan, Norv Turner, Art Shell & Lane Kiffin as HCs tabbed by Al Davis since Jon Gruden in 2001. Meanwhile, former Raiders such as Warren Sapp have been entertaining us with tales of strange occurrences in Oakland. All that being said, however, the Raiders have enough talent to be 2-0 vs. the spread on the road TY, and o.c. Greg Knapp is reportedly under instructions to call more plays to exploit the considerable talents of LSU product JaMarcus Russell. (04-New Orleans +3 31-26...SR: Oakland 5-4-1)




INDIANAPOLIS 27 - Baltimore 17—Huge Manning-vs.-Flacco QB edge for
Indy. But Colts’ remodeled OL must deal with the aggressive zone blitzes of Ravens, while the thinned Indy defense must inhibit the power running of Willis McGahee & 260-pound FB/RB Le’Ron McClain (266 YR, 4 TDs). Rookie HC John Harbaugh has had Baltimore fired up for every game so far, with both losses in the late going by 3 points each. However, Indy is 0-2 SU so far at “The Luke” and eager for first win at new home, so in Peyton vs. the rookie we trust. (07-Indy 44-BALT. 20...B.19-16 B.32/98 I.27/59 I.16/22/0/275 B.22/30/3/145 I.0 B.2) (07-Indianapolis -9 44-20...SR: Indianapolis 6-2)




NY JETS 27 - Cincinnati 16—It will be a long time before Jets again get 7
takeaways, as they did in last game vs. Arizona two weeks ago. However, they looked like a different team, with Brett Favre passing freely to open receivers and the aggressive N.Y. front seven collecting five sacks. This week, they can add some punch in the backfield with RB Jesse Chatman’s suspension concluded. Sore-elbowed Carson Palmer not much more mobile than Cards’ Kurt Warner. (07-CINCY 38-Jets 31...C.26-19 C.41/177 N.26/84 N.20/31/1/258 C.14/21/1/218 C.0 N.1) (07-CINCINNATI -6 38-31...SR: NY Jets 13-7)




Carolina 23 - TAMPA BAY 16—The Panthers have enjoyed inordinate
recent success at Raymond James, winning their last five trips! With Jake
Delhomme getting support on the ground from both DeAngelo Williams &
Jonathan Stewart and through the air from Steve Smith & Muhsin Muhammad, must believe they have a considerable chance to extend their streak, especially with Bucs’ QB picture unclear once again. Carolina 20-8-2 last 30 as an underdog! (07-T. Bay 20-CAR. 7...T.22-13 T.42/189 C.23/99 T.15/25/0/176 C.19/41/1/137 T.1 C.1) (07-Car. 31-T. BAY 23...C.20-17 C.37/180 T.26/107 T.21/28/1/196 C.15/24/1/169 C.1 T.0)
(07-Tampa Bay +3 20-7, Carolina -3 31-23...SR: Carolina 9-6)



MINNESOTA 31 - Detroit 10—Well, so much for the thought that Matt Millen was all that ailed in Detroit. Lions need more than a new GM; they need an exorcism (by the way, was that Max von Sydow we saw at Ford Field last week?), as the mess Millen left behind now includes issues at QB after Jon Kitna was pulled (or was he hurt?) vs. Bears to go along with Detroit’s unassertive defense (37 ppg, only two takeaways). By comparison, Minnesota’s concerns seem minor, and the Vikes still have Adrian Peterson and the most dominant platoon (their “D”) on field. Minny led 35-10 at the H in LY’s game at the HHH Metrodome.
(07-DET. 20-Min. 17 (OT)...D.29-17 M.33/123 D.21/56 D.35/56/3/359 M.20/37/4/190 D.2 M.1) (07-MINN. 42-Det. 10...M.29-14 M.39/216 D.7/23 D.27/36/1/231 M.19/26/1/227 M.0 D.0) (07-DETROIT -3 20-17 (OT), MINNESOTA -4' 42-10...SR: Minnesota 61-30-2)



Chicago 24 - ATLANTA 16—There’s not much secret to Atlanta’s best
recipe, which is to establish Michael Turner as an infantry force to minimize the pressure on promising rookie QB Matt Ryan, who is capable of generating big plays off the threat of Turner’s runs. But Chicago’s Kyle Orton (5 TDP last 2 games) is off his best back-to-back efforts since his days at Purdue, and Devin Hester (5 catches at Detroit) starting to establish himself as legit receiving threat. Bears a couple of 4th-quarter breakdowns from a 5-0 SU mark! (05-CHICAGO -3' 16-3...SR: Chicago 12-10)



WASHINGTON 31 - St. Louis 13—It’s interesting that Jim Haslett,
coordinator of one of the league’s worst defenses (37 ppg), has been elevated to be HC of the Rams. Most insiders blame St. Louis’ current plight on dubious front office moves over the past several years, combined with terrible injury luck. Now, there’s even wild speculation of a move back to L.A.! But the question here is whether the Rams (2-7 last 9 as a dog) deserve respect in an extraordinary situation (first game for a new coach) vs. solid Washington (4 straight covers) with its Campbell-Portis-Moss offense and bright young HC Jim Zorn. We’ll say not ‘til they earn it.
(06-ST. LOUIS -2 37-31 (OT)...SR: Washington 22-9-1)




DENVER 28 - Jacksonville 23—Pass vs. run? No doubt Jacksonville—with
Fred Taylor & Maurice Jones-Drew—will try to play “keepaway” vs. Denver’s high-scoring spread and its explosive young passing combo of QB Cutler (10 TDs, 4 ints.), Brandon Marshall (34 recs.) & Eddie Royal (30). The Jags racked up 186 YR in a victory on this field LY. But the young Broncs are now a more mature, moe talented crew that has gone “over” 4-1 TY and 20 of its last 26 overall. And Jacksonville “over” 11 of 13 away. (07-Jack. 23-DENVER 14...J.21-11 J.47/186 D.18/47 D.16/23/1/218 J.14/20/0/140 J.2 D.2) (07-Jacksonville +3' 23-14...SR: EVEN 4-4)


Philadelphia 27 - SAN FRANCISCO 17—Can’t trust the S.F. offense with its
20 sacks allowed vs. the aggressive Philly defense and its 18 sacks earned. Washington—with its depth at DB and familiarity with the multiple talents of Brian Westbrook—was able to contain the Eagles for the final three quarters last week. Not sure the 49ers able to duplicate that performance. The savvy New England defense was able to lure J.T. O’Sullivan into three ints. last week. (06-Philadelphia -6 38-24...SR: San Francisco 17-9-1)



*SAN DIEGO 27 - New England 13—Payback time for S.D. after a pair of
losses LY, the first in Week Two vs. the then-rampaging N.E. offense, and the second in the January AFC title game, when LaDainian Tomlinson was out and Philip Rivers played with a tear in his ACL and TE Antonio Gates with a bum foot. The Pats’ offense that was setting records in 2007 is near the bottom of the league in 2008. Bill Belichick teams are 24-11-1 last 36 when getting points. But Matt Cassel is making only his fourth start, and the defense is giving up some long TD drives. Chargers 9-2 vs. spread last 11 at home. TV—NBC (07-N. ENG. 38-S. Diego 14...N.25-14 N.32/144 S.20/52 N.25/31/1/263 S.19/30/2/149 N.1 S.1) (07-N. ENG. 21-S. Diego 12...N.25-17 N.31/149 S.22/104 S.19/37/2/207 N.22/33/3/198 N.0 S.0) (07-NEW ENGLAND -3' 38-14, NEW ENGLAND -13' 21-12 (Playoffs)...SR: New England 20-14-2)

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:26 PM
TEDDY COVERS
NEW ENGLAND AT SAN DIEGO -5
O/U 45
Recommendation: San Diego


FAIRWAY JAY
CHICAGO AT ATLANTA +2.5
O/U 43
Recommendation: Atlanta

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:27 PM
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA - NFL


CAROLINA
Series and team trends favor Carolina when the Panthers
travel to Tampa Bay for an NFC South showdown against the Bucs
Sunday afternoon. Raymond James Stadium certainly hasn’t
spooked Carolina, which has won five straight off Dale Mabry
Highway (covering 4 of those). And the Panthers have been one
of the NFL’s most-accomplished underdogs this decade, especially
so away from home, where they’ve recorded a 21-8-2 spread mark
their last 31 when receiving points. That’s also why Carolina is a
featured recommendation (along with HC John Fox) in the NFL
Coach as Underdog system this week.




OAKLAND at NEW ORLEANS...Raiders have covered their first 2
as visitor TY. They’re also “over” 3-1 TY and “over” 13-6-1 since ‘07.
Saints have won and covered first two as host in ‘08, and now “over”
16-6-1 last 23 on board. Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals”
trends.


BALTIMORE at INDIANAPOLIS...Ravens “over” 6-3-1 their last 10
as visitor. Colts 0-2 SU and vs. line in Lucas Oil Stadium, though “over”
in both. Tech edge-“Over” and slight to Ravens, based on
“totals” and recent team trends.


CINCINNATI at NY JETS...Bengals now “under” 8-3 last 11 dating
to late ‘07. Mangini 2-1 as chalk TY, and throwing out LY’s 0-3-1 chalk
mark, Jets 6-2-1 laying points since ‘06 for Mangini. Tech edge-
“Under” and slight to Jets, based on recent team and
“totals” trends.


CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY...Panthers have won last 5 trips to
Raymond James Stadium, covering 4 of those. If Carolina a dog note
Fox’s 20-8-2 spread mark last 30 in role. Gruden “over” 8-3 last 11
dating to late ‘07. Tech edge-Panthers and “over,” based on
series, team, and “totals” trends.


DETROIT at MINNESOTA...Vikes 5-1 SU, 5-0-1 vs. line last 6 in
series. Lions 2-8 vs. line away since LY, 4-14 since ‘06. They’re also
“over” 14-5 last 19 as visitor (1-1 TY). Tech edge-Vikings and
“over,” based on series and “totals” trends.


CHICAGO at ATLANTA...Falcs “over” first 2 at Georgia Dome TY,
now “over” 8-2 last 10 as host. Bears “over” 27-14-1 last 42 on board.
Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.


MIAMI at HOUSTON...Dolphins “over” 6-3 last 9 since late ‘07,
Texans “over” first 3 TY, now “over” 16-7-1 last 24 since late ‘06.
Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.


ST. LOUIS at WASHINGTON...Rams 5-15 vs. line since ‘07, 2-7 that
span as road dog. Rams also “under” 7-3 away since ‘07. Tech
edge-Skins and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals”
trends.


JACKSONVILLE at DENVER...Broncos “over” 4-1 TY, now “over”
20-6 last 26 since late ‘06, and “over” 13-3 last 16 at Invesco Field.
JV “over” 11-2 its last 13 on road. If Jags a dog note 7-2 mark on road
in role since ‘07. Tech edge-“Over” and slight to Jags, if dog,
based on “totals” and team trends.


PHILADELPHIA at SAN FRANCISCO...Birds 12-6-1 vs. line on road
since ‘06, but note Andy Reid just 4-12-1 vs. number last 17 as chalk
(0-1 TY). Niners now “under” 8-3 last 11 at Candlestick since LY.
Tech edge-slight to “under” and 49ers, based on “totals”
and team trends.


DALLAS at ARIZONA...Whisenhunt 7-3 vs. line as host since
becoming Cards’ HC in ‘07, and 2-0 as home dog that span. Cards
5-2 as home dog since ‘06. Cards “over” 19-7 last 26 since late ‘06.
Tech edge-slight to Cards and “over,” based on team and
“totals” trends.


GREEN BAY at SEATTLE...Pack “over” 4-1 TY, “over” 18-5 since
‘07. Seattle “over” first 4 TY, now “over" last 7 and 9 of last 11 dating
to late ‘07. Holmgren also 19-9-1 vs. line at home since ‘05 (1-1 TY).
Tech edge-Seahawks and “over,” based on team and “totals”
trends.


NEW ENGLAND at SAN DIEGO...Belichick 5-1 as dog since ‘06, 24-
11-1 in role last 36 as dog overall. Tech edge-slight to Patriots,
based on Belichick dog mark.



NY GIANTS at CLEVELAND (Monday, October 13)...Eli has won
last 12 SU away from home, and Giants have covered 9 straight and
11 of 12 away from home. Romeo “under” last 5 by Lake Erie. Tech
edge-Giants and slight to “under,” based on team and
“totals” trends.





NFL SYSTEM PLAYS THIS WEEK

NFL COACH AS A UNDERDOG-CAROLINA over Tampa Bay@, NEW
ENGLAND over San Diego, and dog in J'VILLE-DENVER game.


FAMILIARITY-TAMPA BAY over Carolina@.

SCORE 40 LETDOWN-DALLAS over Arizona, CLEVELAND over
NY Giants.

NFL BLOWOUT BOUNCEBACK-SEATTLE over Green Bay.

NFL BLOWOUT LETDOWN-ATLANTA over Chicago, TAMPA
BAY over Carolina, CLEVELAND over N.Y. Giants.
*-If underdog. #-If dog, pick, or 1-point favorite. @-May conflict with
other tech system(s). For preferred TGS EXTRA!!! recommendation,
consult Technician’s Corner and/or Tech Plays of Week. Line moves
after Sunday night can alter selections in certain systems
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 10:30 PM
Pointwise NFL

DALLAS over Arizona RATING: 2
BALTIMORE over Indianapolis RATING: 3
SAN DIEGO over New England RATING: 4
HOUSTON over Miami RATING: 5
SEATTLE over Green Bay RATING: 5

NEW ORLEANS 27 - Oakland 24 - (1:00) -- Raider bye week came at a good
time, as they blew 9-pt & 12-pt 4th quarter leads in their previous 2 games. As
a matter of fact, they were outscored 28-3 by the Bills, in their last outing. So
they've actually been in their past 3 games. The way to go thus far, is with the
visitor in Oakland games, as the guest is 4-0 ATS by 53½ pts. Third straight
HG for the Saints, who are in off Monday Nighter. At least 23 pts in each of
their last 9 games, but also 28.5 ppg in last 6 contests. Raiders 21-12 ATS as
RDs off 2 losses, while Saints are 0-10 ATS Oct HFs vs a foe off SU/ATS loss.

INDIANAPOLIS 20 - Baltimore 19 - (1:00) -- Miracle win & cover for Colts LW,
with 3 TDs in final 4:04 (68-yd fumble return, & TD off fumble). Indy still being
mauled, overland, with RY deficits of 183-53, 180-25, 236-114, & 156-79, so
this can't be that easy, as the Ravens have FD edges of 21-8, 21-11, 16-11, &
22-14 thus far. Two straight 3-pt losses for Balt, after a 45-20 pt edge in its
first 2 games. The visitor is 6-0 both SU & ATS in Colt games lately, & with the
Ravens ranking 3rd in rushing "O", as well as 1st in overall "D", they are worth
a long look. Baltimore is 13-7 ATS off scoring 14 pts or less. Down to the wire.

NEW YORK JETS 26 - Cincinnati 23 - (1:00) -- The man is something. No less
than 6 TD passes for Favre before Jet bye week. That's a career-high for him,
& ties him with Joe Namath for most ever by a Jet. Now 12/4 for the season.
Chance for NY to make a legitimate move with Cincy, Oakland, KC run. But
the Bengals shouldn't go down easily, as they've covered their last 2 RGs by
10½ & 7 pts, altho they do have an 855-385 RY deficit so far. Dog is 12-2 ATS
in Cincy games (10 upsets), & the guest is 7-2 ATS in NY tilts. Jets 1-9 ATS
in Oct vs non-division foes off a pair of losses. Despite Cincy's Dallas-Pitt SW.

TAMPA BAY 20 - Carolina 13 - (1:00) -- As we've written many times, we rarely
stray from the Bucs at home. And this year is no exception, as they've paid off
by 8 & 7½ pts in their 2 hosting opportunities to date. Garcia for Griese (shoulder),
& he was a nice 13-of-17 in that push. Panthers took full advantage of
the anemic Chiefs LW, in 34-0 blowout (441-127 yd edge), which boosts an
"O" which was ranked just 23rd at gametime. Check Williams with 123 RYs &
3 TDs. But Bucs are 9-1 ATS in the 1st of 2 HGs, vs an opponent off a pair of
wins, as well as 24-13 ATS off a loss of 3 pts or less. Tampa, as division host.

MINNESOTA 34 - Detroit 10 - (1:00) -- Yes, we know that the 14-pt opening line
on this one seems juicy, especially with the Vikes coming in off a Monday Night
appointment. But backing the Lions is a quick trip to the poor house. Check
their current 1-11 SU run, as well a their 2-10 ATS slide. They've been stung
for 35.9 ppg in their last 10 outings, & are simply worse by the week. Can't
run, & can't stop the run (720-281 RY deficit), or anything else. Orlovsky for
Kitna LW, but no matter. Minny nothing special (1-6 ATS), but the fav is 4-0 in
Viking games this year, & they are 5-0-1 ATS in this series of late. Poor Lions.

Chicago 24 - ATLANTA 16 - (1:00) -- Bears sit atop the NFC Central, with their
fine early season play. They've been a very profitable play of late (+99 pts ATS
in their last 8 games), with Orton certainly earning his stripes. Threw for 324
yds & 2 TDs vs the inept Lions (no INTs). Couple of ointment flies, of course,
not the least of which is the success of the pup in Bear games of late: 6-1-1
ATS, as well as the fact that the host is 5-1 ATS in Falcon contests. Turner
now at 543 RYs, with Ryan 4/3 for the year. But Falcon "D": 28 ppg last 12.
Atlanta 4-19 ATS hosting winning teams, & 11-24 ATS off a win of 3 pts or less.

HOUSTON 27 - Miami 17 - (1:00) -- Incredible loss for Texans LW, after leading
27-10 with 4:05 left, with 2 Rosenfels (for ailing Schaub) fumbles the culprits.
Two straight for oncoming Dolphs, behind 238 RYs from Brown, with Chad a
brilliant 39-of-49 in those 2 (37½ & 13½ pt covers). And they catch Houston
off 3 division games. But Texans averaging 31 ppg in last 6 hosters, with
Schaub's return ensuring a continuation. Miami is 14-25 ATS off a SU dog
win, while Houston is 17-10 ATS off a loss of <11 pts. Texans also 8-2 ATS off
a division game vs a foe off 2 wins. And Kubiak is 7-1 home vs a foe off a win.

WASHINGTON 36 - St Louis 13 - (1:00) -- Would love to jump on the 15 pt line
posted here, but it makes little sense. Like the aforementioned Lions, you need
only look at the Rams' dismal record, namely a 3-16-1 spread log, while failing
to reach 17 pts on 14 occasions since LY, while allowing 38.4 ppg over their
last 7 outings. For example, they led Buffalo 14-6: lost 31-14. Four straight
wins & covers for the 'Skins, with a 649-273 RY edge in those 4. Portis: 266
RYs last 2 weeks (vs Dallas & Philly, no less), & Campbell a force. Rams are
10-22 ATS away vs winning teams, while 'Skins on 8-2 ATS run. Over early.

DENVER 24 - Jacksonville 19 - (4:05) -- Finally a bit of a defensive showing for
the Broncos, who entered their game with the Bucs, off allowing 38, 32, & 33
pts. But just a single TD by Tampa, altho Denver was outrushed at home for
the 1st time. The Broncos are averaging 31 ppg in their last 6 hosters, & rank
#1 in the NFL in total "O". The 'Ville in off being manhandled by Pitt: 415-213
yd & 28-14 FD deficits, altho the Jags did have the lead entering the final 2
minutes. Last 4 J'Ville games have been decided by 4, 2, 3, & 5 pts, so more
of the same here. Broncos 25-15 ATS at home with line between -3 & +3 pts.

Philadelphia 30 - SAN FRANCISCO 20 - (4:15) -- Call similar score to LW's Pat/
49er contest. Check the overwhelming stat advantage of the Patriots: 25-12
FD, & 377-199 yd edges. O'Sullivan: 3 TDs, but also 3 INTs; Gore: from 212
RYs to just 54. This is 3rd of 6 grinders for SanFran, but the Eagles enter this
one off no less than 4 wars, losing the last 2. And note just a FG over the final
52:47 vs the 'Skins (203-58 RY deficit). Thus, a quick chance for redemption,
as well as a return to the right track. The Niners are 2-8 ATS off scoring >20
pts, & losing, & are 12-21 ATS off a spread loss as a dog. Philly bounceback.

Dallas 31 - ARIZONA 19 - (4:15) -- Matchup of old NFC East squads. Cowboys
a game back of the Giants, along with the 'Skins. Are loaded, talentwise, but
just a 2-8 spread play of late. But a closer look shows the visitor at 5-0 ATS (by
43½ pts) when Dallas takes the field. As a matter of fact, the Cowboys hold a
55-26 pt edge away from their home park thus far. Have the 2nd best "O" in
the NFL, with Romo at 11/5, & Jones in off a 10.7 ypr effort. Cards: 4 takeaways
in 41-17 rout of previously unbeaten Bills, with Warner now at 10/4. Dallas is
28-14 ATS as RFs of <7½ pts. Cards are 4-11 ATS at home off win of 7+ pts.

SEATTLE 33 - Green Bay 23 - (4:15) -- Now or never for the Seahawks, who
have a huge score to settle with the Packers, who administered a 42-20 playoff
pounding LY. As usual, home/away dichotomy in Seattle contests is firmly
entrenched. In their 2 RGs, the 'Hawks have a 78-16 pt deficit, but are at 34.2
ppg in their last 5 hosters. And the homer is 31-13 ATS in their last 44 games.
Rodgers (shoulder) played for the Pack vs Atlanta, but a crucial INT did them
in. Sure, McCarthy is 8-1 ATS vs opponents off a SU non-division loss, but
have to see Seattle taking advantage of 26th rated Packer defense. Revenge.

SAN DIEGO 29 - New England 15 - (8:15 - NBC) -- Triple revenge shot for the
Chargers, who not only lost to the Pats during the '07 regular season, but also
in the '06 & '07 playoffs. May have been peeking a bit to this one, in LW's 17-
10 loss to the Dolphins, as they had averaged 34.5 ppg in their first 4 games.
And note a current 11-3 ATS run for SD, with 1 of those misses by a single pt.
The Pats are on a 2-8 ATS run, reaching 20 pts in just 1 of their last 5 outings.
A solid showing at SanFran, but Chargers are another matter. They are 13-4
ATS off a SU loss, as well as 16-6 ATS off being upset. Grab this "must-win".

Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 11:38 PM
Nathan Armstrong
Highprofitsports

5* Under Den/jack
3* Jacksonville
3* Greenbay
3* Giants
2* Jets
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-11-2008, 11:40 PM
Marc Lawrence's PLAYBOOK


MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (3-4)...CINCINNATI
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (4-3)...SEATTLE...DEN OVER



3* BEST BET
WASHINGTON over St. Louis by 3

Wow! What a run. As if beating the Cowboys in Dallas (as a doubledigit
dog) wasn’t enough, the Redskins go into Philadelphia and beat
the Eagles (as a touchdown dog). Their reward this week, should they
decide to accept it, is to scale over a two-touchdown impost against
a well-rested crew with a new coach and a fresh attitude. Gulp. Rest
assured, it won’t be easy. For openers the Skins have failed three times
in a row (SU and ATS) in games off a double-digit revenge victory when
facing an opponent off back-to-back losses. Worse, they are 0-8 SU and
ATS after beating the Eagles when facing a sub .667 opponent. FYI: they
were favored in 7 of those games. Add in the Awesome Angle on page 2
and we would not be at all surprised should the Rams catch the Redskins
taking a well-deserved nap today. To that we say bow-wow!


4* BEST BET
Cincinnati over NY JETS by 7
Bretty and the Jets hit the Bye Week in dramatic fashion when they
disposed of the Cardinals, 56-35, two weeks ago. It marked the fi rst time
in QB Favre’s career that he tossed six touchdown passes in a game. A
deeper look inside the Flyboys’ numbers, though, tells a different story.
It seems this 2-2 squad has outgained only one opponent on the playing
fi eld (Miami, by 16 yards) and is ranked 31st (2nd worst) in the league in
pass defense. That promises to be enough to awaken Carson Palmer and
the Bengal passing game from its season-long slumber. Further assurance
comes from our trusty database as it reminds us that 0-4 or worse winless
road dogs are 43-21-4 ATS in non-division games since 1980. The Jets’ 1-9
ATS mark in October against non-division foes off a loss and Cincy’s 5-0
ATS road dog log when winless from Game Two out versus a non-division
foe (see Dallas last week) makes for a nice combination. Sorry Jets fans.
Perhaps they’re blinded and maybe Bretty makes them ageless, but we’re
faithless. No electric boots or mohair suits for us.




5* BEST BET
SEATTLE over Green Bay by 14
Mike Holmgren takes on his former team for what looks to be the
fi nal time in his storied career. There’s been little to no edge in games
involving Mike’s Seahawks and the Packers as he’s 5-6 SU and 5-5-1 ATS.
He has, however, shown an ability to perform well at home in nondivision
contests when playing off a loss, going 27-7 SU and 22-10-2 ATS,
including 6-0-1 ATS when his team’s win percentage is less than .333.
Green Bay is 12-6 ATS on the road under Mike McCarthy, including 9-3
versus an opponent off a loss. However, we’re not at all enamored with
their running game. They surrender 66 rushing yards per game more
than they gain, largely due to a stop unit that allows a whopping 5.1
YPR. The kicker is that 1-3 teams in Game Five, off one loss exact, who
won 11 or more games last season are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS since 1980.
And lest we forget, Holmgren is off the worst loss of his career, a 44-
6 destruction against the Giants last week. He won’t get embarrassed
again. End of story.




AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 21-4-1 (84%)

PLAY ON any NFL dog from Game Four out if they are winless and playing with rest

Play On: ST. LOUIS RAMS




Marc Lawrence totals

3* UNDER JETS

4* UNDER BEARS

5* OVER DENVER

bigbill
10-12-2008, 01:12 AM
anyone have the hilton contest picks

NEW ORLEANS (47) - 7 1/2 vs. Oakland (46)
INDIANAPOLIS (54) - 4 1/2 vs. Baltimore (87)
N Y JETS (87) - 6 vs. Cincinnati (46)
TAMPA BAY (57) - 2 vs. Carolina (83)
MINNESOTA (31) - 13 1/2 vs. Detroit (38)
Chicago (111) - 2 1/2 vs. ATLANTA (47)
HOUSTON (84) - 3 vs. Miami (50)
WASHINGTON (28) - 13 1/2 vs. St Louis (79)
DENVER (23) - 3 1/2 vs. Jacksonville (82)
Philadelphia (62) - 4 1/2 vs. SAN FRANCISCO (37)
Dallas (46) - 5 vs. ARIZONA (97)
SEATTLE (91) - 2 vs Green Bay (34)
SAN DIEGO (54) - 6 vs. New England (76)
N Y Giants (47) - 7 1/2 vs CLEVELAND (91)


HOME TEAM shown in CAPS

5 Top Selections Based On Times Selected
--------------------------------------------------------------
1 - Chicago (111)
2 - ARIZONA (97)
3 (tie) - SEATTLE (91)
3 (tie) - CLEVELAND (91)
5 (tie) - Baltimore (87)
5 (tie) - N Y JETS (87)



5 Top Selections Based On Widest Margins
--------------------------------------------------------------------
1 - Chicago (+ 64)
2 - Jacksonville (+ 59)
3 - SEATTLE (+ 57)
4 (tie) - St Louis (+ 51)
4 (tie) - ARIZONA (+ 51)


"Squares" vs "Sharps"
===================================
# of Consensus Choices That Are Favorites -- 6
# of Consensus Choices That Are Underdogs -- 8

Consensus of the Leaders
-------------------------------------------
NEW ORLEANS 1) - 7 1/2 vs. Oakland (5)
INDIANAPOLIS (0) - 4 1/2 vs. Baltimore (9)
N Y JETS (8) - 6 vs. Cincinnati (3)
TAMPA BAY (5) - 2 vs. Carolina (5)
MINNESOTA (3) - 13 1/2 vs. Detroit (0)
Chicago (3) - 2 1/2 vs. ATLANTA (4)
HOUSTON (1) - 3 vs. Miami (3)
WASHINGTON (0) - 13 1/2 vs. St Louis (3)
DENVER (2) - 3 1/2 vs. Jacksonville (7)
Philadelphia (1) - 4 1/2 vs. SAN FRANCISCO (0)
Dallas (0) - 5 vs. ARIZONA (4)
SEATTLE (5) - 2 vs Green Bay (0)
SAN DIEGO (2) - 6 vs. New England (1)
N Y Giants (1) - 7 1/2 vs CLEVELAND (4)

rocky2
10-12-2008, 01:46 AM
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons - Sunday October 12, 2008 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) TOTAL: Over 43.5 (-110)
<!-- / message -->

rocky2
10-12-2008, 01:46 AM
Brandon Lang

SUNDAY
15 Dime Texans (buy the 1/2 point down to 2-1/2)

15 Dime Cowboys

15 Dime Rams

10 Dime 6-point Teaser - Raiders and Jets

5 Dime Eagles

FREE - Chargers
<!-- / message -->

rocky2
10-12-2008, 01:49 AM
Dr Bob:

I was hoping to have more than 1 Best Bet this week, but there was only one game at current lines that I liked enough to play myself. The NFL Strong Opinions have been very good this year and have been a profitable 54% lifetime, so you can play those if you're in need of more action until I start having more Best Bets.

Rotation #203 Oakland (+7 1/2) 3-Stars at +7 1/2 (-115 odds or better) or more, 2-Stars down to +7 at -115 odds or better.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #207 Cincinnati (+6) Strong Opinion at +5 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more (-115 odds or better).
Strong Opinion - Rotation #225 Green Bay (+2) Strong Opinion at +1 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +7 or more (-115 odds or better).

Other possible Strong Opinions are Atlanta at +3 or more (-115 odds or better) and Tampa Bay at -1 or better.


3 Star Selection
***Oakland 24 NEW ORLEANS (-7.5) 23
10:00 AM Pacific, 12-Oct-08
I’ll take Oakland in a 3-Star Best Bet at +7 ½ or more (at -115 odds or better) and for 2-Stars at +7 (-115 or better).


Strong Opinion
Cincinnati 19 NY JETS (-6.0) 20
10:00 AM Pacific, 12-Oct-08
I’ll consider Cincinnati a Strong Opinion at +5 or more and I’d take Cincy in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more (at -115 odds or better).


Strong Opinion
Green Bay 27 SEATTLE (-2.0) 23
01:15 PM Pacific, 12-Oct-08
I’ll consider Green Bay a Strong Opinion at +1 or more and I’d make the Packers a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more (-115 odds or better).

rocky2
10-12-2008, 01:51 AM
Dave Malinsky:
5* Cowboys
4* Rams, Jags/Broncos Under

rocky2
10-12-2008, 03:45 AM
Doc AFC Game of the Year...

Handicapper: Doc Sports AFC GOY
New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers (NFL) - 8:15 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -6/102 San Diego Chargers Play Title:

4 Unit Play. #126 Take San Diego over New England (Sunday 8:15 pm NBC) New England is not the same team with out Tremendous Tom behind center and the Bolts will not let Cassell nickel and dime his way down the field. San Diego 28, New England 17.<!-- / message -->

rocky2
10-12-2008, 03:47 AM
Jimmy Boyd NFC Game of the Year

Handicapper: Jimmy Boyd
Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons (NFL) - 1:00 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -3/110 Chicago Bears Play Title: NFC Game of the Year
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
5* NFC Game of the Year on Bears -3 The Bears have been in every single game this season and have really put things together the past two weeks with a big Sunday Night Football win over the Eagles and a blowout road win over the Lions last week. The Falcons are in a letdown spot after a big upset win at Green Bay. This young team has not shown that it can play week in consecutive weeks and that's why each of Atlanta's wins have been followed by a double digit loss. All Atlanta has been able to do is run the football and the Bears defense will make sure that doesn't happen this week. Chicago is 23-8 ATS since 1992 versus good rushing teams averaging more than 130 rushing yards per game, including 6-0 ATS under Lovie Smith in this spot. The Bears are also on a 3-0-1 ATS run on the road. Chicago is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games against the Falcons. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6 and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bears are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Take Chicago.

BIGnose
10-12-2008, 07:37 AM
Two Minute Warning

Best Bets
Investor

Oakland +7
Baltimore +4 1/2
Detroit +13 1/2
St. Louis +13 1/2
Denver -3 1/2
San Francisco +5
Arizona +5

TMW 20-11-2 YTD

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 08:10 AM
RINKPLAY SPORTS:

2* Colorado & Edmonton Over

2* Los Angeles Kings

2* Anaheim Ducks
<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 08:10 AM
McAndrew Sports

Rare 5* Bears -3
<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 08:14 AM
Erin Rynning

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Reg. Plays
Baltimore
under sf/ philly

Playmaker
under seatt/gb
<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 08:18 AM
Cappers Access

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Raiders
Jets
Broncos
<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 08:21 AM
HONDO

October 12, 2008
Hondo's stick-to-it-ive-ness with the Rays paid off last night when the plucky little upstarts upended the Sawx to increase the bankroll to 515 caulfields.

Tonight, he expects the Phillies to keep their feet on the Dodgers' throats - 10 units on Moyer.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 08:25 AM
WILD BILL

Week 6

Bengals-Jets over 45 (5 units)
Saints -7 1/2 (5 units)
Colts -4 1/2 (5 units)
Carolina +1 (5 units)
Miami +3 (5 units)
Eagles -5 1/2 (5 units)
Arizona +5 (5 units)
Patriots +6 (5 units)
Over 43 Browns-Giants (5 units)

ymmit2nd
10-12-2008, 08:36 AM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 4:05 PMTommy Rider | NFL Total
double-dime bet220 DEN / 219 JAC Over 48.0 BetUS
Analysis: The Broncos defense played well against the Bucs but it won't happen two weeks in a row. One thing to look at when taking an over is pass rush. It's hard to hit an over when the quarterbacks are always under pressure. That won't be a problem in this game as Denver and Jacksonville both rank near the bottom of the NFL in sacks. The Jags defense ranks 22nd in the NFL, allowing 344 yards and 22 points per game. They are beat up in the secondary and can't stop anyone from throwing the football on them, so expect Jay Cutler to have a huge day. On the other side, the Jags struggling running game should get on track against the Broncos generous defense. Denver ranks 29th in total defense, allowing close to 400 yards and 26 points per game. Last week was a fluke for Denver's defense and it will show on Sunday in what should be a wild shootout at Invesco Field. **2 UNIT PLAY**


Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMTommy Rider | NFL Side
double-dime bet216 HOU -3.0 (+100) BetUS vs 215 MIA
Analysis: I'm a big fan of this Miami team as I took them last week against the Chargers. However, I like them more at home than I do on the road and I think this is a bad spot for them. Miami is coming off two huge upsets of the Patriots and Chargers and this looks like a big letdown spot for the Fish taking on a desperate Houston team with its backs to the wall. The Texans gave one away last week against the Colts but overall I they have played well in their last two games against the Jaguars and Colts. I heard that the Texans players had a close door meeting to talk about how big this game is with Detroit and Cincy on deck. With three straight home games, the players still believe they can make a playoff run starting with a win today. I think Matt Schaub has a big day against a suspect Miami secondary and Houston gets the win at home. **2 UNIT PLAY**

ymmit2nd
10-12-2008, 08:37 AM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total
double-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
The big total here is simply not justified! UNDER!

ymmit2nd
10-12-2008, 09:17 AM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Total
triple-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
Analysis:
I'm just not expecting both teams to come out and dominate the game offensively, as the Raiders are in transition off a bye week (firing of a head coach) and the New Orleans Saints are playing on a short week after a disappointing loss to the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football.



The total in this game should be 44 tops - so I'm imagining that we're getting more than three points of betting value here. New Orleans is on an 8-0-1 over run - but injuries and this particular matchup will end that run here.



Both teams will try to establish a running game, as the Saints will not find it easy to throw the ball against the Raiders - plus Oakland is use to defending a Reggie Bush-like back (Sproles/Tomlinson of the Chargers). Another thing that will play defense against Bush is the punting of Shane Lechler - he's simply the best in the league and I imagine he'll sacrifice 5-10 yards in punting distance to help his coverage team agaist Reggie.



The Raiders will welcome back RB Justin Fargas and will undoubtedly try to pound the ball at the Saints. New Orleans has done surprisingly well against the run of late, which should be enough to allow QB Jamarcus Russell to make mistakes in Saints territory.



The Oakland Raiders defense is rested and had the San Diego Chargers on the ropes two weeks ago, as a meaningless Tomlinson TD caused the game to go over 44. I don't expect this to happen on Sunday.

ymmit2nd
10-12-2008, 09:19 AM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total
double-dime bet204 NOS / 203 OAK Under 47.5 Bodog
The big total here is simply not justified! UNDER!




<DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Sun, 10/12/08 - 1:00 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NFL Total <DT>double-dime bet214 ATL / 213 CHI Under 44.0 Bodog (http://go.pregame.com/2799327) <DD>Analysis: UNDER falcons ? and this turns into a grinding, low-scoring battle on Sunday!</DD></DL>

beerformyhorses
10-12-2008, 09:22 AM
anyone have budin for today. thanks

Sporting
10-12-2008, 09:23 AM
Just got VictoriousPlay NFL plays:

Yesterday this guys went 2-0 on NCAAF!!! So far in October they are 100%!!!


NFL Victorious Plays:


Detroit @ Minnesota
Recommendation: 2* Over 44.5


Carolina @ Tampa Bay
Recommendation: 1* Tampa Bay -1


New England @ San Diego
Recommendation: 2* Over 44

Lets hope they can keep the pace!!!!

BOL to you all!!!

:toast:

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 09:25 AM
Ben Burns
49'ERS
Game: Philadelphia Eagles vs. San Francisco 49ers Game Time: 10/12/2008 4:15:00 PM Prediction: San Francisco 49ers This is their first game in that role this season and I expect them to earn at least another cover.



CHARGERS
Game: New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers Game Time: 10/12/2008 8:15:00 PM Prediction: San Diego Chargers I expect them to be extremely fired up and for them to win this one convincingly. *Annihilator



RAMS
Game: St. Louis Rams vs. Washington Redskins Game Time: 10/12/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: St. Louis Rams Look for them to have their hands full once again. *NFC GOW


UNDER raiders/saints
Game: Oakland Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints Game Time: 10/12/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: under *total of the week


HOUSTON
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Houston Texans Game Time: 10/12/2008 1:00:00 PM Prediction: Houston Texans Look for history to repeat itself as the Texans play a full 60 minute game and come away with the win and cover. *Oct. GOM
<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 09:28 AM
NSA

20* Bears

10* Eagles
10* Ravens
10* Vikings
10* Jags
10* Panthers

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 09:32 AM
Ben Lewis

5* Dallas -5
3* Houston -3
3* Indy -4
3* Chicago/Atlanta UNDER 43.5

Sportsaholic
10-12-2008, 09:33 AM
Maddux sports

#908 - MLB - 3 units on LA Dodgers -150

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 09:38 AM
Bob Akmens NFL

8* Eagles

5* Packers

5* Jaguars

Kinged
10-12-2008, 09:41 AM
GT Bookie Battle YTD (7-4-2) LY (22-12-2) <HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message --><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
<META content=Word.Document name=ProgId><META content="Microsoft Word 11" name=Generator><META content="Microsoft Word 11" name=Originator><LINK href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5COwner%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtml1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel=File-List><STYLE> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:Verdana; panose-1:2 11 6 4 3 5 4 4 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:536871559 0 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </STYLE>Over the years I have followed the Bookies Battle in GamingToday. The angle is to fade those teams that clearly have over 70% of the casino contestants picking one side.

Let’s see how this angle has worked so far this year.

Week #1 thru #5: 7-4-2 <?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P>
<O:P></O:P>
Over the last couple of years, it seemed to hit around 60%.The only problem: Not a lot of action.

Week #6 Pick: TB

Escobar
10-12-2008, 09:52 AM
Date: Sunday, October 12, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Rocketman Sports has a 3* NFL play for Sunday guaranteed to win or you don't pay! We'll play Jacksonville for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

BIGnose
10-12-2008, 10:05 AM
Dave Malinsky:
5* Cowboys
4* Rams, Jags/Broncos Under

sportsman362008
10-12-2008, 10:12 AM
does anyone know what happen to maui sports??

are they down again

th7rose
10-12-2008, 10:15 AM
sean michaels or budin??

Eagle8
10-12-2008, 10:15 AM
Anyone have Budin? Leaving early today. Thanks

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 10:16 AM
Seabass

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->20* Teaser Chi under & TB
50* SD
50* Hou
100* Philly
100* Balt
300* Jax

B.S.S.
10-12-2008, 10:16 AM
EDDIE ROMAN? HES ON FIRE AND EVEN DISSING THE OTHER GUYS AT HIS SITE:lol:

dallasfan
10-12-2008, 10:20 AM
B.S.S. which site can be found?
leave off the .com

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 10:21 AM
Trace Adams

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->2000 seattle
1000 bears
500 chargers
<!-- / message -->

DEAD MONEY
10-12-2008, 10:22 AM
B.S.S. which site can be found?
leave off the .com

gametimewinners

frankey
10-12-2008, 10:23 AM
YESTERDAY--wayne root 5-1----ats lock club 4-1---Kelso 3-1----ron meyer 2-1---chip chirimbes 3-0----consensus picks 2-0---bob balfe 4-1----these are the guys i'am looking for. any others doing this good???????? please post --thanks

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 10:24 AM
Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Eagle8
10-12-2008, 10:25 AM
Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Thanks to you and the purchaser. Much appreciated CPW...:pope:

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 10:29 AM
Rocketman

4* Houston -3

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 10:33 AM
Rewyan expert's

NFL Total:
Carolina Panthers/Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under 38.5
Chicago Bears/Atlanta Falcons Under 45
St Louis Rams/Washington Redskins Over 42.5
Dallas/Arizona over 52
Green Bay/Seattle under 44.5
New England/San Diego under 44

NFL ATS
Baltimore Ravens +5
Cincinnati Bengals +11
Carolina Panthers +2.5
Detroit Lions +14.5
Chicago Bears -2.5
New England +7

TheyCallMeMoney
10-12-2008, 10:40 AM
Seabass

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->20* Teaser Chi under & TB
50* SD
50* Hou
100* Philly
100* Balt
300* Jax

How has seabass performed in the past 2 weeks...

kaos77
10-12-2008, 10:40 AM
anyone getting eddie roman or Demarco? If not, then I'll pick one up!

ymmit2nd
10-12-2008, 10:43 AM
Sun, 10/12/08 - 4:05 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side
triple-dime bet220 DEN -3.0 (-120) BetUS vs 219 JAC
Analysis:
*** NFL 3* GAME of the WEEK ***

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 10:44 AM
Mr. A

Week 6 Selections
Sunday, October 12th 1:00 p.m. est.
Oakland Raiders (1-3) at New Orleans Saints (2-3) New Orleans Saints - 7
The Raiders are a mess, dropping seven of their last eight games and 18 of its last 21 on the road, a new coach won’t be an instant fix. Take the Saints at the Louisiana Superdome. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings versus Oakland.

Sunday, October 12th 4:15 p.m. est.
Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) at San Francisco 49ers (2-3) Philadelphia Eagles - 4½
Philadelphia will have no troubles against the 49ers’ even without their key running back Brian Westbrook. Look for McNabb to easily score against San Francisco’s puny defense. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games versus San Francisco at Candlestick Park.

ymmit2nd
10-12-2008, 10:44 AM
WILLIE "D"
Elite CHICAGO/ATLANTA OVER
Blue Chip HOUSTON
Inside Info ST. LOUIS

"LEGS" DIAMOND
Bookie Nightmare Raiders+7
Total Bookie Nightmare Dallas/Arizona Under 52
Bookie Opposite Action Tampa Bay-1

RANDY MITCHEL
Platinum OAKLAND
Platinum DETROIT
Diamond ARIZONA

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 10:45 AM
GINA

Sunday, October 12th 1:00 p.m. est.

Miami Dolphins (2-2) at Houston Texans (0-4)

Houston has won all three meetings against Miami, but the Dolphins have come alive, both on offense and defense and will give the Texans a tough day in Houston. Even so, the Texans will have starting quarterback Matt Schaub back, the Texans will stay winless.

Miami Dolphins +3

Sunday, October 12th 1:00 p.m. est.

St. Louis Rams (0-4) at Washington Redskins (4-1)

The Rams dreadful defense is allowing 245.8 passing yards a game and 166 yards rushing. Look for Washington’s quarterback Jason Campbell and running back Clinton Portis to tear them apart. Ugly day for the winless Rams!

Washington Redskins -13½

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 10:48 AM
Johnny Guild

Minnesota Vikings -13
New Orleans Saints -7
Washington Redskins -13.5
Philadelphia Eagles - 4.5

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 10:49 AM
Cajun-Sports NFL Executive Report- Sunday

NFL: 25-12


Time / Date: 8:15 EST / Sunday October 12 (Sunday Night NBC TV)

Game: New England Patriots vs. San Diego Chargers

Line Origin: BetCris @ 6:44 EST October 10

Grade / Prediction: 6* San Diego Chargers -5

Analysis:

Qualcomm Stadium will be the site of Sunday’s clash between the two teams that played for the AFC title last year. These are not quite the same two teams and Sunday night's prime-time matchup has lost a bit of its luster with the Chargers struggling and the Patriots trying to find their identity without QB Tom Brady.

This series has become a huge rivalry game between the Chargers and the New England Patriots. San Diego has been eliminated from Super Bowl contention by the Patriots in each of the past two seasons and this gives good cause for some revenge here tonight.
The Chargers are 2-3, two games out of first place in the AFC-West behind Denver, who have already defeated them this season. The Patriots are 3-1, but their aura of invincibility took a hit with the Super Bowl loss to the Giants last year and when Brady went down with a season-ending injury in the season-opener. Both teams have already lost to Miami who went 1-15 last season.

New England put 30 points on the 49ers last week but that score is a bit misleading. They were certainly helped by the 49ers QB JT O’Sullivan who threw three INT’s on the day. The Patriots averaged just 4.8 yards per play in that game against a Niners’ defense that averages allowing 5.1 yards per play at home to an average team.

Our Offensive Efficiency Index (OEI) shows the Chargers even with LT (3.7 yards per rush) starting slow are still ranked 2nd in the league in this category. The Chargers average only 10.99 yards per point while the Patriots are ranked 19th in the league and average 15.08 yards per point. These numbers show how efficient the Chargers are on the offensive side of the ball. This index measures not only offensive numbers but the proficiency of defense, special teams, red zone defense and turnover differential.

If you were to listen to the “so-called” experts you would think that Patriots QB Matt Cassel has performed rather well. We don’t think so and here’s one of the key reasons why we know he is not doing well replacing Tom Brady. Last season New England led the league in average Passing Yards per Attempt. Now our PYPA is much more advanced than say the numbers you will find at ESPN.com or Yahoo Sports. Our numbers include sacks and this is a major component to this equation that is if you want to find the spread winner in this or any football game.

Like we stated New England led the league last season but this season they are ranked 22nd averaging only 5.51 yards per pass attempt. Tonight’s opponent the San Diego Chargers rank 3rd in the league this season averaging 7.76 yards per pass attempt. This is a huge difference and usually leads to a successful investment opportunity.

New England’s defense has lost a step and are not the unit that went 18-0 last season. Their linebackers are certainly slow and their defense is weak against the run which should cost them tonight against a Chargers team that has LT and Darren Sproles to rush the football.

The Chargers defense will get a lift with the return of linebacker Stephen Cooper from suspension. This will help with their rush defense and that is an area of weakness for this Patriots team. The Patriots are using a running back by committee with Lawrence Maroney injured and have found the going to be extremely tough.

Our Defensive Efficiency Index (DEI) shows the Patriots ranked 11th in the league forcing opponents to average 15.19 yards per point. The Chargers are ranked 15th in the league and they are forcing opponents to average 14.69 yards per point. A slight edge for the Patriots but the competition has something to do with this difference as the Chargers have faced a very tough Carolina team and a high scoring Denver squad.

Our Situational Report for this contest shows the Chargers to be in a positive situation in tonight’s game. Play ON teams with a 1st Down Pass Rating For >1 and an ATS Win% <=.600, 82-27 ATS since 1994.

Technical Support for our selection can be found in these powerful angles. SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS in home games vs. passing defenses that are allowing a completion pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 11-2 ATS vs. teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 17-7 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS in home games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Data base research has uncovered a solid NFL Power System that says to Play On NFL Favorites after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a team with a winning percentage of 25% to 40% playing a team with a winning record, 35-11 ATS since 1983.

This contest is very important to this Chargers squad not only because the Patriots have sent them home the last two seasons during the AFC Championship games but for this season. They are almost in a must win situation and each member of the Chargers team realizes it and are aware of what is needed tonight.

We look for the Chargers to come out and play very physical and not let up as they get the win and cover.


GRADED PREDICTION: 6* San Diego Chargers -5






Time / Date: 4:15 EST / Sunday October 12

Game: Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks

Line Origin: BetCris @ 1:20 EST October 10

Grade / Prediction: 5* Seattle Seahawks +1

Analysis:

After meeting in the playoffs last season, the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks were both expected to contend for division crowns this season. However, both teams have been unable to stop anyone on defense and both have injuries to the starting QB’s.
Green Bay (2-3) and Seattle (1-3) won the NFC North and West, respectively, last season, and matched up in a divisional playoff game at Lambeau Field on Jan. 12. The Packers fell behind by two touchdowns four minutes into the game, but Brett Favre rallied them to a 42-20 victory which was his final win as a Packer.

Aaron Rodgers got off to a solid start as Favre's replacement, as the Packers opened 2008 with consecutive victories. Very little has gone right since, however, as Green Bay has dropped its last three games.

Rodgers, who sprained his shoulder in Week 4's 30-21 loss at Tampa Bay, pleaded with Coach Mike McCarthy to let him play last Sunday against Atlanta. He got his wish and finished 25-for-37 for 313 yards with three touchdowns and an interception, although the gutty effort came up short as the Packers lost 27-24.

Even though Rodgers missed most of practice this week it appears he will get the start in Sunday’s match up against the Seahawks.

On the other side of the ball, Green Bay's defense continues to struggle after allowing 370 yards of total offense last week. The Packers “D” is ranked 23rd in the league in scoring defense allowing 25.6 points per game and 26th in total defense with 374 yards per game.

The Seahawks returned all 11 defensive starters including four Pro Bowlers from last season's unit, but they have struggled this season as well. Although they are much better at stopping the run than the Packers are and that could very well be the difference today.

With both teams having injured QB’s they will try to establish the running game to take the pressure off and the Seahawks have the advantage in this department by more than 30 yards rushing per game on both sides of the ball.

Defensively Seattle only allows 129 yards rushing per game whereas the Packers are giving up 161 yards rushing per game. If you take out the Detroit game the Packers are allowing almost 200 yards rushing per game (190 yds) with a 5.2 yards per carry average. On the offensive side of the ball the Seahawks rush for 143 yards per game while the Packers don’t even average 100 yards rushing per contest with a 95.6 yard average.

It appears that Charlie Frye will get the start for Seattle on Sunday. Hasslebecks leg is not responding to treatment and he has not practiced a single day this week. The Seahawks were hoping to have Branch and Engram for this contest but it looks as though Engram will be the only wide-out starting of the two as Branch is still bothered by a sore heel he suffered in his last game.

On the technical front we know the Seahawks have won and covered seven of their last eight at home. The Hawks are 19-9-1 ATS at home since 2005. The Seahawks are 12-2 ATS versus any team with more wins after a straight up loss. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS at home the week after on the road as a TD+ dog in which they had at least three fewer minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS the week after a straight up loss as a TD+ dog in which they allowed at least 100 more yards of offense than their season-to-date average.

Data base research has uncovered a few active Power Systems for today’s contest. NFL Teams are 13-5-1 ATS as a home favorite when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week. The League is 49-20-3 ATS as a favorite versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road.

Our Technical Situational Report shows the Packers in a negative situation that says Play AGAINST team with a below average Rushing Game (RGF+RGA) and an above average Passing Game (PGF+PGA), 117-51 ATS since 1994. The Packers qualify in another negative situation that says to Play AGAINST teams with a Pass Defense Rating Advantage >1 and an above average Pass Offense Rating last season and their current opponent has an above average Rush Offense Rating, 141-53 ATS since 1994. The Seahawks qualify in a positive situation that says to Play ON teams with a Rush Offense Rating at least 0.5 points higher than last season and at least 0.5 points higher than their current opponent, 139-55 ATS since 1994.

GRADED PREDICTION: 5* Seattle Seahawks +1






Time / Date: 4:15 EST / Sunday October 12

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals

Line Origin: BetCris @ 3:52 EST October 10

Grade / Prediction: 4* Arizona Cardinals +5

Analysis:

The Arizona Cardinals will play host to the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday afternoon in Phoenix. This was at one time considered another home game for the Cowboys but that has changed with the Cardinals recent success and Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt’s drive to change the culture in Arizona.

Arizona has won eight of their last ten games at home including two wins this season. They hosted the Miami Dolphins and at the time an undefeated Buffalo Bills team and the Cardinals outscored these two teams 72-17 in those two wins.

Besides having to contend with arguably the deepest division in the NFL, the Cowboys are also struggling to live up to the high expectations set for them before the season. Their last three wins - all against teams currently with losing records - have been by an average of just 8.0 points.

Dallas scored the first 17 points last week before giving up 16 unanswered to the Bengals and needing a late push to hold on.

The Dallas defense has struggled this season and they are short-handed in the defensive secondary as Newman had to have sports hernia surgery and will be out up to six weeks. Added to this is the distraction of PacMan Jones this week as he and his bodyguard made headlines for fighting in a hotel bathroom.

The week before the PacMan incident it was TO that made headlines for not getting the ball thrown his way enough. He had eighteen thrown to him in that game, he should spend more time worrying about the ones he drops instead of asking for more. All this has to take its toll on the team and distractions like these are the last thing this team needs right now.

The Cowboys have only one defensive interception this season and are minus four in the turnover category. Tony Romo has committed at least one turnover in eight straight games. Cards starting QB Kurt Warner has thrown for more yards and been intercepted less than Romo this season.

Kurt Warner and the Arizona Cardinals put up 373 yards on a Buffalo defense that has played better than Dallas this season. This Cardinals team believes that they are a valid contender for the NFC West Title this season and a win over the Cowboys today goes a long way in building their momentum for the balance of the season.

Technical Support for our selection comes from the Cowboys. The Cowboys are 8-26-1 ATS on the road versus any team with fewer wins after a straight up win. The Cowboys are 3-15-1 ATS on the road versus any team with fewer wins after a straight up win at home. The Cowboys are 0-8-1 ATS as a favorite the week after as a favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Cowboys are 1-10-1 ATS the week after as a favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Cowboys are 1-9 ATS on the road after a straight up win at home as a TD+ favorite.

Data base research has uncovered three strong Power Systems that are active for today’s contest. NFL Teams are 8-34 ATS as a road favorite the week after a straight up win as a TD+ favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The League is 5-14 ATS on the road the week after in which they attempted at least ten more rushes than their season-to-date average. The League is 7-14-1 ATS as a road favorite when facing a team that has averaged fewer than four punts per game season-to-date.

Our Technical Situational Report shows that Dallas is in a negative situation in today’s game. The situation says to Play AGAINST teams with a higher SU Win% last season than their current Win% and last season’s SU Win% was >than their PWP%, 123-38 ATS since 1994.

GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Arizona Cardinals +5





Time / Date: 4:15 EST / Sunday October 12

Game: Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals

Line Origin: BetCris @ 5:40 EST October 8

Grade / Prediction: 5* Dallas / Arizona Over 50

Analysis:


In a matchup between the NFC’s two highest-scoring teams, the Cowboys look to make a move in the loaded East standings on Sunday when they visit the Arizona Cardinals, who hope to protect their hold on first place in the West.

Dallas returned enough of its core from last year's division-winning team to enter 2008 as a prime candidate to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. The Cowboys (4-1) are still on track thanks to their conference-leading 151 points, but they're not taking anything for granted in the league's only division with more than one team with at least four wins.

Arizona (3-2) looked like a legitimate contender last Sunday, when it recorded a season-high point total while handing Buffalo its first loss, 41-17. One week after turning the ball over seven times in a 56-35 loss to the New York Jets, the Cardinals won the turnover battle with the Bills 4-0.

Arizona, second in the NFC with 147 points, got a big game from quarterback Kurt Warner, who was 33-for-42 for 250 yards and two touchdowns after throwing three interceptions and losing three fumbles the previous week.

These two teams are very close statistically as we see the Cowboys average 30.2 points per game while the Cardinals average 29.4 points per game. Dallas averages 268 yards per game passing and the Cardinals throw for 282 yards per game. Dallas has an edge in the rushing department as they average 138 yards rushing per contest and the Cardinals do not break 100 yards rushing per game as they only average 94 yards rushing.

On the defensive side of the ball we also find these two teams are very close. Dallas allows 22.2 points per game and Arizona allows 24.0 points per game. Passing yards allowed are also very close with the Cowboys allowing 210 yards passing per game while the Cards allow 204. In the rushing department they are almost the same and the total offensive and defensive numbers are very close.

Our Defensive Efficiency Index shows the Cowboys ranked 22nd in the league only forcing their opponents to average 13.74 yards per point and the Cards are ranked 27th in the league forcing their opponents to an average of only 12.58 yards per point. This Index shows how teams perform overall including not only defensive numbers but special teams, turnover differential and red zone proficiency.

Our Offensive Efficiency Index shows the Cowboys ranked 10th in the league averaging 13.490 yards per point while the Cardinals are ranked 6th in the league averaging only 12.82 yards per point. These numbers show that both teams can score and do so often. This Index shows how teams perform overall including not only offensive numbers but special teams, turnover differential and red zone proficiency.

The Cowboys have lost their last two games against the number and we know that road teams that are coming in off back-to-back ATS losses and won their last game straight up are 12-1 Over the last six seasons. NFL Teams are 40-17-2 Over versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent. The Cowboys are 7-0-1 Over the week after a win in which they had at least 150 yards rushing. NFL Teams are 12-3-1 Over as a road favorite when they passed for at least 100 fewer yards last week than their season-to-date average.

The Cardinals are 11-0-1 Over after playing when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The Cardinals are 14-1 Over as a dog after playing at home when the line was within 3 of pick'em. The League is 28-8 Over at home when they were up by at least a TD at the half and won by double-digits last week as a favorite. During the month of October home underdogs with a Total of 49 or more points are 12-3 Over and a perfect 5-0 Over if they are NFC teams. NFL Teams are 25-9-2 Over the week after a straight up win at home when the line was within 3 of pick'em in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than their season-to-date average.

Our Team Performance Ratings Index shows both teams scoring over 29.6 points in this contest which easily covers the posted total of 50 points. Finally our Player Performance Ratings Index has Arizona (+7.2) and Dallas (+7.5) scoring more than their respective totals for this contest.

The combination of strong technical, situational and fundamental support for the “Over” in this contest makes this our 5* NFL Total Play of the Month.

GRADED PREDICTION: 5* Dallas / Arizona Over 50



Time / Date: 1:00 EST / Sunday October 12

Game: Carolina Panthers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Line Origin: BetCris @ 10:16 EST October 8

Grade / Prediction: 4* Carolina / Tampa Bay Under 36.5

Analysis:

The 4-1 Carolina Panthers head south to Cigar City to face the hometown Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are 3-2 on the young season. This meeting on Sunday will pit the Number 1 and 2 teams of the NFC South Division.

The Panthers lead the division thanks to one of the NFL's best defenses, which has held opponents to five touchdowns the last four games and 268.6 yards per game overall which is fourth-best in the NFL.

Carolina hasn't allowed a touchdown in its last nine quarters, shutting out the Kansas City Chiefs 34-0 last Sunday after limiting the Atlanta Falcons to three field goals in a 24-9 victory on Sept. 28.

Last Sunday, the Chiefs were held to 127 yards of total offense, 35 on the ground. Larry Johnson joined Michael Turner, Adrian Peterson, Matt Forte and LaDainian Tomlinson as leading rushers who have failed to gain 100 yards against the Panthers.

It helps that they were backed by a solid offensive effort by DeAngelo Williams, who rushed for a season-high 123 yards and two touchdowns, and Jake Delhomme was 14-of-22 for 236 yards, two touchdowns and one interception.

While the revival of Delhomme and the work of the defense gives the Panthers reason to be optimistic about the future, the Buccaneers aren't even sure who will be starting at quarterback on Sunday when they try to bounce back after having their three-game winning streak snapped.

Brian Griese was knocked out of Tampa Bay's 16-13 loss to Denver in the third quarter last Sunday with a swollen right elbow. Griese was 13-of-19 for 88 yards before he was replaced by Jeff Garcia, who went 13-of-17 for 93 yards and a touchdown. Latest word out of Cigar City is the QB situation is day to day until Gruden has all the facts.

Tampa Bay’s defense is not as stout as in past seasons although they only allow 18 points per game. They also hold opponents rushing attack to only 99 yards per contest and their pass defense is only allowing 218 yards passing per game.

Our Defensive Efficiency Index shows the Buccaneers ranked 5th in the league forcing their opponents to average 16.93 yards per point and the Panthers are ranked 3rd in the league forcing their opponents to an average of 18.17 yards per point. This Index shows how teams perform overall including not only defensive numbers but special teams, turnover differential and red zone proficiency.

Our Offensive Efficiency Index shows the Buccaneers ranked 21st in the league averaging 15.36 yards per point while the Panthers are ranked 16th in the league averaging 14.47 yards per point. These numbers show that both teams are not as proficient at scoring as they are keeping other teams from the end-zone. This Index shows how teams perform overall including not only offensive numbers but special teams, turnover differential and red zone proficiency.

Technical Support for our selection comes from both teams as we see the Panthers are 0-7 Under versus any team with fewer wins after a straight up win at home. The Panthers are 2-10 Under versus any team with fewer wins. after a straight up win. The Panthers are 1-8 Under as a road dog when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season. The Panthers are 9-23 Under when their ats margin increased over each of their past two games. NFL Teams are 5-12 Under within 3 of pick the week after at home in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average.

The Buccaneers are 5-13 Under within 3 of pick when they are facing a team that has allowed less than 10 yards per completion season-to-date. The Buccaneers are 4-13 Under as a home favorite when they are facing a team that has allowed less than 10 yards per completion season-to-date. The Buccaneers are 2-12 Under versus any team with more wins. after a straight up loss on the road. The Buccaneers are 1-9 Under at home when facing a team that has allowed an average of fewer than 275 yards of offense per game season-to-date. NFL Teams are 3-10 Under within 3 of pick at home when facing a team that has allowed an average of fewer than 275 yards of offense per game season-to-date.

Strong technical, fundamental and situational support for the “Under” in this contest makes this our NFL 4* Total Play of the Week.

GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Carolina / Tampa Bay Under 36.5
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dallasfan
10-12-2008, 10:52 AM
all best bets
3* Minnesota -13
3* Jacks Jags +3.5
3*Over Dall/Ariz 50.5

DEAD MONEY
10-12-2008, 10:52 AM
kitna out.
winslow out.

BIGnose
10-12-2008, 10:54 AM
Kelso Sturgeon--
50 dimes--CHI BEARS -3

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 10:57 AM
GINA

Sunday, October 12th 1:00 p.m. est.

Miami Dolphins (2-2) at Houston Texans (0-4)

Houston has won all three meetings against Miami, but the Dolphins have come alive, both on offense and defense and will give the Texans a tough day in Houston. Even so, the Texans will have starting quarterback Matt Schaub back, the Texans will stay winless.

Miami Dolphins +3

Sunday, October 12th 1:00 p.m. est.

St. Louis Rams (0-4) at Washington Redskins (4-1)

The Rams dreadful defense is allowing 245.8 passing yards a game and 166 yards rushing. Look for Washington’s quarterback Jason Campbell and running back Clinton Portis to tear them apart. Ugly day for the winless Rams!

Washington Redskins -13½

Philadelphia Phillies (97-71) at Los Angeles Dodgers (87-80)
(L) Jamie Moyer (0-1) vs. (R) Hiroki Kuroda (1-0)
Philadelphia leads best-of-seven series, 2-0

The Phillies have not been successful in Los Angeles, 0-5 in the last 5 meetings and southpaw Jamie Moyer is 1-3 with a 6.83 ERA at Dodger Stadium. Meanwhile, right-hander Hiroki Kuroda is 7-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 15 home starts and pitched terrific in two starts versus Philadelphia in the regular season, going 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA. Go with the Dodgers at home!


Los Angeles Dodgers - 150

odds on sports
10-12-2008, 10:58 AM
Any plays from Billy Coleman out there? Thanks

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 11:05 AM
Hammerin' Hank Goldberg

CAR(+1.5) (Score= Carolina- 26 TB- 13)
CHI(-3) (Score= Chicago- 20 Atlanta-10)
Hou(-3)

NO(-7) (Score= New Orleans-28 Oakland-14)
SD(-5) (Score= San Diego-31 New England-20)

jagwood
10-12-2008, 11:06 AM
Al DeMarco 25 Dime
Dallas Cowboys

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 11:06 AM
Kelso

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->15 units Green Bay +1
5 units Jets -9.5
4 units Carolina +1.5
3 units Minn/Texans UNDER 45
<!-- / message -->

Big Coors Light
10-12-2008, 11:11 AM
Hammerin' Hank Goldberg

CAR(+1.5) (Score= Carolina- 26 TB- 13)
CHI(-3) (Score= Chicago- 20 Atlanta-10)
Hou(-3)

NO(-7) (Score= New Orleans-28 Oakland-14)
SD(-5) (Score= San Diego-31 New England-20)


I think he had it Houston 24-17 also. :toast:

catwithnoname
10-12-2008, 11:12 AM
thanks to all who help out on this site, i know i m redundant,, but it takes a lot of effort on u r part,, so thanks,, and to u rocky 2,, thanks for indian cowboy,,

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 11:14 AM
Charlies Sports

500* 2 team parlay ravens @ colts under 39 & bears @ atlanta under 43'
30* saints-7
20* bengals+8
20* rams+13'
10* jaguars+3'
10* colts+4 free play

Jake Gittes
10-12-2008, 11:15 AM
NorthCoast
3'* Hst
3* Chic
3* Over Dallas

Top OP---Over N Eng,
Reg Op--Minn, St L.,Philly, Ariz, NO

RazorGus
10-12-2008, 11:15 AM
Thanks in advance if anyone has Northcoast Late Phones- He's been spot on!!

king animal
10-12-2008, 11:16 AM
any underdog/big al

thekeyman
10-12-2008, 11:17 AM
Kelso Sturgeon--
50 dimes--CHI BEARS -3



kelso doesn't have dime bets,....is this confirmed

DirtyErnie
10-12-2008, 11:18 AM
Kelso

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->15 units Green Bay +1
5 units Jets -9.5
4 units Carolina +1.5
3 units Minn/Texans UNDER 45
<!-- / message -->

What is this?
Kelso Sturgeon--
50 dimes--CHI BEARS -3
<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-12-2008, 11:19 AM
Spylock

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->1 Ravens +4

1 Bears -3

1 Vikings -13

1 Broncos -3.5
<!-- / message -->