Service Plays Sunday 10/19/08

[Can'tPickaWinner]

TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

We have received request from the following companies:
PlusLineSports- Do not post
PowerPlay Wins
The Real Animal
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Tony Karpinski and 3G-Sports
Dr. Bob Sports
madduxsports
Red Zone Sports
*********
Peter Gold at VI
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Mikelineback
Larry Ness
Al McMordie
zen_gambler
Tom Stryker
Lenny Delgenio
Scott Spreitzer
Matt Fargo
***** Xl
Doc's Sports Services
Robert Ferringo
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
The Prez
Mike Rose
LT Profits
Pregame.- which include (shaker,law,o'shea,jwip,creole,nover,rocketman,d'angelo,vrunner)
Alex Smart
JB Sports
ATS Consultants
Ken Jenkins
AJ Apollo
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Paul Stone
Ben Lewis
Lucky Lester
Bruce Marshall
Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers)
Ben Burns
Fairway Jay
EZ Winners
Pointwise Sports
Alatex Sports
Tennessee Valley Sports
Trushel Sports Consulting
Sports Memo Crew which include:
Rob Veno,Brent Crow,Erin Rynning,Donnie Black,Marty Otto,Jared Klein,David Jones,Ed Cash
Sixth Sense Sports
****Please note we can post Picks ONLY for the services above - NO WRITE - UPS. All other services not on this list can be posted in any fashion. GL!:103631605

[Can'tPickaWinner]

SCOTT FERRALL Free NFL Plays

TENNESSEE -7.5 to Chiefs--The Titans do their thing in KC--too much defense for the Chiefs to handle. Larry Johnson's off field problems are a distraction for the team as well, plus their QB's stink

PITTSBURGH 9.5 to Bengals--division game, but Cincy still blows and they've got problems. I don't see how they slow down the Pittsburgh offense.

DOLPHINS -3 to Baltimore--Miami seems to be playing good football, even when they lose. They'll be throwing everything and the kitchen sink at the Ravens

CHICAGO -3 to Minnesota--Bears recover from the humiliation in Atlanta by taking it out on the Vikes, who barely got by the lowly Lions last week

HOUSTON -8.5 to Lions--the Texans get unglued on Detroit and Andre Johnson puts on a show for the fans in H Town

[Can'tPickaWinner]

HONDO

Hondo rolled to another superb performance last week, cruising to a 10-4 record and nailing all three Best Bets to commandeer a share of first place in both the overall and BB standings. And take it from the one they call Hondo-damus: This week looks just as bright.

Giants over 49ers: Being humiliated by the Brownies in prime time makes this a BBMRG - Big Blue Manhood Reclamation Game - which means QB (and future bar owner) J.T. O'Sullivan will spend a lot of time flat on his back.

Jets over Raiders: You, too, can be a member of Gang GreenNew York Jets . All you have to do is lay a measly three against the wretched Raiders.

Titans over Chiefs: Hondo hates to dwell on his own success, but for the second time in three weeks, his prescient picking enabled him to collect all 893 "points" in The Post's Not For Profit Football Pool. There's nothing quite like the feeling of having two great big pocketfuls of "points."

Chargers over Bills: Mr. Aitch feels fortunate to be gathering so many "points" this year as opposed to next because if Obama gets in, His Aitchness probably won't be able to keep all of his "points." Barack's redistribution-of-wealth plan will force Hondo to share them with other, less-fortunate pool members, even though they maybe haven't worked as hard as Hondo-damus has to be successful.

Bengals over Steelers: And if that's not bad enough, once redistribution takes place, Mr. Aitch probably will have to lay off some of his loyal and dedicate staff, including his longtime accountant, C.P. Addemup, and his savvy and spiritual money minister, the Dollar Lama.

Ravens over Dolphins: E-mauler Ed Buckmir (junior half of the Brothers Buckmir) says the election is coming down to a battle of the Joes: For the Republicans, it's Joe The Plumber and Joe Six Pack; for the Democrats, it's Joe Biden and Joe Camel (Barack's close personal friend).

Rams over Cowboys: By shocking the Redskins, Haslett has let it be known the Rams are sheepish no more, which is b-a-a-a-d news for the banged-up 'Boys.

Bears over Vikings: Dan Rather will be honored by the National Coalition Against Censorship next week. The former CBS anchor will be presented with a Lifetime Achievement Award in the Fiction Presented As News category.

Panthers over Saints: It's a good thing Maureen McCormick, aka Marcia Brady of TBB, traded sex for drugs back in the day. Otherwise, she wouldn't have had anything of interest to put in her autobiography.

Lions over Texans: Now that Matt Millen (31-84) is out and Martin Mayhew (0-1) is the Lions' Mane Man, you might assume the franchise is headed for more M-barrassment. You're probably right, but at least the Mayhew Era is undefeated against the spread.

Browns over Redskins: Richard "Fat Richard" Cooey, a double murderer/rapist, was executed in Ohio this week by lethal injection. That's odd, many thought he would have been put to death by hanging, since Ohio is considered a swing state.

Colts over Packers: It's the Bettor's Bargain Of The Week. Although it might not enable Joe The Plumber to offset Obama's tax hike and buy that plumbing business, it should at least enable him to buy a belt big enough to fix any issues he may have with the dreaded plumber's-butt.

Buccaneers over Seahawks: Speaking of afflictions, 'Crat lapdog Keith Olbermann (aka Uberdork) missed Sunday's Football Night in America allegedly because he had strep throat. He'd better be careful, some of his guests' laps probably are crawling with streptococci.

Broncos over Patriots: It's a shame to see Belicheat suffering through such a tough season. Maybe he can find solace in the words Joe Biden's dad used to tell young Joe: "Champ, when you fall down, get back up." So the Broncos can knock you right back down again.

BEST BETS: Chargers, Colts, Broncos.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Lenny Del Genio's 25* AFC Game of the Year **60% NFL Run**
Play on Tennessee at 1:00 ET. As a team, they have no chance either. Tennessee is our 25* AFC Game of the Year!

Good luck, Lenny
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Norm Hitzges

3-7 Last week

YTD: 46-30

Double Play

Indianapolis -1 vs Green Bay

Single Play

Oakland +3 vs NY Jets
Cleveland +7.5 vs Washington
Tampa Bay -10.5 vs Seattle
Dallas -6.5 vs St. Louis
New England -3 vs Denver
Indianapolis/Green Bay Over 47

[Can'tPickaWinner]

BIG AL's 100% (11-0 ATS) NFL ROADKILL OF THE WEEK -- Sunday, Oct. 19
At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders plus the points over the NY Jets. Look for Oakland to bounce back from its blowout loss to the Saints. Take the home dog Raiders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

BIG AL's 100% (15-0 ATS) NFL WINNER (RARE 4* PLAY) -- Sunday, Oct 19
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens plus the points over Miami, Look for Baltimore to pull the upset in south Florida on Sunday. Take the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Larry Ness' Week 7 Las Vegas Insider (4-1 with NFL Insiders in '08)

Buffalo

[Can'tPickaWinner]

BIG AL's 100% (43-0) 5* NFL BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR!

Buffalo

[Can'tPickaWinner]

SCOTT SPREITZER'S 25* BEATDOWN *GAME OF THE YEAR!

Buffalo
<!-- / message -->

[uscmd]

Top 5.... Ind, Chi, Buf, Hou, Jets

I normally break down the top 10 and top 25, but because of where the win totals broke down it ended up being top 9 and top 21.

top 9: ....... Buf 6, Was 4 and 5 teams with 3 (GB, Mia, Chi, Dal and Den)

top 21: ...... Buf 10*, Ind 8, Chi 8* (* SD was picked 4 times, GB 3)




HILTON
WEEK 7-Updated October 17, 2008- All Contestants

All Contestants - Selection Recap

Selection # of Times Selected
IND -1 115
CHI -3 112
BUF PK 103
HOU -8.5 98
NYJ -3 92
MIA -2.5 82
NO +3 77
WAS -7 73
TEN -7.5 70
DAL -7 69
CAR -3 68
NE -3 65
SD PK 59
NYG -10.5 58
DEN +3 57
CIN +9.5 52
TB -10.5 51
GB +1 50
BAL +2.5 46
CLE +7 43
OAK +3 39
SF +10.5 38
SEA +10.5 36
PIT -9.5 35
KC +7.5 33
MIN +3 30
DET +8.5 29
STL +7 25


Top ** Contestants
Contestant Name Wins Loss Ties Sel1 Sel2 Sel3 Sel4 Sel5


FEZZIK . 23 6 1 BUF DAL CHI HOU WAS
THE BETTING DOCTOR.COM 22 6 2 DAL CHI CAR OAK NE
KING OF CRUNK . 22 7 1 NO OAK WAS GB DEN
LONESTAR COBRA . 21 8 1 BUF BAL MIN GB DEN
DURBIFY . 21 8 1 BUF MIA CAR IND SEA
MORLEY THE FIFTEENTH 21 8 1 MIA CHI SF SEA DEN
LONDO . 21 9 0 KC BUF NO WAS GB
SLICK 50 . 21 9 0 BUF DAL NYJ WAS IND
THESPORTSPAGE. COM 21 9 0 TEN BUF MIA HOU NYJ

VEGASPORTSLINE .COM 20 10 0 TEN BUF MIA STL HOU
THE CHOSEN ONE . 20 10 0 SD BAL DET NYJ DEN
DR.B AND DR. SAUCE 20 9 1 SD STL CHI HOU IND
LEO SHAFTO . 20 9 1 BUF BAL CAR SF NE
ACK ACK . 20 10 0 KC CIN STL IND DEN
FRANK GAUDIANE . 20 9 1 SD DAL MIN IND DEN
MICHAEL MAROTTA 20 10 0 BUF CHI NO DET IND
THREE OUT OF FIVE 20 10 0 MIA CHI NYJ CLE NE
BRYAN ATHEY . 20 10 0 DAL CHI CAR SEA NE
RONIN . 20 9 1 SD PIT NO CLE IND
COLLOSSEUM 1 . 20 10 0 TEN DAL CHI NYJ IND
LYNXLY . 20 9 1 BUF CIN NO HOU WAS

WOOD . 19 9 2 BUF MIA DAL CHI NYG
RELENTLESS PURSUIT 19 10 1 SD CIN CHI NO WAS
WILLIAM CLARKSON 19 10 1 CAR NYG WAS TB NE
MACKENZIES . 19 10 1 CAR NYG WAS TB NE
MONEY LINE . 19 11 0 CAR OAK WAS GB NE
AARDVARK . 19 10 1 CIN BAL DET WAS DEN
888 IS ENOUGH . 19 11 0 MIA MIN CAR SF DEN
BACKDOORED . 19 9 2 SD MIA CHI HOU IND
SCOTTY DOESN'T KNOW 19 11 0 MIA CHI SF OAK NE
BLUE TEAM . 19 11 0 MIA DAL CHI IND NE
STYLIN' . 19 10 1 CIN BAL CHI DET OAK
PLUMB KRAZY . 19 10 1 CIN NYG HOU NYJ WAS
BARTHOLOMEW SIMPSON 19 9 2 BAL CHI NYG HOU IND
NOAHS ARC . 19 9 2 BUF CAR GB SEA NE
A AND L PICK'S . 19 10 1 PIT NO SF CLE IND
L.V. HUSTL3RS . 19 9 2 CHI NO HOU NYJ IND
MRVEGASWINS .COM 19 10 1 BUF NO HOU GB DEN
IT'S CLOBBER ING TIME 19 10 1 BUF DAL CHI WAS SEA
GAL GUSSO . 19 10 1 CIN MIA CHI CAR DEN

VIEWFROMVEGAS .COM 18 11 1 KC CIN STL SF DET
THE FAR SIDE . 18 10 2 DAL CHI HOU NYJ DEN
FIRST CLASS MIKE 18 11 1 BUF CHI HOU NYJ IND
MR. ROGER . 18 11 1 TEN BUF CHI NYJ WAS
TGCAC . 18 12 0 MIA SF HOU WAS SEA
TOO OLD PROS . 18 11 1 SD CIN CHI NO WAS
NIAGA2991 . 18 11 1 MIA DAL CHI HOU NYJ
THE WATER BUFFALOES 18 11 1 TEN CAR NYG HOU TB
WIRE TO WIRE . 18 12 0 DAL MIN SF HOU GB
ERWINS . 18 10 2 BUF BAL CAR DET GB
ITALIAN ICE . 18 12 0 PIT HOU IND TB NE
YOU'RE NOT THAT GOOD 18 12 0 SD STL NO WAS GB
SHORELINE SCRUBS 18 12 0 BUF PIT MIA HOU OAK
FRANKB22 . 18 11 1 TEN BUF MIA CHI NYG
KSHP . 18 11 1 MIA MIN NYG CLE NE
STRAY BULLETT . 18 11 1 BAL CHI OAK WAS NE
INSIDESPORTS VIEW 18 12 0 TEN MIA NYJ WAS IND
ZOESBEGEEZER DAD 18 12 0 TEN DAL CAR NYG IND
FUNHOUSE . 18 12 0 TEN MIA SF NYJ IND
REVEREND RIGHT . 18 11 1 BUF CHI CAR OAK GB
FGH . 18 11 1 KC SD MIA SF NE
BUCKEYE702 . 18 10 2 TEN BUF MIA CHI NYG
COLLOSSEUM 2 . 18 11 1 TEN DAL CHI NYJ IND
CAROLINE . 18 11 1 STL CHI CAR IND SEA
SLIM TIM . 18 12 0 BUF MIA CHI NYJ NE
WESTCHESTER MECHANICS 17 11 2 TEN CIN NO HOU WAS
BLUE THUNDER . 17 12 1 TEN MIA NO NYJ DEN
AYE . 17 12 1 CHI CAR IND TB NE
REYROB . 17 13 0 MIA NYJ CLE TB NE
NATA'S . 17 13 0 TEN NYG NYJ WAS NE
DAVID MILLER . 17 11 2 MIA CAR IND SEA NE
JAMES BROWN . 17 12 1 BAL CHI NO NYG HOU
THE MOST . 17 12 1 TEN PIT HOU NYJ TB
HULA BOY . 17 11 2 BUF CHI HOU IND NE
RUSSIAN 1 . 17 11 2 BUF DAL CHI NYJ WAS
RUSSIAN 2 . 17 11 2 MIA DAL CHI NYJ WAS
TEAM WILLIS . 17 12 1 DAL NYG NYJ WAS GB
PREDICTEM.COM . 17 12 1 BUF MIA CAR HOU GB
CHOPPER . 17 12 1 TEN SD CHI CLE IND
THE SHARKS . 17 11 2 BUF BAL HOU NYJ IND
MADDUX SP . 17 12 1 BUF DAL OAK WAS DEN
DACHEETAH JAIALAI 17 12 1 CIN BAL CAR CLE TB
LEXI . 17 11 2 KC BUF CIN STL NO
ABCBAIL . 17 13 0 TEN PIT NO HOU NYJ
BUSHWHACK . 17 12 1 KC BUF CIN SF WAS
MAC SHANE . 17 12 1 DAL CHI NYJ CLE IND
REDMEN . 17 12 1 TEN CHI NYJ IND NE
CONTINENTAL SPORTS SERVICE 17 12 1 BUF DAL NO IND TB
JAS . 17 12 1 No Ticket
RICO . 17 12 1 BUF NYG GB TB NE
BOBBY BABOWSKI . 17 12 1 SD DAL CAR NYG NE
RED RYDER . 17 13 0 MIA NYG HOU NYJ CLE
J&B ENTERPRISE . 17 12 1 BAL CHI NYJ IND NE
DOUGIEFRESH . 17 12 1 BAL DAL CAR NYG WAS
MATTHEW BORKOWSKI 17 12 1 CHI NYG HOU WAS TB
DEREK & THE DOMO 17 13 0 BUF CHI HOU WAS IND
RAM66 . 17 11 2 CIN CAR HOU NYJ CLE
VIP WINNERS . 17 12 1 SD CIN CHI OAK NE
PIGLET . 17 12 1 BUF CHI NO HOU IND
PB&K . 17 11 2 TEN BUF MIA WAS TB
GG . 17 13 0 BUF MIA CHI WAS IND
JJFL . 17 12 1 MIA MIN HOU IND TB
SIMPLY THE BEST 17 11 2 MIA MIN CAR HOU NYJ
TONY SALINAS . 17 12 1 BUF CIN STL CHI NO
OTIS . 17 12 1 TEN CHI NO NYG HOU
HUSKER NATION . 17 12 1 SD BAL NYG OAK IND
CHAPPY . 17 12 1 SD CIN NYJ WAS NE
COPERNICUS . 17 12 1 BUF MIA CHI CAR GB
GORDON GEE . 17 12 1 PIT MIA HOU IND TB
BET ON ME . 17 11 2 BUF MIA DAL CHI IND
ROY WILSON 17 11 2 BUF BAL CAR SF NE
JOJO . 17 12 1 CHI NO NYJ CLE IND
UAREALL DONKEYS 17 12 1 TEN STL SF DET TB
THEACCOUNTANTS . 17 11 2 BUF DAL CHI NYG IND
VIDAL . 17 12 1 MIA CHI CAR NYJ IND
BRISKI . 16 14 0 SD CHI NO NYG IND
SQUAREPANTS . 16 13 1 KC BUF PIT BAL SEA
3G-SPORTS . 16 13 1 BUF BAL CAR GB DEN
PREPAY . 16 13 1 SD MIN NO GB DEN
HOOSIERS . 16 14 0 KC SD CHI NYJ IND
SEVEN RED . 16 13 1 BUF CIN MIA CHI IND
ROUGHING THE PICKER 16 12 2 BUF PIT DAL CAR IND
JARHEAD . 16 13 1 KC CIN CLE GB DEN
SHAKE AND BAKE . 16 14 0 KC BAL DET OAK CLE
SHARK SANDWICH . 16 14 0 TEN CHI WAS IND TB
JAXTERSPIX.NET . 16 13 1 SD MIA CHI IND NE
R2K2 . 16 12 2 TEN DAL WAS TB DEN
BUSKY . 16 13 1 BUF MIA CHI CAR IND
DASH RIPROCK . 16 14 0 SD DAL CHI NO CLE
TOUCHDOWN . 16 13 1 PIT NYG HOU NYJ IND
UGLY KID JOE . 16 14 0 TEN BUF MIA CHI TB
JOHNNYBO.COM . 16 14 0 BAL CHI NYJ WAS IND
KCEXTREME . 16 12 2 CHI CAR NYJ TB NE
DR. KING . 16 13 1 BUF PIT NYG HOU TB
FROGTOWN SPORTS 16 14 0 KC BUF NYJ GB NE
ZAARNAK . 16 14 0 TEN MIA NYG HOU TB
POLSERITA . 16 13 1 DAL CHI NO WAS DEN
BIG ANGIE . 16 13 1 BUF CAR HOU NYJ GB
OKWATNAK . 16 14 0 TEN BUF MIA NO NYJ
IONE'S SON . 16 13 1 CIN DAL CHI NO NE
UPON FURTHER REVIEW 16 14 0 TEN NO HOU NYJ DEN
TIGER JAM . 16 12 2 BUF SF NYJ WAS GB
MAYO MCCUTCHEON 16 13 1 BUF MIA NYJ GB DEN
FRANKIE . 16 13 1 SD CAR OAK CLE IND
TEAM FUBAR . 16 14 0 BAL DAL NYJ WAS IND
DR. LOU . 16 14 0 SD CHI NO NYJ IND
MK SPORTS . 16 13 1 TEN NYG HOU NYJ NE
TONY SMITH . 16 12 2 DAL CAR HOU IND NE
ET . 16 12 2 KC MIA DAL MIN NE
ROCKSOLIDPICKS .COM 16 12 2 CAR HOU NYJ TB NE
STEVE ARNTZEN . 16 13 1 BUF MIA CHI HOU WAS
VEGAS.RUNNER & MARCO DANGELO 16 13 1 BAL OAK WAS GB SEA
MAX 1 . 16 13 1 TEN SD MIA NO NE
IBELIEVE . 16 13 1 DAL CHI HOU GB SEA
RWM . 16 13 1 TEN SD BAL HOU IND
SUNDOWN . 16 13 1 BUF SF OAK WAS GB
TIMBUKTU . 16 14 0 SD MIA DAL IND NE
HOUSTON 1222 . 16 13 1 BAL CAR SF OAK SEA
BLMK . 16 13 1 BUF MIA NO HOU IND
ROY WILSON 16 12 2 BUF CIN BAL DET NE
BIGAL.COM . 16 14 0 BUF BAL WAS GB NE
TAYLORANDSADIE . 16 14 0 BAL MIN CAR SEA DEN
ABEL . 16 13 1 TEN BUF PIT BAL STL
MAXPESCATORI .COM 16 13 1 TEN CAR NYJ IND TB
BOZO'S DEAD . 16 13 1 SD CIN MIN NYG OAK
RBSPORTS . 16 14 0 SD MIA NO CLE GB
GRAYBEARDS . 16 12 2 TEN NO NYJ CLE IND
LANCAN . 16 13 1 BUF DAL NYG HOU DEN
PHILADELPHIA FREEDOM 16 13 1 BAL CHI HOU IND SEA
DOUBLE R . 15 15 0 PIT MIA STL MIN IND
JHC III . 15 15 0 DAL NO HOU NYJ GB
HOLY COWS . 15 15 0 SD DAL MIN CLE IND
D MILL . 15 13 2 MIA CHI CAR SEA NE
MISTER P . 15 15 0 KC BUF DET SEA NE
MONKEY . 15 14 1 CHI CAR DET CLE IND
PAPILLON . 15 14 1 MIA MIN CAR HOU WAS
BRAZ . 15 14 1 KC BUF MIN OAK GB
DON JUAN OF THE YUKON 15 15 0 SD CHI CAR NYG CLE
G. ABREGO . 15 14 1 PIT NYG DET WAS DEN
TREE TOP TIPS . 15 14 1 TEN BUF HOU TB NE
JOHN KWAN . 15 15 0 SD MIA CHI NYJ WAS
DOCTOR G . 15 13 2 SD CIN MIA SF SEA
DOS AMIGOS . 15 14 1 BUF CHI NYG NYJ IND
BIG FIVE . 15 14 1 KC CIN MIN SF CLE
LAVANG . 15 14 1 TEN CIN STL NO SF
IRISH SAMOA . 15 14 1 TEN HOU IND TB DEN
GLUTEN FREE . 15 14 1 TEN PIT DAL NYJ TB
RAINBOW WARRIOR 15 14 1 CAR NYG HOU IND TB
GA . 15 14 1 STL SF IND SEA DEN
BIG E . 15 14 1 BAL SF OAK WAS NE
KM SPORTS . 15 14 1 BUF CIN NO OAK GB
ROB DEVLIN . 15 13 2 TEN PIT CHI NYJ IND
SUNDAY NIGHT . 15 13 2 TEN SD NYJ CLE IND
FRAT BOYS . 15 14 1 BUF BAL OAK SEA DEN
ESQUIRE SPORTS . 15 15 0 PIT DAL MIN HOU CLE
BLUEHORSESHOE SPORTS.COM 15 14 1 PIT CHI NYG IND DEN
PRINCESS HAIRY WARTS 15 14 1 SD NYJ IND TB NE
PIZZA MAN . 15 14 1 PIT MIA STL HOU CLE
"638 FOREVER" . 15 13 2 TEN CAR HOU WAS IND
ROGER HARRIS . 15 14 1 TEN PIT CAR HOU CLE
ICEMAN . 15 14 1 SD CIN DAL TB DEN
MALSOR . 15 14 1 TEN STL CHI GB DEN
BLACK JACK . 15 14 1 SD NO SF DET DEN
MY BEST PICKS . 15 14 1 SD CIN MIA CLE TB
BROKEN ARROW . 15 14 1 MIA CHI HOU NYJ WAS
22 PURPLE ROSE . 15 15 0 KC CHI IND SEA DEN
LONG HAIR . 15 14 1 BUF MIA NO WAS NE
FAT SQUARED . 15 14 1 BUF DET CLE GB DEN
TK . 15 14 1 NYG NYJ WAS IND TB
NO COMPLAINTS NO EXCUSES 15 15 0 KC DAL IND SEA NE
EAGLES FLY . 15 15 0 BUF BAL NYJ GB SEA
SILVER FOX . 15 15 0 KC BUF MIN NYG OAK
TCHGOLD . 15 15 0 BUF CHI SF CLE NE
"THE FRONZ" . 15 14 1 BUF MIA CAR TB DEN
WHITE RAIN . 15 14 1 TEN NO NYG IND TB
JUSTPRO FOOTBALL.COM 14 15 1 TEN BUF CHI CAR WAS
MITSU-SAN . 14 16 0 CHI HOU NYJ IND TB
GAMBLING RATS . 14 14 2 SD CHI CAR GB NE
SEVEN GOLD . 14 15 1 KC MIA NYG HOU NE
RIVRATS . 14 16 0 TEN DAL HOU IND TB
SCOTT STOWELL . 14 15 1 TEN BAL NYG DET DEN
MCLOVIN . 14 16 0 SD NYG NYJ IND DEN
J.R. A.R. . 14 15 1 TEN DAL HOU IND TB
ABI . 14 14 2 CIN MIN NO NYJ IND
LOCKSVILLE.COM . 14 15 1 TEN MIA CHI NO DEN
RICKJSPORTS PLAYS.COM 14 14 2 KC CIN MIN OAK GB
MASTER OF CHOOS 14 15 1 TEN MIN OAK GB DEN
DETROIT STARS . 14 16 0 STL HOU WAS SEA DEN
PURPLE AND GOLD 14 16 0 PIT NYG HOU WAS SEA
PR SPORTS . 14 14 2 BUF CIN DAL MIN OAK
COMMISSIONER AND THE GURU 14 15 1 KC BUF NYJ IND TB
THE EAGLE . 14 15 1 TEN SD DAL HOU IND
HIT HIM IN THE FOOT 14 15 1 MIA NO HOU WAS DEN
DADDY N DOUGHNUTS 14 16 0 PIT DAL NYJ SEA NE
G. D. . 14 14 2 TEN SD CHI HOU NYJ
54 PAGAN . 14 16 0 TEN CIN NYG NYJ WAS
MICHAEL PIRANIO 14 16 0 TEN PIT CAR NYJ TB
BIG PICTURE . 14 15 1 BUF CHI HOU IND TB
BIG LIB . 14 14 2 SD CIN CHI DET IND
CODY . 14 16 0 DAL CAR SF WAS DEN
BUCKY BADGER . 14 15 1 BUF DAL NYG WAS IND
BROOKLYN DODGERS 14 16 0 MIA NO NYG TB DEN
TONY ZZZ . 14 16 0 BUF MIA CHI NO NE
PUT THE MONEY IN THE BAG 14 15 1 CIN NO CLE SEA DEN
GRANT LINCOLN . 14 15 1 SD BAL NO SF CLE
BUDLADY . 14 15 1 BUF DET NYJ WAS GB
EXEC . 14 15 1 BAL MIN CAR OAK GB
MAX 2 . 14 15 1 SD MIA NO WAS NE
M + K TEAM . 14 15 1 SD CIN DAL NYJ IND
E.M.H.J.F.C. . 14 15 1 KC BAL HOU OAK SEA

Top ** Contestants - Selection Recap

Selection # of Times Selected

CHI -3 86
IND -1 85
BUF PK 78
HOU -8.5 69
NYJ -3 69
MIA -2.5 64
WAS -7 58
TEN -7.5 53
NE -3 52
CAR -3 50
DAL -7 49
NO +3 47
SD PK 43
NYG -10.5 43
DEN +3 42
TB -10.5 40
GB +1 37
CIN +9.5 35
BAL +2.5 35
CLE +7 30
OAK +3 27
SEA +10.5 27
SF +10.5 25
PIT -9.5 23
MIN +3 23
KC +7.5 22
DET +8.5 17
STL +7 16

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Nathan Armstrong
Highprofitsports

5* Tennessee
4* San Diego
3* Baltimore
3* Den/n. Eng Under
3* ST LOUIS
9-0 Last 2 Sundays
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

JB's Computer Picks

Bills +1
Steelers -9½
Chiefs +8
Dolphins -3
Panthers -3
Bears -3
Giants -10½
Cowboys -7
Texans -8½
Redskins -7
Colts -2
Jets -3
Buccaneers -10½ * * * (Best Bet)

Monday, October 20, 2008

Patriots -3

[Barney44]

His info has been cold but I will still relay it on


The NY JETS are the play this week he says.

[TheRealSlimShady]

EROCK:
NFL
Tennessee (-8)
Tampa Bay (-10.5)
Minnesota (+3.5)
Under 48 Denver at New England
Under 47 Indianapolis at Green Bay
Cleveland (+7.5)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Kevin Kavitch Overall 21-12-1 after Week 6. Tops are now 5-1-0. ATS picks are 18-8-1 69%, totals are 3-4-0.

Solid matchup advantages and a good situation based on recent games. Both teams are 3-3 but Chicago has 3 close losses including a tough one last week on the road vs the Falcons. Minnesota squeeeked by the lowly Lions at home to climb back to .500. The Bears have been very solid vs the run, even better than the Vikings and what impresses me is Chicago's improvements in the passing game. Orton a top 10 fantasy QB? Strange but true and Hester is looking like a real WR. So running yards will have to be earned on both sides but Chicago has the tools to attack the below average Viking pass defence. Combined with a special teams edge, home field advantage, and last week's results I expect Chicago to be the better motivated team and earn a solid win and cover. Take Chicago -3 for a 4* Regular Play.


The Giants may have lost big last week but good teams don't bounce back as well as most people assume after their 1st loss. Double-digits vs a team that has things going for them on offence and defence? San Fran has played an unfortunate schedule losing to HIGHLY motivated teams recently to drop to 2-4. They had an excellent chance to take out the Eagles last week (leading) before turnovers killed them. At 2-4 and feeling they're better than their record shows they'll also have their fair share of motivation. Opposite line move in this one too as a bonus. Giants open at -12 and bets have poured in on them because "they'll be mad". However, the line is now at -10.5. Hmmm, I wonder why they're not -13 if so many love them? Like I've mentioned almost weekly, we've seen this movie before. Small, public (& typically losing) bets love the Giants but sharp money has created an opposite line-move. Take San Francisco +10.5 for a 4* Regular Play
<!-- / message -->

[ymmit2nd]

Shooters Locks

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SUNDAY NFL PICKS
Our Only Big Money Play on Sunday is the Indianapolis Colts for 1500.00 over the Green Bay Packers.
We Have a Big Money tease that we like and it is the Tennessee Titans and the New Orleans Saints for 1000.00.
Other Selections we like for the 500-750 range are:
1.) San Diego Chargers
2.) NY Jets
3.) Pittsburgh Steelers
4.) Minnesota Vikings

The Sunday Night Pick between Seattle Seahawks and the Tampa bay Bucs, will be emailed to you 1.5 hrs prior to kickoff.
Have a Good Weekend and I wish I was in your place because Ill Be stuck at a Wedding. Thnaks and Lets Get em!! Shooter

[ymmit2nd]

Spylock
Houston-8 1/2... 1unit
Tampa Bay-10 1/2...1 unit
Denver + 3 ....3 units

[ymmit2nd]

Allen Eastmans NFL Picks for Sunday


$2500.00 #408 Buffalo (Pk) over San Diego (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 19) -105

$2000.00 #423 New York Jets (-3) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 19)-110

$800.00 #426 Washington (-7) over Cleveland (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 19)-115

$500.00 ‘Under’ 35.5 Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 19) -105

[ymmit2nd]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL GAME OF THE YEAR!!
Pick # 1 Carolina Panthers (-3.0)

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Side
double-dime bet413 DAL -7.0 (-110) Bodog vs 414 STL
Analysis:
The Washington Redskins were in the worst spot of all NFL teams last week and who did they play? You guessed it the St. Louis Rams.



The Rams were outgained by nearly 200 yards, but due to the Redskins sloppy play throughout the game - St. Louis pulled off the victory.



Now enter the Dallas Cowboys - a team that's an AMAZING 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a road loss. That's right and they played deplorable football against Arizona last week.



I'm not about to back a faulty 1-4 team that benefited from playing off a bye week and catching a double-digit favorite team napping. Romo or not - America's team big on Sunday.






Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMJeff Bonds | NFL Total
double-dime bet412 MIA / 411 BAL Under 36.5 BetUS
Analysis:
Running the ball and defense.....That's how the Baltimore Ravens are going to try to win their first road game in quite some time.



Baltimore hasn't allowed a 100-yard rusher in nearly two years and that's the basis of how Miami has been scoring points - establishing the run game and then letting Chad Pennington pick his spots. Problem is - Pennington can't extend the defense of Baltimore with his arm strength.



The UNDER is 6-1 in the Ravens last seven games in playing the second game of back-to-back road games. That certainly helps with the UNDER being 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two clubs.



On Miami's defensive end - they will certainly sure things up against the pass versus the Ravens, as Flacco has yet to prove himself as a drop back passer in this league. The UNDER is 22-5 in the Dolphins last 27 games after allowing 250 or more passing yards.



Baltimore has been flexing its defensive strength as a road underdog of this type for years - with the UNDER being 34-16 in their last 50 getting seven points or less.

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMTony George | NFL Side
double-dime bet405 TEN -9.0 (-110) BetUS vs 406 KAN
Analysis:


Tennessee -9

Kansas City is in bad shape. Larry Johnson is suspended, the Tony Gonzalez mess is all over the media, including his tirades over not being traded, defensive leader Donnie Edwards is still out, and Herm Edwards has been under fire all week. DISTRACTIONS AND DIS-ILLUSIONS. They are off a bye wee after getting waxed 34-0 by Carolina and all these distractions pale by comparison to the fact QB Brodie Croyle gets the start against a Tennessee team who is undefeated, with a awesome front four, one of the best teams in the AFC who unlike Denver, who came in here not ready to play and KC beat them. Jeff Fishers boys will show up with a baseball bat bat and beat them badly on the line of scrimmage and dominate. KC Averages 13 points a game and give up 26 ppg. Crazy things happen in the NFL every week and it is not a good idea many times to lay 9 on the road, but this is a BAD KC team against a great team who is always ready to play and win. Word is QB Vince Young will see time as a slot back and at WR, possibly some direct snap plays as well. Titans simply too much for KC, it could get ugly.

Play 1.5 Units by Tennessee - Top Play


Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMTony George | NFL Side
dime bet407 SDC 1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 408 BUF
Analysis:
San Diego +1

Tim to look at schedules. Buffalo off a beat down 41-17 at Arizona before the bye week, and that was really the only good team they have played bewside JAX. The Bills do play well at home, but the Chargers here in a pick em type game have the better better QB, better RB and better defense. Hard to go against that, even on the road and off a confidence building butt kicking of New England where they dominated that game in every respect last Sunday Night. Trent Edwards will start for the Bills, but look for the Chargers to win this by a TD or more. Buffalos run of 4-1 included wins over St. Louis, Oakland Seattle, all teams with big losing records and 1 win over JAX when they were struggling. That is one quality win. The chargers got ripped off in Denver or would be 4-2 and I see them gain momentum as the seasons builds. Look for Sproles to have a big day on special teams here too.

Play 1 Unit on he Bolts

2-Team 6- Point Teaser. Tease the NY Giants down to -4.5 and tease Houston down to -2.5......Play 1 Unit...thanks and good luck..Tony George



Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMTony George | NFL Total
dime bet416 CHI / 415 MIN Over 37.5 BetUS
Analysis:
OVER 38 Chicago / Minnesota

This game always plays over and with such hype around both defenses, the bottom line is that Minnesota has let people run an throw all over them all season. Atlanta moved the chains at will last week against Chicago. Peterson from Minny ran for over 350 yards on the Bears last year, and although it will be tough to match those numbers again, he will move the chains. Bears 17-4 ATS on the OVER the last 21 at home, and Minny has went over in every game they played on the road this year. Many see this as a smash mouth NFC battle, but I think both teams care capable of 20+ points or more each.

Play 1 Unit on the Over

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 4:15 PMMatty O'Shea | NFL Total
triple-dime bet428 GBP / 427 IND Over 47.0 BetUS
Analysis: Packers QB Aaron Rodgers was finally throwing the ball in practice on Thursday for the first time in several weeks, a sure sign he is getting back to 100 percent healthy after dealing with a shoulder injury. That will only help him against a depleted Colts defense that is missing top CB Kelvin Hayden and 2007 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Bob Sanders, who both remain out with knee injuries. The Ravens weren't able to take advantage of Indy last week at home, but Green Bay should be ready to explode and score at least four touchdowns for the first time since a 48-25 win at Detroit back on September 14th. The Colts are also starting to hit their stride offensively, putting up 31 points in back-to-back-wins against the Texans and Ravens. With Indy RB Joseph Addai sidelined the next few weeks with a partially torn hamstring, I expect QB Peyton Manning to air it out against a Green Bay secondary that is still hurting without CB Al Harris and S Atari Bigby. The OVER is 10-1 in the last 11 games on grass for the Packers and 7-1 in their last eight home games, so bet the OVER to cash here as well as my Triple Dime NFL Total Play O' the Month.

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMStephen Nover | NFL Side
double-dime bet405 TEN -7.5 (-110) Bodog vs 406 KAN
Analysis:
Titans -7.5



Analysis: When we last witnessed the Chiefs they were being held to 127 yards in a 34-0 loss to Carolina, of which 50 of those yards came during a meaningless fourth quarter. It was the Chiefs' lowest yardage total in 22 years.

The Chiefs are horrible on offense. Quarterback Brodie Croyle is winless in seven career NFL starts. The Titans are holding foes to an NFL-low 11.2 points per game. They've held each of their last 10 opponents to less than 20 points during regulation, while averaging 23 points themselves during this span.

Kerry Collins is playing well for Tennessee. He's only been sacked once despite his lack of mobility. The Titans have good morale and a huge coaching edge with both teams coming off a bye.

Morale is terrible on Kansas City. The veterans feel betrayed by Herm Edwards already looking to next year. The fans are down on the Chiefs, too. Arrowhead Stadium has lost its luster. The Chiefs are 2-7-1 against the spread during their past 10 home contests.

Tennessee, on the other hand, is 13-5 against the spread in its past 18 contests.

The time to play this game is now as the line is just going to keep climbing.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Fargo’s **7** Anti-Public Home Team DOMINATOR

Buffalo

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (Sunday 10/19 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Cincinnati +10 (-120)


Both of these teams have been beaten up through the first six weeks of the season. Pittsburgh may be the healthier of the two, and they are certainly in better shape record-wise at 4-1 vs. Cincy's 0-6. The Steelers likely just want to get out of here with a win, knowing they have a big challenge at home next week against the Superbowl Champ Giants. Following that big game are games against Washington, Indianapolis and San Diego. So the 0-6 Bengals, without Carson Palmer, can't excite the Steelers here and I don't see them expending too much energy as a result. That makes this a dangerous game, because this is a division matchup and the Bengals have played to the level of the competition this season. They have played a very difficult schedule, but they aren't getting blown out by the big teams they face. They more than held their own against three powerhouses on the road, dropping a 9-point decision in Dallas (covering a 17 point spread), taking the Giants to OT in New York, and losing by just a TD at Baltimore. All of those games resulted in smaller final margins than this spread. The Bengals are home and hungry for their first win and would like nothing more than to see it come vs. the Steelers. It may surprise some that 0-6 teams have shown good value, as they are 5-3 ATS since 2000. I look for the Bengals to catch the Steelers napping here, as they did vs. the Cowboys two weeks ago. The Steelers are rested off a bye, but that hasn't helped them in the past as they are just 5-10 ATS in their last fifteen post-bye games. They are also 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games following a win. Bengals plus the points here.
<!-- / message -->

[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS 31-14-1 last 46 fb plays (69%)
NFL EARLY RELEASE
BUFFALO-1

[pjoyce5893]

EZ Sunday NFL

5* Dallas -7

5* Houston -9.5

3* Indianapolis -1

3* Tampa Bay -10.5

[DaGreek23]

Brandon Lang
Sunday winners .... 30 Dime Colts
5 Dime Rams
5 Dime Dolphins (be sure to buy the half-point if for some reason the line goes to 3-1/2. ONLY LAY 3 POINTS in this football game)

Free pick - Buccaneers (for analysis see daily video.)

[jbragg10]

For those who are lazy and want to see Dr. Bob's opinions here they are.
We still need his best bet picks on these games:
Pitt/Cinn
Ind/GB
Clev/Wash

Here are the others:
Tennessee (-8.5) 21 KANSAS CITY 15
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
Kansas City is among the bottom 3 teams in the NFL and unbeaten Tennessee is among the best teams, but the situation strongly favors the Chiefs coming out of their bye week. I mentioned last week in the Monday night analysis how bad teams tend to play very well after their bye week and St. Louis and Cleveland did just that. The Chiefs apply to a 25-3 ATS home underdog after a bye week angle that applies to the Browns in their Monday night blowout win over the Giants and KC also applies to a solid 85-40-3 ATS home underdog situation that is 11-2 ATS when the home teams is off a bye. My math model favors Tennessee by 11 ½ points with Chiefs’ quarterback Brodie Croyle back in the lineup (although he hasn’t proven to be any better than Damon Huard) and there is no need to downgrade the Chiefs with RB Larry Johnson being suspended since backup Jamaal Charles is a talented young back who's averaged 4.7 ypr so far this season. The line value favors Tennessee, but I’ll lean with Kansas City plus the points based on the strong situation.

Pittsburgh (-9.5) vs. CINCINNATI
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
This game is part of Dr Bob's Best Bets package, which includes all of Dr. Bob's Best Bets, Strong Opinions and other withheld games. For the analysis of this game and all the Bets and Strong Opinions for this week click here

CHICAGO (-3.5) 19 Minnesota 18
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
Minnesota is a better than average team from the line of scrimmage, but their special teams are the worst in the NFL and could cost them in this game against Devin Hester. The Vikings rate at just 0.1 yards per play worse than average offensively with Gus Frerotte at quarterback and they are 0.6 yppl better than average defensively (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average team. However, the Vikings have allowed a ridiculous 18 yards per punt return and 3 of those punts have been returned for touchdowns. That’s not a good omen going into a game kicking the ball to Devin Hester (if they choose to kick it to him). Chicago’s season numbers are nearly identical to those of Minnesota, as the Bears have been 0.2 yppl worse than average on offense and 0.6 yppl better than average defensively. However, the loss of starting CB Nathan Vasher a few weeks ago has hurt the secondary and the other starting CB Charles Tillman injured his shoulder in the second quarter of last week’s loss to Atlanta. Backup CB Trumaine McBride and safety Danieal Manning also were injured in that game and Matt Ryan average over 10 yards per pass play. Vasher and Tillman are both listed as questionable and the Bears would be worse than average against the pass without them (and about average if one of them played), so the Vikings would have a chance to move the ball through the air. My math model projects Minnesota with a 4.8 yppl to 4.6 yppl advantage in this game if Chicago has one of their two starting cornerbacks in the game and Minnesota should win if their special teams don’t hurt them. However, that is not likely and I’ll call for a narrow Bear’s victory and a Vikings’ spread win on the basis of a 227-112-9 ATS statistical indicator that applies to Minnesota. Unfortunately, that angle is just 11-11-2 ATS if the other team is a division rival with revenge, which is the case here. I’ll still lean with the Vikings and hope Hester doesn’t take back a kick for a touchdown.

Baltimore 19 MIAMI (-2.5) 17
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
Miami has emerged as a pretty good team with a good offense that has racked up an average of 408 yards at 6.9 yppl in their last 3 games while often employing a direct snap to running back Ronnie Brown. For the season Miami has been 0.4 yppl better than average while Baltimore’s defense has been 1.1 yppl better than average – allowing just 4.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team. However, the absence of CB Samari Rolle has affected the pass defense, as it always does. Baltimore was great in pass defense last season with both Rolle and Chris McAlister playing, but the Ravens have not been nearly as good defending the pass when either Rolle or McAlister is out, as their depth at cornerback is not good. Rolle has missed 3 games so far and SS Dawan Landry was also injured in week 3 and is out for the season. In 3 games without Rolle and Landy the Ravens have allowed 6.6 yards per pass play to teams that would combine to average 6.5 yppp against an average team, so the Ravens have gone from great (allowed just 2.8 yppp in their first two games) to average against the pass. Rolle’s backup Fabian Washington missed last week’s game and the Ravens were exploited for 8.6 yppp by Peyton Manning and Washington is questionable to play this week. Baltimore is still great against the run (2.9 ypr allowed), but Chad Pennington should have success through the air in this game after averaging 7.2 yppp in his first 5 games with the Dolphins (9.4 yppp the last 3 games). Baltimore’s offense has averaged just 4.4 yppl and has not played one game in which they’ve averaged 5.0 yppl or more, but scoring against a sub-par Miami stop unit (0.2 yppl worse than average) will be easier than scoring against their 5 previous opponents, who collectively are 0.4 yppl better than average defensively. Overall the Dolphins do have an advantage from the line of scrimmage in this game, but the Ravens have a significant advantage in special teams and my math model favors Miami by 3 points, but 3 ½ or 4 points would be a more appropriate number if Washington misses another game (he’s questionable as of Wednesday night). The reason for leaning with Baltimore in this game is a very good 95-35-1 ATS bounce-back situation that favors the Ravens and has a 57% chance of covering at a fair line. The fair line depends on if Washington is healthy enough to start at one corner in place of Rolle while Frank Walker returns to the nickel back spot that he is more suited for. I’d prefer not to guess on whether Washington will play, so I'll just lean with Baltimore in this game.

CAROLINA (-3.0) 26 New Orleans 21
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
Both of these teams are proving themselves to be very good and I don’t like the idea of bucking either squad. Drew Brees was nearly perfect last week against the Raiders and he’s averaged an incredible 8.6 yards per pass play this season while leading his offense to 6.5 yards per play (against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team). That offense is supported by an improved defense rates as average against both the run and the pass after being horrible last season. Carolina’s strength is on defense, as the Panthers have yielded just 4.6 yppl to a schedule of teams that would combine to average 5.4 yppl against an average stop unit, so they should at least slow Brees down a bit. Carolina’s offense struggled to score last week in a 3-27 loss at Tampa Bay, but the Panthers have been 0.1 yppl better than average offensively since star WR Steve Smith returned from suspension in week 3. My math model favors Carolina by just 2 ½ points if Reggie Bush is at 100% for this game, but Bush missed practice on Wednesday and is listed as questionable with a bad knee. Bush really makes no difference offensively, as he’s averaged just 3.1 ypr and a mediocre 6.3 yards per pass thrown to him, but Bush has averaged 26.9 yards on 10 punt returns while returning 3 of those for touchdowns and his special teams contributions are worth about 3 points per game. I’d favor Carolina by 5 ½ points if Bush is not the punt returner, which may be the case even if he does play. Carolina is likely to bounce back from their 3 point performance last week, as teams with winning records are 46-19-4 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or more after scoring less than 7 points in a loss the previous week. I’ll lean with Carolina regardless of whether Bush plays or not for the Saints.

San Diego 24 BUFFALO (-1.0) 23
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
San Diego has is a very good offensive team that has averaged 6.2 yards per play against a schedule of teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team, but the Chargers are a bit below average defensively (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl against an average defense) and this game is a toss-up. The Bills are certainly not as good as their 4-1 record would suggest, as Buffalo rates at 0.2 yppl worse than average offensively (5.4 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl) and 0.2 yppl better than average defensively (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that would average only 5.0 yppl against an average team. The Bills’ excellent special teams does make them a better than average team, but my math model favors San Diego by a point in this game.

NY GIANTS (-10.5) 31 San Francisco 18
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
The Giants caught a Cleveland Browns team in a very good situation on Monday night and were blown out 14-35, but that one bad game does not change the fact the New York is a very good team. New York’s offense has become one of the top two or three units in the league, as the Giants have averaged an incredible 6.4 ypr while Eli Manning has averaged 7.2 yards per pass play while throwing just 4 interceptions in 5 games (3 last week). Overall the Giants have been 1.4 yppl better than average offensively (6.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.4 yppl to an average team) and they even averaged 6.9 yppl in last week’s loss. New York’s defensive numbers are medicore (4.9 yppl allowed to teams that would average 4.9 yppl against an average defense), but they were 0.6 yppl better than average through their first 4 games (4.2 yppl allowed to teams that would average 4.8 yppl) before giving up 8.1 yppl to the Browns – so I still consider them a better than average defense. San Francisco has the potential to be a solid team, as the 49ers are pretty good moving the ball on offense (5.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl) and decent defensively (5.3 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average team). However, quarterback T.J. O’Sullivan has to cut down on his interceptions (8 in 6 games) and the Niners need to be a bit luckier (they are -5 in fumbles lost margin). My math model favors New York by 12 ½ points in this game, so I’ll look for them to bounce-back with a solid win at home.

Dallas (-7.0) 0 ST. LOUIS 0
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
I'm waiting to see if Tony Romo is indeed going to play with his broken pinky finger, but I'll be leaning with Dallas regardless. Check back later for a full analysis once a starter at quarterback has been named for the Cowboys.

HOUSTON (-9.5) 28 Detroit 18
01:05 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
Detroit was in a very good situation last week and nearly upset the Vikings before falling 10-12 in the final minute. The Lions were still out-gained 4.2 yards per play to 5.7 yppl in that game and they look like the worst team in the league. Detroit’s defense has allowed 6.7 yppl (to teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average team) and the Lions are still 0.8 yppl worse than average defensively if you take out their game 1 disaster against the Falcons (9.2 yppl allowed in that game). Houston’s offense is solidly better than average again this season, averaging 5.6 yppl against teams that would allow 5.1 yppl to an average attack, and the Texans should rack up the yardage in this game. Detroit’s offense gave up all hope of being decent when the put veteran quarterback Jon Kitna in the IR and traded WR Roy Williams to Dallas on Tuesday. Williams was not having a good season, but his 5.9 yards per pass thrown to him is much better than the two receivers that will try to take his place (McDonald and Furrey have totaled just 126 yards on 38 passes intended for them – for 3.3 ypa). New quarterback Dan Orlovsky has averaged just 3.7 yards per pass play (against teams that would allow 5.6 yppp to an average QB) since taking over for Kitna and his numbers are likely to get worse without Roy Williams. Houston is 0.6 yppl worse than average defensively, but I rate Detroit at 1.3 yppl worse than average offensively with their current personnel. Detroit applies to the same 50-20-3 ATS situation that applies to them last week while Houston applies to a negative 39-94-1 ATS situation, but I don’t see Houston taking this game for granted given their 1-4 record and I’ll lean slightly with the Titans despite the situations favor the Lions.

Indianapolis (-1.5) vs. GREEN BAY
01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
This game is part of Dr Bob's Best Bets package, which includes all of Dr. Bob's Best Bets, Strong Opinions and other withheld games. For the analysis of this game and all the Bets and Strong Opinions for this week click here

Cleveland vs. WASHINGTON (-7.0)
01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
This game is part of Dr Bob's Best Bets package, which includes all of Dr. Bob's Best Bets, Strong Opinions and other withheld games. For the analysis of this game and all the Bets and Strong Opinions for this week click here

OAKLAND 19 NY Jets (-3.0) 18
01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
The Raiders were destroyed last week in New Orleans, but Oakland had been extremely competitive in the 3 games prior to that game – beating Kansas City, losing at Buffalo by just 1 point and leading San Diego 15-0 before giving up a score in the final minute to lose to the spread. Oakland is bad, but not horrible, on both sides of the ball and they are likely to be competitive in this game based on the technical analysis in their favor. The Raiders apply to a solid 85-40-3 ATS home underdog bounce-back situation and a 165-99-8 ATS statistical profile indicator. My math model favors the Jets by 3 ½ points, so the line is pretty fair, but I’ll pass on making Oakland a Best Bet in this game given their 11-29-2 ATS record at home since 2003.

TAMPA BAY (-10.5) 26 Seattle 12
05:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Oct-19 - Stats Matchup
Tampa Bay coach Jon Gruden is just 13-30 ATS in his coaching career at Oakland and Tampa as a favorite of 3 points or more the week following a victory and Seattle applies to a very strong 227-112-9 ATS contrary indicator. You’d have to be very contrary to want to be on Seattle, as the Seahawks are much worse than most perceive them to be (perhaps because they’ve been a pretty good team for many years). Seattle’s offense has had major issues at the receiver position all year and now All-Pro quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is out for a second straight week. Charlie Frye was a horrible starting quarterback in Cleveland and that apparently has not changed given the 64 yards on 26 pass plays with 2 interceptions he registered last week against the Packers. Seattle’s offense was horrible with Hasselbeck (1.1 yards per play worse than average for the season) and I rate the Seahawks’ attack at a pathetic 1.6 yppl worse than average with Frye at quarterback. Tampa Bay has a good defense that has surrendered just 5.2 yppl to a schedule of mostly good offensively teams that would combine to average 5.7 yppl against an average team, so they aren’t likely to give up many yards to Frye and company today. Tampa Bay’s offense has been just average on the season, but they rate at 0.4 yppl better than average with Jeff Garcia back in place of mediocre backup Brian Griese. Tampa should move the bal pretty easily against a Seattle defense that has allowed 5.7 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average team. In addition to the huge difference from the line of scrimmage, you have interception prone Charlie Frye with his 4.2% career interception rate going up against Jeff Garcia, who has a career interception rate of just 2.3%. My math model projects a +1.0 turnover margin for the Bucs, who are also a bit better in special teams. If Tampa Bay were completely focused on this game they would probably win by about 3 touchdowns, but Gruden’s teams tend to letdown as favorites after a win and Seattle applies to that very strong contrary indicator. The technical analysis is still not enough for me to lean with the Seahawks in this mismatch of talent.

NEW ENGLAND (-3.0) 27 Denver 24
05:30 PM Pacific Time Monday, Oct-20 - Stats Matchup
New England was destroyed last Sunday night in San Diego, but the public is still unwilling to accept the fact that the Patriots are a below average team. New England have been out-gained 4.7 yards per play to 6.0 yppl by a below average schedule of teams with their offense rating at 0.8 yppl worse than average and their defense rating at 0.6 yppl worse than average. The Patriots have beaten two sub-par teams in Kansas City and San Francisco, and their win over a pretty good Jets team was a bit of a fluke considering the Pats were out-gained 4.4 yppl to 5.4 yppl in that game. Denver, and their explosive offense, presents a problem for a defense that allowed 8.1 yppl and 38 points to Miami and 7.4 yppl and 30 points to San Diego – the only two better than average offensive teams that they have faced. The Broncos are bad defensively (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.3 yppl against an average team), but Denver’s defense is only 0.3 yppl worse than the Patriots’ offense while the Broncos’ attack (0.9 yppl better than average) has a 1.5 yppl advantage over New England’s defense. The Pats are good in special teams, but my math model favors Denver by 2 ½ points in this game. I’d really like to play Denver in this game, but New England applies to a very strong 135-65-5 ATS contrary indicator and a 62-22-2 ATS Monday night home team situation. My math model has been 59% over the years when the math prediction is 5 points or more away from the point spread, but the technical analysis favoring New England also has a 59% chance of working. I’ll have to pass on this game

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Sports Wise Guys

5 Star Picks (Week 7):

Indianapolis -1.5 over Green Bay
NY Jets -3 over Oakland
San Diego -1 over Buffalo
San Diego/Buffalo over 46.5
Houston/Detroit under 47.5


5-Star NFL Picks Season Total: 19-10-1 (65%)
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers - Sunday October 19, 2008 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Carolina Panthers -3 (-110)
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Blowout Of The Month- Titans
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Mighty Quinn

7-7 last week
39-46 for the year
1-5 best bets (won his first monday on the browns)

Texans - 9 1/2 best bet ..1-5 on these plays

Giants
Raiders
Titans
Chargers
Pitt
Ravens
Rams
Vikes
Saints
Browns
Packers
Bucs
Broncos
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Bob Akmens

5 units New York Giants r420 -10.5

5 units Cleveland Browns r425 +7.5

8 units Tampa Bay Buccaneers r430 -10.5

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMRJ_Bell | NFL Total
triple-dime bet414 STL / 413 DAL Under 44.0 BetUS
Analysis: NFL Total of Year:

UNDER DALLAS/RAMS 44

[uscmd]

Steve Budin
50 Dimer

Chicago Bears


For me, it takes compelling reasons not to play a 50* Budin.

I can't find any here, though the health of Chi's cb's is a concern. Add to that a loony toons NFL where last week 5 games changed on the games last play.

I bought the hook, Chi-3

gl

[odds on sports]

kelso
10 bucs
10 pats
5 saints
3 steelers

[LLXC13]

David Chan 13-3 NFL Run
Minnesota Vikings to win one unit.
NY Jets to win one unit.
Pittsburgh Steelers to win 1.5 units.

[LLXC13]

Al Demarco 15 Dimer
CHI

[LLXC13]

Steve Merril

NFL Steamroller Blowout - DAL
NFL Game of the Week - GB

[bigmoney$$$]

NFL FOOTBALL<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
NFL Game Of The Year<o:p></o:p>
200 Units<o:p></o:p>
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:State w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:State> Titans (-9) over <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">KANSAS CITY</st1:place></st1:City> CHIEFS<o:p></o:p>
Prediction: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:place></st1:State> by 35<o:p></o:p>
Starting Time: 1:00<o:p></o:p>


I said on Thursday I will get this play for all of u !!!!

So who else been hot capper for the NFL ???

thinking of a big parlay with the hot cappers :party:

Paid and Confirmed !!!!d1g1t:dancefool:pope::party:




My Guess on Kelso 200 unit play I think is going to be the Jets -3 or titans -9

That is my guess.............

GREAT guess!!!!

[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS EARLY RELEASES
33-16-1 last 50 football plays (67%)
BUFFALO
TENNESSEE -9

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Fatjack (2-0 last week)

NEW ORLEANS +3

THE MIAMI GAME TO GO OVER THE TOTAL OF 36 1/2

WASHINGTON-9
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

cappers access

Chiefs
Bengals
Raiders
Buccaneers
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Two Minute Warning

Best Bets
Investor

Kansas City +9
San Diego +1
Cincinnati +9 1/2
Baltimore +3
St. Louis +7 1/2
Minnesota +3
New York Giants -10 1/2
Detroit +9 1/2
Oakland +3
Seattle +10 1/2

Locals Line

3-5 LW
TMW 23-15-2 YTD
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Erin Rynning

20* buffalo
10* baltimore
10* carolina
10* detroit

[ymmit2nd]

Jets -3
Cowboys -7
TB -10


ratedpicks

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Arthur Ralph

Dallas

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Vegas Lock Sports

Buff/sd Under

Tenn/kc Under

[Can'tPickaWinner]

** nfl newsletters **

hot

cajun sports gator report gow (5-2)...
Cajun sports gator report inside info gow (4-1)...
Logical approach featured sel (10-5)...kansas city...buffalo...indianapolis
logical approach sel of week (3-1)...carolina
marty otto (sports memo) (3-0)...
Matty baiungo (the maxx) (4-2)...kansas city
northcoast power sweep 4* (3-1-2)...
Sports reporter best bet (10-5-1)...new orleans…denver
winning points best bet (10-4-1)...indianapolis…tennessee
vegas experts the edge 3* (5-1)...tennessee...detroit...cleveland


cold

erik scheponik (the maxx) (1-4)...no/car over
kevin o'neill (the maxx) (2-7)...
Logical approach totals (3-11)...bal/mia under...min/chi under...det/hou over...nyj/oak under...cle/was under...ind/gb over
logical approach moneyline (4-7-1)...kansas city...minnesota...detroit...new england
sports reporter recommended (2-6-1)...kansas city…indianapolis
winning points preferred (2-8)...


The rest

brent crow (sports memo) (0-0)...
Cajun sports gator report nfc gow (2-0)...
Cajun sports gator report afc gow (1-2)...
Confidential kick off 10* (3-3)...tennessee
confidential kick off 11* (0-0)
dave fobare (the maxx) (2-3)...denver
donnie black (sports memo) (1-0)...
Ed cash (sports memo) (0-0)...
Erin rynning (sports memo) (2-1)...
Fairway jay (sports memo) (2-1)...washington
jared klein (sports memo) (1-1)...
Marc lawrence playbook 4* (3-5)...baltimore
marc lawrence playbook 5* (4-5)...new england
nelly's sportsline 4* (2-1-1)...green bay
nelly's sportsline 5* (2-1)...carolina
northcoast power plays 4* (4-4-1)...tennessee...tampa bay
pointwise 1* (0-0)...
Pointwise 2* (2-2)...dallas
rob veno (sports memo) (1-0)...
Sports insight marketwatch (10-7-1)...buffalo...dallas...carolina
sports reporter super best bet (1-0)...
Statfox platinum sheet (12-17-1)...tennessee…san diego…baltimore…carolina…washington
teddy covers (sports memo) (1-1)...
The gold sheet (9-9)...houston...indianapolis...chi/min over
the gold sheet extra (2-3-1)...tampa bay
the red sheet 89* (1-0)...
The red sheet 90* (0-0)...
Tim trushel (sports memo) (2-0)...

[Can'tPickaWinner]

POINTWISE

NFL Key Selections
2--Dallas over St. Louis 30-10
3--Tampa Bay over Seattle 33-13
4--Washington over Cleveland 27-10
5--NY Jets over Oakland 27-20
5--Houston over Detroit 34-20

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Tim Trushel

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->20* seattle
10* buffalo
10* minnesota
<!-- / message -->

[ymmit2nd]

Mark Lawrence

4* (3-5)
5* (4-5)





5* Best Bet New England over Denver by 14

Don’t think for a moment that last Sunday night’s performance is
indicative of the Patriots’ talents. There were in a buzz saw situation
with the Chargers off an embarrassing loss and seeking playoff
revenge. To further complicate matters they were landlocked on the
West Coast for consecutive games. The shoe is on the other foot in
this game – sort of. The Broncos take to the Monday night road off
back-to-back home games knowing they are 3-14 ATS on Mondays
against an opponent off a loss, including 0-5 when Denver is also off
a loss. The kicker, though, are the numbers Bill Belichick brings to
the table. For openers, he is 12-1-1 ATS in his head coaching career
when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU favorite loss,
including 6-0 when his team is off a loss. In addition, the Pats are 19-6
ATS under Belichick when playing off one-loss exact, including 10-0
if they allowed more than 28 points in that loss. Now that just about
sizes things up,wouldn't you say?



4* BEST BET Baltimore over Miami by 10
The Miami Wildcats, err Dolphins, return to South Beach off last week’s
gut-wrenching loss at Houston, a game in which they allowed the
Texans to march down the fi eld during the fi nal minute of play to turn
a win into a crushing loss on Houston’s fi nal possession. When last we
saw them at home they benefi ted from an aforementioned WAKE UP
CALL in a 17-10 win over the Chargers. They’ll dress up today as favorites
for the fi rst time in the Tony Sparano era, a role in which they’ve failed
miserably the past two years (0-4 SU and ATS). It fi ts nicely into a scenario
that fi nds home favorites just 1-9 ATS since 1990 who were road dogs
in their previous game and SU home dog winners as +6 or more two
games ago. Meanwhile, the Ravens bring their top-ranked defense into
the fray off three straight losses knowing they are 13-4 ATS in games
off 3 L’s and back-to-back spread losses, including 9-1 against a foe off a
spread win. Welcome to the world of NFL chalk, Tony


3* BEST BET Detroit over Houston by 6
The Texans did everything they could to lose last week’s game but in the
end they couldn’t. They dominated the Dolphins from start to fi nish yet
continually kept the Fish in the game with turnovers and penalties…
all signs of a team certainly struggling to gain an identity. On the other
side of the fi eld the Lions put together their most complete effort of
the season, albeit a 5th consecutive loss. The bottom line here is the
Texans are off a one-point maiden victory and fi nd themselves laying
more than a touchdown to a hungry Lion. Given Houston’s 4-9 ATS
mark in its expansion career as a favorite of 2 or more points, and the
fact that 1-4 teams off their fi rst win of the season are a wallet burning
0-7 ATS in Game Six against a foe off back-to-back losses, there is only
one thing to do here… roar

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Power Plays 4*'s


4* Tennessee
4* Tampa Bay

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Powersweep (Northcoast/Phil Steele)


NFL

4*- Tenn
3*- Indy
2*- Oak
2*- TB

Totals

The 3*Totals are 13-5 72%

3* Pitt/Cincy Under
3* Boys/rams Over
2* 49/NYG Over
2* Balt/Mia Under
2* NWO/Car Under

System: undefeated Fav off of a bye. '02-'08- 15-1.
Tenn

Angles
(4)Tenn
(3) INDIANAPOLIS
(3) BUFFALO




Pro Stat
Dallas



KEY SELECTIONS
4* Tennessee over KANSAS CITY - Both teams are off their bye week & KC will go back to QB Croyle who
was KO’d in the 3Q vs NE here. LY TEN beat KC 28-17 as a 3 pt AF on a cold & windy day with the stadium
half empty. KC was able to pressure Young for most of the game & they had a 17-13 lead late in the 3Q. TEN
scored 13 unanswered pts & while they only had a 27 yd edge they were +3 in TO’s. Croyle threw for 217 yds
(58%) with a 2-2 ratio. TEN is 8-3 ATS as an AF while KC is 1-6 ATS at home. KC has been outgained in 10
straight games at home (356-307) scoring 13 or less in 5 games. In the L16 games with DT Haynesworth in
the lineup, TEN is allowing 75 ypg rushing (3.6), have tallied 44 sacks (would be 5th LY), a 15-27 ratio & have
allowed 13 or less in 10 games for a 14-2 SU & 12-3-1 ATS mark. While TEN does have a MNF HG vs IND
on deck Fisher has too good of a staff with too much forward momentum vs a rusty QB with an overmatched
OL vs an elite DL. FORECAST: Tennessee 28 KANSAS CITY 7




3* Indianapolis over GREEN BAY - Both teams come in off big wins vs overmatched opposing QB’s. IND is
10-2 ATS away vs the NFC. GB is 2-6 ATS hosting an AFC foe. IND finally showed up LW & got their 1st win in
5 tries at Lucas Oil Stadium. They throttled a beaten up BAL defense without its #2 & #3 CB’s as well as their
starting RT. Manning passed for 271 yds (68%) with a 3-0 ratio as IND had 15-8 FD & 322-111 yd edges thru
the 1st 3Q. IND forced 3 TO’s & five 3 & outs on BAL’s 1st 8 drives. #1 RB Addai left LW with a hamstring inj &
#3 RB Hart was KO’d with a knee inj & their status is unknown. GB held SEA to just 88 yds thru the 1st 3.5Q as
they were forced to start #3 QB Frye as Hasselbeck (hyperextended knee) was forced to miss. GB caught SEA
at the right time as the Seahawks’ struggles masked the slew of inj’s on defense & they still allowed 113 yds
rushing (4.9). They were down to just 3 DT’s LW & lost DT Pickett & are really hoping LY’s 1st RD DC Harrell
who was on the PUP for the 1st 6 Wks can contribute. Despite their defensive issues IND is a deeper team with
a better QB vs another beat up offense & are the play. FORECAST: Indianapolis 28 GREEN BAY 13



OTHER SELECTIONS

2* OAKLAND (+) over NY Jets - This is the 3rd meeting in 4 years with the Jets being 2-0 SU & ATS winning
by an avg 25-7. The Jets are 4-1 ATS on the road. OAK is 2-11 ATS at home. These teams are very closely
ranked the L4W with OAK having the #23 & #17 units vs NYJ #21 & #14 units. OAK came into LW’s game
wanting to open up the offense under interim HC Cable & OC Knapp. They wagered that Russell in his 6th
career start would be able to compete with Brees who is the best QB in the NFL TY. Russell had 35 pass att’s
but only 13 comp for 159 yds with an int & 40.1 QBR. OAK was outFD 23-12 & outgained 441-226. Kiffin was
using the run to keep Russell out of trouble but OAK has been outrushed 126 (4.1) to 85 (3.4) the L3W. The
Jets were a bit sluggish coming out of the bye & let CIN linger in the game longer than they should have. Favre
had a rough game with 2 int’s & a fumble that was returned for a TD. The Jets run game is a concern as they
have only rushed for 66 ypg (3.3) in their L3 weeks & only had a 3.2 ypc vs CIN’s #28 rush defense. This is a
good spot for OAK as they are at home vs a Jets team coming cross country & they need a win with a long
road trip vs BAL on deck. We’ll side with the very Ugly Dog here (21-9 70%) which has earned 5 straight
upset wins. FORECAST: OAKLAND 20 (+) NY Jets 17


2* TAMPA BAY over Seattle - Sunday Night. This is the 4th meeting in 5 years & SEA is 3-0 SU & ATS vs
TB. LY SEA beat TB 20-6 as a 6 pt HF & it was 10-6 entering the 4Q. SEA added a 46 yd FG followed up by
a 7 play 70 yd drive for a TD to cement the win. SEA had a 343-284 yd edge & sacked Garcia 5 times. SEA
is 4-14 ATS in EST games & 7-14 ATS as an AD. TB is 25-12 ATS as a non-div HF. LW TB went to Garcia due
to injury & he stayed within the gameplan as TB jumped out to a 17-3 lead in the 1H. He only had 5 pass att’s
in the 2H as TB rushed 26 times (3.8) & kept the defense fresh & aggressive. Two weeks ago TB beat GB
30-21 as they wore down their defense in the heat & humidity & had a 327-181 yd edge. They now get a SEA
team that just lost to GB and is beaten up by inj’s at CB, WR even if Hasselbeck returns he will have lost the
chemistry he had with the WR’s when he was gone. This is a great situation for a TB team that will seize the
chance to get even here & stay atop the surprising NFC South. FORECAST: TAMPA BAY 28 Seattle 13



OTHER GAMES
BUFFALO 24 San Diego 20 - This is the 3rd time in 4 years these teams square off & the home team has
covered both. SD is 2-6 ATS in EST game & goes straight to London after playing on SNF LW. BUF has 3 div
games on deck. BUF is 12-6 ATS at home & have covered 3 straight after a bye. QB Edwards is expected to
return from a concussion but BUF focused on the run game over the bye in practice. While BUF is a surprising
4-1 TY they haven’t beaten a team with a winning record & are 2-7 ATS the L2Y vs playoff caliber teams. They
have taken care of business TY vs the 2 West Coast teams at home with a 358-250 yd edge & 29-17 avg score.
SD has only won the yardage battle in 1 game TY (vs NYJ) being outgained 397-317 & the team hasn’t shown
the Schottenheimer toughness that it used to have. WR Chambers (ankle) was slated to miss LW’s game it’s
clear that the defense is sorely missing Merriman as they are 32nd in pass defense allowing 280 ypg (67%)
with a 10-5 ratio (92.3 opp QBR). This is a poor situation for SD travelling on a short week vs a rested BUF
team with a rowdy home crowd, solid special teams & the home team is the play.



Pittsburgh 24 CINCINNATI 7 - PIT swept CIN LY SU & ATS moving to 12-4 SU & 11-5 ATS. PIT avg’d 22-15
FD & 337-273 yd edges with an avg score of 24-12 LY. PIT returns from a much needed bye as Roethlisberger
(separated shoulder) was in bad shape after facing JAX & RB Parker who has avg’d 114 ypg (4.5) vs CIN will
return here. CIN is 2-7 ATS as a division HD while PIT is 8-3-2 ATS as a division AF. LW vs the Jets #28 pass
def CIN opted to rest QB Palmer (throwing elbow). They went with Fitzpatrick again who passed for 152 yds
(61%) 0-0 with a meager 4.6 ypa. CIN has yet to outgain a foe TY & minus the OT game vs the Giants have
been outgained 308-204 on the year & outrushed 165 (4.3) to 65 (2.9). PIT has outgained foes 292-227 on the
road TY & outrushed them 93 (3.7) to 52 (2.3). This is a very favorable matchup for PIT as they are 2nd in sacks
by (18) vs a CIN OL that is 29th in sacks allowed (19). Roethlisberger has been sacked 19 times but still has a
95.7 QBR. He should have a much easier time vs a CIN defense that is 31st in sacks by (5) with a misleading #5
pass defense that is inflated by their poor run defense (#28). Expect Paul Brown Stadium to have a lot of Terrible
Towels here giving PIT a good “awayfield” advantage making for a comfortable win by the Steelers.



MIAMI 17 Baltimore 10 - The Dolphins beat the Ravens 22-16 in OT as a 3 pt HF for (now BAL OC) Cam
Cameron’s only win of 2007. BAL was off 4 tough losses to CLE, SD, NE & IND & were very beaten up. With :08
left in regulation BAL decided against going for it on 4th & 1 & hit a FG to send it to OT. BAL missed a 44 yd FG in
OT & 3 plays later MIA scored on a 64 yd TD pass to win the game. This is the 3rd road game in 4 weeks for BAL
& the defense was exposed LW as they were without their #2 & #3 CB’s. BAL was taken out of their gameplan
early LW vs IND as the Colts had a 141-11 yd edge & a 17-0 lead. Flacco was left open to the IND pass rush
who tallied 4 sacks, 4 QB hits & he threw 3 int’s. MIA’s defense was very active LW vs HOU as they forced 4 TO’s
which they converted into 14 pts & were a QB draw with :03 left away from the win. GM Parcells is very familiar
with Cameron’s playbook as he came on board late LY & he also has the advantage with an improved roster
that BAL won’t be familiar with. While Flacco is showing signs of being a good QB the team has to put him in a
position to succeed each week MIA has the edge with Pennington who isn’t intimidated by a 3-4 defense. We’ll
side with the home team that has shown that isn’t afraid of the competition (NE & SD) by 6 here.



Dallas 35 ST LOUIS 21 - The Cowboys drilled the Rams 35-7 LY as a 13 pt HF. STL was minus RB Jackson
& 6 other starters. DAL was up 14-7 at the half & scored 3 TD’s in the 3Q finishing with 28-12 FD & 502-187
yd edges as STL only gained 19 yds in the 4Q. This game pits DAL #3 & #11 units (-2 TO’s) vs STL #30 & #31
units (-1 TO’s). DAL is 1-8 ATS as an AF of 9 or more. STL is 3-12 ATS at home & 1-10-1 ATS as a dog of 7.5+.
STL responded positively to the HC change LW & took advantage of a WAS team that had 3 fumbles (1 on
STL 39 & 1 on STL 34) with 1 being returned 75 yds for a TD. STL was manhandled statistically being outFD
22-8 & outgained 368-200 HD’s that won SU as DD AD’s LW are 2-13 SU & ATS since 1991. DAL was clearly
distracted by LW’s Pacman incident & were slowed by 3 former ass’t coaches being on the ARZ sidelines. ARZ
kept Owens in check (4 rec 9.0) & forced Romo to use his check downs keeping the ball in front of them. While
Barber led the team with 28 touches (6.2) they went away from Felix Jones again which cost them in the speed
area (22 yds 7.3). One of the problems of being “America’s Team” especially this year is that when they stumble
like they have the L3W the fan base gets hostile & look for the Cowboys to refocus here.



Minnesota 23 CHICAGO 20 - The Vikings swept the Bears SU LY but are only 3-6 ATS vs CHI. MIN beat the
Bears 34-31 in the 1st meeting as a 4’ pt AD & won 20-13 LY on MNF in the 2nd meeting but failed to cover as
10.5 pt HF’s. MIN is 8-4-1 ATS as a division AD. CHI is 1-5 ATS as a div favorite. MIN is off a last sec win vs a poor
DET team while CHI is off a last sec loss setup by an unlucky series of events. CHI took the lead with :17 left &
did a short KO to keep the ball out of Norwoods hands but ATL returned it to their 44. ATL then threw a 26 yd pass
to set up a 48 yd FG with :01 left. CHI had 21-12 FD & 348-279 yd edges over the L3Q but on 5 drives inside the
ATL 18 settled for 1 TD, 2 FG & were SOD. MIN dominated DET LW with a 18-8 FD & 392-212 yd edge but on 3
drives inside the DET 20 RB Peterson fumbled, they missed a FG & hit the game winning FG with :09 left. CHI
will be in a foul mood after letting a win slip away but they are very depleted in the secondary (without 3 DB’s in
4Q) & RB Forte has only rushed for 52 ypg (2.9) after a strong start. While MIN has an avg WR unit as best they
are good run blockers & they have a superior DL here vs an older CHI OL & the road team is the play.



CAROLINA 20 New Orleans 17 - The road team has excelled in the series going 10-2 SU & 12-0 ATS. LY
NO beat CAR 31-6 as a 2’ pt AF as the Panthers were forced to start David Carr as Testeverde (back spasms)
was scratched Sat night. NO finished with 22-11 FD & 373-195 yd edges as CAR had 4 TO’s set up 10 pts for
NO. NO is 10-2-1 ATS as a div AD. CAR is 4-9 ATS as a div HF. NO is now on the road for their next 4 games &
head straight to London after this. Minus the WAS game NO has outgained foes 447-306 as Brees has passed
for 355 yds (71%) with an 11-4 ratio. CAR went into TB off 2 big wins but Delhomme had an awful game with
3 int’s with 1 being converted into a TD & 2 on the TB 34 & 38. CAR was outrushed 142 (3.8) to 40 (2.0) which
is 83 yds less than their avg. CAR & NO are “play on” teams but we want to see if CAR gets C Kalil & LT Otah
back & if NO gets WR Colston & TE Shockey back & we’ll call this at the line for now.



NY GIANTS 34 San Francisco 20 - NYG thumped the 49ers LY 33-15 as a 9 pt HF. The Giants were up 26-7 after
the 3Q when they had a punt blocked & SF got a safety. SF went nowhere & was int’d on their next drive to set up
a 2 yd TD pass by Manning as the Giants went up 33-9. While the Giants had a slim yardage edge (279-267) they
earned 6 sacks & were +3 TO’s on the day as 53 of SF’s yds & a TD came in garbage time. The Giants are off LW’s
MNF game vs the Browns & get a very favorable matchup vs a SF team off B2B games vs NE & PHI. SF is 8-23-1
ATS away in the EST. The Giants are 18-4 SU & 17-5 ATS. NYG has the #1 & #3 units (+1 TO’s) vs SF’s #19 & #26
units (-5 TO’s). After outgaining foes 342-292 in the 1st 3 games (2-1 SU & ATS) SF has been outgained 409-272
losing by an avg score of 34-21. LW they scored 10 pts in the final :29 of the 1H & had a 26-17 lead at the end
of the 3Q on 78 & 77 yd drives. The defense couldn’t hang on in the 4Q as they allowed 23 pts & were outgained
78-(-7) not counting PHI’s 55 yd int return for a TD. West Coast teams simply don’t travel well out East but with no
line due to MNF & having PIT on deck we’ll call for a 2 TD win by the Giants in a higher scoring game.



HOUSTON 38 Detroit 21 - HOU is off their 1st win & DET remains winless after letting a 10-9 lead slip thru
their fingers losing on a 26 yd FG with :09 left. DET is 5-14 ATS on the road. TO’s were the key factor for the
Texans LW as they fell behind 14-3 early on 2 Schaub int’s, had a fmbl roll into the EZ & fmbl’d on an int that
MIA recovered & scored a TD on. They escaped with a 1 pt win when Schaub ran a QB draw on 4th & 2 with
:03 left. HOU had 23-14 FD & 485-370 yd edges as Schaub had 379 yds passing (52%). DET was forced to
start Orlovsky LW as Kitna (back spasms) didn’t make the trip. Orlovsky only had 150 yds passing (57%) with
a 1-0 ratio & was clearly nervous in his 1st start. DET stayed in the game thanks to 3 MIN TO’s as they were
outFD 18-8 & outgained 392-212. DET hasn’t outgained a single foe TY & went 18Q’s before the defense made
its 1st int of the season. Schaub & Johnson have far greater chemistry than what DET has in their passing
game. HOU is an undervalued team that is finally getting in gear & after having 3 straight games decided by
4 or less look for the Texans to come up big here in a higher scoring game.



WASHINGTON 30 Cleveland 13 - CLE came in off their bye week only to face the Giants LW on MNF & TE
Winslow may have sat out. WAS got caught looking past STL LW after beating DAL & PHI on the road losing
19-17 at home. WAS had 22-8 FD & 368-200 yd edges but fmbl’d twice to kill drives inside the STL 39 & 34
& had another returned 75 yds for a TD. Minus the NYG game WAS has outFD foes 22-16 & outgained them
383-272. CLE has been outgained in 3 of 4 games prior to MNF & have yet to gain 265 yds of offense on the
year. While Anderson has been abysmal TY (136 ypg 50% 3-6) it hasn’t been entirely his fault. CLE has had a
different starting OL in each game (inc MNF), been w/o WR Stallworth to take pressure off Edwards who has
dropped 6+ passes & RB Lewis has only avg’d 59 ypg rushing (3.4) TY. This is a bad spot for CLE off a MNF
game where they will go all out to redeem themselves on national TV. They now have to travel vs a WAS team
that was embarrassed by one of the worst teams in the NFL & will not overlook another bad team.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Chris Rizzo

KANSAS CITY 8
SAN DIEGO 0
PITTSBURGH -9.5
PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI Over 37
MINNESOTA at CHICAGO Under 38
CAROLINA -3
SEATTLE at TAMPA BAY Under 39
NEW ENGLAND -3

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMStephen Nover | NFL Total
double-dime bet408 BUF / 407 SDC Over 44.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Chargers-Bills Over 44

Analysis: Forget LaDainian Tomlinson and his toe injury. The Chargers aren't primarily a running club anymore. They've become a darn good passing club. Philip Rivers has emerged as a force throwing for at least three touchdown passes in four of six games this season. He has at least one touchdown throw in 13 consecutive games.

Rivers should have another big day with a healthy corps of wideouts operating against a beat-up Buffalo secondary that could be without two cornerbacks. The Bills also could be without their best pass rusher, Aaron Schobel. He hasn't practiced all week because of a foot injury.

The Bills' passing attack has picked up enough where Buffalo should be able to put up its share of points against a weak San Diego secondary that no longer is protected by a strong pass rush. Trent Edwards has been steady and Lee Evans and Marshawn Lynch are playmakers.

Both teams are very live for special teams touchdowns, too, because of excellent kick and punt returners.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Armvin sports

nfl
10/19/2008 buffalo

[Can'tPickaWinner]

The Vegas Steam Line

Take Cleveland/Washington OVER the total of 42

[Can'tPickaWinner]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Cheifs
Sunday, October 18th, 8:00 ET

Other than the fact that both these teams are coming off a bye week, they have nothing in common. The Titans come in as the NFL's only unbeaten team, SU and ATS, while Kansas City has lost 13 of its last 14 games going back to last year. The Cheifs have covered just two of their last 10 home games. Tennesee has not allowed any of their previous 10 opponents to score more than 19 points. They are #1 in scoring defense and face a KC offense that averages just 13 PPG.

Play on: Tennessee

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Carlo Campanella

Game: San Francisco 49ers at New York Giants Oct 19 2008 1:00PM

Prediction: New York Giants

Reason: The NY Giants (4-1) experienced a letdown on Monday Night Football after crushing Seattle, 44-6. Don't put too much stock into that loss, as the Super Bowl Champs headed to Cleveland on a 12 game road winning streak and Cleveland put on their best effort of the year following a confidence building win over the Bengals and an extra week to rest and prepare following their "Bye" week. The Giants will rebound this week hosting a San Francisco (2-4) squad that's entering this on 3 STRAIGHT losses! Giants are 13-4 ATS in October behind HC Coughlin and 49ers are 1-7 ATS on the road against a Non-Division opponent off a loss.

7* Play On NY Giants

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Blowout Of The Month- Titans

SCOTT SPREITZER'S 25* BEATDOWN *GAME OF THE YEAR!

Buffalo

[Can'tPickaWinner]

igz1 sports

NFL
4* Over 47 (-110) Indianapolis vs Green Bay
4* Tennessee -9 (-110)
3* Over 44.5 (-110) New Orleans vs Carolina
3* New York-A -3 (-110)
3* Indianapolis -1 (-110)

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 4:15 PMTommy Rider | NFL Side
double-dime bet426 WAS -7.0 (-110) BetUS vs 425 CLE
Analysis: Last week the Browns caught the Giants in a perfect spot. I had Cleveland on Monday night but you could see how flat the Giants were. Same thing happened to the Redskins last week against the Rams. After beating the Cowboys and Eagles on the road, Washington was flat. So we have one team that isn't nearly as good as it looked last week and another that is much better than they looked. In my opinion, the Redskins play the most physical brand of football in the NFC. I think the Skins defense gets after Derek Anderson and I wouldn't be surprised if you saw Brady Quinn in this game. My guy in Washington tells me the team was much more focused this week and are looking to bounce back at home after laying an egg against the Rams. I agree. Skins win big.**2 UNIT PLAY**


Sun, 10/19/08 - 4:15 PMTommy Rider | NFL Total
double-dime bet428 GBP / 427 IND Over 47.0 BetUS
Analysis: Not a huge write-up needed for this one. The Colts can't stop the run. The Packers can't stop the run. The Colts have a hot quarterback. The Packers have a hot quarterback. I see these two teams going up and down the field today. At worst I think you are looking at a 28-24 games, which puts it over. My numbers have this game coming in at 58, so I see an easy win here on the over. **2 UNIT PLAY**


Sun, 10/19/08 - 4:15 PMTommy Rider | NFL Money Line
double-dime bet427 IND (-125)BetUS vs 428 GBP
Analysis: I took the over here too but the more I look at this game, the more I like the Colts in this matchup. I'm not a big fan of this Packers team and if you look at last week, they beat up on a Seattle squad that had a high school quarterback under center. I really like what I saw out of Indy last week. Remember, a lot of their top players missed the preseason and I think they are just starting to get in sync. The Packers are one of my fade teams over the second half of the season. Also, with losses already to Dallas and Atlanta at home, the Packers Lambeau magic is gone. The Packers will score but the Colts will score more. I'm going with the Indy ML but don't be afraid to lay the short number here, as the Colts will pull away in the second half. **2 UNIT PLAY**


Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMTommy Rider | NFL Side
double-dime bet405 TEN -9.0 (-110) BetUS vs 406 KAN
Analysis: This Chiefs team is a mess right now. I just talked to a friend who was in KC this week and he told me he doesn't remember seeing a team this dysfunctional and uninterested in playing football. If the Titans show up to play this game - something they almost always do - they will win this game by four touchdowns. I don't like laying this kind of wood to the Chiefs at home but this is a KC team that you can't follow historical trends with. They are just terrible. The Titans defense eats them up today. **2 UNIT PLAY**

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Hotpicksonline

20* Buffalo +1.5

20* Tenessee -7 buy down 1/2 point to 6.5

15* Parlay Tenessee & Buffalo
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

WILD BILL

Tennessee -8 (5 units)
Over 35 1/2 KC-Tenn (5 units)
Jets -3 (5 units)
Under 42 1/2 Browns-Redskins (5 units)
Tampa -10 1/2 (5 units)
Denver +3 (5 units)

[wilheim]

test

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Hotpicksonline

20* Buffalo +1.5

20* Tenessee -7 buy down 1/2 point to 6.5

15* Parlay Tenessee & Buffalo
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Cheifs
Sunday, October 18th, 8:00 ET

Other than the fact that both these teams are coming off a bye week, they have nothing in common. The Titans come in as the NFL's only unbeaten team, SU and ATS, while Kansas City has lost 13 of its last 14 games going back to last year. The Cheifs have covered just two of their last 10 home games. Tennesee has not allowed any of their previous 10 opponents to score more than 19 points. They are #1 in scoring defense and face a KC offense that averages just 13 PPG.

Play on: Tennessee

[Peterex]

Hilton SuperContest Plays - Week 7

The top 5 picks on a percentage basis are 21-9 so far,

This weeks top 5:

Chi 78.9%
Hou 77.2%
Jets 70.2%
Indy 69.7
Buf 63.6

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Powersweep (Northcoast/Phil Steele)


NFL

4*- Tenn
3*- Indy
2*- Oak
2*- TB

Totals

The 3*Totals are 13-5 72%

3* Pitt/Cincy Under
3* Boys/rams Over
2* 49/NYG Over
2* Balt/Mia Under
2* NWO/Car Under

System: undefeated Fav off of a bye. '02-'08- 15-1.
Tenn

Angles
(4)Tenn
(3) INDIANAPOLIS
(3) BUFFALO




Pro Stat
Dallas

[Can'tPickaWinner]

GAMBLERS ALLY

Bears
Raiders

[alwayslosing]

NFL FOOTBALL<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
NFL Game Of The Year<o:p></o:p>
200 Units<o:p></o:p>
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:State w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:State> Titans (-9) over <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">KANSAS CITY</st1:place></st1:City> CHIEFS<o:p></o:p>
Prediction: <st1:State w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Tennessee</st1:place></st1:State> by 35<o:p></o:p>
Starting Time: 1:00<o:p></o:p>


I said on Thursday I will get this play for all of u !!!!

So who else been hot capper for the NFL ???

thinking of a big parlay with the hot cappers :party:

Paid and Confirmed !!!!d1g1t:dancefool:pope::party:






GREAT guess!!!!

i've been following sebastian and ats lock club both have been very hot making me lots of money
:aktion033

[dallasfan]

he is hot

Sunday 19th
3* Texans -9.5
3* Colts -1
3* Bills -1

Bonus Play
Sox/Rays over 8.5

[ymmit2nd]

Sun, 10/19/08 - 1:00 PMKing Creole | NFL Total
double-dime bet406 KAN / 405 TEN Over 35.0 BetUS
Analysis: 1:00pm ET / TENNESSEE TITANS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
2** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL

1:00pm ET / SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ NY GIANTS
2** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL

1:00pm ET / PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
1* Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

1:00pm ET / New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
1* Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

4:15pm ET / New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders
1* Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

BEST BET write-ups:

CHIEFS / TITANS: In Poker terms, I would classify this game as 7-card stud ?HIGH / LOW?. You have an undefeated team (HIGH) coming in with the 5-0 Titans. And a 1-4 home team (LOW) in the Chiefs. This game also has one of the lowest OU lines of the week (around 35 points). With BOTH teams coming in with a week of rest, we?ll be slamming the OVER. Reason #1 is BECAUSE of that ?double-rest? angle. In the last 7 years, NFL games have gone 12-4 O/U when BOTH teams come in off thier BYE week. Home DOGS have gone 5-1 O/U... and a PERFECT 4-0 O/U in the last 3 seasons. That week of rest came at the right time for the Chiefs. In their last game, they lost to the Carolina Panthers by a score of 34-0. The shutout loss has them active this week in a very hot current System: NFL teams are a PERFECT 7-0-1 O/U in the last 4 years off a SHUTOUT in which they lost by a score of 28-0 or higher. On the flip side, we have the 5-0 Titans. And if it?s game six, the OVER is the call for these UNDEFEATEDS. Since 2000, GAME SIX teams with a perfect 5-0 SU record are 11-2 O/U... and a PERFECT 10-0 O/U vs any non-div opp. Not only are they 5-0 SU, but they?ve reeled off 5 straight ATS wins as well to start the season. In the last 20 years, OCTOBER non-div road favs who are off 5 SUATS wins in a row are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U. Individual team trends seal the deal: The TITANS are 12-3 O/U as favs w/ rest, 5-0 O/U as non-div RF?s 4 > pts and 7-1 O/U bef Monday. CHIEFS are 4-0 O/U at home w/ rest, 5-1 O/U off a SU L 21 > pts, and 6-0 O/U in Gm 6.

GIANTS / 49ERS: The Giants return home off their shocking Monday night road favorite loss to the Brownies. Teams that lost their first game of the season on the road usually come back with high-scoring results. 9-1 O/U for GAME SIX teams who lost their FIRST game of the year on the road (GIANTS). NFC teams on a short week of practice off a Monday non-conf road game have been solid OVER plays in the last few years. 4-0 O/U in the last 4 years for all NFC teams off a Monday night game against an AFC opponent. Meanwhile, we have the Niners making the l-o-n-g trek east from their Bay area home... and you know what THAT means. TIME ZONE System. This System has continued to generate a profit this year, so let?s do it again: NFL Western time zone teams have gone 21-7 O/U in the last 4 years in Game 7 or less on the road versus an Eastern time zone team. The absolute BEST situations for these teams are 20-5 O/U for all UNDERDOGS... and 9-1 O/U for big dogs of > 7 points (like the NINERS). After winning 2 of their first 3 games, the wheels have come off for San Francisco. They?ve dropped 3 games in a row (SU and ATS) by 9 or more points. That?s actually a good sign for OVER players. 9-1 O/U since 200 for OCTOBER road teams who are playing off 3+ SU and ATS losses in a row. Most applicable team trends also indicate we?re on the right side. The NINERS are 10-1 O/U vs NFC East, 5-1 O/U vs an opp off Monday, and 5-1 O/U off BB HG. The GIANTS are 4-1 O/U off a Monday game and 4-0 O/U as non-div HF?s of 5 > pts.

[ymmit2nd]

Rocketman Sports

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5* Seattle +10.5

[ymmit2nd]

Alex Smart

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3* Bills by 10

[ymmit2nd]

Triple Threat Sports 777

KC Chiefs +9

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ATS Lock Club

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->6 units Pittsburgh -9.5
5 units Washington -7.5
4 units Saints +3
<!-- / message -->

[ymmit2nd]

Pacific Star

TENNESSEE TITANS

[LLXC13]

Joyce Sterling

Dallas -7
Green Bay +1 10 STAR Game of the Week
OVER 37.5 Minnesota vs Chicago

[ymmit2nd]

Mike Rose

Lions / Texans UNDER

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Joyce Sterling...on a roll nfl 13-0

Sunday NFL 10/19

Dallas -7
NFL Home dogs off a SU road win as a dog of 10 or more points are just 3-17 SU and ATS the last 20, they are in for a let down. (We cashed with St.Louis last week)
The Cowboys are much more talented than the Rams.
St. Louis has not scored more than 14 points in 6 of their last 9 games and have been outscored by 102 points in 5 games.
Lay the points

Green Bay +1
10 STAR Game of the Week
The first-year starter, Rodgers, is off to a much better start to the season than Manning, at least statistically. Rodgers' 98.0 passer rating ranks seventh in the league while the former Super Bowl MVP is at 87.8 to rank 14th, with three fewer touchdown passes but one more interception than Brett Favre's replacement.
Packers defense which is holding quarterbacks to a 62.3 passer rating - third-lowest in the league. Led by cornerback Charles Woodson, who tops the NFC with four interceptions,
Green Bay's pass defense ranks seventh in the NFL at 178.8 yards per game.
G B is off back to back home losses and will be entirely focused here as they are 9-1 straight up at home before a bye week.

OVER 37.5 Minnesota vs Chicago
You better believe the Bears will not play passively if they have the lead, after last week's defeat in the last 11 seconds. They will concentrate on offense,
Minny has gone over in every game they played on the road this year.
<!-- / message -->

[LLXC13]

Pro Source

Chicago -3 Top Play NFC GOM
Miami UNDER 37
Buffalo Under 46.5

[BIGnose]

ATS Lock Club

6 units Pittsburgh -9.5
5 units Washington -7.5
4 units Saints +3

[ymmit2nd]

Pro Source

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chicago - 3 ** Top Play NFC GOM **
vs Minnesota 1 pm et
Extremely tough spot for a Division team going here.
Very strong Division specific system to:
Play Against an away division underdog,and in this spread
range, and with the Vikes WL % or worse, and who in their
last game was a 7(+) pt home division favorite, they won the
game SU but failed to cover.18-4 ATS, 82% for over 20 yrs
The Vikes have won 2 in a row, but pass interference saved
Minnesota in BOTH games. Minnesota has not impressed
so far this season, with a pretty one dimensional offense &
a defense not playing up to the offseason expectations.
On the flip side, da Bears have had a chance in every game
and could be 6-0 with a few good bounces.
Chic HC Smith 8-1 off a SU non div loss vs a team off a win.
Minn 2-14 rd dogs vs a team off SU/ATS loss, 1-8 off a non
div dble dig ats loss vs a revenging team off a off a SU loss.


Buffalo Under 46.5...45 1pm et
Since 1996, home teams in this spread range off a bye that
lost on the road the week before the bye by at least the
amount of points the Bills lost by, have gone Under off their
week of rest 2-18 S1996 ....90% for 12 seasons.
SD can score, but this is a bad spot. SD off the late Sunday
Nite revenege game vs the Pats at 5:15 pst ( 8:15 et), now
flying thru to the East Coast time zone and a 10 am pst (1 et)
start. With the Bills coming off their Bye and off a West Coast
game before, look for a sluggish game from both teams.


Miami UNDER 37
vs Baltimore 1 et
We usually play just 1 total a week, but this is a great fit.
Since 1998, Baltimore has gone UNDER 12-37-1 on the
road vs teams that are not in their Division. 76% for 10 yrs.
Miami is now Under 17 of their last 19 playing the first of
TWO straight Home Games ...89% for 10 yrs.
The Ravens still have the top ranked defense in the league
with Miami not far behind at # 4 .
Both teams have similar strategies of low key ball control
offenses and strong defenses. looking for a windshield wiper
type game here.

[Hap]

Armchair Analysis Best Bet.
Best Bets are 4-1 for season.

Colts

[Can'tPickaWinner]

ATSLOCKSCOM

San Diego @ Buffalo Under 45 (15 units)
Pittsburgh -9 (5 units)
New Orleans +3 (5 units)
Buffalo PK or -1 (5 units)
<!-- / message -->

[ymmit2nd]

Yourwinningpicks

***STRONG OPINION****Tennessee Titans (-8.5) VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS: After the Giants lost to the Browns on Monday Night, the Titans are now the only undefeated team left in the NFL. They now are giving more than a TD on the road off a bye which is quite interesting since this offense certainly wont be confused with the New Orleans Saints.’ It appears that the odds makers got a little carried away here and this game is one to exploit from a betting angle. The biggest trend that sticks out here us the fact the Chiefs apply to the same 25-3 ATS home underdog angle off a bye that the Browns qualified for last week in their blowout of the Giants. They also qualify for an 11-2 ATS home underdog angle that plays on teams getting more than a TD at home. The Titans are a very good team but their offense is not a quick strike atta ck that can make giving this many points a given. Larry Johnson will be suspended for KC but rookie Jamaal Charles is talented and will keep the ground game on track. The trends are strongly in the Chiefs’ favor and the home underdog angle that played on the Browns last week is a great scenario to back. THE PICK: Kansas City Chiefs (+8.5)


****STRONG OPINION***Pittsburgh Steelers (-9.5) VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS: The Bengals will once again be without QB Carson Palmer this week as they look for their first win of the season. The Steelers come in off a bye looking to build off their comeback win against the Jaguars the week before. The series history heavily favors the home team as they are 44-22-1 ATS in that scenario. Cincy also qualifies for a 27-8-1 ATS angle that plays on winless teams after Week 6. The thinking goes that these teams go all out in an ef fort to finally get on the board. They certainly showed spunk with a good showing the last two weeks against the Cowboys and Jets and Pittsburgh doesn’t have=2 0the quick-strike ability on offense to run away early. THE PICK: Cincinnati Bengals (+9.5)


****BEST BET****CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3) VS. New Orleans Saints: The bad Panthers showed up last week in a lopsided loss to the Buc’s which I called with a BEST BET. I am back on them this week however as this team has always been a great bet off a loss under John Fox and they welcome in a Saints team that cant stop anyone which will help Carolina get their offense back on track. New Orleans is also dealing with RB Reggie Bush being questionable with a bad knee. The key stat here is that the Panthers qualify for a great 46-19-4 ATS angle that plays on home favorites of 3 or more who scored less than 7 points the week before. THE PICK: Carolina Panthers (-3)


***BEST BET****Indianapolis Colts (-1.5) VS. GREEN BAY PACKERS: The Packers righted the ship last week against Seattle and they now find themselves in a very solid situation this week as a slight home underdog. They qualify for a rid iculously good 37-9-1 ATS home underdog angle against a non-division foe. They also qualify for a 22-7 ATS home momentum angle on top of the already solid angle mentioned before. The Colts looked awesome last week against a great Ravens defense but this is a letdown spot for them against a non-division opponent. THE PICK: Green Bay Packers (+1)


*****BEST BET*****WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-7) VS. Cleveland Browns: Classic bounce back/letdown angle at work here as the Redskins qualify for a 24-11-1 ATS home bounce back angle along with a 34-19-1 ATS home favorite against a non-division foe off a short week. The Browns opened some eyes with their solid play against the Giants last week but this team still has major issues on defense and the running game has been terribly inconsistent. Washington will be able to move the ball and they certainly will be more focused off such a lackluster defeat. Trends point firmly in Washington’s favor in this game. THE PICK: Washington Redskins (-7)

[ymmit2nd]

Lt Profits 2*Houston - 9 1/2

Sunday Selections/Bob Balfe
OAKLAND RAIDERS

JB Sports
CAROLINA PANTHERS

Opposite Action Plays
CLEVELAND BROWNS

Ethan Law
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Gus Marone Non Conf GOY
GB

Big Tom Cavinder NFC GOY
CHI

ATSLOCKSCOM
San Diego @ Buffalo Under 45 (15 units)
Pittsburgh -9 (5 units)
New Orleans +3 (5 units)
Buffalo PK or -1 (5 units)

[ymmit2nd]

Tim Williams (Scorpion) Accuscore's/StatShark's Analyst

Kansas City +9
San Diego +1
Pittsburgh -9.5
Baltimore +3
Minnesota +3
New Orleans +3
San Francisco +10.5
Houston -9.5
Oakland +3
Washington -9
Green Bay +1
Tampa Bay -10.5
Denver +3


-- National Football League --
1:00p Alex Smart
Buffalo Bills r408
+1.0 / 3 units The Buffalo Bills off a bye week
Projected Score: Buffalo 27 San Diego 17 -Play on the Bills 3*

1:00p Alex Smart
Tennessee Titans r405
-8.0 / 4 units
Projected score: Tennessee 28 KC 9 4* selection

1:00p Alex Smart
Pittsburgh Steelers r409
Cincinnati Bengals r410
u35.0 / 3 units
Play under 3* selection

8:15p Alex Smart
Seattle Seahawks r429
+11.0 / 3 units
Projected score: Seattle 21 Tampa Bay 20 Seattle to cover 3* selection

[brady1983]

FYI: I have a Ness weekly package. I will post every day on here guys. He's now won 6 of last 7 plays...



Larry's 'Perfect Storm' G.O.M. (6-1 run!)

Larry's "assault on the pointspread" continues, after he's gone 6-1 (85.7% ATS) s/Thursday. What happens when an overrated team meets an underrated one? You get what Larry calls his 'Perfect Storm' G.O.M. All the details are provided inside with his expert analysis. Larry's 62.1% in NFL '08 and winning is just a click away:

Miami Dolphins


Larry's Weekend Wipeout Winner (6-1 run)

Larry opened with a 2-0 CFB/MLB doubleheader sweep on Thursday and continued his "ATS assault" by going 4-1 in CFB on Saturday. Larry now turns to the NFL (he's 62.1 percent in NFL '08 releases) with a total which will be "over by halftime!" When Larry calls for a W-I-P-E-O-U-T, you want an invite to the party. RSVP now.

San Fran/ NYG OVER


Larry Ness' Week 7 Las Vegas Insider:4-1 TY

Larry's exclusive NFL Insiders are 4-1 (80%) through six weeks of the '08 season (Hurricane Ike postponed Larry's NFL Insider on Houston in Week 2). As always, Larry's 1st posted NFL play of the new week is his latest Las Vegas Insider and it's one you won't want to miss. "It pays to be on the inside with Larry." Want in on Week 7?

Buffalo Bills


Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error (85.7% run!)

Larry's gone a money-making 18-11 with all his NFL '08 plays and is currently on a 6-1 (85.7%) run with all plays s/Thursday. He's won Oddsmaker's Error plays in Wk 6 with the Colts (31-3) and Saturday in CFB with Virginia (plus-4), an outright upset winner. Want more? Then look no further than his Wk 7 Oddsmaker's Error in the NFL!

Colts


Larry's ALCS Game 7 'Payday' (6-1 s/Thus)

Larry enters Sunday on a 6-1 (85.7%) all-sports run and these last two weekends, he's been able to cap each day with a "late winner." He won easily a week ago Saturday with Fla 51-31 and last Sunday with the Chargers 30-10. It was LSU last night and tonight Larry turns to his Game 7 ALCS Payday for that "late winner." Want in?

Boston Red Sox

[ymmit2nd]

GINA

TB RAYS...SHE NEEDS THEM TO WIN GAME 7 FOR HER SERIES SELECTION

NFL

Houston Texans - 9½
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10

MR A
Boston Red Sox -130

NFL
Carolina Panthers - 3
Miami Dolphins -3

[GrumpyBear]

Vegas Experts - Baltimore

[sportsman362008]

BEN BURNS
AFC GAME OF WEEK

I'm taking the points with OAKLAND

[sportsman362008]

BURNS
SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF MONTH

I'm taking the points with SEATTLE

[ymmit2nd]

Eddie Roman Waive the Rating #5 in a row
NY jets -3

Scott Ferrall
8-2 yesterday in college football

PLAY OF THE WEEK:JETS -3
TOP CHOICES:
GIANTS -10.5
INDY -1
DALLAS -6.5
SCOTT’S UPSETS:
BUFFALO +1
CLEVELAND +7
SAINTS +3

King Maker Play
Bears/Vikings OVER 37 (-130) at BetUS
1-Unit

King Maker Play
Indianapolis Colts -125 at BookMaker
1-Unit


Pittsburgh Steelers -9.5 (-110)
Pittsburgh Team Total to go OVER


LENNY STEVENS
20 BUFFALO
10 baltimore
10 ny giants
10 tampa bay

DOC
5 Unit Play. #126 Take Cleveland Browns over Washington Redskins

BEN BURNS
AFC GAME OF WEEK
I'm taking the points with OAKLAND. *AFC GOW


BURNS
SUNDAY NIGHT GAME OF MONTH
I'm taking the points with SEATTLE. *Sunday Night GOM

BURNS
TOTAL OF WEEK
I'm playing on the Colts and Packers UNDER the total. *total of the week

Steve Merril(entire card)
Green Bay
Dallas
Washington
Oakland under
Kansas City

Gus Marone
Non Conf GOY
GREEN BAY

The Gold Medal Club
411 Baltimore @ 412 Miami 1:00 pm
PLAY ON 411 BALTIMORE +3

Seabass
300 TEN
100 HOU
100 NYG
100 GB
100 CAR/NO OVER
20 Tease BAL/MIA Under & SD/BUF Over

North Coast Executive Plays

*3' NYG -10'
*3 TEN -9
*3 IND -1

Top Opinions
TB -10
BUF -1
DAL -7
HOU -9'

Totals
CLE/WASH over 42
BAL/MIA under 36'

Phil Steele Plays
*4 NYG -10'
*3 BUF -1
*3 HOU -10'

Dog of the Day
MIN

Sunday Night Marquee
TB-10'

Vegas Sports Experts
VSE NFL Plays for Sunday are:

10* Take Baltimore (+3) over Miami (Power Play)
1:00 PM EST (AFC Power Play of the Year)

Miami
• 0-7 ATS coming off a loss by 6 points or less
• 3-10 ATS in home games when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points
• 1-4 SU vs. AFC North Opponents over the last 5 games
• Averaging only 15 ppg on offense at home this season

tom freese 10 star ravens

Steve Budin-CEO
50 Dimer
Chicago Bears

kelso sturgeon
10 bucs
10 pats
5 saints
3 steelers
ROOT
Chairman- Redskins
Millionaire- Bills Fav of YEAR
Money Maker- Panthers
No Limit- Vikings GOM
Insiders Circle- Raiders
Billionaire- Packers

[ymmit2nd]

Cajun-Sports Executive NFL-Sunday
NFL: 29-13 (+57.30)
Game: Indianapolis Colts vs. Green Bay Packers
Line Origin: BetCris @ 4:20 EST October 18
Grade / Prediction: 5* Indianapolis Colts -1
Indianapolis Colts our 5* NFL Game of the Week.
GRADED PREDICTION: 5* Indianapolis Colts -1

Grade / Prediction: 4* Tennessee Titans -9
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Tennessee Titans -9

Game: Seattle Seahawks vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Grade / Prediction: 4* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10.5
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10.5

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs. New York Giants
Grade / Prediction: 4* San Francisco / New York Over 46.5

NFL 4* Total Game of the Week for Week 7 of the NFL Season.
GRADED PREDICTION: 4* San Francisco / New York Over 46.5

Game: Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Grade / Prediction: 3* Tennessee / Kansas City Over 35.5
GRADED PREDICTION: 3* Tennessee / Kansas City Over 35.5

[Kinged]

GT Bookie Battle YTD (8-4-21) LY (22-12-2) <hr style="color: rgb(253, 222, 130); background-color: rgb(253, 222, 130);" size="1"> <!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> <!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->
<link href="file:///C:%5CDOCUME%7E1%5COwner%5CLOCALS%7E1%5CTemp%5Cmsohtml1%5C01%5Cclip_filelist.xml" rel="File-List"><style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:Verdana; panose-1:2 11 6 4 3 5 4 4 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:536871559 0 0 0 415 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style>Over the years I have followed the Bookies Battle in GamingToday. The angle is to fade those teams that clearly have over 70% of the casino contestants picking one side.

Let’s see how this angle has worked so far this year.

Week #1 thru #6: 8-4-2 <o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Over the last couple of years, it seemed to hit around 60%.The only problem: Not a lot of action.

Week #7 Pick: GB