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Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 07:19 PM
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sdf
10-23-2008, 07:45 PM
Dr Bob

Rotation #154 Georgia Tech (-13) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars from -14 1/2 to -16 points.
Rotation #150 California (-17) 3-Stars at -20 or less, 2-Stars at -20 1/2 or -21.
Rotation #131 Mississippi (-5) 3-Stars at -6 1/2 or less, 2-Stars at -7.
Rotation #142 Utah State (+16 1/2) 3-Stars at +14 or more, 2-Stars down to +10 1/2 points.
Rotation #146 Tennessee (+6) 2-Stars at +4 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #104 West Virginia (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion at -4 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #180 Missouri (-23 1/2) Strong Opinion at -24 or less. 2-Star Best Bet at -23 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #182 Ohio State (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +1 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #174 Louisville (+4) Strong Opinion at +4 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #126 Pittsburgh (-9 1/2) Strong Opinion at -10 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #169 Wyoming (+31) Strong Opinion at +28 or more.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 07:57 PM
DOC
BIG 12 GAME OF YEAR

6 Unit Play. #30 Take Nebraska Cornhuskers over Baylor Bear Nebraska 48, Baylor 14.

4 Unit Play. #76 Take Pittsburgh Panthers over Rutgers Scarlet Knights Pitt rolls! Pittsburgh 27, Rutgers 14.

DOC

4 Unit Play. #61 Take Oklahoma State Cowboys over Texas Longhorns
OK State 38, Texas 35.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 08:03 PM
bettorsworld

2* Uconn +3 over Cincinnati - Lot's of similarities between these two Big East Teams. Cinci has had QB problems this year while Uconn will likely be down to their 3rd stringer Saturday as Zach Frazer looks doubtful as of this writing. (Pike will go for Cinci) Both teams are stingy on the defensive side of the ball and both teams have had similar results against similar competition. If Cinci has an edge it's in the kicking game as they sport some of the best punting numbers in the country. Likewise, the field goal kicking, where Uconn kicker Tony Ciaravino has been benched after missing a 42 yarder with under two minutes to play at Rutgers which would have given the Huskies the win.

Uconn became "good" in 2003. It's when everything came together for the program and they officially "arrived" on the scene. In that time, 2003 to the present, one thing has remained constant. Uconn has performed poorly on the road yet has been fantastic at home. 2003 was the only year they had a winning road record, going 4-2. Every year since, they have lost on the road. Yet at home, they have been one of the better teams in the entire nation, going 28-7 since 2003. In that time they have been an underdog 16 times, going 11-5 against the number. It's safe to say that Uconn has a significant home field advantage. Uconn returns home this week after 3 straight games on the road........there's no place like home.

Throw in some added motivation to go along with the home field edge and we have the makings of a nice spot for Uconn. That added motivation comes in the form of Uconn having never beaten Cinci. They are 0-4 against the Bearcats with last year being perhaps the worst loss of all as Uconn went to Cinci ranked #16 in the Nation and left with their tail between their legs in a 27-3 loss.

Cinci QB Tony Pike is coming back this week after breaking his non throwing arm. He may have picked the wrong week as Uconn has done a great job getting after the QB with 18 sacks on the year. Count on Pike getting rattled this week. It's tough to come back with that kind of an injury and not worry about getting reinjured. Especially after you find yourself on your back a few times.

Ultimately we don't think this game will be decided by the QB's but rather, the running games and the defensive side of the ball. On a neutral field we'd rate this game dead even. The intangibles mentioned above put Uconn over the top here, with their fantastic home field play, and the added incentive for Coach Edsall and the Juniors and Seniors on this Uconn Team. If it comes down to a last second field goal, we'll be crossing our fingers with Uconn using a new Freshman kicker this week, but we'll take our chances. Watch the number. We like the Huskies straight up here. But if/when they announce for sure that Zach Frazer won't play, you're likely to see an overreaction with the line. Currently there are a few +3's out there and you're likely to see more soon. 2* Uconn +3





2* Penn State -2.5 over Ohio State - There's alot more on the line this week in Columbus than just a football game. This game of course has Big 10 Title ramifications, but on the larger scale, has major significance on the National scene. A loss by Penn State would be a knock on the entire Big 10 Conference. If that happens, all you'll hear about is how the Big 10 is a weak conference that deserves no recognition or credit when talking National Title game. They'll say that Ohio State couldn't compete with USC, and then Penn State lost to Ohio State.......well, you get the picture and you know what? They'd be 100% correct. As it is, even if Penn State wins big, they are still going to be criticized for schedule strength. A look at either one of these two teams schedules is enough to make you yawn. This week will be the toughest game for both of these teams all year long. A Penn State win here and we're likely looking at Penn State undefeated and in the Title game. Imagine that, Joe Pa going out with the crown. That would be a story that even Hollywood couldn't have come up with. But we're getting ahead of ourselves.

This weeks game will likely be decided in the trenches which is why we like our chances with the Paternos. Both the offensive and defensive lines for Penn State have been playing great, dominating opponents while Ohio State might have some problems, particularly on the offensive line where they have suffered some injuries and start a freshman at center. Last year Penn State didn't force Ohio State to punt once. This year we think it will be a little different.

The skilled positions get all the glory. But it's the trenches that decide games like these, particularly in the Big 10 and we feel Penn State has the edge here on both sides of the ball. We'd also give them the edge at QB. Penn State did have some trouble with Juice Williams when they faced Illinois but as the game went on, they were able to slow him down. The stage may be a little too big this week for Ohio States Terrelle Pryor. His production went down every game until his big blowout performance against Mich State last week but this will be his biggest test to date for sure. He figures to be on his heels and off to the races quite a bit this week and if Penn State can contain him, it's game over. Cut off the head and the tail will follow.

We also have some additional motivational factors here. How about revenge times 7. That's how many times Ohio State has beaten JoePa in Columbus since Penn State joined the Big 10. They have also beaten Penn State the last two times they have played including last years dominating effort. Big game for JoePa. Big game for the Penn State Juniors and Seniors.

Penn State has been the better team this year. They have been dominant on both sides of the ball and have a fantastically balanced offense. Ohio State has struggled at times, has some injuries on the lines, and in our opinion, still has a question mark at QB. Pryor hasn't seen anything close to what he'll see Saturday Night. This is simply a matter of backing the better football team, which should be enough to overcome the Ohio State home field advantage. A quick score or two shuts up 100,000 people pretty damn fast. You should be able to do better than -2.5 by game time. As always, watch the number. 2* Penn State -2.5 or better





2* Georgia +2 over LSU - It's pretty much a curse for any team to be ranked #1 in the pre season polls which is where Georgia found themselves before the season started. It's just about impossible to live up to those lofty expectations, especially when every team you face brings their "A" game as they gun for number one. Georgia is a good football team. Not great. But if last year is any indication, this team figures to get better and better as each week goes by. Remember, last year they started 4-2 and looked average at best in doing so. Then they caught fire and ripped through the 2nd have of their schedule capped off by that blowout of Hawaii in the Bowl game, all of which earned this team that pre season #1. Also remember that this is pretty much the same team. What better way to start the stretch run than with a win over the defending National Champs?

A look at these two teams body of work to date shows us they are very similar. Both were blown out by better teams. For LSU is was Florida while Alabama waxed Georgia. Otherwise, we see some big wins against weak teams, and some mediocre performances against some stiffer SEC competition. Neither team has had that break out performance. But it's Georgia that edges out LSU in many important categories. They are number one in the SEC in passing offense, total offense and rushing defense. (LSU is 5th in the SEC in rushing defense)

Georgia has a young offensive line that has had some injuries this year but they have held their own. In watching both teams this year, we have been less impressed with LSU. We simply feel Georgia is the better all around team here team here and the stats would seem to back us up. LSU has been a great team at home over the years (have won 30 straight at home on Saturdays) but Georgia has played some of it's best football under Mark Richt on the road as they have been one of the best road teams in the nation year after year. They are 9-2 under Richt, on the road against ranked teams. Not too shabby eh? A win here puts Georgia back in the mix as far as the big picture goes, a place where many thought they should be before the season started. This week and next will determine that as next up for the Bulldogs is Florida. Ouch. Talk about a 1-2 punch. Georgia has the talent and track record to get by LSU this week setting up a huge game next week with the Gators. 2* Georgia +2
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 08:05 PM
Scott Ferrall

NCAA Football Free Picks FREE B's:

MIAMI FLA -3 to Wake--The CANES can win this game and they've been putting points on the board of late

S.FLA -4.5 to Louisville--the Bullas are 6-1 and know how to get W's. They can win this game on the road in conference

NEBRASKA -10.5 to Baylor--The Huskers should handle the Bears in Lincoln and win their second straight

PENN ST -2 to Ohio St--The Nittany Lions are playing bettter football than the Buckeyes and win this game by 3-7 points

NOTRE DAME -11.5 to Washington--the Huskies can't beat anybody and the Irish should roll. Wash gives up big points every week

Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 08:06 PM
WILD BILL

Boston College +3 (5 units)
Mississippi -5 (5 units)
Ball St -24 (5 units)
Oregon -4 (5 units)
Alabama -6 1/2 (5 units)
Ga Tech -11 1/2 (5 units)
Okla St +13 (5 units)
Texas Tech +2 1/2 (5 units)
TCU -31 (5 units)
Florida St -4 (5 units)
N Illinois -8 (5 units)
C Michigan -3 1/2 (5 units)
Penn St -1 1/2 (5 units)
Notre Dame -11 1/2 (5 units)
Middle Tenn +11 1/2 (5 units)
UL Monroe +2 (5 units)
Troy -24 1/2 (5 units)
Over 46 1/2 Md-NC State (5 units)
Over 47 1/2 Ky-Florida (5 units)
Over 53 Miss-Ark (5 units)
Over 41 1/2 Tenn-Alabama (5 units)
Under 51 Cal-UCLA (5 units)
Over 71 Ok State-Texas (5 units)
Over 57 C Mich-Toledo (5 units)
TOTAL OF YEAR: Over 42 1/2 TCU-Wyoming (10 UNITS)

Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 08:09 PM
Armvin Sports cfb

10/25/2008 bowling green 7.5

10/25/2008 hawaii 3

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:31 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 3:30 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
triple-dime bet157 Georgia 2.0 (-110) Bodog vs 158 LSU
Analysis:
***3 UNIT UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH***




Sat, 10/25/08 - 12:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Total
double-dime bet178 Kansas / 177 Texas Tech Over 66.0 BetUS
Analysis: **2 UNIT PLAY** Analysis to come

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:31 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 7:00 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
double-dime bet131 Mississippi -5.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 132 Arkansas
Analysis:
Mississippi -5

Analysis: Look for Mississippi to cover this number in the Houston Nutt Bowl. Nutt will have his Ole Miss team more than ready returning to Arkansas, the school that fired him last year after 10 seasons in Fayetteville.

Nutt's Rebels are the more consistent and better team. They also have the better quarterback with Jevan Snead over Casey Dick.

Arkansas has been outscored, 87-21, in its two SEC home games this season. Mississippi was impressive in road conference games versus Florida and Alabama.

Arkansas has gotten better lately thanks to the running of Michael Smith. However, Smith suffered a concussion last week.

If he plays, his workload is going to be cut back. Ole Miss has a strong run defense, yielding just 3.2 yards per rush

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:32 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 3:30 PMRJ_Bell | CFB Side
triple-dime bet155 Oklahoma St. 12.5 (-110) BetUS vs 156 Texas
Analysis:
CFB UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR:

#155 OKLAHOMA ST +12.5 over Texas.

Came straight from the best Big 12 bettor in Vegas

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:32 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 12:00 PMGreg Shaker | CFB Total
triple-dime bet116 Indiana / 115 Northwestern Over 48.0 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAF: Northwestern Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers - Over 48 -110 | Unit Value: 3 UNIT "Total Dominator)
Game Date: 10/25/2008
For those of you that are getting in late, this line has moved to 49.5 at most books and is still a play at that level.

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:33 PM
RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFB GAME OF THE YEAR!!
Pick # 1 Virginia Tech (5.5)

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:33 PM
Tony Diamond

Early Saturday release
College Football (39-34-2... +21.30 Units)

Miami Ohio -6.5 over Kent St 3 units

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:33 PM
Sports Wise Guys


5 Star Picks (Week 9):



Wisconsin -2.5 over Illinois
Texas -12.5 over Oklahoma State
Ohio State +2.5 over Penn State
Michigan +3.5 over Michigan State
Texas Tech +1.5 over Kansas

5-Star College FB Picks Season Total: 23-11-5 (65.4%)

ymmit2nd
10-23-2008, 08:57 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 3:30 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Side
double-dime bet149 UCLA 17.0 (-110) Bodog vs 150 California
Analysis:
There's nobody better in the country in picking UCLA CBB/CFB games and I fully anticipate a great performance by the Bruins this week.



UCLA was up against it BIG TIME last week in pulling off a last minute drive against Stanford. The Cardinal wanted this game in a "major way" and head coach Jim Harbaugh was left stunned.



California is emotionally shattered after blowing a double-digit lead in the desert and now walks into its WORST ATS SITUATION - a double-digit favorite from mid-October on.



The Bears are 0-9 ATS in this situation the last three years and are also 0-8 ATS in their last eight games following a Pac-10 loss that saw them leading at halftime.



It will be UGLY - but the Bruins stay under the number here.



Sat, 10/25/08 - 7:45 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Side
triple-dime bet145 Alabama -5.0 (-110) BetUS vs 146 Tennessee
Analysis:
Alabama head coach Nick Saban will have his troops in top form on Saturday night, as they go into Neyland Stadium and face the Tennessee Volunteers.



Tennessee has yet to show anything against an opponent that has outclassed them on the football field, as Florida absolutely demolished this team and Georgia failed to blow them out because of poor offensive execution.



That will not be the case, as Saban wants the Tide to roll into Baton Rouge in two weeks with a perfect 9-0 record and a possible #1 label on its back. Full focus will be on getting a big win here, as they face an absolute cupcake next week for Homecoming.



Tennessee's wins read like this: UAB, NIU and Mississippi State......Wow.....That's a far cry for Alabama's big neutral site and road wins against Clemson (Before their meltdown) and Georgia.



Alabama QB John Parker Wilson will have no trouble making plays against a Tennessee D that he completed 32 of 46 passes against for 363 yards and three touchdowns last year.



Lay the number and don't fall into the SEC home underdog trap - Saban's not happy about his team's last two performances and they blow out Tennessee on Saturday.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-23-2008, 11:08 PM
NorthCoast

big dogs-

smu,
duke,
unlv,
utah state,
kan st.


big 10-nortwestern

pac 10-oregon

big east-south florida

big 12-missouri
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rocky2
10-24-2008, 04:59 AM
Spylock
1* Northwestern - Pittsburgh - Nothern Illinois - Penn State

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 06:20 AM
Fairway Jay

20* GOY

Nevada
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 06:23 AM
Dave Malinsky

4* Illinois -2.5
5* UNLV +23
4* Fresno St -14.5
4* Alabama -5
4* Ohio State +2.5
6* Colorado St -7.5
5* USC -15

Sports Funatic
10-24-2008, 11:35 AM
vegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
151 Kent St. 7.0 (-110) Bodog vs 152 Miami (Ohio)
Analysis:

*** NCAAFB 3* BEST BET ***



*** Guys, I am aware of the line-move on Thursday that made this now +5.5 at most shops...as I advised in today's thread...for those who didn't have access to getting down Wed Morning when I uploaded the play, or even last night when it was still 6.5 and better...I suggest you hold off until game-day because as explained in the thread...the threat of a "buy back" is definately there, and the public money on game-day should also drive this number back up at least to 6...barring any injury, suspension, or weather reasoning behind the "steam"...I will make sure to continue tracking the number and gathering what info I can, and also make sure that I pass along my suggestions...both here and in the forums...VR ***



This is also going to be my Pod-Cast Play for the Week...and I wanted to make sure that I first Upload it for my Subscribers, so that you are able to go out and get the best number possible, because I have been informed that this will most likely receive another "Buy Order" from the outfits, which may even force the books to take it down to 6.5...even though they definately expect the betting public to come in one-sided on Miami O on Saturday...

I went ahead and made this a 3* Best Bet because it definately warrents it, and since we are getting what should be the best number (barring any late developments due to injury), and can always come back and lay 1* the other way and possibly nail ourselves a middle...VR

Anastasius4
10-24-2008, 02:22 PM
FOOTBALL JESUS SATURDAY

early game LSU-1

hook'em25
10-24-2008, 04:17 PM
Spreitzer 25*- Wake Forest

Henryjames
10-24-2008, 05:46 PM
igz1 sports

Early CFB Saturday Oct. 25 Action
CFB
4* Over 57 (-110) C.Michigan vs Toledo
4* C.Michigan -4 (-110)
4* Over 68.5 (-110) Rice vs Tulane
3* Mississippi -5 (-110)
3* Over 55 (-110) South Florida vs Louisville
3* Troy -23.5 (-110)

rocky2
10-24-2008, 06:15 PM
ASA

College Football Picks
10/25/2008
11:30:00 AM Oklahoma Sooners (-18)
over KANSAS STATE WILDCATS
ASA 3-Star #159 Oklahoma (-18) over @ Kansas State - Saturday, Oct 25th 11:30 am CST

OU pulls away big time in the second half and wins easily getting the cover.


10/25/2008
12:00:00 PM ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS (-2)
over Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
ASA 4-Star #110 Army (-2) over Louisiana Tech, Saturday 12:00 pm CST, October 25th

This all adds up to an Army win at home.


10/25/2008
2:30:00 PM GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS (-14)
over Virginia Cavaliers
ASA 5-Star #154 @Georgia Tech (-14) vs. Virginia Saturday, Oct 25 2:30 pm CST

Lay the points.


10/25/2008
6:00:00 PM Mississippi Rebels (-6.5)
over ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS
ASA 3-Star #131 Mississippi (-6.5) @ Arkansas Saturday, October 25 – 6:00 PM CST

Go with the Rebels with the points.
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rocky2
10-24-2008, 06:16 PM
BEN BURNS
BIG GAME ALERT

I'm taking the points with SAN DIEGO STATE. Fighting to save Chuck Long's job, look for them to bounce back with a huge effort, earning at least another cover. *MWC GOY

BEN BURNS
MAIN EVENT

I'm taking the points with OHIO STATE. Look for them to continue that dominance this evening. *Big 10 Main Event

BEN BURNS
ANNIHILATOR

I'm playing on PURDUE. Look for Painter to bounce back with a big effort and for them to keep that streak in tact for Tiller to retire with. *Annihilator
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 06:23 PM
Mighty Quinn

6-22 last 2 weeks
7-1 best bets..lost first one last week on Georgia

Best bet Conn +1..(7-1 on these plays..go fiqure)
```````````````````````````````````````
Regular plays
Auburn..Loser
Air Force..winner

Boise state

BC
Illi
Pitt
Fla
Miss
Tenny
Texas
Georgia
Ok
Mich st
Penn state
Notre dame<!-- / message -->

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 06:28 PM
Colin Cowherd

Kentucky
Alabama
Okla St
Arizona
Penn State
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ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 06:48 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 12:00 PMKing Creole | CFB Side
triple-dime bet115 Northwestern -7.5 (-110) Bodog vs 116 Indiana
Analysis: 12:00pm ET / #115 / Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers
3*** BEST BET on: NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 06:55 PM
Sat, 10/25/08 - 3:00 PMStephen Nover | CFB Total
double-dime bet138 Vanderbilt / 137 Duke Over 40.5 BetUS
Analysis:
Duke-Vanderbilt Over 40.5

Analysis: I see Vanderbilt scoring more points than the oddsmaker is giving the Commodores credit for in this matchup.

Vanderbilt has gone against a number of tough defenses in the SEC, which has skewed its statistics. The Commodores are ground-oriented and Duke ranks 81st in run defense. I'm not impressed with the Blue Devils' defense. It's very suspect.

Duke, though, should be loose for this non-conference matchup. The Blue Devils are 8-2 'over' in their last 10 non-league contests. Duke's first-year coach David Cutcliffe has a sharp offensive mind.




Sat, 10/25/08 - 3:30 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
triple-dime bet151 Kent St. 5.5 (-110) Bodog vs 152 Miami (Ohio)
Analysis:
Kent State +5.5

Analysis: Kent State leads the MAC in rushing. The Golden Flashes are averaging 209 yards in their last three games - and that was without star running back Eugene Jarvis.

Kent was idle last week. The extra time has allowed Jarvis to get fully healthy from an ankle injury. He rushed for 230 yards against Miami of Ohio last year. Coming into this season, he was the nation's leading returning rusher.

The Bobcats have bee plagued by turnovers. They have committed the most turnovers in the MAC with 17. They also have failed to cover in their last five home contests and are 0-4 against the spread following a straight-up victory. Since 2006, Miami of Ohio is 0-8 in a favorite's role.

The Bobcats' offense is nothing to write home about. Kent's defense can hand it, while Jarvis and the rushing attack puts the Flashes in great shape to pull the outright upset victory.

sportmojo
10-24-2008, 07:13 PM
Indian Cowboy

Kentucky Wildcats +25.5 (Play of the Day)

Utah State Aggies +16.5

SMU Mustangs +12

Kent State Golden Flashes +5

Washington Huskies +10.5

uscmd
10-24-2008, 08:13 PM
Smoking hot

Lines have moved accordingly, but still within his limits for 2-3* plays

DR BOB

***/**

Rotation #154 Georgia Tech (-13) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars from -14 1/2 to -16 points.
Rotation #150 California (-17) 3-Stars at -20 or less, 2-Stars at -20 1/2 or -21.
Rotation #131 Mississippi (-5) 3-Stars at -6 1/2 or less, 2-Stars at -7.
Rotation #142 Utah State (+16 1/2) 3-Stars at +14 or more, 2-Stars down to +10 1/2 points.
Rotation #146 Tennessee (+6) 2-Stars at +4 or more.

so

Strong Opinion - Rotation #104 West Virginia (-3 1/2) Strong Opinion at -4 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #180 Missouri (-23 1/2) Strong Opinion at -24 or less. 2-Star Best Bet at -23 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #182 Ohio State (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +1 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #174 Louisville (+4) Strong Opinion at +4 or more.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #126 Pittsburgh (-9 1/2) Strong Opinion at -10 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #169 Wyoming (+31) Strong Opinion at +28 or more.

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 08:14 PM
Mydollarpicks
10/25 games

alabama -5 2 units*

penn st/ohio st over 46 2 units*

oregon -3 2 units*


tex tech +1 1 unit

min -2 1 unit

s fla -3.5 1 unit

fla atl/ulmon under 54 1 unit

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 08:15 PM
Factsman:

LA TECH +2 TO BEAT ARMY BY 9 OR MORE

brady1983
10-24-2008, 08:35 PM
LARRY NESS

This is what he has posted heading into Saturday. I will add anything tomorrow. Not sure if he's doing World Series or anymore NCAA.

Larry Ness' 9* CFB Bailout Blowout (7-1)


Larry's 'ASSAULT' on the CFB pointspread continues on Saturday. He's 7-1 (87.5%) ATS since 10/16, heading into Friday. The last two Saturdays he's produced late-winners on Fla ov LSU and then LSU ov Sou Car but this Saturday's "late show," is the one game you "can't afford to miss." Watch and win with Larry's 9* CFB Bailout Blowout!

OHIO STATE




Larry's Weekend Wipeout Winner: 7-1 CFB run

Larry's Wipeout Winner on No. Ill (38-7 over Toledo on 10/18), was part of his current 7-1 CFB run . There were "special circumstances" surrounding that game and a matchup this Saturday, while offering different circumstances, will produce a similar ATS blowout! When Larry calls for a W-I-P-E-O-U-T, you want an invite to the party. RSVP now.


MISSOURI TIGERS



Larry's Las Vegas Insider (7-1 CFB)-Early

Larry and his "unmatched" contacts won Thursday night with Air Force (23-10), upping his current CFB run to 7-1 since 10/16. It's rare for Larry's CFB Insider to be a Thursday game (1st time TY), so after taking a "second-look" at the CFB card, Larry's releasing a 2nd CFB Insider for the week. "It pays to be on the inside." Want in?


KANSAS JAYHAWKS

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 08:57 PM
BEN BURNS
RIVALRY GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with TENNESSEE. Look for them to take this game down to the wire with an excellent shot at the upset. *Rivalry GOY
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lone ranger
10-24-2008, 09:11 PM
Does anyone get Bryan Leonard's plays? Thanks!

Here's a bunch of freebies...


Game Time Sports Advisors
Wyoming vs. TCU (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 6:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -30.5/-105 TCU Pick Title: Saturday Free Play
Lay the wood.. 30 PLUS+.. These Cowboys of Wyoming are brutal. Who cares they are off a bye week, did they glue the football to their hands. -15 in turnovers! Cowboys outscored 68-0 in losses on road at New Mexico and BYU and now face a better D in TCU. TCU is 7-1 last 8 laying DD at home. Last year TCU lost a heartbreaker at Wyoming. REVENGE!! TCU is the MONEY.. GTSA

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Michael Alexander
Kentucky vs. Florida (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 25/-105 Kentucky Pick Title: NCAAF Free Pick - Kentucky at Florida

After losing two in a row the Kentucky Wild Cats were able to pull out a close win over Arkansas pushing their mark to 5-2 SU on the season. This week they travel to the Swamp to take on the Florida Gators. Surprisingly unlike seasons past it is the Kentucky defense that is getting the attention as they have averaged giving up only 11.3 points per game and only 9.5 when they have been on the road while their offense has put up 25.4 per game.

The Florida Gators come into this one riding high as they pasted the defending Champion LSU Tigers 51-21 pushing their mark to 5-1 SU overall but left them ranked only 10th in the first BCS poll. As usual the Gators are not having any problems putting points on the board as they average 38.5 points per game. Their defense has been tough as well giving up only 13.0 points per game.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series including 3-0 ATS at The Swamp are 6-2 ATS as SEC underdogs of greater than 15 points. Florida is 2-11 ATS record as conference favorites of 14 or more points. Also, any team who beat the defending National Champs are 6-21 ATS when facing an opponent that won 7 or more games the previous season.

Kentucky’s defense has yielded a season-high of just 24 points and Florida has a date with Georgia next week. Too many points considering so I'm taking the Wildcats in this one.

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Matty Baiungo
Colorado vs. Missouri (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 6:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -22.5/-105 Missouri Pick Title: Matty B's Free CFB Play - - Saturday

Colorado @ Missouri 6:30 PM EST Play On: Missouri (- 22 ½)

If Missouri is as good as we think they are, then this is a good bounce back spot for them. The Tigers enter off back-to-back losses against Oklahoma St and Texas. Two weeks back, Mizzou was a 14 ½-point home favorite over Okie St and lost straight-up 28-23. And last week they were just pounded from the get-go at Texas and wound up losing 56-31. But there should be no shame in losing either one of those games. The Oklahoma St loss looks worse because of the high spread, but that line was simply out of whack. Many thought Missouri would give Texas all they wanted last week as they were off that home loss and were catching Texas off their big Oklahoma win. And we saw a ton of support for them as the line crashed from 7 ½ to 4 at kickoff. Now how many bettors who backed Missouri last week will be quick to unload on them again this week? Not too many, especially with the Tigers laying three touchdowns.

But we’ll certainly step in here. Missouri’s high octane offense has been stalled by much bigger and faster defenses than what they’ll face with Colorado. Missouri’s gimmicky offense is not as effective when facing good defenses, but when it lines up against weak ones, it explodes. Over their first five games, Missouri scored at least 42 points in every game. They had just 17 going into the 4th quarter last week before they piled up the garbage points and yards when the game was out of reach. Last year, Chase Daniel led the Tigers to 55 points and 598 yards in their 45 point win at Colorado. And a repeat of that performance is certainly attainable again this year. Missouri’s schedule is weak the rest of the way, and big, lopsided wins should resume.

Colorado was supposed to be much improved this year. It’s Dan Hawkins third year, and after going from 2-10 in 2006 to 6-7 and a bowl game in 2007, another positive step was expected. But that certainly has not been the case. Colorado got out of the gate fast opening the season at 3-0. But the wheels have come off lately as the Buffaloes are just 1-3 over their last four games. The win came last week over a bad Kansas St team, but Colorado should be embarrassed by the 14-13 final. Kansas St’s defense is horrible, but they held Colorado to just 13 points on 353 yards. Over their previous four games, K-St allowed at least 30 points and 509 yards to opposing offenses. Colorado has no chance of trading points with Missouri here. Under Dan Hawkins, Colorado is only 2-9-1 against the spread as a road underdog. That, combined with the fact that Missouri will be looking to atone for the last two weeks, equals blowout. Go with Missouri.

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Matt Fargo
Cincinnati U vs. Connecticut (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -2/-105 Cincinnati U Pick Title:
Cincinnati is coming off a bye week and that extra time will be beneficial. The Bearcats have won four straight games and are currently 1-0 in the Big East Conference. This game means quite a bit considering the next four games comes against the best four teams in the conference so heading into that stretch at 2-0 is a must. Making things even more interesting is the fact that Cincinnati will have only five days after this one to get ready for a visit from the Bulls.

While the Bearcats are hot, Connecticut is struggling. The Huskies have dropped two straight games including a heartbreaker at Rutgers over the weekend. They had a shot to win but missed a field goal with just over a minute remaining. This will be the first home game in five weeks for the Huskies which is no doubt a big advantage while they are also playing with revenge following a 27-3 blowout loss last season in Cincinnati. However, the Bearcats have too many edges in this one.

Three games back, the Huskies won at Louisville in a game they had no business winning and it was the one game they were outrushed this season. Connecticut rushed for 157 yards and that has begun a downward spiral from the rushing game. After averaging 279.5 ypg in their first four games, the Huskies have averaged only 147.3 ypg over their last three games. Things won’t get better here as Cincinnati comes into this game with the 13th ranked rushing defense in the nation, allowing just 94.5 ypg.

Special teams, defense, and a resurgent running game have helped the Bearcats play through the loss of their top two quarterbacks to injury. Despite this, the Bearcats are 39th in the country in total offense including 26th in passing offense and 21st in passing efficiency. They will go against a solid defense in Connecticut but after allowing 7.3 ppg in their first three games, the Huskies have allowed 24.8 ppg in their last four games and it is no surprise due to the level of competition increasing.

Field position can play a big role and Cincinnati has a huge edge in two big special teams’ categories. It is 1st in the country in net putting while the Huskies are only 84th and the Bearcats are 6th in kickoff returns while Connecticut is 99th. Cincinnati has covered 10 of its last 14 games against teams with a winning record while the Huskies are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven against winning teams. That shows a lot of how each steps up or down against the level of competition and we will see more of the same here. 3* Cincinnati Bearcats

Fargo is having a spectacular season in football and he has nailed over 60% of his NCAAF releases! This includes his first 9* release last Saturday as Virginia won outright! He is backing that up with another 9* Winner and it comes from the Pac Ten! Grab his Pac Ten Game of the Year that is backed by 21-3 ATS (87.5%) Team Angles! We bring home another one so do not miss!

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Tony George
Oklahoma vs. Kansas State (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -19.5/-104 Oklahoma Pick Title: Big 12 Free Play
Oklahoma -19 @ Kansas State

I smell a blowout here. Oklahoma should be able to pass all over K State's secondary here. When OU runs the ball to balance the attack somewhat, they are tough to defend for anyone. Kansas Sate has issues on offense in this match up, and although QB Freeman is a stud, when asked to carry the entire game on his shoulders, like this one, he will fail. OU simply has too many weapons and a mission to get o the title game tied up with the hopes that Texas can fall in defeat between now and the end of the season.

Oklahoma's defense is not the same without Reynolds, who is out for the year, but an opportunistic secondary may play a large role in this one for the Sooners. Kansas State had a total of 15 first downs last week, but gave up 24 of them to Colorado. While the Buffs failed to capitalize on most of those, although they still won, rest assured Oklahoma will take full advantage of that by scoring points.

Oklahoma 48 Kansas State 20...Lay the Wood

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Tony Karpinski
Penn State vs. Ohio State (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 8:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -2/-104 Penn State Pick Title: FREE PICK
Penn State has consistently performed like one of the best teams in the country this year, and are now even better since they have gotten even better as they've gotten healthier along the defensive line. This is Penn St's National Championship game as its smooth sailing after Ohio St. Penn St has speed at QB, RB, and WR's and I expect them to spread the ball out just like USC did to pick apart Ohio St. Penn is isn't your average Big Ten school of the past.

The Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and the favorite has dominated this series, covering seven out of 10 meetings. Penn State has speed on both side of the ball - the type of speed that we've seen the Buckeyes have problems with in nonconference play for years now. Take JoePA and Penn St to get the win Saturday night and stay undefeated!

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Bryan Leonard
Oklahoma State vs. Texas (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 3:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 12/-108 Oklahoma State Pick Title: Free Selection
Oklahoma State at Texas The Cowboys have stayed under the radar for most of the season despite entering this game undefeated not only straight up but against the pointspread. Now they catch the Longhorns off back to back huge games and with a number one ranking. Oklahoma State can score on anybody as witnessed by their point totals of 39, 56, 57, 55, 56, 28 and 34 points this season. They can beat you on the ground or through the air. Zac Robinson has been terrific at quarterback yet he is never mentioned in the same breath as the other signal callers in this league. Last year the Cowboy defense allowed 29.5 points per game but this season only one opponent has surpassed that mark. This is a very good team who is playing with a chip on their shoulder as they blew a big lead to the Longhorns last year only to lose 38-35 in Stillwater. Texas is in the middle of one of the toughest scheduling situations we have seen in quite some time. They battled former #1 Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry and pulled away late 45-35. Last week they faced one of the most potent offenses in college football as they manhandled Missouri 56-31. After facing the undefeated Cowboys this week they travel to Lubbock to face the undefeated Red Raiders next weekend. We are of the belief that players only have so much energy to give, which is why teams are prone to upsets. After facing Oklahoma and Missouri with Texas Tech on deck we simply can't see the Longhorns being fully motivated to face a team they have now beaten 10 straight times. Especially knowing that this game will be played at home. We're all human and it would be shocking to see the top ranked team going all out in preparation of this game. Colt McCoy has just been anointed as the next great passer as he has taken the lead in the Heisman Trophy race. Texas is an excellent team no doubt about it but the best teams don't win by double-digit margins all the time. With Oklahoma State off Baylor and with Iowa State on deck this game gets their full attention. This is just too many points to give an undefeated squad playing with memorable revenge. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE

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RJ Robbins
Central Michigan vs. Toledo (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -3.5/-107 Central Michigan Pick Title: Saturday Free Pick
Chips to tough no matter who is at the helm QB- LeFevour or Brunner!

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Cajun Sports
Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles (NFL) - Oct 26, 2008 1:00 PM EDT
Play: Total: 45/-103 Under Pick Title: Cajuns Sports 2* NFL Free Total Selection
The City of Brotherly Love will be the site of Sunday’s match up between the host Eagles and the visiting Atlanta Falcons. Both Teams enter Sunday’s contest off of their bye week and having won their last game prior to the open date.

Philadelphia has been very strong coming off their bye posting a record of 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS but the key for us in this contest is they have only allowed 8.8 points per game off their bye.

Both teams have strong “Under” tendencies coming off their bye week as Atlanta is 8-0-2 Under during the last decade and Philly has gone “Under” in nine straight games off their bye.

Philadelphia’s defensive front presents a huge problem for rookie QB Matt Ryan of the Falcons as they rank number 2 in the NFL on our defensive index rating with a rating of 4.3. They are second only to Pittsburgh who has a 2.94 YPA while the Eagles check in with a 3.54 YPA.

The Eagles defense is tied for the NFC lead with 21 sacks this season and they love to blitz which may be too much for Ryan’s first trip to Philly. Eagles Safety Brian Dawkins is one of five Defensive Backs in NFL history with 20 or more sacks in their career. A tough place and a tough “D” for young Ryan to contend with on Sunday in Philadelphia.

The Falcons offense averages 291 yards per game and only 15.8 points per game on the road. The Eagles defense is only allowing 10.7 points per game at home this season. The Eagles offense averages 345 yards per game and 23.3 points per game at home this year. The Falcons defense is allowing 24 points per game on the highway this season.

ATLANTA is 14-5 Under in road games over the last 3 seasons and 8-1 Under in road games off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 Under as a favorite over the last 3 seasons, 13-3 Under as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 Under as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons.

The Falcons are 12-31 Under on the road. The Falcons are 0-8 Under on the road when facing a team that has passed the ball on at least 60% of their offensive plays, season-to-date. The Falcons are 3-13 Under on the road when facing a team that has allowed less than 3.75 yards per carry season-to-date. The Falcons are 4-14 Under as a road dog versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road.

The Eagles are 0-13 Under as a favorite the week after their bye. The Eagles are 1-16-1 Under as a 7+ favorite. The Eagles are 0-8-1 Under as a home favorite versus a non-divisional opponent before playing on the road against a non-divisional opponent. The Eagles are 0-7-1 Under as a home 7+ favorite versus a non-divisional opponent.

With strong fundamental support and overwhelming technical support we will make the Under in today’s contest our 2* NFL Total “Free” Selection of the Week.

GRADED PREDICTION: 2* Atlanta / Philadelphia Under 45

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Doc's Sports
Notre Dame vs. Washington U (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 8:00 PM EDT
Play: Total: 54/-105 Over Pick Title:
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #88 Take Over in Notre Dame @ Washington (Saturday 8:00 pm ESPN 2) The Fighting Irish are coming off of a bye and thus gives Coach Weis an extra week to develop scoring plays against a weak Husky defense. Notre Dame can put points on the board but their weakness has always been on defense and thus this sets up for a perfect situation for a strong play on the over. Coach Willingham will show no mercy or let-up and will try to score points each and every time he has the football against Notre Dame, a school that fired him four years ago. We will not worry if Notre Dame can cover this spread and just collect with the over. Doc’s Sports Big XII Game of the Year goes this Saturday, sign-up now and let 37 years of experience work for you.

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Tom Stryker
Boston College vs. North Carolina (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 12:00 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: 2.5/-110 Boston College Pick Title: Tom Stryker's Free Pick for October 25
#119 BOSTON COLLEGE (+) over North Carolina at 12 PM EST
Boston College has been one of the best road teams in college football over the past six seasons and I’ll have no trouble taking the Eagles plus the points in this ACC battle.

Since 1993, BC has cruised to a remarkable 24-10 SU record on the road or at neutral sites. That record places the Eagles at No. 7 behind road warriors like USC, Texas, LSU, Georgia, Boise State and Auburn. With regards to profitability, Boston College has been at its best on foreign soil when priced as an underdog. In this role, the Eagles are a powerful 10-2 SU and ATS!

Technically speaking, this is NOT the spot for North Carolina. According to my college football database, since 1985, home favorites priced at -7 or less are a stiff 38-63 ATS provided they enter off exactly one straight up road favorite loss. Even worse, if our host carries a won/loss percentage greater than .500, this system crashes to an ugly 16-41 ATS! The Tar Heels apply to the general situation and the tightener!

If you want to win big games, you need to bring a defense to the table. Boston College can do that. The Eagles are ranked in the Top 25 in nine different categories including No. 1 in pass efficiency defense (86.70) and red zone defense (.58). Matched up against a North Carolina offense that is currently without its best player (WR Brandon Tate out for the season with torn ligaments in his right knee) the Eagles will soar. Take Boston College! Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

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Craig Trapp
Rutgers vs. Pittsburgh U (NCAAF) - Oct 25, 2008 3:30 PM EDT
Play: Point Spread: -10/103 Pittsburgh U Pick Title: free play CFB enjoy it
Love the Panthers this week to win by over 17. Pitt has been much better since being upset in the opener. They are so good at running the ball and overpowering opponents. They set up there play action passing after pounding the ball up the middle. Big plays will not be easy to come by against Rutgers but they will at least have two 50 or longer TD runs or passes. Rutgers is pitiful they barely beat UConn last week and have not been able to score all year. Pitt will not be stopped and Rutgers can't score sounds like a blowout. SCORE PITT 31 - RUT 13

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 09:31 PM
the king maker...


Illinois -2.5 (-110) at Bookmaker

2-Units

Florida State -5 (-120) at BetUS

2-Units



Regular Play

Duke +11 (-120) at BetUS

1-Unit

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 09:50 PM
Dave Cokin

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Acc GOY Georgia Tech

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 09:51 PM
Coach Ron Meyer

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Big East Goy Louisville

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 09:51 PM
Glen Mcgrew

SEC CONF DOG GOY ARK

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 09:51 PM
Scott Spreitzer

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Big 10 Mismatch Gom Michigan St

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 09:52 PM
Bob Donahue

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Shocker Of The Month Duke

ymmit2nd
10-24-2008, 09:54 PM
Big Al Mcmordie

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Offshore Steam Parlay Of The Year- Byu Is The 1st Half Of The Par. The 2nd Game Is Sunday In The Nfl. Don't Have That Yet.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 10:02 PM
Chip Chirimbes

college

Parlay Ohio St and Georgia Bulldogs

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 10:19 PM
Lenny Del Genio

Triple-Dime Bet
Oklahoma St. +13.5 vs Texas
Oklahoma State is our Big 12 Game of the Year.


Wake Forest +3 vs Miami
Double-Dime Bet
Take Wake Forest.


Minnesota +1 vs Purdue
Double-Dime Bet
Take Minnesota.


Ball St. -23.5 vs E. Michigan
Double-Dime Bet
Take Ball State.
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TheRealSlimShady
10-24-2008, 10:31 PM
EROCKMONEY hitting 67% in ncaa
1. Hawaii +3.5
2. Minnesota +1
3. Illinois -3.5
4. Central Michigan -3.5
5. Northwestern -8

Chris James Sports
10-24-2008, 10:57 PM
Hey Guys,

This is one of the few forums that I promote in the service promotion thread and stop by the service section once in a while to see what's going on. And I must say this is the best forum out there by far and for that reason I would like to offer all of you a free weekend of football plays! No strings attatched.

Just email Chris James Sports at AOL and ask for your free weekend!

Here is one winner for tomorrow for the forum. Take Mississippi minus the points!!
Good Luck,Chris James

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 11:11 PM
Hey Guys,

This is one of the few forums that I promote in the service promotion thread and stop by the service section once in a while to see what's going on. And I must say this is the best forum out there by far and for that reason I would like to offer all of you a free weekend of football plays! No strings attatched.

Just email Chris James Sports at AOL and ask for your free weekend!

Here is one winner for tomorrow for the forum. Take Mississippi minus the points!!
Good Luck,Chris James

Hey CJ,

Thanks for tomorrow's game, and good luck with your free weekend offer!:103631605

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 11:29 PM
Golden Contender

Saturday College System Club Play 6-1 This Year

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->SATURDAY COLLEGE SYSTEM CLUB PLAY COURTESY OF SELECTIVESPORTSSYSTEMS.These college system club plays are now 6-1 on the year,will try to make it 7-1 here tonight.The college system club play this week is on the Missouri tigers.Game 180 at 6:30 eastern.The tigers quallify in an excellent week 8 system that plays on teams off back to back losses who were undefeated, when taking on teams who are 500 or better.They are also a solid 7-1 ats at home vs teams who have revenge.Colorado on the other hand have lost 4 straight ats.When colorado loses they are a horrible 4-35 ats.I fully expect them to lose here,and this game should be a blowout,as Mizzou will come out a lot more inspired then they did last week vs texas.The line has moved up a few points over the course of the week,but i still think Mizzou wins and covers here on saturday night.a solid overall card that features plays from 21-2,17-1,34-7,and 13-2 systems that date as far back as 1980,currently on a 28-6 run in all sports for over 72 units-Lets see how bad mizzou lays it on colrado here on saturday. BOL GC-
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hook'em25
10-24-2008, 11:37 PM
Spreitzer College Football Game of the Year- Tulsa

Can'tPickaWinner
10-24-2008, 11:56 PM
PSYCHIC

2 units Miami, Fl -3
2 units Texas Tech +1
2 units Rutgers +10
3 units Toledo +4
3 units Florida Atlantic -2

DA STICK

5 units Washington +10.5
5 units LSU -1
5 units Arkansas +7
10 units Florida -25.5
10 units Northwestern -8.5
10 units Wisconsin +3
15 units GOM Oklahoma State +12
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thekeyman
10-25-2008, 12:04 AM
CAPPERS ACCESS

minn
kansas st
ohio st
wash u.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 12:04 AM
Dave Cokin

(165) Bowling Green
(166) No Illinois
Take "(166) No Illinois"
This week's free opinion again involves Northern Illinois, and I'm not ready to get off that Huskies express just yet. I've had NIU as a very big play three times this season, and they've obliged with a cinch cover on each occasion. I can't step out with them here, as it's not a very good scheduling spot for the Huskies. In fact, the situation favors Bowling Green to some extent. The Falcons just lost as home chalk and are now catching some decent points on the road. NIU is off the gigantic revenge win over Toledo and they have unbeaten Ball State on deck. But the fundamentals favor the Huskies by a substantial margin. BGU is having a great deal of trouble stopping the run and the Falcons have been unable to create balance offensively. Northern Illinois has surrendered just 434 yards on the ground in their last five games combined and should dominate in the trenches again this week. NIU is just 10 points away from being 7-0 and I still feel they're a bit underrated. The situation prevents me from taking a big stance on the Huskies, but I believe they're good enough to reward their backers yet again this weekend.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 12:06 AM
Bob Akmens CFB

5 units Wake Forest +2.5

5 units Ball St. -25.5

5 units UCLA +17.5

5 units Virginia Tech +5.0

5 units Notre Dame -10.0

8 units Oregon -3.0

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 12:06 AM
Jim Feist

(183) So Miss
(184) Memphis
Take "(184) Memphis"
Southern Miss at Memphis: Why on earth did Southern Miss (2-5 SU/ATS) dump longtime successful coach Jeff Bower to bring in new coach Larry Fedora? Bower's offenses were balanced, he brought in talent on both sides of the ball, and his teams always had a rough, tough defense, not to mention bowl bids. Fedora is an offensive mind, presumably to put points on the board, but the defense has been awful. They lost again Saturday, 45-40 at Rice, allowing 586 yards! The new spread offense is averaging 30 points with 255 yards passing. But they lost to Marshall and to previously winless UTEP, 40-37 in double OT. They also had a surprising home loss to Marshall, 34-27, giving up 429 yards. Southern Miss is 0-3 in league play for the first time in the 13-year history of Conference USA, and yet is a road favorite here. Memphis has a fine coach in Tommy West and Southern Miss has no pass rush, which will help junior QB Brett Toney, making his first start. A year ago Memphis won at Southern Miss, 29-26, as a +17 dog. Play Memphis.

thekeyman
10-25-2008, 12:45 AM
Hotpicksonline saturdays 20* dog parlay duke +10.5 & oak. St.+13
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thekeyman
10-25-2008, 01:03 AM
Spreitzer

25*
wake forest

thekeyman
10-25-2008, 01:04 AM
Bluebooksports

free radio play

tex.tech/kansas over 68

plato
10-25-2008, 01:07 AM
Lee Sterling NCAA FB


Penn St.
Alabama
Texas Tech
Oklahoma St.
Nebraska

Karol58
10-25-2008, 01:12 AM
Kelso's 100 unit game is on TCU -30 1/2

mrstein
10-25-2008, 01:22 AM
WY average is 9 points per game C,mon blowout is written all over this bad boy


WYOMING - Season Statistics Rushing Passing Total
Statistic PPG Half FD TOP ATT YDS RYPA COMP ATT PCT YDS PYPA ATT YDS YPP YPPT
All Games 9.0 3.9 15.1 28:83 39.3 159.9 4.1 12.1 24.4 49.7% 96.6 4.0 63.7 256.4 4.0 28.5
Opp Def Avg. 20.1 9.2 17.4 29:02 37.6 141.0 3.7 15.9 27.3 58.3% 172.3 6.3 65.0 313.3 4.8 15.6
Off Road Games 0.0 0.0 15.5 30:75 40.0 133.5 3.3 13.0 27.5 47.3% 103.5 3.8 67.5 237.0 3.5 474,000,000.0
All Games 29.9 18.4 16.7 31:16 39.4 157.4 4.0 15.6 27.0 57.7% 159.7 5.9 66.4 317.1 4.8 10.6
Opp Off Avg. 26.5 14.6 19.2 30:97 39.5 162.0 4.1 17.5 28.7 60.9% 205.0 7.1 68.2 366.9 5.4 13.8
Def Road Games 34.0 24.0 20.5 29:24 41.0 240.0 5.9 14.0 29.0 48.3% 117.0 4.0 70.0 357.0 5.1 10.5


TCU - Season Statistics Rushing Passing Total
Statistic PPG Half FD TOP ATT YDS RYPA COMP ATT PCT YDS PYPA ATT YDS YPP YPPT
All Games 33.5 18.9 23.0 35:86 51.1 233.9 4.6 15.7 27.5 57.3% 170.0 6.2 78.6 403.9 5.1 12.1
Opp Def Avg. 32.3 17.3 22.3 31:81 41.7 183.7 4.4 18.5 30.1 61.5% 218.8 7.3 71.7 402.4 5.6 12.5
Off Home Games 42.7 24.7 27.5 38:08 58.2 294.0 5.0 14.7 24.5 60.2% 158.7 6.5 82.7 452.7 5.5 10.6
All Games 10.9 7.0 11.6 24:13 24.6 21.0 0.9 15.9 32.5 48.8% 197.6 6.1 57.1 218.6 3.8 20.1
Opp Off Avg. 24.6 14.3 18.5 28:18 31.6 113.4 3.6 20.3 34.4 59.2% 232.7 6.8 66.0 346.1 5.2 14.0
Def Home Games 8.7 5.2 10.7 21:91 22.2 21.0 0.9 16.0 32.2 49.6% 158.5 4.9 54.5 179.5 3.3 20.5

Karol58
10-25-2008, 01:26 AM
Here is Kelso's write up on the game

College Blowout Game Of The Year

100 Units

TCU (-30 ½) over Wyoming

Prediction: TCU by 55-60

Starting Time: 6:00

TV: MTN

Weather in Fort Worth: Clear, 75 degrees, 28% relative humidity and no wind.

Comments: For openers, I grade college games with a 47-step process and TCU (6-1) grades out on top in all 47—something almost unheard of—and it is meeting what appears to be the worst Wyoming (2-5) squad in years. TCU got its starting quarterback back from the injury list last week and absolutely destroyed nationally ranked BYU, 32-7. After watching TCU dismantle and run over BYU with its speed and quickness, I do not believe there is any way Wyoming can even keep it close and would be willing to bet the visiting Cowboys will not score a single point. TCU has the top-ranked defense in NCAA I-A, giving up just 218.7 yards per game, including just 20 yards a game rushing. If there were not impressive enough, the Horned Frogs also lead the NCAA in sacks with 33. It is just difficult to figure out a way Wyoming, which averages just 9.0 points and 256 yards on offense will stay in the game working against a defense of that quality. TCU gives up just 10.9 points per game has absolutely dominated every team it has played except Oklahoma to which it lost, 35-10. This is a classic contest of strength against weakness and TCU should have the cover by half-time.

Karol58
10-25-2008, 01:28 AM
Kelso also has a smaller play on Alabama. Here is that write up.

15 Units

Alabama (-5 ½) over TENNESSEE

Prediction: Alabama by 14-17

Starting Time: 7:45

TV: ESPN

Weather in Knoxville: Partly cloudy, temperature of 55, relative humidity of 55 and wind out of the WNW at 7 miles per hour.

Comments: This is for Alabama a grudge-game without end. It is the firm belief of the Crimson Tide athletic department and the citizens of Alabama that Tennessee coach Phil Fulmer was the person who turned the school into the NCAA for alleged rules violations. As one who scouted in the SEC for several years, I can assure you this grudge might die in about 100 years and it will be a motivating factor for the Tide as they roll into Knoxville, as if they needed any extra inspiration. Alabama (7-0). Tennessee (3-4) has no offense and has seen its season blow up because of it. Oh, yes, Alabama is ranked second in the BCS standings and has no intention of blowing that by getting beat in this spot.

kellyt
10-25-2008, 01:42 AM
Big Al has a 2 team parlay, I think it was a big one. He has not released the second half (Sunday NFL) but the first half is on BYU -23 over UNLV.

Dubya
10-25-2008, 02:43 AM
** ncaa newsletters **

hot

confidential kick off 11* (5-2-1)...florida
dave fobare (the maxx) (5-2)...illinois
ed cash (sports memo) (5-2)...virginia tech
hq report 5* (5-2-1)...arkansas
hq report ats (6-2)...penn st
marc lawrence playbook 4* (5-3)...florida
marc lawrence playbook 5* (6-2)...boston college
the red sheet 89* (10-5-1)...
Winning points best bet (11-5)...alabama...wake forest

Hap
10-25-2008, 07:16 AM
Rocco Vincintore (Bought)

Fla -25
Ball -25

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 07:41 AM
Hotpicksonline

20* dog parlay duke +10.5 & ok. St.+13
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 07:52 AM
Fairway Jay

20* GOY Nevada
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 07:54 AM
SIDELINE INSIGHT two plays in currently:
San Diego St and Florida both regular.


According to TSM,

NFL SIDELINE INSIGHTS Rank 8 65.85% 27-14
NCAAF SIDELINE INSIGHTS Rank 3 78.05% 32-9


FROM WAGNERS SITE
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 07:56 AM
Alex Smart

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->OKLAHOMA ST. +12.5

Projected score : OSU 37 Texas 35 Play on Oklahoma State 4 * to cover -Take the points
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 07:59 AM
Advance Analysis

2* Ky
2* UNLV
2* Mid.Tenn.

1* Oreg.
1* Ga.
1* Kan.St.
1* Tex.Tech
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:00 AM
Iron Horse GOY

Penn St.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:00 AM
Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: E. Michigan at Ball State (Saturday 10/25 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Ball State -25 (-110)

Eastern Michigan comes in off a disaster vs. Akron. They led with 30 seconds left and block an Akron game winning FG attempt. Game over, right? No! Akron picks it up and advances for a first down, calls two timeouts, and runs in for the game winning TD. So, how does this poor team bounce back from that at home? Especially when facing a rested really good Ball State team? They don't. Ball has covered every game on their schedule by double-digits on average. The offense is racking up 37.4 ppg and they are converting over 52% of third down situations. They have allowed just four sacks on the season and are rushing for over 5 yards a carry. So down and distance has favored them all season thanks to a balanced attack. Eastern Michigan has given up 37+ in five games already and hasn't faced this potent of an offense all season. Now they have to contend with it on the road, after a very emotionally disappointing loss. Ball State gets the call here.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:09 AM
The Vegas Steam Line

Winner for Saturday: Take SOUTHERN MISS -4

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:10 AM
Sixth Sense

Boston College +2

2% Mississippi –6.5

2% Oregon –3

2% Kent +5

2% Georgia Tech –14

2% Bowling Green +7.5

2% Texas Tech +1

2% Ohio State +2.5

2% Nevada –3
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:12 AM
Dave Malinsky

Fresno St. @ Utah St.
PICK: Fresno St. -14.5 4*

If we wanted to completely insult your intelligence it would be easy to do that in this one – we could make a case that based on their game flows no team in the country turns it on in the fourth quarter more than the Utah State Aggies! Which is an absurdity, of course. But with a line move dropping this one right into the heart of our play range, we can go to one of our very favorite axioms in all of sports - Most truly terrible teams are even worse than they appear to be. So let’s get to work.

Why are awful teams worse than they appear to be? Because they rarely take the best punch from their opponents, and often see the other side merely going through the motions as they save energy for more important games. Because of that the scoreboards and box scores do not get a chance to fully reflect their ineptitude. Utah State is an absolute textbook example of that. Here are the scores by quarters for the Aggies so far this season –

1st Quarter – 7-75
2nd Quarter – 35-82
3rd Quarter – 9-85
4th Quarter – 66-38

So if you go back to our statement in italics in the first paragraph, you can see how the statistical case can be made. This is a team that has scored 56.4 percent of all of their points in the fourth quarter, and also has held the opposition to less than half as many points in the final period as in any other. But those numbers do not reflect a positive in any way. Rather, they are an indication of just how awful this team is, and that so much of what has happened in the final period has been a case of the opposition completely letting up, on both sides of the ball. Here is what does matter. At the end of three quarters they have been trailing by a combined 242-51. And in the first and third quarters, when both teams come out fresh, it has been a combined 160-16. That is ugly.

Now things go from bad to worse for Brent Guy and his team. Instead of an opponent looking to coast, they are going up against a fresh and rested Fresno State team coming off of a bye, and it was a break that the Bulldogs needed in the worst way, getting injured talents like WR Marlon Moore, TD Bear Pascoe, DT Jon Monga healthy again. With no distraction the Bulldogs will treat this one seriously as they focus on improving their bowl picture, which means that they mentally will not wear down late, and physically they can keep piling up the points – three of the top seven rushers in the W.A.C. operate out of this offensive backfield, a rather remarkable count. They are off of back-to-back games in which they have topped 300 yards rushing, and with only Wisconsin holding them under 5.0 yards per attempt in a game this season, they can completely wear out a defense that does not like getting hit head on.

There is also little home field advantage in Logan, where the crowds wane as each disappointing season wears on. In the Brent Guy era they have been a home underdog over the past five games of the season six times, going just 1-5 ATS. That negative count grows by one more in this one.

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:14 AM
ROCKBOXSPORTS.

3 STARS: FLORIDA -24.5 Gators are feeling good coming off the big win over LSU followed with a bye last week. We respect Kentucky, but this is a bad situation for them injury-wise. After losing top WR Dicky Lyons Jr. two weeks ago they lost top rusher RB Derrick Locke last week. DT Marcus Pryor is also out and several other defensive players are banged up. Not good news heading into The Swamp. Urban Meyer is 25-3 SU all-time with more than a week to prepare and he has showed this season that he is not afraid to pile on and get the front door cover. We don't think that will even be necessary this week. This one should be over early.

3 STARS: SMU +12 The Mustangs are a young team and they have struggled this year. However, there is talent here and June Jones' coaching is starting to take hold as the team is showing signs of improvement. After losing 3 of their first 4 by 35 ppg., SMU has played very well and been in the game in recent weeks against the likes of Tulane and Central Florida and they held fourth quarter leads against Tulsa and Houston. Young QB Bo Levi Mitchell has been improving rapidly under Jones' tutelage, throwing 8 TD's in the last two games. We think they can exploit the Navy pass defense and possibly win this one outright.

2 STARS: TRAP GAME OF THE WEEK: MICHIGAN +3.5 This game has trap written all over it. Michigan has struggled mightily and Michigan State looks primed to hammer their bitter rival. Not so fast, we say. Michigan has won the last six in this series and the last eight at home. Their offense has been decent when QB Threet is healthy and that appears to be the case here. Rich Rodriguez is no slouch as a coach and we think he'll have his team primed to pull a big surprise.

2 STARS: CINCINNATI -2.5 Bearcats have been coming on the last few weeks. Now starting QB Tony Pike returns and the defense is ramping up just in time to face a UCONN team with injury problems and uncertainty at QB. UCONN is a well-coached bunch but they were one of the more fortuitous teams in the nation last year and they may be coming to earth right about now. Cincy is the more talented team and primed for a big conference win here.

2 STARS: KENT STATE +5 The Golden Flashes may be 1-6 and 0-3 in the MAC but they have played well the last two weeks against Akron and Ohio. Their offensive line is beginning to gel and they have real weapons in QB Julian Edelman, RB Eugene Jenkins, and WR Shawn Bayes. The defense is getting healthy as well. We think they are ready for a breakthrough game this week.

2 STARS: CAL -17.5 This appears to be a mismatch on every level. UCLA has no chance to run the ball and Cal's front seven should dominate. Similarly, Cal's O-line should have its way against a banged-up UCLA front seven coming off a physical battle against Stanford. Cal has the speed advantage on the outside as well. This one could get ugly.

2 STARS: MISSISSIPPI -6.5 Ole Miss coach Houston Nutt returns to Arkansas, site of his bitter departure last year, with a grudge to bear and with the much better team. The Rebels should be motivated here and, if they can avoid turnovers, they should dispose of the Razorbacks with extreme prejudice.

1 STAR: Indiana +8, Utah St. +15, Texas -12, LSU -1, Idaho +12.5, Missouri -24.5, Middle Tennessee +10

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:19 AM
SPORTS ADVISORS

(7) Oklahoma State (7-0, 6-0 ATS) at (1) Texas (7-0 SU and ATS)

The game of the day comes from Austin, where the top-ranked Longhorns play host to No. 7 Oklahoma State as Texas plays its third straight game against a Big 12 foe ranked in the Top 15.

Texas beat archrival and top-ranked Oklahoma 45-35 as a seven-point ‘dog two weeks ago in the Red River Shootout, then showed no signs of a letdown in last week’s 56-31 home rout of then-No. 11 Missouri as a four-point chalk. QB Colt McCoy, a Heisman Trophy candidate, threw for 337 yards and two TDs and also ran for two scores against Missouri last week as Texas racked up 591 total yards and held the Tigers to 348.

Versatile QB Zach Robinson (238 passing yards, 57 rushing yards, two passing TDs) led Oklahoma State to a 34-6 blowout win over Baylor a week ago, cashing as a 17-point home favorite. The Cowboys, who upset Missouri 28-23 as a 14-point underdog in their most recent road trip two weeks ago, are riding an eight-game winning streak dating back to last November (7-0 ATS).

Mack Brown’s Longhorns have owned Oklahoma State in this series, going 20-2 all-time and outscoring the Cowboys 407-218 in winning the last 10 in a row (7-3 ATS). Last season in Stillwater, Okla., Texas rallied from a 35-14 fourth-quarter deficit to score a miracle 38-35 comeback win, cashing as a 1½-point road favorite. The last time these two met in Austin, the Longhorns rolled to a 36-10 victory as an 18½-point favorite and outgained the Cowboys by 307 yards (510-203).

This matchup features two of the nation’s top four scoring offenses, as Texas is second at 48.1 points per game and the Cowboys are fourth at 46.4 ppg. Oklahoma State ranks seventh in total offense (501.4 total yards per game) and fifth in rushing offense (283.1 rushing ypg), while the Longhorns are 10th in total offense (484 ypg), including averaging 193.4 ypg on the ground.

Both offenses are driven by outstanding quarterbacks. McCoy is completing an astounding 81.2 percent of his throws for 270.6 ypg with 19 TDs and just three INTs, and he also has 371 rushing yards (5.3 yards per carry) and six TDs on the ground. Meanwhile, Robinson is connecting on 70 percent of his throws for 213 ypg, with 14 TDs and four INTs, to go with 249 rushing yards (3.4 per carry) and five additional scores.

Oklahoma State is on ATS streaks of 5-1 on the road, 4-1 in Big 12 games, 6-1 in October, 4-0 against teams with a winning record and 5-0 following a straight-up win. Meanwhile, Texas is on a slew of ATS runs, including 10-1 overall, 20-8 at home, 5-1 in conference play, 13-5 in October, 6-0 against teams with a winning record and 6-0 after a straight-up win.

The Cowboys have topped the total in 10 of their last 14 October games, but the under has been the play in their last six road contests. However, it’s been all “overs” for Texas lately, including 4-0 overall, 6-0 in Big 12 action, 25-10-1 after a straight-up win and 7-2 at home against teams with a winning road record. Finally, the over has cashed in four of the last five series clashes between these schools.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS and OVER


(3) Penn State (8-0, 6-1 ATS) at (10) Ohio State (7-1, 2-5 ATS)

The biggest game in the Big Ten this season takes place under the lights at the Horseshoe in Columbus, where Ohio State will try to knock Penn State from the ranks of the unbeaten in a battle for sole possession of first place in the league standings.

The Buckeyes went to East Lansing, Mich., last week and walloped Michigan State 45-7 as a three-point road favorite, the team’s fifth straight victory since a 35-3 loss at then-No. 1 USC. Behind freshman QB Terrelle Pryor (116 passing yards, 72 rushing yards, 2 total TDs) and RB Beanie Wells (140 rushing yards, 2 TDs), Ohio State jumped out to a 28-0 halftime lead and ended up with a 332-240 edge in total offense, including outrushing the Spartans 216-52.

Penn State played two totally different games against Michigan last week, coming out sluggish in the first half as it fell behind 17-7, only to outscore the Wolverines 39-0 the rest of the way en route to a 46-17 home victory. The Lions’ final score came on an 80-yard screen pass from backup QB Stephon Green to Pat Devlin, which allowed Penn State to miraculously cover a 24-point spread.

While the Buckeyes are riding a five-game winning streak, the Nittany Lions have won nine in a row (7-1 ATS in lined contests) dating to last year’s 24-17 Alamo Bowl victory over Texas A&M. However, Penn State hasn’t defeated a ranked opponent on the road since 2002.

Ohio State is on a 5-1 roll (4-2 ATS) in this rivalry, including last year’s 37-17 shellacking of the Lions in Happy Valley as a three-point road chalk. The Buckeyes have covered nine of the last 13 head-to-head battles and have never lost to Penn State in Columbus since the Lions joined the Big Ten in 1993 (7-0 SU and ATS). Finally, the host is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 series clashes, and the favorite has covered in seven of those contests.

Penn State, which outgained Michigan 482-291 last week, has now scored at least 45 points in six of its eight contests this season, and Joe Paterno’s squad ranks seventh nationally in scoring offense (45.4 ppg), 11th in total offense (482 ypg) and 10th in rushing offense (234.6 ypg). On the other side of the ball, the Nittany Lions are sixth in scoring defense (11.8 ppg allowed), eighth in total defense (263.3 ypg allowed) and 11th in passing defense (159.4 ypg allowed).

Ohio State, which had a season high in points last week, is averaging 27 points and 322 total yards per contest (182 rushing ypg), while surrendering 13.4 points and 265.4 total yards per outing (97.1 rushing ypg). In five home victories, those defensive numbers drop to 9.6 ppg, 241.8 total ypg and 76.4 rushing ypg.

Ohio State has followed up an 0-5 ATS slide by cashing in two of its last three games. However, the Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS at home this season (all as a favorite), and going back to last season they’ve failed to cover in five straight at the Horseshoe. On the bright side, they’re on a 19-7 ATS roll in Big Ten play (2-2 this year) and they’re 8-2 ATS in their last 10 October outings.

In addition to their overall 7-1 ATS run, the Nittany Lions feature positive pointspread trends of 5-0-1 on the road and 11-4-1 in October, but they’re just 3-5 ATS in their last eight conference affairs (3-1 ATS this year).

The under is 3-1 in the last four clashes overall in this rivalry and 4-1 in the last five meetings at the Horseshoe, and the under is also 5-2 in the Buckeyes’ last seven games overall and 8-3 in their last 11 October outings. However, for Penn State, the over is on streaks of 5-2 overall, 4-1 in Big Ten action and 4-1 in October.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO STATE


Wake Forest (4-2, 3-3 ATS) at Miami, Fla. (4-3, 2-4 ATS)

Wake Forest travels to South Beach for a date with the Hurricanes in an ACC showdown between two teams in desperate need of a victory.

The Demon Deacons are one of four teams tied atop the ACC’s Atlantic Division, despite only scoring one touchdown in three league games and averaging a league-low eight points per contest in conference play. Wake Forest was blanked at Maryland on Saturday 26-0, falling as a one-point ‘dog. Despite that result, the Deacons’ defense is still allowing just 12 points a game in conference action.

Miami has won two straight, including a 49-31 shootout victory at Duke last Saturday, cashing as a three-point road chalk. That snapped an 0-3 ATS drought for the Hurricanes, who have yet to cash in front of the home crowd this season. The Miami offense averages only 308 yards per game, and they use a tag-team at QB with Robert Marve (677 yards, 7 TDs, 9 INTs) and Jacory Harris (497 yards, 5 TDs, 3 three INTs).

These two haven’t met since 2005, when Miami went to Wake Forest and delivered a 47-17 whipping as a 16-point road chalk. In the Demon Deacons’ last trip to South Beach, they got whacked 52-7 as 18½-point road underdogs.

Wake Forest remains on ATS runs of 10-4 overall, 5-2 on the road, 19-7 in October, 6-2 in ACC play, 15-5 against teams with a winning record and 9-0 following a non-cover. Conversely, Miami has been a disaster at the betting window, posting negative ATS trends of 10-22-1 overall, 12-31-1 at home, 5-15-1 in ACC play, 6-22 following an ATS win and 1-11 at home against a team with a winning road record.

For the Demon Deacons, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall, 5-2 in ACC games and 4-1 against teams with a winning record. The under is also 25-9 in Miami’s last 34 home games, but otherwise, the Hurricanes are on over streaks of 4-1 overall, 5-1 in conference action and 8-2 against teams with a winning record.

ATS ADVANTAGE: WAKE FOREST


(23) Boston College (5-1, 3-2 ATS) at North Carolina (5-2, 3-3 ATS)

Boston College guns for its fifth straight win – and third straight in ACC play – when it heads to Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, N.C., to take on the Tar Heels.

The Eagles scored a 28-23 victory over then-No. 17 Virginia Tech a week ago, cashing as a three-point home favorite. The victory avenged Boston College’s loss to the Hokies in last year’s ACC Championship game as it rallied from a 10-0 deficit and overcame two INT returns for touchdowns to get the win. The Eagles’ defense, which ranks fourth in the country in surrendering just 251 yards per contest, helped secure the victory, allowing Virginia Tech just 240 total yards (90 passing yards).

North Carolina had a three-game winning streak snapped in last week’s mistake-filled 16-13 overtime loss at Virginia as a 3½-point chalk. Junior QB Cameron Sexton threw two INTs, and the defense gave up a tying touchdown in the final minute after holding the Cavaliers without a TD the first 59 minutes. Tar Heels RB Shaun Draughn ran for a career-high 138 yards as North Carolina outrushed Virginia by 108 yards (166-58).

These teams haven’t met since 2005, when North Carolina won 16-14 as a four-point home ‘dog. The previous year, they met in the Continental Tire Bowl, and Boston College rolled 37-24 as a 2½-point pup.

The Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last eight October contests, but otherwise they are on ATS slides of 1-4 in ACC action and 0-5 after a spread-cover. The Tar Heels are on pointspread streaks of 9-4 against teams with a winning record, 4-0 at home against teams with a winning road record and 4-1 after a non-cover.

Boston College is on under runs of 7-2 on the road, 7-3 following an ATS win and 4-1 against teams with a winning record. For the Tar Heels, the over is 4-1 in their last five against a team with a winning record, 9-4 following a non-cover and 7-3-1 following a SU defeat. Most recently, the over is 3-0 in the Eagles’ last three overall and 3-1 in UNC’s last four.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(2) Alabama (7-0, 4-3 ATS) at Tennessee (3-4, 4-3 ATS)

The Crimson Tide try to keep their perfect season intact when they visit Neyland Stadium for an SEC clash against Tennessee.

Alabama is the only undefeated team left in the SEC after holding on for a 24-20 home win over Mississippi last week, failing to cover the 12½-point line. The Crimson Tide led 24-3 at the half but had to hang on in the fourth quarter, stopping Ole Miss on a fourth down near midfield late in the game to wrap up the win. QB John Parker Wilson, who threw for 219 yards and two TDs against the Rebels, had a career-high 363 passing yards and three TDs a year ago against the Vols, running his total to 521 yards in two matchups with Tennessee.

The Volunteers are coming off a 34-3 blowout win over Mississippi State in Knoxville, easily cashing as a 9½-point favorite. Tennessee rushed for 139 yards and passed for 136 against the Bulldogs, and got a pair of fourth-quarter defensive TDs to seal the win, including a 72-yard interception return from sophomore Eric Berry, who has 10 career picks and is the SEC’s all-time leader in interception return yards with 397.

Alabama leads the all-time series with Tennessee 45-38-7, and they trounced the Vols 41-17 a season ago as one-point home ‘dogs. The host has won the last four in this rivalry, but the Tide are 3-0-1 ATS in those four and 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Knoxville. Finally, the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the straight-up winner is 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 clashes.

Alabama is on ATS slides of 8-20 against teams with a losing record, 3-8 in SEC play, 3-9 following a non-cover and 1-4 in October, but the Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 on the highway. Tennessee is on ATS streaks of 6-1-1 against teams with a winning record, 4-1-1 in SEC action, 4-1 as a home underdog and 6-2 in October kickoffs.

The under is 11-4 in Alabama’s last 15 October games and 15-6 in its last 21 against teams with a losing record. The Vols are on a plethora of under runs, including 12-2 overall, 35-16-3 at home, 5-0 in SEC action, 4-0 in October, 35-16-2 following a spread-cover and 5-0 against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the under is 3-1 in this rivalry dating to 2004.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(9) Georgia (6-1, 2-3-1 ATS) at (11) LSU (5-1, 2-3 ATS)

After splitting a pair of tough SEC road games, LSU finally returns home to Baton Rouge for another difficult conference test against the ninth-ranked Bulldogs.

A week after getting throttled 51-31 at Florida, the Tigers went to South Carolina last Saturday and rallied for a 24-17 victory over the Gamecocks as a 2½-point road favorite. LSU’s defense forced three turnovers, and the Tigers outrushed South Carolina 164-39 in the victory.

Georgia has rebounded from its first defeat of the season – a 41-30 home setback to Alabama on Sept. 27 – with a pair of double-digit home wins over Tennessee (26-14) and Vanderbilt (24-14). However, the Bulldogs failed to cash in both contests, despite finishing with a 249-yard edge in total offense against Tennessee and a 180-yard advantage versus Vandy. Georgia has followed up a 6-0-1 ATS run with three straight non-covers.

These schools last met in the 2005 SEC Championship Game, when the Bulldogs skewered LSU 34-14 as a two-point underdog. The host is 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings, and the winner has covered in nine of the last 10, including the last four in a row.

The Dawgs are on ATS streaks of 5-2-1 on the road, 7-2 as an underdog, 5-0 as a road pup and 6-2 against winning teams, but they’ve now failed to cover in nine of their last 11 October affairs. Meanwhile, despite last week’s win and cover at South Carolina, LSU is still mired in pointspread funks of 5-10-1 overall, 2-6-1 at home, 3-8-1 in SEC action and 1-4 in October.

The last three meetings between these teams have climbed over the total, and the over is also on runs for LSU of 11-3 overall, 6-2 at home, 9-2 in SEC action and 4-1 in October. On the other hand, Georgia has stayed under the total in four of its last five overall, four of its last five SEC games, five of its last six in October and 10 of its last 14 on the highway.

ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGIA

Virginia Tech (5-2, 2-4 ATS) at (24) Florida State (5-1, 2-2 ATS)
Virginia Tech hits the road for an ACC battle for the second straight week when it travels to Tallahassee, Fla., to take on the surging Seminoles.
The Hokies jumped out to a 10-0 lead and returned two interceptions for touchdowns last week at Boston College, but it wasn’t good enough as they fell 28-23 as a three-point road underdog. The loss snapped Virginia Tech’s five-game overall and seven-game ACC road winning streaks, and Frank Beamer’s team, which got outgained 300-240 at B.C., is now in a 2-5 ATS slump going back to last year’s Orange Bowl loss to Kansas.
Florida State ran its winning streak to three in a row with last Thursday’s come-from-behind 26-17 victory at North Carolina State, though it failed to cover as a 10½-point chalk. Sophomore QB Christian Ponder was outstanding (23-for-35 for 254 yards, one TD, no INTs) in helping the Seminoles pile up 392 total yards. Bobby Bowden’s offense has put up an average of 35.3 points per game in its last three contests since a 12-3 home loss to Wake Forest.
The Hokies outscored Florida State 20-0 in the fourth quarter last year en route to a 40-21 victory as a seven-point home favorite, the school’s first win in 16 tries against Florida State. Virginia Tech, which had a 396-267 advantage in total offense in last year’s victory, also snapped an 0-3 ATS slide against the ‘Noles.
Despite its current pointspread woes, Va-Tech still enters this contest on positive ATS streaks of 19-7 on the highway, 24-8 in ACC play, 17-4 as an underdog, 12-3 as a road pup since 2001, 6-2 following a SU defeat and 11-5 in October. Meanwhile, Florida State is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 as a home favorite, 1-4 ATS in its last five after a victory, 2-6 ATS in its last eight in October and 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight versus winning teams.
The over is 8-3 in the Hokies’ last 11 road games, 9-3 in FSU’s last 12 in October and 3-1 in the last four series meetings. However, five of the Seminoles’ last seven contests in Tallahassee have stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VIRGINIA TECH and OVER

(14) South Florida (6-1, 2-4 ATS) at Louisville (4-2, 3-2 ATS)
Louisville tries for its first three-game winning streak since 2006 when it welcomes No. 14 South Florida to Papa Johns Cardinal Stadium for a Big East tussle.
The Cardinals resume Big East play after a couple of non-conference wins and covers over Memphis (35-28 as a 5½-point road favorite) and Middle Tennessee (42-33 as a 14½-point home chalk). In last week’s victory over Middle Tennessee, Louisville rallied from a 17-14 halftime deficit to score 28 unanswered points before giving up a meaningless touchdown with 36 seconds remaining in the game. The Cardinals finished with 391 yards (247 rushing) and gave up 306 (105 on the ground).
South Florida bounced back from its first setback of the season – a stunning 26-21 home loss to Pitt – by throttling Syracuse 45-13 last week as a 23½-point home chalk. QB Matt Grothe went 16-for-26 for 248 yards, with three TDs and no picks, and he also ran for a TD as the Bulls racked up advantages of 487-230 in total yards, 239-101 in rushing yards and 26-11 in first downs.
The Cardinals will have payback in mind today as they look to avenge last year’s ugly 55-17 loss at South Florida as a nine-point road underdog. In that one, South Florida led 41-10 at the half and tallied 481 total yards (230 on the ground) while forcing an astonishing seven turnovers. The home team has won and covered all five meetings in this rivalry over the past five years, the last four decided by 25 points or more.
South Florida is stuck in pointspread ruts of 2-5 overall, 3-6 as a road favorite, 2-5 in October, 1-5 after a SU victory and 0-7 against winning teams, but the Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last five Big East contests. Louisville is 20-9 ATS in its last 29 at home and 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog, but 4-9 ATS in its last 13 on grass.
The over is on runs of 6-2 for Louisville overall, 16-7 for Louisville in October contests, 8-2-1 for South Florida overall, 6-2-1 for South Florida on the highway, 4-1-1 for South Florida in league contests and 7-3 for South Florida in October.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

(8) Texas Tech (7-0, 2-3 ATS) at (19) Kansas (5-2, 4-2 ATS)
Kansas attempts to bounce back from a humbling loss at Oklahoma when it entertains unbeaten Texas Tech at Memorial Stadium in a Big 12 battle.
The Jayhawks kept things close for a half at Norman, Okla., last week, but eventually succumbed to the Sooners 45-31. Kansas did get a touchdown with 58 seconds to play to sneak in the backdoor and cover as a 19½-point road underdog. Although they racked up 491 yards of total offense, the Jayhawks surrendered a whopping 674 total yards (206 rushing) as their three-game winning steak came to a halt.
One week after surviving a scare at home against Nebraska (37-31 overtime win), the Red Raiders went to Texas A&M and struggled for a half before rallying for a comfortable 43-25 victory, outscoring the Aggies 25-2 in the second half. However, Texas Tech came up short as a 21-point road favorite, the team’s second straight non-cover. The Red Raiders, who have won nine straight games, finished with 561 total yards, but committed three turnovers.
These teams last met in 2005 at Texas Tech, and the Red Raiders prevailed 30-17 but failed to cash as an 18½-point chalk. Kansas has covered the last three meetings, but Texas Tech has won five of the last six SU going back to 1996. Finally, the underdog has been the play in each of the last four battles.
Texas Tech is just 1-5 ATS in its last six as a road underdog, while Kansas is on pointspread runs of 21-6 overall, 21-8 at home, 10-1 as a home chalk, 23-9 on artificial turf, 13-3 in conference play and 8-1 in October. In fact, the Jayhawks have won 13 consecutive home games (10-1 ATS in lined contests), but none of those were against ranked foes.
For the Red Raiders, the under is on runs of 9-4 overall, 7-3 in Big 12 action and 6-1 on turf. The under is also 5-0 in Kansas’ last five home games and 4-0 in its last four on turf. Finally, the last two meetings between these schools stayed low.
ATS ADVANTAGE: KANSAS and UNDER

Colorado (4-3, 2-4 ATS) at (16) Missouri (5-2, 3-3 ATS)
Missouri will try to get back in the win column for the first time in three weeks when it hosts Colorado in a Big 12 North clash at Faurot Field in Columbia.
The Tigers’ dreams of a national championship season have gone up in flames the last two weeks with losses to Oklahoma State (28-23 as a 14-point home favorite) and top-ranked Texas (56-31 as a four-point road underdog). In last week’s ugly outing in Austin, Missouri fell behind 35-3 at halftime and ended up getting outgained 591-343, including 203-30 on the ground.
Colorado snapped a three-game slide with its first Big 12 victory of the season, a 14-13 win over Kansas State, though the Buffaloes came up short as a 3½-point home favorite, falling to 0-4 ATS over the past month. Colorado has scored exactly 14 points in three straight games, but after giving up an average of 35.7 points in its previous three contests, it yielded a season-low 13 points to the high-scoring Wildcats.
Missouri went to Boulder last year and thumped the Buffaloes 55-10, piling up 598 total yards (and allowing 196) as a 3½-point road favorite. The Tigers have won and covered the last two meetings after Colorado started the decade on a 5-0-1 ATS roll against Mizzou.
Colorado is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 road games since 2005 (0-3 ATS this year), and the Buffs are on further ATS nosedives of 1-5 in Big 12 play, 1-6 in October, 7-19 against winning teams and 3-7 when playing on grass. Conversely, despite what’s happened the last two weeks, the Tigers are still 15-6 ATS in their last 21 overall, 13-6 ATS in their last 19 at home, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 as a favorite and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 following a SU defeat.
The over is 5-2 in the last seven series meetings, with the last three in a row topping the posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSOURI and OVER

(6) USC (5-1, 4-1 ATS) at Arizona (5-2 SU and ATS)
Coming off their second straight shutout – and one of the most lopsided victories in school history – USC takes to the road for the second consecutive week when it invades Arizona Stadium for a meeting with the upset-minded Wildcats.
After blanking Arizona State 28-0 on Oct. 11, the Trojans went to Washington State last week and humiliated the Cougars 69-0, easily covering despite being a ridiculous 43-point favorite. QB Mark Sanchez set a school record with five first-half touchdowns passes as USC took a 41-0 halftime lead, and the Trojans finished with 625 total yards while allowing 116. It was the Trojans’ biggest shutout win since a 69-0 rout of Montana in 1931.
USC is working on a 10-quarter scoreless string, having outscored opponents 131-0 during this stretch. The Trojans are allowing an average of 7.8 points, 220.2 total yards and 136.5 passing yards per game, figures that rank first, second and first, respectively, in the nation.
Arizona bounced back from a heartbreaking one-point loss at Stanford with last Saturday’s mild 42-27 upset win over Cal as a 2½-point home underdog. The Wildcats outscored the 25th-ranked Bears 28-3 in the second half to improve to 4-0 SU and ATS at home, where they are averaging a whopping 50.2 points and 456.5 total yards per game and giving up 14.2 points and 256.2 yards per contest.
USC is in the midst of a six-game winning streak against the Wildcats dating to 2001, but Arizona has covered the last three in a row, all as a three-touchdown underdog or more. Last year, the Wildcats went to L.A. and took a 13-10 lead into the fourth quarter before falling 20-13 as a 21-point pup. The visitor has cashed in five of the last seven meetings.
The Trojans are riding pointspread runs of 8-3 overall, 4-1 on the highway, 6-1 against winning teams and 4-1 on grass. They’re also 27-12 ATS in their past 39 games after scoring more than 40 points the previous week, but they’re still 4-11 ATS in their last 15 October outings. Meanwhile, Arizona is on ATS streaks of 9-2 overall, 6-0 at home, 7-1 in Pac-10 play, 8-2 on grass and 5-0 versus winning teams. However, they’re 2-7 ATS in their last nine when coming off a 40-plus-point offensive outburst.
The under is on streaks of 20-8 for USC overall, 20-6 for USC in conference, 18-5 for USC on grass, 6-1 for USC in October, 15-7 for Arizona on grass and 12-5-1 for Arizona in October. Finally, the last two head-to-head battles between these schools have stayed low, which comes on the heels of a 4-1 “over” stretch in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: USC and UNDER

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:20 AM
MATT RIVERS:

HIGHEST RATED 300,000* OF THE SEASON Plus Bonus Locks
Your winners here are on:



1. 300,000♦ Kansas

2. 75,000♦ South Florida

3. 75,000♦ Colorado

4. 75,000♦ Tennessee

5. 50,000♦ Arizona





1. Texas Tech certainly has that great offense with Graham Harrell and an unreal wide receiver in Michael Crabtree but this team is half a fraud and not close to being the sixth or so best team in the country. To ask them to win this game on the road is beyond silly and that is fully knowing how KU just struggled mightily against the pass of Sam Bradford and Oklahoma.Kansas is not going to win the National Championship and without Aqib Talib this season may not even be as stout as last year's squad but these guys are no joke as the fat cookie eating Mark Mangino has his KU boys playing at a very high level once again.
Todd Reesing is just so solid and a guy that you can totally depend on. He may not be able to fling it 80 yards or gun it in there like a John Elway but the guy does not make many mistakes and runs the show in great fashion. Throw in Jake Sharp and Dezmon Briscoe and a monster advantage of being at home and for the Rock Chalk Jayhawk to only have to win the game in order to grab the cash is a joke!
Tech is what it is, nothing is really any better this season than in years' past. Mike Leach' offense can put up points but overall the team is not the same on the road as in Lubbock and the defense is extremely sketchy as always and will come up short against a semi beast on the highway. They have still played nobody. At home they needed overtime to get past Nebraska and were just losing at the half against a terrible A&M squad. The signs are there, it's just a matter of us capitalizing on this blowout today as that is what will happen Tech is 7-0 right now and ranked very highly. You will look back in a month when they are 7-4 and unranked and see how easy this really was!





2. Laying points on the road is never the greatest way to go and South Florida at times can lay an egg but this Louisville team is just awful. Steve Kragthorpe has destroyed this program as the Cardinals are just not good at all. Last season with Brohm and Douglas and Urrutia we saw a talented talented squad that underachieved to the max under the new coach. This season though the cupboard is a lot more bare and even at Papa John should get completely outclassed.
I watched the 'Ville a bunch of times and they are terrible. At home against Kentucky they were embarassed getting shut out if not for a safety and UL looked horrific in that luckier than lucky win at Memphis a few weeks ago as they scored three special teams/defensive touchdowns in order to win while being badly outplayed by a Tiger team that is mediocre at the very very best and had its backup Quarterback playing.George Selvie is unreal and will get in Hunter Cantwell's grill throughout. On the other side of the ball Grothe, Ford and the Bulls will have their way and in the end this thing has 31-14 SF written all over it!





3. Missouri's offense is unreal and Colorado's has been struggling mightily which is certainly scary but the Tigers just lost back-to-back games and were destroyed by Colt McCoy and Texas in Austin so asking them to now win a game going away is too much.Sure Chase Daniel, Jeremy Macklin, Chase Kauffman and the home boys will flex their collective muscles a bit and put up some points but after losing at home to Okie State and looking as putrid as they did last weak this number is just way too much. You know that Gary Pinkel's team is not nearly as confident as they were before this skid and with the number climbing from around three touchdowns to close to four touchdowns it is just a total no-brainer.Cody Hawkins and the Buffalos offensive is certainly challenged a bit and have been relatively awful but this is still a rivalry and a game that I can see them be competitive in with the situation at hand. For gosh sakes this is still a Colorado program that has some athletes and pride. They were able to beat Pat White and West Virginia earlier in the season and have enough of an upside to stay in this gargantuan number.I can totally see 34-21 and a beyond easy cover as the Tigers are just looking for a win now. To ask them to pull away more than likely is not in the cards!





4. Forget about what Alabama did in Georgia in that game about a month ago. That is just one of those things that every once in a blue moon will happen when all of the stars align in a crazy way.Sure the Tide is a talented team that can run the ball with Glen Coffee and John Parker Wilson is a solid Quarterback. They also boast a quality defense as well but on the road like this at night in Knoxville and laying a handsome number!??!!?!? Come on!??!!?
Tennessee is having a rough season I understand that and the offense is not very good I understand that as well but this is still Phil Fulmer's Vols at home, at night, plus almost a touchdown!?!?!? UT was able to be competitive and cover in Athens a few weeks back and did just get some things going in the burial and easy cover over Mississippi State. With Arian Foster the men in orange can still be scary on the ground. Obviously Jonathan Crompton was not very good and it cost him his job but the way UT has been showing some improvement and the way the BCS goes this is the perfect spot for yet another top team to fall from the ranks of the undefeated.Winning on the road in the SEC is very very tough, forget about how the Tide rolled in Athens as that was a complete aberation. Alabama is overvalued here and many more times than not will not cover this game.





5. I'll roll with Arizona for sure here as the Wildcats have been unreal at home this season and tonight is their biggest game of all as they welcome in big bad USC.
I still do not trust Pete Carroll's offense. No doubt the Trojans' defense is hard hitting and bad to the bone with Malaluga and others flying around the field but with Joe McKnight banged up I can totally see Mark Sanchez and company look mediocre unlike last week's 69 point performance against possibly thee single most pathetic team in the nation in Washington State. Paul Wulf by the way should fall off a cliff as the Cougars are the most disgusting thing I have ever seen!
Willie Tuitama and Arizona's offense is no joke. They were down 10 last week at home to Cal and came out of the lockeroom on-fire in a blowout win over a competent Golden Bears squad. Also look back to last season when Mike Stoopes had his squad ready against a top team in the nation in Oregon. Yes the Ducks lost Dennis Dixon in that game which hurt but Arizona was still ready to play that day in the easy win.



I will not at all be shocked to see the Trojans play like they did in Oregon State and for this game to be competitive until the end. The Wildcats are phenomenal at home, unlike on the road where they lost in Stanford and New Mexico. This team is going to be as jacked as can be and ready to go here against a USC team that still has a huge target on their chests.
Do not be shocked by a shocker here as the upside of the 'Cats is certainly there!
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:21 AM
Bob Majors

Mississippi-6.5 vs Arkansas

The Mississippi Rebel (3-4; 1-2) travel to the Arkansas Razorback (3-4; 2-2) in a Saturday evening game.The Rebels have RB Dexter McCluster who has been erradick and plagued by turnovers. He has great abilities to move the offense and has to show on the field Saturday. The Rebels defensive front has been great against the run and has to make the Razorback abandon the running game to help them win this game. The Razorbacks have to maintain an offensive balance and has to be effective throwing the ball. RB Michael Smith had a standout game against Kentucky last week rushing for 192 yars and two touchdowns. The defensive has been lackluster as they allowed Kentucky to come back from a 20-7 deficit and beat the Razorbacks 21-20.The Rebels are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on grass; 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games; and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.The Razorbacks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

I like the Rebels to win by a good margin as we suggest giving the points and taking the Rebels on the road.


Hawaii +3.5 vs Nevada

The Nevada Wofpack (4-3; 2-1) travel to the islands to visit the Hawaii Rainbows (3-4; 2-1) in a WAC conference game. The Rainbows are double tough at Aloha Stadium and will pose a problem to the Wolfpack.The high scoring Wolfpack have scored at least 45 points for the fourth straight game with a 44-17 defeat of Utah State last week. QB Colin Kaepernick threw for a touchdown and ran for two more as they stomped the Aggies at home. He was 1020 for 197 yards with one interception. The Warriors lost to Boise State on the road by a 27-7 score. QB Inoke Funaki was 17-34 for 188 yards and 5 interceptions.The Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The Warries are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

We like the Warriors getting the points at home.


Georgia Tech -14.5 vs Virginia

Two ACC teams that are playing well meet in a Saturday Afternoon Tilt. The Virgina Cavaliers (4-3; 3-1) meet the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-1; 3-1) in an ACC dog fight.After a stumbling start, Virginia has become a factor in the ACC race by winning three straight includinga 16-13 overtime win over North Carolina last Saturday.Georgia Tech beat Clemson 21-17 last week to jump into the top 25 and are on top of the ACC. Their defense ranks in the top 10 in the country in eight separate categories and rank fifth in the nation in scoring defense at 11.6 ppg.The Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games while the Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games overall.

We like the the Yellow Jackets at home to explode and win convincingly. Give the points and take the Jackets at home.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:21 AM
Bob Balfe

Phillies -105 over Rays
Moyer/Garza


KENTUCKY +26
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:22 AM
Jimmy Boyd

5* Big Ten GOTY on Michigan State -4
This opportunity is a long time coming for Michigan State and I like the Spartans to derail the Wolverines this week. To make matters worse for Michigan, the Spartans will be ready to take out last week's frustrating loss to Ohio State all over the Wolverines. Plays on a road team (MICHIGAN ST) off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 27-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. MSU is also 6-0 ATS in road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. Michigan is just 1-6 ATS on the season as it has been consistently overvalued despite the fact that the Wolverines are not a good team this year. Take State.


5* NCAAF Vegas Line Mistake of the Year on Oregon -4
I agree with the books that the Ducks will win this game, but I have them burying ASU by two touchdowns. ASU has really fallen apart since its terrible loss to UNLV, losing 4 in a row SU and ATS. Oregon beat ASU by 12 points last season when the Sun Devils were good and they'll likely best that margin here. ASU is 0-6 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. With or without Rudy Carpenter, and it looks like it will be without, the Sun Devils get dominated here.


4* Major Late Night Annihilator on Nevada -3
Nevada is 20-9 ATS as a favorite under coach Ault, winning these games by an average of 16.3 ppg. When the odds makers have chalked one up for the Wolf Pack, they normally cover the number as well. Nevada has covered the number in each of the past two meetings with Hawaii, losing narrowly when the Warriors had better teams. Now that the Wolf Pack have the better side, I expect them to pay the Warriors back. The Wolf Pack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The Warriors are 9-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Lay the points.


3* SMASH on Nebraska -10.5
The Huskers will embarrass Baylor this week. Outside of a big loss to Mizzou, the Huskers have played solid football this season. Nebraska is averaging 33.4 ppg at home while Baylor is only scoring 17 ppg on the road. Baylor is 1-8 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=6.25 yards/play over the last 3 seasons, 6-16 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons, and 5-14 ATS against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Nebraska is also 24-9 ATS off a double digit road win since 1992, winning in these spots by an average score of 41.6 to 13.5. Lay the number.


3* SMASH on Minnesota +1
Purdue has played with no heart this season and they have now lost 4 straight. Minnesota is red hot and off a bye week and I think that gives the Gophers another "W" here. Minnesota is 6-1 on the season and has covered the spread in 5 straight lined games. The Golden Gophers are 11-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota has made a dramatic turnaround from last season and with a week to let the big Illinois upset simmer down and to prepare for Purdue, I like the Gophers to get it done.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:23 AM
Ethan Law

TENNESSEE +6
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:23 AM
JB Sports

VIRGINIA +14
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:24 AM
Mike Rose (please don't ask for the rating, don't know)

OHIO STATE +3
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:25 AM
Pacific Star

Colorado St. / San Diego St. Under 53.5
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:26 AM
LT Profits

GEORGIA +1.5
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cris_19
10-25-2008, 08:27 AM
BSS what we play today? Which capper plays we need to win some money?

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:27 AM
Matty O'Shea

Triple - Dime Bet
Pittsburgh / Rutgers Under 43.5
Bet the UNDER to cash for them again as my Triple Dime Big East Total Play O' the Year


Wake Forest +3 vs Miami
Double - Dime Bet
Bet Wake Forest as my Double Dime NCAA Underdog Play O' the Week.


BYU -23 vs UNLV
That's why I'm backing BYU as my Single Dime NCAA Big Chalk Play O' the Day.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:28 AM
Jorge Gonzalez

Big 12 Game of the Year! (Best Bet)

Texas Tech at Kansas
Play: Kansas 5 units

The Kansas Jayhawks will be looking to knock Texas Tech from the unbeaten ranks. The Red Raiders will to stay focused on the game at hand, but that will hard to do with a game against Texas coming up next week. Kansas has been very tough at home this season winning all four games by an average of almost 29 points per game. The Jayhawks have covered their last three games against the Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS after amassing more than 450 yards in the previous game. The Jayhawks are 5-0 ATS against teams with a winning record. They have also covered the spread in four straight games after giving 40 points in their previous game. The Jayhawks have won their 14 games at home. Take the Jayhawks on their home field to win and cover the number


WAC Conference Game of the Year!

Nevada at Hawaii
Play: Nevada -3 5 units

The Nevada Wolfpack offense will be too much to handle for the Hawaii Rainbows. Nevada is running the ball for 304 yards per game while passing the ball for 214 yards per game. Over the last three games, Hawaii has struggled to stop the run giving up 209 yards per game. Nevada will have revenge on their minds after Hawaii beat them 28-26 in Reno. Hawaii is not the same teams with June Jones no longer the head coach and will not be able to keep up with the Wolfpack.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:32 AM
BIG AL

4* Ohio State

3* San Jose St

3* Missouri

3* Wake Forest

3* Bowling Green

3* Tennessee

1* Arizona

1* Georgia Tech

1* Louisville

1* BYU

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:42 AM
Big tom cavinder

underdog parlay of the year
indiana/ohio state
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:42 AM
gus marone

college football game of the year
washington huskies
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:43 AM
Highprofitsports
Nathan Armstrong

5* Total Of The Mont Tex/osu Under
3* South Florida
3* Michigan State
3* Penn State
3* Usc
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odds on sports
10-25-2008, 08:52 AM
Ethan Law

TENNESSEE +6
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CPAW do you have Law's full card?

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:57 AM
MR A

Saturday, October 25, 2008 3:30 p.m. est.
Virginia (4-3) Georgia Tech (6-1)
Under - 41
Virginia Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings against the Yellow Jackets in Atlanta. Go with the better team at home. The Home team has won and covered the spread in nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. Georgia Tech's defense is rank fifth in the country in points allowed, 11.6 per game.


Saturday, October 25, 2008 6:00 p.m. est.
Texas Christian Horned Frogs -30½
The Cowboys will be in a bad predicament facing the Horned Frogs' defense, ranked No. 1 in the nation, allowing an average 218.5 yards per game. Expect a blowout in Fort Worth

Saturday, October 25, 2008 9:00 p.m. est.
UCLA Bruins +17½
California Golden Bears are 3-0 at home this season and the home team has won the last four meetings, but the UCLA Bruins have covered the spread in the last four meetings. Look for the injury riddle Bruins to make this a fight in Berkeley. The dog is 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in this series.



Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
(R) Matt Garza (0-0) vs. (L) Jamie Moyer (0-0)
The Phillies are 4-1 in Moyer’s last five home starts and 8-4 with a 2.85 ERA in 15 career starts against the Rays, but the veteran is 2-5 in his last seven interleague games and allowed eight runs in two starts of the Phillies only two defeats in the playoffs. Contrary, Matt Garza was outstanding. The right-hander posted a 1.38 ERA in two ALCS starts, but the Rays are 1-4 in Garza last 5 road starts. Take Philadelphia at Citizens Bank Park in a low scoring contest, rain is in the forecast.

Philadelphia Phillies +105
Under -9½

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:58 AM
GINA

Saturday, October 25rd, 2008 8:35 p.m. est.
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
(R) Matt Garza (0-0) vs. (L) Jamie Moyer (0-0)

The Phillies will start 45-year-old left-hander Jamie Moyer in Game Three against Rays Philadelphia is 0-2 in Moyer two starts this postseason. Tampa Bay counters with 24-year-old Matt Garza. The right-hander posted a 1.38 ERA in two ALCS starts to help defeat the defending World Series champs.

Go with the Rays with Matt Garza on the hill. Veteran slinger Jamie Moyer appears to be wearing out.
Tampa Bay Rays -115

EagleFan
10-25-2008, 08:58 AM
Kelso also has a smaller play on Alabama. Here is that write up.

15 Units

Alabama (-5 ½) over TENNESSEE

Prediction: Alabama by 14-17

Starting Time: 7:45

TV: ESPN

Weather in Knoxville: Partly cloudy, temperature of 55, relative humidity of 55 and wind out of the WNW at 7 miles per hour.

Comments: This is for Alabama a grudge-game without end. It is the firm belief of the Crimson Tide athletic department and the citizens of Alabama that Tennessee coach Phil Fulmer was the person who turned the school into the NCAA for alleged rules violations. As one who scouted in the SEC for several years, I can assure you this grudge might die in about 100 years and it will be a motivating factor for the Tide as they roll into Knoxville, as if they needed any extra inspiration. Alabama (7-0). Tennessee (3-4) has no offense and has seen its season blow up because of it. Oh, yes, Alabama is ranked second in the BCS standings and has no intention of blowing that by getting beat in this spot.

Thanks for the play, do you have this play as well?

--Saturday’s 50-Unit SEC Game Of The Year<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 08:58 AM
JOHNNY GUILD

Saturday, October 25th, 2008
Eastern Michigan Eagles (2-6) at (20) Ball State Cardinals (7-0)
Eastern Michigan Eagles' offense will have a tough task against Cardinals' defense, while Ball State explosive offense led by Quarterback Nate Davis rips apart Eastern Michigan's powerless defense. Take the Cardinals to seize their fourth consecutive victory over Eastern Michigan. The Eagles are a dreadful 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 games versus the Cardinals.



Ball State Cardinals -25.5
Florida State Seminoles -6
New Mexico State Aggies -13
Colorado Buffaloes +24.5

Can'tPickaWinner
10-25-2008, 09:00 AM
Arthur Ralph Sports

148 - 92 run SATURDAY CINCINNATI