Service Plays Monday 10/27/08 [Archive] - Sportsbetting Forums | Offshore Sportsbooks & Online Sports Picks

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:18 PM

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Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:19 PM

WILD BILL

Colts +3 1/2 (5 units)
Over 42 1/2 Colts-Titans (5 units)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:21 PM

Hondo

Titans over Colts: Viewers reportedly are turning away from the nightly news by the hundreds of thousands at all three networks compared to last year. Evidently, the public is becoming increasingly repulsed by the Anchors For Obama News Cabal.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:22 PM

NFL Week 7 Sports MarketWatch – Games to Watch (12-8 = 60.0%)

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

This is a classic "new kid in town" versus the "old gunslinger" match-up. Tennessee brings the league's only undefeated record into this game: a sparkling 6-0 record. Indy has been struggling and limps in at 3-3. The Colts have been showing signs of their championship form, but they lost again last week. The Public is leaning to the Titans, with about 60% of the bets taking Tennessee.

The line opened at Tennessee -3.5 but Public money has moved the line to the key number of Tenn -4. We like this extra value in a key divisional game. How often do you get a team like the Colts plus more than a field goal? We'll take the points on the "old gunslinger" and buy an underperforming Indy team that suffered a big loss last week versus Green Bay.

Indianapolis Colts +4

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights analysis for this week’s Games to Watch:

Games to Watch (12-8 = 60.0%)

Miami Dolphins +1.5 (SIA)
St. Louis Rams +7.5
Indianapolis Colts +4

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:23 PM

Allen Eastman

$2200.00-105 #226 Tennessee (-4) over Indianapolis (8 p.m., Monday, Oct. 27)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:25 PM

Spylock

Tennessee....1 unit

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:26 PM

Dr. Bob

TENNESSEE (-4.0) 23 Indianapolis 16
05:35 PM Pacific Time Monday, Oct-27 - Stats Matchup
I went against the Colts last week for a 3-Star Best Bet winner on Green Bay, and Indy still appears to be overrated. The Colts have been just 0.1 yards per play better than average offensively this season (5.3 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team) and they are only 0.2 yppl better than average if I take out Peyton Manning’s rusty performance in the opener against Chicago (he missed all of training camp and the pre-season and was obviously rusty). Tennessee’s defense is good against the run and good against the pass and the Titans rate at 0.8 yppl better than average defensively overall (4.3 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.1 yppl against an average team), so I don’t expect the Colts to have much success in this game. The Titans’ offense has been a bit sluggish, rating at 0.3 yppl worse than average and they are at a slight disadvantage against a Colts’ stop unit that is just average defensively (5.2 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.2 yppl against an average team). Tennessee is clearly the better team and my math model favors the Titans by 8 points in this game. There are very strong situations favoring both sides in this game, so I’ll stick with the math and lean with the Titans minus the points.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:27 PM

Chris Rizzo

BEST BET PLAY 2-0 YTD

INDY 4

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:28 PM

SUNSHINE FORECAST

Monday, October 27, 2008

Indianapolis Colts (+3½) at Tennessee Titans

Power Rating Projection:

Tennessee Titans 21 Indianapolis Colts 19
Statistical Projections

Too early for statistical projections
SUNSHINE FORECAST Official Prediction:

Tennessee Titans 19 Indianapolis Colts 17

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:30 PM

GOLD SHEET

NFL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 27

*Indianapolis 24 - TENNESSEE 23—Indy is clearly not the team of recent
years. Peyton Manning has only 8 TDP vs. 7 ints. The OL has been banged up, Joseph Addai is expected to miss another game, and Marvin Harrison doesn’t seem to be his old self. The DL is undersized, and 2007 defensive player of the year Bob Sanders is out. In LY’s 16-10 Titan victory in Game 16, Tennessee needed to win, while the Colts did not, with Manning completing 14 of 16 before taking a seat. But it’s now do-or-die for one of the league’s proudest teams, which is 8-4 vs. the spread the last 5+Ys as a road dog. Titans 6-0 SU & vs the spread in 2008, but their schedule has hardly been imposing. Let’s see how they cope with Indy’s desperation shot. CABLE TV—ESPN (07-Indy 22-TENN. 20...I.23-19 T.34/141 I.22/81 I.28/42/1/300 T.17/27/0/172 I.0 T.2)
(07-Tenn. 16-INDY 10...T.25-13 T.39/98 I.10/46 T.24/31/0/258 I.25/40/0/148 T.2 I.1)
(07-Indianapolis -7 22-20, Tennessee -4' 16-10...SR: Indianapolis 15-12)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:35 PM

Sixth Sense

TENNESSEE –4 TENNESSEE 23 INDIANAPOLIS 13

3% TENNESSEE -4

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:37 PM

Doc's Sports

3 Unit Play. #126 Take Tennessee Titans -4 over Indianapolis Colts (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Titans take control of the AFC and we collect big the process as well.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:38 PM

ErockMoney's pick:

Indianapolis (+4.5)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:39 PM

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #226 Tennessee (-4) over Indianapolis (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 27)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:43 PM

Jimmy Boyd

Monday 10/27
5* AFC South GOTY on Colts +4
I like the Colts to spoil Tennessee brilliant start this week. Indy is coming off a terrible performance at Green Bay last week and it will be in full blown bounce back mode against its division rivals. Indy is 8-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons, 6-0 ATS vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons, and 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons. Plays on road teams (INDIANAPOLIS) off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite, in weeks 5 through 9 are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Colts.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 04:51 PM

Dave Malinksy

6* Tennessee

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 05:47 PM

Pointwise

MONDAY
TENNESSEE 30 - Indianapolis 20 - (8:35 - ESPN) -- Titans just keep on doing
it. Not only are they the only unbeaten team in the NFL, but they've gone 5-0-1
ATS this year, with 10, 18, 14½, 10, & 15 pt covers. Racked up 332 RYs vs KC,
with Johnson & White posting 168 & 149 RYs, respectively. Colts still seeking an
overland game, as they've been outrushed 922-420 thus far, & Manning is off a
pair of crucial INTs in loss to the Packers. And check Tennessee with allowing
less than 18 pts in each of its last 10 games. We'll give the Colts a bit more than
that, but bucking this Titan squad has been suicidal. Are 4-0 ATS in series lately

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 05:51 PM

KEVIN O’NEILL’S
THE MAX
The Maximum Profit Football Weekly
• Volume 9 Issue 10 October 23-27, 2008 •

Monday, October 27th, 2008

Colts (+4) @Titans
Selection and Analysis by Erik Scheponik Tennessee is the deserving favorite here, as they bring a perfect 6-0 record into this contest. The
defense is rock solid, ranking in the NFL’s top 3 in points per game (11.0), yards per game (269 yards per game), and yards per play (4.5 yards per play). They are definitely one of the league’s best coached by one of the league’s best in Jeff Fisher. However, it must be noted that they have not yet played a team with a winning record, and the best statistical
offense they have shut down is Houston, a team who has gotten much of their yards in games where they trailed big early. In fact, 3 of the offenses they have faced are among the league’s bottom 6. Not
saying the Titans aren’t the real deal, but they certainly better be if they want to pull away from a veteran Colts team that is basically in must-win
mode here. Tennessee leans heavily on their defense, and I’d like to see them against a real offense before christening them the new king of this
division. The Colts trail the Titans by 3 games in the AFC South, and have already lost a divisional game to Jacksonville. They have played plenty of big games over the last 5-6 seasons, and that experience will help them here. They have played a tougher schedule than has Tennessee, and have dealt with a ton of injuries. Although Joseph Addai is probably out again here, they are now healthy on the offensive line, and there’s a chance that one of the league’s best safeties Bob Sanders returns today
(check status). Peyton Manning has seen everything this league can throw at him defensively, and I have to believe that he will find something that works against the Titans’ rugged defense as Indy still has plenty of weapons. He’s beaten the Titans 8 out of the last 10 times he’s faced them, with one of the losses coming in the season finale last year when
the Colts rested their starters. That’s the only time that Tennessee has been favored during those 10 meetings before today. Indy is 8-3 to the number as an away underdog under Tony Dungy, and have won 12 or more games in 5 straight seasons. You don’t get that kind of pedigree in a 4-point underdog too often. They have been in must win games before, while Tennessee is in unfamiliar territory here. They have the better record, but are they really better based on who they have beaten? Also, can they generate offense if Indy puts up some of their own points on
that mighty defense? We shall see, but this game is priced like those questions don’t exist when they certainly do. Like I said, must-win for Manning and company. Indy by 3

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 05:55 PM

STAT FOX THE PLATINUM SHEET - NFL

10/27/2008 (225) INDIANAPOLIS at (226) TENNESSEE
Tennessee is starting to resemble the Green Bay team on ’07, one that is
winning games but not getting the respect it deserves from the oddsmakers. Still, even those types of clubs fail to cover spreads occasionally, and the way with which the Titans are winning games offers up a good matchup historically for the Colts. Look at a couple of the trends: INDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against
a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons. The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 28.1, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 3*). AND INDIANAPOLIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. good defensive teams
who give up 17 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was INDIANAPOLIS 27.3, OPPONENT 20.0 - (Rating = 2*). The Titans have also been far from reliable as a home favorite of 3.5-7
points: 10-22 ATS. If the Colts have any fight left in them, they will bring it on Monday night. It could be their last chance to save ’08. This
has the feel of a late field goal win either way. I’ll take the points and Peyton Manning. Play: Indianapolis +4

TOP NFL STATFOX HEAD-TO-HEAD TRENDS - WEEK 8 (ATS & Total)

Monday, 10/27/2008 (225) INDIANAPOLIS vs. (226) TENNESSEE
The UNDER is 6-0 in the L6 games between TENNESSEE & INDIANAPOLIS.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 06:00 PM

THE SPORTS REPORTER -NFL

MONDAY NIGHT, OCTOBER 27
*TENNESSEE over INDIANAPOLIS by 5
TENNESSEE, 22-17

Can'tPickaWinner

10-26-2008, 10:05 PM

Vegas Vic

Colts (+4) over TITANS (ESPN)

Every time we count Peyton Manning out, talk about him losing a few inches off his fastball, he seems to come back with an outstanding performance. Indy was 2-2 going into the Baltimore game, coming off a tight win against the lowly Texans, and the Colts crushed the Ravens, 31-3. Obviously, we're not expecting them to squash the 6-0 club from Tennessee, but we are expecting the Horseshoes to cover as an underdog, a spot where they've covered four of the last six.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:25 AM

Players of America

INDY vs. TENN
Game: Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
The Play: Indianapolis Colts +4.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:26 AM

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the Dolphins and Rays Sunday.

Today it's the Colts. The deficit is 350 sirignanos.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:27 AM

Hondo

October 27, 2008
Meet the new Niner coach, same as the old Niner coach. Hondo's adherence to the New Coach Theory proved costly yesterday when San Fran flopped for Singletary the same way it did for Nolan.

Tonight, with the earnings down to 295 hennigans, he'll ride with the Titans, nee Oilers.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:28 AM

Jim Feist

(61) DET Redwings
(62) LA Kings
Take "(62) LA Kings"
Red Wings off to a good start in defense of their title with a 5-1-1 mark heading into the weekend. The Red Wings are second in the league in Power Play percentage (31%) with nine goals and 15th in killing penalties (82.7%). Despite the fast start, GM Ken Holland is a bit skeptical. "I look at our team and I don't know if we're going to win a game," Holland told NHL.com. "I know our team, but I don't know other teams," Holland said. Meanwhile, the LA Kings are 3-3-0 after six games with six points and in a three way tie for the bottom spot in the Pacific division. Surprisingly though, the Kings are just one of two teams yet to allow a power play goal (Wild are the other). The Kings have successfully killed 29 power play opportunities by the opposition this year. LW Dustin Brown leads the team with six points thus far. These teams are pretty much even in their history with Detroit holding a slight edge, 73-70. For a team like the Kings to surprise the Stanley Cup Champions, we expect it to happen in an early season matchup like this. We'll take the Kings at home as a dog.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:29 AM

Logical Approach

Ind/ten Under

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:29 AM

Vegas Hotsheet

Tenn -4

lucid_dreamer

10-27-2008, 06:33 AM

igz1 sports

MNF
4* Over 40 (-110) Indianapolis vs Tennessee

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 10:24 AM

Arthur Ralph Sports

Monday MINNESOTA Hockey

BIGnose

10-27-2008, 10:52 AM

Dave Malinksy

6* Tennessee

Chris James Sports

10-27-2008, 11:14 AM

Hey CPAW and TheRx,

I just wanted to say thank you and congratulations to those who took advantage of the free weekend! We finished 5-1 including our 5* GOM yesterday and finished +10.8 units! Congrats guys and keep up the winning!
Chris James

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:20 AM

Brandon Lang

MONDAY

20 Dime Titans (-4)

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:20 AM

SPORTS MEMO

Best of the NFL Totals
Indianapolis/Tennessee UNDER 42 ½

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:21 AM

CAPPERS ACCESS

Mon (NFL) Colts

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:21 AM

Lance's Lock

Overall record: 683-579-24

Current streak: 1 win

Todays play: Under 40 Colts/Titans

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:22 AM

SPORTS ADVISORS

Indianapolis (3-3 SU and ATS) at Tennessee (6-0 SU and ATS)

The Titans, who are off to their best start in franchise history, will try to remain the NFL’s only unbeaten team when they host the defending AFC South champion Colts at LP Field in Nashville.

Tennessee rolled to a 34-10 victory at Kansas City last week, extending its winning streak to nine (8-1 ATS) dating back to last season – the team’s longest such streak since winning 11 in a row in 1993 when the franchise was still in Houston. The Titans rolled up 455 total yards against the Chiefs, including 332 on the ground thanks to Chris Johnson (18 carries, 168 yards, 1 TD) and LenDale White (17 carries, 149 yards, 3 TDs).

The Titans have the NFL’s stingiest defense, allowing just 66 points through six games, and they rank third in the league in total defense, giving up just 268.5 yards per contest (179 through the air and 89.5 on the ground).

Indianapolis went to Green Bay last week and fell 34-14 as a one-point favorite, with All-Pro QB Peyton Manning finishing with a 46.6 passer rating as he went 21-for-42 for 229 yards and two INTs, both of which were returned for touchdowns. The Colts’ defense has been inconsistent this season, giving up 329 yards per game, including a whopping 153.7 on the ground.

These division rivals split last year’s meetings, with the visitor winning both contests and Tennessee going 2-0 ATS. In fact, the Titans have cashed in the last four battles with Indy after going 0-6 ATS in the previous six. Tony Dungy’s Colts have won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, going 4-1 SU in the last five trips to Nashville.

The Colts are 7-6 SU and 4-9 ATS on the road in Monday Night Football, while Tennessee is 11-8 SU and 9-9-1 ATS at home on Mondays.

Indianapolis is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games against AFC South rivals, but otherwise the Colts are on ATS streaks of 7-1 in October, 5-0 on Mondays and 5-2 following a non-cover. Jeff Fischer’s Titans are on ATS runs of 10-1 against the AFC South, 5-0 after a spread-cover, 6-0 after a straight-up win and 7-2 the last nine years in Week 8.

For the Colts, the over is 4-1 in their last five against AFC South competition and 5-2 in their last seven after a non-cover. For Tennessee, the over is on runs of 21-10-1 in October and 6-1 in Week 8, but the under is 6-2 in its last eight against the AFC. Also, the last six meetings in this rivalry have stayed under the total.

Finally, the over is 8-0-1 in Monday night games this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

WORLD SERIES

Tampa Bay (8-7) at Philadelphia (10-3)

With the chance to secure the club’s first world championship in 28 years, the Phillies send ace Cole Hamels (14-10, 3.09 ERA) to the mound for Game 5 of the World Series at Citizens Bank Park. Meanwhile, needing a win to save their season, the Rays will turn to Scott Kazmir (12-8, 3.49) in a pitching rematch of Game 1.

After a 10-2 win on Sunday, the Phillies hold a commanding 3-1 lead in this best-of-7 series. Philadelphia has yet to lose in six postseason home games, and Hamels has won three of those six and he’s 4-0 with a 1.55 ERA in four starts this month. In Sunday’s blowout win, Phillies’ slugger Ryan Howard belted two homers and drove in five runs, while Joe Blanton pitched six strong innings and hit a solo homer.

The Phillies are 24-6 in their last 30 at Citizen Bank Park, and they’re on additional hot streaks of 38-16 overall, 21-7 against winning teams and 9-3 with Hamels on the hill. However, Charlie Manuel’s club is still only 20-37 in its last 57 interleague games.

The Rays are still on runs of 6-4 in interleague play, 8-4 against the N.L. East and 5-3 in National League ballparks. Also, despite being down 3-1 in this series, Tampa Bay has still won nine of the last 14 meetings with Philadelphia. The Rays won seven of Kazmir’s last 10 starts in the regular season and have split his four outings in the postseason.

In Game 1 of this series, Kazmir gave up three runs on six hits in six innings, including a two-run, first-inning homer to Chase Utley to take the 3-2 loss. His lone October road start came in Game 5 in Boston during the ALCS when he blanked the Red Sox on two hits for six innings but the bullpen collapsed and the Rays lost, 8-7. Tampa Bay is 21-9 in Kazmir’s last 30 starts overall.

Hamels was the winner in Game 1 as he gave up two runs on five hits in seven innings in getting the win. He has pitched at least seven innings in all four of his postseason starts, holding the opposition to two runs or less in each outing.

With Hamels on the mound, the under is on runs of 6-0 overall, but the over is 5-2 in his last seven interleague outings. For Kazmir, the over is 7-2 in his last nine trips to the hill

The under is 7-4-3 in the last 14 head-to-head meetings between these teams, including 2-1-1 in this series. Additionally, the under is on runs of 4-1-1 for the Rays overall, 8-4-1 for the Phillies overall, 9-4-1 for the Phillies in the playoffs and 9-3-1 for the Phillies in interleague play. Conversely, the over is 9-3-1 in Tampa’s last 13 road games and 26-8-2 in its last 36 in N.L. parks.

ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:22 AM

Nevada Sharpshooter

Phillies -170 over Rays

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:23 AM

Nostradamus

TB/Phil Under 7.5 -130
Indy/Tenn Under 40.5
Ott/Buff Over 6 +115
Chic/Minn Under 5 +100
Bost/Edm Under 5.5 -110
Det/LA Under 6 -135

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:23 AM

Bobby Maxwell

Tampa Bay at PHILADELPHIA -180

Yes, it's going to happen tonight for the Phillies. For the first time in 28 years the World Series champs will reside in Philadelphia when Cole Hamels (14-10, 3.09) comes out tonight and delivers another postseason gem and gets the Phillies the title.

Hamels is 4-0 with a 1.55 ERA in the postseason and won Game 1 in Tampa Bay when he gave up two runs on five hits in seven innings. He's gone at least seven innings in all four of his postseason starts, holding the opposition to two runs or less in all four games.

Hamels outdueled the Rays' Scott Kazmir (12-8, 3.49) in the series opener. Kazmir gave up three runs on six hits in six innings, including a two-run homer in the first inning to the Phillies' Chase Utley.

Philadelphia's offense has found its form the last couple games. And slugger Ryan Howard has three homers in his last 6 ABs, including two homers and five RBIs in Sunday's 10-2 victory. The Phillies used the long ball to win games all season and they did it Sunday and will do it again tonight.

The Phils are 24-6 in their last 30 at Citizen Bank Park and they are also 38-16 overall, 21-7 against winning teams and 9-3 in Hamels' last 12 starts.

Tampa Bay has been game, but looked like a beaten team in the final innings of Game 4. The Phillies will get the title tonight. Lay the chalk and play Philadelphia.

3♦ PHILADELPHIA

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:23 AM

Carlo Campanella

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans

These Titans will want to prove that their unbeaten 6-0 start is NOT a fluke against Division rival Indianapolis, especially on a nationally televised Monday Night game. Lay the points against a struggling Colts squad that's 1-3 ATS in the Road Dog role on MNF and coming off their worst loss of the year in Green Bay. Tennessee is allowing just 11 points per game this season and we find them at a perfect 5-0 ATS on Monday Night Football following back-to-back wins!

Play on: Tennessee

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:24 AM

Marc Lawrence

Triple-Dime Bet

IND +4 vs TEN

A crucial game for the 3-3 Colts takes place in Tennessee Monday Night when they take on the undefeated 6-0 Titans in a key NFC South Division showdown. From a technical aspect, according to our database, Indianapolis head coach Tony Dungy is 14-1 SU and ATS in his NFL head coaching career in games off a SU favorite loss when his team's win-loss percentage is .500 or less, including 10-0 as a dog or favorite of less than 4 points. On the flip side, Tennessee head coach Jeff Fisher is 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS as a home favorite in games off a win of more than 10 points versus a division opponent that is not winless on the season. Top that off with the fact that NFL teams who start the season 6-0 SU and ATS are 0-5 ATS in Game Seven when favored by less than 10 points and we'll look for the Colts to spring the upset here tonight.

ymmit2nd

10-27-2008, 11:28 AM

Mikey Sports

Indianapolis @ Tennessee 8:35 PM EST
Play On: Indianapolis (+) pts

CaliDreaming

10-27-2008, 12:33 PM

Ben Burns #1 NHL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH!
I'm playing on OTTAWA

Doc's Sports NHL Monday Winner
3 Unit Play. #56 Take Over 5 in Anaheim @ Columbus

rgdolfan540

10-27-2008, 12:40 PM

Brandon Lang

MONDAY

20 Dime Titans (-4)

I heard a crazy trend Lang had on the radio.

Undefeated teams coming off a bye are like 16-1 ats.

chase88

10-27-2008, 01:00 PM

JEFFERSONSPORTS 5-0 yesterday

NOW HIT 25 of last 30 NFL PLAYS (83%)
Hit 44-23-1 last 68 football plays (66%)

HAS SMALL PLAY ON
TITANS UNDER 41--side and NHL later today

NHL 5-4
CFL 4-1

en fuego

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 01:08 PM

Kelso

50 Unit MNF........Under

Saw this posted on another forum but Kelso's website says he has a side play? Not sure...

Big Nauty

10-27-2008, 01:40 PM

Free pick from I/C

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans - Monday October 27, 2008 8:35 pm
Pick: 3 units TOTAL: Under 40.5 (-110)

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 01:50 PM

Handicapper: John Ryan
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans (NFL) - 8:35 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: 4/-104 Indianapolis Colts Play Title: Colts
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Indianapolis – AiS shows an 87% probability that Indianapolis will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and has a 75% probability of winning the game. There is no advantage in playing the money line and with 15* amount already on the line there is NO reason to add additional risk to this play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 26-6 making 19.4 units since 1997 for 81%. Play on road teams in weeks 5 through 9 that are off an upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite. Here is a second system that has gone 72-38 ATS for 66% since 1997. Play against favorites with a good defense allowing 4.8 or less yards/play and after outgaining opposition by 100 or more total yards in their previous game. Indianapolis is just 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when they allow 15 to 21 points since 1992; 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when they allow 6 to 6.5 net passing yards/attempt since 1992; 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games when they gain 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Colts are also in a series of strong roles noting they are 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons; is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons; 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.5 rushing yards/carry over the last 3 seasons; 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus excellent teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992. Dungy is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) vs. very good defensive teams who give up 14 or less points/game; 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus excellent teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season in all games he has coached since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. The Colts largest problem is the lack of balance on offense. There is only one team that has a greater differential between passing and running plays and that would be the worst team in the NFL – the Detroit Tigers. The Colts running game ranks last in the league, but there are matchup advantages that the Colts can exploit tonight. The offense has it’s second QB back in the lineup and he is the Center Richard Saturday. He is the guy responsible for calling and organizing the blocking assignments that Manning adds at the LOS. He is also the guy that can change blocking assignments literally when the play clock is running out and the defense shows any form of zone blitz scheme. Let’s not forget that the Colts offense ranks 2nd in the NFL in red zone efficiency scoring TD at a 71% rate of the 17 trips into the red zone. The Titans rarely blitz, however and are vulnerable on the defensive perimeter. Titans corners Harper and Finnegan have had strong success to date, but they have yet to face two of the best WR in the league in Harrison and Wayne. Simply said, if Manning has even an extra second to make reads he will shred this defense – like he did against Baltimore. Take the Colts.

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 01:52 PM

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Monday, October 27th, 8:20 ET

Phillies ace Cole Hamels has been unconscious during his team's run to the World Series as he looks to become the first postseason pitcher to start and win five games in a single playoffs. However, he's been very good all season and, in fact, has only yielded more than two earned runs in a single outing ONCE since 8/1. The Rays struggle vs. lefties (4.1 runs/game) and are 36-18 to the Under vs. southpaws this season. Scott Kazmir is a quality arm that can keep the Philly bats in check.

Play on: Under

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 01:53 PM

The Vegas Steam Line

Monday: Take MINNESOTA -145 over Chicago

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 01:53 PM

Tom Freese

Boston at Edmonton (9:05pm)
Boston is 6-1 vs. a team that allowed 5 or more goals in their last game and they are 5-2 after scoring 5 or more goals in their last game. The Bruins are 5-2 their last 7 road games vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60%. Edmonton is 0-8 vs. the Northeast Division and they are 0-6 their last 6 games vs. the Bruins. PLAY ON BOSTON

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 01:54 PM

Jimmy The Moose
Game: Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres Oct 27 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: Buffalo Sabres
Reason: Talk about two teams going in opposite directions. The Sabres have yet to lose in regulation time this year at 6-0-2. The Sens are just 2-5-1 on the year with 7 of those 8 game son home ice. Sabres allowing just 1.6 goals/game on the year. Things will not be getting better for the Senators tonight. Play on Buffalo -.

IAM4UK

10-27-2008, 02:15 PM

Frank patron

10000 unit lock

indianapolis colts +4

ProPel

10-27-2008, 02:16 PM

John Fina
Football for October 27, 2008

NFL - 4 units on Tennessee Titans -3.5 (-110)

***

-Note, when Fina, and Brandon Lang take the same game, it = a Loss.

Sports Funatic

10-27-2008, 02:25 PM

Matty O'Shea | MLB RunLine Triple-Dime Bet
960 PHI -1.5 (+120) SportBet vs 959 TAM

Sports Funatic

10-27-2008, 02:27 PM

Greg Shaker | NFL Double-Dime Bet
Indianapolis +4

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 02:59 PM

someone asked for Al Demarco:

Free video play is on the Over MNF

and he has this:

6th Monday Night Play of the Year

Oddsmaker Error Game of the Year

15 Dime Release

Indianapolis-Tennessee

Either Indianpolis wins outright,

or Tennessee rolls by double digits

4-1 on Monday Nights - 59 Dimes Profit

Winner # 1: Eagles cover at Dallas

Winner # 2: Chargers beat New York

Winner # 3: Vikings upset New Orleans

Winner # 4: Patriots beat Broncos

9-2-1 NFL Run - 131.5 Dimes Profit

Karol58

10-27-2008, 03:13 PM

Let me confirm Kelso's picks. It is 50 units on Titans -4 and 3 units on the under. I will post the write up off his site.

2008 PERSONAL BEST CLUB

Monday, October 27, 2008
Monday Night Power Play50 UnitsTitans (-4) over Colts
8:30 PM -- LP Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

Monday, October 27, 2008
Best Bets Club3 UnitsColts/Titans UNDER 40 Points
8:30 PM -- LP Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

This is paid and confirmed by the website.

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:01 PM

akmens 10* phillies

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:02 PM

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 6-1-0 for +530.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 6-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 47-45-5/-720.00 Units (Special 150 Units 3-3, Top 100 Units 39-42-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 15-20/-101.25 Units (Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 30-26-0 for -90.00 Units (Special 150 Units 2-1, Top 100 Units 28-25)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports NFL Monday Night Football High Volume Report:
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #226 TENNESSEE TITANS -3/-125 over Indianapolis Colts

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:02 PM

NFL Football
Bob Balfe

Colts/Titans Over 40.5
This is pretty much a must win for Indy, but without Joseph Addai it will be hard to balance out their offense. Lucky for the Colts that they have Payton Manning and Tennessee is hurting up front on their defensive line. The Titans have a huge size advantage on offense and will be going against a banged up secondary of the Colts. Look for a lot of points from Tennessee. Payton Manning will need to work his Monday Night magic and get his team in the endzone. If there is ever a guy to count on it would be him. Look for both teams to score a lot of points. Take the over.

College Football
No plays today.

Major League Baseball
Phillies -1.5 runs over Rays +115
Hamels/Kazmir

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:02 PM

Alex Smart

Colts +4

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:03 PM

Mike Rose

Phillies

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:04 PM

LT Profits

Blue Jackets

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:08 PM

Northcoast Marquee
Colts over 40

HottyToddy76

10-27-2008, 04:34 PM

Steven Budin-CEO

MONDAY'S PICK
25 DIME

TENNESSEE TITANS

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:37 PM

Roots plays today...

Chairman- Colts
Millionaire- Phils/Rays Over

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:38 PM

TheProSource

Tenn -3.5

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:38 PM

PPW

Power Play of the Day:

Titans -3 (-130 buy full point)

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:39 PM

Drew Gordon
100000 dime play
Indianapolis

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:51 PM

Kanesline
(POD)

10/27/08

NFL
Monday Night Football

Take the over in the Colts vs Titans game. +40

System Picks

Baseball

10/27/08 MLB Philadelphia Phillies
moneyline -172

0/27/08 Tampa Bay Rays/Philadelphia
Phillies UNDER 7.5

Football

10/27/08 NFL Spreads

10/27/08 Tennessee Titans -4

10/27/08 NFL Totals

10/27/08 Indianapolis Colts/Tennessee Titans
OVER 40

10/27/08 NFL Moneylines

10/27/08 Tennessee Titans moneyline -191

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 04:59 PM

Jim Feist

Monday Night Football Game of the Year, $29!!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(225) IND Colts
(226) TEN Titans
Take " (226) TEN Titans "
Home field and defense are going to be huge match-up edges this game for the Titans. Indianapolis (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS) has looked shaky in a lot of areas. They were fortunate to start the season 2-2, as they probably should have been 0-4. The offense hasn't been consistent and the run defense is still small and suspect. That will be the Tennessee game plan here, as the Titans will run right at ‘em and go ball control. Colts RBs Joseph Addai and Mike Hart are still out, so the onus is on the passing game to carry the offense, but they looked out of sync again Sunday in a 34-14 loss at Green Bay. Manning had no TDs, 2 picks, while the run defense allowed 105 yards to RB Ryan Grant. The Colts are 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS on the road and this is their second straight road game. The Tennessee Titans (6-0 SU/ATS) are on an amazing run for coach Jeff Fisher, one of the best in the business. This defense is ferocious, ranked 3rd in the NFL, while the running game is fourth behind RB LenDale White and rookie Chris Johnson. They have a talented young ‘D’ with linebacker Keith Bulluck, DT Albert Haynesworth and bring back defensive end Jevon Kearse. The Titans sacked David Garrard seven times in the opener and allowed 189 total yards! They will run right at a small and soft Colts run defense ranked 28th, allowing 153 yards per game. Tennessee is also 18-4 when scoring at least 20 points since 2006 and Indy has given up over 23 in 3 of the last 4 games. The Titans are also 4-0 ATS the last four meetings with the Colts. Play the Titans!

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:05 PM

won my premium NFL play yesterday on the San Diego/New Orleans Over. Here are my hockey selections for tonight:

I am off of a 3-3 day on Saturday on my NHL Selections for a profit of 3.5 units. Here are my selections for this evening's card:

56 Columbus +1.14 (3 Unit Play)-Columbus has been struggling a little bit to put pucks in the net as they have only two goals in back to back losses to the NY Rangers and Minnesota and they will be without starting goaltender Pacal LeClaire for this game tonight as he sprained his ankle in the last start. They are taking on a Anaheim team that has righted their ship on this road trip by going 3-0 and will look to complete a perfect trip with a win tonight but that may be easier said than done here. The Ducks allowed 47 shots to the Canadiens on Saturday and Giguere had to basically stand on his head to save that game for Anaheim and although look ahead games may not occur that often you have to wonder if the Ducks bring their "A" game tonight as they have the Red Wings in Anaheim on Wednesday. I think Columbus will rally behind Norrena in net this evening and avenge three one goal losses to the Ducks that they suffered last year with a big win tonight.

54 NY Islanders +1.63 (3 Unit Play)-The Islanders are finishing off a three game homestand and have dropped the first two games and will likely be without starting goaltender Rick Dipietro as he left last game with an undisclosed injury. The Islanders have already fallen well behind the league leading Rangers and need to win tonight to get some confidence going here early in the season. Although the Islanders lost their last game to Carolina they put 60 shots on net and that tells me that they are still trying. The Rangers have gotten off to a great start but only went 3-5 against the Islanders last year and getting a big price on the home underdog Islanders was worth it for me today.

51 Ottawa/Buffalo Over 6 +1.24 (3 Unit Play)-These teams met eight times last year and in the last five meetings the total was set at 6 1/2 so an adjustment has been made already this season. The Sabres have been receiving outstanding goaltending from Ryan Miller so far this year but Goaliepost.com is reporting that Patrick Lalime will get the start for the Sabres tonight. The Sabres have a couple of defenseman injured for tonight's contest and I think we will see some goals here tonight. Ottawa has dropped four straight contests and should be fired up to break that losing streak here tonight. Look for goals aplenty tonight and this game goes Over the posted total.

Those are my Monday NHL Selections and I will be back on Tuesday with more winning selections. Best of luck to everyone tonight and enjoy the games.

Oscarxena Sports

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:06 PM

3Daily Winners

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Minnesota Wild (NHL)
Play: Money Line: -162 Minnesota Wild

Minnesota is off to hot 5-1 start and has owned Chicago at home. The Wild is 11-3 versus the Blackhawks on home ice, including 9 of last 10. Chicago has lost their first three games on the road to start the season and doesn't figure to get well here. The Hawks don't like Monday's evidently, winning three times in last 21 tries. Minnesota goes wild over Chicago

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:07 PM

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:08 PM

Indian Cowboy

Colts/Titans Under 40.5 (POD)

Note that 53% of the public is on the home team here in the Titans here and the line has jumped up from the opening. What a year for Peyton Manning and the Colts huh? He has thrown 8 touchdowns and 7 interceptions this year which is uncharacteristic for him. The Colts remember lost to the Titans last year 16-10 at home. That was a huge game for the Titans as they won on the road at Indy. That was actually a revenge game as the Colts actually won 22-20 on the road at Tennessee before that. You want to know what is amazing about these Titans? It's the fact that this team has a quarterback in Collins who has thrown under 900 yards for the year, has thrown for just 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and yet this team still finds itself 6-0. Heck, this team has quietly done it with fabulous defense and opportunistic offensive success. I would love to take the Titans here, but keep in mind the Colts come off an ugly 20 point beating at the hands of the Packers on the road. They are therefore on a bounce-back. The Titans of course have covered all 6 games this year. They come off an impressive 34-10 win at KC. But, the question begs, do you really want to go against the Colts on a big bounce-back? Plus, the Colts have revenge from last year's latest loss at their dome to the Titans. Remember, the Titans last two home games as well and of course, it is MNF so the crowd will be gonig nuts. The Titans won their last two games by scores of 30-17 over the Vikings and 31-12 over Houston. This begs the question of the total since the side seems unappealing. The public by a 2:1 margni favor the over here and yet the line seems unwilling to go up. In fact, it has gone down. In fact, you ready for this? The last 6 times these two teams have played the total has gone under. Thus, that will be my play for today. It is also my POD for today and a purchase play. The under is 4-0 for the Colts after allowing 30 points or more in their previous game as their defense rebounds well and the under is 6-0 the last six times these two teams have hooked up as the research indiciates.
__________________

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:09 PM

Larry Ness

Prime Time Delight

Colts

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:11 PM

ATSLOCKS.COM

Colts @ Titans Under 41 (10 Unit Play)

****Not to be confused with ATS Lock Club****

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:12 PM

Rocco Spacamuro
100* Tennessee

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:13 PM

Akmens

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Hockey total tonight is Rangers Under

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:14 PM

Mike Rose

Phillies

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:15 PM

Greg Shaker |
NFL Double-Dime Bet
Indianapolis +4
__________________

IAM4UK

10-27-2008, 05:16 PM

Shocker!!!! A 75 cent fav:

Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, October 27, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: We are now 24-7 in the Baseball Playoffs and tonight we have the winner of WORLD SERIES GAME FIVE! You can get this GRAND SLAM WORLD SERIES BASEBALL WINNER tonight for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! We are 120-65 this year for +$4140 playing $100 per game. Last year we were 116-44 in Baseball and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 334-150 the past THREE YEARS COMBINED! 10/27/2008

GRAND SLAM WORLD SERIES BASEBALL WINNER
Philadelphia w/Hamels -175 8:20 EST

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:17 PM

Brandon Banks

Indianapolis Colts +4 (-106)

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:19 PM

Southside sports

colts / titans over the total

odds on sports

10-27-2008, 05:37 PM

PICKEN'S PICK 50 Unit 2008 WORLD SERIES WINNER

50 unit- At 8:20pm our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies over the Tampa Bay Rays. Folks we hope you bought the series at +125 like we told you to last week. Tonight the Phillies bring home the World Series and the city is turned upside down.

Play on Philadelphia Moneyline

350 unit Monday Night Football Meltdown!

Folks Peyton Manning will be shaking in his shoes tonight. The Titans are going to expose the protection problems of the Colts, and just pound at them on the ground all night long. Look for the Titans to control the clock all night long on the ground and get into 3rd and shorts. Lay the 4 points as the Titans roll. Enjoy the easy money.

Play on Tennessee -4
100 unit- "Under" 41

alwayslosing

10-27-2008, 05:56 PM

GRID IRON GOLD

Indianapolis Colts + 4

LLXC13

10-27-2008, 06:06 PM

Seabass has a 50* 6pt teaser:

Indy +10 & Under

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:15 PM

Cajun-Sports NFL Executive- Monday

NFL: 36-17 ATS (+65.60)

Time / Date: 8:35 EST / Monday October 27 (ESPN)

Game: Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans

Line Origin: BetCris @ 10:22 EST October 27

Grade / Prediction: 4* Indianapolis Colts +4

Analysis:

The Titans take the field as the only undefeated team left in the league and face a 3-3 Colts team that is struggling to find their identity this season. The Titans enter this contest off a road win over the hapless Chiefs last week while the Colts are off a terrible performance last Sunday in Green Bay .

The Titans are 6-0 both SU and ATS but they have not faced a team with a winning record this season. We know that teams that are 6-0 both SU and ATS are a money burning 1-5 ATS in Game Seven of the season including 0-5 ATS if they are favored by ten or less points.

The Colts know a thing or two about fast starts, having started 7-0 last season, 9-0 in 2006 and 13-0 in ’05, yet are off to their slowest start in four years with a 3-3 mark through six games. But a win on the road against the Titans would not only allow them to get back in the division race, it would put everyone on notice that the five-time defending AFC South champions aren’t about to give up without a fight.

The Titans are on a franchise best run of allowing 17 or fewer points in ten straight games. This would appear to be a negative for the Colts tonight but a closer look on the technical front we see that the Colts are 9-1 ATS versus teams who give up 17 or less points over the last three seasons. They are also a perfect 8-0 ATS versus teams with a winning percentage of 75% or better over the last three seasons.

Tennessee’s fourth ranked rushing offense averages 153.8 yards per game and will face an Indy defensive unit that ranks 29th in the league against the run. Another facet of the Titans game that appears to be a negative for the Colts but we know that the Colts are 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams averaging 4.5 or more rushing yards per carry.

The Titans rushed for 332 yards last week in their 34-10 win over the Kansas City Chiefs last week. We have an NFL Power System that tells us to Play AGAINST a favorite of more than 3 points off rushing for 280+ yards in its last game, 12-0 ATS since 1989.

Data base research has uncovered two more active NFL Systems for tonight’s contest. In Weeks 3-10, play ON a Monday team with a TOTAL of 45 points or less off a road favorite/pick ‘em SU loss of 8+ points last week vs. an opponent not off a shutout SU win in its last game, 17-0 ATS since 1983. Play ON a Monday team with a TOTAL of 38-52 points off a road SU loss of 13+ points last week vs. an opponent off a SU win of 7+ points, scoring less than 45 points in its last game, 17-0 ATS since 1984.

Finally our Technical Situational Report shows the Colts to be in a positive situation that says to Play ON teams in a divisional sandwich with a lower ATS Win % than their opponent and a season Interception Differential of >=-0.5, 92-22 ATS.

The Titans qualify in two negative situations that say to Play AGAINST team with a Pass Defense Rating >0.5 that surrendered <75 rushing yards and <60 total plays against in their last game are 36-133 ATS. The last situation says to Play AGAINST teams with a Passing Situation Rush Rating Against >0.5 and a below average 1st down Pass Rating For, 28-94 ATS since 1994.

With strong technical and situational support for the visitor in tonight’s match up we will back the Colts here as they keep this one close and possibly give the Titans their first loss of the season.

GRADED PREDICTION: 4* Indianapolis Colts +4

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:17 PM

Lenny Del Genio's #1 MNF Game of the Month (4-1 NFL Sunday)
Play on Indianapolis at 8:35 ET. Tennessee has beaten just one team with a winning record this year and that was Baltimore. Indianapolis is our #1 MNF Game of the Month.

pjoyce5893

10-27-2008, 06:18 PM

Football Jesus

Colts +4
Over 40.5

pjoyce5893

10-27-2008, 06:19 PM

Seabass has a 50* 6pt teaser:

Indy +10 & Under

mjag21

10-27-2008, 06:20 PM

northcoast 2 star-TITANS-4

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:30 PM

Seabass Bases

30* Phi run line
20* TB money line

Hockey
10 Boston
20 Columbus
20 Ottawa

Can'tPickaWinner

10-27-2008, 06:31 PM

Ben Burns
TITLE: ***9*** Top Play from the AFC South in '08!
REASON FOR PICK: Game: Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
Game Time: 10/27/2008 8:35:00 PM
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts
*9 top play from AFC South

kidman232

10-27-2008, 06:31 PM

im really liking over 6 in Buffalo/Ottawa @ +120 & minnesota wild

jagwood

10-27-2008, 06:32 PM

Eddie Roman

First Ever Executive Level Guaranteed Monday Night Lock of Life

Indianapolis Colts +4 @ Tennessee

First of all, I believe the line is a dead give away. Let's see, Tennessee is 6-0 and has the best defense in the league. The Colts are 3-3 and could realistically be 1-5 if not for miracle wins at Minnesota and at Houston and they opened this line at Tennessee -3. Are you kidding me. Sometimes the odds makers tell us stories with their lines, we just have to be smart enough to listen

Then the public goes and jumps right on Tennessee and now they are -4. I'm here to tell you I feel Tennessee will suffer their first loss of the season tonight because Indy simply has to win this game. If they don't win it, they can kiss their season goodbye and this veteran team knows that.

Everyone is counting the Colts out and that's fine, maybe they should. I'll be the first on to tell you they haven't played all to well but you know what, Cleveland hadn't played well heading into the Giants game and they won by 3 touchdowns.

Cleveland needed the game and played accordingly, the Colts need the game and will play the same way. Also, everyone knows the Titans are a winner tonight and when everyone knows a team is going to win on Monday night that team rarely does.

Indy will find a way to stay in this game and I believe they will have a great shot to win it in the end. If they do go down, I don't feel it will be by more then 3 points. The Colts will play with pride and I'll tell you this, the NFL is a funny league. When teams don't need the game and they play against teams who desperately need to win, it's amazing how often the team with the better record doesn't win.

Tennessee has the best record in the league but they won't be the best team on the field this evening. That will be Manning and the Colts. Take Indy, they cover this game if they don't win the whole damn thing outright.

I will win this play or 7 days are free.