Service Plays Sunday 11/02/08

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Hondo

October 31, 2008

Hondo, who struggled to a 7-6-1 record last week, was caught by Miss Charleen, the perennial Women's Division champette. But don't worry about Mr. Aitch; save your sympathy for the eight also-rans looking up at the leaders.

Giants over Cowboys: Plaxico admitted this week that he has made mistakes and said he's "the first one to look myself in the mirror and be honest with myself." More likely the last. The only reason Plaxico looks in the mirror is to make sure his baseball hat is on crooked.

Jets over Bills: According to an up-to-the-minute Bettor's Guide poll, 98 percent of long-suffering Jet fans believe Favre will throw a late interception to kill a comeback that was made necessary by several previous interceptions. But that doesn't mean Gang GreenNew York Jets can't beat the number.

Vikings over Texans: Obama's infomercial opened with him speaking earnestly in what looked like his home office. It would have been nice if Tony Rezko could have watched, since he helped Barack finance the place before heading off to jail on bribery and fraud convictions.

Jaguars over Bengals: So as Hondo understood the infomercial, if Obama is elected, you get the redistribution of wealth, the tax cut, the cheaper fuel and the universal health care. But if you don't want any one of those, you can trade it in for either a free set of Ginsu knives or a Pocket Fisherman.

Chiefs over Buccaneers: NBC/MSNBC's glitzy election-night coverage will include a red-state, blue-state map of the U.S. embedded in the Rock Center ice rink. Word is that if Obama wins, the NBC chapter of Anchors for Obama, including Brokaw, Williams, Matthews, Maddow and Keith "Gasbag" Olbermann (aka Uberdork), will lace up and take a celebratory group skate, complete with toe loops, axels and salchows.

Browns over Ravens: Maddow, by the way, told GQ: "I'm a big lesbian who looks like a man. I am not, like, Anchor Babe." Thanks for clearing up all the confusion.

Rams over Cardinals: Cops arrested John Daly Sunday in a Hooters restaurant parking lot in Winston-Salem, N.C., supposedly because he was drunk. However, some say the manager was upset because customers were ignoring the girls and going outside to gawk at some even bigger attractions: John's hooters.

Lions over Bears: It was so noisy while Obama was campaigning with Bill Clinton Wednesday night in Florida that it was hard to tell whether Obama praised the ex-president for being "a great statesman" or "a great swordsman."

Packers over Titans: Madonna and husband Guy reportedly had behavior rules posted in their home, such as: Guy must "enrich his wife's emotional and spiritual well-being;" and Guy must "resolve conflicts in a constructive way." Now that Guy's out and A-Rod's in, there are some new rules posted, such as: A-RodAlex Rodriguez must stop being such a choke artist and learn to hit in the clutch late in the game.

Broncos over Dolphins: The Gallop Poll says Broncs.
Falcons over Raiders: If you're wondering why Larry King was pictured wearing one of those Viking hats at his son's football game, it was probably so he could turn it upside down in case he became incontinent.

Seahawks over Eagles: Prince Charles, speaking in Tokyo, says the economic crisis is temporary, but the climate crisis will have long-lasting effects unless something is done now. Settle down, Chuck. Just because one guy with big ears is getting worldwide attention doesn't mean anybody wants to hear from you.

Patriots over Colts: Manuel Uribe, alleged to be the world's fattest man at 660 pounds, was married recently in a flabulous ceremony. The bride insisted on only one stipulation in the prenup: No missionary position!

Redskins over Steelers: E-mailer E. Pugh summed up the Steelers' loss to the GiantsNew York Giants by borrowing from Joe Biden. "Three words: Safety and three interceptions." Hondo will settle for more of same Monday.

BEST BETS: Vikings, Browns, Redskins.

[ymmit2nd]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Philadelphia Eagles / Seattle Seahawks Under 42.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

BIG AL

3* Green Bay Packers+5
3* Oakland Raiders+3
3* St. Louis/Arizona 'under' 48
3* Indianapolis Colts-5
1* Cincinnati Bengals+8
1* Minnesota Vikings-4
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Doug Williams

Detroit Lions (+12.5) OVER Chicago Bears (-12.5) -- Let's ride the double-digit-dogs this season. Just to be clear, Chicago is absolutely going to win this game, but Detroit will get the W where it matters - in your wallet.



Cleveland Browns (-1.5) OVER Baltimore (+1.5) -- The Browns are back where they want to be - under the radar. This is a big divisional matchup, and the Brownies are a profitable 5-2 ATS.



Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) OVER Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) -- Last week was NOT a Seattle resurgence...that was a 49er implosion. The Seahawks are terrible and a healthy Westbrook will run straight down their throats. Also -- start Desean on your fantasy team.



MNF: Steelers (+1.5) OVER Washington Redskins (-1.5) -- This Monday night matchup is going to be close. Watch for Big Ben to gut out another Monday night win while taking a pounding.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

NFL Week 9 Sports MarketWatch – Games to Watch (14-9 = 60.9%)

Arizona Cardinals vs St. Louis Rams

The line in this game looks too good to be true. The first-place Arizona Cardinals only have to give a field goal to the lowly Rams? Our readers know that this type of "trap" game has us smelling value on the other side! With the Public overwhelmingly on Arizona, this gives us added "value" on the Rams!

Three out of four bets are landing on Arizona -- so we will "bet against the public" and take St. Louis as a live home dog. Arizona is a first-place team, but is just 4-3 in the relatively weak NFC West Division. We like taking dogs in tough divisional games -- that often end up being closer than expected. St. Louis started the season poorly -- but has been playing a lot better, lately. On the other hand, Arizona started the season 2-0 -- but is just 2-3 in their last five. Take the Rams plus the points.

St Louis Rams +3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Seattle Seahawks

This is one of those "take your man pills" games. Time to find out if you really believe in the "betting against the Public." Seattle is coming off a big win. We're looking for them to continue this positive momentum at home against Philly.

Meanwhile, the Public is overwhelmingly on Philly at a rate we rarely see (almost 90% on Philly!). They are betting this game like they know the final score. The bookmakers are begging the Public to take Philly. Some very sharp sportsbooks are offering the Eagles -6.5. SportsInsights' betting statistics indicate that there is a lot of Sharp money on Seattle. Seattle +7 is widely available -- and we're hoping Public money will push the this line to 7.5 by game time.

Seattle Seahawks +7

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

What a difference a year makes. Last year, this was one of the biggest games of the regular season. This year, both teams might not even make the playoffs...but that's the beauty of the NFL. The Public is leaning towards the Colts in this game.

Both teams have shown glimpses of the powerhouses that they can be -- but have lacked consistency this season. Imagine the Patriots getting points, let alone almost a whole touchdown! We're taking the points and looking for NE offense to finally start playing.

New England +6



Games to Watch (14-9 = 60.9%)

St. Louis Rams +3
Seattle Seahawks +7
New England Patriots +6
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[uscmd]

Hilton week 9, entire field and top 10 players breakdown:

Top 10 (and ties, 11)

GB 8
Was 5

Det
Oak 4



SUPERCONTEST WEEK 9-Updated October 31, 2008- All Contestants


Contestant Name Wins Loss Ties Sel1 Sel2 Sel3 Sel4 Sel5

All Contestants - Selection Recap
Selection # of Times Selected

CLE -1.5 106
GB +5.5 106
PHI -6.5 94
DEN -3.5 91
IND -5.5 84
MIN -4.5 75
BUF -5.5 72
DET +13 67
DAL +8.5 66
WAS -2 66
MIA +3.5 60
ARI -3 59
NYG -8.5 58
NYJ +5.5 56
ATL -2.5 54
BAL +1.5 53
PIT +2 52
TB -8 51
STL +3 50
OAK +2.5 48
TEN -5.5 47
CIN +7.5 45
HOU +4.5 43
JAX -7.5 43
NE +5.5 42
SEA +6.5 40
CHI -13 27
KC +8 25

Top ** Contestants

Contestant Name Wins Loss Ties Sel1 Sel2 Sel3 Sel4 Sel5

THE BETTING DOCTOR.COM 30 8 2 MIN JAX CLE DET OAK
KING OF CRUNK . 27 12 1 BAL NYJ ARI TEN WAS
MONEY LINE . 27 13 0 MIA OAK NYG SEA WAS
STRAY BULLETT . 27 12 1 MIN GB DAL SEA WAS
REVEREND RIGHT . 27 12 1 DET GB DEN PHI IND
BRYAN ATHEY . 27 13 0 MIN NYJ ARI DET GB
NOAHS ARC . 27 11 2 CIN BUF GB DAL WAS
FEZZIK . 27 11 2 CIN CLE GB IND WAS
WOOD . 26 12 2 TB DET GB DEN OAK
MICHAEL MAROTTA 26 14 0 KC ARI CHI GB OAK
STYLIN' . 26 13 1 HOU KC BAL NYJ GB
LONESTAR COBRA . 25 14 1 CLE DEN DAL PHI WAS
3G-SPORTS . 25 14 1 CIN BAL ARI CHI IND
VEGASPORTSLINE .COM 25 14 1 ARI GB MIA ATL PHI
DURBIFY . 25 14 1 TB CLE GB DEN SEA
THE CHOSEN ONE . 25 15 0 DET DEN ATL SEA PIT
LEO SHAFTO . 25 14 1 CLE ARI DET GB DEN
MR. ROGER . 25 14 1 MIN TB BUF CHI PHI
PREDICTEM.COM . 25 14 1 HOU GB NYG IND WAS
MORLEY THE FIFTEENTH 25 13 2 MIN TB ATL PHI IND
LONDO . 25 14 1 CIN GB DEN DAL IND
ERWINS . 25 13 2 MIN BAL STL OAK PIT
SLICK 50 . 25 15 0 GB ATL DAL PHI WAS
THESPORTSPAGE. COM 25 15 0 MIN CLE BUF NYG WAS
BARTHOLOMEW SIMPSON 25 13 2 CLE STL GB DEN OAK
BUCKEYE702 . 25 13 2 MIN STL MIA ATL IND
COLLOSSEUM 1 . 25 14 1 TB DEN NYG PHI WAS
CAROLINE . 25 14 1 MIN CIN CLE BUF ATL
DR.B AND DR. SAUCE 24 15 1 CIN BUF DET NYG IND
AARDVARK . 24 15 1 CIN ARI CHI MIA ATL
THREE OUT OF FIVE 24 16 0 CLE DEN PHI IND WAS
SHORELINE SCRUBS 24 15 1 CLE BUF GB MIA NYG
SCOTTY DOESN'T KNOW 24 15 1 TB CLE DET GB DEN
VEGAS.RUNNER & MARCO DANGELO 24 15 1 MIN CIN BAL NYJ WAS
ZOESBEGEEZER DAD 24 16 0 BAL TEN DEN IND WAS
COPERNICUS . 24 15 1 CIN NYJ DET GB MIA
RONIN . 24 15 1 CLE NYJ GB DEN NYG
HOUSTON 1222 . 24 14 2 BAL NYJ DAL SEA WAS
IT'S CLOBBER ING TIME 24 15 1 TB CLE STL DET MIA
SQUAREPANTS . 23 16 1 CLE DET DEN DAL SEA
VIEWFROMVEGAS .COM 23 16 1 HOU DET MIA DAL PIT
NATA'S . 23 17 0 TB CLE NYG PHI WAS
RELENTLESS PURSUIT 23 16 1 OAK DAL SEA NE WAS
THE WATER BUFFALOES 23 16 1 MIN STL CHI DEN NYG
FRANK GAUDIANE . 23 16 1 GB MIA PHI IND WAS
FROGTOWN SPORTS 23 17 0 CIN BAL NYJ IND WAS
YOU'RE NOT THAT GOOD 23 17 0 CIN BUF GB MIA IND
FRANKB22 . 23 16 1 JAX BUF STL GB IND
RICO . 23 16 1 BUF DEN OAK NYG SEA
BOBBY BABOWSKI . 23 15 2 MIN DET DEN OAK PIT
DOUGIEFRESH . 23 16 1 JAX TB ARI IND PIT
KSHP . 23 15 2 MIN CLE BUF GB PIT
BLUE TEAM . 23 17 0 MIN TB GB DEN DAL
FUNHOUSE . 23 17 0 CIN DET GB OAK IND
A AND L PICK'S . 23 16 1 HOU JAX KC GB DEN
ROY WILSON 23 15 2 CLE NYJ DET GB DEN
BIGAL.COM . 23 17 0 MIN CIN GB OAK IND
MRVEGASWINS .COM 23 16 1 JAX KC DET SEA NE
SLIM TIM . 23 17 0 CLE STL DET GB ATL
LYNXLY . 23 15 2 CIN CLE GB DAL IND
GAL GUSSO . 23 16 1 MIA OAK DAL SEA WAS
JUSTPRO FOOTBALL.COM 22 17 1 MIN BAL ARI CHI NYG
DAVID MILLER . 22 16 2 CLE STL DET GB DAL
THE FAR SIDE . 22 16 2 JAX ARI GB OAK WAS
ROUGHING THE PICKER 22 16 2 MIN TB BAL DAL PHI
THE MOST . 22 17 1 MIN TEN DEN NYG PHI
HULA BOY . 22 16 2 MIN TB BAL BUF DEN
RUSSIAN 1 . 22 16 2 TB STL GB ATL IND
SHAKE AND BAKE . 22 18 0 MIN CIN NYJ STL SEA
MISTER P . 22 17 1 TB BAL BUF DAL WAS
TGCAC . 22 18 0 MIN CIN CLE DET TEN
TOO OLD PROS . 22 17 1 OAK DAL SEA NE WAS
CHOPPER . 22 17 1 HOU TEN MIA ATL NYG
SHARK SANDWICH . 22 18 0 HOU TB BUF TEN PHI
WILLIAM CLARKSON 22 17 1 BAL BUF ARI TEN MIA
MACKENZIES . 22 17 1 BAL BUF ARI TEN MIA
TREE TOP TIPS . 22 17 1 KC DET MIA NYG IND
MADDUX SP . 22 17 1 CIN CLE BUF MIA IND
SCOTT STOWELL . 22 17 1 HOU JAX ARI NE WAS
DACHEETAH JAIALAI 22 16 2 MIN BUF DEN DAL PIT
ACK ACK . 22 17 1 HOU DEN ATL DAL IND
LEXI . 22 15 3 HOU BUF DET NYG NE
BUSHWHACK . 22 16 2 DET TEN DEN DAL IND
REDMEN . 22 17 1 CLE TEN DEN NYG PHI
CONTINENTAL SPORTS SERVICE 22 17 1 JAX STL DET TEN WAS
BACKDOORED . 22 16 2 KC CLE DEN IND WAS
MAYO MCCUTCHEON 22 17 1 MIN TB ARI GB DEN
FRANKIE . 22 17 1 CLE STL TEN DEN PHI
DEREK & THE DOMO 22 18 0 HOU JAX BUF ARI NYG
VIP WINNERS . 22 17 1 KC DET TEN DAL IND
PIGLET . 22 17 1 CLE ARI NYG PHI PIT
FRAT BOYS . 22 17 1 STL OAK NYG NE PIT
PB&K . 22 15 3 CLE NYJ DEN ATL PHI
IBELIEVE . 22 16 2 MIN JAX KC MIA IND
TONY SALINAS . 22 17 1 CIN CLE NYJ GB DAL
MALSOR . 22 17 1 BUF GB DEN PHI IND
FAT SQUARED . 22 17 1 HOU KC BAL TEN SEA
L.V. HUSTL3RS . 22 16 2 KC CLE GB PHI PIT
ABEL . 22 16 2 TB BAL DEN NYG NE
RBSPORTS . 22 17 1 CIN KC CLE NYJ ARI
COLLOSSEUM 2 . 22 16 2 TB DEN NYG PHI WAS
TCHGOLD . 22 18 0 CIN MIA ATL IND PIT
BRISKI . 21 19 0 MIN BUF ATL PHI IND
BLUE THUNDER . 21 18 1 HOU MIA NYG PHI WAS
AYE . 21 18 1 TB DET DAL PHI IND
GAMBLING RATS . 21 17 2 TB BUF GB DEN DAL
D MILL . 21 17 2 CLE STL GB ATL DAL
JAMES BROWN . 21 17 2 TB NYJ ARI NE WAS
FIRST CLASS MIKE 21 17 2 TB CLE DEN OAK PIT
JAXTERSPIX.NET . 21 17 2 CLE MIA ATL IND PIT
THE SHARKS . 21 17 2 TB DEN OAK PHI WAS
MONKEY . 21 18 1 NYJ GB DEN NE PIT
R2K2 . 21 17 2 TB BAL ARI MIA NYG
BUSKY . 21 18 1 CLE DET DEN DAL PHI
NIAGA2991 . 21 18 1 CLE CHI MIA ATL NYG
DON JUAN OF THE YUKON 21 19 0 MIN JAX NYJ GB PHI
KCEXTREME . 21 17 2 MIN BUF GB DEN DAL
THINKIN LIKE BINKIN 21 17 2 CIN NYJ GB NYG SEA
RICKJSPORTS PLAYS.COM 21 17 2 HOU NYJ MIA SEA NE
MAC SHANE . 21 18 1 TEN DAL PHI NE WAS
DR. KING . 21 17 2 BUF TEN NYG NE WAS
WIRE TO WIRE . 21 18 1 HOU BAL CHI GB SEA
ITALIAN ICE . 21 18 1 JAX CLE BUF NYG PHI
DOS AMIGOS . 21 17 2 CLE ARI GB DEN PHI
BIG ANGIE . 21 18 1 MIN CLE BUF PHI IND
888 IS ENOUGH . 21 19 0 CLE ARI MIA OAK DAL
IONE'S SON . 21 17 2 BUF ARI OAK SEA WAS
RED RYDER . 21 19 0 CLE BUF DET IND PIT
J&B ENTERPRISE . 21 18 1 CIN KC STL SEA WAS
RAM66 . 21 17 2 JAX NYJ GB PHI NE
BIG E . 21 18 1 NYJ GB DEN OAK SEA
KM SPORTS . 21 18 1 HOU CLE NYJ DET GB
ROB DEVLIN . 21 17 2 JAX TB CHI ATL PHI
GG . 21 18 1 MIN CIN MIA DAL IND
ROGER HARRIS . 21 18 1 JAX CLE ARI OAK WAS
SUNDOWN . 21 17 2 CIN DET ATL IND WAS
OTIS . 21 18 1 HOU ARI DEN NYG IND
PLUMB KRAZY . 21 17 2 CIN CLE STL ATL PHI
HUSKER NATION . 21 18 1 CHI TEN DEN NYG PHI
ARTHUR GOLTZ . 21 19 0 CIN DET OAK DAL SEA
BET ON ME . 21 17 2 MIN BUF GB OAK NYG
ROY WILSON 21 17 2 STL GB DEN OAK SEA
EAGLES FLY . 21 19 0 CIN BAL NYJ MIA PIT
THEACCOUNTANTS . 21 17 2 CLE GB DEN PHI IND
THE PRETZEL . 21 17 2 MIN KC GB OAK IND
DR. DAVIS . 21 17 2 TB STL ATL DAL PHI
WESTCHESTER MECHANICS 20 18 2 TB BAL GB NYG PHI
REYROB . 20 20 0 BUF DET DAL NE PIT
PREPAY . 20 19 1 HOU CLE GB OAK DAL
RUSSIAN 2 . 20 18 2 MIN DET GB ATL IND
JARHEAD . 20 18 2 BAL NYJ ARI SEA NE
TEAM WILLIS . 20 18 2 JAX CLE ATL DAL PIT
BRAZ . 20 19 1 HOU NYJ GB DAL SEA
UGLY KID JOE . 20 19 1 BAL NYJ GB OAK PHI
PSI . 20 20 0 MIN BAL GB OAK PHI
ABCBAIL . 20 20 0 TB BAL ARI IND PIT
DADDY N DOUGHNUTS 20 19 1 JAX TB PHI NE PIT
OKWATNAK . 20 19 1 CIN BAL STL DEN DAL
UPON FURTHER REVIEW 20 20 0 TB TEN ATL NYG PHI
TIGER JAM . 20 18 2 BUF STL GB NYG WAS
MATTHEW BORKOWSKI 20 19 1 BUF TEN DEN PHI IND
TEAM FUBAR . 20 20 0 BAL BUF DET NYG PHI
DR. LOU . 20 20 0 JAX TB BAL ARI ATL
MK SPORTS . 20 18 2 MIN NYJ ARI DEN DAL
TONY SMITH . 20 18 2 HOU CLE BUF STL NYG
BLUEHORSESHOE SPORTS.COM 20 19 1 JAX CLE DEN ATL PHI
JJFL . 20 19 1 MIN TB NYJ GB MIA
INSIDESPORTS VIEW 20 19 1 MIN BAL BUF ATL PHI
ROCKSOLIDPICKS .COM 20 18 2 BAL BUF ARI GB PHI
BUDLADY . 20 19 1 BAL CHI TEN NYG IND
EXEC . 20 19 1 CIN NYJ TEN MIA WAS
SIMPLY THE BEST 20 17 3 MIN JAX CLE DEN NYG
MAX 1 . 20 18 2 MIN CHI TEN MIA PHI
PIZZA MAN . 20 19 1 MIN BUF TEN PHI IND
E.M.H.J.F.C. . 20 19 1 MIN GB DEN IND PIT
CHAPPY . 20 19 1 HOU JAX DAL IND PIT
BLMK . 20 18 2 No Ticket
JOJO . 20 19 1 JAX CLE ATL NE WAS
FGH . 20 19 1 KC STL MIA DAL NE
TAYLORANDSADIE . 20 19 1 HOU KC MIA IND PIT
MAXPESCATORI .COM 20 19 1 ATL DAL PHI IND WAS
UAREALL DONKEYS 20 18 2 JAX CLE BUF ARI ATL
BOZO'S DEAD . 20 19 1 MIN DET OAK DAL WAS
BROCKTON BOXER 20 19 1 MIN JAX CHI GB DEN
SILVER FOX . 20 19 1 STL DET OAK DAL SEA
ANGRY GOATS . 20 13 2 MIN BUF MIA OAK NYG
PHILADELPHIA FREEDOM 20 18 2 HOU NYJ DAL SEA PIT
DOUBLE R . 19 20 1 MIN CLE BUF DET NYG
JHC III . 19 21 0 BAL ARI ATL IND PIT
SEVEN RED . 19 20 1 MIN CLE DET GB NE
DASH RIPROCK . 19 21 0 CIN ARI GB DEN PIT
G. ABREGO . 19 20 1 MIN ARI DET ATL NYG
JOHNNYBO.COM . 19 20 1 JAX ARI ATL PHI IND
MASTER OF CHOOS 19 20 1 CLE STL MIA OAK DAL
PURPLE AND GOLD 19 21 0 JAX ARI CHI DAL PIT
LAVANG . 19 20 1 KC BAL DET ATL DAL
ZAARNAK . 19 21 0 TB BAL ARI CHI TEN
POLSERITA . 19 19 2 JAX TEN MIA ATL WAS
IRISH SAMOA . 19 20 1 HOU MIA PHI IND WAS
GLUTEN FREE . 19 19 2 HOU JAX TB BUF IND
RAINBOW WARRIOR 19 20 1 TEN MIA DAL PHI IND
ESQUIRE SPORTS . 19 21 0 BUF CHI DAL SEA NE
RWM . 19 20 1 TB TEN ATL NYG PHI
TIMBUKTU . 19 20 1 MIN CLE ARI MIA PIT
GORDON GEE . 19 20 1 GB ATL NYG PHI IND
22 PURPLE ROSE . 19 21 0 MIN BAL NYJ TEN PHI
BEYOND CAPPING .COM 19 15 1 BUF ARI DET MIA ATL
STRETCH . 19 20 1 CLE GB DEN SEA PIT
TK . 19 20 1 HOU JAX ATL PHI WAS
GRAYBEARDS . 19 19 2 BUF STL TEN PHI IND
VIDAL . 19 19 2 CLE NYJ DEN DAL PHI
LANCAN . 19 19 2 JAX BAL MIA PHI IND
BLSSD FLISH TRMNTD 19 18 3 CLE NYJ NYG PHI NE
WHITE RAIN . 19 20 1 TB BUF ARI CHI MIA
HOLY COWS . 18 21 1 HOU TB NYJ ARI GB
HOOSIERS . 18 22 0 JAX BUF GB IND WAS
O.C. DOOLEY . 18 22 0 NYJ GB SEA IND PIT
R. . 18 21 1 KC NYJ DET MIA DAL
MAGIC MAN + EL DIABLO 18 21 1 CLE ARI GB PHI IND
BRUNO'S BOYS . 18 22 0 CLE TEN ATL NYG PHI
THREE AMIGOS . 18 21 1 HOU CLE NYJ STL MIA
TOUCHDOWN . 18 20 2 TB ARI GB ATL PIT
JOHN KWAN . 18 22 0 CLE MIA ATL PHI PIT
LOCKSVILLE.COM . 18 21 1 CLE STL DET PHI IND
ROUNDERS . 18 19 3 CLE BUF STL DET DEN
DETROIT STARS . 18 22 0 MIN JAX NYG IND WAS
ANTHONY GEORGE 2 18 21 1 CLE STL GB NE WAS
PR SPORTS . 18 19 3 MIN GB DEN DAL IND
BEE TEE'S S.A.C. 18 21 1 MIN BAL BUF TEN NE
H20 FIVE 0 . 18 21 1 KC NYJ STL GB SEA
BLONDIE 89103 . 18 20 2 CLE GB MIA ATL WAS
THE EAGLE . 18 21 1 JAX TB CLE NYG PHI
BIG FIVE . 18 21 1 KC CLE DAL SEA NE
JAS . 18 16 1 No Ticket
54 PAGAN . 18 22 0 CIN BAL DAL PHI WAS
MICHAEL PIRANIO 18 21 1 CIN KC DET SEA WAS
BIG PICTURE . 18 21 1 BUF GB DEN IND WAS
BIG LIB . 18 20 2 CIN BUF STL DET SEA
SRG . 18 21 1 HOU STL TEN DEN WAS
KJW . 18 21 1 HOU CLE BUF STL ATL
AL THE SLY . 18 21 1 MIN STL DAL IND PIT
BROOKLYN DODGERS 18 22 0 CLE NYJ GB PHI IND
SUNDAY NIGHT . 18 20 2 BUF CHI DEN ATL PHI
ET . 18 20 2 CLE BUF TEN IND WAS
TONY ZZZ . 18 22 0 HOU GB MIA SEA NE
FAST EDDIE SPORTS 18 21 1 CLE ARI GB NYG PIT
PUT THE MONEY IN THE BAG 18 20 2 MIN NYJ DET GB DEN
GRANT LINCOLN . 18 20 2 TB DET DEN PHI PIT
STEVE ARNTZEN . 18 20 2 HOU BAL BUF TEN WAS
PRINCESS HAIRY WARTS 18 21 1 CLE TEN DEN ATL PHI
PREGAME.COM . 18 21 1 MIN CLE DET GB NE
"638 FOREVER" . 18 20 2 TB CLE OAK PHI IND
SQUAREPANTS II . 18 20 2 JAX CLE DET DEN SEA
BLACK JACK . 18 21 1 HOU ARI DET GB NYG
ARI YAZ . 18 21 1 CLE DEN PHI IND PIT
LONG HAIR . 18 21 1 BAL GB NYG SEA PIT
ICEMAN . 18 21 1 CIN BAL NYJ STL DEN
NO COMPLAINTS NO EXCUSES 18 21 1 CIN BAL STL GB IND
EDGELINE . 18 21 1 NYJ DET DEN SEA NE
THE SANDMAN . 18 20 2 HOU BUF TEN NYG NE
"THE FRONZ" . 18 21 1 CLE NYJ DEN OAK SEA
BUCCANEER MIKE 18 20 2 HOU CIN CLE BUF IND
130 BRIXX . 17 21 2 TB ARI GB DEN PHI
JERSEY RED . 17 22 1 HOU CLE ARI PHI PIT
MITSU-SAN . 17 23 0 ARI TEN MIA PHI NE
SEVEN GOLD . 17 22 1 CLE BUF GB OAK DAL
MAD ANM . 17 23 0 TB BAL BUF CHI PHI
PAPILLON . 17 22 1 MIN CLE GB OAK WAS
SPARKS . 17 22 1 MIN TB CLE BUF DEN
RIVRATS . 17 23 0 MIN BUF ARI CHI TEN
BALD EAGLE . 17 21 2 MIN CLE BUF PHI PIT
MCLOVIN . 17 23 0 HOU KC BAL MIA PIT
J.R. A.R. . 17 21 2 TB CLE BUF ARI GB
JUMPIN JACK DOYLE 17 22 1 KC STL CHI DEN PHI
COMMISSIONER AND THE GURU 17 22 1 CLE DET DAL PHI WAS
HIT HIM IN THE FOOT 17 21 2 GB MIA PHI IND PIT
ON A MISSION . 17 20 3 HOU NYJ GB MIA NE
G. D. . 17 20 3 JAX CLE TEN MIA ATL
SULLY SPORTS . 17 23 0 CIN DET GB OAK IND
GA . 17 21 2 GB DEN DAL IND WAS
LOU-T . 17 17 1 HOU JAX TB CLE MIA
CODY . 17 23 0 STL TEN OAK DAL NE
BUCKY BADGER . 17 22 1 MIN JAX BUF OAK NYG
HAMPTONS . 17 20 3 CLE BUF TEN ATL PHI
BREAKBOOKIES HEART 17 23 0 JAX TB BUF ARI GB
TAKE OUT THE TRASH 17 21 2 MIN NYJ DET GB DEN
MAX 2 . 17 21 2 MIN CIN TB CLE NYJ
M + K TEAM . 17 21 2 CHI TEN DEN PHI IND
OCEAN RAY . 17 22 1 HOU CLE ARI ATL IND
CINEMA MATT . 17 22 1 MIN BAL DAL IND WAS
ICEMAN . 17 21 2 CIN BAL ARI MIA IND
MY BEST PICKS . 17 22 1 No Ticket
BROKEN ARROW . 17 21 2 HOU JAX STL DET DEN
DIAR . 17 23 0 CLE DET DEN OAK PHI
TOANM . 17 22 1 No Ticket
BARCELONA . 17 17 1 BUF ARI DEN IND PIT
HIGHROLLERS TEAM.COM 17 20 3 BAL STL GB DEN OAK
AMNESIA . 17 21 2 NYJ STL DET OAK PIT
SLY STONE . 16 21 3 BUF TEN MIA IND PIT
SPITGAME.COM . 16 23 1 CIN NYJ CHI GB WAS
ALIAS SPORTS . 16 23 1 CLE GB DEN OAK DAL
DOCTOR G . 16 22 2 STL DET MIA DAL NE
WIN BIG . 16 22 2 CIN CLE ATL DAL PHI
DMACK SPORTS . 16 22 2 JAX ARI TEN NYG NE
DR. EVIL . 16 21 3 BUF DET DEN ATL PIT
MOTOR CITY MIKE 16 22 2 HOU STL DET TEN MIA
BUDMAN . 16 23 1 BAL CHI TEN NYG IND
BLUTO . 16 24 0 JAX NYJ DEN ATL PIT
DAVE'S NOT HERE 16 23 1 KC CLE STL OAK WAS
DENALI 6293 . 16 22 2 NYJ GB DEN NYG IND
ROCK ON RIDERS . 16 23 1 HOU TB CLE ARI PHI
LOGAN'S HEROES . 16 22 2 MIN NYJ DET NE PIT
UNDERAGE GYMNASTS 16 23 1 MIN TB GB PHI NE
NAPKIN NIGHTS . 16 23 1 NYJ DEN NYG SEA NE
ANCIENT CHINESE SECRET 15 23 2 HOU CIN CLE DET MIA
QUASIMODO . 15 23 2 MIN CLE STL DEN PHI
ABI . 15 23 2 BAL NYJ STL DET DAL
HOWZIT . 15 18 2 CLE BUF DET DAL WAS
BIG TONY . 15 23 2 MIN CLE STL GB IND
SUPER MIKE . 15 23 2 NYJ STL DET PHI PIT
CHINO . 15 24 1 CLE NYJ CHI NYG WAS
GETHEMONEY08 . 15 22 3 No Ticket
JOHN SINGLETON MOSBY 15 23 2 KC BAL MIA PHI NE
DESPERATE HOUSEDOGS 15 25 0 JAX GB PHI IND PIT
REYMAX . 14 24 2 ARI CHI ATL PHI IND
EASTERNASSASIN S.COM 14 24 2 OAK NYG PHI NE PIT
BOGA DAVE . 14 24 2 MIN DET SEA NE PIT
UPSET SPECIAL . 14 24 2 KC CLE STL MIA DAL
ANTHONY GEORGE 1 14 24 2 CLE STL GB NE WAS
SEAN LENAHAN . 14 25 1 MIN BAL NYJ DEN ATL
EZ-PAKE . 14 25 1 MIN CLE MIA NYG WAS
THE ULTIMATE DUO 14 25 1 CLE BUF TEN IND WAS
ADAMWINS.COM . 13 17 0 MIN CIN BAL ARI DEN
WILL PICKEM . 13 26 1 MIN NYJ DET DEN PHI
KYONG . 13 25 2 NYJ GB MIA NE WAS
DOUBLEDAWG . 13 17 0 MIN CLE STL CHI DEN
TBALL . 13 21 1 No Ticket
INTRIGUE SPORTSCAP 13 21 1 JAX BAL BUF OAK PHI
ADAM ZINN. . 13 25 2 MIN BUF GB DEN PIT
ASIS . 12 18 0 MIN CIN BAL ARI DEN
BIG JAY SPORTS . 12 18 0 MIN CIN BAL ARI DEN
MABEL . 12 26 2 CIN CLE DET DEN OAK
JB ROCKS . 10 19 1 TB GB DEN DAL SEA
GATORSKINS . 10 29 1 NYJ GB OAK NE WAS
THE FAMOUS JOHNNY C. 9 11 0 No Ticket
VALENTINO . 8 7 0 No Ticket
DANNY MONACO . 7 22 1 No Ticket
THE ROUNDERS . 7 16 2 No Ticket
MUSHROOM STAMPER 4 6 0 No Ticket
BLINGERS BALLERS 2 3 0 No Ticket

Top ** Contestants - Selection Recap
Selection # of Times Selected

CLE -1.5 107
GB +5.5 107
PHI -6.5 94
DEN -3.5 93
IND -5.5 84
MIN -4.5 75
BUF -5.5 72
DET +13 68
DAL +8.5 66
WAS -2 66
MIA +3.5 60
ARI -3 59
NYJ +5.5 58
NYG -8.5 58
BAL +1.5 54
ATL -2.5 54
PIT +2 52
TB -8 51
STL +3 51
OAK +2.5 48
TEN -5.5 47
CIN +7.5 46
HOU +4.5 43
JAX -7.5 43
NE +5.5 42
SEA +6.5 40
CHI -13 27
KC +8 25

[melch]

MEL'S NFL PICKS

Denver -3.5 over Miami
This is a matchup of two of the league's weakest pass defenses. Considering that Denver is also allowing 5.4 yards per rush they could have the worst defense in the league. That's part of why Denver hasn't covered the spread their last 5 games. Part two is that the Broncos are -10 in net turnovers in those games. Miami has lost 2 of their last 3, and their home win over Buffalo last week was fueled by +3 turnovers. This figures to be an entertaining game, as two strong passing attacks should put some points on the board. I'll take Denver as the home favorite here. They have managed to win 3 of 4 home games this season. Coming off their bye they may show improvement. If this game becomes available at -3 -120, that would be preferable to -3.5.

Minnesota -4.5 over Houston
In an extremely unusual situation, Houston has played 4 consecutive home games in the last 4 weeks. As if that weren't enough, they've had weak opponents the last two weeks in Detroit and Cinci. Those are the only two games where Houston's poor defense hasn't given up 28 points or more. Minnesota has put up mediocre results on both sides of the ball against a somewhat tougher schedule, and are giving up 24 PPG this year. Both teams are sitting at 3-4 and need a good performance to establish their chances the rest of the way. I'll take a rested team to deliver for the home fans against a visitor in their first game on turf.

Green Bay +4.5 over Tennessee
Tennessee is the only NFL team that's still undefeated. Their excellent defense has only allowed 12.4 PPG which will be tough to maintain. The fact is they've faced six below average offenses so far. GB is a better than average offense and I think Rodgers, who just got a 5 year contract extension, is the better QB here. Collins pass protection has been outstanding, and the Titans have only given up two QB sacks through 7 games. I think if you adjust for strength of schedule this matchup is closer than it looks, so I'll take the points.

Indianapolis -6 over New England
New England's defensive woes this season have been masked by a weak schedule, but they're not what they were last year. With Tom Brady out for the season there is no more debate over who has the better QB in this matchup. Indianapolis seems to be getting better each week, and get Addai back from an injury. I like the way the schedule sets up for them back at home after facing GB and Tennessee on the road, and I'll lay the number.

[ymmit2nd]

Sports Wise Guys

5 Star Picks (Week 9):



Houston +4.5 over Minnesota
Green Bay +5 over Tennessee
Philadelphia -6.5 over Seattle
Buffalo/NY Jets over 42
Chicago/Detroit over 43.5

5-Star NFL Picks Season Total: 21-18-1 (53.8%)

[ymmit2nd]

Allen Eastman

$3000.00 -101 New England (+6) over Indianapolis (8 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)

$2000.00 +112 Miami (+3) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)

$500.00 -110 ‘Under’ 40 Jacksonville at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)

$800.00 -107 "Over" 41 New York Giants at Dallas (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 1)

3 TEAM TEASER

NE +16
NYG OVER 31
JAX UNDER 50.....................$480 TO WIN $400

[ymmit2nd]

M@linsky

4* Phily -6.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Records Grid:
NFL Regular Season 2-1 for +105.00 Units (Special 150 Units 2-1, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NCAA Regular Season 3-3 for -30.00 Units (Special 150 Units 3-3, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NFL/NCAA Special Teaser Releases 1-0- for +150.00 Units (150 Unit Game of the Year Teaser Iso's 1-0)

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Sunday NFL Week 9 Executive Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's NFL Underdog Shocker Game of the Year):
150 Units #413 GREEN BAY PACKERS +5/-120 over Tennessee Titans (1:05 PM ET)

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's Monday Night Inter-Conference Game of the Year)
150 Units #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130 over Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's NFL October Game of the Month):
150 Units #400 MINNESOTA VIKINGS -4/-115 over Houston Texans (1:05 PM ET)

Dominic Brando Sports

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 6-1-0 for +530.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 6-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 47-45-5/-720.00 Units (Special 150 Units 3-3, Top 100 Units 39-42-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 15-20/-101.25 Units (Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 31-26-0 for +10.00 Units (Special 150 Units 2-1, Top 100 Units 29-25)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports Sunday/Monday NFL Week Nine High Volume Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's NFL Underdog Shocker Game of the Year):
150 Units #413 GREEN BAY PACKERS +5/-120 over Tennessee Titans (1:05 PM ET)

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's Monday Night Inter-Conference Game of the Year)
150 Units #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130 over Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's NFL October Game of the Month):
150 Units #400 MINNESOTA VIKINGS -4/-115 over Houston Texans (1:05 PM ET)

NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #409 ARIZONA CARDINALS -2/-125 over St Louis Rams
NFL Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #411 DETROIT LIONS +14/-130 over Chicago Bears

Sunday NFL Week Nine Money Line Isolations:

NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #413 GREEN BAY PACKERS +180 over Tennessee
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #400 MINNESOTA VIKINGS -200 over Houston
NFL Regular 50 Unit Black Diamond Best Bet: #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS -125 over Pittsburgh

Dominic Brando Sports

[ymmit2nd]

Chip Chirimbes

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Private Players Club Goy- Seahawks

[ymmit2nd]

TheProSource

NFL FB 11/2

18-3 -1 NFL run

/ 16-6 college run

5-0 run MNFB plays

Hi All No totals in our strong range again this weekGL


Cincinnati + 8 Top Play
Buffalo - 5.5
Giants - 8.5 Top Play



this one may go higher....Cincinnati + 8 ** TOP Play UNDERDOG GOM **vs Jacksonville 1 pm et

This isn't pretty, because you play on horrible teams, butit's one of those overvalued favorite why ask why systems..This remained a perfect situation when it went 1-0-1 lastyear. The 0-8 Rams actually won SU as a 10(+) dog withthe 0-8 Dolphins catching the tie at +3. We won't ask forthe Bengals to win, but just for the ugly dog to get to thefood bowl. Remember, the systems are getting us all theW's, but there's warped logic below if you want to read on.we'll give you the whole simple system:PLAY ON any 0-8 NFL team in Game Nine if they won 8or less games last season...."simply"12-0-1 ATS Since 1990 ..100% for 17 seasonsThe Jags are off a home loss vs a team they should havebeaten, and they are on the road vs a team they shouldbeat easily. When this happens, the strong team is waryof giving the game away to the weak team, and they playcautiously, waiting for the other team to make the firstmistake. This results in low scoring games, and a gameour system says will keep the home team close.Cinci is the worst offensive team in the league, but theyshockingly have better defensive numbers than the Jags.The Bengals have played a very tough schedule, as everyteam they have faced has at least 3 wins.Thats Tenn, Giants, Balt, Dallas, Pitt ....We know theBengals are a bad team, but the other 13 teams in thisspot were all TRAGIC, and not one failed to cover.It's easy to think like almost everyone, that the Jags areoff a poor game, Cinci off a 30 pt loss, should get waxed.Sorry, the numbers say different. How smart is it to layalmost dble digits to a home team with a better defense?Off rank: 20th (317 ypg). Def rank: 23rd (338.6 ypg)now for the BengalsOff rank: 32nd (229 ypg). Def rank: 22nd (338 ypg)Jags a soft 3-13 away into revenge





just a regular play...oddity has Buff 2-17 lst 10 yrs afterthey play Miami, but 1 of the 2 covers was vs the Jets

Buffalo - 5.5vs NY Jets 1 pm et


The Jets are 4-3 but the wins have not come easy of late.NY has struggled 3 in a row vs arguably the 3 worst teamsin the AFC..KC, Oak, Cinci.Buffalo is a great home team isolated with their rabid fansin the brutal upstate NY area. The Bills allow only 302 totalyards and 20.4 ppg, but up here in no mans land, the Billsdefense has been even better. In 3 home games, da Billsare allowing just 15.7 pts and 254 total yards. New JetsQB Favre lost here by 14 in 2006 and by 9 in 2000 whenhe was leader of the Pack. Favre hasn’t looked very good,as we mentioned the Jets struggles over the L3 wks. Favreis a hot and cold guy, and we'll ride his streak. The Jetshave lost ATS in 7 of the last 9 in the series.We are looking to Play On - Home teams - off 2 or moreconsecutive unders, in a game involving two teams withthese WL%'s, and they must be scoring on average forthe season at least what these two teams are.31-7 , since 1983....82% for 25 seasons.Buff 17-2 in NOV at home vs a team off a SU win, 17-2 atH in Gm 8 (or beyond) off a SU loss vs a team off BB SU Ws








Giants - 8.5 to - 9 ** Top Play NFC GOM**vs Dallas will grade at -9 4:15 et


Home loss revenge as last year, Dallas pulled away in the2nd half with 25 & 50 yd TD passes to Owens, winning 31-20.Well that was ROMO to Owens. Current Dallas QB Johnsondoesn't look like he can throw the ball 40 yds....no offensemeant. Dallas has scored just 27 pts in their 2 gms sincelosing Tony Romo. Johnson has been sacked 6 times & hasthrown 3 ints while avging just 178 passing yds. That shouldmake the Giants job on defense very easy. Last week, NYwas all over Big Ben Roethlisberger with 5 sacks & 4 int's.Here we'll mention that NY leads the NFL in sacks with 26.Manning hasn't looked that great lately, but an already thinDallas secondary lost CB Henry last week. Another badbreak as Dallas TE-Witten may not go, and he is a bigloss to a QB that keeps the passes short. The Cowboyscelebrated wildly after the win at home vs TB. Da Boysshould let down here off the BIG slide stopping home winvs a superior team on the road. Dallas failed to show upin StLouie 2 wks ago, getting tagged with 21 1st qtr pts.Can't imagine why NY wouldn't lay it on if they can. Tiebreaker in Conf, and basic hatred, or somone show themfilm of Owens spiking it in their end zone a few times LY.We are looking to Play On - Home teams - off 2 or moreconsecutive unders, in a game involving two teams withthese WL%'s, and they must be scoring on average forthe season at least what these two teams are.31-7 , since 1983....82% for 25 seasons.We like NY's chances to just win this game andDallas 12-103 ATS when they lose SU ....5-58 away

[ymmit2nd]

Joyce Sterling‏


Sunday NFL 11/2



New York Giants -9.5

10 STAR Game of the Week

The Giants have won every game at home and their defense is improvingDallas has a banged up secondary that is not very goodand their QB Johnson has not shown that he can make big plays.The Cowboys miss Romo and Parcells.Lay the points





New England +6 NBC 8:15

Indy 2-7-1 L/10 at home in this series. They have scored over 21 points only 2 times this season and their ground attack has been outrushed 922 to 420.They have lost 4 of their 5 home games this season.



Total Play of the Week

Philadelphia vs Seattle UNDER 42.5

Seattle defense has definitely improved their last 3 games.Seahawks are expected to be without quarterback Matt Hasselbeck for a fourth straight game.Both teams play ball control.

[ymmit2nd]

Sunday: INDIAN COWBOY

(POD). Take Over 42.5 between the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks (Sunday, 4:15pm Eastern). If you didn't notice, the Seahawks might be making a run at it with an impressive win over division foe in the 49ers. Not only did the Seahawks win in San Fran but won convincingly as they put up over 30+ points in the Bay area. Something that has gone under the radar is the fact that the Eagles have played overs when on the road facing competitive teams. Make no mistake about it, that Vegas knows what's up with more than 72% of the public riding the road favorite here in the Eagles which is a likely indicator that the Seahawks will be an active dog. In short, the Seahawks will be very competitive this game. They will push the Eagles to the limit. Consequently, the total will go over as this is likely the case when the public is all over a road favorite heavily and likely gets burned. I look for the Seahawks to cover, but more importantly, I look for this game to go over.

[ymmit2nd]

Lock Of The Day 3 Sunday Picks
Packers +5.5
Dolphins 3.5
1 To Be Added

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Vegas Vic

SEAHAWKS (+7) over Eagles
Almost had everything right last Sunday, but fell a few points short. We had a winner with Phils in Game 4 and our final score for the Birds and Falcons, 27-21, was seven points short. But the Vicster did say "This ain't gonna be an upset." Looking for a similar scenario out west, where the Eagles fly back home with a W, but Seattle keeps the final margin under a touchdown. Lets say it's a medium-to-light play. This is obviously not the same group of Seahawks who beat the Birds, 28-24, at the Linc last season, since QB Matt Hasselbeck is still out and RB Shaun Alexander now works in Washington. Seneca Wallace will get his third start under center for the 'Hawks and after a lousy first outing, he bounced back last week with a strong effort, hitting on 15 of 25 for 222 yards, two TDs and no INTs. Final score in coffee country looks like 24-20 for the locals.

BILLS (-5) over Jets

There's Manny being Manny, and Brett Favre just being Brett Favre. After four pretty solid games to open the season, Favre has had three, let's call 'em "close to stinkers," in a row. He was intercepted three times against Kansas City last week, has thrown seven picks in his last three games, and is tied for the NFL lead with 11. Not exactly the category where you wanna be sitting at the top of the chart. To make matters a little more sticky, Favre has been sacked 16 times, which is already one more than all of last season with the Packers. Buffalo is coming off an embarrassing loss at Miami (25-16), but with a 3-0 log at home, it should be an easy W, and cover for the Buffs. And if you're not convinced yet, how about the Jets' 7-20 record on the road over the last 3-plus years? Now you on board? Thought so.

BROWNS (-1) over Ravens

After the first meeting, Baltimore sent tapes to the league office claiming that the Cleveland players intentionally gouged the eyes of RB Willis McGahee. Of course, the Browns claim to be innocent. They also have claimed wins in three of the last four games, and have a sweet 8-3 mark at home since the start of 2007, while the Ravens are 2-9 on the road during the same span.

BRONCOS (-3) over Dolphins

Give Miami and new head coach Tony Sparano a ton of credit for the 3-4 record (the Fish were 1-15 last season), but there are a few problems on the immediate horizon. The weather for one. The Dolphins are coming out of South Florida where the temps have been in the mid-70s, and flying into Denver where they're gonna find low 20s as the sun starts to set in the Rockies. And the Dolphins 3-16 road mark the last 19 times out ain't gonna help.

COLTS (-6) over Patriots

Don't be throwing any dirt on Peyton Manning and Indy just yet. The Horseshoes finally get a shot at New England without Tom Brady, and the end result should be a very crucial victory. With a 3-4 record, the Colts don't have much wiggle room, so expect 'em to come out flying. And of course, the homefield edge is a monster, since the 'Shoes have won 17 of their last 22 at Indianapolis.

Cowboys (+9) over GIANTS

No Tony Romo. Possibly no Jason Witten and Brad Johnson struggling at QB. So why bother with Dallas against the New Yorkers with the 4-0 record at home? We can think of nine reasons, and it's the spread.

Jaguars (-7) over BENGALS

Cincy is giving up more than 30 points per game over the last month, has covered only two of the last nine at home, and with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB, the Bengals have no teeth, and, no chance.

VIKINGS (-4) over Texans

Still can't back a Houston team that has lost 23 of its last 27 on the road.

Bucs (-8) over CHIEFS

KC got three Brett Favre gifts to hang around last week. This time, no gifts, no cover.

Cardinals (-3) over RAMS

Arizona has won four of the last five against St. Louis, and should post another W this Sunday.

Lions (+13) over BEARS

This big fat 13-point spot looks appetizing. Why? Because Detroit is on a 6-0 spread roll as a double-digit dog.

Packers (+5) over TITANS

Green Bay might not hang a loss on Tennessee, but the Packers should be able to cover the spread.

Falcons (-3) over RAIDERS

Don't watch it. Don't bet on it. Make believe it doesn't exsist.

Steelers (+2) over REDSKINS

If Ben Roethlisberger finally gets some protection, Pittsburgh should be able to squeeze out a victory.
<!-- / message -->

[jbragg10]

DR. BOB (FREE ANALYSIS).
We still need his paid plays:

CLEVELAND (-1.5) 20 Baltimore 17
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
Cleveland has rebounded from 3 losses to start the season by winning 3 of their last 4 games and the Browns have a pretty good chance to get to .500 today. Baltimore has been a better than average team through their first 7 games, averaging 4.7 yppl while allowing just 4.4 yppl to an average schedule, but the Ravens haven’t been as good in pass defense since losing starting CB Samari Rolle and FS Dawan Landry. Baltimore allowed just 183 total passing yards and 2.8 yards per pass play in the first two games of the season with their great secondary intact (including a week 3 win against the Browns), but the Ravens have allowed 6.6 yppp in 5 games without Rolle and Landry (to quarterbacks that would average 6.2 yppp against an average team) so Browns’ Derek Anderson should have much more success throwing the ball in this game than he did in week 2. The Ravens are still great against the run, but my math model projects 217 net yards passing for the Browns and 288 total yards. That will probably be good enough to win this game against a bad Ravens’ attack that I rate at 0.6 yards per play worse than average. Cleveland’s defense has played decently since allowing 488 yards at 7.9 yppl in their opening loss to Dallas (they’ve allowed 17 points or less in 4 consecutive games) and that unit yielded just 4.5 yppl in their 10-28 loss to the Ravens) and my math model favors the Browns by 2 ½ points in this game.

Jacksonville (-7.5) vs. CINCINNATI
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
This game is part of Dr Bob's Best Bets package, which includes all of Dr. Bob's Best Bets, Strong Opinions and other withheld games. For the analysis of this game and all the Bets and Strong Opinions for this week click here

Arizona (-3.0) 26 ST. LOUIS 20
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
The Rams have improved under new coach Jim, Haslett, but they’ve still been out-gained 5.1 yards per play to 5.8 yppl during their 3 game spread win streak and have looked better than they are in those games because of a +7 in turnover margin. The Rams’ offense is still 0.4 yppl worse than average for the season and their defense is 1.1 yppl worse than average for the season, allowing 6.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team. That unit is improved since Jason Craft began playing in the secondary in week 4 and the return of CB Fakhir Brown from a 2 game absence has also helped the last two weeks. Craft is 3rd on the team in tackles despite playing in just 4 games and Brown is an improvement over former starter Tye Hill, who has missed the last 3 games to injury. But, even with those improvements I still rate the Rams’ defense at 0.7 yppl worse than average and that unit should be exploited by an explosive Cardinals attack that has averaged 5.8 yppl (against teams that would allow 5.1 yppl to an average team) and rates at 0.9 yppl better than average with WR Anquan Boldin back after a 2 game absence. Arizona’s defense has allowed 5.7 yppl but they’ve faced a schedule of mostly good offensive teams and the Cardinals have been much better with former All-Pro S Adrian Wilson playing (he missed games and the Jets and Bills in which the secondary allowed 7.5 yards per pass play without him). Arizona is clearly the better team even with the Rams being improved, but St. Louis applies to a very good 135-65-5 ATS contrary indicator that will keep me from making the Cardinals a Best Bet.

BUFFALO (-5.5) 21 NY Jets 17
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
The only thing separating these teams is the interceptions each teams quarterback has thrown and that will probably prove to be the difference in which team covers the spread. The Jets’ offense has averaged a solid 5.5 yards per play this season, but they’ve done so against teams that would combine to allow 5.7 yppl to an average team, so New York is actually 0.2 yppl worse than average on offense. Buffalo is 0.2 yppl better than average defensively, allowing 5.1 yppl to teams that would average 5.3 yppl against an average stop unit, so the Bills have a solid 0.4 yppl advantage over New York’s offense in this game. Buffalo’s offense is also averaging 5.5 yppl this season, but the Bills have faced a schedule of weak offensive teams and I rate their attack at 0.2 yppl worse than average – the same rating as the Jets’ offense. New York’s defense, meanwhile, is 0.2 yppl better than average (just as the Bills are), so they too have a 0.4 yppl advantage over Buffalo’s offense. The difference between the teams has been turnovers, as the Jets are -6 in turnover margin with Brett Favre throwing 11 interceptions while the Bills are only -2 in turnovers with Trent Edwards having thrown just 3 picks. Farve isn’t likely to continue throwing interceptions at the rate he’s thrown them lately, but I still forecast the Bills to have a 0.5 turnover advantage in this game. If the turnover margin is even then the Jets probably will cover and if the turnover margin is in favor of the Bills then they probably cover. My math model favors Buffalo by 4 ½ points with the projected 0.5 turnover difference and I’ll lean slightly with the Jets plus the 5 ½ points.

Tampa Bay (-9.0) 24 KANSAS CITY 14
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
Kansas City beat me last week when they managed to lost by just 4 points against the Jets, but they were still out-gained 5.6 yards per play to 6.5 yppl despite rookie quarterback Tyler Thigpen playing way over his head in completing 69.4% of his passes for 6.8 yards per pass play. Kansas City still needed a +3 in turnover margin to come close to winning and it’s not likely that Thigpen will repeat last week’s good performance given he’s completed just 50% of his 126 passes this season while averaging a pathetic 4.3 yppp. Tampa Bay’s defense is 0.7 yppl better than average and has allowed 176 yards and 173 yards in their last two games to below average offensive teams Seattle and Dallas (below average with Johnston at QB instead of Romo). The Chiefs are terrible defensively too (6.5 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team), so Tampa’s mediocre attack should perform well in this game and Jeff Garcia is not likely to bless the Chiefs with interceptions as Brett Favre did last week (Garcia has thrown just 6 interceptions on 484 pass attempts as Tampa Bay’s quarterback). I’d love to take the Bucs here, but Kansas City applies to a 46-13-1 ATS home dog angle and a 50-12-1 ATS home dog angle that combine to go 24-3 ATS when both apply to the same game. I can’t go against Kansas City given that they are in a such a good general situation, but I also don’t want to go against Tampa Bay given that they should be favored by about two touchdowns in this game and have a history of playing well after losses. Jon Gruden’s teams at Oakland and Tampa are now 28-12-2 ATS as a favorite or pick following a loss, including 2-0 ATS this season with wins of 24-9 over Atlanta and 27-3 over a good Carolina team. I suppose I would rather have Tampa Bay than Kansas City here, but it’s probably best to pass this one given the angles favoring the Chiefs.

TENNESSEE (-5.5) 23 Green Bay 16
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
The Titans remain the only unbeaten team in the NFL and they should escape this game with that distinction intact. Tennessee relies on a strong defense (0.8 yards per play better than average) and a conservative offense to win games and their run-oriented attack (54% runs) matches up well with a Packers’ defense that has trouble defending the run (5.1 ypr allowed). Green Bay is good against the pass, but they are just average overall defensively while being just 0.1 yppl better than average on offense. My math model favors Tennessee by 5 ½ points, so the line is fair, but I like the match-up for the Titans and Tennessee applies to a 79-30-2 ATS statistical profile indicator. Tennessee also applies to a negative 18-41-1 ATS angle that plays against teams that have covered the spread in 5 or more consecutive games, but I’ll still lean slightly with the Titans.

MINNESOTA (-4.5) 26 Houston 21
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
Minnesota is a better than average team from the line of scrimmage, averaging 5.2 yards per play and allowing 5.0 yppl to a tougher than average schedule, but the Vikings are plagued by horrible special teams play that has resulted in a blocked punt and 3 punt return touchdowns against them. Houston is one of the better teams in the league at special teams once again this season and they’ll probably need a special teams impact play to win this game, as the Texans better than average offense (5.8 yppl against teams that would combine to allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) is undermined by a horrible defense that’s allowed 5.9 yppl to teams that would average 5.2 yppl against an average team. My math model projects the Vikings with a 393 yards to 301 yards edge in this game, but special teams could keep them from covering. Houston has won 3 straight games to get back into the playoff hunt and that could have easily been a 5 game win streak (they lost in OT to Jacksonville and blew a 20 point 4th quarter lead to Indy prior to winning 3 straight), so the Texans are finding ways to compete despite their bad defense. My math model favors Minnesota by 3 ½ points but Houston is just 3-13 ATS on the road following a victory, so I’ll call for a 5 point win in a game that is best left alone.

CHICAGO (-12.5) 25 Detroit 17
10:00 AM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
Detroit lost their first 4 games by an average of 20 points, but the Lions are not quite as dismal recently in losing their most recent 3 games by an average of just 6 points. The Lions are in a good position to cover again as a big dog against a team that they already lost to by a 7-34 count. It may be tough for the Bears to take this game seriously after wining so easily in Detroit and the Lions apply to a 227-112-9 ATS contrary indicator as well as a 93-42-3 ATS situation that plays on teams on a 5 games or more losing streak. My math model favors Chicago by 16 points and I’m certainly not going to make Detroit a Best Bet with the negative line value, but the Lions are clearly the right side in this game based on the technical analysis.

DENVER (-3.5) 28 Miami 27
01:05 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
Denver shouldn’t be favored by more than a field goal against a decent team until their defense starts to play better. The Broncos are already 0-4 ATS as a favorite or more than 3 points this season and a defense that’s allowing 6.4 yards per play and 28 points per game will make it tough for the Broncos to distance themselves from a Dolphins’ squad with a good offense (6.0 yppl against teams that would combine to allow 5.4 yppl to an average team). Denver will have to rely on an offense that has averaged 6.2 yppl this season (against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team) and Jay Cutler should perform well against a Miami secondary that has given up 7.2 yards per pass play (to teams that would combine to average 6.3 yppp). Overall, the Dolphins have been the better team this season and my math model favors the Miami by 1 ½ points. Denver applies to a 135-65-5 ATS contrary indicator and a 46-14-4 ATS subset of a 123-60-8 ATS statistical indicator, but the Broncos also apply to a negative 54-103-2 ATS angle that plays against bad defensive teams as favorites. I’ll lean with Miami plus the points and also with the Over.

Atlanta (-2.5) 22 OAKLAND 21
01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
My math model favors Atlanta by 4 ½ points in this game, but the Raiders apply to a 244-154-12 ATS statistical profile indicator and a 49-21-1 ATS statistical match-up indicator. The Raiders are at their best when they can run the ball successfully and they should be able to do so against an Atlanta defense that’s given up 4.8 ypr to teams that would combine to average just 4.1 ypr against an average defensive team. I’ll lean with the Raiders plus the point based on the technical analysis.

NY GIANTS (-9.0) 28 Dallas 14
01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
The Cowboys have been horrible offensively in two games with Brad Johnson at quarterback instead of Tony Romo, averaging just 4.3 yards per play and scoring a total of 27 points against the Rams and Bucs. I expect Johnson to be considerably better than he’s been the last two weeks, but my math model still favors the Giants by 14 points in this game and I don’t see New York feeling sorry for the Cowboys with a chance to add another game between them in the NFC East standings.

Philadelphia (-6.5) 25 SEATTLE 18
01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
The Eagles are much better than their 4-3 record, as they’ve out-gained their opponents 5.9 yards per play to 4.8 yppl while out-scoring them 27.7 points to 19.6 points per game. Seattle’s offense has averaged less than 5.0 yppl in all but 1 game this season (St. Louis being the exception) and that pathetic attack has averaged only 4.6 yppl for the season while the defense has given up 5.6 yppl. Seneca Wallace has done a better job of leading the Seahawks the last two weeks, but my math model still favors Philly by 11 ½ points even after factoring that in. I can’t take the Eagles because Seattle applies to a 96-40-3 ATS momentum situation based on last week’s win in San Francisco and a 199-119-6 ATS statistical indicator also applies to Seattle. I’ll pass.

INDIANAPOLIS (-6.0) 23 New England 17
05:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02 - Stats Matchup
Both of these teams are overrated, but New England has been especially sub-par this season in averaging 5.1 yards per play while allowing 5.7 yppl despite playing a very easy schedule of teams. The Colts, meanwhile, have averaged 5.3 yppl and allowed 5.1 yppl while playing a tougher than average schedule and my math model favors Indy by 7 points in this game. There is a minor situation that favors the Patriots in this game, so I’ll call for a 6 point win.

Pittsburgh vs. WASHINGTON (-1.5)
05:30 PM Pacific Time Monday, Nov-03 - Stats Matchup
This game is part of Dr Bob's Best Bets package, which includes all of Dr. Bob's Best Bets, Strong Opinions and other withheld games. For the analysis of this game and all the Bets and Strong Opinions for this week click here

[Big Coors Light]

I just paid for these:


Rocketman Sports Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, November 02, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: Rocketman Sports has three 3* NFL plays for Sunday guaranteed to produce you an overall profit or you will not be charged! Rocketman is documented hitting 70% in the NFL this season! Over the past 3 years, Rocketman is 83-54 61% the past 3 years with all premium NFL releases! Join us and win again today! 11/1/2008

Rocketman Sports plays are rated 1-5 units! NFL Baltimore @ Cleveland 1:00 PM EST Play On: 3* Cleveland -1 1/2 Cleveland is 22-9 ATS last 3 years when playing on grass. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS last 3 years when playing in November. Cleveland is 11-2 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 10-3 SU and ATS last 3 years as a favorite. Ravens are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games. Ravens are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in November. Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Browns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November. Browns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. Browns are 14-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Browns are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC. Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9. Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Browns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win. Browns are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games overall. Browns are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC North. Browns are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Ravens are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Cleveland. We'll play Cleveland for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Green Bay @ Tennessee 1:00 PM EST Play On: 3* Green Bay +4 Green Bay is 14-5 ATS on the road the past 3 years. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS last 3 years in a road game when the total is between 38 1/2 and 42 points. Green Bay is scoring 27.7 points per game overall this year and 32 points per game on the road this season. Packers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. Packers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 road games. Packers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Packers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a SU win. Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Packers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall. Packers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win. Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. We'll play Green Bay for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky Atlanta @ Oakland 4:15 PM EST Play On: 3* Oakland +3 Atlanta is scoring only 14.7 points per game on the road this year while allowing 24.7 points per game on the road this season. Oakland is 3-1 SU and ATS overall vs Atlanta since 1992. Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November. Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. We'll play Oakland for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS EARLY RELEASE 3-2-1 yest
NFL EARLY RELEASE
BUFFALO-5

48-27-2 last 77 FB plays (64%)
25-7 NFL run (78%)
NBA (2-1 reg 1 unit plays) (4-4 small plays)
7-4 NHL (64%)

[jagwood]

I really wish Roman and the guys from gametimeinfo would quit telling us that their plays cannot lose. Because as proven last Monday the Lock of the Century/Life/Decade/Career etc. was a bust. Every play they release is supposedly guaranteed to win.

I bought the MNF play for the forum and since it lost I got this week free. Here's today's pick....Roman was on a roll for a while, but having a "game of the year" every single week is a little ridiculous.


Analyst: Eddie Roman
Once a Year 30,000 Unit Personal Game of the Year


Denver Broncos -3.5 over Miami

Back by 11:00 am est with analysis

:ohno:

[LongboardLarry]

FOOTBALL JESUS sunday

Cleveland Browns-1

[kctatum]

Analyst: Fats Wendell
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 background=/pix/g_bkg_title_blue.gif border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=center width=420 height=30>100,000 Dime High Rollers Insiders Game</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=420 border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD width=420>
100,000 Dime High Rollers Lock
Cleveland -1.5 over Baltimore
also
10,000 Dime Bonus Locks
Buffalo -5 over New York
Detroit +12.5 over Chicago
St Louis +3 over Arizona
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Here you go look at my other thread an let me know who else might be good.:toast:

[LLXC13]

Al Demarco
10 Dimer

NY Giants

[mattjones]

Robert Ferringo

5-Unit Play. Take #416 Denver (-3) over Miami (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)
Note: This is our Gridiron Game of the Week.


3.5-Unit Play. Take #423 New England (+6) over Indianapolis (8 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

3.5-Unit Play. Take #413 Green Bay (+5.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

3-Unit Play. Take #407 New York Jets (+5.5) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

2-Unit Play. Take #409 Arizona (-3) over St. Louis (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

2-Unit Play. Take #403 Tampa Bay (-9) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

2-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 50.0 Miami at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 42.5 Philadelphia at Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 2)

[LLXC13]

BEN BURNS
NON CONFERENCE TOTAL OF YEAR

I'm playing on Tennessee and Green Bay to finish UNDER the number. *Non Conference TOY

[LLXC13]

BEN BURNS
AFC EAST GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with the NEW YORK JETS. *AFC East GOY

[LLXC13]

BEN BURNS
NON CONFERECE GAME OF MONTH

I'm taking the points with OAKLAND. *Non-Conf GOM.

[LLXC13]

BEN BURNS
NFC GAME OF WEEK

I'm taking the points with SEATTLE. *NFC GOW

[LLXC13]

BEN BURNS
SUNDAY NIGHT COLLEGE GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with CENTRAL FLORIDA. *NCAA Sunday Night GOY

[LLXC13]

Bryan Leonard

2* Philadelphia at Seattle

The Eagles have been a solid team this year but injuries have kept them from becoming what a lot of people thought of as a Super Bowl contender. Now sitting in fourth place in their own division they need to finish the season strong. They travel cross-country here to take on a Seattle team that despite a terrible start is just two games out of the divisional lead. The Eagles return home next week for a huge Sunday Night Football showdown with the defending champion Giants. RB Westbrook missed some games in the last month because of injuries but he did return last week to give the team a boost. That said he has two broken ribs and an ankle injury so his status for full game action is always in question.The Eagles have been installed as a touchdown favorite here and that looks to be too high a price to pay for a team that has struggled with teams they are superior to. We can see the veteran Eagles winning the game but we simply can't see then doing so by a margin.Seattle is installed as a home underdog for just the third time in the last six years. Despite their earlier problems this season they remain 25-6 straight up and 20-10-1 ATS playing at Quest Field. Seneca Wallace will once again start behind center for the Birds and that should be a benefit for the host. He is very mobile and capable of turning in big yardage in the running game. That's very important when you match up against this blitzing Philadelphia defense. The Seahawks must travel back to the east coast next week to take on the Dolphins. If you've been following our plays all season you know that's a terrible scheduling situation, and Seattle knows that first hand. Therefore look for a supreme effort this week from the host as they try to keep their divisional title hopes alive.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Vic Monte
2008 College & Pro Football


30-24-1 ~ +2155 Stars




11/2
500* Texans +4.5
500* Packers +4.5
500* Dallas +9.5
500* Patroits +6




500*...................6-3 ~ +1350 Stars
200*...................8-4 ~ +720 Stars
100*...................9-6-1 ~ +240 Stars
50*.....................7-11 ~ -255 Stars
30*.....................0-0 ~ +0 Stars
20*.....................0-0 ~ +0 Stars
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cappersaccess

Lions
Colts
Raiders
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

csssports


clev
gb
denver
seattle
ne
under clev/balt
over nyj/buffalo
under stl/arz
over chi/det
over ne/indy
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

WILD BILL

New York Jets +5 1/2 (5 units)
Packers +5 1/2 (5 units)
Miami Dolphins +3 (5 units)
Dallas Cowboys +9 1/2 (5 units)
Philadelphia Eagles -7 (5 units)
Patriots +5 1/2 (5 units)
Pittsburgh Steelers +1 (5 units)
Tenn-Green Bay Packers Over 41 1/2 (5 units)
Giants-Dallas Cowboys Over 41 (5 units)
Colts-Patriots Over 44 (5 units)
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Fatjack
green bay +5.5
Cleveland over 36.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

NORTH COAST

NFL TOTAL GOW
At/Oak...UNDER 41
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Randall the Handle

HOME TEAM IN CAPS

Green Bay +4½ over TENNESSEE PINNACLE
Wow, this is about as sweet a spot as I’ve seen all year. The Titans are undefeated and they’re coming off a hugely emotional win over the Colts on Monday night. The final score reads 31-21 but that score is definitely flattering to the Titans, as they benefited from costly turnovers and they benefited from a couple of very questionable decisions by coach Tony Dungy, namely going on fourth and short from mid-field and not making it when the game was tied at 14. Against a very soft defense the Titans had difficulty running the ball and they didn’t look that sharp passing it either. After seven weeks, the Titans have not yet faced a real quality opponent but that changes now against the Pack and it changes big time. Despite losses to Dallas, Tampa and Atlanta, these Packers are good and can be excused for it’s loss to Atlanta, as Aaron Rodgers was not 100%. Remember, while the Titans are on a short week after Monday’s emotional win, the Packers are coming off a bye, which gave them two weeks to prepare and to get healthy bodies back. Aaron Rodgers has numerous options to throw to and it could be argued that the Packers have the best group of receivers in the business. The media might have you believing that Tennessee answered all their critics last week by beating a quality club but I’m not buying into that for a second. The Colts should be 1-6 and not 3-4. Oh, prior to its bye, the Pack destroyed Indy 34-14 and they absolutely catch the Titans at about the most perfect time. It’s so very tempting to play Green Bay straight up and forget about the points but should the Pack lose, which I doubt, it’ll be by the slimmest of margins. Titans proved their point last week and will be hard pressed to exhibit any emotion against a Packer team that they rarely see and after building a four-game lead in the division. Play: Green Bay +4½ (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

INDIANAPOLIS –6 over New England PINNACLE
You’ll be hard pressed to convince me that the Colts were the second best team on the field Monday night in a 31-21 loss to the Titans. Despite losing it was the Colts second best game of the year and now they’ll be sky high and raring to go against a team that’s more vulnerable then they have been for years and years. Make special note that the Colts will get back Bob Saunders and Saunders is to Indy what Tom Brady is to the Patriots; that’s what an impact player Saunders is. He’s also an emotional leader and the Colts are just a different team when Saunders is out there, period. We saw what happened to the Patriots when they faced San Diego a few weeks ago in a similar situation. They were blown out from the start. The Dolphins also blew them away in week 3. A close look at the Patriots reveals a team that is 5-3 but has wins over KC, the Jets, San Fran, Denver (minus Cutler), and last week a nail biter at home against the Rams. The teams the Patriots have beaten are a combined 13-23 but even that is a bit flattering, as the Jets are 4-3 but have wins against KC and Cinci and both weren’t pretty. You will see a completely different Colts team this week. You’ll see the Colts team that has been a juggernaut in this league for years. What you’ll see from the Pats is a very average football team that does not have the horses to compete here and that is outclassed by a country mile. Play: Indianapolis –6 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).

NY GIANTS –8½ over Dallas PINNACLE
The Giants had a tough time with the Steelers in Pittsburgh last week but they managed to pull off the mild upset against the ferocious defense of the Steelers. Yeah, nine points is a lot, especially in a rivalry such as this, but the Giants have to be smelling a wounded and emotionally fragile enemy here and they’ll take full advantage and show no mercy whatsoever. Eli Manning should have a field day against a bad Dallas secondary and the running of Brandon Jacobs will do the rest. The big question here is how are the Boys going to move the ball, let alone score points? They’re not, that’s how, because they have limited weapons and if Jason Witten does not go you can triple that. Even if Witten does go he has bruised ribs and one catch and hit and he could be done for the day. We also have a coaching mismatch here, as Wade Phillips is like a high school coach compared to Tom Coughlin. The cowboys didn’t get too frustrated last week because they played a stale offense but things will be a whole lot different this week. Expect some sideline antics from T.O. once the cowboys get down and he’s not getting thrown to. Tensions will mount play by play for the Cowboys, as the Giants should be able to keep the Boys defense on the field for way too long while the offense goes three and out numerous times. I don’t usually predict finals but call this one 35-3 and an easy cash. Play: NY Giants –8½ (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).

OTHER GAMES (6-4)

Unlike previous years, I'm not providing picks on each and every game but will provide insight on a few others that are worth mentioning.

NY Jets +5½ over BUFFALO
The Jets stink, period. This is a bad football team that was thumped by San Diego, lost in Oakland and easily lost to New England and they’ve looked worse in victory. The Packers knew exactly what they were doing when they kissed Favre good riddance. The Jets defense is bad and this is one of the worst half dozen teams in the league and you can’t make a single argument against that. The Bills are a decent club with good leadership, focus and coaching. They will methodically wear down opponents and they usually don’t beat themselves, aside from last week’s blunders in Miami. Having said that, this one just smells of a rat, a big rat and something about this game is very unnerving for Bills backers. It would seem on paper that the Bills should win this one going away, especially since the Jets are coming off a win and the Bills are coming off a loss. But as Chris Berman would say, “That’s why they play the games”. I’m not endorsing other side and the purpose of this prediction is more of a warning then anything else. My senses tell me to lay off the Bills and after 30 years of wagering on the NFL I have to trust that. You’ve been warned. Play: NY Jets +5½ (No bets).
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

King Creole Sports!

2** Play on: UNDER THE TOTAL

We're getting to the time of the season where we start seeing a reverse variation of King's 'OU TIME ZONE System". That System usually pertains to Western time zone teams traveling to an Eastern time zone. But taking a look at the opposite direction can be just as revealing.... in certain specific conditions. For instance, once we start getting into November, we want to go the OPPOSITE way (Under) when we have an opposite dramatic time zone change. 1-9 O/U for all Eastern time zone teams playing in a Western time zone in weeks 8 thru 14 (ATLANTA)... under certain point spread parameters.

The Eagles came off their Bye just like they entered it, with a SUATS win vs the Falcons. The qualify in a System which has gone 0-4 O/U this year: FAVS off a SUATS win after AND before their BYE week.

The Eagles rushed for 192 yards in the big win over Atlanta. NFL teams went 2-10-2 O/U in October off a SU win w/ 170+ rushing yards.

Seattle is off a surprising division dog win (34-13) vs the Niners. It’s historically a good ‘Under’ situation, and it’s been solid this year too. 8-22 O/U s’2003 for Game 9 < teams off a SU div win as a dog of 4+ points. DOGS in this role are 0-7 O/U in the last 3 years.

Here’s the angle that pertains to THIS season only: 1-5 O/U TY for ALL teams off a SU div win as a dog 4+ pts. Philly’s #10 defense shuts down a one-dimensional offense.
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[PhillyMan]

The only wager you need to make all day....

Eagles -1/2
Bills +1 1/2

2-team 6 1/2 pt tease...gl:toast:

[ymmit2nd]

DOC

4 Unit Play. #106 Take Cleveland Browns over Baltimore Ravens (Sunday 1:00 pm CBS) Cleveland 24, Baltimore 13.

[ymmit2nd]

SPORTS ADVISORS

Houston (3-4, 2-5 ATS) at Minnesota (3-4, 2-5 ATS)

The Texans gun for their fourth straight victory when they travel to the Metrodome for a non-conference clash with the Vikings.

Houston pounded Cincinnati 35-6 last week as a nine-point home chalk, getting their third consecutive SU win while halting a three-game ATS slide. QB Matt Schaub (24 of 28, 280 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs) was nearly perfect as the Texans had no turnovers, forced three and finished with a more than 10-minute edge in time of possession. Houston also outgained Cincy 384-253.

Minnesota, which had its bye last week, lost to Chicago in a 48-41 shootout as a three-point road underdog two weeks ago, giving the SU winner a 19-2-2 ATS mark in the Vikes’ last 23 games dating to the 2007 season opener (6-1 ATS this season). Minnesota outgained the Bears 439-327 and had a 10-minute time-of-possession edge, but had five turnovers – including four Gus Frerotte INTs – and the Bears had a fumble-return TD and recovered a muffed punt for a score.

These franchises have met only once, with Minnesota taking a 34-28 overtime win in 2004 laying nine points on the road.

The Texans carry several negative pointspread streaks, including 2-5 overall, 3-8 in roadies against the NFC, 1-5 overall on the road and 1-6 on artificial turf. The Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following the bye, but otherwise they’re on ATS skids of 2-8 overall, 0-4 against losing teams, 1-4 at the dome and 2-5 after a non-cover.

The over for Houston is on runs of 8-1 overall (6-1 this season) and 5-0 on the road, and the over for Minnesota is on tears of 10-1-1 following the bye, 12-3-1 after a pointspread defeat and 7-2-1 after a SU loss.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Jacksonville (3-4, 2-5 ATS) at Cincinnati (0-8, 2-6 ATS)

The hapless Bengals, still seeking their first win, welcome the underachieving Jaguars to Paul Brown Stadium.

Cincinnati got pelted 35-6 at Houston as a nine-point pup for its third straight double-digit loss and its third straight non-cover. In fact, the Bengals’ margin of defeat has increased in each of the last six games. Cincy remains without QB Carson Palmer (elbow), and Ryan Fitzpatrick (20 of 32, 155 yards, 0 TDs, 2 INTs, 1 lost fumble) was simply overwhelmed by the Texans. The Bengals finished with just 253 total yards, while allowing 384.

Jacksonville was stunned by Cleveland 23-17 as a seven-point home chalk for its third ATS setback in the last four games. The Jags dominated statistically, with a 380-327 yardage edge and 10 minutes more in time of possession, but special teams sealed their fate, as they had a field goal blocked and fumbled a fourth-quarter kickoff, leading to the Browns’ go-ahead field goal.

Jacksonville is on a 4-0 SU run (3-0-1 ATS) against Cincinnati, but these two haven’t faced each other since 2005, when the Jags took a 23-20 home win laying three points. Jacksonville is on ATS runs in this rivalry of 7-2-1 overall and 4-1 in Cincy, and the favorite is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 clashes.

The Bengals are on ATS downfalls of 1-4 overall, 9-20-1 at home (0-3 this year), 0-6 against the AFC, 1-6 against losing teams and 4-8 as a non-division home ‘dog. The Jaguars are in ATS ruts of 2-5 overall and 4-9 as a road chalk, but they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 on the highway and 5-2 ATS in their last seven after a SU loss.

The over is 5-2-1 in the last eight games between these two in Cincinnati, and the over for Jacksonville is on tears of 13-4-2 overall, 5-1 against losing teams and 8-2-1 on the road. However, for Cincinnati, the under is on stretches of 10-4 overall and 5-1 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: JACKSONVILLE


Tampa Bay (5-3 SU and ATS) at Kansas City (1-6, 3-4 ATS)

The Buccaneers, who had a two-game winning streak snapped last week, look to bounce back at Arrowhead Stadium in a non-conference contest against the struggling Chiefs.

Tampa Bay is coming off a 13-9 loss at Dallas, failing to cash as a one-point road pup for its second consecutive ATS setback after five straight spread-covers. QB Jeff Garcia chucked the ball 43 times but really didn’t get much bang for his buck, completing 27 passes for just 227 yards with no TDs or INTs. The Bucs gained just 262 total yards and committed the game’s only turnover, losing despite holding the Cowboys to 172 total yards.

Kansas City put up a fight last Sunday but still fell short in a 28-24 loss to the New York Jets, though it did cash as a heavy 14-point road ‘dog, halting a two-game ATS hiccup. Tyler Thigpen (25 of 36, 280 yards, 2 TDs), the latest entrant in the Chiefs’ musical QBs contest, had a solid day, and K.C. won the turnover battle 3-0 – all Brett Favre INTs – but the Chiefs let Favre get his second TD pass of the day with just over a minute remaining to decide the game.

These teams have met just twice in the past 10 years, with Tampa going 2-0 SU and ATS. Most recently, the Bucs earned a 34-31 home win as a three-point underdog in 2004.

The Buccaneers are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS in their last seven as a non-division road favorite, but they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU setback. Meanwhile, despite cashing last week, the Chiefs are on nothing but negative ATS runs, including 2-8-1 at home, 1-4 after a spread-cover, 1-4 against winning teams and 3-9 on grass.

The under is on a 4-0 run overall for Tampa Bay, but the total has cleared the posted price in six of the Bucs’ last eight road games, and the over for Kansas City is on streaks of 4-1 overall and 7-2 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY


Baltimore (4-3, 5-2 ATS) at Cleveland (3-4, 5-2 ATS)

The Ravens will go after their third straight victory when they head to Ohio for an AFC North battle with the Browns.

Baltimore rolled over Oakland 29-10 laying nine points for its second consecutive win and cover, giving the SU winner a 16-2 ATS mark in the Ravens’ last 18 contests (6-1 ATS this year). Rookie QB Joe Flacco (12 of 24, 140 yards, 1 TD, no turnovers) still isn’t being asked to do much, though he did have a 43-yard reception on a trick play to help set up a field goal. Baltimore rushed for 192 yards and dominated on defense, allowing just 234 total yards, no first-half points and recording a safety.

Cleveland pulled off a 23-17 upset at Jacksonville catching seven points, moving to 4-0 ATS (3-1 SU) in its last four games. QB Derek Anderson (14 of 27, 246 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs) was serviceable enough, and the Browns made up for a 10-minute deficit in time of possession by blocking a field goal and recovering a fumbled kickoff – both in the fourth quarter.

Cleveland is on a 5-1 ATS run (3-3 SU) in this rivalry, but in Week 3 this season, Baltimore scored a 28-10 home win giving one point. The host is 7-2 ATS in the last nine matchups, with the Browns cashing in the last four meetings in Cleveland.

The Ravens are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 4-0 ATS in their last four division tilts, but they’re still on pointspread slides of 8-22 overall on the highway and 5-11 in division road games. The Browns, meanwhile, sport a plethora of positive ATS trends, including 17-5 overall, 9-1 at home, 14-3 against winning teams and 6-2 inside the division.

The over for Baltimore is on streaks of 10-4 overall, 8-2-1 in division play and 5-2 in roadies, but the under for Cleveland is on runs of 11-2 overall, 7-1 against the AFC and 5-1 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND


N.Y. Jets (4-3, 3-4 ATS) at Buffalo (5-2, 4-3 ATS)

The Bills, who have dropped two of three after a 5-0 start, will try to get back on track at Ralph Wilson Stadium in a crucial AFC East battle against the Jets.

Buffalo tumbled to Miami 25-16 as a one-point road ‘dog, giving the SU winner a 6-1 ATS mark for the Bills this season. QB Trent Edwards (21 of 35, 227 yards, 0 TDs) had a miserable fourth quarter, throwing an INT, losing a fumble, then getting sacked for a safety on three consecutive drives. Buffalo added another turnover on its final drive, finishing with a 4-1 deficit in that category in an otherwise evenly played game.

New York barely got past Kansas City 28-24, but never threatened to cash as a healthy 14-point chalk for its second straight ATS defeat, marking the first time the SU winner hasn’t covered in the Jets’ seven games this year. QB Brett Favre (28 of 40, 290 yards, 2 TDs) threw three INTs and now has a league-worst 11 picks, but he hooked up with Laveranues Coles late on the game-winning TD pass. The Jets D failed to force a turnover.

Buffalo is on a 3-0 SU and ATS run in this series – all as an underdog – including a 17-14 home win last year as a 3½-point pup. The Bills are 7-2 ATS in the last nine clashes (4-1 ATS in Buffalo), but the underdog has pulled off five straight upset victories in this rivalry.

The Bills are on ATS streaks of 4-0 after a non-cover, 4-1 after a SU loss, 14-4 on turf, 12-4 at home and 7-2 as a division home chalk. The Jets have cashed in six consecutive games as a divisional road underdog, but they are mired in ATS funks of 1-4 against the AFC, 2-7 after a SU win and 2-6 on turf.

The under is 8-3 in New York’s last 11 overall and is 4-1 in the Jets’ last five on the road, but the over for Buffalo is on runs of 7-1 on turf and 6-1 at home, and in this rivalry, the over is on streaks of 5-2 overall and 6-2 in Buffalo.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BUFFALO and OVER


Arizona (4-3 SU and ATS) at St. Louis (2-5, 3-4 ATS)

Two NFC West rivals that have performed well lately at the betting window get together when the Cardinals travel to the Edward Jones Dome to take on the Rams.

Arizona had Carolina on the ropes last week, taking a 17-3 lead early in the third quarter before getting outscored 24-6 the rest of the way in a 27-23 setback. However, the Cards cashed as a five-point pup cashed for its third straight spread-cover. The SU winner is still 14-2 ATS in Arizona’s last 16 contests (6-1 ATS this year). QB Kurt Warner (35 of 49, 381 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT) had a monster day as Arizona abandoned the run, but the Cardinals’ two turnovers – a fumble and an INT, both in the second half – were ultimately converted into 10 Carolina points.

St. Louis gave New England all it could handle a week ago before losing 23-16, but as a nine-point pup, the Rams covered for the third consecutive week. Prior to last week’s result, the SU winner had been 9-0 ATS in St. Louis’ previous nine outings. QB Marc Bulger (18 of 34, 304 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) had a solid game, but his lone INT ended the Rams’ potential game-tying drive in the fourth quarter.

Arizona has won three in a row in this NFC West rivalry (2-1 ATS), though St. Louis covered at home in a 34-31 loss as a 3½-point pup last year. The Redbirds are 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to St. Louis, but the underdog is on an 8-1 ATS roll in the last nine clashes.

The Cardinals are on ATS runs of 6-2 overall, 4-1 against the NFC, 7-3 inside the division and 11-4 after a SU loss. Meanwhile, despite their current 3-0 ATS streak, the Rams are on pointspread dips of 3-7 overall, 2-8 in home division contests, 1-4 overall at the dome, 3-10 against winning teams and 19-40-1 after a SU loss.

In this rivalry, the over is on runs of 4-1 overall and 5-1 in St. Louis. Furthermore, the over for Arizona is on tears of 36-17 overall, 39-15 on the highway and 4-0 on turf, and for St. Louis, the over is on stretches of 7-3 overall and 6-0 at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


Detroit (0-7, 2-5 ATS) at Chicago (4-3, 4-2-1 ATS)

The Bears, who had their bye last week, should be well-rested for arguably the league’s worst team when the Lions roll into Soldier Field.

Chicago fended off Minnesota in a 48-41 shootout two weeks ago as a three-point favorite, giving the SU winner a 19-1-1 ATS mark in the Bears’ last 21 games. Chicago was dominated in total yards, allowing 439 while gaining 327, and had a 10-minute time-of-possession deficit, but QB Kyle Orton (21 of 32, 283 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs) had a strong outing. The Bears also forced a whopping five turnovers (4 INTs) and scored off a blocked punt and a botched Vikings punt return.

Detroit lost to Washington 25-17 last week, coming up just short as a seven-point home underdog to halt a two-game ATS surge. The Lions, who have lost eight straight and 14 of 15 going back to last year (3-12 ATS), actually led 10-6 at halftime, then got outscored 19-7 in the second half, allowing two big plays from Santana Moss – a 50-yard TD catch and an 80-yard punt return for a TD. QB Dan Orlovsky (21 of 25, 233 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs) helped Detroit avoid any turnovers, but the Lions were outgained by a whopping 439-274 margin and lost the time-of-possession battle by nearly a quarter.

Chicago pounded Detroit 34-7 four weeks ago as a 3½-point road chalk, ending a 3-0 ATS run by the Lions in this NFC North rivalry. However, the underdog is still 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.

The Bears are on a 2-7 ATS plunge coming off the bye, but they carry several positive ATS trends, including 7-2-1 overall, 4-1 at Soldier Field, 4-0 inside the division and 7-3 in home division games. Conversely, in addition to their ongoing 3-12 ATS freefall, the Lions are on spread slumps of 0-4 against winning teams, 4-10-1 against division foes, 6-14 on the road and 3-9 after a SU loss.

The over for Detroit is on runs of 9-3-1 overall, 4-1 on grass and 6-2 on the highway, and for the Bears, the over is on streaks of 18-5 at home, 5-1 on grass and 25-9-1 against NFC opponents.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO and OVER


Green Bay (4-3 SU and ATS) at Tennessee (7-0 SU and ATS)

The scorching-hot Titans, who remain the NFL’s lone unbeaten squad, will try to keep their perfect SU and ATS records intact when they welcome the Packers to LP Field for a non-conference affair.

Tennessee got off to a slow start Monday night against Indianapolis, then rolled up 25 second-half points to breeze to a 31-21 win and cover as a four-point home chalk. The SU winner is now 15-1-1 ATS in the Titans’ last 17 outings. Against Indy, QB Kerry Collins (24 of 37, 193 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs) was far from spectacular, but he led an offense that committed no turnovers. The defense, meanwhile, picked off Peyton Manning twice and stifled Indy on consecutive fourth-down attempts in the fourth quarter.

Green Bay, which had its bye last week, is also coming off a win over Indianapolis, posting a 34-14 rout as a one-point home pup two weeks ago for its second straight win and cover. QB Aaron Rodgers (21 of 28, 186 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs) was steady, and the Packers defense picked off Manning twice – with Aaron Rouse returning the second one 99 yards for a TD late in the game.

The SU winner is 15-1-1 ATS in Tennessee’s last 17 games overall and 24-0-1 in Green Bay’s last 25 contests dating to the 2007 season-opener.

These teams have met in each of the past four preseasons, but they haven’t had a regular-season tilt since 2004, when Tennessee rumbled to a 48-27 road win catching 3½ points. In this past preseason finale for both squads, the Titans won 23-21 in Green Bay, but the Packers cashed as a 6½-point home pup.

Along with their season-long 7-0 ATS run, the Titans are on several more pointspread streaks, including 15-4 hosting an NFC team, 7-0 after a SU win and 4-0 at LP Field. The Packers also sport a pack of positive ATS trends, including 20-8-1 overall, 11-3-1 on the highway, 6-3 against AFC foes and 13-5 after a SU win.

The over for Tennessee is on streaks of 4-1 overall and 5-2-1 at home, but the under is 6-1-1 in the Titans’ last nine against winning teams. Green Bay is on “over” streaks of 22-8-1 overall, 7-1 against winning teams and 37-18-2 in road games.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TENNESSEE


Miami (3-4, 4-3 ATS) at Denver (4-3, 1-5-1 ATS)

The Broncos, who had a bye last week but whose defense has seemingly been on hiatus all season, return to action at Invesco Field at Mile High in a matchup with the Dolphins.

Denver got blasted 41-7 two Mondays ago at New England as a three-point pup for its fifth straight non-cover. The Broncos had four first-half turnovers that led to a 20-0 halftime deficit, and they finished with five turnovers – including two INTs from QB Jay Cutler – while forcing none. Cutler (17 of 26, 168 yards, 1 TD) had a poor showing, and the porous Denver defense gave up a whopping 257 rushing yards, including 138 to Sam Morris in just the first half.

Miami topped Buffalo 25-16 as a one-point home chalk last week, halting a two-game SU skid while covering for the fourth time in the past five games. QB Chad Pennington (22 of 30, 314 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs) had a clean, efficient game, and the Dolphins won the turnover battle 4-1. In fact, on three straight Bills possessions in the fourth quarter, Miami’s defense got an INT, recovered a fumble and forced a safety. The Dolphins, who scored the game’s final 18 points, capped things with a fumble recovery on Buffalo’s final drive.

Miami is on a 5-0 ATS run (4-1 SU) against Denver, though these two teams haven’t met since 2005, when the Fish rolled 34-10 as a six-point home pup. In fact, Miami has been the underdog in four of the last five outings.

The Broncos are 6-0 ATS the last six years when coming off a bye, but the pointspread trends spiral downward in a hurry from there, including a dismal 7-23-1 overall, 4-13-1 at Mile High, 2-12 as a home chalk and 5-16-1 against AFC foes. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games after a spread-cover, but they are on positive spread streaks of 6-1-1 in November, 5-1 against winning teams and 18-9-1 as a non-division ‘dog.

The over for Denver is on tears of 20-6-2 overall, 10-2-2 after a SU loss, 9-2 against losing teams and 13-3-1 at home, and the total has gone high on four of Miami’s last five road trips.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER



Atlanta (4-3 SU and ATS) at Oakland (2-5, 3-4 ATS)

The Falcons, who had their two-game winning streak snapped last week, aim to get their surprising season back on track with a trip to McAfee Coliseum to face the Raiders.

Atlanta lost to Philadelphia 27-14 as a 9½-point road ‘dog. The Falcons took a 7-0 lead early in the second quarter, but gave up 10 points in the last 2:30 before halftime and didn’t score again until the fourth quarter. Rookie QB Matt Ryan (23 of 44, 277 yards, 2 TDs) was forced to pass a lot with Atlanta playing from behind, and he paid by getting picked off twice – including once in the end zone. The Facons also let Eagles RB Brian Westbrook go off for 167 yards and two TDs on 22 carries.

Oakland followed up a 16-13 overtime home win over the Jets with last week’s 29-10 defeat at Baltimore, failing to cover as a nine-point road underdog. QB JaMarcus Russell (15 of 33, 228 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT) had yet another uninspired outing, and the Raiders couldn’t run the ball, finishing with just 47 rushing yards while allowing 192. For the game, Oakland got outgained 375-234.

The SU winner is 16-1 ATS in Baltimore’s last 17 games (7-0 this year) and 14-2 in Oakland’s last 16 (6-1 this year).

These clubs have met just twice this decade, with each winning and cashing at home. In the most recent battle in 2004, Atlanta coasted 35-10 giving 7½ points.

The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven roadies, but they are on positive pointspread runs of 6-1 against the AFC on the road, 4-0 after a SU loss and 11-5 on grass. The Raiders are 0-5 SU and ATS in their last five against NFC foes, and they are on further ATS slides of 9-19 overall, 9-24 at home, 17-37-1 after a non-cover and 20-43-1 after a SU loss.

The under is 19-7 in Atlanta’s last 26 road games. On the flip side, the over is 10-4 in the last 14 games overall for both teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA


Dallas (5-3, 3-5 ATS) at N.Y. Giants (6-1, 5-2 ATS)

A classic NFC East confrontation is on tap when the Cowboys, still without starting quarterback Tony Romo, travel to East Rutherford, N.J., to take on the defending Super Bowl champion Giants in the first meeting of the season between these rivals.

Dallas held off Tampa Bay 13-9 in a defensive struggle last week to get the cash as a one-point home chalk, ending a two-game SU skid and a four-game ATS plunge. Aging backup QB Brad Johnson (19 of 33, 122 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs) had a weak effort, and the Cowboys mustered just 172 total yards, but they didn’t turn the ball over and were able to stop Tampa’s last-minute drive for a potential game-winning score.

New York dropped Pittsburgh 21-14 getting three points on the road for its second consecutive win and cover, pushing the SU winner to 17-2 ATS in the Giants’ last 19 outings (6-1 ATS this season). In a defensive battle – neither team cracked 300 total yards – but Eli Manning (19 of 32, 199 yards, 1 TD) was turnover-free, while the Giants picked off Ben Roethlisberger four times.

New York stunned Dallas 21-17 as a seven-point road ‘dog in a divisional playoff game last January, ending a 3-0 SU run (2-0-1 ATS) by the Cowboys in this rivalry. That included a pair of regular-season wins and covers by the Cowboys in 2007 (45-35 at home, 31-20 in New York). The Giants are 5-2-2 ATS in the last nine clashes (playoffs included).

The Cowboys are on several ATS slides, including 3-9 overall, 2-5 on the highway 0-6 in division play (0-2 this year), 2-6 after a SU win and 2-5 against winning teams. On the flip side, the Giants sport a bevy of positive ATS trends, including 19-7 overall, 7-0 versus winning teams, 8-3 in home division contests and 10-4-1 inside the division.

For Dallas, the over is on stretches of 4-1 overall, 15-6-2 on the road, 9-4-3 against NFC East foes and 15-7-1 against winning teams. The over for New York is 7-3 in its last 10 home starts, and in this rivalry, the over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings at Giants Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. GIANTS and OVER


Philadelphia (4-3, 5-2 ATS) at Seattle (2-5, 3-4 ATS)

The Eagles will try to run their winning streak to three when they make the cross-country trek to Qwest Field to face the Seahawks.

Philadelphia beat Atlanta 27-14 as a 9½-point home chalk, winning and cashing for the second straight week. QB Donovan McNabb (19 of 34, 253 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs) was mediocre, losing a fumble for Philly’s lone turnover, but RB Brian Westbrook returned from an injury and rushed for 167 yards and two TDs, and the Eagles’ defense forced three turnovers.

Seattle drilled San Francisco 34-13 as a five-point road pup last Sunday, ending a three-game losing skid (1-2 ATS). The Seahawks were outgained 388-261 and had an eight-minute time-of-possession deficit, but backuup QB Seneca Wallace (15 of 25, 222 yards, 2 TDs), continuing to sub for the injured Matt Hasselbeck, led a turnover-free offense, and Seattle converted two 49ers turnovers into 10 points, including a 75-yard INT return for a score.

The SU winner is 24-1 ATS in the Seahawks’ last 25 games dating to last season (6-1 ATS this year) and the winner has cashed in six of Philly’s seven contests in 2008.

Seattle has won and covered in the last two meetings between these teams, following a 2-0 SU and ATS run by Philadelphia, and the road team has cashed in the last five head-to-head clashes since 1998. Last December in Philadelphia, the Seahawks won 28-24 getting three points, ending a 4-0 ATS run by the favorite in this series.

The Eagles sport ATS streaks of 5-2 overall, 8-1 on the highway, 6-2 against the NFC and 7-3 outside the NFC East. On the flip side, the Seahawks are in ATS slumps of 3-6 as a non-division home pup, 0-5 after a SU win and 1-5 after a spread-cover, but they’ve cashed in seven of their last nine home starts.

The over for Philadelphia is on runs of 4-0 on the road and 4-1 on field turf, and the over for Seattle is on tears of 8-1-1 overall, 4-0-1 on field turf, 7-1-1 against NFC foes and 5-1-1 at home. Lastly, the last three meetings between these squads have hurdled the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


New England (5-2, 3-4 ATS) at Indianapolis (3-4 SU and ATS)

The Colts, who are in the surprising role of being desperate for a win at the season’s midway point, gear up for a prime-time battle with the archrival Patriots at Lucas Oil Field.

Indianapolis tumbled at Tennessee 31-21 last Monday night as a four-point road ‘dog for its second consecutive SU and ATS defeat. The SU winner has now taken the cash in each of the Colts’ last 10 games. QB Peyton Manning (26 of 41, 223 yards, 2 TDs) threw two INTs and now has nine picks against just 10 TDs so far this season. The Colts took a 14-6 lead early in the third quarter, but they then failed on fourth-down attempts on two consecutive drives, helping the Titans go on a 25-0 scoring run to put the game out of reach.

New England held off St. Louis 23-16 but failed to cover as a nine-point chalk, continuing the Pats’ season-long trend of alternating ATS wins and losses. QB Matt Cassel (21 of 33, 267 yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs) was a bit unsteady but led New England to 10 fourth-quarter points. The Patriots forced just one turnover, but it came at a critical time as Deltha O’Neal picked off Marc Bulger with the Rams driving late in the fourth quarter.

These squads, perhaps the top two teams in the league this decade, have had a bundle of critical matchups the past few years. Indianapolis is on a 4-0 ATS run (3-1 SU) in this rivalry, though New England got the SU win last year in a 24-20 decision as a five-point road chalk. The Patriots are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 battles in Indy, and the underdog is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 series clashes (playoffs included).

The Colts are on ATS slides of 0-4 against winning teams, 1-4 at home, 2-5 after a SU loss and 2-5 on turf. The Patriots are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 roadies, but they are on pointspread downturns of 3-10 overall, 0-6 against losing teams, 1-9 after a SU win and 2-7 against AFC opponents.

The over is on runs of 4-1 for Indy overall, 10-5 for New England on the road, 6-2 for the Colts after a non-cover and 4-1 in the last five meetings between these rivals in Indianapolis. However, New England enters this contest on a 9-3-2 “under” tear overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

[Can'tPickaWinner]

*SHOCKER OF YEAR* 13-5 L18 NFL (DOUBLE GUARANTEE!)
WHITE HOT Nick Parsons has been on a MAJOR RUN in the NFL! He ABSOLUTELY LOVES a play Sunday! Nick is SO CONFIDENT in this selection that he is offering it up on a DOUBLE GUARANTEED basis! What does this mean? It means if you don't win, you get your money back AND you get Nick's BIG Monday Night winner for FREE - A HUGE OPPORTUNITY[/quote]

Guaranteed Pick: Nick Parsons

Game: Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks Nov 2 2008 4:15PM
Prediction: Seattle Seahawks

[ymmit2nd]

Pointwise NFL Write-ups

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO over New York Jets RATING: 3
TAMPA BAY over Kansas City RATING: 4
MINNESOTA over Houston RATING: 4
NEW YORK GIANTS over Dallas RATING: 5
WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh RATING: 5


BUFFALO 27 - New York Jets 17 - (1:00) -- Three more Brett INTs in the Jets'
narrow escape vs lowly KansasCity. He has now thrown 11 picks, which is
offset by his 15 TDs to date. NY is in off the triad of Cincy, Oakland, & KC
(combined record of 3-19), so definitely moving up in class, & this isn't the
place in which to get reacquainted with the NFL upper echelon. Favre played
here in '06, losing 24-10 win the Pack. Bills are on a 19-11 ATS run, with
Edwards a solid 25-of-30 in his last HG, a 23-14 win over the Chargers. And
note that Buffalo is a brilliant 17-2 ATS as a Nov host vs all foes off a SU win.


Tampa Bay 23 - KANSAS CITY 10 - (1:00) -- Quite a dilemma here, as the Bucs'
last 5 RGs have been decided by just 2, 4, 3, 3, & 4 pts SU. Thus an 8-pt spot
surely begs for a dog call. However, the Chiefs are hardly the opponent in
which to jump in with, as they've dropped 15 of their last 16 on the field, and
the SU winner in Tampa games has covered to the tune of 23-1-2 lately, with
the only miss by ½ pt, in last Sunday Night's win over Seattle. And the SU
winner is 15-1 ATS in the Chiefs' last 16 games vs the NFC South. KC lost its
last HG by 15 pts ATS, and owns the worst rushing "D" in the NFL. The Bucs.


MINNESOTA 34 - Houston 24 - (1:00) -- Vikes had LW off, while the Texans
were recording their franchise-record 3rd straight win, holding a combined FD
edge of 75-45 in those 3. Of course, it must be noted that their victims have a
cumulative record of 3-17. Schaub: 24-of-28 for 280 yds & 3 TDs vs Cincy.
Houston entered that one with a 31 ppg "D" in their previous 8 tilts, so expect
Minny, which piled up 439 yds in 48-41 loss to Chicago, to take advantage,
altho Frerotte can't throw another 4 INTs, as he did vs the Bears. Vikes 7-1
ATS off bye, vs foe off a win, while Texans just 17-26 ATS vs non-division foes.



NEW YORK GIANTS 27 - Dallas 10 - (4:15) -- More than a few snickers, when
we released the Cowboys as a 3* Phone Play LW, but they managed to come
squeaking in vs the Bucs. Johnson: from 0/3 to 1/0. But just 70 RYs for the
'Boys, who've impressed, overland, just 3 times all year. Playoff Revenge is
front-&-center, & catching the Giants off Steeler war is a plus, as is the fact that
NY has managed just 273 & 284 yds the past 2 wks. But that "D" should do a
job on Johnson & Co. Cowboys are 0-7 RDs off a SU/ATS win vs an opponent
also off a SU/ATS victory. Last week's Dallas success, is short-lived, indeed.

MONDAY
WASHINGTON 22 - Pittsburgh 16 - (8:35 - ESPN) -- Only 2 losses apiece for
these two '07 playoff squads, with 3 of those 4 setbacks, interestingly enough,
coming vs NFC East teams, including both Steeler misses (15-6 at the Eagles, &
21-14 vs the Giants). That's a mere 10 ppg for Pitt in those 2. Ben: 5 sacks & 4
INTs vs NY. The visitor is 5-0 ATS by 45 pts in 'Skin games of late, but note a
1,158-508 RY edge for Washington so far, with Portis at 944 yds, & QB Campbell
at 8/0. The Redskin "D" has held 17 foes to 20 pts or less since LY, so Pitt's 24th
rated "O" will be hard-pressed here. We'll lay the 2½ pt spot, & call Monday host.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Accuscore's Scorpion Picks

Hou +4.5
Cin +9
TB -9.5
Bal +1
NYJ +5
Ari -3
Det +12.5
GB +4.5
Mia +3.5
Atl -3
Dal +9.5
Sea +6.5
Ind -6
Was -1
<!-- / message -->

[ymmit2nd]

NORTHCOAST POWERSWEEP - NFL


NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (3-2-2)



KEY SELECTIONS

4* NYG 38-17
3* Bills 27-13
2* Oakland + 17-16
2* Minn 24-16




The 3* Totals are 16-8 67%! Here are this week's plays:


3* Rams over 46
3* Denver over 47
3* Eagles 0ver 43
2* Jax under 40
2* Ravens under 36





(4* ) Angle Plays 26-9 74% L/4Y!

(4*) NY GIANTS
(3*) MINNESOTA



SYSTEM PLAY:

Play on any home team that scored 24 or more but lost their game before the bye. 1998-2007: 16-1 94%
THIS WEEK'S PLAY: MINNESOTA




KEY SELECTIONS

4* NY GIANTS over Dallas - The Giants are off a tough game vs PIT delivering as our 4H Oct NFL GOM & have a SNF game at PHI on deck. This is the 3rd road game in 4 weeks for DAL but they have covered 6 straight games before a bye. DAL won both reg season games SU & ATS LY falling to the Giants in the playoffs moving to 2-7 ATS in the series. LY in NY it was 17-17 at the half but DAL pulled ahead with 25 & 50 yd TD passes to Owens winning 31-20 as a 1.5 pt AF. The yardage
was basically even but the DAL pass attack tallied 247 yds (71%) with a 4-1 ratio. DAL barely squeaked out a win vs TB LW as they were held to just 172 yds of offense. The defense came up big holding TB to 49 yds (2.5) rushing which was 81 yds off their season avg. They also held TB to just 3 FG’s on 4 trips inside the DAL 20. Johnson was less than impressive with 122 yds (58%) with a 1-0 ratio & just a 3.7 ypa. DAL already thin secondary lost CB Henry (quad) LW & is doubtful. NYG are off a big win vs PIT as they rattled Roethlisberger with 5 sacks, 4 QBH & 4 int which set up 6 pts. The Giants had 6 drives inside the PIT 20 while PIT had just 6 plays in NYG territory in the 2H. The Cowboys’ celebration after the win vs TB shows that they realize they are a mediocre team without Romo & the Giants take a big step in locking down the division with a win here. FORECAST: NY GIANTS 38 Dallas 17


3* BUFFALO over NY Jets - The Jets were swept SU & ATS by BUF LY dropping to 2-7 ATS. Edwards made his 1st career start vs NYJ at home LY (17-14 win 3.5 pt HD) & had a strong game with 234 yds (58%) with a 1-1 ratio. Edwards was KO’d in the 3Q of the 2nd game with 130 yds (67%) with a 1-0 ratio. BUF is 7-2 ATS as a div HF. NYJ are 6-0 ATS as a div AD. BUF is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS at home TY with 20-14 FD & 362-254 yd edges. The Jets beat KC in spite of Favre who had 2 of his 3 int set up 14 pts as the defense gave up 280 yds to a 2nd year QB making his 2nd start. Favre hasn’t looked very comfortable the L3W with just 225 ypg (67%) with a 3-7 ratio & a poor 6.1 ypa. BUF was taken by surprise by an aggressive MIA defense which kept Edwards out of sync LW with 227 yds (60%) with an int & fmbl. BUF was without their best DL in DE Schobel for the 2nd week & while they didn’t have much of a pass rush (1 sack 2 QBH) they expect him back. We’ll continue to play against the Jets as their 3 wins were vs MIA in Wk 1 who was still trying to fit together, the hapless Bengals & an ARZ team whose 2 Wk East Coast trip left them out of sync. FORECAST: BUFFALO 27 NY Jets 13



2* OAKLAND (+) over Atlanta - This game pits LY’s top drafted QB in Russell vs TY’s top drafted QB in Ryan facing off. OAK is 0-5 SU & ATS vs the NFC. ATL is 6-1 ATS away vs AFC. The Falcons are determined to let Ryan develop at his own speed & have an edge with a healthy RB unit (#4 rushing) with a solid WR in White (43 rec 15.8) to throw to. OAK has been pressing Russell to develop faster with a beat up RB unit (McFadden out LW turf toe) & Walker (12 rec 13.5) is the only WR with more than 9 rec (TE Miller #1 20 rec 15.6). Like most young QB’s Russell is better at home (1-2 ATS TY) passing for 220 ypg (60%) with a 4-1 ratio than on the road. The Raiders did upset the last East Coast team with a more experienced QB just 2 weeks ago. ATL has been outgained in all 4 road games (1-3 ATS) by a 388-302 margin losing by an avg score of 25-15. Ryan is avg 197 ypg (51%) with a 4-5 ratio & 5.5 ypa on the road. LW’s results provide solid line value here with an overachieving dome team with a rookie QB making a long road trip & we’ll side with an embarrassed home team getting points as the Ugly Dog Play which is 23-9 (72%) with 6 straight wins. FORECAST: OAKLAND 17 Atlanta 16



2* MINNESOTA over Houston - The Vikings are 6-2 ATS when they return from their bye. This is HOU’s 1st road game since 9/28 & non-div road teams off 3 or more HG’s are 4-9 ATS S/’03. HOU is 3-8 ATS away vs the NFC. This has MIN #8 & #8 units (-4 TO’s) vs HOU’s #1 & #12 (-3 TO’s). Both of MIN’s starting DT’s could be susp for 4 games due to masking agents. While MIN is only 1-2 ATS at home TY they have pulled in a 332-246 yd edge & should have beaten IND. HOU has won 3 of their 4 straight HG’s & while they also should have beaten IND the fact is they have faced the 17th, 20th, 32nd & 22nd defenses & now have to face MIN’s #8 defense. While he hasn’t put up the mind boggling numbers of LY RB Peterson has four 100+ yd games TY & has avg’d 98 ypg (4.5) & now faces a HOU defense allowing 120 ypg (4.5). MIN’s #20 pass def ranking is misleading as teams avoid the run & while Schaub has been hot he now has to face the #12 pass rush in a notoriously loud venue & the home team is the play. FORECAST: MINNESOTA 24 Houston 16

[ymmit2nd]

Stadium Club Sports 42-20 NFL

St. Louis Rams +3 GOM

Philadelphia Eagles -7

Oakland Raiders +3 GOW

Miami Dolphins +4 Double Play

Sunday Night NFL

Indianapolis -6

100% confirmed

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Ethan Law

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->2% -- Cleveland -2
2% -- Cincinnati +8
2% -- New York +5.5
2% -- Green Bay +4.5
<!-- / message -->

[ymmit2nd]

NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS - NFL

NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (6-5-1)


(TB #13 vs KC #31 KC #27 vs TB #5) This is the 1st time all year KC will have the same QB start 2 consec
weeks. Thigpen is coming off an impressive game vs NYJ where he hit 280 yds (69%) with a 2-0 ratio.
KC was +3 TO’s thanks to Favre which kept them in the game. While TB held DAL to 172 yds LW their
struggles near the red-zone (3 FG’s on 4 trips to DAL 25) cost them. KC is 0-4 SU & ATS vs run oriented
teams (OAK, ATL, CAR, TEN) losing by an avg score of 32-8 & has the #9 rush offense. PP gives TB a
353-194 yd edge & a 2 TD margin & look for the Bucs to improve to 7-0 ATS before a bye.
4★ BUCS 24 CHIEFS 10


(GB #16 vs TEN #3 TEN #22 vs GB #16) TEN is off a huge MNF game vs IND where they could take
a big step towards locking down the AFC South. TEN’s physical play TY has taken their non-div foes
by surprise with a 4-0 SU & ATS margin. GB is 7-2 ATS as a dog after a bye & desperately needed the
rest for QB Rodgers & most of the defense. While MNF isn’t factored in here, TEN has enough track
record TY to respect the 451-247 yd edge here. The Titans are the play vs a GB team that is 0-3 SU &
ATS vs a foe with a winning record TY.
4★ TITANS 34 PACKERS 9



(ATL #10 vs OAK #26 OAK #25 vs ATL #25) LW’s results give great line value as the Raiders were
dismantled by an aggressive veteran defense on the road. We won a 3★ LPS winner going against
ATL on the road vs PHI LW. While they kept it close for the 1st 2.5Q they gave up 192 yds rushing (6.0)
which is OAK’s strength. They now have to travel for the 2nd straight week out to the West Coast as an
AF for the 1st time since the end of 2006. PP gives OAK a 393-323 yd edge & calls for them to stay
within the number & we agree.
3★ RAIDERS (+) 19 FALCONS 20


(PHI #8 vs SEA #27 SEA #31 vs PHI #7) SEA is off a misleading win vs SF as they beat a rookie interim
HC & were outFD’d 21-14 & outgained 388-261. They lost MLB Tatupu & that could be a big problem vs
PHI who had a healthier Westbrook rush for a career high 167 yds (7.6) LW. McNabb is having a Pro
Bowl year (4th comp, 5th att’s, 5th yds 2nd int %) & gets a bad SEA secondary that is allowing an 11-2
ratio & 103.4 opp QBR. PP gives PHI a 380-245 yd edge & SEA is expected to go with QB Wallace for
the 3rd week.
3★ EAGLES 26 SEAHAWKS 18


BAL #24 vs CLE #21 CLE #29 vs BAL #2) It’s tough to fi gure out which CLE team will show up week
to week as they upset the Jags on the road LW with a Pro Bowl caliber game from NT Rogers (9 tkls
1 sack 3 QBH & 1 tfl ). Anderson was OK with 246 yds passing (52%) with a 1-0 ratio. BAL thumped
OAK coming cross country & had an 11-2 FD & 221-35 yd edge at the end of the 1H with a 19 pt lead
taking the run game out of the game plan. PP gives CLE a small nod but the yardage is basically even
keeping the side from being a play but the Total is attractive.
NO PLAY: BROWNS 19 RAVENS 14
2★ RAVENS/BROWNS: UNDER




(JAX #20 vs CIN #22 CIN #32 vs JAX #23) The Jags are off a surprise home loss to an inconsistent
CLE team & Del Rio was visibly livid in the after game press conference. CIN was taken out of the game
early LW & the team didn’t put forth much effort. They haven’t won the yardage battle in any game TY
& have been outgained by 109 ypg TY. CIN is 2-8 ATS at home before a bye & it’s diffi cult to say they’ll
put forth any effort here. JAX only has a 50 yd edge here as they have a quest secondary which will
keep this from being a stronger play.
2★ JAGUARS 27 BENGALS 16

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Iowa ( 2-1/2) and Colorado ( 3-1/2) yesterday.

Today it's the Texans and Packers. The deficit is 650 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Gina

Sunday November 2nd 4:15 p.m. est.
Philadelphia Eagles (4-3) at Seattle Seahawks (2-5)
Philadelphia is the better team. Look for the Eagles offense led by Donovan McNabb to connect with running back Brian Westbrook and bulldoze the Seahawks defense, while their defense thumps Seattle’s offense. Seattle is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games at home, but the Eagles are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games away from home and the road team in this series has covered the spread in the last five battles.

Philadelphia Eagles -7

Sunday November 2nd 8:15 p.m. est.
New England Patriots (5-2) at Indianapolis Colts (3-4)
The Patriots will face a Colts arsenal with all-pro safety Bob Sanders and running back Joseph Addai back. Go with Manning and his receivers to attack the Patriots' hutting secondary. Indianapolis is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Indianapolis Colts -6

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Johnny Guild

Sunday, November 2nd, 2008

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-6)
Arrowhead Stadium - Kansas City, Missouri
Series Record: Kansas City (5-4)
Home Record: Tampa Bay 4-0; Kansas City 1-2
Road Record: Tampa Bay 1-3; Kansas City 0-4
Last Meeting: 11/07/04 (Tampa Bay, 34-31 at Tampa Bay)


Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won the last two games in the series, but both at Raymond James Stadium. On the road they have struggle, 1-3 this season and just five wins in their last 20 games away from home. Nevertheless, Tampa Bay should have no problems against the sad Kansas City Chiefs. Look for the Bucs powerful defense to dominate this battle. Kansas City is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Selections
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9
Cleveland Browns -2
New York Giants -8.5
Philadelphia Eagles - 7

[ymmit2nd]

Kelso

NFL Parlay
TBay / Philly

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Mr. A

Sunday, November 2nd, 1:00 p.m. est.
New York Jets (4-3) at Buffalo Bills (5-2) Buffalo Bills -5
The careless Jets are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings versus the Bills, 1-4 ATS in the last five in Buffalo. Look for Bills’ quarterback Trent Edwards to have a good day against the Jets vulnerable secondary. The Jets are 0-3 both straight-up and against the spread against the Bills in the last three meetings and with the help of Brett Favre recklessness should grab their fourth straight victory against the NY Jets. Besides, Favre has never won a game in Buffalo.

Sunday, November 2nd, 1:00 p.m. est.
Detroit Lions (0-7) at Chicago Bears (4-3) Chicago Bears -12½
The 0-7 Detroit Lions have struggled on offense and their defense has been horrendous. Go with the NFL's highest-scoring offense led by Quarterback Kyle Orton to batter the Lions at Soldier Field.

[ymmit2nd]

Brandon Lang

SUNDAY

25 Dime - Arizona (buy the 1/2-point and lay just 3 points)

10-Dime 6-point Teaser- Giants/Eagles

FREE - 2-team teaser - Patriots and Over

[ymmit2nd]

Two Minute Warning

Best Bets
Investor

Cincinnati +7 1/2
Baltimore +1 1/2
New York Jets +5 1/2
Tennessee -5 1/2
Miami +3
Seattle +7

Locals Line

4-5-1 LW
33-25-3 YTD

[Can'tPickaWinner]

The Vegas Steam Line

Sunday: Take DALLAS/NY GIANTS UNDER the total of 41

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Paul Leiner
Sunday, November 2, 2008

Sport: NFL
Game: Browns vs Ravens
Prediction: 25* Browns -1.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Armvin Sports NFL

11/2/2008 cleveland -1.5

11/2/2008 seattle 6.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Jacksonville

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Tom Freese Blue

Atlanta at Oakland (4:15pm)

Atlanta is 9-1 UNDER in road games off one or more straight Unders and they are 13-4 UNDER UNDER as road favorites of 3 or less points. The Falcons are 20-8 UNDER in November and they are 41-19-2 UNDER after allowing more than 350 yards in their last game. Oakland is 13-5-1 UNDER after scoring less than 15 points in their last game and they are 41-18-2 UNDER their last 61 games vs. winning teams. The Raiders are 4-1-1 UNDER in Week 9 and they are 5-1 UNDER after rushing for less than 90 yards in their last game. PLAY ON 'UNDER'

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jimmy The Moose

Arizona is averaging 28.6 PPG and their D is allowing 24.4 PPG this season making the over a profitable 5-2 on the year. In the Cardinals last 54 road games the over is a profitable 39-15. In their last 17 games following an ATS win the over is 14-3. The over is 36-17 in their last 53 games overall. Under Haslett St. Louis has finally found their offense. The Rams have played over the total in their last 6 home games. In their last 11 games following a SU loss the over is 9-2. St. Louis has played the over in 6 of their last 8 vs. NFC team's. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-1 in the Cardinals lst 6 visits to St. Louis. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall between the clubs. Look for a high-scoring game this afternoon. Play the over.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cajun

2*

Time / Date: 4:15 EST / Sunday November 2

Game: Atlanta Falcons vs. Oakland Raiders

Line Origin: BetCris @ 1:24 EST October 30

Grade / Prediction: 2* Atlanta Falcons / Oakland Raiders UNDER 41

Analysis:


The Atlanta Falcons head west to face the Oakland Raiders on Sunday afternoon. Both teams enter off of SU road losses in Week Eight and both are searching for answers on both sides of the ball.

The Raiders ground game once the team’s strength has not lived up to preseason expectations. With rookie RB Darren McFadden out nursing the all too familiar turf toe last week they only managed 47 yards on 19 carries.

The Raiders definitely need their rushing attack to be successful as they do not want to put the game into the hands of QB JaMarcus Russell. Our sources out of the Raiders camp still tell us he is not ready to run an NFL offense and his play certainly supports their evaluation.

The Falcons have struggled on the road this season giving up 24, 24, 24 and 27 points in their four road contests. We also know that the Falcons are a miserable 1-6 both SU and ATS on the road dating back to last season averaging only 15 points per game in the process.

Projections for both offenses in this contest have this game falling well below the posted total. The total is currently 41 and our NFL Model has a total point’s range of 34 to 37 points which cashes the ticket for us on Sunday.

We also have strong technical support for our selection in team angles and league wide systems. The Falcons are 12-32 Under on the road. The Falcons are 0-8 Under within 3 of pick on the road versus any team with fewer wins. The Falcons are 1-10 Under on the road versus a non-divisional opponent before playing against a divisional opponent. The Falcons are 0-7 Under as a road favorite versus a non-divisional opponent. The Falcons are 0-7 Under within 3 of pick when their ATS margin decreased over each of their past two games. The Raiders are 4-21 Under within 3 of pick versus a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Raiders are 9-25 Under versus a non-divisional opponent before playing at home. The Raiders are 4-14 Under as a dog after playing as a TD+ dog. The Raiders are 8-20-1 Under as a dog when their opponent's season-to-date average rushing attempts per game is greater than 30. The Raiders are 0-9 Under within 3 of pick after a road game in which they had fewer than 26 minutes of possession time.

The League is 6-19 Under on the road when they lost last week while suffering a turnover margin of at least +2 on the road as a TD+ dog. The League is 14-23-2 Under at home when they suffered a 10+ point ATS loss last week against a non-divisional opponent.

With both offenses having trouble putting points on the board and strong technical and situational support for the Under we will make this our 2* NFL Free Total Play of the Week.

GRADED PREDICTION: 2* Atlanta / Oakland UNDER 41

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Lenny Del Genio's NFL VEGAS ICON Play (2-0 ALL-TIME) **#1 PLAY**

DENVER -3.5
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Nathan Armstrong
Highprofitsports

5* Parlay Of The Year
Denver And The Under
3* Seattle
3* Oakland
3* Packers
<!-- / message -->

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Players of America

Today's Selections

MIA vs. DEN
Sport: NFL
Game: Miami Dolphins vs. Denver Broncos
The Play: Denver Broncos -3.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)
Writeup: N/A


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NE vs. IND
Sport: NFL
Game: New England Patriots vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Play: Indianapolis Colts -6.5
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAL vs. CLE
Sport: NFL
Game: Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
The Play: Cleveland Browns -1.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)
Writeup: N/A
<!-- / message -->

[Karol58]

Kelso's Sunday 50 unit pick is :

Personal Best Club


NFL Game Of The Week

50 Units

Jacksonville Jaguars (-7 ½) over CINCINNATI BENGALS

Prediction: Jacksonville by 17-21

Starting Time: 1:00

[bustirb]

Lenny Del Genio's NFL VEGAS ICON Play (2-0 ALL-TIME) **#1 PLAY**

DENVER -3.5

[bustirb]

Frank Patron
Date: Sunday November 2, 2008

Sport: NFL
Game: New York at Buffalo

Prediction: Buffalo Bills -5

[bustirb]

TRACE ADAMS

Oakland Raiders

[bustirb]

NORTH COAST

NFL TOTAL GOW
At/Oak...UNDER 41

[bustirb]

DOC

THIS ONE IS A COMP

116 Take Denver -3 over Miami (Sunday 4:05 pm CBS)

The Broncos still sit atop the AFC West, one of the worst divisions in football along with the NFC West. They currently hold a two game lead in the loss column and will welcome in the Miami Dolphins to Invesco Field on Sunday. The Broncos are coming off of a bye and have traditional been a great team in this spot going 15-4 ATS. They got blown out by New England and their bye could not have come at a better time. The Dolphins have shown improvement of late, but are still just 1-2 away from South Beach. Denver has trouble stopping teams, but Miami does not light-up the scoreboard, instead they play a ball control style of offense. Denver needs this victory and we will come along for the winning ride.

[bustirb]

DAVE MALINSKY

M@linsky

4* PhiLly -6.5

[ymmit2nd]

400 Houston/Minnesota Over 46 1/2 -1.03 (3 Unit Play)

418 Oakland +2 1/2 +1.01 (3 Unit Play)


Best of luck to everyone today.

Oscarxena Sports

[EagleFan]

Budin has a 2 team teaser that kicks off at 1pm. Lets guess which 2 favorites he will play together. I dont think he has ever played a dog.

[brady1983]

Budin has a 2 team teaser that kicks off at 1pm. Lets guess which 2 favorites he will play together. I dont think he has ever played a dog.

It's gotta be Philly and NYG like Lang's. He used DeMarco's yesterday and look where that got him..

[msmith2179]

Budin has a 2 team teaser that kicks off at 1pm. Lets guess which 2 favorites he will play together. I dont think he has ever played a dog.


My guess giants and eagles

[bbrett3]

I have some cerits at vegas top dogs. Any suggestions?

[kaos77]

My guess giants and eagles

i dont think it can be eagles/nyg. he says 1 pm game

[bubbamark]

Budin has a 2 team teaser that kicks off at 1pm. Lets guess which 2 favorites he will play together. I dont think he has ever played a dog.

its gotta be either a combo of the bears, jags, giants, eagles, bucs.

my guess: bears & bucs or bears & jags.

[catwithnoname]

hope this info isnt out of line: Randy Scott, sportsbook manager of betED.com, highlights the wise action, weather and line moves on every NFL game on the board.

Houston 47
Minnesota -4.5
Sun 1:00 pm
- The total was hit by wise action at: Over 45
- The pointspread opened at: Minnesota -5
- Where the public is: Houston by a ratio of 6.2 to 3.9
- Where the money is: Split
- We have the Texans as moderate favorites to cover their underdog spread, but we only give them slim odds on winning outright on the road.

Jacksonville -8
Cincinnati 39.5
Sun 1:00 pm
- The total was hit by wise action at: Under 40
- The pointspread opened at: Jacksonville -7.5
- Where the public is: Jacksonville by a ratio of 7.0 to 2.3
- Where the money is: Jacksonville
- Our odds indicate Cincinnati has very little chance to win this game, but we give them decent odds to cover their underdog spread at home.

Tampa Bay -9
Kansas City 37
Sun 1:00 pm
- The pointspread opened at: Tampa Bay -8.5
- The total opened at: 37.5
- Where the public is: Tampa Bay by a ratio of 8.3 to 3.1
- Where the money is: Tampa Bay and under
- We have Kansas City as a strong favorite to cover its underdog spread at home, but only give KC slim odds to win the game outright.

Baltimore 36.5
Cleveland -1.5
Sun 1:00 pm
- The pointspread opened at: Cleveland -1.5
- The total opened at: 37
- Where the public is: Split
- Where the money is: Split
- We have this game as an even toss-up. We will let the action dictate where the line moves next.

NY Jets 41
Buffalo -5.5
Sun 1:00 pm
- The total was hit by wise action at: Over 42
- The pointspread opened at: Buffalo -5.5
- Where the public is: Buffalo at a ratio of 5.4 to 3.5
- Where the money is: Buffalo
- The Bills are moderate to strong favorites to win outright at home, but we have them as slight underdogs to cover the pointspread.

Arizona -3
St. Louis 48.5
Sun 1:00 pm
- The pointspread opened at: Arizona -3
- The total opened at: 48.5
- Where the public is: Arizona by a ratio of 7.9 to 2.4
- Where the money is: Arizona and under
- We have Arizona as moderate favorites to win outright and also make them moderate favorites to cover the spread on the road.

Detroit 43
Chicago -13
Sun 1:00 pm
- The pointspread was hit by wise action on: Chicago -12.5
- The total opened at: 44
- Where the public is: Chicago by a ratio of 5.3 to 4.1
- Where the money is: Detroit
- We have the Bears as huge favorites to win out right at home but we only give them slim odds to cover the double-digit spread.

Green Bay 41
Tennessee -5
Sun 1:00 pm
- The pointspread was hit by wise action on: Green Bay +5.5
- The total opened at: 42.5
- Where the public is: Split
- Where the money is: Green Bay
- Tennessee is the strong favorite to win outright at home and stay unbeaten, but we have them as underdogs to cover the spread.

Miami 50
Denver -3.5
Sun 4:05 pm
- The total was hit by wise action at: Over 49
- The pointspread opened at: Denver -3.5
- Where the public is: Denver by a ratio of 8.1 to 3.2
- Where the money is: Denver and over
- We have this game closer than the odds would indicate. We have Miami as strong favorites to cover its underdog spread and we also give the Fish a coin-flip chance of winning this game outright.

Atlanta -3
Oakland 41.5
Sun 4:15 pm
- 60 PERCENT CHANCE SHOWERS
- The pointspread opened at: Atlanta -3
- The total opened at: 41
- Where the public is: Atlanta by a ratio of 7.3 to 2.6
- Where the money is: Oakland
- We have this game as a toss-up and will let the action dictate where the line moves. Weather may have an impact on the total.

Dallas 41.5
NY Giants -9
Sun 4:15 pm
- The pointspread was hit by wise action on: NY Giants -7.5
- The total opened at: 41
- Where the public is: NY Giants by a ratio of 10.6 to 4.4
- Where the money is: Split
- We have the Giants as strong favorites to win outright at home, but only give them coin-flip odds to cover the spread.

Philadelphia -7
Seattle 43
Sun 4:15 pm
- 60 PERCENT CHANCE SHOWERS, GUSTY
- The total was hit by wise action at: Over 42
- The pointspread opened at: Philadelphia -7
- Where the public is: Philadelphia by a ratio of 15.6 to 1.6
- Where the money is: Philadelphia
- We have the Eagles strong favorites to win outright, and we also have them as moderate favorites to cover the spread on the road.

New England 43.5
Indianapolis -6
Sun 8:15 pm
- The total was hit by wise action at: Under 44
- The pointspread opened at: Indianapolis -5.5
- Where the public is: Split
- Where the money is: Indianapolis
- We have the Colts as moderate favorites to win outright and cover the spread at home.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

LOGICAL APPROACH

NFL SELECTION OF THE WEEK: MINNESOTA - 4 ½ over Houston -

Houston is off of their best game of the season -- by far -- on both sides of the football and are unlikely to play to a similar level this week. The Vikings are off of a Bye that followed a loss in Chicago and should have used the time to design an offense more suited to the talents of QB Gus Frerotte who replaced Tarvaris Jackson as the starter several weeks into the season. Minnesota's running game and significantly better overall defense also provide solid edges. The Vikes are allowing just 2.9 yards per rush and nearly a yard per play less than the Texans. This is Houston's first road game since the end of September after 4 straight at home and their modest 3 game winning streak has included wins over the league's two remaining winless teams, Cincinnati and Detroit and both came at home. Minnesota, primed for a big effort, wins easily, 27-13.


Other Featured NFL Selections :

Tampa Bay - 8 over KANSAS CITY - Tampa drops down in class this week after playing well defensively at Dallas in their 13-9 loss. The Chiefs hung tough at New York and nearly defeated the Jets. Though their long term record at home is lofty, the Chiefs have lost 2 of 3 at Arrowhead this season and have had trouble sustaining momentum against more talented teams. This is a young team in the process of rebuilding while Tampa is a Playoff contender. Against weaker teams the Buccs are content to just run the ball and play conservatively to protect leads. Kansas City is the worst in the league against the run, allowing 197 yards per game (5.6 per carry). Their own ground game is in disarray with the unsettled status of RB Larry Johnson and their offense is led by a third string QB, Tyler Thigpen. Off of a loss and headed into their Bye week, Tampa will be focused and well motivated for a big effort against a very compliant foe. Tampa bay win 23-10.



DENVER- 3 over Miami - Denver's off their Bye and eager to atone for their embarrassing performance at New England. Miami's already tripled their win total from last season and stand 3-4. Denver has major concerns with their defense that is allowing 396 ypg. Miami's offense is being well managed by QB Chad Pennington and rarely turns the ball over, averaging less than one giveaway per game. The Broncos have the NFL's #2 offense (382 ypg). With two road games on deck this becomes a key game for Denver. Their rushing offense has been well above average while their weak run defense faces a Dolphins ground game gaining below the league average. Miami has covered 5 straight against Denver which gives us value in this short line. It's hard to offer many negatives against improved Miami which is showing they were not nearly as bad last season as their 1-15 record. But it's a bad scheduling spot for Miami, off of two home games and with three more at home up next, making this their only road trip in a 6 game stretch. And they'll face a rested, angry and highly motivated foe. Denver's offensive balance proves decisive. Denver wins 26-17.



Dallas + 8 over N Y GIANTS - This long term rivalry takes on even more importance as the G-men threaten to make it a runaway in the NFC East while Dallas struggles behind backup QB Brad Johnson with Tony Romo still sidelined. This line is a 15 point turnaround from their last meeting when the Giants knocked the Cowboys out of the Playoffs last season in Dallas as a 7 point underdog. Overall both teams are above average both on offense and defense with not much separating the teams statistically. Aside from blowout wins over weaklings Seattle and St Louis, the Giants have not been as dominant as may be perceived. They struggled in wins over Cincinnati, San Francisco and Pittsburgh. Both teams have done well both running the ball and stopping the run. Most of their yards per play stats are extremely close. Dallas remains a team loaded with talent across the board, even considering their injury woes. Dallas will be motivated to avenge that Playoff loss. While they likely don't pull the upset, this game will be close. NY Giants win 23-20.




Best of the NFL Totals

Houston/Minnesota UNDER 47
Tampa Bay/Kansas City UNDER 37 ½
Arizona/St Louis OVER 49
Miami/Denver UNDER 49
Atlanta/Oakland UNDER 41
Pittsburgh/Washington UNDER 37



Money Line Recommendations


Pro:

MINNESOTA
DENVER
OAKLAND
New England

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK



AWESOME ANGLE OF THE WEEK

PLAY AGAINST any sub .700 NFL road favorite off a win if they are scheduled to face the defending Super Bowl champs in their next game.

Play Against:
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

ATS W-L Record
Since 1980: 15-1 (93%)


TOTALS

5* Raiders UNDER

4* Vikings OVER

3* Titans OVER








5* BEST BET

Baltimore over CLEVELAND by 11
Some teams benefi t more than others from scheduling gifts. The
Ravens are one such club. When they visited Miami two weeks ago,
they were recipients of the Dolphins being cast into the role of a
favorite for the fi rst time this season. They also caught Miami off
three consecutive pointspread wins, two of which were SU underdog
victories. The result: Baltimore (+3) 27, Miami 13. As Yogi Berra would
say, “It’s déjà vu all over again” my friend with the Browns in the
same identical role as outlined above. Better yet, Baltimore brings the
better offense and the better defense into this contest. Yes, it may be
revenge for the Brownies from a 28-10 loss in Crabtown earlier this
year but the fact of the matter is the Black Birds have made a living
of late in this series, going 6-0 ATS the last six meetings. By the book,
Baltimore improves to 8-1 ATS In November against an opponent off
a SU underdog win while Cleveland dips to 1-7 ATS in Eleventh Month
games when hosting a division foe. Again




4 BEST BET

WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh by 14

A myriad of solid handicapping factors are at work in this Monday
night fi ght and we’ll gladly step in and soak all of them up. The
Redskins join fellow division rival Eagles and Giants as the only three
teams in the league to have won the total yardage in all but one game
this season (they won the stats in each of their last seven games). They
are also a Monday night home team off a road game taking on a foe
of a home loss of 7 or more points. Teams in this role are 24-2-1 SU and
21-5-1 ATS since 1980! Tie that into the Steelers’ 3-10 SU and 4-8-1 ATS
record on the Monday night road against an opponent off a win and
you can understand our glee. With new head coach Jim Zorn having
shown a unique tendency to ‘play to the level of the opposition’ (4-0
SU and ATS versus .500 or greater opponents; 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS versus
less than .500 teams), we welcome you to the glee club.




3* BEST BET
Dallas over NY GIANTS by 3
As banged up and depleted as the Cowboys are they still bring a lot to
the table in this contest. And with the number bordering on doubles
we’ll bite. For openers, Dallas has been a dog of more than 6 points
three times in this series dating back to 1991. They won the money all
three times. In addition, they are 10-2 ATS as road dogs when taking on
a division opponent off a SU and ATS loss. More importantly, though,
they own a Top 10 ranked defense that has held two of its last three
foes to season low yards (Tampa Bay and Arizona). The G-Men return
home off a tough, physical battle at Pittsburgh. And that’s a vital key
in this contest as teams are just 7-14 SU and 5-16 ATS in games after
facing Pittsburgh since Mike Tomlin took over the reins last season,
including 2-9 ATS when favored. Dallas devours the Big Apple.




MINNESOTA over Houston by 6
The Texans fi nally hit the asphalt after having been camped out at home
throughout the month of October. Thanks to a scheduling change due to
Hurricane Ike, Houston becomes only the 6th team in NFL annals to take
to the regular season road after having played four straight home games
(FYI: the other fi ve went 2-3 SU and ATS, including 0-3 as dogs of 2 or more
points). Meanwhile, the Vikings hope that their success in November when
playing off a loss in games when they own a losing record continues its
winning charm (8-0 ATS) and is enough to overcome Minny’s 8-game losing
skein against AFC opponents. The Texans’ putrid 3-28 SU mark in their
expansion franchise history in road games off a home game, including 1-11
SU and ATS of late, does not bode well for Houston. Minny breaks its AFC
cherry today.



Jacksonville over CINCINNATI by 3
No one ever aspires to be a pig. Like s**t, it just happens. Once you’ve been
enshrined into the oinker society, there’s nothing you can do about it. It’s
a label that doesn’t wash off. To gain admittance into the NFL ‘Ugly Pig’
fraternity all a team needs to do is to lose its fi rst four games of the season.
It’s just that simple. Try as they may, these teams are labeled as losers the
rest of the season. Dress them up as home dogs in games off back-to-back
SU and ATS losses and they respond with aplomb, having gone 33-9 ATS in
this role since 1980! That’s the role for the Cincinnati Pigs, err, Bengals today.
Considering Jacksonville is still looking for its fi rst ATS cover as a favorite
this season (1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS), look for the underdog (8-0 ATS) to remain
perfect in Jags’ games this season in the Pig Pen here today.



Tampa Bay over KANSAS CITY by 10
If you’re a professional hog-caller forget about calling on the Chiefs. Despite
their sorry status they were not born into the ‘Ugly Pig’ family this season.
A shocking win over Denver in Game Four saved them, momentarily, from
swine-status this year. Instead, they are simply a fl at-out bad team. That’s
confi rmed by the fact they have allowed season high – or 2nd high – yardage
in EVERY game they’ve played this season, including season highs the last
four. Speaking of statistics, the Bucs 5th ranked defense is the reason
Tampa is +63 net YPG this season while the Chiefs’ 31st ranked defense is
largely responsible for KC’s –137 net YPG this season. That’s a 200-yard net
differential. No surprise to see the Bucs improve on their glittery 12-1-1 ATS
mark in games off a SU and ATS loss when taking on a .600 or less nondivision
foe. Lay the points, bucko.


BUFFALO Over NY Jets by 6
Key AFC East duel pits 5-2 division leading Buffalo against the 4-3 Jets
with plenty on the line for both teams. Statistically both teams mirror one
another. Biggest concern is a Jet defense that’s coughed up season high – or
2nd high – yardage in three of its last four games. Key edge in the contest
is the fact that Bills’ boss Dick Jauron is 10-2 ATS at home in games off a SU
and ATS division loss in his NFL head coaching career, including 8-1 versus an
opponent off a win. With that, Buffi e goes to 9-0 ATS as a home favorite off
a SU and ATS loss in November. ‘No charge’ for this winning piece of advice.
We’ll Bill you later.



Arizona over ST. LOUIS by 7
It’s amazing what three pointspread wins in a row will do to the complexion
of a ‘pig’ (read: bad team). After opening the season 0-4 and gaining ‘Ugly Pig’
status, the Rams fi red head coach Scott Linehan and promoted Jim Haslett.
Since then, they’ve gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS. As a result, today marks the fi rst
time St. Louis will not be getting at least a touchdown from the oddsmaker.
Never a good home dog (1-6 ATS last seven), the Rams are a paltry 2-15 ATS
taking points as a division host when they own a losing record. The Cardinals
9-0 SU and 8-0-1 ATS mark as road favorites from Game Eight out versus an
opponent off a loss of 7 or more points cements it.



CHICAGO over Detroit by 14
Like the Chiefs, the Lions own the distinction of having allowed season high
– or 2nd high – yardage in EVERY game they’ve played this season. Thus,
the race is on for the ‘worst team in the league’ honors. The 425 yards they
surrendered to the Bears in an earlier meeting this season was – surprise
– the Bears’ best effort in 2008. The problem here is Chicago’s 0-7 ATS record
as double-digit chalk against sub .400 opponents off back-to-back losses and
the Lions’ 14-2 spread mark off a double-digit SU and ATS non-division loss.
We’ll let the stat story fend us off the trends and keep our nose out of this
foul-smelling affair.



TENNESSEE over Green Bay by 6
Forgive the Titans if they don’t show up for this game today after a 7-0 SU
and ATS start to the season, including Monday night’s big win over former
division kingpin Indianapolis. With the division all but locked up (before the
mid-point of the season!), all that’s left is a PERFECT SEASON. After all, they
are only 2nd team in NFL history to open a campaign with seven wins and
covers in its fi rst seven games. The other? Last year’s New England Patriots,
who went on to win and cover eight in a row (52-7 against Washington)
before the pointspread wheels fell off. Meanwhile, the well-rested Packers
look to stay atop the NFC North Division with Chicago knowing they are 7-3
SU and 8-2 ATS as dogs off a SU non-division underdog win. Are the Titans
this year’s ’18-0’ hope? Nope.



DENVER over Miami by 3
Lots of ammunition for both sides in this battle of two teams that appear
headed in opposite directions. After starting the season with three straight
wins, the Broncos have dropped three of their last four games. The best
news of late has been the Bye Week as it allows Denver an opportunity to
regroup. And regroup is what Mike Shanahan does best as evidenced by
his sterling 15-5 SU and ATS career mark in games with rest, including 12-1
SU and ATS against non-division opponents. Miami has numbers of its own,
like 9-0 ATS as dogs against AFC West Division opposition. The bottom line
for Bronco backers is Denver’s 0-7 ATS mark in its last seven regular season
games in the series puts this one on hold. With that, we’ll make like John
Elway and Dan Marino and pass.



Atlanta over OAKLAND by 6
Who would have believed the Falcons would be sent out as a road favorite
with a rookie quarterback this season? That’s what happens when your team
has won as many games (4) at this stage of the season as they did all of last
year. And, unlike Cleveland above, Atlanta has worn the cloth of favorite this
season (won 38-14 as 6-point favorites against the Chiefs in Week Three). The
home dog Raiders, who have allowed season high – or 2nd high – yardage
in their last three games, will try and improve on a nasty 3-15 ATS home dog
record when taking 8 or less points at McAfee Coliseum. Back the team with
the better running game and the better defense. Back the Falcons.


Philadelphia over SEATTLE by 3
The Eagles scratched and clawed their way to a 5* win for us in the Playbook
last week when Andy Reid kept his brilliant record in games off a Bye Week
intact. Today, however, they travel to the left coast to meet the suddenly
awakened Seahawks in an unattractive AWESOME ANGLE ‘play against’
situation (see page 2) with division rival and defending Super Bowl champion
New York Giants up next. While no team in the league has played better ‘In
The Stats’ than the Eagles (6-1 ITS) this year, we simply can’t ignore the fact
that Andy is a not-so-dandy 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in 2nd games after the Bye
Week when taking on a non-division foe. You know what to do.



INDIANAPOLIS over New England by 10
Pity Peyton. His team has lost as many games before the midway mark of this
2008 season than it did in total in any of the previous three seasons. What
to do? If you’re a believer, you don’t bail. If you’re a cynic you point out the
fact that they could realistically be 1-6 rather than 3-4 were it not for a few
late-game gifts from the Vikings and Texans. But as Bill Parcells likes to say,
“You are what your record says.” Since we’re believers, we point out the
fact that head coach Tony Dungy is 32-18-2 ATS in his NFL career at home
with revenge, including 7-0 SU and ATS when playing off a loss of 7 or more
points. With defending Super Bowl losers a miserable 25-50-2 ATS on the
non-division road against an opponent seeking revenge, look for things to
get back to the norm at Peyton’s place today



TOTALS

5* Raiders UNDER

4* Vikings OVER

3* Titans OVER

[Can'tPickaWinner]

NELLY

nfl

5 buffalo
4 dallas
3 miami
2 minn
1 oak

system:tenn over

[The Unit]

Paid and confirmed by yours truly

Kiki Sports

2 units Buffalo -5
1 unit Arizona/ St.Louis OVER 48.5
1 unit Miami +3.5
1 unit NY Giants -9
1 unit New England +6

Can someone get Youngstown Connection this weekend? 4-0 last week and 17-5 overall in NFL for the season. 39-17 in all sports.

sportsbetadvisors is the location, I appreciate it a lot if someone could.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET


KEY RELEASES

CLEVELAND by 13 over Baltimore
N.Y. GIANTS by 20 over Dallas
OVER THE TOTAL in the Detroit-Chicago game




CLEVELAND 23 - Baltimore 10—In its last home game, the aroused
Cleveland defense made Eli Manning and the Super Bowl champs look like
chumps, the Browns winning 35-14. In fact, the improved Cleveland defensive
unit has allowed only 12, 14, 14 & 17 points its last four games! The Browns’
major question of 2008 remains whether QB Derek Anderson (56.5%, 29 TDs,
19 ints. LY; 49%, 6 & 7 TY) can regain his big-play form. He was sacked 5 times
and intercepted thrice by the Ravens in Week Two. But, now, it’s payback time
for Cleveland vs. Joe Flacco. Browns four straight covers TY; 17-6 vs. spread
last 23 overall; 1-11-1 “under” last 13.
(08-BALT. 28-Cle. 10...B.21-11 B.44/151 C.15/73 B.13/19/2/122 C.14/37/3/96 B.0 C.0)
(07-CLE. 27-Balt. 13...B.16-12 B.20/111 C.30/99 B.34/53/1/307 C.10/18/1/204 C.0 B.1)
(07-Cle. 33-BAL. 30 (OT)...B.23-22 B.25/128 C.34/117 C.24/38/1/263 B.22/41/2/240 C.1 B.2)
(08-BALT. -2' 28-10; 07-CLEVE. +4 27-13, Cleve. -2' 33-30 (OT)...SR: Baltimore 12-7)



NY GIANTS 33 - Dallas 13—Hard times for Brad Johnson, a Super
Bowl-winning QB six years ago, but now a soft-tossing (19 completions for only
122 yards last week vs. T.B.), 40-year-old fill-in for Tony Romo (expected to be
sidelined through Dallas’ upcoming bye week). Worse yet for the Cowboys, the
G-men have the rush defense (fifth prior to last week) to repeatedly force
Johnson to the air and the pass rush (26 sacks) to then attack. Giants’ own
mashing ground assault (No. 1 prior to the Steeler game) figures to keep
DeMarcus Ware (9 sacks) under control, allowing Eli and his deep WR corps to
exploit the depleted Dallas secondary. G-men on 19-6 cover streak.
(07-DAL. 45-Giants 35...N.22-21 D.30/142 N.22/124 D.15/24/1/336 N.29/44/1/314 D.1 N.0)
(07-Dal. 31-GIANTS 20...N.23-19 N.27/106 D.24/82 D.20/28/1/241 N.23/34/2/194 D.0 N.0)
(07-Giants 21-DAL. 17...D.23-16 D.33/154 N.23/90 D.18/36/1/182 N.12/18/0/140 N.0 D.0)
(07-DAL. -6 45-35, Dal. -2 31-20, Giants +7' 21-17 (Playoffs)...SR: Dallas 54-36-2



OVER THE TOTAL CHICAGO 37 - Detroit 16—Can Detroit ever win
a game, or is Cincinnati more likely to emerge as the more serious challenger
to the all-time futility mark of the 0-14 of the T.B. Bucs of 1976? While
pondering that one, the immediate focus is whether the Lions can put up a
better fight vs. Chicago than they did in their humbling 34-7 loss at Ford Field
four weeks ago. We’re not convinced, especially with Jon Kitna out and stilllearning
Dan Orlovsky (three starts) at QB, and with HC Rod Marinelli’s status
on a week-to-week basis. Would much rather trust rested Bears, looking to
take charge of the NFC North and with Kyle Orton (10 TDs, 4 ints.) resembling
a good NFL QB. Chicago 17-4 “over” at home.
(08-Chi. 34-DET. 7...C.21-12 C.34/97 D.13/54 C.24/34/0/328 D.21/39/1/131 C.1 D.1)
(07-DET. 37-Chi. 27...C.22-19 D.25/95 C.22/69 C.34/52/3/234 D.20/24/0/215 D.2 C.0)
(07-Det. 16-CHI. 7...D.22-16 D.28/119 C.20/63 D.24/35/0/246 C.22/40/4/192 D.1 C.0)
(08-Chicago -3' 34-7; 07-DETROIT +2' 37-27, Detroit +5 16-7...SR: Chicago 88-64-5)





MINNESOTA 27 - Houston 26—Houston’s far-from-perfect defense is
vulnerable to Adrian Peterson and the Minnesota ground game. However, the
Vikes still have holes in their pass defense, and it’s always an adventure to see
what Minny might do next when punting and returning punts. The Texans have
a super-fast returner in Jacoby Jones (two PR TDs TY), and rookie RB Steve
Slaton is a tick faster on artificial turf. WR Andre Johnson (56 recs.) is having
a monster year. Houston “over” 6 of 7 TY and 10 of last 12 overall.
(04-Minnesota -3' 34-28 (OT)...SR: Minnesota 1-0)



Jacksonville 28 - CINCINNATI 17—Bengals have yet to cover in four starts
by Ryan Fitzpatrick (2 TDs, 5 ints., 17 sacks). And the loss of good-looking
rookie OLB Keith Rivers could prove doubly important vs. a strong-running
team such as Jacksonville. The Jags (0-5 as a favorite) are no cinch, however,
and former Chicago Bear Cedric Benson is providing at least the semblance of
a ground attack for Cincy. Maybe the best option is “over,” as Jacksonville is
11-3-1 “over” on the road (but only 1-2 TY).
(05-JACKSONVILLE -3 23-20...SR: Jacksonville 11-5)




Tampa Bay 24 - KANSAS CITY 10—Maybe Tyler Thigpen is getting the
hang of this NFL thing, as the former Coastal Carolina Chanticleer QB enjoyed
his best pro day (280 YP & 2 TDP) in 28-24 loss at the Jets. Then again, that
unexpected K.C. uprising should only serve to alert an angry Tampa Bay bunch
that’s unlikely to overlook the Chiefs after the Bucs’ own bitter 13-9 loss at Big
D. Have more faith in Monte Kiffin’s coverage schemes and blitz packages to
disrupt the inexperienced Thigpen, and in Jon Gruden’s offense to repeatedly
exploit the low-ranking K.C. defense, especially now that WR Joey Galloway is
back in action.
(04-TAMPA BAY +3 34-31...SR: Kansas City 5-4)




BUFFALO 22 - NY Jets 13—With Buffalo’s power running game still not
generating consistent yardage (Marshawn Lynch only 3.5 ypc), we wonder if
last week’s 25-16 loss at Miami might be the first sign the Bills are about ready
to fall back to earth. But we’re reluctant to trust the Jets as long as Brett Favre
(ints. in 6 straight games for first time since ‘05; 3 picks last week; now 11 TY)
continues to make costly mistakes as he adjusts to N.Y.’s offense. Buffalo
counterpart Trent Edwards (only 3 ints.) proving more efficient. Note: Bills 13-
6 vs. line at Orchard Park under Dick Jauron.
(07-BUF. 17-NY Jets 14...N.20-19 B.28/86 N.19/60 N.32/39/2/286 B.22/28/1/218 B.1 N.0)
(07-Buf. 13-NY JETS 3...B.19-14 B.35/108 N.23/100 B.17/26/1/239 N.18/32/2/154 B.0 N.1)
(07-BUFFALO +3' 17-14, Buffalo +3 13-3...SR: Buffalo 53-42)




ST. LOUIS 29 - Arizona 24—Can St. Louis (2-5) possibly be on the verge
of getting back into the NFC West race? And do the modern-day Ram fans even
know or care of Bill Bidwill, who moved the Cards from the Gateway City to the
desert 20 years ago? We’ll say “yes” to the first question, and “probably no” to
the Bidwill portion. What matters most is that St. Louis is 2-1 SU and 3-0 vs.
the spread since Jim Haslett replaced Scott Linehan. And even without
Steven Jackson (thigh strain; check status), Rams have a new gamebreaker
in rookie WR Donnie Avery, who is supplanting Torry Holt as Marc Bulger’s
favorite target.
(07-Ariz. 34-ST. LOU. 31...24-24 S.23/123 A.31/102 A.21/41/2/281 S.24/43/3/252 A.0 S.0)
(07-ARIZ. 48-St. Lou. 19...A.25-13 A.31/123 S.24/75 A.23/39/2/300 S.14/30/3/159 A.0 S.0)
(07-Arizona -3' 34-31, ARIZONA -6 48-19...SR: St. Louis 31-26-2)




TENNESSEE 21 - Green Bay 20—Extra rest for G.B., off its bye week, while
Tennessee on short practice after important Monday nighter with Indy. Both
teams sport ball-hawking DBs, with DBs Courtland Finnegan & Michael Griffin
of the Titans and Nick Collins & Charles Woodson of the Packers each with 4
ints. prior to that Indy game. Tenn. runs it better with Chris Johnson & LenDale
White. But Packers throw it better with the surprising Aaron Rodgers (65.6%,
12 TDs, only 4 ints.), who’s taking fine advantage of his quality receivers and
Mike McCarthy’s clever passing schemes.
(2008 Preseason: Tennessee -6' beat Green Bay 23-21 at Green Bay)
(04-Tennessee +3 48-27...SR: Tennessee 5-4)




DENVER 30 - Miami 21—This one figures to be run vs. pass, with the
Dolphins’ strong and often deceptive ground game challenging the Broncos’
low-ranked defense, now missing LB Boss Bailey & cover corner Champ Bailey
(expected to be replaced by fourth-round draft pick Jack Williams of Kent
State). However, Denver’s bye week will allow Jay Cutler’s sore finger to heal
and for Mike Shanahan (5 straight covers after byes; 6-1-1 last 8 vs. the spread
following a DD loss) to devise some new looks for WRs Marshall & Royal and
TEs Scheffler & Graham. Broncs 13-4 “over” at home.
(05-MIAMI +5 34-10...SR: Miami 10-4-1)




Atlanta 23 - OAKLAND 16—Prefer the solid coaching and impressive
development of Atlanta, even though both of the promising QBs in this game
deserve credit for avoiding the very frequent interceptions that often plague
young passers (Matt Ryan has 5 picks; JaMarcus Russell, only 3). However, for
the Falcons, WR Roddy White (43 recs., 5 TDC) has continued his ascension
toward the upper echelon. Cross-country travelers not doing well in the NFL TY, but
Mike Smith has his young Atlanta players believing they’re solid contenders in the
NFC South, while many Raiders uncertain what exactly is going on in Oakland.
(04-ATLANTA -7' 35-10...SR: Oakland 7-4)


Philadelphia 23 - SEATTLE 20—Hesitant to lay the lumber with superior
visitor at one of the NFL’s toughest sites, especially with mobile backup QB
Seneca Wallace (2 TDP last week in S.F.) at least stabilizing the Seattle
offense. Eagles always a major threat when Brian Westbrook (167 YR, 6 recs.
last week) healthy. But Seahawks, who have won four straight NFC West titles,
have a solid corps of players eager to a make a run at a fifth now that they’re
back on the winning track. This one unlikely to come easy for the favorite.
(07-Sea. 28-PHIL. 24...P.17-16 P.29/144 S.29/135 P.19/42/4/219 S.19/34/1/176 S.1 P.0)
(07-Seattle +3 28-24...SR: Philadelphia 6-5)




*INDIANAPOLIS 27 - New England 24—Tom Brady’s knee injury has kept
this game from being the premium matchup anticipated prior to the season.
And injuries to other players (Rodney Harrison, Sammy Morris, Joseph Addai,Bob Sanders; check status of the last three) have further dimmed the luster.
Making things interesting, however, has been the gradual improvement of Matt
Cassel and the injury-disrupted season being endured by Peyton Manning (8
TDs, 7 ints. prior to Monday night game in Tennessee) and the Indy offense.
Pats are 11-6-1 L5+Ys in rare underdog role. TV—NBC
(07-N. Eng. 24-INDY 20...I.23-21 I.31/119 N.28/105 N.21/32/2/237 I.16/27/1/213 N.0 I.1)
(07-New England -5 24-20...SR: New England 44-27)




MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3
*Pittsburgh 20 - WASHINGTON 16—Maturing Washington QB Jason
Campbell (8 TDs, no ints.) faces perhaps his toughest challenge since the
Redskins’ 16-7 opening-day at the Giants, as the often-confusing Steeler 3-4
features two of the NFL’s top sack artists in James Harrison’s (8½) & LaMarr
Woodley (7½). Only once (last week, in fact) has the Steeler defense allowed
more than 260 total yards TY. RB Clinton Portis (944 YR) is leading the league
in rushing, but he’s been taking a beating. Pittsburgh is hoping Willie Parker
(out since Game Three with knee injury) and WR Santonio Holmes (deactivated
due to pot arrest) will both be back. Only Steeler losses have come vs. the
Eagles & Giants, and Redskins lack that type of pass rush. CABLE TV—ESPN
(04-PITTSBURGH -10 16-7...SR: Washington 42-30-3)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA

HOUSTON
Upon close inspection, the Minnesota Vikings haven’t been
offering a lot of value lately. Not only is Minnesota struggling vs. the
number this season (2-5), but the Vikings have been
underachieving since the middle of the 2006 campaign, recording a
poor 11-23-1 spread mark their last 35 on the board, including just 7
covers in their last 19 as a favorite. So, no problem recommending
ascending Houston, especially with the Texans on a 3-game
straight-up win streak.




HOUSTON at MINNESOTA...Texans “over” 6-1 TY, now “over” 10
of last 12 since late ‘07, and “over” 19-8-1 last 28 overall. Vikes 11-
23-1 last 35 on board. Tech edge-Texans and "over”, based on
team and “totals” trends.


JACKSONVILLE at CINCINNATI...Bengals no covers first 3 at
home TY, now 9-20-1 vs. number last 30 on board as host. Jags 9-
4 vs. line away since LY, also “over” 15-4 last 19 since early ‘07.
Tech edge-Jags and slight to “over,” based on team and
“totals” trends.


TAMPA BAY at KANSAS CITY...Herm just 2-8-1 vs. number as
host since ‘07. Chiefs also “over” 8-4 last 12 as host. Gruden “over”
7-4 last 11 as visitor. Tech edge-Bucs and slight to “over”,
based on team and “totals” trends.



BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND...Romeo has covered 5 of last 6 TY
and has noteworthy 17-6 overall spread mark since last season.
Tech edge-slight to Browns, based on team trends.


NY JETS at BUFFALO...Bills have won and covered last 3 meetings.
Jauron 12-4 vs. spread last 16 at Orchard Park as well. Bills
“over” 10-5 last 15 as host. Tech edge-Bills and slight to “over”,
based on team and “totals” trends.


ARIZONA at ST. LOUIS...Last 3 in series “over”, and Rams 11-3
“over” their last 14 as host. Cards “over” 5-2 TY, “over” 22-8 last 30
overall. Tech edge-“Over” and slight to Rams, based on team
and “totals” trends.


DETROIT at CHICAGO...Detroit “over” 9-4 last 13 as visitor, while
Bears “over” 17-4 last 21 at Soldier Field! Tech edge-“Over” and
Bears, based on “totals” and team trends.


GREEN BAY at TENNESSEE...Pack “over” 11-3 last 14 away. Titans
have won and covered their first 6 TY! Tech edge-“Over” and
slight to Titans, based on “totals” and team trends.


MIAMI at DENVER...Dolphins have covered last 5 meetings, and
Denver hasn’t covered a reg.-season game at home vs. Miami since
1968, a 21-14 win in old AFL days (Broncos did win and cover at home
in playoffs in ‘98, however, by 38-3 count). Denver no covers last
4 TY, but note Shan is 6-1-1 vs. line in last 8 games following a Bronco
DD loss. Broncos “under” last 2 at home but “over” 13-4 last 17 at
Invesco Field at mile High. Tech edge-“Over” and slight to
Broncos, based on “totals” and Bronco humiliation bounceback
trends.


ATLANTA at OAKLAND...Raiders 12-30-1 vs. number last 43 as
host. Tech edge-Falcons, based on Raiders’ extended home
woes.


DALLAS at NY GIANTS...Giants 19-6 their last 25 on board, Dallas
3-10 last 13 on board since late ‘07. Cowboys “over” 8-4 last 12
away, G-Men “over” 8-4 last 12 as host. Tech edge-Giants and
slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.


PHILADELPHIA at SEATTLE...Eagles 11-3 vs. line last 14 away.
Philly also “over” first 3 on road Y and “over” 7-1 last 8 as visitor. Tech
edge-Eagles and “over”, based on team and “totals” trends.


NEW ENGLAND at INDIANAPOLIS...Colts have now covered the
last 4 series meetings. Belichick 15-6 vs. line last 21 as visitor, 2-1
TY with Matt Cassel at QB. Pats also “over” 10-5 last 15 away. Dungy
just 6-8 last 14 as chalk. Tech edge-slight to “over”, based on
“totals” trends.


PITTSBURGH at WASHINGTON (Monday, November 3)...Steel
“over” 8-3 last 1a since late ‘07. Steel has covered its last 2 away
TY but still only 7-12-1 vs. line away since ‘06. Tech edge-slight
to Skins and “over”, based on team and “totals” trends






NFL SYSTEM PLAYS THIS WEEK


NFL COACH AS UNDERDOG-GREEN BAY over Tennessee, NEW
ENGLAND over Indianapolis.


FAMILIARITY-CLEVELAND# over Baltimore, ST. LOUIS over Arizona.

NFL BLOWOUT BOUNCEBACK-DENVER over Miami.

NFL BLOWOUT LETDOWN-No plays this week.

SCORE 40 LETDOWN-DETROIT over Chicago, HOUSTON over
Minnesota.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MATT RIVERS

100,000* NFL GAME OF THE MONTH Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:

1. 100,000♦ Browns
2. 50,000♦ Bills

1. Neither team is great but I like the way the Brownies have been improving and to get them at home and pretty much just win the game is certainly fine with me.
No doubt Ray Lewis and Ed Reed form one of the stoutest defenses in all of football but I just do not trust Joe Flacco and that offense on the road. The Ravens have started the season nicely and probably do believe they have a shot at the playoffs but the road is never an easy place to play and without probably Chris McAllister and possibly also Willis McGhahee and Yamon Figurs I'm really not going to be surprised if the Ravens not only lose here but get blitzed. Let's not forget how this Cleveland team has a pretty good upside on offense unlike Baltimore who really still does not as they just still pretty much plod up and down the field.
Romeo Crennel's Browns have really come on of late, feeding off of that win against the Giants. These guys just won in Jacksonville against a similar physical team in the Jaguars and now back home will certainly play with some passion in what is a huge huge divisional game that could determine the fate of their season as 3-5 with another loss in the division would probably mean the end of any real postseason hopes. Plus Jamal Lewis is a former Raven and should be all sorts of jacked up here.
The Ravens have won two straight but Miami and Oakland are not exactly two elite teams and on the road here have to pretty much win this game in order to cover.
Derek Anderson has been a ton better of late and I definitely expect Braylon Edwards to man up against the physical Baltimore defense like he did against the Giants in that Monday night win.
A near pick at home? Sure!
2. Brett Favre has been pretty wretched over the past few weeks and the Jets overall have really been lacking a whole lot of late. New York was atrocious out in Oakland in that overtime loss a few weeks ago and had to come back last week to beat a dreadful Kansas City team in the Meadowlands.
Sure Buffalo blew it last week in Miami but the Bills at Rich Stadium in the cold always seem to take care of business. Buffalo is in first place right now and a win today would be monstrous as the Patriots probably are going to drop a game on the road in Indianapolis later in the day. With Favre throwing a ton of picks of late against bad teams I just don't see him rebounding up North against a very capable Buffalo team.
I can totally see a 31-14 type of an ass whopping right here as the Jets poor play is about to catch up with them once agaion on the highway and in a major major way!

[Hap]

Unit, etc

I will get Youngstown. Be back soon.

[ProPel]

John Fina (went 5-1 yesterday)

Football for November 2, 2008

NFL - 3 units on St. Louis Rams +3.5 (-110)

NFL - 2 units on Cincinnati Bengals +8.5 (-110)

NFL - 2 units on Minnesota Vikings -5 (-110)

NFL - 2 units on Tampa Bay Buccaneers -9 (-110)

***

[kac44012]

NORTH COAST

NFL TOTAL GOW
At/Oak...UNDER 41



Was this released today? Or earlier in the week?

[bbrett3]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left colSpan=2>Handicapper: Steve Merril</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left width="85%">Atlanta Falcons vs. Oakland Raiders (NFL) - 3:15 PM EST</TD><TD>Premium Pick</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD align=left>Pick: Point Spread: 3/-123 Oakland Raiders Play Title: </TD><TD align=left></TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#eaeded><TD colSpan=8>Click Here to View Pick Analysis

NFL Game of the Week Game analysis will be available on Sunday morning at 10 a.m. ET. Play RAIDERS (+) as a 1½ unit play.

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Hap]

Youngstown Connection

1. Cleve -1.5
2. Minn -4.5
3. Oak +3

[Can'tPickaWinner]

BEN BURNS
AFC EAST GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with the NEW YORK JETS.*AFC East GOY
<!-- / message -->

[The Unit]

Youngstown Connection

1. Cleve -1.5
2. Minn -4.5
3. Oak +3

:pope:

I really appreciate it hap, between them and Kiki I am hoping for a big big day.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

PRO Selections Power Sweep<!-- / message -->

4* Ny Giants
3* Buffalo
2* Oakland
2* Minnesota

[GoBlue34]

No Dr Bob yet?

[ymmit2nd]

Platinum Plays

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Afc North Superlock Browns