View Full Version : Service Plays Saturday 11/01/08
Can'tPickaWinner
10-30-2008, 06:34 AM
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TheRealSlimShady
10-30-2008, 10:48 AM
$EROCKMONEY$
(1.) Connecticut (+4)
(2.) Rice (-2)
(3.) Purdue (-1.5)
(4.) Boise St. (-20)
(5.) Alabama (-22.5)
ymmit2nd
10-30-2008, 11:45 AM
the pro source
missouri-19
lsu -25 blowout gow
oregon st-12 pac 10 goy
ymmit2nd
10-30-2008, 03:26 PM
RON RAYMOND'S 5* BIG 10 GAME OF THE MONTH!
Pick # 1 Northwestern (7.0)
grabmyankles4services
10-30-2008, 04:51 PM
Primetime Sports Advisors
Early Releases
5 units West Virginia -4
5 units South Carolina -5.5
5 units Florida -6
5 units Texas Tech +4
Dr. T
10-30-2008, 09:07 PM
Matt Fargo GOY
Miami +2
Can'tPickaWinner
10-30-2008, 09:33 PM
Dr. Bob
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->4 Best Bets this week and 4 Strong Opinions (pay attention to the line constraints).
Rotation #330 Mississippi (-6 1/2) 2-Stars at -7 or less only. Strong Opinion from -7 1/2 to -9 points.
Rotation #360 Texas Tech (+3 1/2) 3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars down to +1.
Rotation #365 Clemson (+4) 2-Stars at +3 or more, 3-Stars at +6 or more.
Rotation #380 LSU (-25) 3-Stars at -26 or less, 2-Stars up to -28.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #350 USC (-44 1/2) Strong Opinion at -45 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #364 Michigan State (-4 1/2) Strong Opinion at -6 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -3 or less.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #378 Georgia Tech (-2 1/2) Strong Opinion at -3 or less. 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
Strong Opinion - Rotation #381 TCU (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.
Thursday Opinion - Rotation #306 Cincinnati (+2 1/2) Opinion. Strong Opinion at +3 or more.
3 Star Selection
***TEXAS TECH 37 Texas (-3.5) 30
05:00 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll also lean with the Under in this game.
3 Star Selection
***LSU (-25.0) 45 Tulane 10
05:00 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll take LSU in a 3-Star Best Bet at -26 points or less and for 2-Stars from -26 ½ to -28 points.
2 Star Selection
**MISSISSIPPI (-6.5) 28 Auburn 14
09:30 AM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll take Mississippi in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.
2 Star Selection
**Clemson 23 BOSTON COLLEGE (-4.0) 19
12:30 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll take Clemson in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more (at -1.15 odds or better) and for 3-Stars at +6 points or more.
Thursday Opinion
CINCINNATI 26 S. Florida (-2.5) 23
04:45 PM Pacific, 30-Oct-08
I'd consider Cincinnati a Strong Opinion at +3 or more.
Strong Opinion
MICHIGAN ST. (-4.5) 30 Wisconsin 20
09:00 AM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll consider Michigan State a Strong Opinion at -6 points or less and I’d take Michigan State in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less (-1.15 odds or better).
Strong Opinion
GEORGIA TECH (-2.5) 27 Florida St. 19
12:30 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll consider Georgia Tech a Strong Opinion at -3 points or less and I’d take Georgia Tech in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better.
Strong Opinion
USC (-44.5) 54 Washington 3
03:30 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll consider USC a Strong Opinion at -45 points or less and I’d take USC as a 2-Star Best Bet at -42 points or less.
Strong Opinion
TCU (-14.0) 35 UNLV 16
05:00 PM Pacific, 01-Nov-08
I’ll consider TCU a Strong Opinion at -14 points or less.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-30-2008, 09:41 PM
Sports Wise Guys
5 Star Picks (Week 10):
Connecticut +4.5 over West Virginia
Georgia +5.5 over Florida
Texas -3.5 over Texas Tech
Oregon State -14.5 over Arizona State
Illinois -3 over Iowa
5-Star College FB Picks Season Total: 25-14-5 (62.5%)
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-30-2008, 09:42 PM
BIG AL's 5* COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE MONTH Saturday
TEXAS TECH
opinion new mexico +7.5
opinion new mexico state +20.5
opinion oklahoma -21.5
opinion arkansas +7
opinion california -3<!-- / message -->
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-30-2008, 09:48 PM
Allen Eastan
$700.00 -106 Cincinnati (+2.5) over South Florida (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Oct. 30)
$1000.00-105 Michigan State (-4.5) over Wisconsin (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 1)
$900.00 +103 Florida State (+2.5) over Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
$300.00-108 Florida (-6) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
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PayMeMyMoney7
10-31-2008, 12:24 AM
RON RAYMOND'S 5* BIG 10 GAME OF THE MONTH!
Pick # 1 Northwestern (7.0)
CJ Bacher Doubtful, Sutton Out.
LongboardLarry
10-31-2008, 12:44 AM
FOOTBALL JESUS saturday:
Florida Gaotors-6
5dollars
10-31-2008, 03:56 AM
PICK: Western Michigan
Your pick will be graded at: -17.5 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money - NCAA
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #334 WESTERN MICHIGAN over EASTERN MICHIGAN
Back in the early part of this season we focused on the 12-Game schedule on a ”Verities & Balderdash” column, noting how it would bring elements that would both help and hurt our endeavors. Here is the kind of setting in which it helps in a major way, as the oddsmakers do not factor properly the situation that Eastern Michigan is in. And with Western bringing a focus to not just win here, but to win big, the rout is on the way.
This will be the 10th game in as many weeks for Jeff Genyk’s Eagles. That would be a tough toll for any team, but for a floundering side that has already clinched their 13th straight losing season, and has already lost five games by 22 points or more this season, it is a major uphill battle. As bodies grow even more weary it becomes a psychological challenge to keep playing hard, and when the losses keep adding up they are the kind of team that will not meet that challenge. And when it comes to uphill battles, imagine the effect on the psyche of a team that has not scored in the first quarter of a lined game all season, getting out-scored a combined 65-0.
Western Michigan will not only want to extend that run with an early jump, but we do not see the Broncos ever backing off here. While Eastern comes in tired, they instead get two full weeks to prepare for a game that has been circled on their calendar for 12 months, after they turned the ball over six times in a humbling road loss to the Eagles LY when an explosive offense could not score a single point. Now Tim Hiller and a tremendous corps of receivers have a chance to vent a lot of those frustrations.
Hiller is having a dynamic junior season, completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 2,517 yards, and a terrific ratio of 25 touchdown passes vs. only five interceptions. He can tax a tired defense with a supporting cast that includes Jamarko Simmons (66 catches for 702 yards and six touchdowns), Juan Nunez (44-492-4), Schneider Julien (39-491-3) and Brandon Ledbetter (38-385-5). Simmons and Ledbetter have NFL futures ahead of them, with their talent helping to open lanes for the others, and even RB Brandon West has caught 27 passes for 215 yards and three touchdowns, in addition to his 686 and six scores overland. And the chemistry of this unit will only get better, with Simmons, Nunez and Julien all going over 100 receiving yards in the last outing against Central Michigan, the first time in the history of the program that has happened. They bring far too many weapons for a gassed defense to stop, and the freshness and revenge motives break this wide open.
5dollars
10-31-2008, 03:57 AM
PICK: Wyoming
Your pick will be graded at: -4.5 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money - NCAA
REASON FOR PICK: 6* #332 WYOMING over SAN DIEGO STATE
We have only managed a split of the two 6* plays that we have had in action against Chuck Long and his depleted Aztecs in recent weeks, but Saturday’s non-cover with Colorado State was one that did not have to happen. As expected, the Rams wore down that awful defense to the tune of 38 points and 511 yards, but S.D.S. was able to hit a pair of home runs in the second half – a kickoff return for a TD and a 72-yard TD run – that enabled the Aztecs to stay inside the spread. The upside, of course, is that we are left with the value to go to the window once again, in a matchup that has so much more to the home team than the oddsmakers are projecting.
We can start with the basics – despite the notion of two struggling teams going head-to-head here, there is a major gap between them. They have played three common opponents, and the numbers speak loudly, with Wyoming winning those comparisons by 31 points and 617 yards. The problem for Joe Glenn and his Cowboys is that they have had to literally played their Mountain West schedule from the top down, already facing the elite of the conference, before now getting a chance to face San Diego State, U.N.L.V. and Colorado State, all teams that they are capable of beating. And it was not just a quality issue against the league elite, but also one of matchups as well. Because the passing game is so limited the Cowboys must run to be successful, and there are some rock-solid defensive fronts at the top of the Mountain West. The Aztecs are at the other end of the spectrum, rating dead last in the nation against the run.
That ground game has a chance to completely dominate this matchup against a depth-shy defensive front that we can count on to wear down at the Laramie altitude (7,165 feet), and they bring much more to the table than the markets will perceive. In having a week off prior to facing T.C.U. on Saturday they installed an “Outlaw” offensive package, which features a short shotgun snap and a lot of motion. And while not many will pay attention to a one-sided loss, a lot of good things happened in those schemes. RB Devin Moore ran for 114 yards against a defense that had not allowed any team to gain more than 71 in a game this season, and there were a couple of bounces that kept the full production of the attack from showing – a fumbled snap and a botched play that was to have been a RB pass lost a combined 45 yards. The Cowboys are also showing a lot of feistiness up front on the other side of the ball. In their last two games they have held Utah and T.C.U. to 233 rushing yards at an impressive 2.8 per attempt, and note that there were no flukes built in to those numbers. On Saturday T.C.U. had 39 running plays, with none gaining more than 13 yards.
If Wyoming can play this well in the trenches, why have things gone so sour? The passing game has simply been that bad, and it has helped to contribute to a -21 in turnover differential, by far the worst in the nation, when opposing defenses have forced them to the air. That does not happen this week, as their running attack controls this flow from the start, and eventually breaks the game wide open against a feeble opponent that has been beaten by a combined 111-14 in their only two conference road trips, and will bring no confidence to the table.
(ADDED NOTE: Although Wyoming QB Karsteen Sween is going to be held out of practice until later in the week his status is not crucial to our play - Chris Stutzriem has had plenty of time working with the first-team offense in practice in recent weeks, and is currently running #1 on the depth chart, while #2 Dax Crum has played more minutes than Sween.)
5dollars
10-31-2008, 03:57 AM
PICK: Arkansas St.
Your pick will be graded at: 23 WSEX
EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: Three for the Money - NCAA
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #393 ARKANSAS STATE over ALABAMA
There are not many coaches that we have had a better run with through the years playing both On and Against that Nick Saban, and this one brings us another prime opportunity. Our best success with Saban has come in competitively priced games (like the tickets cashed vs. Clemson and Tennessee already this season), when his outstanding preparation skills can out-maneuver the opposing coaches. And the best anti-situations have been when he is just looking to take care of business and move on. That is what we have this week.
Saban is 1-5 ATS since coming to Alabama as a double-figure favorite. It is a pattern that makes a lot of sense for a guy that worked at the NFL level, where the focus is strictly on getting wins, and not margins, and the SEC right now is about as close to the NFL as any college conference we have ever charted. There are no easy opportunities, and having played five straight conference games, and with a revenge showdown at L.S.U. immediately on deck, there is nothing calling for him to be concerned with anything more than just getting a win on the scoreboard, and keeping his players as fresh as possible for the challenges yet ahead.
Our key here is that the play is not all anti-Alabama. Arkansas State gets two weeks to prepare for what will be recognized as a special opportunity for the program, and there will not be all that much intimidation – under Steve Roberts the Red Wolves have played on the SEC road at Tennessee, Auburn, L.S.U. and Mississippi, in addition to non-conference trips to Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma State and Missouri. And Roberts has some individual talents that can compete at this level. In QB Corey Leonard he has a savvy veteran that despite only being a junior will be making his 27th start, and has only thrown three interceptions this season. The RB tandem of Reggie Arnold, on his way to his third straight 1,000-yard season, and Derek Lawson have each gone for over 500 yards already, and on defense they have a force in Alex Carrington, who is tied for 1st in the nation in tackles for losses, and 3rd in sacks. They can make enough plays to hang around this one for a long time, and stay comfortably under this generous spread.
LLXC13
10-31-2008, 04:38 AM
D Malinsky also has:
NCAAF
4* S. Carolina -5
NFL
4* Phily -6.5
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 06:22 AM
North Coast Sports
Power Play Gow....ole' Miss -6
Early Bird Pow...byu -14
Comp Under Dog Pow...utep +2
Big Dog Pow....unlv +14'
#2 Economy Club Play....uab +8'
Pac 10 Pow....stanford -30
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 06:23 AM
Wunderdog
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Iowa at Illinois (Saturday 11/01 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Iowa +2.5 (-105)
The Illini have not been nearly as potent as they were last year and as the schedule toughens, the flaws have been shining through. They have managed just two wins in their last five games, and those were to the weaker teams in the Big-10 in Indiana and Michigan. The problem is they can't stop teams with a good running game, which is exactly what Iowa brings to the table. Illinois is allowing 152 rushing yards per game and Iowa is pounding the ball for 155 per game. This is simply a bad matchup for Illinois. The Illini have yet to hold any opponent to less than 17 points on the season, while Iowa has been spectacular on defense allowing 11.5 ppg on the season. The Hawkeyes, who have won two straight and covered four of five, have had two weeks to prepare for this one. Meanwhile, this will be the Illini's sixth straight game, and the lack of depth is taking its toll. I like teams that play defense and can run the ball on the road. Makes the Hawkeyes a live dog here.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 06:37 AM
Scott Ferrall
Free College Football Plays
KENT +6.5 from Bowling Green--Kent actually averages more points and is 15th in country in rushing
CENTRAL MICHIGAN +2.5 from Indiana--The Chips score more and are 19th in NCAA in passing. They are better nationally in every category
VIRGINIA -1.5 to Miami--The Cavs are 4-1 at home and have been playing great lately, including big win at Geo tech in OT last Saturday
AIR FORCE -8.5 to Army--The Falcons just produce more on the ground and score 12 more pts per game on average than the Cadets. AF is 4-0 on the road this season
PURDUE -2.5 to Michigan--they both suck, but the Boilers are 2-3 at home and the Wolverines are 0-2 on the road. Purdue wins their first conference game
OL MISS -6 to Auburn--The Rebels are better in everything than Auburn-points per game, rushing, passing, total yards, etc
11/2/2008
JLaHawg
10-31-2008, 10:43 AM
Picked these off his radio show - unverified and not sure what numbers he got. He just mentions them quickly sometimes.
UConn
Florida
TCU
AZ St
ND
Tamu
Louisville
Wash St
JLaHawg
10-31-2008, 11:24 AM
Picked these off his radio show - unverified and not sure what numbers he got. He just mentions them quickly sometimes.
UConn
Florida
TCU
AZ St
ND
Tamu
Louisville
Wash St
Navy
davepan927
10-31-2008, 11:46 AM
Spylock
Connecticut....5 unit
Boston College
TCU
Utah......1 unit each
davepan927
10-31-2008, 11:48 AM
Rocco Spacamuro
1000* oregon st -14.5
fateddie
10-31-2008, 02:03 PM
Mike Wilson, Spirit of the Noth Sports
Air Force Best Bet Saturday. 9-2 L11 CFB
NBA Raptors. 6-1 L7 NBA
odds on sports
10-31-2008, 03:04 PM
Al Demarco
3 free plays:
Virginia
Florida
Texas A&M
Henryjames
10-31-2008, 03:14 PM
igz1 sports
CFB Nov. 1
5* Under 77 (-110) Tulsa vs Arkansas
4* Colorado St. +14.5 (-110)
4* West Virginia -3.5 (-110)
4* Over 49.5 (-110) Hawaii vs Utah St
3* Duke +8 (-110)
3* San Diego St. +5.5 (-110)
3* Navy -6.5 (-110)
ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 04:35 PM
Sat, 11/01/08 - 3:30 PMTommy Rider | CFB Total
triple-dime bet348 Georgia / 347 Florida Over 56.0 SportBet
Analysis:
UPGRADED: ***3 UNIT CFB TOTAL OF THE YEAR***
I decided to upgrade this and make it may CFB Total of the Year for a couple of reasons. First, I have been killing it in the SEC lately. I really seem to have a handle on that conference and my projections have been spot on over the last month. I have this game coming in at 75 points, almost two touchdowns over the total. In my opinion, this line is set way too low. So the question becomes, why?
Here is the deal: The books could care less if we bet this total. That's because they have been getting hammered on Big 12 totals all year long and are trying to set numbers high enough to get people off of those games. If this line was 62, it may not look as appealing. Trust me, as long as people aren't betting overs in the Big 12, the books will be happy.
The other reason I love this total is because I'm not sold on either defense. I think Florida is much improved from last year but when they played Ole Miss and LSU, both teams had success moving the football. And those who follow my picks all know how I feel about the Bulldogs defense. I had UGA as my Underdog Game of the Month last week only because I knew they would be able to point up points on LSU's overrated defense. However, if it weren't for a couple of mistakes, LSU would have scored in the high 40's in that game. Expect Florida to get there this week.
There is just too much offensive firepower on the field in this game and neither defense is a shut-down type of unit. Plus, look at the value we get here. With all the offensive playmakers, we get a total at 56, compared to Kansas/Kansas State where the total is set at 74. Put this all together and it was enough for me to make this play my CFB Total of the Year. I see a score in the neighborhood of 41-34.
Sat, 11/01/08 - 8:00 PMTommy Rider | CFB Side
double-dime bet380 LSU -24.0 (-120) SportBet vs 379 Tulane
Analysis:
**2 UNIT PLAY**
This game is taylor-made for LSU. Some might think this is a bad spot for the Tigers because it's between Georgia and Alabama but I disagree. LSU got blasted last week. Those sandwich situations don't apply when you get embarrassed the week before. Now comes a reeling, hobbling Tulane squad that is without its top rusher, its top receiver and is unsettled at the quarterback position. That's not a great recipe for success when traveling to Death Valley for a night game. I have stated that LSU's defense is overrated and that's because they are front runners. The defense will dominate in this game against an inferior opponent. To be honest, Tulane may not even score a touchdown in this game. The other reason I like laying the big number here is because of freshman QB Jarrett Lee. Lee made a couple of big mistakes against Georgia but he also made a lot of positive plays. With Alabama on deck, Les Miles knows he needs Lee to play well in that game for LSU to pull the upset. You can't just line up and run the football against the Tide, so expect LSU to be throwing even when they have a big lead here. This is what I like to call a "confidence builder" game. LSU needs to build its confidence back up after getting drilled last week and they have the perfect opponent to do just that. I Bought the half point to prevent against a backdoor but doubt it will matter. LSU wins this game by at least 5 touchdowns.
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 05:54 PM
BIG AL
Saturday
5* Texas Tech+6 (released on Tuesday)
3* Northwestern+7 (added today)
1* New Mexico+7.5
1* New Mexico State+21.5
1* California-3
1* Oklahoma-21
1* Arkansas+7<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 05:55 PM
Bettorsworld
KEY RELEASE
3* Duke +8 over Wake Forest - Never in a million years did we think we'd have a Key Release on Duke in the 2008-2009 football season. After many years of being one of the worst, if not the worst team in college football, the Duke Blue Devils are 4-3 and can smell a Bowl Game on the horizon. This team is hungry, and is playing some good football. Duke is #6 in the Nation in turnover margin at +9 and while Wake Forest is right behind them on that list, the Demon Deacons are struggling offensively. After scoring 30 points on opening day, Wake Forest has scored 12, 17, 12, 0 and 10 points. That's an average of 10 points per game and they are laying 8 in this game. Not much room for error.
Duke playing some decent football these days. Not great, but good. They had one game this year that was lopsided, otherwise they have been in them all. Their yards per point on offense is a nice 13 and defensively they have a decent 16. Anytime the defensive ypp number is higher than the offensive number, that's a good thing. Wake Forest has a nice ypp number of 18 defensively but it's the 17 on offense that attracts us to this play. They just aren't putting the ball in the end zone.
Something else we like to do when taking a look at teams that play each other every year is to take a look at recent results. Why? To see if the talent is there to compete in the first place. Common sense really. In this case, a team like Duke is loaded with returning starters from a year ago. 10 on defense and 7 on offense. It's pretty much the same team talent wise as a year ago. If we looked at past results and saw a string of 30 point losses every year, we'd back off. That would suggest the talent gap couldn't possibly have closed that much in a year. But guess what? Here's the scores of the last 4 years of games between these two.
2007 - Wake Forest 41-36
2006 - Wake Forest 14-13
2005 - Wake Forest 44-6
2004 - Wake Forest 24-22
All Wake Forest wins, but 3 of the 4 games were decided by 5, 2 and 1 point. 2005 wasn't close. But 3 of the 4 years suggests the talent gap is close. Particularly when you look at the more recent results of the last two years. Wake Forest has been one of our favorite teams to get involved with over the last few years. We saw their success coming and jumped on their wagon early and as a result cashed quite a few nice winners along the way. But there's a good chance, just as in the stock market, that the Wake Forest stock has peaked. This price of -8 suggests perhaps that Wake Forest living off their past reputation in the eyes of the betting public and the oddsmakers, not what they have done lately. As it is, they have lost 4 of 6 against the spread this year.
Again, laying 8 when you've averaged 10 points per game in your last 5 games is a tall order. But what puts this one over the top for us is the magic number of 6. That's the number of wins required to earn a Bowl bid and with Duke sitting at 4 wins, and with the schedule the rest of the way not exactly easy, this opportunity to grab a win becomes HUGE. If Duke came close 3 out of 4 years against Wake Forest teams that were much better than this years bunch, then they can certainly come close while having one of their best years in a long time. The straight up win and the chance for a bowl is what they're looking at. Getting +7.5 or + 8 is a nice spot here. This play good all the way down to +7. 3* Duke + 8
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 05:58 PM
BEN BURNS
PAC 10 GAME OF MONTH
I'm taking the points with ARIZONA STATE. *Pac 10 GOM
BEN BURNS
WAC GAME OF YEAR
I'm taking the points with UTAH STATE. *WAC GOY
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 05:59 PM
DOC
BIG TEN GAME OF YEAR
8 Unit Play. #24 Take Michigan State Spartans over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 12:00 pm ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year.
4 Unit Play. #79 Take Arkansas State Red Wolves over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 3:00 pm ESPN Gameplan)
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 06:01 PM
TONY GEORGE
FLORIDA
Cannot back Georgia here with Florida playing so well. This is the worlds largest cocktail party in Jacksonville, but Florida has the ability to shut down the run, which forces the Bulldogs out of their game plan. QB Tebow is now on fire and with some big time revenge on the side of Florida who lost by 12 last year, I smell plenty of weak ness's I have noticed with Georgia coming to the forefront here. Florida offense is on fire, scoring 152 points in their last 3 games against SEC foes. Bulldog secondary average at best and suspect here, and with QB Tebow leading the SEC in pass efficiency, they are worth the spread here as I think Florida far more capable of making big plays...this is for the East title no doubt in the SEC, Florida is better
Texas AM -3.5
Colorado in bad shape and off a 58-0 pasting at Mizzou, where head coach Hawkins benched his own kid at QB to start a freshman. Not good news for Colorado traveling back to back to play a Texas AM team improving weekly who won at Ames Iowa last week, a tough place to play, and scoring over 40 points in the process. A Tale of 2 teams going in totally different directions, and the offense of Colorado is woeful. Playing ion College Station worth 4 points alone here not to mention Texas AM is a better team.
Arkansas +7
OK..whats the big deal about Tulsa. yeah they ran the score up against a bunch of nobodies. Big Deal. They looked OK at best on TV Sunday night against a bad Cent. Florida team with a frosh QB. A HUGE step up in class against an improving Arkansas team whose has a solid running game that will move the chains and eat the clock. I know some of the Tulsa coaches used to be at Arkansas and that angle, but this team against a SEC team laying a TD on the road? Arkansas at home here catching Tulsa on a short week off an emotional game.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 06:03 PM
ASA
College Football Picks
11/1/2008
11:30:00 AM Kansas State Wildcats (+9)
over KANSAS JAYHAWKS
ASA 3-Star Kansas State (+9) over Kansas - 11:30 am CST
Go with K-State.
1:00:00 PM TEXAS A&M AGGIES (-3.5)
over Colorado Buffaloes
ASA 5-Star Texas A&M (-3.5) vs. Colorado – 1:00 pm CST
We’ll gladly side with an improving Aggie team at home here.
11/1/2008
1:00:00 PM Kent Golden Flashes (+6.5)
over BOWLING GREEN FALCONS
ASA's 6-Star Kent +6.5 over Bowling Green, Saturday, November 1st
Kent wins this one SU.
11/1/2008
2:00:00 PM Arkansas State Indians (+24)
over ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE
ASA 3-Star Arkansas State (+24) over Alabama - 2:00 pm CST
mattjones
10-31-2008, 06:20 PM
Robert Ferringo College
4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 57.5 Troy at Louisiana-Monroe (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #398 Louisiana-Monroe (+10) over Troy (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov 1)
5-Unit Play. Take #355 Temple (+7) over Navy (3:30 p.m.Saturday, Nov. 1)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #374 New Mexico State (+21) over Boise State (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #330 Mississippi (-6.5) over Auburn (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2.5-Unit Play. Take #357 Kansas State (+10) over Kansas (12:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #346 South Carolina (-5.5) over Tennessee (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #322 Minnesota (-7) over Northwestern (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #322 Minnesota (-0.5) over Northwestern AND Take #387 Utah (-1) over New Mexico
Note: This is a 6.5-point teaser.
2-Unit Play. Take #365 Clemson (+4) over Boston College (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #347 Florida (-6) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #377 Florida State (+2.5) over Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
1-Unit Play. Take #377 Florida State (+120) over Georgia Tech (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
2-Unit Play. Take #385 Rice (-2.5) over UTEP (9 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 1)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #315 Miami (+2) over Virginia (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 1)
1-Unit Play. Take #315 Miami (+115) over Virginia (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 1)
I also have leans on Air Force, Tulane, UL-L, Utah, SJSU, Wisconsin, Arkansas and Bowling Green.
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 06:22 PM
Ethan Law
This Saturday the undefeated Tulsa Golden Hurricanes (8-0 SU & 6-1 ATS) will try to keep their perfect season going when they travel to Fayetteville to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-5 SU & 3-4 ATS). If you look at the raw numbers, Arkansas does not have a chance to keep this one close. Tulsa leads the country in scoring, averaging 55.6 points a game. They are also the 1st ranked team in yardage per game, averaging an obscene 601.1 yards per contest! They are an equal opportunity offense also, with 2768 yards passing and 2041 yards rushing. When they run the ball they average 5.9 yards per carry with 4 different ball carriers totaling over 200 yards this year, each of them averaging more than 5.5 yards per carry! They are led on offense by senior quarterback David Johnson who has thrown 32 touchdown passes with only 9 interceptions. I could go on and on but I think you get the point. Tulsa has a very good offense. I am not going to try to convince you otherwise, but let's at least look at the competition they have amassed these eye-popping numbers against. Conf-USA has plenty of good offensive teams, but defense is not a staple of that conference. While looking at the conference teams that Tulsa has played thus far, I found it very interesting that they have not even faced a team ranked in the top 6 in Conf-USA yet! That's right, Tulsa has faced only the worst defenses in their defense deficient conference. Then you add a non-conf game against North Texas (dead last 120th ranked defense), and it becomes easier to see why Tulsa has those unbelievable offensive numbers. Indeed, Tulsa has posted those gaudy point totals against the 120th, 117th, 114th, 113th, 107th, and 93rd ranked defenses in the country! Not exactly your who's who in stop units. Enter Arkansas.
The Razorbacks come from the most powerful conference in the country. It is the deepest, and also the most talented conference in the country, both offensively and defensively. Arkansas has played to this point probably the most brutal schedule in the country, including SEC foes #2 ranked Alabama, #5 ranked Florida, and Auburn, which has a great defense. If that were not bad enough, they also had a non-conf game against #1 Texas! Tulsa will in fact be the 5th ranked team the Razorbacks have faced this year. They have faced Tim Tebow and Colt McCoy, so facing this Tulsa offense led by David Johnson (who?) will not phase them. Those games against Florida and Texas were not remotely close, but they were blowouts because those teams also play defense, Tulsa does not. Tulsa is allowing 26.1 points a game, and that was against some of the worst teams in the country! The Razorbacks boast the SEC's leading rusher, junior tailback Michael Smith who has 920 rushing yards, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Let those numbers sink in a bit 5.6 yards per carry against some top notch defensive teams. Texas and Alabama are tied for 5th in the country, both allowing just 2.6 yards per carry. Florida allows 3.4, Auburn allows 3.8, Kentucky 3.8, and Mississippi allows 3.1! Those are the defenses that Michael Smith has averaged 5.6 yards per carry against, quite impressive if you ask me. What better way to combat an unstoppable offense then to run and run and run, killing the clock, shortening the game, and limiting Tulsa's possessions. Well, they may not actually limit Tulsa's possessions because I think Arkansas will run up and down the field on Tulsa, and score often. Arkansas' much maligned defense has improved steadily this season, which is to be expected from such a young unit. They need only slow Tulsa down to make this a close game, a game Arkansas has a better that a "fighter's chance" to win.
It is also worth noting that this will be Tulsa's first game on the road this year in front of a huge hostile crowd. Tulsa's 3 road games to date at UAB, No Texas, and SMU will hardly prepare them for the raucous atmosphere at an SEC venue. History suggests that Tulsa may be in over their heads here also, since the Razorbacks have beaten Tulsa 16 consecutive times. As a matter of fact, the last time these 2 teams met Arkansas was a 36.5 point favorite! The Razorbacks last 3 results show their improvement, with 2 very tough losses and a win over Auburn. For them to have any hope to have a chance at a bowl game they need a win here, and they would like nothing more than to end Tulsa's perfect season. The pressure on Tulsa mounts with each passing week, to remain unbeaten, as that is their only chance to hit the jackpot and a BCS bowl invite. Coming to a tough SEC venue that will have a homecoming crowd in full voice, may not be the best setting for their winning streak to continue. The SEC is 57-12 SU when hosting a Conf-USA team, and we need only keep it close to cover. Take the points but I will call for the outright upset.
Verdict: Tulsa 19, Arkansas 28
PLAY 1* UNIT 2% ON ARKANSAS +7
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ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 06:22 PM
Brian Hanson's game of the year, the grandad etc. Pittsburg.
ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 06:30 PM
Sat, 11/01/08 - 12:30 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Side
triple-dime bet329 Auburn 6.5 (-110) Bodog vs 330 Mississippi
Analysis:
Finally handicappers get to play the Auburn Tigers at an UNDERVALUED price, as they've suffered through a 1-8 ATS mark.
First off - Tommy Tuberville is on a major "hot seat" and he's got an opponent that he's very familiar with. Tuberville was at Ole Miss before heading to Auburn.
Auburn was in a terrible spot last week - playing on the road on Thursday night - against one of the best home teams in America that was very accustomed to playing the midweek tilt.
The Tigers brought in a new offensive coordinator and it made significant improvement in the first half against the Mountaineers before sputtering in the second half. With more than a regular week to prepare - things will be much tighter against the Rebels.
Ole Miss is ripe for an upset - after playing against head coach Houston Nutt's former team. Tuberville knows this, as the Tigers held Nutt's Razorbacks to just 67 yards rushing last year......that was with two first round draft picks in the same backfield.
One of the best underdogs in CFB rises up and grabs the cash
Sat, 11/01/08 - 2:30 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Side
double-dime bet342 Louisiana Tech 5.5 (-110) SportBet vs 341 Fresno St.
Analysis:
Play Louisiana Tech +5.5 at Bookmaker.com
Fresno State is on its last leg due to the amount of travel its been through this season and it will certainly show up down in the deep south on Saturday. At the end of the 2008 regular season - this team will have traveled more miles than any team in the country outside of Hawaii.
The Bulldogs barely survived at Utah State last week - thanks to a 58-yard field goal, but things get much tougher against a LA Tech team that hasn't allowed a 100-yard rusher all season.
Louisiana Tech is a dominant 3-0 ATS at home this season and it continues this Saturday!
Sat, 11/01/08 - 8:00 PMJeff Bonds | CFB Side
double-dime bet380 LSU -26.5 (-110) SportBet vs 379 Tulane
Analysis:
I'll be quick to point out that Nick Saban's fingerprint has almost faded away in terms of players that are currently on the LSU roster, as he may have recruited a few - but I'll assure you that current head coach Les Miles will have the Tigers ready to roar against Tulane before next week's monumental matchup.
The Tigers were absolutely embarassed at home last week against the Georgia Bulldogs. This is VERY BAD NEWS for a very outmanned Tulane team that head coach Bob Toledo coins as "beat up". A Green Wave team that was absolutely mauled by Army.....Now they walk into a graveyard, as Tigers Stadium is a much different place at night then under the sun.
Miles has never lost two consecutive games at LSU during his reign and his team is 8-1 ATS in those contests. He was also very prolific in bouncing back in Stillwater before heading south to LSU.
Lay the points in an absolute blowout!
ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 06:36 PM
Sat, 11/01/08 - 12:00 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
double-dime bet310 Indiana -2.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 309 Cent. Michigan
Analysis:
Indiana -2
Analysis: Indiana got its confidence and momentum back last week when it upset Northwestern.
The Hoosisers should be fine here with Kellen Lewis expected back at quarterback after being out a couple of games with an ankle injury.
Indiana needs a victory here to keep alive its bowl hopes. The Hooisers should get it against Central Michigan, a MAC school that has lost its last 11 regular-season non-conference road games.
The Chippewas lack speed on defense to contend with the Hooisers and are out-sized on the offensive and defensive lines. Indiana is 9-3-2 against the spread versus MAC schools.
The level of competition, coupled with Indiana's size and speed advantage, along with a low spread puts me on Indiana for a one-unit investment.
Sat, 11/01/08 - 3:30 PMStephen Nover | CFB Side
double-dime bet378 Georgia Tech -2.5 (-110) Bodog vs 377 Florida St.
Analysis:
Georgia Tech -2.5
Analysis: Put me in the corner of those who believe Florida State is overrated. The Seminoles have played two ranked teams. They lost 12-3 to Wake Forest and beat Virginia last week, 30-20, at home after the Hokies lost their first two quarterbacks.
Georgia Tech's Paul Johnson is one of my favorite coaches. The Yellow Jackets are ninth in the nation in rushing and lead the ACC in this category. Their offensive line will control the line of scrimmage.
Look for Johnson to have some new wrinkles to further confuse the overaggressive Seminoles.
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 07:53 PM
Gold Sheet Super Power 7
Notre Dame
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ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 08:12 PM
Sat, 11/01/08 - 3:30 PMRJ_Bell | CFB Side
triple-dime bet378 Georgia Tech -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 377 Florida St.
Analysis: ONE AND ONLY COLLEGE GAME OF YEAR:
#378 GEORGIA TECH -2.5 over Florida St
one and only game of year yeah right .........
ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 08:16 PM
Sat, 11/01/08 - 9:00 PMJB Sports | CFB Side
double-dime bet386 UTEP 3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 385 Rice
Sat, 11/01/08 - 7:00 PMJB Sports | CFB Side
triple-dime bet346 South Carolina -5.5 (-110) SportBet vs 345 Tennessee
Sat, 11/01/08 - 3:30 PMJB Sports | CFB Side
double-dime bet347 Florida -6.5 (-110) SportBet vs 348 Georgia
ymmit2nd
10-31-2008, 08:32 PM
Sat, 11/01/08 - 3:30 PMKing Creole | CFB Side
double-dime bet347 Florida -6.5 (-110) BetUS vs 348 Georgia
Analysis: #347 / Florida vs Georgia / 3:30pm ET
2** BEST BET on: FLORIDA GATORS -6.5 or less points
#375 / Kentucky @ Mississippi State / 2:30pm ET
1* Play on: KENTUCKY WILDCATS
*Buy to +3 if possible
#380 / Tulane @ LSU / 8:00pm ET /
1* Play on: LSU TIGERS minus 26.5 or less points
Let-down of epic proportions for Georgia, who did something last week that not too many SEC teams have done: BEAT UP on Lsu IN Baton Rouge.
5-12 ATS since 1991 for All SEC teams who beat LSU @ Home last week (play against Georgia). If these SEC team won ATS by more than 10 points last week, they are 2-11-1 ATS.
Florida's offense is peaking at the right time, putting up 63 points last week versus Kentucky... and 51 against the Tigers of Lsu the week before that.
13-2 ATS cine 2001 for AL conference favs of -14 < points off as SU conference win of 50 or more points (FLORIDA). These teams have gone a PERFECT 4-0 ATS in the last 4 seasons.
12-2 ATS in the last 4 years for ALL conference favs of < 28 points off BACK-to-BACK conference games in which they scored 50 or more points in each game. When these teams are taking on an opponent (like Georgia) off a SUATS win, the results improve to a PERFECT 4-0 ATS.
It's time to get off the Bulldog bandwagon despite 3 SEC wins in a row.... whenever these teams are installed as (surprising) dogs
3-0 ATS since 1999 for all conference dogs of 6 > points playing off 3 SU conference wins in a row (georgia)... with the last win on the ROAD by 14 or more points. This great System is already a PERFECT 3-) ATS in the 2008 season.
Speaking of Kentucky, last week's ugly loss at the hands of the Gators has the Wildcats in a good 'Play ON' position this week.
9-1 ATS since 1999 for all conference dogs of 7 < points off a SU Loss of 50 or more points (KENTUCKY). These teams are a PERFECT 5-0 ATS since the 2001 season.
Mississippi State's 3 wins this year were against one decent team... and 2 shitty non-conference opponents (Mid Tenn St / SE Louisiana). Last week, they got a win... but not the cash.
4-15 ATS for all SEC conference home favs of -5 < points off a SU win non conference win (Miss St)... and 1-6 ATS off a SU win BUT and ATS loss.
ALL three of our games ties-in very nicely together. With LSU getting crushed last week, they're looking for a whipping boy on Saturday. Enter the reeling Green Wave of Tulane, who got creamed as home favs last week to Rice (42-17). The Tigers are ALWAYS a great play when they lost at home in their last game.
LSU is 12-3-1 ATS when playing off a conference home loss... and a PERFECT 4-0 ATS at home.
In the last 5 years, SEC teams playing off a home loss of 14 > points in which they were a favorite or 'pick' (LSU) are a PERFECT 5-0 ATS against non-conference competition.
1-6 ATS since 2001 for ALL non-conference teams playing off a SU conference home loss of 21 > points in which they were a favorite of -3 > points. These teams (Tulane) are a PERFECT 0-4 ATS vs any opponent off a SU loss.
djdoug89
10-31-2008, 08:43 PM
NC BIG DOGS (Northcoast)
Army +8' +280
Duke + 8 +280
Nebraska +22 +850
Kansas State +11 +340
New Mexico State +20' +800
UNLV +14 +425
UAB +9 +310
UL Monroe +10 +330
odayjimmy
10-31-2008, 10:14 PM
steve budin
25 dime
Texas A&M
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:50 PM
Lopeys Locks:
Kansas State + 9
Utah State + 7
Texas Tech + 4
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:51 PM
Marc Lawrence College Football Super Pick Super Play! -
Saturday 11/1
Play On: Army
Note: A battle of the military kicks at West Point when Army hosts Air Force with double revenge on their minds. A quick scan of the stat-logs shows Army with three straight stat wins and four consecutive pointspread covers, both indicators of a team playing well. With Army owning the better defense and 4-1 ATS in Last Home Games when off a win of 7 or more, look for the Black Knights to pull the off the upset in this game.
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:52 PM
Brian Leonard GOY
New Mexico
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:53 PM
Pigskin Prophet
Tcu 41-17
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:54 PM
Dave Cokin CFB GOM
Iowa
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:55 PM
Scott Spreitzer Cfb Trifecta Of The Month
Tulsa/ Ark Under
Colorado St
Oregon
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:56 PM
Jim Feist Rivalry Lock
Georgia
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kidman232
10-31-2008, 10:57 PM
Im not sure what to really call this so ill just post.
One of my friends got in touch with me that runs a small handicapping service and told me it would be very wise not to bet against Wyoming or Central Michigan tomorrow as some powerful people have an invested interest in the game. Now im not telling u to run out and bet these teams (eventhough ive known this guy for quite some time and he was talking about dropping in the neighborhood of $10k on these games). So read Between the lines and do what u like, but at the very least I wouldnt bet on them losing.
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 10:59 PM
Big Al Mcmordie
10 Dimes Club- Pitt
BIG AL's 5* COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE MONTH
TEXAS TECH
5* Texas Tech+6 (released on Tuesday)
3* Northwestern+7 (added today)
1* New Mexico+7.5
1* New Mexico State+21.5
1* California-3
1* Oklahoma-21
1* Arkansas+7<!-- / message -->
opinion new mexico +7.5
opinion new mexico state +20.5
opinion oklahoma -21.5
opinion arkansas +7
opinion california -3<!-- / message -->
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Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 11:05 PM
Bob Akmens
CFB 11-1
5* Central Michigan +2
5* Kansas -8.5
5* San Jose State -16.5
5* Boise St -21.5
5* Rice-3
8* Oregon State -15.5
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 11:09 PM
Jim Feist
(359) TEXAS
(360) TEXAS TECH
Take "(360) TEXAS TECH"
No. 1 Texas is rolling along, but how good is this defense really? The Longhorns gave up 35 points to Oklahoma, allowing 435 yards (387 passing), something Texas Tech will attack. They then allowed 31 points to No. 11 Missouri. Texas Tech (8-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) continues to give headaches to defensive coordinators. Red Raiders coach Mike Leach has quite a system in place, plugging in players, going without an offensive playbook, while his pass-happy attack just keeps churning along. The offense averages 48 points and 418 yards passing! Their high-flying offense starts with senior QB Graham Harrell (28 TDs, 5 picks) and experienced receivers led by junior WR Michael Crabtree and sophomore Detron Lewis. The Red Raiders are 4-0 in the Big 12. The talented home team is getting too little respect from oddsmakers. Play Texas Tech.
Can'tPickaWinner
10-31-2008, 11:10 PM
Dave Cokin
(325) IOWA STATE
(326) OKLAHOMA STATE
Take "(325) IOWA STATE"
Oklahoma State is not about to lose to Iowa State. The Cowboys can win this game by whatever they want as the Cyclones are badly overmatched. But it's tough to imagine Oklahoma State not knowing that, and they're in a huge dead spot on their schedule. The Cowboys are off several big games, and they made the ultimate effort last week in the narrow loss to Texas. Next week, Oklahoma State travels to Texas Tech for another huge showdown against the Red Raiders. I can't see the chalk being at their peak for this contest and Iowa State has just enough offense to hang around. No chance at the outrageous upset, but I see a good opportunity to cash a ticket taking more than 4 TD's against an overconfident favorite. Iowa State plus the points for my Saturday comp play.
pacesetter
10-31-2008, 11:22 PM
DOC
BIG TEN GAME OF YEAR
8 Unit Play. #24 Take Michigan State Spartans over Wisconsin Badgers (Saturday 12:00 pm ESPN) Big 10 Game of the Year.
4 Unit Play. #79 Take Arkansas State Red Wolves over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 3:00 pm ESPN Gameplan)Doc's Enterprises
8* MICHIGAN STATE (BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR)
4* Clemson
4* Texas
4* South Carolina
4* Temple
4* Missouri
4* Arkansas State
LLXC13
10-31-2008, 11:33 PM
Special K
COLLEGE FOOTBALL 20* SUPER K-BOMB
346 20* SUPER K-BOMB - SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS
10-2 ytd
pacesetter
10-31-2008, 11:38 PM
<table width="450" border="0"><tbody><tr valign="top"><td>
</td> </tr> <tr valign="top"><td width="2%">
</td> <td width="3%">North Coast Sports </tr><tr valign="top"><td width="2%">
</td> <td width="3%"><table width="450" border="0"><tbody><tr valign="top"><tr valign="top"><td width="3%">
</td><td>POWER PLAY GOW....OLE' MISS -6
EARLY BIRD POW...BYU -14
COMP UNDER DOG POW...UTEP +2
BIG DOG POW....UNLV +14'
#2 ECONOMY CLUB PLAY....UAB +8'
PAC 10 POW....STANFORD -30
</td></tr></tr></tbody></table></td> <td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
cog4me
10-31-2008, 11:41 PM
IndianCowboy
FLA -6.5, Ark St. +23.5, Ole Piss -6.5(POD)
denny crane
11-01-2008, 12:01 AM
donnie black game of yr Miami didnt see this one posted
thekeyman
11-01-2008, 12:27 AM
Bluebooksports radio show pick
georgia/florida over 55.5
claims to have had a great october but i heard the opposite
Karol58
11-01-2008, 01:07 AM
Kelso's pick for Saturday is Oklahoma. Here is the write up.
Personal Best Club
College Game Of The Month
100 Units
OKLAHOMA (-21) over Nebraska
Prediction: Oklahoma by 35
Starting Time: 8:00
TV: ESPN
Weather in Norman: Clear, with game-time temperature of 72 degrees, relative humidity of 43% and with wind out of the SSE at 5 MPH.
Comments: The biggest single issue in releasing Oklahoma as a 100-unit play is the fact the Sooners (7-1) still have a chance to play for the national championship and they can showcase themselves tonight on national television. The Sooners will show every one just how good they are and you can take it to the bank Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops will show absolutely no mercy to his good friend, Nebraska coach Bo Pelini. That is just the beginning of the handicapping process in this one. My figures say there is no way Nebraska (5-3) is going to be able to keep up with the no huddle offense of Oklahoma. The Sooners run it with perfection and have used it to rip apart better teams than Nebraska this season. In breaking down the game element by element it is difficult to find any factor other than special teams where the Cornhuskers have any edge. Oklahoma is an incentive-drive team tonight and will turn all the big guns lose in a game that should be a monster blowout.
chase88
11-01-2008, 03:21 AM
JEFFERSONSPORTS EARLY RELEASE 1-0 yest
NCAA FOOTBALL
NEW MEXICO+7.5
46-26-1 last 73 FB plays (64%)
25-7 NFL run (78%)
4-4 NBA (1-0 reg 1 unit plays)
7-4 NHL (64%)
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:23 AM
Vic Monte
2008 College & Pro Football
30-22-1 ~ +3255 Stars
11/1
500* Over Texas (73)
500* Lsu - 26.5
500*...................6-1 ~ +2450 Stars
200*...................8-4 ~ +720 Stars
100*...................9-6-1 ~ +240 Stars
50*.....................7-11 ~ -255 Stars
30*.....................0-0 ~ +0 Stars
20*.....................0-0 ~ +0 Stars
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:23 AM
Gameday
4-byu,
3-ill,
3-S Car,
2-mia-fl,
2-Ore,
2-Wis
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:27 AM
Glen Mcgrew
Big 12 Goy Texas A& M
ACC GOY Duke,
TV GOM South Carolina.
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:27 AM
Big Money: NOTRE DAME
ymmit2nd
11-01-2008, 07:28 AM
ROCKBOXSPORTS
3 STAR SELECTION: Virginia -2
Cavaliers looked horrible in early blowout losses but they've very quietly turned things around, winners of four in a row. Miami is the sexier pick here but Virginia is getting very good quarterback play and is the more mature team.
3 STAR SELECTION: Georgia Tech -2.5
Florida State struggles against the run and now they get their first dose of GT's tricky option attack. Noles are talented but young and undisciplined- precisely the type of team that the option feasts on.
2 STAR SELECTION: Kent State +6.5
As we predicted, Golden Flashes had a breakout game on offense last week. Look for them to stay hot this week and quite possibly post another outright win as a live dog.
2 STAR SELECTION: Ole Miss -6.5
Auburn and Ole Miss heading in very different directions. Houston Nutt's Rebels are a good young team on the rise while Auburn has gone completely off the rails. Tuberville and co. have failed to cover for seven straight weeks. Ole Miss is hungry for a bowl this year and we think they'll take a step in that direction this week.
2 STAR SELECTION:Stanford -30
Laying 30 points with Stanford? Never thought I'd see the day. However, if you're a follower of the Rock Box you know we've been saying early on that this Washington State team is epically atrocious. Wazzu has not covered a spread yet, and we (and hopefully you) have benefitted by going against them with regularity- including laying 43 with USC and watching the Trojans cover easily. Stanford is a respectable Pac-10 team and they're angry and restless after a gut-wrenching loss to UCLA two weeks back. Cardinal wants to taste bowl season desperately and no reason to think they won't pad their resume and introduce the hapless Cougs to the local woodshed. We have gone against Wash State and won every week and will continue to do so until they prove they can cover a spread.
1 STAR SELECTIONS: Wisconsin +5.5; Miss/Auburn OVER 42; Cal -3; USC -46; UAB +8
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:28 AM
Donnie Black GOY
Miami
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ymmit2nd
11-01-2008, 07:29 AM
WILD BILL
Central Mich +2 1/2 (5 units)
Iowa +1 1/2 (5 units)
Auburn +6 (5 units)
San Diego St +3 1/2 (5 units)
Georgia +5 1/2 (5 units)
Texas Tech +6 1/2 (5 units)
BYU -14 1/2 (5 units)
Wash St +30 (5 units)
Kentucky +3 (5 units)
Florida St +2 (5 units)
TCU -14 (5 units)
Rice -2 (5 units)
Ark St +24 (5 units)
Under 50 Iowa-Illini (5 units)
Over 65 Iowa St-Okie State (5 units)
Arkansas +7 (5 units)
Over 38 Tenn-South Carolina (5 units)
Over 56 1/2 Georgia-Fla (5 units)
Over 64 1/2 Oregon-Cal (5 units)
Under 71 1/2 Nebraska-Oklahoma (5 units)
Over 55 BYU-Colorado St (5 units)
Over 54 Boise-N M State (5 units)
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:29 AM
Pointwise phones
4-fla, Ore,
3-ore St, Tt, Minn, S Car, Louis, Mich St, Stanford
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:30 AM
Inside Info:
3-bc,
2-io,
2-S Car
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:30 AM
Tim Sullivan's 3 Best Bets are
3-0 last week
6-0 last 2 weeks on his BB
Florida
Boston College
Texas
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:31 AM
Kelso Club Plays
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->15 units LSU -26.5
5 units Tx Tech +3.5
4 units Georgia +6.5
3 units Oregon +2.5
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ymmit2nd
11-01-2008, 07:32 AM
Pacific Star
Michigan St
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:32 AM
Nationwide (goldst):super 7: Nd,
Top: Minn, Reg: Army, Fl, Boise, Lsu
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:33 AM
SPORTS ADVISORS
(1) Texas (8-0, 7-1 ATS) at (6) Texas Tech (8-0, 3-3 ATS)
The marquee game on the schedule takes place in Lubbock, Texas, tonight, where the top-ranked Longhorns face their fourth consecutive Top 11 conference opponent when they battle Texas Tech in a showdown for Big 12 South supremacy.
Texas has survived a murderous schedule over the past month, first defeating then-No. 1 Oklahoma 45-35 as a seven-point underdog in Dallas, then pummeling No. 11 Missouri 56-31 as a four-point home favorite before holding on to win last week’s 28-24 thriller against No. 6 Oklahoma State, falling short as an 11½-point favorite in that one. In last Saturday’s win over the Cowboys, the Longhorns rolled up 504 total yards, but gave up 416 and got outrushed 217-113.
Texas Tech prepped for this showdown by going to Lawrence, Kan., last week and throttling Kansas 63-21 as a one-point road underdog. Star QB Graham Harrell (34-for-42, 386 yards, 5 TDs, 0 INTs) was near perfect as the Red Raiders outgained the Jayhawks 556-315 and forced five turnovers.
These teams are tied atop the Big 12 South standings at 4-0, with Texas cashing in all four games while the Red Raiders are 2-2 ATS in league play.
The Longhorns hammered Texas Tech 59-43 last year, easily covering as a 6½-point home favorite. Texas has won the last five meetings and eight of the last nine, going 6-3 ATS during this stretch (3-1 ATS in the last four). However, the underdog is 4-2 ATS in the past six battles, and the host is 7-3 ATS in the last 10.
Two of the nation’s top offenses go at it in this one. Texas Tech ranks third in the nation in scoring (48 ppg), second in total offense (556.9 ypg), first in passing offense (418.4 ypg) and third in passing touchdowns (29). Texas is fifth in scoring (45.6 ppg) and ninth in total offense (486.5 ypg), but the Longhorns have a more balanced attack that gets it done both through the air (303 passing ypg) and on the ground (183.4 rushing ypg).
The quarterbacks are the key to both of these offenses. Texas’ Colt McCoy is completing an astounding 82 percent of his passes – tops in the nation – for 2,285 yards with 21 TDs and four INTs, and he’s also rushed for 412 yards and seven touchdowns. Tech’s Harrell, who ports a completion rate of 71 percent, leads the nation with 3,147 passing yards and his 28 TDs rank third nationally, and he’s thrown just five picks. Harrell also has five rushing scores.
Defensively, Texas rates a slight edge, giving up 18.4 points and 334.8 yards per game, including 69.2 rushing ypg, which is the third-lowest total in the nation. Meanwhile, the Red Raiders yield 21 points and 346.5 total yards per contest (101 rushing ypg).
Not only have the Longhorns cashed in seven of their eight games this year, but they’re on spread-covering streaks of 10-2 overall, 4-0 on the road (3-0 this year) and 19-9-2 in November. Texas Tech has won 24 of its last 30 home games in November and is on ATS runs of 13-6 as a home underdog and 6-2-1 on artificial turf, but the Red Raiders are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five following a spread-cover.
Not surprisingly, the scoreboard lights up when these schools get together, as the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings overall and 5-1 in the last six clashes in Lubbock. The over is also 4-1 in Texas’ last five overall, 5-1 in its last six on the road, 6-1 in its last seven conference games and 4-1 in its last five in November. However, Texas Tech has stayed under the total in six straight home games.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TEXAS and OVER
(5) Florida (6-1 SU and ATS) vs. (8) Georgia (7-1, 3-4 ATS)
(at Jacksonville, Fla.)
First place in the SEC East is on the line today in Jacksonville, where Florida and Georgia battle it out in the annual World’s Largest Cocktail Party, with the loser knocked out of the national championship race.
The Gators pummeled Kentucky 63-5 a week ago, easily covering as a 25-point home favorite to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS since their stunning home loss to Ole Miss back on Sept. 27. During the three-game streak, Florida has outscored the opposition 152-33 while averaging 478.3 total yards per game and allowing just 316.7 ypg.
Like the Gators, Georgia has rebounded from its only defeat – a 41-30 home loss to Alabama – with three straight wins, the most impressive being last week’s 52-38 drubbing of LSU in Baton Rouge. The Bulldogs cashed in the pick-em contest to snap a three-game ATS slide, and even though they got outgained 497-443 against the Tigers, they snared three interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. Also, RB Knowshon Moreno rushed for a career-high 188 yards and three TDs.
These teams are tied atop the SEC East standings at 4-1, one game ahead of Vanderbilt.
The Bulldogs thumped Florida 42-30 as a seven-point underdog in last year’s meeting, finishing with a 413-343 yard edge in total offense (196-107 in rushing). Prior to last year’s contest, the Gators had won two in a row and eight of the previous nine clashes, though the Dawgs are 3-1 ATS in the last four. Finally, the underdog has been the play in five of the last seven series battles.
Both explosive offenses are guided by solid junior quarterbacks. Florida’s Tim Tebow, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 1,415 yards with 12 TDs and two INTs to along with 227 rushing yards and five additional scores. Meanwhile, Bulldogs QB Matthew Stafford is connecting on 61.6 percent of his throws for 1,946 yards with 12 TDs and four INTs.
Overall, the Gators are putting up 42 points and 410.3 total yards per game (196 rushing ypg) and giving up 12 points and 273.4 total yards (102.7 rushing ypg). Georgia puts up 34.2 points and 431.2 total yards per outing (172.5 rushing ypg) while yielding 20.2 points and 298.1 yards per contest (77 rushing ypg).
Florida enters this showdown on ATS streaks of 9-1 in regular-season action, 6-1 in SEC play, 4-0 in November and 10-3 versus winning teams. Meanwhile, Georgia sports pointspread streaks of 7-3-1- overall, 4-1-1 in November, 4-0 in neutral-site contests, 7-2 as an underdog since 2005 and 7-2 against a winning team.
For the Gators, the over is on streaks of 11-4 overall, 8-2 in SEC action, 14-5 on grass and 4-0 at neutral sites. The over is also 6-2 in Georgia’s last eight at neutral venues. On the flip side, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these bitter rivals, though last year’s contest easily topped the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Miami, Fla. (5-3, 3-4 ATS) at Virginia (5-3, 4-3 ATS)
Two teams on the rise in the ACC standings square off at Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Va., when the Hurricanes come calling on the Cavaliers.
Miami got a 16-10 home win over Wake Forest a week ago as a three-point favorite, the team’s third straight victory and second consecutive spread-cover. The ‘Canes blanked Wake Forest in the second half and rallied from a 10-3 halftime deficit to get the win, holding the Demon Deacons to just 252 total yards (57 passing). For the season, Miami is allowing 279.6 yards per game (110.5 rushing ypg).
Since an embarrassing 31-3 loss at Duke on Sept. 27, Virginia has rattled off four straight victories (4-0 ATS), capped by last week’s surprising 24-17 win at Georgia Tech as a two-touchdown road ‘dog. The Cavaliers now sit in first place in the ACC’s Coastal Division, led by an offense that is averaging 26.5 points and 382 yards per contest during its winning streak after scoring a total of 36 points in its first four games. Virginia’s defense leads the conference with 23 sacks, 10 of them coming from linebacker Clint Sintim, who lead the ACC in that category.
Virginia crushed Miami in South Beach a year ago, winning 48-0 as a four-point underdog to deal the Hurricanes their worst shutout loss in Orange Bowl history on the final game in the old stadium. It was the second straight year the Cavs beat the ‘Canes and their third straight spread-cover in the rivalry. The last time the two met in Charlottesville was 2006 when Virginia got a 17-7 win as a three-point pup.
The Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last four roadies, but otherwise they’re on ATS slides of 6-15-1 in ACC contests, 7-33 following a spread-cover and 3-7 in November contests. Virginia is 28-12 in its last 40 games in Charlottesville (4-1 last five), and all four of its victories and covers during its current winning steak have come against teams with a winning record.
The over is 5-2 in Miami’s last seven ACC games, 6-2 in its last eight on the road and 8-3 in its last 11 against winning teams, but the under is 20-7 in its last 27 November contests and 10-4 in its last 14 after a spread-cover. For the Cavaliers, the under is on runs of 4-1 overall, 9-3 in November games and a whopping 20-7-3 in its last 30 ACC contests.
ATS ADVANTAGE: VIRGINIA
West Virginia (5-2, 2-4 ATS) at Connecticut (6-2, 3-4 ATS)
The Mountaineers are looking for their fifth straight victory today when they make the trek to East Hartford, Conn. to take on Connecticut in a Big East battle.
West Virginia has had eight days off since beating Auburn 34-17 as a three-point home favorite. QB Patrick White threw for three TDs against the Tigers, but it was RB Noel Devine who did most of the damage, rushing for 207 yards on 17 carries and scoring on a 30-yard run late in the game to seal the win. West Virginia had a whopping 445-260 advantage in total yards and outrushed Auburn 271-149.
Connecticut rebounded from two road losses with a 40-16 home win over Cincinnati last Saturday, cashing as a three-point home ‘dog. QB Cody Endres threw for 196 yards, but RB Donald Brown II ignited the offense with 150 yards and two TDs on 29 carries. Both Endres and Zach Frazer took snaps with the first-team offense this week, and the starting QB for today’s matchup with the Mountaineers is uncertain.
West Virginia has destroyed UConn each of the last four years (4-0 ATS), including last year’s 66-21 home rout as a 21-point chalk. The closest the Huskies have come to beating the Mountaineers was back in 2004, when West Virginia 31-19 as a seven-point road chalk. The average margin of victory in the four meetings is 28.8 points per game.
The Mountaineers are on ATS slides of 1-5 in Big East games, 1-10 after a spread-cover and 1-4 after straight-up wins. On the flip side, Connecticut is on ATS runs of 16-5 at home, 7-1 as a home underdog, 8-2 in Big East action and 5-0 at home against teams with a winning home record.
It’s been all unders for West Virginia lately, including 4-1 in Big East contests, 20-7 against teams with a winning home record and 4-1 after a straight-up win. Conversely, the over is 4-1 in UConn’s last five at home. Finally, the total has alternated in the four all-time meetings between these schools, with last year’s contest easily soaring over the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: WEST VIRGINIA
Northwestern (6-2, 3-4 ATS) at (20) Minnesota (7-1, 6-1 ATS)
The Golden Gophers will try to keep their magical season going when Northwestern pays a visit to the Metrodome for a key Big Ten matchup.
Minnesota, who went 1-11 last season, have won seven of eight games in 2008 while getting the cash in each of its last six lined games. It’s the defense that has kept the Gophers close to the top of the conference, forcing 24 turnovers and giving up just 17.1 points per game. Last week, Minnesota downed Purdue 17-6 as a one-point road favorite, allowing just 109 passing yards, which was the Boilermakers’ lowest output in a game in 12 years.
Since reaching the cusp of the Top 25 a month ago, Northwestern has gone on to lose two of its last three, including last Saturday’s 21-19 setback at Indiana as a 7½-point road chalk. The Wildcats lost much more than the game, as senior RB Tyrell Sutton is now out the rest of the regular season with a wrist injury. Sutton had 3,772 rushing yards and 31 TDs in his career, while his replacement, Omar Conteh, has run for just 223 yards on 61 carries.
Minnesota has won three of the last four meetings in this rivalry, both SU and ATS, but dropped a 49-48 overtime decision at Northwestern last season, cashing as a 6½-point pup. The Gophers are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, including a 43-17 win as 13½-point favorites the last time Northwestern came into the Metrodome in 2004. Finally, the ‘dog has cashed in eight of the last nine series battles.
The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after a straight-up loss and 5-1 ATS in their last six after a non-cover. But Northwestern is on slides of 1-4 ATS on the highway and 5-13 ATS in road games against teams with a winning home record. Meanwhile, in addition to its current 6-0 ATS run, Minnesota is on positive pointspread streaks of 6-0 in Big Ten play, 5-1 in November and 4-0 against winning teams.
For Northwestern, the under is on runs of 7-2 in November, 11-5 after a SU loss and 5-1 after a non-cover. Minnesota has stayed low in four of its last five games, but otherwise the over is on streaks of 20-6 in November and 27-10-1 at home. Finally, the over has been the play in three of the last four meetings in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA and OVER
(19) Tulsa (8-0, 6-1 ATS) at Arkansas (3-5, 3-4 ATS)
Tulsa steps out of Conference USA play when it travels to Arkansas needing a win to keep its BCS Bowl hopes alive.
The Golden Hurricane stumbled out of the gate in Sunday night’s home game against Central Florida, falling behind 19-14 at the half. But they got their top-ranked offense cranked up in the final 30 minutes, outscoring Central Florida 35-0 en route to a 49-19 win as a 23½-point chalk. Tulsa produced “just” 435 total yards, including 264 passing, but the defense stepped up in allowing just 187 total yards and forcing three turnovers.
With less than two minutes to play, Arkansas scored 10 points in 38 seconds last week against Ole Miss, but still came up short in a 23-21 home loss, covering as a 6½-point underdog. The Razorbacks have lost five of their last six games, but the last three were decided by a total of six points, and the Hogs cashed in each contest, all as an underdog.
These teams last met in 2003, when Arkansas rolled to a 45-13 victory, though Tulsa got the cash as a 36-point road underdog. The Razorbacks have won 16 consecutive meetings in this rivalry, with the last 10 going dating to 1985 being played on Arkansas’ home turf.
Tulsa leads the nation in both scoring offense (56.6 ppg) and total offense (624.7 total ypg), and despite an average game last week against Central Florida, QB David Johnson still is completing 68.3 percent of his passes for 332.6 yards per game with an NCAA-best 32 TDs against nine INTs. Meanwhile, despite scoring 25, 20 and 21 points the last three weeks, the Hogs are putting up just 19.1 points and 361.6 total yards per outing while allowing 32 points and 359.2 yards per game.
The Hurricane have cashed in seven of their last eight games dating to last season and are on additional pointspread streaks of 13-5 after a spread-cover and 10-4 in non-conference play. The Razorbacks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 November contests, but they’re stuck in pointspread slumps of 1-3 at home this year, 1-5 as a home pup since 2005 and 2-8 outside of SEC play.
For Tulsa, the over is on runs of 4-1-1 overall, 5-1 in non-conference play and 5-2 in November, but the under is 6-0 in the team’s last six games on grass. For Arkansas, the over streaks include 8-3 at home, 5-1 in non-conference action, 11-5 on grass and 4-1 in November.
ATS ADVANTAGE: TULSA and OVER
Pittsburgh (5-2, 2-4-1 ATS) at Notre Dame (5-2 SU and ATS)
Notre Dame will try to secure its first winning season in three years when it hosts Pitt as this regional rivalry resumes for the first time since 2005.
The Irish bounced back from a heartbreaking 29-24 loss at North Carolina with last week’s 33-7 drubbing of Washington, easily getting the cash as a 10-point road favorite for their fourth consecutive spread-cover. Notre Dame had a ridiculous 459-124 edge in total offense last week, including a 252-26 advantage on the ground. Going back to last year, Charlie Weis’ team is on a 7-2 SU and ATS run, including five straight wins in South Bend (4-1 ATS).
The Panthers saw their five-game winning streak come to a halt in last week’s embarrassing 54-34 home loss to lowly Rutgers as a 9½-point home chalk, falling to 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven. Pitt actually had the edge in total offense (486-442) and held the ball for five more minutes than Rutgers, but the offense committed two turnovers and the defense allowed six touchdown passes.
These schools have squared off against each other 10 times since 1992, including five straight years from 2001-05. During this 10-meeting stretch, the Irish are 8-2 SU and ATS (4-1 SU and ATS) at home). The SU winner cashed in all 10 games.
Pitt is on ATS steaks of 6-2 on the highway and 5-1 as a road pup, both since last year. On the flip side, the Panthers are in pointspread nosedives of 1-7 in November, 1-4-1 in non-conference play and 4-8-1 after a non-cover. Meanwhile, despite its current positive ATS runs, Notre Dame is 1-4 ATS in its last five versus the Big East.
The under is 9-4 in Pitt’s last 13 overall and 13-6 in Notre Dame’s last 19 overall. However, the over is 5-2 in the Irish’s last seven in South Bend and 5-1 in their last six against the Big East.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NOTRE DAME
Nebraska (5-3, 4-4 ATS) at (4) Oklahoma (7-1, 5-2 ATS)
Oklahoma and Nebraska renew their storied rivalry for the first time since 2006 when the teams meet in Norman, Okla,, where the Sooners hope to keep their BCS title game hopes alive.
Oklahoma’s offense put on a show in the first half of last week’s game at Kansas State, scoring a school-record eight touchdowns and taking a 55-28 halftime lead en route to an easy 58-35 victory. The Sooners actually got outgained 550-528, but finished with a whopping 273-64 advantage in rushing. Bob Stoops’ offense has tallied a combined 103 points the last two weeks and is averaging 48.2 points and 542.1 total yards per game this season, scoring at least 35 in every game.
Nebraska evened its Big 12 record at 2-2 with last week’s 32-20 home victory over Baylor, but the Huskers failed to cover as a 13-point home favorite despite finishing with 147-yard edge in total offense (497-350). They have outgained their last three foes (Texas Tech, Iowa State and Baylor) by a total of 527 yards.
These rivals haven’t faced off since a three-year stretch from 2004-06, with Oklahoma winning all three contests and covering the spread in the past two. The most recent battle came in the 2006 Big 12 Championship game, and the Sooners rolled to a 21-7 victory as a 3½-point favorite. The chalk is on a 6-2 ATS roll in this rivalry.
Despite covering the number in two of its last three games, Nebraska is still just 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games overall. In addition, the Cornhuskers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 on the highway (but 2-0 ATS this year), 4-9 ATS in their last 13 league games and 5-10 ATS in their last 15 as a road pup. Meanwhile, the Sooners have won 22 consecutive home games, going 13-7-1 ATS, including 12-4-1 in their last 17 in Norman (all as a favorite). OU is also on ATS tears of 5-2 in November and 15-7 following a spread-cover.
Oklahoma has topped the total in four straight games overall, six of its seven lined contests this season and four of its last five in Norman. Conversely, the Huskers are on under streaks of 5-2 overall, 7-2 on the road, 9-4 in Big 12 action and 6-1 when playing on grass. Also, the under is 4-1 in the last five Nebraska-Oklahoma battles.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA and UNDER
(23) Oregon (6-2, 4-4 ATS) at California (5-2 SU and ATS)
Having climbed back into the Top 25 after consecutive victories, Oregon will now try to move up the rankings when it visits California in a key Pac-10 clash.
The Ducks followed up a sluggish 31-24 home win over UCLA by destroying Arizona State 54-20 as a three-point road favorite last week. Oregon, which has outgained nine of its last 10 opponents dating to last year, piled up 537 total yards (304 rushing) and allowed just 333 (107 rushing) and won easily despite committing three turnovers. Even though they got the cash last week, the Ducks are just 2-4 ATS in their last six outings (2-2 ATS on the road).
Cal bounced back from a 42-27 loss at Arizona with last week’s 41-20 home rout of UCLA, barely holding on to cover as an 18-point favorite. The Bears, who like Oregon have outgained nine of their last 10 foes, ran all over UCLA for 232 yards while holding the Bruins to 16 net rushing yards. The SU winner is 11-0 ATS in Cal’s last 11 games.
The Bears went to Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore., last year and surprised the Ducks 31-24 as a 6½-point road underdog, ending a four-game winning streak by the home team in this rivalry. Cal has won and covered the last two meetings after Oregon had gone 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the previous eight clashes.
Oregon is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on artificial turf and 14-7 in its last 21 when catching points, but only 1-4 ATS in its last five versus winning teams. Meanwhile, the Bears ended last season in a 1-7 ATS funk, but they’ve cashed in six of their eight games this year, including all four at home. However, they’re still 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference contests and 0-6 ATS in their last six November outings.
The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these schools. However, the over is 4-1-2 in Oregon’s last seven games overall, 5-1-1 in its last seven on turf, 6-2 in Cal’s last eight overall and 13-6 in Cal’s last 19 at home.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
Wisconsin (4-4, 3-5 ATS) at (22) Michigan State (7-2, 5-3 ATS)
Wisconsin tries for consecutive victories for the first time since starting the season 3-0 when it travels to Michigan State for a Big Ten contest.
The Badgers snapped a four-game SU and ATS losing skid – all in Big Ten play – with last Saturday’s come-from-behind 27-17 victory over Illinois as a 2½-point home underdog. Wisconsin outrushed the Illini 163-88, and the defense picked off Illinois QB Juice Williams three times en route to the team’s first league victory of the season.
Michigan State bounced back from an embarrassing 45-7 home loss to Ohio State with last week’s 35-21 trouncing of Michigan, cashing as a 3½-point road chalk. The Spartans enjoyed a 473-252 edge in total offense and forced four turnovers, but lost three fumbles. Michigan State is on a 7-1 roll (5-2 ATS), going 3-1 (2-2 ATS) in Big Ten play.
The SU winner is 7-0 ATS in Wisconsin’s last seven games and 7-2 ATS in Michigan State’s nine contests this year.
The host has taken the last three meetings in this rivalry dating to 2003. Last year, Wisconsin prevailed 37-34, but the Spartans got the cash as a seven-point road underdog.
The Badgers are on ATS slides of 6-13 overall, 1-8 on the highway and 1-5 in league games. As for the Spartans, they’re 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after a SU win and 5-2 ATS in their last seven in Big Ten, but they’re mired in pointspread funks of 5-12 in November and 7-17 at home.
The over is on runs of 6-2 for Wisconsin in Big Ten play, 4-1 for Wisconsin in November, 4-1 for Michigan State overall, 8-1 for Michigan State in conference and 15-7-2 for Michigan State in November action. Finally, each of the last five series meetings have topped the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
(16) Florida State (6-1, 3-2 ATS) at Georgia Tech (6-2, 5-1 ATS)
Florida State hopes to maintain at least a share of first place in the ACC Atlantic Division when it hits the road for a league game at Georgia Tech.
The Seminoles opened conference play with a disappointing 12-3 home loss to Wake Forest on Sept. 20, but they’ve bounced back to win four in a row (3-1 ATS). Last week, Florida State rallied to beat Virginia Tech 30-20, covering as a 6½-point home favorite. Bobby Bowden’s club is 3-1 in ACC play (2-2 ATS), tied with Maryland for first place in the Atlantic Division.
Georgia Tech’s four-game SU and five-game ATS winning streaks came to a stunning halt a week ago in a 24-17 loss to Virginia, even though the Yellow Jackets were a 14-point home favorite. They gave up 396 total yards (270 passing) and mustered just 259 on offense (103 passing) in falling into second place in the ACC’s Coastal Division at 3-2 (4-1 ATS).
These teams last met in 2003, with Florida State eking out a 14-13 victory but never threatening to cash as a 24-point home chalk. The Seminoles have won 12 in a row in this rivalry, but after cashing in five straight from 1994-98, FSU is just 1-3-1 ATS in the last five battles with Georgia Tech – with those five contests decided by an average of six points per game.
Despite its recent pointspread successes, the ‘Noles are still just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 November games and 7-15 ATS in their last 22 following a SU victory. Meanwhile, the Yellow Jackets are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 following a non-cover, but 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home.
The under is 3-0 in the last three series meetings between these teams, 5-1 in Tech’s last six overall, 35-17-2 in Tech’s last 54 ACC contests and 17-6 in Florida State’s last 23 November outings. However, the Seminoles have topped the total in five of their last seven on the highway.
ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGIA TECH and UNDER
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:34 AM
Ethan Law
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->3% with NM +7.5
3% with Utah State +7
2% with UTEP +3
2% with Washington +46
2% with GT -2
2% with ASU +15.5
2% with Arkansas +7
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:37 AM
Mighty Quinn
Mighty is 8-1 on his best bets
BB-Notre dame - 4 1/2
Regular Plays
Army
Syracuse
Conn
Iowa
Miss
Auburn
Tenny
Georgia
Wash
Neb
Texas
Mich st
LSU
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:38 AM
Hondos Best Bets
17-10 62.9%
Cal
Gt
Texas Tech
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:39 AM
The Vegas Steam Line
Take RICE -3 over UTEP
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:40 AM
NELLY
ncaa
5 oregon st
4 oregon
3 texas a&m
2 ark st
2 wake forest
1 kentucky
1 w. virginia
system: minnesota, florida st under, iowa st.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:40 AM
Tom Freese
Arizona St at Oregon St (10:15pm)
Oregon St is 23-9-1 ATS vs. losing teams and they are 6-0 ATS off a bye week. The Beavers are 6-0 ATS off a straight up win and they are 38-18-1 ATS their last 57 home games. Arizona St is 2-9 ATS their last 11 games and they are 7-20 ATS their last 27 November games. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS after allowing over 200 yards rushing in their last game and they are 1-6 ATS their last 7 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. PLAY ON OREGON ST
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:42 AM
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS
The winner of this should get a trip to the SEC Champ game, while the loser will merely be #2
in the SEC East with little chance of a BCS bowl. PP calls for Florida to win by 15 (line 5’) but the
yardage forecast is close. UGA has played better than expected with major injuries on both lines
this year, but UF is the stronger and healthier team at this point.
4★ FLORIDA 40 GEORGIA 25
Both tms need this win for a chance at a bowl. CU is off a blowout loss to Missouri while A&M is
off a much needed win vs ISU and seem to be on the upswing. PP calls for a 7 pt win by A&M (line
2’) and we agree.
4★ TEXAS A&M 31 COLORADO 24
PP says the wrong team is favored in this one as it calls for CM to win by 5 (line IU -2’) and the
yards are almost even. Indiana is in a NW/Wisconsin sandwich.
4★ C MICHIGAN (+) 32 INDIANA 27
Iowa has won the L/5 & has held IL to 7 or less in 3 meetings under Zook. Iowa is fresh off a bye
and IL is off a devastating loss to Wisky. PP says that Iowa will win by 2 (line IL -1’), and we agree.
4★ IOWA (+) 25 ILLINOIS 23
OSU kept it tight vs #1 Texas LW, but still lost their fi rst gm of the yr. The Cowboys are 9-2-1 ATS
off a SU loss. PP says OSU will win by 39 (line 31) with a 562-283 yd edge and we agree.
4★ OKLAHOMA ST 49 IOWA ST 10
Tuberville is 7-2 SU but just 5-4 ATS vs his former team but the visitor is 9-3 ATS in this series.
UM will be glad to be back in front of a friendly crowd after LW’s emotional gm at Ark. PP says UM
will win by 10 (line 5’) with a 404-256 yd edge and we agree.
4★ MISSISSIPPI 25 AUBURN 15
It’s tough enough to play B2B games vs ranked opponents but how about 4 straight? Add in the
fact that PP is calling for the Red Raiders to fi nish with a substantial 505-390 edge and they’re a 6
pt home dog which makes this an easy Top Play Selection. The HT is 3-0 ATS covering by 11 ppg.
4★ TEXAS TECH 36 TEXAS 34
This forecast even surprised me. PP is calling for Clemson to get the road win. They do have the
scheduling edge, are off a bye and were able to work in the interim HC’s new ideas.
4★ CLEMSON 23 BOSTON COLLEGE 22
While both tms got crushed LW, KSt outgained OU 550-528 and Kansas was outgained by TT 556-315.
PP is calling for KSt to keep it within 4 pts and with the line over 10, the Wildcats are the play.
4★ KANSAS STATE (+) 34 KANSAS 38
BYU will now refocus after their loss to TCU and near upset vs UNLV. They were half of our College
Totals GOY winner LW vs UNLV. They’re now in their preferred role as a conf AF (7-2 ATS).
4★ BYU 37 COLORADO STATE 19
While it’s hard to imagine that Stanford won as a 41 pt dog LY vs USC, it’s almost as hard to play them
as a 30 pt fav. Nothing, however, is as hard to believe as this WSU squad is allowing 6.2 ypc rushing,
while allowing 4 of 5 P10 tms to top 63 pts. We’ll ride the WSU streak of 7 straight IA ATS losses.
4★ STANFORD 45 WASHINGTON STATE 11
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:42 AM
LOGICAL APPROACH
COLLEGE SELECTION OF THE WEEK: NEW MEXICO + 7 ½ over Utah - Utah is one of 4 unbeaten teams from non-NCS conferences. The Utes have been very consistent all season with an outstanding defense and underrated offense. New Mexico again started slowly but has always been a strong second half team under coach Rocky Long. Despite losing last week at Air Force, this season is following that pattern as the Lobos are much improved from their play in September. This is a tough spot for Utah as they host defensively stout TCU next Thursday in a game that may well decide the Mountain West title. New Mexico has beaten Utah 3 of the last 4 times they have played here, twice as underdogs. New Mexico has been to Bowls in 5 of the last 6 seasons and at 4-5 needs to win of 2 of their last 3 to become Bowl eligible. This is also New Mexico's final home game which should insure their top notch performance. Utah barely survives, winning 24-23.
Other Featured College Selections
NOTRE DAME - 5 ½ over Pittsburgh - Just when you thought Dave Wannstedt was finally getting his team to play to its potential Pittsburgh throws in a stinker as they did last week in their 54-34 home loss to previously punchless Rutgers. Meanwhile Notre Dame has put last season's 3-9 disaster behind them and show continued improvement each week. Both teams are 5-2 but the Irish have the greater momentum and have faced a far more challenging schedule. The teams are very close statistically although Notre Dame has been more effective at preventing scores. Pitt has a slight edge in the rushing game that is more than offset by Notre Dame's edge in the passing attack both on offense and defense. Pitt still has designs on winning the Big East with four games remaining while Notre Dame is looking to build up wins in their attempt to earn a BCS Bowl bid. Notre Dame's better QB play and momentum make this a solid play. Notre Dame wins 31-17.
TEXAS TECH + 6 over Texas - Much is on the line as 2 of 8 remaining unbeaten teams hook up in Lubbock. Both are 8-0 and the lead in Big 12 South is on the line. Texas has played the tougher and more demanding schedule, especially the past 3 weeks and one must wonder just how much the Longhorns have in the fuel tank despite the stakes. Tech has the nation's top passing attack, 418 ypg, 115 ypg per game more than Texas' # 11 passing game. The Tech defense is better than perceived and is allowing less yards per play than is Texas (but keep in mind the quality of foes). Texas has won 8 of the last 10 in the series but Tech has covered 3 of 5 at home. This is by far Tech's best team during this period and this is their best chance to defeat the Longhorns. The Red Raider defense is forcing 2.5 turnovers a game, an area in which the Texas defense is below average. The talent gap has narrowed between these programs and although Texas still has the better athletes, their recent stretch of games has taken a toll. Texas Tech wins 34-31.
LSU - 25 ½ over Tulane - After allowing 51 points to Florida and 52 to Georgia in losses surrounding a tough win at South Carolina, LSU gets a chance to take out mounting frustrations in a game they might normally care little about. Both Georgia and Florida are BCS Title contenders so the Tigers take a huge step down in class here. This game should be very similar to one last week in which Missouri blasted Colorado 58-0 after suffering losses to highly ranked Oklahoma State and Texas. The situation is very similar and LSU has the firepower on both sides of the ball to name the score. Tulane is simply outmanned and overmatched. They are 2-5 and have actually posted decent stats defensively but against far weaker foes than LSU has faced. LSU does host Alabama next week so this might normally be considered a look ahead spot for the Tigers but given those games against Florida and Georgia the defending BCS Champions will be fully focused against a foe they have defeated by a combined 131-33 in their only 3 meetings over the past decade. This one gets ugly early and often. LSU wins 55-10
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:43 AM
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET
INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK
The Florida Gators are 16-2 SU and 16-1-1 ATS
in games off a SU and ATS win when playing with conference revenge.
5* BEST BET
Florida over Georgia by 17
This is the part where all you folks who watched Georgia annihilate
LSU last Saturday start shaking your heads and ask, “Are you really
gonna give those guys a touchdown?” You betcha… and here’s why.
The mighty Gators are 10-0 SU and ATS in this series when they enter
off consecutive wins and the Urban legend is 26-10 as a dog or favorite
of 7 or less points, including 13-2 when seeking revenge. Things look
a little more grim for the Dawgs. For starters, Georgia coach Mark
Richt is an unbelievable 0-18 ATS – the big zero – in games he loses SU
when not taking double digits. In keeping with the goose egg theme,
our powerful database tell us teams who beat defending National
Champions are 0-8 SU and ATS as a dog in their next game since 1990.
Oh, and let’s not forget that ‘entire-Georgia-team-rushes-the-fi eld’
touchdown celebration in last year’s 42-30 Bulldog win at The Cocktail
Party – you know Urban Meyer hasn’t. With Richt’s team a weak 2-7
ATS against an SEC revenger, we look for the Gators to put the chomp
on UGA, drag him under and execute the death roll… then win out en
route to the conference title game.
4* BEST BET
Wisconsin over MICHIGAN ST by 7
While the Spartans are still celebrating beating up on the neighborhood
bullies, Wisconsin is in desperation mode. The Badgers need two more
wins in their last four games to become bowl eligible, a surprising
scenario considering their high early-season ranking. Wisky does fall
into one of our favorite categories here: a long time series favorite
now taking points. The boys from Madison have come favored in 10
of the last 11 confrontations, including the last seven in a row and
actually own both the better offense and defense. The Spartans are
a feeble 1-7-1 ATS laying 24 or less points at home to a foe off a SU
win and just 1-5 ATS home after Michigan when tackling a foe off a
DD win. With Michigan State playing its 10th straight game without
the benefi t of a week of rest, we’ll have to side with the underdog
Badgers here.
3* BEST BET
UCONN over West Virginia by 7
Connecticut played to its two biggest strengths, superstar RB Donald
Brown and a rock-ribbed defense, to engineer a 40-16 rout of
Cincinnati last week and climb back into the thick of the Big East race.
However, that win garnered far less attention than West Virginia’s
34-17 beatdown of SEC power Auburn, a scenario that makes us like
the Huskies even more in this matchup. The Mountaineers have been
camped at home for their last four games (all wins) but the fact is
fi rst-year coach Bill Stewart is still a maiden away from Morgantown,
losing SU as a road favorite against East Carolina and Colorado while
scoring just 17 total points. By comparison, UConn’s Randy Edsall is
a monster at home, going 12-3 ATS against conference opponents,
including 7-1 if his foe is off a SU win. We don’t want to be accused of
having a one-track mind but the previously mentioned ‘R’ word can’t
be overlooked here. Last year’s horrifying 66-21 loss to the Mounties
marked the most points allowed in Big East play under Edsall and you
know he’s aching to settle the score. The Huskies’ stout 10-1 SU home
record in November since 2002 tells us their pound of fl esh is about to
be served.
UPSET GAME OF THE WEEK UPSET
ARKANSAS over Tulsa by 3
Despite a near universal sentiment that he fails miserably as coach
at Arkansas, fi rst-hear Head Hog Bobby Petrino is starting to pull his
Razorbacks together into a scrappy, competitive bunch. Arky’s last three
games (1-2 SU) were decided by a total of just 6 points and Petrino
is 12-0 SU and 8-3 ATS at home in his career versus non-conference
opponents. Enter Tulsa: the immense pressure on the Golden Hurricane
to remain unbeaten is magnifi ed by their appearance as road chalk at
an SEC venue, especially when our powerful database informs us SEC
home teams are 57-12 SU against C-USA squads, including 9-2 versus
an undefeated foe. Tulsa got blown out here, 45-13, as 37-pt dogs in
its last visit in 2003 and with the Hogs rooting out a profi table 9-2 ATS
record at home off consecutive SU losses, we look for the Big Breeze to
lose considerable velocity against a rugged bunch of underhogs. Woo
Pig Sooey!
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:44 AM
Arthur Ralph Sports
Texas Tech
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:45 AM
CKO
11 *NOTRE DAME over Pittsburgh
Late Score Forecast:
*NOTRE DAME 35 - Pittsburgh 16
Don’t look now, but HC Charlie Weis again has Notre Dame shaking down a little thunder. The Irish have won 5
straight at South Bend (covered 4), by a margin of 14 ppg. ND QB Jimmy Clausen is maturing rapidly, as he’s thrown
for 302 ypg, with a 9-3 TD-to-int. mark in the last 4 games, and the Irish trio of RBs Allen, Hughes and Aldridge have
produced a respectable 156 YR & 6 rush TDs over the same span. Frosh WR Michael Floyd is emerging as a major
weapon, as he’s averaged 100 ypg receiving and scored 4 TDs in the last 5 games. Pittsburgh RB LeSean McCoy
is very dangerous, but the Panthers haven’t taken care of the ball well enough this season (100th in TO margin). The
Pitt defense, which ranks 94th in pass efficiency, was burned for 361 yards and 6 TD passes by Rutgers QB Mike
Teel last week. Clausen should have similar success, as ND makes a bid to break back into the national rankings.
10 KANSAS STATE over *Kansas
Late Score Forecast:
KANSAS STATE 33 - *Kansas 34
With both teams having defensive problems, Big XII scouts recommend grabbing points with very offensively
competent Kansas State in this classic handicapping spot (double-digit rivalry road dogs usually tend to hang close
when the talent difference is not great). Both teams had an uncharacteristic five giveaways in blowout losses last
week, But Kansas very much misses the power running they had LY with Brandon McAnderson. And KSU coach
Ron Prince has spruced up the Wildcat WR corps for future NFL QB Josh Freeman (15 TDP vs. 5 ints; plus 13 TD runs
TY). Now in the middle of his junior season, Freeman is experienced enough to keep his poise in raucous Lawrence.
And Prince’s special teams have already generated five TDs TY.
10 *LSU over Tulane
Late Score Forecast:
*LSU 45 - Tulane 10
After plummeting to 15th in the AP poll and being essentially scratched from the SEC race, angry LSU can’t wait to
vent vs. overmatched Tulane, which has dropped 3 straight winnable games in October following a promising
September. Tigers growing but mistake-prone QB Lee (58%, 11 TDs, 9 ints., 4 returned for TDs) welcomes an
undersized, depth-shy Green Wave defense (850 yds. last two weeks) after facing a 5-game stretch of physical,
fast SEC stop units. Meanwhile, Tulane attack highly unsettled with premier RB Anderson (852 YR) sidelined with
an injury, and HC Bob Toledo undecided about whether he stays with struggling 6-4 soph QB K. Moore or switches
to RS frosh QB J. Kemp, who showed flashes vs. Rice but still hasn’t mastered the offense. With either guy,
disheartened Toledo says, “My offense is beat up and incapable of making big plays right now.” That will certainly
be the case vs. athletic but embarrassed LSU defense primed for a confidence-booster in preparation for upcoming
Bama game.
10 EAST CAROLINA over *Ucf
Late Score Forecast:
East Carolina 32 - *UCF 17
(Sunday, November 2)
East Carolina insiders say highly-regarded HC Skip Holtz has the Pirates poised for strong stretch drive, getting his
squad to re-focus on winning the C-USA title after three straight losses put the kibosh on some way-too-early BCS
buzz. Meanwhile, season continues to turn pear-shaped on disappointing UCF, which has lost 5 of last 6 games. No
big mystery as to Knights’ main malady—they rank dead last in the nation in total offense, mustering fewer than 250
ypg. Huge edge to potent ECU strike force, which will attack on multiple fronts with both savvy sr. QB Patrick Pinkney
or rocket-armed jr. triggerman Rob Kass, who fired 2 TDP in rested Pirates’ home win over Memphis on Oct. 18. And
don’t forget, even with slight regression to mean recently, Holtz still an immensely-profitable 29-15 vs. spread since
taking over at Greenville.
HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games):
LOUISVILLE (-14) at Syracuse—Cards well remember LY’s humiliating home upset by the Orange; this year,
LV defense, ground game tougher...
OKLAHOMA STATE (–31) vs. Iowa State—Cyclone defense (34 or more five straight games) has given no indication
it is up to the task of slowing the super-potent Cowboys...
LOUISIANA TECH (+4½) vs. Fresno State—In Bulldog vs. Bulldog contest, must consider La Tech
& underrated RB Daniel Porter vs. softening Fresno (6 straight pointspread losses)...
SOUTHERN CAL (-43) vs. Washington—Eager Trojan backups got
plenty of reps in their previous 69-0 blowout of Washington State; USC needs “poll” points.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:47 AM
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET
SUPER BEST BET
WEST VIRGINIA over *CONNECTICUT by 24
WEST VIRGINIA, 34-10.
BEST BET
*WYOMING over SAN DIEGO STATE by 17
WYOMING, 27-10.
BEST BET
FLORIDA over GEORGIA by 18 (at Jacksonville, FL)
FLORIDA, 38-20.
BEST BET
*ALABAMA over ARKANSAS STATE by 35
ALABAMA, 35-0.
RECOMMENDED
COLORADO over *TEXAS A&M by 7
COLORADO, 28-21
RECOMMENDED
*MINNESOTA over NORTHWESTERN by 16
MINNESOTA, 30-14.
RECOMMENDED
OREGON over *CALIFORNIA by 7
OREGON, 30-23.
RECOMMENDED
AUBURN over *MISSISSIPPI by 5
AUBURN, 25-20.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:48 AM
HQ REPORT
HQ REPORT 5* (6-2-1) .... INDIANA
HQ REPORT ATS (7-2) ....BOSTON COLLEGE
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (5-4) ...KANSAS ST
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-7) ...NAVY versus TEMPLE UNDER
5* INDIANA (-2) over CENTRAL MICHIGAN by 11
3* VIRGINIA (+1) over MIAMI, FLORIDA
3* TEXAS A & M (-2) over COLORADO by 10
3* OREGON (+3) over CALIFORNIA
HQREPORT.COM UNDERDOG PLAY of the WEEK
TOP PLAY >>>> KANSAS STATE (+11) over KANSAS
Record to Date 6-3
HQREPORT.COM TOTAL RECALL OVER / UNDER
SINGLE PLAY >>>>NAVY versus TEMPLE PLAY UNDER
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:48 AM
Colin Cowherd
Florida
W Virg
Oregon
Texas
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:49 AM
MR EAST
Florida vs. Georgia
Florida -6½
This is basically a BCS Bowl elimination game, the loser is out, the winner likely wins the SEC East, and into a BCS Bowl. Last year Georgia took it to Florida. The Gators were without Tebow being 100%, as he was nursing a shoulder injury. The Bulldogs were also off a bye, and certainly had some advantages going in. This year there are a lot of things going against them. The Bulldogs have currently played their last 2 games, against the last 2 BCS Champions, and 3 straight against a ranked opponent. That means they will come into this one mentally, physically, and emotionally drained. I don't think that will be a factor early, as the magnitude of this game will keep the adrenlin pumping at least at the onset. It will show up in the second half, when I believe Florida will take control.
The stats say Georgia is a combined 1-52-1 ATS yes you read that right 1-52-1 ATS when....
> Florida is 16-1-1 ATS off of a SU & ATS win with conference revenge
< Florida is 10-0 ATS vs Georgia off of 2 SU & ATS wins
< Georgia Coach Mark Reicht is 0-18 ATS in SU losses as a dog of less than double digits
< Teams that beat last year's National Champion in their last game and are now an underdog are 0-8 ATS
That comes to 1-52-1 ATS for Georgia here!!!
I don't base my game decisions on trends such as this, but it is just part of the whole process, and lots of people are curious about them.
Georgia was outgained by LSU, yet won by 2 TD's, mainly because of 2 defensive scores. Then there is the huge issue of what happened in last year's game. When Georgia scored late, the entire team came out, and into the end-zone to celebrate the score that put Florida away. That didn't sit well with the team, or Coach Urban Meyer. You can be assured, this game has been circled since then, and it will not only be Florida's biggest game of the year by BCS implications, it will be their biggest revenge motivator of the season. Coach Meyer has been known to get points to cover games for alumni, and boosters, it is well documented! He will run this game up as far as he can, and will certainly not win, with no cover, that won't happen.
Florida is a turnover machine, as they come in at +10, and their special teams are tops in the country. Urban Meyer coached teams have now blocked 40 punts, yes 40, that is not a typo. This year's Gator squad has already blocked 4, do not be surprised if the spread is erased on special teams by Florida, and it is mano-o-mano offense vs defense for the win. I like the Gators to win this one by at least 2 TD's, and if Meyer decides to pile it on, maybe more
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:50 AM
The Gold Medal Club
NHL Saturday Night Selection
13 Dallas @ 14 Boston 7:05 pm
PLAY ON 13 DALLAS +
We will certainly take advantage of a scheduling goldmine here. Boston returns home with little to no rest after completing there west coast road trip, and the first game back is always hard for any team in the NHL.
Now they face a Dallas team that is 8-2 in this series, and showed great resiliency in there last game against a solid Minnesota squad.
The advantage here is with the Stars, and to catch them at this price is a gift! Enjoy
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:52 AM
CAPPERS ACCESS
Sat (CFB) Army
Sat (CFB) Notre Dame
Sat (CFB) Georgia
Sat (CFB) Arizona st
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:53 AM
Insider Sports Report
Florida -5.5 over Georgia (NCAAF)
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:54 AM
MIGHTY QUINN
Mighty missed with the Raptors (-8) last night. Today it's Iowa and Colorado.
The deficit is 540 sirignanos.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:54 AM
Armvin Sports
cfb
11/1/2008 northwestern 6.5
Armvin Sports
cfb
11/1/2008 utah -7.5
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:57 AM
Pointwise
COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
1--MICHIGAN STATE over Wisconsin 38-17
1--Oregon (+) over CALIFORNIA 33-30
2--OREGON STATE over Arizona State 44-17
3--TEXAS TECH (+) over Texas 47-45
3--Florida over Georgia 37-20
4--LOUISIANA TECH (+) over Fresno State 30-27
5--USC over Washington 60-6
5--STANFORD over Washington State 54-13
MICHIGAN STATE 38 - Wisconsin 17 - (12:00) -- Yes, we know full well, that the
Spartans dropped their last HG, 45-7, but 5 TO greased the skids. Back on
track now, with another 194 RYs for Ringer LW (1,157 last 7). Badgers have
been stung for 31, 38, 38, 34, 27, & 38 pts in their last 6 Big10 RGs. Romper.
Oregon 33 - CALIFORNIA 30 - (3:30) -- Fifteen takeaways in Bears' 5 wins, with
another 4 LW, turning tight game vs Ucla, into 41-20 win. RB Best a keeper,
but QBing is a ? Ducks back on track, with 54-20 rout of ArizSt (537 yds), &
now at 44 ppg in 19 of last 21 tilts. Healthy at QB, & remember LY's tuff loss.
OREGON STATE 44 - Arizona State 17 - (10:15) -- Let's see. Five straight wins
& covers (by 91 pts ATS) for the Beavers, compared to five straight losses for
the Devils (-69 pts ATS). Only 64 RYpg in Suns' last 4 outings, & Carpenter
just 10/6 for the season. Rodgers duet aids in extending home trend of series.
TEXAS TECH 47 - Texas 45 - (8:00) -- Raiders entered LW's game with Kansas
at 418 PYpg. That's right, an exact 418 PYs for Harrell (5 TDs, & 26/5 for the
year) in that 63-21 annihilation. 'Horn QB McCoy at 21/4 & 82% for the year, &
how about astounding 87% last 2 wks. Revenge call in this ultimate shootout.
Florida 37 - Georgia 20 - (3:30 - CBS - @ Jacksonville) -- Had Gators on both
RedSheet & Phones, but not high enuff in 63-5 rout of KY. Have a 152-33 pt
edge since loss to OleMiss, & chalk now 10-2 ATS in Fla tilts. Moreno off 172,
163 RY gms for 'Dawgs, but note GA allowing 500 yds LW. Color it revenge!
LOUISIANA TECH 30 - Fresno State 27 - (2:30) -- Talk about living on borrowed
time. FSt in off winning on 58-yd FG on final play, with 5 of last 6 decided by 3,
1, 5, 3, 2 pts SU. No rushing "D", & on 0-6 ATS slide, despite 5-2 SU log. The
host is 7-0 ATS in Tech games by 85½ pts, & LT can move it overland. Upset.
SO CALIFORNIA 60 - Washington 6 - (3:30) -- Katie, bar the door! Catching the
Trojans off narrow escape not the healthiest of propositions for Huskies, who
have yet to win (0-7), & who allowed 252 RYs to NoDame's previously 109th
ranked run "O". SC has a 154-20 pt edge since loss to OregSt. Over already!
STANFORD 54 - Washington State 13 - (5:00) -- Time for Cardinal to take full
advantage of the gift that is WashSt. Stanford: 229 RYpg last 5, with Gerhart
at 779. And check 13 TOs in Cards' 4 losses. Coogs rested off worst loss in
school history (69-0), & in possession of 54-9 ppg deficit in lined affairs this yr
Can'tPickaWinner
11-01-2008, 07:59 AM
** NCAA NEWSLETTERS **
HOT
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 11* (6-2-1) NOTRE DAME
HQ REPORT 5* (6-2-1) .... INDIANA
HQ REPORT ATS (7-2) ....BOSTON COLLEGE
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 4* (6-3) ...WISKY
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK 5* (6-3) .....FLORIDA
THE GOLD SHEET EXTRA (24-16) ....ARMY ...KENT ST... DUKE...ORG ST.... ARK ST.
THE RED SHEET 89* (11-6-1) ....FLORIDA ....S. CAROLINA
WINNING POINTS BEST BET (12-6).... SOUTH CAR .... NORTHWESTERN
COLD
DONNIE BLACK (SPORTS MEMO) (2-5) ...UNDER BOISE ST
HQ REPORT TOTAL RECALL (2-7) ...NAVY versus TEMPLE UNDER
LOGICAL APPROACH FEATURED SEL (5-9) ...ND - TEX TECH - LSU
MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK UPSET (2-5) ....ARKANSAS
MARTY OTTO (SPORTS MEMO) (1-4) ...FLORIDA
MATTY BAIUNGO (THE MAXX) (6-9) ...AUBURN...FLORIDA
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP 4* (1-8) ...WEST VIRG
POINTWISE 2* (3-7) ......OREGON ST
TEDDY COVERS (SPORTS MEMO) (1-3)
WINNING POINTS PREFERRED (14-23-1)... VIRG ....DUKE....W.MICH....ALABAMA
THE REST
BRENT CROW (SPORTS MEMO) (3-4) ... TEX A & M
CONFIDENTIAL KICK OFF 10* (14-13-1) ....KANSAS ST.... LSU....EAST CAR
DAVE FOBARE (THE MAXX) (5-3) ...DUKE
ED CASH (SPORTS MEMO) (5-3) ...TEX TECH
ERIK SCHEPONIK (THE MAXX) (5-3) ....TEX TECH
ERIN RYNNING (SPORTS MEMO) (2-3)
FAIRWAY JAY (SPORTS MEMO) (2-2) ...S.CAROLINA
HQ REPORT 4* (0-0).
HQ REPORT UNDERDOG PLAY OF WEEK (5-4) ...KANSAS ST
JARED KLEIN (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3) ....MINNY
KEVIN O'NEILL (THE MAXX) (12-10-1) .... KENT ST...OREGON.....ARK ST
LOGICAL APPROACH SEL OF WEEK (4-6) ...NEW MEX
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 4* (2-3) ...ORG
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 5* (2-2) ...ORG ST
NELLY'S SPORTSLINE 6* (1-0)...
NORTHCOAST POWER PLAYS 4* (63-53-1) ...FLORIDA ..TEX A & M ...C. MICH...IOWA....OK ST....MISSISSIPPI...T TECH...CLEMSON...K ST....STANFORD
NORTHCOAST POWER SWEEP DOG (3-4) ...TEX TECH
POINTWISE 1* (9-9).......MICH ST .....OREGON
ROB VENO (SPORTS MEMO) (2-3)...WEST VIRG
SPORTS INSIGHT MARKETWATCH (11-15-1) ..ARMY ... GEORGIA... WISCONSIN
SPORTS REPORTER BEST BET (15-20-1) ...WYOMING...FLORIDA...ALABAMA
SPORTS REPORTER RECOMMENDED (14-10-1) ...COLORADO...MINNY ...OREGON...AUBURN
SPORTS REPORTER SUPER BEST BET (3-2) ... WEST VIRG
STATFOX PLATINUM SHEET (19-19-2) ... CAL ...N MEX ST....G TECH ... UTAH
THE GOLD SHEET (19-17) ....VIRGINIA ....MINNESOTA.... TEXAS A&M...... SOUTH CAROLINA
THE RED SHEET 90* (1-0)...
TIM TRUSHEL (SPORTS MEMO) (3-3)
VEGAS EXPERTS THE EDGE 3* (7-5)
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