Service Plays Monday 11/3/08

[Can'tPickaWinner]

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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Hondo

Hondo, who struggled to a 7-6-1 record last week, was caught by Miss Charleen, the perennial Women's Division champette. But don't worry about Mr. Aitch; save your sympathy for the eight also-rans looking up at the leaders.

Redskins over Steelers: E-mailer E. Pugh summed up the Steelers' loss to the GiantsNew York Giants by borrowing from Joe Biden. "Three words: Safety and three interceptions." Hondo will settle for more of same Monday.

BEST BETS: Vikings, Browns, Redskins.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jimmy Boyd


5* MNF BEST BET on Redskins -1
So far the Steelers are 0-2 against the NFC East in 2008 and they'll fall to 0-3 on Monday Night Football. The Steelers offensive line is not as solid as it has been in the past and we knew that would be the case coming into the season with the loss of Alan Faneca. It has struggled against team with a strong pass rush like the Eagles and the Giants and that will continue to be Pitt's Achilles heel this week. The Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Monday games, 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Redskins are 22-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Take the Skins at home.
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Vegas Hotsheet

wash/Pitt - Under 36.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the the Texans ( 5) and Packers ( 4) Sunday.

Today it's the Steelers. The deficit is 655 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jim Feist

(503) DETROIT PISTONS
(504) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Take "Over"
Detroit is running and gunning under new coach Mike Curry, going 2-0 over the total to start the season. The Pistons are off a 117-109 victory over the Washington Wizards Saturday. Richard Hamilton finished with 24 points, while Rasheed Wallace produced 17 points, 12 rebounds and six blocks. That uptempo pace can have a cost at times: The Pistons had 15 turnovers in the first half, which the Wizards converted into 21 points. Charlotte has some good offensive pieces for new coach Larry Brown with Gerald Wallace and Jason Richardson, shooting 53% in a win over Miami. But the team defense is going to take a while to develop. Look for the visiting Pistons to control the tempo with their depth and all-around strong shooting in another high scoring tilt. Play the Pistons/Bobcats over the total.

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dave Cokin

(507) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
(508) MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
Take "(507) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS"
The Warriors have been right there in each game so far, but were ending up on the wrong side till they ran into the Nets on Saturday. Now Golden State looks to wrap up their first road trip with a win at Memphis. I think they'll do just that. The Warriors have been a terrific long term winner as road chalk while you'll be hard pressed to locate a worse home dog than the Grizzlies. Golden State is the choice.

[mjag21]

Dr. Bob
3*Washington -2.5 or less

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Cappers Access


Orlando Magic

Washington Redskins

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Rocco Spacamuro

100* Wash -2.5

[Big Coors Light]

This is paid and confirmed

Matt Fargo Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, November 03, 2008
$40.00 Guaranteed: Fargo is coming off a Sunday he would like to forget about as his plays went 2-4 ATS but there is no reason to panic! Fargo is still 35-23 ATS (60.3%) on the year and the best always bounce back which Fargo will do here! He has been tearing it up with his totals this year, going 10-2-1 overall (83.3%) including 3-0 (100%) in the NFL! His Total of the Week keeps the record perfect! 11/3/2008

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins 8:30 PM ET
Under 37 Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins -110

**7** NFL Total of the Week (100% YTD)** It is Monday night and so far this season, the over has been the ticket with seven of the eight games surpassing the number with one push in the mix as well. The public not only likes overs to begin with but on Monday night when even more of the public is wagering, more over action is coming in. Now when a trend like this comes into play, we will see even more over action. This number has dropped from an opening of 38 but that is due to early sharp action and not public action.

We have two of the best defenses squaring off tonight as the Steelers are currently 1st in the NFL in total defense, allowing 236 ypg while the Redskins check in at 4th, allowing 278.1 ypg. The two combined to allow an average of just over 33 ppg and neither team is going to yield a whole lot. After allowing 24 points two times in their first four games, the Redskins have allowed 16 ppg over their last four games. Pittsburgh meanwhile has not allowed more than 21 points in any game this season.

The Washington offense has been surprisingly strong as it is 7th in the league in total offense, averaging 364.3 ypg. The problem has been that scoring points has not come easy as the Redskins are averaging 20.6 ppg which is 24th in the NFL. They have a 17.66 YPPT (yard per point) ratio which is the third highest in the league. As a comparison, the other four teams in the top five are Oakland, Kansas City, Cincinnati and St. Louis. They are 29th, 26th, 32nd and 30th in total offense so the Washington ranking of 6th is flawed.

The Steelers are 25th in total offense as they have not been able to get any sort of consistency together. They put up solid point totals against the Bengals and Texans, scoring 38 points in each of those games, but those two defenses are not strong at all. Pittsburgh has faced four teams in the top ten in the league in total defense and it has averaged 14.8 ppg in those games in regulation, not counting the three points scored in overtime against the Ravens. This offensive line is a mess and it will show again tonight. 7* Under Pittsburgh Steelers/Washington Redskins

[Can'tPickaWinner]

The Vegas Steam Line

Winner for Monday: Take CLEVELAND +2½

[ymmit2nd]

1 2008-11-02 Ron Raymond's 5* Steelers vs. Redskins MNF Winner!
Pick # 1 Pittsburgh Steelers / Washington Redskins Under 36.5 -110

[ymmit2nd]

Brandon Lang

MONDAY
10 Dime - Redskins

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Jimmy The Moose

Game: Chicago Bulls at Orlando Magic Nov 3 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: under

Reason: Chicago has played under the total in 2 of their 3 games this season. In their last 10 games dating back to last season the under is a profitable 8-2. The Bulls have played under the total in 7 of their last 9 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Orlando has also played the under in 2 of their first 3 games. In their last 9 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents the under is 7-2. The team's have played the under in 3 straight meetings and in 5 of their last 6 games. Play the under.

[BIGnose]

Pointwise

NFL KEY RELEASES

5--WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh 22-16

[BIGnose]

Winning Points

Monday, November 3

**PREFERRED
*Philadelphia over Sacramento by 20
This is the Kings’ fourth away matchup in six days. Andre Miller is one of the best
point guards in the Eastern Conference. The Kings can’t match Miller or Samuel
Dalembert and Elton Brand up front while still missing suspended Brad Miller.
PHILADELPHIA 110-90.



Detroit over *Charlotte by 5
Larry Brown should have his Bobcats fired up versus his old team. The Pistons have
too much veteran savvy, though, for the Bobcats to pull the upset. DETROIT 95-90.
*Orlando over Chicago by 10


The Magic came into the season covering 70 percent of the time during their past 22
home games. ORLANDO 105-95.



*Memphis over Golden State by 2
Time for O.J. Mayo to shine. The Warriors are on the road for the third time in four
nights. MEMPHIS 109-108.


*Dallas over Cleveland by 2
The Cavaliers got past a mental hurdle by beating the Mavericks in Dallas last season
for the first time since 2000. DALLAS 93-91.


*Los Angeles Clippers over Utah by 1
This is a great spot for Baron Davis to take over if Deron Williams remains out, or is
less than 100 percent because of an ankle injury. LA CLIPPERS 101-100.

[BIGnose]

TOP STATFOX POWER RATING
EDGES:
PITTSBURGH (+3) over WASHINGTON 9

[B.S.S.]

Computer crushers
washington

[hook'em25]

Spreitzer 25*- Was/Pitt Under

[newty81]

1. WINNING ANGLE SPORTS
Your Monday Night NFL Selection is:<o:p></o:p>

PLAY ON PITTSBURGH
<o:p></o:p>8:30 P.M. EST Kick-Off<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Pittsburgh</st1:place></st1:city> has won 3 of the last 4 Monday Night Football games and they have won 3 of the last 4 games coming off a home loss. <st1:city w:st="on">Pittsburgh</st1:city> has won 3 consecutive games vs. <st1:state w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Washington</st1:place></st1:state> and they are only allowing an average of 13 points a game on defense in road games this season. <o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>Play on <st1:city w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">Pittsburgh</st1:place></st1:city> plus the points on Monday<o:p></o:p>

2. PRO SPORTS PLAYS
Take Steelers (+2.5) over Washington
(10* Top NFL Play)
8:30 PM EST

3. BEAT YOUR BOOKIE
100* Play Pittsburgh (+2.5) over Washington
(8:30 P.M. EST Kick-Off)

Pittsburgh is 3-1 SU when playing on Monday Night Football last 3 seasons
Pittsburgh is 3-1 SU & ATS coming off a home loss
Pittsburgh is 3-0 SU vs. Washington the last 3 seasons

FOR WHAT ITS WORTH - - ALL SELECTIONS PURCHASED!!

[brady1983]

LVTR

Pitt buy up to +3

Sac Kings plus 12

[BIGGAMEHUNTER]

TOMMY RIDER M.N.F.
-------------------

3 UNIT M.N.F. "GAME OF THE MONTH"

PITT +3 (sportsbetting) over WASH @ 835 ET

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Insider Sports Report

Dallas -3 over Cleveland (NBA)

Philly over 197

[newty81]

BIG AL's 45-8 ATS MONDAY NIGHT NBA BANK SHOT.

Sacramento Kings plus the points over Philly.
<o:p></o:p>

[davepan927]

Cal sports NBA 5* GOM on the Dallas Mavs

[Anastasius4]

FOOTBALL JESUS free pick monday is OVER 37, no word yet on game side, or nba

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Matt Rivers

1. 100,000♦ Redskins
2. 50,000♦ Bulls

1. This price is just too cheap! I do believe that all in all Pittsburgh is the more stout and solid overall team that has a better shot at going further in the playoffs but right now with all of their injuries and being on the road it is just too much to ask them to win this game which they pretty much have to do in order to cover. Mike Tomlin's team blew that last game at home against the Giants in the fourth quarter. I watched that game and something just seemed to be missing. Ben Roethlisberger was not able to get off and things just did not look all rosy for the home boys at Heinz Field. Washington is a team that I do not fully trust and especially not when laying big numbers but I do think that the Redskins at home here on Monday night will man up and take care of business. Jason Campbell has been very consistent this season, Clinton Portis is clearly an MVP candidate and Santana Moss, Antwan Randle El, Chris Cooley and a few others are skilled players at skilled positions. Pittsburgh can come in and punch Washington in the mouth a little but Jim Zorn's team is not close to being all finesse and no toughness as they will not just get knocked out. I expect a competitive game but the Steelers are a beat up team that in the end just should not win this game on the road against a quality opponent. Washington at home should be at least a field goal chalk here and to get under that three is a semi coup and a no-brainer!

2. The Magic are a talented team that will make some noise before all is said and done but right now Dwight Howard and the boys are just not playing very good ball at all. Orlando was wretched in the opener at home against the Hawks in a blowout loss and then looked terrible in Memphis losing to a poor Grizzlies group. They did rebound in that last game beating another awful team in Sacramento but I'm not so sure that things have been fully corrected. I like da Bulls this season with a blossiming superstar in Derrick Rose and believe that last season's debacle was just a poor underachieving season. Chicago is a team with a ton of talent as Rose is a stud and Gordon, Deng, Hinrich, Thomas and others are really solid NBA players. If these guys come together and reach their potential we are looking at one of the better teams in the entire Eastern Conference. Playing on the road here is difficult no doubt but I can see an outright and to therefore get a number back like this is certainly enough for me. Da Bulls!

[Can'tPickaWinner]

GOLD SHEET EXTRA

PITTSBURGH at WASHINGTON (Monday, November 3)...Steel
“over” 8-3 last 1a since late ‘07. Steel has covered its last 2 away
TY but still only 7-12-1 vs. line away since ‘06. Tech edge-slight
to Skins and “over”, based on team and “totals” trends

[Can'tPickaWinner]

GOLD SHEET

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3
*Pittsburgh 20 - WASHINGTON 16—Maturing Washington QB Jason
Campbell (8 TDs, no ints.) faces perhaps his toughest challenge since the
Redskins’ 16-7 opening-day at the Giants, as the often-confusing Steeler 3-4
features two of the NFL’s top sack artists in James Harrison’s (8½) & LaMarr
Woodley (7½). Only once (last week, in fact) has the Steeler defense allowed
more than 260 total yards TY. RB Clinton Portis (944 YR) is leading the league
in rushing, but he’s been taking a beating. Pittsburgh is hoping Willie Parker
(out since Game Three with knee injury) and WR Santonio Holmes (deactivated
due to pot arrest) will both be back. Only Steeler losses have come vs. the
Eagles & Giants, and Redskins lack that type of pass rush. CABLE TV—ESPN
(04-PITTSBURGH -10 16-7...SR: Washington 42-30-3)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Rewyan expert's
NBA
Golden State -2
Detroit Pistons/Charlotte Bobcats Over 185.5
Sacramento Kings/Philadelphia 76ers Under 198.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

SPORTS ADVISORS

Pittsburgh (5-2, 3-4 ATS) at Washington (6-2, 5-3 ATS)

The Steelers head into FedEx Field in the nation’s capital for a matchup with the Redskins, hoping to avoid a third loss this season to an NFC East opponent.

Pittsburgh fell 21-14 at home a week ago to the Giants as a three-point home favorite, squandering a 14-9 second-half lead. The Steelers only two losses this season are to NFC East squads as they also fell in Philadelphia 15-6 as a 3½-point underdog in September. The Pittsburgh defense has been doing the job all season, ranking third in the NFL in points allowed (15.7 per game), first in total yards allowed (236 per game) and third in rushing yards allowed (71.6 per game).

Washington’s defense comes in ranked sixth overall, yielding 278.1 yards per contest. Last week the Redskins held the Lions to just 274 total yards (57 rushing) in a 25-17 victory in Detroit, covering as 7½-point favorites. Jim Zorn’s squad has outgained the opposition in its last seven games and his offense is fourth in the NFL in time of possession, holding the ball for an average of 32:31 per contest. A big part of that ball control comes courtesy of QB Jason Campbell, who has compiled 1,754 yards passing and eight TDs without an interception, and RB Clinton Portis, who leads the NFL in rushing with 944 yards

These teams haven’t met in a regular season game since 2004 when Pittsburgh got a 16-7 home win, coming up just short as a 10-point chalk. The last time these storied franchise met in a regular-season game in Washington was more than 20 years ago when the Redskins scored a 30-29 win.

The Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight-up loss, but otherwise they’re on ATS skids of 7-12-1 on the road, 1-5 on Mondays, 1-5 against teams with a winning record, 1-4 in November contests and 3-7 on the road against teams with a winning home mark. Meanwhile, the Redskins are on ATS slides of 3-7-1 in November games and 5-12 at home against teams with a winning road record, but they are on positive pointspread streaks of 5-2 overall and 22-8-1 against teams with a winning record.

For Pittsburgh, the over is on streaks of 8-3 overall, 5-2 against teams with a winning record, 6-1 following an ATS loss and 4-0 after a straight-up loss. Meanwhile, Washington is on a plethora of under streaks, including 4-1-1 overall, 4-1 at home (3-0 last three), 11-4 following a spread-cover and 6-1-1 on Mondays.

Finally, the over is 8-0-1 this season in Monday night games.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


NBA

Chicago (2-1 SU and ATS) at Orlando (1-2 SU and ATS)

The Magic will try to make it five straight wins over the Bulls when they welcome them to AmWay Arena in Orlando.

Orlando got its first win of the young season Saturday, blowing out Sacramento 121-103 as a 10½-point home favorite, with the dynamic duo of Dwight Howard (29 points and 14 rebounds) and Rashard Lewis (26 points and seven rebounds) doing the majority of the damage.

Chicago squad is coming off Saturday’s 96-86 win over Memphis, covering as an eight-point home chalk. No. 1 overall draft pick Derrick Rose poured in 26 points and Drew Gooden pulled down 20 rebounds to lead the Bulls. In their lone road game to this point, the Bulls fell 96-80 in Boston on Friday as 10-point road ‘dogs.

Orlando swept the season series against Chicago last season, going 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS). At home against the Bulls a year ago, the Magic scored wins of 102-88 as a 6½-point favorite and 115-83 as a 9½-point chalk. Orlando is 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS) in its last nine against Chicago and 3-1 ATS in the last four at home.

Chicago is on ATS slides of 1-7 following a spread-cover and 6-22 after a straight-up win, but otherwise the Bulls are on positive ATS streaks of 4-1 overall and 15-7 when playing with a day of rest. Orlando carries strong pointspread streaks of 15-7-2 at home and 8-3-1 against teams from the Central Division.

For the Bulls, the over is 13-5-2 in their last 20 road games, but the under is on runs of 8-2 overall, 4-0 after a spread-cover, 4-0 against teams from the Southeast Division and 5-0 after a straight-up win. For Orlando it’s been a plethora of unders, including 4-1 overall, 8-2 against the Central Division, 7-2 against the Eastern Conference, 17-5 after a spread-cover and 19-7 after a straight-up win.

In this series, the under is 5-1 in the last six overall, but the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Cleveland (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Dallas (1-1 SU and ATS)

The Cavaliers will be looking for their first road win this season when they visit American Airlines Center in Dallas to take on the Mavericks.

Cleveland opened the season with Tuesday’s 90-85 loss in Boston but covered as a six-point underdog, and after a blowout home victory over Charlotte, the Cavs went back on the road Saturday and fell 104-92 in New Orleans as a three-point pup. Dating back to last season’s Eastern Conference semifinal playoff series, the Cavs have dropped six straight road games, but they’re 4-2 ATS.

Dallas went to Minnesota on Saturday and got a 95-85 win as a six-point favorite with Dirk Nowitzki getting 21 points and point guard Jason Kidd contributing nine points, nine rebounds and seven assists. However, in their home opener against the Rockets on Thursday, the Mavericks lost 112-102 as a four-point chalk.

These teams split two meetings last year with the home team winning each contest, including the Cavaliers’ 88-81 victory as a seven-point pup in Dallas in December. The host has won three straight (3-0 ATS) in this matchup after the road team had rattled off six straight wins from 2004 to 2007 (4-2 ATS). Dallas is 7-3 SU in the last 10 meetings, but Cleveland has gotten the cash lately, going 5-2 ATS in the last seven (3-0 ATS in Dallas).

The Cavs are just 1-5 ATS in their last six against the Southwest Division and 2-7 ATS in their last nine against the Western Conference, but otherwise they’re on positive ATS streaks of 7-1 overall, 6-2 on the road, 6-1 after a day of rest, 5-0 after an non-cover and 6-1 after a straight-up loss. Meanwhile, the Mavs are 5-1 ATS in their last six against the Eastern Conference, but going back to last year, they’re 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at home, 6-17-1 in their last 24 against Central Division teams and 0-5 ATS in their last five after a straight-up win.

For Cleveland, the under is on runs of 15-7 overall, 16-7-1 against Western Conference teams and 15-5-1 after a straight-up loss. For Dallas, the under is on streaks of 4-1 overall, 8-3 at home, 5-2-2 against the Eastern Conference and 6-1 when coming in off a day of rest. Lastly, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

[Can'tPickaWinner]

<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">SIXTH SENSE

WASHINGTON –2 Pittsburgh 36.5

WASHINGTON 21 PITTSBURGH 13

BEST BET

3% WASHINGTON –2
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[Can'tPickaWinner]

Players of America

--PoA is currently 3-0 on the year on 5* rated selections...


Today's Selections

PITT vs. WAS
Sport: NFL
Game: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Redskins
The Play: Pittsburgh Steelers +3.0
Play Description:
Star Value: 5* (50 Units)
Writeup: N/A
(purchase hook if necessary)

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Frank Patron

7500 Pittsburgh Steelers +1.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Dominic Brando Sports NFL Monday Night Football High Volume Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's Monday Night Inter-Conference Game of the Year)
150 Units #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130 over Pittsburgh Steelers


Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Monday Night Football NFL Week 9 Executive Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's Monday Night Inter-Conference Game of the Year)
150 Units #428 WASHINGTON REDSKINS MONEY LINE -125 OR -1/-130 over Pittsburgh Steelers

Dominic Brando Sports Tuesday NCAA College Football High Volume Report:
NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #102 BUFFALO BULLS -7/-115 over Miami Ohio Redhawks

[Can'tPickaWinner]

LOGICAL APPROACH

Best of the NFL Totals

Pittsburgh/Washington UNDER 37

[Can'tPickaWinner]

MARC LAWRENCE PLAYBOOK


4* BEST BET

WASHINGTON over Pittsburgh by 14

A myriad of solid handicapping factors are at work in this Monday
night fi ght and we’ll gladly step in and soak all of them up. The
Redskins join fellow division rival Eagles and Giants as the only three
teams in the league to have won the total yardage in all but one game
this season (they won the stats in each of their last seven games). They
are also a Monday night home team off a road game taking on a foe
of a home loss of 7 or more points. Teams in this role are 24-2-1 SU and
21-5-1 ATS since 1980! Tie that into the Steelers’ 3-10 SU and 4-8-1 ATS
record on the Monday night road against an opponent off a win and
you can understand our glee. With new head coach Jim Zorn having
shown a unique tendency to ‘play to the level of the opposition’ (4-0
SU and ATS versus .500 or greater opponents; 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS versus
less than .500 teams), we welcome you to the glee club

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Monday Orlando Magic

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Tom Freese Blue Line Club NBA

Tom Freese Blue Line Club- Monday, November 3

Utah at La Clippers (10:35pm)

Utah is 11-1 ATS their last 11 Monday games and they are 17-5 ATS off a win by moer than 10 points. The Jazz are 14-6-1 ATS their last 21 games after scoring 100 or more points in their last game. and they are 9-4 ATS off a straight up win. The Clippers are 16-40 ATS vs. a team with a win percentage over 60% and they are 7-19 ATS their last 26 games overall. Los Angeles is 3-11 ATS when playing with one day of rest and they are 5-16 ATS ON Monday. PLAY ON UTAH -

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Keith Martin Sports

Monday Night Football
Washington over 36.5

[Can'tPickaWinner]

Glenn McGrew

MNF GAME OF THE YEAR & NBA DOG OF THE WEEK!!!



(427) PITTSBURGH STEELERS
(428) WASHINGTON REDSKINS
Take " (428) WASHINGTON REDSKINS "
Monday night Game of the Year - Washington...... Two of the NFL's top clubs square off in the nation's capital on Monday night as the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) face the Washington Redskins (6-2). Must favor a healthy host that's coming off a 25-17 road win at Detroit over a banged up visitor that fell, at home last week, to the New York Giants 21-14. Despite owning a better record than the Steelers, the Redskins need this game a lot more than a Pittsburgh squad that's sitting comfortably in the AFC North. Washington on the other hand, resides in what is BY FAR, the toughest division in the NFL, the NFC East where the defending Super Bowl champion New York Giants lead at 7-1, closely followed by the Philadelphia Eagles (5-3) and Dallas Cowboys (5-4). Don't think the NFC East is the league's premier division? Well, note that the Steelers have just two losses on the year......to the Eagles and Giants! This is a matchup of excellent defenses as the Steelers are the top ranked stop unit in the league (allow 236 total ypg) while the Redskins (278 ypg) have held 17 of their last 20 opponents to 20 points or less. Offensively, Ben Roethlisberger and his mates have struggled a bit due to the numerous injuries at the skill positions. Meanwhile Washington is led by quarterback Jason Campbell who has picked up the nuances of Jim Zorn's west coast offense flawlessly, with NO INTERCEPTIONS on the year. Campbell also has the luxury of playing in the same backfield with the NFL's leading rusher, Clinton Portis (944 yards), who has had topped 120 yards rushing in five consecutive contests. Will back the NFC pedigree here and go with the Monday night home team. Play Washington

(503) DETROIT PISTONS
(504) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS
Take " (504) CHARLOTTE BOBCATS "
Dog of the Week - Charlotte...... After a two year absence, Larry Brown decided to return to the job he does as as well as anyone....coaching in the NBA. Only Lenny Wilkins, Don Nelson, Pat Riley and Jerry Sloan have more NBA career wins than Brown and none of those remarkable coaches has ever won an NCAA Championship as Brown did at Kansas. Now he's guiding the Charlotte Bobcats (1-1) and his squad hosts the Detroit Pistons (2-0) Monday night. Look for Brown to have his Bobcats fired up versus his old team, and they are old......with 5 of their top 6 players 30 years or older, three of them 34 or older. In a close one, take the generous points. Play Charlotte

[Henryjames]

igz1 sports

NBA

4* Over 181.5 (-110) Detroit vs Charlotte
4* Over 197 (-110) Golden State vs Memphis
3* Under 196 (-110) Chicago vs Orlando

NHL
3* Under 5.5 (-120) Buffalo vs New Jersey

Good Luck !

[FGators]

Mr A-Sports Rumble

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5)

Detroit (2-0) at Charlotte (1-1)

Charlotte Bobcats +6
Golden State (1-2) at Memphis (1-2)

Golden State Warriors -2

[FGators]

Johnny Guild-Sports Rumble

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5)


Golden State Warriors (1-2) at Memphis Grizzlies (1-2)
The Warriors have won seven straight over the Grizzlies and the last three in Memphis. All have gone over a combined 200 points per game. Take the over in the Grizzlies home opener tonight at the FedEx Forum. The last three clashes in Memphis have average 221 points per game and the defensive play on both teams haven’t changed significantly.

Over -196

[ymmit2nd]

Nick Bogdanovich

2* Sixers (-11½) over Kings

2* Cavaliers/Mavericks OVER 191½ Points

5-1 YTD

GL

[ProPel]

John Fina

Football for November 3, 2008

NFL - 2.5 units on Washington Redskins -1.5 (-110)

Winning Angle: Play AGAINST [In this case the Pittsburgh Steelers] a Monday underdog off a SU loss with 3+ interceptions thrown vs. an opponent not off a favorite ATS loss in its last game. This NEVER LOST Winning Angle is a Perfect 13-0 Straight-Up and Against the Spread!

Notes About The Angle: It's clear that after tossing 3 or more interceptions, teams have struggled on Monday Night Football as outlined by this NEVER LOST Winning Angle. This (Angle) is one of many reasons why we are siding with the Washington Redskins -1.5.

[ymmit2nd]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* PRIVATE PLAYERS BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Colorado Avalanche (140)


RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA O/U GAME OF THE WEEK!
Pick # 1 Sacramento Kings/ Philadelphia 76ers Over 198.5

[ymmit2nd]

GREG SHAKER

Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins
Play: Steelers +3 -120

Note: Buy up to 3 points as I am doing and get this one early.

[ymmit2nd]

ATS Lock Club
3 Redskins
3 Bobcats

[ymmit2nd]

Andre Gomes

.

Sacramento Kings @ Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers are entering this game with a 1-2 record and after an humiliating defeat against the Hawks on their last game by 88-95, in a game where they were up by 23 points! So, I expect a tremendous reaction for the team today, just like how it happened on their game against the Knicks.

On the other side, the Kings lost for the third time in three games, this time by 103-121 against Orlando. It's important to refer the Kings did a very good offensive game at Orlando: 39-74 FG (almost 53%) and 21 assists for 12 turnovers, but the team still lost by 18 points! Their main problem on that game was to stop Howard, who had 11-14 FG, 29 points, 14 rebounds and 5 blocks. The Kings are playing without Brad Miller, who is still suspended and they have a very young frontcourt, with Spencer Hawes and Jason Thompson, who lack experience at this level. Howard completely dominated the game and the Magic took advantage of that. This mismatch on the frontcourt in favor of the Magic isn't much different from the advantage on the frontcourt the Sixers will have tonight against the Kings. Elton Brand will play the role that Howard had last Saturday and these Sixers are the most dominating team on the paint of the league! They have outrebounded Toronto by 56-33, the Knicks by 61-43 and Atlanta by 48-41! The same is to say they have currently a rebound margin of +16 reb/game over their opponents! Impressive! And this will be the key of this game for the Sixers.

The Kings had a very good ball movement against Orlando, something which isn't usual on the team, who uses to struggle on that area (they were last on this area last season) and against a powerful defense of the Sixers, the number of turnovers of the Kings will surely increase and we all know how explosive are the Sixers in fast breaks.

Sacramento will play tonight their final game on this road trip, as they will face the Grizzlies and the Wolves at home on their following games, which are much easier games for them to win, which makes tonight's game as a possible lookahead game for the Kings. The line for this game is at 11,5 points for the Sixers, which is obviously a lot, but the fact they were up by 23 points against the Hawks and lost the game will make them play hard until the last second of the game, no matter how good the result is for them during the game. This emotional factor will make the Sixers look for a big blowout tonight. The Kings have lost their last two games by 26 and 18 points and against an hungry team, the spot isn't the best for them. Take Philadelphia in here.

PLAY on Philadelphia 76ers (-11,5)


Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Bobcats

Detroit has been surprising everybody for their lack of defensive consistence, after all they have allowed 94 points against the Pacers and 109 points against the Wizards. More surprising is the fact the Pacers shot 49.3% FG and the Wizards 51.9% FG! After all, where is the great defense of the Pistons, who has been dominating their opponents over the years?

I think we will see that defense on tonight's game. The Pistons had two games against teams who play with on a fast tempo and who used small lineups. That evidence was referred by coach Michael Curry, while talking about Kwame Brown:

"Kwame was great, and I wish he would have gotten 15-20 minutes," Curry said. "They just went so small that we couldn't get him on the floor.

Looking at that game, we saw the Wizards using their centers for a short period of time. Etan Thomas played for 17:46 and Andray Blatche for 4:17, which confirms what Curry said. The Pistons had no chance in playing their half court game, where their defense outplays their opponents.

Today they will face the Bobcats and the last coach who took the Pistons to a NBA title: Larry Brown. So, this game won't be a game like any other and we all know how Larry Brown loves to put their teams playing good defense. The Bobcats had their first win of the season, with a home win against Miami, while shooting 53.6% FG against the soft defense of the Heat. However, on their opening game against the Cavs, the team was just able to score 79 points and shoot a ridiculous 33.8% FG!

The question of this game is to know what kind of pace we will have in here. I would say Detroit and Cleveland play on a similar style and it will much more complicated for Charlotte to shoot 54% FG like they did against Miami, as we know Detroit is a team who likes to defend. This game will be similar to the game between the Cavs and the Bobcats and Detroit will have a chance to use their powerful defense for the first time this season. Even though the Bobcats defeated Miami last Saturday, they committed 20 turnovers on that game, something which is an huge concern when you're about to face Detroit and which will make them struggle on offense. Take the under in here.

PLAY on Under 184


Chicago Bulls @ Orlando Magic

Orlando has finally woken up and this team when they have confidence is almost unstoppable on their offense. I took the over on their game at Memphis and the Magic showed the same problem they had on their opening game against the Hawks: terrible rhythm, horrible ball movement and poor shot selection. The team had 10A and 15TO vs Atlanta and 16A and 17TO vs Memphis, while scoring 85 and 84 points in those games. After that terrible performance in Memphis, on the following day Orlando scored 121 points, for 25 assists and 12 turnovers at home against Sacramento. How is it possible for a team in less than 24 hours to improve so quickly? All can be resumed on just one word: confidence! Coach Van Gundy explained that very well:

"People don't realize how fragile confidence can be. They think when you hit the major league level, confidence is a given because you have so much success, but a couple of bad nights and all the sudden you're pressing. We're still a long way from where we want to be, but I like what I saw tonight."

It's also curious to see the reaction of Van Gundy after that game, as Orlando struggled on defense, as the Kings shot 52.7% FG, but Van Gundy "said he wasn't going to be negative". His only concern was the team's offensive bounce back and that was achieved, so we will have the Magic being very confident for today's game.

They will host the Bulls, who are currently 2-1, and this game has immediately a mismatch: Howard vs Bulls' frontcourt. Chicago has been using Tyrus Thomas and Drew Gooden in the starting lineup and both players aren't capable of stopping Howard. The Superman had 29 points and 14 rebounds against the Kings and I wouldn't be surprised in seeing Howard have similar numbers tonight, as the Bulls really lack a player to stop him. The Bulls have been playing a good basketball, soft and full of rhythm. On their only road game until now, they were slaughtered by the Celtics (80-96), who play with a defensive intensiveness that the Bulls weren't used to. After that, the Bulls defeated Memphis at home, on a poor offensive performance of the team, shooting just 38.1% FG and scoring just 42 points in the first half. After that, the team improved big time on the second half, while scoring 54 points after the halftime.

I expect the Bulls to be much better on this game, as Orlando just like they did against the Kings will come to this game playing on a fast tempo and the Bulls have conditions to follow the Magic on a fast paced game. The bench of the Bulls has a lot of players capable of shooting from the perimeter: Gordon, Hinrich and Nocioni and come to this, I expect both teams to be very close or even cross the 100 points mark. Last season, Orlando went 4-0 Over on home games with lines below 200 points after winning an home game and today I expect the same to happen. Take the over in here.

PLAY on Over 196


Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

This pick has to go with the value we have on the totals line in here. 197,5 points for a game involving the Warriors makes the over have immediatly value. The Warriors didn't play a single game last season, with a totals line below 200 points and the only time they played a game with a line on 200 points, the game ended 112-95. Memphis has gone under the total posted the three times they have already played this season and it's important to refer this team isn't a run and gun team like they were last season. I've watched their game against Orlando and the Grizzlies are a team who likes to play with a organized offense. However, that's impossible to do against the Warriors, as we all know Golden State gives so much space to their opponents that it's impossible not to try to take advantage of that.

The Warriors are coming from a 105-97 win over the Nets, in a very tough spot for them: they had to travel the whole coast to play at Toronto, they went to overtime in that game against the Raptors and they were playing on the following night at New Jersey. The team was able to defeat the Nets, but obviously they struggled offensively: Maggete 3-13 FG, Harrington 4-13 FG and the team just shot 42.1% FG, 36.8% 3pts and just 65.4% FT! Now with a full day of rest, I expect the offense of Golden State to bounce back and this young team of Memphis will have no other chance than follow the rhythm of the Warriors. It's curious to see that last season, the games between these two teams had lines of 226.5, 223.5, 230 and 229.5 points, while today's game has a line of just 197,5 points!

The Warriors are able to score 100 points or more in almost every game they play and even though this team of the Grizzlies has managed not to allow 100 points or more on their first three games of the season, I doubt that will happen today against the frenetic offense of the Warriors. Take the over in here.

PLAY on Over 197,5

[ymmit2nd]

ErockMoney

Pittsburgh (+2)

[ymmit2nd]

WILD BILL

Pittsburgh Steelers +1 (5 units)
__________________

[ymmit2nd]

Monday, November 4th, 2008
Steelers (+2½) over @Redskins
Selection and Analysis by Matty Baiungo
NFC East teams have not been kind to the
Pittsburgh Steelers. Their two losses have been to
the Eagles and the Giants so they’ll look to avoid the
hat trick here. But the Eagles and Giants share a
common trait that the Steelers simply could not
handle. Philadelphia defensive coordinator Jim
Johnson is notorious for his multiple blitz packages,
and the Eagles got to Roethlisberger all game long
sacking him nine times. And former Johnson
understudy, Steve Spagnuolo, used the same
philosophy. In the Steelers 21-14 loss to the Giants,
Roethlisberger was once again blitzed frequently
resulting in five sacks. But those two teams are in
the top four in the NFL in sacks, with the Giants
number one with 26 and the Eagles number four
with 23. And unlike their divisional partners, the
Redskins do not possess a formidable sack unit. In
fact, Washington is 28th in the league with only 10
sacks in the eight games they’ve played.
The Steelers did not play good offense at all on
Sunday. Their 14-9 lead in the 4th quarter quickly
evaporated, and they found themselves down by 7
with little shot to come back. Big Ben was terrible.
He threw 4 interceptions while completing only
44.8% of his passes for 189 yards. While he did
have constant pressure on him, his throws were just
way off the mark. He’s a very good quarterback,
and it was the worst game I’ve ever seen him play.
Now you can make excuses that Pittsburgh’s offense
was too banged up on the offensive line and at the
skill positions for Ben to be effective, but still, he
could have played much, much better than he did.
His job doesn’t get easier this week facing a pretty
good defense and overall team in Washington. And
he’ll need some of those missing pieces back to be
successful, but Ben himself will snap back strong.
The Redskins sit at 6-2, but this team is getting
tired. They’ve yet to have their bye week so
complacency may set in this week, especially
knowing they get that off week after this game
against Pittsburgh. And that possible distraction
may work against them. The Skins have played in a
lot of close games as four of their six wins have
come by 6 points or less. And this game should be
no different as two strong defensive teams will make
points tough to come by. If the Steelers can get a
little healthier by game time, they should bounce
back off their recent home loss. The Redskins will
be looking forward to rest and relaxation while the
Steelers will be looking to avoid another loss.
Steelers by 3.

[ymmit2nd]

Vegas Vic

Steelers (+2) over REDSKINS

If Ben Roethlisberger finally gets some protection, Pittsburgh should be able to squeeze out a victory.

[grabmyankles4services]

PrimeTime Sports Advisors

11-1-1 on the weekend

5 units Washington Redskins -2.5
5 units Sacramento Kings +11.5

[ymmit2nd]

Northcoast Full Service Line

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Accupicks 3* Clippers

[ymmit2nd]

Root

Millionaire .....Skins -2.5

[Karol58]

Kelso's play for MNF.. Anybody following after Jacksonville yesterday?

Monday, November 03, 2008
Monday Night Game of the Month50 UnitsRedskins (-2½) over Steelers
8:30 PM -- FedEx Field
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

[kidman232]

Iceman's NFL Play Tonight

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Washington Redskins
Play: Over 36.5

Tonight we have 2 solid rush defenses, however we note that the over is undefeated on Monday night in 2008 winning eight of nine times with one push. Points can come easily on Monday night with all the extra TV timeouts it seems and who are we to argue with such an overwhelming trend. PLAY THE OVER once again, as we'll continue to ride this trend until it loses.

[Casher808]

LuckyDaySports (new service)

COMP

Wash/Pit over 37

[kidman232]

Ryan "HUGE" Campbell

is on the pittsburg steelers +2.5

when it comes to gambling, FADING this guy is the best decision u could ever make. ive watched him burn through cash too many times to count. If ur on a team and bet, then see he is also on them, ur stomach instantly starts turning.

[eaglezzz]

any ben burns

Burns free play is

Chicago -150

--Burns is always on the blackhawks and Ducks in hockey. I think he is great in his hockey picks, he will start to warm up soon.

[RaginCardinal]

Mon, 11/03/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet 428 WAS -2.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 427 PIT
Analysis: **** MNF 4* GAME OF THE MONTH ****

[ymmit2nd]

Insider Sports Report Premier Picks® For 11/03/08


4* Pittsburgh/Washington (NFL) OVER 36.5
Range: 34.5 to 38

3* Detroit -5.5 over Charlotte (NBA)
Range: -4 to -7.5

[ymmit2nd]

Joyce Sterling

Memphis +2

Golden St. is on the road for the 3rd time in 4 nights. Memphis lost 96-86 at Chicago on Saturday, Gay had 20 points but the Grizzlies couldn't hold an eight-point halftime lead and were outscored 54-36 in the final two quarters, They hang on at home tonight

[Hap]

KBHoops

GS/Memphis over

[ymmit2nd]

The ProSource

All stats ATS unless stated otherwise

Washington -2vs Pittsburgh

Our MNFB specific system pulled thru for us last weekwith the Titans, it's popped up again:One of our bread and butter NFL systems to :Play ON a MNF home team in this spread range if theygave up 7-21 pts in a SU rd win their last game, whenplaying a team with PITTS WL% only if the play againstteam scored 14(+) pts in their last game.33-8 ats...80% for 25 seasons
__________________

[ymmit2nd]

NSA

NFL
20* Pitt
10* Pitt/Wash Under

NBA
Philly
Orlando
Cleveland
Charlotte

[ymmit2nd]

Kanesline
(POD)

11/03/08

NFL

Monday Night Football

Pittsburgh Steelers at
Washington Redskins

Projected Total: 40

Projected Score:

Pittsburgh Steelers 21

Washington Redskins 19

Pick:Take OVER 36.5

Trend to Watch:

The OVER is 8-0-1 on monday night football for the 2008 season.

Bonus Play

7 point teaser Parlay Pittsburgh Steelers +8 OVER 29.5 -130

System Picks

Football

11/03/08 NFL spreads

11/03/08 Pittsburgh Steelers +1

[ymmit2nd]

Two Minute Warning

Pittsburgh +2 1/2

4-2 YD
37-27-3 YTD
__________________

[ymmit2nd]

DOC

3 Unit Play. #120 Take Over in Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Redskins (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Washington 24, Pittsburgh 20.

[mtomto]

SEABASS

20* Pitt +3 (if you have to buy more than a half point, don't play it)
100* "Steam Play"- Pitt/Wash under

[ymmit2nd]

STEVIE Y

no write ups
steelers OVER

[ymmit2nd]

LENNY STEVENS
10 steelers
10 sixers

[ymmit2nd]

NORTHCOAST monday NITE magic wash-2-

MARQUEE- under 37

[ymmit2nd]

BEN BURNS
PERSONAL NBA FAVORITE

I'm laying the points with PHILADELPHIA. *Personal Favorite

[ymmit2nd]

BEN BURNS
BLUE CHIP NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT

I'm playing on the Warriors and Grizzlies to finish UNDER the number. *Blue Chip

[ymmit2nd]

BEN BURNS
NFL BEST BET

I'm playing on the Steelers and Redskins to finish UNDER the number. *Best Bet

[ymmit2nd]

akmens

washinton -2.5 10*

golden state over 196 10*

mavericks over 192 10

[ymmit2nd]

JB Sports

Clippers

[ymmit2nd]

LT Profits

Warriors / Grizzlies Over

[ymmit2nd]

Mike Rose

Cavaliers

[ymmit2nd]

Alex Smart

Bobcats

[ymmit2nd]

Opposite Action Plays

Pistons

[ymmit2nd]

Sharp Football Analysis

First a side note: Please check your e-mail tomorrow (Tuesday) as I will be sending out important information regarding my system plays and personal plays for Week 10.

MNF:

This is "information only". This is NOT an official play counting towards my 23-9-2 record. If you were planning on taking any side or total, please do not let any of this information dissuade you nor persuade you.

I just want to share what my system is leaning towards tonight and trends I found as I researched the game.

System:

Side: Redskins are a system play, winning the game by 5*
Total: At 37 there is no totals play from the system. My top system was leaning towards the Over and was very close to a play, yet was a fraction off from being recognized as a play, but only if you get the Over 36.5 which was available earlier today. Remember, 37 is a very key number in totals, as I have said before. If you are playing the Under you must have 37 or 37.5 and if you are playing the Over, you must have 37 or 36.5. Also, due to Moss being injured, who really does stretch the field and is the primary downfield threat for Campbell, you really would want to verify his status prior to pulling the trigger on an over.

* this does not factor in the questionable Redskins players into the line should they be inactive

What makes this a "no-play" for me? Injuries on both sides of the ball, including the Steelers secondary (Tyrone Carter is not good) and their tackle Marvel Smith is out. For the Skins, many questions: will Moss go, will Samuels go, and what about the others that were listed as questionable? We may not know their status until much closer to gametime, which is going to be well after I need to send this out. Also, based on my experience, more "unexpected" results occur during MNF than for a standard 1pm or 4pm games. It is just a bit harder to get a "locked-in read" from my computer for a juiced up game like MNF.

In addition, the mentality of the two teams is a key contributor to why I would avoid playing the game: The Redskins are right now sitting at 6-2 after and about to head into their bye week, having played all 3 road division games (going 2-1) and beating high powered offenses of NO and Ari. It is an opportunity for them to already be looking ahead to the bye and become complacent with their great start. I haven't seen that killer instinct from this team in years and am not sure it they can get up for it tonight. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in similar situations dating back to 1994, including 0-2 since 2003: Heading into a bye week the following week w/ rival Dallas up next after the bye.

On the other hand, the Steelers are also beat up and I have warned for several weeks that they are not as strong as their record appears. They have weaknesses that teams can take advantage of. O-Line and secondary. But the Skins don't throw the ball downfield enough (bottom 1/3 of 40+ yard passes and bottom 1/2 of 20+ yard passes, and what of the status of Moss?) and they don't rush the passer enough (29th in sacks) to really take advantage of those two glaring weaknesses. How much they change their gameplan to attack their opponent's weaknesses remains to be seen.

The Steelers are in their lone road game in a span of over a month, having played the Giants at home, and after this game they have home games against the Colts, the Chargers and then the Bengals. How will they come off the tough, hard-hitting home loss to the defending Super Bowl champs and then play on the road in a non-conference game?

All things considered, I was not "sold" on the Redskins system play through the course of my research and analysis, and therefore cannot recommend them to you as a top play. Especially on MNF, when using a system play, it has been my experience that I have to be very convinced in a side and I just could never quite get there. I am not saying the Redskins are not the proper side, the outcome remains to be seen, I am just passing on the game and searching for better value next week.

Here are some trends I researched, many are quite interesting.

For the Redskins:

In 2008, the NFC East is 10-1 SU in non-divisional games as a home favorite, and when the spread is 7 or fewer points, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS.
In 2008, the AFC North is 3-7 SU in non-divisional games as the road underdogs, and are 2-3 SU and ATS when the line is less than 7.
Since 2006, the AFC North is 2-5 ATS on non-divisional MNF games.
Since 2006 and after week 5 of the season, the Steelers are 3-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Using those same parameters, the Redskins are 7-3-1 ATS, though only 1 win was as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in MNF games since 2005.
The Redskins are 2-1 ATS in MNF but 0-1 as favorites since 2005.

Since 2005, the teams who played the defending Super Bowl champs the prior week and then had to play in a primetime game the following week went 2-5 ATS. Lesson here is many teams expend so much effort and energy in the big game vs. the defending champs that they can't get back up for a primetime game the following week. Looking only at MNF games, these teams went 1-2 ATS, the only cover was a week 3 game (still early in the season when teams typically are not as banged up or tired).
In 2008, teams who faced the Giants (defending SB champ) the week before are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS
Since 2006, teams who faced the defending Super Bowl champs the week before and are now playing with a line within 3 points of a pick'em, either favorite or underdog, have gone 2-8 ATS and 2-8 SU. They have lost by an average of 10 points, and when they are underdogs, they have gone 0-4 SU and ATS.
For the Steelers:

Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS the week after losing at home since 2000, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog
The Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS as underdogs for the 2nd game in a row since 2000, though the last time this occurred was in 2004.
Since 1993, non-conference MNF games where the underdog is getting 3 or fewer points have gone 8-0 SU and ATS, on average winning by 14 points. Though it has only happened once since 2005, with GB beating Den SU in 2007 as a 3 point road underdog.
The Steelers were 11-5 ATS in non-conference games since 2004 prior to this season. However, this season they are 0-2 SU and ATS, having lost to both NFC East teams (Phi and NYG) by 9 and 7 points respectively and both games fell 7+ points under the total.
__________________

[thedegen]

Ed Redmon

nba
GS under
Utah under
MEM

nfl
Was over

[youcrazy]

YouCrazy Monday winners....

10* Pitt/Wash UNDER 37.5
3* Pitt ML +130
3* GS/Mem UNDER 200

GL!
YC

[EagleFan]

Maddux 5 unit

Washington -2.5 -110

[EagleFan]

Triple Threat Sports 777

NBA Bulls/Magic OVER 196

[ymmit2nd]

indiancowboy

Cavs +3.5 (POD)

Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.

[odds on sports]

PICKENS PICK MNF MADNESS!

Folks we are on absolute fire over the past week, join us and take the EASY CASH TONIGHT!

11/2- 50 unit- New England / Colts "under" W
11/2- 200 unit teaser- Bucs & Giants W
11/2- 25 unit Broncos L
11/1- 200 unit Miami W
11/1- 500 unit Oklahoma W
11/1- 300 unit Floida W
10/29- 50 unit Phillies Game 5 W
10/29- 75 unit Phillies Series outright W
10/27- 200 unit Titans W

250 unit 7 point teaser- Tonight our selection is on the Redskins and the "over" in the Monday Night game. The Steelers have struggled with NFC East opponents with losses against the Eagles and last week to the Giants. This is not the same Steelers teams as year past, and their play has shown this against the better teams. Look for the Redskins to jump on them early and create turnovers.

Now will the Redskins dictate who is the President again? Looks like McCain? wow...I'm going to say Obama still wins

100 unit "over" the total

25 unit Redskins -2 1/2

[EagleFan]

indiancowboy

Cavs +3.5 (POD)

Get your tums ready. You're going to need it. Look, the bottom line is while the public jumps all over the jock straps of the Mavericks at home, we are going the other way. Think about it, why would the Mavericks be favored by just 3 points over the Cavs? It's because the Cavs have consistently had their number. The Cavs also come off a loss at New Orleans and will be fired up not to lose back to back games. The Mavs have not looked overly impressive this year and with the addition of Mo Williams this team is even better from last year. Remember, this team took the Celtics to the wire at Boston and they can certainly beat Mavericks team that is getting used to Carlisle. Look for the Cavs to win this baby outright and remember, the Cavs are 5-0 ATS following a straight up loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and the Mavs are 0-5 ATS following a straight up win meaning that Vegas keeps a close tab on the Mavs and their ATS streaks.
<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->

[5dollars]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Pittsburgh (+1.5) over Washington (NFL Power Play)
8:30 PM EST

Washington
• 1-4 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 38 points
• 3-10 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of the last 8 games
• 2-6 ATS in non-conference games the last 3 seasons

[EagleFan]

Sharp Football Analysis

First a side note: Please check your e-mail tomorrow (Tuesday) as I will be sending out important information regarding my system plays and personal plays for Week 10.

MNF:

This is "information only". This is NOT an official play counting towards my 23-9-2 record. If you were planning on taking any side or total, please do not let any of this information dissuade you nor persuade you.

I just want to share what my system is leaning towards tonight and trends I found as I researched the game.

System:

Side: Redskins are a system play, winning the game by 5*
Total: At 37 there is no totals play from the system. My top system was leaning towards the Over and was very close to a play, yet was a fraction off from being recognized as a play, but only if you get the Over 36.5 which was available earlier today. Remember, 37 is a very key number in totals, as I have said before. If you are playing the Under you must have 37 or 37.5 and if you are playing the Over, you must have 37 or 36.5. Also, due to Moss being injured, who really does stretch the field and is the primary downfield threat for Campbell, you really would want to verify his status prior to pulling the trigger on an over.

* this does not factor in the questionable Redskins players into the line should they be inactive

What makes this a "no-play" for me? Injuries on both sides of the ball, including the Steelers secondary (Tyrone Carter is not good) and their tackle Marvel Smith is out. For the Skins, many questions: will Moss go, will Samuels go, and what about the others that were listed as questionable? We may not know their status until much closer to gametime, which is going to be well after I need to send this out. Also, based on my experience, more "unexpected" results occur during MNF than for a standard 1pm or 4pm games. It is just a bit harder to get a "locked-in read" from my computer for a juiced up game like MNF.

In addition, the mentality of the two teams is a key contributor to why I would avoid playing the game: The Redskins are right now sitting at 6-2 after and about to head into their bye week, having played all 3 road division games (going 2-1) and beating high powered offenses of NO and Ari. It is an opportunity for them to already be looking ahead to the bye and become complacent with their great start. I haven't seen that killer instinct from this team in years and am not sure it they can get up for it tonight. They are 0-3 SU and ATS in similar situations dating back to 1994, including 0-2 since 2003: Heading into a bye week the following week w/ rival Dallas up next after the bye.

On the other hand, the Steelers are also beat up and I have warned for several weeks that they are not as strong as their record appears. They have weaknesses that teams can take advantage of. O-Line and secondary. But the Skins don't throw the ball downfield enough (bottom 1/3 of 40+ yard passes and bottom 1/2 of 20+ yard passes, and what of the status of Moss?) and they don't rush the passer enough (29th in sacks) to really take advantage of those two glaring weaknesses. How much they change their gameplan to attack their opponent's weaknesses remains to be seen.

The Steelers are in their lone road game in a span of over a month, having played the Giants at home, and after this game they have home games against the Colts, the Chargers and then the Bengals. How will they come off the tough, hard-hitting home loss to the defending Super Bowl champs and then play on the road in a non-conference game?

All things considered, I was not "sold" on the Redskins system play through the course of my research and analysis, and therefore cannot recommend them to you as a top play. Especially on MNF, when using a system play, it has been my experience that I have to be very convinced in a side and I just could never quite get there. I am not saying the Redskins are not the proper side, the outcome remains to be seen, I am just passing on the game and searching for better value next week.

Here are some trends I researched, many are quite interesting.

For the Redskins:

In 2008, the NFC East is 10-1 SU in non-divisional games as a home favorite, and when the spread is 7 or fewer points, they are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS.
In 2008, the AFC North is 3-7 SU in non-divisional games as the road underdogs, and are 2-3 SU and ATS when the line is less than 7.
Since 2006, the AFC North is 2-5 ATS on non-divisional MNF games.
Since 2006 and after week 5 of the season, the Steelers are 3-8 ATS vs. teams with a winning record.
Using those same parameters, the Redskins are 7-3-1 ATS, though only 1 win was as a favorite.
The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in MNF games since 2005.
The Redskins are 2-1 ATS in MNF but 0-1 as favorites since 2005.

Since 2005, the teams who played the defending Super Bowl champs the prior week and then had to play in a primetime game the following week went 2-5 ATS. Lesson here is many teams expend so much effort and energy in the big game vs. the defending champs that they can't get back up for a primetime game the following week. Looking only at MNF games, these teams went 1-2 ATS, the only cover was a week 3 game (still early in the season when teams typically are not as banged up or tired).
In 2008, teams who faced the Giants (defending SB champ) the week before are 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS
Since 2006, teams who faced the defending Super Bowl champs the week before and are now playing with a line within 3 points of a pick'em, either favorite or underdog, have gone 2-8 ATS and 2-8 SU. They have lost by an average of 10 points, and when they are underdogs, they have gone 0-4 SU and ATS.
For the Steelers:

Pittsburgh is 6-1-1 ATS the week after losing at home since 2000, including 4-1 ATS as an underdog
The Steelers are 3-0 SU and ATS as underdogs for the 2nd game in a row since 2000, though the last time this occurred was in 2004.
Since 1993, non-conference MNF games where the underdog is getting 3 or fewer points have gone 8-0 SU and ATS, on average winning by 14 points. Though it has only happened once since 2005, with GB beating Den SU in 2007 as a 3 point road underdog.
The Steelers were 11-5 ATS in non-conference games since 2004 prior to this season. However, this season they are 0-2 SU and ATS, having lost to both NFC East teams (Phi and NYG) by 9 and 7 points respectively and both games fell 7+ points under the total.
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[EagleFan]

bookie buster -- golden systems

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NFL Pittsburgh +2.5

Overall record

November 2008 1-1 (-20)
October 2008 16-13(+375)
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[EagleFan]

tom freese NFL under

[ymmit2nd]

tom freese NFL under

[RaginCardinal]

WILLIE THE WHIP.. HES 7-1 IN HIS TOP GOLDEN) NHL PLAYS

GOLDEN..Colorado +135

[mattjones]

Robert Ferringo

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 36.0 Pittsburgh at Washington (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 3)