View Full Version : Service Plays Wednesday 11/5/08
Can'tPickaWinner
11-04-2008, 10:36 PM
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-04-2008, 10:38 PM
Dr. Bob
BALL ST. (-9.5) 28 Northern Ill 19
05:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Nov-05 - Stats Matchup
Ball State is a perfect 8-0 straight up this season and 7-1 ATS, but the Cardinals’ best win was over a mediocre Navy squad when star WR Dante Love was still catching Nate Davis’ passes. Davis and Love had a special connection, as they racked up 460 yards on 32 passes intended for Love (28 of them were caught). Davis was one of the highest rated quarterbacks in the nation before Love was injured midway through the Indiana game in week 4, but Davis has been just mediocre without Love, averaging 7.2 yards per pass play against teams that would combine to allow 7.2 yppp to an average team. Northern Illinois, meanwhile, is much better offensively now that starting quarterback Chandler Harnish is back under center and the Huskies are the MAC’s best defensive team – allowing just 4.6 yards per play to teams that would combine to average 4.9 yppl against an average team. My math model only favors Ball State by 4 ½ points after making the appropriate adjustments, but the Cardinals apply to an 85-31-3 ATS late season momentum situation that I’d hate to buck. I’ll pass on this game.
AKRON (-4.5) 32 Toledo 22
05:00 PM Pacific Time Wednesday, Nov-05 - Stats Matchup
Akron has the advantage on both sides of the ball in this contest and the Zips qualify in a 138-71-8 ATS situation that is 22-6 ATS for teams coming off a bye. Akron is 0.2 yards per play better than average offensively, averaging 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.6 yppl to an average team and the Zips have a 0.3 yppl advantage over a pretty solid Toledo defense that rates at 0.1 yppl worse than average (5.6 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average team). Akron also has the edge when the Rockets have the ball, as Toledo rates at 0.5 yppl worse than average offensively while the Zips are at 0.2 yppl worse than average defensively. Akron should be favored by 7 points in this game, the general situation is favorable and Toledo is just 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 lined road games. I’ll consider Akron a Strong Opinion at -6 points or less.
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-04-2008, 10:39 PM
Vernon Croy's *25 Unit CFB MAC GAME OF THE YEAR**:
25 Units, Take Northern Illinois ATS, Grab the points and take the Huskies as my CFB MAC Game of the Year.
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-04-2008, 10:43 PM
Wild Bill
Over 47 Ball St/No Illinois (5 units)
Over 54 1/2 Toledo/Akron (5 units)
chase88
11-05-2008, 02:23 AM
jeffersonsports
early release for sunday
nfl
philadelphia eagles -2.5 -125
Casher808
11-05-2008, 03:24 AM
LuckyDaySports (new service)
COMP
N. Illinois/Ball St. UNDER (NCAA)
seelfin22
11-05-2008, 06:30 AM
Dontcallmejerom
free play: Spurs -4
I contacted this guy and he gave me a free week of NBA plays as a trial. So I will post them when I get them. He is "Customizing" my monthly package for me. HA! :cripwalk::cripwalk::dancefool:dancefool
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:32 AM
Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Suns (-5) Tuesday night.
Today it's Toledo. The deficit is 555 sirignanos.
seelfin22
11-05-2008, 07:51 AM
Dontcallmejerom----- from wager line
PORT +7 at UTAH -- The Blazers beat this team 3 out of 4 times last year SU. Oden injury non factor. No Deron Williams for the Jazz. No play on the total, but I will take the points and back the Blazers.
SA -4 at MIN-- are the Spurs this BAD. also free play**
MEMP at SAC -- Kings missing Miller and Garcia..... System Play over the total. 194.5
SUNS at IND-- Suns cool off a bit tonight after shooting 63% last night. Travel day and the PAcers are decent. +3.5
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 08:44 AM
Jimmy The Moose
Game: Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets Nov 5 2008 7:30PM
Prediction: Edmonton Oilers
Reason: The Oilers come into this one having won two straight after losing 5 in a row. Edmonton has won their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Oilers aren't playing like they should but they will be facing a Columbus team that is really struggling. The Blue Jackets have lost two straight and 5 of their last 6 games. Columbus has lost 5 of their last 7 home games. The Blue Jackets are 5-18-3 in the last 26 meetings between the clubs. The Oilers are 7-2-3 in their last 12 trips to Columbus. Play on the Edmonton Oilers -.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 09:04 AM
Arthur Ralph Sports
Wednesday Utah Jazz
Henryjames
11-05-2008, 10:26 AM
igz1 sports
CFB
3* No Illionois +10 (-110)
NBA
3* Over 201 (-110) Phoenix vs Indiana
Good Luck !
mookin
11-05-2008, 12:01 PM
James Betting Expert:
Wednesday, November 05, 2008
$45.00: Another Easy winner last night with Buffalo crushing Miami-Ohio, as we picked up another 10 Units for Betting Expert members.
Tonights card has two plays on it, lets get after them again.
10 Unit - Sacramento Kings -3 10:00 EST
5 Unit - San Antonio Spurs -4.5 8:00 EST
rocky2
11-05-2008, 12:09 PM
Frank Patron - 7500* Akron
rocky2
11-05-2008, 12:10 PM
Brandon Lang
WEDNESDAY
5 Dime - Ball State
FREE - Akron
brady1983
11-05-2008, 12:50 PM
LVTR
Northern Illinois +9.5
Indiana Pacers +3.5
seelfin22
11-05-2008, 01:10 PM
well, I bought the College football package.
DontcallmeJerom
NCAAFB-- Northern Illinois +9.5 paid and confirmed
seelfin22
11-05-2008, 01:18 PM
kelso
5 Northern Illinois (+9 ½) over BALL STATE
pacesetter
11-05-2008, 01:40 PM
MONEYLOCKOFTHEDAY
3 Units Clippers +15
2 Units Grizzlies +3.5
2 Units Suns -3
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:06 PM
SPORTS ADVISORS
NBA
Detroit (3-0, 1-2 ATS) at Toronto (3-0, 2-1 ATS)
Allen Iverson, acquired in a blockbuster trade with the Nuggets on Monday, is expected to make his Pistons debut as Detroit visits Toronto in a battle of unbeaten teams.
The Pistons sent point guard Chauncey Billups and forward Antonio McDyess to Denver in exchange for Iverson on Monday afternoon, then went out and trounced the Bobcats 101-83 as a 3½-point road chalk. Detroit has reached triple digits in all three of its games, shooting 48.8 percent from the field as a team while averaging 106 points per contest.
Toronto is coming off a pair of four-point victories over the Warriors at home (112-108 in overtime on Friday) and the Bucks on the road (91-87 on Saturday). The Raptors failed to cash as a seven-point chalk against Golden State, but prevailed as a one-point underdog in Milwaukee. Like the Pistons, Toronto has gotten off to a solid start offensively, averaging 99.3 points per contest while shooting 47.7 percent from the field, including a whopping 54.5 percent from three-point land.
Detroit has won four of the last five meetings in this rivalry and is 5-1 ATS in the last six. Going back to April 2006, the visitor is on a 7-1 SU roll in this series (5-3 ATS), and the favorite has cashed in five consecutive meetings.
The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games dating to the 2008 playoffs and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 when playing on one day of rest, but they’ve failed to cover in nine of their past 12 on Wednesdays. Meanwhile, Toronto is 35-16 ATS in its last 51 on Wednesday, but the squad is mired in an 11-23 ATS slump overall.
The over is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five games overall (3-0 this year), but the under is 11-5 in its last 16 on the highway. For Toronto, the under streaks include 5-1 overall, 5-1-1 at home, 5-0 against the Eastern Conference and 27-9-1 versus the Central Division. Finally, the under is 5-2 in the last seven clashes between these squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Chicago (2-2, 3-1 ATS) at Cleveland (2-2, 3-1 ATS)
Two Central Division rivals clash for the first time this season, as the Bulls pay a visit to the Quicken Loans Arena for a showdown against LeBron James and the Cavaliers.
Chicago has alternated SU wins and losses in its first four games, most recently falling 96-93 at Orlando on Monday. However, the Bulls did cash as an eight-point road underdog, improving to 5-1 ATS going back to the end of last season. Since tallying 108 points in a season-opening home rout of the Bucks, Chicago has been limited to 89.7 ppg in its last three.
The Cavaliers return home after splitting a quick two-game trip to New Orleans and Dallas, losing 104-92 to the Hornets on Saturday before crushing the Mavericks 100-81 as a four-point underdog on Monday. Cleveland is on an 8-1 ATS tear going back to last year’s Eastern Conference finals, including a 4-0 SU and ATS at home.
Despite an otherwise dismal 2007-08 season, Chicago did take the season series from Cleveland last year, going 3-1 SU and ATS while scoring at least 100 points in all three victories. The home team is 6-3 SU and ATS in the last nine matchups between these rivals and 13-5 ATS in the last 18. Also, the SU winner has cashed in each of the last 10 head-to-head battles.
The Bulls are off to an 0-2 start on the road (1-1 ATS), but they have cashed in four straight against Central Division foes and they’re 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after a SU defeat. Meanwhile, in addition to its ongoing ATS streaks of 8-1 overall and 4-0 at home, Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games when playing on one day of rest and 7-0 ATS in its last seven against the Eastern Conference. However, LeBron James and Co. have failed to cash in five straight against divisional rivals.
Chicago sports under streaks of 9-2 overall, 4-1 on the road, 5-0 when going on one day of rest and 8-2 against the Eastern Conference. Also, the Cavs are on under runs of 16-7 overall, 20-6 at home, 15-6 against the East and 5-2 in divisional contests. Lastly, the under is 6-2 in the last eight Bulls-Cavaliers battles at Quicken Loans Arena.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER
Atlanta (2-0 SU and ATS) at New Orleans (3-0, 2-1 ATS)
The Hawks, who have started off a season with consecutive victories for the first time this decade, figure to have a tough time making it three in a row when they visit the undefeated Hornets.
Atlanta is 2-0 for the first time since 1998 and hasn’t started a season with three straight victories since winning its first 11 in a row the year prior. The Hawks tipped off with a 99-85 upset of Orlando as an eight-point underdog a week ago and followed that with Saturday’s 95-88 win over the 76ers as a 2½-point favorite. Defense has carried the team so far, holding the Magic and Sixers to a combined 39 percent shooting (24.4 percent from three-point range).
The Hornets have put up 108, 108 and 104 points in their first three games, including a pair of double-digit routs of the Suns (108-95 on the road) and Cavaliers (104-92 at home) in the last two. New Orleans, which is seeking its second consecutive 4-0 start to a season, is shooting 48.3 percent from the field while making exactly half of its three-point tries.
The Hornets have swept the season series from Atlanta the last two years, going 4-0 ATS in the process (3-0 ATS as a favorite). In the two meetings in New Orleans last year, the Hornets prevailed 107-100 as a 6½-point favorite and 116-101 as an 8½-point chalk. The SU winner is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 series clashes.
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last seven overall going back to last year’s first-round playoff loss to Boston. Otherwise, though, the Hawks are mired in ATS slumps of 1-5 on the road, 1-5 against the Southwest Division and 5-11 on Wednesdays. As for the Hornets, they sport a bunch of positive pointspread streaks, including 49-24 at home, 39-19-3 versus the Eastern Conference, 6-2-1 against the Southeast Division and 37-16-1 on Wednesdays.
The over is on runs of 9-3 for the Hawks on Wednesdays, 5-1 for the Hawks against the Western Conference, 11-5 for the Hawks after a SU win, 10-2-1 for New Orleans against the Eastern Conference and 4-1 for New Orleans in Wednesday contests. Finally, the last five meetings between these teams on the Hornets’ home floor have topped the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW ORLEANS and OVER
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:06 PM
charlie's sports
wednesday nov 5, 2008.
ncaaf. toledo @ akron over 54 (500* )
ncaaf. ball st -9 (30*)
ncaaf. toledo+6' (20*)
ncaaf. niu @ ball st under 47 (20*)
nba. knicks-5 (10*)
nba. t'wolves+4 (10*) free play
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:07 PM
Insider Sports
4* Toledo/Akron (NCAAF) OVER 54.5 Range: 52.5 to 56.5
3* Memphis +4 over Sacramento (NBA) Range: +6 to +2.5
3* Portland/Utah (NBA) UNDER 186.5 Range: 188.5 to 184.5
utfan1901
11-05-2008, 02:10 PM
STRALEY
CLIPS / LAKERS UNDER 193
Paid and Confirmed
:toast:
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:17 PM
BOB AKMENS FULL CARD FOR TODAY
10* akron -6.5
10* pistons under 183
10* suns -3.5
10* hornets -9
PASS ON NHL
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:17 PM
Northcoast Full Service Line
J B Sports 3* Spurs<!-- / message -->
5dollars
11-05-2008, 02:19 PM
Vegas Sports Experts
10* Take N. Illinois (+9.5) over Ball State (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST
Northern Illinois
• 5-1 ATS when playing in the month of November the last 3 seasons
• 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
• 5-0 ATS in road games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
------------------------------------------------------
10* Take Toledo (+5) over Akron (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST
Akron
• 0-7 SU vs. Toledo since 1992
• 1-7 SU & ATS after having won 2 of the last 3 games
• 2-9 ATS coming off a win the last 3 seasons
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:28 PM
Andre Gomes
Indiana vs Phoenix
NBA - 503 Phoenix Suns @ 504 Indiana Pacers
The Suns cruised in New Jersey yesterday by defeating the local Nets by 114-86, in a game which ended up being under the total posted, when this was a game to go over the total posted by about 20 points. What we have today is a line which is basically the same from yesterday, so we have value on the over.
Phoenix completely dominated yesterday’s game in the paint, with Amare and Shaq not giving any chance to the young frontcourt of the Nets. This will be a back to back game for the Suns and in physical terms, a letdown could be expected for today, however their win yesterday was so easy that the Suns were able to rest all their players. The player who spent more time on the court yesterday was Amare with 28 minutes. The team reached halftime with 65 points scored, while shooting more than 75% FG! Amazing!
For this game against the Pacers, the edge that I’ve referred on my picks on Phoenix yesterday remains, as the frontcourt of the Suns can’t be defended in normal conditions by the Pacers. Indiana’s best Center Nesterovic will be out and the Pacers will need to use their rookie Roy Hibbert on this position. We have seen yesterday what happened with the rookie Brook Lopez and for today the scenario will basically be the same.
On the other side, the Pacers are coming to this game with a lot of confidence. After all, they defeated the Celtics at home by 95-79, in a game where the team had an amazing ball movement with 20 assists and 12 turnovers and had a lead at one point of 25 points over the current champions.
Last season, both games between these two teams ended with a lot of points: 238 and 251 points and this team of the Pacers is 10-2 Over in their last 12 home games against a team with a winning road record. We have in here a game between two very confident teams and with ability to score a lot of points, so I’m taking the over in here.
Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 503/504 Over 201,5 @1.96 on Canbet
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:37 PM
NSA
20* n ill
10* tol
10* char
10* clv
10* bos
10* edm
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:38 PM
Mr A
Toledo at Akron
Toledo's defeats were against Ball State, Northern Illinois, and Central Michigan, a much tougher schedule then Akron. Take the points. The Rockets have covered the spread in the last six meetings versus the Zips.
Toledo Rockets +6½
Northern Ill at Ball State
Northern Illinois has won seven of the last nine meetings and four of the last five in Indiana. Look for the Huskies potent defense to keep this battle close. Northern Illinois is 4-1 ATS in the last four meetings at Ball State
Northern Illinois Huskies +10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers -8
Utah Jazz -7
Los Angeles Lakers -14½
Memphis Grizzlies +3½
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Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:40 PM
NHL POWER INDEX
New Jersey* (-138) ½ over Tampa Bay (+138)
Edmonton (-114) even with Columbus* (+114)
Anaheim* (-183) 1 over St. Louis (+183)
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 02:40 PM
NBA POWER INDEX
Detroit even with Toronto*
Phoenix 2½ over Indiana*
New York* 1½ over Charlotte
Miami* ½ over Philadelphia
San Antonio 5½ over Minnesota*
Milwaukee* 2 over Washington
New Orleans* 10½ over Atlanta
Boston 10 over Oklahoma City*
Utah* 8 over Portland
Sacramento* 3½ over Memphis
Golden State* 2 over Denver
L.A. Lakers* 18 over L.A. Clippers
alwayslosing
11-05-2008, 02:47 PM
SEBASS
ALL 20 stars
Sacramento Kings
San Antonio Spurs
Boston Celtics
Washington Wizards
Charlotte Bobcats
Edmonton Oilers
Toledo/Akron OVER the total
He didn't have a regular play on N. Illinois/Ball St. Must be a steam play and I will lay 2 - 1 that it is N. Illinois
Karol58
11-05-2008, 02:57 PM
Do not know if anyone is interested in this play because I am not aware of Kelso's record with basketball in the past. But he has a 25 unit play tonight
Utah Jazz -6 1/2 25 units
Feedback on Kelso's baskets would be appreciated.
chase88
11-05-2008, 02:59 PM
JEFFERSONSPORTS EARLY NBA
EARLY PLAY 1 unit (3-2 on 1 unit plays)
SAN ANTONIO UNDER 182
Ginobili makes this team go and with him out the only way they keep themselves from going 0-4 is defense and a slow post game with Duncan.
davepan927
11-05-2008, 03:04 PM
John Ryan
Toledo vs. Akron (NCAAF) - Nov 5, 2008 8:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: 6.5/-105 Toledo Pick Title: Toledoa
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toledo – AiS shows a 72% probability that Toledo will lose this game by 5 or fewer points. AiS also projects a 90% probability that Toledo will gain a MINIMUM of 200 yards passing. Note that Akron is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 39-9 ATS for 81% since 1997. Play against any team that is a good offensive team gaining 390 to 440 YPG and is now facing a poor offensive team gaining 280 to 330 YPG and after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Akron is in a very weak role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Conversely, Toledo in an exceptional role noting they are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Take Toledo.
davepan927
11-05-2008, 03:07 PM
Big Al's FREE Wednesday Night B-L-O-W-O-U-T Winner.
At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on San Antonio over Minnesota. The Spurs are an awful (for them) 0-3 to start the season, and I've talked often about how SuperManu Ginobili is one of the best, and most valuable players in the league -- right up there with Tim Duncan and Kobe Bryant. It's strange, though, that the oddsmakers don't recognize that, and don't lower San Antonio's power rating the appropriate amount when he's sidelined. That, more than anything else, explains the Spurs poor 4-16 ATS run without the Argentine superstar on the court. Indeed, San Antonio has been able to overcome injuries to Duncan or Tony Parker, but not Ginobili. However, I'm NOT going to go against the Spurs on Wednesday Night. They'll be taking on a very beatable team in the T-Wolves, and this game is a step down in class after playing Phoenix, Portland and Dallas to open the season. The Spurs actually only played one bad game -- the one last night -- and could've defeated Portland had Michael Finley's 8-foot sideline jumper found the bottom of the net. Look for San Antonio's championship mettle to be the difference tonight. Lay the small number with the Spurs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
hook'em25
11-05-2008, 03:20 PM
Burns Main Event- Toledo
arenafootball
11-05-2008, 03:30 PM
Vernon Croy's *25 Unit CFB MAC GAME OF THE YEAR**:
25 Units, Take Northern Illinois ATS, Grab the points and take the Huskies as my CFB MAC Game of the Year.
bigdaveyt
11-05-2008, 03:46 PM
Nick Bogdanovich
Small Northern Ill +9½
Small Sonics +9
Small Bulls +8½
pjoyce5893
11-05-2008, 04:09 PM
Yankee Capper
3* Toledo +6.5
2* Bobcats/Knicks O205
4* N. Ill/ Ball St
3* N. Ill/ Ball St.
5* Celtics/Thunder
5* Bulls/Cavs
3* Pistons/Raptors
fcf316
11-05-2008, 04:22 PM
Seabastian 100* Steam N ILL(+10) buy hook
jonesappraiser
11-05-2008, 04:22 PM
Scott Rickenbach
has a free play
GS warriors - 3
davepan927
11-05-2008, 04:23 PM
Nostradamus
Char/NY Over 203
Boston -8.5
Lakers -15
Columbus -110
Napito
11-05-2008, 04:25 PM
kìkì Sports Nba 3 Units N Orleans
ymmit2nd
11-05-2008, 04:27 PM
RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Portland Trailblazers /Utah Jazz Over 185 -115
Napito
11-05-2008, 04:27 PM
ATS Lock Club
3 Ball St. -9.5
4 N.O. -8
3 Phoenix -3
ATS Financial Package
3 Toledo +6.5
4 Cleveland -8
3 Detroit +3.5
Henryjames
11-05-2008, 04:43 PM
igz1 sports
Late add game
NBA
3* Over 206 (-110) Denver vs Golden state
THE CHICAGO CONNECTION
11-05-2008, 04:59 PM
CSC NBA ...Top 3
INDIANA +3.5 vs Phoenix...........7:05 EDT
The Suns shot 63% last night and should come back down to earth @Indiana tonight.
Pacers beat the Celtics by 16 in their last so they are capable of win and confidence is high.
UNDER189..Wash/Milw.............8:05 EDT
Arenas out for Wash and Redd doubtful for Bucks.
Skiles has Bucks playing defense this year.
UNDER 186..Port/Utah..............9:05 EDT
System play.
Large percentage of bettors playing OVER , but number dropping.
Playmaker Williams out for The Jizz.
sportsman362008
11-05-2008, 05:12 PM
ROOT
Chairman- Suns
Millionaire- TWolves
LAHOTPICKS
11-05-2008, 05:17 PM
MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK
BALL ST over No Illinois by 6
It’s easy to make fun of a team when they’re stuck in a down cycle but our
usual ‘Gonad’ jokes about Ball State are rapidly disappearing in favor of
outright astonishment. Brady Hoke’s boys from Muncie are as close to perfect
as you can get: 8-0 SU, 8-0 ITS and 6-1 ATS, with their lone ATS defeat coming
last time out versus Eastern Michigan. And with the price currently hovering
in single digits, we wouldn’t be surprised to see longer lines at BSU’s betting
window than what we’ve seen at the polls. However, as we’ve stated before,
undefeated teams feel the pressure ratchet up with every passing week and
can’t be trusted laying points late in the season. That notion is bolstered by
some great numbers favoring Northern Illinois in this matchup. The Huskies
have covered four of the last fi ve games on this fi eld, they’re 4-0 ATS away
off consecutive home games, they’re 5-1 ATS as weekday dogs and they’re
4-1-1 ATS lately when playing with conference revenge. But here’s what we
like best: NIU has held each of its last fi ve foes season to low – or 2nd low
– yardage. With the year Ball State QB Nate Davis is having, we wouldn’t
give the Huskies a look unless we thought they could match up defensively.
Don’t be surprised to see Jerry Kill and his Ball-busters drop the ‘Nads to 1-5
ATS playing with rest.
AKRON over Toledo by 4
Jeez, another MAC weekday game! We haven’t seen any ratings numbers
for this year’s telecasts but we wonder how ESPN can keep a straight face
when sending out invoices to game advertisers. Akron is currently stuck in a
MAC East logjam and needs a win here to keep pace with Buffalo, a feat the
Zips should manage against a Toledo team that’s come apart at the seams
in 2008. Even more troubling for Rocket fans is the recent announcement
that longtime head coach Tom Amstutz will be stepping down at season’s
end to become the school’s chief fund-raiser (what’s that all about?). Toledo
owns an uncharacteristic 0-4 SU record at home this year and has misfi red
in fi ve straight games after facing CMU. But one look at Akron’s current 0-3
SU record at home (and its 4-1 mark away) tells us why the visiting team has
cashed in six of eight Zips’ games this season. Your call.
LAHOTPICKS
11-05-2008, 05:18 PM
John Ryan
Toledo vs. Akron (NCAAF) - Nov 5, 2008 8:00 PM EST
Play: Point Spread: 6.5/-105 Toledo Pick Title: Toledoa
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Toledo – AiS shows a 72% probability that Toledo will lose this game by 5 or fewer points. AiS also projects a 90% probability that Toledo will gain a MINIMUM of 200 yards passing. Note that Akron is just 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 39-9 ATS for 81% since 1997. Play against any team that is a good offensive team gaining 390 to 440 YPG and is now facing a poor offensive team gaining 280 to 330 YPG and after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. Akron is in a very weak role noting they are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Conversely, Toledo in an exceptional role noting they are 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992. Take Toledo.
LAHOTPICKS
11-05-2008, 05:20 PM
M@linsky 4* Memphis Sac Under 193
kidman232
11-05-2008, 05:30 PM
Ben Lewis
5* Best Phoenix -3 at Indiana
Yes the Suns will be playing the second of a back-to-back, but Phoenix has looked impressive on the road and was so far ahead Tuesday in New Jersey that most of the starters got ample rest. The Pacers have been off since Saturday's huge win over Boston, but they have no answer for Amare Stoudemire and Shaq inside.
RIPPER17
11-05-2008, 05:36 PM
Burns Main Event- Toledo
Casino Killer
11-05-2008, 05:36 PM
BOB BALFE
College Football
Northern Illinois +9 over Ball State
Ball State is the most overrated 8-0 team in the history of College Football. They have a great QB, but had one of the softest schedules you could ever have. Northern Illinois on the other hand could be an 8-0 team as all of their losses have been close. This Northern Illinois defense has played solid all season, but in the last few weeks has taken it to a whole new level. This will be a great game between a good offense in Ball State and a good defense in Northern Illinois. Look for another tight game. This spread is too high.
Toledo/Akron Over 54.5
Toledo has a pretty bad offense as they give up over 30 points a game. Akron is right behind them and have looked pretty bad on defense the past few games. Toledo has struggled on offense at times, but tonight should be able to spread out and have their way against Akron. Its hard to predict a winner because both teams cannot be trusted on defense. There should be a ton of points in this game. Take the Over.
NBA Basketball
Pacers +3.5 over Suns
Thunder +9 over Celtics
kidman232
11-05-2008, 05:41 PM
ben burns is also on sacramento and oklahoma city tonight
grabmyankles4services
11-05-2008, 05:49 PM
PrimeTime Sports Advisors
25 units New York Knicks -4.5
I'm good for another month here....they were advertising this as a huge top play
Nickels And Dimes
11-05-2008, 06:02 PM
BRIAN KING GUARANTEED 100 DIME RELEASE..THANKS TO IAM4UK AS WELL
Ball State -9 8 p.m. EST
Watch out tonight for this ranked and revenge minded Ball State team led by Junior QB Nate Davis to silence the critics with a big win over MAC Rival Northern Illinois.
Northern Illinois has dominated this series between these two teams with the Huskies compiling a 7-2 SU mark against Ball State including a 40-28 win on the road in Muncie in 2006.
The Huskies have won three in a row overall and four straight at Ball State. But this is a much improved Ball State team versus a Huskies squad that was just 2-10 in 2007 and themselves have not yet been tested in the MAC. Ball State is allowing only 15.5 ppg 13th fewest in the nation and will be looking to slow a Huskies running game that comes in averaging 184.2 ypg. Ball State slowed the Navy running game in a big win back on September 5th and I think they have the tools to slow this Northern Illinois running game.
Look at Ball State on the offensive side of the ball and know that the one-two punch of Nate Davis and MiQuale Lewis will be to much for this Huskies defense. Davis has had the Huskies number putting up sick numbers (50-73 for 624 yards and six TD's with no picks) in two games against Northern Illinois.
Davis, a junior is already the school's leading passer and is completing 66.7% of his passes this year while ringing up 15 TD's against only 4 picks. Meanwhile Lewis is seventh in the nation averaging 123.6 ypg. Northern Illinois has lost 5 straight against Top 25 teams and is just 1-3 on the road this year. Tonight they come to Muncie bringing a knife to a gunfight. This Ball State team is too talented and out to prove they are for real. The four game home losing streak to the Huskies ends tonight in dramatic fashion with a double digit Ball State win.
Take Ball State minus the points to win this one convincingly tonight.
<SCRIPT src="http://www.google-analytics.com/urchin.js" type=text/javascript></SCRIPT><SCRIPT type=text/javascript>_uacct = "UA-4568342-1";urchinTracker();</SCRIPT>
kidman232
11-05-2008, 06:03 PM
Ryan "HUGE" Campbell
Ball State -9
1-0 since being posted on this site, but the guy is a great fade.
pjoyce5893
11-05-2008, 06:03 PM
This is confusing.....
Yankee Capper Premium Play <!-- ParagraphTitleEnd -->
<!-- ParagraphBodyStart -->Today's Total Ticket
Wednesday, November 5th
<TABLE width="100%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TD>Game
</TD><TD>Pick
</TD><TD>Result
</TD><TD>Units Won/Lost
</TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Northern Illinois vs. Ball St.
</TD><TD>4 Units - Click Here To Purchase (http://www.yankeecapper.com/premiumplays.htm)
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Northern Illinois vs. Ball St.
</TD><TD align=left>3 Units - Click Here To Purchase (http://www.yankeecapper.com/premiumplays.htm)</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Toledo vs. Akron
</TD><TD>3 Units - Toledo +6.5</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Wednesday NCAA Results:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Celtics vs. Thunder
</TD><TD align=left>5 Units - Click Here To Purchase (http://www.yankeecapper.com/premiumplays.htm)</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Bulls vs. Cavaliers </TD><TD>5 Units - Click Here To Purchase (http://www.yankeecapper.com/premiumplays.htm)</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Pistons vs. Raptors
</TD><TD>3 Units - Click Here To Purchase (http://www.yankeecapper.com/premiumplays.htm) </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Bobcats vs. Knicks
</TD><TD>2 Units - Over 205</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Wednesday NBA Results:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD>Blues vs. Ducks
</TD><TD>5 Units - Click Here To Purchase (http://www.yankeecapper.com/premiumplays.htm)</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Wednesday NHL Results:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR><TR><TD> </TD><TD align=right>Overall Results For Wednesday:
</TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD><TD> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<!-- ParagraphBodyEnd -->
Joe Bases
11-05-2008, 06:04 PM
***FREE PLAY***
Game: Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 193 -110
<!--p-->It is the battle of LA, round two, as these teams met just a short week ago with the Lakers blowing out the Clippers 117-79. The Clippers put up a pathetic offensive performance connecting on just 38% from the field,and a dreadful 5-22 for 22.7% from beyond the arc, yet this game still would of surpassed the total set here. The Clippers have played over in 9 of their last 12 after scoring 75 or less in their previous game and 11-4 to the over after a double-digit loss. I like the Clippers to step it up here offensively and this one goes OVER.
Green17
11-05-2008, 06:15 PM
Indian Cowboy POD
Sacramento UNDER 193
EagleFan
11-05-2008, 06:18 PM
Indian Cowboy POD
Sacramento UNDER 193
Eagle8
11-05-2008, 06:20 PM
Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, November 05, 2008
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LATE BREAKING COLLEGE FOOTBALL STEAM WINNER
106 Akron -6.5 8:00 EST
Bollie
11-05-2008, 06:24 PM
Public betting percentage.
CFB
Date # Team Open Spread ML Total Bet# Spread% ML% Total% Exotics%
11/05/08 103 N. Illinois 46½ +9-110 +285 o46.5-110 18908 52% 68% 54% 42%
8:00PM 104 Ball St. 9 -9-110 -355 u46.5-110 48% 32% 46% 58%
11/05/08 105 Toledo 55 +6.5-110 +200 o54.5-110 11154 34% 32% 79% 40%
8:00PM 106 Akron 5 -6.5-110 -250 u54.5-110 66% 68% 21% 60%
youcrazy
11-05-2008, 06:25 PM
Just a few plays in NBA tonight...
2.5* Raptors -4
2.5 T'wolves +4.5
1* T'Wolves ML +168
2.5* Kings -3
GL!
YC
EagleFan
11-05-2008, 06:25 PM
ROOT
Chairman- Suns
Millionaire- TWolves
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:26 PM
TheProSource
Phoenix - 3 to - 4
Phx 39-15 as a rd fav of 6 or less, 16-6 in Nov road games,35-14 away when ttl is 200 to 205Pacers have trouble restarting, 0-6 L3ys with 3(+) days restIndy may be a bit flatter than usual off a big upset homewin vs Boston and with a Div game on deck vs Cle.Last season, the Suns swept their first 4 teams in theirearly east coast swing -NJ-Ind-Chic-Mil.Very short price to pay vs the retooled Pacers with their2 forwards banged up. We give props to Granger who hadhis front teeth knocked out vs Boston but kept playing.remember, there is no Jermaine O'neal here anymore, andIndy's other forward Dunleavy will miss this. The Sunsbig men should have another good nite .
Cleveland -7 to - 8 ** TOP Play
**Cavs playing with triple revenge tonite. The Bulls weredown by dble digits at Orlando in the 4th, but climbedback in only to see their effort fall short at the buzzer.Chicago is a young team and it will be hard to puttogether 2 strong road games in a row. Especiallywhen they have a 5 game homestand coming up.Chic 6-12 off a rd cover where the team lost SU as a dogCle 9-1 at home revenging BB losses where opp scored 100+- 19 -6 H vs DivPlay Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 - vs. division,off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as anunderdog 72% last 6 yrs
<!-- / message -->
seelfin22
11-05-2008, 06:27 PM
Dontcallmejerom full football card paid and confirmed
toledo +7
n. illinois +9.5
MoRich300
11-05-2008, 06:27 PM
He Also posts at the sharpplaysforum..
His Comp Tonight His
7* Clippers/Lakers Under 194
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:29 PM
Robert Ferringo
Take #103 Northern Illinois (+9.5) over Ball State (8 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 5)
IAM4UK
11-05-2008, 06:30 PM
FADE ALERT
Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, November 05, 2008
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6000* NBA BLOWOUT WINNER
517 Washington -1 8:05 EST
IAM4UK
11-05-2008, 06:31 PM
FADE ALERT
Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, November 05, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: It happens once a year! My 6000* MAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR! I WILL WIN THIS GAME! You can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and you are FULLY GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charded! Since September 27th I am 49-26 with all my guaranteed selections on this web site as it does not get much HOTTER than that!!! 11/5/2008
6000* MAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
105 Toledo +6.5 8:00 EST
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:33 PM
VEGAS RUNNER
Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet
104 Ball St. -9.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 103 N. Illinois
Analysis: * 1* NCAAFB WAGER * (Subscriber's All-Access Bet)
Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Triple-Dime Bet
104 Ball St. (-130) Bodog vs 103 N. Illinois
Analysis:
*** NCAAFB 3* "PRIME-TIME" BEST BET of the WEEK *** (TEASER BET)
BALL ST -2 & TOLEDO +14...(3*)...Teaser...
Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Double-Dime Bet
106 Akron / 105 Toledo Under 55.0 Bodog
Analysis:
*** 2* NCAAFB "PRIME-TIME" TOTAL PLAY of the DAY ***
Wed, 11/05/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
105 Toledo 7.5 (-120) Bodog vs 106 Akron
Analysis:
** 2* NCAAFB WAGER **
(BUY the 1/2 to +7.5)
<!-- / message -->
chase88
11-05-2008, 06:33 PM
JEFFERSONSPORTS ADDING
INDIANA+3.5 1 unit
more in a hour
PayMeMyMoney7
11-05-2008, 06:34 PM
I will try and post these guys until the 9th when my membership is up. If someone wants to split with at that time PM me. 36-14 Last 3 Weeks
20D No. Illinois +10 (-120)
20D Akron -6 (-110)
20D Portland +7 (-110)
20D Kings -3 (-110)
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:34 PM
Andre Gomes
Indiana Pacers over
Sacramento Kings
New York Knicks
Portland TrailBlazers
<!-- / message -->
denny crane
11-05-2008, 06:34 PM
any spotsmemo plays in baskets alatex 20 unit N Ill.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:36 PM
Executive 200 toledo
<!-- / message -->
uscmd
11-05-2008, 06:37 PM
anyone got indian cowboy?
IC pod Sac v Mem un 193.5
Seabass 100* buy NIU to +10
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:43 PM
Donn Wagner Basketball
4 Star Denver Over
4 Star San Antonio under
4 Star Clippers
4 Star Sacramento
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:46 PM
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Northcoast
Marquee Toledo +7
Opinion Northern ILL +10
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
youcrazy
11-05-2008, 06:46 PM
wow very sharp plays youcrazy
:103631605
Thanks. I didn't take your advice on that ML last night. Won't make that mistake again.
You dumbass!!!!!!!!!!!!! Just kidding bigdave! Usually when the line is low like that (4.5) the team that wins also covers 80% of the time so always throw a little on the ML.
GL brother!
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:46 PM
@ntonWins
3 units Minnesota +5
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:47 PM
Erin Rynning
Playmaker Bucks
CandC98
11-05-2008, 06:47 PM
Wednesday NBA Opinion
L.A. Clippers (+13 1/2) over L.A. LAKERS
The Clippers apply to a very good 59-16-1 ATS big underdog situation that's been very good to me in recent years, but my ratings favor the Lakers by 15 points, which is where the line opened, but the line has dropped to 13 1/2 and the negative line value takes away some of the value from the great situation. I'll lean with the Clippers at +13 points or more.
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:48 PM
Tom Freese
10* Cleveland
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:49 PM
Paul Leiner
basketball
200* Over 201.5 Phx/Ind
football
50* Akron -6
<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:49 PM
Brass Balls
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Premium Sac. Kings
<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:50 PM
Pure Lock
5 units Memphis
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:52 PM
Larry Ness' 20* MAC Game of the Year (4-0 run with MAC games!)
My 20* play is on Akron at 8:00 ET. MAC Game of the Year 20* Akron.
<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:53 PM
EAST COAST SPORTS CONSULTANTS
WILLIE "D"
NBA Elite SAN ANTONIO/MINNESOTA UNDER
CFB Blue Chip BALL ST.
RANDY MITCHEL
CFB Platinum AKRON
NBA Diamond INDIANA
<!-- / message -->
BETYOURASS
11-05-2008, 06:53 PM
Wednesday NBA Opinion
L.A. Clippers (+13 1/2) over L.A. LAKERS
The Clippers apply to a very good 59-16-1 ATS big underdog situation that's been very good to me in recent years, but my ratings favor the Lakers by 15 points, which is where the line opened, but the line has dropped to 13 1/2 and the negative line value takes away some of the value from the great situation. I'll lean with the Clippers at +13 points or more.
Washington (pk) 2-Stars at -1 or better.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p> </o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
2 Star Selection
**Washington (pk) over MILWAUKEE
05:05 PM Pacific - Rotation 517
Washington has started the season 0-2 thanks to poor 3-point shooting (9 for
34) and lackadaisical defense (50% FG allowed). Washington isn't likely to continue shooting 26.5% from long range and two losses to start the season should encourage more effort on the defensive side of the floor. The Wizards weren't a good defensive team last season either, but last year's level of defense (48.9% allowed on 2-point field goals and 38.6% on 3-pointers) would account for nearly 5 points per game difference while having everyone shoot 3-pointers at their career average would account for another 4 points per game improvement. Washington has been out-scored by 9 points per game by New Jersey and Detroit (about an average schedule strength) and playing at their expected level would add 9 points per game, which would put Washington at around average - which is about where I have them rated. The Bucks are 2-2 and playing better defense this season, but Milwaukee's two wins have come against bad teams Oklahoma City and New York while they've lose to decent teams Chicago and Toronto. My ratings actually favor Milwaukee by a point in this game, but Washington applies to a very strong 55-15-3 ATS early season bounce-back indicator, which is the reason for the play. I was hoping for more line value, but the line on this game has moved from the opening number of +1 ½ points, so I'll only play the Wizards for 2-Stars. I'll take Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at -1 or better
<o:p> </o:p>
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:55 PM
Power Play Wins
68% Football 80% Basketball
Power Play of the Day:
CFB Northern Illinois +10
<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:55 PM
East Coast Sports Consultants
"legs" Diamond
$500 Guaranteed Play Northern Illinois
<!-- / message -->
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:55 PM
Iceman Hockey
4* Columbus Blue Jackets
Can'tPickaWinner
11-05-2008, 06:58 PM
Tjune
N Ill
<!-- / message -->
youcrazy
11-05-2008, 06:59 PM
Adding 1 more NBA....
2.5* Wizards ML -113
GL!
The Unit
11-05-2008, 07:00 PM
Thank you for your purchase.
The information you paid for is below:
Youngstown Connection
Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:
We are 43-19 overall in all sports.
Frozen Ice
Tampa Bay +110 *7:05PM EST
Can someone get their other 2 going at 8pm tonight. sportsbetadvisors is the site. Thanks
Lionman
11-05-2008, 07:02 PM
KB
NHL - 4* Edmonton
NCAAF - 3* N. Illinois
NBA - 4* Portland
enjoy:103631605
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