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  1. #1
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    NFL Fantasy Football News 2009-2010



    Cadillac driving once again?

    About two weeks ago, Bucs coach Raheem Morris sent ripples through the fantasy world by announcing a 2-2-1 plan for his running backs. We detailed it here, but it's basically a value-draining system for his backfield. (The Giants did something like this last season, but at least Tom Coughlin didn't punch us in the stomach by coming out and saying it.)

    Yesterday, Morris was at it again as he listed Cadillac "Frankenstein knees" Williams first on his depth chart at running back. Yes, that's the same Carnell Williams that came back from a vicious knee injury for six games last year only to rip up his other knee in Week 17. Oh, and in between Morris managed to find time to can his offensive coordinator, Jeff Jagodzinski.

    First of all, if you drafted Derrick Ward, you have my condolences. But it's not all bad. I'm not yet convinced that Williams is truly the No. 1. As of Monday night, Morris hasn't commented on the decision to list Williams first. But I'm guessing it has a lot to do with how much Caddy is respected in the locker room. Wouldn't you want to go run through a wall after seeing what Cadillac did to get back on the field twice? It should, at the very least, give the team an emotional boost on Sunday, something Morris knows.

    Second of all, Ward left the Giants to get paid ($17 million over four years). But he also left at least partly because he wanted a chance to be "the man." It's ironic now that he's listed as a backup once again. I doubt he's happy about it, but whining publicly would only make him the most heartless man in the NFL, and that's no easy feat. I think Morris is going to make sure Ward stays happy privately also.

    And finally, I'm fairly certain Ward is still the team's best back. Williams played in one preseason game, carrying the ball eight times for 54 yards but not looking quite as explosive as he did as a rookie. Even in those six games last year, before the Week 17 injury, he averaged just 3.7 yards per carry. And to say Caddy is injury prone is like saying Pacman Jones likes strip clubs. We know. So come back from the ledge if you drafted Ward and wait this thing out.

    For what it's worth (and it's not worth very much), here are the three's preseason stats:

    Carnell Williams: 8 carries for 54 yards
    Derrick Ward: 13 carries for 52 yards
    Earnest Graham: 9 carries for 40 yards

    Bottom line: Add Williams in all leagues where he's available because you don't find starting backs on waivers often. Bench Williams, Ward and Earnest Graham for this week against Dallas. Wait and see if Morris sticks to his 2-2-1 plan. My gut says that like any coach, he'll give the most carries to whoever is playing the best. At the end of the day, I think that man will be Ward, which would give him decent RB3 status somewhere down the line.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 1, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #2
    The Lions finally ended their quarterback derby, announcing that rookie Matthew Stafford will start in Week 1. From a pure football standpoint, I always think that if you're going to be terrible anyway, why not let your rookie quarterback get in there and go down with the ship.

    But from a fantasy standpoint, I'll never own a rookie quarterback. Yeah, I know about Matt Ryan's season a year ago and Ben Roethlisberger in 2004. But just about every other rookie QB over the last 10 years has been a complete non-factor in fantasy.

    Perhaps more importantly, it seems Calvin Johnson is better off with Stafford than Daunte Culpepper. Stafford and Megatron have good chemistry already and the rookie can get the ball deep down the field in a hurry.

    RELATED TRIVIA QUESTION: Before Matt Ryan did it a year ago, name the last rookie quarterback to throw for 3,000 yards? (answer below)

    NEWS OF THE DAY #3
    Jamal Lewis wasn't released this weekend. This may seem obvious, but there were rumors the Browns would cut their losses on the former 2,000 yard back. Even though he's still on the team, we think it will be the James Davis show before too long. Read Evan Silva's full breakdown on the situation here.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #4
    Pierre Thomas (knee) isn't looking like he'll be able to go on Sunday. That's a tough break for his owners considering the matchup against the Lions at home was going to be one of the best all year. Mike Bell is shaping up to be a very, very nice start for Week 1.

    RELATED TRIVIA ANSWER: Peyton Manning, 1998. Manning threw for 3,739 yards that year, but was picked off 28 times.

    STREAMING SPOT STARTS
    Changing your defense and kicker every week based on matchups is an effective strategy.
    Each week in this space, I'll be giving three defenses and kickers to consider that are probably on your waiver wire:

    Defense
    1. Saints – It's not going to get much easier than a home game against the Lions. If Matthew Stafford doesn't throw two interceptions, it's a bad beat for the Saints.

    2. Bengals – Few teams have worse vibes heading into the season than the Broncos, who travel to Cincinnati Sunday. Kyle Orton has enough problems without having to play with stitches in his right (throwing) index finger.

    3. Texans – Dunta Robinson says he's ready to play, which is good. But taking advantage of Mark Sanchez's first start is the angle here.

    Kicker
    1. John Carney – Even at age 45, he's getting a look while Garrett Hartley is suspended. At the very least he'll get five extra points against the Lions.
    2. Josh Brown – In the two games against the Seahawks last season, Brown didn't miss on his way to 15 total points. He also obviously knows how to kick in Seattle, having played there for five seasons.
    3. Neil Rackers – His inconsistency from week to week always makes for a risky play, but you might as well use him while Kurt Warner is healthy.

    QUICK SLANTS
    It's just my gut, but I think Greg Camarillo is going to emerge as the Dolphins' most valuable fantasy wideout. ... Greg Jennings (concussion) is all set for Sunday night and will be facing a banged up Bears secondary. … The Panthers keep saying Jonathan Stewart is fine, but I'm not buying it. Something feels wrong about practicing eight times in an entire offseason program. … Brandon Marshall's suspension was lifted and he practiced with the team Sunday. Check back later in the week to see if he should be in your lineup against the Bengals. ... Nate Washington is recovering faster than expected, but he's unlikely to go on Thursday. … Matt Cassel is reportedly 50/50 to face the Ravens on Sunday. He's probably better off sitting it out considering the state of his offensive line. … Willie Parker's value has gotten a nice boost in the last few days. First, Mike Tomlin said he doesn't plan on rotating his backs too much. Then, Bruce Arians basically said Parker will get goal-line carries

  2. #2
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    More Bell-Cow!

    Labor Day 2008's last-minute gems brought us an instant waiver wire star in Kurt Warner and several breakout performers such as Eddie Royal, Pierre Thomas, and Steve Slaton. This year's "Waiver Wired" debut features a possible Week 1 bell-cow in New Orleans, a pair of wildcard stashes under center, several candidates to step in as immediate assets at receiver, and a handful of underrated tight ends.

    ***

    This is the first Waiver Wired of the season, so let's review the rules:

    Every Tuesday, I'll go over the best available pickups at every fantasy position except kicker. Every league setup is different, so I'll try to include players who may be available in shallow leagues, and lesser-known players that are worth trying in deep leagues. I give a recommendation for each player, such as "Should be owned in 12-team leagues." This doesn't mean you should own him, just that he's good enough to improve one of the rosters in your league. If I write, "Must be owned," or "Should be owned in all leagues," I'm recommending doing what you can to find a spot.

    Most of my leagues have moved to sites which allow owners to place interesting free agents on a "watch list" for future consideration. As such, each week I will throw in a few names that should be placed on watch lists for easy access when a quick decision is needed.

    On to the players.

    ***

    QUARTERBACKS

    Shaun Hill, 49ers – Hill has an attractive Week 1 matchup against Arizona in what promises to be a high-scoring contest. Also on the docket in the first half of the season are the Seahawks, Rams, Texans and Colts. For all the talk of Hill competing against a tougher schedule this year, that's hardly a murderer's row. After finishing in the Top-10 in points per game last season, Hill deserves to be rostered in more than 47 percent of all leagues.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Matthew Stafford, Lions – Mark Sanchez had better preseason numbers and enjoys the protection a fine offensive line, so why Stafford instead? The Lions defense, while greatly improved, is still among the worst in the NFL, which means Stafford is going to be padding his stats in comeback attempts on a regular basis. His biggest edge, however, comes in the form of the most explosive receiver in the game, Calvin Johnson. Stafford's arm isn't just first-round caliber -- it's in the rare air with Jay Cutler and the younger version of Brett Favre. With an uncoverable Johnson streaking down the sidelines, look for a lot of drives like the opening set against the Bills last week. Stafford will make plenty of rookie mistakes, but he'll also move the offense aggressively down the field and into scoring territory.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Matt Leinart, Cardinals – We covered this one in a late-round fliers article last week. Why draft a mediocre QB2 who will never get off your bench when you could be stashing a potential asset? If the 38-year-old Kurt Warner -- still recovering from hip surgery -- misses time, Leinart immediately becomes a weekly difference-maker.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Chad Pennington, Dolphins – The Dolphins have a much tougher schedule this season, but Week 2 at home against a banged up Colts secondary and Week 3 at San Diego offer promise. Pennington finished last year as a high-end QB2, but he remains unowned in 45 percent of all fantasy leagues. You could do worse for a bye-week fill-in.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Kerry Collins, Titans – It will be interesting to see how the Titans, a team that yearns to take the air out of the ball, cope with the loss of Albert Haynesworth. They won't be able control tempo without the most disruptive defensive lineman in the game, so look for Mike Heimerdinger to open the offense more than expected. Collins has a tough Week 1 matchup against the Steelers, but his schedule loosens up starting the following week against the Texans.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deep leagues

    Watch List - Byron Leftwich, Mark Sanchez, Brady Quinn, Chris Simms



    RUNNING BACKS

    Mike Bell, Saints – Starter Pierre Thomas (MCL sprain) is still walking with a noticeable limp, and his chances of playing in the opener are looking bleaker by the day. P.T. owners don't have to look far for a potential lead back. Thomas' backup could be carrying a heavy workload in a juicy matchup against the Lions in Week 1, yet Bell is owned in less than 10 percent of all leagues. Reggie Bush, struggling through swelling in his knee and a preseason calf injury, will play at less than 100 percent, which means leaves plenty of touches and short-yardage opportunities for Bell. The Saints' No. 3 back makes for a fine RB2/flex play against Detroit barring a miraculous late-week recovery by Thomas.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    James Davis, Browns – Sure, the Browns kept Jamal Lewis on the final roster, but it's not like they found a magic elixir to take him back to 2003. This offense is going to struggle early and often, with Lewis coming under fire as he flirts with 3.0 YPC. Last year's "We want Brady" chants will morph into this year's "We want Davis" pleas as fans wonder why a rookie back boasting 7.8 YPC in preseason action is being wasted behind an aging plodder. Expect Davis to eat into Lewis' production in September before taking the reins in October.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Glen Coffee, 49ers – Frank Gore owners should move him to the top of the list. After Coffee's preseason coming-out party, he's officially a must handcuff for a back who gets banged up as much as Gore does. Even non-Gore owners would do well to snag Coffee as an end of the roster stash. How many backups have the potential for RB1 production if the starter goes down? If it helps, think of Coffee as a West coast version of Chester Taylor.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Cadillac Williams, Buccaneers – For all that he's been through the past few seasons, every one of us should be pulling for Caddy. That's why it stings a bit to be the one throwing cold water on his late preseason hype. While he's worth a roster spot in many leagues, Cadillac's ceiling is capped by the "2-2-1" running back rotation and his own injury history. The Bucs didn't sign Derrick Ward to waste away on the bench, and they're certainly not going to ride Caddy until his wheels fall off once again. Pick him up, sure, but reel in expectations.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Michael Bush, Raiders – Listed by the Oakland coaches as one of seven playmakers on the roster, Bush is a lottery ticket that can be cashed in for megabucks if Darren McFadden goes down. The 27/177/2 line from his Week 17 start against the Bucs is a useful reminder of his monster upside.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deeper leagues

    Watch List - Shonn Greene, Edgerrin James, Ladell Betts, Bernard Scott, Rashad Jennings

    WIDE RECEIVERS

    Josh Morgan, 49ers – Owned in just 49 percent of all CBSSports.com leagues, Morgan fits squarely between bigger-named veterans Laveranues Coles and Derrick Mason in our projections. The second-year playmaker is the odds-on favorite to lead the 49ers in receiving as an exciting, high-ceiling WR4. A starting receiver with Morgan's explosiveness, speed and physicality should top the priority list for any league where he remains available.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Justin Gage, Titans – Among players being drafted as late-round fliers, Gage may have the best chance of producing WR3 numbers from Week 1 on. Still owned in just half of all leagues, the Titans No. 1 receiver averaged six receptions for 105 yards in three games to close out last season. During offseason and exhibition action, he has continued to emerge as Kerry Collins' favorite target. We have Gage ranked among the Top-40 receivers going into the season.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Earl Bennett, Bears – Somebody has to catch passes at wide receiver in this offense, and the cupboard is practically bare behind Bennett and deep threat Devin Hester. Jay Cutler's former Vanderbilt teammate has been the recipient of high praise from coaches and beat writers all offseason, so it's time to put up or shut up. Here's your chance, kid.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deep leagues

    Laurent Robinson, Rams – After a 2008 season lost to an assortment of injuries, Robinson is once again flashing the promise shown late in his rookie season. The former third-rounder has the size and the 4.3 speed to flourish opposite Donnie Avery.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deep leagues

    Chaz Schilens, Raiders – Stash! Schilens had emerged as the only Raiders receiver worth drafting in training camp, but a broken fifth metatarsal in his foot landed him on quite a few "do not draft" lists. He's aiming for a Week 2 return, which makes Schilens a better use of a roster spot than your typical late-round flotsam and jetsam. If he's unavailable, the Jags' Mike Sims-Walker is a nice substitute stash.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deep leagues

    Davone Bess, Dolphins – Brian Hartline's preseason hype is beginning to fade, and Greg Camarillo is clearly not 100 percent recovered from ACL surgery. Bess is listed as the current starter, but Camarillo ran with the ones in Monday's practice. My hunch is that Bess opens the season opposite Ted Ginn. Regardless of whether he starts or not, Bess is worthy of a roster spot in PPR leagues.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deep leagues and PPR leagues

    Nate Washington, Titans – This is just a reminder that Washington is unowned in 40 percent of all leagues, and he'll likely return from his hamstring injury in Week 2. If you have the roster space, he makes for a fine stash. Washington could be worth consideration as a fantasy starter in October.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Watch List - Mike Sims-Walker, Troy Williamson, Kenny Britt, Nate Burleson, Deon Butler



    TIGHT ENDS

    Brent Celek, Eagles – I've done my best to hype Celek since the offseason began, but he's still owned in just half of all leagues. Are you looking for consistency? L.J. Smith is out of the picture, hot-shot rookie Cornelius Ingram is out for the season, and No. 2 receiver Kevin Curtis is gimpy. Celek will be a favorite target of Donovan McNabb early and often. Are you looking for upside? In a Week 8 spot-start for Smith last season, Celek reeled in six catches for an Eagles record 131 yards. In the NFC championship game he caught 10 passes for 83 yards and two touchdowns. If you want TE1 production at the low, low cost of a waiver pickup, grab Celek.

    Recommendation: Should be owned 12-team leagues

    Vernon Davis, 49ers – With the exit of Mike Martz comes Jimmy Raye's tight-end friendly system and constant Rotoworld reminders to put last season's stats out of your mind. Davis, still unowned in over half of all leagues, is primed for a career year and has an outside chance to lead the 49ers in receptions. The early-season absences of Michael Crabtree and Brandon Jones will only lead to more looks for the tight end. Expect borderline TE1 production out of Davis this year.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Anthony Fasano, Dolphins – Fasano was an inconsistent, low-end TE2 for much of last season while splitting production with David Martin. The two combined for 65 receptions, 904 yards, and 10 touchdowns. With Martin out of the picture, Fasano will add more receptions and yardage while remaining a red zone threat. A season total of 45/600/8 is easily within reach.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Tony Scheffler, Broncos – We've recommended staying away from Schefter at his current ADP due to his uncertain role in Josh McDaniels' offense. The truth is nobody knows just how involved Scheffler will be. There have been enough reports about McDaniels' plans to feature him that he's worth the price of a waiver pickup. Schefter is too talented to be pushed aside, and the Broncos have too many question marks at wide receiver right now. He's a TE2 with TE1 upside.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Jermichael Finley, Packers – This offense is firing on all cylinders, and Finley has emerged as a major weapon. While his upside is limited by the presence of Donald Lee, Finley is kind of promising young talent that smart owners stash in hopes of an early-season breakout.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deep leagues

    Watch List - Martellus Bennett, Todd Heap, Randy McMichael, Chris Baker

    DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

    Bengals - Their impressive finish down the stretch last season has been well documented. To that unit they've added last year's first-rounder Keith Rivers, veterans Tank Johnson and Roy Williams, plus rookies Rey Maualuga and Michael Johnson. Better still, they get to face Kyle Orton's mangled finger in Week 1. Orton has been throwing interceptions at an alarming rate this preseason, and the finger injury only makes his life more difficult.

    Recommendation: Worth picking up as a matchup play

    Seahawks - Another team facing a quarterback with an injury to his throwing hand, the Seahawks get Marc Bulger and the Rams this week. The return of Patrick Kerney and the additions of Aaron Curry and Cory Redding will bolster the pass rush. Opening in the always-imposing Qwest Field, the Seahawks are a nice Week 1 matchup play.

    Recommendation: Worth picking up as a matchup play

    Saints - Greg Williams' new defense has been impressive in preseason action, and they open against a rookie quarterback making his first start. Though Matthew Stafford has played better than his numbers indicate, he did turn the ball over far too easily.

    Recommendation: Worth picking up as a matchup play

  3. #3
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    Splitting hairs in Dallas?


    According to the Dallas Morning News, Cowboys coach Wade Phillips expects the "heavy lifting evenly split in the backfield between Marion Barber and Felix Jones." The problem is those are beat writer Eddie Sefko's words, not the head coach's. The Morning News quotes Phillips as saying only: "Hopefully we'll get a lot of carries with him [Jones] and Marion. I wouldn't be surprised if they were back there together some." Now that's not quite the same sentiment, is it?

    I went dumpster diving all over the internet looking for a full quote from Phillips on the matter, but an extensive search through the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, San Antonio Express-News, Cowboys official team site, and several blogs turned up nothing.

    There's no question that the Cowboys have big plans for a "Felix Package" of runs, passes and changes to base packages to highlight Jones' talent in space. We're not ready, however, to dramatically change projections in the Dallas backfield until we see that golden quote from Phillips himself signaling an "even split." While I've soured on Barber in Dynasty leagues, his 2009 value should survive intact as long as he stays healthy.

    Brandon Marshall isn't speaking to the media, so getting a good read on his current mental state remains a challenge. According to coach Josh McDaniels, Marshall's attitude since his return from suspension has been "great." Considering the bar set by Marshall this summer, that could simply mean that he hasn't malingered, sabotaged practice, or staged a public fuss about the team.

    On a positive note, though, McDaniels did say that Marshall "absolutely" could make a significant contribution in Week 1 against the Bengals. "Look, he's a good football player," McDaniels added. "If he's ready to go and we go through this week of practice and feel that's the direction we want to play on Sunday, certainly we all know what he can do as a football player."

    When I represented Rotoworld in the "Buffalo Wild Wings Fantasy Football All-Star Bloggers League" Tuesday night, Marshall went off the board in Round 5 as the 21st receiver selected. I considered him a round earlier as my WR2, and I'm sure several others also came close to pulling the trigger before ultimately passing. McDaniels' positive outlook on Marshall's expected role should help the disgruntled receiver regain some value in last-minute drafts.

    The NFL revealed Tuesday that the players involved in the StarCaps case would be eligible to play in Week 1. The Vikings' Williams Wall will key the defensive attack against the Browns on Sunday, which means Jamal Lewis and James Davis should stay on fantasy benches. Defensive ends Will Smith and Charles Grant will remain in the lineup against rookie Matthew Stafford and the Lions, making the Saints D/ST an attractive matchup option this week.

    Flying well under the radar, Kevin Walter hasn't practiced since injuring his hamstring in the third preseason game and is "uncertain" to play Sunday. There's not much separating the mid-round WR3 candidates, so last-minute drafters will want to keep Walter's injury in mind when considering other options such as Santana Moss, Hines Ward, Jerricho Cotchery, and Donnie Avery.

    Two-Minute Drill: The Jets and Chiefs chatted about a deal for Dwayne Bowe, but talks went nowhere and are now considered "100 percent dead." … There is reportedly a "sense" among Browns players that Brady Quinn will be the starting QB on Sunday. … Dolphins coach Tony Sparano suggested he will use a rotation at No. 2 receiver, most likely between Davone Bess and Greg Camarillo. … Limas Sweed and rookie Mike Wallace are expected to split the Steelers No. 3 receiver role depending on game situation. … Eagles signed free agent TE Alex Smith, improving the depth behind Brent Celek. … Omar Gaither has beaten out Joe Mays for the Eagles' MLB job, putting him in a good position for IDP stats. Rookie Macho Harris has surprisingly won the starting free safety job over Quintin Demps and Sean Jones. … Chansi Stuckey has officially won the Jets No. 2 job, but he's better left undrafted. … Rookie Sammie Stroughter has locked up the Bucs' No. 3 receiver job. … Anthony Fasano is expected to see an increased role in the Dolphins passing attack with David Martin out of the picture. … The Bills released starting left tackle Langston Walker six days before the opener and replaced him with 2008 seventh-rounder Demetrius Bell. … Rex Grossman has leapfrogged Dan Orlovsky for the Texans' No. 2 QB job.

    Red Zone: Kyle Orton practiced with a glove Tuesday and threw without issue. Coach Josh McDaniels stopped short of declaring him healthy for Sunday, but all signs point to Orton starting. … Knowshon Moreno (MCL sprain) pronounced himself ready for the season opener, though we expect him to split carries with Correll Buckhalter and Peyton Hillis this week. … NFL.com's Jason La Canfora believes Matt Cassel will start the season opener at Baltimore, which means he should be riding the pine for fantasy leaguers this week. … Matt Shaub (ankle) returned to practice Tuesday and should be ready for the Jets on Sunday. ... The Titans are still holding out hope that Nate Washington (hamstring) will play against his former team Thursday, but he's not over the hump quite yet. Look for a game-time decision. … Justin Fargas (hamstring) is still not practicing and has almost certainly fallen behind both Darren McFadden and Michael Bush. … Steelers ILB Lawrence Timmons (ankle) is aiming for a Week 2 debut. … Shayne Graham (groin) will kick for the Bengals in Week 1, but he's on a "kick count." … Jason Hanson attempted field goals for the first time since mid-August knee surgery, but the Lions won't make a decision on his status until later in the week. Pass.

  4. #4
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    The Iceman Cometh? Fred Taylor heats up when temperature drops



    Our stat-crunching buddies from the Sports Data Hub have dug up a fascinating tidbit on Fred Taylor, check it out:
    We all know that Bill Belichick loves to employ a running back by committee, but that doesn't mean that you can't use one of those backs as a spot-starter or bye-week replacement. Last year, Patriot running backs combined for nine games with at least 15 fantasy points using a standard scoring system, so they can be useful.

    Fred Taylor's stats indicate that he might become a much more attractive option for the Patriots and for his fantasy owners in November and December, when the weather is cold in Foxboro. For his career in Jacksonville, Taylor averaged 108.9 yards/game when the temperature was below 40 degrees and averaged 75.1 yards/game when the temperature was above 40 degrees. His yards per carry also increased in cold weather as he averaged nearly a yard more per carry in games in cold weather (5.3) than games in warm weather (4.5).

    Maybe this warm blooded Florida running back really enjoys the cold weather and we just didn't get a chance to see it in Florida….or perhaps all the time spent in the training room ice bath helped him learn to appreciate the cold. There is no doubt that Taylor has been a risky fantasy pick throughout his career due to his injuries and isn't getting any younger. Splitting carries for the last few years in Jacksonville, however, has helped Taylor reduce games missed due to injury and stay on the field. The New England running back-by-committee approach will help Taylor avoid injury. The Patriots schedule is favorable this year, with cold weather games in Weeks 14, 15, and 16, which line up well with the fantasy playoff season and the natural Patriot tendency to rack up more rushing yards near the end of the season.

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    Rookies rarely delight in Week 1


    Got high hopes for Knowshon Moreno, Beanie Wells, Darrius Heyward-Bey or any other highly-touted rookie for Week 1? One thing to keep in mind, the success of Matt Forte, Eddie Royal and DeSean Jackson in their 2008 debuts was way out of the norm. As Pro-Football-Reference points out, only five rookie running backs in the last 10 years have topped 100 yards in the opener
    Rushing
    PlayerYearOppResultAttYdsTD
    Matt Forte, Chi.

    2008INDW 29-13231231
    Adrian Peterson, Min.

    2007

    ATLW 24-3191030
    Cadillac Williams, T.B.

    2005MINW 24-13271481
    LaDainian Tomlinson, S.D.

    2001WASW 30-3361132
    Edgerrin James, Ind.

    1999BUFW 31-14261121

    Receivers have had it much harder as only five newbies have hit the century mark in the last 25 years.
    Receiving
    PlayerYearOppResultRecYdsTD
    Eddie Royal, Den

    2008OAKW 41-1491461
    DeSean Jackson, Phi

    2008STLW 38-361060
    Anquan Boldin, Ari.

    2003DETL 24-42102172
    Bobby L. Johnson, NYG

    1984PHIW 28-2781372
    Louis Lipps, Pit.

    1984KANL 27-3761832

    At quarterback, only Peyton Manning has notched a 300-yard passing game as a Week 1 rookies since the merger. Moral of the story? Play your veterans early.

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    Week 1 Rankings

    Week 1 is my favorite week of the NFL season because the long, dark winter of the NFL offseason is as far away from starting as possible.

    This is also a week where we begin to unlearn so many of the assumptions of the offseason. You never know how a season will shape up, but here are four teams we are particularly interested in watching this Sunday to see how they start.

    1. Bengals: Even without T.J. Houshmandzadeh, the receiving weapons in Cincinnati are deeper than ever. Ocho Cinco looks revitalized at receiver, and backups Chris Henry and Andre Caldwell are better than most team's starters. (Including this team's starter: Laveranues Coles.) Ocho Cinco will reportedly be shadowed by Champ Bailey, so this game will test his offseason hype.

    Ocho's biggest concern is his quarterback. Carson Palmer missed three preseason games after missing 12 games last year, and the offensive line could be a mess. This team could be a great source of fantasy value, including in the running game, but it all hinges on Palmer staying upright. They get an inviting first matchup against Denver.

    2. Broncos: Lot of questions here, but a lot of potential. How soon will Knowshon Moreno be a 20-touch difference-maker? (Could take some time.) When do owners just play Brandon Marshall? (We'd take the risk this week if the Broncos do. And they wil.) Can Josh McDaniels create fantasy magic out of Kyle Orton? (Chances are better than people think.)

    3. Cardinals: Don't panic that a Super Bowl hangover seemed to slow this offense in the preseason. Be more concerned if Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and the boys don't get their mojo back against an improved 49ers defense on opening day.

    Also: we'll be watching closely to see how long it takes for Tim Hightower's bubble to be burst. He needs to solidify his offseason gains in a game that matters, and we'd still start Beanie Wells over him in fantasy leagues.

    4. Falcons: Atlanta will be different this year, but we're not sure how different. Things to watch for in Week 1: Jerious Norwood's involvement in the offense, and how aggressive they are throwing the ball against Miami. With a little run-pass ratio adjustment, Matt Ryan can make a Peyton Manning-like second year leap. (We suspect Atlanta won't be that aggressive.)

    And without any more foreplay, here are your Week 1 rankings for the best time on the football calendar.

    Week 1 Quarterbacks

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Drew Breesvs. DET-
    2Tom Bradyvs. BUF-
    3Peyton Manningvs. JAC-
    4Philip Riversat OAK-
    5Aaron Rodgersvs. CHI-
    6Tony Romoat TB-
    7Donovan McNabbat CAR-
    8Kurt Warnervs. SF-
    9Carson Palmervs. DEN-
    10Jay Cutlerat GB-
    11Matt Ryanvs. MIA-
    12Matt Schaubvs. NYJ-
    13Joe Flaccovs. KC-
    14Ben Roethlisbergervs. TEN-
    15Kyle Ortonat CINFully expected to start
    16Matt Hasselbeckvs. STL-
    17David Garrardat IND-
    18Brett Favreat CLE-
    19Shaun Hillat ARZ-
    20Eli Manningvs. WAS-
    21Trent Edwardsat NE-
    22Jason Campbellat NYG-
    23Matt Casselat BALStatus Uncertain (knee)
    24Chad Penningtonat ATL-
    25Jake Delhommevs. PHI-
    26Brady Quinnvs. MIN-
    27Marc Bulgerat SEAProbable(finger)
    28Byron Leftwichvs. DAL-
    29Kerry Collinsat PIT-
    30JaMarcus Russellvs. SD-
    31Matthew Staffordat NO-
    32Mark Sanchezat HOU-


    Notes: Regular Goal-Line stand readers know the player comments go here. But with the Thursday game, we wanted to get the rankings to you as soon as possible. More content will be added during the week, but it may be a little different for the opening week.

    Editor's Note: For projections for every player listed above, check out Rotoworld's Season pass package. The Rotoworld Oracle takes your scoring system and tells you who to start. Plus you get access to countless other features including tons of stat tools, columns, Top-200 rankings for trades, early weekly rankings, Evan Silva's running back report, Monday morning recaps, IDP help, and picks of the week.

    Week 1 Running Backs

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Adrian Petersonat CLE-
    2Matt Forteat GB-
    3Maurice Jones-Drewat IND-
    4Steven Jacksonat SEA-
    5Frank Goreat ARZ-
    6Michael Turnervs. MIA-
    7Steve Slatonvs. NYJ-
    8LaDainian Tomlinsonat OAK-
    9Marion Barberat TB-
    10Brandon Jacobsvs. WAS-
    11Chris Johnsonat PIT-
    12DeAngelo Williamsvs. PHI-
    13Ray Ricevs. KC-
    14Kevin Smithat NO-
    15Reggie Bushvs. DET-
    16Brian Westbrookat CAR-
    17Ronnie Brownat ATL-
    18Clinton Portisat NYG-
    19Darren McFaddenvs. SD-
    20Ryan Grantvs. CHI-
    21Cedric Bensonvs. DEN-
    22Joseph Addaivs. JAC-
    23Thomas Jonesat HOU-
    24Fred Jacksonat NE-
    25Knowshon Morenoat CIN-
    26Donald Brownvs. JAC-
    27Julius Jonesvs. STL-
    28Willie Parkervs. TEN-
    29Felix Jonesat TB-
    30Chris Wellsvs. SF-
    31LeSean McCoyat CAR-
    32Mike Bellvs. DETNo Pierre Thomas
    33Derrick Wardvs. DAL-
    34Ahmad Bradshawvs. WAS-
    35Carnell Williamsvs. DAL-
    36Larry Johnsonat BAL-
    37Darren Sprolesat OAK-
    38Tim Hightowervs. SF-
    39Jonathan Stewartvs. PHIShould play
    40Jamal Lewisvs. MIN-
    41Leon Washingtonat HOU-
    42LenDale Whiteat PIT-
    43Willis McGaheevs. KC-
    44James Davisvs. MIN-
    45Rashard Mendenhallvs. TEN-
    46Laurence Maroneyvs. BUF-
    47Chester Taylorat CLE-
    48Jerious Norwoodvs. MIAProbable(knee)
    49Glen Coffeeat ARZ-
    50Correll Buckhalterat CIN-
    51Ladell Bettsat NYG-
    52Bernard Scottvs. DEN-
    53Peyton Hillisat CIN-
    54Jamaal Charlesat BAL-
    55Michael Bushvs. SD-
    56LeRon McClainvs. KC-
    57Chris Brownvs. NYJ-
    58Fred Taylorvs. BUF-
    59Earnest Grahamvs. DAL-
    60DeShawn Wynnvs. CHI-
    61Shonn Greeneat HOU-
    62Justin Fargasvs. SDQuestionable(hamstring)
    63Ricky Williamsat ATL-
    64Edgerrin Jamesvs. STL-
    65Samkon Gadoat SEA


    Week 1 Wide Receivers

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Larry Fitzgeraldvs. SF-
    2Andre Johnsonvs. NYJ-
    3Randy Mossvs. BUF-
    4Calvin Johnsonat NO-
    5Roddy Whitevs. MIA-
    6Marques Colstonvs. DET-
    7Reggie Waynevs. JAC-
    8Steve Smithvs. PHI-
    9Greg Jenningsvs. CHI-
    10Chad Ochocincovs. DEN-
    11Anquan Boldinvs. SFKeep eye on practice reports
    12Eddie Royalat CIN-
    13Braylon Edwardsvs. MIN-
    14Wes Welkervs. BUF
    15Terrell Owensat NE-
    16Vincent Jacksonat OAK-
    17Dwayne Boweat BAL-
    18Anthony Gonzalezvs. JAC-
    19Antonio Bryantvs. DAL-
    20Santonio Holmesvs. TEN-
    21DeSean Jacksonat CAR-
    22Brandon Marshallat CINNot that worried about him.
    23Jerricho Cotcheryat HOU-
    24Lee Evansat NE-
    25Roy Williamsat TB-
    26T.J. Houshmandzadehvs. STL-
    27Devin Hesterat GB-
    28Bernard Berrianat CLEKeep eye on hamstring injury
    29Kevin Waltervs. NYJKeep eye on hamstring injury
    30Santana Mossat NYG-
    31Lance Moorevs. DET-
    32Donald Drivervs. CHI-
    33Hines Wardvs. TEN-
    34Donnie Averyat SEA-
    35Josh Morganat ARZ-
    36Patrick Craytonat TB-
    37Laveranues Colesvs. DEN-
    38Derrick Masonvs. KC-
    39Torry Holtat IND-
    40Justin Gageat PIT-
    41Steve Smithvs. WAS-
    42Ted Ginn Jr.at ATL-
    43Domenik Hixonvs. WAS-
    44Percy Harvinat CLE-
    45Kevin Curtisat CAR-
    46Chris Chambersat OAK-
    47Davone Bessat ATL-
    48Mark Claytonvs. KCCould be limited
    49Earl Bennettat GB-
    50Chris Henryvs. DEN-
    51Kenny Brittat PIT-
    52Miles Austinat TBProbable(hamstring)
    53James Jonesvs. CHI-
    54Steve Breastonvs. SF-
    55Troy Williamsonat IND-
    56Laurent Robinsonat SEA-


    Week 1 Tight Ends

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Antonio Gatesat OAK-
    2Jason Wittenat TB-
    3Dallas Clarkvs. JAC-
    4Tony Gonzalezvs. MIA-
    5Owen Danielsvs. NYJ-
    6Greg Olsenat GB-
    7Chris Cooleyat NYG-
    8Jeremy Shockeyvs. DET-
    9Zach Millervs. SD-
    10Dustin Kellerat HOU-
    11Kellen Winslowvs. DAL-
    12John Carlsonvs. STL-
    13Vernon Davisat ARZ-
    14Brent Celekat CAR-
    15Heath Millervs. TEN-
    16Visanthe Shiancoeat CLE-
    17Jermichael Finleyvs. CHI-
    18Tony Schefflerat CIN-
    19Kevin Bossvs. WAS-
    20Todd Heapvs. KC-
    21Bo Scaifeat PIT-
    22Randy McMichaelat SEA-
    23Anthony Fasanoat ATL-
    24Martellus Bennettat TB-
    25Brandon Pettigrewat NO-
    26Chris Bakervs. BUF-
    27Marcedes Lewisat IND-
    28Ben Watsonvs. BUF-
    29Donald Leevs. CHI-


    If you've made it this far, you might be the type of person that wants to check out Gregg's Twitter account.

    Week 1 Team Defense

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Ravens Def/Spec Teamvs. KC-
    2Vikings Def/Spec Teamat CLE-
    3Giants Def/Spec Teamvs. WAS-
    4Steelers Def/Spec Teamvs. TEN-
    5Cowboys Def/Spec Teamat TB-
    6Eagles Def/Spec Teamat CAR-
    7Chargers Def/Spec Teamat OAK-
    8Patriots Def/Spec Teamvs. BUF-
    9Titans Def/Spec Teamat PIT-
    10Bears Def/Spec Teamat GB-
    11Dolphins Def/Spec Teamat ATL-
    12Colts Def/Spec Teamvs. JAC-
    13Saints Def/Spec Teamvs. DET-
    14Bengals Def/Spec Teamvs. DEN-
    15Packers Def/Spec Teamvs. CHI-
    16Seahawks Def/Spec Teamvs. STL-
    17Cardinals Def/Spec Teamvs. SF-
    18Texans Def/Spec Teamvs. NYJ-
    19Jets Def/Spec Teamat HOU-
    20Falcons Def/Spec Teamvs. MIA-
    21Buccaneers Def/Spec Teamvs. DAL-
    22Panthers Def/Spec Teamvs. PHI-
    23Redskins Def/Spec Teamat NYG-
    24Fortyniners Def/Spec Teamat ARZ-
    25Jaguars Def/Spec Teamat IND-
    26Browns Def/Spec Teamvs. MIN-
    27Broncos Def/Spec Teamat CIN-
    28Bills Def/Spec Teamat NE-
    29Rams Def/Spec Teamat SEA-
    30Raiders Def/Spec Teamvs. SD-
    31Chiefs Def/Spec Teamat BAL-
    32Lions Def/Spec Teamat NO-


    Week 1 Kickers

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Stephen Gostkowskivs. BUF-
    2Nate Kaedingat OAK-
    3Jason Elamvs. MIA-
    4Ryan Longwellat CLE-
    5Kris Brownvs. NYJ-
    6Nick Folkat TB-
    7Robbie Gouldat GB-
    8John Kasayvs. PHI-
    9Neil Rackersvs. SF-
    10Rob Bironasat PIT-
    11Mason Crosbyvs. CHI-
    12Adam Vinatierivs. JAC-
    13David Akersat CAR-
    14Shayne Grahamvs. DEN-
    15Josh Brownat SEA-
    16John Carneyvs. DET-
    17Josh Scobeeat IND-
    18Jason Hansonat NOQuestionable(knee)
    19Rian Lindellat NE-
    20Jeff Reedvs. TEN-
    21Lawrence Tynesvs. WAS-
    22Joe Nedneyat ARZ-
    23Matt Praterat CIN-
    24Olindo Marevs. STL-
    25Phil Dawsonvs. MIN-
    26Dan Carpenterat ATL-
    27Mike Nugentvs. DAL-
    28Sebastian Janikowskivs. SD-
    29Shaun Suishamat NYG-
    30Jay Feelyat HOU-
    31Steven Hauschkavs. KC-
    32Ryan Succopat BAL-

  7. #7
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    Doctor's orders for Stewart

    Maybe the Panthers actually knew what they were doing with Jonathan Stewart all along. The doctors prescribed rest for his sore Achilles, so that's exactly what Stewart got.

    He barely participated at OTAs. He was merely an observer for just about all of training camp. Mike Goodson was touted as a camp darling. Then, yesterday, just four days before the season opener, Stewart practiced for the first time since Aug. 11 (and the ninth time all offseason). One media member said the second-year back looked "real good," and he's expected to play Sunday against the Eagles. Stewart isn't even listed on the team's injury report.

    If this storyline sounds familiar, it's because Stewart was hampered by a toe injury and then this heel problem during his rookie year. He didn't practice too much then, either, but still played in all 16 games, racking up 10 touchdowns and 833 yards. So we know Stewart, the Panthers and Allen Iverson share the same philosophy about practice: Who needs it?

    Now the question becomes how Stewart will fit in with DeAngelo Williams. Last year, Williams got the call 274 times while Stewart had 183 carries. As good as Williams is, a healthy Stewart is probably the better running back. But Williams is now established as a premier NFL back. Anything less than 250 carries for Williams this season will be a surprise. Stewart will continue to be in and out of practice and not be at 100 percent, but yesterday's news is obviously nothing but good for his owners.

    Bottom line: Stewart should have already been owned in all leagues. Keep him on your bench for this week. Drop Mike Goodson in all leagues.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 1, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #2
    The Brady Quinn era is officially underway, even if Eric Mangini won't admit it. Quinn is more of a dink-and-dunker than Derek Anderson, so this isn't the best news for Braylon Edwards' value. Still, the Browns don't look like they're capable of running the ball too effectively, so Quinn will be asked to put it up plenty. He could be worth an add if you need a QB2.

    Here are Quinn's numbers from his three starts last season:

    Week 10 vs. Broncos: 23-of-35, 239 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions
    Week 11 at Bills: 14-of-36, 185 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions
    Week 12 vs. Texans: 8-of-18, 94 yards, 0 touchdowns, 2 interceptions (was pulled in the second half)

    NEWS OF THE DAY #3
    Brandon Marshall and the Broncos are reportedly talking about an extension. Wow. The Broncos are going to throw a ton of money at the guy who went Pele at practice and just got off suspension? It appears Marshall has convinced the team he's going to be a good guy. Or maybe he's just such a good player they want him in the fold at any cost.

    Either way, the mere notion that the Broncos want Marshall around long-term means he'll be a factor early and often this season. Congratulations if you plucked him at a reduced cost during his suspension.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #4
    As expected, Malcolm Kelly was officially named the Redskins' No. 2 receiver, ahead of Devin Thomas and Antwaan Randle El. Jason Campbell has been gushing about how much he loves Kelly's size, something the Skins' receiving corps has sorely been missing. But as the third or fourth option in a conservative offense, Kelly is a waiver wire prospect for now.

    INJURY QUICK SLANTS
    Kevin Walter (hamstring) didn't practice Wednesday and there's some real concern he won't play against the Jets. … Pierre Thomas (sprained MCL) didn't practice again and is unlikely to play Sunday. He also revealed that he scratched up his knee chasing "Chill," his Doberman. Sigh. … Maurice Jones-Drew (shin) practiced fully and is ready to go. … Marc Bulger (finger) took snaps under center for the first time since his injury and will play Sunday against the Seahawks' banged up secondary … Knowshon Moreno (knee) said he isn't 100 percent but feels real good and will play Sunday. Expect the rookie to be part of a committee. … Kyle Orton (finger) said there's "no question" he'll start against the Bengals after practicing with a glove on his throwing hand. … Matt Cassel (knee) was limited in practice Wednesday and will be listed as questionable for Sunday. He'll almost certainly start though. … Anquan Boldin (hamstring) is doing his usual thing where he has an injury and then toughs it out. He practiced on a limited basis and should be fine for a matchup with the 49ers.

    DEPTH CHART QUICK SLANTS
    Ray Rice was officially named the Ravens' starting running back, something everyone saw coming a long time ago. He's in line for a big game Sunday against the Chiefs. … Jim Caldwell announced that Austin Collie beat out Pierre Garcon for the Colts' No. 3 receiver job. … Hakeem Nicks is generating some buzz and could be pushing Mario Manningham for the Giants' No. 3 receiver before long.

  8. #8
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    The Morning Of


    Players to be surprisingly optimistic about

    1. Matt Hasselbeck: There were a lot of reasons not to like Hasselbeck heading into camp. Here's a few: 34 years old, back injury, questionable receiving corps, back injury, new run-first offensive attack without Mike Holmgren, back injury.

    But Hasselbeck has looked impressive in training camp and appears fully healthy. In a sea of mediocre QB2 options, Hasselbeck looks inviting when he gets a tasty NFC West matchup like this week against the Rams. At least until his back flares up.

    2. Leon Washington. The kid is hitting his prime, the Jets offensive line is strong, and I actually believe Rex Ryan when he says Leon will touch the ball more this year. Mark Sanchez dumping off to Washington may be the best play the Jets have.

    3. Marion Barber: He evolved into the de facto guy that fell too far and ended up on my team. (Chad Johnson was this guy all summer – yes! – but his average draft position started to catch up with our rankings.

    Barber still the best player on a very good offense that will catch passes and score touchdowns. There isn't that much of a difference between him and Maurice Jones-Drew. (Whom I also have.)

    4. James Davis: So many times, we overrate players because they have a great opportunity for touches, but they prove not to be very good football players. (Eric Shelton, anyone?) Davis was only a sixth-round pick, but it was clear from the day he was drafted that he had the chance to make a big impact right away. He's taking advantage.

    5. Patrick Crayton: A Rotoworld favorite from a few years back, he's emerged over Miles Austin. It wouldn't remotely surprise us if he puts up similar WR3 numbers to Roy Williams at a fraction of the practice.

    6. Todd Heap and Jermichael Finley: There are tight end sleepers by the bushel this year. Finley is a dark horse to lead the Packers in receiving touchdowns, while Heap is showing some rejuvenation potential. An injury seems inevitable, but the man is only 29. He should be a factor until he gets hurt.

    Editor's Note: For projections for every player listed above, check out Rotoworld's Season pass package. The Rotoworld Oracle takes your scoring system and tells you who to start. Plus you get access to countless other features including tons of stat tools, columns, Top-200 rankings for trades, early weekly rankings, Evan Silva's running back report, Monday morning recaps, IDP help, and picks of the week.

    Nothing to see here, folks
    Or: Players who got unnecessarily caught in the preseason weeds, but escaped.

    1. Dwayne Bowe: Yeah, about that third team designation … just kidding!

    2. Mark Bradley: See above. Bradley still might not be a huge fantasy factor, but he has the same relatively high ceiling for a flier pick that we thought he was to start camp. He's worth a pickup in most 12-team leagues.

    3. Brandon Marshall: His totally useless offseason would be more surprising if this didn't happen twice before in his career. After all the drama, though, it would be surprising if he's not playing starter-worthy snaps in Week 1. It would be even more surprising if Marshall didn't produce. Maybe he won't catch 100 passes for the third straight year, but he'll come close enough.

    4. Jonathan Stewart was back fully practicing Wednesday after resting for nearly a month with a sore Achilles. The lack of injury information in Carolina was part of the problem here; this was apparently the plan all along. The Carolina schedule gets much tougher this season, but Stewart has the same explosive talent he did last year.

    (For everyone hammering me for ranking DeAngelo Williams so low: we'll see. He's still ranked as a top-15 player, and his schedule is infinitely harder and Stewart remains the most talented backup in football. The bet here is that Williams is closer to the player he was for the first half of last season.)

    5. Chris "Beanie" Wells is still the most talented back in the Arizona backfield, and we expect him to be the most valuable in fantasy leagues starting Sunday.

    6. Antonio Bryant and Donnie Avery shook off preseason surgeries and will be fully ready for Week 1. Nate Washington will be ready soon enough.

    7. The Baltimore passing attack should be better than people think, and they have no one to reliably catch the ball except Derrick Mason. In PPR leagues, he should be a safe weekly play, same as he ever was.

    Something to see here, folks
    Or: I'm more concerned than I expected to be

    1. Matt Cassel. A lot of early reminders that this transition won't be easy for Cassel: A ghastly offensive line got him hurt, and there were early signs that he was struggling to adapt to new offense while playing with a bunch of scrubs at wide receiver. Cassel fans should hope he sits out against the Ravens. Or he might be sitting out Week 2.

    2. Trent Edwards has a lot of pressure to make a brand-new offense work, while integrating Terrell Owens into the system. I thought the Bills would be further along, but they appear to be at square one.

    3. The smart money is on Michael Crabtree signing with the 49ers sooner than later, but there is a legitimate chance he'll have a lost rookie year.

    4. The whispers about Kevin Curtis' explosiveness have convinced me he's just going to be another guy in a huge receiver rotation in Philadelphia, not someone you will consider starting except for emergencies.

    Overrated Storylines

    1. Chris Brown as a short-yardage back: Sure, he may swipe some touchdowns. But the fact that Gary Kubiak uses words that fantasy leaguers like and other coaches stay quiet isn't a reason to stay away from Steve Slaton. Let's see if Brown can stay healthy for more than a few games, and whether he really gets the ball when the game is on the line.

    2. Willie Parker to get goal line carries: Again, how often has a coach given out useful usage and strategy talk before a season or game. Whenever a coach throws a number of carries he hopes a running back gets in a game or a season, it usually amounts to nothing. Parker has lost short-yardage duties before.

    3. Pierre Thomas may not play in Week One, but he's still going to be a monster when he returns. He was slipping way too far in drafts held last weekend.

    4. LaDainian Tomlinson is talking tough, but what would you expect? Career arcs don't lie, and there isn't much of a chance he bounces back to the "Old L.T."

    5. Devin Hester may not have done much in the preseason, but he's the only explosive receiver on the Bears. He can get free for vertical routes and Jay Cutler will find him.

    Stories rated appropriately

    1. The firing of offensive coordinators in Tampa Bay and Buffalo says, "Hey, things are going so bad, we're willing to admit publicly that we have totally screwed up this entire offseason. Can we press reset?"

    Both teams were looking to transform their offenses this year, and the learning curve for everyone involved could be steep.

    2. No one saw the Cadillac Williams story coming. He probably won't start the whole season, much less stay healthy and useful in fantasy leagues, but Cadillac matters again. Which is saying something. (Although Derrick Ward is already a nice buy-low.)

    Storylines deserving more attention

    1. Everyone assumes Tom Brady and the Patriots will turn back the clock to something resembling 2007, but how disappointed will owners be if it looks a lot more like 2004?

    2. The Colts backfield, provider of top-ten value at running back for nearly the entire decade until 2008, could have two backs that are undervalued. Donald Brown remains a Rotoworld favorite, and a fine trade target in redraft leagues.

    3. Brian Westbrook's return for offseason surgeries has slipped under the radar. Since he didn't play in the preseason, we have no idea how he will look. But we love LeSean McCoy to get more than 125-150 touches this year, no matter how healthy Westbrook. (McCoy is a nice sneaky play against a meager Carolina rush defense this week.)

  9. #9
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    Studs and duds: Romo, Jackson will deliver while Cadillac stalls



    Matt Pitzer's look at Week 1's fantasy football landscape:

    Projected studs
    RB Fred Jackson, Bills. He ran for 136 yards against the Patriots in last year's season finale. This time New England's defense is smarting over the loss of DE Richard Seymour.
    QB Tony Romo, Cowboys. Who knows how the Dallas receivers will pan out over the entire season, but they should be just fine against a young Buccaneers defense. Romo will pass the Cowboys to a fairly easy victory to start the season.
    RB LaDainian Tomlinson, Chargers. What could be better: He is healthy, and he is playing the Raiders. L.T. has averaged 135.5 yards a game and has 22 total touchdowns in 16 appearances vs. Oakland. This should be a cakewalk.
    WR Reggie Wayne, Colts. The Jaguars defense used to give the Colts trouble regularly, but that has not been the case for a few years. In their last five meetings, Wayne has averaged 116.2 yards receiving and has found the end zone twice.
    WR Roddy White, Falcons. Atlanta is in good position to open quarterback Matt Ryan's sophomore season, with White getting a chance to work early against the Dolphins' rebuilt, inexperienced secondary. Two of Miami's top three cornerbacks might be rookies.
    Projected duds
    WR Donnie Avery, Rams. He should be able to play, but why bother? Avery is coming off a foot injury and hasn't practiced much with QB Marc Bulger, who was out with a broken pinkie. Don't count on St. Louis having a quick start through the air.
    QB Matt Cassel, Chiefs. Kansas City's new franchise QB will get off to a rough start, battling a knee injury and facing the Ravens defense on the road behind a sketchy offensive line.
    WR Jerricho Cotchery, Jets. The preseason was one thing for rookie sensation QB Mark Sanchez, but the regular season is another. Are you ready to believe he can get the ball to Cotchery in his first start, especially now that CB Dunta Robinson is in the fold for the Texans?
    RB Steve Slaton, Texans. Facing the Jets' improved defense under Rex Ryan will not be easy, plus Slaton might be losing goal-line carries to Chris Brown. And if QB Matt Schaub is limited, New York will pay even more attention to stopping the run.
    RB Carnell "Cadillac" Williams, Buccaneers. Williams' comeback from a second major knee injury is a nice story, but it won't have nice results. He has lost his explosiveness, and the Bucs will have a tough time keeping up with the Cowboys.
    Sleepers
    RB Mike Bell, Saints. Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush are fighting injuries, which could push Bell into significant time. Plus, New Orleans faces Detroit, which hasn't won in 21 months.
    QB Joe Flacco, Ravens. Don't be surprised when Baltimore comes out throwing more than expected. And Kansas City should provide plenty of holes for Derrick Mason and friends.
    WR Chris Henry, Bengals. Henry tore it up in the preseason with an NFL-high four TDs, and facing the Broncos defense really should just be an extension of the preseason for the Bengals.
    TE Visanthe Shiancoe, Vikings. Brett Favre knows all about the beauty of throwing to the tight end in the red zone in the West Coast offense. Shiancoe ought to capitalize against a bad Browns defense.
    WR Brandon Stokley, Broncos. Think of him as a one-week possibility until Brandon Marshall is up to full speed. With Jabar Gaffney mending a broken thumb, Stokley will be on the field a ton and remains one of the game's best slot receivers.

  10. #10
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    No Passing Fancy in Pittsburgh


    As the Pittsburgh-Tennessee NFL season opener creeped along toward overtime Thursday night, it became obvious that these aren't your Franco Harris / Rocky Bleier / French Fuqua grind-it-out Steelers. Under offensive coordinator Bruce Arians and comeback-minded Ben Roethlisberger, the most effective offense has been the no-huddle. Despite head coach Mike Tomlin's protestations to the contrary, Arians is ushering in a sea change in philosophy from run-first to run-later.

    The artist formerly known as "Fast Willie" Parker led an impotent rushing "attack" that combined for just 33 yards on 22 carries. Over the past two seasons, Parker's laundry list of leg maladies have sapped his explosion. The Steelers better hope he's still getting up to speed after a preseason hamstring injury because he showed no ability to exploit an opening in Thursday's game. Tomlin obviously has no faith in 2008 first-rounder Rashard Mendenhall, so the Steelers will keep putting more and more weight on Big Ben's shoulders.

    With Santonio Holmes emerging as a bonafide No. 1 receiver, Hines Ward as the old reliable possession receiver, Heath Miller showing All-Pro skills at tight end, and exciting rookie Mike Wallace taking over No. 3 receiver duties, this team has to hang its hat on the aerial attack. Once they spread the field and opened up the offense with a no-huddle approach, Big Ben moved the team at will against a tiring Titans defense.

    Can the Steelers keep winning with a dominant defense, no running game, tons of licks on Roethlisberger, and no chance of converting in short-yardage situations? As long as they keep the ball in Big Ben's hands for the "fast-break" offense, they can survive even with a fatally flawed ground game. After Thursday's opener, Big Ben is on pace for 45 come-from-behind fourth-quarter victories which would shatter the marks held by John Elway and Dan Marino. As Movethestick.com's Daniel Jeremiah tweeted after the opening-night victory, if you played Big Ben in horse, he would give himself H-O-R-S and then beat you. He did it for the 15th time in just over five seasons Thursday night.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 1, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    Despite "tweeting" that he is waiting for the thumbs up from the Saints for Sunday's game, Pierre Thomas (knee) still appears unlikely to play. Thomas participated in individual drills Thursday, but he was unable to put in a full practice. Coach Sean Payton expressed disappointment in Thomas' status and suggested he would not only have to practice but also prove that he can be more effective than Mike Bell on Friday.

    Beat writer Jeff Duncan believes "he ain't playing Sunday" while fellow beat writer Mike Triplett writes that Thomas "almost certainly" will miss the opener. Keep an eye on his status Friday, but at this point it looks like Bell will get most of the snaps earmarked for Thomas against the Lions. If so, Bell makes for a fine flex play this week.

    Brian Westbrook was a late addition to the injury report Thursday with a knee issue as opposed to an ankle problem. Though the Eagles acknowledged that Westbrook's touches will be monitored on Sunday, it sounds like they are just trying to keep him fresh. Westbrook put in a full practice on Thursday, and there are indications that the knee injury is even remotely serious.

    Coordinator Marty Mornhinweg said Westbrook is "pretty healthy right now," and that he would be spelled by LeSean McCoy only to keep him from getting winded. "I have great confidence in Brian to play the whole game," said Mornhinweg. "If you get into a situation there and he's gassed just a little bit, then LeSean will play a little bit more." We fully expect Westbrook to get 20 touches, which makes him a must-start Sunday against a beat-up Panthers run defense.

    Two-Minute Drill: Texans beat writer John McClain expects Steve Slaton to lose 10-12 touches per game to Chris Brown, in which case Slaton's 2009 ceiling is limited. … Coach Josh McDaniels confirmed that Brandon Marshall has had a good week of practice and will play Sunday at Cincinnati. It's safe to plug him back into fantasy lineups. … Rams released LB Chris Draft when the versatile veteran refused to take a paycut. Mr. Irrevelvant 2008, David Vobora, will start the opener. … Shawne Merriman (knee) is only expected to play about 40 plays – 2/3 of his normal snapcount -- on Sunday. … Vikings released WR Bobby Wade and replaced him with special teamer Greg Lewis. … Adrian Peterson expects to see more time in third-down and two-minute drill passing situations this year. … The Raiders sent a "five-day" letter warning Richard Seymour to report soon or face the roster/suspended list. The Patriots are now out of the picture.

    Red Zone: Anquan Boldin was limited in Thursday's practice and didn't push his hamstring. Coaches are cautiously optimistic about his availability for the opener. Steve Breaston (knee) is less than 100 percent but practiced for the second straight day. … Matt Cassel (knee) is still gimpy and will likely be a game-time decision for Sunday's game at Baltimore. Stay far away from the Chiefs QB situation. … Knowshon Moreno (knee) ditched his orange non-contact jersey Wednesday and practiced again on Thursday. We'd still look elsewhere for Week 1 if better options are available. … Jonathan Stewart practiced for the second straight day while coach John Fox shrugged off any concern about his absence throughout the preseason. … Kevin Walter (hamstring) missed practice again and will be a game-time decision. Matt Schaub (ankle) will play. … Reggie Bush is said to be healthier now than he's been since Week 7 of last season. … Wes Welker (knee) returned to a limited practice and seems likely to play Monday night. … Bernard Berrian (hamstring) was limited in practice. Check his status on Friday. … Ravens WR Mark Clayton (hamstring) is expected to start against the Chiefs Sunday. … Panthers SS Chris Harris' status is in doubt after missing Thursday's practice with a knee injury. … At the very least, Jason Hanson (knee) is expected to be available for field goals Sunday. … Adam Vinatieri (hip, knee) is not 100 percent, but says he's "good enough to get out there and do my job on the field." Find another kicker.

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    Week 1 Game Matchups

    Ten new head coaches. Nineteen offensive coordinator changes. The Stimulus Plan. 2009 has been a year of change, shakeup, and attempted upgrades, and Rotoworld is following suit. In addition to Gregg Rosenthal's indispensible Goal Line Stand weekly rankings, we're now breaking down the NFL weekend on a game-by-game basis.

    Note: The opinions here may differ from those expressed in Gregg's rankings, but we believe some disagreement is healthy. Ultimately, it's on you to pick your fantasy starters. Having the most opinions and background will prepare you best.

    Heading into my fourth regular season at Rotoworld, I've accumulated a foundation of player knowledge through game study, beat reports, knowledge of depth charts, and an understanding of likely player-on-player matchups. Hopefully, passing this information on to you will increase your odds of domination. Let's get at it.

    1:00PM ET Games

    Miami @ Atlanta

    The Dolphins had to revamp their secondary after giving up the eighth most passing yards in the league last year, but the newcomers figure to experience growing pains. Rookie RCB Sean Smith looked lost at times this preseason, and new FS Gibril Wilson has always been a better run stopper than cover man. Matt Ryan is a must-start in this matchup...Michael Turner stands to benefit greatly from the addition of Tony Gonzalez, who will keep at least one safety (likely SS Yeremiah Bell) out of the box and command intermittent double teams. The Fins' run defense was sturdy in '08, but Turner remains a solid bet for 90 yards and a score...LCB Will Allen is Miami's top cover corner, but Bill Parcells indicated that he believes the 31-year-old is declining by giving him a fairly below-market new contract this offseason, then drafting corners with his top two picks. Roddy White's holdout lasted just a week and he was explosive in the preseason. He'll give the 31-year-old Allen fits on Sunday. Expect 28+ points from Atlanta's offense.

    Split end Ted Ginn Jr. will likely face Falcons RCB Chris Houston in primary coverage. Houston's first two years have been up and down, but he excels in press-man, and Ginn struggled to beat the jam in August, finishing the preseason with three catches. He's a borderline WR3...Miami never formally named a No. 2 receiver, but Davone Bess is first on the depth chart and plays in the slot. He's a better bet than Ginn for a high catch total facing weak LCB Brent Grimes and/or athletically limited nickel back Chevis Jackson...The Fins' best approach in this road game would be to use Ronnie Brown relentlessly on the Georgia Dome turf and keep Ryan on the sidelines. Brown should finish with 25 touches even if Miami is playing catch-up. He'll rarely come off field.

    Kansas City @ Baltimore

    Looking for a safe bet to lead all Week 1 receivers in targets? Dwayne Bowe is your man. The Chiefs have no hope of a ground game against a Ravens club that ranked third in '08 run defense and returns NT Kelly Gregg after he missed last season. Play Bowe with confidence, no matter who starts at QB...Bench the rest of your Chiefs, literally. We don't know if Mark Bradley will start despite his first-team flanker listing, and Jamaal Charles may end up with double the touches of Larry Johnson. Kansas City figures to fall behind early, and Charles is the passing-down back.

    Ray Rice is a must-start RB2 against a Chiefs defense that implements the 3-4 despite lacking ideal personnel. Rookies Michael Oher (Ravens RT) and Tyson Jackson (Chiefs LE) may play to a draw on the strong side, but C Matt Birk and LG Ben Grubbs should dominate Chiefs NT Ron Edwards up the gut. Rice is also a demon on check downs and K.C. doesn't have the speed at outside 'backer or safety to stop him. Look for 150 all-purpose yards...Mark Clayton is a must-sit considering his balky hamstring, lost camp, and likely matchup with Chiefs top corner Brandon Flowers, but flanker/slot man Derrick Mason's route running will be a handful for LCB Brandon Carr. Carr was almost strictly a zone corner in 2008 and is just now learning to play man...Despite positive camp reports about Todd Heap, stay away until he shows something in a real game.

    Philadelphia @ Carolina

    It's natural to worry about Brian Westbrook at 30 coming off dual leg surgeries, but few matchups would give him a better chance to start hot. Carolina won't replace massive NT Maake Kemoeatu (torn Achilles) and already wasn't potent against the run. With MLB Jon Beason (knee) still banged up, Westbrook is a threat for 100 total yards and a TD even on 15-17 touches...Donovan McNabb should be in fantasy lineups, but the Eagles would be smart to go run heavy, also using LeSean McCoy early and often...If there's one flaw in Birds flanker DeSean Jackson's game, it's that he isn't overly physical. He'll be shadowed by Carolina LCB Chris Gamble, another speedster with better size than Jackson. D-Jax is more of a WR3 than a WR2 in this matchup...Bench TE Brent Celek. He'll be a better bet when Philly plays teams it will have to pass on to beat.

    Jonathan Stewart's return from an Achilles injury won't hurt DeAngelo Williams yet. Stewart isn't ready for his usual carry-sharing role, and Williams faces an Eagles defense that will sorely miss MLB Stewart Bradley (ACL tear). Quick fix Omar Gaither isn't half the run defender...Eagles RCB Sheldon Brown is coming off a great year, but turned 30 this spring and was pushed by former Patriot Ellis Hobbs for a starting job in August. Susceptible to the deep pass, he's unlikely to stop Steve Smith with late-round rookie Macho Harris as Brown's "help" along the sideline...Muhsin Muhammad is an obvious "sit" against LCB Asante Samuel. No Panthers tight ends are worth consideration.

    Denver @ Cincinnati

    The Denver backfield is to be avoided until we see clarity, assuming it ever comes. 31-year-old Correll Buckhalter will start, eventual lead back Knowshon Moreno (knee) wasn't cleared for contact until Thursday, and Peyton Hillis was the Broncos' best option this preseason. Cincy's run defense will surprise this year, and this is a three-headed monster until further notice...Use Brandon Marshall as a WR3, but limit expectations. He'll often square off with underrated Bengals RCB Leon Hall, may rotate with Jabar Gaffney, and his quarterback is less than 100 percent...Kyle Orton figures to have accuracy problems in the vertical game, but Eddie Royal is a strong bet for 8-10 catches. Royal and Orton showed an incredible rapport throughout August and Orton's lacerated finger shouldn't affect his throws as much underneath, where Royal is an unrivaled route runner.

    Carson Palmer has a favorable matchup against the NFL's oldest secondary. Speed merchants Chad Ochocinco and Chris Henry, and quick possession wideout Laveranues Coles will keep CBs Champ Bailey (31) and Andre' Goodman (31) on their heels, with 36-year-old S Brian Dawkins as their help. Dawkins looked several steps too slow in August...Henry isn't a recommended play yet, but keep an eye on how he is employed. Henry earned a playing-time bump after an awesome preseason, but we need to know that he'll play over Andre Caldwell in three-wideout sets before using him...The Broncos' pass rush showed improvement as one of only 13 teams to generate double-digit preseason sacks, but their run defense remains a work in progress moving to a 3-4. Cedric Benson won't catch any passes, but won't see any eight-man fronts either.

    Minnesota @ Cleveland

    Week 7 is our educated guess as to when James Davis will unseat Jamal Lewis. Lewis is certain to struggle Sunday with Vikings DTs Kevin and Pat Williams' suspensions on hold, and also gets Baltimore and Pittsburgh in the first six games...Davis isn't playable yet, but he's already the Browns' third-down specialist and rotates in on early downs...Brady Quinn will probably have to throw 35-39 times to offset either 1) Lewis' ineffectiveness against 2008's No. 1 run defense, or 2) an early lead for Minnesota. He's a fine two-QB league start and figures to target Braylon Edwards heavily, although Edwards will be shadowed by Vikings Pro Bowl CB Antoine Winfield.

    We can confidently say that Adrian Peterson will gash the Browns (28th in run defense last year). The only notable upgrade to their starting front seven was DE Kenyon Coleman, who may have missed the Jets' final cut had Eric Mangini not traded for him. Expect a decidedly run-heavy mindset from Minnesota...Brett Favre admits he isn't 100 percent "mentally or physically," and Bernard Berrian (hamstring) was limited in practice all week. Short-route targets Percy Harvin and Visanthe Shiancoe are better bets to lead Minnesota in catches...Sidney Rice will remain a key red-zone guy for the Vikes, but his week-to-week production will be highly inconsistent.



    NY Jets @ Houston

    New Jets RCB Lito Sheppard hasn't overcome the coverage woes that plagued him late in his Eagles career. He was a liability throughout August and will be picked on by Matt Schaub. The absence of DE Shaun Ellis and OLB Calvin Pace -- two of New York's top three pass rushers -- due to suspension won't hurt Schaub's cause...Ellis' loss creates a void at left end, which will be "filled" by lackluster reserves Mike DeVito (hamstring) and Sione Pouha (one start in five years). It's setup to be a big day for the Texans' offense, Steve Slaton included...The Jets used shutdown LCB Darrelle Revis as a "shadow" corner last year, but it's unclear if Rex Ryan will keep that plan in place. Either way, Andre Johnson is an obvious must play. Avoid Kevin Walter (hamstring).

    The Texans' front four got heavier this offseason. LE Antonio Smith (6'4/285) and NT Shaun Cody (6'4/310) are the new starters. All four down linemen are at least 285 pounds. A make-you-miss back like Leon Washington has a better chance of success than Thomas Jones, a grinding runner, or power option Shonn Greene...Texans RCB Dunta Robinson will square off with split end Jerricho Cotchery for much of the day. It's a good matchup for Jerricho because Robinson is rusty after ending his holdout just days ago...However, camp star Dustin Keller may still lead the Jets in receiving yardage, as he'll see a lot of SS Dominique Barber in coverage. Barber can hit, but Keller's speed (4.5-flat forty) gives him a significant edge over Marion's brother (4.64).

    Jacksonville @ Indianapolis

    The Colts won't ease Donald Brown into the lineup. He'll immediately be used in a series-by-series rotation with Joseph Addai, giving him a shot at 13-17 touches. Still, it's a good week to "wait and see" on this backfield. Jags rookie DT Terrance Knighton (6'3/321) had a standout camp and may finally be the Marcus Stroud successor Jacksonville's been desperate for so long...LCB Rashean Mathis is sure to follow Colts split end Reggie Wayne all over the field. The starter opposite Mathis, third-round pick Derek Cox, missed much of camp due to injury and played college ball at William & Mary, leaving him without experience against anyone remotely resembling NFL wideouts. First-year starter Anthony Gonzalez's breakout game is at hand.

    The Colts won't have SS Bob Sanders (knee), so former undrafted free agent Melvin Bullitt will start. Further secondary issues lie at right cornerback, where either diminutive Tim Jennings or raw underclassman rookie Jerraud Powers will stand in. With LCB Kelvin Hayden likely to keep Torry Holt in check, Troy Williamson has a good shot to build on his stellar preseason in Week 1. Then sell high...DT Ed Johnson is serving a one-game suspension, the Colts are moving smallish DE Robert Mathis back into a full-time role, and second-round pick Fili Moala failed to distinguish himself in camp. Add in Sanders' absence and Maurice Jones-Drew should start piping hot.

    Detroit @ New Orleans

    The Saints know they don't need to risk Pierre Thomas aggravating his MCL sprain to beat Detroit at home and will almost certainly hold him out. That sets up Mike Bell for 16-19 carries and all goal-line chances, where Sean Payton is confident in the former Bronco. Meet your next Frisman Jackson/Dante Rosario Week 1 superhero...All Saints starting skill players should be in lineups against a Lions defense that is near certain to be porous again. Detroit lacks a shutdown corner between Phillip Buchanon and Anthony Henry, and starts a rookie (Louis Delmas) and career special teamer (Kalvin Pearson) at safety. It's a severe mismatch favoring the NFL's top passing team.

    We highly recommend the Saints' fantasy defense in Matthew Stafford's debut. Stafford showed poise and the ability to make all the throws in August, but was pick prone and New Orleans has upgraded its secondary immensely. That DEs Will Smith and Charles Grant will avoid suspension is the clincher...Stafford is a candidate for 33-37 attempts, as the Lions figure to be playing catch-up after the Saints' first or second drive. Keep your Detroit skill players going. Throwing often won't hurt Kevin Smith, who stays on the field in passing situations. He's an every-down back.

    Dallas @ Tampa Bay

    The Bucs' late-preseason shakeup at safety (Jermaine Phillips moved back to DB after gaining weight all offseason to play linebacker) bodes well for tight ends to start hot against them. Jason Witten, who will see increased red-zone targets with Terrell Owens out of Big D, is first to benefit...One beat writer talked up a 50:50 split between Marion Barber and Felix Jones, but that's highly unlikely. Jones is a pace-change back with kick return ability and soft hands, but Barber is extremely difficult to pull off the field because of his power, sound blitz pickups, and receiving skills. He'll be a much better bet for touchdowns than Jones all year...Look for 34-year-old RCB Ronde Barber to cover Roy Williams while Aqib Talib squares off against the Miles Austin-Patrick Crayton combo at strong-side wideout. We like Williams to silence the doubters in Week 1.

    If you can believe it, Dallas' front seven got bigger with the change from Chris Canty to Igor Olshansky at right defensive end. New strong outside linebacker Anthony Spencer is also a major run-stopping upgrade over castoff Greg Ellis. The Bucs' 2-2-1 rotation already caps any of their backs' upsides. It's very difficult to imagine starting one...Antonio Bryant (knee) caught no passes this preseason from Byron Leftwich. Leftwich (5.25 YPA, 48.8 completion rate) was downright awful. Let's wait a week before plugging in any Bucs pass catchers besides TE Kellen Winslow.

    4:15PM ET Games

    San Francisco @ Arizona

    The Cards' 0-4 preseason is of no concern for the offense. Arizona led the NFL in passing yards despite not game planning for one of its opponents. Kurt Warner will start hot against a Niners secondary that trots out Dashon Goldson (two career starts) and coverage liability Michael Lewis at safety, and brittle Shawntae Spencer (one start since '06) at right corner. Larry Fitzgerald will likely see Spencer in primary coverage, while Nate Clements shadows Anquan Boldin...Arizona will use fewer three-wide sets this year; avoid Steve Breaston...With a good shot at 20 touches, Tim Hightower is a safer play than Chris Wells. Wells may be the lead back by midseason, but Hightower's 4.8 preseason YPC and passing-down skills locked him into the Week 1 starting job.

    The 49ers will go run heavy all year, but particularly on Sunday. Only three teams gave up more rushing touchdowns than Arizona this preseason. Look for 25 carries and a TD from Frank Gore, with Glen Coffee also active...Leave Shaun Hill and the 49ers' receivers on your bench. Josh Morgan was surprisingly quiet in August (three catches, 20 yards), and Hill seemed to show more rapport with slow slot guy Arnaz Battle...You shouldn't need a last-minute tight end in Week 1, but Vernon Davis is a good bet if you do. The Cards will use SS Adrian Wilson as a linebacker/safety, with FS Antrel Rolle on Davis. Rolle has been oft-burned since entering the league.



    Washington @ NY Giants

    Brandon Jacobs is a must-start every time he suits up, but Ahmad Bradshaw may give the hefty Redskins defensive line more problems. Bradshaw's shake-and-bake style, surprising pop, and elusiveness in space will be a handful for oversized and aging DLs Phillip Daniels and Cornelius Griffin. Albert Haynesworth is quick off the snap, but does little in pursuit, while RE Andre Carter is mostly a one-trick pass-rushing pony. Use Bradshaw in a flex spot if you're searching for options...The Giants' passing game is to be avoided until a wideout steps up. A Domenik Hixon-Mario Manningham-Hakeem Nicks committee at split end is possible, and Steve Smith is a possession target with weak red-zone skills.

    The Giants changed defensive coordinators this offseason, promoting LBs coach Bill Sheridan from within. The player moves, however, strongly indicate that there will be no shortage of fire-zone blitzes and pressure from all angles. That's a major concern for a Redskins line that returns its two best players (LT Chris Samuels and RG Randy Thomas) at age 32+ and coming off surgery. It'll be a long day for Jim Zorn's passing offense...The Skins' running game is unlikely to fare much better. Clinton Portis is a candidate to start slow after averaging 3.1 YPC on just 11 preseason carries and 2.87 yards-per in his last five "real" games. Having lost his third-down job to Ladell Betts, it's not only Portis' production that threatens to be down. His role is declining.

    St. Louis @ Seattle

    New Seahawks offensive coordinator Greg Knapp, one of the run-heaviest minds of our generation, will be able to execute his game plan to the fullest against a Rams defense that already lost DT Adam Carriker for the season and is juggling bodies at outside linebacker. St. Louis will start 2008 Mr. Irrelevant David Vobora on the strong side, and career practice body Gary Gibson on the interior. Expect reduced pass attempts from Matt Hasselbeck and a surprisingly strong game from Jim Mora-alleged feature back Julius Jones...We're not in love with T.J. Houshmandzadeh this year, and while he needs to be started his matchup isn't that great on paper. The Rams will likely shadow Housh with physical LCB Ronald Bartell, who is a good enough tackler to prevent Houshmandzadeh from racking up yards after the catch. Housh could catch 6-9 balls and still not top 100 yards.

    New split end Laurent Robinson showed the best rapport with Rams quarterbacks this preseason, hauling in a team-high 10 passes for 137 yards to secure a starting job. Donnie Avery is a slightly better talent, but Robinson's matchup is better this time around. With Marcus Trufant (back) out, the 6'2/194-pound speedster will likely see a lot of 30-year-old RCB Ken Lucas in coverage. Robinson is a better Week 1 play than Avery, who missed the entire preseason with a stress fracture...Steven Jackson is another must-play that we'd limit expectations for. Seattle returns high-motor DE Patrick Kerney, added 300-pound DE Cory Redding via free agency, and drafted new strong-side linebacker Aaron Curry. The Rams will need to pass to win. Jackson can still be a major factor as a receiver out of the backfield, but his rushing total may be unimpressive.

    Sunday Night Football

    Chicago @ Green Bay

    Aaron Rodgers couldn't have had a better preseason (77.4% completions, 11.7 YPA, 5:0 TDs to INTs) and it'll carry over to Sunday night. Chicago is bound to have communication problems in the backend, as FS Danieal Manning, LCB Charles Tillman, and RCB Zackary Bowman all sat out most or all of camp with injuries. Greg Jennings, cleared from his preseason concussion, has explosion potential...new assistant Rod Marinelli will help Chicago's defensive line, but Ryan Grant remains a must-start RB2. He averaged a solid 4.4 YPC in August and the Bears are unsettled at nose tackle after losing Dusty Dvoracek for the year. DEs Adewale Ogunleye, 32, and Alex Brown, 30, are also getting "up there" in age...Wait and see how Packers TE Jermichael Finley fares early on before considering him. Green Bay's loaded receiver corps is likely to hog targets.

    Rather than test the Packers' dynamic Charles Woodson-Al Harris corner duo, look for Bears coordinator Ron Turner to run a ball-control offense in the opener. Turner was aggressive this preseason -- Chicago ranked sixth in the NFL with a 7.6 YPA -- but it'd be much smarter to utilize Matt Forte heavily against Green Bay's transitioning front seven...If any non-Forte pass catcher on the Bears is poised for a big game, it's Greg Olsen. Woodson and Harris will give raw receivers Devin Hester and Earl Bennett fits. Olsen will see a combination of tackle-first, cover-later SS Atari Bigby and ILB Nick Barnett (knee) in coverage over the middle. Olsen is an every-week starter.

    Monday Night Football

    Buffalo @ New England

    Whether Tom Brady is "all the way" back from knee surgery is the subject of some debate among nitpicky analysts. We deal in facts and numbers. Brady posted a 7.7 YPA, threw two touchdowns to no interceptions, and demonstrated the ability to take hits this preseason. He'll light up a Bills secondary that trots out new starting SS Bryan Scott and is unlikely to generate consistent pass rush...Fred Taylor will probably get the start, but the Pats will continue to use all their backs as rotating role players. Laurence Maroney will eat into early-down carries, BenJarvus Green-Ellis is a candidate for goal-line work, and Kevin Faulk will catch the passes. It's still a situation to avoid...Randy Moss (6'4/210) has an unfair size advantage on Bills LCB Terrence McGee (5'9/198) and RCB Leodis McKelvin (5'10/184). It's also hard to imagine Buffalo having answers for Wes Welker in three-receiver sets. Second-year player Reggie Corner will cover the slot, and likely struggle with Welker's precision routes. By the way, Welker (undisclosed) is going to play.

    Buffalo has an ugly situation brewing in front of Trent Edwards. New blind-side tackle Demetrius Bell is athletic, but has played zero career snaps and will square off with Pats RE Ty Warren's devastating bull rush in Monday night's affair. On the strong side, New England LE Derrick Burgess is a mismatch for immobile Bills RT Brad Butler. Inside, Vince Wilfork is likely to manhandle light-in-the-pants LG Andy Levitre, who couldn't even stop Titans journeyman Kevin Vickerson in the preseason. Completely avoid Edwards...If the Patriots dominate the trenches as we anticipate, Buffalo may resort to frequent Fred Jackson dumpoffs. Jackson is a solid RB2 play in PPR leagues.

    San Diego @ Oakland

    No team was worse than San Diego at defending tight ends in '08, and that may not change. Rookie Kevin Ellison didn't step up to grab the strong safety job, so burnable starter Clinton Hart returns. Expect a big night for Zach Miller...The Bolts will use a rotation of Shawne Merriman and rookie Larry English against Raiders LT Mario Henderson. Expect a sack or two between them and a pair of picks from JaMarcus Russell with Bolts RCB Antonio Cromartie back healthy...Justin Fargas (hamstring) hasn't practiced in nearly three weeks and is unlikely to play a substantial role in Week 1. This game should re-energize the Darren McFadden hype train. He's a threat for 25 touches even if Oakland falls behind early because McFadden is an outstanding receiver.

    It's easy to imagine LaDainian Tomlinson looking like his old self against the Richard Seymour-less Raiders. Oakland felt desperate to deal for Seymour because undersized RE Trevor Scott was getting blown off the ball all preseason. Scott will start Monday, and the front seven will remain among the league's leakiest. While the rest of the onlookers are saying "he's baaack," Tomlinson owners should sell high before Week 2...Vincent Jackson is always subject to being shut down when the Bolts play Oakland because he typically lines up across from Nnamdi Asomugha. It could be different this time around, as Asomugha has a club on his hand after suffering a "chip" fracture in August. The All Pro may struggle to knock V-Jax off his routes in press coverage.

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    Last Minute Decisions

    Now that we've expanded our free week-by-week coverage with in-depth game by game breakdowns in addition to Gregg Rosenthal's dominant Goal Line Stand rankings, the new Last Minute Decisions column has changed. We'll now focus strictly on the injuries. Good luck to everyone this week.

    Game-Time Decisions for Week 1

    Arms
    Matt Schaub - Certain to start against Jets defense that is down two starters.
    Marc Bulger - Cleared to start and take snaps from center after broken finger.
    Matt Cassel - Likely will start, but not remotely a fantasy consideration @ BAL.
    Kyle Orton/Chris Simms - Orton is fully scheduled to start against Cincinnati.

    Backs
    Brian Westbrook - Probable and must be in fantasy lineups against the Panthers.
    Knowshon Moreno - Expected to play, but hasn't passed Correll Buckhalter yet.
    Jerome Harrison - James Davis will have a much bigger role early in the season.
    Brandon Jackson - Won't play; DeShawn Wynn will handle third downs on SNF.
    Justin Fargas - Hamstring woes cost Fargas his job to Darren McFadden.
    Sammy Morris - Fifth on the depth chart now, even behind BenJarvus Green-Ellis.

    Wideouts
    Anquan Boldin - Status won't be known until pre-game warmups in a late game.
    Wes Welker - Knee injury unlikely to sideline Welker for Monday night vs. BUF.
    Kevin Walter - Expect Andre' Davis to start and Owen Daniels to have big day.
    Bernard Berrian - a full-blown game-time call, so check Rotoworld on Sunday.
    Antonio Bryant/Michael Clayton - Both are probable and will start at Cowboys.
    Chris Henry - Situational deep threat is all systems go for Sunday against DEN.
    Steve Breaston - His offensive role is declining and he isn't 100 percent (knee).
    Jabar Gaffney - Look for Brandon Marshall to regain his starting job on Sunday.
    Deion Branch - Didn't practice all week and swiftly falling down the depth chart.
    Devin Aromashodu - Bears third wide receiver's status completely up in the air.
    Terrance Copper - Listed as starter, but Dwayne Bowe will get the nod at BAL.

    Ends
    Jeremy Shockey - Had Friday off; Shockey will be in starting lineup vs. Detroit.
    L.J. Smith - Listed as "doubtful," but he is sure to be among Ravens inactives.

    Legs
    Jason Hanson - He may not kick off, but Hanson will kick field goals vs. Saints.

    Already Ruled Out for Week 1

    Arms
    None of significance.

    Backs
    Pierre Thomas - Thomas' return is uncertain; Mike Bell to get goal-line carries.
    Marshawn Lynch - Suspension goes through Week 3; Fred Jackson starting.
    Kevin Jones - Landed on I.R. already; Garrett Wolfe now Matt Forte's backup.
    Andre Brown - Done for year with Achilles' tear; Danny wear now Giants' No. 3.

    Wideouts
    Brandon Jones - Micheal Spurlock, Arnaz Battle are sharing third receiver duty.
    Chaz Schilens - Raiders will start two rookie receivers for Monday night game.

    Ends
    David Martin - Anthony Fasano will see increased targets with Martin on I.R.

    Legs
    Garrett Hartley - Four-game suspension means John Carney will be the starter.

  13. #13
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    Last Minute Decisions

    Now that we've expanded our free week-by-week coverage with in-depth game by game breakdowns in addition to Gregg Rosenthal's dominant Goal Line Stand rankings, the new Last Minute Decisions column has changed. We'll now focus strictly on the injuries. Good luck to everyone this week.

    Game-Time Decisions for Week 1

    Arms
    Matt Schaub - Certain to start against Jets defense that is down two starters.
    Marc Bulger - Cleared to start and take snaps from center after broken finger.
    Matt Cassel - Likely will start, but not remotely a fantasy consideration @ BAL.
    Kyle Orton/Chris Simms - Orton is fully scheduled to start against Cincinnati.

    Backs
    Brian Westbrook - Probable and must be in fantasy lineups against the Panthers.
    Knowshon Moreno - Expected to play, but hasn't passed Correll Buckhalter yet.
    Jerome Harrison - James Davis will have a much bigger role early in the season.
    Brandon Jackson - Won't play; DeShawn Wynn will handle third downs on SNF.
    Justin Fargas - Hamstring woes cost Fargas his job to Darren McFadden.
    Sammy Morris - Fifth on the depth chart now, even behind BenJarvus Green-Ellis.

    Wideouts
    Anquan Boldin - Status won't be known until pre-game warmups in a late game.
    Wes Welker - Knee injury unlikely to sideline Welker for Monday night vs. BUF.
    Kevin Walter - Expect Andre' Davis to start and Owen Daniels to have big day.
    Bernard Berrian - a full-blown game-time call, so check Rotoworld on Sunday.
    Antonio Bryant/Michael Clayton - Both are probable and will start at Cowboys.
    Chris Henry - Situational deep threat is all systems go for Sunday against DEN.
    Steve Breaston - His offensive role is declining and he isn't 100 percent (knee).
    Jabar Gaffney - Look for Brandon Marshall to regain his starting job on Sunday.
    Deion Branch - Didn't practice all week and swiftly falling down the depth chart.
    Devin Aromashodu - Bears third wide receiver's status completely up in the air.
    Terrance Copper - Listed as starter, but Dwayne Bowe will get the nod at BAL.

    Ends
    Jeremy Shockey - Had Friday off; Shockey will be in starting lineup vs. Detroit.
    L.J. Smith - Listed as "doubtful," but he is sure to be among Ravens inactives.

    Legs
    Jason Hanson - He may not kick off, but Hanson will kick field goals vs. Saints.

    Already Ruled Out for Week 1

    Arms
    None of significance.

    Backs
    Pierre Thomas - Thomas' return is uncertain; Mike Bell to get goal-line carries.
    Marshawn Lynch - Suspension goes through Week 3; Fred Jackson starting.
    Kevin Jones - Landed on I.R. already; Garrett Wolfe now Matt Forte's backup.
    Andre Brown - Done for year with Achilles' tear; Danny wear now Giants' No. 3.

    Wideouts
    Brandon Jones - Micheal Spurlock, Arnaz Battle are sharing third receiver duty.
    Chaz Schilens - Raiders will start two rookie receivers for Monday night game.

    Ends
    David Martin - Anthony Fasano will see increased targets with Martin on I.R.

    Legs
    Garrett Hartley - Four-game suspension means John Carney will be the starter.

  14. #14
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    Kolb finally gets a good chance

    Funny how the Eagles never go long without drama at quarterback. Anyhow, here we go again with Donovan McNabb's rib injury overshadowing a dominating opening win against the Panthers.
    Here's the short answer: Pick up Kevin Kolb. In Week 2, the Eagles host the Saints, who just gave up 27 points to the Lions. The Eagles could get blown out and still score 31; if you drafted Jake Delhomme, think of Kolb as an instant upgrade.

    Here's the long(-term) answer:
    Don't pick up Kolb. First, McNabb might not miss much time. More important, Michael Vick gets on the field in Week 3. And if McNabb is still out, surely the Eagles will rush together a package to get Vick a significant amount of playing time. A worst-case scenario would be Kolb and Vick splitting snaps, but we are a long way from that.
    Kolb's first two extended stretches of playing time -- last year against the Ravens and Sunday against the Panthers -- have been very unimpressive. None of his 45 total passes have gone for a touchdown. But he gets a full week of practice with the first team to get ready for the Saints, who -- did I mention? -- just allowed 27 points to the Lions.
    Any boost wide receivers DeSean Jackson, Kevin Curtis, Jeremy Maclin or Jason Avant might get from playing the Saints is balanced out by the uncertainty of Kolb. You might also get an extra bit of Brian Westbrook or LeSean McCoy.
    If you get one good game out of Kolb, do not be fooled into thinking he would do it regularly should McNabb be sidelined

  15. #15
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    McNabb among walking wounded


    With the majority of Week 1 schedule completed, it is time to take a look at some of the key injuries.

    Just like last year's Week 1 injury of Tom Brady, all eyes are on a franchise quarterback, the Philadelphia Eagles' Donovan McNabb. However there is a lot more uncertainty surrounding McNabb's injury than there was for Brady's injury. According to Eagles coach Andy Reid, McNabb's status is still up in the air for next week's matchup against New Orleans despite having a fractured rib.
    FOXSports' Jay Glazer is reporting however that McNabb will miss next week's game and it is unclear as to when he will return. If this is true, look for Kevin Kolb to be the starter but that doesn't mean that you should play him. McNabb owners should check for updates on his health this week as Andy Reid would love to avoid starting Kolb.

    If McNabb is not able to make it back for Week 3, it will be interesting to see Michael Vick make his Eagles debut as a potential starter. But recent reports are saying that the Eagles are not necessarily viewing Vick as an upgrade to Kolb which is why they are reported to be pursuing free agent A.J. Feeley as another arm behind Kolb. The Eagles play the Kansas City Chiefs that week which would be a favorable matchup for whoever is taking the snaps.

    There are some additional key players who have injuries that have fantasy implications. Continuing in the NFC East, the Dallas Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo hurt his right ankle in the third quarter of their 34-21 win against the Buccaneers. The injury doesn't appear to be serious since Romo played the remainder of the game, although he admitted after the game that it hurts to put pressure on it. As of now he should be starting in all formats but Romo owners should continue to monitor his status throughout the week.

    The Indianapolis Colts wide weceiver Anthony Gonzalez was lifted with a knee injury in the first quarter of their game against the Jaguars. Gonzalez is expected to miss 2-6 weeks with Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon the candidates to fill in. Collie beat out Garcon in the preseason for the third Wide Receiver job so look for him to get the most targets.

    Going back to the NFC East, the New York Giants rookie Wide Receiver Hakeem Nicks was carted off the field and will miss at least 2-3 weeks due to a foot sprain. Nicks came into the season as the Giants fourth receiver with Ramses Barden, one of Manning's pre-season favorites, lurking behind, so there isn't much value remaining for Nicks as a fantasy bench player.

  16. #16
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    Beyond the Box Score




    Broncos 12, Bengals 7

    Beyond the Box Score

    * The Broncos started in a three-receiver set with Eddie Royal at split end, Brandon Stokley in the slot, and Jabar Gaffney at flanker. Brandon Marshall entered on the second snap and led Denver in targets, but dropped multiple passes. He isn't a reliable fantasy option yet.

    * Chris Henry saw just two targets and is only a fourth receiver, despite his awesome preseason. He was not involved in three-wideout sets most of the time. They usually consisted of Chad Ochocinco and Laveranues Coles outside, with impressive Andre Caldwell in the slot.

    * Correll Buckhalter started at tailback and severely outplayed Knowshon Moreno from the first snap. However, the Broncos used a four-man running back committee, also involving LaMont Jordan and Peyton Hillis. It's a major drain on any fantasy value.

    * Coles dropped four passes and was the worst receiver on the field Sunday. Caldwell is clearly a superior option. Coles' starting job may not be in danger because of his mega-million-dollar contract, but he needs to be on fantasy benches.

    Going Forward

    * Chalk up Royal's 2-for-18 effort as a fluke. He'll likely end up with the most catches on the Broncos, or at least come close to Brandon Marshall. Royal is an excellent buy-low target and should stay in fantasy lineups in Week 2 against Cleveland.

    * Caldwell isn't a fantasy option, despite his excellent Week 1. He dominated late in the game, but the Bengals will likely use a rotation at the No. 3 receiver position with Chris Henry. If Caldwell overtakes Coles at flanker, however, he'd be an immediate pickup in all settings.

    * Kyle Orton's stitches have been removed and he'll play Week 2 without a glove on his previously lacerated throwing hand. It should help his accuracy. Orton will be a quality option in two-quarterback leagues against the Browns.

    * Carson Palmer was healthy and played better than his numbers indicated Sunday. We'd sit him against Green Bay's awesome secondary in Week 2, but he'll be a fantasy starter in upcoming matchups @ Cleveland (Week 4), @ Baltimore (Week 5), and vs. Houston (Week 6).


    Panthers 10 Eagles 38

    BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

    * Eight of LeSean McCoy's nine carries came in garbage time. There is no committee in Philadelphia, Brian Westbrook is the man.

    * Westbrook's ankle and knee problems of the offseason were a non-issue. He was cutting and moving just like he always has.

    * When the Panthers got to the goal-line in the first quarter, Jonathan Stewart got three straight chances to punch it in. He failed on all three.

    * The carry split between Williams (9) and Stewart (8) was virtually even in the first half.

    * Stewart's Achilles gave him no problems. He ran hard and showed good hands in the passing game as well.

    * Donovan McNabb was not staring down DeSean Jackson, who had four targets before McNabb got hurt. He was spreading the ball around evenly as he has done in all years except the T.O. season.

    GOING FORWARD

    * Andy Reid wouldn't say it yet, but Donovan McNabb (fractured rib) is very unlikely to play against the Saints next week. All of the Eagles receivers should be downgraded if Kevin Kolb starts.

    * Jake Delhomme will start next week after getting pulled, but he has to be getting gun shy. He's thrown nine interceptions in his last 51 passing attempts.

    * Jonathan Stewart's role should continue to grow. He will be a solid flex spot play as soon as next week.


    Ravens 38 Chiefs 24

    Beyond the Box Score

    *The Ravens obviously have more confidence in Joe Flacco this season, as they called 49 pass plays to only 36 run calls. Last season, the Ravens were a run-heavy offense, but the 43 pass attempts and 307 passing yards were both career highs for Flacco. Don't expect offensive coordinator Cam Cameron to call this many pass plays but look for them to put the game in Flacco's hands more.

    *Ray Rice is going to be a special player this year. He is quick and strong for his 5'8'' frame. Rice turned the corner well and can make plays in space. He has good hands and Flacco targeted him at least four times on pass plays. Expect more than 19 carries from him on a week-to-week basis, but don't expect too many touchdowns.

    *Willis McGahee is obviously the team's goal-line back. McGahee had a last minute 1-yard touchdown run to seal the deal and also caught a 3-yard score from a scrambling Flacco in the first quarter. He ran the ball ten times for 44 yards and caught four passes for 31 yards.

    *Maurice Leggett is not a good bet to start many more games for the Chiefs at cornerback. Flacco and the Ravens targeted Leggett nearly every time they threw the ball. He was beat by Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton on a regular basis.

    *Larry Johnson looks like he has lost a step. Maybe it's the offensive line, but he couldn't get anything going against a Ravens defense that wasn't itself either. L.J., the last running back to run for 100 yards on the Ravens back in 2006, only generated 20 yards on 11 carries. Maybe he can get it going against Oakland in Week 2.

    Going Forward

    *Mark Bradley looks very much improved. He was Brodie Croyle's favorite target on the day, catching four passes for 73 yards but was thrown to seven times. His 50-yard catch on Fabian Washington set up a 53-yard field goal for rookie Ryan Succop. Wait until next week and see if Matt Cassel favors Bradley as well, but he is clearly the team's No. 2 receiver.

    *Dwayne Bowe was double-teamed early in the game and didn't see much action which allowed Bradley to get a lot of balls. Bowe should get more passes thrown his way from Cassel than the five he got from Croyle on Sunday, but don't bank on a lot of production in Week 2, as he will be blanketed by Oakland's Nnamdi Asomugha.

    *Todd Heap is back. Flacco got Heap the ball for four first down conversions and he was continuously open over the middle. Look for Heap to return to old form and become an integral part of the Ravens' passing game.


    Falcons 19 Dolphins 7

    Beyond the Box Score

    *The Dolphins sold out to stop the run, which kept Michael Turner's numbers fairly low.

    *Matt Ryan misfired several times on deep throws where he had an open receiver. The game would have been a blowout if he was accurate down the field Sunday.

    *Pat White was used on less than a handful of plays, and he overshot a wide open Ted Ginn by at least 10 yards on his one pass attempt.

    *Chad Pennington looked more like the player who couldn't muster any offense against the Ravens in the playoffs last season as opposed to the 2008 MVP runner-up.

    *Ricky Williams still has plenty of life in his legs. He looked quicker than last season and can still help this team as a role player.

    Going Forward

    *Tony Gonzalez is great for Matt Ryan's value, not so good for Roddy White's.

    *Don't count on Jerious Norwood getting extra touches this year. He's in the same role.

    *Ronnie Brown still has a Ricky Williams problem.

    *For fantasy purposes, Davone Bess is the Dolphins No. 2 receiver.


    Jets 24 Texans 7

    BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

    * Andre Johnson was shadowed by Darrelle Revis all game and it showed. Johnson simply wasn't open.

    * The Texans' offensive line was overmatched. They returned all five starters on the line but maybe that wasn't a good thing.

    * Thomas Jones had just one rushing yard in the first half but then broke off two long runs of 38 and 39 yards in the fourth quarter.

    * The Jets got Leon Washington involved every chance they could, but Jones was still the main ball carrier on early downs.

    * Mark Sanchez looked calm, completing third-down conversions at will. He showed tremendous accuracy while throwing slants and on bootlegs.

    GOING FORWARD

    * Matt Schaub was clearly rattled by all the pressure he was under. He won't stay upright very long without better protection.

    * Dustin Keller proved he can be started every week. He lined up out wide and showed great speed running after the catch.

    * Chris Brown didn't steal very many snaps from Steve Slaton, who had a bad fumble when the Texans were actually about to back in the game.


    Browns 20 Vikings 34

    Beyond the Box Score

    * Percy Harvin was used sparingly, getting just five touches and acting as a decoy on several plays, but the Vikings showed a willingness to line him up in lots of different alignments and his workload will only rise.

    * James Davis may eventually supplant Jamal Lewis as the primary ball-carrier, but Lewis looked solid despite a very difficult matchup and the rookie did absolutely nothing in limited opportunities.

    * It's tough to judge Brett Favre's arm strength, as he didn't really attempt much in terms of down-field throws with Bernard Berrian at less than full strength and the offense in run-heavy mode, but he was accurate on mid-range tosses and dump-downs.

    * Brady Quinn's fumble was on a Garo Yepremian-like whiff with no defender near him.

    Takeaways

    * Eric Mangini definitely likes Joshua Cribbs as an offensive weapon, using him unsuccessfully on back-to-back direct snaps at the goal line in addition to wide receiver and return action. Look for Cribbs to at least double last year's total of 31 touches offensively.

    * They misfired on a few jump-ball attempts, but Sidney Rice looks likely to be Favre's favorite goal-line target.

    * Adrian Peterson was an absolute beast, but it's worth noting that he still came out of the game during most third-down situations in favor of Chester Taylor. Peterson's only catch came on a semi-trick play that began with a fake handoff to Harvin.

    * Robert Royal was targeted nine times and may put up career-best numbers by default with Quinn frequently looking to dump the ball off underneath.


    Buccaneers 21 Cowboys 34

    Beyond the Box Score

    * Despite preseason speculation that Felix Jones and Marion Barber would form a timeshare, the Dallas backfield belongs to MBIII. The 26-year-old's burst is back and he "closed" the game in dominating fashion. He's again a threat for 15+ touchdowns.

    * Antonio Bryant's knee problems aren't going away. Bryant, who underwent arthroscopic surgery in camp, left the game with an injury to the same knee in the second half and did not return.

    * The Cowboys capitalized on communication problems in the Bucs' secondary, lighting them up with touchdowns of 42 yards (Miles Austin), 66 yards (Roy Williams), and 80 (Patrick Crayton). Tony Romo was highly aggressive, despite only 27 pass attempts.

    * The Bucs used Earnest Graham as a lead blocker more than a ball carrier. Coach Raheem Morris said Tampa Bay would employ a "2-2-1" running back rotation, but ultimately it was only a "2-2" committee of Carnell Williams and Derrick Ward, who shared touches evenly. Williams started and exhibited some power, but Ward is the superior all-purpose back.

    Going Forward

    * Keep the Bucs' safety issues (converted linebacker Jermaine Phillips is starting at free safety through Week 4 with Tanard Jackson suspended) in mind for upcoming matchups @ Buffalo, vs. NY Giants, and @ Washington.

    * Stick with the Cowboys' fantasy defense despite zero sacks and interceptions in Week 1. They generated plenty of pressure and got countless QB hits on Byron Leftwich. Sacks and turnovers will come.

    * Kellen Winslow is the only start-able member of Tampa Bay's passing game at this point.

    * Ward and Cadillac's fantasy upsides are significantly capped by their even rotation. Neither is close to a reliable RB2.


    Saints 45 Lions 27

    Beyond the Box Score

    *Calvin Johnson was targeted more than 10 times, but Stafford couldn't get the ball to him. Johnson would have had a touchdown added to his totals, but refs incorrectly ruled him out at the 3-yard line on a nifty catch-and-run.

    *Lance Moore was the third or fourth option on the passing game. With all Saints receivers healthy, he's going to have a hard time matching last year's numbers.

    *Marques Colston had fewer targets than Devery Henderson. According to Football Outsiders' injury expert Will Carroll, Colston had trouble cutting and stopping and could only go forward.

    *Robert Meachem looked explosive as a kickoff returner. If any of the other receivers go down with an injury, he'll have immediate fantasy value.

    *The Saints clearly don't want to use Reggie Bush as the lead runner. Mike Bell did all of the heavy lifting, with Bush being used as a change of pace back and receiver.

    Takeaways

    * Preseason reports of Kevin Smith being the focal point of the Lions offense held true. Maurice Morris didn't receive a single carry.

    *Matthew Stafford's accuracy and decision making were erratic. Unless he hooks up with Calvin Johnson a couple of deep balls each game, he's going to be useless for fantasy purposes.

    *Mike Bell is a must-have for Pierre Thomas owners. He shouldn't be left available on any waiver wires.

    *The Saints are relying more on Drew Brees near the end zone. Last year was his first season over 30 TDs, and he might threaten 40 this season.

    *Jeremy Shockey could also threaten a career-high in TDs this season, as Brees was looking to him as a go-to guy in the red zone.


    Colts 14 Jaguars 12

    Beyond the Box Score

    * Reggie Wayne was fantastic despite a tough on-paper matchup with Rashean Mathis, finding seams in the defense early and then burning safety Reggie Nelson on a play-action bomb down the middle late. Peyton Manning also targeted him a goal-line fade route that was picked off in the first quarter, which is ultimately good news for his scoring chances.

    * It's tough to say whether losing 20 pounds during the offseason had a big impact, because David Garrard has always been great at scrambling and making plays with his legs, but he avoided tackles frequently Sunday and picked up a nice nine-yard completion to Greg Jones after shedding a pair of would-be sacks on the same play.

    * Troy Williamson showed why track records count more than randomly great preseason performances.

    Takeaways

    * Anthony Gonzalez is expected to miss 2-6 weeks with a knee injury suffered on a play where no one was even close to touching him, as he simply collapsed coming off the line of scrimmage. Third-round pick Austin Collie becomes a nice pickup with Gonzalez out, as the BYU product led Division I in receiving yards last season, has good hands, and saw plenty of snaps Sunday.

    * Joseph Addai dominated the workload early, but seemingly got himself benched with a fumble and a drop, at which point rookie Donald Brown did most of the heavy lifting in the fourth quarter. Expect the snaps to be divvied out on a week-by-week basis, but clearly Addai is on a fairly short leash in general.

    * Maurice Jones-Drew's numbers weren't eye-popping, but he got a heavier workload than in every game except one last season. Barring injury he should be one of the most consistent fantasy studs on a week-to-week basis, because the Jaguars really don't have anyone else around to steal snaps even if they wanted.


    49ers 20 Cardinals 16

    Beyond the Box Score

    *The Cardinals desperately missed Todd Haley's playcalling on Sunday. They were much more conservative offensively, and Warner didn't have a shotgun snap until the second half.

    *Hightower's 12 receptions were the result of dumpoffs due to two factors: the 49ers defense hurried Warner 21 times, and Warner didn't have enough confidence in his arm strength to attempt down-field throws.

    *Wells barely played in the first half. When he finally did enter, it was immediately obvious that he's a much more explosive runner than Hightower. Whereas Hightower wants to break everything to the outside, Wells runs north and south with authority.

    *The 49ers stayed true to their ground game commitment. Even with the Cardinals defense swarming all game, Frank Gore remained the focal point. They didn't let Shaun Hill loose until an impressive 15-play, 13-pass drive in the fourth quarter.

    *Isaac Bruce looked every bit of 36-years-old on an end=around that went for an eight yard loss. The 49ers need to take that page out of the playbook.

    *Josh Morgan was nowhere to be found in the second half. Announcers didn't mention an injury, and the Niners didn't address the situation after the game.

    Going Forward

    *Kurt Warner suddenly looks very old. The hip surgery appears to be affecting both his arm strength and his accuracy.

    *Anquan Boldin wasn't healthy enough to be a fantasy factor. Check to make sure he puts in a full practice this week.

    *Tim Hightower will hold off Beanie Wells for the foreseeable future. Cardinals coaches don't seem to trust the rookie in passing situations.

    *Glen Coffee is no threat to Frank Gore.

    *Vernon Davis is being moved off the line of scrimmage in passing situations. He's in for a career year.


    Giants 23 Redskins 17

    BEYOND THE BOX SCORE

    * Malcolm Kelly started but had a ball thrown his way just once all game.

    * Antwaan Randle El worked out of the slot and was Jason Campbell's favorite target.

    * Ladell Betts did play on third-downs but Clinton Portis was in for a two-minute drill at the end of the first half.

    * With Danny Ware dislocating his elbow on opening kickoff, Ahmad Bradshaw spelled Brandon Jacobs often.

    * Jacobs had two carries from the inside the five-yard line but couldn't convert either.

    * Campbell rarely looked Santana Moss' way and he had one catch for negative two yards midway through the fourth quarter.

    * Hakeem Nicks sprained his foot and was on crutches at the end of the game.

    GOING FORWARD

    * Mario Manningham looks like he will push Domenik Hixon for the No. 2 WR job, but Eli Manning will spread the ball around.

    * Ahmad Bradshaw ran impressively and the Giants won't hesitate to give him 15 touches a game.

    * None of the Redskins' wide receivers can be trusted on a weekly basis.


    Seahawks 28 Rams 0

    Beyond the Box Score

    * Marc Bulger is still afraid of the pass rush and it won't change. St. Louis may never win another game as long as he's under center.

    * The Seahawks paid T.J. Houshmandzadeh No. 1 receiver money, but he is purely a possession target. He does nothing after the catch.

    * John Carlson tore apart the Rams' safeties, who bit on play-action fakes badly all game. St. Louis may struggle to defend tight ends all season.

    * Julius Jones was the Seahawks' featured back when the game was still remotely close. He finally showed confidence we haven't seen since his early Dallas days. Edgerrin James only got garbage-time carries.

    Going Forward

    * The Rams' terrible passing game limits his upside, but Laurent Robinson may be emerging as their No. 1 receiver. He should be picked up in all leagues and has the explosiveness and size to be a legitimate bye-week fantasy starter.

    * Keep all the Seahawks' production in perspective; they were playing the Rams. Matt Hasselbeck is a good sell-high candidate, as is Nate Burleson.

    * Don't stress about Steven Jackson's lack of involvement in the passing game. It will change when the Rams' coaching staff watches game film this week, and they'll make a concerted effort to make sure he catches more passes the rest of the way.


    Packers 21 Bears 15
    Beyond the Box Score

    *Packers receiver Jordy Nelson got the night started with a 46-yard return of the opening kickoff. He was also solid on punt returns in the absence of usual special teams guru CB Will Blackmon.

    *Bears CB Nathan Vasher was consistently burned by Green Bay's wideouts. He'll be a liability in the secondary all season.

    *Packers RB Ryan Grant rattled off a lengthy run early in the second half that was negated by a questionable holding call. He showed an impressive burst on the scamper and may have grown as a running back this summer.

    *Jay Cutler nearly threw two interceptions in the first quarter, but Green Bay's Tramon Williams displayed hands of stone. His career-high four picks look awful, but it could have been worse.

    *Aaron Rodgers was clearly flustered by the Bears' pass rush in the game's first three quarters. He's normally a very accurate passer, but overthrew more than two deep balls and struggled in his decision-making. Of course, all was righted on the Packers' final drive.

    Going Forward

    *Jay Cutler had a passer rating of over 107.0 last season against the blitz, but looked far from comfortable with the Packers' pass rush Sunday night. He was able to settle in during the second half, but it was unsettling to see him so flustered. With Pittsburgh on tap for Week 2, the Bears could be in real trouble.

    *The Packers' defense has quickly improved from "good" to "great" under new coordinator Dom Capers. From their creative blitz packages to shutdown corners, this Green Bay defensive group should finish among the league's elite in both turnovers and fantasy points.

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    LaDainian's Bad Night


    Perhaps the most telling picture of last night was just after Darren Sproles ran in the game-winning touchdown and the cameras found LaDainian Tomlinson half-celebrating on the sideline.

    His ankle injury that was revealed after the game didn't seem to be a huge factor. He just wasn't in the game for the winning drive. For that matter, Tomlinson didn't play on third-down all game and was removed during two-minute drills. Meanwhile, Darren Sproles was huge for the Chargers, making the big plays that won the game. Both backs ended up touching the ball 14 times. Tomlinson's final numbers were 13 carries for 55 yards and one touchdown, with one catch for 11 yards.

    Let's not overreact to one game. Tomlinson looked shifty at times and made a couple guys miss. For the most part, Raiders defenders were in the backfield on his carries. Tomlinson got the call on a 1st-and-goal from the one-yard line and converted. So it's not all bad.

    But Tomlinson certainly didn't hit the hole like he used to and lost a key fumble. He looked too slow to get around the corner and didn't run through anyone. Sproles was the hero and he showed he needs to get his touches.

    Bottom line: It was a painful game to watch if you owned Tomlinson. The Raiders had one of the league's worst run-defenses last year and LaDainian never got going. The Chargers showed they're willing to go to Sproles over the veteran. If you took Tomlinson in first half of the first round, you can safely regret it already.

    Chargers/Raiders quick hitters: Justin Fargas was inactive, leaving Darren McFadden to get a little more work than Michael Bush. … Zach Miller continues to be JaMarcus Russell's favorite target and caught six balls for 96 yards … Vincent Jackson was shadowed by Nnamdi Asomugha for most of the game, but still managed a decent game. Bigger ones are ahead. ... Louis Murphy was impressive and Russell looked to him more than fellow rookie Darrius Heyward-Bey.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 2, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    BRADY SHAKES RUST OFF
    The big story in the opening game last night was the return of Tom Brady. The Patriots decided to ease him back into action by putting the ball in the air 53 times. In his ridiculous 2007 campaign Brady only had more than 50 passing attempts once.

    The surprising score had a lot to do with all those attempts as the Bills led for most of the game. Brady wore a brace on his surgically repaired knee but it wasn't a factor. He even scrambled up the middle for a nice nine-yard run before sliding.

    His final numbers - 39-of-53, 378 yards, two touchdowns, one interception - looked like a lot of those 2007 games, when Brady finished with 50 touchdowns and eight interceptions. The biggest difference was that Brady didn't get the ball down the field at all for big plays. Virtually every one of his completions up until the final minutes were underneath to Wes Welker or Randy Moss. In 2007, Brady averaged 12.07 yards per completion. On Monday night, he averaged 9.69.

    Bottom line: Brady's owners have to be really happy with what they saw. Buffalo gave him the underneath routes so he took them and he got much better as the game went on. Wes Welker looked 100 percent, New England was just as pass-happy as ever and the knee was a non-factor.

    Patriots/Bills quick hitters: Wes Welker was active and his knee looked completely healthy as he caught 12 balls. … Fred Taylor got the goal-line carry and converted. … Fred Jackson ran really well. He'll get his touches even when Marshawn Lynch comes off suspension. ... Don't go overboard on Ben Watson's two touchdowns, but he gained some of Brady's trust with those big plays.
    NEWS OF THE DAY #1
    Andy Reid slapped Kevin Kolb directly in the face yesterday when the Eagles agreed to terms with Jeff Garcia. On his weekly radio show, the Eagles coach refused to name a starter for Sunday's game against the Saints, but did say Kolb will practice with the first-team on Wednesday. Garcia and Kolb are likely competing for the start Sunday, with Kolb having to fall flat on his face not to get the start. Donovan McNabb hasn't been ruled out, but Garcia's arrival probably means #5 will rest his fractured rib.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #2
    If you're grasping for some backhanded good news on Anthony Gonzalez, Colts president Bill Polian granted your wish last night. Polian said the popular preseason sleeper's knee injury will not be season-ending. Still, sources are telling the Indianapolis Star that Gonzalez could miss up to six weeks. So much for that breakout year we all predicted.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #3
    Antonio Bryant is not over his left knee injury. He had to pull himself out of Sunday's loss to the Cowboys and Raheem Morris said they'll be monitoring the situation. Bryant isn't someone you can depend on right now.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 2, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    INJURY QUICK SLANTS
    Tony Romo hurt has ankle in the third quarter Sunday, but didn't miss a play and will be fine. … Hakeem Nicks is out 2-3 weeks with a foot injury. … Texans coach Gary Kubiak said he fully expects Kevin Walter (hamstring) to play this week. … Maurice Jones-Drew showed up to his press conference with his right arm and hand wrapped up, but there's nothing serious to be worried about there. … Pierre Thomas (knee) said he will play this week, but that's what he said last week. There's no reason to rush back with Mike Bell playing so well. … Brian Urlacher is out for the year after undergoing wrist surgery.

    DEPTH CHART QUICK SLANTS
    John Fox reiterated yesterday that Jake Delhomme is still his starter, but A.J. Feely can smell the blood in the water. He chose to sign with the Panthers yesterday over the Eagles. … Laveranues Coles' drops Sunday combined with the play of Andre Caldwell could mean a timeshare going forward. … Mario Manningham is pushing Domenik Hixon and those two will likely split snaps while Hakeem Nicks is out.

    DEFENSE SPOT STARTS
    Here are three ideas for owners adding a new defense each week based on matchups:

    FALCONS vs. Panthers - Jake Delhomme has thrown nine interceptions in his last 51 pass attempts and Atlanta forced four turnovers last week.

    REDSKINS vs. Rams - St. Louis has to fly back across the country after getting embarrassed in Seattle. Tough spot when you're quarterback is struggling as bad as Marc Bulger is.

    PACKERS vs. Bengals - If Cincinnati can only muster seven points at home against the Broncos, they're really going to struggle at Lambeau.

    POSITIONAL SPOT STARTS
    Chris Wesseling will cover this topic from head-to-toe in his Waiver Wired column, but here are three guys that are worth a quick add:

    WR Austin Collie - With Anthony Gonzalez out, Collie and Pierre Garcon will be forced to pick up the slack. Collie has more upside.

    TE Todd Heap - Just in case rumors of his demise were premature. Heap got seven targets Sunday, including several in the red zone.

    QB Mark Sanchez - The rookie was really, really impressive Sunday as he made all the throws and handled the ball beautifully. Even though the Jets are a run-first team, Brian Schottenheimer's creativity will allow Sanchez to be a QB2 all season.

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    Receiving Line

    Last week's list was headlined by a possible bell-cow running back in New Orleans. Mike Bell and Cadillac Williams will continue to garner much of the hype for the second straight week, but it's a long line of receivers taking center stage on the waiver wire after the opening weekend. Justin Gage, Laurent Robinson, and Earl Bennett are establishing themselves as WR3 candidates while Mark Clayton, Michael Clayton, and Nate Burleson are trying to recapture the magic of past success. Talented young pass-catchers such as Mario Manningham, Kenny Britt, Austin Collie, Robert Meachem, and Andre Caldwell are worth keeping on watch lists for next week and beyond.

    On to the lists. Here is how I rank the top players available at each position as we head into Week 2. Full writeups of each player are below.

    Editor's NoteJoin subscriber only chats, get weekly rankings before anyone else, plus exclusive weekly projections, stat tools, dynasty ranks, columns, and much more including the Rotoworld Oracle in our Season Pass.

    Wide Receivers

    1. Justin Gage, Titans
    2. Earl Bennett, Bears
    3. Laurent Robinson, Rams
    4. Nate Burleson, Seahawks
    5. Michael Clayton, Buccaneers
    6. Mark Clayton, Ravens
    7. Nate Washington, Titans

    Running Backs

    1. Mike Bell, Saints
    2. Cadillac Williams, Buccaneers
    3. Michael Bush, Raiders
    4. Fred Taylor, Patriots
    5. Mewelde Moore, Steelers

    Quarterbacks

    1. Mark Sanchez
    2. Byron Leftwich
    3. Kerry Collins
    4. Matt Leinart

    Tight Ends

    1. Zach Miller, Raiders
    2. Brent Celek, Eagles
    3. Todd Heap, Ravens

    Defenses

    1. Seahawks
    2. Redskins
    3. Falcons


    WIDE RECEIVERS

    Justin Gage, Titans – Kerry Collins' favorite target saw 11 passes thrown his way in the opener, and he reeled in seven for 78 yards and a touchdown. Gage remains the option of choice in the red zone while doubling as the closest thing the Titans have to a go-to receiver. He can put up WR3 numbers the rest of the way.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Earl Bennett, Bears – If Sunday night's game is any indication, Devin Hester is more of a deep threat with Bennett in the possession receiver mold. Jay Cutler's former college teammate was the recipient of 13 targets – more than Hester, Greg Olsen, and Matt Forte combined. While he won't hit paydirt often, think of Bennett as a PPR asset in the Steve Smith (Giants) vein.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Laurent Robinson, Rams – We've been recommending Robinson as a late-round flier since early August, and he didn't disappoint in Week 1. With good size and sub 4.4 forty speed, he's the real deal. In a game where the Rams offense sputtered, Robinson led the team with 87 yards and was targeted more often than Donnie Avery. It wouldn't be a surprise if Robinson leapfrogged Avery to become the No. 1 receiver.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Nate Burleson, Seahawks – T.J. Houshmandzadeh was paid big bucks to act as a No. 1 receiver for Seattle, but his inability to create yards after the leaves him as little more than a glorified possession receiver. Burleson not only appears to be the Seahawks best big-play receiver, he also led the team with 11 targets in Week 1. Keep expectations reasonable as the Rams are hardly a good opening-game barometer.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Michael Clayton, Buccaneers – I know. I'm just as surprised as you are that he's on this list. With Antonio Bryant hobbled by a knee injury, Clayton channeled his rookie-year magic against the Cowboys on Sunday. Used almost strictly as a blocker under Jon Gruden the past few seasons, Clayton re-emerged as a receiving threat, posting the highest yardage he's had in any game since his rookie season. If Bryant misses time, a rejuvenated Clayton will have more games like the 5-catch, 8-target, 93-yard performance in Week 1.

    Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues

    Mark Clayton, Ravens – The 31-yard touchdown proved he was finally over a preseason hamstring injury, and Clayton finished with five catches for 77 yards on nine targets. The Ravens won't get to draw the Chiefs every week, but it's worth noting the changes in offensive philosophy under John Harbaugh, Cam Cameron, and Al Saunders. These aren't your Brian Billick Ravens, and Joe Flacco is emerging as the best quarterback in franchise history. After establishing franchise records for total yards and first-downs in the opener, this offense should no longer be considered just a typical Baltimore ball-control unit.

    Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues

    Nate Washington, Titans – Rushing back from a hamstring injury, Washington was held to just 23 snaps in the opener. While rookie Kenny Britt was impressive as a fill-in, coach Jeff Fisher has indicated that Washington will play "the number of plays a starter would play" against the Texans this week. I'd keep him benched for one more week, though he could put up WR3/flex numbers from Week 3 on.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Watch List - Davone Bess, Mario Manningham, Mark Bradley, Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem, Austin Collie, Andre Caldwell, Jerheme Urban, Pierre Garcon, Kenny Britt, Louis Murphy, Legedu Naanee



    RUNNING BACKS

    Mike Bell, Saints – Our favorite pickup last week exploded for 143 yards on 28 carries against the Lions. Beat writer Mike Triplett is now saying Bell will continue to be a "big part" of the offense when Pierre Thomas returns to the lineup this week. Coach Sean Payton confirmed as much when he said Monday that the two backs will compete for touches "over the course of a game." While it's important to keep in mind that Bell's career game did come against a still-woeful Lions defense, he's likely to remain the lead back for another week as Thomas is eased back in from an MCL sprain. Looking at the long view, Thomas is the more talented back and will likely regain feature back duties once he shows that he's reliable on a weekly basis.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Cadillac Williams, Buccaneers – I'll admit to being shocked by Caddy's power and explosion against the Cowboys. As a runner, he has never looked better – even before the two knee surgeries. His value is limited by the Bucs' running back rotation and Derrick Ward's presence, especially in the passing game. With no role as a receiver and just 12-15 carries weekly, Caddy should be considered as a flex option as opposed to a reliable RB2.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Michael Bush, Raiders – Justin Fargas has been a coaching staff favorite in Oakland, but Bush is simply a better, more explosive runner. His best value is as a stash in case Darren McFadden goes down with an injury. In the meantime, he looks like the short-yardage, goal-line option in Oakland with an opportunity for 10-12 touches per week.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Fred Taylor, Patriots – Beyond the first couple of backs on the waiver wire, it gets fairly sparse. Taylor is a committee back already owned in two-thirds of all leagues. Monday night's game, however, offered some clarity in the Patriots backfield. Taylor appears to have usurped Sammy Morris' goal-line duties in a high-scoring offense. He's worth a look as a RB4, especially in TD-heavy leagues.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Mewelde Moore, Steelers – The Steelers backfield is a blatant mess. Willie Parker has suddenly morphed into a plodder. He's either injured or running with a fork sticking out of his back. Rashard Mendenhall has shown nothing as a pro, but I think it's too early to bail on him as a handcuff. Moore showed that he's the Steelers' most reliable back in crunch-time, but the coaches prefer him in a situational role. I could see Moore's role increasing, but he's not going to take over feature back duties as long as at least one of the other two backs is healthy.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in deeper leagues

    Watch List - Ricky Williams, Kevin Faulk, Le'Ron McClain, Edgerrin James

    QUARTERBACKS

    Mark Sanchez, Jets – This year's Matt Ryan? In four preseason games the poised rookie posted a 65 percent completion rate, 9.4 yards per attempt and 111.0 passer rating. In his first real game he showed impressive accuracy and third-down mojo, manhandling the Texans for 272 yards at 8.8 yards per attempt. Similar to last year's Falcons, the Jets will remain a run-first operation, but Sanchez should be picked up as a QB2 in any league where he's still available.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Byron Leftwich, Buccaneers – The Bucs have every intention of being a smash-mouth offense. If Week 1 was any indication, however, the leaky secondary will have them playing from behind at least until safety Tanard Jackson returns in Week 5. Leftwich is plenty capable of posting high yardage totals if the Bucs are forced to play catch-up. The rejuvenation of Michael Clayton is promising, but Leftwich will also need Antonio Bryant to shake his early-season knee issues. He's worth a look over Marc Bulger, Chad Pennington, and Jason Campbell as a QB2.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Kerry Collins, Titans – While Collins averaged just 167 yards per game last year, we expect the Titans to be forced to throw the ball more in 2009. Against the reigning No. 1 pass defense, he threw 35 times for 244 yards in the season opener. If you drafted Jake Delhomme as your QB2, it's time to pick up a steadier option such as Collins.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Matt Leinart, Cardinals – I know this horse is dead because I've beaten the tar out of it the past few weeks, but Sunday's game only served to strengthen my conviction that Leinart will replace Kurt Warner at some point this season. While I haven't seen this reported elsewhere, Warner's accuracy and even his arm strength were way off against the 49ers. He looks like he aged five years after offseason hip surgery. Warner owners should be handcuffing Leinart, and non-Warner owners should seriously consider taking a flier.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Watch List - Michael Vick, Jeff Garcia, A.J. Feeley



    TIGHT ENDS

    Zach Miller, Raiders – Miller is a legit TE1 and should be owned in more than 65 percent of all leagues. He remains the only reliable passing-game option in Oakland, as indicated by his 6-catch, 96-yard performance in Week 1. Grab Miller if yours is one of the leagues where he remains available.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in all leagues

    Brent Celek, Eagles – Last week's No. 1 recommended tight end led the Eagles in targets, receptions, and receiving yards at Carolina. He's now scored five touchdowns in his last five games, counting last year's playoffs. Celek is a bit of a wildcard for Week 2 with the Eagles situation up in the air, but we still expect him to flirt with TE1 numbers by season's end.

    Recommendation: Should be owned 12-team leagues

    Todd Heap, Ravens – Formerly one of the most athletic tight ends in the league, Heap appears to have regained much of his explosiveness after a lost season in 2008. After being held down by a back injury and extra in-line blocking duties last year, he's re-emerging as Joe Flacco's primary red zone weapon. Week 1 totals of five catches, eight targets, and 74 yards suggest the possibility of a renaissance for the 29-year-old Heap.

    Recommendation: Should be owned in 12-team leagues

    Watch List - Vernon Davis, Ben Watson, Anthony Fasano, Jared Cook, Robert Royal

    DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS

    Seahawks - We recommended the Seachickens as a matchup play last week, and they came through with a shutout against the woebegone Rams. They travel to San Francisco this week to play a 49ers team that struggled to move the ball for three and a half quarters against the Cardinals. There may be better matchups this week (see below), but the Seahawks could be the best long-term defense available on the wire.

    Recommendation: Worth a look in 12-team leagues

    Redskins - They host the Rams, who, as previously mentioned, were shut out in Seattle. Expect Albert Haynesworth, Brian Orakpo, and Company to wreak havoc on a shell-shocked Marc Bulger.

    Recommendation: Worth picking up as a matchup play

    Falcons - On the menu for Sunday: Jake Delhomme. Now a turnover waiting to happen, Delhomme has nine interceptions and two fumbles in his last two games – going back to last year's playoffs. The Falcons defenders have to be licking their chops this week.

    Recommendation: Worth picking up as a matchup play

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    Waiver pickups

    Need some roster help already? The waiver wire will be humming this week with players who were virtually unknown just a week ago. Don't assume that anybody who had a big Week 1 necessarily will be a franchise savior, but some could turn into nice early season surprises.
    Kenny Britt, WR, Titans. With Nate Washington's quick return to health, Britt loses a chance to start. Still, with 85 yards in the opener, he showed the ability to contribute immediately.
    Louis Murphy, WR, Raiders. He lost a TD on replay but otherwise had an impressive debut. Also in his favor: Until Chaz Schilens returns, maybe in Week 3, he appears to be the only Raiders' wide receiver who catches a respectable number of passes thrown to him.
    Pierre Garcon, Austin Collie, WRs, Colts. The two unproven receivers will try to replace Anthony Gonzalez and it's a toss-up as to which to grab (if either). I like Garcon; the Colts seem to favor Collie slightly. Also, a longshot name is tight end Jacob Tamme, who will split out some more, ala Dallas Clark.
    A.J. Feeley, QB, Panthers. Hard to believe Carolina's best quarterback was not on the roster two days ago. Anybody throwing to Steve Smith is worth a pickup, and Feeley will get his chance soon.
    Johnny Knox, WR, Bears. He will need to learn to do more than run straight down the field, but QB Jay Cutler can get the ball out to him and the two likely will hit on a few big plays this season.
    Legedu Naanee, WR, Chargers. Naanee is an athletic freak and if his five catches for 49 yards on Monday, both career-bests, are any indication, he could be moving up as the team's third receiver.
    Michael Vick, QB, Eagles. Why not? Kevin Kolb likely will start this week and also is a good pickup against the still-defenseless Saints. But Week 1 showed that Vick will be a factor at some point this season so stash him away if you have a deep bench.
    Benjamin Watson, TE, Patriots. We don't want to overreact to Watson as we did in 2007 when he had five TDs in the first five weeks and only one more during the rest of the season. If the Patriots are going to insist on dressing only four wide receivers, Watson will get plenty of chances. -- Matt Pitzer

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    Bell tolls for Thomas?


    The alarm bells have been sounding for Pierre Thomas in New Orleans ever since he suffered a sprained MCL in the second preseason game. Beat writers began banging the drums for physical backup Mike Bell when coach Sean Payton indicated in late August that a three-back committee was a possibility this season.

    Once it became clear that Thomas wouldn't shake the injury in time for the season opener, we recommended picking up Bell and playing him against the Lions. Bell's subsequent 143-yard performance led to the New Orleans Times-Picayune's idle speculation that he could be "the man" early in the season.

    It's important to point out, however, that Bell's current momentum is mostly a byproduct of Thomas being physically unable to carry the load as the Saints entered the season. NFL coaches are obsessively compulsive. Due to the obscene amount of game-planning that goes into each game, coaches want to have control over as many factors as possible. When they can't count on a player due to injury or unreliability, the player fades into the background until he's reliable once again.

    Thomas is expected to return to action this week at Philadelphia, but Payton now has a nagging concern that P.T. has never shown the ability to carry the load for long stretches of an NFL season. That's why he indicated that the game plan will be re-evaluated on a weekly basis with Thomas and Bell "competing for touches in a course of a game."

    In looking at the long-view, however, Payton's most telling statement was this: "A lot of it will be dependent on if Pierre is 100 percent." Possessing a well-rounded skill set, Thomas proved late last season that he's the most effective back on the roster. Payton knows that his offense is at its peak when Thomas is featured heavily. It's now up to Thomas to prove healthy and reliable enough to regain that role from Bell. Once he does, Bell will be the one fading into the background.

    LaDainian Tomlinson "could well miss" Sunday's game against the Ravens after rolling his ankle on MNF. LT had 10 carries after he suffered the injury and said "it wasn't bad enough I couldn't play," but he was limping badly afterward and will be held out of practice Wednesday. Other casualties from Monday's game include center Nick Hardwick (ankle) and rookie right guard Louis Vasquez (knee), both of whom could be game-time decisions this week. Considering his triple whammy of the ankle injury, a banged up offensive line going against the ferocious Ravens defense, and Darren Sproles earning a timeshare in the backfield, Tomlinson should be on fantasy benches in Week 2.

    Michael Vick will begin practicing immediately after the Eagles activated him from the exempt list on Tuesday. Donovan McNabb is expected to miss this week's game with a fractured rib, leaving an unappealing Kevin Kolb as the likely starter. Former backup and prodigal son Jeff Garcia returned to Philly on Monday, and he could also see action in Sunday's game against the Saints. Vick won't be ready to take the reins by Week 3, but the team could be getting him prepped for starting duty in October should McNabb miss more time than expected.

    According to offensive coordinator Mike McCoy, the Broncos will keep a rotation at running back for the time being. "There will be a certain rotation we're going to have, depending on the way the game is going," said McCoy. "We have a plan going in how to play each guy, and the same thing with the receiver group." McCoy did say that in-game changes will occur if one of the backs has a hot hand. Expect Knowshon Moreno's workload to increase once he feels fully recovered. For now, though, it looks like an even split with Correll Buckhalter.

    Two-Minute Drill: Raiders coach Tom Cable refused to commit to a No. 2 RB on Tuesday. Darren McFadden will start, but the second back could change on a weekly basis. … Lance Moore played fewer snaps than Devery Henderson and Robert Meachem in Week 1. Keep Moore on fantasy benches until the Saints are ready to feature him as a No.2 WR. … Key Saints defensive ends Will Smith and Charles Grant won't be suspended "at this time." … Chargers WR Chris Chambers failed to record a catch Monday night and may lose playing time to Legedu Naanee and Malcom Floyd. … Newly acquired DL Richard Seymour made an immediate impact for the Raiders with six tackles and two sacks in Oakland's upset bid. ... Colts TE Dallas Clark is expected to pick up the slack for injured WR Anthony Gonzalez. … Jay Cutler is drawing criticism for immaturity once again after a poor performance in Sunday's game as well as the follow-up press conference. … Unable to deal him, the Eagles released WR Hank Baskett. … Philly declined an option in Brian Westbrook's contract, which means the running back will become a free agent after the 2010 season.

    Red Zone: Patriots ILB Jerod Mayo reportedly suffered a sprained MCL in his right knee, but the extent is unknown. Last year's Defensive ROY may be out a month or more. … Bills MLB Paul Posluszny broke a bone in his left arm on Monday night and will likely miss "several weeks." … Tony Romo (ankle) will practice Wednesday and start Sunday night against the Giants. … Matt Cassel (knee) remains questionable for Sunday's game. … Willie Parker is reportedly playing through a "slight" hamstring problem. … Titans WR Nate Washington (hamstring) will play and see starter's snaps this week. … Justin Fargas (hamstring) will return to action as a backup RB this week. … Titans TE Bo Scaife (knee) is questionable for Week 2. … Raiders WR Chaz Schilens (foot) isn't expected to be activated until Week 4. … Bears TE Desmond Clark will likely miss a few weeks with a cracked rib. … Steelers ILB Lawrence Timmons (ankle) will try to practice this week, and the Steelers hope to have him ready for Sunday. … Eagles placed RT Shawn Andrews (back) on injured reserve, ending his season. … Seahawks LT Walter Jones (knee, back) and C Chris Spencer (quadriceps) will return to practice this week.

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    Don't be swayed by opening statements in fantasy football


    By Matt Pitzer, USA TODAY

    Whether it was six touchdown passes by New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees or the Arizona Cardinals playing like their Super Bowl run was years ago, it doesn't take fantasy owners long to get back into regular-season mode.

    And that dose of reality leads to a slew of Week 1 lessons, some of which turn out to be wildly inaccurate. Look up Carolina Panthers tight end Dante Rosario's performance from last year if you have forgotten.
    We do learn plenty right out of the gate, though, and your ability to adjust to the unexpected twists could prove vital to determining how your season turns out.

    Let's look at which Week 1 developments will impact fantasy teams throughout the season.


    FANTASY JOE: Target opportunity to find success

    •Who needs Terrell Owens, right? Overreacting to Tony Romo's career high in passing yards is easy, so let's wait to see how he does in a tougher test against the New York Giants. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have many defensive issues, so putting Romo and Roy Williams atop the fantasy world is premature. They could be stars against many of the pushovers on their schedule.

    It is the other half of their games in which Cowboys players need to prove they can thrive before we anoint them as every-week regulars.
    •Minnesota Vikings rookie Percy Harvin will make some incredible plays as the team rewrites its playbook for him. The tough question is when and how much he will play, meaning any time you count on him, you risk getting virtually nothing.
    Harvin had five touches (a number that will increase in some weeks) and a touchdown in his debut. When you get stuck looking for an extra starter because of injuries or bye weeks, he is a name to remember.
    •Week 1's most stunning stats came from Baltimore Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco, who had career highs in attempts (43), yards (307) and TD passes (three). Keep an eye on Flacco to see whether those attempts continue (and definitely pick him up if he is a free agent). Likewise, if Flacco is rolling, wide receivers Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton and tight end Todd Heap will have reasonable value. Give them a little more time — and look for success in a tough road game vs. the San Diego Chargers— before throwing everyone in your lineup.
    •All of the talk about the Jacksonville Jaguars improving their offense looks like a bunch of chatter after they made their debut with a whopping 114 passing yards against the Indianapolis Colts. Their season will be all about Maurice Jones-Drew, so if you have him, you'd better hope you run out to a huge league lead before Jones-Drew wears down.
    Torry Holt was the only wide receiver with more than one catch, again quieting the idea that Troy Williamson or Mike Sims-Walker is ready to emerge. When one of those guys has one good game, remember: It's fool's gold.
    •Don't overreact if the Houston Texans' Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and Steve Slaton have another bad game this week vs. the Tennessee Titans. Opening with the New York Jets and Titans is difficult, so bad numbers are not unreasonable.
    The way to take advantage of that is to try to trade for one of them on the cheap if their owners are not so patient after Week 2.
    •If we can make season-long conclusions about the Jets' rushing game after one game, Thomas Jones is the runner you want. Leon Washington is more electric and had 19 touches to Jones' 20 in the opener. But Jones had two TDs. Washington is good enough to turn some of those chances into big plays over the course of a season.
    On a week-to-week basis, however, Jones consistently will have more regular chances and ought to get nearly all of the TD attempts.
    •Expecting 363 yards from Pittsburg Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger and two 100-yard wide receivers would be nice but not realistic. Figuring out how the Steelers will run is a bit more difficult. Give them a break for facing a very tough Titans defense in Week 1, but be concerned that Willie Parker, Rashard Mendenhall and Mewelde Moore showed little potential.
    Until we see serious improvement, do not expect Parker to develop into a reliable starter.
    •The Detroit Lions still might not be any good, and fantasy owners don't care when or if they win a game. But they ought to at least put up meaningful stats this year while they are playing so poorly. Running back Kevin Smith scored in an otherwise poor Week 1 game, and Calvin Johnson nearly added a TD to his team-high 90 receiving yards. Granted, the 27 points the Lions scored are the equivalent of about 14 against any team other than the Saints. Still, there were no signs that Johnson and Smith should not remain regular starters.
    •I have been wrong multiple times about Carnell Williams, and we're only through one weekend. Rushing out to pick up Williams after his 97-yard, one-TD debut is rather obvious. Derrick Ward, however, still is the Bucs running back to have. Based on Williams' history, Ward appears more capable of handling 15 to 20 carries every week, plus Ward is better in short yardage.
    Earnest Graham (one carry) did not have a role in Week 1.
    •Before completely casting the Washington Redskins aside for doing nothing to improve their offense, let's see how they respond during a stretch of games against the St. Louis Rams, Detroit, Tampa Bay, Carolina and Kansas City Chiefs. It's early, but those teams could be five of the worst in the league. A Redskins offense that did not score a touchdown against the New York Giants until late in the fourth quarter could gain confidence against those pushovers.
    The alternative is that the Redskins prove they are helpless; more likely is Santana Moss, Clinton Portis and Chris Cooley will have some better-than-expected games.
    •Nothing we saw from the Miami Dolphins in Week 1 (and we saw very little) is reason to worry. The Dolphins are a limited offensive team that will struggle to score points consistently and will have games like their wipeout at the Atlanta Falcons.
    Two points to keep in mind: Davone Bess led the team with seven catches after having at least five receptions in five of the final six games last year; and Ricky Williams scored the team's only TD, which will worry Ronnie Brown owners.

  22. #22
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    Scorn on the Kolb

    Speaking with the utmost confidence yesterday, Andy Reid said Kevin Kolb will be his starter this week if Donovan McNabb can't play. Reid was so sure of himself, you would think he used a second-round pick on the guy in 2007. Oh, that's right, he did.

    Kolb has appeared in a regular season game eight times in his career. He has looked like a legit NFL quarterback exactly zero times. He's thrown four interceptions, fumbled three times and scored no touchdowns.

    The only reason to think Kolb will play well enough Sunday to keep Jeff Garcia on the bench is that Kolb has never actually prepared to start a game. The most extensive action of his career came last season against the Ravens, when McNabb was shockingly benched at halftime. Here's a helmet Kolb, don't get killed by the best defense of the decade. That's not exactly putting your young quarterback in a position to succeed.

    So what should you do with your Eagles? The Saints defense is vastly improved and you know they'll make Kolb beat them. There will be chances for DeSean Jackson and Kevin Curtis to make big plays, but with Kolb under center it's a risky situation. The Birds will run the ball as much as Reid can stomach. Garcia will probably get in the game at some point. It's a lot of "what ifs" to digest, with the biggest question being how much will the week of preparation help Kolb? Probably not enough.

    Bottom line: It would stun everyone if McNabb plays, but Reid might not make the final decision until Sunday morning, so check back then. Assuming Kolb starts, Brian Westbrook is in for a huge workload. Brent Celek will be heavily involved in the underneath passing game. The Eagles will find creative ways to get DeSean Jackson the ball such as the Wildcat and wide receiver screens. D-Jax is still a WR3. Don't touch Kevin Curtis. And obviously, don't touch Mr. Kolb.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 2, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #2
    The odds of Kurt Warner duplicating his season from a year ago were always long. He's 36, he's coming off hip surgery and he lost in the Super Bowl last year. Losing in the Super Bowl isn't a "curse" - it's just a fact that a natural regression that occurs after great years. Out of the last 15 quarterbacks that have lost in the Big One, only Jake Delhomme (2004) has improved from a fantasy perspective the following year.

    So with all that going against him before the season even started, Warner didn't need these extra problems already. Steve Breaston's knee problem isn't going away as he missed practice yesterday and is questionable for Sunday. Anquan Boldin (hamstring) practiced on a limited basis yesterday.

    Additionally, in Sunday's loss to the Niners, Warner's offensive line let him down. He was hurried eight times, sacked three times and rarely had time to get anything going down the field. One of those hits in the first half led to a "stinger."

    "My right hand kind of went numb for a while there, but I came back in the second half, so I'm fine," Warner said.

    Maybe that stinger is what led to Tim Hightower seeing 14 passes come his way. Or maybe Warner's hip is still bothering him. Either way, we'll find out more this week since Captain Kurt has a very favorable matchup with the Jaguars.

    NEWS OF THE DAY #3
    Justin Fargas (hamstring) returned to practice Wednesday, raising questions about how the Raiders will use their three running backs. Coach Tom Cable quickly put to sleep any notion of Darren McFadden getting less work.

    "I look at it as Darren is the starter and the other two guys are his backup," Cable said.

    Expect Michael Bush to be McFadden's primary backup and handle short-yardage/goal-line duties. Fargas will have a very limited role.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 2, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    INJURY QUICK SLANTS
    Pierre Thomas (knee) practiced fully Wednesday and tweeted that he's "full go Sunday baby!" Thomas wore a big brace at practice. … Matt Cassel (knee) took limited reps in practice Wednesday. He'll probably try to give it a go against the Raiders Sunday. … Jamal Lewis (neck) was limited in practice but should be fine for Sunday. … James Davis (shoulder) didn't practice, meaning Jerome Harrison may back up Lewis Sunday. … Tony Romo tweaked his ankle against the Bucs but wasn't listed on the injury report. … Kevin Walter (hamstring) will play a full compliment of snaps as the No. 2 wideout this week. … Limas Sweed hurt his foot in practice Wednesday and his status for Sunday Night Football is up in the air. Mike Wallace got virtually all the snaps as the No. 3 wideout last week anyway. … Bernard Berrian is over his hamstring injury and wasn't on the injury report. Now he just needs to get some chemistry with Brett Favre. …The Colts waived K Shane Andrus, meaning Adam Vinatieri (hip) is healthy. … Javon Walker will be active this week but won't be a factor in the passing game. … Antonio Bryant sat out practice as he's still not over his knee surgery. … Greg Jennings (wrist) was limited in practice but it's nothing to worry about.

    BACKUP WATCH
    A quick look at which No. 2 running backs got at least 10 carries last week:

    Leon Washington: 15
    Derrick Ward: 12
    Michael Bush: 12
    Ahmad Bradshaw: 12
    Jonathan Stewart: 11
    Donald Brown: 11
    Edgerrin James: 11
    Willis McGahee: 10

  23. #23
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    Week 2 Rankings


    Nothing stays the same in fantasy football; players are either getting better or they are getting worse.

    Matt Ryan and the Atlanta passing game is getting better, especially for fantasy purposes.

    Ryan threw 36 passes against the Dolphins, six more than he did in any victory last year. (Ryan averaged 23 passes in victories in 2009.) The Falcons aggressively passed throughout the opener despite being in total control of the game throughout the second half. The running game was clearly not working, so offensive coordinator Mike Mularkey let Ryan go to work.

    This wasn't Ryan's best game either. His accuracy was off at times, especially deep to Roddy White. But Atlanta's flexible offensive approach allowed him to put up 229 yards and two scores on a mediocre afternoon.

    This is the next step for outstanding, every-week fantasy starters: They put up numbers even during blah games. This would not have happened last year.

    The shift away from Michael Turner to Matt Ryan was one of the seeds planted in Week One that we'll watch grow for the rest of the season. Owners shouldn't over react to the opener, but they also shouldn't ignore it. Some other big picture takeaways from games I watched in Week one:

    1. Either Denver and Cincy's defense are both a lot better than expected (and they did play hard), or the Bengals/Broncos offense has some growing to do. Denver's pass attack especially looked in the embryonic stages under Josh McDaniels, which could slow things down for Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal for a while. The Bengals moved the ball fairly well, but just came up short on big downs. The Ocho Cinco revival looks for real.

    2. Tampa's offense could be a lot friskier than people think. They moved the ball largely at will against Dallas, keyed by a very strong offensive line performance. (Although they just lost center Jeff Faine for 4-6 weeks.) Byron Leftwich will have to throw plenty to keep up with Tampa's poor defense, and both Cadillac Williams and Derrick Ward ran well.

    3. Indianapolis' offensive line needs to play a lot better or both Joseph Addai and Donald Brown will disappoint.

    Editor's Note: The response to the season premier of Fantasy Fix Live was mind-altering. In a good way. We know it's tough to get through on the phones, so send us your questions via webcam and be part of the show.

    Week 2 Quarterbacks

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Drew Breesat PHI-
    2Tom Bradyat NYJ
    3Aaron Rodgersvs. CIN-
    4Tony Romovs. NYG-
    5Peyton Manningat MIA-
    6Matt Ryanvs. CAR-
    7Kurt Warnerat JAC-
    8Ben Roethlisbergerat CHI-
    9Matt Hasselbeckat SF-
    10Matt Schaubat TEN-
    11Philip Riversvs. BAL-
    12Jay Cutlervs. PIT-
    13Carson Palmerat GB-
    14Joe Flaccoat SD-
    15Trent Edwardsvs. TB-
    16Eli Manningat DAL-
    17Byron Leftwichat BUF-
    18Jason Campbellvs. STL-
    19Brett Favreat DET-
    20David Garrardvs. ARZ-
    21Matt Casselvs. OAKStatus Uncertain (knee)
    22Kyle Ortonvs. CLE-
    23Shaun Hillvs. SEA-
    24Kerry Collinsvs. HOU-
    25Chad Penningtonvs. IND-
    26Brady Quinnat DEN-
    27Kevin Kolbvs. NO-
    28JaMarcus Russellat KC-
    29Jake Delhommeat ATL-
    30Marc Bulgerat WAS-
    31Mark Sanchezvs. NE-
    32Matthew Staffordvs. MIN-
    33Pat Whitevs. IND-


    QB Notes: Life without Terrell Owens started smoothly for Tony Romo, to no surprise. The amazing thing about his 327, 13 YPA opener is how many throws Romo missed. The Cowboys are going to see more eight-man fronts than ever before because they are using the run to set up the pass. Defenses will have a hard time matching up; on Roy Williams' 66-yard touchdown, for instance, Williams was lined up in the slot with Jason Witten and Martellus Bennett as the wide receivers. The Dallas line gets a stern test this week against the Giants, but Romo is an every-week must start until proven otherwise.

    Tom Brady's performance was uneven against Buffalo and he seemed to feeling the pass rush around him. But the Patriots also moved the ball throughout and owners have to love seeing 53 pass attempts. New England's offensive line, which looked shaky, faces a tougher test this week. … Peyton Manning has his work cut out for him this year with no Anthony Gonzalez (for a while), and a running game that isn't scaring defenses. I wrote this on Twitter already, but it's worth repeating for those who have smartly stayed free of Twitter's grasp: Jacksonville used seven defensive backs at times against the Colts. Pierre Garcon and Austin Collie will have to grow up fast for Manning to put up top-five numbers.

    Kurt Warner looked terrible in the opener, but he still put up decent stats. Jacksonville's secondary is very thin. … Matt Schaub and Jay Cutler both may get knocked around this week, but there are big plays to be had against the Tennessee and Pittsburgh secondaries. … Tampa's safety play – Sabby Piscatelli and Jermaine Phillips – was terrible against Dallas. That makes Trent Edwards a sneaky option this week if you need help. Joe Flacco is another fine backup pick if you don't like your starter's matchup.

    Byron Leftwich is not a bad pickup you need help at quarterback. He received outstanding protection against Dallas and defenses will load up to stop the Bucs running. Leftwich was somewhat erratic and struggled with touch passes, but he also made some gorgeous throws and the Bucs did not struggle to move the ball. The Tampa receiver group is lame, but they could be passing a lot because their defense is poor. … David Garrard's wide receiver group and lack of protection is going to make life difficult on him.

    Note: For of every player ranked here, not to mention Top-200 rankings, Evan Silva's running back report, and a million other goodies, check out Rotoworld's Season Pass.
    Week 2 Running Backs





























































    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Adrian Petersonat DET-
    2Maurice Jones-Drewvs. ARZ-
    3Chris Johnsonvs. HOU-
    4Frank Gorevs. SEA-
    5Ray Riceat SD-
    6Michael Turnervs. CAR-
    7Brian Westbrookvs. NO-
    8Steven Jacksonat WAS-
    9Clinton Portisvs. STL-
    10DeAngelo Williamsat ATL-
    11Darren McFaddenat KC-
    12Matt Fortevs. PIT-
    13Fred Jacksonvs. TB-
    14Steve Slatonat TEN-
    15Marion Barbervs. NYG-
    16Cedric Bensonat GB-
    17Brandon Jacobsat DAL-
    18Ryan Grantvs. CIN-
    19Kevin Smithvs. MIN-
    20Thomas Jonesvs. NE-
    21Ronnie Brownvs. IND-
    22Leon Washingtonvs. NE-
    23Derrick Wardat BUF-
    24Mike Bellat PHI-
    25Larry Johnsonvs. OAK-
    26Donald Brownat MIA-
    27Joseph Addaiat MIA-
    28Julius Jonesat SF-
    29Jonathan Stewartat ATLProbable(heel)
    30Reggie Bushat PHI-
    31Pierre Thomasat PHIQuestionable(knee)
    32LaDainian Tomlinsonvs. BALQuestionable(ankle)
    33Willie Parkerat CHI-
    34Carnell Williamsat BUF-
    35Chris Wellsat JAC-
    36Tim Hightowerat JAC-
    37Knowshon Morenovs. CLE-
    38Michael Bushat KC-
    39Felix Jonesvs. NYGProbable(thigh)
    40Jamal Lewisat DENQuestionable(neck)
    41Darren Sprolesvs. BAL-
    42Ahmad Bradshawat DAL-
    43Willis McGaheeat SD-
    44Correll Buckhaltervs. CLE-
    45LeSean McCoyvs. NO-
    46LenDale Whitevs. HOU-
    47Ladell Bettsvs. STL-
    48Laurence Maroneyat NYJ-
    49Chester Taylorat DET-
    50LeRon McClainat SD-
    51Jamaal Charlesvs. OAK-
    52Mewelde Mooreat CHI-
    53Fred Taylorat NYJ-
    54James Davisat DENStatus Uncertain
    55DeShawn Wynnvs. CIN-
    56Rashard Mendenhallat CHI-
    57Ricky Williamsvs. IND-
    58Kevin Faulkat NYJ-
    59Glen Coffeevs. SEA-
    60Edgerrin Jamesat SF-
    61Chris Brownat TEN-

    RB Notes: Tampa's running game could be very good this year. Cadillac Williams runs with such insane abandon, we wonder if he can hold up all year. But he'll be fun to watch in the meantime. Derrick Ward remains the stronger weekly play because of his receiving skills and power combination. Ward had a couple early cracks inside the ten-yard line early in Tampa's loss, then Caddy finished it off from the one. Ward scored later in the game and broke a lot of tackles in a game that helps show he's not just the product of New York's running game. If Tampa could push around Dallas up front, they can run on Buffalo.

    The Cowboys weren't kidding about a three-man running back rotation. Tashard Choice was in on the third play from scrimmage Sunday, and took more traditional third-down back snaps than Felix Jones. Choice also played in the Wildcat. This hurts Jones' potential more than Marion Barber, who is still "The Closer." Barber owners should be a little concerned MBIII didn't have any catches in Week 1, but he clearly has his explosion back after toe injuries last year. … After a preseason of talking up Glenn Coffee's role in the offense, the 49ers ignored him in Week 1. Their offensive line really struggled to carve out room for Frank Gore, but Gore was the entire offense. Their first six plays of the second half were all to Gore; two three and outs.

    San Francisco risks overworking Gore, but the usage is a good sign; we wouldn't worry about the lack of yardage last week. … Maurice Jones-Drew is another back that basically was the entire Jaguars offense. (Montell Owens was the only other Jacksonville back to get a carry.) Mo-Jo took a lot of punishment against Indy, but looked good doing it. Look for another big day against Arizona, but the Jaguars would be wise not to wear their horse down too much early. … Miami's inability to make plays vertically will make life harder for Ronnie Brown, who had very little running room against Atlanta. Look for the Dolphins to try to impose their will physically on a smaller Colts line this week. Ricky Williams looked rather good in relief, which won't help Brown if it keeps up every week.

    Tony Gonzalez already has shown he's a huge addition to the Atlanta passing game. He's not going to help Michael Turner, though. Gonzo whiffed a few blocks that got Turner killed in the Miami game. Turner is not a special running back talent; he gets what's blocked. Until the final meaningless drive last Sunday, he had 41 yards on 18 carries. Turner finished with 65 total yards, Jerious Norwood had 56, mostly on third-down catches. Carolina's rush defense is not impressive, so it's fair for Turner owners to be concerned if he struggles again this week. … Jonathan Stewart is already a bigger part of the Carolina offense than expected. Now the Panthers just need to play with the lead.

    Pierre Thomas, Mike Bell, and Reggie Bush are ranked as if Thomas will play. He's still wearing a large brace on his knee, so they Saints are likely to work him into the mix slowly. But the job will be his eventually; he's simply more talented than Bell. … Tim Hightower's receiving numbers last week smacked of a fluky performance. He struggled on the ground, just like last year. … Knowshon Moreno looked tentative in his debut. He's not a lead back yet. … Michael Bush would be ranked higher, but the Raiders are threatening to possibly play Justin Fargas over him. This makes me angry; did Cable watch Bush run over the Chargers?

    Week 2 Wide Receivers

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Larry Fitzgeraldat JAC-
    2Andre Johnsonat TEN-
    3Calvin Johnsonvs. MIN-
    4Randy Mossat NYJ-
    5Reggie Wayneat MIA-
    6Roddy Whitevs. CAR-
    7Greg Jenningsvs. CIN
    8Chad Ochocincoat GB-
    9Marques Colstonat PHI-
    10Steve Smithat ATL-
    11Wes Welkerat NYJQuestionable(knee)
    12Anquan Boldinat JACProbable(hamstring)
    13Vincent Jacksonvs. BAL-
    14Santonio Holmesat CHI-
    15Dwayne Bowevs. OAK-
    16Braylon Edwardsat DEN-
    17Eddie Royalvs. CLE-
    18Terrell Owensvs. TB-
    19Jerricho Cotcheryvs. NE-
    20Roy Williamsvs. NYG-
    21Brandon Marshallvs. CLE-
    22Lee Evansvs. TB-
    23Bernard Berrianat DET-
    24Santana Mossvs. STL-
    25DeSean Jacksonvs. NOProbable(groin)
    26Devin Hestervs. PIT-
    27T.J. Houshmandzadehat SF
    28Hines Wardat CHI-
    29Donald Drivervs. CIN-
    30Antonio Bryantat BUFKeep eye on knee; could move down
    31Kevin Walterat TENExpected to return
    32Lance Mooreat PHI-
    33Patrick Craytonvs. NYG-
    34Steve Smithat DAL-
    35Josh Morganvs. SEA-
    36Donnie Averyat WAS-
    37Earl Bennettvs. PIT-
    38Justin Gagevs. HOU-
    39Davone Bessvs. IND-
    40Nate Burlesonat SF-
    41Derrick Masonat SD-
    42Mark Claytonat SD-
    43Percy Harvinat DET-
    44Mark Bradleyvs. OAK-
    45Torry Holtvs. ARZ-
    46Domenik Hixonat DAL-
    47Nate Washingtonvs. HOU-
    48Kenny Brittvs. HOU-
    49Chris Henryat GB-
    50Louis Murphyat KC-
    51Devery Hendersonat PHI-
    52Ted Ginn Jr.vs. IND-
    53Miles Austinvs. NYG-
    54Mario Manninghamat DAL-
    55Kevin Curtisvs. NOProbable(knee)
    56Laurent Robinsonat WAS-
    57Laveranues Colesat GB-
    58Steve Breastonat JACQuestionable(knee)
    59Andre Caldwellat GB-
    60Troy Williamsonvs. ARZ-
    61Michael Claytonat BUF-
    62Chris Chambersvs. BAL-
    63James Jonesvs. CIN-
    64Austin Collieat MIA-

    WR Notes: Brandon Marshall seemed to be lacking some explosion in Week 1 and dropped a few passes, but at least he was out there. It could take some time for him to get in the flow of the offense, but he's too talented to sit in leagues you start three wideouts.

    Miles Austin didn't get a lot of targets, but he was a bad Tony Romo pass away from having two touchdowns over 40 yards. It's hard to play him, but he should be owned in all leagues and will benefit from a lot of matchups against sub-par defenders. … Michael Clayton no longer gets anyone excited, but he'll probably see enough targets all year to be worth owning in deeper PPR leagues, especially if Antonio Bryant can't get healthy.

    The Jaguars are very thin in the secondary after Rashean Mathis. Since Mathis is staying on one side of the field primarily, all the Cardinals receivers should get a crack at Derek Cox and the other complementary corners in Jacksonville. (And safety Reggie Nelson gives up way too many big plays.)

    Roy Williams made some difficult grabs for first downs in addition to his long score, a good sign. There are so many options on that offense, though, he's going to have quiet weeks. Patrick Crayton won't get many long scores, but he should be a very consistent WR3. We'd put Steve Smith of the Giants in the same class, as a fine every-week WR3/flex option in PPR leagues. Dude makes tough grabs and Eli Manning knows it. … Antonio Bryant doesn't look fully healthy yet, and is a risky play.

    Davone Bess is clearly Chad Pennington's most trusted playmaker to move the chains. He may not make many big plays, but he's a serious threat to top 80 catches. … Miami's offensive line was awful against the Falcons, and faces another tough test against the Colts pass rush. There's not much reason to think they will give Chad Pennington enough time to find Ted Ginn deep. ... Laveranues Coles is the fourth-best wide receiver on the Bengals. His opening week drops were uncharacteristic, but it was telling that Andre Caldwell was the guy moving the chains with the game on the line.

    Week 2 Tight Ends

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Antonio Gatesvs. BAL-
    2Jason Wittenvs. NYG-
    3Tony Gonzalezvs. CAR-
    4Dustin Kellervs. NE-
    5Dallas Clarkat MIA-
    6Chris Cooleyvs. STL-
    7Owen Danielsat TEN-
    8John Carlsonat SF-
    9Kellen Winslowat BUF-
    10Zach Millerat KC-
    11Jeremy Shockeyat PHIProbable(ankle)
    12Greg Olsenvs. PIT-
    13Brent Celekvs. NO-
    14Vernon Davisvs. SEA-
    15Visanthe Shiancoeat DET-
    16Todd Heapat SD-
    17Heath Millerat CHI-
    18Randy McMichaelat WAS-
    19Tony Schefflervs. CLE-
    20Bo Scaifevs. HOUQuestionable(knee)
    21Jermichael Finleyvs. CIN-
    22Anthony Fasanovs. IND-
    23Marcedes Lewisvs. ARZ-
    24Robert Royalat DEN-
    25Chris Bakerat NYJ-
    26Shawn Nelsonvs. TB-
    27Ben Watsonat NYJProbable(hamstring)
    28Martellus Bennettvs. NYG-

    TE Notes: Matt Ryan threw a few passes to Tony Gonzalez that he probably shouldn't have – Gonzo wasn't open. And yet Gonzalez responded by making awesome grabs with defenders draped all over him. Throw in his juke on Yeremiah Bell for a score, and Gonzalez was pretty unstoppable in Week 1. He won't get as many receptions in Atlanta's offense, but he could get more scores.

    More rankings and matchup talk explanation to be added later this week, but the rankings must go up! We also have a Season Pass Chat coming Friday.

    Week 2 Team Defense

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Vikings Def/Spec Teamat DET-
    2Steelers Def/Spec Teamat CHI-
    3Ravens Def/Spec Teamat SD-
    4Redskins Def/Spec Teamvs. STL-
    5Giants Def/Spec Teamat DAL-
    6Titans Def/Spec Teamvs. HOU-
    7Falcons Def/Spec Teamvs. CAR-
    8Packers Def/Spec Teamvs. CIN-
    9Colts Def/Spec Teamat MIA-
    10Cowboys Def/Spec Teamvs. NYG-
    11Bears Def/Spec Teamvs. PIT-
    12Seahawks Def/Spec Teamat SF-
    13Patriots Def/Spec Teamat NYJ-
    14Eagles Def/Spec Teamvs. NO-
    15Dolphins Def/Spec Teamvs. IND-
    16Bills Def/Spec Teamvs. TB-
    17Fortyniners Def/Spec Teamvs. SEA-
    18Saints Def/Spec Teamat PHI-
    19Jaguars Def/Spec Teamvs. ARZ-
    20Broncos Def/Spec Teamvs. CLE-
    21Chiefs Def/Spec Teamvs. OAK-
    22Raiders Def/Spec Teamat KC-
    23Cardinals Def/Spec Teamat JAC-
    24Browns Def/Spec Teamat DEN-
    25Buccaneers Def/Spec Teamat BUF-
    26Jets Def/Spec Teamvs. NE-
    27Bengals Def/Spec Teamat GB-
    28Chargers Def/Spec Teamvs. BAL-
    29Panthers Def/Spec Teamat ATL-
    30Texans Def/Spec Teamat TEN-
    31Rams Def/Spec Teamat WAS-
    32Lions Def/Spec Teamvs. MIN-


    Week 2 Kickers

    RankPlayer NameOpponentNotes
    1Rob Bironasvs. HOU-
    2Stephen Gostkowskiat NYJ-
    3Ryan Longwellat DET-
    4Nate Kaedingvs. BAL-
    5Nick Folkvs. NYG-
    6Kris Brownat TEN-
    7John Carneyat PHI-
    8Lawrence Tynesat DAL-
    9David Akersvs. NO-
    10Jeff Reedat CHI-
    11Neil Rackersat JAC-
    12Josh Scobeevs. ARZ-
    13Robbie Gouldvs. PIT-
    14Olindo Mareat SF-
    15Ryan Succopvs. OAK-
    16Joe Nedneyvs. SEA-
    17Jason Elamvs. CARProbable(hamstring)
    18Matt Pratervs. CLE-
    19Adam Vinatieriat MIA-
    20Mason Crosbyvs. CINProbable(abdomen)
    21Steven Hauschkaat SD-
    22Shayne Grahamat GB-
    23Jay Feelyvs. NE-
    24John Kasayat ATL-
    25Sebastian Janikowskiat KC-
    26Jason Hansonvs. MIN-
    27Rian Lindellvs. TB-
    28Dan Carpentervs. IND-
    29Shaun Suishamvs. STL-
    30Phil Dawsonat DEN-
    31Mike Nugentat BUF-
    32Josh Brownat WAS-

    Notes: There's no point handing on to a slumping kicker and Jason Elam looked bad last week. … Nick Folk, on the other hand, looked outstanding. Okay, that's all the kicker analysis you get. Good luck to everyone this week.

  24. #24
    Super Moderator Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man has much to be proud of Hache Man's Avatar
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    Studs, duds and sleepers: Clark, McFadden will play big; DeAngelo may disappoint


    Studs

    Dallas Clark, TE, Colts. The easiest solution to Indianapolis' lack of depth at wide receiver is to split out Clark wide. He's capable of it, and the Miami Dolphins had problems defending Atlanta Falcons tight end Tony Gonzalez (five catches, 73 yards, TD). Expect Clark to shine on Monday Night Football.
    Jerricho Cotchery, WR, Jets. New York will likely have trouble hitting big plays against the savvy New England Patriots defense and should focus on shorter passes, which means plenty of work for Cotchery coming off his team-high six receptions for 90 yards Week 1 at the Houston Texans.
    Andre Johnson, WR, Texans. Scared to play any Texan against the Tennessee Titans? Remember, Johnson had a team-record 207 yards the last time the two teams met. The Titans also allowed Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger to complete 76.7% of his passes on his way to racking up 363 yards.
    Chris Johnson, RB, Titans. Tennessee needs to kick-start its run game after a poor beginning in Pittsburgh, which means roughly 20 carries for Johnson. Houston gave up 190 yards and two touchdowns on the ground in its loss to the Jets.
    Darren McFadden, RB, Raiders. Last year in Week 2 in Kansas City, McFadden woke up the NFL with a 164-yard game. This year, Oakland is in a similar situation, and the Chiefs might be worse on defense. They allowed the Baltimore Ravens 198 rushing yards on 41 carries.
    Duds
    Braylon Edwards, WR, Browns. Barely a factor in Cleveland's Week 1 loss with one catch for 12 yards, Edwards should be on your bench until he improves. He also faces Champ Bailey and a Denver Broncos' pass defense that was surprisingly effective in denying the Cincinnati Bengals any scores through the air.
    Carson Palmer, QB, Bengals. So much for the idea Cincinnati solved its offensive problems in the offseason. Now the Bengals go on the road to face the Green Bay Packers' revamped defense. They might have trouble scoring more than the meager seven points they managed against the Broncos.
    Willie Parker, RB, Steelers. After an embarrassing team effort of 36 yards on 23 carries against Tennessee, don't play Parker until we see improvement from Pittsburgh's running game. It's doubtful it will happen against a Chicago Bears defense that will be fired up in its home opener and out to prove itself even without injured Pro Bowl linebacker Brian Urlacher.
    Darren Sproles, RB, Chargers. A hot name in San Diego with LaDainian Tomlinson already hurt, Sproles faces a tough challenge. He is not consistent against physical defenses _ and you don't get much more physical than the Ravens. Plus, Baltimore has not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 36 games.
    DeAngelo Williams, RB, Panthers. The Carolina back hasn't had much luck against the Falcons (51.8-yard average in six games), plus Jake Delhomme's meltdown means the Falcons can focus most of their attention on Williams. Atlanta also held the Miami Dolphins' Ronnie Brown to 43 yards in the opener.
    Sleepers
    Correll Buckhalter, RB, Broncos. Expect him to start again as rookie Knowshon Moreno still doesn't look 100% healthy. Also not looking good is the Browns run defense, which was trampled by Minnesota Vikings running back Adrian Peterson for a league-high 225 yards and three touchdowns.
    Jason Campbell, QB, Redskins. As bad as he was against the New York Giants on the road, the St. Louis Rams' defense was equally atrocious as it allowed three passing TDs at the Seattle Seahawks. Take a chance on Campbell in Washington's home opener as St. Louis faces another difficult road trip.
    Mark Clayton, WR, Ravens. If Baltimore's pass-happy offense is for real, it will create a bunch of new fantasy starters, including Clayton, who had a team-high 77 yards and a TD last week. The Chargers appear to have problems defending the pass, so give Clayton another start.
    Devery Henderson, WR, Saints. With New Orleans coming off a 45-point blowout in Week 1, try to play any of its starters you own. The streaky Henderson had 103 yards, including a 58-yard score against the Detroit Lions, and is the kind of player you want only when he is on a roll.
    Torry Holt, WR, Jaguars. Jacksonville's passing offense was atrocious, so starting Holt is risky. But he loves seeing the Cardinals; he averages 96.6 yards with six 100-yard games in 14 tries and has scored a career-best nine times against Arizona.
    -- Matt Pitzer

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    Raging against the dying light


    Age mows down even the best athletes. Welsh poet Dylan Thomas urged us all "not to go gentle into that good night," and Kurt Warner is doing his best to rage against the dying of the light. While admitting that he's still feeling the effects of offseason labrum surgery in his hip, the 38-year-old insists this is the best he's been since the initial injury and that it's steadily improving.

    Even if Warner has our unwavering admiration for continuing to overcome unbelievably long odds throughout his storybook career, it's hard to miss the warning signs flashing in neon red above his 2009 season.

    Only two quarterbacks in NFL history – Warren Moon and Brett Favre – have thrown for more than 3,600 yards or 25 touchdowns at age 38 or older. Dan Marino, Joe Montana, and John Elway all went into their age 38 seasons aiming to dethrone Father Time, and the Hall of Famers all came up empty. A more recent example, Rich Gannon, posted a career-year at age 37 with 4,689 yards, 26 TDs, and a 67.6 completion percentage. The next season was the beginning of the end with just 1,274 yards and six touchdowns. He was out of the league less than a year later.

    If you missed the Cardinals season opener against the 49ers, Warner exhibited a startling loss of arm strength and accuracy. Unable to get the ball down the field, he settled for checkdowns throughout the game, as evidenced by Tim Hightower's 12 receptions. Even more immobile than usual, Warner was constantly harassed by the Niners defense. Defensive end Justin Smith was credited with an eye-popping nine hits alone on Warner.

    Though the Cardinals offense clearly misses Todd Haley's playcalling, it's worth pointing out that backup Matt Leinart enjoyed his most successful preseason while Warner failed to muster any offensive success whatsoever. As hard as it is to believe, some fans are already beating the drums for Leinart in Arizona. History says they're going to get their wish sooner rather than later.

    Editor's Note: For early rankings, complete projections, and a host of other exclusive material for Week 2, head to Rotoworld's Season Pass.

    Bucs WR Antonio Bryant missed practice Thursday, but coach Raheem Morris refused to label it a setback in his recovery from knee surgery. Indicating that Bryant is simply dealing with pain and inflammation in the knee, Morris suggested that it's not a long-term concern.

    "It's not an injury,'' Morris said. "He's just hurt right now. We're not real concerned. We're just disappointed for his sake. You want Antonio to play, of course, so it's obviously a disappointment. We've got guys on this team that have got to play, that have got to go in there."

    While Bryant's status for this week is in doubt, it's a little early to cut bait on a potential WR2/WR3. We'd hold off for another week to see if he shows improvement.

    Pierre Thomas (knee) "tweeted" Wednesday night that "I've been working hard preparing for week 2. I'm full go Sunday baby! Lets get it!" Unfortunately, he followed that up by being limited in Thursday's practice after participating in full the day before. Expect Thomas to be listed as questionable for Sunday's game, though beat writer Jeff Duncan remains skeptical that he'll be in the lineup. Thomas owners should roll with Mike Bell again and re-evaluate next week.

    LaDainian Tomlinson (ankle) missed a second straight practice on Thursday, and his ankle remains in a protective boot. We expect him to be listed as "questionable" on Friday's official report, and it looks like he's headed for the dreaded "game-time decision" tag. Even if he plays, he'll be splitting carries with Darren Sproles and Michael Bennett behind a patchwork offensive line against a stout Ravens defense. Look elsewhere for a fantasy starter this week.

    Two-Minute Drill: Anthony Gonzalez's sprained PCL will not require surgery, and he hopes to return after the Colts' Week 6 bye. … With Donovan McNabb (ribs) still not practicing, Kevin Kolb will start and the Eagles insist he'll play the whole game. … Broncos coach Josh McDaniels wants to get more touches for Knowshon Moreno, Brandon Marshall, and Eddie Royal, but he's not willing to force the ball into their hands. … Terrell Owens is undermining his quarterback again, saying "Trent [Edwards] has to better assess what he's seeing out there and take some shots down the field."… The Colts signed Hank Baskett to act as a fourth receiver and special teamer. … Coaches credited 49ers DE Justin Smith with 13 QB pressures and nine hits on Kurt Warner. … Texans CB Dunta Robinson was fined $25,000 for wearing a "Pay me Rick" message on his shoes in the opener.

    Red Zone: Though Anquan Boldin (hamstring) was limited for a second straight day, but he's feeling much better this week. … Steve Breaston (knee) returned to a limited practice after missing Wednesday's session. … T.J. Houshmandzadeh (back spasms) missed a second straight practice but is expected to start on Sunday. … Wes Welker (knee) was limited again on Thursday, but there's been no indication that he's in danger of missing this week's game. … Matt Cassel (knee) feels much better this week and is expected to start against the Raiders. Coach Todd Haley said, however, that he could use multiple QBs for the contest. … Cowboys RB Felix Jones (thigh) practiced in full on Thursday. … DeSean Jackson (groin) was upgraded to full participation. … Jeremy Shockey (ankle) returned to a limited practice and is line to start Sunday. … Bo Scaife (knee) missed another practice, but rookie Jared Cook (ankle) participated in a limited fashion. …Steelers ILB Lawrence Timmons (ankle) reportedly "made great strides" on Thursday. … Giants DL Chris Canty will miss this week's game – and likely next week's as well – after coming down with a severe craft strain.

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