[MistaFlava]

MistaFlava's 2009 College Football Record: 44-49-1 ATS (+108.50 Units)

Welcome to my 2009 College Football Season. Last year did not go all that well but I had some big wins but I also had some big unit losses and this is a good time to recover. My best season was still the 2004 season where I made huge profits and I hope I can regain that magical touch of my last year posting at Covers.com before being banned for life.

Please keep in mind that these are all my plays, my writeups, my bullshit, my common sense...whatever you wanna call what I post. Some tout sites have used my writeups in the past but it's not authorized and I post everything first obviously. Enjoy the season and GOOD LUCK TO ALL!


Week 1: 9-4 ATS (+55.00 Units)
Week 2: 5-6 ATS (+39.50 Units)
Week 3: 6-6 ATS (+28.00 Units)
Week 4: 6-6-1 ATS (+109.50 Units)
Week 5: 2-12 ATS (-155.50 Units)
Week 6: 8-7 ATS (+11.50 Units)
Week 7: 8-8 ATS (+31.50 Units)

Please also keep in mind that 1 Unit = $100 for all my plays unless otherwise posted. I will try to post plays in early every week but with my move out of the Country it's going to be tough the next month or so please forgive the lateness of my plays.

Also stop being so obessed with my units. I bet what I want to bet and you can all use the units as a guideline to see how much I like a play. Money is money, some of us have it, some of us don't. Who cares as long as you are making your own money right?

LET'S MAKE SOME CASH!

------------------------------------------------



Wednesday, October 21


Tulsa Golden Hurricane -7 (10 Units)

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane took my money the last time out when I bet on the Boise State Broncos to beat them by almost a touchdown and a FG only to have this young team come out of nowhere and score a late touchdown on nothing more than a few strikes up and down the field. So be it. That was then and this is now. Typically I am not one to adapt to a "if you can't beat em, join em" betting attitude but in this case I think Tulsa is probably at some point going to start making a run in the CUSA Conference West Division and what better way to start than beating the team that was ranked #1 in the pre-season polls when it came to who would win the West Division of this conference. The concern now obviously is backing a team on the road coming off a very strong home performance but there are serious conference implicaitons in this game and both teams are going to go at it back and forth. Well in their first road game of the season on opening night, the Golden Hurricane managed to beat Tulane 37-13 as a -14 point road favorite and then they went to New Mexico and beat the Lobos 44-10 as a -16.5 point road favorite before losing to Oklahoma the following week. The came yet another road game this time at Rice which the Golden Hurricane won 27-10 as a -17 point road favorite so they got the push. All-in-all not bad at all as they are 2-0-1 ATS this season on the road when favored in games so I think they are worth a shot here. Tulsa comes into this game averaging 34.7 points per game in their last three games and they have done that on 398.7 total yards of offense per game in those games and a whopping 6.2 yards per play to go with it. Let me just tell you that UTEP doesn't have a defense to speak of and they have allowed a whopping 46.7 points per game in their last three games on 596.0 total yards of offense per game and 6.7 yards per play in those games. I don't think I have ever heard of this before, not that many points and not that many yards. I know Tulsa's offense is not what it used to be but how do they not unload about 50 of their own in this game? On the ground the Tulsa running game finally got going a bit against Boise State as the Golden Hurricane now average 153.3 rushing yards per game their last three games on 4.0 yards per carry. RB Jamad Williams has struggled a bit after averaging 6.1 yards per carry in 2008 but he should have a breakout game tonight against a run defense that has allowed 233.7 rushing yards per game their last three games on 5.9 yards per carry and what makes Tulsa even more dangerous in this game is the fact that their QB GJ Kinne is second on the team in rushing with 188 rushing yards and 2 rushing touchdowns. Tulsa doesn't even have to throw the ball to make some noise tonight but when they do decided to throw it, Kinne has completed 63.3% of his passes the last three games for 245.3 passing yards per game and a whopping 9.3 yards per pass attempt. He showed on a few occasions that he has a huge arm and that he can pick apart defenses when he marched down the field for a TD against Boise State in only 3-4 big passing plays. Well the Texas El Paso secondary is a complete joke and they have allowed their last three opponents to complete 68.7% of their passes for 362.3 passing yards per game and 7.2 yards per pass attempt in those games. Do not forget that QB GJ Kinne was very highly recruited coming out of High School and he did originally go to Texas before transfering to Tulsa knowing he would have a shot at the job when he got here. Good move. He is only a sophomore and this is his first ever college start back in his home state of Texas so he should be pumped and I like when guys are motivated. The Miners defense has no pass rush to speak of as they have been able to muster only 1 sack in their last three games and that should give Tulsa and Kinne plenty of time to move the chains and score on pretty much every single drive when they get the ball back. I will be shocked if they don't run away with this thing early. Kinne has not thrown a single interception in his last three games and I was very impressed with his composure against Boise State as he is the reason the Golden Hurricane even kept the game close to begin with. UTEP have somehow done a good job forcing fumbles the last three games as they have forced 5 fumbles and managed to recover 4 of them but Tulsa does not have a fumble problem and they have lost only 2 fumbles in their last three games overall. Not only do I love the fact that Tulsa likes to score often and they like to score early as they average 19.7 points per first half in their last three games but I also love the fact that head coach Todd Graham has a disciplined bunch in front of him, something that is pretty damn rare in one of the most penalized conferences in the Country. His Golden Hurricane average only 6.0 penalties per game the last three games and it has cost them only 53.0 penalty yards per game in those games. Kinne is the leader of this team, he has been outstanding, he was recruited by Texas so we know he's got something and I think he has a great game for the first time back in his Home State of Texas. Bank on that.

The Texas El Paso Miners were supposed to be a good team this season and they were supposed to contend for the Conference Title as well as the Conference Divisional Title. They can pretty much forget any of that. I know the team returned a total of 15 starters from last season and they do have one of the easiest schedules of any team in the Conference but they have lost some key games and I don't see why they would be able to turn things around in only one short bye week. Their defense allowed 37.0 points per game in 2008 while returning 7 starters that year and this year they returned 7 starters again so I don't see why anyone would ever think there would be an improvement. The Miners lost their season opening game 23-17 at home against the Buffalo Bulls and they followed that up with a 34-7 home loss to Kansas as a +13 point underdog in that game. They went on the road and beat a pathetic New Mexico team 38-12 the following week, then went to Texas and allowed 64 points while scoring only 7, then returned home and shocked the Houston Cougars in a 58-41 win which put them back in Conference talks. Having said that, UTEP then went to Memphis two weeks ago (a team that has struggled all season to put points on the board) and they allowed 35 points in a 35-20 loss as a -1.5 point favorite in that game. So after being on such a high after the Houston game, they are right back down where they started. So we know this offense can score and UTEP comes into this game averaging 28.3 points per game in their last three games and they did that by averaging 358.7 total yards of offense per game in those games on 5.7 yards per play. Enough to keep up with Tulsa? I don't think so. The Golden Hurricane defense flexed some serious muscle last week against Boise State and they have allowed only 13.7 points per game in their last three games and have allowed only 270.7 total yards of offense per game on a very impressive 3.8 yards per play in those games. THIS DEFENSE IS THE REAL DEAL. Most of the Miners success has come running the ball as they average 145.7 rushing yards per game their last three games on 4.7 yards per carry as RB Donald Buckram has been a beast but the Golden Hurricane have a great run defense and they have allowed only 127.0 rushing yards per game their last three games and have allowed only 3.3 yards per carry in those games. Without any success running the ball I just don't see how UTEP can get their offense going against the best defense in the Conference that just showed why they are the best against Boise State. In the air, QB Trevor Vittatoe has passed for 1200+ yards this season but he has been ineffective most of the time. He has completed only 51.0% of his passes the last three games for 213.0 passing yards per game and 6.7 yards per pass attempt and that's just not going to cut it tonight. I say that because Tulsa's secondary is deadly and they have allowed their last three opponents to complete only 49.0% of their passes the last three games for only 143.7 passing yards per game and only 4.5 yards per pass attempt. Don't you worry about this defense, like I said before, they are pass tested coming off a game against Boise State, one of the best offenses in the Nation. Vittatoe has made some very bad decisions the last three games which is why he has been sacked 5 times in those games and which is why he has thrown 6 of his 7 interceptions on the season in the last three games. He is bad under pressure and I think he is going to struggle against a Tulsa team that can bring pressure when they want but that doesn't exhaust the blitz like some teams as they drop back into coverage and prefer to keep everything short of the first down marker instead. The Golden Hurricane secondary has come down with only 1 interception in their last three games and I expect them to be aggressive tonight as they attempt to force more turnovers than they have. Having said that you could call their defense conservative because even though they don't pick the ball, they also don't allow big plays in the air. UTEP is a team that just can't hang onto the ball most of the time as they have fumbled 6 times in their last three games and have lost 2 of those fumbles along the way. Well trouble is brewing tonight for the Miners because Tulsa has forced 5 fumbles in their last three games and they have managed to recover 4 of those fumbles so they are a very aggressive tackling team and that could impact the result of tonight's game. I talked about Tulsa being a very discplined team under Todd Graham and it's too bad the same can't be said about Mike Price's Miners who have taken 7.7 penalties per game the last three games costing them 66.3 penalty yards per game. Even if UTEP finds a way to score early and even if they are in this game for the entire first half, Tulsa's defense has won games in the second as they have allowed only 3.3 points per second half of their last three games and have not allowed a single point in the fourt quarter of any of their last three games. THIS DEFENSE IS THE REAL DEAL and we are going to see it tonight.

We all remember what happened in Tulsa last year when UTEP came into town as a +18 point underdog then actually led the game before allowing 35 unanswered Tulsa points and losing 77-35. WOW! So their defense was supposed to be better this season and that was why they were going to contend for the CUSA Conference West Division but their defense is atrocious. The Miners are ranked #119 in the Nation in total yards allowed, #115 in passing yards allowed, #114 in rushing yards allowed and #109 in points allowed this season. Tulsa's offense is not as good as the last few seasons but they are still #35 in points scored. The only concern in this game is that the road team has lost five straight times but I just don't see Tulsa losing this game or even keeping the Miners in it for any more time than the half. Tulsa had 791 total yards at home against UTEP last year. Enough said. This is the best defense Tulsa has had in the Todd Graham era that's for sure. The Golden Hurricane are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games played on Field Turf so they have experience and they don't mind. They are also 8-1 ATS in their last nine games coming off a BYE WEEK and Todd Graham really has this team pointed in the right direction. I was impressed against Boise State. You can forget home advantage here. UTEP has covered the spread in only 3 of their last 10 home games and they are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven games coming off a BYE WEEK while covering only 3 of their last 11 games played on Field Turf. Tulsa has covered 5 of their last 7 games played in El Paso, Texas and with Kinne being a local boy, I think the Golden Hurricane roll with their impressive defense. The Miners have been held to 20 points or less in 4 of their 6 games this season.

Trend of the Game: Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a BYE WEEK.


Tulsa 49, UTEP 23





more to come...

[PatsFanatic]

Trend of the Game: Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a BYE WEEK.

Tulsa played Boise last week. GL with your action Flava

[indiana]

M. Flava........

thank you..BOL this week

indy

[MistaFlava]

Trend of the Game: Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a BYE WEEK.

Tulsa played Boise last week. GL with your action Flava

You're right and I even talked about the game. Regardless I only post the trends for fun and I'm guessing some trend sites have it wrong. Nonetheless I love Tulsa in this game.

GL

[MistaFlava]

adding...



Thursday, October 22


Florida State Seminoles +2.5 (10 Units)

The Florida State Seminoles have reached dire times and it's now or never for many aspects of this program. We all know Bobby Bowden's time with this team is coming to an end and even though he has expressed interest in coming back for the 2010 season, I am pretty sure he is gone after this year based on what this team is going to do over the course of the next two months. On that note I think the Seminoles are going to carry a ton of betting value in upcoming games because Bowden is coaching to save his job and from what I have heard the players want to win for him. So we know we are going to get some good efforts out of this team as they have now reached a new low on the season and lost three straight games. The season went sour early for the Noles as they let Miami come from behind in the season opener and beat them 38-34. They did recover nicely from that loss and beat Jacksonville State at home and then went on the road and absolutely shocked BYU in a 54-28 win as a +8.5 point underdog in that game but it all went bad from there as the Noles lost at home to South Florida against a freshman QB making his first ever start for the Bulls. Then came a 28-21 road loss at Boston College and the latest setback for this team was their 49-44 home loss to Georgia Tech two weeks ago once again as a favorite. So now they are underdogs and the only game Florida State covered this season was as an underdog. Florida State comes into this game averaging 24.0 points per game in their last three games and they have done that on 412.7 total yards of offense per game and 6.2 yards per play in those games. So their offense is really clicking now. They are going up against a very solid North Carolina defense that has allowed only 17.3 points per game in their last three games and that has allowed 276.7 total yards of offense per game and 3.9 yards per play in those games. On the ground is where the Seminoles offense has really struggled as they average only 90.0 rushing yards per game in their last three games on only 3.1 yards per carry in those games. Not good enough. North Carolina's defense has been run on all season as their last three opponents average 172.7 rushing yards per game on 3.6 yards per carry which is not bad at all for being run on 48.3 times per game. Is everyone that scared their secondary? QB Christian Ponder has completed a whopping 69.6% of his passes the last three games for 322.7 passing yards per game and 8.4 yards per pass attempt in those games. I have to admit North Carolina does have an outstanding secondary but are they that good? We shall see. They have allowed their last three opponents to complete 55.7% of their passes for 104.0 passing yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry. What this really comes down to for me is Florida State's ability to run the ball. I know they average only 3.1 yards per carry in the last three games but RB Jermaine Thomas, who averaged a whopping 7.0 yards per carry last season on 69 carries for the year, was having a rought year until last week when he finally broke out of his shell and rushed for 98 yards on 19 carries, 5.2 yards per carry and 1 touchdown run against Georgia Tech. It was about time and now the Noles should run Thomas over and over again in this game. The Tar Heels have a very good defensive line and they are going to come after Ponder which is why getting the running game is so important here to take some of the pressure off the QB who has been sacked 8 times in his last three games. What I find impressive is that even with that intense pressure coming off the line, Ponder has not thrown a single interception the last three games and he has shown great composure in the pocket and on his feet when pressured. The Noles need that tonight because North Carolina's secondary is always looking for takeaways and they have 4 interceptions in their last three games. A big part of why Florida State has lost three games in a row is because of fumbles. The Noles have fumbled the ball a whopping 11 times in their last three games and they have managed to lose 8 of those fumbles along the way. Anytime you turn the ball over that much when your offense is moving the chains, you are going to lose games. The good news here is that North Carolina has recovered only 2 loose footballs the last three games and I don't think they are particularly aggressive at the point of tackle. Bowden has to find a way to keep his guys discipline and he has to find a way to keep them motivated the rest of the season even though they are pretty much out of ACC Atlantic Division contention. I don't know that the Seminoles can run the ball effectively but I do know that they need to run the ball, that's the only way they will set things up for the passing game to be successful. This could be a struggle for the offense but they get the job done.

The North Carolina Tar Heels have one of the best defenses in the ACC Conference and not many people know that but what good is your defense if your offense can't put points on the board right? Check this out. So far this season not a single North Carolina opponent has managed to score more than 24 points in a game but at the same time not once has the Tar Heels offense managed more than 31 points in a game versus a I-A school opponent. In the game at Connecticut earlier this season the offense got lucky because they scored very late in the game on a safety and pretty much freebie win giveaway by the Huskies. North Carolina followed that up with an impressive 31-17 home win over East Carolina but then they went on the road and got spanked by Georgia Tech 24-7 and then came home only to lose 16-3 to a very impressive Virginia team. I don't really count the Tar Heels two games this season against The Citadel and Georgia Southern because those are I-AA schools and of course you are going to beat them by 40 most of the time anyways. So the Tar Heels defense is highly ranked but they have played some of the most useless offenses in college football (again two I-AA schools along the way) with the exception of Georgia Tech and even then they allowed 24 points in that game. The offense is finally starting to come around but they are up for a tough task tonight against the Seminoles. North Carolina comes into this game averaging 17.3 points per game in their last three games but they have managed only a pathetic 205.7 total yards of offense per game in those games on only 3.5 yards per play. I don't care how good your defense is, that's terrible offense and those numbers include the 42-12 win over Georgia Southern. The big problem for Florida State has been their defense as they have allowed 31.3 points per game their last three games on 433.0 total yards of offense per game and 6.9 yards per play in those games but they catch a break in this game tonight as they get to recover and come off a bye week to play against what I think is the worst looking offense in the ACC Conference. I can tell you right now that the Tar Heels have one of the very worst offensive lines as they have averaged only 73.3 rushing yards per game the last three games on 2.4 yards per carry and that is going to be the biggest welcome sight for the Seminoles defense because their run defense needs a break as they have allowed 247.3 rushing yards per game the last three games on 5.4 yards per carry and that is a huge part of why their defense has struggled so bad. Stop the run, get off the field and let your offense go to work. That's the idea here. In the air, QB TJ Yates has done nothing to impress this season and you can't really blame the guys for losing 5 of the top 6 receivers on this team from only one year ago. Yates has managed to complete only 54.7% of his passes the last three games for 132.3 passing yards per game and 4.6 yards per pass attempt in those games which again is going to be a welcome sight for the Seminoles defense. Having said, Florida State's secondary has been nasty and their last three opponents have completed only 49.0% of their passes in the last three games for only 185.7 passing yards per game and 10.9 yards per pass attempt in those games. So the Noles defense has been beat by a) the running game and b) the long passes and the home run ball. Not only does North Carolina have one of the worst offensive lines and running attacks in the Conference but their top receiver this season averages only 16.1 yards per reception on 18 catches and the Tar Heels don't even have it in their playbook to beat opponents deep. So all the struggles Florida State has had on defense should come to an end tonight as they are going to stop the run and avoid getting beat deep by a team that lost all their top receivers from last season and who have yet to find a replacement for longer yardage passes. It's also worth mentioning that Yates has been under pressure all season and that he has been sacked 8 times the last three games so the Seminoles might want to change things up a bit and get some kind of heavy pass rush going in this game to force him to make mistakes and believe me when pressured he will make mistakes. Yates has thrown 5 interceptions in his last three games and the Florida State secondary is going to ball hawk all over the place tonight anticipating more mistakes from Yates. The Tar Heels have also had problems holding onto the ball this season and they have fumbled the ball 4 times their last three games and have lost all four fumbles along the way. You don't want to do that against Florida State because the Seminoles defense has forced a whopping 7 fumbles in their last three games and they have managed to recover 5 of those fumbles which means they are going to be attacking the ball on their tackles tonight and North Carolina have yet to show they can handle that kind of defense. Both teams seem to score the majority of their points in the first half of games but I don't know how anyone here can seriously back a North Carolina team that has scored only 3.3 points per second half on average in their last three games. The Tar Heels go down tonight and so does their horrendous offense.

This is an interesting matchup because you have Florida State, who's offense has been fantastic lately going up against North Carolina who's defense has been fantastic as of late. On the flip side of things you have North Carolina's horrendous offense going up against Florida State's horrendous defense. So this could be a close game. Having said that, Florida State is 14-1-1 SU lifetime versus North Carolina and every time the Tar Heels have come close their red zone offense has let them down. I know the crowd is going to be loud tonight because this is the first ever Thursday Night home game in Kenan Memorial Stadium and the 60 000+ in attendance are going to have it rocking. This is a great spot for Florida State as they come into this game 2-0-2 ATS in their last four games as a road underdog and they are 3-0-2 ATS in their last five games following a game where they allow 40+ points the game before so at least we know they recover quite nicely from bad defensive performances. The Noles have always been a good underdog bet as they are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog and despite failing to cover the spread in five straight Thursday Night Games, I think they get the job done when you least expect it. North Carolina has covered the spread in only 6 of their last 19 games as a favorite and only 3 of their last 10 games as a favorite of 0.5 to 3 points. The Tar Heels are only 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home game as a favorite, they are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of 20+ points the game before and the Road Team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings. I think Bobby Bowden and the boys find a way to win this game.

Trend of the Game: North Carolina is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of 20+ points.


Florida State 21, North Carolina 10





more to come...

[unc50]

you know mista. i admire you because you devote so much of your time to your write-ups and your research, wherever you get it, is impressive. but do you actually read what you type? you contradict yourself repeatedly and do so from i don't understand what type of rationale.

this game is all about matchups.

i think the under is the best play, and i haven't even looked at the number yet.
<input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><!--Session data--><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">

[Chodey Bodey]

Flav, Ga Tech -4 .... @ VA ... I know VA is playing well lately but Ga Tech could be in a title shot position. Getting on it, or too good to be true?

[MistaFlava]

Flav, Ga Tech -4 .... @ VA ... I know VA is playing well lately but Ga Tech could be in a title shot position. Getting on it, or too good to be true?

Something is up in that game. Almost 80% of the public likes Georgia Tech and in fact so do I but I'm not touching it. Al Groh has done a better job than most coaches in college football as an underdog or when the team has no expectations. Virginia has covered the spread in 16 of their last 21 games as a home underdog. That's unreal. Georgia Tech has lost 8 straight at Scott Stadium. On that note I don't see anyone stopping the Jackets right now but something is not right. I would stay away. That's what I'm doing.

[MistaFlava]

adding...



Saturday, October 24


Ohio State Buckeyes -18 (10 Units)

The Minnesota Golden Gophers could be mistaken for a good road team because of their winning record away from home this season (2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in those games) but believe me when I say that I have not been impressed by this team the two times I watched them play. I was on the Gophers when they opened the season at Syracuse and sure they moved the ball in that game but they also turned it over and their defense was awful as they managed to beat the Orangemen only 23-20 as seven point favorites in that game. Their next road game was a decent effort in a 35-24 win over Northwestern as one point underdogs on the road. Having said that the Gophers were shutout last week in a 20-0 loss at Penn State as 17 point road underdogs and now they have to go at it against a defense that is equally good and that is coming off an embarrassing loss. Minnesota is an experienced team on both sides of the ball and they are in their third year of guidance under Tim Brewster so definitely they have Bowl Game expectations and with three home games coming against Michigan State, Illinois and South Dakota State the next three weeks, the Gophers need only 2 wins out of those games to be Bowl Eligible and there is no urgency to win a game like this on the road. I think they will have a laid back approach to this game. The Gophers come into this game averaging only 21.0 points per game in their last three games and they have done that on only 249.0 total yards of offense per game and 4.9 yards per play in those games. That stinks. I really don't think Ohio State is going to make things easier for this team as the Buckeyes defense tries to recover from the loss to Purdue and they have allowed only 17.7 points per game in their last three games and have allowed only 319.0 total yards of offense per game in those games and only 4.1 yards per play. On the ground the Gophers have been absolutely useless the last three games running for only 100.3 rushing yards per game in those games on only 3.3 yards per carry. That won't change in this game because Ohio State has allowed only 72.0 rushing yards per game the last three games on only 2.1 yards per carry and have the #9 ranked defense in the Nation against the run. In the air, QB Adam Weber has been making mistakes all year and he has completed only 50.0% of his passes the last three games for 148.7 passing yards per game and 7.2 yards per pass attempt. He has been forcing the issue and it's not working. The Buckeyes defense is not about to let him score more than a few points in this game as they have allowed their last three opponents to complete only 59.5% of their passes for 247.0 passing yards per game and 5.7 yards per pass attempt and all those passes Minnesota likes to complete for big yardage are not even going to be an option in this game today. I know the Buckeyes offense has been under intense scrutiny in Columbus all week long but this defense is hungry to win games for the lagging offense and this is their best shot to do that like they have done most of the season. Weber has under pressure in almost every game this season and his offensive line is terrible. The Gophers have allowed Weber to be sacked a whopping 8 times the last three games which has resulted in 4 Weber interceptions in those games almost as a direct result of that pressure. If you thought that was bad for him you can expect a lot worse in this game as Ohio State has 9 sacks in their last three games and the defense has come up with a whopping 6 interceptions in those games. I really think the Buckeyes are going to come at the Gophers with some relentless pressure knowing they have problems protecting their QB and knowing Weber makes a lot of mistakes under pressure. With no running game to speak, the Buckeyes defense is going to anticipate the pass and they are going to anticipate a lot of it to WR Eric Decker who is the only decent target on this team. Well the bad news there is that the the second best shut down corner in the Big Ten Conference is CB Chimdi Chekwa (one of the TOP 15 in the Nation too) and definitely the best Strong Safety in the Big Ten Conference is SS Kurt Coleman and I think these guys have a huge game. Weber makes way too many bad decisions and it's going to cost him against a defense looking for a bounce back. He threw 8 interceptions all of last season but the Big Ten defenses have figured him out and he has thrown 9 picks already this year with 5 games left and a possible Bowl Game. Defense comes up huge.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are in a state of shock and they have been the talk of the town in Columbus since that final whistle went around mid-afternoon last Saturday. Yup I was in Columbus watching the Buckeyes lose that game in a bar with some pissed off Buckeye fans and let me tell you they are not only pissed off, they want some blood. All I kept hearing and keep hearing around the city is "Fuck the Buckeyes", "Pryor fucking sucks", "we need a new coach" and the beat goes on. The first statement is incorrect, you don't almost beat USC and suck. The second statement is also incorrect. Pryor is not well coached it seems and I am not a big fan of the Michael Vick style QB's anymore. Just check it out. Who is the only other TOP 10 team to lose last weekend? That's right...Virginia Tech...who have another Vick type QB in Tyrrod Taylor. The third statement about Tressel is correct but he is not going anywhere for the time being and his conservative ass is still going to be here at the end of the year. Pryor is still the QB coming into this game and although I think he would be better as a wideout if they can recruit a more natural QB, he has still made some good plays in his career and is the right guy for the job. Believe me this is a vengeance game for the Buckeyes and we are going to see them kick some serious ass on both sides of the ball. They beat Illinois by 30 points in the Shoe and the last time they were here they beat Wisconsin by 18 points in the Shoe. Just have faith that this team can bounce back from a bad performance. The Buckeyes come into this game averaging 27.3 points per game in their last three games and really that is not bad despite averaging only 283.0 total yards of offense per game and 4.9 yards per play in those games. Well the offense was supposed to explode accoring to Pryor last weekend but I see that happening more this time around as Minnesota has allowed 23.7 points per game in their last three games and they have allowed 440.0 total yards of offense per game and allowed 5.8 yards per play in those games. On the ground, I am positive Pryor is going to be asked to run more and they are going to hand the ball off the RB Brandon Saine a lot more (7 touches only last game) as they have averaged only 127.3 rushing yards per game their last three games on only 3.7 yards per carry. The Gophers cannot stop the run as they have allowed 191.7 rushing yards per game their last three games and have allowed a whopping 4.7 yards per carry in those games. The more the Buckeyes attack the ground the bigger the margin of victory is going to be. In the air, Pryor has completed only 53.5% of his passes the last three games for 155.7 passing yards per game and 6.6 yards per pass attempt which is way off from his career numbers so far and the only way is up. Minnesota's secondary has allowed their last three opponents to complete 59.0% of their passes for 248.3 passing yards per game and 7.1 yards per pass attempt in those games. The Gophers have all sorts of problems covering receivers who can get open down field and make some plays after catching the ball to create much biggers plays. I have no doubt WR Dane Sanzenbacher is going to have some huge plays in this game because he has 15 catches on the year and averages 21.3 yards per reception. The Gophers can't handle that. Also Pryor has to improve here because last season he completed 60.6% of his passes and once his confidence is back (that comes with running the ball early for a few big plays), he is going to start making plays in the air again. The offensive line has been terrible and Pyor, as mobile as he is, has been sacked 5 times in his last three games but no worries about that this game as Minnesota has only 2 sacks in their last three games and they don't have the guys up front to generate the pressure needed to make big plays on defense. Their secondary is not fast enough to keep up with quicker receivers and they do lack size in the secondary but they take a lot of risks and get burned a lot of times with their 3 interceptions in the last three games. Despite all their struggles on offense and their defensive breakdown against Purdue last week, Tressel still has a very disciplined bunch of guys that have taken only 5.3 penalties per game the last three games which has cost them only 38.3 penalty yards per game in those games. I really like the Buckeyes to make a statement here that they are not done in the Big Ten Conference because they still have games at both Penn State and Iowa coming up and if they win those two games they almost surely put themselves in the lead for the Conference Title and that would still mean they have a shot at the BCS Bowl Series. The season is not done boys and girls.

I am going to the game this Saturday as I am in Columbus on the weekend. The weather is going to be shit and that most definitely benefits whatever teams can run the ball and seeing how Minnesota has a horrendous run defense, Ohio State will probably run the ball 30-40 times in this game. The criticism has immense after the loss to Purdue about how Tressel teams never handoff to their RB's only 7 times per game like they did with RB Brandon Saine last game but what happened happened and now it's time to bounce back. This is Home Coming week here on campus and Ohio State is 18-1 SU lifetime against Minnesota in Columbus. Some of you will look at the 34-21 win over Minnesota at home and say that the Gopher can keep it close again but please realize that with only a few minutes left in that game it was 34-6 Buckeyes and they allowed 15 points out of nowhere to make it look like a close game. I mean Minnesota has no hope of winning this game so why even back them? Minnesota is only 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus a team that has a winning record on the year and they are only 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. Ohio State on the other hand has only struggled versus bad teams and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games versus a team that has a .500 or better record on the season and despite the loss last weekend they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Tressel is a good bounce back guy and the Buckeyes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up loss, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games and 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. The Buckeyes are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games coming off a game where they scored less than 20 points and despite the loss to Purdue, again they have covered 25 of their last 35 Big Ten Conference games and that is damn impressive. You can hate all you want on this team they still have TOP 10 talent in the Country and in a bounce back spot I like them to kill the Gophers like they did last year. BUCKEYES TO THE BANK!!!

Trend of the Game: Ohio State is 4-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a game where they scored less than 20 points.


Ohio State 45, Minnesota 6





more to come...

[MistaFlava]

adding...


Pittsburgh Panthers -6.5 (10 Units)

The South Florida Bulls were sitting pretty heading into their game against the Cincinnati Bearcats last Thursday Night and I was on them thinking they could finally win that big game on National TV but boy was I wrong about that and I think the loss to the Bearcats is going to bring the Bulls level of play down a notch or two for the remainder of the season. You have to still remember that despite their 5-1 SU record on the year which is impressive, that their star QB of the last three seasons is out of the year and despite the outstanding play of freshman QB BJ Daniels, we saw his weaknesses last time out and we saw how beatable this offense really is. I don't think I can trust them on the road in a cold environment where we might even see some snow because the furthest North this team has gone all season was Syracuse two weeks ago and even at that they played indoors in that game. I know these guys are good enough to ignore the weather whatever it is but despite being 3-0 SU on the year away from home, I just don't think the Bulls have what it takes on offense to compete in this game much like what they lacked aganst Cincinnati. I mean their offense ranked #39 in the Nation right now but the only reason for that is because the defense is so good and the defense is ranked TOP 20 in almost every single major stats category in college football defense. The Bulls come into this game averaging 22.7 points per game their last three games which is not too bad because two of those games were on the road but South Florida averaged 359.0 total yards of offense and 5.7 yards per play in those games. Not gonna cut it against this Panthers defense. Pitt is really coming along in the Big East Conference and the Panthers have a nasty defense that has allowed only 16.0 points per game the last three games and has allowed only 298.0 total yards of offense per game in those games on only 4.9 yards per play. On the ground, the Bulls love running the ball and Daniels can really move as the team is averaging 148.7 rushing yards per game the last three games and averaging 3.9 yards per carry in those games. NOT SO FAST my friends. Not against Pitt you won't. The Panthers defense is getting better by the game and their last three opponents have run for 81.7 rushing yards per game on only 2.8 yards per carry in those games. Ouch. That puts all the pressure on Daniels to have a good game passing the ball here and I don't think I trust him. Daniels has completed only 46.7% of his passes the last three games for 210.3 passing yards and 8.4 yards per pass attempt and the only ball he seems to want to throw is the deep ball looking for that big play. Sure he is going to his some 20+ pass routes on a few occasions but from what I have seen that's all he ever looks for. The Panthers secondary is going to have none of it because despite allowing their last three opponents to complete 62.6% of their passes the last three games for 250.0 passing yards per game, they have allowed only 6.8 yards per pass attempt and have kept the big plays to a minimal. What's imporant to know about Pittsburgh is that no team in college football is going to blitz as much as these guys do and South Florida is in big time trouble. Daniels has been sacked 8 times in his last three games despite being a mobile QB and for those who don't already know, the Panthers defense brings pressure from all sides and from all formations on defense as they have a whopping 12 sacks in their last three games now. Daniels has thrown 4 interceptions his last three games and a lot of that has been because of the pressure he has seen coming at him. Well the Panthers secondary has come down with only 1 interception in their last three games and I know for a fact the coaching staff has asked for a lot more from this group that return 11 interceptions from their 15 interceptions in 2008. You also have to think with that kind of pressure on the pass rush that the opportunities are going to be there to pick the ball against a freshman QB playing his first game in cold weather. The Bulls have also had all sorts of problems holding onto the ball as they have fumbled 5 times in their last three games and have lost 3 of those fumbles along the way which is not good news when you go into a cold environment and have to play against a Panthers defense that has 3 fumbles recoveries of their own the last three games and that has forced 4 fumbles in those games. I said it before last game and I will say it again after watching this team play against Cincinnati. They are a very talented bunch but they are not exactly a smart bunch and they average 8.3 penalties per game their last three games which has cost them 90.7 penalty yards per game in those games and believe me you are not going to win on the road in this conference in a much colder environment if you can't use your own brains at home. I would fade the Bulls until they get their shit together.

The Pitt Panthers are coming into their own, they are looking better than they have in years under Dave Wannstedt and this could be the year where the final game of the season against Cincinnati is for the Big East Conference Championship with a possible spot in the BCS Championship Game on the line for the Bearcats. That would be fun sure but the Panthers have to continue winning games before they can even think BCS because the one game they fell asleep for is the one game that could haunt them all year long if they are a 1 loss team that comes close to the BCS but is denied because they are from this Conference. Yup the Panthers went on the road Week 4 of the season and somehow loss to the NC State Wolfpack who are by far one of the worst teams all around in this Conference. The loss was a huge disappointment but at least this team recognized that the season was nowhere near over and that they had to keep winning games. I am looking back at all their wins this season and now that the Panthers are 6-1 SU on the year, it's worth mentioning that 5 of those 6 wins came by 7 or more points as they beat Youngstown State by 25, they beat Buffalo by 27 on the road, they beat Navy at home by 13, they beat Louisville on the road by 25 and they beat Rutgers on the road by 7 points last weekend. So when this team wins games, they don't win them small, they win them big and surely enough their only blunder was a 24-21 win over Connecticut a few weeks ago at home, a game they will surely want to bounce back from with a big win here. Pittsburgh comes into this game averaging a whopping 27.7 points per game in their last three games and they have managed to get that done on 423.0 total yards of offense per game and 6.3 yards per play in those games which is impressive. So they have a solid defense and very good offense. Good balance. South Florida's defense is good but they have struggled a bit in recent games and have allowed 20.3 points per game the last three games and have also allowed 344.3 total yards of offense per game and 4.9 yards per play in those games. The Panthers have the best running back in the Nation right now as RB Dion Lewis has 918 rushing yards on the season while averaging 5.7 yards per carry with a whopping 9 touchdown runs on the year. The Big East Conference frosh record for rushing yards is held by Pitt RB Lesean McCoy at 1328 rushing yards but that is about to go down. South Florida's run defense is good and they have allowed only 94.3 rushing yards per game the last three games on 3.0 yards per carry and although I think they can slow down the Panthers running game a bit, Rutgers had even better numbers coming into their game against Lewis and the Panthers and they got squashed on the ground. In the air, I love the fact that the Panthers have an experienced Senior QB in Bill Stull who has completed a very impressive 67.9% of his passes the last three games for 221.0 passing yards per game and a whopping 8.5 yards per pass attempt in those games. I would say he is playing the best football of his career right now. The South Florida secondary has allowed their last three opponents to complete 57.4% of their passes for 250.0 passing yards per game and 6.5 yards per pass attempt so they have been solid but they have not faced many ground/air attack combos like this so far this season and I think they are going to struggle trying to stop both the best RB in the Nation right now and one of the better gun slinger QB's in this Conference. Bringing pressure from all sides is also something South Florida loves to do and it's a big part of why their defense has had so much success. I would say there is not a team that blitzes more than South Florida and Pittsburgh do combined in this Country and the Bulls do a great job of it too with their 11 sacks in the last three games. Having said that, Stull has a good front line and they have done what they can to protect him and he has been sacked only 4 times in the last three games. Despite the pressure Stull has learned a lot this season compared to last season when he threw 9 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions. This year has been quite different as he has passed for 14 touchdowns and has thrown only 3 interceptions turning into one of the more experienced and matured QB's in this Conference. That's good news because South Florida has come down with 6 interceptions in their last three games and they love to jump all over mistakes made by mistake prone QB's in this Conference. Not here though. The Bulls defense has always made a living off high pressure and turnover forcing ways as they have forced 9 fumbles in their last three games and have found a way to recover 6 of those fumbles in those games. I don't think the Panthers are going to have a problem with that because in their last three games they have lost only three fumbles in those games and again turnovers have not been a problem for this team in 2009 like it was in years past. I talked a lot about discipline and having coaches who know how to control their players and Pitt is the complete opposite of South Florida as they have taken only 3.7 penalties per game in their last three games which has cost them only 39.0 penalty yards per game in those games. That's very impressive and so has this Panthers team been. I think they have a serious shot at winning all their remaining games and I think if the season and the Conferences comes down to the final game of the season at home against the Bearcats, I'm going to have to back Pitt if they cover for me here.

This has all the makings of a pretty good game...well it had those makings anyways. I say that because as a fan of the game I would have much rather had South Florida play with QB Matt Grothe who helped put 48 points on the board the last time he was in Pittsburgh but Grothe is out for the year and that is a big time deal. I don't think QB BJ Daniel has ever played a game in cold weather and right now it looks like gametime temperature is going to be right down near the low 50's or high 40's with some rain and some nasty stuff. In last year's 26-21 home loss to Pitt, the Bulls managed only 62 yards of offense in the first half and I don't see them doing much more with a weaker offense this year. A lot of you are going to point out the 48-37 win by South Florida here in 2007 but Pitt held the lead 14-10 at the half of that game and second half turnovers killed them. Also that was with Grothe at the helms. This is a spot where South Florida has excelled in years past but they have covered only 2 of their last 8 games played in October and they are only 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games versus a team with a winning record so I don't trust them. Pitt on the other hand is a very impressive 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on grass and they have covered 4 of their last 5 conference games. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points and unlike South Florida, they have covered 13 of their last 17 games played in the Month of October and are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. These are two teams heading in completely different directions and I think the Panthers look good again today with a big time win against a very good defense.

Trend of the Game: South Florida is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games versus a team with a winning record.


Pittsburgh 23, South Florida 7





more to come...

[fonz5000]

On Tulsa with you at -7....

GL Flav

[MistaFlava]

adding...



Connecticut Huskies +7.5 (10 Units)

The Connecticut Huskies have already been through enough this week and the tragic death of CB Jasper Howard is something they won't get over for the rest of the season and maybe for the rest of their lives. On that note I would like to point out that the Huskies are going to be very emotional in this game and something tells me they are going to be very motivated to perform for Jasper knowing he is up there watching the game. Tragedies are never fun in any sport or any part of life. In sports it makes it all that tougher to prepare for a game but I would like to point out the performance of CB Darius Butler for the New England Patriots on Sunday. Butler found out that his understudy and best friend in 2008 was killed only a few hours before taking the field for his first NFL start against the Tennessee Titans. That had to be tougher than anything for him but Butler, an ex-Husky, said it would not affect his and if anything it would motivate him. Well Butler got the game ball on Sunday, he got his first interception in that game and it makes you wonder if Howard was indeed helping him out from above. Regardless of that Butler was motivated and the Huskies will too. In case nobody has noticed Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in their games this season and they are 2-1 SU on the road with wins at Ohio and Baylor. Their only road loss of the season was against Pittsburgh a few weeks ago, a game they probably should have won in the end. So again, the Huskies are playing good football. Connecticut comes into this game averaging a whopping 37.0 points per game in their last three games and they have done that on 424.0 total yards of offense per game and a whopping 6.7 yards per play in those games. The Mountaineers have looked damn good on defense lately as they have allowed 14.7 points per game in their last three games and have allowed only 273.7 total yards of offense per game and 4.1 yards per play in those games so it won't be that easy for the Huskies. On that note, Connecticut has a lethal backfield combination of RB Andre Dixon and RB Jordan Todman who have combined for 13 rushing touchdowns in 2009 so far and who both average more than 5.0 yards per carry on the year. They have led UConn to 171.0 rushing yards per game the last three games on 4.5 yards per carry in those games. The Mountaineers defensive line has been outstanding and they have allowed only 76.7 rushing yards per game on only 2.6 yards per carry in their last three games but I think they will find it tough to stop two very different kinds of ball carriers and the more UConn runs the ball, the more they setup their play action in the air. QB Cody Endres has been pretty damn good and he has completed an impressive 73.0% of his passes the last three games for 253.0 passing yards per game and a whopping 10.3 yards per pass attempt in those games. Much like their run defense the Mountaineers pass defense has been good and they have allowed their last three opponents to complete only 49.1% of their passes for 197.0 passing yards per game and 5.2 yards per pass attempt in those games. WHAT YOU ALL NEED TO KNOW ABOUT WEST VIRGINIA'S DEFENSE IS...that their last three opponents have terrible offenses. Colorado has the #103 ranked offense in the Country. Syracuse has the #99 ranked offense in the Country and Marshall has the #102 ranked offense in the Country. The Huskies offense is on fire right now and this the toughest offense by far the Mountaineers will have seen in almost a month and I don't think this defense is ready for that. Opponents have had success pass rushing the Huskies and getting pressure on Endres as he has been sacked 7 times in his last three games but the Mountaineers don't have much of a pass rush this year and they have only 4 sacks in their last three games, all played against terrible offenses. So with more time to work out of the pocket and move around on his feet, Endres should have a big game here. The Huskies have had problems holding onto the ball the last three games as they have fumbled 9 times in those games and have been lucky to lose only 4 of those fumbles but it has been a problem. On that note, West Virginia's defense has forced only 1 fumble in their last three games (once again against terrible offensive teams). I know this defense has played and their 6 interceptions in the last three games has helped against very bad teams but in the end Endres is a very composed QB, he has thrown only 1 interception in his last three games and the running game is on fire. The Huskies want to win for Jasper Howard and the +7.5 looks like a gift to me.

The West Virginia Mountaineers come into this game with a heavy heart because I'm sure they saw some of Jasper Howard in their 35-13 win last year at Connecticut and I'm sure the death has affected the entire conference but in the end they are here to win and nothing else. I don't know what to think of this West Virginia team just yet because the meat of their schedule is still to come and as I explained earlier they have played against some of the worst offenses in the Country the last few games. The best offense this team has faced all season was Auburn on the road and ironically enough they allowed 41 points in that game. Auburn was actually the only TOP 90 offense the Mountaineers have faced all season and as soon as their defense falls apart against a good offensive team, I think this team is really going to struggle to put points on the board. You have to admit their schedule has been one of the weakest in the Conference as they opened the year with a sloppy 33-20 home win over I-AA school Liberty and then followed that up with a 35-20 home win over East Carolina. Then came the big loss at Auburn, a game I bet on the Mountaineers only to have their defense show what they are really made of, and the last three weeks have seen West Virginia record wins over Colorado, Syracuse and Marshall. Those wins mean nothing to me and Connecticut is the second best team they have seen all season. The Mountaineers comes into this game averaging 31.0 points per game in their last three games and they have done that on 367.3 total yards of offense and 5.8 yards per play in those games. Not bad but not that good. The Huskies have a pretty good defense as they have allowed 19.7 points per game in their last three games and have allowed 364.7 total yards of offense per game in those games on 5.4 yards per play. We all know the Mountaineers love to run the ball with RB Noel Devine and QB Jarrett Brown and they average 177.0 rushing yards per game the last three games on 4.7 yards per carry in those games but the Huskies defense is run tested as their last three opponents have run the ball 39.7 times per game against them. Having said that, the Huskies have allowed only 137.3 rushing yards per game in those games on 3.5 yards per carry and they have been solid. West Virginia is going to run the ball no matter what in this game but they will also have to pass and try to expose a weakened Huskies secondary who are for obvious reasons no longer with their top DB Jasper Howard. Brown has completed 69.7% of his passes the last three games for 190.3 passing yards per game and 7.5 yards per pass attempt and I think he can have a pretty big game against a Huskies defense that has not been good against the pass in recent games. With or without Howard the Huskies defense still allowed their last three opponents to complete 69.4% of their passes for 227.3 passing yards per game and 8.0 yards per pass attempt but like I said before the Mountaineers can be stubborn at times and they don't throw the ball as much as they should. At least we know when the Mountaineers drop back to pass the ball they are going to be under pressure in this game as Connecticut's pass rush has been good in recent games and the Huskies have 7 sacks in their last three games. Brown is used to the pressure but he is still learning how to handle it and he has taken 5 sacks in his last three games. It's a good thing he has not succumbed to that pressure and made bad throws (0 interceptions in his last three games) because Connecticut's secondary has been on fire and they have come down with 6 interceptions in their last three games. I talked about the problems UConn was having with holding onto the ball in their last few games. Well let me tell you that West Virginia's problems are much bigger than that as the Mountaineers have fumbled the ball a whopping 8 times in their last three games and they have lost 7 of those fumbles. You simply cannot turn the ball over that much and expect to win games by anything more than a few points if win at all. I mean they lost those fumbles against very bad teams and that just won't cut it against a Huskies defense that is going to play inspired and that is no doubt going to be playing for their fallen warrior. Playing without a great cover guy like Howard won't be easy but this team runs very deep in the secondary and they have what I think is a TOP 3 secondary in the Big East Conference even without Howard. As long as the Huskies play inspired football they are going to keep this game close. CB Robert McClain has 4 interceptions on the season and FS Robert Vaughan has 3 interceptions on the season (one returned for a touchdown) so again this secondary is ready for anything that the Mountaineers throw at them and I expect a top notch performance to remember their buddy.

From what I have read on the news this week the Jasper Howard tragedy really hit the Big East teams hard and one of the most affected head coaches in the Big East Conference has been Bill Stewart. On that note it would probably help our wagers on Connecticut knowing that Stewart is most definitely going to be respectful in every sense of the way in this game and I just don't see him running up the score or doing anything crazy if they are winning near the end. I know Stewart is a good people person and he cares about the feelings of the Huskies players. Sure he is a football coach but this goes beyond football for him. This is a bit of a risky bet because Connecticut has always struggled against West Virginia and they are 0-5 SU lifetime and have lost those games by an average of 27 points per win. In last year's blowout loss the Huskies allowed 28 points off turnovers but they look a lot more organized in 2008 and the Mountaineers defense hasn't been forcing all that many turnovers this season. The Huskies have covered four straight spreads when playing against teams with a winning record on the season and dating back to last season, the Huskies are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall (including 5-0 ATS this season). Connecticut has covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 road games and they have covered 7 of the last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. The Huskies have also covered 11 of their last 16 games in Big East Conference play and inspired football should have them rocking in this one. The Mountaineers on the other hand are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points, they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite and they are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven games versus teams with a winning record on the season. West Virginia is 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points and they have failed to cover six straight games at home against a team with a winning road record. They are also 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing 20 or less points the game before. Bad spot for them regardless of their dominance of the Huskies in years past. Win this one for Jasper boys...R.I.P.

Trend of the Game: West Virginia is 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.


Connecticut 31, West Virginia 28





more to come...

[Twisted_One]

Was hopin you would post a nice write up n selection on Rutgers

As always, great stuff, GL this week

[indiana]

M.Flava.......

great write ups.......thank you

indy

[C-LO]

Loving your Tulsa game plays!! GL this week

[MistaFlava]

Was hopin you would post a nice write up n selection on Rutgers

As always, great stuff, GL this week

I'm taking Friday off...shocker huh? GL

[Georgiaboy]

GT hasn't won at VA since 1990.

[MistaFlava]

adding...



Oklahoma State Cowboys -9.5 (10 Units)

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are one of the best offensive teams in the NCAA and that has not been a secret the last couple of season and if you are going to bet on teams to win games big away from home, you better make sure they know to put points on the board. No concerns here. Okay so the letdown for this team so far this season has been the fact that their superstar WR Dez Bryant has been suspended and the 1st Team All-American is not allowed to play until the NCAA let's him back in...something the team is currently working on right now. The quest for the Big 12 South Division Title is not done yet for Oklahoma State because they have one loss on the season, they come into this game 5-1 SU on the year and that only loss came to a non-conference opponent...the Houston Cougars. The Cowboys are coming off a very impressive 33-17 home win over Missouri last weekend on Home Coming weekend for the school and surprisingly enough they have played only one road game all season and that was a 36-31 win in College Station over the Texas A&M Aggies. Concerned about their play away from home? Well they haven't been that bad under Mike Gundy as away favorites going 4-3-1 ATS in his five seasons here and counting and I actually think they catch Baylor at a pretty good time. Oklahoma State comes into this game averaging a whopping 41.7 points per game their last three games and they have done that by also averaging 462.0 total yards of offense per game and 6.6 yards per play in those games. WOW! I know Baylor's defense has allowed only 24.0 points per game their last three games but the Bears defense has also allowed a whopping 488.0 total yards of offense per game in those games and 5.8 yards per play in those games. OUCH! I pretty much think this offense is going to score at will. On the ground, the Cowboys have been lethal rushing for 204.7 yards per game their last three games on 4.9 yards per carry in those games and that is something Baylor is going to have problems with seeing how the Bears have allowed 200.7 rushing yards per game their last three games on 5.0 yards per carry. RB Keith Toston is on fire right now as he approaches 500 yards rushing and has 5 rushing touchdowns on the year. In the air, QB Zac Robinson is what keeps this engine running and he is the reason this offense is one of the best in the entire Nation. He has completed 63.1% of his passes the last three games for 257.3 passing yards per game and 9.2 yards per pass attempt in those games. He is going up against a Bears secondary that has allowed their last three opponents to complete 58.7% of their passes the last three games for 287.3 passing yards per game and 6.6 yards per pass attempt which is not so bad at all. Having said that the ground game is so effective that Robinson doesn't really need to pass until he sees that the Bears are loading up the box and he sees that he can hit some of his young receivers deep. Dez Bryant is badly missed because he still leads the team in receptions, receiving yards, touchdown catches and all that despite not playing since September 19 against Rice. WR Hubert Anyiam has turned into Robinson's main option now on passing plays and the sophomore had 10 catches for 119 receiving yards and 1 touchdown catch against Missouri last week so although it took some time for this Cowboys offense to adjust to Bryant being out, they finally got it down and Anyiam is the star now. What's most impressive about Robinson is that he has not been sacked one single time the last three games and even at that the Bears don't have a pass rush to speak of as they have 2 sacks in their last three games and without generating any type of pressure up front, a mobile QB like Robinson can really torch these guys left and right. Sure he has thrown 3 interceptions in his last three games but again that is a direct result of the lack of chemistry without Bryant in the lineup but that was partially fixed last week with the emergence of Anyiam. For a team that runs this many big plays on offense I find it impressive that Oklahoma State has lost only 2 fumbles in their last three games while fumbling the ball only 3 times in those games. Baylor barely creates turnovers, they are not aggressive tacklers and that would be why they have come up with only 1 fumble recovery the last three games. The Cowboys come into this game averaging 24.3 points per first half of games and believe me there is no way this Baylor offense can come close to competing with that. The defense has been horrible and Oklahoma State could be up 30+ in the first half if they unleash what has become one of their most potent offenses in the Gundy era. I like the Cowboys in a blowout here.

The Baylor Bears were a team I thought I would be betting on quite a bit this season before we even got things started on the year but I have since changed my perception and realized that they are a one dimentional offense and it won't be tough for good defenses to stop them. Well that is exactly what has happened. We all thought this program was heading for big things when they opened their season with a 24-21 road win at Wake Forest as a +3 point underdog and at that point it looked good for this team to reach their first Bowl Game since the 1994 Alamo Bowl but things have since gotten a little bit complicated. The Bears had a week off after the Wake Forest win only to play at home and lose 30-22 to Connecticut as -10.5 point favorites. Then came easy home wins over Northwestern State (I-AA school) and Kent State (but once again they failed to cover the -22.5 points as a favorite at home). I know this is Home Coming Week for the Bears and all but they are coming off two straight road losses the last two weeks as they went to Oklahoma and lost 33-7 and then went to Iowa State last weekend and got spanked 24-10. So their record on the year is now 3-3 SU with their only wins coming against Wake Forest, Northwestern State and Kent State. They need three more wins to reach Bowl Eligibility and with Oklahoma State, Nebraska, Missouri, Texas, Texas A&M and Texas Tech still on their schedule, I would say they have to wait another year. Baylor comes into this game averaging only 16.0 points per game their last three games and they have done that on 335.3 total yards of offense per game and 5.1 yards per play in those games. The Oklahoma State defense is actually getting better by the year and the Cowboys have allowed only 18.0 points per game their last three games while allowing 345.0 total yards of offense per game in those games and 4.7 yards per play. The reason the Baylor offense is not working out is because they don't have a running game to speak of and they average only 84.3 rushing yards per game their last three games on only 3.0 yards per carry in those games. That won't change here because Oklahoma State's defense has allowed only 111.0 rushing yards per game their last three games and they have allowed 3.1 yards per carry only in those games. QB Robert Griffin was much better running the ball last season when he rushed for 13 touchdowns, 843 yards and 4.9 yards per carry. This season he has only 2 rushing touchdowns, 77 yards running the ball on 2.9 yards per carry. Something is up with the way they run this offense. In the air Griffin has completed 59.5% of his passes the last three games for 251.0 passing yards per game and 6.5 yards per pass attempt but he is going to find it even tougher to get anything done without help from the running game as Oklahoma State's secondary has allowed their last five opponents to complete 49.5% of their passes for 234.0 passing yards per game and only 6.3 yards per pass attempt in those games. This Oklahoma State defense is just waiting to eat Baylor alive. Griffin is going to be running for his life for the most part of this game as the Cowboys have an intense pass rush that has generated 8 sacks in their last three games and that kind of pressure up front has allowed their secondary to make some big plays on passing downs as they have 4 interceptions in their last three games. Yeah I would say that is bad news for Griffin who has been under pressure despite being a mobile QB and how has been sacked 5 times in his last three games. Once again the pressure he is going to have in this game is not something he can handle because the Bears can't run the ball and without a running game the Cowboys can keep sending guys at him all night long with success. Griffin has not handled the pressure well this season throwing 5 interceptions in his last three games and again this is a Cowboys secondary just salivating at the prospect of the bad throws Griffin is going to make in this game. Baylor has actually done a good job holding onto the ball despite all their problems on offense and they have lost only 1 fumble in their last three games but having said that this Oklahoma State defense is relentless, they have forced 7 fumbles in their last three games and have managaed to recover three of those fumbles in those games. The Cowboys have allowed only 1 field goal total in the first quarter of their last three games and anytime your defense can allow 3 points in three games combined that early on in the game, you definitely know their offense is going to get on the board and they are going to do it often. This Cowboys defense is too good and the Bears is offense is too useless. I just don't see how Baylor can keep this close the way Griffin is playing because in order to cover this spread, the Bears would have to score 30+ points and they have scored 17 points combined their last two games and 39 points combined in their three losses this season. Enough said.

I still don't know what happened to sophomore QB Robert Griffin because he came into this season listed as the #4 ranked QB in this Big 12 Conference but I would have to say with only 77 rushing yards on the season and only 2.9 yards per carry that he has been one of the biggest busts in the Nation this season and look for that to continue through the remainder of the tough schedule. Oklahoma State has won 12 of their last 13 meetings against Baylor and what's funny is that their last nine meetings have seen them average a whopping 69.0 total points per game. So we can expect a ton of offense from Oklahoma State at least in this game. I think this is about the same time of year as last year when I started backing Oklahoma State in conference play and was rewarded with some huge wins. The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games played in October and they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. They are also 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5 to 10 points and have covered 9 of their last 12 games played on Field Turf. This team loves playing as a favorite, they have the offense to back their Vegas status up pretty much every game and this should be a huge win. Baylor has been a very good underdog bet the last couple of seasons but the Bears have covered only 4 of their last 14 games played in October and have covered only 5 of their last 20 home games versus a road team with a winning record away from home. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games as an underdog and despite the home team covering 6 of the last 7 in this series, the favorite has covered five straight and Oklahoma State is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. I don't see Baylor keeping this close at all.

Trend of the Game: Oklahoma State is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a road favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.


Oklahoma State 49, Baylor 24





more to come...

[ShortBusDriver7]

adding...


QB Robert Griffin was much better running the ball last season when he rushed for 13 touchdowns, 843 yards and 4.9 yards per carry. This season he has only 2 rushing touchdowns, 77 yards running the ball on 2.9 yards per carry. Something is up with the way they run this offense. In the air Griffin has completed 59.5% of his passes the last three games for 251.0 passing yards per game and 6.5 yards per pass attempt but he is going to find it even tougher to get anything done without help from the running game as Oklahoma State's secondary has allowed their last five opponents to complete 49.5% of their passes for 234.0 passing yards per game and only 6.3 yards per pass attempt in those games. This Oklahoma State defense is just waiting to eat Baylor alive. Griffin is going to be running for his life for the most part of this game as the Cowboys have an intense pass rush that has generated 8 sacks in their last three games and that kind of pressure up front has allowed their secondary to make some big plays on passing downs as they have 4 interceptions in their last three games. Yeah I would say that is bad news for Griffin who has been under pressure despite being a mobile QB and how has been sacked 5 times in his last three games. Once again the pressure he is going to have in this game is not something he can handle because the Bears can't run the ball and without a running game the Cowboys can keep sending guys at him all night long with success. Griffin has not handled the pressure well this season throwing 5 interceptions in his last three games and again this is a Cowboys secondary just salivating at the prospect of the bad throws Griffin is going to make in this game. Baylor has actually done a good job holding onto the ball despite all their problems on offense and they have lost only 1 fumble in their last three games but having said that this Oklahoma State defense is relentless, they have forced 7 fumbles in their last three games and have managaed to recover three of those fumbles in those games. The Cowboys have allowed only 1 field goal total in the first quarter of their last three games and anytime your defense can allow 3 points in three games combined that early on in the game, you definitely know their offense is going to get on the board and they are going to do it often. This Cowboys defense is too good and the Bears is offense is too useless. I just don't see how Baylor can keep this close the way Griffin is playing because in order to cover this spread, the Bears would have to score 30+ points and they have scored 17 points combined their last two games and 39 points combined in their three losses this season. Enough said.

I still don't know what happened to sophomore QB Robert Griffin because he came into this season listed as the #4 ranked QB in this Big 12 Conference but I would have to say with only 77 rushing yards on the season and only 2.9 yards per carry that he has been one of the biggest busts in the Nation this season and look for that to continue through the remainder of the tough schedule. Oklahoma State has won 12 of their last 13 meetings against Baylor and what's funny is that their last nine meetings have seen them average a whopping 69.0 total points per game. So we can expect a ton of offense from Oklahoma State at least in this game.

more to come...

Are you that big of a damn fraud? Holy Mother of Pearls, I can't believe what I'm reading here.

How the hell are you handicapping this game and not knowing that Robert Griffin has been OUT FOR THE SEASON FOR OVER A MONTH with a torn ACL !!!!! He was diagnosed September 26th!!!! Holy Hell you are such a damn joke.

[slatter]

Jesus Christ.

[ShortBusDriver7]

"In the air Griffin has completed 59.5% of his passes the last three games for 251.0 passing yards per game and 6.5 yards per pass attempt but he is going to find it even tougher...."

"Griffin has not handled the pressure well this season throwing 5 interceptions in his last three games" ...... He hasn't thrown any all season. It appears you wrote this stat up before the season started and used the 2008's seasonal INT amount.

<table style="width: 786px; height: 255px;" class="tablehead" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="stathead" align="center" bgcolor="#00844a"><td colspan="3" align="left">WHAT "LAST THREE GAMES" DO YOU KEEP REFERENCING FOR ROBERT GRIFFIN....

2009 Regular Season Game Log</td><td colspan="8">Passing</td><td colspan="6">Rushing</td></tr> <tr class="colhead" align="right"><td align="left">DATE</td><td align="left">OPP</td><td align="left">RESULT </td><td> CMP</td> <td>ATT</td> <td>YDS</td> <td>CMP%</td> <td>LNG</td> <td>TD</td> <td>INT</td> <td>RAT</td> <td>ATT</td> <td>YDS</td> <td>AVG</td> <td>LNG</td> <td>TD</td> </tr><tr class="oddrow" align="right"><td align="left">9/5</td><td align="left">@Wake Forest</td><td align="left">W 24-21 </td><td>15</td> <td>24</td> <td>136</td> <td>62.5</td> <td>37</td> <td>1</td> <td>0</td> <td>123.85</td> <td>13</td> <td>41</td> <td>3.2</td> <td>12</td> <td>0</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow" align="right"><td align="left">9/19</td><td align="left">Connecticut</td><td align="left">L 30-22 </td><td>17</td> <td>26</td> <td>119</td> <td>65.4</td> <td>29</td> <td>0</td> <td>0</td> <td>103.83</td> <td>10</td> <td>20</td> <td>2.0</td> <td>15</td> <td>2</td> </tr> <tr class="oddrow" align="right"><td align="left">9/26</td><td align="left">Northwestern State</td><td align="left">W 68-13 </td><td>13</td> <td>19</td> <td>226</td> <td>68.4</td> <td>42</td> <td>3</td> <td>0</td> <td>220.44</td> <td>4</td> <td>16</td> <td>4.0</td> <td>11</td> <td>0</td> </tr> <tr class="evenrow" align="right"><td align="left">10/3</td><td align="left">Kent State</td><td align="left">W 31-15 </td><td colspan="14" align="center">Did Not Play or did not accumulate any stats.</td></tr> <tr class="oddrow" align="right"><td align="left">10/10</td><td align="left">@Oklahoma</td><td align="left">L 33-7 </td><td colspan="14" align="center">Did Not Play or did not accumulate any stats.</td></tr> <tr class="evenrow" align="right"><td align="left">10/17</td><td align="left">@Iowa State</td><td align="left">L 24-10 </td><td colspan="14" align="center">Did Not Play or did not accumulate any stats.</td></tr></tbody></table>

[MistaFlava]

adding...



Alabama Crimson Tide -14 (10 Units)

The Tennessee Volunteers can be one of the best teams in this Conference and they can also be one of the worst looking teams in this Conference. I don't know if it's the way Lane Kiffin prepares for games and I don't if it's because he only cares about a few games on the schedule but I have seen both sides of this ball club and I assume this time around the Volunteers are going to put up a dud. Right now Kiffin and his boys are sitting at 3-3 SU on the season and they have had two weeks to prepare for this game and for the remainder of their schedule. All the pre-season prediction magazines and all the pre-season expectations were for this Tennessee team to make it back to the post-season and to do that they have to win at least three more games. With Alabama, South Carolina (home), Memphis (home), Mississippi, Vanderbilt (home) and Kentucky. That's quite an easy schedule by SEC standards and this game here against the best team in the Country is not all that important to the Volunteers. They have to be smart about what they do and going all out and keeping nothing for their next two home games would be a stupid move for the team. Memphis and Vanderbilt should be easy wins for this team and then all they have to do is win at Kentucky and/or possibly upset South Carolina at home and they can make it into a Bowl Game. So once again this game is not all that important. I know the Florida game was a good one for Tennessee but that game was personal for Kiffin and I have no idea why. Tennessee comes into this game averaging 33.7 points per game in their last three games and they have managed to get that done on 427.0 total yards of offense per game and 6.3 yards per play in those games. Impressive to say the least. However, welcome to Tuscaloosa and welcome to the #1 ranked defense in the Country...Alabama. The Crimson Tide have allowed 9.7 points per game their last three games and they have allowed only 258.7 total yards of offense per game in those games and only 3.9 yards per play in those games as well. The Volunteers have been very successful running the ball in recent weeks as they average 163.3 rushing yards per game their last three games on 5.1 yards per carry in those games. Good luck with that in this game. Alabama has allowed their last three opponents to run for only 84.7 rushing yards per game in those games on 2.7 yards per carry. That puts everything on the shoulders of the much improved QB Johnathan Crompton who has played well but the numbers speak the truth. Crompton has completed only 54.3% of his passes the last three games for 263.7 passing yards and 7.5 yards per pass attempt in those games. Crompton is often flustered by much better defensive teams and Alabama is going to be all over him in this game. The Crimson Tide have allowed their last three opponents to complete only 42.9% of their passes for 174.0 passing yards per game and 4.7 yards per pass attempt in those games. That is some sick defense. The Volunteers offensive line has been very good so far this season and Crompton has been sacked only 2 times in his last three games but the pressure he is going to see coming his way in this game is not like he has seen all season and Alabama comes into this game with 8 sacks in their last three games and believe me they will send the house at times with the mistake prone Crompton. This is the same Crompton who has now thrown 18 career interceptions (9 the last two seasons and 9 already this season) and something tells me the Crimson Tide are going to score a bunch of defensive touchdowns in this game as they have come down with a whopping 8 interceptions in their last three games and they have one of the best secondaries in college football. The Volunteers have also had all sorts of problems holding onto the ball as they have fumbled 6 times in their last three games and have lost 2 of those fumbles along the way. Alabama is all about fundamentals and they don't try to do too much on defense which is why they always come up with the big plays when it matters most and that includes recovering 3 fumbles in their last three games now. Although Tennessee is averaging a whopping 17.0 points per first half of their last three games, I just don't see them having any success whatsoever moving the ball on the ground or in the air against an Alabama defense that has allowed no more than 3.3 points per any quarter of any of their last three games. As a matter of fact they have allowed only 4.0 points per first half in those games and unless the Volunteers defense is up to this kind of challenge on the other side of things, Bama should roll tide here. Tennessee doesn't need this game.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are one hell of a football team and a lot of outlets and rankings have them right there at #1 in the Nation but I don't agree with that and I still think Florida is going to beat them in the SEC Championship Game should they both make it there. They are definitely the #2 team in the Nation right now and they deserve every bit of that ranking. Here we go again for the Crimson Tide who had only 1 regular season loss in 2008 and then lost to Utah in the Sugar Bowl. The Crimson Tide are once again undefeated at this point in the season with a 7-0 SU record on the year and one thing I know for sure is that Nick Saban is going to be asking for a lot from his guys this week seeing how they have a bye week coming up next week and he will no doubt want his guys to put their best effort forward in this game. I don't know that Alabama can be stopped at home seeing how they beat Florida International here by 26 points, they beat North Texas here by 46 points, they beat Arkansas here by 28 points and they beat South Carolina here last week by 14 points. Keep in mind they beat a very good defensive South Carolina team and Tennessee's defense is not as good or tough as the Gamecocks defense. On that note also keep in mind that Alabama has now won 7 straight home games by 14 points or more dating back to last season and to me that means they are untouchable at home. Again with that bye week coming up next week, Saban knows how important it is for this team to continue to impress and not fall victim to a classic SEC Conference upset bid. Alabama comes into this game averaging 26.7 points per game in their last three games and they have managed to get that done on 354.0 total yards of offense per game and 5.3 yards per play in those games. So their offense obviously feeds off the defense and their big plays. Tennessee's defense has allowed their last three opponents to average 22.7 points per game and they have allowed 346.7 total yards of offense per game and 4.9 yards per play in those games. Yes they have played well but if their offense gets off the field on three and outs, I don't know that they can continue being this consistent. On the ground the Crimson Tide love to run the ball, they love to control the clock and they love to keep opposing offenses off the field as they average 222.7 rushing yards per game in their last three games and average 5.5 yards per carry in those games. They have to have one of the most effective running games in the Country as RB Mark Ingram is very close to the Nation lead in rushing yards (only a few yards behind Dion Lewis of the Pitt Panthers) and he has 8 rushing touchdowns on the season. The Tide have three backs who have rushed the ball 40+ times this season, each averaging 4.2 yards per carry or more. Despite allowing only 111.3 rushing yards per game their last three games, Tennessee is allowing 3.8 yards per carry in those games and Alabama is going to crush this defensive line. I do strongly recommend the Bama offense keep running the ball because not only will they have success doing it but their QB Greg McElroy has struggled big time completing only 50.6% of his passes the last three games for 131.3 passing yards per game and 4.9 yards per pass attempt in those games. Quite the difference from last year's passing attack. It's probably a good thing too that Alabama stay away from the passing attack unless they really have to throw the ball because the Volunteers secondary is solid, they have some NFL caliber guys on that squad and they have allowed their last three opponents to complete only 55.1% of their passes for 5.6 yards per pass attempt and 235.3 passing yards per game in those games. Having said that, I just want to remind you that Alabama runs the ball about 40 times a game, they run it more effectively than most teams in the Nation and even when they do decide to pass I think they'll be fine against a Volunteers defense that has played well but that is not know for coming up with big plays. The Vols have a grand total of 0 sacks in their last three games and again unless they can get something going in terms of pressure up front, Bama is just going to continue running the ball down their throats and there is nothing they can do to stop it. I know for a fact that Crompton is not good at playing from behind and now that he is going to be held off the field by this offense, he is going to have tons of pressure to make big plays in a very short amount of time. Despite his problems passing the ball, McElroy has thrown only 2 interceptions the last three games and he does have 9 touchdown passes on the season and does average 7.7 yards per pass attempt. He is going through a rough time right now but his last three games were against two of the top defenses in the Conference and now he gets to face a softer Tennessee defense in this game. The big difference for me in this game is Alabama's ability to shut down teams in the first while still averaging 16.7 points per first half in their last three games against some pretty damn good teams. Unlike the Alabama defense, Tennessee's defense has allowed 14.0 points per first half in each of their last three games and the Crimson Tide could be up big time by the half in this one. Nonetheless as the number two team in the Country, Alabama has to show their worth here and a big blowout win would do just that. I want to remind you that the Crimson Tide felt they played a sloppy game at home last week against South Carolina so they spent the week working on weaknesses and I expect a blowout win in this one.

I already said it once but I have to say it again, Alabama has won seven straight home games (dating back to last season as well) by at least 14 points and that is where all the value on this line here comes in. Those wins came against Arkansas State, Mississippi State, Auburn, Florida International, North Texas, Arkansas and South Carolina and I really don't know why this Tennessee team would be any different in this game. Tennessee has been very good coming off a bye week in recent years but the road team is only 1-4 SU in the last five meetings between these teams. Since the arrival of Nick Saban in Tuscaloosa the Crimson Tide are 2-0 SU against Tennessee and they have won both games by an average of 22 points per game and once again I don't see how this game is going to be any different. What I don't like about the Volunteers here is that going into their bye week they are going to be in letdown mode and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win of 20+ points the game before. Alabama on the other hand is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on natural grass, they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite and 7-2 in their last 9 games played in SEC Conference action. They are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more and Alabama is 5-0-1 ATS in their last meetings with Tennessee. Everything points to a big win by the Crimson Tide.

Trend of the Game: Alabama is 7-2 ATS in their last nine SEC Conference games.


Alabama 33, Tennessee 9





more to come...

[MistaFlava]

Are you that big of a damn fraud? Holy Mother of Pearls, I can't believe what I'm reading here.

How the hell are you handicapping this game and not knowing that Robert Griffin has been OUT FOR THE SEASON FOR OVER A MONTH with a torn ACL !!!!! He was diagnosed September 26th!!!! Holy Hell you are such a damn joke.

Guilty of not reading the injury report for Baylor. I normally go through them quit thoroughly and do not follow the Big 12 enough to just know about the injury. I am bit surprised I didn't hear about the injury earlier but oh well. Does it upset you that much? Come on dude. Not the end of the world.

On that note, my writeups are normally decent and sure it's stupid to miss an injury like that but it happens. Even with Griffin out I still love Oklahoma State. I actually only read that the RB Finley was injured and possibly not playing. On that note, the QB situation seems to be a mess for the Bears and again that makes me like my play on the Cowboys even more.

My apologies if it ruined someone's life that I hadn't noticed Griffin was out. That would also explain their poor play as of late.

[yumaverick]

Who's ur play of the month flava? And do u really live in Vegas? Jus curious that's where I live....

[Morrison18]

GL this weekend FLAV