[Factor 15]

Nice Mista............Like the Fish too. GL and as always a big Thanks!

[Coldweather]

BOL tonight. Hope we win the football money.

[Mister DipDrop]

I Got 3 1/2 for the Fish tonight ... That is as good as it is going to get I like them in this one!




Money Aint No Thangggggggg

[Myke3861]

Yo Flav your money so don't listen to the haters and let's keep gettin this cash! Go FISH!

[MistaFlava]

Looking at 6-0 ATS in CBB, 2-0 ATS in NBA, 1-0 in CFB and 1-0 in NFL....right now it's a perfect night.

[arnettt]

Great work on the OSU game and the call on NFL

[xpanda]

Congrats!

[cashflow50]

dang you on fire flava

[MistaFlava]

Today:


6-0 ATS in CBB

1-0 ATS in NFL

2-0 ATS in NBA

1-0 ATS in CFB


10-0 ATS today...a perfect day!!!

[dl36]

Today:


6-0 ATS in CBB

1-0 ATS in NFL

2-0 ATS in NBA

1-0 ATS in CFB


10-0 ATS today...a perfect day!!!

<<

[mrcupide2]

what are ATS?

[GFE]

what are ATS?

[MistaFlava]

what are ATS?

Against The Spread

[Factor 15]

<<

Nice work Flava! Thanks for the Miami play! Everyone at the bar was on Carolina. You made me look like a genius. I have to admit........I bite some of your stats and quots at the bar and pawn them off as my own. People think Im god!

keep up the good work.........

[mickj]

[illone]

Nice night!

[readyfordeals]

Any plays?

[VIEJO DINOSAUR]

Congrats!

How's it going xpanda? Mr Flava is doing all right...good for him...

[CaptFlippy]

Good Luck today Flav! Going up to the Meadowlands to see my G-Men play, I hope they were able to get their shit together after the BYE, anyway best of luck to you!
The Capt~

[The Shambler]

Generic insults that we both know aren't true have no effect on me. As far as not giving out picks is concerned, I already made it clear that he's wrong with Miami on Thursday.

I'll take you under my wing.

Well punny Weiner , it seems you have lost your first official posted pick. that would make you 0% for picking winners YTD.


It really does not affect me because I am a Man and make my own plays,win or lose.

It is nice to see that you have not returned since this loss. I expect you to come back with a new account.

Oddly enough , i still wish you success in your future bets and hope someone gives you forum ettiquette for the holidays.

Keep Rolling MF!!

[Ketch]

nice day in college yesterday hitting both big plays!

[MistaFlava]

Alright so 1-0 ATS this week and I have been on absolute fire in all sports. I went 13-5 ATS in CFB, I am 6-0 ATS in my last six NBA wagers, 11-1 ATS in my last 12 CBB and rolling like thunder right now going 34-8 ATS in all sports the last four days. That's 81% capping in those last four days.

Now I don't have time for long writeups, just rode into Toronto from Ann Arbor and will be going to the Orlando-Toronto basketball game in a bit. So mini-writeups for now, will have larger writeup posted for Monday Night Football.



adding...



Sunday, November 22


Baltimore Ravens +1 (50 Units) ***PLAY OF THE WEEK***

I took one look at this game and was convinced the Indianapolis Colts would win this game easy but Vegas is setting everyone up with something here and I am not about to fall for it as 73%+ are on the Colts in this game after watching them almost lost each and everyone of their last three games played. We all know Manning and the Colts lost to New England on Sunday Night Football so they are actually 8-1 SU on the season but Billy B is the one you can thank for keeping that record intact for the Colts. I think their first loss has been coming for some time now because the Colts almost lost to Houston at home the week before that and they almost lost to San Francisco at home the week before that. Their last three wins have all been at home and have all been by a combined 8 points for three wins (by 1 against NE, by 4 against San Francisco and by 3 against Houston). The Ravens are missing TE Todd Heap and LB Terrell Suggs which are both big losses but I look forward to their running game controlling this game and keeping Manning off the field as the Colts have allowed 4.5 yards per carry in their last three games and QB Joe Flacco has a QB Rating of 77.0 in his last three games and Manning has not been much better at 86.9 in those three games. The Colts defense has allowed their last three QB's to have a QB Rating of 89.2 while the Ravens have allowed their last three QB's to have a QB Rating of 61.1 in those games. Baltimore is 3-1 SU this season at home and they are the big bet of the week for me. Colts have been due to lose for a while now. Believe it or not Indianapolis is only 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games versus a team with a winning record on the season and they have not covered a November game in four games now going 0-2-2 ATS in that stretch. Baltimore on the other hand is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 0.5 to 3 points and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. This team has covered the spread in 21 of their last 29 games overall, you can always trust them to show up for big games and they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games versus AFC Conference opponents. I know Indianapolis has dominated the Ravens in the past but the Colts look like shit the last three games and they look a lot different than what I have seen in the past. They are vulnerable and if anyone can catch them it's the same Ravens team that completely demolished the unbeaten Denver Broncos in this very similar position about a month ago. Go with the Ravens and love money!

Trend of the Game: Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 0.5 t 3 points.


Baltimore 31, Indianapolis 17





San Francisco 49ers +6.5 (10 Units)

Do not shy away from backing the Niners on the road because even though they put us through on hell on Thursday Night Football more than a week ago, that was a home game and they have struggled at home compared to on the road. You have to also understand that injuries play a huge part in NFL games at this time of the season because teams are tired, teams are depleted and only the strong will survive so the extra few days off for San Francisco are huge. NEVER BET ON WEST COAST TEAMS PLAYING AT 1PM ON THE EAST COAST...right? Well sure they might not win the game but this is a team fighting for a spot in the playoffs and using the time difference here is not excuse for Mike Singletary. Let's take a look at the Niners on the road this season as they went to Arizona in their season opener and won 20-16. They followed that up with a 27-24 loss at Minnesota, a game they won but lost on a Brett Favre Hail Mary miracle with no time left on the clock. Then came the 24-21 loss at Houston a few weeks ago, another game the Niners should have won and that was followed the next week by an 18-14 road loss to the Indianapolis Colts of all teams. So looking back the Niners have won only once on the road but all three of their losses have been by less than the 6.5 point spread in this game and I have no choice but to back them again in this spot, where they have not played in Green Bay since 2003. San Francisco is 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. They are 6-0-1 ATS overall in their last seven games as an underdog, 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games versus a team with a winning record on the season, 5-1-1 ATS in their lasts even games versus NFC Conference opponents and 4-1 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a winning record at home on the season. Green Bay on the other hand is going to obviously have a letdown game after their big win over Dallas and they are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 10 points and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win the game before. The Niners are damn good away from home and they should have no problems pounding the ball on this weak Green Bay defense and using their defense to anchor another win or another chance to win. I love San Francisco in this spot. They are one of the best underdog wagers in the NFL of the last season and a half.

Trend of the Game: San Francisco is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.


San Francisco 19, Green Bay 16





Minnesota Vikings -10.5 (10 Units)

I talked about fading West Coast teams playing 1:00pm games in the East because it has been a gold mine since the very first betting Sunday in NFL history but I went against that and took the Niners this afternoon and believe me when I say that there will not be two teams that cover the spread from the West Coast playing the early games in the East. Seattle has been horrendous on the road which is why I am going against them in this spot as they to San Francisco earlier this season and lost by 13 points, they went to Indianapolis and lost by 17 points, they went to Dallas and lost by 21 points and then more recently they went to Arizona and lost by 11 points. So you get my point that this is a terrible road team that is currently waiting until the expiry date on their head coach comes to an end and Minnesota is one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL and the Vikings normally don't have problems blowing away teams at home. Seattle has been playing well in recent games but they have a few big injuries that should doom them in this game. CB Marcus Trufant is a huge part of this secondary and he is out for the game tonight. Josh Wilson is also a huge part of the Seahawks secondary and he is out today. RB Julius Jones is the leading rusher on this team and seeing how Minnesota has struggled against the run in recent games, it sucks for Seattle that he is out for this game as well. Seattle is only 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus NFC Conference opponents and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a winning record on the season. The Seahawks are only 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. SEATTLE SUCKS BIG TIME ON THE ROAD. Minnesota on the other hand is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games versus NFC Conference opponents and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a winning record on the season. Neither defense is playing well right now but Seattle's offense cannot keep up in this game no matter what they do and Minnesota should have no problems winning this game big today. I am taking Favre to win huge at home.

Trend of the Game: Seattle is 0-6 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.


Minnesota 34, Seattle 9





New Orleans Saints -10.5 (10 Units)

The New Orleans Saints have struggled in recent games but I think this is a great matchup for them. At least we don't have 80% of the public riding this bitch with us today and I think the only reason anyoneis betting on Tampa Bay in this game is because of the way the beat the Green Bay Packers here in their last home game as a huge underdog in that game. The difference between this game and that game is that we all know the Buccaneers cannot stop the run and Green Bay did not have the means or the ways to expose them on that so everything was on Aaron Rodgers in the air and he failed miserably. Having said that, New Orleans has one of the most effective running games in the NFL with RB Pierre Thomas and RB Mike Bell and they are going to pound the Bucs into the ground this game which should allow Drew Breers to make some huge plays in the air. What's funny is that the Saints cannot stop the run either but Cadillac Williams is averaging only 3.9 yards per carry this season and when they have to play from behind in this game he is going to be useless. The Saints have dropped three straight spreads now, they have looked like shit but the remedy is playing against the Buccaneers team that has struggled all season, that are carrying too much pull from oddsmakers because of their last home game and what you have to keep in mind is that they suck. New Orleans is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games, they have played great away from home and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. The Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road versus a team with a losing record at home on the season and despite playing poorly the last three games, they have covered the spread in 11 of their last 14 games as a favorite. Tampa Bay on the other hand is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall and they are only 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss the game before, 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog, 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games and only 2-5 ATS the last seven times they have hosted New Orleans. The Road Team has covered the spread in 9 of the last 12 meetings and there is no reason for the Saints to not get back on track and show that they are one of the best teams in the NFL. I see them winning this game huge and by at least two touchdowns.

Trend of the Game: New Orleans is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road.


New Orleans 41, Tampa Bay 13





Denver Broncos +4.5 (10 Units)

I know it's easy to go against the Broncos now that they are finally playing the way we all thought they would play when this season started and they have lost three straight games including a 10 point loss at Washington last week but here is my train of thought on this one. This game is for the lead in the AFC West Division. These two teams are having two very different seasons right now as San Diego started off playing like shit and looking horrendous with all their injuries but they have since come around nicely, they have won four straight games and have found a way to climb all the way back from a four games deficit in the Division. Denver on the other hand started 6-0 SU on the season, everyone was raving about how good this team was but now they have lost three straight games to Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Washington but do you really think they are going to keel over for a game against a Divisional rival that is for the lead in the Division? If anything this game is going to stay close and this offense is going to have to find a way to break out of their shell. The last three games is the first time all season Denver has been outyarded in games. What most of the betting public doesn't know is that San Diego has been outyarded pretty badly in their wins over Philadelphia and the NY Giants...two NFC opponents. San Diego is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games versus AFC Conference opponents and the only success they have had is against NFC Conference opponents. The Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. I think Denver is going to bounce back this time around and they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games as a home underdog and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games versus AFC Conference opponents. San Diego has dominated this series in seasons past but again Denver is due to bounce back because you cannot be a bad team in the NFL and go 6-0 SU to start a season. I think the line is ridiculous for this game considering that the Chargers were badly outyarded in their last two games (both wins) over NFC Conference opponents. No way this game ends any other way than by a field goal or a big time Denver win. I think the Broncos are cash money today.

Trend of the Game: Denver is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.


Denver 27, San Diego 23





New England Patriots -10.5 (10 Units)

Alright so what this comes down to is how can the Patriots recover from their Sunday Night disaster against the Indianapolis Colts last week and find a way to trust their coach. Well let me ask you something. Who the hell does not trust Bill Bellichik? Had this been done by any other coach in the NFL we would still be talking about it and we would still be hearing about it but it took about 24 hours for the madness to go away and we are already accepting the fact that he is a great coach who has won many games by taking risks and being crazy and it has paid off a lot more than it has cost this team. All his players were quick to support him, that kept team unity all wrapped up within the locker room and believe me when I say that Bellichik is one of the best coaches in NFL history coming off a straight up loss, which is rare in his career. I don't normally back huge favorites in Divisional rivalries like this one because the Jets have played well here in the past, they beat the Patriots here in 2008 but that was without Brady in the lineup and the last time they faced Brady here was in 2007 where they lost by 10 points. It would be easy to think the that the Jets can catch the Pats off guard and cover the spread here but they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus AFC Conference opponents and they are a pathetic 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus AFC East opponents. The Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games coming off a straight up loss the game before. New England on the other hand, and I mentioned this before, is one of the best teams in the NFL coming off a loss the game before as they are an impressive 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games coming off a straight up loss the game before and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games versus a team with a losing record on the season. The Pats are also 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games coming off a spread loss the game before and they are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games coming off a game where they allowed 30+ points the game before. Like I said before, the Jets have played well here in the past but they are only 4-9-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings with New England and Bill Bellichik is probably looking for someone to take his anger out on and the Jets are that opponent. The Patriots kick some serious ass in this game.

Trend of the Game: New England is 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games coming off a straight up loss.


New England 34, NY Jets 6





Chicago Bears +3 (100 Units) ***SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY OF THE YEAR***

Okay so by now you are all pounding away on the Eagles for this game like I knew you public sheep would but how in the world can you trust the Eagles to win this game when they badly outyarded the San Diego Chargers on the road last week but still lost the game 31-23? Please take a quick second and look at who the Eagles have played this season and who they have beat this season because their resume is less than impressive. Philadelphia has 5 wins and those wins have come against Carolina, Kansas City, Tampa Bay, Washington and the NY Giants and let's be honest here guys, none of those teams are making the playoffs. So to me that means a team like this definitely does not deserve to be favored on the road in a tough environment in front of a tough crowd. The Chicago Bears are 4-5 SU right now on the season and as poorly as QB Jay Cutler has played in recent weeks, he is still a good QB and the Bears still have a ton of huge playmakers on this team. This game is going to be a war and seeing how the Bears are not completely out of it just yet, I would like to think the fans are going to support their QB and support their team if they start playing well early in this game. The Eagles have some serious issues in their secondary right now because CB Sheldon Brown has been ruled out for tonight's game and DB Joselio Hanson has been suspended by the league for substance violations and he is gone for four games. Like I said before, Cutler is still a good QB who only needs a few big plays to build his confidence and he has had more than a week to work on his game, recover from his 5 interceptions against the Niners and come home and show the Nation that he is not a complete joke...which he most definitely is not. RB Brian Westbrook is out for this game and for the next little while and that is a huge injury because in recent weeks the Bears have struggled to stop the run and Westbrook has been the wheels that keeps this offense moving. Instead we already know the Eagles are going to throw, throw and throw some more tonight and the Bears defense should be ready. The Bears have allowed only 281.7 total yards of offense per game in their last three games and their secondary has 4 intercerptions and the team has recovered 3 fumbles in those games. Philaelphia is one of the most overrated teams in the NFL I can tell you that right now. The Eagles are also notorious for playing poorly against teams they should beat and teams that have sucked at home as they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games versus a team with a losing record at home on the season and they are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games as a favorite of 0.5 to 3 points which is why I think this line is a complete joke. Chicago is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games as an underdog, they have covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 games following a game where they score less than 15 points the game before, they have covered 12 of their last 17 games coming off a straight up loss and they are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog of 0.5 to 3 points. THE UNDERDOG IS 6-1 ATS IN THE LAST SEVEN MEETINGS between these teams and like I said before Jay Cutler is a man of redemption and the fans are going to keep a short leash on him here so he will have to show up early and perform or they will be on his case right away. The Bears have the defense to win, they have the running game to win and they might have the QB to win. The Eagles on the other hand have been beating up on weak teams and they are one of the most overrated teams in the NFL heading into this week with their 5-4 SU record which has seen them beat bad teams and lose to good teams. The Bears have their game of the year tonight and I just don't see them losing this no matter how poorly they have played. BEARS WIN!!!

Trend of the Game: Chicago is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games as an underdog.


Chicago 24, Philadelphia 18











GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!!!

[superduperjacob]

Great reading, Mista - thanks!

[MistaFlava]

WEEK 11 RECAP

Miami +3
Baltimore +1 ***PLAY OF THE WEEK***
San Francisco +6.5
Minnesota -10.5
New Orleans -10.5
Denver +4.5
New England -10.5
Chicago +3 ***SUNDAY NIGHT PLAY OF THE YEAR***



1-0 ATS (+5.00 Units) with pending and more to come!

[readyfordeals]

I'll be at the game too, I need to buy you a beer for all the cash you have made me!