Service Plays Monday 10/6/14

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 1, 2014

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 1, 2014

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Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

Norm Hitzges

SINGLE PLAY
Washington +7

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

TheSportsLab

5 units on Washington +7.5 (-120)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

Behind The Bets

Redskins +7.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

Fat Jack

Seahawks / Redskins Over 45.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

DBT Algorithm

(2) Redskins +7.5

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

NFL Tech Trends - Week 5
By Bruce Marshall

Monday, Oct. 6

Matchup Skinny Tech Trend

SEATTLE at WASHINGTON...Skins 3-9 vs. line last 12 since mid 2013 (1-3 for Jay Gruden). Seahawks 26-12-2 vs. spread overall since 2012. Seahawks, based on Redskins negatives.

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

Monday Night Football: Seahawks at Redskins

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Redskins (+7.5, 45)

The Washington Redskins will be hard-pressed to continue its dominance against the Seattle Seahawks when the clubs square off in the nation's capital on Monday night. Washington is 11-4 in the all-time regular-season series and has won each of the last six matchups, including a 23-17 triumph at Seattle on Nov. 27, 2011, in which Roy Helu Jr. accumulated 162 total yards and a touchdown. The Seahawks haven't defeated the Redskins since posting a 24-14 home victory on Sept. 20, 1998, when they still were members of the AFC West.

Washington's season has gotten off to a disappointing start, with Robert Griffin III going down with an ankle injury in the club's lone win in Week 2 and backup Kirk Cousins guiding the team to two straight defeats - extending his personal losing streak to five starts in the process. The reigning Super Bowl champion Seahawks are coming off their bye week after registering a thrilling 26-20 overtime triumph over Denver in Week 3. Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson is off to a strong start, completing 60-of-87 passes for 651 yards with six touchdowns and just one interception over his first three games.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Sportsbooks opened the Seahawks as 7-point road faves, but are now -7.5. The total opened at 46 and dropped to 45.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-60s under partly cloudy skies. Wind will blow across the field at 9 mph.

INJURY REPORT: Seahawks - RB Christine Michael (Questionable, hamstring), LB Bruce Irvin (Questionable, ribs). Redskins - DB Trenton Robinson (Questionable, ankle), LB Akeem Jordan (Questionable, knee), TE Jordan Reed (Questionable, hamstring), TE Niles Paul (Questionable, concussion).

POWER RANKINGS: Seahawks (-7.75) + Redskins (3.5) + home field (-3.0) = Seahawks -7.75

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "There has been an interesting pattern this season in the NFL where teams are getting blown out on Thursday night, then bouncing back with a solid effort in their next game. It's happened each of the past two weeks with both the Steelers and then Buccaneers winning outright as an underdog after blowout Thursday night losses. It makes sense as these teams get a semi-bye week with the extra rest and preparation time. Washington is now in this bounce back situation as the Redskins were awful in their loss to the Giants with a 6-1 turnover deficit. Seattle is also in a good situation as they have the benefit of a bye week to recover and regroup after their high profile overtime win against the Broncos two weeks ago. Seattle should also be fully focused for this game especially since it's a national TV Monday night matchup." Steve Merrill.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 O/U): Seattle will be without tight end Zach Miller, who is expected to miss several games after undergoing ankle surgery last week. Percy Harvin is proving to be a triple threat as he leads the team in both receptions (16) and receiving yards (106), has gained another 86 yards on six rushes and is averaging 20.1 yards on seven kickoff returns. Punter Jon Ryan was named the NFC Special Teams Player of the Month for September after averaging 48.3 yards on 12 punts.

ABOUT THE REDSKINS (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Washington figures to put pressure on Wilson as it leads the NFL with 11 sacks, including five by league co-leader Ryan Kerrigan. The linebacker is one-half sack away from becoming the eighth player in team history to record 30. Alfred Morris needs 156 rushing yards to pass Mike Thomas (3,359) for eighth place on the franchise list and two touchdowns on the ground to leap past Cliff Battles (23) and tie Earnest Byner (25) for seventh.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight Monday games.
* Redskins are 2-6 ATS in their last eight Monday games.
* Under is 7-1 in Seahawks last eight vs. NFC

CONSENSUS: 65 percent are backing the Seahawks

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 5, 2014

MLB Preview: Dodgers (94-68) at Cardinals (90-72)

Game: 3
Venue: Dodger Stadium
Date: October 06, 2014 1:00 PM EDT

ST. LOUIS (AP) - John Lackey stepped to the podium, minus the obvious status symbols: his two World Series rings. No reason to brag.

'No, I don't wear them very much,' he said Sunday. 'Maybe to a wedding or stuff like that. They're a little big and a little flashy, not exactly my style.'

The St. Louis Cardinals acquired Lackey from World Series champion Boston at the trade deadline for occasions just like this, knowing NL Division Series game 3 against the Los Angeles Dodgers won't be too big for the 35-year-old right-hander. Lackey won a game in each series last fall, including the Game 6 clincher over St. Louis.

'Yeah, definitely take pride in that,' Lackey said. 'I want to pitch well this time of year, but things I've done in the past aren't going to help me tomorrow. '

Lackey (14-10) starts after the Cardinals split in California against Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. Los Angele left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (14-7), recovered from shoulder irritation, makes his first start since Sept. 12.

Through an interpreter, Ryu thought it an 'almost zero percent chance' that the shoulder would be a factor.

'It's an honor for them to trust me with this tomorrow,' Ryu said. 'I don't want to let them down.'

Ryu pitched seven scoreless innings last year to beat the Cardinals in Game 3 of the NL Championship Series.

Manager Don Mattingly described the pitcher as 'pretty unflappable.'

'He seems to be that guy that nothing really bothers him,' Mattingly said. 'I'm sure he's a little, like everyone else, excited and anxious and all those things.'

Los Angeles was 0-3 at Busch Stadium in last year's playoffs, shut out twice. The Dodgers scored two runs and totaled 16 hits in 31 innings with no homers.

'Five-game series, things can go anybody's way,' closer Kenley Jansen said after striking out two during a perfect ninth inning that completed the Dodgers' 3-2 win that evened the series. 'Got to go there and steal one.'

The Cardinals did not work out after taking an overnight flight that touched down in St. Louis about 6 a.m. A tarpaulin covered the infield later Sunday when about a dozen Dodgers players, including Clayton Kershaw, played catch and ran sprints in left field under the lights.

Shelby Miller (10-9) makes his first career postseason start in Game 4 on Tuesday. Dan Haren (13-11) is the probable for the Dodgers, but Haren will also prepare as if he's starting Game 3 in case he's needed in long relief.

'Yeah, we have flexibility,' Mattingly said. 'We don't know what's going to happen tomorrow for us. Anything could happen with Hyun-Jin.'

The Dodgers could turn to Kershaw on short rest in Game 4 if they are facing elimination. Kershaw is favored to win his third Cy Young Award in four years after going 21-3 with a 1.77 ERA, but he has a 1-4 record and a 5.20 ERA in the postseason and twice straight has been pummeled by the Cardinals.

Ryu threw 43 pitches in a three-inning simulated game on Wednesday at Dodger Stadium. He lasted just one inning in his last start of the season, but Mattingly pointed out he's also thrown two bullpen sessions.

'It's not like we're just throwing him out there,' the manager said.

Still, stamina could be a factor, and the Dodgers have had middle-relief issues. Rookie Pedro Baez allowed Matt Holliday's three-run homer that put the Cardinals ahead 10-6 in the opener, and J.P. Howell gave up Matt Carpenter's tying two-run homer in the seventh inning in Game 2.

Unlike the Cardinals, who have All-Star setup man Pat Neshek ahead of Trevor Rosenthal, the Dodgers have had to mix and match.

'You just can't worry about that,' Jansen said. 'What happened yesterday happened. That doesn't happen very often.'

After a mid-September break to recharge from a dead arm, Lackey allowed three earned runs in 14 1-3 innings his last two outings. He'll be making his first appearance since Sept. 24.

Cardinals manager Mike Matheny wasn't surprised Lackey didn't take it well when he got skipped in September.

'Yeah, I've had some interesting looks and conversations,' Matheny said. 'Yeah, every time I go to take him out, I know it's going to be something. He's done a nice job of walking that fine line of making it known he'd like to stay in the game, but also not crossing that line.'

Lackey needs 3 2-3 innings to overtake CC Sabathia (107 2-3) as the active leader in postseason innings.

'I'm going to cut it loose. Whatever is in there is going to be in there,' Lackey said. 'Yeah, this isn't the regular season. We're not saving anything.'

tgunn11 · Oct 6, 2014

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals +130 over SF Giants
(System Record: 108-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 108-76

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Dodgers -101 over St. Louis Cardinals
Los Angeles Dodgers + St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5
Washington Nationals + SF Giants UNDER 6

tgunn11 · Oct 6, 2014

Football Crusher
Seattle Seahawks + Washington Redskins OVER 45
(System Record: 12-2, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 12-14-1

tgunn11 · Oct 6, 2014

Soccer Crusher
Rosario Central + Lanus OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 643-22, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 643-534-97

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

VIP-picks

Exclusive VIP Tips
RB Leipzig - Heidenheim
Tip: >2,5

Bonus:
Viborg - Vejle
Tip: Viborg -0.5, 1

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

Fister tasked with extending Nationals' season
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

WASHINGTON -- The Washington Nationals have traded several top pitching prospects for proven big leaguers over the past few years.

Before the 2013 season, the Nationals traded Alex Meyer to the Minnesota Twins in a deal that sent center fielder Denard Span to Washington.

Prior to this season, Nathan Karns, a young right-hander, was sent to Tampa Bay in part of a deal that netted backup catcher Jose Lobaton.

And back in December, the Nationals parted ways with top pitching prospects Robbie Ray and Ian Krol, along with infielder Steve Lombardozzi and his big league experience, to the Detroit Tigers in a deal that brought right-hander Doug Fister to the nation's capital.

Now, Fister is tasked with trying to keep the Nationals alive when he pitches on Monday in Game 3 of the National League Division Series against the San Francisco Giants as his team is down 2-0 after a crushing 2-1 loss in 18 innings on Saturday night.

Fister may have been the most consistent pitcher for the Nationals once he came off the disabled list in early May with a lat sprain.

The tall right-hander was 16-6 with an ERA of 2.41 in 25 starts this season.

"I don't know that we are in this situation without Doug," first baseman Adam LaRoche said. "I think he's helped our starters a ton."

Fister works fast and gets a lot of ground-ball outs.

"You know, the guy doesn't break 90 miles an hour very often," LaRoche said. "He has a knack for sawing guys off, which is pretty tough to do, with that velocity."

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

Giants aim to close out Nationals in NLDS
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

WASHINGTON -- The San Francisco Giants are heading home with a 2-0 lead in the National League Division Series and a chance to wrap up the series against the Washington Nationals on Monday with lefty ace Madison Bumgarner.

"I think we are confident with Bum on the mound on Monday," said first baseman Brandon Belt. "Definitely not taking it for granted. We have seen teams come back 0-2 and win the series. We are going to go in there and try to play our best baseball. If we don't they will take advantage of it. That is what we will do."

Bumgarner is coming off a four-hit shutout of the Pittsburgh Pirates in the NL wild-card game. He struck out 10 and walked one. In the regular season, Bumgarner went 18-10 with a 2.98 ERA.

The Giants topped the Nationals 2-1 in 18 innings Saturday in the longest game by time in postseason history. Belt hit a solo homer in the top of the 18th against Tanner Roark, who was part of the Washington starting rotation during the season.

Belt was hitless in his previous six at-bats and took a borderline pitch to make the count 3-2 before he pulled a pitch over the Washington bullpen in right.

"That was incredible," rookie second baseman Joe Panik said.

Yusmeiro Petit threw six scoreless innings and allowed just one hit as he got the win in Game 2.

"He shut them down for six innings. For a guy that has been starting for a while ... he was incredible," Panik said.

What did manager Bruce Bochy think of the homer by Belt?

"You are hoping that somebody gets ahold of one. We are facing a tough pitcher out there," Bochy said.

The Giants have now won 10 postseason games in a row, a National League record.

"It's a tough group," Bochy said. "They are relentless. They don't quit. We had our hands full tonight. We had the right guys coming up. I can't say enough again about what our bullpen did for us. Those guys never quit."

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | WASHINGTON at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save
235-162 since 1997. ( 59.2% | 78.6 units )
18-18 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.1 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | LA DODGERS at ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS is 48-17 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: ST LOUIS (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.5)

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Seattle at Washington[/h] The Seahawks head to Washington on Monday night to face a Redskins team that is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games in Week 5 of the season. Washington is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Seahawks favored by only 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 6
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (10/1)

Game 477-478: Seattle at Washington (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 136.913; Washington 132.393
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle by 7 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7 1/2); Under

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]Washington at San Francisco[/h] The Giants look to clinch the NLDS series and come into the contest with a 6-0 record in Madison Bumgarner's last 6 starts as a favorite. San Francisco is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 6
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 923-924: Washington at San Francisco (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Fister) 14.569; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.196
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 6
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 921-922: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Ryu) 16.402; St. Louis (Lackey) 14.986
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over

Can'tPickaWinner2 · Oct 6, 2014

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Falcons (+4) on Sunday and likes the Giants on Monday.

The deficit is 832 sirignanos.

Service Plays Monday 10/6/14

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