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EX BOOKIE
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Eight things you never say to a sports bettor coming off a bad beat




A last-second field goal. A meaningless foul shot. A diving catch on a blooper to shallow center with two outs and a runner on third. To sports fans, these are just everyday plays. But to sports bettors, these sound like the tell-tale signs of a bad beat.


It’s that losing wager that had no business losing. You did everything right: Handicapped the matchups, got the best odds, and ate your ritualistic fried bologna sandwich. But still, everything went to shit on just one play.


If you happen to witness this agony, here are eight things you should never say to a bettor coming off a bad beat. Trust us, you’ll be happy we warned you:


“I told you so!”


When you made your pick, your chum provided the play-by-play, offering up the kind of insight that would make Phil Simms sound like Vince Lombardi. “I don’t know, man”, followed up by some bullshit reason why you shouldn’t bet that side.


And here we are, the final whistle still ringing in your ears and this guy brings some school-yard trash like, “I told you so” to the table? If this was junior high school, you’d be throwing down at the monkey bars come recess. But you’re an adult. Do what adults do and “unfriend” him on Facebook.


However, if this continues to happen week after week, you may want to fade yourself and ride the “I told you so” guy to the bank.




“You’ll get ‘em next time.”


Geez coach, can we still go out for ice cream?


Thanks for the verbal pat on the ass. Save the uplifting speeches for the team that just screwed me over. I’m sure they could use a pick-me-up after shitting the bed in the final seconds.


And who the hell is “’em”? The Bookmaker? The other team? That sweet pair of Air Jordans I was going to grab if this bet came through?


“How much did you lose?”


Whether you wagered $10, $100, or $1,000, bad beats sting. But let’s be honest, $10 lost on a dropped pass in the end zone is equivalent to a bee sting, while a $1,000 bad beat feels like a frickin’ vampire bat just muckled onto your jugular.


Now, let’s picture someone taking a big bag of salt and rubbing that all over your sting.


Asking a bettor how much they lost on a bad beat is exactly the same as someone prodding you about how your investments did last year. Except, for some reason it’s frivolous to wager on a sporting event and wise to hand your hard-earned money over to a crooked investor.


Who’s really getting the bad beat here?


“Your wife/girlfriend/spouse/Mail-order Russian bride is going to be pissed!”


Perhaps the only thing worse than suffering a bad beat is getting read the riot act from your significant other.


Not only did you just lose money – money that could have been put toward that new light fixture she wants for the dining room – but you also spent three hours or so watching it go down the drain - three hours you could have used to install that new light fixture in the dining room.


The broadcast isn’t even over yet and you’re already reminding me of the shit storm that lurks when I get home.






Honestly though, if you need to sneak around behind your lady’s back to bet on sports, then something isn’t right. You’re either playing with money you don’t have or… your girlfriend's a lunatic. And if it’s both, a bad beat is the least of your worries.


“That was awesome! I bet the other side.”


To every Yin, there’s a Yang.


While you’re cursing the gambling gods after your bet gave up a three-goal lead in the third, there’s another dude somewhere celebrating the greatest wagering win he’s ever known.


If you happen to be on the winning side of someone’s bad beat, it’s best to just keep that excitement bottled up inside. You shouldn’t make eye contact or any sudden movements, and casually remove all sharp or pointy objects from within an arm’s length of the loser. And whatever you do, don’t feed them after midnight.


If you’re in the sportsbook, play it cool. Maybe wait for the crowds of bruised betting egos to file out before heading to the window to collect your winnings - might save you from getting jumped outside. And if someone in your party is coming down off a bad beat, you can always cash that ticket another day and spring for pizza or the cab ride home... you lucky jerk.


“At least you have a good story/it was exciting.”


Why do people bet on sports? Because it’s fun.


You know what isn’t fun? Losing. And not just “losing”, but losing a sure-fire outright winner on a goal in injury time. The kind of losing that made your testicles take cover up inside you like in the middle of January when you ran outside in your housecoat to grab the garbage can, then accidentally locked the door behind you.






Everybody loves to bitch - sports bettors especially. But let us do it on our own time. We’ll share our sad little bad beat story with the world when we’re ready. That could be right away on the posting forum or at a bar 15 years down the road with a bunch of old friends comparing their sports betting scars.


“Well, it was close. You almost covered.”


An old basketball coach once told me, “Close only counts in horseshoes and intercourse.”


By today’s tight-assed standards, that coach would have been forced to walk the plank for his off-color variation of the classic idiom. But, as a 16-year-old high school kid – who had played horseshoes maybe twice before and never held, let alone thrown a hand grenade – I understood what he meant perfectly.


Oddsmakers are so good at drumming up their numbers that just about every wager ends up being a close call. So trying to keep my chin up by telling me how narrow my margin of defeat was is like telling me I’m the most handsome boy at the leper colony.


You wanna talk about close? You’re about “this” close to getting punched in the neck.




“This is why I don’t gamble.”


We saved the absolute worst for last.


The “holier than thou” routine is somewhere between spitting in my face and dropping my baby daughter. It's an offense punishable by banishment, especially when served up after a bad beat.


There’s a special place in hell reserved for those people - a cross between waiting in line for an iPhone 6 then finding out the store sold the last one to the guy in front of you, and spending a shit ton on Cavaliers tickets only to find out Greg Popovich is the new head coach and is benching everyone but Brendan Haywood, James Jones, Dion Waiters, Erik Murphy and signed Moochie Norris to a one-day contract just to piss you off.


Stuff i hear hear all the time after a bad week.

more to come
Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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This is what the line that you could have bet in week 1......great way to see line movement



Week 6




Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-1), Thursday




Detroit Lions (-1) at Minnesota Vikings




Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Miami Dolphins




Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns (PK)




Carolina Panthers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2)




New England Patriots (-3.5) at Buffalo Bills




Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons (-3)




Denver Broncos (-6) at New York Jets




Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-7)




Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1)




San Diego Chargers (-2.5) at Oakland Raiders




Dallas Cowboys at Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)




Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals (-4)




New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5)




San Francisco 49ers (-4.5) at St. Louis Rams, Monday


3 line move big
CINN
BAL
SD
 

EX BOOKIE
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STATS VS ATS

HOME 36
AWAY 39

FAV 42
DOG 35

OV 41
UN 35. ....... Not one line under 43 this week...last year we did have 36-39 ...what happen???.....

points ts that matter... This week 4 games. 12 out of 76 games 16%

Ace
 

living in the past
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How much did you lose ?...my response : don't ask don't tell or ask me no questions and I'll tell you no lies....
 

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Eight things you never say to a sports bettor coming off a bad beat




A last-second field goal. A meaningless foul shot. A diving catch on a blooper to shallow center with two outs and a runner on third. To sports fans, these are just everyday plays. But to sports bettors, these sound like the tell-tale signs of a bad beat.


It’s that losing wager that had no business losing. You did everything right: Handicapped the matchups, got the best odds, and ate your ritualistic fried bologna sandwich. But still, everything went to shit on just one play.


If you happen to witness this agony, here are eight things you should never say to a bettor coming off a bad beat. Trust us, you’ll be happy we warned you:


“I told you so!”


When you made your pick, your chum provided the play-by-play, offering up the kind of insight that would make Phil Simms sound like Vince Lombardi. “I don’t know, man”, followed up by some bullshit reason why you shouldn’t bet that side.


And here we are, the final whistle still ringing in your ears and this guy brings some school-yard trash like, “I told you so” to the table? If this was junior high school, you’d be throwing down at the monkey bars come recess. But you’re an adult. Do what adults do and “unfriend” him on Facebook.


However, if this continues to happen week after week, you may want to fade yourself and ride the “I told you so” guy to the bank.




“You’ll get ‘em next time.”


Geez coach, can we still go out for ice cream?


Thanks for the verbal pat on the ass. Save the uplifting speeches for the team that just screwed me over. I’m sure they could use a pick-me-up after shitting the bed in the final seconds.


And who the hell is “’em”? The Bookmaker? The other team? That sweet pair of Air Jordans I was going to grab if this bet came through?


“How much did you lose?”


Whether you wagered $10, $100, or $1,000, bad beats sting. But let’s be honest, $10 lost on a dropped pass in the end zone is equivalent to a bee sting, while a $1,000 bad beat feels like a frickin’ vampire bat just muckled onto your jugular.


Now, let’s picture someone taking a big bag of salt and rubbing that all over your sting.


Asking a bettor how much they lost on a bad beat is exactly the same as someone prodding you about how your investments did last year. Except, for some reason it’s frivolous to wager on a sporting event and wise to hand your hard-earned money over to a crooked investor.


Who’s really getting the bad beat here?


“Your wife/girlfriend/spouse/Mail-order Russian bride is going to be pissed!”


Perhaps the only thing worse than suffering a bad beat is getting read the riot act from your significant other.


Not only did you just lose money – money that could have been put toward that new light fixture she wants for the dining room – but you also spent three hours or so watching it go down the drain - three hours you could have used to install that new light fixture in the dining room.


The broadcast isn’t even over yet and you’re already reminding me of the shit storm that lurks when I get home.






Honestly though, if you need to sneak around behind your lady’s back to bet on sports, then something isn’t right. You’re either playing with money you don’t have or… your girlfriend's a lunatic. And if it’s both, a bad beat is the least of your worries.


“That was awesome! I bet the other side.”


To every Yin, there’s a Yang.


While you’re cursing the gambling gods after your bet gave up a three-goal lead in the third, there’s another dude somewhere celebrating the greatest wagering win he’s ever known.


If you happen to be on the winning side of someone’s bad beat, it’s best to just keep that excitement bottled up inside. You shouldn’t make eye contact or any sudden movements, and casually remove all sharp or pointy objects from within an arm’s length of the loser. And whatever you do, don’t feed them after midnight.


If you’re in the sportsbook, play it cool. Maybe wait for the crowds of bruised betting egos to file out before heading to the window to collect your winnings - might save you from getting jumped outside. And if someone in your party is coming down off a bad beat, you can always cash that ticket another day and spring for pizza or the cab ride home... you lucky jerk.


“At least you have a good story/it was exciting.”


Why do people bet on sports? Because it’s fun.


You know what isn’t fun? Losing. And not just “losing”, but losing a sure-fire outright winner on a goal in injury time. The kind of losing that made your testicles take cover up inside you like in the middle of January when you ran outside in your housecoat to grab the garbage can, then accidentally locked the door behind you.






Everybody loves to bitch - sports bettors especially. But let us do it on our own time. We’ll share our sad little bad beat story with the world when we’re ready. That could be right away on the posting forum or at a bar 15 years down the road with a bunch of old friends comparing their sports betting scars.


“Well, it was close. You almost covered.”


An old basketball coach once told me, “Close only counts in horseshoes and intercourse.”


By today’s tight-assed standards, that coach would have been forced to walk the plank for his off-color variation of the classic idiom. But, as a 16-year-old high school kid – who had played horseshoes maybe twice before and never held, let alone thrown a hand grenade – I understood what he meant perfectly.


Oddsmakers are so good at drumming up their numbers that just about every wager ends up being a close call. So trying to keep my chin up by telling me how narrow my margin of defeat was is like telling me I’m the most handsome boy at the leper colony.


You wanna talk about close? You’re about “this” close to getting punched in the neck.




“This is why I don’t gamble.”


We saved the absolute worst for last.


The “holier than thou” routine is somewhere between spitting in my face and dropping my baby daughter. It's an offense punishable by banishment, especially when served up after a bad beat.


There’s a special place in hell reserved for those people - a cross between waiting in line for an iPhone 6 then finding out the store sold the last one to the guy in front of you, and spending a shit ton on Cavaliers tickets only to find out Greg Popovich is the new head coach and is benching everyone but Brendan Haywood, James Jones, Dion Waiters, Erik Murphy and signed Moochie Norris to a one-day contract just to piss you off.


Stuff i hear hear all the time after a bad week.

more to come
Ace

MEGA LOL this is absolutely true, you had me really laughing!

BTW ace, I did bet the other side!!! :) Just kidding....
 

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HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING THURSDAY FOOTBALL


INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON (Thursday-NFL): Game day sharp money has been hitting the home underdog Texans. A line that has been sitting on Indianapolis -3 most of the week is now at Houston +2.5 in a lot of places. That may set up a tug-of-war between the public on Andrew Luck and the Colts at -2.5, and Wise Guys who are putting “the power of 3” in their favor percentage-wise with the dog. Note that Houston will also be a popular play at +8.5 in two-team teasers for sharps who jump in at stores where +2.5 on the regular line is available. Basic strategy two-point teasers will see Houston paired up with options from Sunday.


The Over is getting bet by sharps, with an opener of 45 now up to 46.5 or 47. That’s interesting because the Wise Guys know that the turf in Houston is often questionable, which makes it hard for high octane offenses to play at their peak. We’re hearing that the numbers guys have both teams getting to at least 23-24 each, which has triggered quant betting.
 

EX BOOKIE
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3 ....411 plays this week. 1st play is


IND -2.5 -110.................$2000.00 ....411 play...
 

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Personally, when I lose, I hate it when a friend says you were on the "right side". Regardless if you did everything right, and just lost on a bad beat, the "right side" is the side that allows you to walk up to the cashier and cash a ticket (and if it isn't than give me the "wrong side" every time). It's right up there with someone walking up to me when I'm playing craps and asking "how's the table been" (as though what has happened over the last hour has any relevance to what will happen in the next hour....it's a totally illogical question).

Congrats on the win tonight Ace.
 

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Good Morning Ace- what a nice start for the weekend- you went 5-2 in college again- in last 3 weeks you are 15 -6. On units-you went 21 units win and 7 units lost. Keep up the good work and thank you!!!!your hitting 70 percent in college.
 

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By the way - at a 100 a unit- that's a 1,330 for this weekend-lets have a good Sunday. Your the best in college football.
 

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HOW SHARPS ARE BETTING NFL WEEK 6




DENVER AT NY JETS: Denver was a very popular sharp bet at the opener of -7, as the Wise Guys were doing a combination of “position-taking” against expected public action, and nudging the game into the basic strategy window for two-team teasers. We’re now seeing Denver -9 or -9.5 in most places. Sources tell us that sharps would definitely come in on the Jets at +10 (particularly those who are heavy at -7!). Though, we could see some sharps buy in on the Jets on game day at +9 just in hopes of being able to bet Denver -2.5 in six-point teasers. The Over/Under is up a point from 46.5 to 47.5. Note that we’ll only mention totals today in games that have moved at least a point off the opener.


PITTSBURGH AT CLEVELAND: An opener of pick-em has been bet up to Cleveland -1.5. The Browns were a popular sharp bet last week against Tennessee, and rallied late to cover against the first numbers the Wise Guys had been attacking. It’s possible the line moves some more before kickoff. But, sharps want the game in the 1.5 to 2.5 range so Pittsburgh (+) can be used in teasers that cross both the 3 and the 7 in one move. So, were the public to bet the game up to three, sharps would come in HARD on Pittsburgh to bring it back to +2.5.


JACKSONVILLE AT TENNESSEE: No line yet. This is not expected to be a heavily bet game from the public because it’s two bad teams playing in front of a minuscule TV audience. Sharps will only bet heavily if they think the eventual opener is way off base.


CHICAGO AT ATLANTA: This has been a solid three all week for the home favorite. Sharps would fade any move off the key number created by public action. The power of the three is so strong that percentages favor whichever team has it in their hip pocket. At the solid three, we’re hearing that sentiment is split. Sharps don’t trust the Atlanta defense as a favorite, or mistake-prone Jay Cutler in what is a tough team fatigue spot (fourth road game in five weeks).


GREEN BAY AT MIAMI: Looks like we have a tug-of-war here shaping up between Green Bay -3 (squares and some sharps) and Miami +3.5 (the rest of the sharps). Once again, the power of the key number is in play. The pubic loves betting Aaron Rodgers at cheap prices. And, the Packers have started covering spreads again. But, old school sharps expect a flat spot here given that Green Bay is coming off three divisional games and is now facing a non-conference opponent. This could be a very heavily bet tug-of-war before kickoff. Nothing to mention on total the past few games because no sharp action has been indicated. As we’ve discussed in the past, oddsmakers are now doing a better job of matching sharp algorithms for the openers. It’s weather that typically drives major moves.


DETROIT AT MINNESOTA: No line up here yet. It’s expected that Detroit will be a short road favorite against whoever gets the call. There’s not much value difference in sharp Power Ratings between the fading Christian Ponder and the promising but green Teddy Bridgewater. We’re hearing that sharps will be looking to invest in Bridgewater through the second half of the season if he can stay healthy.


CAROLINA AT CINCINNATI: It looks like A.J. Green will miss the game for Cincinnati. His absence has created a tug-of-war between Cincinnati -6.5 and Carolina +7. Sharps who think Carolina’s falling apart don’t minding laying the -6.5 even if Green is absent (particularly in the bounce back spot after the loss at New England). Sharps who believe Green has clear value think that +7 is too much in his absence. Seven is also a key number, influencing the percentages for sharps on either side of the battle. Tough to know how the public will bet this one because squares haven’t yet shown a liking for taking the Bengals at prices this high vs. decent opposition. And, many squares took a bath last week when they bet the Bengals vs. the Pats.


NEW ENGLAND AT BUFFALO: This game hasn’t budged off the opener. Like the matchup between Chicago and Atlanta, sharps will fade any move off the three. We’re hearing though that this one is being more heavily bet. The contingents that favor underdogs and try not to overreact to one game think Buffalo +3 is a smart bet at home. Those who focus more on skill sets and current form really like what they saw from the Patriots last week once they snapped out of their funk. So, this game is getting sharp action from both sides. If the public comes in on New England Sunday morning, sharps would happily take +3.5 or better. It would be hard to imagine a move below the three given general square love for Tom Brady, and the fact that +2.5 would open up Buffalo as a nominee for teasers.


BALTIMORE AT TAMPA BAY: A tug-of-war here shaping up between Baltimore -3 and Tampa Bay +3.5. Once again it’s the value bettors on underdogs thinking the Bucs make a lot of sense as an improving home underdog. Early square action and some “bounce back” sentiment for the Ravens is what originally drove the line off the key number of three. We have an Over/Under move of a point on the Over, from an opener of 42.5 up to 43.5. That seems HUGE in a week where totals mostly haven’t been bet yet. Sources tell us that Over sentiment is driven by the Kubiak factor in Baltimore.


SAN DIEGO AT OAKLAND: Mostly a solid San Diego -7 across the board. Though, some stores are testing Chargers -7.5. Sources tell us that sharps may step out on San Diego if the public doesn’t just to create teaser opportunities on the Chargers. Being positioned on Chargers -7 at a fair price and Chargers -1.5 in teasers is being seen as a promising way to attack the game. Only the old school sharps are thinking about Oakland…assuming peak intensity after a bye week for a hated divisional rival.


DALLAS AT SEATTLE: An opener of Seattle -8 has been bet up to -8.5 in some places, with square shops or locales guarding against teasers testing Seattle -9. Sharps would love to see -8 or -8.5 on game day so the Seahawks can be used at -2 or -2.5 in teasers. Sportsbooks have to decide if they want to risk that, or risk being one-sided on Dallas +9. There could be a lot of action on this one in the hours leading up to kickoff because it’s the defending Super Bowl champions facing “America’s Team” in a high profile TV game in the late window. Sportsbooks wouldn’t be surprised if this is the most heavily bet afternoon game of the season thus far.


WASHINGTON AT ARIZONA: No line yet because of the Arizona quarterback situation. The Cardinals are seen as the better team if one of their first two quarterbacks can play. They would be favored by around 5-7 if that’s the case. With inexperienced Logan Thomas on the field, it’s probably a field goal game in the markets.


NY GIANTS AT PHILADELPHIA: Huge Sunday Night game in market terms because both of these cities love to bet! That money finds its way into the global marketplace even if locals aren’t exactly within driving distance of a casino. We’re looking at a probable tug-of-war between Philadelphia -2.5 and the NY Giants +3. Sharps hit the Giants early at +3, and would love having the G-Men in two-team teasers at +8.5 There are a ton of teaser opportunities this weekend, which has quite a few casinos concerned about exposure. Generally speaking, sharps are much more fond of the Giants at +3 or +8.5 in a teaser than they are of Philadelphia -2.5. The Ove/Under is down a point from 51 to 50.


SAN FRANCISCO AT ST. LOUIS (Monday Night): Not much action yet. Though, it’s telling that an opener of San Francisco -3.5 wasn’t bet toward the underdog. Even with “the power of three” in the mix, sharps wanted no part of the Rams. That tells you they Wise Guys made the game higher than three themselves. The Over/Under opened at 42.5 and has been bet up to 43.5 We’re hearing that’s based on the surprisingly good showing so far of Austin Davis at QB for the Rams. So, sharps who has reason to consider the Rams chose Over 42.5 and Over 43 as the way to express that rather than asking Davis to fully avoid miscues.
 

EX BOOKIE
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1-0 on the week in NFL. And 5-2 in CFB...so..looks like I'm having a good week.

TODAY 6 plays. Two are 411 plays....two dogs...one total

got a story to tell you

i have alway wanted every team jersey...so I just got my last 4 this week...now I have every team....cost about $3800 if anyone wants to try it......so.....on Thursday I had the COLT jersey on....and they won....at 1.... 1 will put on my INVESTMENT TEAM JERSEY......SO ON ECT........PS...IF ONE TEAM LOST TO MANY TIME....IT WILL GO BACK AT THE END OF THE PILE! Lol

best to all today
Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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Bal -3 -110...................$2500.00 ....411 playNe -3 +100.....................$800.00 .....411 play
MIA +3 +103.................$600.00
 

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