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LVH posts NHL Props

Future Odds provided by the Westgate LVH SuperBook

2014-15 NHL DIVISION ODDS

ATLANTIC DIVISION
BRUINS 1/2
LIGHTNING 5/1
CANADIENS 6/1
RED WINGS 6/1
SENATORS 20/1
MAPLE LEAFS 20/1
PANTHERS 25/1
SABRES 300/1

METROPOLITAN DIVISION
PENGUINS 1/3
BLUE JACKETS 6/1
RANGERS 8/1
CAPITALS 8/1
FLYERS 20/1
ISLANDERS 20/1
DEVILS 30/1
HURRICANES 60/1

CENTRAL DIVISION
BLACKHAWKS 7/5
BLUES 7/4
WILD 4/1
STARS 5/1
AVALANCHE 10/1
PREDATORS 75/1
JETS 100/1

PACIFIC DIVISION
KINGS 8/5
DUCKS 7/5
SHARKS 7/4
CANUCKS 25/1
COYOTES 25/1
OILERS 60/1
FLAMES 300/1

**IN CASE OF TIE--NHL TIEBREAKERS WILL DETERMINE DIVISION WINNER**
**TEAMS MUST PLAY 82 REGULAR SEASON GAMES FOR ACTION**

2014-15 NHL REGULAR SEASON POINTS

DUCKS 104.5
COYOTES 87.5
BRUINS 107.5
SABRES 64.5
FLAMES 70.5
HURRICANES 79.5
BLACKHAWKS 107.5
AVALANCHE 93.5
BLUE JACKETS 94.5
STARS 97.5
RED WINGS 97.5
OILERS 80.5
PANTHERS 80.5
KINGS 101.5
WILD 101.5
CANADIENS 97.5
PREDATORS 89.5
DEVILS 88.5
ISLANDERS 88.5
RANGERS 95.5
SENATORS 86.5
FLYERS 88.5
PENGUINS 106.5
SHARKS 101.5
BLUES 104.5
LIGHTNING 99.5
MAPLE LEAFS 88.5
CANUCKS 89.5
CAPITALS 93.5
JETS 81.5

**TEAMS MUST PLAY 82 REGULAR SEASON GAMES FOR ACTION**
**ALL SIDES -110**
**NO PARLAYS**

NHL Atlantic Division betting preview: Red Wings' resurgence?

Here's a comprehensive look at teams to watch for betting purposes in the NHL's Atlantic Division :

Favorite

Boston Bruins (+150)

The Bruins remain the team to beat in the Atlantic, armed with one of the top netminders in the NHL in Tuukka Rask and an imposing defense corps anchored by Zdeno Chara. Goal-scoring could be a concern, though. Only Patrice Bergeron and Jarome Iginla reached the 30-goal mark last season, and Iginla departed for Colorado in the offseason. But balanced offense spread out across all four lines makes Boston a tough opponent every single night.

Value Underdog

Detroit Red Wings (+800)

With a disastrous 2013-14 mercifully behind them, the Red Wings are expected to be a much more imposing foe this season, but they'll need better luck with injuries. And this season is off to an ominous start in that regard, with star center Pavel Datsyuk (separated shoulder) expected to miss the first 3-4 weeks of the regular season. But with Henrik Zetterberg, Gustav Nyquist and Johan Franzen relatively healthy, Detroit should be a dangerous club.

Live Long Shot

Ottawa Senators (+1,100)

Any team boasting the premier offensive defenseman in the league should be reckoned with - and the Senators have that in Erik Karlsson, who will look to build on last year's 74-point performance. The loss of center Jason Spezza is a big one, but Kyle Turris looks ready to assume the mantel of No. 1 center after recording 58 points a season ago. If Craig Anderson and/or Robin Lehner shine in goal, the Senators may make some noise in the Atlantic.

Over Team

Tampa Bay Lightning

Call it the Steven Stamkos Factor. The Lightning averaged 2.92 goals in the 37 games their star sniper played last season - a figure that would have ranked them sixth in the league - while managing 2.76 goals in the 45 games he missed due to injury. With Stamkos back to full health, rookie sensation Jonathan Drouin expected to boost the offense and Tyler Johnson and Ondrej Palat looking like major offensive threats, the goals should be plentiful in Tampa.

Under Team

Buffalo Sabres

Expect another ugly season in Buffalo, where the Sabres have some long-term promise but little in the way of impact offensive players. Just four players managed to crack double digits in goals last season - Tyler Ennis led the way with 21 - and the Sabres were held to one goal or fewer 35 times. The return of Matt Moulson should help bump the season goal total up by a few, but this team should comfortably finish near the bottom in scoring yet again.

2014-15 Predictions

The 2014-15 NHL season has started and we asked our stable of handicappers to provide their fearless predictions on who will meet in the Stanley Cup next June, plus they provided their Best Bet Point Total opinions. Those betting odds could be found at the Westgate LVH SuperBook.

NHL Season Predictions

Handicapper Stanley Cup Eastern Conference Western Conference Best Bet - Point Total

Alex Smith Anaheim Ducks Montreal Canadiens Anaheim Ducks San Jose Sharks
Under 101 ½

Bill Marzano Anaheim Ducks Pittsburgh Penguins Anaheim Ducks Tampa Bay Lightning
Under 99 ½

Don Anthony St. Louis Blues Boston Bruins St. Louis Blues Washington Capitals
Over 93 ½

Dave Cokin Boston Bruins Boston Bruins Chicago Blackhawks Carolina Hurricanes
Over 79.5

Gary Bart Colorado Avalanche Boston Bruins Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Over 93 ½

Joe Williams Chicago Blackhawks Boston Bruins Chicago Blackhawks Minnesota Wild
Under 101 ½

Kevin Rogers San Jose Sharks Pittsburgh Penguins San Jose Sharks Toronto Maple Leafs
Over 88 ½

NHL Central Division betting preview: New-look Stars make a run at Blackhawks

Here's a comprehensive look at teams to watch for betting purposes in the NHL's Central Division.

Favorite

Chicago Blackhawks (+180)
Few teams boast the relentless scoring prowess of the Blackhawks, who averaged 3.18 goals per game a season ago - second-best in the league - and has stars Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews locked up on long-term contracts. Patrick Sharp had 78 points and 313 shots last year and should bounce back nicely from a subpar playoff run, while Duncan Keith anchors a formidable defense and Corey Crawford continues to develop into an elite netminder.

Value Underdog

Dallas Stars (+750)


The Stars have been the talk of the offseason after making a series of impressive moves designed to challenge for the Western Conference crown. Adding Jason Spezza and Ales Hemsky to a team already boasting a wealth of offensive talent should vault Dallas into the Top 5 in goal scoring. A lack of defensive depth is a major concern entering the season, but netminder Kari Lehtonen has proven capable of handling large workloads.

Live Long Shot

Nashville Predators (+1,200)
It was a bizarre offseason for the Predators, who cut ties with head coach Barry Trotz while adding a handful of veteran forwards in an attempt to bolster their anemic offense. And while the additions of Olli Jokinen, James Neal, Derek Roy and Mike Ribeiro may not impress when looked at individually, they'll certainly make Nashville harder to defend. Goalie Pekka Rinne's return to health should mean good things, and defenseman Shea Weber remains a stud.

Over Team
Colorado Avalanche

Opposing defenses are going to hate facing the Avalanche this season. Few teams boast a Top 6 with the offensive firepower of Colorado, which will roll with Matt Duchene, Ryan O'Reilly, Jarome Iginla, Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog and Alex Tanguay. Tyson Barrie is one of the league's top young offensive defensemen, and a lack of blueline depth could lead to a fair share of high-scoring games - particularly in the offense-rich Central Division.

Under Team

Minnesota Wild
Don't let Minnesota's marquee free-agent acquisition fool you. Veteran winger Thomas Vanek will assuredly give the Wild offense a major shot in the arm, but he can only do so much for a team that finished tied for 24th in goals last season. The defense corps is one of the youngest in the league, but possesses plenty of high-level talent, and if the goaltending situation sorts itself out, Minnesota should once again find itself in a healthy share of low-scoring games.

NHL Pacific Division betting preview: Kings reign, but don't count out Coyotes

Here's a comprehensive look at teams to watch for betting purposes in the NHL's Pacific Division:

Favorite
Los Angeles Kings (+180)

The Kings enter the season as the defending champions and return the core of that team as favorites to win the Pacific crown. Few teams in the NHL boast Los Angeles' incredible depth, with Anze Kopitar, Marian Gaborik and Jeff Carter leading a balanced offense and Drew Doughty guiding one of the league's stingiest defenses. Jonathan Quick is working his way back from wrist surgery, but should be full strength soon and remains an elite goalie.

Value Underdog

Vancouver Canucks (+800)

New goaltender, same challenge. Ryan Miller will be called upon to lead the Canucks back to glory and it won't be an easy task given there's little offensive depth behind the Sedin-led first line while the blueline faces similar issues beyond Alex Edler, Kevin Bieksa and Dan Hamhuis. But the Sedins are a potent combo punch, newcomer Radim Vrbata has a strong track record on the offensive end and Miller is capable of stealing games by himself.

Live Long Shot

Arizona Coyotes (+1,000)

The Coyotes often get overlooked by preseason pundits, only to emerge as pleasant surprises year after year. Don't be surprised to see the same thing happen in 2014-15. Arizona bolstered its offense with the addition of Sam Gagner, while the defensive tandem of Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Keith Yandle ranks among the best in the NHL. Mike Smith remains a star in net and gives the Coyotes a chance to win every night. Here's your division sleeper.

Over Team
Anaheim Ducks

Fans at the Honda Center should see their fair share of high-scoring affairs this season. The Ducks enter the campaign as the reigning NHL scoring leaders, and have added Ryan Kesler to a Top 6 that already includes elite threats Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry. Cam Fowler leads an offensive-minded defense corps while the goaltending troika of Frederik Andersen, Jason LaBarbera and John Gibson may struggle to keep pucks out of the net.

Under Team

Calgary Flames

The Flames may wind up in better position this season than they did in 2013-14, but it won't be because of an increase in scoring. Calgary's offense remains unproven and will likely see 2014-15 as more of a transition period as the young players become more accustomed to one another. The biggest area of improvement comes in goal, where Jonas Hiller takes the reins of a Calgary back-end that should finish better than its 24th-place showing last season.

NHL Metropolitan Division betting preview: Caps coach Trotz putting 'D' back in D.C.

Here's a comprehensive look at teams to watch for betting purposes in the NHL's Metropolitan Division:

Favorite
Pittsburgh Penguins (+210)

A team captained by Sidney Crosby is always a good bet to go far, and if the wunderkind can stay healthy for the entire season, the sky is the limit for he and the rest of the Penguins. Crosby and Evgeni Malkin represent the best one-two punch in hockey, and the supporting cast - including Chris Kunitz, Patric Hornqvist and Pascal Dupuis - should provide plenty of complementary scoring. If goalie Marc-Andre Fleury is even half decent, the Pens should win the division.

Value Underdog
Washington Capitals (+800)
The core is the same, but some key additions should push Washington into division title contention, if everything goes right. New head coach Barry Trotz will instil the kind of defensive philosophy that has long been missing from D.C. and he'll have some impressive pieces to work with in new arrivals Matt Niskanen and Brooks Orpik and incumbents John Carlson and Karl Alzner. If the defense excels, the Caps will find themselves in the mix at season's end.

Live Long Shot

New York Islanders (+1,100)

The Islanders would need a lot to work in their favor for a division title bet to pay off, but the pieces are there. John Tavares is back and ready to challenge for the Art Ross Trophy, while the additions of former Toronto Maple Leafs teammates Nikolai Kulemin and Mikhail Grabovski should provide a much-needed boost in secondary scoring. Netminder Jaroslav Halak adds legitimacy to the back end, though there are plenty of concerns on the blueline.

Over Team

Philadelphia Flyers

The Flyers come into this season in a familiar position: loaded on offense but deficient on defense. Between Claude Giroux, Jakub Voracek, Sean Couturier, Wayne Simmonds, Matt Read and others, Philadelphia should have no trouble matching its output from a season ago (2.84 GPG). But with precious little blueline talent beyond the Top 4 and a pair of volatile netminders in Steve Mason and Ray Emery, fans might see a lot of 5-4 outcomes this season.

Under Team

Carolina Hurricanes
This was a team that already faced scoring issues even before losing skilled center Jordan Staal to a broken leg earlier in the preseason. His absence takes a major bite out of a lineup that can only really rely on top line of Eric Staal, Jeff Skinner and Alexander Semin. The Hurricanes know they will need to keep the scoring down to pull out victories and have the defense to execute that game plan. Expect a lot of low-scoring affairs.

Power Rankings: Week 1
By AAA Sports

The Chicago Blackhawks begin the season on top of our NHL Power Rankings and the defending Stanley Cup champion L.A. Kings are close behind at No. 2. At the other end of the rankings are the Buffalo Sabres who could be in for another long year.

NHL Power Rankings

Current Rank Last Week Change Team W-L-OT-SOL
(ATS) Power Rating Team Comments

1 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -201 Chicago
Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane and Duncan Keith lead a hungry and vastly talented Hawks squad in what should be another dominating season at the top of the NHL class.


2 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -199 Los Angeles
There hasn’t been a back-to-back Cup winner since the 97-98 Detroit Red Wings but this team has the leadership and all-round game to be the next.


3 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -198 Boston
Despite a premature end to postseason last spring, the Bruins young players continued take positive steps forward for a franchise that are still a strong contender.


4 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -197 St. Louis
The Ryan Miller experiment didn’t quite work out but the Paul Stastny signing in the offseason could easily be a home run.


5 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -194 San Jose
Last year’s postseason meltdown has a lot of people concerned but when you look at this team it is still very talented with a good mix of young and old.


6 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -192 Anaheim
The top team in the West last season lost Teemu Selanne but added Ryan Kesler.


7 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -185 Pittsburgh
The Mike Johnson era starts in Pittsburgh and with a weak Eastern Conference we should expect the Penguins to near the top of the standings again.


8 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -179 Minnesota
Apparently boring means winning and that is what the Wild will consistently do with Parise and Suter at the helm.


9 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -175 Tampa Bay
If this team gets a full year of Steven Stamkos and a healthy Ben Bishop it could be a popular sleeper pick to come out of the East this year.


10 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -172 NY Rangers
Didn’t have much of shot against the Kings in the Cup Finals last season but should be in the mix in the east with King Henrik manning the pipes.


11 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -168 Montreal
This team ran out of steam after knocking out the President Trophy-winning Bruins in the second round. If Carey Price has another dominant year the Habs will be knocking on the door again.


12 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -165 Colorado
The Avs lost Paul Stastny but added a good veteran in Jarome Iginla which help a young team that is still explosive offensively.


13 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -163 Dallas
The Stars made arguably the biggest splash in the postseason with the acquisition of Jason Spezza and are a lot of expert’s preseason favorites.


14 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -158 Detroit
An early injury to Pavel Datysuk is not a great sign for a team that battled injuries all last season.


15 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -150 Toronto
If Jonathan Bernier stays healthy throughout the full season, you probably have a playoff team.


16 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -145 Washington
Braden Holtby has been light’s out in the preseason and he will have to be to get the Caps back to the elite in the conference.


17 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -143 Philadelphia
The Flyers need to depend on Claude Giroux to be hot from the start to compete in a tough division.


18 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -140 Vancouver
An overhaul of the front office and new head coach doesn’t change the fact that the Sedins are getting older and aren’t producing at the level they need to take this team to the promise land.


19 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -138 Columbus
Sergei Bobrovsky really is that good but the young players around him need to step up and follow suit.


20 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -130 Arizona
Mike Tippet does a great job at squeezing out as much as he can from a team that boasts only Mike Smith as a true superstar.


21 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -127 Ottawa
The old guard is finally gone with the departure of Jason Spezza and now it’s time for Erik Karlsson and Bobby Ryan to lead the way.


22 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -122 New Jersey
The Corey Schneider era finally begins in New Jersey when it really should have begun a year ago.


23 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -118 Winnipeg
The Paul Maurice hiring could mean Evander Kane will get this star status back after disappointing many last year.


24 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -112 NY Islanders
Jaroslav Halak may bring some stability to an offensive heavy team led by superstar John Tavares.


25 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -107 Florida
A full season with Roberto Luongo should help the Panthers win a few more games this year.


26 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) -101 Carolina
An early injury to Jordan Staal is a terrible start for a team that suffered so many injuries to key players last season.


27 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) 103 Nashville
For the first time in franchise history a coach not named Barry Trotz will be the boss of this ship.


28 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) 105 Calgary
The early stage of this rebuild has been a lot more positive than many predicted but there’s still a ways to go.


29 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) 110 Edmonton
The tough Western Conference has made it really difficult for the young Oilers to take the next step as even a playoff contender.


30 same 0-0-0-0
(0-0-0) 115 Buffalo
The Sabres won just eight of 41 road games last season and I don’t seeing it getting a lot better this year.


Power Ratings compute offensive and defensive statistics into one number for each team, while accounting for factors like recent performances and strength of schedule. Power Ratings can be used as a baseline for relative moneyline index to compare current or future match-ups between two teams. The relative moneyline does not account for non-statistical factors like home-ice advantage, recent injuries, game time decisions, rivalries, and publicity.

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 8:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$6000 - 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES NON WINNERS OF 1 EXT PM RACE LIFETIME NO. 10 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER OFF TIME 8:59


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 BIG CRYSTAL 10/1


# 6 JD'S FIRST LADY 12/1


# 3 DOLLY'S GIRL 7/2


BIG CRYSTAL sure does look ready to score check out that good price on the line. The wagering panel will always toss in a contender from the 5 post here at Hoosier Park, keep in mind for your exotics. JD'S FIRST LADY - Should compete solidly in this contest as her style of running fits well in this race. With very good win statistics, Peterson should have this filly in excellent position to win the race. DOLLY'S GIRL - The driver/horse combination stats point out that this match are solid in the money finishers when working with one another.

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at The Meadows

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 15 - Post: 5:35 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77 - Purse:$4100 - COORS LIGHT RACE OF THE DAY CLAIM $5000 W/A


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 GAMBLER SPRINGS 3/1


# 4 RT PICAADILLY 12/1


# 7 ALLEIGH GIRL 4/1


Look no further than GAMBLER SPRINGS as the wager for this race. Most definitely the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 81. A nice play. Could best this field of starters, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 80 - from his last event. This trainer, and the driver Wilder, go together like Sonny and Cher. Their results together are outstanding. RT PICAADILLY - The number crunching team gives this fine animal a respectable chance to win this one, class numbers are tops in the pack. Have to make Merriman the wager here if only for the last thirty days win percent. Big probability for the win. ALLEIGH GIRL - Talk about a dynamic duo, Yoder and Donella have some of the best driver/handler figures at the track. Amazing win rate combined with recent really strong performances. We think she can handle this group.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11200 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21, 2014 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 TORRID DREAM 5/2


# 3 RUSILA 3/1


# 10 EQUIP 10/1


TORRID DREAM gets the edge as the wager in here. Handler boasts very solid win figs at this distance and surface. Has strong front-end speed and ought to fare strongly against this field. Martin is very serious with this one, wheeling her back soon. RUSILA - Must be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. EQUIP - Will most likely come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. With a very strong 71 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream West

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 LITTLE BART 4/1


# 8 REGGAE BOY 3/1


# 7 SEA ZAR RUN 5/2


LITTLE BART looks to be a competitive contender. Should come out strong - I have liked the way this colt has moved quickly to the lead recently. Croft has well above average dividends at this distance/surface. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of formidable win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. REGGAE BOY - Has performed very well recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 71 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 67 speed figure which is one of the top in this group of horses in this race. SEA ZAR RUN - Is a very strong contender based on figures earned lately under today's conditions. Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 69 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the top in this group.

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #8 - Post: 10:11pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 62

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 GIN'S DANDY GIRL (ML=5/1)


GIN'S DANDY GIRL - Trainer Dono moves this animal down in class ranks to face weaker company. Look for a solid race in this race. Have to make this filly a win candidate; she comes off a strong outing on Sep 24th.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MOTHER MAY I (ML=5/2), #7 PLAY LIKE A RAVEN (ML=3/1), #2 REDBUD RUN (ML=4/1),

MOTHER MAY I - You should normally wager against favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last few weeks. This entrant ran a mediocre speed figure last time out. She shouldn't run much better and will probably get beat today running that figure. PLAY LIKE A RAVEN - This horse showed very little last time finishing third. Don't see any hint of any improvement in today's race. REDBUD RUN - Probably won't make much of an impression in today's event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 GIN'S DANDY GIRL to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #8 - Post: 4:31pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 SERIOUSLY SIMON (ML=8/1)
#3 SATCH (ML=3/1)
#5 REBEL SOUL (ML=6/1)


SERIOUSLY SIMON - I predict a 'dream' trip. Stalk the pace, and make a bold move on the turn. Looking at today's class rating, this pony is up against an easier field than last time around the track at Delaware. SATCH - Atop this horse on Sep 18th and Ritvo is yet again in the irons this race. Have to give this gelding a good chance. Ran a strong race last time out within the last month or so. This gelding is number one in earnings per start. Take a good look at this animal in the paddock. REBEL SOUL - Possibly a peak effort for this gelding today. Been getting closer at the finish with each recent start. Gelding shipped to this track and won; now goes for two in a row. I like the hard fact that this gelding's last speed rating, 77, is tops in this group. The improved speed figures over the last three races is strong. Robertson drops him in this contest in shape and ready to win.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 WILL HE AMAZE (ML=2/1), #2 HOBSON B (ML=4/1), #7 TRACK TELLING (ML=8/1),

WILL HE AMAZE - This chalk horse may be out of condition without any recent drills. 2/1 is too short of a reward to take on most any entrant that has run poorly in back to back outings. HOBSON B - Last race out it was a nice victory, but this time out the stretch is going to be a true test of courage. This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last affair which likely isn't good enough today. TRACK TELLING - I'd like to see more conducive recent showings with morning line of 8/1.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #1 SERIOUSLY SIMON on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

Handicapped by Ellis Starr at Keeneland

Race #5 - Rating = 2

#1 Is Silver Good - Fair odds 3/1
#8 Party Time - Fair odds 3/1
#3 Pick Three Punchie - Fair odds 4/1
#7 Shobiz Star - Fair odds 4/1


Exacta: Box 1,3,7,8


Is Silver Good ran a big race just 10 days ago at Churchill Downs when rallying from last of 9 to win by 6 with speed to spare. Borel was up for the first time as the horse was running on conventional dirt for the first time in 9 months and cutting back from a mile and one-sixteenth around two turns to this one-turn, 7 furlong trip, particularly as he won last November at 6 1/2 furlongs, he could win his 2nd in a row with Borel up for the 1st time in victory and riding back.

Party Time had a very troubled trip last out and that race can be totally ignored. He won before that and missed by a neck 3 back, the win coming in his only try in a claiming race. Dropping from allowance to claiming here he should return to competitive form.

Pick Three Punchie added blinkers for the 1st time last out on 9/19 and the result was a runner-up effort in tougher allowance company and against 3 year olds and upward, the change to 3 year olds only considered a drop in class as well and another reason he could be part of the exacta once again.

Shobiz Star dropped from allowance to claiming the same as Party Time and Pick Three Punchie are doing today, the result a rallying win at a mile at Churchill Downs. He's raised in class from non-winners of 2 to open (not restricted) claiming he could run well again as he cuts back in distance and Rocco (up for the 1st time last out) rides him back.

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 2:26 PM EASTERN POST

10.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80,000.00 PURSE

#4 CLEARBROOK
#8 LITTLE JOURNEY
#3 SABBATICAL
#9 HOUSE RULES

#4 CLEARBROOK has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of her last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" on the turf in her 5th race back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Chad Brown send her to the post ... they've hit the board with56% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #8 LITTLE JOURNEY, a 4-1 shot, and a French-bred entry, has turned in "POWER RUN EFFORTS" in each of her last five "outings," hitting the board in three of those races.

Balmoral: Wednesday 10/8 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (39 - 76 / $156.40): PARTY’S GOLD (4th)

Spot Play: NESSIE’S BOY (8th)


Race 1

(7) BANDS ALEXIS has a tendency to be short late but gets sent out for a hot pilot in a very weak field. (5) BIGOLWEZEWEDDWESS two-year-old doesn't show much on paper but owns some ability. (2) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR owns one victory in thirty-five career efforts; command a price.

Race 2

(9) GLISSANDO lightly raced 3-year-old gets sent out for red hot connections. (5) SUGARSWEET CHERRY had a brutal trip last race being far back early. The nice-looking filly will be much closer turning for home. (8) SAND IN MY BIKINI filly went a huge effort last start breaking her maiden; threat.

Race 3

(5) PERSUASIVE LOOK filly will sweep past everybody if she minds her manners. (7) BANDS MUSE should offer a great price in a suspect field. (1) FOX VALLEY ELAINE has yet to hit the board in her career but should be in line for a ground saving trip.

Race 4

(2) PARTY'S GOLD raced well last out and has some room to improve against a weak bunch. (8) DUNESIDE LOUIE flashed some ability and just needs a smooth trip to be on the wire. (7) PAST THE SHOOTER gelding makes his third start back off a layoff and should have more to offer.

Race 5

(1) PRAIRIE IBEEZABERT put in a big effort last out needing the start. (7) IMASTARLIGHTDANCER lightly raced pacer has some upside in a soft field. (8) DAVE'S ART four-year-old stallion has won two straight and will look to keep it going; fires late.

Race 6

(6) MOON BAY DANCER mare takes a significant drop in class. The pacer was dominant at this level not long ago. (4) SUN DREAM put in a much better effort last out closing up nicely. (7) KITTY O'BRIEN ultra consistent mare loves to run down horses late but needs a good setup to hit the top spot.

Race 7

In a very tough race to handicap (2) YERMANOS has been sharp in recent starts and a similar effort puts him on the ticket. (6) NANCYS SKYSCAPE has two wins in four starts at this level. (10) DAVE'S BID gets sent out for connections that can't be overlooked.

Race 8

(7) NESSIE'S BOY didn't miss by much last out and should offer a fair price in an evenly matched race. (9) CARDINAL WIND needs an aggressive drive and is one of the faster trotters in the race. (4) BLUERIDGE LEGACY is just now rounding back into racing shape and could be sitting on an improved effort.

Race 9

(4) CASINO COMP was too far back last out against the same field. The pacing mare owns a big burst of speed and just needs a good steer from a provisional driver. (6) JOYFUL GAME four-year-old is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort makes her the horse to beat. (10) MEET ME TONIGHT has been getting better all year; fires early.