Monday 10/13/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Welcome to the new sponsor of the Rx Service Thread: Cappers File - The Largest Online Database For Rating Handicappers


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Grades for each Cappersfile are derived from an established criteria set including: 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] party monitoring for record validity, guarantee offerings, domain longevity, active posting of results and archiving picks history.


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Euro Championships Mo 13Oct 19:45
IcelandvHolland
1340.png
1843.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS15

3

13/20

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN ICELANDRECENT FORM
NLALADHWHWAW
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  • 1 - 2
ND*ND*AWALALHW
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KEY STAT: Holland have won ten of their last 12 qualifying games

EXPERT VERDICT: Holland have been unconvincing at the start of qualifying but should be refocused for their trip to Reykjavik and can prove too strong for their hosts. Iceland have six points from a possible six and are improving but still have some way to go before they can match a team as strong as a Dutch side who finished third at the World Cup.

RECOMMENDATION: Holland
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Euro Championships Mo 13Oct 19:45
WalesvCyprus
2831.png
708.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS54/9

7/2

8

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN WALESRECENT FORM
ADHDHWALAWHD
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HDHDALALAWHL
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KEY STAT: Wales have won just two of their last seven home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Cyprus have been competitive in their opening two games – winning 2-1 away to Bosnia and losing 2-1 at home to Israel – and can cause injury-hit Wales some problems in Cardiff. Gareth Bale poses the obvious Welsh threat but if Cyprus can keep him quiet they may walk away with a share of the spoils.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

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Euro Championships Tu 14Oct 19:45
PolandvScotland
2046.png
2264.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS110/11

5/2

15/4

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN POLANDRECENT FORM
NWHLADHWAWHW
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HDAWAWNDALHW
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KEY STAT: Scotland have lost one of their last eight matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Poland stunned world champions Germany on Saturday but they may struggle to see off resurgent Scotland. Gordon Strachan’s side have already won in Poland earlier this year in a friendly and they have enough defensive solidity to take a point from the difficult trip.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

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Euro Championships Tu 14Oct 19:45
GermanyvIreland
1084.png
1374.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS51/4

21/4

14

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN GERMANYRECENT FORM
NWAWND*HLHWAL
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NDNDHLHWAWHW
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KEY STAT: Ireland have scored in nine of their last 11 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: World champions Germany are a team in transition because of retirements and injuries and they remain vulnerable at the back which should encourage Ireland. Joachim Low’s side conceded against Scotland and lost to Poland and backing both teams to score looks the wisest wager.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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Euro Championships Tu 14Oct 19:45
GreecevN Ireland
1139.png
1836.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS28/15

16/5

13/2

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NLNDNWND*HLAD
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ALADALALAWHW
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KEY STAT: Northern Ireland have failed to score in 11 of their last 16 away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Claudio Ranieri’s reign as Greece manager has not started well but this looks to be a perfect opportunity to restore confidence even though Northern Ireland are sitting top of the group. Northern Ireland did beat Hungary in their last away match but generally struggle on the road.

RECOMMENDATION: Greece
2


 

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Euro Championships Tu 14Oct 19:45
DenmarkvPortugal
783.png
2082.jpg
HOMEDRAWAWAY
ITV423/10

23/10

11/8

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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN DENMARKRECENT FORM
ALADHWHLHWAD
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AWNLNDNWHLAL
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KEY STAT: Denmark have kept three clean sheets in their last 15 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Portugal lost their opening European Championship qualifier but the return to the squad of Cristiano Ronaldo is likely to prove pivotal against Denmark. Ronaldo makes Portugal such a different proposition and Denmark are clearly no world beaters having struggled to four points in matches against Armenia and Albania.

RECOMMENDATION: Portugal
1


 
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CFL Betting Recap - Week 15
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Favorite/underdogs went 2-2 straight up in Week 15
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 15
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 15
-- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 15
-- The 'over' went 3-1 in Week 15

Team Betting Notes

-- It was back to a score-fest in CFL play in Week 15, as the first three games of the week each went 'over' the total after the 'under' was 3-1 last weekend.

-- The East Division continues to gain respect late in the season after an embarrassingly slow start. Toronto (5-8) did the division proud with a 33-32 shootout win over Edmonton (9-5). Toronto has won back-to-back games against West Division teams, and they are 3-1 ATS over the past four.

-- The loss for the Eskimos in Toronto was bad news, but they were able to cover for a fourth consecutive game.

-- The freefall continues to Winnipeg (6-8), and Friday's loss to expansion Ottawa (2-11) might have been rock bottom. After starting out 5-1 SU/ATS, the Blue Bombers are now an inexplicable 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS during the past eight games. It doesn't figure to get much better at Edmonton Oct. 13, either, although at least the Bombers will be rested after a bye.

-- Speaking of those upstart RedBlacks, while their overall win-loss record might not show it, they haven't been that bad. They have now covered three of the past four games, and they are 4-3 ATS in seven games at home this season. Unfortunately for Ottawa, their next two games are on the road.

-- Calgary (12-2) continues to take down all comers, and they have blown open a three-game (six-point) lead in the previously tight West Division. The Stamps haven't lost to a West Division team since Aug. 1, and they have covered seven of the past nine.

-- Hamilton (6-7) started out 2-7, but they have rattled off four consecutive victories to vault into first place in the East Division. They surprised BC Lions (7-7) with a fourth quarter TD and come-from-behind win.
 
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CFL

SASKATCHEWAN (9 - 5) at MONTREAL (5 - 8) - 10/13/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 115-77 ATS (+30.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
MONTREAL is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.
MONTREAL is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WINNIPEG (6 - 8) at EDMONTON (9 - 5) - 10/13/2014, 4:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Monday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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CFL


Trends


SASKATCHEWAN vs. MONTREAL
Saskatchewan is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan


WINNIPEG vs. EDMONTON
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
 
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Total Talk - Week 6
By Chris David

Week 5 Recap

There was a nice balance in the totals market last weekend as the ‘under’ produced an 8-7 record and most of the results were clear-cut winners. Of the 15 games, only two of them changed gears in the second-half and it wasn't exactly outrageous.

New Orleans and Tampa Bay combined for 68 points and 45 of those came in the final two quarters and overtime. This ‘over’ (48) winner was helped with a defensive touchdown and a safety.

Conversely, San Francisco led Kansas City 13-10 at the break and even though that’s not a shootout, the first-half ‘over’ (22.5) connected. In the final two quarters, only 16 points were produced and the ‘under’ (43) connected. The 49ers continue to settle for field goals, and those are killers if you own an ‘over’ ticket.

Make a note that San Francisco has more field goals (11-10) made this season than offensive touchdowns. Other teams that fit this role are the Bills (13-7), Cardinals (11-7), Patriots (13-10) and Vikings (10-9). The Jets (8-8) and Steelers (10-10) have also struggled to put up sixes instead of threes.

Through five weeks of the season, the ‘over’ is 39-37.

Off the Bye

St. Louis: The Rams came out flat and couldn’t secure a comeback win at the Eagles, losing 34-28.

Under the Lights

San Francisco at St. Louis:

San Francisco at St. Louis: There aren’t many solid trends for this matchup with the total going 2-2 in the last four meetings. It’s hard to make a case for the ‘over’ in this spot just based on the inefficiencies of the 49ers offense (see above), which also has some key injuries (OT, TE). Still, it’s obvious that St. Louis has clearly dropped off defensively (29.8 PPG) through its first four games. To only have one sack in four game is embarrassing, especially after tallying 53 last season. What’s even funnier is that this group was considered to have great depth during training camp. You think Michael Sam is smiling?
 
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NFL Betting Recap - Week 6

Overall Notes

NFL Week 6 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up 9-3-1

Against the Spread 7-6

Wager Home-Away

Straight Up 3-9-1

Against the Spread 3-10

Wager Totals (O/U)

Over-Under 9-4



NFL Overall Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up 60-28-1

Against the Spread 46-40-3

Wager Home-Away

Straight Up 49-39-1

Against the Spread 37-49-3

Wager Totals (O/U)

Over-Under 48-41



Biggest Favorite to Cash

Denver (-9.5) defeated the Jets, 31-17, as the Broncos cashed with a late interception return for a touchdown.

Biggest Underdog to Cash

Dallas (+9.5) stunned Seattle, 30-23 to pick up its fifth consecutive win to own the best record in the NFC at 5-1. The Cowboys cashed on the money-line at +350 (Bet $100 to win $350).

Highway to Hell

Home teams were flat out awful in Week 6. How bad was it for the hosts? Only three home squads won as the Titans, Browns, and Cardinals each came out with victories, but Tennessee didn't cover as four-point favorites in a 16-14 win over Jacksonville. Overall, road teams put together a fantastic 9-3-1 SU and 10-3 ATS record in Week 6.

Saved by the Pick-Six

It was mentioned earlier about the Broncos taking back a late interception for a touchdown to cash against the Jets, but that wasn't the only front-door cover in the final minute. The Cardinals couldn't convert a first down against the Redskins in the last minute, leading Washington 23-20 as five-point favorites. Following a punt, Kirk Cousins threw a pick-six that gave Arizona a 30-20 victory to improve to 4-1 and give Cardinal backers a miracle cover.

Back in Business

The Lions, Patriots, Ravens, and Packers all won on the road to improve to 4-2. Detroit bounced back from last week's last-second loss to Buffalo by cruising past Minnesota, 17-3 as one-point road underdogs. New England doesn't look like the same team that got destroyed at Kansas City two weeks ago, as the Patriots' offense has woken up in wins over the Bengals and Bills. Sunday's 37-22 victory at Buffalo improved New England to 2-2 SU/ATS on the road and 1-1 inside the AFC East.

Baltimore pulled off the biggest rout in Week 6, manhandling Tampa Bay, 48-17 as three-point road favorites. Joe Flacco threw four touchdown passes...in the first quarter to give Baltimore a commanding 28-0 lead after 15 minutes. Green Bay needed a late rally to knock off Miami, 27-24 as 1.5-point road favorites, as the money came in on the Dolphins late in the week.

Sunday Line Moves

Prior to the 1:00 p.m. ET kickoffs, there were a handful of line moves on Sunday, which was reported to be sharp action. Make a note that even the professionals or so-called wise guys lose too.

Denver -6.5 to Denver -9.5 (WIN)
Miami +3.5 to Miami +1.5 (LOSS)
Minnesota +1 to Minnesota -1 (LOSS)
Buffalo +3 to Buffalo +1 (LOSS)
Seattle -8 to Seattle -9.5 (LOSS)
Arizona -3 to Arizona -5 (WIN)
N.Y. Giants +3 to N.Y. Giants +1.5(LOSS)

All Knotted Up

It's fair to say we all hate ties in sports. Carolina and Cincinnati played an epic game at Paul Brown Stadium, but there was no winner as the two teams finished in a 34-34 tie. The Bengals had a chance to win the game with a field goal at the end of overtime, but missed it. Cincinnati's 11-game home regular season winning streak was snapped, while Carolina covered as seven-point road underdogs.

Committment to Awfulness

The Raiders were that close to winning their first game of the season, but couldn't hold onto a 28-21 fourth quarter lead as the Chargers rallied for 10 late points in a 31-28 victory at the Black Hole. Oakland managed to cover as 7.5-point home underdogs, but the Raiders fell to 0-5 on the season.

Let's not get Jacksonville off the hook when mentioning winless clubs, as the Jaguars still haven't won this season. The good news for the Jags is that they finally covered a game after going 0-5 ATS the first five weeks, but Jacksonville dropped a 16-14 decision at Tennessee as four-point 'dogs.

Totals

The 'over' cashed in nine of 13 games, including eight contests in which the winning team scored at least 30 points. Cleveland was the lone team to score over 30 points and not produce an 'over,' as the Browns drilled the 'under' for the first time this season.

The late interception returns in both the Broncos-Jets game and Redskins-Cardinals contest each clinched the 'over.'

The game with the highest total (56) never came close to being threatened, as the Bears beat the Falcons, 27-13. At halftime, the two teams combined for 16 points.

After seeing the 'under' cash in their first two road games, the Chargers exploded for 31 points and their first away 'over' on the season.

The Bucs started the season with consecutive 'unders,' but Tampa Bay has hit the 'over' in four straight games, while allowing at least 37 points three times in the past four weeks.
 
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Rams look for MNF upset

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (3-2) at ST. LOUIS RAMS (1-3)
Line & Total: San Francisco -3, Total: 44
Opening Line & Total: San Francisco -3, Total: 44

The 49ers head visit the Rams on Monday night for a game that they can’t afford to lose.

San Francisco came away with a 22-17 home victory over Kansas City last week, and is now facing a St. Louis offense that looked good in a 34-28 loss to Philadelphia. The 49ers are allowing just 209.0 yards per game through the air (4th in NFL) and 73.8 YPG on the ground (5th in NFL), so it will be a tough matchup for Rams QB Austin Davis who is coming off of a huge 3-TD performance against Philly in Week 5.

The 49ers are 9-2-1 SU in the past dozen meetings between these clubs, but the teams have split these games 6-6 ATS. However, San Francisco beat St. Louis by double-digits in both meetings last year, winning by a combined score of 58 to 24. Last year, the Niners were 6-0 ATS in road games after the first month of the season, and are also 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of seven points or less over the past three seasons. However, St. Louis is 6-1 ATS after having lost three of its previous four games in that span.

The Rams could be without star RB Zac Stacy (calf), who was injured in the loss to the Eagles, but it appears both he and Niners TE Vernon Davis (back) will be able to suit up for this contest.


Since a disastrous 3-INT performance in a 28-20 loss to the Bears in Week 2, QB Colin Kaepernick (1,113 pass yards, 7 TD, 4 INT) has really stepped up his play. Over the past three weeks, he’s thrown four touchdown passes and only one interception. He’s taking much better care of the football and has also run the ball very well. He’ll need to use his legs when plays break down against a solid Rams’ secondary.

Last season, Kaepernick threw for 442 yards (8.7 YPA), 3 TD and 0 INT in the two wins over St. Louis. RB Frank Gore (365 rush yards, 1 TD) has been running wild the past two weeks with back-to-back games rushing for at least 100 yards and he’ll get a lot of touches against the Rams, as the 49ers will try to control the tempo in this one.

In the past eight meetings in this series, Gore has rushed for 626 yards (4.1 YPC) and 7 TD, which includes 153 yards on 7.7 YPC when he visited St. Louis last year. One player who will really need to turn things around is WR Michael Crabtree (25 rec, 246 yards, 2 TD), who was excellent in Week 2 and Week 3, but caught just six passes for 59 yards over the past two weeks. Crabtree is Kaepernick’s go-to-guy in the passing game and will need to be a more reliable player going forward.

This 49ers' defense has been relentless all season (10 takeaways) and should make life on Austin Davis extremely difficult.

St. Louis fell to 1-3 (SU and ATS) after last week’s shootout loss against the Eagles. The Rams were down 34-7 at one point in the game, but QB Austin Davis (1,129 pass yards, 6 TD, 3 INT) would ultimately fall just short of rallying his team for a dramatic comeback win. Davis was 29-of-49 for 375 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. He did, however, lost two fumbles. Davis will now be up against a much better defense, so taking care of the ball will be crucial for this entire offense that has nine turnovers in four games this year.

WR Brian Quick (21 rec, 322 yards, 3 TD) has emerged as a serious playmaker on the outside for St. Louis. He had five catches for 87 yards and 2 TD in the loss to the Eagles, and he should be able to use his size and speed to break open at least a few times against the 49ers.

One player the Rams could really use is RB Zac Stacy (223 rush yards, 1 TD). Stacy is questionable for this game and if he doesn’t play, his powerful running would really be missed. Last year versus San Francisco, he carried the ball 19 times for 71 yards (3.8 YPC).

Despite allowing more than 30 points in three different games this season, the Rams defense has been strong against the pass, They’re allowing an NFL-best 192.3 yards per game through the air, but also give up 152.5 rushing yards per game (29th in NFL). They could have a lot of trouble containing Kaepernick and Gore on the ground.
 
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Monday, October 13

SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 2) at ST LOUIS (1 - 3) - 10/13/2014, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 99-137 ATS (-51.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Trends

Monday, Oct. 13th

8:30 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 8-2-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games
 
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NFL Football Trends

Monday, Oct. 13th

San Francisco at St Louis, 8:30 ET
San Francisco: 10-2 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
St Louis: 7-0 OVER after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dayton Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 9:15 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$3500 - HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $4000 W/ALLOWANCES LIMITED TO WINNERS IN LAST 5 STARTS DAYTON RACEWAY SMITH PICKS 6 OVER 3 PAGE PICKS 7 OVER 2


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 ROGER AND SAM 5/2


# 7 PREMIER FLASH 12/1


# 4 BIG BEAR BOW 7/2


Hey, listen up! ROGER AND SAM is the educated wager if you like to win. Worth considering here on the basis of the ratings in the TrackMaster speed fig department alone. Quite possibly the class of the pack with an average rating of 80. A nice selection. Strong driver/handler figures make this standardbred a strong choice. More than likely will be putting money down for this one. PREMIER FLASH - He's performing in good form, recording very promising speed ratings. An excellent selection. This fine animal will be greatly helped with Page controlling. 19 percent winners the past month. BIG BEAR BOW - Gelding and trainer go together like spaghetti and meatballs. They finish in the money 58 percent of their races.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 7:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$13000 - NON-WINNERS OF 4 P-M RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME. 2& 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 APRICOT SOUR 5/2


# 4 SHE'S HEAVENLY 3/1


# 2 ANEGADA 3/1


APRICOT SOUR will have you running to the cashier's window for this one. She looks formidable in this contest and should find a way to take advantage of favorable pace numbers. Overall numbers appear nice. Can't throw out at this point. SHE'S HEAVENLY - Could surely better this grouping given the 75 TrackMaster speed fig achieved in her most recent outing. Drawing the 4 post at this track has lead to a well above average win percentage. ANEGADA - The wagering panel saw this horse's name in a magazine. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager. Feel the need for speed, this interesting entrant has been turning in some fantastic speed ratings averaging around 77.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 95

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE FEBRUARY 1, 2014 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 7 OFF MY CLOUD 6/1


# 5 SWISS ARMY WIFE 9/2


# 3 STAR MAGNOLIA 3/1


I think OFF MY CLOUD is a very strong choice. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of formidable win percentage - 24 percent - at this distance & surface. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 80 - of her last outing. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the field recently. SWISS ARMY WIFE - Will almost certainly go to the lead and could never look back. Lately Trombetta has provided players with a solid winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. STAR MAGNOLIA - Like the results in the last few events. Has to be given a shot versus this field displaying competitive figures lately and an average speed fig of 81 under similar conditions.
 

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