CFL Betting Notes - Week 17
By David Schwab
Toronto outlasted Hamilton 34-33 as a four-point home favorite to kickoff Week 16 in the CFL with the total going OVER the 52-point closing line, but lopsided blowouts were the story in the rest of the games.
British Columbia rolled to a 41-3 victory over Ottawa this past Saturday as a 10-point home favorite with the total just staying UNDER the 45-point betting line.
The Canadian Thanksgiving Holiday featured two Monday games starting with Montreal’s 40-9 rout of Saskatchewan as a three-point favorite at home. The total in that contest went OVER the 46-point line. Monday’s other game saw Edmonton roll to a 41-9 victory against Winnipeg as a nine-point home favorite. The total in that game stayed just UNDER the 50 ½-point closing line.
Saturday, Oct. 18
Montreal (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS) at Toronto (6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Toronto -4
Total: 52
Game Overview
The Alouettes extended their current winning streak to three games both SU and ATS with last week’s victory and they are now 5-1 both ways in their last six games. The once anemic Montreal offense has averaged 26.7 points per game during this six-game run. Jonathan Crompton threw for 225 yards and three touchdowns in the win over the Roughriders.
Toronto appears poised to make a run at a second-straight East title with three-straight wins as well. This run followed a four-game SU skid and over the course of the seven games the Argonauts have also gone 3-4 ATS. The total has gone OVER in their last four games with the offense putting-up at least 33 points in each of those outings.
Betting Trends
Montreal is 2-4 ATS in its last six games against Toronto overall, but it remains a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five road games against the Argonauts. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 10 meetings.
Calgary (12-2 SU, 10-4 ATS) at Winnipeg (6-9 SU, 7-8 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -9
Total: 49
Game Overview
Calgary was able to clinch a playoff spot while on a bye this week, but it realizes a win this Saturday would go a long way towards clinching the West Division title. The Stampeders remain the most consistent team in the CFL with an offense that is averaging 28 points a game complementing a defense that is ranked first in the league in average points allowed (18.8).
The Blue Bombers are in a complete nose dive with a SU six-game losing streak and a costly 1-5 mark ATS during this slide. Their defense has now allowed 30 points or more in four of those losses and the offense has all but ground to a halt with an average of just 12.3 points over their last four games.
Betting Trends
The Stampeders have won the last five meetings SU, but it is just 2-5-1 ATS in its last eight games played in Winnipeg. The total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings at Investors Group Field.
Sunday, Oct. 19
Edmonton (10-5 SU, 10-5 ATS) at Saskatchewan (9-6 SU, 6-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3 ½
Total: 48 ½
Game Overview
Edmonton assured itself a spot in the postseason with last week’s win, but it still has its sights set on the West Division title after posting three SU wins in its last five games. Anyone betting on the Eskimos over the past month or so have been rewarded with a 5-0 mark ATS. Slotback Adarius Bowman is having a season for the ages with 101 receptions for 1,241 yards and six touchdowns.
The loss of quarterback Darian Durant continues to plague the Roughriders, who have now dropped four of their last five games SU. Despite this slide, they have also clinched a playoff spot as a potential crossover team given the poor overall records in the East. Saskatchewan has been a drain on the bankroll during this slide with a 0-5 record ATS.
Betting Trends
The Eskimos have lost 13 of its last 18 road games SU against Saskatchewan in this West Division rivalry, but they have covered ATS in six of the last seven meetings overall. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 15 road games against the Roughriders.
