Service Plays Sunday 10/19/14

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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | CLEVELAND at JACKSONVILLE
Play On - Home underdogs or pick (JACKSONVILLE) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
118-64 since 1997. ( 64.8% | 47.6 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

NFL | KANSAS CITY at SAN DIEGO
Play On - Favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (SAN DIEGO) off a road no-cover where the team won as a favorite against opponent off a road loss
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

NFL

Week 7

Bengals (3-1-1) @ Colts (4-2)— Home side won eight of last nine series games, including last five in row; Bengals lost last six visits here, with all six by 6+ points, four of six by 13+ points, but they did beat Colts 42-28 at home LY. Cincy is 0-1-1 since its bye after a 3-0 start; they missed 36-yard FG to win on last play of OT last week, almost overcoming 116 penalty yards by converting 10-16 on third down. Indy won four in row after 0-2 start, scoring 38+ points in three of four games; they’re 30 for 50 on third down in last four games (8 of 25 in first two). Indy is 7-6 as home favorite under Pagano, 2-1 this year. Bengals are 7-3-2 vs spread in last dozen games as a road underdog. Four of last five Colt games went over the total.

Titans (2-4) @ Redskins (1-5)—Both teams struggling badly; Titans snapped 4-game skid last week with 16-14 win over winless Jags- their last two games were decided by total of three points. Tennessee lost last two road games by combined score of 74-24. Redskins lost last four games, allowing 34.8 ppg; they’ve lost field position in last three games by 25-18-15 yards- four of their five losses are by 10+ points. Home side lost last four series games; six of last ten series games were decided by 3 or less points. Titans won last two visits here, 27-21/25-22. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 4-2 vs spread; AFC South non-divisional underdogs are 3-5. Four of last five Washington games went over. Redskins are 5-10 in last 15 games as a home fave.

Dolphins (2-3) @ Bears (3-3)—Chicago turned ball over nine times in its three losses (-2/-2/-1), one time in its three wins (+4/+2/+1); they lost both home games, to Bills/Packers, as road team won five of their six games this season. Since 2007, Chicago is 12-20-1 as a home favorite, 0-1 this year; they’re 4-3 in last seven games vs Miami, but lost three of four here, with only win in 1988. Dolphins lost three of last four games, giving up winning score to Pack last week with 0:03 left; they’ve turned ball over 3+ times in three of their five games. Chicago is 0-3 scoring less than 27 points. Fish are 27-14-1 as road underdogs since ’08, 7-7 under Philbin. Four of Miami games went over total, as have three of last four Bear games.

Browns (3-2) @ Jaguars (0-6)—Huge trap game for improved Browns, coming off rare win vs rival Steelers. Winning point scored in last 1:09 in four of five Cleveland games; their two road games (1-1) were decided by total of four points. Over last decade, Browns are 6-1 when favored on road; they’ve run ball for33 yards in last two games. Jaguars got first cover of season last week; since ’10 they’re 6-20-1 as home dogs, 0-2 this season, losing by 27-8 points, but they allowed total of only 33 points in last two games. Last eight Brown-Jaguar games were decided by 6 or less points. AFC North non-divisional favorites are 5-2-2 vs spread; AFC South underdogs are 3-5 out of division. Four of five Cleveland games went over the total.

Seahawks (3-2) @ Rams (1-4)—Rams won 27-20 at Seattle in ’04 playoffs; since then, St Louis is 2-16 against the Seahawks, scoring an average of 9.5 ppg in their last six series losses- teams split last four games played here. Rams lost last three games overall, despite having a spurt of at least 14-0 in each game; St Louis has spurts where they play very well, but then they undo it with huge mistakes at bad times (see last 0:30 of 1st half Monday). Since 2007, they’re 17-25 as home underdogs. Seattle has only four takeaways in five games but is still +1 in turnovers; they’ve allowed 7.2+ ypa in three of last four games- they’ve covered six of last nine games as road favorites. NFL-wide, home underdogs in division games are 4-7 against the spread.

Panthers (3-2-1) @ Packers (4-2)—Carolina is 3-0-1 when they get 2+ takeaways in a game, scoring 28 ppg; they scored 19-10 points in losing both games with no takeaways. Panthers covered nine of last 11 tries as a road dog- they’re 1-1-1 SU on road, losing 38-10 in Baltimore. Packers won last three games by 21-32-3 points, after 1-2 start; they’ve scored 13 TD’s on last 29 drives, after scoring six on first 30 this season. Pack is 15-9 as home favorites since ’11, 1-1 this season. GB is 8-4 in this series, 3-2 here; average total in last four series games is 57.0. NFC South road teams are 2-6-1 vs spread on road; NFC North non-conference favorites are 3-2. Last four Carolina games, five of six Packer games went over the total.

Falcons (2-4) @ Ravens (4-2)—Atlanta lost last three games, allowing 32.7 ppg; they’re 0-3 on road, losing by 14-13-10 points while allowing 31.7 ppg (10 TD’s on 31 drives); foes are 22 of last 43 on 3rd down. Falcons covered three of last 10 tries as road dogs. Three of four Raven wins are by 20+ points; they’re 16-8-2 vs spread in NFC games under Harbaugh- they were held to 16-13 points in two losses. Atlanta hasn’t held anyone under 24 points this year. Teams split four series games, with three of four decided by 6 or less points; Falcons lost 24-10 in only visit here, in 2006. NFC South non-divisional underdogs are 1-4-1 vs spread; AFC North favorites are 5-2-2 outside their division. Three of last four Raven games went over total.

Vikings (2-4) @ Bills (3-3)—Buffalo lost three of last four games after 2-0 start, losing last two home games by 12-15 points; they’ve run ball 45 times for only 117 yards in last two games, are 6-4 in last 10 games as home favorite, 1-1 this year- two of its three wins are by FG over NFC North teams. Minnesota lost four of last five games while starting three different QB’s, losing last two games by combined 59-13; they turned ball over 3+times in three of four losses, had no takeaways in 4th loss- they were +2 in both wins. Vikings are 8-4 in series games, winning four of six in both cities; they scored 31+ points in four of last five series games- they’re 18-21-1 in last 40 games as a road underdog, 1-2 this season, 6-11 in last 17 games vs AFC foes.

Chiefs (2-3) @ Chargers (5-1)—San Diego won 11 of last 13 series games, including last four in row, winning both games LY by three points each; Chiefs lost last six visits here, with three of six by exactly 3 points. Chargers won their last five games overall (4-1 vs spread); they’re 2-0 as home favorites this year, winning by 9-19-31 points at home- Bolts are 8-3 vs spread at home under McCoy, 4-1 when favored. KC covered its last four games, winning two of last three after 0-2 start; they scored 17 or less points in losses, 34+ in wins. Chargers held four of six opponents to 18 or less points. Chiefs lost four of last five post-bye games, with three of four losses by 10+; they’re 3-0 as road dogs this year, 5-1 overall under Reid.

Maddux Sports

10* KC Chiefs +4.5

10* NY Giants +7

Hitting Pay Dirt:

AJ NFL: 8-7 +2.4u

49ers/Broncos under 50.5 * 2 units

GilzTips NFL Week 7:

• [467] Saints +3 (-115) = [2U]
. [471] Giants +6.5 (-105) = [2U]
• [304] Patriots -10 (-105)
• [469] Chiefs +5.5

Bio Sports Picks:

3u Saints +3 -125

Colin Cowherd's Blazing Five

Indianapolis -3 (Indy 30-21)
Kansas City +4
San Francisco +6- (SF 24-23)
Miami +3 (Miami 27-23)
NY Giants +6- (Dallas 30-27)

Football Jesus Free NFL pick : Steelers Mon Nite

Wunderdog Sports

Complimentary NFL Pick for October 19th, 2014

Game: Tennessee Titans @ Washington Redskins
Time: Sunday 10/19 1:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Tennessee +6 (-110) at TopBet

The Washington Redskins have done a great job against the run this season, but without DeAngelo Hall in the secondary, they have been getting beat badly in the passing game. Right now Jake Locker's status is up in the air, but I think even if it is Charlie Whitehurst, the Washington secondary can still be had. Kirk Cousins appeared to be the man in Washington, getting a lot of love after a good outing in his first game replacement of Robert Griffing III. Many were even speculating that he would keep the starting job when RGIII returns. How quickly things have changed as some are now clamoring for Colt McCoy to get a shot. Washington's only win this season has come vs. what is turning into an automatic win for NFL teams in playing Jacksonville. Washington has been outscored 130-85 in four straight losses, so it is just too much to expect them to cover nearly a TD in this game, especially with Kirk Cousins who right now has lost all his confidence. Washington's 6-19 ATS home mark as a favorite of 4+ points in their last 25 bodes poorly as well, and so does their 5-21-2 ATS mark in their last 28 at home vs. a team with a losing road record. There are just too many points being offered in a game that can be won by either team. So, take the points and play on Tennessee.

WK 7 / HILTON CONTEST

HILTON / WK 7

TOP SPOT (26-4): Tenn / Chic / Car / KC / Hstn
2nd SPOT (24-6): Indy / wash / Car / NOR / Hstn

LAST SPOT (7-23): Cincy / Chic / Det / NYG / SF

Bryan Leonard 3*

Seahawks

Football Crusher
Chicago Bears-160 over Miami Dolphins
(System Record: 16-3, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 16-19-1

Rest of the Plays
Buffalo Bills -5 over Minnesota Vikings
Carolina Panthers +6.5 over Green Bay Packers
SF 49ers +7 over Miami Dolphins

Hockey Crusher
Detroit Red Wings -140 overToronto Maple Leafs - pending
San Jose Sharks -102 over New York Rangers
(System Record: 4-1, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 4-4

Rest of the Plays
St Louis Blues + Anaheim Ducks OVER 5
Winnipeg Jets -140 over Calgary Flames
Minnesota Wild +124 over LA Kings

Hilton Contest TOP 10 Contestants Picks

Houston 9x vs Pitts 0x
KC 7x vs SD 0x
Car x v GB 0
Chi 3x vs Mia 0x
Jax 2x vs Cle 0x
Ind 4x vs Cinc 2x
Wash 3x vs Tenn1x
Saints 3x vs Det 1x
Sea 1x vs Stl 0x
Den 1x vs SF 0x
Ari, Oak, Minn, Buff, NYG, Dallas all selected 1x

The following qualify as the TOP 3 Selections:
Houston
Carolina
Kansas City

(YTD 2-1 Since posting)

wayne root

top play pinnacle CINCINNATI BENGALS

Pointwise Phones

3* Kansas City
3* Carolina
3* Miami
3* Indy
3* Pitt
2* Buffalo
2* Jax
2* Dallas