Excellent work in week 6 going 5-2. We are looking to keep it rolling this week with an extremely tough card on our slate. Good luck to anyone following along and also to those just watching.
The Spread Analytics team began as capital markets traders focusing on statistical arbitrage. As avid NFL fans, they hypothesized they could use the same quantitative based methods they used in the equity and futures markets, and transpose them into a pro football handicapping strategy. The theory was proven, and the Spread Analytics System was born. Operating with a consistently high win percentage of between 53.5% - 59.77% over the past 5 seasons, its time to share the results.
Spread Analytics System
The Spread Analytics System relies heavily on a proprietary statistical data algorithm with a minor situational overlay. The system will generate 4-8 picks per week on average. All picks should be played with 1 base unit. At times, the system generates picks that far exceed the normal criteria for a play. When this happens, there is opportunity to weight these specific picks more heavily than the standard pick. We call this Added Action. The Added Action will be added in 1/4 unit increments, with a maximum of 1 extra unit per pick. The Added Action is an optional play, as our target win percentage of 52-60pct is based on uniform 1 unit action per pick.
Thursday night plays will be posted in this thread by 7pm EST Thursday. All other plays will be posted late Saturday evenings or very early Sunday mornings.
In rare cases of very favorable line movements through key numbers, bet pair/offs will be posted here as they occur. The betting lines posted on the plays are the actual lines universally available to us at the time of the play.
2014 YTD (entering Week 7)
21-14 (60%)
The system record is 16-5 (76%) since Week 3 which is notable due to the availability of real data for analysis subsequent to the first 2 weeks of the season.
Good Luck,
SPREAD ANALYTICS
The Spread Analytics team began as capital markets traders focusing on statistical arbitrage. As avid NFL fans, they hypothesized they could use the same quantitative based methods they used in the equity and futures markets, and transpose them into a pro football handicapping strategy. The theory was proven, and the Spread Analytics System was born. Operating with a consistently high win percentage of between 53.5% - 59.77% over the past 5 seasons, its time to share the results.
Spread Analytics System
The Spread Analytics System relies heavily on a proprietary statistical data algorithm with a minor situational overlay. The system will generate 4-8 picks per week on average. All picks should be played with 1 base unit. At times, the system generates picks that far exceed the normal criteria for a play. When this happens, there is opportunity to weight these specific picks more heavily than the standard pick. We call this Added Action. The Added Action will be added in 1/4 unit increments, with a maximum of 1 extra unit per pick. The Added Action is an optional play, as our target win percentage of 52-60pct is based on uniform 1 unit action per pick.
Thursday night plays will be posted in this thread by 7pm EST Thursday. All other plays will be posted late Saturday evenings or very early Sunday mornings.
In rare cases of very favorable line movements through key numbers, bet pair/offs will be posted here as they occur. The betting lines posted on the plays are the actual lines universally available to us at the time of the play.
2014 YTD (entering Week 7)
21-14 (60%)
The system record is 16-5 (76%) since Week 3 which is notable due to the availability of real data for analysis subsequent to the first 2 weeks of the season.
Good Luck,
SPREAD ANALYTICS
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