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  1. #51  
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    Geopolitical fears rise and Trump calling it "100% correct that the Fed 'raised' far too fast and too early.", rumor that the Federal Reserve might have met, crude falling, gold is rising in dollar terms ... Microsoft's Surface and cloud focus helps boost Q4 earnings earnings for its fourth fiscal quarter of 2019, including revenue of $33.7 billion, net income of $13.2 billion, and earnings per share of $1.71. President Trump has requested more information on the process by which the Pentagon developed its cloud-computing contract, Amazon.com Inc. AMZN, -0.68% and Microsoft Corp. MSFT, -0.16% are the final contenders for the contract, after Oracle Corp. ORCL, -1.00% and International Business Machines Corp IBM, +0.03% were eliminated in an earlier round.

    AWS Snowmobile can move massive volumes of data, from on-premises to the ... Each Snowmobile is a secured data truck with up to 100PB storage capacity. Inspite of MS good numbers outside forces left the price flat today and drove it down .22 in the after market, and amazon down 3.83 in the after market. IBM’s cloud business is growing, but it pales in comparison to the competition. Its second-quarter cloud revenue climbed 5%. Microsoft’s Azure enjoyed revenue growth of 64% in the company’s fourth quarter of its fiscal year, while AWS jumped more than 41% in its first quarter. Just this week AT&T inked a reported $2 billion deal with Microsoft to move most of its internal business applications used by its largest unit to Microsoft’s Azure cloud. As part of the agreement, AT&T’s (T) employees will use Azure’s productivity tools and services.

    On Monday i will be adding Microsoft and will continue all thru the rest of earning season as i feel a lot of stocks are going to get eviscerated.
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    Smart:

    One of the few on the forum that can actually think outside of the box and not make something political and actually be open to hearing others opinions and be willing to listen or maybe even change your mind on something.

    Most people cant look into the future and see the change coming. I think it is because most people don't like change....in anything. I can kick myself the number of times that I have been right in the middle of things and didn't see the potential for something good or bad happening. Sitting in the forest and not noticing the trees. I totally agree that people are going not have jobs in the not too near future. Businesses will invest to get rid of jobs. Those without skills are in trouble.

    The wealth gap continues to widen with fewer people having a larger percentage of the wealth. The wealthy will try to keep the "poor" with just enough so they dont revolt. Been happening for a long time and people dont even know it is happening. I do think at some point when things get bad enough history will repeat and the poor will revolt and take the wealth from the rich. The ability to communicate and mobilize in the world today will make it much easier that one if by land and two if by sea.

    No one will ever get elected by raising taxes and cutting debt or by saying the federal government is way to big and we need to cut it (too many people making money working for the government). The federal government is so big that you cut off one head two more pop up somewhere else. So with the debt increasing and eventually getting too big to service what will happen?

    I have a very successful friend who reads all of the time. He gives me books that he thinks have ideas about what may happen. We have had this conversation numerous times. I have said the debt and our inability to spend what we bring in from taxes is a huge problem since back in the 80's. He used to disagree with me and used to think it was small relative to our GDP. It continues to get worse and now he agrees with me. I keep saying at some point we will "pull a Trump" and default on the debt. Which is a definite possibility and not sure how that plays out around the world. He thinks a more likely scenario is we just totally deflate the dollar and pay it off with dollars that are not worth as much. Another real possibility. Either option is going to have a significant effect on peoples wealth.

    So the ultimate question is what are the steps to protect your assets and what to invest in?

    I think the stock market overall is over valued. When the dow hit 25,000 my opinion was it would be more likely to go to 20,000 than 30,000. It has been trading in a fairly narrow band of 24-27 overall.

    I diversified much more and went significantly more conservative. Got out of quite a few winners that had seen significant growth. Put some into precious metals. My friend went to Vietnam and bought about a half million in gold and put it into some sort safe you can rent there. I didn't go to that extreme but he thinks having some in "literally hard assets" is a good move.

    The other move which I am somewhat intrigued by is the crytpo currency. I can see some applications of moving money around via the crypto but even more so as a bit of a hedge if the US currency starts hitting the fan through one of the above methods. Also the fact that in other countries people want to hide their assets from the government.....like China.

    Just curious to your thoughts?
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    The wealth gap continues to widen, but i think the the rich are unable able to help the poor as a group now, even if they wanted to, the poor just are not willing to fight the war of attrition that is takes to raise one self to a higher income level and higher level of socialization . My father told me in the 70s that there was going to be second civil war in america between the races. Individual leaders will face significant transitions for their nations, but power will continue to be polarized by the few even faster due to manipulation of technology, we see this more with wealth being acquired and consolidated because its much more quantifiable . So with the debt increasing and eventually getting too big to service what will happen? that is far beyond my ability to hypothesis.

    The steps to protect assets and what to invest in, I keep my money as liquid as possible, so only i can use my money as leverage. I do not diversified my stock portfolio, rather i buy stock that I consider well run and diversified like Comcast. The only physical commodity I would consider is water, I can store it , I can protect it from physical biological and chemical contamination with power from a photovoltaic system. I have no faith in crytpo currency, we already have digital currency that is highly regulated. The volatility in Bitcoin does not yet have a generally accepted index and Cryptocurrency is not a revenue-producing asset. Cryptocurrency is not a store of value. Its just not for me.
    I do think there is still value in the market and look for the whales to swallow the little fish and think we are going to see a greater level of market efficiency.
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    This caught my eye as a threat to Verizon And AT&T.

    Elon Musk launches Neuralink, a venture to merge the human brain with AI. Musk has hinted at the existence of Neuralink a few times over the last six months or so. More recently, Musk told a crowd in Dubai, “Over time I think we will probably see a closer merger of biological intelligence and digital intelligence.” He added that “it's mostly about the bandwidth, the speed of the connection between your brain and the digital version of yourself, particularly output." Will the demand for bandwidth grow exponentially as cyber attribution moves forward, is SpaceX intending on being the provide of broadband internet connectivity for Neuralink.
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    Quote Originally Posted by smartmoneyfollower View Post
    The wealth gap continues to widen, but i think the the rich are unable able to help the poor as a group now, even if they wanted to, the poor just are not willing to fight the war of attrition that is takes to raise one self to a higher income level and higher level of socialization . My father told me in the 70s that there was going to be second civil war in america between the races. Individual leaders will face significant transitions for their nations, but power will continue to be polarized by the few even faster due to manipulation of technology, we see this more with wealth being acquired and consolidated because its much more quantifiable . So with the debt increasing and eventually getting too big to service what will happen? that is far beyond my ability to hypothesis.

    The steps to protect assets and what to invest in, I keep my money as liquid as possible, so only i can use my money as leverage. I do not diversified my stock portfolio, rather i buy stock that I consider well run and diversified like Comcast. The only physical commodity I would consider is water, I can store it , I can protect it from physical biological and chemical contamination with power from a photovoltaic system. I have no faith in crytpo currency, we already have digital currency that is highly regulated. The volatility in Bitcoin does not yet have a generally accepted index and Cryptocurrency is not a revenue-producing asset. Cryptocurrency is not a store of value. Its just not for me.
    I do think there is still value in the market and look for the whales to swallow the little fish and think we are going to see a greater level of market efficiency.
    I think like your dad said there will be some sort of cival war but it will be a class war....the poor against the wealthy.

    I also totally agree that water will eventually be something else there will be a fight over. Just don't know a good way to invest in it. We have tons of fresh water in Minnesota. Kind of a dumb story bit one of the big recreational lakes in the twin cities that was spring fed saw their lake drying up because the surrounded suburbs grew and increased their consumption from the aquifiers. They looked at a plan of pumping the water out of the Mississippi into this lake. What a dumb plan but if you are near the source you can do stuff like that and screw everybody else downstream.

    I do think the real risk of devaluing the dollar will cause significant problems. Wont matter if your funds are in a cash position or in blue chip stocks. Comcast may be a great stock but I absolutely hate that company and could never invest in them even if it was the best investment out their. There are other well run companies that are good investments. Buying some more Boeing on the dip wouldnt be the worse thing.

    Not sure if buying a hard asset like an apartment building would be a good idea.

    Being in the solar industry I also can build and own solar arrays and sell the electricity to places like schools, cities and other non profits that don't have a tax liability. I met with some people last week that have a bunch of projects and they are probably better than any stocks I could buy with very steady returns and very low risk. One was a hospital group and the second was some credit unions. Odds of not getting paid are pretty low on those two types of entities. We probably have more projects than we have investors and I can cherry pick and find businesses that I would like to own an array for 7-10 years with a steady income stream. If these solar arrays are good enough for Warren Buffet should be good enough for me.

    I am also looking at a small company that I havent pulled the trigger on yet. Seems to fit a little the way you think but not big and established. I like to wait and watch for awhile before I buy. Seems like every time I jump feet first I am able to hit a short term high. haha,
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    Quote Originally Posted by smartmoneyfollower View Post
    I look forward to hearing any new investments ideas would like to share, thank you again Northern star

    UPS has exercised options to order 14 additional Boeing 747-8 Freighters, providing additional capacity in support of accelerating demand for U.S. and international air services.

    The aircraft build on the company’s 2016 order of 14 Boeing 747-8Fs. UPS will also purchase 4 new Boeing 767 Freighters, adding capacity for customers on both U.S. and international routes.

    “As we celebrate the 30th anniversary of UPS Airlines today, we are seeing unprecedented demand for our air products,” said UPS Airlines President Brendan Canavan. “The new freighters will allow us to continue upsizing aircraft on routes and will create a cascading effect that will boost capacity on regional routes around the world.”

    “UPS has clearly tapped into the power and efficiency the 747-8 Freighter brings to the market,” said Boeing Commercial Airplanes president and CEO Kevin McAllister. “We’re impressed with how UPS is leveraging the airplane in its operations, and also excited to see them bring additional 767s into their fleet.”

    Boeing said it booked orders for 912 commercial airplanes, the seventh highest annual total for the company. Those orders pushed Boeing's backlog at the end of 2017 to 5,864 commercial airplanes, an all-time high. The backlog of orders totals about seven years' worth of production, according to Boeing.

    UPS is my largest holding, so it has not been a good last two weeks, I will be buying more BA on Monday.

    When I started this thread, was before I had my solar system in my back yard, so i never considered a EV car; so the new Bentley will have to wait till they make a EV. I have owned a GT since before I stated this thread, fun car to drive , lost of technical problems , really good engine and nice to look at.
    The stock UPS, +1.97% jumped 8.7% for a fifth straight gain, as volume swelled to 12.1 million shares, or roughly four times the full-day average.
    The rally was the biggest one-day percentage gain since the stock shot up 9.4% on Oct. 28, 2008. On that day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its third-best point gain in its history of 889 points, and 7th-best percentage gain of 10.9%, while the Dow transports rose 6.2%.
    The stock’s price gain of $9.12 was its biggest ever since it went public in November 1999, was accounting for the bulk of the Dow Jones Transportation Average’s DJT, +0.77% rise of 58 points, or 0.5%. In comparison, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.19% slumped 79 points, or 0.3%.


    [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.62)]Market Summary > [COLOR=#212121 !important]United Parcel Service, Inc.[/COLOR]

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    NYSE: UPS
    [/COLOR]
    [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.87)]120.58[/COLOR][COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.62)] USD[/COLOR] +2.33 (1.97%)

    [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.62)]Closed: Jul 26, 7:34 PM EDT · [/COLOR][COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.62)]Disclaimer[/COLOR]
    [COLOR=rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.62)]After hours 120.57 −0.010 (0.0083%)[/COLOR]
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    Quote Originally Posted by smartmoneyfollower View Post
    LUCKIN COFFEE INC. (LK) IPO. This is not my typical stock investment , My daughter turned me on to this brand, the last time I met with her her in NYC "Luckin Coffee chain" I feel like this is the opposite of what Peter Lynch would say .. “I've never said, 'If you go to a mall, see a Starbucks and say it's good coffee, you should call Fidelity brokerage and buy the stock,'”

    But this is what has happened ... Crazy cheap cappuccinos China's Luckin Coffee chain goes public. Luckin faces an identity crisis: analysts can't quite decide whether to treat it as a coffee chain, a tech company or something in between.
    finances remain firmly in the red. In the first three months of this year, Luckin lost $85bn on sales of $71bn. Luckin caters to Chinese tastes. Its focus is more on pick-up and online orders rather than creating a comfortable place to sit and sip, as Starbucks aims to do.

    Analysts say Luckin has little chance of competing against Starbucks outside China on the basis of its products or restaurants. But its extensive use of technology could give it a cost advantage over Starbucks, especially in developing countries. I like the Amazon like attack on the coffee market, I like the technology , I like making coffee back into a convenience not an indulgence. Luckin Coffee shops have no cashiers. Customers order and pay for their drinks through an app.

    Success is figuring out how to grow a large and loyal base of coffee drinkers. And to do that, it needs a good menu of enticing items. It has even brought on 2014 World Barista Champion, Hidenori Izaki, to help design its recipes and advise it on things like ingredient selection. “Chinese consumers’ taste tendencies are not yet fixed but frequently changing,” Izaki, the World Barista Champion and Luckin’s coffee consultant, told Quartz in an email. “We always analyze and adjust recipes of drinks” such as the strength and sweetness of the coffee. To keep up with the latest consumer trends, Izaki travels regularly throughout China to research flavors and tastes.

    I like a company that is more nimble and flexible and closer to the peoples need and wants and trends.

    Luckin Coffee Inc (LK:NASDAQ) 26.5159 +1.60 (+6.40%) this play has been money to day trade
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    The policymaking Federal Open Market Committee drops the target range for its overnight lending rate to 2% to 2.25%, or 25 basis points from the previous level. Today was the just the weirdest, I just don't see the reason or what it helps unless the banks want the fed to print more money. The Dollar is strong, trade talks with china are getting more serious, but I'm a little offput by On July 22, China launched a new Nasdaq-style high tech board, called the Science and Technology Innovation Board, or “Star Market.” The Shanghai Stock Market operates Star. Xinhua heralded Star’s launch as “kicking off a trail-blazing leg of the country’s innovation drive and capital market reform.” Other outlets were less enthused. CNBC noted that this is the “third time in 10 years that China has established a new major equity market.”

    With all of this I am more bullish on Microsoft Corporation, Microsoft, a new addition to the list of limited partners, has been big on AI investments lately. Last week, Microsoft announced a $1 billion investment in Elon Musk's OpenAI.
    With todays fall back i will be a buyer in the morning. This trillion dollar company will be like the 1921 Yankees they are going to buy a murders row of AI companies to go with their storage. Data is now the most expensive commodity on the planet.
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    Quote Originally Posted by smartmoneyfollower View Post
    The policymaking Federal Open Market Committee drops the target range for its overnight lending rate to 2% to 2.25%, or 25 basis points from the previous level. Today was the just the weirdest, I just don't see the reason or what it helps unless the banks want the fed to print more money. The Dollar is strong, trade talks with china are getting more serious, but I'm a little offput by On July 22, China launched a new Nasdaq-style high tech board, called the Science and Technology Innovation Board, or “Star Market.” The Shanghai Stock Market operates Star. Xinhua heralded Star’s launch as “kicking off a trail-blazing leg of the country’s innovation drive and capital market reform.” Other outlets were less enthused. CNBC noted that this is the “third time in 10 years that China has established a new major equity market.”

    With all of this I am more bullish on Microsoft Corporation, Microsoft, a new addition to the list of limited partners, has been big on AI investments lately. Last week, Microsoft announced a $1 billion investment in Elon Musk's OpenAI.
    With todays fall back i will be a buyer in the morning. This trillion dollar company will be like the 1921 Yankees they are going to buy a murders row of AI companies to go with their storage. Data is now the most expensive commodity on the planet.
    Market Summary > Microsoft Corporation
    NASDAQ: MSFT
    140.28 USD +4.01 (2.94%)
    Aug 1, 10:58 AM EDT ·

    Nice 4 dollar run and its still Midday .. hope some of you profited from this one, Its 11am and between MSFT and LK im calling it a day
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    Quote Originally Posted by Northern Star View Post
    I am an engineer.....if I was 20 again I would choose to be some sort of financial analyst. I think I would have loved trying to pick stocks for a living. Basically legalized gambling everyday. I would have been very good and looking at the data and trying to find theories on how to make money.

    My son is a financial planner for affluent clients. We just got back from going out for dinner and discussed the market and what is going to happen. The information that he is seeing and reading is that the market will be strong again this year. Thinks the banking industry could have a strong year. The worldwide market is currently strong in the USA and Europe. Another industry that could benefit is the construction industry because of the potential infrastructure bill.

    I am still concerned the market is due for a serious correction. I think it will happen fairly fast too once it starts to happen. I am currently reading The Road To Ruin by James Rickards. It is pretty dry (goes into too many minute details to make his point but he makes some good points that there is going to be some major change and what will happen).

    I can give you a couple stocks to look at. Local Minnesota companies. I made a significant amount of money on Toro. I sold it early in the year but the 3 or 4 years before that it probably outperformed the S&P by about 2 to1. I have some friends in management at 3M. Pretty solid company. They seem to be performing well.

    I work in the solar industry. SEDG is a company out of Israel. Your two main components are solar panels and inverters. They make the inverters so potentially they could be on every solar installation where as there are probably 300 + different solar panel manufacturers. There product is very good. They went from start up to over 60% of the market in the USA for residential installations. They dont have much of a presence in large scale solar yet. There stock has soared. The 30% tariff on solar panels just announced by Trump administration will potentially result in a slight pull back in price. Solar is not going away. Once you have something people want there is no turning back. If it comes to a free market decision solar will beat the other sources of power. The other thing about their product is ELon Musk has hooked his wagon to their inverter. He throws a certain amount of weight,

    On that same line my son said that they have quite a few people taking position in lithium because it is a limited supply and is used in batteries that are in cellphones and also in other batteries.

    The old saying of buy when there is blood on the street. A very wealthy friend of mine still laughs about this, After 911 the market got waxed. Boeing got waxed even more. I said the market was wrong. People were not going to quit flying. My opinion was there were 6 planes that needed to be replaced and their stock should be going up. So I purchased more Boeing stock. They have basically no competition (other than Airbus) and the entry point for competition is way too high. Of course it came back with vigor.

    I think an industry with a huge upside potential right now is driverless cars. Finding a winner in the technology/sensors market that could be used in a Google car or Volvo or Apple car could be a long term winner.

    I have been asked to speak at schools and Universities on renewable energy. I have said for some time the ability to store energy in a cost effective way will be the next be game changer in the energy business. I spoke at an event on Tuesday this week. Another one of the speaker's was asked about the future. He has been asked to be a guest on national news shows like MSNBC and others. Someone asked him where investment opportunities were. He said the other area that I think will be the other industry with huge investment opportunities: WATER. The day is coming where places are not going to have water and then what happens? Any company that has a cost effective solution to that problem is going to make huge amounts. Not sure who that is going to be or what the solution is going to be.

    You have been around here long enough to know that there are significant amount of people that are not open to any new ideas. You can maybe use that to to your advantage. The more they dont like something .... the more you know it will be a winner.

    You will have to post a stock or 2 you might like.
    SEDG has been kicking ass and taking names. There is talk of extending the federal tax credit of 30% for 5 more years and the rumor is that it could get support from both parties (which would be a amazing in itself). Will make it an even better play. It has doubled so far this year.

    Enphase which I dont like their product as much is also going crazy.

    So besides solar on your roof....might want to add to your portfolio.
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    Mr Northern Star

    Good to hear from you, I traded Solaredge Technologies Inc in the 40s and got scared off when it hit 50, There products are so good , they never break or need fixing and there is no subscription to the best of my knowledge . Enphase has no customer service for DIY people like me , i know this from personal experience, but i cant knock their product 8 years and never had a second of downtime.

    My play on solar is the public utilities that are constructing solar farms, I have been trading Southern Company very heavy and Microsoft. I like to think that in small part , people like you and I, have made data now the most expensive commodity surpassing oil by bringing down the price of green energy , you need a lot of power to store all of that data and keep the Cloud Storage running and the servers need to be kept cool in hot states, to collect all of that data from all of the autonomous vehicles, to power the new 5g networks, all the EV cars and the virtual world. I am also in house building and they just want to put in electrical appliances no gas in new houses.. so data and electricity
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    Mostly I develop solar projects for business owners and I always tell my customers that I will treat them like family and show them the way to get the best ROI on their developments. I also do some residential customers too because it keeps our crews busy if there is a delay on larger projects. Many of those residential projects turn into business clients too.

    Had one guy looking for his home. From there we went to his business. Now he will have the first electric semi trailer company in Minnesota. He is building a new facility and putting solar to charge his trucks. He called last week and his plan is to add 5 new buildings in the next 5 years. All because I discussed how it would work for his business.

    I had another group that I showed how it looks like from a business standpoint and they are starting with 15 locations and almost 3 megawatts.

    Today I was researching a new project that could end up to be a nice retirement business for me. Within 5 years I may become like Warren Buffett and own $5-10 million in solar. They would be cashflow positive almost day one, be paid for in less than 5 years and generate between $250k-$500 a year (I could even afford to make a few bad bets and not be irritated..hahaha). Price of electricity goes up (which I predict will be faster than inflation) so would my income. There is money to be made in solar.

    Word on the street is Utah may be the next state with some really attractive incentives for solar if you have any connections in Utah and want to join Warren on the solar train.
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    General Electric shares fell more than 11% Thursday after Bernie Madoff whistleblower Harry Markopolos targeted the conglomerate in a new report, accusing it of issuing fraudulent financial statements to hide the extent of its problems. A website has been set up to disseminate the report, www.GEfraud.com, where Markopolos calls it “a bigger fraud than Enron.” The financial investigator, who was probing GE for an unidentified hedge fund, writes that after more than a year of research he has discovered “an Enronesque business approach that has left GE on the verge of insolvency.”“My team has spent the past 7 months analyzing GE’s accounting and we believe the $38 Billion in fraud we’ve come across is merely the tip of the iceberg,” Markopolos said in the 175-page report. Markopolos alleges that GE has a “long history” of accounting fraud, dating to as early as 1995, when it was run by Jack Welch. “It’s going to make this company probably file for bankruptcy,” Markopolos told CNBC’s “Squawk on the Street. ” “WorldCom and Enron lasted about four months. ... We’ll see how GE does.”

    GE’s market value as of Wednesday’s close was $78.8 billion. With Thursday morning’s skid, the market cap was down to $68.5 billion. Markopolos told the paper the insurance unit would need to raise reserves by more than $18.5 billion. He estimates GE’s already hefty debt-to-equity ratio of 3:1 would skyrocket all the way to 17:1 if the company restates its actual results.

    I will not bore you with the rest of the details, but there is a paradigm shift happening, The market is weeding out the weak.


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    Autonomous driving is the key to cutting high priced jobs for unskilled labor and making UPS the 200$ stock it should be.

    UPS has been carrying truckloads of goods in self-driving semi-trucks since May. The vehicles are driving through Arizona routes between Phoenix and Tucson as an ongoing test.

    The shipping giant announced the partnership with TuSimple an autonomous driving company, on Thursday, August 15. UPS Ventures is also taking a minority stake in the company.

    The trucks created by TuSimple are Level 4 autonomous, which means that a computer is in complete control of driving with no required manual controls. While the trucks have been operating on the road, a driver and an engineer are still on board to monitor the system, as is required by law.

    UPS just had its best numbers in decades , the impact of online retailers has been a double edged sward for ups as its been perceived that they 'drop the ball around xmas" This will put an end to the complaints of driver who say they are over worked, say good bye to the road and hello to EBT. No one can match UPS logistics technology.
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    [QUOTE=smartmoneyfollower;12886374]LUCKIN COFFEE INC. (LK) IPO. This is not my typical stock investment , My daughter turned me on to this brand, the last time I met with her her in NYC "Luckin Coffee chain" I feel like this is the opposite of what Peter Lynch would say .. “I've never said, 'If you go to a mall, see a Starbucks and say it's good coffee, you should call Fidelity brokerage and buy the stock,'”

    But this is what has happened ... Crazy cheap cappuccinos China's Luckin Coffee chain goes public. Luckin faces an identity crisis: analysts can't quite decide whether to treat it as a coffee chain, a tech company or something in between.
    finances remain firmly in the red. In the first three months of this year, Luckin lost $85bn on sales of $71bn. Luckin caters to Chinese tastes. Its focus is more on pick-up and online orders rather than creating a comfortable place to sit and sip, as Starbucks aims to do.

    Analysts say Luckin has little chance of competing against Starbucks outside China on the basis of its products or restaurants. But its extensive use of technology could give it a cost advantage over Starbucks, especially in developing countries. I like the Amazon like attack on the coffee market, I like the technology , I like making coffee back into a convenience not an indulgence. Luckin Coffee shops have no cashiers. Customers order and pay for their drinks through an app.

    Success is figuring out how to grow a large and loyal base of coffee drinkers. And to do that, it needs a good menu of enticing items. It has even brought on 2014 World Barista Champion, Hidenori Izaki, to help design its recipes and advise it on things like ingredient selection. “Chinese consumers’ taste tendencies are not yet fixed but frequently changing,” Izaki, the World Barista Champion and Luckin’s coffee consultant, told Quartz in an email. “We always analyze and adjust recipes of drinks” such as the strength and sweetness of the coffee. To keep up with the latest consumer trends, Izaki travels regularly throughout China to research flavors and tastes.


    Chinese Starbucks Rival Luckin Coffee Soars After Beating Q3 Views
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    BILL PETERS10:42 AM ET
    Luckin Coffee (LK) on Wednesday reported third-quarter results that topped views amid breakneck growth that management expects will make the upstart bigger than Starbucks (SBUX) in China by year's end. Luckin Coffee stock surged.

    Luckin Coffee Earnings
    Estimates: Wall Street expects Luckin to report a 37 cent per-share loss. Revenue for the recent IPO is expected to be $211.46 million.

    Results: Losses narrowed to 32 cents per share on revenue of $215.7 million, up 540% in local currency. Average monthly total items sold in the quarter shot up 470% to 44.2 million.

    The number of stores at the end of the quarter was 3,680 stores, up from 2,963 at the end of Q2 and more than triple from a year ago. Net revenue per store jumped 79.5% to $62,900.

    Outlook: Luckin sees Q4 revenues from products to be between 2.1 billion-2.2 billion yuan.

    "During the third quarter, sales from freshly-brewed coffee drinks continued to maintain very strong growth, and we believe we will reach our goal to become the largest coffee player in China by the end of this year," said CEO Jenny Zhiya Qian.

    Luckin wants to have more than 4,500 by the end of 2019. By contrast, Starbucks had 4,125 stores in China as of the end of its most recently reported quarter.
    Luckin Coffee Stock
    Shares popped 13% to 21.47 on the stock market today, gapping back above their 50-day average. Starbucks, which has targeted China as a major driver for future growth, was up 0.7%.

    Luckin Coffee stock has a weak Composite Rating of 13, out of a best-possible 99, and an EPS Rating of just 2, indicating non-existent profit growth.


    I cant wait until 8 out of 10 people in the USA are jobless and on UBI. Crying there are no job because they are obsolete.
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  16. #66  
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    Nice pope on LK up 33 percent, the concept has already moved to NYC , ill be going there to check out the competition in the morning, 4$ for a cup of luxury coffee in NY is bargen, i just paid 29 for a cappuccino at my hotel with tip. Every stock I own I use the product.
    China's coffee market also has ample room to grow. Currently, China's per capita coffee consumption is only at five cups per year, whereas the U.S. is at 400 cups per year and countries in Europe like Norway and Sweden are above 1,000 cups per year.

    Cyber Monday is expected to pull in $9.4 billion this year, a $1.5 billion increase from last year's online sales tally for the Monday after Thanksgiving. I think the big winner will be UPS, The now have the capacity and automation and less competition from fed ex. UPS said Monday that it expects shoppers to return about one million packages daily during the month of December, and about 1.6 million returns daily during the week before Christmas. This is bad news for retailers, especially those that cover the costs of shipping and returns for shoppers. Items returned through the mail cost retailers about twice as much as those returned to stores, according to an AlixPartners report. The returns process costs retailers $3 per package when items are returned to stores, or up to $6 per return when they are shipped to a distribution center, the report found.

    UPS makes even more money when people don't want the product and the retailer loses.

    So the day trade rotation has not changed (Verizon, Comcast, Luckin Coffee, Disney, UPS, and some Southern Company and Microsoft)
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  17. #67  
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    Artificial Intelligence To Create 58 Million New Jobs By 2022, Says Report. Machines and algorithms in the workplace are expected to create 133 million new roles, but cause 75 million jobs to be displaced by 2022 according to a new report from the World Economic Forum (WEF) called “The Future of Jobs 2018.” This means that the growth of artificial intelligence could create 58 million net new jobs in the next few years.
    THIS IS THE BIGGEST LOAD OF BULLSHIT. 90% of the people on this board will lose their jobs to automation. I cant even hire computer programmers, they just don't want to learn anything new, they get so complacent with one technology.

    Chappelle summarized President Trump’s position viz a viz China: “I’m gonna go to China, and I’m gonna get these jobs from China and bring ‘em back to America.” Chappelle then interrupted his Trump soliloquy, asking: “For what, so iPhones can be $9,000? Leave that job in China where it belongs … I wanna wear Nikes, I don’t wanna make those things. Stop trying to give us Chinese jobs.”

    Some of you ill be more happy to be jobless then others, and don't think your white collar jobs are safe, you are even easier to replace with web portals. I will be all this has shifted my investing approach.
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  18. #68  
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    What Jobs Will be Lost to Automation?

    WAREHOUSE POSITIONS
    One of the highest at-risk positions for automation is repetitive task-based jobs. Warehouse and manufacturing positions fall under this, and AI has been shown to be quite effective at performing sequenced tasks with higher accuracy and efficiency than human workers.

    CUSTOMER SERVICE (PHONE)
    Calling a company for support only to talk to an automated voice system can be incredibly frustrating, but unfortunately, that likely will only become more common. Thankfully, AI-driven customer service will grow to become more natural sounding and easier to understand. This, however, will impact the millions of Americans that work in customer service jobs to a greater degree.

    LONG HAUL TRUCKING
    Self-driving cars will begin to be more common on the highways of America within the next 10-15 years. Truck drivers command a decent wage, and fewer are willing to take on the long hours required to work in this profession. In response, companies are developing self-driving trucks that will be able to navigate long haul routes without the error and pressure of human drivers.

    DRUG RESEARCH
    The drug discovery process is an expensive process that takes considerable time and analysis, but with AI, this process could soon be streamlined. Automation will be used to reach relevant scientific data to perform quick analysis of potential drugs, decreasing the time to market a drug discovery.

    FAST FOOD SERVICE
    Already, you may be seeing automation kiosks at fast-food restaurants allowing you to order your meal without ever talking to a person. The next decade will see even further automation in this aspect of the fast-food industry, eliminating scores of service jobs.

    HEALTHCARE WORKERS
    No, a robot will not be your doctor anytime soon. But AI could become more utilized in areas involving the diagnosing of patients as well as performing basic surgery. Already, robots are being used by doctors and hospitals to help better serve patients.

    SOLDIERS AND PILOTS
    AI is an attractive alternative for the military, as it takes our service members out of the line of fire. Examples include autonomous drones and aircraft piloted by AI systems or autonomous weapons that could be deployed on the battlefield in lieu of boots on the ground.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Northern Star View Post
    I am an engineer.....if I was 20 again I would choose to be some sort of financial analyst. I think I would have loved trying to pick stocks for a living. Basically legalized gambling everyday. I would have been very good and looking at the data and trying to find theories on how to make money.

    My son is a financial planner for affluent clients. We just got back from going out for dinner and discussed the market and what is going to happen. The information that he is seeing and reading is that the market will be strong again this year. Thinks the banking industry could have a strong year. The worldwide market is currently strong in the USA and Europe. Another industry that could benefit is the construction industry because of the potential infrastructure bill.

    I am still concerned the market is due for a serious correction. I think it will happen fairly fast too once it starts to happen. I am currently reading The Road To Ruin by James Rickards. It is pretty dry (goes into too many minute details to make his point but he makes some good points that there is going to be some major change and what will happen).

    I can give you a couple stocks to look at. Local Minnesota companies. I made a significant amount of money on Toro. I sold it early in the year but the 3 or 4 years before that it probably outperformed the S&P by about 2 to1. I have some friends in management at 3M. Pretty solid company. They seem to be performing well.

    I work in the solar industry. SEDG is a company out of Israel. Your two main components are solar panels and inverters. They make the inverters so potentially they could be on every solar installation where as there are probably 300 + different solar panel manufacturers. There product is very good. They went from start up to over 60% of the market in the USA for residential installations. They dont have much of a presence in large scale solar yet. There stock has soared. The 30% tariff on solar panels just announced by Trump administration will potentially result in a slight pull back in price. Solar is not going away. Once you have something people want there is no turning back. If it comes to a free market decision solar will beat the other sources of power. The other thing about their product is ELon Musk has hooked his wagon to their inverter. He throws a certain amount of weight,

    On that same line my son said that they have quite a few people taking position in lithium because it is a limited supply and is used in batteries that are in cellphones and also in other batteries.

    The old saying of buy when there is blood on the street. A very wealthy friend of mine still laughs about this, After 911 the market got waxed. Boeing got waxed even more. I said the market was wrong. People were not going to quit flying. My opinion was there were 6 planes that needed to be replaced and their stock should be going up. So I purchased more Boeing stock. They have basically no competition (other than Airbus) and the entry point for competition is way too high. Of course it came back with vigor.

    I think an industry with a huge upside potential right now is driverless cars. Finding a winner in the technology/sensors market that could be used in a Google car or Volvo or Apple car could be a long term winner.

    I have been asked to speak at schools and Universities on renewable energy. I have said for some time the ability to store energy in a cost effective way will be the next be game changer in the energy business. I spoke at an event on Tuesday this week. Another one of the speaker's was asked about the future. He has been asked to be a guest on national news shows like MSNBC and others. Someone asked him where investment opportunities were. He said the other area that I think will be the other industry with huge investment opportunities: WATER. The day is coming where places are not going to have water and then what happens? Any company that has a cost effective solution to that problem is going to make huge amounts. Not sure who that is going to be or what the solution is going to be.

    You have been around here long enough to know that there are significant amount of people that are not open to any new ideas. You can maybe use that to to your advantage. The more they dont like something .... the more you know it will be a winner.

    You will have to post a stock or 2 you might like.
    I see SEDG is over $100 today so it has more than doubled in the last year.

    TDG is one you should look at. They pay a good dividend and seemed to be well managed. They just paid a bonus dividend of $35 last month.

    I think now might not be a bad time to get some more Boeing. The old saying of buying when there is blood on the streets. Boeing has taken a 25% haircut with their recent problems. They aren't going anywhere and the entry point to get into competing with them is way to high.
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    Actually SEDG has just about tripled.
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    Northern Star to us both a wish a happy & prosperous 2020.

    I am still 100 bullish on solar power and SEDG is by far the a best of breed stock, we have had a amazing run on SEDG since you first brought it to my attention, I'm sorry I stopped trading it at 60$.. California has become the first state to require that new homes be built with solar panels. The rules go into place in 2020 and are part of the state's ambitious efforts to cut greenhouse gas emissions. ... But the new regulations mean that houses will be $8,000 to $12,000 more expensive, according to The New York Times. Even of these homes are built, I think at least 5 out of 10 of them will not have the proper exposure and will not be effient.

    As much as i respect CSI, they indirectly caused the fires. The misconceptions about the The 2019 wildfire season is the latest fire season in California, United States. As of December 22, 2019, over 7,860 fires have been recorded according to Cal Fire and the US Forest Service, totaling an estimated of 259,823 acres (105,147 hectares) of burned land, has made me like SEDG. Now thay are going to push harder for green power.

    Dec 2, 2019 - Newsom has threatened a public takeover of PG&E, the state's largest utility, if the company doesn't quickly emerge from bankruptcy with a plan, what a complete asshole, they caused the problem.

    I have not seen a lot of progress in my home state of Georgia for solar considering how much sunlight we have, but I have noticed the number of expensive electric cars where I live, I have been testing the new 2019 panels for my automation and solar AI company, and they are light years ahead of what I installed in 2012.
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    Kind of a goofy story.

    There is a very very smart guy who I met because we are installing solar at his home. He has over 100 patents and worked at Seagate doing some very advanced engineering work for them ( I think he told me he developed one of the industry standards for data storage). He seems like one of the smartest people I have met in my life. He lives in one of the most expensive neighborhoods in the Twin Cities.

    He has left Seagate and started his own company and is doing research for a new product. In the course of our discussion I mentioned there could be an application for his product in the solar industry for commercial solar projects. He received funding from the department of energy and I looked at the people that were awarded funds and they would be some huge company like 3M and 7 other big companies and then his little company. The product he is working on can tell basically determine changes in voltage just by being within a certain distance.

    I told him on large commercial solar arrays we could quarterly fly this piece of equipment of the system with a drone and identify where a system wasn't working.

    What made me think of this is the fires in California. One of the applications would be to flay a drone with this along the power lines and you can tell where there are issues and it could be used to prevent fires by identifying the problem before it happens. This will he way cheaper than upgrading the grid. As part of his presentation he shows how it could be used to make the grid safer.

    He is trying to get another round of funding and I get credited on some of the ideas I brought. Seems like a product with some huge potential.
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  23. #73  
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    When I was doing my research on Verizon, they have a company called Skyward, you need low altitude authorization & notification capability to operate a company like that. Google sister company Wing announced today that it would be partnering with FedEx. Amazon Prime Air service currently in development. UPS Flight Forward, Inc. DJI is working with Microsoft.

    Its a very crowded market.
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  24. #74  
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    I try to keep up with this valuable thread and thought this was relevant.

    From Diary of a mad hedge fund trader,


    Batteries
    BETTER BATTERIES HAVE BECOME BIG DISRUPTERS)
    (TSLA), (XOM), (USO)





    Better Batteries Have Become Big Disrupters

    With alternative energy sources growing by leaps and bounds, despite the gale force headwind of a hostile administration, it’s time to take another look at battery technologies.

    I have been arguing for years that oil will never again reach a triple-digit price (click here for “Oil: It’s Different This Time”.

    Today, I am going to tell you what will replace it.

    Sony Corp. (SNE) invented the lithium ion battery in 1991 to power its high-end consumer electronics products.

    It is now looking like that was a discovery on par with Bell Labs’ invention of the transistor in 1947 and Intel’s creation of the microprocessor in 1971, although no one knew it at the time.

    Until then, battery technology was essentially unchanged since it was invented by Alessandro Volta in 1800 and Gaston Plante upgraded it to the lead acid version in 1859.

    That is the same battery that starts your conventional gasoline-powered car every morning.

    The Sony breakthrough proved to be the springboard for a revolution in battery power. It has fed into cheaper and ever more powerful iPhones, electric cars, laptops, and even large-scale utilities.

    In 1995, the equivalent of today’s iPhone 10 battery cost $20. Today it can be had for less than $1.00 if you buy in bulk, which Apple does by the shipload. That’s a cost reduction of a mind blowing 95%.

    Electric car batteries have seen prices plunge from $1,000/kilowatt in 2009 to only $125 today.

    Tesla (TSLA) expects that price to drop to $100 with its new $6 billion “Gigafactory” in Sparks, Nevada. A second one is under construction. That is important as $100 has long been seen as the holy grail, where electric cars become cheaper than gasoline-powered ones.

    The facility is producing cookie cutter, off the shelf batteries made under contract by Japan’s Panasonic (Matsushita) that can fit into anything.

    That will finally pave the way for large scale production of the Tesla 3 this year, a low end $35,000 vehicle with a 220-mile range that will take over the global car market.

    If you took existing battery technologies and applied them as widely as possible, it would have the effect of reducing American oil consumption from 22 to 18 million barrels a day.

    That’s what the oil market seems to be telling us, with prices hovering just under $58 a barrel, less than a third of where they were a decade ago.

    Improve battery capabilities just a little bit more and that oil consumption drops by half very quickly.

    Both national and state governments are doing everything they can to make that happen.

    The US now has a commanding technology lead over the rest of the world (I can’t believe the Germans fell so far behind on this one).

    In 2009, President Obama chipped in $2.4 billion for battery and electric car development as part of his $787 billion stimulus package. He got a lot of bang for the buck.

    So far, I have been the beneficiary of not one, but four $7,500 federal tax credits for my purchase of my Nissan Leaf and two Tesla S-1’s and a Model X. The Feds also chipped in another $25,000 for my new solar roof panels.

    A reader told me yesterday that Sweden will ban the sales of gasoline and diesel-powered vehicles from 2030. China and the UK will do the same. Japan wants electric and hybrids to account for half of its new car sales by 2020.

    California has been the most ambitious, investing to obtain 100% of its power from alternative sources by 2030. Some one million homes here already have solar panels, and these are not even counted in the alternatives equation.

    Solar and wind are already taking over in much of Europe on a nonsubsidized, cost-competitive basis.

    By 2030, a ten-pound battery in your glove compartment (glove box to you Brits in London) will be able to take your car 300 miles. The cost of energy will essentially be free.

    And guess what?

    In a year, I will be able to use my solar panels to charge my 100-kilowatt Tesla battery during the day and then use it to power my home at night.

    That is enough juice to keep the lights on for three nights. Then, I will be totally off the grid, with utility bills of zero.

    Tesla has denied it has such a program, but there is nothing to stop a third party from coming in and providing the service. All it would require is an app and 30 minutes’ worth of wiring.

    To say this will change the geopolitical landscape would be a huge understatement.

    The one-liner here is that oil consumers will benefit enormously, like you and me, while the producers will get destroyed. I’m talking Armageddon, mass starvation levels of destruction.

    In the Middle East, some 1 billion people with the world’s highest birth rates will lose their entire source of income.

    Russia, which sees half its revenues come from oil, will cease to be a factor on the international stage, and may even undergo a third revolution. Take oil away, and all they have left is hacking, bots, and borscht.

    Norwegians will have to start paying for their social services instead of getting them for free.

    Venezuela, which couldn’t make it at $100 a barrel, will implode, destabilizing Latin America. It’s already started.

    It going to be an interesting decade for us geopolitical commentators.

    Further improvements in battery power per dollar will change the US economy beyond all recognition.

    This will be a big win for the 90% of the economy that consumes energy and an existential crisis for the 10% that produce it.

    Public utilities will have to change their business models from power producers to distributors.

    No less an authority that former Energy Secretary Dr. Steven Chu (another Berkeley grad) has warned the industry that they must change or get “FedExed”, much the same way that overnight delivery replaced the US Post Office.

    US oil majors will suffer some very tough times but won’t disappear. My bet has always been that they will buy the entire alternatives industry the second it becomes profitable.

    After all, they are not in the oil business but in the profit-making business and they certainly have the cash and the management and engineering expertise to pull this off. Exxon (XOM) will turn green out of necessity.

    As is always the case, there are very few publicly listed stock plays in a brand-new emerging technology like the battery sector.

    Many of the early stage entrants have already filed for bankruptcy and had their assets taken over for pennies on the dollar.

    It’s a business you want to be in because Citibank expects that giant grid scale batteries alone will be a $400 billion a year market by 2030.

    When I visited friends at the oil majors in Houston, I chided them to be kind to that Birkenstock-wearing longhaired visitor.

    He may be their future boss.






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  25. #75  
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    Thank you Bozzie, i have been saying this for decades. I have had small solar systems since 1992. I own a solar automation company.

    I have been running my house on solar power since 2012, House of Saud sees the writing on the wall, Saudi Aramco is now the world's largest public company, but questions loom. On Thursday, Saudi Aramco priced the I.P.O at 32 riyals, or $8.53, a share, valuing the company at $1.7 trillion. The offering is expected to raise $25.6 billion — a fraction of the $100 billion that Prince Mohammed originally imagined.

    The dispute has seen the US and China impose tariffs on hundreds ... So far, the U.S. government has exempted rare earths from tariffs on Chinese goods. Problem is, China has stockpiled all the nutrients, and the U.S., highly deficient, has the equivalent of scurvy.

    China controls 80% to 90% of the rare earth market and for some elements, it has 99% control. Even when other countries mine their own deposits, the ore often must go through China for processing.

    The big money is in solar farms, the mark for a KHW is over 10,000%. What we need is a smart grid. The possibilities for green energy are endless. I have been investing in green power and water and its has made me very very wealthy.
    FYI how about the run Baxter.
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