An Excel sheet for download

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Been a while since I was last here! See some familiar names kicking around still.

Before the league re-alignment, I had a pretty killer NHL sheet setup, but it was full of inefficient nested "if" statements.
It took a few years of tweaking and it was really a work in progress..

Anyway, my new job requires Excel and so I've gotten back into it.
I decided to hone my skills again last night and came up with a brand new sheet.

You can download it free from here: www.filedropper.com/nhlpicker
I had to upload it this way because this silly forum has capped my attachment size at 294kb, whereas this sheet is 366kb.
I assure you there are no viruses or any bullshit.. Just a spreadsheet.

It took me 5 hours to do on this sheet what I could not do in 4 years with my old one (didn't realize VLOOKUP and INDEX/MATCH were so easy... even threw in some CONCATENATE to kill the 256 character nested "if" statements i once used!)

It basically grabs the team stats from NHL.com onto their own individual sheets.

I've applied some half-assed, arbitrary calculations and come up with some fancy looking percentages which are supposed to be "the play".

***** NOTE *****
I am not actually playing these.. I just did this as practice for Excel.

This sheet does however have some use, and for those of you who are proficient in Excel, you may find it a handy starting place to set up your own sheet.

The information is all there, it just needs to be manipulated.


What is required?

2 clicks (home/away team)
A copy/paste value
Enter MoneyLine odds
1 more click (type of play)
Then after the games are over, enter the scores, and update the sheets with the "REFRESH" button.. the updates are automated as is the record keeping.


I figured this could be useful to someone.

If I were using it to bet with, I'd be particularly interested in the Underdog +$$$$ plays.


Use this at your own risk... I don't mean virus-wise... Don't bet everything it suggests please.. don't be a retard..

It's a statistical analysis tool, not a Golden Egg-laying Goose...

It just brings all the stats to you.


Of course, as the season progresses, you may find the plays a bit predictable since the numbers will approach normal levels, but it should be interesting to see how the useless %'s I've come up with relate to ML odds set by the bookmakers, and the results that follow.

Perhaps the most eye-opening aspect of this will be to identify where lines are inflated based on public perception, not on any kind of statistical edge...

Anyway, I hope someone can get some use out of this..
If you have any questions, give'r..
Just keep in mind, I'm no excel expert, and even less of a statistician.

enjoy.
 

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thanks a lot for posting - more info is always good and it's much appreciated!
 

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Nice job glob

any way to implement a few more important stats in there? Like pdo and ff%?
 

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Nice job glob

any way to implement a few more important stats in there? Like pdo and ff%?

If there's a will there's a way..
Forgive my ignorance; it's been a while since I've immersed myself in the capping world..
But what is 'pdo' and 'ff%'?

If it's available on a table or form somewhere online, it can be added to the sheet.. Give me an example of what you mean, or where I can find it.
 

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Team PDO = Team save % + Team shooting %.
Team FF% = Team Fenwick For % ((100xFF)/FF+FA)
- Fenwick - Shots + shot attempts that miss the net

Will PM you a link to where you can get those stats and some more.
 

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Thanks.. after I asked, I looked it all up and found that everything those require is already in the sheet.
I've adjusted it and added those stats, and worked them into the calculation.

This is how i came up with my numbers.
Wherever possible, I use appropriate home/away splits, and i converted all the numbers to a "% better than"..
So if team 1 is 10, and team 20 is 15.... team 20 is 50% better than... i use the 50% as the number, and apply a 'weight' to it.
The weight is arbitrary.. based on my own delusions.

All of it is added up according to the weight and converted into a final percentage

25% Scoring Ability (goals/gm @ home vs goals/gm for visitor)
20%Special Teams Effectiveness (Aw PP vs. Hm PK ..... Home PP vs Away PK)
15% Fenwick %, Corsi % and PDO combined
13% Toughness .... (hits, blocked shots, takeaways, vs. missed shots and giveaways)
10% Shooting percentages (3 different %s, averaged)
10% Balance of Attack (shots for/against per game splits)
7% 5 on 5 +- avg/game


The new updated file is here:

http://www.filedropper.com/nhlpicker_1


**** Note the for the MTL/VAN game tonight, it will return a DIV by 0, since we're still early and MTL has some zeros in their PK or PP numbers...

If you're curious, it should look like this for that game:
MTL136.666
VAN204.72231.78%
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
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Hi Glob

Nice seeing you around

Great work on this sheet - Thanks for sharing
 

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If anyone has downloaded this sheet and is using it in any capacity, send me a PM.
I've made quite a few improvements and added some extra stuff that you may find useful.
 

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If anyone has downloaded this sheet and is using it in any capacity, send me a PM.
I've made quite a few improvements and added some extra stuff that you may find useful.
I cant send PM's yet Glob but I am very interested.

bushay44@yahoo.com if you can send directly to my email.

And thank you.
 

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If possible....I'd like to see the teams rankings as well. PP PK GF, GA, Any significant stats that rank each category possibly by H/A. IE....

4th ranked PP on road
27 ranked PK at home ect.
GF 1st at home...19th on Road.
GA..""..........................""
 

Edge Player
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Sep 11, 2006
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haven't been back there in years (glutton)

Ya the place went downhill...if havana is your best hockey capper your in trouble, he lost a lot of units last year a great fade.....hence the "Mush" moniker put on him.
 

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