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NHL Grand Salami - November

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.


NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result

11/1 12 64 54 UNDER
11/2 7 36.5 39 OVER
11/3 1 5 7 OVER
11/4 12 65.5 56 UNDER
11/5 3 15.5 15 UNDER
11/6 10 54.5 56 OVER
11/7 5 26.5 26 UNDER

NHL roundup: No suspension expected for Ovechkin
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Washington Capitals forward Alex Ovechkin will avoid being fined or suspended for a hit he laid on Chicago Blackhawks defenseman Niklas Hjalmarsson on Friday night, according to the Chicago Tribune.

Ovechkin was assessed a two-minute minor penalty for an illegal hit to the head of Hjalmarsson during the game. Hjalmarsson did not appear to be injured on the play.

Ovechkin was most recently suspended three games during the 2012-13 season. He has more than 1,000 hits since 2009-10.


---The Columbus Blue Jackets recalled forward Dana Tyrell from Springfield of the AHL Saturday and assigned rookie forward Marko Dano to Springfield.

Tyrell, 25, has five goals and four assists with six penalty minutes and a plus-7 rating in seven games with Springfield this season.

Dano, 19, has a goal and an assist and an average of 11:42 of ice time over eight games with the Blue Jackets this season.


---Forward Viktor Stalberg was recalled by the Nashville Predators from his conditioning assignment with Milwaukee of the AHL after being injured in a game Friday night.

Stalberg, 28, had a goal and two assists in four games Milwaukee before being hurt in a 4-0 victory over Grand Rapids. He has returned to Nashville for evaluation by the Predators medical staff.

The Swede has no points and eight penalty minutes in five games for the Predators this season.


---Florida Panthers left winger Jonathan Huberdeau played on Saturday against the Calgary Flames after missing three games with the flu.

Pavel Datsyuk, Detroit - Out Sun

Datsyuk is suffering from a groin injury and will not play Sunday against the Lightning.

Gridiron Angles - Week 10
By Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Saints are 13-0-1 ATS (14.9 ppg) since October 23, 2011 as a home favorite when they won their last two home games.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Cowboys are 0-13 ATS (-12.2 ppg) since November 1993 as a road favorite of more than four points when they won their last two road games.

TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

-- The 49ers are 10-0-1 ATS (10.5 ppg) since November 22, 2009 on the road after a home game in which Vernon Davis had fewer than 25 receiving yards.

NFL BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Buccaneers are 0-8 ATS as a dog when they have had a negative dpa in each of their last two games.

NFL O/U TREND:

-- The Cardinals are 10-0-1 ATS (7.9 ppg) since October 30, 2011 when facing a team whose defense recorded 4-plus sacks in their last game.

NFL SUPER SYSTEM:

-- Teams are 42-32-1 ATS facing a team they lost to by at least 38 points last time they faced this team. Active on Tampa Bay.

Sharp Moves - Week 10
By Mike Rose

We're getting ready to head into another weekend of NFL betting action, and as always, there are a bunch of plays that are a lot sharper than others. Check out some of the best and brightest plays that are on the board in Week 10!

(Rotation #259) Tennessee +10 – Not only is this a sharp spot because of the quantity of points which the Titans are getting, but it is sharp due to the circumstances surrounding the game as well. Tennessee is clearly in its best shape at the quarterback position now that QB Zach Mettenberger is getting his chance to shine, and the team is coming off of a bye week, which means that the rookie has had two full weeks of first-team reps after getting virtually no first-team reps prior to three weeks ago in his career. On top of that, the Ravens have played nine games in nine weeks already, and they are coming off of their most physical battle of the year against the Steelers last Sunday night. Tennessee could legitimately sneak up on the Ravens, who have to be looking forward to their bye week next week.

Opening Line: Tennessee +10.5
Current Line: Tennessee +10
Public Betting Percentage: 67% on Baltimore

(Rotation #262) New York +4.5 – Bad teams tend to be sharp all the time, and the Jets are once again sharp in this game. The spot though, is a pretty good one, as this is the first time that the Steelers have had to go on the road in a month after three straight home games. The Jets have at least looked like they are fighting hard at times this year, and it wasn't for a lack of effort that they were beaten by the Chiefs last weekend. They had their opportunities to get in front of the number, but consistently electing to go for touchdowns instead of field goals didn't help the cause any. We don't exactly have much confidence right now in what New York is doing, but this line just feels awfully, awfully low. Some lines just look sharper than others. This is one of them.

Opening Line: New York +4.5
Current Line: New York +4
Public Betting Percentage: 77% on Pittsburgh

(Rotation #267) St. Louis +7 – The Rams are only mildly sharp this week, and we would understand any trepidation about playing them, knowing that they are coming off of a tremendously emotional win last week in which they held the 49ers on the goal line with virtually no time left in the game. Arizona is starting to get a little public for our tastes. It was a good run for the Cardinals, but that run is going to come to a halt at some point. The pass rush for St. Louis is finally starting to pick it up, and that could be a bad sign for the rest of the teams in the NFC West, including the Cards. Could the seemingly lowly Rams really clinch at least a .500 record in the toughest division in the league? Don't discount the possibility.

Opening Line: St. Louis +7 (-120)
Current Line: St. Louis +7 (-115)
Public Betting Percentage: 64% on Arizona

Inside the Stats - Week 10
By Marc Lawrence

PENNZOIL PLAYS

Each week on the football card each we isolate favorites that have been out-gained in each of their last three games.

We call them ‘leaking oil’ favorites for reasons that are self-explanatory. Here are this week’s potential Pennzoil favorites.

NFL: Atlanta (if favored).

HOT TRENDS

From my weekly NFL column in the USA TODAY SPORTS WEEKLY, here are some of the hottest trends surrounding this week’s card from my all-knowing database:

The Miami Dolphins are 5-0 SU and ATS away versus NFC North opponents.

Chicago Bears quarterback Jay Cutler is 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS as a starter against the Green Bay Packers.

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is 11-3 SU and ATS as a starter in the NFL against the Chicago Bears.

Buffalo Bills quarterback Kyle Orton is 1-6 SU and ATS as a starter in the NFL against AFC West opponents.

Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh is 11-1 SU and 10-2 ATS in his NFL career in games off a SU loss of 7 or more points, and 6-0 SU and ATS in this role when playing at home.

Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is 7-1 ATS in his NFL career versus AFC East opponents.

New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton is 20-3 SU and 19-4 ATS at home during the regular season in games versus non-division opponents who own a .500 or greater record.

STAT OF THE WEEK

NFL home teams who won SU in London (Detroit Lions) are 0-7 ATS at home in the following game.

Total Talk - Week 10
By Chris David

Week 9 Recap

The ‘over’ went 7-5-1 in Week 9 and four of those winning tickets were helped with some healthy second-half surges.

Jaguars-Bengals: 41 points
Redskins-Vikings: 38 points
Ravens-Steelers: 34 points (all in 4th quarter)
Colts-Giants: 45 points

We apologize to bettors that had the ‘under’ in those games and congratulate the winners.

Through nine weeks of the regular season, the ‘over’ has gone 70-63-1.

Back to London

Since 2007, the NFL has had 10 regular season games played at Wembley Stadium from London.


NFL International Series History (2007-2014)

Year Matchup Total Result
2007 New York Giants 13 Miami 10 Under 48
2008 New Orleans 37 San Diego 32 Over 45.5
2009 New England 35 Tampa Bay 7 Under 45
2010 San Francisco 24 Denver 16 Under 41.5
2011 Chicago 24 Tampa Bay 18 Under 44
2012 New England 45 St. Louis 7 Over 46
2013 Minnesota 34 Pittsburgh 27 Over 41
2013 San Francisco 42 Jacksonville 10 Over 41
2014 Miami Dolphins 38 Oakland Raiders 14 Over 41.5
2014 Detroit Lions 22 Atlanta Falcons 21 Under 45
2014 Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars -


Looking above, you can see that the ‘over/under’ has produced a 5-5 record.

Sunday’s matchup between Dallas and Jacksonville has a total hovering between 45 points and this is a tough game to handicap. Quarterback Tony Romo is listed as ‘probable’ for the Cowboys but he’s obviously not 100 percent. The Jaguars defense has been inconsistent this season and Dallas has only managed to score 17 points in its last two games. Jacksonville still has a rookie QB but he’ll be facing a depleted Cowboys defensive unit in this matchup.

Road System Returns

This angle is a great look and I’ve been following it for a long time.

Play the ‘OVER’ for any team that is playing their third consecutive game on the Road

According to my records on Total Talk, this angle has produced a 36-15-2 (71%) record the past 10 seasons in the NFL, which includes a 1-0 record this season.

In Week 5, the Buccaneers lost to the Saints 37-31 in overtime from New Orleans and the ‘over’ (48) connected with some nice back-and-forth action in the final two quarters. This was the third consecutive road game for Tampa Bay.

In Week 10, this angle takes us to the desert as the Cardinals host the Rams, who will be playing their third straight game as visitors. St. Louis lost at Kansas City 34-7 in Week 8 before rebounding with a 13-10 upset at San Francisco last Sunday.

The total on this game is hovering around 43 points and you could be weary of playing the ‘over’ since Arizona has leaned to the ‘under’ 5-2-1 this season, especially at home (3-1).

Even though the ‘under’ has produced a 7-3 record the past 10 head-to-head meetings, I believe the Rams have a shot to score points in this spot. Arizona’s pass defense is ranked last in total yards and they have no pass rush, accumulating eight sacks in eight games. The Cardinals continue to get press but I expect a dogfight here with both teams getting at least four scores, hopefully more touchdowns than field goals.

Thursday System heads to MNF

I’m running out of adjectives to describe the “Thursday Night Total” system but after watching New England and Denver combine for 64 points last week, I think unreal sums it up.

Including the Broncos-Patriots outcome, this system is now 21-3-1 (88%) dating back to last season.

What’s the system?

All you have to do is find out who played at home the previous Thursday and play the ‘over’ in their next game, regardless of the venue.

Since Carolina hosted New Orleans last Thursday, the betting angle applies to the Panthers-Eagles matchup on MNF. Personally, I’m not buying the ‘over’ or the ‘under’ in this situation.

For starters, this system has gone 6-1 this season but the one loss came on MNF in Week 5 when the Seahawks and Redskins went ‘under’ (45). I hate to play the due factor but ‘under’ tickets will eventually start to show up more in these primetime games.

Another factor that is scaring me away from the ‘over’ is the QB play for both Carolina and Philadelphia. I don’t know if Cam Newton is hurt but he’s not the same guy for the Panthers this season.

On the other side of the ball is Mark Sanchez, who was put on a pedestal after filling in for Nick Foles and helping the Eagles beat the Texans 31-20 last Sunday.

Do you really trust Sanchez? His numbers were decent but he did have two interceptions and that’s never a good thing.

I hope it hits if you play the ‘over’ but please keep in mind that these trends and systems aren’t always automatic and they should be used as part of your handicapping.

Those looking ahead to Week 11 can begin to handicap the Saints-Bengals matchup since Cincinnati just hosted Cleveland this past Thursday.

Rematch Battles

I’m touching on this angle again because it’s been perfect so far. We’ve had four divisional matchups this season where the teams have completed their two-game series.

Through the first four rematches, the opposite total result occurred in the second encounter:

Steelers-Browns
Week 1 – Pittsburgh 30 Cleveland 27 (Over 41)
Week 6 – Cleveland 31 Pittsburgh 10 (Under 46.5)

Ravens-Bengals
Week 1 – Cincinnati 23 Baltimore 16 (Under 43.5)
Week 8 – Cincinnati 27 Baltimore 24 (Over 44.5)

49ers-Rams
Week 6 – San Francisco 31 St. Louis 17 (Over 44)
Week 9 – San Francisco 13 St. Louis 10 (Under 44)

Ravens-Steelers
Week 2 – Pittsburgh 6 Baltimore 26 (Under 44)
Week 9 – Pittsburgh 43 Baltimore 23 (Over 47)

Still early, but you can also see that three of the four teams managed to earn a season split, with Baltimore being the only club to get swept.

We have two more matchups pending this Sunday.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay: In Week 3, the Falcons blasted the Buccaneers 56-14 in a nationally televised Thursday matchup and the ‘over’ (47) cashed early in the third quarter. Since then, Atlanta has dropped five straight and the ‘under’ has gone 4-1 during that losing skid behind an offense averaging 17.8 PPG. Tampa Bay has been a mess at home offensively (15.3 PPG), which has led to a 3-1 ‘under’ mark. Josh McCown is back at QB for Tampa Bay and he wasn’t great during his first go ‘round with the starting unit. The ‘over’ has cashed in the last three encounters between the pair. This total opened 47 ½ and was knocked down quickly to 46.

Chicago at Green Bay: These teams met in Week 4 and the Packers earned a 38-17 road win over the Bears. Green Bay led 21-17 at halftime and outscored Chicago 21-0 in the final two quarters as the ‘over’ (51) cashed. It’s hard to advise playing the ‘under’ in a Packers game, since they’ve seen the ‘over’ 7-1 this season. However, this week’s total (53) seems inflated based on Green Bay’s tendencies this season. Since the game is being played at night, I believe weather will play a serious factor. It should also be noted that the ‘under’ is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the pair in games played at Lambeau Field and only one outcome during this span has had more than 53 points scored.

Under the Lights

Slowly but surely, we’re starting to see ‘under’ tickets getting cashed at the betting counter. The ‘over’ started 20-4 but the ‘under’ has gone 3-2 in the last five primetime games.

The breakdown for each night listed below:
Sunday (8-1)
Thursday (7-3)
Monday (7-3)

Chicago at Green Bay: (See Above)

Carolina at Philadelphia: (See Above)

Fearless Predictions

One user emailed me last week and asked me why I don’t use the Thursday Total System as my “Best Over” selection each week. To answer him and others, I feel like it would be a disservice to this fictitious section and I’m a little superstitious. Hopefully you’re cashing because my deficit is now $330 through nine weeks. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: St. Louis-Arizona 43

Best Under: Kansas City-Buffalo 42

Best Team Total: Steelers Under 25

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 34 St. Louis-Arizona
Under 55 Atlanta-Tampa Bay
Over 34 ½ Miami-Detroit

Vegas Line Moves - Week 10
By Matty Simo

LAS VEGAS – When the Dallas Cowboys were 6-1 and alone atop the NFC East two weeks ago, there’s no way bettors could have imagined a must-win scenario against the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars in London on Sunday. But consecutive losses and an injury to star quarterback Tony Romo have put the Cowboys on high alert with regards to getting back on the winning track before their bye week.

At least that’s what Johnny Avello, The Wynn’s Executive Director of Race & Sports Operations, believed before putting up Dallas as a 7.5-point favorite against Jacksonville on Friday afternoon after Romo was upgraded to probable following rehab for a back injury he suffered two weeks ago. Avello said he thinks bettors will treat this as a very important game for the Cowboys, who now trail the Philadelphia Eagles in the division.

“The reason that Romo is playing is because they know that they need to win this football game,” Avello said. “If they thought they could win it with the backup quarterback, they would do so because they’re off next week. If they could get by with Weeden and then have the bye week, it’s almost like three weeks off for Romo. Obviously, the coaching staff doesn’t think they have a very good shot with Weeden, otherwise I think he would be the starter.”

In what looks like one of the biggest mismatches of the week on paper, the Pittsburgh Steelers ride a three-game winning streak into MetLife Stadium on Sunday to face the one-win New York Jets, who have lost eight straight since beating the winless Oakland Raiders in their season opener. The Steelers opened as 5-point road favorites at The Wynn but have since been bet down to -4, and Avello has no idea why bettors would put their money on this Jets team right now.

“Pittsburgh’s been playing great, and the Jets have been playing lousy,” Avello said. “I guess the handicappers are just kind of handicapping on the due theory there. Why would you play the Jets in this game? The Jets might win, but Michael Vick hasn’t looked good, and Rex Ryan’s probably finished after this year. The team’s not making the playoffs, so I don’t know why the number’s been driven down. I don’t understand it.”

The biggest early line move this week at The Wynn involves an NFC South matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons. Avello opened the Buccaneers as 1-point home favorites, but the public has backed a Falcons team coming off a bye that dropped a heartbreaker in London against the Lions the week before to extend their losing streak to five. Atlanta was up to -2.5 as of Friday afternoon while Tampa could get a boost from the return of QB Josh McCown, who has not played since breaking his thumb in the last meeting with the Falcons. Atlanta routed the Bucs 56-14 at home on Thursday Night Football back in Week 3, and maybe bettors are simply remembering that game.

“They’re awful on the road – maybe having a week off or something helped,” Avello said of the Falcons. “Tampa knows they’re no good, but at least they’re trying every week. I would give Tampa a shot here. They’re played some ok games at home so far, games that they could have won.

“Josh McCown is going to be playing, he’s only been in a couple games this year. They paid a lot of money to get him, and he hasn’t done anything yet. We’ll see how that turns out.”

Some bettors might be wondering why the Green Bay Packers are not favored by more than a touchdown against the Chicago Bears in Week 10’s Sunday Night Football matchup. Chicago QB Jay Cutler is 1-10 against the Packers during his career, including the 2011 NFC Championship Game, and he missed last year’s visit to Lambeau Field, which the Bears won 27-20 with McCown under center. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone early in that game, and he is also currently nursing a sore hamstring but listed as probable.

“You’ve got to be a little careful with the Bears because they are a very difficult team to handicap,” Avello said. “It hasn’t been a good year for the Bears. But if you look at it, they won at San Francisco, they won at Atlanta, and then they put a couple bad games together now. They get a week off, and I’m sure Cutler’s taken a lot of heat, and the coach has taken a lot of heat. I think they come out and probably play a good beginning to the game, whether they finish it off strong, we’ll see.

“That’s why you’ve got to be a little careful here not to go too high on this spread. I know when you look at the two, you say Chicago’s pretty awful and Green Bay looks like a contender. It’s a division game, and the Bears might just come in there and play them tough, at least for the first half. I guess I would play the Bears in the first half if I was going to bet this game. If the Bears are going to be in it, they’re going to be in it early.”


Las Vegas SuperBook - Week 10 Betting Moves

Rotation Team Open Current Move
251 COWBOYS 7 7 0
252 JAGUARS - - -
253 DOLPHINS - - -
254 LIONS 3 2.5 -0.5
255 CHIEFS 1.5 2 0.5
256 BILLS - - -
257 49ERS - - -
258 SAINTS 3.5 5.5 2
259 TITANS - - -
260 RAVENS 10 9.5 -0.5
261 STEELERS 4 4 0
262 JETS - -- --
263 FALCONS 1 2.5 1.5
264 BUCCANEERS - - -
265 BRONCOS 11.5 10.5 -1
266 RAIDERS - - -
267 RAMS - - -
268 CARDINALS 7 6.5 -0.5
269 GIANTS - - -
270 SEAHAWKS 9 9 0
271 BEARS - - -
272 PACKERS 7.5 7 -0.5
273 PANTHERS - - -
274 EAGLES 5.5 6.5 1

Week 10 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Dolphins at Lions (-2 ½, 43 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

Week 9 Recap:
-- The Dolphins have bounced back nicely after a loss in the final seconds to the Packers, as Miami is riding a three-game winning streak. Joe Philbin’s team destroyed the Chargers as three-point home favorites, 37-0 in by far their most dominating effort of the season. Ryan Tannehill tossed three touchdown passes, while the Dolphins defense intercepted Philip Rivers three times in the win.
-- The Lions had the week off following their dramatic comeback victory in London over the struggling Falcons, 22-21. Detroit failed to cover as 3 ½-point favorites, as the Lions haven’t cashed in their past three tries in the favorite role.

Previous meeting: The Lions used several big plays in the fourth quarter to knock off the Dolphins, 34-27 as 9 ½-point underdogs back in 2010. Detroit converted a 53-yard swing pass from Shaun Hill to Jahvid Best to spur a late rally capped off by an interception return for a touchdown by DeAndre Levy in the final minutes. The Dolphins are making their first trip to Ford Field since Thanksgiving 2006 when Miami routed Detroit, 27-10 as three-point favorites.

What to watch for: Miami is riding a three-game ‘under’ streak, while allowing just 27 points during this current hot stretch. Detroit is also in the midst of a solid run to the ‘under,’ hitting in six of the past seven games. However, the Lions own a 3-7 ATS record in their previous 10 tries as a home favorite. Detroit is expected to get several offensive weapons back as running back Reggie Bush and wide receiver Calvin Johnson will be active this week.

Chiefs (-1 ½, 42) at Bills – 1:00 PM EST

Week 9 Recap:
-- The 0-2 start for Kansas City seems like a distant memory, as Andy Reid’s club has won five of its past six games to move to 5-3. The Chiefs beat up the hapless Jets last Sunday, 24-10 as 9 ½-point favorites, the third straight home win by double-digits. Kansas City and New York combined for just three points in the second half, but two first half touchdown passes by Alex Smith helped the Chiefs jump the Chargers for second place in the AFC West.
-- The Bills are still in the playoff mix at 5-3, sitting out last week after also blowing out the Jets in their last game back in Week 7 by a 43-23 count. Since Kyle Orton took over at quarterback, the Bills have won three of four games, as the former Purdue standout threw four touchdowns at New York on just 10 completions.

Previous meeting: The final win during an incredible 9-0 run for the Chiefs last season came at Buffalo, 23-13. Buffalo led 10-3 at the half, but a 100-yard interception return for a touchdown by Kansas City’s Sean Smith got the Chiefs back in the game, while Tamba Hali took back a fumble return for a touchdown to put Kansas City on top for good.

What to watch for: The Chiefs have been pointspread gold since dropping the season opener to the Titans, covering six of the past seven games. Kansas City is riding an ‘under’ streak of three games, while going ‘under’ in three of four tries away from Arrowhead Stadium. The Bills are listed as a home underdog for the first time this season, as Buffalo put together an impressive 5-1 ATS record in this role in 2013.

49ers at Saints (-5 ½, 49) – 1:00 PM EST

Week 9 Recap:
-- The 49ers need to get back on the winning track after dropping consecutive games to the Broncos and Rams to fall to 4-4. Last week’s loss to St. Louis as 10 ½-point home favorites was especially disappointing, as Colin Kaepernick couldn’t sneak in the go-ahead touchdown from the one-yard line in the final seconds of a 13-10 setback. It was the second divisional loss for the Niners this season, as San Francisco could be in danger of missing the playoffs after making the conference title game each of the past three years.
-- The Saints finally broke through on the road, beating the Panthers convincingly as three-point favorites, 28-10 for their first away win of the season. New Orleans has clawed back to the .500 mark following a 1-3 start, while outgaining their opponents in each of the past four contests.

Previous meeting: San Francisco is visiting the Superdome for the third straight season, as the Saints held off the Niners last November, 23-20. The 49ers cashed as 3 ½-point underdogs in spite of gaining just 196 yards. Kaepernick’s first road start came in the Big Easy in 2012, leading the Niners to a 31-21 victory as one-point favorites.

What to watch for: Since the start of 2012, the Niners have been a coin-flip proposition as a road underdog, posting a 4-4 ATS record. The Saints continue their dominance at home, winning all three games this season and owning an 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS record since the beginning of the 2013 campaign at the Superdome.

Broncos (-11, 50) at Raiders – 4:05 PM EST

Week 9 Recap:
-- Denver saw its four-game winning streak go up in smoke, falling at New England, 43-21 as three-point favorites. The Broncos allowed 24 points in the second quarter, as the Patriots put the game away by halftime. Peyton Manning threw for 438 yards in the loss, but the Broncos rushed for just 43 yards.
-- The Raiders continue to be the lone winless team in the league at 0-8, but Oakland managed a cover as 13 ½-point underdogs, 30-24 at Seattle. Oakland improved to 3-0 ATS as a ‘dog of at least seven points, as the best efforts for the Silver and Black this season have come against teams that overlook the Raiders.

Previous meeting: Denver has dominated Oakland in all four matchups since Manning arrived with the Broncos in 2012. Last season, the Broncos won each time by at least 16 points, including a 34-14 blowout at the Coliseum as 10-point favorites. The last time the Raiders beat the Broncos came in the opener of the 2011 season in Denver.

What to watch for: The Broncos look to extend their ‘over’ streak to six on Sunday, while Denver has won 14 of the previous 15 matchups against division foes. The Raiders have lost seven straight games at the Black Hole since last October, as the last home victory came against Pittsburgh in Week 8 of 2013 as 2 ½-point underdogs, 21-18.

Giants at Seahawks (-9, 44 ½) – 4:25 PM EST

Week 9 Recap:
-- New York suffered its third consecutive double-digit loss, falling to Indianapolis on Monday night, 40-24 as three-point home underdogs. The Giants allowed Andrew Luck to throw four touchdown passes as New York has been outgained in four consecutive contests.
-- The Seahawks are definitely going through a Super Bowl hangover at 5-3, as Seattle didn’t lose its third game last season until Week 16. Pete Carroll’s club held off the winless Raiders, 30-24, scoring the most points since the season-opener against the Packers. However, Seattle didn’t cover as double-digit favorites, failing to cover for the fourth straight game.

Previous meeting: The Seahawks traveled to Met Life Stadium last December and blanked the Giants, 23-0 as 9 ½-point favorites. Seattle’s defense intercepted Eli Manning five times in the shutout, while New York gained just 181 yards of offense. The Giants are making their first visit to Seattle since blowing out the Seahawks in 2010 by a 41-7 count.

What to watch for: New York has covered just once in four tries as a road underdog this season, while the ‘over’ has cashed in three of four away contests. Seattle looks to improve on a 20-2 SU and 15-7 ATS record at CenturyLink Field since the start of 2013, as six of the ATS losses came as a double-digit favorite.

Sunday's Top Action

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (4-4) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (4-4)
Line & Total: New Orleans -5, Total: 49

A pair of underachieving teams sitting at .500 will collide on Sunday as the slumping 49ers visit the surging Saints.

San Francisco's offense has gone south during a two-game losing skid with a mere 27 points, including a brutal 13-10 home loss to the 10-point underdog Rams. The Saints, meanwhile, beat the Panthers 28-10 in Carolina last Thursday for their second straight SU win and third consecutive ATS victory.

Last season, the Saints edged the 49ers 23-20 as 3.5-point home favorites. QB Drew Brees threw for 305 yards with a touchdown and one interception in that game, while losing QB Colin Kaepernick threw for two touchdowns, but just 127 yards in the game. Three turnovers for New Orleans is what kept the game so close as it held the ball for 34:39 and outgained San Francisco by a 387-196 margin. The Saints are 5-1 SU (3-3 ATS) when playing the 49ers at home in the past six meetings. Three of the past four meetings have finished Under the total.

Over the past two years, the 49ers are 6-0 ATS after having lost two of their past three games. They are 9-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in two of their previous three contests over the past three years as well. New Orleans, meanwhile, is 9-2 ATS as a home favorite over the past two seasons.

Both teams have long injury reports for this contest, with San Francisco potentially thin on defense with LB Patrick Willis (toe), CB Tramaine Brock (toe) and LB Dan Skuta (ankle) all questionable, as is offensive teammate WR Brandon Lloyd (hamstring). For New Orleans, RB Pierre Thomas (ribs) is out, while RB Khiry Robinson (forearm), FB Austin Johnson (knee) and LB David Hawthorne (hand) are all considered questionable to play on Sunday.

The 49ers fell just short of picking up a victory over the Rams last week when QB Colin Kaepernick (1,956 pass yards, 12 TD, 5 INT) fumbled at the St. Louis 1-yard line on the game's final play. He completed 22-of-33 passes in that defeat for 237 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. His team was, however, just 3-of-12 on third downs. He’ll need to find a way to get his offense to sustain more drives, or this team will be in serious danger of missing out on the playoffs.

One thing the Niners would be wise to do is feed RB Frank Gore (472 rush yards, 1 TD) the ball more often. Gore has gotten just 23 carries over the past two games and his team is not giving him a chance to find any sort of rhythm on the field. This is the same guy who rattled off back-to-back, 100-yard games in Weeks 4 and 5.

Defensively this team remains a nightmare to go up against, as the club is allowing just 206.3 passing yards per game (3rd in NFL) and 85.6 rushing yards per game (5th in NFL). San Francisco has allowed 17 points or less in three of its past four games, with the exception being a 42-point performance by the potent Denver offense. The 49ers should be able to slow down Drew Brees and this Saints offense, which hasn’t looked the same as it has in years past.

New Orleans has climbed its way to the top of the subpar NFC South division after going 3-1 (SU and ATS) in the past four games. This offense has started to round into form, averaging 33.0 PPG during these past four contests. One player who has really stepped up his game is RB Mark Ingram (431 rush yards, 6 TD), who has now rushed for six touchdowns in just five games this season. He has run for 100 or more yards in back-to-back games and is really opening up the field for the Saints’ pass-catchers to make plays over the middle.

One thing that could hold this team back is QB Drew Brees (2,524 pass yards, 15 TD, 8 INT) not taking care of the football. Brees has thrown five interceptions over the past four weeks and this San Francisco secondary will be aggressive in trying to cause turnovers. In his past two games at home against the 49ers, Brees has thrown for 286.0 yards per game with just four touchdowns and three picks. Those are not the type of numbers you’d expect out of an elite quarterback on his home field, so it’s important that he avoids yet another bad outing in a game his team really needs to win.

The Saints have, however, looked much better defensively in recent weeks. They forced Aaron Rodgers into throwing two interceptions two games ago and then held Cam Newton and the Panthers to just 10 points in a 28-10 victory last Thursday night. This team will play with tons of energy as they look to get back over the .500 mark.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (6-3) at NEW YORK JETS (1-8)
Line & Total: Pittsburgh -5, Total: 45.5

Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers look to stay hot when they visit a Jets team that has lost eight straight games.

Roethlisberger (2,720 yards, 22 TD, 3 INT) has now thrown for 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions in the last two weeks for the Steelers, who have won three straight games after last week’s 43-23 win over the Ravens. The Jets, meanwhile, have lost eight straight after an opening week win over Oakland. Since 1992, Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS versus New York. Last season these teams met in New York and the Steelers won 19-6 as 1.5-point favorites. The last time the Jets beat the Steelers at home was in 2007. All four games played in New York since 1992 have gone Under the total.

The Jets, however, are 1-7 ATS in all games this season and 34-60 ATS off a road loss since 1992. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is 6-0 ATS off two or more consecutive Overs in the last two years and 29-14 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992. Troy Polamalu (knee) and Ryan Shazier (ankle) are expected to miss this game for the Steelers.

Pittsburgh has completely caught fire in recent weeks, winning three straight games and five of their last seven. Ben Roethlisberger has his team scoring 41.3 PPG over the course of their winning streak and he now gets to face a New York secondary that is beyond terrible. The Jets are allowing 31.2 points per game over the last five weeks and that could mean yet another gigantic performance from Roethlisberger. Antonio Brown (71 rec, 996 yards, 8 TD) has looked like the best receiver in football this season and there’s not a player on New York’s roster that is capable of defending him. The Jets will likely throw an extra defender at him throughout the course of the game. Le’Veon Bell (711 yards, 1 TD) has enjoyed a breakout season for the Steelers this year. In addition to his rushing totals, he has also caught 47 passes for 433 yards and two touchdowns.

The Jets have a good defensive line, but Bell should be able to use his explosiveness to break free for a couple of big runs. Pittsburgh still, however, does not feature him in the red zone but they also haven’t been there much in recent weeks, as Roethlisberger has thrown a number of 20+ yard touchdown passes. The Steelers are allowing just 102.8 rushing yards per game (11th in NFL) but 252.2 passing yards per game (19th in NFL). They could end up causing a ton of turnovers against Michael Vick (396 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT).

The Jets have once again found a way to enter the headlines in a negative light. This team has lost eight straight games and the fans are calling for the heads of Rex Ryan and John Idzik. Michael Vick is the team’s new starter and despite hurting his foot against the Chiefs, he actually didn’t play that bad in the game. Vick was 21-of-28 with 196 yards and a touchdown. He did not throw any picks in the game and will need to remain mistake-free if the Jets are going to have any chance of getting back into the win column. What New York is really going to need to do is get the ball back into the hands of Chris Ivory (497 yards, 5 TD). Ivory has been the Jets most productive running back this season, but he has gotten just 21 carries over the last two weeks. Even with the minimal touches, he does have two touchdowns in those games.

Pittsburgh has a solid rushing defense, but the Jets could benefit a lot from running the ball and eating the clock. Defensively New York is allowing just 88.4 rushing yards per game (7th in NFL), but it will all come down to the play of their secondary. Recently, they have not been able to stop anybody and it doesn’t seem like that is going to change anytime soon.

NEW YORK GIANTS (3-5) at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (5-3)
Line & Total: Seattle -8.5, Total: 44.5

The Seahawks are seeking their third straight victory on Sunday when they host the struggling Giants.

While New York has lost three games in a row (SU and ATS) all by double-digits, Seattle has now won two straight, but barely hung on for a 30-24 victory over the 13-point underdog Raiders last week, which marked the team's fourth straight ATS defeat. Next up is a Giants team that is an even 5-5 SU (3-6-1 ATS) in this matchup since 1992. The last time these clubs met was last Dec. 15 in New Jersey when the Seahawks won 23-0 as 8.5-point favorites thanks picking off five Eli Manning passes. Manning, however, has cut down on his turnovers in 2014 with just five interceptions on the season thus far. New York is 4-1 ATS over the past three seasons after gaining 400 or more total yards in its previous game, but Seattle is 7-1 ATS after leading in its previous game by 14 or more points at the half during that same timeframe. Seattle is also 5-1 ATS in Weeks 10 through 13 over the past three years.

New York RB Rashad Jennings (knee) will not play in this game, nor will CB Prince Amukamara (IR, bicep) and two other defenders are questionable -- CB Zack Bowman (abdominal) and DT Cullen Jenkins (calf). Seattle looks like it will have the services of top skill players RB Marshawn Lynch (calf) and WR Doug Baldwin (groin), but LB Malcolm Smith (groin), CB Byron Maxwell (calf), S Jeron Johnson (concussion) and DT Jordan Hill (ankle) are all questionable.

The Giants are coming off a 40-24 loss at home to the Colts and they just could not stop Andrew Luck’s offense. Indianapolis racked up 443 total yards in the game, but had taken its foot off the pedal after being up big in the second half. This New York defense has been awful recently, allowing 32.7 PPG over the past three games. The Giants will need to improve or QB Russell Wilson will shred them with both his arm and legs. One player who can’t be at fault for the Giants’ recent struggles is QB Eli Manning (1,932 pass yards, 16 TD, 5 INT), who has thrown for five touchdowns and no interceptions over the past two weeks. Manning has tossed 13 TD and just 1 INT since throwing two picks in Week 2 against the Cardinals, and he threw for 359 yards with two touchdowns in the blowout loss to the Colts.

After catching two touchdown passes against the Cowboys two weeks ago, WR Odell Beckham Jr. (18 rec, 262 yards, 3 TD) followed it up with eight catches for 156 yards last week. He has emerged as a serious weapon in the Giants’ passing game and should improve as the weeks go on. New York is desperately awaiting the return of RB Rashad Jennings (396 yards, 2 TD), who is a legitimate three-down back and gives this offense a whole other look that is much more difficult for opposing teams to prepare for. The rushing workload will once again go to rookie RB Andre Williams (302 rush yards, 3 TD), who is averaging a miserable 3.0 yards per carry this season.

The Seahawks barely hung on for a much-needed victory over the Raiders last week, but QB Russell Wilson (1,669 pass yards, 11 TD, 3 INT) was rather ineffective in the game, going 17-of-35 with just 179 yards. He didn’t throw for a touchdown or interception, and he rushed for 31 yards on eight carries. Wilson should be able to turn things around against the Giants, who have been getting lit up over the past three games. The play of RB Marshawn Lynch (549 rush yards, 5 TD) could really help out if Lynch can get things going against the Giants. He was unstoppable in the win over Oakland, rushing 21 times for 67 yards and two touchdowns, and was also lethal out of the backfield, catching all five of his targets for 76 yards.

The Seahawks defense has been dominant at times this season, but they must prevent things from happening like in the second half last Sunday when Oakland nearly caught them sleeping. Seattle is allowing just 221.9 passing yards per game (6th in NFL) and 83.0 rushing yards per game (4th in NFL). If they can put together a complete game of sound offense and defense, they’ll be extremely difficult to beat.

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 10
By JASON LOGAN - WRITER

Each week, Jason Logan breaks down some of the underlying mismatches in the NFL, hoping to give you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule. Here are four of the biggest betting mismatches from Week 10:

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+1.5, 41)

Chiefs’ third-down defense vs. Bills’ third-down offense

Keeping the chains moving will make the difference if this game is as tight as the spread indicates. And doing so may be tough for the Bills, who haven’t had much success on third down this season.

Buffalo has converted just under 36 percent of its third downs, including a dismal 3 for 12 on third down versus the Jets two weeks ago. Making life tougher on those key downs is the lack of a running game to keep the defense honest. The Bills are without third-down back C.J. Spiller and fellow RB Fred Jackson is questionable with a groin injury. Add to that rookie WR Sammy Watkins injured his groin in practice and Buffalo could be dealing with plenty of three-and-outs Sunday.

Kansas City is among the best in the league at turning away opponents on third down, with foes converting just under 33 percent of those tries. The Chiefs have been especially stingy in those spots the previous three games, holding teams to a 30.3 percent conversion rate on third down and just 3.3 third downs per game in that stretch.

Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions (-2.5, 43.5)

Dolphins' kicking woes vs. Lions' red-zone defense

Miami is marching on a three-game SU and ATS winning streak and getting points in Motown Sunday afternoon. The Dolphins defense is playing well, the offense has erupted for 91 points the last three games – and only something as silly as kicking could throw a banana peel in front of the Fins.

Miami kicker Caleb Sturgis has been a sore spot in recent weeks. Sturgis, who ranks 23rd in accuracy going 16 for 20 on field goal attempts, has shanked three kicks in his last 10 attempts including a 45-yarder that went unnoticed in the blowout win over San Diego last Sunday. Sturgis was chewed out by head coach Joe Philbin for missing two FGs in Week 7 and Miami can’t afford to be missing points against one of the tougher stop units in the league.

Detroit ranks tops in the NFL in yards allowed, budging for only 290.4 yards a game. Things get even tighter when opponents actually fight their way inside the 20-yard line. The Lions have given up only 2.6 red-zone opportunities per game and have held foes out of the end zone on 47.62 percent of those chances. Detroit’s defense could force the Dolphins to turn to the shaky leg of Sturgis more than it would like Sunday.

St. Louis Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-7, 43)

Rams’ wretched second halves vs. Cardinals’ closing ability

Arizona backers are used to sweating through the first half of games this season, with the Cardinals waiting until late to turn it on. Arizona has won four in a row SU and ATS thanks to its ability to land KO blows late in the game.

The Cardinals average just under two touchdowns per second half and 8.8 points per fourth quarter – third best in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, Arizona is giving up an average of only 4.2 points in the final frame and coming through big for bettors.

St. Louis has shown a tendency to start strong in recent games, then fizzle out as its lack of talent takes over. The Rams score 11.2 points in the first 30 minutes then drop off to 7.4 in the last two chapters. Things get even uglier on defense in the second half. St. Louis is handing out 16.8 points per second half – most in the NFL – including an average of more than eight points in the fourth quarter.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-7.5, 52.5)

Bears’ grounded game plan vs. Packers’ poor run defense

When you think about Marc Trestman’s offense in Chicago, you think pass. A lot. The Bears have thrown the ball on 62.92 percent of their offensive snaps this season – fourth most in the league. But, against the rival Packers, Trestman defies convention and hits the ground running with a rush-heavy playbook.

In Trestman’s three games as Bears head coach versus Green Bay, Chicago has totaled 527 rushing yards on 98 carries – an average of 5.4 yards per run. The Bears have handed the ball off only 209 total times through eight games this season – an average of 26 runs per game – for just 4.2 yards per carry.

The Packers rank dead last in the league at defending the turf, getting bulldozed for 153.4 rushing yards per game. The Cheese Heads gave up 193 yards on the ground versus the Saints – not known for their rushing prowess – on Sunday Night Football in Week 8. Chicago is hoping to eat up as much clock as possible with the run game and leave Aaron Rodgers “Discount Double Checking” his watch on the sidelines.

NFL Prop Shop: Week 10's best player prop picks
By SEAN MURPHY

Don’t settle for just sides and totals when betting NFL football each Sunday. Sean Murphy opens the doors to the NFL Prop Shop, giving you his favorite player prop picks for Week 10.

Most passing yards

Alex Smith (Kansas City Chiefs) vs. Kyle Orton (Buffalo Bills)

I'm not convinced the Chiefs ground game will be able to really get rolling against the Bills in hostile territory. As much as they like to lean on their running game, I think Alex Smith is going to have to step up and make some throws in order for them to prevail.

Smith may not get much press, but he's one of the smartest quarterbacks in the league and I expect him to have success against a beatable Bills secondary. Getting an underdog return is icing on the cake.

The Chiefs’ pass rush will give Kyle Orton problems and Sammy Watkins could be slowed by a groin injury suffered in practice this week.

Take: Smith

Jay Cutler (Chicago Bears) vs. Aaron Rodgers (Green Bay Packers)

Everyone is down on Jay Cutler right now, and understandably so. But let's not lose sight of the fact that the Bears are coming off a bye week and, for the most part, are healthy on the offensive side of the football. It's not as if Cutler isn't without a bevy of excellent weapons and he'll use them against a familiar opponent in the Packers Sunday night.

Helping our cause is the fact that there's a good chance the Bears will be playing from behind for much of the night.

The Packers offense has returned to an elite level in 2014, but the bye week could work against them and take away some of their positive momentum. Green Bay has some issues on the offensive line to deal with this week and the Bears are desperate. Not an ideal matchup for Aaron Rodgers here.

Take: Cutler

Most rushing yards

Le'Veon Bell (Pittsburgh Steelers) vs. Chris Ivory (New York Jets)

Strictly a value play here.

The Jets are coming off yet another blowout loss and their offense isn't scaring anyone these days. With that being said, Chris Ivory remains their best option out of the backfield and I think he'll find plenty of room to run against a Steelers defense that has had its inefficiencies masked by the recent performance of the offense.

Le'Veon Bell is an excellent young running back, but it will be awfully tough for the Steelers not to stick with the hot hand, which belongs to Ben Roethlisberger. I'm not convinced Bell gets enough touches out of the backfield to outrun Ivory, not to mention warrant the steep price.

Take: Ivory

Most pass receptions

Anquan Boldin (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Brandin Cooks (New Orleans Saints)

The 49ers are suddenly reeling, fresh off an upset loss at the hands of the St. Louis Rams. Their offense has sputtered with Colin Kaepernick failing to meet expectations on seemingly a weekly basis. Here, I'm confident we'll see Kaepernick go to veteran Anquan Boldin early and often.

The Saints defense was terrific against the Panthers last week, but this is still an average stop unit at best. Boldin draws a favorable matchup on Sunday afternoon.

Brandin Cooks is an emerging talent for New Orleans, but I see him as more of a big-play receiver than a guy that's going to rack up seven to 10 catches on a regular basis. In fact, Cooks has hauled in five catches or less in four of the Saints eight games this season and only 11 in the last three games combined.

Take: Boldin

Where the action is: Sunday's biggest NFL Week 10 line moves
By ANDREW AVERY

The NFL schedule hits Week 9 and lines have been on the board long enough for bettors - both sharp and public - to have their say.

We talk with John Lester about the biggest adjustments on the Week 10 board and where those odds will end up come kickoff.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - Open: +7.5, Move: +7

The National Football League hits the United Kingdom for the third time this season as the Cowboys and the Jaguars square off at Wembley Stadium. The Cowboys head into this one in a bit of a rut having dropped two straight – both at home – and are holding out hope that Tony Romo will be able to play.

"We waited as long as we could to post this line because there is a significant dropoff between Tony Romo and Brandon Weeden," Lester points out. "Once Sunday rolls around and everyone knows that Romo is playing, I expect we’ll see a spike in the spread. I think the numbers are exactly where they need to be."

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Jets - Open: +5.5, Move: +3.5

The dichotomy in this matchup couldn't be more intriguing. The Jets are in full-on crisis mode as the team is the worst bet in the league (1-7-1 ATS) and speculation continues to arise about the job security of Rex Ryan and John Idzik. Meanwhile, the Steelers have won three straight SU and ATS and Ben Roethlisberger has lit up box scores. Of course, this is prime fodder for a sharp vs. public divide.

"Pittsburgh is off two-straight blowout wins and the Jets are in offensive disarray," Lester says. "This has the stench of trap all over it. Sharps are on the home team, squares are backing the Steelers. The public should push this back up a bit before kickoff."

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Open: +1, Move: +3

A pair of teams who have struggled at the betting window this season as the Bucs host the Falcons. Both are 3-5 ATS, but the two of them are still alive in hunt in the NFC South so there is something to play for here. Atlanta's woes away from home (read: outdoors) are well documented as they are 0-4 straight up and against the spread.

"Early money was on Tampa Bay and then we’ve basically taken nothing but Atlanta bets since," explains Lester. "Folks aren’t ready to accept that the Falcons are a bad team. If it moved above the key number, I’d take a shot on the Bucs."

New York Giants at Seattle Seahawks - Open: -9, Move: -8.5

As crazy as it sounds, the Seahawks have dropped four-straight against the spread including a pair at CenturyLink Field (-10 vs. Dallas, -13.5 vs. Oakland). That will be the site Sunday as they host the Giants. The G-Men are coming in riding a three-game SU and ATS losing streak, including a 40-24 loss to the Indianapolis Colts off a bye week.

"We’ve just started to see a little bit a smart money on the Giants," Lester says. "They certainly face an uphill situation considering the turnaround and travel elements, but Seattle hasn’t exactly 'righted the ship', so to speak. Our action has been pretty two-sided so we’re happy with the line we set."