STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 11/17/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 11/17/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014-15 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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#501 DENVER @ #502 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
The Cleveland Cavaliers look to win their fifth straight game when they host the Denver Nuggets on Monday. The Cavaliers have scored 110 or more points in each game during the streak and exploded for a season-high 127 in a 33-point win over the Atlanta Hawks on Saturday. Hoping to continue its climb up the Central Division standings, Cleveland won its only game against the Nuggets last season and has won the last three in the series.
The Nuggets missed an opportunity to post back-to-back wins for the first time this season as they fell to the New York Knicks on Sunday. Denver went a dismal 1-of-16 from the floor in the second quarter of the 109-93 loss and hopes to rebound quickly by ending its three-game road swing on a winning note. "We had a long drought," coach Brian Shaw admitted to reporters. "In the games we've lost this year we've had one quarter where we've allowed a team to create a lead so big we can't come back."
•ABOUT THE NUGGETS (2-7 SU, 2-7-0 ATS): Arron Afflalo led the team in scoring for the second straight game after tallying 18 points - including five 3-pointers - in the loss to New York. Ty Lawson added 17 points and a game-high nine assists to give him 19 helpers in his last two outings. Randy Foye missed his second straight game with a bruised right knee and is questionable for Monday.
•ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (5-3 SU, 4-4-0 ATS): LeBron James scored 32 points - on 13-of-20 shooting - to go along with seven assists and six rebounds in the 127-94 win over the Hawks. Cleveland became the first team in NBA history to start out 9-of-9 or better from the 3-point line in a quarter and wound up hitting their first 11 shots from beyond the arc. Rookie Joe Harris came off the bench to score a career-high 12 points on 4-of-5 shooting from 3-point range.
#503 DALLAS @ #504 CHARLOTTE - 7:05 PM
Coming off a dominant homestand, Dallas hits the road for the first time in 10 days when it visits Charlotte on Monday. After a loss to Miami to begin the four-game stretch at home, the Mavericks won the final three games by an average of 25 points, including the franchise's largest win ever Thursday against Philadelphia. The impressive run at American Airlines Center was capped by a 131-117 win over Minnesota on Saturday that stands as Dallas' best offensive showing since April 5, 2009.
While the Mavericks ended their home stay in fine fashion, Charlotte limped to the finish line of a four-game road trip with a 112-87 loss at Golden State on Saturday. Al Jefferson had 19 points in the loss as the Hornets shot 38.1 percent from the floor in falling to 1-5 on the road, compared to 3-1 at home. Jefferson scored 30 points and Kemba Walker had nine rebounds and nine assists as Charlotte picked up a 114-89 win at home against Dallas on Feb. 11 to gain a split of the two-game season series.
•ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (7-3 SU, 7-3-0): Dallas' surge has left it with a scoring average of 109.5, tops in the league, and while shooting is paramount, the club has prided itself on taking care of the basketball. The Mavericks turn the ball over only 10.9 times per game - fewest in the NBA - while forcing their opponents into 18.1 giveaways, the second-highest total in the circuit. The differential is easily the best mark overall and it has been on full display of late; Dallas has 35 turnovers while forcing 70 during its winning streak.
•ABOUT THE HORNETS (4-6 SU, 5-5-0 ATS): Charlotte may again be without forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, who has missed the last two games with a stress reaction in his foot. Guard Gerald Henderson, who has been out of the rotation for parts of the young season after starting 77 games in 2013-14, was given 28 minutes off the bench in the loss at Golden State but failed to provide much, going 2-for-8 from the floor. Kidd-Gilchrist was expected to miss at least two games, so there is a chance he returns in time to face Dallas.
#505 ORLANDO @ #506 DETROIT - 7:35 PM
The Detroit Pistons look to take advantage of a favorable schedule over the next 23 days with the first of nine home games in that span when they host the Orlando Magic on Monday. Detroit dropped four of its last five contests and will attempt to find answers on the offensive end where it are 29th in the league in shooting percentage at 41.8. Orlando has showed signs of improvement since a 0-4 start -- winning four of its last seven -- and Victor Oladipo is back in the lineup.
Oladipo recorded 18 points, seven rebounds and seven assists in Saturday’s 98-93 loss at Washington after scoring 13 in his season debut. The 2013-14 Rookie of the Year runner-up should be pestered by Detroit’s backcourt trio of Brandon Jennings, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and D.J. Augustin. The Pistons have defended fairly well and are among the league leaders in rebounding, but coach Stan Van Gundy told reporters, “It’s a consistency issue.”
•ABOUT THE MAGIC (4-7 SU, 7-4-0 ATS): Oladipo, who missed the first nine games with facial fractures and is wearing a protective mask, supplanted rookie Elfrid Payton in the starting lineup Saturday. Tobias Harris has made 18-of-29 from the field and grabbed 18 rebounds in his last two games and is second on the team in scoring overall at 17.9, just behind center Nikola Vucevic (18.2). The Magic will be shorthanded with rookie Aaron Gordon (broken foot) out indefinitely and Luke Ridnour (personal reasons) is questionable.
•ABOUT THE PISTONS (3-7 SU, 3-7-0 ATS): Jennings (16.2 points), Caldwell-Pope (11.7) and Augustin (10.3) have all contributed on the offensive end, but are shooting under 40 percent combined. Power forward Greg Monroe is off to a strong start for the Pistons, averaging a team-high 16.8 points along with 10.8 rebounds while shooting 51.4 percent from the field. Josh Smith (13.8 points, 7.9 rebounds) takes the most shots per contest on the team (15.6) and is making 36.5 percent of them – well below his career mark of 45.8.
#507 MIAMI @ #508 BROOKLYN - 7:35 PM
Miami will have little time to recover from an ugly home loss before it visits Brooklyn on Monday in the first meeting between the teams since the Eastern Conference semifinals. Playing without star swingman Dwyane Wade and with leading scorer Chris Bosh going 2-for-17 from the floor, the Heat lost all of a 12-point lead before dropping a 91-84 decision to Milwaukee on Sunday. Wade is still considered day-to-day but has missed two straight games with a hamstring issue.
The Nets had won four of five games before losing all three legs of a road trip, capped by Saturday's 97-87 setback in Portland. Brook Lopez led five players in double figures with 21 points in the loss, which stands as Brooklyn's lowest-scoring effort this season. The Nets won all four regular-season meetings with the Heat last season before bowing against Miami in the playoffs in five games.
•ABOUT THE HEAT (5-5 SU, 5-5-0 ATS): Given Wade's uncertain status, Bosh chose a bad time to descend deep into a shooting slump. After his woeful stat line in Sunday's loss, the big man is 12-for-49 over the course of Miami's three-game losing streak. Luol Deng, the club's third-leading scorer, has produced a total of 34 points on 30.3 percent shooting during the slide, which came right after his season-high 30-point effort in a win at Dallas.
•ABOUT THE NETS (4-5 SU, 4-5-0 ATS): Deron Williams made Brooklyn's only 3-pointer - in 19 attempts - in the loss to Portland and has enjoyed a nice uptick in his production a year after injuries limited him to 58 starts. Williams is shooting 48 percent from the floor, which would represent his best mark since 2007-08, and his 90 percent mark from the line was third in the Eastern Conference entering Sunday. The veteran point guard was limited to 7.3 points in three regular-season games against Miami last season before shooting 36.7 percent in the playoff loss.
#509 PHOENIX @ #510 BOSTON - 7:35 PM
The Boston Celtics and Phoenix Suns both learned in their last game the damage one bad quarter can do, and they'll try to put together a more complete effort when they square off Monday in Boston. The Celtics suffered their second straight defeat when they let a 19-point lead slip away in a 122-121 loss to Cleveland on Friday. The Suns also have dropped two straight after opening their six-game road trip with a 120-107 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday.
The Celtics were undone by a poor fourth quarter against the Cavaliers, getting outscored 38-20 in the final stanza, while the Suns need to come out of the locker room with a better defensive mentality than they had while being outpaced 42-20 in the third quarter in Los Angeles. "We played decent for a half," said Phoenix coach Jeff Hornacek, whose team was tied at 54 at the break. "But in the third quarter, we gave them too many easy plays." The Suns swept two meetings last season and have won six of the last nine.
•ABOUT THE SUNS (5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS): Phoenix likes to play at a fast pace and capitalize in transition, averaging 17.3 fast-break points - the second-most in the league. A strong second unit allows the Suns to push the pace, as reserves Isaiah Thomas (16.7 points) and Gerald Green (14.6 points) are among the team's top three scorers along with guard Goran Dragic (15 points). in fact, Phoenix's leading scorer has come from the bench in all five of its victories.
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (3-5 SU, 4-4-0 ATS): Having point guard Rajon Rondo (10.1 points, 12 assists, 8.1 rebounds) healthy has brought stability at the offensive end. Jeff Green (18.9 points) leads the way as all five starters are averaging double-digit scoring, and Jared Sullinger (15 points, 8.9 rebounds) and Kelly Olynyk (14.4 points, 6.5 rebounds) also are putting up solid numbers in the frontcourt. Avery Bradley is averaging a career-high 15.3 points and shooting 54.1 percent on 2-point shots and 81.8 percent from the line - both also career highs.
#511 HOUSTON @ #512 MEMPHIS - 8:05 PM
The top spot in the Western Conference — and the Memphis' franchise-record 19-game home winning streak — will be on the line when the Grizzlies host the Houston Rockets in an early-season showdown Monday. The Grizzlies look to finish a sweep of their four-game homestand and remain unbeaten in the regular season at FedEx Forum since Feb. 11. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 6-0 on the road, matching their longest winning streak away from home since an eight-game stretch to start the 1996-97 season.
Both teams sit at 9-1 despite surviving some less-than-stellar performances, including Memphis' last-second win over Sacramento on Thursday and Houston's one-point win over winless Philadelphia on Friday and ugly 69-65 victory at Oklahoma City on Sunday. "I really don't think we have played really well, but tonight was definitely a step in the right direction," Memphis coach David Joerger told reporters after Saturday's 95-88 win over Detroit. "We know it's part of the process. It's a long season and we are in the West. Every possession matters; every game matters." This one feels bigger than most, as both teams appear poised to make a run at the Southwest Division title, if not the top seed in the Western Conference.
•ABOUT THE ROCKETS (9-1 SU, 6-4-0 ATS): Houston has endured two straight subpar games and is playing its third game in four days, which could be a recipe for disaster against a tough Memphis team. The Rockets will have to hope stars James Harden (25.5 points, 7.2 assists, 6.6 rebounds) and Dwight Howard (19.2 points, 11.6 rebounds) have enough in the tank, and they'll need guard Patrick Beverley to be able to play on consecutive nights after missing the previous four games with a strained hamstring. Forward Terrence Jones (14 points, 7.5 rebounds) also has been out with a knee injury.
•ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (9-1 SU, 4-6-0 ATS): Memphis has a tremendous post duo in Marc Gasol (18.5 points, 7.5 rebounds) and Zach Randolph (16.7 points, 11.6 rebounds), which makes them one of the few teams that matches up well inside against Howard and the Rockets. The key to their success, though, might be point guard Mike Conley (16.7 points, six assists), who has picked up where he left off at the end of last year's strong campaign. Shooting guard Courtney Lee, who made the game-winning layup at the buzzer in the 26-point comeback win against Sacramento, is averaging 15.5 points on 53.3 percent shooting in six games since returning to the lineup Nov. 5.
#513 PHILADELPHIA @ #514 SAN ANTONIO - 8:35 PM
The Philadelphia 76ers are looking for their first victory, and it could be tough to come by when they visit the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. Philadelphia’s 0-9 start is its worst since the 1972-73 squad lost its first 15, and the 76ers let a late lead get away in Friday’s 88-87 loss to the Houston Rockets. Philadelphia has lost 10 straight visits to San Antonio and the last six overall meetings.
The Spurs suffered a 94-91 loss to the Sacramento Kings on Saturday for their lone defeat during a four-game road trip. “We hung in there; we just ran out of juice a little bit,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich told reporters. “A couple of guys were probably a little tired at the end of the road trip, but everybody goes through that.” Backup guard Manu Ginobili led the way with 21 points, but his tying 3-point attempt was off the mark at the buzzer.
•ABOUT THE 76ERS (0-9 SU, 4-5-0 ATS): It certainly was a missed opportunity when Philadelphia lost to Houston as second-year point guard Michael Carter-Williams committed a turnover prior to the Rockets’ game-winning shot and then missed a jumper at the buzzer. “I think we played with a lot of heart, and that’s how we’re going to have to be to stay in games,” Carter-Williams told reporters. The 76ers are looking for more production from power forward Nerlens Noel, who is having trouble staying healthy but is now back from an ankle injury.
•ABOUT THE SPURS (5-4 SU, 3-6-0 ATS): The loss to Sacramento prompted normally quiet small forward Kawhi Leonard to express his feelings over both the game and San Antonio’s slow nine-game start. “We could have stepped it up earlier and played with more intensity,” Leonard told reporters. “We have to play the whole 48 minutes.” Leonard wore a bandage over his left eye after getting clubbed in the face against the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday and requiring five stitches to close the wound.
#515 NEW ORLEANS @ #516 PORTLAND - 10:05 PM
The Portland Trail Blazers have won four in a row and six of seven heading into their game Monday against the visiting New Orleans Pelicans, but they could be without their starting forwards for a second consecutive game. LaMarcus Aldridge is recovering from a respiratory illness that kept him out of Saturday’s win against the Brooklyn Nets. Nicolas Batum has missed the last three games with a knee injury.
Allen Crabbe and Meyers Leonard would likely get the nod as replacement starters should either Aldridge or Batum not receive the green light to play. The Trail Blazers have won all three games that Crabbe has started at small forward. The Pelicans haven’t won in Portland since 2010 but should have plenty of momentum after setting franchise records for field goals (56), shooting percentage (66.7) and margin of victory in the 139-91 victory Friday against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
•ABOUT THE PELICANS (5-3 SU, 4-4-0 ATS): Anthony Davis appears to be taking his game to another level for the second consecutive season, coming in averaging 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 4.1 blocks. Even his assists and steals are up so far this season, suggesting an MVP run could be in store if he continues his assent. He was battling back spasms when these teams last met in April but the month before went for 36 points and nine rebounds while matched against Portland center Robin Lopez.
•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (7-3 SU, 7-3-0 ATS): Portland has been finding different ways to win, scoring 84 first-half points in a shootout victory against the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday and then winning a low-scoring defensive battle Saturday against the Nets. The Trail Blazers have become accustomed to winning in November, posting a 13-2 record last season and are off to a 6-2 start this month. Getting past a second straight team without Aldridge and Batum will be a big test, however.
#517 CHICAGO @ #518 LA CLIPPERS - 10:35 PM
Derrick Rose is unlikely to be in uniform when the Chicago Bulls open a seven-game road trip by visiting the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday. Rose injured his left hamstring Thursday after previously missing time with two sore ankles and once again will miss a showdown with Los Angeles point guard Chris Paul. Chicago is 5-0 on the road, while the Clippers are 4-2 at home after recording a 120-107 win over the Phoenix Suns on Saturday.
The Bulls are being overly cautious with Rose, who has struggled with injuries, and coach Tom Thibodeau defended the handling of the point guard. “Look, he was out for 2 1/2 years,” Thibodeau told reporters. “So you’re coming back, you’re playing in a physical game. So there’s going to be some times where he gets banged up a little bit.” Rose last played against the Clippers in December 2011 and hasn’t matched up against Paul since he joined Los Angeles.
•ABOUT THE BULLS (7-3 SU, 4-6-0 ATS): Guard Jimmy Butler is stepping up as a potent offensive force and has five 20-point outings while averaging a team-best 21.3 points. He scored a career-best 32 points in Saturday’s 99-90 loss to Indiana and is taking advantage of his opportunities to be a go-to guy despite being disappointed Chicago didn’t emerge victorious against the Pacers. “I scored the ball but we didn’t win,” Butler told reporters. “That’s all that matters. Points don’t win you championships.”
•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (5-3 SU, 1-7-0 ATS): While Paul had 32 points and nine assists against Phoenix, the undisputed hero was center DeAndre Jordan, who had season highs for rebounds (18) and blocked shots (seven) while scoring 12 points. “He was everywhere,” Los Angeles coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “His energy was amazing. He was a one-man wrecking crew – I don’t know how many blocked shots he had, but it felt like he had 30.” The Chicago game will mark the 249th consecutive game Jordan has played, tying Freeman Williams for third-longest streak in Clippers’ history.
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Matchup Power Trends
•PHOENIX is 48-21 ATS (+24.9 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 107.3, OPPONENT 104.0.
•DENVER is 18-3 OVER (+14.7 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 111.5, OPPONENT 114.1.
•CHARLOTTE is 12-1 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 104.3, OPPONENT 96.0.
•BOSTON is 18-6 (+11.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 50.6, OPPONENT 47.2.
•DETROIT is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor free throw shooting teams - making <=71% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 50.2, OPPONENT 56.6.
•JEFF HORNACEK is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents as the coach of PHOENIX.
The average score was HORNACEK 103.8, OPPONENT 99.4.
Situational Power Trends
•MEMPHIS is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 94.7, OPPONENT 97.7.
•DETROIT is 27-7 OVER (+19.3 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 101.3, OPPONENT 105.6.
•BOSTON is 4-28 (-28.1 Units) against the money line in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 95.3, OPPONENT 103.9.
•NEW ORLEANS is 41-79 (-45.9 Units) against the 1rst half line off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.4, OPPONENT 48.3.
•PHILADELPHIA is 20-4 OVER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 50.0, OPPONENT 54.8.
•DAVID JOERGER is 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers as the coach of MEMPHIS.
The average score was JOERGER 94.7, OPPONENT 97.7.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - good passing team, averaging >=23 assists/game on the season, after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record.
(79-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.9%, +50.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -218.5
The average score in these games was: Team 106.8, Opponent 96.8 (Average point differential = +10)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2, -2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (42-8, +21.4 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (285-105, -28.8 units).
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