Wednesday 11/19/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Balmoral Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 7:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$4300 - NON-WINNERS OF 2 RACES OR $4,000 LIFETIME AE: NON-WINNERS OF 1 RACE LIFETIME MAY DRAW INSIDE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 YOU'RE MY HERO 2/1


# 3 LANCE GRAM 4/1


# 1 FIRST FROST 5/1

YOU'RE MY HERO clearly should be supported as the nice horse to beat this time. The group gives this standardbred a very nice chance to win this one, class rankings are tops in the bunch. LANCE GRAM - This standardbred looks tough. Check out the 74 average speed rating. Many selectors will recognize the stellar speed rating in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this field of horses. FIRST FROST - Should compete admirably in this contest as his style of running fits well in this group of animals.

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pompano Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 9 - Post: 9:54 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$10000 - OPEN HANDICAP POST POSITIONS 1-4 DRAWN; 5 & 6 ASSIGNED SELLS PICKED 1 OVER 4


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 6 ANDOVER AMERICA 5/2


# 5 BABY BOY GRIN 2/1


# 3 COUNT SPEED 9/2

The choice for this one is ANDOVER AMERICA. Take a look at this horse's avg speed rating of 91 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a great play. With a formidable 89 speed rating last time out, will very likely be a factor in this contest. Win percentage for this driver-conditioner is a sparkling 19 percent - excellent chance. BABY BOY GRIN - He's going to post in good form, recording bang-up TrackMaster speed figs. An excellent play. The 91 avg class number may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the field of starters. COUNT SPEED - Overall ratings appear really strong. Can't throw out at this point. The number crunching team gives this harness racer a really strong chance to take this race, class ratings are tops in the grouping.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 DANCE FLOOR MANIAC 7/2


# 10 J. PA 3/1


# 6 SHARP HARBOUR 5/1

I favor DANCE FLOOR MANIAC here. Is hard not to consider given the company run in lately. Wilkinson has this gelding travelling well and is a respectable choice based on the solid Equibase speed figs garnered in sprint races lately. Jimenez has a win percent of 18 over the last 30 days. J. PA - Is hard not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been respectable - 84 avg - of late. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this entrant a solid choice. SHARP HARBOUR - With a solid 79 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this outing. Displays formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 19, 2013. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 MY BELL BOY 2/1


# 6 SPEEDING SPIKE 9/2


# 11 RELENTLESS MOVE 8/5

MY BELL BOY looks like the wager in here. Peltroche has recent return on investment figs which make this horse a good bet. Ran a very strong last race. Has been moving soundly in races of this distance, going 6 out of 34 under similar conditions. SPEEDING SPIKE - The tandem of Flores/Grams has one of the best ROI percentages in this field. His earnings per start in dirt sprint races alone makes you take a look at him. RELENTLESS MOVE - The Equibase class figure of today's contest is much lower than his last affair. The average class figure of 84 makes this horse difficult to beat.

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,800 Class Rating: 95

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 LOUIE MONDELLO (ML=5/1)
#4 DA BIG DAWG (ML=6/1)
#2 QUIET AND FOXY (ML=7/2)
#7 DRIFTING WIND (ML=6/1)


LOUIE MONDELLO - You have to consider the solid works of late. DA BIG DAWG - Rider hops up on board after getting to know the mount by riding last race out. That's always a big time angle. Strong return on investment for this jockey and conditioner pair. This racer coming off a strong effort in the last month is a contender in my humble opinion. QUIET AND FOXY - This gelding is in good physical condition. Finished first on Nov 10th. That 99 fig this gelding registered in his last affair tells me he's a key player this time around. This gelding is tops in (EPS) earnings per start. Take a long look at this animal in the post parade. DRIFTING WIND - This horse didn't run well in the mud in his last race around the track at Mountaineer. You should toss out that performance. The ROI when Pilares and West team up is outstanding.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 RED ALL OVER (ML=3/1), #8 RESTRUCTURING PLAN (ML=4/1),

RED ALL OVER - This chalk horse may be out of shape without any recent morning blow outs. RESTRUCTURING PLAN - May bounce off of that last good effort.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 LOUIE MONDELLO to win at post-time odds of 9/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4] Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Zia Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:25pm - Starter Allowance - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 ALUMNI (ML=2/1)
#1 SPANISH JAZZ (ML=3/1)


ALUMNI - A winning percentage the likes of what Eikleberry and Evans have achieved together is out of sight. This thoroughbred could be tough this time around, especially since Eikleberry rode last race out and now should be more familiar with this one. I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always on the board. I like when a pony wins after shipping in from elsewhere. It shows that they really like the track here. I'll take this gelding to win again. SPANISH JAZZ - Entered last at Zia Park in a race with a class figure of 99. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure this time out puts him in a solid position in this event. A horse coming back this quickly after a strong race is a good signal. Ranks uppermost in earnings per start. A powerful outing right here will boost the lifetime total. Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a top effort today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 PURE SOVEREIGNTY (ML=5/2), #5 BILLIE D (ML=7/2),

PURE SOVEREIGNTY - Improbable that the speed rating he garnered on Nov 3rd will hold up in this affair. BILLIE D - Not likely for this entrant to make an impact with no recent success in a sprint race. This gelding showed very little last time.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 ALUMNI is the play if we get odds of 2/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #6 - AQUEDUCT - 2:45 PM EASTERN POST

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $10,000.00 CLAIMING $20,000.00 PURSE

#7 MAMA ZEE
#11 DISCREET FORCE
#5 ROSIE MY WAY
#1 BLUE BALLERINA / #1A MIDNIGHTINPOSITANO

#7 MAMA ZEE qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," drops in class (-10), is the overall speed leader in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in her last five outings, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 61% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #11 DISCREET FORCE, a 4-1 shot, has hit the board in two of her last three outings, winning in her 3rd race back.

Northfield: Wednesday 11/19 Analysis
By Ken Walters

DRF HARNESS


Best Bet: NORMAS ROSE (6th)

Spot Play: AMERICAN PILOT (4th)


Race 1

(9) CANDY J meets one of the softest fields of the evening. Getting away from the second tier will put her right in the mix and a little late rally can get her home. (7) LEIGH ANN takes another drop in company and should find a winning level soon. (2) VISION OF GLORY switches drivers and is salivating at the thought.

Race 2

(7) ITSNOONERTIME has the speed to overcome the post. Needs some endurance to stay the course. (1) CANNAE BARRON takes a big drop and has the rail. (5) DAPPER BARON TWO closed well three back but has toured the track last two. Best makes him a threat.

Race 3

(5) ABBEYCREST closed well in last and need only improve a bit to get home at the end. (6) ROYAL CAT has been showing signs of life but has to overcome the post. (7) PUMP ME UP has done everything but win this year. She will go well and could get the elusive first win of the year.

Race 4

(5) AMERICAN PILOT was unlucky in last getting parked the mile. Challenged all the way to the stretch before tiring and has to be taken seriously in here. (2) MYSTICAL BROTHERS came uncovered in last but flattened out. Prior was a strong late closing second best. (6) SAUCY BROWN finished well last two and looms as serious stretch threat.

Race 5

(6) SPECIAL WEEFOLD races second time since shipping in. Should show a bit more life second over the track. (9) L H REMACHABLE had a good trip in last and closed well. Cant break the 2014 o-fer with some improvement. (4) MATHAMERICA has seldom won in career but has hit the board a fair share of times.

Race 6

(4) NORMAS ROSE was used twice in last. After leaving and tucking, she raced uncovered and challenged to the lane before tiring. Faces slightly weaker and looms as the one to beat. (3) ON YOU BRIT came uncovered two back, rallied from the pocket in latest. Both times he came up short. Vet is running out of time. (8) CINCINNATI MYSTRES set a new life mark in last with stunning rally and looks like a player despite the post.

Race 7

(2) LUCKY REI closed strong and game in last to take the cake. Faces similar and game and strong can carry the stay once more. (3) GOOD CITATIONS closed late in last after two winning efforts out of town. (4) SONICPEDIA is always in the hunt.

Race 8

(3) SCOOTIN BAY was a big winner two back but was outkicked in last. Best is needed in well-matched field. (6) LIGHTNINGINTHESKY has been right there but a bit short last two. (5) MAJIK MASTER was a winner until he broke last week. Needs to stay flat obviously.

Race 9

(3) MOMA JEANS CROWN was wide and game to get a win in last. Faces similar and gets the nod to take another. (5) DAY TO DAY was nailed last in last. Needs to toughen up a bit to take the pot. (8) DEVOUTLY HANOVER wide lesser in last but moves out and faces better. Earns a look for minor shares.

Race 10

(6) RADAR LOVER just missed two back and takes this one with same move. (2) THEY CALL ME GORDY put in a game effort two back missing by a half. Was out early in last, yielded to brushing horse, sat in and failed to fire late. Fits too well this level to ignore. (9) FREDDYS LATTE will be tough if she escapes the second tier.

Race 11

(2) GO HERBIE GO seeks third straight facing similar he has defeated last two. (1) CERVEZA DINERO has the pole and speed to spare. (9) ST ELIANS FIRE should be the one to fear in the lane. Late closer has made in interesting on the wire last two.

Race 12

(2) QUICK KIL left, tucked, pulled, tried to kick it up but flattened. Will have to show more but there are very few in here that have current form to threaten and guts enough to deliver. (3) SMOOTH SAILOR had the trip in last but failed to get it done. Will be tough if tougher. (4) ROYAL ONE flashed some good late speed two back and should be considered.

Race 13

(3) UP FRONT PETE VK seeks third straight and faces weaker. Cannot look past that logic. (2) MARTIN HANOVER has speed enough to stay close and can be dangerous if in the pocket. (1) STORMY GHOST was in traffic last and had no shot two back. Three back was strong effort. Has good late speed if he gets right trip.

Race 14

(2) SUNRISE SUNSET was a game winner in last and seems faster than main competition. (6) TEDS DREAM GIRL closed a ton in last to nail the win and is never out of it. (3) DARLING ANGEL was parked in last from eight hole and looms tough from here.

Race 15

(2) ARTISTIC DREAMER knows how to win and has been knocking at the door last two. (5) SANDYS CANDY rallied gamely uncovered chasing a runaway winner and can be close on best. (1) DIAMONDS REVENGE has speed and the rail and should stay close but has yet to win this year.

Balmoral: Wednesday 11/19 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (47 - 94 / $185.50): YOU’RE MY HERO (1st)

Spot Play: SCARBORO HANOVER (4th)


Race 1

(4) YOU'RE MY HERO never had a shot last out even before making the break. If the pacer minds his manners he will be very tough to beat. (2) CHIPPER has stormed home in two straight and faces similar. (5) MYSTICAL SHOOTER gelding might be starting to turn a corner showing a nice late kick last out.

Race 2

In a wide open and tough race to handicap (7) LITTLE MAN MORAND beat this bunch a few starts ago and will be firing early. (6) HOPE AND CHANGE closed decent ground last out off a very slow middle half; threat. (2) ARLO GRAM pacer makes his second start off a long layoff and should show some improvement.

Race 3

(3) YOUROLDLOV-ELETTER just missed last out racing gamely. The pacer owns a good burst of speed when timed right. (1) SWEET ALYSSA gets the best post with the top driver but wasn't even close to the top choice last out; command a price. (5) PERFECTLY CLEAR filly is probably best fit for the big track and has been competitive at this level in the past.

Race 4

(1) SCARBORO HANOVER gets sent out for connections that popped one at a huge price last week. The gelding had a nice first start over the track and should be ready for a better effort. (2) PARKED ONDA STREET has been much better for new connections and probably should be considered the horse to beat. (3) YERMANOS has come up empty off of perfect trips in his last two; use underneath.

Race 5

(6) BLUE GEM looks to be unstoppable at this level for hot connections; short price. (5) JOYFUL GAME mare could be one of few threats to the top choice with a good setup; fires late. (7) PARK LANE CRYSTAL mare is 0 for the year and is best used underneath.

Race 6

(3) RUSSELL L popped at a price first start off a layoff last out and has room to improve. (4) COME N BET IT pacer finds much softer competition dropping in class. The 8-year-old owns a big late kick and just needs a smooth trip for a shot late. (7) CAMWISER will likely take heavy tote action going for three straight at this level; threat.

Race 7

(8) WANNA BE WENDY takes a significant drop in class, gets a good driver change, and will offer a big price. The 3-year-old will need some racing luck in a wide open race. (2) ONE LOUD DING also should offer a big price for recent hot connections; drivers choice. (7) VAL'S WAY has just missed in her last two but looks to offer low value; use caution.

Race 8

In a really weak field tough to gauge (8) BEN N AL paced a good mile last out after a long ship. The pacer could have more to offer second start over the track. (3) PREMONITION is 0 for the year but has been knocking on the door at this level. (4) CONZO has some excuses and should offer a good price.

Race 9

(7) OUR MISS LILY should get an easier lead and will be driven very aggressively. (3) EASY ON THE CHIPS has just been racing evenly but gets sent out for capable connections. (9) KITTY O'BRIEN mare always hits the board at this level, however the pacer gets a negative driver change; command a price.

At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey

As I write this on Tuesday evening from Northwest Florida, the temperature is 32 degrees and dropping to an all-time low of 26. I have to remind myself that it is just 163 days until the 2015 Kentucky Derby.

Spring cannot get here soon enough for me, and we may get a preview on Saturday as an overflowing field was entered in the $1 million Delta Downs Jackpot (G3) which is a points race for the Road to the Derby series.

A dozen were entered (with 10 able to start) and the morning line favorite is the D. Wayne Lukas trained Mr. Z at 5-2. The colt checked in fifth in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) in his last outing.

The colt has landed in the bottom half of the exacta in three graded stakes: the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) at Keeneland, and the Saratoga Special (G2) and Sanford Stakes (G3) at Saratoga this summer.

The colt is currently listed at 125-1 in early Kentucky Derby future wagering.

The second choice on the morning line for the Delta Jackpot is Golden Actor at 7-2. The son of two-time Horse of the Year Curlin won the local prep in his last start, taking the Jean Lafitte Stakes on Oct. 25 by 4 ¼ lengths.

American Pharoah is the current betting favorite for next spring’s Run for the Roses at 13-1. Trained by Hall of Famer Bob Baffert, the colt would have been the betting favorite for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile but a foot bruise knocked him out of the race.

He is the frontrunner for the Eclipse Award for top two-year-old, winning the Del Mar Futurity (G1) and Frontrunner (G1).

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile runner up Carpe Diem is the second choice in early Derby betting at 15-1, while Juvenile upset winner Texas Red is the third choice at 18-1.

Here are the top betting choices. There are still plenty of lightly raced runners that could be had for as much as 400-1.

2015 Kentucky Derby Future Odds
American Pharoah 13-1
Carpe Diem 15-1
Texas Red 18-1
Blofeld 30-1
Dortmund 30-1
Daredevil 35-1
Jesss Dream 38-1
Upstart 40-1
Punctuate 45-1
Lucky Player 50-1
Wake Up Nick 50-1

Here is today’s second race (the opener features a 2-5 chalk) from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQU Race 2 Md Sp Wt (12:49 ET)
2 Hijaab 4-1
3 Full of Sugar 5-1
4 Mallory Street 3-1
6 Blooper 5-2

Analysis: Hijaab dueled for the early lead and weakened to finish fifth last out at Philly as the 4-5 chalk. The third place finisher Kiss Me Forever came back to graduate in her next outing on Oct. 12 and then ran a good second against Alw-1 foes. Two back our top pick was a game second at Monmouth Park behind repeat winner Bernadine, a next out Alw-1 winner. In his debut our top pick ran into another repeat winner in Thirteen Arrows, who beat Alw-2L foes at Delaware Park in her next outing. She comes back here off a two month break for the McLaughlin barn that is 24% winners with runners coming back off a 46-90 day break.

Full of Sugar has run into repeat winners in three of her four starts and now returns off a eight month layoff here for the Hennig barn that is 14% winners (with a +ROI) with horses coming back off a +180 day layoff. The filly sports a couple of quick works on the morning tab and Rosario sticks.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,3 / 2,3,4,6
TRI: 2,3 / 2,3,4,6 / 1,2,3,4,6

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 8 Alw $67,000N1X (3:43 ET)
5 Irish Whisper 6-1
9 Storm Swept 4-1
7 Whispering 10-1
4 Sun and Moon 8-1

Analysis: Irish Whisper faded to finish eighth last out in the state bred Iroquois which was her first start off a six-month layoff. This will be her first start outside of the state bred ranks but she should be tighter in her second start off the bench for the Englehart barn. She beat state bred Alw-2 optional claimers back in April over the main track here before hitting the bench.

Storm Swept pressed the early pace and could not match strides late with the winner in a runner up finish last out at this level. Two back off a 10-month layoff the filly stalked the early pace and finisher evenly in a fourth place finish behind repeat winner Princess Violet, who returned to win the state bred Empire Distaff 'Cap on Oct. 18. The filly makes her third start of her current form cycle for the Jerkens barn that has been sending out live runners at the meeting.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 5,9 / 4,5,7,9
TRI: 5,9 / 4,5,7,9 / 2,4,5,7,9

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R1: #7 Pegasus Red 12-1
R1: #2 Player to Be Named Later 10-1
R3: #9 Bi Light of Day 12-1
R4: #6 Mia Poppy 8-1
R4: #2 Matt and Jesse 10-1
R6: #3 Rettalfa 10-1
R7: #9 Bernstein Flambe 12-1
R8: #7 Whispering 10-1
R8: #4 Sun and Moon 8-1
R9: #10 Thunders Fury 12-1

Good luck today!

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (3rd) Dixie Gem, 6-1
(7th) Freudie Anne, 3-1

Charles Town (1st) Star Rambo, 4-1
(4th) Speeding Spike, 9-2

Delta Downs (1st) Forty Won Deals, 3-1
(5th) Barnabas, 9-2


Finger Lakes (1st) Get Busted, 3-1
(5th) Yonni, 7-2


Gulfstream Park West (1st) Sir Edgar, 3-1
(7th) Gino and the Jets, 3-1


Hawthorne (4th) It's a Great Life, 3-1
(5th) Prairie Breeze, 7-2


Laurel Park (4th) Tip It On Back, 3-1
(5th) Robbinette, 4-1


Mountaineer (1st) Red All Over, 3-1
(3rd) Bliss Fit, 4-1


Penn National (1st) Capablanca, 4-1
(9th) Medalbu, 5-1


Remington Park (5th) Lots of Mamas, 4-1
(6th) Eddie Junior, 9-2


Woodbine (2nd) Sexy Operator, 3-1
(3rd) Nash's Joy, 3-1

Grand Salami - November

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
11/1 12 64 54 UNDER
11/2 7 36.5 39 OVER
11/3 1 5 7 OVER
11/4 12 65.5 56 UNDER
11/5 3 15.5 15 UNDER
11/6 10 54.5 56 OVER
11/7 5 26.5 26 UNDER
11/8 12 63.5 77 OVER
11/9 5 27.5 29 OVER
11/10 2 10.5 11 OVER
11/11 11 60.5 60 UNDER
11/12 2 11 18 OVER
11/13 9 49 53 OVER
11/14 6 32.5 28 UNDER
11/15 12 64.5 62 UNDER
11/16 6 31.5 33 OVER
11/17 1 5.5 6 OVER
11/18 11 - - -
11/19 2 - - -

Oilers offense stymied by Canucks defense
Justin Hartling

The Edmonton Oilers have had a time trying to top the Vancouver Canucks. Over the past eight contests, four of which were this season, the Oilers are 2-6.

Though the overall score during that period looks close, 26-18 for the Canucks, but Edmonton has scored two goals or less in five of those eight contests.