Thursday 12/4/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

Search
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
Good luck on all your plays.

When not viewing the service plays.
Make sure to enjoy the rest of what the RX has to offer.

First time here at the RX.
Make sure to visit the Newbies Room
Click here to go there now
 

New member
Joined
Nov 14, 2014
Messages
4
Tokens
thot Chris James was honest and reliable....his pics have been getting crushed lately...anybody know wat's goin on?
 

New member
Joined
Sep 6, 2013
Messages
37
Tokens
thot Chris James was honest and reliable....his pics have been getting crushed lately...anybody know wat's goin on?

He was hot going into Season - been at 50% including mL chalk - net loss over $5k last 60 days
 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
Copa del Rey TODAY 19:00
Real OviedovSociedad
default.jpg
2192.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS54

5/2

8/11

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT REAL OVIEDORECENT FORM
–-–-–-–-HWHW*
Most recent
position03.26.0.png



  • 1 - 2
  • 1 - 0
  • 0 - 1
  • 2 - 1
HLADHLHWADHW
Most recent
position03.26.0.png


EXPERT VERDICT: David Moyes will be focused on getting Real Sociedad to climb the league so this two-legged Copa del Rey clash is something of a distraction, especially with his side in the same half of the draw as Atletico, Barcelona and Real Madrid. The two-time winners should overcome third-tier Real Oviedo but the hosts are high scorers and should notch.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
French Ligue 1 TODAY 20:00
LyonvReims
1645.png
2146.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT11/2

16/5

11/2

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LYONRECENT FORM
HWHWAWHWADAL
Most recent
position06.26.0.png



  • 3 - 2
  • 0 - 1
  • 3 - 0
HWHD*ADHWADHW
Most recent
position05.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Lyon have won seven of their eight home league games this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Reims have not played champagne football in recent weeks but their results have really picked up with the visitors on an impressive seven-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1. However, Stade Gerland has been a fortress for Lyon this season and home favourite Alexandre Lacazette is the man most likely to break the deadlock.

RECOMMENDATION: A Lacazette first goalscorer
1


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
Copa del Rey TODAY 21:00
R. VallecanovValencia
2221.png
2697.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
SS521/10

12/5

5/4

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT R. VALLECANORECENT FORM
AWALHLALHWAW
Most recent
position04.26.0.png



  • 1 - 0
  • 0 - 4
  • 1 - 2
  • 0 - 4
ALHWAWHDALHL
Most recent
position03.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Valencia have won two of their last 14 away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Despite their position in the upper echelons of La Liga, Valencia have not been brilliant on the road and a trip to Vallecano could be problematic in this Copa del Rey contest. However, Rayo Vallecano are unlikely to be brimming with confidence themselves having kept clean sheets in just two of their last nine on their own patch, so it would not be a surprise if both teams netted.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
German Bundesliga 1 Fr 5Dec 19:30
B DortmundvHoffenheim
398.png
3937.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
11/20

7/2

9/2

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT B DORTMUNDRECENT FORM
ALHWHWADALAL
Most recent
position03.26.0.png



  • 3 - 2
  • 1 - 2
  • 3 - 1
  • 1 - 1
HWHWALHLALHW
Most recent
position04.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Dortmund have kept one league clean sheet this season

EXPERT VERDICT: It is quite staggering to see Borussia Dortmund bottom of the Bundesliga but they are not being priced up as a struggling side which is probably correct seeing as it is a matter of time before they climb the table. Hoffenheim will fancy their chances of scoring but Dortmund can edge themselves to victory.

RECOMMENDATION: Dortmund to win 2-1
1


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
English Championship Fr 5Dec 19:45
FulhamvWatford
1055.png
2741.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
13/10

13/5

11/5

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FULHAMRECENT FORM
HLADHDHWALAW
Most recent
position03.26.0.png



  • 0 - 0
  • 2 - 0
  • 5 - 0
  • 1 - 2
ADHWALALHLHL
Most recent
position02.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Fulham have won five of their last seven home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Fulham are much improved under Kit Symons and can continue on an upward curve by beating Watford. The Hornets are in the midst of an alarming slump having suffered four straight defeats and will do well to stop a side who have scored 17 goals in their last seven fixtures at Craven Cottage.

RECOMMENDATION: Fulham
2


 

New member
Joined
Nov 10, 2010
Messages
78,682
Tokens
Italian Serie A Fr 5Dec 19:45
FiorentinavJuventus
999.png
1408.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
11/4

23/10

11/10

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FIORENTINARECENT FORM
ALHDHLAWAWAW
Most recent
position05.26.0.png



  • 0 - 1
  • 4 - 2
  • 0 - 0
  • 0 - 5
AWHWHWAWAWHW
Most recent
position07.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Juventus’s seven away league games have produced 13 goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Juventus could be forgiven for having one eye on their huge Champions League clash with Atletico but there is no love lost between these two clubs and this is also a big contest. Fiorentina are lacking a forward threat but can be difficult to break down and Juventus will have to work hard for the victory.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-Juventus double result
1


 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Grand Salami - December

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
12/1 5 26.5 31 OVER
12/2 10 55.5 45 UNDER
12/3 4 21 22 OVER
12/4 11 - - -
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Preview: Bruins (14-11) at Sharks (12-10)

Date: December 04, 2014 10:30 PM EDT

A difficult road stretch has yet to yield a victory for the offensively troubled Boston Bruins.

Getting one on the third stop on their four-game trip won't be any easier of a task, as the San Jose Sharks look to match their longest win streak of the season Thursday night.

Boston (14-11-1) fell victim to hot goaltending in the first two games of its West Coast swing, tallying 34 shots in a 3-2 loss to Anaheim on Monday and 31 the next night in a 2-0 loss at Los Angeles.

The Bruins fell to 10-4-0 when they log 30 or more shots.

"It's like quicksand," winger Milan Lucic told the team's official website. "You know, the harder you try, the more you fall in.

"It's difficult to not get frustrated. It's difficult to stay cool and I guess not cheat - but I think if you look at how things go, if you start cheating and start trying to find ways by not playing the system to try to get results, it usually doesn't work out for you."

The inability to consistently score has grown from an annoyance to an alarming trend. The Bruins have managed more than two goals only once in their past 10 games, touting the NHL's least productive offense since Nov. 12 with 1.50 goals per game. They've been shut out twice in their past five after being blanked only once all of last season, and they're scoreless on the power play in eight consecutive games - they haven't had a longer drought since 2001.

Boston's stars have done little to right the team's ship, highlighted by the struggles of Patrice Bergeron. The 11-year veteran, coming off a career-high 30-goal season, has scored five through 26 games and been held without a point in five straight.

Brad Marchand is the only Bruins player among the NHL's top 100 in goals with six.

"We keep stressing as a team that to score goals in this league, it's not an easy thing," center Gregory Campbell said. "They're going to happen in ways that aren't very pretty and most of the goals scored nowadays are from around the net, so when we start getting hungrier around the net, I think the goals will start to come more."

San Jose's current upturn promises another challenge to the Bruins. The Sharks (12-10-4) have enjoyed back-to-back victories following a four-game skid.

Logan Couture scored twice Saturday in a 6-4 win over Anaheim, and Antti Niemi blanked Philadelphia for the final 54 minutes of Tuesday's 2-1 win.

"This team has always been streaky," forward Tommy Wingels said. "When we win a couple, streaks build on top of each other. This team can reel off five, six, seven, eight in a row. That's what we're going to try to do here."

Niemi owns a 1.99 career goals-against average against the Bruins despite losing the teams' first meeting this season, 5-3 in Boston on Oct. 21.

Tuukka Rask made 31 saves in that victory and is 3-0-0 with a 1.33 GAA against San Jose.

The Sharks may be without Couture after he left Tuesday's game with a possible head injury and did not return. Couture leads the club with 22 points.

The Bruins have taken the last three meetings with the Sharks and have won three of four in San Jose.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Blues surging with no rest between games
Justin Hartling Dec 4, 2014

The St. Louis Blues are a stellar 4-1 straight up this season on no days rest. The Blues, who have won their last four in that situation, have outscored their opponents 11-9 this season.

St. Louis will be the only team in action Thursday night on no rest.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NBA Preview: Pelicans (8-8) at Warriors (15-2)

Date: December 04, 2014 10:30 PM EDT

Stephen Curry and Anthony Davis may have made the strongest cases for MVP through the NBA's first month-plus.

The difference, however, is that Curry's team continues to find ways to win, while Davis' squad has had difficulties stringing victories together more recently.

The Golden State Warriors will look to match their longest-ever winning streak Thursday night when they host the New Orleans Pelicans.

Curry's 23.7 points per game are down slightly from his 24.0 mark last season, though he's shooting a personal-best 49.5 percent from the floor and his 2.3 assist-to-turnover ratio is the highest of his career. He's also averaging a plus-14.0 rating that ranks second in the NBA behind teammate Klay Thompson.

More significantly, the Warriors (15-2) own the league's best record. They've won 10 straight since back-to-back losses to Phoenix and San Antonio on Nov. 9 and 11, pulling within one game of their franchise-record 11-game winning streak from Dec. 29, 1971-Jan. 22, 1972.

Curry took over in the second half of Tuesday's 98-97 home win over Orlando, scoring 17 of his 22 in the final 24 minutes and hitting the go-ahead 3-pointer with 2.2 seconds left. The Warriors trailed by nine with just over four minutes remaining.

"It's just kind of a rush that every player loves to experience," Curry said. "Especially at home when you're able to do that and get a huge win, you remember those moments."

Curry's performance was all the more important given that Golden State was not at its best. The Warriors, whose 37.9 3-point percentage ranks second in the league, were 8 of 27 from deep. They also let Orlando go 39 for 87 from the field (44.8 percent) - a reasonable number for most teams but the worst allowed by the NBA's leader in field-goal defense in 10 games.

Davis has done it all for the Pelicans (8-8), averaging 24.9 points, 11.3 rebounds, 3.1 blocks and 2.3 steals, and his 55.6 field-goal percentage is the best of his career. He is threatening to become the first player to average at least 20.0, 10.0, 3.0 and 2.0 since San Antonio's David Robinson in 1991-92.

New Orleans is looking for its first consecutive wins in nearly three weeks, however, ending a season-high three-game skid with Tuesday's 112-104 home win over Oklahoma City.

Davis had 25 points, 10 rebounds, six steals and four blocks while Tyreke Evans bounced back in strong fashion, scoring 15 of his season-high 30 points in the final quarter. Evans was held to a season-low four points on 2-of-15 shooting in a loss at Washington four days earlier.

"We did a great job of being disciplined on our game plan, knowing what guys were going to do and we just stayed with it for four quarters," Davis said.

The third-year pro has 55 points on 19-of-33 shooting in his last two games after going 9 for 26 in the previous two contests.

Davis scored 31 points with 17 rebounds in a 97-87 home loss to Golden State on Jan. 18, the Warriors' seventh straight victory against the Pelicans. Neither team had won more than three straight in the series prior to Golden State's current run.

Draymond Green returned in Tuesday's game with his right thumb and wrist taped after tumbling into a row of photographers, but he's listed as questionable. He is tied for third on Golden State with 12.4 points per game and is the team's second-leading rebounder with 7.2 per contest.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Knicks not only bad on court, also bad at window
Justin Hartling

The New York Knicks 4-15 straight up record is bad and their 5-14 record against the spread is barely any better. The Knicks are the worst team in the NBA at cover, only winning spread action 26.3 percent of the time.

New York has not covered at Madison Square Garden since Nov. 16 and have gone 0-3 ATS in their past three at home.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations

NBA | CLEVELAND at NEW YORK
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )

NBA | CLEVELAND at NEW YORK
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CLEVELAND) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off a home loss against a division rival
112-71 over the last 5 seasons. ( 61.2% | 47.0 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.1 units )

NBA | NEW ORLEANS at GOLDEN STATE
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 after 10 or more consecutive wins
25-6 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.6% | 18.4 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
StatFox Super Situations

CBB | BAYLOR at VANDERBILT
Play Against - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (BAYLOR) after a cover as a double digit favorite, playing only their 3rd game in a week
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )

CBB | ARKANSAS at IOWA ST
Play Against - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ARKANSAS) off a home win scoring 85 or more points, top level team, winning 80% or more of their games on the season
215-56 since 1997. ( 79.3% | 78.7 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -2.8 units )

CBB | TCU at OLE MISS
Play Against - Any team (TCU) after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 37.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NCAAF MAC Championship Preview
By Joe Nelson

The MAC Championship matchup is the same as last season despite some major changes for both programs this season as Bowling Green and Northern Illinois will meet Friday night in Detroit. Bowling Green beat Northern Illinois last season to cost the Huskies a possible BCS bowl spot, but neither squad is as decorated this season. Here is a preview of the big game to close an exciting season in the conference.

Match-up: Bowling Green Falcons at Northern Illinois Huskies
Venue: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
Date: Friday, December 5, 2014
Time/TV: 7:00 PM ET – ESPN2
Line: Northern Illinois -6½, Over/Under 59
Last Meeting: 2013, Bowling Green (+3) 47-27

This is the fifth straight MAC Championship game for Northern Illinois and a chance to avenge last season’s loss to Bowling Green in the title game. The Huskies were 12-0 at this point last season with potentially a BCS bowl spot on the line heading into this game as a slight favorite. Bowling Green took control early with a 17-7 first quarter lead and the Huskies never got closer than four points in a 47-27 rout for the Falcons with 574 yards posted. Northern Illinois wound up in the Poinsettia Bowl where they lost to Utah State, while Bowling Green fell to Pittsburgh in the Little Caesar’s Bowl.

Bowling Green entered the season again as the favorites in the MAC East, but the program has gone through some major changes. After five solid seasons, Dave Clawson left Bowling Green to take over at Wake Forest. Dino Babers was hired to take over after two successful seasons at the FCS level at Eastern Illinois, while working his way up as a position coach at several prominent programs, notably at UCLA and Baylor. Babers brings an up-tempo pace to the offense and after a disastrous debut with a 59-31 loss to Western Kentucky, the Falcons posted a nice season at 7-5.

Bowling Green suffered a big blow early in the season as starting quarterback Matt Johnson was injured in that opener, but the Falcons still picked up a nice win over Indiana in non-conference play and wound up winning every game against the MAC East. The East was by far the weaker of the two MAC divisions this season with Bowling Green the only team to emerge with a winning record and the Falcons went 0-3 vs. the MAC West, though Northern Illinois was not on the schedule. Bowling Green limps into this game with back-to-back losses to close the season, but this is a difficult team to match up with as sophomore quarterback James Knapke had a number of strong performances and the offense has great rush/pass balance while scoring nearly 31 points per game.

Bowling Green has struggled defensively, allowing more points and yards than produced on the season and surrendering 6.1 yards per play. The run defense will be tested against the Huskies and compared with last season, Bowling Green is 198 points worse in scoring differential in conference games as last year’s squad was a truly dominant unit, especially on defense by MAC standards. The same type of decline can be seen for Northern Illinois as while the coaching staff remained, losing Heisman Trophy candidate Jordan Lynch was difficult and the Huskies were not nearly as impressive as past seasons despite another strong record. The Huskies were 142 points worse in MAC point differential compared with last season as both of these teams failed to match the success from 2013 despite doing enough to return to this title game.

Northern Illinois remains a viable rushing team, averaging 49 attempts and 246 yards per game on the ground. Sophomore Drew Hare leads the offense at quarterback and with a 15/1 touchdown to interception ratio as he has been efficient while avoiding big mistakes. Hare is not as central to the offense as Lynch was, though still rushing for nearly 800 yards this season to lead the team on the ground. Northern Illinois was actually out-rushed in three MAC games this season and despite a few early fumbles last week, the Huskies turned the ball over rarely this season, featuring one of the lowest turnover rates in the nation.

Northern Illinois is riding a six-game win streak, but there have been some narrow escapes with none of the wins coming by more than 14 points. Last week’s win at Western Michigan featured six turnovers to help the Huskies back into the title game and this will technically be a third straight away game for the Huskies. The Huskies only out-scored foes by six points per game this season in a 10-2 campaign and they were not often the most impressive team in a loaded MAC West division with four teams that each would be favored over Bowling Green in this game, counting Western Michigan, Toledo, and Central Michigan in addition to the Huskies. It is worth noting that the underdog has actually covered in each of the last four MAC championship games.

Last season’s win was the first since 2003 for Bowling Green in this series though they have covered in four of seven meetings since 1998. Bowling Green has been on a great run in the underdog role going 52-39-2 ATS since 1998 when getting points. The Falcons covered in two of three games this season as an underdog and four of the last five instances going back to last season. Northern Illinois is just 3-11-1 ATS in neutral site games since 2005 and the Huskies have failed to cover in five of six games as a favorite since October, despite a 29-21-3 ATS run as a favorite since 2010. The Huskies are 20-12 ATS since 1999 as a favorite of fewer than seven points.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Big Ten Championship Preview
By ASA

Matchup: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium – Indianapolis, IN
Date: Saturday, Dec. 6
Time/TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, FOX
Line: Wisconsin -4, Total 53

The Big Ten Championship game takes place at Lucas Oil Stadium on Saturday with Ohio State representing the East and Wisconsin representing the West.

The dynamic of this matchup completely changed with the injury to Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett. With Barrett under center, OSU would have likely been a 3-5 point favorite in this game.

Instead, Wisconsin heads into the weekend as a four-point favorite. The dynamic of the matchup may have changed, but the stakes are still just as high for the Buckeyes, who could potentially move into the CFB Playoff top four with a win over the Badgers.

OSU’s Barrett, a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate, broke his ankle in last week’s win over Michigan. Only a handful of quarterbacks were having better campaigns than Barrett, who tallied 2,834 passing yards and 34 pass TD’s & 938 rush yards and 11 TD’s this season.

He’ll give way to third-string QB Cardale Jones, who has shown flashes of brilliance in limited playing time. Jones – a 6’5” 230 LB sophomore – has completed 11-of-19 passes for 121 yards with 2 TD and 0 INT in two years at OSU. He’s a proven running threat as well as he has tallied 334 rush yards on 43 attempts with 1 TD in his two-year career.

Still, most of those stats came in mop-up duty in OSU blowout wins, and it’ll be a completely different atmosphere in Indianapolis on Saturday. He’ll also be taking on a Wisconsin defense that ranks 2nd nationally in total YPG allowed, 2nd in pass YPG allowed, 8th in rush YPG allowed, and 4th in PPG allowed.

No opponent has topped 28 points against the Badgers this season (LSU & Illinois each scored 28 points) while six have been held to fewer than 20 points. The Bucks have scored fewer than 31 points just once this season and that was the 21-35 loss to Virginia Tech on September 6th.

Wisconsin has held opposing rushing attacks to just 103.8 YPG on 3.0 YPC with just three individuals exceeding 100 rush yards. The pass defense has been even better, holding opposing quarterbacks to just 46.4% completions with 10 TD and 6 INT.

They do a great job of getting after the quarterback (35 sacks) and stalling drives (13.3 first downs per game allowed – 1st in the B1G).

OSU’s defense has been tested already with some of the running backs & offensive lines that it has faced throughout B1G play. Michigan State’s Jeremy Langford, Minnesota’s David Cobb, and Indiana’s Tevin Coleman – three of the top RB’s in the nation – all had success against this Ohio State defense. Those three combined for 510 rush yards (170 rush YPG) on 7.1 YPC with 9 touchdowns.

The silver lining in that stat is that despite the success those three had on the ground, OSU won all three of those games by 11.3 PPG. Those previous struggles could be a significant issue with Melvin Gordon on deck this weekend. No opponent, aside from FCS Western Illinois, has had success slowing Gordon. He leads the nation with 2,260 rush yards on nearly 8.0 yards per carry with 29 total touchdowns. He seems to have gotten stronger as the season has progressed as he has tallied at least 200 rushing yards in three of the last four games.

Neither team has a huge situational edge here as Wisconsin has been to Indy twice (’11 & ’12) while Ohio State was here last year. Wisconsin is 2-0 SU, beating Michigan State in 2011 and Nebraska in 2012 while Ohio State lost the B1G Championship to Michigan State last year, 24-34.

OSU has won seven of the last 10 against Wisconsin, but is just 5-4-1 ATS in those games with just +3.4 the average margin (six of 10 games decided by seven points or fewer).
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
NCAAF opening line report: 'Bama causing teaser liability for books vs. Mizzou
By COLIN KELLY

We’re down to the final weekend of college football’s regular season, with huge ramifications, as the four teams that will compete in the first-ever playoff will be decided. There are ostensibly six teams really in the mix – all with one loss except for unbeaten Florida State.

But if a couple of those six slip up on championship weekend, well, it could get pretty crazy – particularly if Missouri can unseat top-ranked Alabama. While other Southeastern Conference heavy hitters fell down around them, the Tigers (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) went 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS down the stretch to reach Saturday’s SEC title game. Mizzou capped the regular season with a 21-14 victory over visiting Arkansas as a 2-point home underdog.

For the second year in a row, the Crimson Tide got all they could handle from archrival Auburn, but a huge second half saved ‘Bama’s season in a 55-44 shootout as a 9.5-point favorite. The Tide (11-1 SU, 4-8 ATS) have won seven in a row SU since falling at Mississippi.

John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, isn’t sold on Missouri for the neutral-site game, at Atlanta’s Georgia Dome.

“Mizzou kind of back-doored its way into this game,” Lester said. “The public won’t think the Tigers stand a chance against ‘Bama, so we’ll probably be moving this spread early and often. And we will have a ton of teaser liability on the Tide.”

Florida State Seminoles (-3) vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Defending national champion Florida State hasn’t lost in more than two years – a stretch of 28 games – but the Seminoles have hardly looked pretty this year, especially at the betting window, and their regular-season finale highlighted that fact. The ‘Noles (12-0 SU, 3-9 ATS) struggled to hold off a mediocre Florida squad 24-19 laying 7 points at home.

Georgia Tech (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) heads into the ACC championship game – at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C. -- on a five-game SU and ATS surge, capped by a 30-24 overtime win as a hefty 10.5-point pup at Georgia.

“Paul Johnson is a coach that will take advantage if the Seminoles show up with another sloppy performance,” Lester said. “We keep waiting for Florida State to put a complete game together, but good teams find ways to win ugly. Still, we’re expecting a lot of sharp action on the underdog here.”

Oregon Ducks (-13.5) vs. Arizona Wildcats

Oregon’s chase for a championship looked to be derailed when it lost to Arizona 31-24 as a massive three-touchdown home chalk on Oct. 2. But now the Ducks (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) get a shot at revenge in the Pac-12 title game Friday night at Levi’s Stadium, the new home of the NFL’s 49ers. Oregon finished the regular season with a 47-19 road drubbing of Oregon State as a 21-point fave.

Arizona (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) bested Arizona State 42-35 giving 2 points at home, and got help when UCLA lost to Stanford, putting the Wildcats in the conference title tilt.

“The Ducks get a chance to avenge the Arizona upset from earlier this season, and secure a spot in the playoff,” said Lester, noting Oregon is a healthier unit this time around. “Even though it could be without its center here, the Oregon line is much healthier than it was in the first meeting. Marcus Mariota was not 100 percent then either. I don’t think the Wildcats can win, but they could keep it close.”

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (-4)

Ohio State is now down to its third-string quarterback after J.T. Barrett – who rallied the team after it lost Braxton Miller in the preseason – broke his ankle Saturday against Michigan. The Buckeyes (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) still notched a 42-28 home victory, but fell short as 21.5-point favorites and will have to start sophomore Cardale Jones in the Big 10 title game at Indianapolis.

Wisconsin (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) has won seven in a row SU (4-3 ATS), ending the regular season with a 34-24 victory over Minnesota giving 17 points at home.

“Ohio State is forced to play with a third-stringer under center this postseason. We don’t know a lot about him, but he’s a big-bodied quarterback with some concerns over accuracy,” Lester said. “Wisconsin should try to make the Buckeyes one-dimensional. This is a resilient Badgers team, and because of the Buckeyes’ change at QB, I think Wisconsin gets it done.”
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences
By DOC'S SPORTS

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. With conference championship week upon us, Doc’s Sports continues to look at the little programs that could help you make big cash.

Team to watch: Boise State Broncos (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS)

This week: -20 vs. Fresno State

Saturday’s Mountain West Championship is a rematch of an Oct. 17 game, also played on the blue turf of Boise State and won by the Broncos 37-27.

“The teams are both different from where we were,” Boise State head coach Bryan Harsin said in his press conference earlier this week. “[From] five or six weeks ago, we’re a different football team. Guys are just executing and playing at a better level.”

The Bulldogs are 5-0 since beating Fresno State and have scored at least 50 points in four of those five. They had previously scored more than 38 points only once. Jay Ajayi’s role has always been big, but it has consistently expanded as the season has progressed. The junior running back has rushed at least 26 times in six of the last seven games and he has seven straight 100-yard, multi-touchdown performances.

The favored team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 head-to-head meetings. Boise State is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 against the Bulldogs and 6-1 ATS in the last seven of those contests at home.

Team to beware: Marshall Thundering Herd (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS)

This week: -12.5 vs. Louisiana Tech

Marshall made its first Conference-USA Championship appearance last year and got blown out 41-24 at Rice. The Thundering Herd have home-field advantage this time around, but there is still reason to be cautious.

Doc Holliday’s squad is coming off its first loss of the season, in which it gave up 738 yards of total offense to Western Kentucky and fell 67-66 in overtime. Marshall will have to bounce back mentally after seeing any chance of a New Year’s Day bowl go up in flames.

Louisiana Tech is in its first C-USA title game (this is just its second season in the conference), but head coach Skip Holtz has been there before. He is the first coach to lead two different teams to the C-USA Championship (won it in 2008 and 2009 with East Carolina).

The Bulldogs lead the FBS with 36 takeaways and 150 points off turnovers. Marshall coughed it up four times against Western Kentucky.

Total team: Bowling Green Falcons (7-5 SU, 5-7 O/U)

This week: over/under 59 vs. Northern Illinois

Friday will mark the second straight MAC Championship between Bowling Green and Northern Illinois. The Falcons scored 47 points in a 20-point victory to win the 2013 title, but their offense has been sputtering—at least by its lofty standards—of late. BGSU scored 31 points or more in three straight games from Sept. 27 through Oct. 11 but has not put up that many in any of its last five outings.

Quarterback Matt Johnson played in just one game before being lost for the season due to injury. James Knapke has a modest 12 touchdowns and 10 interceptions as Johnson’s replacement. Knapke has thrown only two touchdowns in his last five games and does not have a multi-score performance since Oct. 11.

The under is 6-1 in Bowling Green’s last seven overall. It is 5-0 in Northern Illinois’ last five overall.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,109,495
Messages
13,460,168
Members
99,475
Latest member
MalissaPal
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com