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Broncos (11-3) at Bengals (9-4-1)


  • LINE: DENVER by 3½
  • The heat is on again for the Bengals as they try to shake the bugaboo of playing well during prime-time games. It is not without risk as the Andy Dalton era has seen the Bengals go 2-9 when the lights go up. Still, Cincy can be tough on this field, having won 13 of its past 16 played here. Cincinnati is going to have to control the pace in this one and, with its crafty running game, currently sixth-best in the league, the Bengals are capable of doing so. Denver’s offence can never be ignored, but perhaps has eased the demand on Peyton Manning as the playoffs loom. The Broncos are scoring in the low 20s in their past two games.
  • TAKING: BENGALS +3½
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MNF REPORT
MONDAY DECEMBER 22nd, 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________



***** National Football League Information - Week #16 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 National Football League season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
______________________________________________________________

#131 DENVER @ #132 CINCINNATI
TV: 8:30 PM ET, ESPN/WatchESPN
Line: Broncos -3, Total: 47.5

Several historical obstacles stand in the way of the Cincinnati Bengals ahead of their key matchup against the Denver Broncos. They haven't won in primetime, can't seem to beat the Broncos and are winless against Peyton Manning. Should the Bengals reverse those trends when they host Denver on Monday night, they will clinch their fourth consecutive postseason berth. Cincinnati (9-4-1) is coming off its strongest overall performance after easily cruising to a 30-0 drubbing of Cleveland on Sunday. Jeremy Hill picked up AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors after rushing for 148 yards and two touchdowns, and the defense forced rookie Johnny Manziel into two interceptions and just 80 passing yards.

Now the focus switches to a much more tenured quarterback. "It's going to be a big shift, safe to say," head coach Marvin Lewis said of facing Manning. "It's a challenge. He gets everyone's attention in this building right away. The player he is, how he carries himself, how he runs things on the field -- it's going to be a great challenge for us. It's what it's supposed to be in December, just like this." Manning is 8-0 in his career against the Bengals, most recently completing 27 of 35 passes for 291 yards and three touchdowns in a 31-23 win over Cincinnati on November 4th, 2012. That victory was the latest in a long line of dominance for Denver in the series -- even without Manning at the helm.

The Broncos beat Cincinnati in Andy Dalton's second career start in 2011 after needing a last-minute, tip-drill 87-yard touchdown pass to move past the Bengals in 2009. Denver has won 13 of the last 15 meetings with Cincinnati. "We have to get through this game before we have any opportunities at January," Lewis said. "It's been (a playoff mentality) for the last seven weeks, since Halloween. Preparation and how you go about it, and the confidence of knowing what to do and how to do it allows you to play fast. That's the most important thing, for us: to play fast, to play physical, to play smart."

Denver (11-3) has already punched its ticket to the postseason, but a first-round bye and home-field advantage remain at stake. The Broncos can clinch the bye with a win, but would need to jump New England (11-3) in the standings for the AFC's top seed. They beat San Diego 22-10 on Sunday to secure their fourth consecutive AFC West championship. "It's our goal every year. Everybody's hope and dream before the season is you'll be hoisting that championship trophy," coach John Fox said. "We got close last year and came up short... Obviously, (the AFC West title) is a great accomplishment, but we still have more season left."

Despite having Manning under center, the Broncos have won four straight behind a well-established run game. Since falling in St. Louis on November 16th, Denver has rushed for 164.8 yards per game, including a 111-yard effort against the Chargers. Manning rebounded from his first zero-touchdown performance with the Broncos in a victory over Buffalo on December 7th, completing 14 of 20 attempts for 233 yards and a TD while playing through an illness. He expects to be fully healthy against the Bengals, whom he has torched for 20 touchdowns in his career while throwing just five interceptions.

Cincinnati's run-heavy offense will face a stout challenge from Denver, which ranks among league leaders with 71.6 rushing yards allowed per game. Led by Hill and Giovanni Bernard, the rushing attack has amassed 145.3 yards per game and six TDs since Week #12. Denver has been less imposing against the pass but made sure to lock down top cover corner Chris Harris Jr., signing the fourth-year player to a five-year, $42.5 million extension last week. He'll be rewarded with a matchup against A.J. Green and a Bengals passing attack that has failed to top 300 yards in eight of the last nine games.

"We know these next two games are going to be real big," said Dalton, whose 82.9 rating ranks 16th of 20 National Football League quarterbacks with at least 400 attempts. "The way our division is going, everyone keeps winning... We know what we are facing. They are really important." Cincinnati has been blown out twice in primetime this season, losing 43-17 at New England in a Sunday night game October 5th and 24-3 to the Browns on Thursday night November 6th.

Denver's primetime results have been quite the opposite. The Broncos are 4-0 in night games this season, most recently defeating the Kansas City Chiefs 29-16 on November 30th. The Broncos and Bengals last met with postseason implications on Christmas Eve 2006. Trailing by seven with under a minute remaining, Carson Palmer threw a 10-yard touchdown pass to trim it to 24-23, but the snap was botched on the extra-point attempt and Cincinnati ultimately missed the playoffs by one game.

•RESEARCH NOTES: According to our NFL database here at StatSystemsSports.net the last ten home teams off a shutout win are 8-2 straight-up and versus the spread. The Bengals are also 4-1 straight-up and against the spread in their last five contests versus AFC West opponents, but must struggle to overcome a lousy 1-8 SU and ATS Monday Night mark in non-division bouts. Keep in mind that the Broncos hold a similar aversion, posting a 0-10 SU record and a 2-8 ATS mark in their last 10 Monday Night games versus non-division foes. It also reminds us of Peyton Manning’s 13-4 SU record on MNF and his (as mentioned above) dominant 8-0 lifetime record versus Cincinnati.

Denver is playing on the road for the sixth time in their last eight games and is 2-9 straight-up and 2-8-1 versus the spread in Last Road Games versus opponents off a straight-up win. They will also be missing their leading tackler 6’1” LB Brandon Marshall with a foot sprain, besides losing 6’1” 240 lbs Danny Trevathan (last year’s leading tackler) who had just returned after missing eleven games this season with a knee fracture. FYI: Marvin Lewis is 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog in his career when his team is off a double-digit spread win, including is 5-0 ATS when off a division cakewalk.

College Bowl & NFL Playoff Bash...
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•KEY STATS
--DENVER is 49-21 OVER (+25.9 Units) versus good rushing teams - averaging >=130 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 24.6, OPPONENT 23.1.

--DENVER is 9-1 against the 1rst half line (+7.9 Units) off a double digit road win over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 17.9, OPPONENT 5.0.

--DENVER is 16-6 UNDER (+9.4 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 15.5, OPPONENT 8.9.

--CINCINNATI is 52-29 OVER (+20.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 21.0, OPPONENT 24.3.

--CINCINNATI is 24-9 UNDER (+14.1 Units) versus poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was CINCINNATI 20.5, OPPONENT 19.0.

--CINCINNATI is 12-3 UNDER (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 23.6, OPPONENT 15.9.

--CINCINNATI is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in home games versus poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 15.4, OPPONENT 5.6.

--CINCINNATI is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 13.2, OPPONENT 6.2.

--CINCINNATI is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing defenses - allowing a completion percentage of 61% or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 13.7, OPPONENT 6.6.

--CINCINNATI is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.65 yards/play over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 11.5, OPPONENT 6.9.

--CINCINNATI is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 10.2, OPPONENT 6.9.

•COACHING TRENDS
--JOHN FOX is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was FOX 23.6, OPPONENT 18.9.

--JOHN FOX is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games versus poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 27.3, OPPONENT 18.8.

--JOHN FOX is 8-0 OVER (+8.0 Units) against AFC North division opponents as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 33.4, OPPONENT 22.6.

--JOHN FOX is 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 29.9, OPPONENT 28.0.

--JOHN FOX is 37-15 against the 1rst half line (+20.5 Units) after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was FOX 12.9, OPPONENT 9.1.

--JOHN FOX is 23-8 UNDER (+14.2 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was FOX 9.9, OPPONENT 7.9.

--MARVIN LEWIS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games versus excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. as the coach of CINCINNATI.
The average score was CINCINNATI 19.0, OPPONENT 26.8.

--MARVIN LEWIS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half as the coach of CINCINNATI.
The average score was CINCINNATI 23.7, OPPONENT 18.7.

--MARVIN LEWIS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of CINCINNATI.
The average score was CINCINNATI 13.3, OPPONENT 7.4.

--MARVIN LEWIS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=375 yards/game as the coach of CINCINNATI.
The average score was CINCINNATI 8.6, OPPONENT 10.5.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
Strangely, road teams have dominated this AFC series of late, going 4-0 straight-up and 5-1 versus the spread since 2003. In 2012, the Broncos won 31-23 in Cincinnati as 5-point road favorites. They also won and covered in a 12-7 defensive struggle at Paul Brown Stadium as 5-point road underdogs in 2009. The last two games in Denver were nearly identical: 24-23 and 24-22 Broncos’ wins.

--CINCINNATI is 6-5 against the spread versus DENVER since 1992.
--DENVER is 9-2 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992.
--6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.

--DENVER is 6-5 versus the first half line when playing against CINCINNATI since 1992.
--7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.

--Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--DEN is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
--DEN is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in December.
--Under is 5-0 in DEN last 5 games in December.

--CIN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week #16.
--CIN is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
--Under is 10-4 in CIN last 14 games in Week #16.

StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 46 times, while the underdog covered the spread 33 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 60 times, while the underdog won straight up 22 times. 36 games went under the total, while 16 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.

--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 61 times, while the underdog covered first half line 50 times. *No EDGE. 45 games went under first half total, while 27 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Under - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (CINCINNATI) - an average offensive team (18-23 PPG) against an average defensive team (18-23), after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, in the last 2 weeks of the regular season.
(26-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9, Opponent 7.9 (Total first half points scored = 16.9)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (42-16).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (77-27).
__________________________________________________
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAAF REPORT
MONDAY, DECEMBER 22nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________



***** NCAA College Football Information – Week #18 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 NCAA College Football season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystemsSports.net. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
___________________________________________________________

MIAMI BEACH BOWL

#211 BYU vs. #212 MEMPHIS
TV: 2:00 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Memphis -2, Total: 56

Memphis accomplished feats not seen from its program in decades but will have to get past a veteran of the bowl season to end its breakthrough campaign with a victory. BYU will make its 10th consecutive postseason appearance December 22nd in the inaugural Miami Beach Bowl. After going 3-9 in 2013, Memphis went 9-3 to finish with its most wins in the regular season since 1963, and it has a chance to tie the program record of 10 victories set in 1938. The Tigers earned a share of their first league title since 1971 by finishing 7-1 in the American Athletic Conference and are riding a six-game win streak - their longest in one season since a seven-game run in 1969.

They'll make their first postseason appearance since a 41-14 loss to South Florida in the 2008 St. Petersburg Bowl. "For us right now, it's about finding a way to win a championship, which for us is the bowl game," third-year coach Justin Fuente said. "We won't focus on the number 10. We'll focus on the number one. Can we go 1-0 this week? That's kind of what we've talked about each week for the last six weeks." The Tigers, 3-3 all-time in bowl games, haven't won one since edging Akron 38-31 in the 2005 Motor City Bowl and will have their first matchup with a BYU program that's won six of its last eight postseason games.

Only Florida State has more bowl victories in that time with seven, and only one other school, Texas Tech, has also won six. The Cougars (8-4) won a school-record four consecutive bowls before a 31-16 loss to Washington in the Fight Hunger Bowl last December. They had a streak of 17 straight postseason appearances from 1978-1994, including a Holiday Bowl victory over Michigan in 1984 that secured their lone national title. They'll carry a four-game win streak into this appearance and totaled 148 points in the final three victories. BYU ranked 19th in the FBS with 36.2 points per game and 25th with an average of 462.5 yards.

"It could be a really nice finish, I think, for either team to finish with one more win," coach Bronco Mendenhall said. Christian Stewart threw for 1,281 yards and 14 touchdowns with one interception during the win streak. The senior and former walk-on took over after Taysom Hill suffered a season-ending injury in a 35-20 loss to Utah State on October 3rd, the first of four consecutive defeats. Stewart and the Cougars will face a Memphis team that's fifth in the nation with 17.1 points allowed per contest and 22nd with an average of 343.3 yards allowed.

"They are well coached with a strong defense and a balanced offense. It should be a great matchup," Mendenhall said. In its 10 games against unranked teams, Memphis' averages dropped to 13.9 points and 315.3 yards allowed. The Tigers' two defeats to AP Top 25 foes came at UCLA on September 6th and at Mississippi on September 27th, but they also lost 28-24 on October 11th to a Houston team that BYU beat 33-25 exactly one month earlier. BYU and Memphis had two more common opponents in Connecticut and Middle Tennessee State, and both teams earned notable wins over each school.

The Tigers beat Connecticut 41-10 on November 29th to clinch a share of the AAC title, and BYU topped MTSU 27-7 on November 1st to start its current win streak. Senior linebacker Bronterrious "Tank" Jakes was named the AAC's co-defensive player of the year after leading Memphis with 85 tackles - a conference-best 15 1/2 for loss - and six sacks. Brandon Hayes needs 100 yards to become the Tigers' first 1,000-yard rusher since Curtis Steele in 2009, while Paxton Lynch needs 275 yards to become their first with 3,000 passing since Martin Hankins in 2007. His 18 TDs are the most since Hankins' 25 that same year.

•PREGAME NOTES: BYU is 4-1 straight-up and versus the spread as a bowler the last five years and 6-2 SU and ATS as a bowler off a SU win... Independent bowlers are 4-10 SU and 3-11 ATS versus an opponent off a SU win of 7 or more points. Memphis... Bowl virgin (no bowl game L3Y) favorites who won 4 less games last season are 12-20 ATS... No. 1 red zone offense & No. 2 red zone defense in nation.

College Bowl & NFL Playoff Bash...
It’s time to “Go Bowling” and make the Playoffs Payoff with the nations’ best postseason handicappers! StatSystems Sports has won over 66% of their Bowl Game selections the last ten years and is an outstanding 35-10, 77.7%, on its last 45 picks in the NFL Playoffs.

Make sure you're with us when we add to our legend as America’s best postseason Sports Service. You get all Bowl & Playoff selections, including the Super Bowl, for only $299.00. It’s our way of saying thanks for all your support this season as well as giving everybody, regardless of how small a player they may be, an opportunity to sample the best Bowl & Playoff Service in the nation. So call us to join now and get ready to pick up plenty of Christmas and New Year Cash as a member of StatSystems Sport’s Bowls and NFL Playoff “Steam Team.”

Join now and you will receive the last week of the NFL regular season for FREE! That’s right for only $299 you can get the rest of the NFL regular season, the NFL playoffs and Super Bowl and nearly 35 college bowl game selections, including our highly anticipated College Bowl *6-Star Release. If you want to make even more money, ask how you can join our Team of Experts for all our NBA and NCAA College Basketball selections, which is currently 37-14 on the season, for only $100 a week!

"Remember, don't make a move without it, You'll be glad you did" Stan!

•KEY STATS
--BYU is 26-12 UNDER (+12.8 Units) versus very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was BYU 24.4, OPPONENT 29.5.

--BYU is 0-6 against the 1rst half line (-6.6 Units) versus mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game this season.
The average score was BYU 12.5, OPPONENT 20.0.

--MEMPHIS is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game since 1992.
The average score was MEMPHIS 23.5, OPPONENT 29.0.

--MEMPHIS is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 17.7, OPPONENT 23.0.

--MEMPHIS is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) after playing 2 straight conference games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 29.4, OPPONENT 24.3.

--MEMPHIS is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 8.3, OPPONENT 9.7.

•COACHING TRENDS
--BRONCO MENDENHALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games as the coach of BYU.
The average score was BYU 35.1, OPPONENT 20.5.

--BRONCO MENDENHALL is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games versus good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better as the coach of BYU.
The average score was BYU 30.0, OPPONENT 24.8.

--BRONCO MENDENHALL is 3-12 against the 1rst half line (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) as the coach of BYU.
The average score was BYU 11.8, OPPONENT 16.3.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--The Cougars and Tigers are matched for the first time in the inaugural Miami Beach Bowl, to be played in Giancarlo Stanton’s stomping grounds (aka Marlins Park). This will be the 10th consecutive bowl appearance (and fifth different bowl in five years) for BYU under Bronco Mendenhall. They are on a 6-3 SU run. The Tigers finished 9-3 after 3-9 and 4-8 seasons under Justin Fuente.

•RECENT TRENDS
--BYU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
--BYU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
--Under is 7-2 in BYU last 9 neutral site games.

--MEM is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
--MEM is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games.
--Under is 6-2 in MEM last 8 non-conference games.

StatSystemsSports.net has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:

--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 44 times, while the favorite covered the spread 41 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 44 times, while the underdog won straight up 42 times. 54 games went under the total, while 37 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 48 times, while the favorite covered first half line 34 times. *No EDGE. 52 games went under first half total, while 37 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
__________________________________________
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | LA CLIPPERS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Under - Any team extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
57-25 since 1997. ( 69.5% | 29.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at HOUSTON
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) after beating the spread by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
100-43 since 1997. ( 69.9% | 43.0 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.0 units )

NBA | PORTLAND at HOUSTON
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (PORTLAND) off 2 or more consecutive road wins, top level team, winning 75% or more of their games on the season
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CBB | UC-SANTA BARBARA at OREGON
Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (OREGON) team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a mid-major division 1-A conference, off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

CBB | ORAL ROBERTS at MISSOURI ST
Play On - A favorite vs. the money line (MISSOURI ST) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
108-35 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.5% | 50.7 units )

CBB | IL-CHICAGO at NORTHWESTERN
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (NORTHWESTERN) in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG), after a win by 6 points or less
41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | NC STATE at UCF
Play On - Any team (UCF) poor rushing team (100-140 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (140-190 RY/G) after 7+ games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )

CFB | NC STATE at UCF
Play On - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NC STATE) off an upset win by 14 points or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season
39-17 since 1997. ( 69.6% | 0.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

CFB | NOTRE DAME at LSU
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 25 to 28 after allowing 525 or more total yards in their previous game against opponent after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game
29-8 over the last 10 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )
 

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Football Crusher
Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 over Denver Broncos
(System Record: 43-5, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 43-41-3
 

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Hockey Crusher
Nashville Predators -135 over Columbus Blue Jackets
(System Record: 39-2, lost last 5 games)
Overall Record: 39-30-1
 

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Basketball Crusher
Dartmouth +8.5 over Penn State
(System Record: 25-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 25-27
-1
 

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Soccer Crusher
Leipzig + 1860 Munich OVER 2
This match is happening in Germany
(System Record: 679-23, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 679-566-104
 
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XpertPicks


MONDAY

TOP NCAA & NFL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play Memphis -2 over BYU---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
2:00 PM EST

BYU has lost 15 of the last 22 games against the spread coming off a win in their last game and they have lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread after gaining 525 or more total yards in their last game.



Play Cincinnati +3 over Denver---RISK 25% OF YOUR BANKROLL
8:30 PM EST

Cincinnati has won 16 of the last 23 home games and they have won 20 of the last 32 games when the total posted is between 42.5 and 49 points. Cincinnati has won 9 of the last 12 games when playing in the month of December and they have won 10 of the last 13 games coming off a road win in their last game.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Colts (+3 1/2) on Sunday and likes the Broncos on Monday.

The deficit is 1278 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo gives, you receive

Bengals over Broncos: You can be sure Red Billy de Blasio and Chirlane were havana good time, downing some Mojitos and Cuban sandwiches behind the 10-foot fence he built at Gracie Mansion to keep the proletariat from looking in. Now they’ll be able to visit their honeymoon site without going by way of Canada.

Have yourselves a Merry little Christmas, HondoNation!
 
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PAUL LEINER

500* CFB – Memphis -2
100* CBB – Over 125 – Cal/Wisconsin
100* CBB – Kansas -7
100* CBB – UConn -7.5
 

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