Friday 1/16/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Beware of rockys winner circle everybody. Just a fair warning in case anyone stumbles upon his sight. He's flat out lying about his records claiming to be +40 games already on the basketball season. Flat. Out. Lies. Sounded really tempting so I took the bait. My mistake. Just like 98% of all services his picks are complete coin flips/dartboard games. Gives out bs lines on top of that, & instructs his clients to buy points on almost all his picks anytime they can't get the same line as he lists, which is throwing money down the drain. Yep instructs to buy to -5 @ -130 if the line sits at -6. But he hit an all time low the past few days. On wed 1-14 these were his picks straight from his daily email...



HOUSTON -8 Loss!
WASHINGTON +6 win
PORTLAND -3 (-118) Loss!
NOTRE DAME -4 Loss!
TULANE -122 Loss!
HOFSTRA +3 Loss!
WYOMING -125 Loss!

1-6 day, which is pretty standard. He does have his 3-1 days sprinkled in so there's no fading him either. Then on Thursday this is the email he sends out....which he also posts on his site.

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+48 GAMES OVER .500
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Totally shameless. Not only does he bury his clients on wed, he rubs their faces in it on thurs by sending them this garbage. This guy, Dana Sobieraj aka "Rocky" is going straight to hell. So please, learn from my mistake & dont believe anything that sounds too good to be true. If this stops just one person from becoming his customer this is time well spent by me. Go killl yourself DANA!!!

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Cal-Expo

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Post: 8:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$2300 - CLAIMING $2,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 HOLLYWOOD STAR 9/2


# 4 OOMPA LOOMPA 9/5


# 7 LARRY HORSE 7/2


HOLLYWOOD STAR gets the edge as our best wagering option in this affair. Had one of the most compelling TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the bunch in his last race. I'd recommend using in your wagers. Not many folks know, but the 5 slot here at Cal-Expo has been great for a much higher than average win percent. OOMPA LOOMPA - Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a solid 80 speed rating. Major contender. Many bettors love this gelding on the driver-trainer numbers alone. LARRY HORSE - Gelding and trainer go together like peaches and cream. They finish in the money 74 percent of their races.

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 8:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$11000 - FILLIES & MARES, NW $3,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $6,000 LAST 10 STARTS. W/O $20,000 LAST 10 STARTS NOT ELIGIBLE.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 SEASIDE RORY 9/2


# 5 BACK YARD BABY 3/1


# 6 MISS POPPYCOCK 4/1


SEASIDE RORY is the most favorable bet in this contest. The panel of smart guys noted a clear-cut showing out of this race horse last time. Hoping for a repeat of that to score. Has one of the most favorable win percentages in the bunch and may be able to add to those figures today. BACK YARD BABY - Have to think about a nice horse coming out of the Woodbine 5 post. The win percent is fantastic, way above normal. Could provide us a victory based on competitive recent speed ratings - earning an avg of 82. MISS POPPYCOCK - The knowledge group will always throw in a harness racer from the 6 post here at Woodbine, always worth a look. Always strong driver/trainer team. 21 percent winners when they team up to do work.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 11 MR HARLAN 5/2


# 8 HONOUR THE FOREST 3/1


# 9 PAUL AND SILAS 4/1

I like MR HARLAN here. He should be given a shot given the quite good speed numbers. With a quite good 66 speed figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this outing. He has respectable class ratings, averaging 86, and has to be carefully examined in this race. HONOUR THE FOREST - Recently Montano has been hot which may give the edge to this colt. Has been running well lately and will probably be up on the lead early on. PAUL AND SILAS - Is difficult not to look at based on Speed Figures which have been competitive - 55 avg - of late.

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $48000 Class Rating: 87

FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 KEEN PAULINE 10/1


# 7 HUASCA 5/1


# 10 SKYWARN 8/1

I think KEEN PAULINE is a respectable choice and is a very good value-based bet given the 10/1 line. This filly gets a boost with Lanerie in the irons. With a solid 84 average Equibase Speed Fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. Always tough to beat Romans and Lanerie working together, winning 20 percent of their races. HUASCA - Contreras should be able to get this filly to break out early in this race. Has to be considered - I like the figures from the last contest. SKYWARN - Prado will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out early here. Should be given a chance for this event if only for the strong Equibase speed fig recorded in the last competition.

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate - Race #6 - Post: 3:23pm - Starter Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 VISITATION (ML=10/1)
#1 SILENT SECRET (ML=3/1)
#5 MANO A MANO (ML=9/2)
#6 SENNA (ML=9/2)


VISITATION - Don't often see a favorable return on investment like +23. This jockey/handler tandem has done well together over the last twelve months. This gelding is in nice form, having run a strong race on December 19th, finishing first. SILENT SECRET - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. Hollendorfer brings him right back. I recommend you stick with this hot gelding. The 77 latest race fig looks good on paper. This thoroughbred has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 58 to 71 to 77 in succession. MANO A MANO - You always have to be on the prowl for bankroll building rider/trainer tandems; we have one right here. Always beware of the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Look for this one to go straight on to victory at some respectable odds in this event. Ran fifth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish. I like to bet on this angle, a pony coming back off a sharp contest within the last month. SENNA - This one could be an overlay in this race at odds of 9/2. Finished sixth in last race at Golden Gate but was close at the finish line. This horse coming off a good try in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my opinion. Had a strong closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar effort today, and it's straight to the winner's circle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 IT BEHOOVES ME (ML=5/2), #7 KARAOKE CAT (ML=7/2),

IT BEHOOVES ME - Notched a most unsatisfactory speed rating in the last race in a Starter Allowance race on Dec 27th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that fig. KARAOKE CAT - When looking at today's class rating, he will have to earn a better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this dirt route.




STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 VISITATION on the win end if we get at least 5/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2] Box [2,5] Box [2,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay - Race #5 - Post: 2:29pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 POSTURE (ML=9/2)
#3 VAUNTED (ML=4/1)


POSTURE - Horse made up some ground down the stretch last time around the track on Dec 21st at Tampa Bay. That race is better than it looked. VAUNTED - Rider jumped on this colt's back for the 1st ride on Dec 21st. Should be in touch with the animal even better in today's race. Had a powerful closing move in the last race, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar race today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. Don't throw out based on last race finish. He didn't finish in the money, but made a nice move down the stretch making up ground. Could be dangerous at a possible price.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MASTER JORDAN (ML=5/2), #8 SOUL ALLEGIANCE (ML=7/2), #13 CORAGGIO (ML=6/1),

MASTER JORDAN - Difficult to keep following this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Ran a great speed figure last out, but the effort will probably take too much out of him. SOUL ALLEGIANCE - Last effort was too nice. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'performance bounce' this time out. CORAGGIO - Awfully difficult to bet on this mount when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness of late. This racer ran a disappointing speed fig in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's race running that fig.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - VAUNTED - You got to like this noble animal against this competition. He has the top turf number off his last race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #7 POSTURE on the nose if you can get odds of 9/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 - AQUEDUCT - 3:48 PM EASTERN POST


The Busanda Stakes

8.3 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#2 OVERPREPARED
#1 BEEN HERE BEFORE / #1A BONNET PLUME
#8 SWEET ON SMOKEY
#6 HOPEFAITHJOY

The Busanda Stakes is named for Ogden Phipps' filly who not only beat the colts in the Suburban Handicap of 1951, but also bested the males twice in the Saratoga Cup. She posted 10 victories from ages 2 to 5. Against females, she won races like the Alabama, Top Flight, New Castle, and Diana. Perhaps Busanda's greatest renown was as a broodmare. She was the dam of Buckpasser, 2-year-old champion of 1965 and Horse of the Year in 1966. Among her other foals were Bupers and Bureaucracy. Here in the rescheduled, 42nd running of this stakes event, #2 OVERPREPARED, has hit the board in both of her two career starts to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her "first asking." #1 BEEN HERE BEFORE takes a class drop (-7), and is the overall speed leader in this stakes field racing at a mile and seventy yards on the dirt, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her last start, which was just the 3rd race of her young career to date.Jockey Sam Camacho was in her irons for that race, 20 days ago here at "The Big-A," and is back this afternoon for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." The stablemate, #1A BONNET PLUME, also comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her respective maiden in her last start.

SPOT PLAYS

For Friday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Aqueduct (7th) Treasury Devil, 3-1
(9th) Eltish Charmer, 6-1

Charles Town (1st) Debutante Ball, 9-2
(8th) Arctic Bid, 9-2


Delta Downs (1st) Extra Brae, 3-1
(5th) Daddy's Boy, 4-1


Fair Grounds (4th) Tiffany Blue Bele, 4-1
(6th) Moncor, 7-2

Golden Gate Fields (4th) Nahem, 3-1
(5th) Kingsbury, 7-2

Gulfstream Park (2nd) Kizuna, 4-1
(8th) Huasca, 5-1


Laurel Park (1st) Crazy Wild Bess, 6-1
(5th) Black Rain, 8-1

Oaklawn Park (2nd) Storm Viper, 6-1
(3rd) Compose, 7-2

Penn National (1st) The Queen's Reign, 9-2
(7th) Wise Lou, 6-1

Sam Houston (8th) Carol's Flyer, 4-1
(9th) Expect Royalty, 4-1

Santa Anita (3rd) Moving Desert, 4-1
(5th) Press Baron, 7-2

Sunland Park (5th) Where's the Moon, 3-1
(8th) Kallie's Storm, 3-1

Tampa Bay Downs (5th) Vaunted, 4-1
(6th) Chosen Heir, 7-2

Turf Paradise (2nd) Buddy Princess, 9-2
(3rd) Golden Emblazon, 7-2


Turfway Park (3rd) I Cee's a Tiger, 6-1
(4th) Angelic Score, 6-1

NHL Grand Salami - January

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
1/1 2 10.5 10 UNDER
1/2 8 43 37 UNDER
1/3 10 52.5 74 OVER
1/4 7 37 46 OVER
1/5 1 5 5 PUSH
1/6 10 55.5 51 UNDER
1/7 4 22 23 OVER
1/8 10 55.5 58 OVER
1/9 5 26.5 33 OVER
1/10 11 58 58 PUSH
1/11 3 16 20 OVER
1/12 3 17.5 15 UNDER
1/13 10 54.5 64 OVER
1/14 4 21.5 18 UNDER
1/15 10 - - -
1/16 6 - - -
1/17 12 - - -
1/18 4 - - -
1/19 7 - - -
1/20 8 - - -
1/21 6 - - -
1/22 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/23 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/24 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/25 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/26 No games scheduled/All-Star break
1/27 11 - - -
1/28 3 - - -
1/29 11 - - -
1/30 5 - - -
1/31 11 - - -

Preview: Capitals (24-11) at Predators (29-9)

Date: January 16, 2015 8:00 PM EDT

Washington Capitals coach Barry Trotz admitted he wasn't sure whether he would cheer for the NHL-best Nashville Predators once his former club started strong.

Trotz won't be rooting for them Friday night in his return to Nashville, and he'll catch a major break since he won't have to face injured goaltender Pekka Rinne.

The popular Trotz will receive a huge ovation after he was let go April 14 by Nashville after 15 seasons as the first coach in franchise history. The two-time Jack Adams finalist was offered a job in the Predators' hockey operations department, but said he wanted to continue to coach elsewhere.

"I'm excited to get back home and see some friends and get to see my family a little bit," Trotz said. "I'm excited. It's good to go back home."

Trotz, hired by Washington (24-11-8) on May 26, coached 1,196 games with Nashville and was second only to Gregg Popovich of the NBA's San Antonio Spurs for longest active coaching tenure in the four major sports before his dismissal.

Nashville (29-9-4) went to the playoffs seven times under Trotz, though it missed out the last two seasons. The Predators are in the midst of an amazing turnaround under new coach Peter Laviolette.

"I thought at first they got off to such a good start, got Pekka going, got everybody going that I might be a little jealous, but I must have matured, I'm not jealous at all," Trotz said. "I'm actually cheering for them."

Trotz's final Nashville season was hampered when he lost two-time Vezina Trophy finalist Rinne for 51 games to an E. coli infection in his surgically repaired left hip.

Now Laviolette faces his biggest challenge of the season with Thursday's news that Rinne will miss three to five weeks with a sprained knee suffered in a collision in Tuesday's 5-1 victory over Vancouver. Rinne is among the league's best with a 1.96 goals-against average.

Carter Hutton, 0-3-2 with a 2.60 GAA, will start Friday.

'I expect Carter to come in here and play well for us,' Laviolette said. 'I expect our guys to go out tomorrow night on the ice and play an aggressive game. But we got to go out and do that. Everybody's got to go out and do their job.'

Hutton could have a rude awakening against Alex Ovechkin, who averages a league-high 4.7 shots. Ovechkin has six goals and three assists in his last eight games, though he came up empty in Wednesday's 1-0 victory over Philadelphia.

Braden Holtby made 21 saves in his 20th straight start for his fourth shutout.

Holtby leads the NHL in victories since Dec. 4, going 14-1-4 with a 1.88 GAA. Rinne is right behind him with 13 wins in that span.

Hutton and Holtby have each faced and beaten Friday's opposition once. This will be Hutton's first home start since he made 23 saves in a 4-3 shootout win over the Capitals on March 30.

Washington is a league-best 14-2-4 since the start of December, while Nashville seeks its first five-game win streak since Jan. 19-31, 2012. The Predators are unbeaten in regulation in their last nine (7-0-2) and have win six in a row at home to improve to 17-2-1 there.

Predators center Colin Wilson has eight points in a four-game run and 17 in his last 11 contests. Filip Forsberg leads all rookies with a team-high 39 points.

Rangers scorching hot when playing without rest
Justin Hartling

The New York Rangers are 4-0 in their past four games without at least a days rest. It has been domination when the Rangers get rolling, as they've outscored teams 12-5 while recording two shutouts in those four games.

New York hosts the Columbus Blue Jackets Friday.

No more dominant team at home than the Predators
Justin Hartling

The Nashville Predators are an NHL best 17-2-0-1 record on home ice this season. The offense has been ona par with their road contests, 3 goals per game, but the defense is somehow better and only allowing 1.9 goals.

Nashville will host the Washington Capitals Friday.

Tennis 2015 Australian Open Odds

The 2015 Australian Open begins on January 19 from Melbourne as the top players in the world will look to capture the first gramd slam event of the year.

Oddsmakers at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas have updated their future odds for the tournament.

Last year's winner, Stanislas Wawrinka, is listed as a 10/1 betting choice to repeat. The runner-up to Wawrinka last year, Rafael Nadal, is a 15/2 choice.

The favorite is Novak Djokovic (10/11). The Serbian was upset in last year's event in the quarterfinals but won the three previous years in Melbourne.

Despite not winning the women's title at this event since 2010, Serena Williams has been installed as the 9/4 favorite. Right behind her is Maria Sharapova (5/1) and Simona Halep (6/1).

Listed below are all of the odds per the SuperBook.

Odds to win 2015 Australian Open Men's Singles Championship

NOVAK DJOKOVIC 10/11
RAFAEL NADAL 15/2
ANDY MURRAY 13/2
ROGER FEDERER 11/2
STAN WAWRINKA 10/1
GRIGOR DIMITROV 20/1
KEI NISHIKORI 12/1
JUAN MARTIN DEL POTRO 50/1
TOMAS BERDYCH 40/1
MILOS RAONIC 30/1
NICK KYRGIOS 60/1
DAVID FERRER 60/1
BERNARD TOMIC 100/1
ERNESTS GULBIS 125/1
GAEL MONFILS 80/1
JERZY JANOWICZ 150/1
JOHN ISNER 200/1
RICHARD GASQUET 200/1
FERNANDO VERDASCO 250/1
FELICIANO LOPEZ 250/1
DOMINIC THIEM 250/1
LLEYTON HEWITT 300/1
NICOLAS ALMAGRO 500/1
PHILIPP KOHLSCHREIBER 400/1
FABIO FOGNINI 400/1
KEVIN ANDERSON 500/1
ROBERTO BAUTISTA AGUT 250/1
ALEXANDER ZVEREV 500/1
DAVID GOFFIN 125/1

Odds to win 2015 Australian Open Women's Singles Championship

SERENA WILLIAMS 9/4
VICTORIA AZARENKA 10/1
MARIA SHARAPOVA 5/1
SIMONA HALEP 6/1
EUGENIE BOUCHARD 10/1
PETRA KVITOVA 10/1
CAROLINE WOZNIACKI 10/1
AGNIESZKA RADWANSKA 20/1
ANGELIQUE KERBER 40/1
GARBINE MUGURUZA 40/1
SLOANE STEPHENS 50/1
ANA IVANOVIC 20/1
SABINE LISICKI 80/1
DOMINIKA CIBULKOVA 60/1
EKATERINA MAKAROVA 50/1
SAMANTHA STOSUR 60/1
MADISON KEYS 60/1
JELENA JANKOVIC 60/1
FLAVIA PENNETTA 100/1
SARA ERRANI 150/1
LUCIE SAFAROVA 50/1
VENUS WILLIAMS 30/1
SHUAI PENG 200/1
CAMILA GIORGI 200/1
ALIZE CORNET 200/1
CARLA SUAREZ NAVARRO 200/1
KIRSTEN FLIPKENS 250/1
MARIA KIRILENKO 200/1

NBA

Lakers put up less fight with no rest
Justin Hartling

The Los Angeles Lakers have not been overly impressive this season, but the team is 1-7 straight up in games with no rest. The Lakers are allowing more points (+1.6 ppg) while scoring fewer (-3.2) points in those eight games this season.

Luckily for the Lakers, their spread play has been better, going a respectable 4-4 against the spread in those games.

The Lakers will travel to Utah Friday.