PGA Tour: Northern Trust Open

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Retief Goosen leads by two, he is an old favourite of mine, a 43 time winner world wide, 7 on the PGA Tour, including two US Open's, but none at all for almost six years and there was a four year winless period prior to that and his best year's were a decade and more ago and that is a long time in the wilderness. He has suffered terribly with back problems which have not helped, but in golfing terms, he is almost like a non winner right now, I would really love to see him take this title, but I doubt he slept as well last night as usual and he will be under huge pressure today, perhaps mainly from himself. His best recent chances to win were at the 2009 Canadian Open and 2012 Volvo Golf Champions and he lost both in a playoff and that will not help him mentally if, as it seems sure to do, this gets close. I have to look elsewhere.
14 golfers are within four strokes of the lead and I would describe 8of the other 13 as proven winners and top class golfers. I feel Dustin J, Bubba and Jordan Spieth all have good chances and Watson would be very good for us as outlined yesterday, even Jim Furyk who we have discussed very recently as seemingly incapable of getting the job done, could win from off the pace, as he is not under the same spotlight and pressure as when leading and in the final pairing or three ball to tee off.
The player I like however, is Sergio Garcia, he is wildly talented and should have won far more titles and majors at that, to his name, if you had said a decade ago when he was 25yo and already had six US Tour wins to his name, that he would only win twice more, you would have been carted away to the local asylum. He has struggled to get the job done , especially when leading, but from off the pace on Sunday, I have won with him twice at nice odds and he is capable of going very low and posting a score for the leaders to try and beat. This is the situation where he feels most comfortable and six of his eight wins have seen him shoot sub 68 on Sunday and four of the last six have come via playoffs, he doesn't have a winning record in those, but if he gets that close, we will be in a great position and we can worry about that later !


1.25 unit Sergio Garcia to win outright 9.0-10.0 general quote.
 

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Wow. cool, somebody that bets golf like me. I'm new to this site but love to bet golf. I haven't bet today's Northern Trust yet. I've actually caddied at the Riviera before and know the course quite well. It's a long hitters course, and requires well placed shots well down the fairway and also keeping the ball on the lower parts of most of the greens there. Today's best shot, in my opinion, is Graham DeLaet. This French Canadian can flat rack the ball off the tee and can hang with Bubba in distance. He's not in the best positions today being down 2 strokes to the veteran Goosen but I think with the power the Delaet has and his great reading ability on the Riviera greens he can win this. I personally think he should be at 3-1 so at +615 at Betdsi he's a play. I know there are better numbers on him out there if you shop it.

I do like you play also on Sergio at that price. He knows the course well and has been driving the ball with distance ( He ripped one 330 yesterday) so he could win if he putts. That's just it, if he putts. Not known to putt the Riviera well but as much as he's played that course one would think he might start draining those 15 footers.

Good luck to you, should be a fun closing day! I'd love to return to this thread to discuss more golf.
 

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