Originally, I thought this number was too low. The thought process was, he is now a full year removed from core surgery. He should be completely healed and strong...minus the late nights with Kate (cant blame him for that). However he has looked very pedestrian in spring outings. He has been claiming to be working on his 12-6 curve; however during his last outing his fast ball was reading 93 with little movement, and 3 got deposited over the fence. The Tigers went as far as to claim the radar gun got shut down, very curious timing. I think 13.5 is a good number now, it will be close. Good luck.