Need some advice on bracket hedging

ALSportsJunkie · Mar 27, 2015

I am in 3rd in a contest with 125 entries. Winner will get paid approximately 1k. If Louisville wins tonight I will be in 1st - if they lose I am out of contention. There are two people who can pass me. One needs UCLA to win tonight and the other needs Oklahoma to make the final four. I have $20 invested in the contest.

I am thinking a $250 play on NC St money line and possibly $100 on UCLA money line to guarantee something, but I don't think UCLA has much of a chance tonight. You guys have any ideas?

wilbur · Mar 27, 2015

ALSportsJunkie said:
I am in 3rd in a contest with 125 entries. Winner will get paid approximately 1k. If Louisville wins tonight I will be in 1st - if they lose I am out of contention. There are two people who can pass me. One needs UCLA to win tonight and the other needs Oklahoma to make the final four. I have $20 invested in the contest.

I am thinking a $250 play on NC St money line and possibly $100 on UCLA money line to guarantee something, but I don't think UCLA has much of a chance tonight. You guys have any ideas?

I asked the same yesterday as I have NC St in the RX pool.The ats contest.
I was thinking to just put 25 on louisville ml and hope they win by 1 or 2.
Just enough to get my money back and hope NC ST advances.

Biz · Mar 27, 2015

Don't waste your money hedging UCLA.

Hedge NC ST plus the points, not ML. If they lose and cover, you win both.

Oklahoma is the team to worry about, they can absolutely get to the Final 4.