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Rx. Senior
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PHILS +100
PHILS/pirates over 7.5 -105



indians -104.....


really wanna hammer this but treading lightly, u would think the Indins and reds would be only terms accustomed to these noon starts and own their opponents at home when they occur, but just doesnt seem to happen......holliday sitting after getting plunked yesterday, Bauer in my opinion much better p[itcher than his last outing indicated. I love tribe lineup except Nick Swisher, he must have some embarassing photos of someone cause he not only is still a MLB player making millions, he actually is in starting lineup now that he isnt faking injuries


mets/cubs over 7.5, feels like wrigley over 16 game.....just saying
 

Dain Bramaged
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LINEUP CHANGE:
Bourjos CF
Carpenter 3B
HOLLIDAY DH
Adams 1B
Reynolds LF
Wong 2B
Molina C
Heyward RF
Kozma SS
Wacha RHP


GL
 

Rx. Senior
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my philly write up never posted....this game is all about the books tricking u about vance worley. Former phil and minnesota twin, last outing had himself a nice 2 out double to cap a 3 run inning after triple play saved his ass. Hes gonna come in here and think hes got something to prove, and when Vance is tryin hes dyin......Harang is servicable but not as good as his numbers suggest, should give up 2-3 runs......day game that should see its share of Homeruns, I expect phils, especially Utley to get to Vance early, and phils to hang on to win 8-6 type game after their bullpen (except Giles) tries to shit it away.
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Dec 8, 2006
Messages
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LINEUP CHANGE:
Bourjos CF
Carpenter 3B
HOLLIDAY DH
Adams 1B
Reynolds LF
Wong 2B
Molina C
Heyward RF
Kozma SS
Wacha RHP


GL



great I like it even more, now i will increase wager size, shit like that gets people to play the side with the injured star, only to see him play hurting, or for him to exit as soon as he stubs his vagina......thanks for the info


Id have seen it myself but im too busy rooting for Fabio Fogini to get his head out of his ass and cover my +3.5 games vs Berdych
 

Dain Bramaged
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lmao :toast:
 

Rx. Senior
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side note, if u ever see Jelena Jankovic punch her in the fucking face and kick her cooter......i know shes tanking. How the hell do u break the number 4 player in the world first game, win your service game as a +200 dog, then go up 40-15 in 3rd game, and then get blown out every game the remainder of the match......fucking russian tennis players so corrupt
 

Dain Bramaged
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That sucks!! Exactly why I stopped playing it. Some real shady shit goes on in tennis.
 

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I think that Bauer has been and is an average pitcher... Gonna put my money on Wacha who has been doing better. Although, I had my money on Oakland yesterday thinking that Oakland had the better pitching. Oakland should have won that game yesterday as they had more hits, just couldn't score with runners on plate. Last outing Oakland 11-0 against Boston...
Anyways, going with Wacha

Thanks for the Phil play, I will follow. Been keeping tuned to your threads as you have been insightful..
 

Dain Bramaged
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Just put my Tribe n Phils plays in too. Lets start off with nuttin but winners :toast:
 

Dain Bramaged
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Holliday Walks extends his streak everyone else swinging at air lol
 

Rx. Senior
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I think that Bauer has been and is an average pitcher... Gonna put my money on Wacha who has been doing better. Although, I had my money on Oakland yesterday thinking that Oakland had the better pitching. Oakland should have won that game yesterday as they had more hits, just couldn't score with runners on plate. Last outing Oakland 11-0 against Boston...
Anyways, going with Wacha

Thanks for the Phil play, I will follow. Been keeping tuned to your threads as you have been insightful..


thats quite interesting regarding oakland cause iw atched every pitch as the money im playing with today was part of a Boston +130, tribe -137, rays -102 parlay that hit.......i fucking hate wade Miley, and sometimes the only way tog et a win if u r gonna bet a game u dont like is to do the thing that u dont want to do.......the first half of my betting career Id have taken oakland in that situation. understanding botht eams the way i do, i realized the series was in question and Oakland has been slumping at the plate and who in their right mind bets on wade miley? I bet 5000 against him last week vs jays and it was easiest bet i won.

not saying that game was fixed, just saying wade miley shouldnt be able to win there getting only a couple runs, but oaklands most destructive hitter in my opinion Vogt, was out of lineup because of L/R strategy......And thats a strategy of all teams, Oakland the number crunchers will never stray from......That dude has been dominant, and if i was gonna try and win a game, hed be in my lineup at DH or Catcher or 1b.

I dont know why i am fixated with cleveland. Sometimes when u are drawn to a team its because u are expecting somehting u know is there, and it never happens, and then if it does, its so validating....i dont believe Cleveland is a .333 baseball team, and is ee them playing well over .500 to be the team i think they will.....That doesnt mean just cause I WANT THEM TO, THAT THEY WILL DO IT, AND DO IT TODAY.

5 bullet points about why i think the game matters as much to them as it does to me, and afterall in baseball half the battle is the manager deciding to coach that particular game as if its game 7, and not to concede anything because "we play again tomorrow"


1) a)today is for the series win, not always important, but bullet point b of this is against ST Louis, one of the best teams in MLB right now

2) Its going for a series win in front of a Home crowd thats still showing up in early season, lose too much early and they wont show up at all

3) warnings and an ejection yesterday, now they dont like each other and "feel some type a way" about beating the shit out of them.

4) i cant help but notice in early start games where theres an off day or plane to catch, the visitor tends to fold up and prepare to move on to the next locale and enjoy a golf outing or day off

5) bauer got screwed by ump and bad defense his last game where he fell behind 6-1 to jays , grand slam after some shitty things went agianst him, he never shouldve been in that situation.


guess we will see what happens, but im a big righty lefty bat guy when it comes to dominant pitchers and kipnis santa brantley moss chisenhall.......i love how these guys matchup vs righties especially at home

and i love underpriced teams, baseball and hokcey only places u can really bet on a team that blows out another and u get back more $$$ then u bet, because wrong team is favored, public bias, recent trends etc.....just have to find out whats gold, and whats fools gold


sorry for the typos
 

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Thanks for the info... much appreciated. In my second year or this. Lots to learn. I will digest and hit you back with some ?'s later if you don't mind.
 

Dain Bramaged
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r u watching the Clev game?!?! SMH There goes another remote
 

Rx. Senior
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Thanks for the info... much appreciated. In my second year or this. Lots to learn. I will digest and hit you back with some ?'s later if you don't mind.


no prob, i dont pretend to have the answers, but when it comes to this stuff, its important to realize- YOU WILL NOT WIN EVERY BET, YOU WILL LOSE.....we all know this but the thing I always ask myself after I lose is, "was taking the opposite play possible for me, was it something I considered, is it a play id make maybe under different circumstances"......

If the answer is HELL NO, then I am usually ok with the loss. If its a loss I can not reconcile and never feel ok with, I make a conscious decision to never lose that way again. IE I hate betting on Home teams -1.5, insurance runs, and winning by 2 doesnt fuckin g matter to them, so its a lesson ive learned.


Another rule I have is, never bet on wandy rodriguez games unless betting the over. Ive got like 20-30 of em, but u get the point, losing a certain way makes it not fun, and tough to justify losin g $$$ over.
 

Rx. Senior
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great I like it even more, now i will increase wager size, shit like that gets people to play the side with the injured star, only to see him play hurting, or for him to exit as soon as he stubs his vagina......thanks for the info


Id have seen it myself but im too busy rooting for Fabio Fogini to get his head out of his ass and cover my +3.5 games vs Berdych


fabio made it to the 3rd and final set tiebreaker , 3-6, 6-3 and now 6-6......im +3.5 games so im golden, if he wins this thing outright, i will have lefvt alot of + money out there, but this bet was +102 even w spread........nice
 

Rx. Senior
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Phils loaded em up- Vance walks one and phils keep movin station to station 2-0 first inning still loaded



adding Mets +129..... Small play- with these two pitchers on mound this game is 50/50..... Small edge to mets- wrong team favored. Niese Elite Era this year
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Dec 8, 2006
Messages
11,472
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PHILS +100
PHILS/pirates over 7.5 -105



indians -104.....


really wanna hammer this but treading lightly, u would think the Indins and reds would be only terms accustomed to these noon starts and own their opponents at home when they occur, but just doesnt seem to happen......holliday sitting after getting plunked yesterday, Bauer in my opinion much better p[itcher than his last outing indicated. I love tribe lineup except Nick Swisher, he must have some embarassing photos of someone cause he not only is still a MLB player making millions, he actually is in starting lineup now that he isnt faking injuries


mets/cubs over 7.5, feels like wrigley over 16 game.....just saying

Wasted opps- should be 5-1 minimum.....3-0 phils in 4th
 

Dain Bramaged
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Tribe had their chances, pitiful!!:ohno:
 

Rx. Senior
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mets weird game.......they explode then cubs explode......knew this would happen before the game, once i saw niese shutting it down i figured "good thing i played the pitcher i like" and not the hitting tendency i suspected.......good pitching beats good hitting all the time.......well except today.....today woods 5+ era and niese 1.89 era are exactly equal....in fact, cubs runners on corners 1 out 5-5 game, id say niese was even worse since hes not likely to escape here without trailing.......


very nice save for cubs first 5 bettors
 

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