Honorable Handicapper first post and pick

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June 14[SUP]th[/SUP] 2015

I came across this sports gambling forum and decided to register to start posting some of my picks. One of the major issues I have with people who post picks is MOST never include a thorough thought process or even one at all on why they made the bet in the first place. If you truly wanted to help people, you would include a thought process in your picks. Please spare me the “no time” bullshit; if you have time to post picks, you have time to post your thought process.

Washinton Nationals -150 *100 units* does not help anybody and never will.

While I understand history has shown gambling forums are on the decline(part of that is how people do business and part of that is the posters themselves) it would help others tremendously if you would add more than just White Sox -135 *100* units. It will also help if you tell the truth on what your intentions really are.

While I firmly believe there are still sharks who troll the forums looking for any piece of edge that will help them in the strict market today, they’re few and far between. My intentions will be made clear here, I have plans to move out to Vegas to gamble on sports full time and I need confirmation from others (even strangers) if I have what it takes. Truth be told, most gamblers are arrogant and can’t see past their own crap so there’s nothing like outsider criticism (good and bad) to help me. I would also like to team up with others who actually know what they’re doing in this business. I do bet at a rate of $100 a unit. I’m not selling the farm because I’m in no position to sell the farm but if the right offer comes about AND the right team, I’ll listen. No, this does NOT include running around placing bets for you and your team either which is totally illegal but so is drinking and driving but many do it anyways especially in the south. Actual handicapping which takes time (at least for me) is what I will bring to the table, dot those I’s and cross those T’s. I wake up handicapping; go to bed handicapping. Quite frankly, there are few touts in this industry worthy of consideration (if any). I personally tried a few of them years back and quickly realized most are nothing but bullshit with hidden agendas and questionable record keeping practices. I got a dope sense of humor bruh which goes a long way during the down slides because no matter how successful you really are, you experience them especially in this business.

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins -127 5 dimes Jorge De La Rosa vs Dan Haren

One thing I look for that goes above and beyond just stats and sabermetrics (which are usually already incorporated into the line anyways) is confidence and body language. Colorado has no confidence and has displayed some rough body language as of late. Even though Tulo is starting today, Walt Weiss has decided to rest Troy Tulowitzki on a more consistent basis not just because of health (quadriceps), but because of ATTITUDE as well. It's clear as day this guy WANTS OUT of Colorado and wants out SOON. While it appeared he was back on track last week hitting hot, Troy has cooled off and gone bland in this series against Miami, 1-4, 1-4, 1-4. One guy who has not cooled off is Giancarlo Stanton for Miami (5 HR's in his last 26 at bats). After a rough start to the season, he is doing everything possible to live up to every penny of his $325 million dollar contract. With the way he's seeing the baseball, there's a great chance he'll improve that 1 for 8 in his career against De La Rosa in route to another Miami Marlins win and a much deserved completion of a sweep.
 

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Welcome n good insight..hope u hav much success..BOL wit ur plays today n the future
 
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Colorado 4 Miami 1 Not necessarily the start I was looking for. Haren rough 1st inning leads to a loss. De La Rosa puts forth a solid outing for Colorado.

WNBA Seattle Storm at Los Angeles Sparks under 144.5 (-110)

Depleted Sparks squad should focus more on defense at home today against the Storm. The time off (8 days) makes it more likely they'll do just that especially after giving up 86 in a loss to the same team their facing today.

0-1 -1.27 units on the year
 

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Gotta love and respect the honesty. Agree with a lot you said. Best of luck.
 

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I have been in the business for many years and you may benefit from browsing my thread on a daily basis for MLB plays. Good luck to you
 
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Storm 60 Sparks 54 WNBA stays under the posted total. Sparks couldn't put the ball into the basket in the 4th.

1-1 -0.27 units on the year at the rx


NCAAB Cal State Fullerton vs Vanderbilt -250 5 dimes *** 2 units ***

What's the golden rule in sports gambling? What's the one thing sophisticated gamblers try to teach you time and time again? NEVER RISK 2 to 1 JUICE ON A BASEBALL GAME! NEVER! In fact, people say it's wise not to go past -130 (something I go by, not always though) but there are times in this business or entertainment for some where situations present themselves where a gambler just has to fire, even at -250. This is that moment. Truth be told, Cal State Fullerton is just lucky to even be here. This free swinging team will find it EXTREMELY DIFFICULT trying to hit Vanderbilt's starting pitcher Carson Fulmer tonight (drafted 8th overall by the White Sox). Even though Cal State Fullerton will counter with their ace Thomas Eschelman (who leads the nation in strikeouts to walks), he's going up against an experienced Vanderbilt offense who is riding an incredible high right now who doesn't compare one bit to the ones Fullerton has faced to get here. He has to be on today just to give his team a chance to stay in this game and even then, it won't be enough because his offense just doesn't have the power to back him up (20 HR's all season). That just won't cut it in these moments which is why this juice is worth risking.
 
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I'm in a little bit of predicament involving this Fullerton/Vanderbilt game from last night. Originally I had the game game chalked up as a loss considering Vanderbilt hitters had an extremely difficult time picking up the ball by Eshelman for Fullerton combined with the fact the umpire was very favorable last night with the corners(for strikes) but with a 3-0 lead for Fullerton in the bottom of the 6th, the game was called due to lightning and rain. Vanderbilt had a runner on 3rd and a guy at the plate had a 3-2 count. It does surprise me big time the umpire didn't wait until the Vandy guy at the plate was done with his at bat to call the game but whenever lightning is involved, the threat is very serious. The delay obviously favors Vanderbilt here but the live(or resumed) odds currently at 5 dimes certainly don't back this thinking up. Fullerton is currently -530 to win the game. To me, that's a tad bit too far especially with where we left off and knowing damn well Eschelman isn't going back out there while Vanderbilt is the team with way more pitching depth. Don't necessarily think 5 Dimes will have live betting available but I could be wrong. So for this game, I'm just a sitting duck and it's a friendly reminder why one should never bet high juice on a baseball game (even if Vandy still comes backs to win).

ATP Kevin Anderson -3.5 games won (-145) vs Lleyton Hewitt 5dimes

Even though Hewitt is a decent grass court player, he's hanging everything up at the end of the Australian Open in 2016 (if he doesn't retire sooner). At 34, he's got nothing left. He's been having a rough go and this will be the first time he crosses paths with a top 20 player (Kevin Anderson) this season. Even an average Anderson on grass will take the current Hewitt out in straight sets. Odds are this won't end well.
 
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Fullerton was -530 when I made that post and now they're -375 at 5dimes. Interesting. Interesting indeed. I had absolutely nothing to do with that. I was debating about putting a little down on Vandy but held off.
 

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I have no money on the game however I am rooting for vandy. I hope they find a way to come back and win for you
 

? SHADE OR FADE ?
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Fullerton was -530 when I made that post and now they're -375 at 5dimes. Interesting. Interesting indeed. I had absolutely nothing to do with that. I was debating about putting a little down on Vandy but held off.

HH, TY for the info. I just made a small play on Vandy + 285 GL
I like your thread keep up the good work.
 
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Hewitt won the 1st set and actually had match point in the 2nd but failed. He gave Anderson a battle but in the end his age showed. Anderson covers -3.5 games, 6-7, 7-5, 6-2.

2-1 +0.73 units on the year at the rx

Fullerton back up to -515. Line has been all over the place. More erratic than tennis lines. Game will resume 2 pm central on ESPN2.
 
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WTA Michelle Larcher De Brito -3.5 games won (-120) vs SaiSai Zheng

Larcher is a young talent just like her opponent but Larcher is the one with some proven history of playing well especially on grass (her favorite surface). She advanced to the round of 32 at Wimbledon last year.
 
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Larcher wins in straight sets, 6-3, 6-2.

3-1 +1.73 units on the year at the rx

Really looking forward to the start of this Vanderbilt game. Haven't been this antsy in a while. Part of it is the fact Vandy has a guy up with a 3-2 count and a hit or even walk just might be a game changer.
 

? SHADE OR FADE ?
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Larcher wins in straight sets, 6-3, 6-2.

3-1 +1.73 units on the year at the rx

Really looking forward to the start of this Vanderbilt game. Haven't been this antsy in a while. Part of it is the fact Vandy has a guy up with a 3-2 count and a hit or even walk just might be a game changer.

So the line was - 3.5 and Larcher won by 9 games right?
 

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RU Runmaker in another sheepskin? If you look at the top of the screen, you'll note that this is the "Baseball" forum. There are forums on this site for other sports such as tennis, which I happen to enjoy. That being said, this is not the forum for posting tennis picks, this is for baseball. GL to you sir and welcome to the RX.

~T~
 
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She won by 7 games so she covered the number. If the number was -7.5, I would have lost. I don't feel like cluttering up the forum with separate threads plus it's easier to track, for me at least.
 

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