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Thread: ARL - Away Dogs

  1. #1 ARL - Away Dogs 
    Dice, Sports & Cocktails powerz's Avatar
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    I have been doing some experimenting with Alternate Run Lines here are the plays today....will be back tonight with the explanations

    Phillies +226

    Tampa +156
    Houston +176
    Minny +213
    Sea +204

    Gl Powerz
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  2. #2  
    RX Local Mobdeeper7239's Avatar
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    Nice hits on seattle and houston. 2 out of 5 is a winning night for you. Really glad you did not get Tampa tho. Couldn't root for you on that one. GL rest.of the way
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  3. #3  
    Dice, Sports & Cocktails powerz's Avatar
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    Mob I had Tampa and Minny too but Late game melt downs cost us - congrats on cashing in on McCanns homer

    2-3 +.8

    So here's the theory - The public likes to bet Run Line favs and usually on good teams so I am track the number of bets in relation to the Line move on Run lines

    I also know from 3 seasons of collecting data when the run line rise on home fave IE; goes from +150 to +175 on the -1.5 - The ARL on the road dog cashes 34% in the American League and 32% in the National
    By filtering out certain public %'s I think I can hit in 40% range on these plays and they are pretty easy to pick out so here we go lets try it for a week and see were we get to.

    Toronto +155

    Houston +193
    Miami +185
    Colorado +223
    NY Mets +278



    Also just a note from Line reading perspective I really like Toronto today - it also fits a profile Seer taught me a team that came back against another teams BP 5+ runs and almost won is a good play the next game.

    GL guyz & Happy Independence Day to my American Cousins
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  4. #4  
    Super Moderator Betallsports's Avatar
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    Bol buddy
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  5. #5  
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    So your saying you bet the underdog at -1.5 on these plays? Good stuff man. I'll be watching to see how it goes. GL
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  6. #6  
    Dice, Sports & Cocktails powerz's Avatar
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    Nice 0'fer yesterday sorry about that

    2-8 -4.2*

    Milk +184
    Phillies +163
    Astros +176


    May have one afternoon game
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  7. #7  
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    That's ok. Not betting. Just lurking.
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by sunshine11 View Post
    That's ok. Not betting. Just lurking.
    Really? You have to let us all know this?

    If every person that lurked jumped into a thread to let us know......yeah. Lots of meaningless posts.

    Why do you have to jump into every freaking thread on this forum?

    You are single handedly making this forum a complete waste of time.

    Either add something relevant or just keep quiet. Geezus.
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  9. #9  
    RX Local Mobdeeper7239's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Biz View Post
    Really? You have to let us all know this?

    If every person that lurked jumped into a thread to let us know......yeah. Lots of meaningless posts.

    Why do you have to jump into every freaking thread on this forum?

    You are single handedly making this forum a complete waste of time.

    Either add something relevant or just keep quiet. Geezus.
    Exactly. See many doing this though. No one posting their play is looking for someone else's approval of the play. If they were they wouldn't of posted the play. So I don't get why people always come into someones thread to tell the O.P how much they love the play and then it always loses. These aren't respected cappers reassuring the play. These are mushes, sheep, like you said meaningless posters. Maybe I should be speaking elsewhere about this but the shit is becoming more and more annoying
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  10. #10  
    Dice, Sports & Cocktails powerz's Avatar
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    Missed the start of the M's and A's which was my 4th ARL today - I will take the M's ML Live +261
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  11. #11  
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    Currently 0-1 A's bottom of the 5th
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  12. #12  
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    4-9 -1.73*

    The M's is not listed I did not bet it ARL or call the shot before the game, I did cash the ML but did not include it in the record.

    Here's a thought for you - If you chased very AL road team last series on the ARL you would have won $500 - Betting $50 Gm1 $100 Gm2 & $150 GM3. If they won game one stop they lost carry on. What I am saying is every AL team covered the -1.5 last series.

    Monday Plays;

    Tor +186 - Buehlre's last start in CHIC?
    Mets +209
    Baltimore +138
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  13. #13  
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    5-11 -1.64*

    Missed two games last night as Houston and Detroit took care of business, however the Mets took care of play for us basically giving us a split.

    Toronto +150 2*
    Baltimore +141 2*

    Oakland +150 1*
    LAA +136 1*

    GL guys
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  14. #14  
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    Missed one Tampa Bay +186 1* - Game one
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  15. #15  
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    Tampa Bay Game 2 -1.5 +186 2*
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  16. #16  
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    Good luck!
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  17. #17  
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    Thansk RP - Looks like I'll need it today 6-16 -8.28*

    played these last night

    Balt -1.5 +132 3*
    Tbay -1.5 +125 3*
    Tor -1.5 +111 3*

    A's -1.5 +154 2*
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