Sunday 8/30/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 11:30
AjaxvDen Haag
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KEY STAT: Ajax have kept clean sheets in all three of their Eredivisie games

EXPERT VERDICT: Ajax have made a solid start and have won their first three league matches without conceding a goal. Arkadiusz Milik has been in great form and they should find a way to break down Den Haag, who have failed to keep a clean sheet so far this season.

RECOMMENDATION: Ajax to win 2-0
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Scottish Championship TODAY 12:30
Queen of SthvRangers
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT QUEEN OF STHRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Queen of the South have scored against Rangers in each of their last six meetings

EXPERT VERDICT: Both of these sides have made positive starts in the Scottish Championship, but Rangers will fancy their chances after overcoming Queen of the South in last season’s playoffs. The hosts have a decent record against Rangers, though, losing just twice in their last six meetings.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
2


REFEREE: Bobby Madden STADIUM:

 

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French Ligue 1 TODAY 13:00
St-EtiennevBastia
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ST-ETIENNERECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: St-Etienne’s matches last season averaged 2.13 goals per game, while Bastia’s averaged 2.18

EXPERT VERDICT: The distraction of the Europa League has made St-Etienne vulnerable in the first few weeks of the season and Bastia, who have started brightly, can take advantage by snatching a draw. These sides are typically involved in low-scoring matches and this could be a tight one.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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Premier League TODAY 13:30
SouthamptonvNorwich
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SOUTHAMPTONRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Saints have yet to keep a clean sheet in the league

EXPERT VERDICT: With Norwich finding their feet in the Premier League just as Southampton are starting to misfire, this could be a good opportunity to profit on the Canaries. Norwich have scored in all three league starts and knocked three past Sunderland on their last away day.

RECOMMENDATION: Norwich
1


REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

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German Bundesliga TODAY 14:30
B DortmundvHertha Berlin
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RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT B DORTMUNDRECENT FORM
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KEY STAT: Dortmund have won all six games this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Spirits are high at Dortmund after a fantastic start to the season and they couldn’t hope for much better visitors to Westfalenstadion than Hertha, who could easily have been relegated last season and don’t create enough. Expect the hosts to cruise to a straightforward three points.

RECOMMENDATION: Dortmund to win 3-0
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Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 15:45
PSV EindhovenvFeyenoord
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KEY STAT: Dirk Kuyt has scored a second-half penalty in all three of Feyenoord's league games

EXPERT VERDICT: Champions PSV have drawn two of their first three games and seem to be struggling to cope without summer departures Memphis Depay and Gini Wijnaldum. But Feyenoord have flown out of the traps with a trio of impressive victories and are full of goals and confidence.

RECOMMENDATION: Feyenoord
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MLB

National League
Marlins @ Nationals
Hand is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts (under 3-2).

Strasberg is 5-1, 1.73 in his last seven starts (under 6-2 in last eight).

Miami lost four of last six games with Washington; under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Marlins lost seven of last nine games- under is 6-1-1 in last eight. Washington won five of its last seven (over 4-2-2 in last eight).

Rockies @ Pirates
de la Rosa is 0-2, 3.96 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven.

Morton is 1-1, 5.01 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Colorado lost six of last eight games with Pittsburgh; home side won 11 of last 12 series games. Rockies lost eight of last 11 games-- five of their last eight went over total. Pirates won ten of last 12 games; five of their last seven stayed under.

Padres @ Phillies
Shields is 1-2, 5.00 in his last three starts; his last five starts went over; San Diego is 3-12 overall in his last fifteen starts.

Asher is making MLB debut; he was 2-0, 2.08 in four AA starts since he was acquired in Hamels trade. Asher was 3-6, 4.73 in 12 AAA starts for Texas..

Padres lost six of last seven games with Philly; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. San Diego lost five of last six games; under is 6-1-1 in its last eight. Phillies lost four of last six games; over is 8-3-1 in their last twelve.

Reds @ Brewers
Lamb is 0-2, 6.06 in his first three MLB starts (over 2-1).

Peralta is 1-1, 11.74 in his last two starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Reds lost five of last six games with Milwaukee (over 4-2); Cincy lost 12 of last 14 games (over 6-3 in last nine) overall. Brewers lost five of last six games, over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games.

Cubs @ Dodgers
Arrieta is 5-0, 1.08 in his last five starts; last three went over.

Wood is 2-1, 3.57 in his last three starts; over is 2-0-1 in last three at home.

Cubs are 3-7 in last ten games with LA; under is 5-0-1 in last six series games. Chicago lost last four games overall, scoring six runs. Dodgers won their last five games, allowing eight runs; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight.

Cardinals @ Giants
Garcia is 3-0, 1.63 in his last four starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six

Heston was 0-2, 4.58 in his last four starts before being sent to AAA; his last four home starts stayed under the total.

Cardinals lost five of their last eight games with Giants (under 3-1-1 last five); St Louis won six of last seven games; over is 5-2-2 in last nine. Giants are 4-6 in last ten games; over is 7-4-2 in their last thirteen.

St Louis closer Rosenthal is not in SF this weekend; his wife had a baby and Rosenthal is in St Louis with her.

American League
Tigers @ Blue Jays
Simon is 1-2, 6.48 in his last four starts.

Buehrle is 2-1, 5.15 in his last six starts; six of his last seven went over.

Tigers lost eight of last nine games; seven of their last ten stayed under; Tigers lost eight of last 11 games with Toronto (over 8-2 in last ten). Blue Jays won nine of last eleven (eight of last ten went over).

Angels @ Indians
Weaver is 2-1, 4.30 in his last four starts; three of his last four road starts stayed under the total.

Tomlin is 2-1, 3.26 in his last three starts (under 2-1).

Angels lost three of last four games with Cleveland; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Halos lost seven of last nine games (over 6-3). Indians won seven of last nine games; eight of their last 12 went over the total.

Royals @ Rays
Duffy is 3-1, 3.67 in his last five starts; nine of his last ten stayed under.

Karns is 0-0, 5.27 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four at home.

Royals won their last seven games with Tampa Bay (over 6-1); KC won seven of last eight games- over is 5-2-2 in its last nine. Tampa Bay lost five of its of last six games; six of Rays' last seven games went over.

Orioles @ Rangers
Gonzalez is 0-4, 7.58 in his last six starts (under 3-1 in last four on road).

Holland is 1-1, 4.73 in his three starts this year (under 1-1-1).

Rangers won five of last six games with Baltimore; under is 5-1-1 in last seven series games. Texas won 11 of last 15 games (under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games). Orioles lost nine of last ten games (under 6-2-1 in last nine).

Mariners @ White Sox
Olmos is making first MLB start; he has thrown 7.2 scoreless innings in four relief stints for Seattle-- only two of his 20 AAA appearances were starts.

Quintana is 1-1, 4.74 in his last four starts; his last six starts all went over.

White Sox lost three of last four games with Seattle (over 4-2 in last six); Chicago lost five of last seven games overall-- eight of their last 12 went over. Mariners won four of last five games- seven of their last nine games went over total.

Astros @ Twins
McCullers is 1-2, 5.33 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1).

Santana is 0-4, 9.79 in his last six starts; three of his last four went over.

Houston is 5-7 in last 12 games with Minnesota (under 4-1 in last five); Astros won eight of last 11 games (under 8-2). Twins won seven of last nine games-- three of their last five games went over.

Interleague
Red Sox @ Mets
Miley is 2-1, 4.33 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over.

Syndergaard is 2-1, 6.43 in his last four starts; his last five all went over.

Mets won seven of last nine games but lost last two; 11 of their last 13 games went over total. NY lost six of last eight games with Boston- seven of last 11 series games stayed under total. Boston won six of last eight games (over 8-3-1 in last 12). If Ortiz is in lineup (NL park, no DH), Red Sox have a pathetic defensive infield.

Bronx @ Braves
Eovaldi is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts (under 3-1).

Teheran is 3-0, 2.73 in his last five starts (under 4-2 in last six at home).

Bronx won seven of last nine games with Atlanta; four of last six series tilts stayed under total. NY is 4-3 in last seven games overall; three of last four went over total. Braves lost 11 of last 12 games; five of their last seven went over.

A's @ Diamondbacks
Chavez is 1-2, 5.79 in his last three starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Webster is making first start since June 29; he was 0-1, 10.13 in his last three starts before getting sent down.

Oakland lost five of last seven games with Arizona; four of last six went over total. A's lost five of last eight games; six of their last seven went over total. Diamondbacks lost five of last six games; over is 5-3-2 in their last ten.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mia-Wsh-- Hand 4-4; Strasburg 9-8 (6-1 last 7)
Col-Pitt-- de la Rosa 11-11; Morton 12-5 (5-1 last 6)
SD-Phil-- Shields 12-15 (3-12 last 15); Asher 0-0
Cin-Mil-- Lamb 0-3; Peralta 6-9
Chi-LA-- Arrieta 14-11; Wood 10-16/2-3
StL-SF-- Garcia 8-5 (5-0 last 5); Heston 14-10 (0-3 last 3)

Det-Tor-- Simon 14-10; Buehrle 15-10
LA-Clev-- Weaver 9-10; Tomlin 2-1
KC-TB-- Duffy 13-7 (8-2 last 10); Karns 11-14
Balt-Tex-- Gonzalez 12-12 (1-5 last 6); Holland 1-2
Hst-Min-- McCullers 8-7; Santana 4-6
Sea-Chi-- Olmos 0-0; Quintana 11-15

Bos-NY-- Miley 12-14 (2-7 last 9); Syndergaard 10-9
NY-Atl-- Eovaldi 17-8 (10-2 last 12); Teheran 15-11
A's-Az-- Chavez 7-16; Webster 3-1

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mia-Wsh-- Hand 4-8 (3-3 last 3); Strasburg 4-17
Col-Pitt-- de la Rosa 8-22; Morton 8-17
SD-Phil-- Shields 7-27; Asher 0-0
Cin-Mil-- Lamb 2-3; Peralta 6-15 (4 of last 5)
Chi-LA-- Arrieta 7-26; Wood 8-26
StL-SF-- Garcia 2-13; Heston 3-24

Det-Tor-- Simon 4-24; Buehrle 14-25
LA-Clev-- Weaver 5-19; Tomlin 1-3
KC-TB-- Duffy 5-20; Karns 12-25 (4 of last 4)
Balt-Tex-- Gonzalez 6-24; Holland 1-3
Hst-Min-- McCullers 4-15 (3 of last 4); Santana 1-9
Sea-Chi-- Olmos 0-0; Quintana 14-26

Bos-NY-- Miley 7-26; Syndergaard 6-19
NY-Atl-- Eovaldi 8-25; Teheran 9-26
A's-Az-- Chavez 6-23; Webster 2-4

Umpires
StL-SF-- Four of last five Cooper games went over the total.
Mia-Wsh-- Favorites won four of last five Scott games.
Col-Pitt-- Favorites won seven of last nine Nelson games.
SD-Phil-- Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Baker games
Cin-Mil-- Favorites won last six Dreckman games.
Chi-LA-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hoberg games.

Det-Tor-- Five of last six Davidson games went over.
KC-TB-- Six of last nine Fagan games stayed under.
Hst-Min-- Over is 9-5 in last fourteen Ripperger games.
Sea-Chi-- Four of last five TWelke games went over.
LA-Clev-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Knight games.
Balt-Tex-- Home side won last eight Reynolds games.

Bos-NY-- Five of last six West games went over total.
NY-Atl-- Favorites won 11 of last 14 Hickox games.
A's-Az-- Underdogs are 6-5 in last 11 Blakley games.
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 10
By David Schwab

Week 10 marks the halfway point of the 2015 CFL regular season and so far the two teams that met in last season’s Grey Cup have set the pace with Hamilton tied for the lead in the East Division and Calgary back on top in the West.

Last week’s results started with Montreal upending British Columbia, 23-13 as a four-point road underdog last Thursday night. Hamilton rolled over Edmonton 49-20 as a two-point road favorite in a huge inter-division clash last Friday and Calgary snuck past Saskatchewan, 34-31 as a 6 ½-point favorite on the road. Toronto closed-out Week 9’s slate with a come-from-behind 30-24 victory over Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite.

Sunday, Aug. 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 52

Game Overview

It has been a forgettable first half of football for the Roughriders, who have been plagued with major injuries at the quarterback position. They should be encouraged by the play of Brett Smith in relief. Against Calgary, he threw for 178 yards and three touchdowns while adding another 54 yards on the ground. Saskatchewan is still averaging 25.6 points a game.

The RedBlacks have now lost their last two games SU (1-1 ATS) after a posting a solid 4-2 start both SU and ATS. The total went OVER the closing 50-point line on Sunday and it has now gone OVER in their last four games. Veteran CFL signal-caller Henry Burris lit-up Toronto’s secondary in the losing effort with 426 yards passing while completing 32-of-36 attempts.

Betting Trends

Saskatchewan won both meetings last season SU with the series tied 1-1 ATS. The total went OVER in both contests with the Roughriders posting a total of 73 points in the two victories.
 
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Game of the Day: Roughriders at RedBlacks

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Ottawa RedBlacks (-3, 51.5)

The Ottawa Redblacks look to get back on track when they host the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Sunday. The Redblacks have lost back-to-back games following a 30-24 setback to the Toronto Argonauts to fall four points behind Toronto and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in the race for top spot in the East Division.

Ottawa dropped both meetings with the Roughriders last season, including a 35-32 double-overtime loss, and hopes to avoid falling further off the pace by earning its fourth home victory of the year. Saskatchewan remains the only winless team in the CFL after dropping a 34-31 decision to the Calgary Stampeders in Week 9. The Roughriders are mired in their longest losing streak since finishing the 1999 season with eight straight defeats, and six of their eight losses this year have come by four points or fewer. Saskatchewan is mathematically alive for the final playoff spot in the West Division as they sit six points behind Winnipeg and BC, but no team has ever started the year with eight straight losses and qualified for the postseason.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2

LINE HISTORY: Books opened Ottawa -3. The total opened 52.5 but is down a full point to 51.5.

INJURY REPORT: Roughriders - SB Chris Getzlaf (Out, leg).

ABOUT THE ROUGHRIDERS (0-8 SU, 2-5-1 ATS, 5-3 O/U): Offensive lineman Randy Richards was slapped with the maximum fine by the CFL after he was ejected for his clothesline tackle on Calgary return man Tim Brown during the loss to Stampeders. The injury bug continues to bite the Riders as slotback Chris Getzlaf, who has caught four touchdown passes, was carted off the practice field after injuring his left leg while running a routine route Wednesday. Paul McCallum saw his extra point streak come to an end as he missed his first conversion since Sept. 25, 1993 after making 802 straight attempts.

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS, 5-3 O/U): Henry Burris completed his first 18 passes before finishing 32-of-36 for 426 yards to set a CFL record for completion percentage in a game with at least 35 attempts. Ottawa released its leading tackler Brandon McDonald on Wednesday after the defensive back committed his 10th infraction of the season - a momentum-changing objectionable conduct penalty - in the loss to the Argonauts. "It's been an issue and we just felt that enough was enough," Redblacks general manager Marcel Desjardins told reporters. "We couldn't have the lack of discipline continue when we've tried to correct it a number of times."

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in RedBlacks last four games overall.
* Roughriders are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eighth road games.
* RedBlacks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 38-17 in Roughriders last 55 games in August.

CONSENSUS: Fifty-six percent are backing the RedBlacks.
 
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At the Gate - Sunday
By Mike Dempsey

Despite having just a maiden win to his credit, Keen Ice ran down Triple Crown winner American Pharoah in deep stretch to pull off the upset in the $1.6 million Travers (G1), returning his backers $34.00 for the win.

The air seemed to come out of the balloon at Saratoga as American Pharoah suffered his first defeat since his debut last year. The colt did not seem to bring his “A” game but still battled on gamely in the stretch after having to put away the pesky Frosted, who weakened to finish third.

Keen Ice was my second choice and we knocked down the recommended exacta that paid $66.00 and the trifecta that returned $180.00.

The question now is whether American Pharoah will race again. One thing seems likely, and that the colt will not come back for another prep for the $5 million Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).

If the colt toyed with his competition in the Travers as many expected he would, he may have made one more start, in either the Awesome Again or Jockey Club Gold Cup before the Classic.

That now seems unlikely meaning the colt will have to take on older in the Classic off a two-month break, not an easy task.

It all depends on how he comes out of his runner up finish, which was still a solid effort although not nearly as dazzling as his win in the Haskell Invitational (G1) at Monmouth Park four weeks ago.

My guess is Baffert and the Zayats do not want American Pharoah to go out without another shot at a win, and he will train up to the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1).


Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 1 Clm $12,500 (1:00 ET)
2 Petrocelli 5-1
6 Springcourt 6-1
1 Johannesburg Smile / 1a Bellamy Brew 2-1
4 My Adonis 7-2

Analysis: Petrocelli set the early fractions and weakened inside the final furlong to finish third last out at this distance for this tag in his first start off the claim by the DiPrima barn. Two back he was a game second for a $16,000 tag, beaten just 3/4 of a length of the top spot. Rosario sticks and this guy owns the edge in early and mid pace numbers and hope here breaking from the rail is that Rosario shakes loose early.

Springcourt made a mild late rally to finish fourth last out for a $16,000 tag in his first start off the claim by the low profile Figueroa barn. The gelding has been claimed seven times in his last 10 starts. blinkers are added today and this guy is usually in the mix, landing in the money in five of his seven starts this year without picking up a win. Looks as if he will be a decent price in this spot.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 2,6 / 1,2,4,6
TRI: 2,6 / 1,2,4,6 / 1,2,4,5,6

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 8 OClm $62,500N2X (4:55 ET)
2 Juba 7-2
10 Blame Jim 6-1
4 Ocean Knight 3-1
3 Doc Almon 8-1

Analysis: Juba set the early fractions while down along the inside and battled on gamely in the stretch, coming out and interfering with a foe inside the final furlong and DQ'd from second to third. The racing strip that day was playing to outside stalkers and closers. The colt was making his first start off a three-month break and figures to move forward off that effort. He earned a solid fig three back beating Alw-1 foes at the Big A and the effort was flattered when the runner up Matterhorn was a next out winner.

Blame Jim dueled for the early lead through sharp fractions and weakened to finish fourth last out in the Jersey Shore (G3). He was a good second two back and fourth three back in the Chick Lang at Pimlico in a highly graded race that produced four next out winners, two of them winning stakes. This guy owns solid early and mid pace numbers and the 6-1 morning line looks generous.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,10 / 2,3,4,10
TRI: 2,10 / 2,3,4,10 / 2,3,4,9,10

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Del Mar:

DMR Race 3 The Torrey Pines G3 (3:11 PT)
1 Stellar Wind 6-5
2 Big Book 5-2
4 Rattataptap 3-1
3 Roksana 8-1

Analysis: Stellar Wind is going to be tough here if she runs back to her game win in the Summertime oaks (G2) last out at Santa Anita. The runner up Tara's Tango came back to beat Alw-1 optional claimers in her next outing on Aug. 5 here. She won three of her first four starts including the Santa Anita Oaks (G1) back in April.

Big Book steps outside of the state breds ranks for the first time here after winning her first three career outings. Last out she won the Cal bred Fleet Treat in a sharp effort. The runner up Kiss At Midnight came back to beat state bred Alw-1 foes in her next outing. The filly still appears to have some upside but runs into a toughie in our top pick who has more class.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 1-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,4
TRI: no play

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R2: #7 Moss Code 12-1
R4: #4 Shes a True Beauty 8-1
R5: #1 Tahnee 10-1
R5: #5 Knit One Purr Too 15-1
R7: #2 Its All Relevant 8-1
R7: #6 Ballagh Rocks 12-1
R10: #1 Chocolatier / 1a Runway Giant 8-1
R11: #2 Puparee 10-1

Good luck today!
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Balmoral Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 8:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$2800 - NON-WINNERS OF 4 RACES OR $17,500 LIFETIME TO BE CLAIMED FOR $8,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 SKYWAY BILLY 3/1


# 3 HARPER VALLEY BOY 6/1


# 5 TERRORIZE THE MOON 8/1


If you want a great play this time, feast your eyes on SKYWAY BILLY. Has really strong TrackMaster speed figs and very likely has to be thought of for a wager in this contest. The number crunching team gives this fine animal a formidable chance to win this one, class numbers are tops in the field of horses. A nice play in here as he has one of the highest winning percents in the group as well as excellent credentials all around. HARPER VALLEY BOY - This selection will feel the change in medication - with first time Lasix today. TERRORIZE THE MOON - With a 74 average class statistic, this standardbred has one of the finest class advantages in the group. Had one of the best speed ratings of the field in his last race. I'd recommend using in your wagers.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Leamington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 3:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 72 - Purse:$3200 - CLAIMING $6000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 SANTANNA MAN 5/2


# 3 FIGHTYOUROBSESSION 3/1


# 5 DISTINCTIV SEAN 6/1


Hard not to strongly consider SANTANNA MAN as the top selection this time. This solid standardbred looks tough considering the high class statistics. Don't throw out of any exotics. When Johnston drives this interesting entrant you can bet they'll be in the top 3, percentages show them there 64 percent of the time. Drawing the 4 hole at Leamington Raceway has resulted in a very profitable return on investment. FIGHTYOUROBSESSION - Has good TrackMaster Speed Ratings and very likely has to be considered for a bet for this race. This interesting entrant achieved a competitive speed rating last out. Looks in good form to come right back. DISTINCTIV SEAN - This horse looks strong. Check out the 72 avg speed rating.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10440 Class Rating: 58

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,750, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 2 PURELY'S BID 5/1


# 9 BEARS TREACLE 4/1


# 4 AVERY'S GOLD 3/1


PURELY'S BID looks very strong to best this field. A solid 73 avg class fig may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group. Ran a strong last race. BEARS TREACLE - Recorded a sound Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Looks respectable for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. AVERY'S GOLD - She looks respectable in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Overall the Equibase Speed Figs of this equine look competitive in this outing.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Grand Prairie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4200 Class Rating: 68

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON 4 RACES LIFETIME. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 WHY NOT LIVE 7/2


# 1 HAIL TO JACK 9/2


# 4 NATS GOLDEN NUGGET 3/1


My selection in here is WHY NOT LIVE. Allen has a winning percentage of 16 over the last 30 days. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look competitive in this competition. Has been racing soundly in races of this distance, going 2 for 8 under similar conditions. HAIL TO JACK - When a conditioner brings any animal back this quickly it is a positive sign. Should finish in the money without any problem. NATS GOLDEN NUGGET - The average class rating of 56 makes this one hard to beat. Eno has him trained admirably to break speedily out of the gate.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Monmouth - Race #5 - Post: 2:49pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 HAZY DAISY (ML=5/1)
#1 MARKET TALES (ML=10/1)


HAZY DAISY - Finished runner up, but easily 2nd over the third horse. Those types usually run well next time out. Dropping 6 lbs from last race. Could be a deciding factor today. MARKET TALES - I'm counting on this magnificent animal to run a strong race in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HUACHUCA (ML=5/2), #7 FAKERY (ML=7/2), #3 FAIRBANKS E JET (ML=4/1),

HUACHUCA - This entrant will likely be at the back of the pack as this group crosses the finish line. FAKERY - This filly made little impact last time out. This mount has been letting down the bettors as the favorite time and time again. FAIRBANKS E JET - Finished third in her most recent performance with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #2 HAZY DAISY to win if you can get odds of 3/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $84,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 GAUCHE (ML=6/1)
#9 MIRACLE GIRL (ML=15/1)
#12 ABOUNDING LOVE (ML=9/2)


GAUCHE - When Pennington and Breen are put together on equines the return on investment has been fantastic at +51. Was in a Maiden Special race at Belmont last race out. That contest had a class number of 81 and she is moving down in this field. A certain serious competitor. MIRACLE GIRL - The July 26th event at Saratoga was at a class level of (82). Dropping down in the class scale significantly, so she should be in a good position. I look for a significant improvement in this field with the addition of Lasix for the second time. ABOUNDING LOVE - My pick is right here, and I'll tell you why. Lynch wins 26 percent with first time starters. I like the fact that this first timer has been working over the same track she'll be making her debut on.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PONYTAIL (ML=3/1), #4 LITTLE CYCLONE (ML=8/1),

PONYTAIL - Don't feel this questionable contender will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. LITTLE CYCLONE - The Brain cautions me to stay away from thoroughbreds in sprint races that haven't hit the board in sprint affairs recently. Couldn't close at all on Jul 27th. Hard to bet on in today's event at the expected odds.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - MIRACLE GIRL - Moving to dirt today, from last race on the turf at Saratoga. This steed has a good chance to pickup her first win against these horses.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #8 GAUCHE on top if we're getting at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
8 with [9,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9,12] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[8,9,12] with [8,9,12] with [3,8,9,10,12] with [3,8,9,10,12] Total Cost: $36
 
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Balmoral: Sunday 8/30 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 7 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (37 - 56 / $136.20): HOMICIDE HUNTER (1st)

Spot Play: PLATINUM ROCKS (2nd)


Race 1

(3) HOMICIDE HUNTER is racing for a lot less money this week but will look to keep his undefeated season alive. (1) MASTER OF EXCUSES has been consistent as of late. The trotter owns a good late kick and gets the best post. (2) EASTER TEKA has been racing gamely at this track despite tiring badly after shipping to Canada last start; use underneath.

Race 2

In a wide open and evenly matched race, (7) PLATINUM ROCKS is a well bred filly that should like this spot much better and will offer a big price. (6) SILVERSTARVICTORIA has flashed some ability but was very dull last start. (4) GOING SHOOTEN filly showed some improvement last start and finds a weak field.

Race 3

(9) LIMA PIZZAZ didn't race well off a four day layoff last out but was an easy winner at this level the start prior. (2) HOLIDAY SAINT well bred trotter gets a good post against much weaker. (5) MYSTICAL BRAT filly also takes a big drop in competition but has yet to show a burst of speed.

Race 4

(7) SKYWAY BILLY tough to endorse a horse 0 for 26 on the year, however the pacer has been much better in his last two starts despite tiring late last out. (5) TERRORIZE THE MOON three-year-old pacer went a big effort from off the pace last week. If the pacer races like that again he's a threat. (4) PAST THE SHOOTER was just even last out against a similar bunch; command a price.

Race 5

(1) LUCKY DALI freshman filly pacer had some sneaky late pace last week and should be primed for an improved effort third start back. (5) SANDY WIN showed really nice improvement last week; threat. (2) MONTANA REI was the driver's choice and showed a good burst of speed last week.

Race 6

(4) EXTRAVAGANT ART takes a significant drop in class; big chance. (2) TEA PARTY PATRIOT the driver opted elsewhere but the pacer has been racing gamely. (6) LIFE IS GOOD TODAY veteran pacer is 0 for the year; command a price.

Race 7

(8) BONJOUR MADAM mare showed a nice burst of speed at Maywood and has been racing better than her lines indicate. (7) VIVA VENTURI mare has progressed nicely and could be gaining confidence off a career effort. (4) SEA WATCHER mare has just been racing evenly but faces a slightly softer bunch.

Race 8

(8) JD CHEESE two-year-old trotter should be closer turning for home against a weak and inconsistent field. (1) TODGER gets sent out for capable connections with the best post; threat. (2) SCAT KITTY CAT was the driver's choice and showed a lot of ability last week despite the miscue.

Race 9

(8) GIMMEAZZZMOOCH will look to drop and pop against a really weak field. (3) KIMBERLEY R has also been facing slightly tougher and is capable of pacing a good mile. (5) WESTERN BOUDOIR was sharp last out but needs more; use underneath.

Race 10

(3) FOX VALLEY NORMAN could be freshened up for a big effort from a capable barn. (5) WESTERN DEAL gets sent out for a hot barn and will be used aggressively. (8) NANCYS SKYSCAPE had some late pace last week but only owns one win on the year.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Sunday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Arlington Park (2nd) Fancy Ticket, 5-1
(7th) Solar Flair, 9-2


Belterra Park (1st) Gold Legion, 7-2
(7th) Miss Kris, 5-1


Canterbury (3rd) The Saint, 3-1
(7th) Deadly Black Eagle, 10-1


Del Mar (5th) Poythress, 5-1
(9th) Majestic Heat, 3-1


Ellis Park (1st) Howlin At Dixie, 4-1
(9th) Bourbon N Lime, 4-1


Emerald Downs (1st) Some Storm Cat, 7-2
(10th) Skip My Turn, 6-1


Fort Erie (2nd) Shanty Bay, 8-1
(5th) Cane Bourbon, 5-1


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Lady Lionheart, 4-1
(7th) Wild At Best, 8-1


Gulfstream Park (1st) Master Jordan, 6-1
(6th) Starship Cosmo, 6-1


Monmouth Park (7th) Spanish Armada, 3-1
(11th) Royal Stage, 3-1


Mountaineer (2nd) Love's Halo, 10-1
(8th) Cadcam, 6-1


Parx Racing (2nd) Can't Miss, 9-2
(9th) Manhattan Mischief, 4-1


Presque Isle Downs (7th) Don't Defy Me, 9-2
(8th) Fine, 4-1


Retama Park (3rd) Korngay, 6-1
(9th) Devon's Iron Giant, 10-1


Saratoga (3rd) Groupthink, 6-1
(10th) Chocolatier, 8-1


Woodbine (4th) Uncorked Spirit, 4-1
(7th) Niigon Express, 4-1
 
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Preview: Tigers (60-69) at Blue Jays (73-56)

Game: 3
Venue: Rogers Centre
Date: August 30, 2015 1:07 PM EDT

Although it's highly unlikely that Edwin Encarnacion can top his latest performance during a lengthy hit streak, he'll at least try to keep the Toronto Blue Jays clicking at the plate in his encore.

While Encarnacion will attempt to extend his streak to 25 games Sunday, the Blue Jays look to finish off their first three-game home sweep of the Detroit Tigers in 12 years.

Encarnacion matched a franchise record with nine RBIs and homered three times in a 15-1 victory over the Tigers on Saturday. With six homers and 23 RBIs in his last seven games, he now has 10 longballs and 34 RBIs to go with a .400 average on his streak.

"He's some kind of locked in," manager John Gibbons said.

Encarnacion's career-best streak is the longest in the majors since Nolan Arenado's 28-gamer for Colorado last season and longest in the AL since Dustin Pedroia's 25-gamer with Boston in 2011. He is one shy of matching the fourth-longest for the Blue Jays - done by Scott Rolen in 2009 - and four away from tying Shawn Green's franchise best from 1999.

With Encarnacion's grand assistance, Toronto (73-56) is batting .345 with 75 runs and 18 homers while winning seven of eight. The AL East leaders are averaging 6.0 runs while taking 14 of 17 at home and have seven homers in the first two against Detroit (60-69).

Alfredo Simon (11-8, 4.89 ERA) is next up to try cooling Toronto's scorching offense and is 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA in four starts this month. That lone victory, though, was a one-hitter in a 4-0 win against Texas on Aug. 20.

Simon made his only two starts against the Blue Jays in 2011 while with Baltimore. In this one, he'll try to help the scuffling Tigers avoid their first three-game sweep in Toronto since Sept. 5-7, 2003.

The Blue Jays, who swept a three-game set in Detroit last year, are batting .309 with 39 runs and 11 homers while going 3-2 in this season's series.

Toronto will try to provide support for Mark Buehrle (13-6, 3.60) as he seeks his highest win total since going 15-12 for the Chicago White Sox in 2008. The left-hander is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA in his last two but is 4-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last seven at home.

In his first start against Detroit in a little more than a year, Buehrle will face a team batting .237 and averaging 2.9 runs in a 1-8 stretch. Victor Martinez has been one of the struggling Tigers hitters of late, going 4 for 32, and manager Brad Ausmus contends his DH hasn't recovered from offseason surgery on his left knee.

"You talk to people that have had knee surgeries, sometimes they say it takes a year (to feel right)," Ausmus told MLB's official website. "He's not hurting. He doesn't feel any pain, but ... I just don't think he's ever been right since the injury, and it might take an offseason to get him right."

Martinez is 28 for 78 (.359) lifetime against Buehrle, and only Michael Cuddyer (31) has gotten more hits off the left-hander. He's also had just four at-bats versus the Toronto starter in the past three seasons, collecting one single.

Miguel Cabrera, meanwhile, has nine hits in his last 13 at-bats against Buehrle but is 1 for 11 with six strikeouts in his last three games after hitting .489 in his first 12 back from a strained left calf. Cabrera, hitting .361, is back on top of the AL batting race after getting enough at-bats to qualify.

Encarnacion is 2 for 8 lifetime against Simon and will face him for the first time since 2011.
 

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