Week 2 NFL Betting Nuggets You Should Know

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[h=1]Chalk points: Week 2 betting nuggets you should know[/h]Evan Abrams, ESPN Chalk

Chalk Points are quick-hitting previews designed for on-the-go fans and recreational bettors looking for fundamental information.

[h=2]A look back[/h]On Thursday night, the Broncos beat the Chiefs 31-24. In his career in Denver,Peyton Manning has only been an underdog against a divisional opponent twice: in 2012 against San Diego and Thursday vs. Kansas City. Denver won both games.

[h=2]Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints[/h]Current matchup intel from PickCenter

  • The Saints are favored over the Buccaneers for the 13th consecutive game. Tampa Bay was last favored over New Orleans on November 30, 2008.
  • Jameis Winston is a 9.5-point underdog this week against the Saints. That is the largest point spread underdog for Winston in his college and pro career. It is also just the second time he has ever been an underdog. Winston was a 9-point underdog against Oregon at Florida State.
  • A word of caution: Drew Brees is 12-3 straight up (SU), but 5-10 against the spread (ATS) as a touchdown favorite against divisional opponents with New Orleans.

[h=2]New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills[/h]Current matchup intel from PickCenter

  • Even though this is the closest point spread for the Bills against the Patriots since they were last favored in 2003, the recent results do not suggest a small point spread being a positive thing for Buffalo.
DATELINERESULT
Sept. 2015PK?
Oct. 2014-2.5NE win
Nov. 2008-3.5NE win
Sept. 2012-4NE win
Dec. 2005-4NE win

Lowest NE Vs. BUF Spread Since 2003

  • Tom Brady is just 1-5 ATS on the road against divisional opponents since 2013. His 1-point spread cover in that span, though, was against Buffalo last season.
New England has been favored over Buffalo in 23 consecutive games entering this week. The Bills were last favored over the Patriots on September 7, 2003, when they were a 1-point favorite. Some fun notes on September 7, 2003, in the NFL:

  • Buffalo won 31-0
  • Brady threw four interceptions
  • Travis Henry scored two touchdowns for Buffalo
  • New England beat Carolina in the Super Bowl that season
  • Buffalo finished 6-10 (3rd in division)
  • Buffalo QB in 2003? Former New England QB Drew Bledsoe
  • Most touchdown passes in Week 1 in 2003? Joey Harrington (4)
  • Most interceptions in Week 1 in 2003? Tom Brady & Brett Favre (4)

[h=2]Arizona Cardinals vs. Chicago Bears[/h]Current matchup intel from PickCenter

  • Nobody loves being listed as a point spread favorite more than Bruce Arians. Arians is 17-2 SU and 14-5 ATS as a favorite, including his tenure as interim coach of the Colts.
The Bears are on a historic run:

  • Home underdog in five straight games: last occurred between 1998 and 1999
  • Underdog in seven straight games: last occurred between 2007 and 2008
After the Bears' SU and ATS loss to the Packers last week, Jay Cutler is now 0-7 SU/ATS as a home underdog since 2012 (four have come against Green Bay).

[h=2]Seattle Seahawks vs. Green Bay Packers[/h]Current matchup intel from PickCenter
It is safe to say both Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers enjoy the spotlight:

  • Russell Wilson: 10-1 SU/ATS in prime time (4-0 SU/ATS last season)
  • Aaron Rodgers: 13-2 SU/12-3 ATS in career at home in prime time
Wilson has been a point spread underdog of three or more six times prior to this week and he is 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS. Wilson has not played one of those games since January of 2013.

[h=2]Monday Night Football[/h]New York Jets vs. Indianapolis Colts
Current matchup intel from PickCenter


  • As a home favorite in his college and pro careers combined,Andrew Luck is 32-7 SU and 24-14-1 ATS, including the playoffs. Not too many teams go into Indianapolis and beat Luck. He is 17-3 SU and 14-5-1 ATS at home against conference opponents in his pro career.
  • Under Peyton Manning and now Andrew Luck, the Colts love Monday Night Football. They are 12-2 SU/11-3 ATS as a favorite on Monday Night Football since 1990.
  • Good omen for the Colts: teams favored by seven points or more on Monday Night Football are 20-5 SU over the last five seasons (2011-15).
[h=2]Other Week 2 nuggets[/h]
  • San Francisco has been a point spread underdog in back-to-back weeks in the same season for the first time since Weeks 15 and 16 in 2012 (Pittsburgh and New Orleans).
  • Luck is 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS when favored by seven points or more in his pro career, including 4-0 SU/ATS last season.
  • Cowboys are 4-0 ATS as an underdog against divisional opponents since 2013.
  • Ryan Tannehill is 2-0 SU/ATS against the Jaguars in his career, covering the point spread by 21 total points between the two games.
 

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