How to bet Washington-New York
NFL Vegas Experts, ESPN Chalk
ESPN INSIDER
Week 3 of the NFL season is set to begin with a Thursday night matchup between the Washington Redskins and New York Giants. ESPN Chalk's Vegas experts -- Dave Tuley, Erin Rynning and Wunderdog -- are here to provide analysis on the game. John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information provides the best prop bets. It's all here in ESPN Chalk's Thursday Night Primer.
Matchup: Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Spread: Opened New York -3; remains New York -3
Total: Opened 44; remains 44
ATS picks
Dave Tuley says: Washington has been one of the surprises of the young season and could be 2-0 if it hadn't let its game against Miami slip away. The Giants are viewed as a major disappointment by most people with their 0-2 start but I'd argue that they've mostly played well enough to be 2-0 -- and against better teams than the Redskins have faced. With all that in mind, I believe the Giants are still the better overall team and this number is too short for me to take Washington as the underdog. Instead, I'll look to the under, as the Redskins' defense has been solid and can contain the Giants' offense and keep this a low-scoring game (the Redskins are 2-0 on the under with their better-than-expected defense and reliance on the running game).
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ATS pick: Under 44 total points
Wunderdog says: The Giants are desperate to avoid a 0-3 start, which would effectively end their season. Expect a focused effort from them, with the support of their fans on the national stage. This team isn't as bad as their record would indicate; they have had double-digit leads in the second half of both of their losses. The Redskins' offense has been lackluster and I think they will struggle in this one. Let's not forget they have lost 26 of 34 games since the start of the 2013 season. In that span, the Redskins are just 4-21 in NFC East games and 0-10 following a game in which they covered the spread. This one could be close, but the Giants should definitely grab the win. Take the Giants to win outright.
ATS pick: Giants (Moneyline)
Erin Rynning says: I noted in our NFL betting preview that the Giants were a solid bet under season wins. Obviously, at 0-2 they face a long road to garner eight or nine wins, and tonight's showdown against the Redskins is crucial. However, this is a team with continuing strikes against them. The talent level continues to erode, and crucial injuries to Jason Pierre-Paul and Victor Cruz, among others, sap what little talent the Giants possess. Meanwhile, their sloppy play and poor decision-making continues a growing trend under coach Tom Coughlin.
As the Giants trend down, the Redskins' arrow is clearly pointing upward. The hiring of new personnel man Scot McCloughan is a vital step for an organization that has continually fumbled putting together a competent roster. The remodel of a power football team is paying dividends while controlling their first two games of the 2015 season. They outrushed the Miami Dolphins by 87 yards and the St. Louis Rams by 115 yards. Note that both those teams feature tremendous talent within their defensive line, and the Giants' run defense was poor last season. The major concern for the Redskins is their secondary, pedestrian at best, matched up against the Giants' passing game. Still, I'll take the points with the Redskins in a game with two teams going in opposite directions.
ATS pick: Redskins +3
Prop Bets
99.5 receiving yards by Odell Beckham Jr. (O/U -110)
John Parolin says: Odell Beckham Jr. blew away 99.5 last week against the Falcons, but came up well short in Week 1 against the Cowboys, so he's averaging 95.0 receiving yards this season. Since exploding for an eight-reception, 156-yard performance in Week 9 last season against the Colts, Beckham went over 99.5 in eight of his 11 games played. That includes a 143-yard game in Week 15 against the Redskins. At minus-110 for either, Beckham's career favors the over -- so what evidence can be gleaned from the Redskins' defense?
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</article>Since the start of last season, Washington has allowed 2,998 yards by receivers -- 20th in the league. Its rate is even worse, allowing 9.1 yards per WR target in that span, which ranks as fourth-worst. Beckham has had 19 targets this season, slightly down from his 10.7 average from 2014. Using 10 targets as a benchmark (close to splitting the difference), that's 91 yards the Redskins would allow the average receiver, and Beckham hardly qualifies as average.
One last point in Beckham's favor: The Giants are the first team in NFL history to blow back-to-back, 10-point fourth-quarter leads to open the season, and a big part of that has been dialing back the play calling. New York dropped back to pass on 68 percent of snaps in the first three quarters (fifth in the NFL), and that's fallen to 59 percent as New York tries to protect leads. Back-to-back blown leads could make the Giants more likely to keep pressing late no matter the score, which would mean more looks for Beckham.
The play: Over
NFL Vegas Experts, ESPN Chalk
ESPN INSIDER
Week 3 of the NFL season is set to begin with a Thursday night matchup between the Washington Redskins and New York Giants. ESPN Chalk's Vegas experts -- Dave Tuley, Erin Rynning and Wunderdog -- are here to provide analysis on the game. John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information provides the best prop bets. It's all here in ESPN Chalk's Thursday Night Primer.
Matchup: Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Spread: Opened New York -3; remains New York -3
Total: Opened 44; remains 44
ATS picks
Dave Tuley says: Washington has been one of the surprises of the young season and could be 2-0 if it hadn't let its game against Miami slip away. The Giants are viewed as a major disappointment by most people with their 0-2 start but I'd argue that they've mostly played well enough to be 2-0 -- and against better teams than the Redskins have faced. With all that in mind, I believe the Giants are still the better overall team and this number is too short for me to take Washington as the underdog. Instead, I'll look to the under, as the Redskins' defense has been solid and can contain the Giants' offense and keep this a low-scoring game (the Redskins are 2-0 on the under with their better-than-expected defense and reliance on the running game).
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ATS pick: Under 44 total points
Wunderdog says: The Giants are desperate to avoid a 0-3 start, which would effectively end their season. Expect a focused effort from them, with the support of their fans on the national stage. This team isn't as bad as their record would indicate; they have had double-digit leads in the second half of both of their losses. The Redskins' offense has been lackluster and I think they will struggle in this one. Let's not forget they have lost 26 of 34 games since the start of the 2013 season. In that span, the Redskins are just 4-21 in NFC East games and 0-10 following a game in which they covered the spread. This one could be close, but the Giants should definitely grab the win. Take the Giants to win outright.
ATS pick: Giants (Moneyline)
Erin Rynning says: I noted in our NFL betting preview that the Giants were a solid bet under season wins. Obviously, at 0-2 they face a long road to garner eight or nine wins, and tonight's showdown against the Redskins is crucial. However, this is a team with continuing strikes against them. The talent level continues to erode, and crucial injuries to Jason Pierre-Paul and Victor Cruz, among others, sap what little talent the Giants possess. Meanwhile, their sloppy play and poor decision-making continues a growing trend under coach Tom Coughlin.
As the Giants trend down, the Redskins' arrow is clearly pointing upward. The hiring of new personnel man Scot McCloughan is a vital step for an organization that has continually fumbled putting together a competent roster. The remodel of a power football team is paying dividends while controlling their first two games of the 2015 season. They outrushed the Miami Dolphins by 87 yards and the St. Louis Rams by 115 yards. Note that both those teams feature tremendous talent within their defensive line, and the Giants' run defense was poor last season. The major concern for the Redskins is their secondary, pedestrian at best, matched up against the Giants' passing game. Still, I'll take the points with the Redskins in a game with two teams going in opposite directions.
ATS pick: Redskins +3
Prop Bets
99.5 receiving yards by Odell Beckham Jr. (O/U -110)
John Parolin says: Odell Beckham Jr. blew away 99.5 last week against the Falcons, but came up well short in Week 1 against the Cowboys, so he's averaging 95.0 receiving yards this season. Since exploding for an eight-reception, 156-yard performance in Week 9 last season against the Colts, Beckham went over 99.5 in eight of his 11 games played. That includes a 143-yard game in Week 15 against the Redskins. At minus-110 for either, Beckham's career favors the over -- so what evidence can be gleaned from the Redskins' defense?
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</article>Since the start of last season, Washington has allowed 2,998 yards by receivers -- 20th in the league. Its rate is even worse, allowing 9.1 yards per WR target in that span, which ranks as fourth-worst. Beckham has had 19 targets this season, slightly down from his 10.7 average from 2014. Using 10 targets as a benchmark (close to splitting the difference), that's 91 yards the Redskins would allow the average receiver, and Beckham hardly qualifies as average.
One last point in Beckham's favor: The Giants are the first team in NFL history to blow back-to-back, 10-point fourth-quarter leads to open the season, and a big part of that has been dialing back the play calling. New York dropped back to pass on 68 percent of snaps in the first three quarters (fifth in the NFL), and that's fallen to 59 percent as New York tries to protect leads. Back-to-back blown leads could make the Giants more likely to keep pressing late no matter the score, which would mean more looks for Beckham.
The play: Over
