Service Plays Friday 9/25/15

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StatFox Super Situations

CFL | TORONTO at OTTAWA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season
36-9 since 1997. ( 80.0% | 26.1 units )

CFL | CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Favorites vs. the money line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%)
19-14 since 1997. ( 57.6% | 0.0 units )

CFL | CALGARY at WINNIPEG
Play Against - Road teams vs. the 1rst half line (CALGARY) after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, with a winning record in the second half of the season
25-5 over the last 5 seasons. ( 83.3% | 19.5 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFB | BOISE ST at VIRGINIA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 off a home win by 17 points or more, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 3 or more straight wins
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
 

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Marc Lawrence Smoking Hot College Football Awesome Angle Play! - Friday
Play - Oregon State (Game 308).
Edges - Beavers: 7-1 ATS as a home dog versus a foe off a SU dog win; and 4-1 ATS as a dog of 5 or more points as a host on this series. Cardinal: 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS in games after defeating USC. With OSU head coach Gary Andersen 16-3 ATS as a dog of 3 or more points, including 6-0 ATS when off a spread win of 12 or more points, we recommend a 3* play on Oregon State. Thank you and good luck as always.

Marc Lawrence College Football Bet Bet Play - Friday
Play - Virginia (Game 306).
Edges - Cavaliers: 3-0 ATS home vs lined non con opponent; and 6-2 SU last eight home games. Broncos: 0-11 ATS road favorite off non-con when facing an opponent off a win.

 

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Fargo's CFB FRIDAY ENFORCER
We played against Stanford last week and we got burned as the Cardinal came out and defeated USC outright as a 10-point underdog but now the line shifts more than 25 points which is a massive move. While that was a great win, it spells letdown going forward and playing on the road in that spot makes it even tougher. Additionally, they have a game against Arizona on deck which makes it even tougher. It is hard to forget their only road game which came at Northwestern and how bad they were dominated. Playing on national TV on a Thursday night is not ideal coming off the victory over the Trojans. Oregon St. is 2-1 and while the wins were unimpressive over mediocre opposition, those games were important for this very experienced team. This is especially true for freshman quarterback Seth Collins who got his ears wet and looked pretty solid in doing so. A big factor here is that Gary Anderson is the coach that took over for Mike Riley and he is very solid and has been in many a big game so he knows how to get his team ready. While we expect Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan to play, he is listed as questionable and may not be close to 100 percent which would be a big blow after him playing so well last week. Here, we play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points in conference games, returning eight or more offensive starters going up against an opponent returning five or fewer defensive starters. This situation is 48-18 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1992. 10* PLAY (308) Oregon St. Beavers
 

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Michael Alexander's CFB Friday Night Lights
**************************************** **************************************** ********************************
Stanford at Oregon State


Rating: 2 Units
Has the "buy sign" been lit following Card upset of Usc? Turned 21-10 deficit into 41-31 win, with 39:29-20:31 time edge. Hogan: 620 passing yards, 5 touchdowns in the last 2 weeks. Finally a win and cover for Beavers versus hapless San Jose State, coming from 59 rushing yards to 303. But still on 2-9 ATS run.
Pick: Stanford -15.5
 

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Alex Smart Sports- Friday Night Lights CFB - Boise St @ Virginia
NCAA-F | Sep 25 8:00 pm
Virginia vs Boise State
Virginia’s 4-3 defense has six seniors slated to start this week against the Broncos, but it maters little considering how inconsistent they have been as evident by , allowing 32.3 ppg .Two-thirds of Virginia's offense Saturday against lower tier William and Mary who they barely beat was, 245 of 373 yards, was condensed and squeezed into six gains of 21 to 80 yards each, wow. That tells the story of the Cavaliers' playmakers but also their failure, to date, to consistently move the ball, especially between the tackles on the ground. Meanwhile, Boise State is limiting opponents to 1.7 yards per rush and 45.7 yards rushing per game, ranking 2nd in the nation . Im betting they force Virginia into a one dimensional aerial offense, which in turn makes them easy to read . Also Boise state has yet to name a starting quarterback, but it'll be either sophomore Tommy Stuart or Brett Rypien, nephew of Super Bowl champ and Redskins quarterback Mark Rypien. Both bring alot of attributes to the field and Boise State Im betting will not suffer set backs on offense.
BSU 20-7 ATS L/27 in road games against below average rushing defenses - allowing 4.75 or more rushing yards per carry winning SU by an average of 26.2 ppg.
Historically speaking, BSU is a perfect 8-0 ATS in a game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 dating back 23 years with an average margin of victory coming by 28.2 ppg!
Cavaliers are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win.Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. MWC.Cavaliers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Boise State to cover 1* reg selection
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | MINNESOTA at DETROIT
Play On - Road teams (MINNESOTA) with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.400 to 1.500 on the season-AL, in the second half of the season
196-174 over the last 5 seasons. ( 53.0% | 76.1 units )
30-34 this year. ( 46.9% | 4.8 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TEXAS at HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 18-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) this season.
The average score was: HOUSTON (5.0) , OPPONENT (2.7)
 
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Migthy Quinn

Mighty missed with the A’s on Thursday and likes the Pirates on Friday.

The deficit is 652 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

Hondo’s forbearing pick

The Giants managed to hang on to their double-digit fourth-quarter Thursday night, which enabled surging Hondo to pare his deficit to 1,355 durhams.

Friday: Mr. Aitch is calling on Lester, aka Jonny Lager to generate some cheers in Wrigley — 10 units on the Cubs.
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's MLB High End Division Dominator

10:10 PM EST MLB (913) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS (914) SAN DIEGO PADRES

Take: (913) 8-Star MLB Division Dominator: Play Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona is in town with a great offense, Top 9 in runs scored and on base percentage. The Diamondbacks are 13-4 on the road vs. a team with a losing record, plus 5-2 in Rubby De La Rosa's last 7 road starts. Rubby De La Rosa (13-8) is off 2-0 win over the Giants, allowing 1 hit and no runs in 5+ innings. San Diego has a weak offense, dead last in on base percentage. They turn to reliever Shawn Kelley as a starter for this one, struggling last year as a starter with New York (3-6, 4.53 ERA). Play Arizona!
 
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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's 3-Team MLB Powerhouse Trifecta

8:15 PM EST MLB (911) MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS (912) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS

Take: 10-Star Diamond Total: Milwaukee/St. Louis Under the total

St. Louis is a good park for pitchers and this Cardinals team has great defense and bullpen arms. The Under is 14-5 in the Cardinals last 19 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A weak Milwaukee offense is in town, but they have a good starter in Ariel Pena (3.50 ERA, 2-0). St. Louis is 24th in baseball in runs scored, 34-14-4 under the total at home against a right-handed starter. Ace Carlos Martinez (14-7) is on the mound, with a 0.60 ERA against Milwaukee this season. The Under is 28-12-1 in the Cardinals last 41 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, plus when these teams meet the under is 8-2 in this park. Play Milwaukee/St. Louis Under the total.


8:10 PM EST MLB (925) TEXAS RANGERS VS (926) HOUSTON ASTROS

Take: (925) 10-Star Diamond Dog: Texas Rangers

Texas has a strong offense, 4th in baseball in runs scored, 10th in on base percentage. They are a dog here but have a fine arm going in Yovani Gallardo (12-11, 3.41 ERA). The team is 8-2 his last 10 starts. Texas is on a 35-17 run, including 28-13 on the road against a team with a winning record. Houston has had a tough two weeks, on a 3-7 run. Starter Scott Kazmir (7-10) has been struggling, allowing 9 runs his last 16+ innings and the team is 2-7 his last nine starts. Kazmir struggled on Friday, as he allowed three runs on five hits and three walks across 3.2 innings in a no-decision against the A's. As the season has gone on, the ERA has been steadily rising. And the Astros are 0-6 in Kazmirs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest. The Rangers are also 26-12 in the last 38 meetings in Houston. Play Texas!


10:05 PM EST MLB (929) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS (930) OAKLAND ATHLETICS

Take: (929) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Reason: Oakland is home but has a bad offense and a losing home mark. The Athletics are 4-9 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter and face righty Mike League (10-9, 3.81 ERA), with a 2.72 ERA on the road. The Athletics are 2-8 in their last 10 home games. San Francisco has a short trip for this one with a strong offense, 15th in runs scored, 5th in on base percentage. The Giants are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter and 4-1 against Oakland. Play the Giants.
 

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Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Friday, September 25th

September's College Football on ESPN Total of the Month!!!!!
Boise State/Virginia under 49 1/2

Please note: due to discount, guarantees do not apply to this package

NCAA Best Bets
Stanford/Oregon State over 44 1/2

2015 MLB Lonestar State Showdown Total of the Year!!!!!

Texas/Houston over 8

MLB Best Bets
Atlanta/Miami over 6 1/2
Arizona/San Diego over 7 1/2
Tampa Bay/Toronto under 8 1/2
Cleveland/Kansas City over 7 1/2
 

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From Platinum Plays.
[h=1]500K ESPN Mismatch[/h]the Virginia Cavaliers +2½ over
the Boise St Broncos

Best Bets
the Oregon St Beavers +15½ over
the Stanford Cardinal

the Boise St/Virginia Game UNDER
the Total Of 49 Points

the Cleveland Indians w/Carrasco +100 over
the Kansas City Royals

the Minnesota Twins w/Pelfrey -110 over
the Detroit Tigers


PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK




the Stanford/Oregon St Game OVER
the Total Of 44½ Points



 

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Football Crusher
Virginia +2.5 over Boise State
(System Record: 5-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 5-8-1
 

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Baseball Crusher
Chicago Cubs -113 over Pittsburgh Pirates
(System Record: 83-3, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 83-77-3
 

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Soccer Crusher
Viborg + AaB Aalborg UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Denmark
(System Record: 822-26, lost last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 822-666-128
 

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