Value Play Worth Taking A Look At

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Sep 20, 2004
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Marlins at Rays. Marlins about +145.

Meaningless game for both teams. Marlins have won 5 in a row. Rays have lost 3 in a row. Marlins do have a bad road record, but Rays are 4 under at home as well.

LHP Adam Conley going for Marlins is 4-1 3.93 ERA. 3 ER's last 17+ innings pitched.
LHP Matt Moore going for Rays is 2-4 6.48 ERA. 8 ER's in last 18 pitched. In last last 3 starts for both.

In all fairness, Moore has finally looked better in last 2 outings in recovery year from Tommy John. But certainly not unhittable.

One small last factor, Rays starting young call up catcher Luke Maille who is hitting all of about .090 and hit .206 in Triple A this year. He has not really impressed me with his work behind the plate either. So you pair this no experience catcher with a still fragile pitcher. Otherwise usual lineups for both teams.
 

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Oct 25, 2007
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I like the observation. I'll sprinkle some on Marlins. Thanks (whether they win or lose).
 

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Sep 21, 2004
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Could not have written it better myself as someone who, due to living circumstances, considers the Rays their home team for the past decade. Just not certain why they are laying -153 presently. Should be a buck twenty something.

Good luck.
 
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Good luck on the play. Thanks for sharing your thoughts!
 

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