Week 7 NFL Betting Nuggets You Should Know

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[h=1]Chalk points: Week 6 betting nuggets you should know[/h]Evan Abrams, ESPN Chalk

Chalk Points are quick-hitting previews designed for on-the-go fans and recreational bettors looking for fundamental information.

[h=2]A look back[/h]
  • Prior to Thursday, Sean Payton had not been a home underdog as coach of the Saints since Dec. 28, 2008. New Orleans played Carolina in Week 17 that day and lost 33-31, but covered the point spread (New Orleans was +2.5).
  • On Dec. 28, 2008, Drew Brees entered the game 402 passing yards shy of breaking Dan Marino's 1984 single-season record. Brees came 16 yards shy of the record.
  • Payton has still only been a home underdog as coach of New Orleans five times in his career. Payton is 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in those five games.
DATEOPPSPREADWEEKRESULT
Oct. 15, 2015Atlanta+3Week 6W, 31-21
Dec. 28, 2008Carolina+2.5Week 17L, 33-31
Dec. 31, 2006Carolina+3Week 17L, 31-21*
Oct. 15, 2006Philadelphia+3Week 6W, 27-24
Sept. 25, 2006Atlanta+3.5Week 3W, 23-3
*Drew Brees only played one series

Sean Payton As Home Underdog In New Orleans

  • Payton missed all of the 2012 season due to suspension and New Orleans was a home underdog twice that season under head coach Joe Vitt.
[h=2]Luck as home underdog[/h]
  • Andrew Luck and the Colts are home underdogs this week against New England. In Luck's pro career he has been a home underdog six times and is 6-0 SU/ATS. If Luck closes as higher than a 6.5-point underdog, it will be the highest of his career.
DATESPREADOPPRESULT
Oct. 20, 2013+6.5DenverW, 39-33
Oct. 6, 2013+2.5SeattleW, 34-28
Dec. 30, 2012+6.5HoustonW, 28-16
Nov. 4, 2012+2MiamiW, 23-20
Oct. 7, 2012+6.5Green BayW, 30-27
Sept. 16, 2012+3MinnesotaW, 23-20

Andrew Luck As A Home Underdog

  • Luck was an underdog by a combined 27 points in the six games and he defeated the six opponents by a combined 33 points.
[h=2]2007 vs. 2015 Patriots[/h]
  • Through five games in 2007, New England was favored by a combined 50 total points. With a point spread of 9 currently, the 2015 Patriots would be favored by a combined 36.5 points through five games this season.
  • The 2015 Patriots are going to have a tough time catching up with 2007. That team was favored by double-digits in its final 10 games of the season, including the playoffs, and favored by a total of 257 points in its 19 games (an average of 13.5 points/game).
  • Through four games this season, New England has covered the point spread by a combined 45 points (11.3 per game). In 2007, New England covered the point spread by a combined 66 points (16.5 per game) through four games.
[h=2]San Francisco as home underdog[/h]
  • San Francisco is playing its third home game of the season and this week it's against Baltimore. San Francisco is currently a 2-point underdog. The 49ers will be a home underdog in their first three home games of the season for the first time since 2005.
  • Prior to the start of 2015, San Francisco had been favored in 26 straight home games, including the playoffs.
  • From 2010 to 2014, San Francisco was listed as a home underdog three times (in 2010 and 2011) and listed as a home favorite 39 times, including the playoffs.
[h=2]Carolina: Undefeated underdog[/h]
  • Carolina is currently 4-0 on the season and a touchdown underdog against Seattle this week. In the past 20 seasons, only one team has been 4-0 and a touchdown underdog in its fifth game: the 1998 Vikings. They were +7 vs. Green Bay and won 37-24.
  • The quarterback matchup for the game was Randall Cunningham (MIN) vs. Brett Favre (GB).
  • Both Green Bay and Seattle, the opponents of the undefeated teams, lost the Super Bowl the prior season.
  • Minnesota finished the regular season 15-1 and lost in the NFC title game.
 

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