EXBOOKIE wants to help the players week 9

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EX BOOKIE
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Bankroll $75,000. Now $83,997.00
INV 9-6 +$6193.00
Action 20-14 +$2804.00
Total. 29-20 +$8997.00
system 7-2 this year. 137-85-8 over 8 years


I alway say if you have not made a profit by week 12 it will be harder!!!!
Lines get tight as I go into this week

looks like the system play this week will only have 2-3 play this week.

ACE Great Quote

MAKE YOUR STAND ON A FEW GAMES AND DONT LET ACTION BE YOUR DRIVE!!!


I THINK THE MORE I SHOW YOU MAY WAY THE MORE SOME ARE NOT READING SOME OF THE THREADS.....JUST SHOW ME YOU PICKS ONLY KIND OF POSTERS

ONCE I MAKE MY PLAYS THATS IT....EVERYONE WANT "HOW ABOUT THIS GAME" IF I DONT POST IT WITH MONEY...GUESS I DONT SEE IT....LIKE MONDAY NIGHT GAME. TWO WEEKS AGO I DID NOT BET IT...BUT EVERYONE WANT TO KNOW "DO I HAVE A EDGE"

MY POINT IS DONT LET ACTION BE YOUR DRIVE!!!! SET GOALS FOR THE YEAR...MAKE YOUR STAND ON THE BEST OF THE BEST GAMES...AND DONT LET A TV GAME TAKE MAKE YOU DO SOMETHING YOU DONT WANT TO DO.
THERE ARE 256 GAMES IN A SEASON....TAKE YOUR TIME AND FIND THE BEST ONES

WHEN I WAS A BOOK THE ONES THAT BEAT ME WAS THE ONES THAT BET FEW GAMES



Stats vs ats

home 57
away 60

Dogs 56
Fav 63


Over 64
under 55

Points that matter 16 games out of 119 13% still low




Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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What the line for this week look like in week 1

Brownshome-6.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015PanthersPackershome2.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015PatriotsRedskinshome-8.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015SaintsTitanshome-7.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015BillsDolphinshome-2.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015VikingsRamshome0.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015JetsJaguarshome-5.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015SteelersRaidershome-9.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015BuccaneersGiantshome2.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015FortyninersFalconshome-6.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015ColtsBroncoshome-1.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015CowboysEagleshome-2.5
Nov 09, 2015Monday92015ChargersBearshome-4.0
 

RX Senior
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What the line for this week look like in week 1

Brownshome-6.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015PanthersPackershome2.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015PatriotsRedskinshome-8.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015SaintsTitanshome-7.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015BillsDolphinshome-2.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015VikingsRamshome0.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015JetsJaguarshome-5.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015SteelersRaidershome-9.5
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015BuccaneersGiantshome2.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015FortyninersFalconshome-6.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015ColtsBroncoshome-1.0
Nov 08, 2015Sunday92015CowboysEagleshome-2.5
Nov 09, 2015Monday92015ChargersBearshome-4.0

those were the lines in week 1 on the right?
 

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no play this Thursday just watch the game and drink a few :toast:

since its a short week the Bengals have been practicing in a pool which should help them recover from the game Sun and be ready for Thur

:103631605



article-1334096-0C46A13E000005DC-653_634x424.jpg
 

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Upon further review a 6 pack on Bengals TT over 28/ :toast:
 

EX BOOKIE
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ODDS TO WIN THE SUPER BOWL (7-team race)
New England +250
Green Bay +350
Denver +800
Cincinnati +900
Seattle +1000
Carolina +1000
Arizona +1400
Denver and Cincinnati both moved up even though AFC power New England looked fantastic last Thursday night against Miami. That gives you a sense of how impressed the markets were with the Broncos and Bengals this past weekend.
In the NFC, Carolina stayed undefeated this past Monday by surviving Indianapolis. They didn’t look like championship material in doing so though. That defense better not wear down in the second half or Carolina’s Futures odds will plummet. Seattle is still being priced based on respect from the past two seasons and depth of talent. Barely beating Dallas isn’t consistent with Super Bowl greatness. If Super Bowl odds were only based on results, Seattle wouldn’t be listed with the elites. Still time to find their form.
This next group of teams has a chance to make the playoffs and do some damage. But, the markets aren’t confident that any can get to January and then run the table.

POTENTIAL SPOILERS
Philadelphia +2800
Atlanta, Minnesota, Pittsburgh +3300
Indianapolis, NY Giants +4000
St. Louis, NY Jets +5000
New Orleans, Oakland +6600
Dallas +8000
If Tony Romo ever comes back, there’s a good chance Dallas will jump higher. They certainly would be up near Philly (at least) if he hadn’t been hurt. He suffered that injury in a road win for Dallas in Philadelphia! Pittsburgh would have been more highly regarded if they hadn’t lost at home to Cincinnati. That keeps them out of the top seven (but still in the top 10).
How about the Oakland Raiders! Those of you who live in other parts of the country may not realize how big a deal the Raiders are here in Nevada when they’re playing well. Our “local” teams are Oakland and San Francisco on the NFL map. Raiders’ fans turn out in droves at Las Vegas and Reno sportsbooks when the team is good. It’s great to see that kind of buzz again. Great energy locally for the wins over San Diego and the Jets the past two Sundays.

DISTANT LONGSHOTS
Buffalo, Kansas City +10000
Baltimore Houston, San Diego, Washington +20000
Tampa Bay +30000
Interesting mix there. Tampa Bay is a developing story because Jameis Winston is improving with each week. He’s not in the Super Bowl discussion yet. But, that team has come farther more quickly than most sharps were expecting. There was more local enthusiasm about Tennessee and Marcos Mariota after the summer draft. Tennessee just fired its head coach! Jameis Winston has road divisional wins over Atlanta and New Orleans.

NO SHOT
Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit Jacksonville +50000
Tennessee, San Francisco +75000
San Francisco just benched quarterback Colin Kaepernick. Many sharps expected him to be in big trouble without former coach Jim Harbaugh hiding his weaknesses. The season opening win vs. Minnesota, and then a couple of decent games vs. the NY Giants and Baltimore only delayed the inevitable. He wasn’t an immediate disaster. But, he’s been a disaster the last two games. Time for Blaine Gabbert to get a shot.

 

EX BOOKIE
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This week
3 system plays. 7-2 this year
one total
one investment
4 action (high action)
5 plays

no play tonight

Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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HOW THE SHARPS ARE BETTING

JACKSONVILLE AT NY JETS: A potential tug-of-war here between the NY Jets at -7 and Jacksonville at +7.5. Sharps leaning one way or the other are betting for value at the right price. Not a lot of passion yet…as sharps await late-week word on the availability of Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback for the Jets. He’s been upgraded to probable with an injury on his non-throwing hand. Big move toward the Under, as an opener of 45 has been bet down to 42. You can guess that a forecast for wind is involved…often an issue in November and December at this stadium. Also…decent defenses with inconsistent offenses in the mix. Quants loved the Under at 45 and 44, and still kept betting it at 43.
ST. LOUIS AT MINNESOTA: Important move here as an opener of Minnesota -3 has come down to just -2. Some stores are testing -1.5. You regulars know it takes a lot of money to move a game off the key number of three. Minnesota is dealing with a lot of injuries. And, the matchup guys think the St. Louis defense is well-suited to stopping the conservative run-based attack of the Vikings. If the line doesn’t move any further…St. Louis is going to be a popular choice in two-team teasers because you can take +1.5 or +2 up to +7.5 or +8 with the six-point move. “Basic strategy” in sharp teasers is to focus on games that cross both the 3 and the 7. Obviously if sharps loved St. Louis at +3, they’re really going to love them at +8 in teasers.
MIAMI AT BUFFALO: Most of the betting action at the opening line of Buffalo -3 has been on the dog. Some stores are testing Buffalo -2.5…fully aware that Bills money might come in strong at that lower price. We’ll either have a tug-of-war on this one near the key number…or sportsbooks will have one-sided action on Miami +3 and will be rooting for the hosts. The total has come down from 46 to 44 after Miami’s offense returned to normalcy last Thursday in New England. Doesn’t look like weather will be a factor…so that’s a quant move rather than a weather move. Note that Buffalo quarterback Tyrod Taylor has been upgraded to probable Sunday after missing some time.
TENNESSEE AT NEW ORLEANS: New Orleans opened at -7…but is now up to -8 after the Titans fired their head coach a few days ago. The Saints offense is clicking again…while Tennessee will either be starting a hobbled Marcus Mariota (upgraded to probable…but not likely to scramble well) or disappointing Zach Mettenberger. New Orleans is going to be an extremely popular teaser team in this range. Anyone who bets teasers will love New Orleans -2 as part of their two-teamers.
WASHINGTON AT NEW ENGLAND: New England opened just below a key number at -13.5. Some Wise Guys immediately took a position there against anticipated public betting…which drove the game to -14. We may see the number sit there all weekend. Or, a tug-of-war may develop around the key number depending on how interested the public is in getting involved here. Old school sharps who bet every double digit dog are waiting to see what they might get on game day.
GREEN BAY AT CAROLINA: Green Bay opened at -1.5 as the road favorite. That was bet up to -2 and -2.5 fairly quickly. Green Bay is in an obvious bounce back spot after a horrible performance, while Carolina’s in an obvious fatigue spot in a short week after a Monday night overtime game. It’s widely assumed that Carolina money would come in on the key number of three. That could set up a tug-of-war with the defensive home dog at +3 and the public road favorite at -2.5. But, it’s possible that sharps will avoid this potentially tired dog in a way that might force the number even higher.
ATLANTA AT SAN FRANCISCO: Atlanta flew up from -3 to -7 on the news that Colin Kaepernick was benched for San Francisco in favor of Blaine Gabbert. The move reeked of desperation for a franchise that may have thrown in the towel on their season. Also, the Wise Guys don’t think much of Gabbert! Though, if the public drives the game higher…some sharp money would come in on the dog. That may not be in the cards because sportsbooks don’t want to push Atlanta into the teaser window. A combination of New Orleans and Atlanta at cheap prices over Tennessee and San Francisco would be a heavily bet teaser from sharps and squares alike.
NY GIANTS AT TAMPA BAY: The Giants have been bet up from -1.5 to -2.5. Tampa Bay has been getting results lately…but is in an obvious letdown spot after a huge divisional road upset in Atlanta last week. Bucs money would come in at the key number. If sportsbooks don’t test the three, then Tampa Bay +8.5 will be widely used in teasers. The total is up from 47.5 to 49 even with a chance for Sunday showers in Florida. Quants get that grading because New York just played a very high scoring 101-point game in New Orleans, while Tampa Bay had that 31-30 game in Washington a couple of weeks ago.
DENVER AT INDIANAPOLIS: Denver flew aggressively off the key number of three that opened betting. We’re now seeing Broncos -5.5 because they looked so great vs. Green Bay last week, while the fading Colts should be exhausted after that Monday Night overtime war in Carolina. Will the public take the game higher this weekend? It might take the full seven to bring the Wise Guys in on the home underdog. Hard to believe this game opened at three given the strength of Denver’s defense this season and Indy’s inability to execute consistently.
PHILADELPHIA AT DALLAS: Philadelphia opened at -1.5…and was bet up to -2.5 in a way that suggested three was in the cards. Some stores are testing the three now. Dallas did hang tough with Seattle last week…and should still be fired up to end their losing streak against a divisional rival. The Eagles have revenge off that earlier loss to the Cowboys (which knocked Tony Romo out for weeks). Possibly a tug-of-war brewing between Philadelphia -2.5 and Dallas +3. If the 2.5 rules the day…then Dallas +8.5 will be a popular choice in teasers on the heels of that good showing vs. the Seahawks. Actually…the best way to say it is this…squares will be on Philadelphia -2.5 while many sharps will focus on Dallas +8.5 in teasers. Sportsbooks have to figure out how to defend against that dynamic.

MONDAY NIGHT
CHICAGO AT SAN DIEGO: San Diego has a slew of injuries. Chicago will likely be without running back Matt Forte. Sharps will want to wait until the probable lineups clear up before stepping in. Some dog interest on Chicago at the opener of +4.5. We’re now painted at the four. The Over/Under has dropped from 52 to 49.5 because of all the offensive injuries…and because there’s a chance of rain and wind in the early forecast. Important to remember that “El Nino” years in the Pacific often dump a lot of rain in California late in a football season. It wasn’t too long ago that Oakland and San Francisco in particular (plus several college teams) were dealing with sloppy, torn up fields in late November and December. Put that on your radar now to monitor.
 

EX BOOKIE
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CFB this week 5-1 +1575

now lets do the same today with only 5 plays this week
3 of the games are early
 

EX BOOKIE
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Car +3 ..............$800.00 -110. System play
Min -1.5.............$800.00 -105 system play
Min under40........$800.00 -105
 

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