Week 9 NFL Betting Nuggets You Should Know

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[h=1]Chalk Points: Week 9 betting nuggets you should know[/h]Evan Abrams, ESPN Chalk

[h=2]Patriots: 2007 vs. 2015[/h]
  • Through eight games in 2007, New England was favored by a combined 87 total points. With a current point spread of 14, the 2015 Patriots would be favored by a combined 67.5 points through eight games this season.
  • The 2015 Patriots are going to have a tough time catching up with 2007, as that team was favored by double-digits in its final 10 games, including the playoffs, and a total of 257 in its 19 games (an average of 13.5 points).
20072015
Game 3-16.5-13.5
Game 4-7.5-8.5
Game 5-16-9.5
Game 6-5-9
Game 7-16-7.5
Game 8-15.5-13.5

2007 Vs. 2015 Patriots Point Spreads

  • In Bill Belichick's career he is 39-3 straight up (SU) but just 17-25 against the spread (ATS) as a double-digit favorite as head coach of the Patriots. His last loss as a double-digit favorite was back in 2012 against the Cardinals.
[h=2]The nonstop underdogs[/h]
  • The 49ers have started the season listed as underdogs in their first nine games of the regular season. Since 1990, San Francisco has only been an underdog in its first nine games once before. The 2005 49ers were underdogs in all 16 of their games.
  • San Francisco has been a home underdog five times this season, including this week against the Falcons. Prior to the start of 2015, San Francisco had been favored in 26 straight home games, including the playoffs, dating back to 2011.
  • Blaine Gabbert has started three games since the start of the 2013 season and he is 0-3 SU/ATS. Gabbert was the quarterback of the Jaguars in those three games and was outscored 99-25, failing to cover the point spread by a combined 50 total points.
[h=2]Undefeated underdogs[/h]
  • The Panthers are 7-0 this season and if they close as a home underdog against Green Bay, they will become the second team since 1990 to be listed as a home underdog with a record of 7-0 or better.
  • In 2007, the 7-0 Colts were 5-point home underdogs against the Patriots and lost 24-20.
[h=2]Cowboys as repeated underdogs[/h]
  • The Cowboys are currently a home underdog against the Eagles this week. If Dallas closes as an underdog, it will be a home underdog in four-straight games within the same season for the first time since 2002.
[h=2]Luck as a home underdog[/h]
  • Andrew Luck and the Colts are 5.5-point home underdogs against the Broncos. In Luck's pro career he has been a home underdog seven times and he is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS.
  • Luck was an underdog by a combined 36.5 points in the seven games and he covered the spread by a combined 62.5 points.
[h=2]Favorites on Monday Night Football[/h]
  • Monday will be Philip Rivers' third home primetime game over the past two seasons and he is 0-2 SU/ATS, losing to the Steelers this season and the Patriots last season.
  • Favorites continue not to be very successful covering the point spread on Monday Night Football this season. They are 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS.
TEAMOPPRESULTCOVER?
Week 8CAR -6.5INDW, 29-26No
Week 7ARI -9BALTW, 26-18No
Week 6PHI-4NYGW, 27-7Yes
Week 5SD -3.5PITTL, 24-20No
Week 4SEA -10DETW, 13-10No
Week 3GB -6.5KCW, 38-28Yes
Week 2IND -6.5NYJL, 20-7No
Week 1PHI -3ATLL, 26-24No
Week 1MIN -2.5SFL, 20-3No

Favorites On Monday Night Football
[h=2]Bonus nugget[/h]
  • There is only one team left in the NFL that has not lost against the spread this season: the Cincinnati Bengals. They are 6-0-1 ATS, with the lone push coming against the Seahawks in a 27-24 overtime win in Week 5. The Bengals have covered the point spread by 52 total points in the seven games and have not started the season without an ATS loss through their seven games since at least 1990.
 

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