EXBOOKIE wants to help the players week 13

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EX BOOKIE
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INV 13-10 +$4228.00
Action 26-22+$1886.00
Future play 1-0 +$800.00
Total. 40-32 +$6904.00
411 system 12-7 this year. 142-90-8 over 8 years



Bad news had my 1st bad week of the season. Good news I hit my future play....still will have to wait to get payed.

if phi wins the rest of the year. Only 9 can be got.

$800 Take Philadelphia Eagles Under 9.5 Wins
Chip Kelly was a great college coach. But I've seen this happen plenty of times where a great college coach comes into the NFL and can't cut it. NFL coaches don't have as much control over players in the pros because the players are men and not boys. Kelly is learning that the hard way. The Eagles had one of the worst offseasons in the NFL and this team took a step back with its talent. They traded away one of the best running backs in the league. They also traded two other starters at the No. 1 receiver spot and their nickel cornerback. Kely and the Eagles also cut a Pro Bowl player on the offensive line. This team still isn't very good on defense and they are relying on a lot of young players on offense. Two of their other key players are Sam Bradford and Demarco Murray. Bradford is always getting hurt and that is what sunk the Rams time and time again while he was their quarterback. Bradford has been a bust to this point and I don't expect him to make it through the whole season again this year. When he goes down the Eagles will have to turn to Mark Sanchez and he is not a good quarterback at all. Murray had over 400 touches last year. Players that do that seem to always get hurt the following year. The Eagles are in a very tough division. Dallas is the best team there and the Giants and Redskins have improved during the offseason. The Eagles have to play three of their first four games away from home and the home game is against that tough Dallas team. I expect them to get off to a slow start. They also have later games at Detroit and New England and they have to face tough defenses in Buffalo and Arizona in December. The Eagles had an easier schedule last season when they were a better team and they barely made it to 10 wins, going 1-3 down the stretch. I don't expect them to be as strong this season and that is why I am looking at the Eagles to go 'under'. I see injuries doing them in and this could be an ugly season for Kelly.



More to come
Ace
 

EX BOOKIE
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What the line was before week 1

Packershome0.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015GiantsJetshome-5.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015RamsCardinalshome-1.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015BuccaneersFalconshome1.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015SaintsPanthershome-2.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015VikingsSeahawkshome4.5
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015BillsTexanshome-3.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015DolphinsRavenshome0.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015BrownsBengalshome2.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015TitansJaguarshome-3.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015BearsFortyninershome1.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015ChargersBroncoshome0.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015RaidersChiefshome3.5
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015PatriotsEagleshome-4.0
Dec 06, 2015Sunday132015SteelersColtshome-2.5
Dec 07, 2015Monday132015RedskinsCowboyshome3.0
 

EX BOOKIE
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STATS VS ATS

HOME VS AWAY 84-89

DOG VS FAV 85-91

OV VS UN. 90-86

POINTS THAT MATTER 22 games out of 196 games a low 11% THIS YEAR. MAYBE BECAUSE OF THE NEW 2 POINT RULE WILL KEEP A EYE ON IT.
 

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Early poster wow! HI Ace, I´m interested in my Broncos game, line was a pick em before week 1 and only 4.5 Denver favorite today? Looks like an early gift
 

EX BOOKIE
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Early poster wow! HI Ace, I´m interested in my Broncos game, line was a pick em before week 1 and only 4.5 Denver favorite today? Looks like an early gift


My numbers show toss up game. My sharp guy bet $2k on SD last night...but for him it's a small bet.
 

living in the past
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that's why I shy away from those bets....it ties up your/my $ for the whole season....BTW...nice pick !
 

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bengal-tiger-why-matter_7341043.jpg
look deep into my eyes Austin
 

EX BOOKIE
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HOW THE SHARPS ARE PLAYING THURSDAY NIGHT GAME

GREEN BAY AT DETROIT (on NFL Network): the first numbers up offshore were either Green Bay by 5.5 or -5. Those were hit very hard, as sharps have soured on the Packers. Lions money drove those testers immediately down to the key number of three. That’s where we’ve been sitting ever since. It takes a lot of money to move off a three in the NFL. I would expect that line to stand pat until kickoff. If it doesn’t, sharps would fade any public move off the three. Obviously, that’s more likely to be squares liking the Packers at what seems like a cheap price. Squares have mostly given up on the Packers too though. Green Bay has lost four of their last five games straight up, all as favorites.
Don’t forget that sharps won big Thanksgiving night with Chicago (+) at Green Bay. Just no reason right now to invest in the Packers until they play a couple of good games in a row. That road win at Minnesota stopped a losing skid…but didn’t start a winning streak.
The Over/Under opened at 47.5. It’s been bet down to 46.5 by the numbers guys. The game will be played indoors in Detroit, so weather obviously isn’t a factor. Green Bay’s offense has been the big culprit in their recent slide. Packers games have landed on 30, 43, 34, 66 (at Carolina), and 39 during this recent stretch of struggles. That’s four of the five landing at 43 or less, with three of the games finishing in the 30’s.
A recent meeting between these teams in Green Bay ended in an 18-16 upset for the Lions (against a line of +10 and 50).
 

EX BOOKIE
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5 plays this week
no play tonight
3 action play
two Investment
one total
one 411 play

game on

Ace
 

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amazing finish and the packers cover on a gift by the lions, what´s new?
 

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How the sharps are betting

SAN FRANCISCO AT CHICAGO:
Not much action yet on the opener of Chicago -7. More Bears money has been coming in than Niners money…so a few stores are testing Chicago -7.5. Very tough to bet SF on the road this season, and they’re coming off a tight divisional game. Chicago is in good form of late, but is very untested as favorites of this size. Might see a tug-of-war shaping up on game day if sharps do nibble at the dog plus the hook. The Over/Under is up from 42 to 43.5 because weather will be unseasonably nice. I’ll only mention totals in games that move at least a point off the opener.

CINCINNATI AT CLEVELAND: This one has risen betweem key numbers…as the opener of Cincinnati -7.5 is up to -9.5. That’s actually not as big a move as it might seem because 8 and 9 are relatively rare final victory margins. But, the move away from the seven tells you how much skepticism there is about the Browns right now. Home dog money probably would come in at +10 if the number gets that high by kickoff.
JACKSONVILLE AT TENNESSEE: Little interest so far in what will likely be a very lightly bet game. Tennessee opened at -2. We’re painted at -2.5 right now. It’s assumed sharp money would come in hard on Jacksonville +3 if the key number came into play. The most likely scenario here is limited betting on the team side, but a lot of sharp interest in taking Jacksonville +8.5 in two-team teasers because the six-point move would cross both the 3 and the 7.
HOUSTON AT BUFFALO: This has turned into a very big game because Houston has surged into the AFC South race while Buffalo remains a strong Wildcard contender out of the AFC East. The opening line of Buffalo -3 is still solid. Sharps would fade any public move off the three between now and kickoff. We may not see much betting in this high profile game because these aren’t really “public” teams, and sharps consider three the right number.
BALTIMORE AT MIAMI: Miami opened at -3.5, and moved up to -4 in early Wise Guy betting. That’s only half a point…but it’s a telling half because the move was away from the key number of three. Sharps didn’t want the dog even with the hook. Both teams are out of the playoff picture unless one gets hot in this last month. Probably another lightly bet game in the early Sunday window. Baltimore’s coming in on a short week after winning at the last second Monday in Cleveland. (Two crazy finishes Monday and Thursday!)
CAROLINA AT NEW ORLEANS: Everyone’s wondering when Carolina is finally going to have an off-week. Sharps liked them at the opener of -6, driving the line up to the key number of -7. Tough to be flat when you have extra rest and preparation time to face an opponent with a really bad defense! Wise Guys who faded Carolina on Thanksgiving regretted that fairly quickly. Few shot takers on the dog showing up yet here. If the public drives the line to -7.5 on game day, that might bring out some dog players.
SEATTLE AT MINNESOTA: One of the biggest games of the day…in what will probably be the heaviest bet of the early starts. Seattle opened at pick-em. The line is now Seahawks -2 as there’s doubt from Wise Guys about Minnesota’s ability to win a big home game. The Vikings were embarrassed by Green Bay here a couple of weeks ago…and Green Bay hasn’t looked very good in the six weeks surrounding that result. If the line stays up on the two, Minnesota +8 will be a popular sharp choice in two-team teasers. Not much to talk about on totals yet. This opener of 41 is up to 42, again because weather is going to be surprisingly nice in the Midwest for a December Sunday.
ARIZONA AT ST. LOUIS: Arizona opened at -6. That’s come down a half a point to St. Louis +5.5 because there is still sharp respect for the Rams defense. This is a good matchup for the dog, as you saw in the first meeting. That was as road shocker for the Rams…and one of the few shaky outings this year for Carson Palmer. Big move, in context for the week, on the Over/Under in this one. An opener of 44.5 is down to 43 because of respect for that Rams defense.
ATLANTA AT TAMPA BAY: Not much betting interest yet in what’s likely to be another low profile game. Atlanta’s fallen off the map during their recent slide. Tampa Bay is inconsistent, with their balloon losing air in a bad loss at Indianapolis last week. Tampa Bay opened at -1. If the public pushes the game to -1.5 or -2, then Atlanta (+) is going to show up in a lot of sharp teasers. The opening total of 45 was bet up to 46 by the quants.
NY JETS VS. NY GIANTS: Big move here on the Jets as the opener of pick-em is now Jets -2. Remember this is a neutral site game because both teams play their home games in the same stadium. You can deduce that sharps think the Jets are the better of the two teams because they took out pick-em and -1 fairly quickly. This game will see a bunch of New York money make its way to Vegas. Though, it’s a relatively low interest game for the rest of the country.
DENVER AT SAN DIEGO: Denver opened at -4.5, but has been bet down a tick or two because San Diego played so well last week at Jacksonville. A lot of old school guys like divisional home underdogs anyway. Here we have an inexperienced road quarterback on the field too. Brock Osweiler did impress in the win over New England last Sunday. Can he keep it going against away from home against a divisional rival? Sharps saw value on SD at +4.5 and +4.
KANSAS CITY AT OAKLAND: We’re fairly frozen here on Kansas City -3 and 44. Some stores are testing 44.5 on the total. This one could have a fairly big handle because it’s a later start, and Raiders money spends aggressively in Nevada when the team is doing well. That win at Tennessee last week may inspire locals to play the Raiders as a dog here. Sharps would fade any move off the three. Enough syndicates have been making hay with KC lately that we may see a tug-of-war developing during the afternoon Sunday.
PHILADELPHIA AT NEW ENGLAND: New England opened at -9.5. We’ve seen mixed action so far. I do know some syndicates are hoping to get Philadelphia at +10. Will that ever become available? If the public bets New England to bounce back off the Sunday night loss….then we’ll have a tug-of-war between sharps and squares at the ten (or higher). With the Gronkowski scare, public money may be less likely to come in. The opening total of 48 is up to 49 in spots…again because weather won’t be hurting offenses this weekend.
INDIANAPOLIS AT PITTSBURGH: Big move here is on the total…as the opener of 47 has been bet up to 49 because of the likelihood for a shootout. Pittsburgh played that high scoring game in Seattle last week, and had one not too long ago at home vs. Oakland as well. The team side line is a fairly solid Pittsburgh -7, though some stores are looking at -7.5 to see if that brings in Colts money. Plenty of time for stories to develop in this Sunday night attraction.

MONDAY NIGHT
DALLAS AT WASHINGTON: Even though Dallas looked horrible on Thanksgiving…and thenlost Tony Romo for the season…sharps took them as a dog here at the opening line of +5. Washington just isn’t seen as a team you can trust as a favorite, even if they currently lead the NFC East. We’re seeing a solid Washington -4 everywhere right now. The public is much less likely to lay points with this favorite than most other teams in a Monday Nighter. Will they take shorthanded Dallas? I’ll be very interested to see what game day action looks like. Everybody wants to bet the Monday Nighter…but it could prove tough for the public to pull the trigger on either side.
 

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