Collinsworth was talking about the importance of momentum last night. But he didn't mention that 8 days ago you could correctly claim no one had more momentum then Arizona. They went straight into the Shitter yesterday. Now I'm not saying they were the right side yesterday. But who could forecast them being uncompetitive on every level? This league is crazy.
The problem with using systems and trends is a system may have very few plays over a number of years, and tank the one year you decide to use it. There were Bowl systems that were undefeated since the 90s that lost this year.
Some Systems in effect for Playoffs in Week 1:
Week 1 Road team off SU Road Win = 6-14 ATS (1-0 last year) = PIT
Wild Card Home Dog (based on closing Line) = 13-4 since 1982 but only 4-3 last 3 years = first 3 Home teams & possibly all 4
ANY team that played in Super Bowl last Season is 5-14-1 ATS in all Playoff Games the following year since 2005 = SEA and NE
The problem with using systems and trends is a system may have very few plays over a number of years, and tank the one year you decide to use it. There were Bowl systems that were undefeated since the 90s that lost this year.
Some Systems in effect for Playoffs in Week 1:
Week 1 Road team off SU Road Win = 6-14 ATS (1-0 last year) = PIT
Wild Card Home Dog (based on closing Line) = 13-4 since 1982 but only 4-3 last 3 years = first 3 Home teams & possibly all 4
ANY team that played in Super Bowl last Season is 5-14-1 ATS in all Playoff Games the following year since 2005 = SEA and NE
Some other trends....
KC, after starting off 1-5 SU has won 10 straight by a combined score of 278-128. In Reid's first year in their last Playoff game KC held a 38-10 lead at INDY. And lost 45-44!
PIT is 23-5 OVER in January
CIN is 22-4 ATS if last 2 SU results were L-W (all regular season results)
CIN has lost and failed to cover 6 straight Postseason games by an average score of 26-12 since 2005
SEA has demolished 3 straight opponents on the Road by a combined score of 109-19
WASH is 1-7 ATS as a Pick or Fave after beating DAL since 1988
KC, after starting off 1-5 SU has won 10 straight by a combined score of 278-128. In Reid's first year in their last Playoff game KC held a 38-10 lead at INDY. And lost 45-44!
PIT is 23-5 OVER in January
CIN is 22-4 ATS if last 2 SU results were L-W (all regular season results)
CIN has lost and failed to cover 6 straight Postseason games by an average score of 26-12 since 2005
SEA has demolished 3 straight opponents on the Road by a combined score of 109-19
WASH is 1-7 ATS as a Pick or Fave after beating DAL since 1988
