Super Bowl thread

chonce · Jan 31, 2016

Total Playoff Record: 11-5 +10.8 units
4 units plays: 1-1 -2.4 units
3 unit plays: 2-0 + 6.0 units
2 unit plays: 6-2 +7.5 units
1 unit plays: 2-2 - 0.5

Got killed by Pat's moneyline last week -- 6.4 units to win 4 and another 1.4 units on a FH bet. I won a few units back on Carolina -4 (I bet the line, foolishly, when it first came out and a Carolina TT OVER

Anyway, I am leaning UNDER as my play but I haven't made a play yet.

chonce · Feb 5, 2016

Manning UNDER 36.5 pass attempts (-115) - 2 units

cashflow50 · Feb 5, 2016

gl this sunday chonce

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Add

Super Bowl UNDER 45 (-120) - 2 units

I wish I bet this earlier, but so it goes.

Going to add probably one more bet, maybe a prop. I am unlikely to bet a side. I lean Carolina, but 5 is a pretty good line and I respect the hell out of the Denver D (hence my UNDER bet).

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Add prop

Rec. Yards: Olsen +1.5 vs D Thomas - 2 units (-115)

I think Josh Norman should help keep Thomas, who I don't think is a big-game player, to modest numbers, especially in their run-heavy offense with a fairly weak passing game. Meanwhile, Greg Olsen is so central to the Panthers -- I think he is a good bet to have a lot of targets.

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Add

The Last Score of the First Half with be aFG -120 1 unit

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Add

Will Both Teams have a FG of 33 yards or more: Yes 1 unit -110

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Total Card so Far

UNDER 45 - 2 units (-120)
Manning UNDER 36.5 attempts 2 units (-115)
Rec. Yards Olsen + 1.5 over D Thomas 12 units (-115)
Last score of the FH will be a FG - YES - 1 unit (-110)
Will both teams have FGs of 33 yards or more - YES 1 unit (-110)

bradyisgod · Feb 7, 2016

Good luck buddy! Surprised you didn't take under 23 first half.

ShortBusDriver7 · Feb 7, 2016

chonce said:
Add

Will Both Teams have a FG of 33 yards or more: Yes 1 unit -110

good one here

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

I would've taken it, but it was -130 at one book and at 5 dimes it was 21.5(+105). So I lost all value for the FH UNDER. If I could've got FH UNDER 23 at -110 or so I would've bet it for sure.

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Denver hits a 34 yarder, so I just need the Panthers to hit a FG of 33 or OVER between now and the end of the game. Ideally they will do it at the end of the half since I bet the last score of the half would be a FG!

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Add 2h: First score will by either team will be a FG or a Safety 1 unit (+110)

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

So far I am 1-0 (hit last score of the first half would be a FG)

I have Denver with 1 FG OVER 33 yards, so I need Carolina to get one as well to hit that one.

I have Olsen +1.5 in rev yards vs D Thomas. Right now it is Olsen is up 34-8.

I have Manning UNDER 36.5 attempts. He has 16.

I have UNDER 45. The total so far is 20.

So far so good, but we shall see.

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Man that FG would've sealed two props for me (first score of 2nd half a FG and both teams with 33 yard FGS). Both are still in play, but that hurt.

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Well Denver kicks for 3 and my 2nd half prop -- first score would be a FG hits. As did my 1st half bet, last score would be a FG.

So I am 2-0 so far +2.1 units

Pending

UNDER 45 -120 2 units
Manning UNDER 36.5 attempts (-115) 2 units
Olsen +1.5 receiving yards vs D Thomas -2 units

Both teams make a 33+ yard FG (I still need Panthers!)

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Nice, now 3-0 on props winning: both teams make a 33rd or more FG; last score of FH is a FG; first score of 2h is a FG -- I am up 3.1 units

Still have Manning UNDER 36.5 attempts (he has 21) for 2 units
UNDER 45
And Olsen +1.5 vs D Thomas, WR yards. RIght now Olsen has 41 yards to Thomas' 8.

chonce · Feb 7, 2016

Wow, didn't take a side, but on the UNDER and the 5 props I went 6-0 +9.1 units

Final playoff record: 17-5 +19.9 units

chonce · Feb 8, 2016

Total Playoff Record: 17-5 + 20.5 units
4 units plays: 1-1 -2.4 units
3 unit plays: 2-0 + 6.0 units
2 unit plays: 9-2 + 13.5 units
1 unit plays: 5-2+ +2.6

Went 6-0 last night, to finish off an excellent post season and a regular season with a modest profit (just under 6 units). Eventually I will move to the NBA, but will take a small break, I suspect.