RedElephants Texas

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Some definite opportunity on this track. Both Kyle's, Brad, Chase, and even Dale Race tonight.
 
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There are certain match-ups that look strong but the odds are steep as well. Going to take a stab at Dale Jr +165 over Kyle Larson. Dale likes Texas and I think he enjoys this track. Statistically Larson has not fared well here but he has strong odds due to a fast car. Hoping for a Larson screw-up tonight......
 
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Keeping a Blind Eye to History:

Top 10 Happy Hour 10 Lap Averages
A Dillion
Kahne
Kez
Harvick
Treux
Elliot
Kenseth
Johnson
Hamlin
Bayne

Happy Hour Speeds
Treux
Edwards
Ky Busch
Almendinger
Logano
Ku Busch
Johnson
McMurray
Patrick
Kahne

Top Qualifiers
Edwards
Logano
Truex
Elliot
Stenhouse
Hamlin
Blaney
Kez
Kenseth
A Dillon
Johnson
 
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2 Plays:

Kasey Kahne +120 over Austin Dillon
Chase Elliot -110 over Austin Dillon

Dillion in 6 Races here has never made the Top 10, only has 2 Top 20's. Win or lose when those angle present themselves you play it. This is his best qualifying effort, 10th. Best finish is 11th. Chase looked decent last night on this track and Qualified 4th. Kasey has Won here once and has 7 Top 10 races in 23. Wreck Austin Wreck!
 
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Taking a gamble on Kasey Kahne -135 over Kyle Larson but with good reason:

Kyle Larson is ranked 21st at this track
Kyle qualified 20th in Happy Hour
His 10 lap Average was 25th

He's got some bugs to work out on his Car tonight. Kasey at -135 and Kyle at +105 is begging you to take Larson as Kasey has struggle thus far this season.
 

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I see your angles red, BUT WOULDNT TOUCH KAHNE WITH A 1000 YARD POLE THESE LAST 2 YEARS UNTIL HE SHOWS ME SOMETHING, ANYTHING!!!!!
 

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Not to mention kahne had very similar or better times last wk in practice and 10 lap avg and sunk like a rock in a pond to a 22nd Plc finish. Good luck red! Not BASHING your picks, BUT DEFINITELY BASHING KASEY "the BUM" KAHNE. Races like Casey Mears!
 

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Be the 1st to say good job red, got that lucky duck workin for dillon but that's racin
 

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Rather be on good side of luck tho! Had 2team myself! Chase v Blaney n 48 v 4. Good sweeper n glad to see kahne Finally do good!!!!!!
 
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Rather be on good side of luck tho! Had 2team myself! Chase v Blaney n 48 v 4. Good sweeper n glad to see kahne Finally do good!!!!!!

i think the only lucky part was Kahne over Dillion. Unlucky too......Kahne had the lucky dog all night and could not get a caution to get back on the lead lap and when he finally did, Dale JJ and Kenseth were on pit row. Could not catch a break. But Kahne was better than Larson all night and damn had Chase not pitted twice he would have had a shot at the W......stupid move by his crew. Great day....
 
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i think the only lucky part was Kahne over Dillion. Unlucky too......Kahne had the lucky dog all night and could not get a caution to get back on the lead lap and when he finally did, Dale JJ and Kenseth were on pit row. Could not catch a break. But Kahne was better than Larson all night and damn had Chase not pitted twice he would have had a shot at the W......stupid move by his crew. Great day....

Now that I think about it, had the Elliot team not had to switch transmissions which moved them from 4th to 40th to start the race....oh man, Chase will be thinking about that one for awhile......could have easily been his 1st win.
 

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Great job Red been following a few of your plays so far so good ! Use to be a big NASCAR fan in the 80s through early 2000s till all the old cats retired, made lots visits to dega anyway stay hot !! I'm staying in your draft!
 

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