RedElephants Bristol

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

Folks...

Just in general terms, I cashed out twice in Football, somewhere between 40-50 units. Did well in Baskets until the Tourney, before I could blink an eye I was down 20 units, fought back to within 3 units and another wave of badness sent me 19 units down again. It's taken me until now to get back within 3 units of that bad wave once again, but I've done it thanks to NASCAR primarily, with a touch of Masters, NHL, UFC, and a few baseball games. I'm so close to being out of the NCAA Tourney badness I can taste it, without a dime ever out of pocket. Either way, the last two weeks have been great to me, so I'm in focus to keep it up.

Some analysis coming up.......

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

So for Short Track my strategy changes. Yes, you want keep an eye on speeds, especially if someone does not seem to have a fast car, but today, lets focus on those guys who have good 10 Lap Averages, and good history at Bristol. Guys who can consistently drive well.

XFINITY
Practice 1 10 Lap Average
Allgaier
Busch
Gaughan
Suarez
A Dillon
B Jones
Larson
Harvick
Sadler
Wallace Jr

Practice 2 10 Lap Average
Busch
E Jones
Larson
Suarez
A Dillon
B Jones
T Dillon
Almirola
Gaughan
Harvick

Practice 2 Speed
Koch
Busch
A Dillon
Burton
E Jones
Larson
T Dillon
Suarez
Sadler
Logano

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

XFINITY- Harvick, Logano, Busch, Sadler and Allgaier have all won here. Busch 8 times, Harvick 5 times, Logano 2 times. I will reserve all other history thoughts until after I make my selections.

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

SPRINT

Thus far None to the rear

Top 12 Qualifiers
Edwards
Kenseth
Logano
Hamlin
Ky Busch
Johnson
Harvick
Treux
Almindinger
Bayne
Kahne
Kez

Practice 1 Speeds
Hamlin
Treux
Kez
Johnson
McMurrary
Harvick
Earnhardt
Ky Busch
Allmendinger
Edwards
Kenseth
Ku Busch

10 Lap Average
Only 3 attempted 10 so no help here.

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

XFINITY Qualifying Results

Eric Jones
Austin Dillon
Kyle Larson
Daniel Suarez
Kyle Busch
Joey Logano
Justin Allgaier
Aric Almirola
Brandon Jones
Ty Dillon
Ross Chastain
Kevin Harvick

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

I don't have my match-ups yet but the ones I see initially are TOUGH. I see 1 Winner but we're gonna have to pay for it like a great pitcher on the mound. Unless I find an angle on something else, today will be steep odds.

indiana · Apr 16, 2016

Red............BOL with all your action today.........appreciate your thoughts and time with these races............indy

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

OK guys......a definite gamble today. 1st of all the Play that is a Winner is Brandon Jones over Ryan Reed, but when you are trying to basically go from 39 units down from March Madness to Even, you just don't play -222 when 1 wreck, 1 speeding, or 1 engine can spoil it. If you're up and have the money to Lose.....play it. I don't right now. Reed's best finish is 14th and Average Finish is 24th. His car was slow; only a wreck beats Brandon.
So.....the Huge Risk Play for me is THE FIELD -130 over Kyle Busch. He's hot, on a roll and good here. But when I look at the Top 5 Qualifier in Order:
1. Jones
2. Dillon
3. Larson
4. Suarez
5. Busch

All 5 were in Top 10 Driver Lap Averages, All 5 were Top 10 fast in speed, and All 5 are Top 11 in history. So I've got 4 chances to Win this, plus Logano and Harvick in a race where Kyle won't leave everyone in the dust (short track) and one bump from someone to break the streak.

THE FIELD -130 over Kyle Busch

tnvolfan · Apr 16, 2016

Thanks for the insight Red..........I'm up quite a bit on the year so I played them both
Good luck to us..................

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

TNVOLFAN said:
Thanks for the insight Red..........I'm up quite a bit on the year so I played them both
Good luck to us..................

Good Luck on both! I'm up close to 50 Units on the year myself but I've cashed out and until I get back positive in the Account after the March Madness debacle, I refuse to give it back......

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

Like I said Brandon Jones will be an easy Winner. Unfortunately I did not play it. Larson had the lead over Busch with 12 to go and a freaking CAUTION. All comes down to the restart now..........dang. Might be a Green White Checker by the time the debris is picked up........

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

Wooooo HOOOOOO! 2 More Winners for those who played BOTH!

tnvolfan · Apr 16, 2016

What a daaaaam race great calls Red...............thanks man

RedElephants · Apr 16, 2016

TNVOLFAN said:
What a daaaaam race great calls Red...............thanks man

You got it.....that's a 10-1 streak!

RedElephants · Apr 17, 2016

Happy hour speeds

Hamlin
Elliott
Treux
Edwards
Busch Ky
Johnson
Harvick
Larson
Kahne
Kenseth
Earnhardt
Logano
Busch Ku

10 Lap Averages

Larson
Busch Ky
Edwards
Hamlin
Johnson
Kez
Kahne
Elliott
Truex
Kenseth
Blaney
Allmendinder
Logano

Starting Lineup

Edwards
Kenseth
Logano
Hamlin
Busch Ky
Johnson
Harvick
Treux
Allmendinger
Bayne
Kahne
Kez

RedElephants · Apr 17, 2016

Plays coming up but as aggressive as Larson rode yesterday a .5 play at plus 3500 is worthy.

RedElephants · Apr 17, 2016

Carl Edwards -130 and Kurt Busch +175 over Denny Hamlin. Wreck Denny Wreck!

thenatti · Apr 17, 2016

BOL Red today!

tnvolfan · Apr 17, 2016

Thanks for the plays Red..............Good luck!!!

G.MONEY · Apr 17, 2016

Thank You!

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