England Championship: Charlton- Brighton

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England Championship: Charlton- Brighton

Briefly, hosts are now booked for League 1 and that has looked on the cards for months. Brighton are pressing hard for an automatic promotion spot and could hardly be in better form, with four straight wins, with a 13-2 goal difference and it is very noteworthy that the goals have increased along with the pressure on them to keep winning, which indicates great mental strength. Burnley went top with their three points last night, but Brighton can move level with the win today and they will have the three points and only that in mind this afternoon. Bonus is that if they win today and again at home next weekend, it means they will travel to Middlesbrough on the final day of the season with their fate in their own hands. Supporters have already bought up their full ticket allocation for that game, the final home match is a sell out and they ticket allocation for today sold out weeks ago, but many others will be in the home ends I assume and they will have huge support at the Valley today, when most home fans will only be going to protest against the board/owner.

Brighton are on a good run and can add another London scalp this afternoon. Actually a five goal win would take them above the Clarets and that is probably not as far fetched as it sounds. Anyway, I have seen Charlton three times this season and they started all three games quite strongly and that is borne out by them having a -1 goal difference in the opening 30 mins, this quickly falls to -9 (3-12) in the 15 minutes before the break, which is when they almost always lose control of games at the Valley and there is a good chance we will see more of the same today. Brighton's first goal in their last four games (all wins) have come in the 29-27-29-45th minutes and that mirrors the period when the Addicks are most vulnerable.

Brighton -1 ball as soon as the "in running" line hits 2.05 (currently 1.80) as long as they are not already leading and we are playing 11v 11
 

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